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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 1: Oh? Five dollars? This is a regal lesson happy tackleship one.

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Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable,

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Speaker 3: humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, misspeak, I suppose the best, relentless refusing to

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Speaker 2: give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, baitless.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the week fifteen Fantasy Flex Props podcast presented

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Speaker 2: by Prize Picks. I am your host, Chris Raybond, joined

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Speaker 2: as always by my dude, Sean Kerner.

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Speaker 3: John, what's going on?

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Speaker 4: Not much, just keeping up with all this crazy COVID

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Speaker 4: news and updating projections seemingly every minute of the day.

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Speaker 1: How about you?

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Speaker 4: And you know, congratulations Urban Meyer finally got fired.

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Speaker 1: So how are you feeling today?

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Speaker 3: You know, I saw this coming, you know, I can't

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Speaker 3: believe it took this long.

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Speaker 2: Just his like, the amount of offenses are just ridiculous

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Speaker 2: and just like odd and weird. So I'm not feeling

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Speaker 2: great about my Texans bet now though, because I feel like,

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Speaker 2: I mean, the Jaguars shouldn't be waiting for, you know,

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Speaker 2: in a field goal against anyone. But you know, they'll

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Speaker 2: probably all hyped up now to play without him, so

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Speaker 2: that should be fun.

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Speaker 1: Yep.

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Speaker 4: Are you updating projections anyway or is it just kind

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Speaker 4: of a take it week by week kind of things.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, no, I'm you're talking about for the Jaguars, So.

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Speaker 1: Just yeah, like player projections. Does it have an impact

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Speaker 1: to you, Robinson?

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Speaker 3: I think, get more work. But let's remember, you know,

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Speaker 3: Daryl Beble was going.

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Speaker 2: To take over as an interim coordinator head coach, excuse me,

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Speaker 2: and he's been the offensive coordinator all year, and he

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Speaker 2: averaged nine points a game over the last seven games.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know how much is gonna change real

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Speaker 2: you know, like I think James Robinson will be on

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Speaker 2: the field more. I think, especially because cars hide up,

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Speaker 2: so you know, that's that's the big thing.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, probably about it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, probably it won't be a short term fix, but

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Speaker 4: certainly in the long term. This is good for like

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Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence. I felt bad because you know, the first

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Speaker 4: thirteen to fourteen weeks of his career have not been good.

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Speaker 4: But at least this gives me hope that he can

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Speaker 4: turn around with you know, better coaching going forward. I mean,

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Speaker 4: his offensive coordinator is the head coach. Now, yeah, we

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Speaker 4: got a long way to go, but it's it's a start, right, Okay,

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Speaker 4: stuff here, I hope.

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Speaker 2: So you know, looking rough out there. Yeah, so you

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Speaker 2: got a lot to get to on this podcast. As

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Speaker 2: you know, we're doing this a little waiter. We wanted

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Speaker 2: to get you guys the most updated COVID news. We'll

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Speaker 2: talk Saturday slate, we'll talk Sunday Night slate, and then

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Speaker 2: we'll get into our top ten props. So let's get

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Speaker 2: right to it and Sean spend a little more time

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Speaker 2: on the Saturday slate here than the Sunday slate just

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Speaker 2: because it's you know, two games coming up soon.

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Speaker 3: You know, I'll just kind of I'll hit you with

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Speaker 3: kind of some.

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Speaker 2: Some of the value guys or the top guys at

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Speaker 2: each position that I like, and then that you can

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Speaker 2: kind of comment or do the same. So at quarterback,

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Speaker 2: for me, it's Mac Jones. I think the Patriots are

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Speaker 2: going to come out throwing in this game. The Colts are,

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Speaker 2: you know, a better run defense than pass defense, and

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Speaker 2: you know they don't get pressure at all, and Belichick

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Speaker 2: in that offense, they really haven't shown anything in the

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Speaker 2: passing game for multiple weeks now because they're coming off

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Speaker 2: of buye.

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Speaker 3: They didn't throw against Buffalo, so I think they come

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Speaker 3: out pass heavy.

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Speaker 2: You know, in the past we've seen Belichick against good

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Speaker 2: run defenses go extremely pass heavy.

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Speaker 3: So I like Mac Jones here running back.

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Speaker 2: I like Nick Chubb for obvious reasons, going to carry

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Speaker 2: the load for the Browns. I think Josh Jacobs is

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Speaker 2: a good value as well a wide receiver. In terms

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Speaker 2: of like a value guy, I think JaMarcus Bradley makes sense.

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Speaker 2: You know, two point eight yards per route run versus

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Speaker 2: zone coverage compared to just one point oh five for

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Speaker 2: Rashard Higgins and the Raiders played the most zone in

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Speaker 2: the league. And then Nadjoku for similar reasons, he's averaging

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Speaker 2: two point four yards per route run versus zone coverage.

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Speaker 2: That's top someone Browns, you know, receivers and tight ends.

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Speaker 2: So those are some of the guys I like on

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Speaker 2: this late how about you?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm in agreement with that, especially Mac Jones. He's

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Speaker 4: the only name I have written down at quarterback. You know,

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Speaker 4: his ruster ship might be lower just because he's coming

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Speaker 4: off that three pass attempt game, but you know it

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Speaker 4: was clear is because of the extreme wins. They're facing

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Speaker 4: the Bills. But you know, this week, this is an

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Speaker 4: obvious past funnel situation. The Patriots are two and a

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Speaker 4: half point underdog, so you know we could see a

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Speaker 4: negative game script finally for the Pats, and Mac Jones

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Speaker 4: is kind of dependent on game script, so I think

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Speaker 4: this is a bounce back game for him. Like you said,

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Speaker 4: Nick Chubb and Josh Jacobs are you know, the clear

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Speaker 4: value plays at running back. I'll also add Brandon Bolden

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Speaker 4: against the Colts. You know, like I said, this could

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Speaker 4: be a pass heavy game script for the Pats, and

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Speaker 4: you know he's gonna benefit from that. Does really good,

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Speaker 4: really good about against zone coverage, and you know Colts

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Speaker 4: plays on the fifth highest rate, So I think there's

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Speaker 4: a sneaky spot for Brandon Bolden and then wide receiver.

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Speaker 4: You have guys, those those sneaky guys that nobody ever

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Speaker 4: likes to roster, like Nelson Agalore and Zach Pascal Slay

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Speaker 4: like this. I'm more than happy to roster guys like that.

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Speaker 4: I think they're more likely to hit their ceiling on

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Speaker 4: this slate than not. And you mentioned JaMarcus Bradley. I

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Speaker 4: think that's a great play Donvan Peoples Jones will probably

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Speaker 4: be the number one you know, wide out for the

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Speaker 4: Browns this week. But now that it looks like Nick

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Speaker 4: Mullins is starting overcase keenim, I'm a little bit sour

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Speaker 4: on him, So I think it does make sense, you know,

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Speaker 4: to spend down and get a guy like JaMarcus Bradley.

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Speaker 4: So I'm in line with you there. Same thing with

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Speaker 4: David Joku. Love this spot for Djoku. He should be

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Speaker 4: the number two target in this offense, So love him.

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Speaker 4: And I think Mo Ali Cox at the bare minimum price,

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Speaker 4: he is the cheapest tight end on DraftKings, and rightfully so.

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Speaker 4: His underlying usage has been really bad, of like, but

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Speaker 4: he's still a threat to score a touchdown. So on

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Speaker 4: a small site like this, I might sneak in some

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Speaker 4: Ali Cox lineups just first touch on upside.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it makes sense to kind of find the value

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Speaker 2: there because you know, Foster Moreau he's really struggled. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: and the Browns, you know, they play a lot of

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Speaker 2: his own too. He struggled against his own, which is

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Speaker 2: kind of surprising most tight ends don't. So yeah, it

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Speaker 2: makes sense to find some values. Though Mo Ali Cox

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Speaker 2: could break the slate here. It's not like Belichick will

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Speaker 2: be you know, focused.

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Speaker 4: In Yeah, probably not. He'll let mo Alie Cox beat him.

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Speaker 4: Let's just put it that way.

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Speaker 2: All right, Let's get into the Sunday Night showdown slate

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Speaker 2: before we get into the props. Should be uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: at least a fruitful fantasy day on one side with

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Speaker 2: the Tampa Bay Bucks taking on the New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 2: As we record this, of course, we got COVID news

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Speaker 2: Sean Payton, head coach of the New Orleans States, has

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Speaker 2: been ruled out of this game with COVID, so we

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Speaker 2: wish him the best. And looks like the Saints are

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Speaker 2: going to be out there coach, So I mean captain

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Speaker 2: spot gotta be Tom Brady, Chris Godwin. I think those

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Speaker 2: you know, those two guys kind of stick out. Gronk

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Speaker 2: sticks out. And then Alvin Kamara, even though it's a

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Speaker 2: tough matchup, I think, I mean, what else are they

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Speaker 2: gonna do? You know? And and and then and then

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Speaker 2: Taysom Hill as well, just because it could maybe it's

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Speaker 2: a past funnel game.

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Speaker 3: I don't think it will be, but we know he

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Speaker 3: can run the football, so I think.

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Speaker 2: Godwin, Godwin will probably be my highest own on the

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Speaker 2: Buck side and then tas them on the Saints side.

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Speaker 3: What about you?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, there's there's a lot of good options here, but

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Speaker 4: I'm with you on Chris Godwin. I think he makes

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Speaker 4: the most sense just because the Saints are sort of

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Speaker 4: a past funnel defense. You know, they ranked eleventh and

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Speaker 4: dvo against the past and first against the run, and

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Speaker 4: with Leonard Fournette banged up, you know that we don't

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Speaker 4: even know if he's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: That's all again.

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Speaker 2: He is gonna play, He's practiced, is gonna play as

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Speaker 2: we record this that we just got thet you practicing

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Speaker 2: full and will play.

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Speaker 4: Okay, So he's close enough to one hundred percent. Okay

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Speaker 4: either way, I still like Chris Godwin. He's seeing thirty

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Speaker 4: three percent targets per rut run the past two games combined,

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Speaker 4: and Mike Evans will probably going up Marshaw Lattimore as always,

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Speaker 4: So this just seems like a blow up spot for

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Speaker 4: Chris Godwin. He's you know, top ten plus catches in

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Speaker 4: each of the past two games, so he's probably gonna

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Speaker 4: be highly rostered.

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Speaker 1: But I don't care.

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Speaker 4: I think we can get unique when it comes to

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Speaker 4: our flex spot. So I'm okay taking Gobin my captain.

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Speaker 4: I think he's the no brainer play here.

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Speaker 2: But then who do you like for some of those

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Speaker 2: cheaper options. You know that you know DFSP codes guys

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Speaker 2: you have to kind of round out your line up with.

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Speaker 4: Well, I do think the Saints are going to be

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Speaker 4: sort of forced into a pass heavy game script, so

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Speaker 4: I'll be looking at target guys like trey Quan Smith

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Speaker 4: and Marquez Callaway. You know, the Bucks are past funnel

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Speaker 4: defense in general, and you know, you know, we should

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Speaker 4: see each of those top those receivers kind of step

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Speaker 4: up here. I think Callaway probably has the the higher

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Speaker 4: touchdown upside, so I'll probably have more shares of him.

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Speaker 4: But either way, I think they're gonna have to throw

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Speaker 4: more here than they would like. And then on the

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Speaker 4: Bucks side, you know, I'm still trying to figure out

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Speaker 4: this number three wide receiver role for the Bucks. You know,

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Speaker 4: we were kind of on Rashad Perriman last week, and

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Speaker 4: you know, his routes per dropback dipped to thirty six

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Speaker 4: percent last week, but of course he caught that game

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Speaker 4: winning touchdown at the very end, So I think people

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Speaker 4: are going to be all over him, but it was

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Speaker 4: Tyler Johnson who reclaimed that number three wide receiver role.

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Speaker 4: He ran a route on fifty six percent of Tom

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Speaker 4: Brady dropbacks, so you know, he doesn't hit too often.

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Speaker 4: But I think he's going to be roster low enough,

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Speaker 4: or I think he is a cheat code here. Granted

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Speaker 4: that he'll you know, we're assuming he's going to continue

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Speaker 4: seeing a route run over fifty percent at the time,

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Speaker 4: but I think Tyler Johnson is a bit sneaky here,

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Speaker 4: how about you.

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Speaker 3: I like both defenses in this goal.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah.

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Speaker 2: So for the for the Bucks, it's obvious you're going

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Speaker 2: against Taysom Hill the Saints. If they are for to pass,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna be at a disadvantage. Bucks defense getting healthier

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Speaker 2: as well, so they're playing well.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 2: I like that Todd Bowles likes to bring a ton

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Speaker 2: of pressure, especially on early downs. Like he doesn't wait

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Speaker 2: till third down to bring pressure. So they still play,

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Speaker 2: they'll play coverage on third down, but you know, they uh,

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Speaker 2: they'll they'll play, you know, like they'll bring pressure early downs,

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Speaker 2: which is great and I think for creating tournaments. And

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Speaker 2: they're actually down to seventeenth in rush defense Dvoa and

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Speaker 2: they're fifth against the pass. So Tampa Bay is kind

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Speaker 2: of They used to be a pass funnel. Now it's

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Speaker 2: almost like they're a run funnel. But I think in

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Speaker 2: this game you're still going to have to pass because

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Speaker 2: you're gonna have to keep up with the Bucks offense.

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Speaker 2: So I like the chaos that this can create. And

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Speaker 2: then on the same side, they just always seem to

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Speaker 2: play well against Tom Brady. You know, he'll get his numbers.

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Speaker 2: He had three seven five with four touchdowns last time

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Speaker 2: they played, but he also had two interceptions and a

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Speaker 2: fumble loss so h and three sacks taken, which todd

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Speaker 2: a season high.

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Speaker 3: Happened two other times as well. He had the stacked

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Speaker 3: three times.

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Speaker 2: So I think that the Saints defense here could be

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Speaker 2: kind of a surprise play that maybe gets to you know,

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Speaker 2: double digits. You know, gets a couple turnovers and if

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Speaker 2: you stack them with Alvin Kamara. You know, Saints have

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Speaker 2: been excellent against Tom Brady in the past and since

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Speaker 2: he joined them. I believe they're three and zero now,

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Speaker 2: so obviously they're big underdogs, but you know that's what

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Speaker 2: you're trying to do on the on the showdown so

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Speaker 2: he's just get like one contrarian kind of situation that

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Speaker 2: goes your way.

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Speaker 3: So I do like the Saints as well, stacked with him.

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Speaker 3: And then one other guy. I'll mention, you know, Giovanni

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Speaker 3: Bernard was lost.

253
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Speaker 2: You know he's out now, so we could see Keyshawn

254
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Speaker 2: and Bond get a couple of snaps, and if they

255
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Speaker 2: do struggle, if the Bucks do struggle like they have

256
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Speaker 2: at times against the Saints, he might get those passing

257
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Speaker 2: down snaps.

258
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Speaker 3: Four Nette.

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Speaker 2: I did mention he did practice in full, so he'll

260
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Speaker 2: obviously steal a lot of work on passing downs, but

261
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Speaker 2: he could you know, he's getting such a big work

262
00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:02,199
Speaker 2: that he might have to check out at times. Ronald

263
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Speaker 2: Jones is not going to be using passing situations, so

264
00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,240
Speaker 2: Keishaw and Vaughan may get you know a few catches

265
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Speaker 2: here and there. So he's another guy I would look

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Speaker 2: out for.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I like the von call especially you know, if

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Speaker 4: the Bucks blow out the Saints, I think he'll get

269
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Speaker 4: the garbage time usage. They'll obviously want to be careful

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Speaker 4: of for Nette, and Ronald Jones is probably too good

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Speaker 4: to be using in garbage times, so vaugh has that

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Speaker 4: sort of upside.

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Speaker 1: So I do like that call.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's get into our props and we use

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Speaker 2: the prize picks line. So it started off here with quarterback.

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Speaker 2: What do you like for week number fifteen?

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Speaker 4: Well, we just talked about this game for the past

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Speaker 4: ten minutes, but I gotta go with the goat here

279
00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:46,480
Speaker 4: over two hundred and ninety four and a half passing

280
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Speaker 4: yards against the Saints. I mentioned this is probably a

281
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Speaker 4: past funnel situation. The Saints rank eleventh against the passing

282
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Speaker 4: DVO and first against the run, so we've seen at

283
00:12:57,480 --> 00:12:59,679
Speaker 4: times the Bucks just kind of abandoned the run from

284
00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,719
Speaker 4: the get go, especially against the Falcons a couple of

285
00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,000
Speaker 4: weeks ago, so they could do that here, especially early on.

286
00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:09,040
Speaker 4: So I think Brady just has such a high, high

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00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,720
Speaker 4: floor right now, and I'm projecting him closer to three

288
00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,400
Speaker 4: to ten. So I just you know, I can't pass

289
00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,400
Speaker 4: this up anything really under three hundred as an auto

290
00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:20,240
Speaker 4: play for me with Brady right now, but especially on primetime,

291
00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,640
Speaker 4: I think he goes off here. So love the over

292
00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:24,240
Speaker 4: two ninety four and a half passing yards.

293
00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:27,679
Speaker 3: Actually on primetime isn't primetime When Tom Brady stinks that,

294
00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:28,040
Speaker 3: I get it.

295
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:31,400
Speaker 4: I thought you were correct on that like early last year,

296
00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,400
Speaker 4: and then he blew away that narrative completely like the

297
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:38,520
Speaker 4: past few primetime games. I feel like, yeah, when did

298
00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:43,959
Speaker 4: he Oh yeah, he played Giants the the the the

299
00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:46,559
Speaker 4: Pats game was kind of a wash literally because it

300
00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,640
Speaker 4: was in the rain. But if you recall, he definitely

301
00:13:49,720 --> 00:13:51,000
Speaker 4: blew my prop that game.

302
00:13:51,920 --> 00:13:54,680
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, nice, Yeah, Yeah, it wasn't that, But that.

303
00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:56,599
Speaker 4: Wasn't That wasn't because it was late that. That was

304
00:13:56,640 --> 00:13:59,760
Speaker 4: because it was pouring rain. But you know, he threw

305
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,160
Speaker 4: three and seven against the Giants last prime time game,

306
00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:04,480
Speaker 4: the super Bowl is prime time.

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00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:05,520
Speaker 1: Did pretty good there.

308
00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:08,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I haven't met three to eight, so

309
00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:11,079
Speaker 2: I'm not just I think they'll come out throwing. And

310
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Speaker 2: like I said, every week, I feel like everyone's too

311
00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:15,400
Speaker 2: well on Tom Brady, Like you gotta be like number

312
00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:17,880
Speaker 2: one or over two every week.

313
00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:25,040
Speaker 3: Okay, for my quarterback prop, I'm going with Joe Burrow over.

314
00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,960
Speaker 2: Two hundred and fifty and a half passing yards against

315
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:29,119
Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos.

316
00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:31,360
Speaker 3: I really like the match for Burrow here.

317
00:14:31,760 --> 00:14:35,760
Speaker 2: He's going against the man heaviest defense in the NFL,

318
00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,440
Speaker 2: and the Bengals are the best passing offense. When it

319
00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,040
Speaker 2: comes to beating man coverage, they're averaging over eleven yards

320
00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:45,520
Speaker 2: per target against zone coverage. So Joe Burrow has been

321
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,000
Speaker 2: over this number in nine to thirteen games. And you know,

322
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,160
Speaker 2: I bet against the Bengals last week with the Niners.

323
00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:55,280
Speaker 2: Luckily that ended up cashing. But Burrow played well. Given

324
00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,560
Speaker 2: you know, the finger, he didn't really look hampered at all.

325
00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,320
Speaker 2: I'm watching him in the fourth quarter. I mean, he

326
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,280
Speaker 2: made some incredible with throws. I don't know why they

327
00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:02,960
Speaker 2: took the ball out of his hands in overtime, to

328
00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:06,160
Speaker 2: be quite honest, they got way too conservative. But that's

329
00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:09,080
Speaker 2: been a talk and the narrative and even Zach Taylor

330
00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,200
Speaker 2: kind of admitted it, like we were too conservative, you

331
00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,240
Speaker 2: know we should we should open it up more, especially

332
00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:14,480
Speaker 2: with the.

333
00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:15,160
Speaker 3: Quarterback we have.

334
00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,680
Speaker 2: I think that the Bengals not only do they have

335
00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:20,440
Speaker 2: a good matchup and they'll know they have a good

336
00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:22,800
Speaker 2: matchup obviously if we can sit here and point it out,

337
00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:25,880
Speaker 2: but I think they'll be more aggressive with the pass

338
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:29,600
Speaker 2: game and past heavier than they have been. So he's

339
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:31,680
Speaker 2: been over this in nine of thirteen games. I think

340
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,560
Speaker 2: he makes it ten of fourteen this week, I haven't

341
00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:35,520
Speaker 2: closer to two seventy.

342
00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, same here I met two sixty five. And if

343
00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:41,280
Speaker 4: you look, he had two games it was Week eleven

344
00:15:41,360 --> 00:15:43,520
Speaker 4: and twelve where he threw for less than two hundred yards,

345
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,360
Speaker 4: but both those games that the Bengals won by twenty

346
00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,360
Speaker 4: or more points. So when it comes to these passing props,

347
00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:52,880
Speaker 4: game script is almost like everything. So this is a

348
00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:55,120
Speaker 4: game where you know, the Bengals are a three point underdog,

349
00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:56,640
Speaker 4: So I'm with you. I think it's gonna be a

350
00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:59,600
Speaker 4: pass heavy game script. Certainly a good matchup for guy

351
00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:03,040
Speaker 4: like Chase So I love you know, Burrow hitting is

352
00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,520
Speaker 4: hitting his upside here. So yeah, I'm projecting about fifteen

353
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,240
Speaker 4: yards over this prop as well. All right, were going

354
00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:10,720
Speaker 4: for the first running back prop, I'm going with Josh

355
00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:14,360
Speaker 4: Jacobs over forty seven and a half rushing yards against

356
00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:18,000
Speaker 4: the Browns, so you know he's their workhorse back now

357
00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,680
Speaker 4: with Kenny and Drake Dune. For the season, He's averaged

358
00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,680
Speaker 4: seventy eight percent of the Raiders rush attempts each of

359
00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,400
Speaker 4: the past two games, so you know we should see

360
00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:28,920
Speaker 4: plenty of rush attempts to go around for the Raiders,

361
00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,360
Speaker 4: considering they're now three and a half point favorites against

362
00:16:32,640 --> 00:16:34,720
Speaker 4: the Browns that you know, they've just been hit hard

363
00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 4: by COVID so on both sides of the ball. So

364
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,960
Speaker 4: this is, you know, going to be a positive game

365
00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:42,560
Speaker 4: script for the Raiders. They've been leaning on Jacobs, so

366
00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:44,960
Speaker 4: you know, I think he has a really high floor,

367
00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,280
Speaker 4: and I'm projecting him closer to fifty eight and a

368
00:16:47,320 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 4: half upwards toll like sixty rushing yards here, So I

369
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:52,360
Speaker 4: think this prop is about ten yards too low.

370
00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:57,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, unfortunately I had him over last week

371
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,600
Speaker 2: too and he didn't come through. But I'm look at

372
00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,040
Speaker 2: this game like it's gonna be a run heavy game.

373
00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:08,000
Speaker 2: I think should be some win there. There's no Kenyon Drake,

374
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:10,399
Speaker 2: so I think he should be over this number. I

375
00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,160
Speaker 2: think he's gonna get a big workload here, So yeah,

376
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,920
Speaker 2: I agree for my first one, I'll go with a

377
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:19,480
Speaker 2: Saturday game as well. Jonathan Taylor over eighty nine and

378
00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:23,840
Speaker 2: a half rushing yards. I know Belichick likes to take

379
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,320
Speaker 2: away the top option that's obviously Jonathan Taylor, but that's

380
00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:28,040
Speaker 2: a lot harder to do in the run game than

381
00:17:28,119 --> 00:17:30,280
Speaker 2: it is, you know, in the pass game. So I

382
00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:34,480
Speaker 2: think Michael Pittman obviously will probably get a lot of

383
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,760
Speaker 2: attention here. But Taylor, I still think he's gonna get

384
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,520
Speaker 2: his twenty five thirty carries.

385
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,639
Speaker 3: And he's been over his number in seven of his

386
00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:43,639
Speaker 3: last ten games.

387
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,159
Speaker 2: And not only has he gotten over eighty nine and

388
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,120
Speaker 2: a half in seven of his last ten, he's gotten

389
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,359
Speaker 2: over one hundred in seven of his last ten. So

390
00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,520
Speaker 2: New England's still allowing one hundred and fourteen point five

391
00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:57,080
Speaker 2: rushing yards per game. That's the middle of the pack.

392
00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,320
Speaker 2: So their run defense, you know, they'll get there. They'll

393
00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,960
Speaker 2: be willing to give up some stuff on the ground.

394
00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:05,719
Speaker 2: Obviously they're going to try to take away tail as

395
00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,400
Speaker 2: much as they can. But I just don't see why

396
00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 2: he's getting you know, ten yards under really what he's

397
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:13,639
Speaker 2: been doing all year going to one hundred yards. I

398
00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,560
Speaker 2: think he's should be over one hundred yards in this game,

399
00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,320
Speaker 2: even if it takes you know, twenty five to thirty

400
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 2: carries to do so. So I'm going Johnson' taror over

401
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,600
Speaker 2: eighty nine and a half rushing yards against the Patriots.

402
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, no argument here. At anytime his prop is under

403
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,400
Speaker 4: one hundred, you can make a case for the over.

404
00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,280
Speaker 4: So considerance under ninety. This is a no brainer play

405
00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 4: as well. I'm projecting exactly at one hundred rushing yards

406
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,400
Speaker 4: and like you said, even if he's not as efficient,

407
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,840
Speaker 4: they're still going to give him the ball. So either way,

408
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 4: I think he has a high four and yeah, I

409
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 4: love the over as well.

410
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 3: A r where are you going for your second running

411
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:49,040
Speaker 3: back prop?

412
00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:53,120
Speaker 4: Similar to Jonathan Taylor, I think anytime this guy's enter

413
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,280
Speaker 4: one hundred yards right now, I'm going to consider the over.

414
00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 4: And that's Dalvin Cook right now, his line is eighty

415
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:02,439
Speaker 4: five and a half against the Bears. He's had plenty

416
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:06,280
Speaker 4: of time to rest his shoulder since thursdayight football where

417
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:09,520
Speaker 4: he went off for two hundred and five rushing yards,

418
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:12,000
Speaker 4: So you know, I think they're gonna lean on him

419
00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 4: even more this week with Alexander Madison out due to COVID,

420
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,160
Speaker 4: so he should see twenty plus carries against the Bears.

421
00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 4: The way Dalvin Cook is playing right now, I don't

422
00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,159
Speaker 4: know how you could fade him at this number. So

423
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,479
Speaker 4: I'm projecting him like closer to one hundred and four

424
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:29,560
Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards. That's how much he's popping

425
00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,320
Speaker 4: off of my model. So this is like fifteen to

426
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,360
Speaker 4: twenty yards too low, So give me the over eighty

427
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 4: five and a half rushing yards for Dalvin Cook.

428
00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, Cook is my RB one this week.

429
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 2: He you know, does have actually a slight like maybe

430
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 2: like a tenth of a point edge here over Jonathan Taylor,

431
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 2: So you know, should be a good week for Dalvin Cook.

432
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:51,720
Speaker 1: All right.

433
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:56,480
Speaker 2: For my second running back prop, I'm going with Leonard

434
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,040
Speaker 2: Fournette under fifty one and a half rushing yards. We

435
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:02,359
Speaker 2: talked about this, you know, as much as he's been

436
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 2: getting that bell cow usage over the last you know

437
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,159
Speaker 2: month and a half, he's gotten under fifty one and

438
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,440
Speaker 2: a half in four of his last six games. And

439
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 2: that's despite you know, his usage ramping up against New Orleans,

440
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 2: which kind of started this off. Just eight carries for

441
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,959
Speaker 2: twenty six yards, his second lowest output of the season.

442
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:28,040
Speaker 2: New Orleans is first in run defense DVOA, and similar

443
00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 2: to what the Patriots like to do Tom Brady, you

444
00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,640
Speaker 2: know here with the Bucks, when they face a good

445
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,159
Speaker 2: run defense, they do go pass heavy. And that's one

446
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,480
Speaker 2: of the reasons why I know, you like the Brady

447
00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:39,840
Speaker 2: over That's one of the reasons why I like, you know,

448
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 2: the Saints defense, even because I think they'll get a

449
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 2: lot of opportunities against you know, passing plays in this

450
00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:47,880
Speaker 2: game in DFS. So yeah, going for net under fifty

451
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:49,879
Speaker 2: one and a half. He's been under more often than

452
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,879
Speaker 2: not in the last month and a half and just

453
00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 2: twenty six just half.

454
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 3: Of this against the Saints in the first meeting.

455
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like this one as well.

456
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 4: It correlates nicely with my Tom Brady over his passing

457
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:01,960
Speaker 4: and we have to remember a lot of four Nette's

458
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 4: fantasy value is is touchdown upside and his receiving usage.

459
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 4: So with with Fournette sort of banged up and Joe

460
00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:11,399
Speaker 4: Bernard out, you know, I think they're gonna kind of

461
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 4: save him more for passing situations and maybe use Ronald

462
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 4: Jones just a little bit.

463
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 1: More and run obvious situations.

464
00:21:19,680 --> 00:21:23,040
Speaker 4: So especially going up against the top ranked defense in

465
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:26,680
Speaker 4: dv AWA against the run. Definitely love the under here

466
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,200
Speaker 4: for for Nett's rushing prop. All right, we're going for

467
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 4: your first receiver prop. So I'm going with Brandon Cooks

468
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:36,400
Speaker 4: under sixty nine and a half receiving yards against the Jaguars. Now,

469
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:38,719
Speaker 4: I love Cooks and fantasy this week. I like him

470
00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 4: in DFS I think he's a great play, but this,

471
00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,159
Speaker 4: this number just feels a little bit too high. Granted,

472
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 4: he is coming off one hundred and one yard receiving

473
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 4: game last week, but he hasn't cleared this number since

474
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,719
Speaker 4: Week eight, so he hasn't really been consistently going over

475
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 4: this number. You know, Davis Mills has options like Nico Collins,

476
00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,959
Speaker 4: our boy Brevin Jordan has looked great, so he has

477
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 4: other outlets to go to other than Brandon Cooks right now,

478
00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:06,120
Speaker 4: And it's kind of like hurt his target share. But granted,

479
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 4: this is an easy matchup against the Jaguars, but this

480
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,360
Speaker 4: should be a very close game. I mean, the spread's

481
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 4: three and a half four right now, so this this

482
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 4: might not be the typical pass heavy game script we

483
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 4: see from the Texans, So I think it hurts Cook's line.

484
00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 1: Up a little bit.

485
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,680
Speaker 4: So I'm projecting this closer to sixty two and a

486
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:24,560
Speaker 4: half and think there's enough value to take this under.

487
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,320
Speaker 4: So I like Cooks to go under sixty nine and

488
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:27,239
Speaker 4: a half for senior yards here.

489
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 2: I know you're telling me that Davis Smills is the

490
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,400
Speaker 2: first red quarterback earlier in the week. Now it's out

491
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 2: well that he's got other options. He is well, going

492
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: back to last year in college, he's the first read.

493
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:40,760
Speaker 2: But I have been bullish Anica Collins pretty much all year,

494
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 2: and I'm really bullsh on Brevin Jordan.

495
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 1: So he has better options than he did.

496
00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,560
Speaker 4: Previously earlier in the season when it was Chris Collyan,

497
00:22:49,040 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 4: whoever else they had, Danny Amandola. I think he has

498
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:55,440
Speaker 4: more options now than just Brandon Cooks. Let's see where

499
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 4: I have this.

500
00:22:56,320 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 2: I have it, you have it around six he sticks,

501
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm a couple of yards under this as well.

502
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 3: I do expect cookstav good.

503
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,040
Speaker 2: He's my wide receiver fifteen on the week though, so

504
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,920
Speaker 2: that's that's higher than he's been in the past few weeks.

505
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 2: All Right, For my first receiving prop, I already talked

506
00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 2: about it. I'm going with the stack here. Jamar Chase

507
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 2: over sixty and a half receiving yards. He's been over

508
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 2: this in more than half of his game seven to thirteen.

509
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 2: He's averaging three point seven yards per rout run against

510
00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 2: man coverage. That's first of all active players that will

511
00:23:33,040 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 2: suit up this weekend. As I mentioned, Denver plays the

512
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,680
Speaker 2: most man in the league, and Chase is you know,

513
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:40,679
Speaker 2: he's gone over this in seven of thirteen. He's had

514
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 2: some really bad games too, you know, kind of mixed in,

515
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 2: but he's averaging eighty yards per game, you know, so

516
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 2: this is twenty yards higher than the average. He's gone

517
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 2: over it more than fifty percent of the time, and

518
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 2: he's got a great matchup. So everything's pointing to him

519
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 2: exceeding his normal you know, whatever you would expect for

520
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:02,120
Speaker 2: his season me or his season average or season media

521
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 2: and whatever you want to call it in this spot.

522
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,440
Speaker 2: So love Jamar Chase over sixty and a half receiving

523
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: yards against the Broncos.

524
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, I love this prop as well. We've talked about

525
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,240
Speaker 4: a length on our DFS pod, how whenever the Bengals

526
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:16,879
Speaker 4: go up against a team that plays a ton of

527
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 4: man coverage, you got to attack Jamar Chase. Whenever they

528
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:22,680
Speaker 4: you know, face a defense that plays a ton of zone,

529
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,520
Speaker 4: you go with t Higgains. So I'm all in on

530
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 4: Chase as well this week. And I'm projecting closer to

531
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,439
Speaker 4: seventy receiving yards here. So this this seems like ten

532
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 4: yards too low and a great spot for Chase.

533
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have him closer to seventy five yeah, I'm

534
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:39,160
Speaker 2: way over whe are you going for your second receiving prop?

535
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,040
Speaker 4: So I gotta go with Chris Godwin over sixty nine

536
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 4: and a half receiving yards against the Saints. This correlates

537
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 4: nicely with my Tom Brady over as well. But like

538
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,719
Speaker 4: I said, this is a pass funnel matchup. Godwin has

539
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 4: been seeing a massive target share lately. He's seen a

540
00:24:54,880 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 4: thirty three percent target per route run rate for the

541
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,360
Speaker 4: past two games. I don't see them going away from

542
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 4: him this week. You know, Mike Evans will be going

543
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 4: up Marshawn Lattimore. They always like the battle. So this

544
00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:08,640
Speaker 4: is a Chris Godwin spot, and he's cleared one hundred

545
00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 4: yards of the past two games. I don't see any

546
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,920
Speaker 4: reason to fade him right now. So I'm projecting this

547
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 4: closer to seventy eight and a half yards and think

548
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 4: he has a really really high floor. So love the

549
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 4: over six and a half receiving yards for Godwin this week.

550
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, anytime they go against the States, you gotta kind

551
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 2: of like bump up god Win like an extra tick

552
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,880
Speaker 2: and bump down Evans because you know Evans could still obviously,

553
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 2: you know, beat Latimore and man coverage you know, I

554
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 2: think he did for a long touchdown in in the

555
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 2: last matchup. But Godwin's going to be kind of a

556
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:42,359
Speaker 2: high volume guy. So yeah, I have Godwin about seventy

557
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 2: eight yards here, about ten yards high.

558
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:45,919
Speaker 1: All right.

559
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 2: For my second receiving prop, I'm going over reliable Davonte

560
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,919
Speaker 2: Adams over eighty eight and a half receiving yards against

561
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,120
Speaker 2: the Ravens. He's been over this in seven and under

562
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 2: in five with Aaron Rodgers. Had a bad game with

563
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,439
Speaker 2: Jordan Lovett quarterback, but Rogers, he's been over this at

564
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 2: a pretty high rate. Baltimore, you know, no cornerbacks like

565
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 2: Marlon Humphrey went down. Baltimore is down to twenty six

566
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 2: in past defense DVOA, and they might be worse than

567
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 2: that because you know, now they're dealing with, you know,

568
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 2: the Humphrey injury, and it's just it's just been a

569
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 2: struggle here. So I don't think there's gonna be a

570
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 2: lot of resistance for Devonte Adams, especially because the Ravens

571
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 2: are a run funnel defense. You know, they are a

572
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,400
Speaker 2: lot better at defending the run. So I don't think

573
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,160
Speaker 2: the Packers are just you know, even if Lamar doesn't

574
00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 2: suit up, which you know he didn't practice. I don't

575
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 2: think the Packers are just going to go, you know,

576
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 2: super run heavy and say, oh, it's play conservative because

577
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens are number four on run defense but twenty

578
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,480
Speaker 2: six against the pass. So there's a perfect spot for Aaron,

579
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 2: Rodgers and Devonte to just play pitching cats. So love

580
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 2: over eighty eight and a half for Adams. I have

581
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,439
Speaker 2: him over one hundred, as I do every year.

582
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, how could you not? So?

583
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:01,479
Speaker 4: Yeah, anytime his prop is the ninety, I pay attention

584
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 4: to it. And last week he went for one hundred

585
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 4: and twenty one yards dealing with an injured hamstring inetheless,

586
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:11,880
Speaker 4: so he's just a lock as always to go over

587
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:14,200
Speaker 4: ninety yards, I think. So I went to here and yeah,

588
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:17,640
Speaker 4: I'm projecting for one hundred and one receiving yards as always,

589
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:18,920
Speaker 4: So lovely over here as well.

590
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 2: All right, that is going to do it for our

591
00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 2: props to recap down going with Tom Brady over two

592
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,639
Speaker 2: hundred and ninety four and a half passing yards, Dalvin

593
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 2: Cook over eighty five and a half rushing yards, Josh

594
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 2: Jacobs over forty seven and a half rushing yards, Brandon

595
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 2: Cooks under sixty nine and a half receiving yards, Chris

596
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 2: Godwin over sixty nine and a half receiving yards.

597
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 3: Those two are nice, and.

598
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 2: I'm going with Joe Burrow over two hundred and fifty

599
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,400
Speaker 2: and a half passing yards, Jonathan Taylor over eighty nine

600
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:56,399
Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards, Leonard four Net under fifty

601
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 2: one and a half rushing yards, Damar Chase over sixty

602
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards, and Davante Adams over eighty

603
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:06,119
Speaker 2: eight and a half receiving yards.

604
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:08,040
Speaker 3: I'm on a little streak here, by the way.

605
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 2: I think I'm nine to one in my last ten

606
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 2: years POD, so either I'm going to progress horribly or

607
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 2: hopefully we.

608
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 3: Keep it going. Tough week, though, but I feel good

609
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 3: about these.

610
00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: So next up here on the Fantasy Flex is a

611
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,960
Speaker 2: segment we call Elite Entry with Seawan and I dive

612
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 2: into the Prize picks app and compare our player projections

613
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 2: to the props to build some entry.

614
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 3: Sean, what's your first prize pick Elite Entry.

615
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:34,400
Speaker 1: For the week fifteen?

616
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 4: So my first pick is Josh Jacobs to go over

617
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,920
Speaker 4: forty seven and a half brushing yards against the Browns.

618
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 4: So he's been the Raiders workhorse back ever since Kenny

619
00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 4: and Drake went down for the season, He's averaged seventy

620
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,760
Speaker 4: eight percent of the Raiders rush a tempts for the

621
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 4: past two games. I think that continues here, and you know,

622
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 4: with the Browns dealing with all these COVID issues, the

623
00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:59,959
Speaker 4: Raiders are now three and a half four point favorite,

624
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:02,640
Speaker 4: so I think this is gonna be a very positive

625
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 4: game script for Josh Jacobs, and they lean on him

626
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 4: heavily here, So I'm Prett Draggon closer to sixty and

627
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,400
Speaker 4: a half rushing yards. I think this prop is about

628
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 4: ten yards too low, So give me the over forty

629
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 4: seven a half rushing yards for Josh Jacobs my.

630
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 3: First prize pickleweed entry.

631
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 2: I'm going to Vonte Adam over eighty eight and a

632
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 2: half receiving yards. He's been over this in seven of

633
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 2: twelve with Aaron Rodgers Baltimore dealing with a lot of

634
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 2: injuries in the secondary.

635
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 3: No Marlon Humphrey. Of course, they're twenty sixth in pass.

636
00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:32,880
Speaker 2: Defense DVOA and their pass funnel to their top five

637
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 2: against the run, So going DeVante Adams.

638
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 3: Over eighty eight and a half for seving yards. I

639
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 3: haven't got one.

640
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 2: Hundred sean, where are you going with your second prize

641
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 2: pickle weed ed peat fifty.

642
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 4: I'm going with Dalvin Cook over eighty five and a

643
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 4: half for rushing yards against the Bears. He's had plenty

644
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 4: of time to rest up his shoulder ever since his

645
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 4: two hundred and five yard night on Thursday Night last week,

646
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 4: and the Vikings should lean on him even more this

647
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 4: week with Alexander Madison out due to COVID, so I'm

648
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 4: essentially treating Dalvin Cook as Jonathan Taylor right now.

649
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 1: I'm projecting him for one hundred and four.

650
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 4: Rushing yards, so I think it's closer to coin flip

651
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 4: will he go over one hundred rushing yards as opposed

652
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 4: to eighty five and a half. So give me the

653
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 4: fifteen yards of value here and I'll take over eighty

654
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:17,600
Speaker 4: five and a half rushing yards for Dalvin Cook.

655
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 2: For my second prize pick a lead entry for Week fifteen,

656
00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,240
Speaker 2: I'm going with Joe Burrow over two hundred and fifty

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00:30:24,320 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 2: and a half passing yards. He's been over this in

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00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: nine of thirteen games. Le Broncos are the man heaviest

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00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 2: defense in the league, and Burrow tends to Slay in

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00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 2: these matchups, they're averaging over eleven yards in at ten

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00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 2: against man coverage. I think Jamar Chase has a big game,

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00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 2: and I think Burrow does this score the tenth time

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00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 2: this season. I haven't posted to seventy. They're going over

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00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty and a half passing yards for

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00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow. That is our Prize Pick a lead entry

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00:30:53,840 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 2: segment for Week fifteen on our Props episode. As a recap,

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00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 2: Shawn's going with Josh Jacobs over forty seven and a

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00:31:01,120 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 2: half rushing yards against the Browns and Dalvin Cook over

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00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 2: eighty five and a half rushing yards against the Bears.

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00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:12,040
Speaker 2: On Monday Night, I'm going with Devonte Adams over eighty

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00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,840
Speaker 2: eight and a half receiving yards against the Ravens and

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00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: Joe Burrow over two hundred and fifty and a half passing.

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00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 3: Yards against the Broncos.

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00:31:21,440 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 2: As a reminder, Prize Picks markets move. Do you want

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Speaker 2: to get on it quickly in order to lock in

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00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 2: the best numbers. If you have not created a Prize

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00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:32,040
Speaker 2: Pick account yet, check the link in our episode description

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00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 2: and they'll match your first deposit up to one hundred dollars,

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00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 2: or you can visit prizepicks dot com and use the

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00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 2: promo code action ten. That's act Ion one zero.

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00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 3: All right, now back to the show. Let's keep it going.

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00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 2: If you guys want to follow Shawn, He's on Twitter

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00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 2: at the Underscore Odds Maker. I'm on Twitter at Chris Raybond.

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00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:57,800
Speaker 2: You can find us at those same handles. In the free,

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00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 2: award winning Action Network app. Can track your own bets,

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00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 2: or you can follow our bets, including our NFL player

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00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,479
Speaker 2: prop bets, our fantasy football rankings projections. Content is at

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00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 2: actionnetwork dot com, our dfs content pools, models fantasylabs dot com.

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Speaker 3: Until next time, get this money,