1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 2: Single best idea after a job, stay, an extraordinary week, 3 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 2: an extraordinary twelve months for this great bullmarkt That's my 4 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 2: theme into the end of the year. We're not going 5 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 2: to overweight equity strategists, but we're going to lean forward 6 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:32,480 Speaker 2: and listen a little more carefully to equity strategists into 7 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: the end of the year. So many of them were 8 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 2: behind this bullmarket trend, so many of them are catching up. Yes, 9 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 2: we'll emphasize people that nailed it at Yardanni getting a 10 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 2: lot of accolade for that, and others Brian Belski, Fimo 11 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 2: Capital Markets and many many others. But we're going to 12 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 2: particularly listen to those that maybe got it wrong or 13 00:00:55,560 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 2: off the mark and they're recalibrating. This is an absolutely 14 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 2: cardinal rule of the business. Really, really really listen and 15 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 2: study people that got it wrong with a question. The 16 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 2: seismic shift and strategy this week was David Rosenberg of 17 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 2: Rosenberg Research in Toronto, who flat out came out in 18 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 2: the last twenty four hours and said, I need to recalibrate, 19 00:01:23,880 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 2: I need to readjust this is a bull market. What 20 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 2: did I get wrong about growth? Really pay attention to 21 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 2: David Rosenberg in the coming weeks as he recalibrates to 22 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: this solid American economy and to equities higher. We finished 23 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,319 Speaker 2: the week strong, too many voices to even begin to 24 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,480 Speaker 2: talk about. On Jobs Day? Where do you go, Claudia 25 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: sam New Centries Advisors, Doctor somem on recession or lack 26 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 2: thereof forward? 27 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 3: I think if you ask people are we in a recession? 28 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 3: Are you in a recession? They tie that. 29 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 4: Word up with a lot of negative feelings, a lot 30 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 4: of struggle and hardship. They don't tie it up to 31 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 4: the National Blower of Economic Research's definition of a broad 32 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 4: based contraction economic activity. So when I see those services 33 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 4: of people saying we're in a recession, I understand that 34 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:17,119 Speaker 4: what they're telling us is they're facing some hard times 35 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:19,760 Speaker 4: where they have family and friends who are and that 36 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 4: the sad reality is that's with us always. 37 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 5: I mean, if you look at even say a group 38 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 5: like Black Americans, is not the case at the moment, 39 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 5: but over long stretches of history, what their unemployment rate 40 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 5: outside of recessions looks like the recessionary unemployment rate, right, So, 41 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 5: I mean, we just have pockets of hardship in the 42 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 5: country and that hasn't changed from this, but it is 43 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 5: a reminder we've got work. 44 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 3: To do, and frankly, for those pockets of hardship, the 45 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 3: best thing that we have to bring is a strong 46 00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: labor market where it's really working, especially at the bottom, 47 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,119 Speaker 3: and we saw some of that a few years ago, 48 00:02:55,160 --> 00:02:57,120 Speaker 3: and that's part of what is slipping away. 49 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 2: Important insight from Claudia sym and this goes back ages 50 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 2: and ages of work. Is the best solution for people 51 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 2: struggling is just a solid sense of economic growth. I 52 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 2: know that doesn't get the job done, but at the 53 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 2: same time, there we are as well. It was wonderful 54 00:03:14,040 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 2: to speak to Alan Blinder, the former vice chairman of 55 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 2: the Federserve System, iconic at Princeton University, clearly associated with 56 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 2: Democratic politics. Late in our conversation I asked Professor Blinder 57 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:31,959 Speaker 2: about that ownership the Democratic Party politics and Democratic Party 58 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: economics had on working class America. They have shifted right. 59 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,040 Speaker 6: It's ironic to me that the Democrats against the Republicans 60 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,760 Speaker 6: go back generations. There's never been a question of which 61 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 6: was the party that cared more about ordinary working people, 62 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:53,240 Speaker 6: never until now, and now there is and the Republicans, 63 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 6: in particular Donald Trump have captured a lot of that 64 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 6: support and vote. I think that those people are going 65 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 6: to see what the second Trump administration collection of billionaires 66 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 6: actually does with the policy leavers and not be too happy, 67 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 6: certainly not believe that it was for them. 68 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 2: Terrific response to our conversation with Professor Blinder, those of 69 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: a different presuasion, persuasion I should say, suggesting maybe it 70 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,840 Speaker 2: was a blinder in the politics of the past, and 71 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 2: of course he had a lot of support out there 72 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:31,279 Speaker 2: as well for where the two parties head into twenty 73 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 2: twenty six. In two thousand and twenty eight, on your 74 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: commute across America, thank you for listening on YouTube. All 75 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 2: I can say is subscribe to Bloomberg Politic. Don't let 76 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 2: your friends know you're doing it, but subscribe to Bloomberg 77 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 2: Podcasts and we're out there each and every morning seven 78 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 2: to ten am Wallston time on YouTube podcasts. This is 79 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 2: single best idea 80 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 6: Seven