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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Friday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials. This podcast being brought to you by your

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Speaker 1: friends at Omaha Steaks dot com. Labor Day is upon

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Speaker 1: Get some meat for yourself, your family, your friends, whomever

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Speaker 1: for the end of the summer as we head towards

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Speaker 1: college in pro football. Okay, one and two night last night.

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Speaker 1: That was frustrating. Sorry two in one last night. Sorry

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Speaker 1: two in one night should have been a three and

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Speaker 1: o night. If Gus Malson wasn't such a punk, we

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Speaker 1: would have gone three and oh. But because Gus Malson

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Speaker 1: is Gus Malesan And why is Gus Mason at Central Florida?

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Speaker 1: Because everybody at Auburn hated him. That's why he didn't

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Speaker 1: win enough either. But scoring a touchdown when fifty four

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Speaker 1: seconds left when you're up forty nine to six, yeah,

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Speaker 1: real tough guy move there. Yeah, it's a real strong,

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Speaker 1: strong move there, guy. Way to go. Feel good about yourself. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: taking a knee would have been the thing to do.

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Speaker 1: That would have been a classy thing to do. But

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Speaker 1: Gus Mason's not classy, so my bat on that. Yes,

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Speaker 1: I'm mad, don't like to play at all. But hey,

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Speaker 1: the boosters, your boosters got the over, the cover and

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Speaker 1: the booster over. Congratulations you got that for the alumni.

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Speaker 1: Feel good about yourself now. Anyways, five and one mark

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Speaker 1: to start the college football season. Three more bets coming

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Speaker 1: at you guys here tonight on a Friday for college

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Speaker 1: football as we head towards the long weekend. Before I

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Speaker 1: do that, let me tell you more about the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice NFL Pix contest going on right now. Okay, here's

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Speaker 1: the number. We're at one hundred and forty three entries.

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Speaker 1: We need to get to five hundred. Somebody on Twitter

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Speaker 1: yesterday was angry saying, you know, at betting pros and

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Speaker 1: Splash Sports should cover that if we don't get to

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Speaker 1: five hundred, well we should have an overlay, and that

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Speaker 1: overlay should be covered. Guys, Okay, I understand what Circa

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Speaker 1: Sports is. Okay, I do know Derek Stevens personally. I've

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Speaker 1: interviewed him multiple times, talked to him multiple times, see

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Speaker 1: him all the time. I'll see him a time this weekend.

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Speaker 1: I know what circa is. I know how the million

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Speaker 1: and the Survivor people just think that while having overlays

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Speaker 1: is normal, it's not. Derek is a generous person and

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Speaker 1: he wants to have action, so he's willing to have overlays.

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Speaker 1: But guess who doesn't have overlays? The super book, the

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Speaker 1: ones who started the entire thing, the people who started

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Speaker 1: the NFL Anti Kepting Pick contest. They don't have an overlay. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so if they don't get if they get a thousand entries,

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Speaker 1: then they wind up with the prize pool of what

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Speaker 1: it is. Okay, this is the same thing. It's based

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Speaker 1: on five hundred entries at fifty bucks a pop. If

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Speaker 1: we get five hundred, then there's twenty two thousand, five

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars in the prize pool. And thus you can

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Speaker 1: go and see how it's broken up with the top

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Speaker 1: prize being four thousand, five hundred dollars. But we got

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Speaker 1: to get to five hundred entries if we don't want

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Speaker 1: to reassess and readjust no one's gonna lose money on this.

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Speaker 1: Guys like, this is a contest, it's for fun, it's

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Speaker 1: for money. But no one's gonna front that and say,

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Speaker 1: oh yeah, that's okay. I'm gonna put up and lose

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Speaker 1: ten thousand dollars or whatever it might be. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: just keep that in mind. Don't don't get twisted here

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Speaker 1: as to what we're doing. Yes, I get that people

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Speaker 1: think that everyone's just eat it, just take it. You're

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Speaker 1: putting the contest up. Well, no, we need a certain

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Speaker 1: number of people in for the pool to be what

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Speaker 1: it is. Okay, So we're progressing. Okay, all right, we

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Speaker 1: may not get to five hundred. I hope we do.

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Speaker 1: But if you haven't jumped in yet, please do. And

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Speaker 1: it's the first of September. We have nine days after

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Speaker 1: today to see who we can get in. The way

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Speaker 1: you enter this contest bettingpros dot Com slash pick is

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Speaker 1: how you get in. We are going to have opening

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Speaker 1: open invitation to join all the way up to the

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Speaker 1: tenth of September, game Day, Day one of the NFL season. Okay,

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Speaker 1: seven picks straight up, not against the spread. You must

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Speaker 1: get a winner, not a tie, ties or losses, wins

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Speaker 1: or wins. One point for every win, and we see

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Speaker 1: who winds up with the most points at the end

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Speaker 1: of the season. Okay, bettingpros dot Com slutch pick to

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Speaker 1: enter into the Splash Sports Daily Juice Pick contest this

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Speaker 1: NFL football season. All right, let's talk about tonight. Three

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Speaker 1: games I want to get into here fortnight. Let's start

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Speaker 1: with Central Michigan against Michigan State. Now, do you know

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Speaker 1: what happens when you go to Central Michigan? A lot

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Speaker 1: of times you wanted to play for Michigan State. You

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Speaker 1: wanted to play for Michigan. You have a chance to

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Speaker 1: knock off the Spartans. Michigan State's not good. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much longer Mel Tucker will be the coach,

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Speaker 1: but I don't think it's me much much longer. He's

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Speaker 1: been there four years. It's a very hard job, hard

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Speaker 1: place to recruit to, hard place to win. They have

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Speaker 1: a new quarterback coming in multiple two new quarterbacks coming in.

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Speaker 1: They've got very inexperienced players. And it's a fourteen and

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Speaker 1: a half point line for Central Michigan. Who out of

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Speaker 1: the mac we love. Central Michigan is a team that

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Speaker 1: plays defense. Central Michigan is a team that can run

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Speaker 1: the football. They can burn the clock. I think this

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Speaker 1: could be a really difficult game. I think Central Michigan

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Speaker 1: should could shock the world and they could beat Michigan

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Speaker 1: State here in game one. I really do. I don't

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Speaker 1: like Michigan State. I don't like their offense. I think

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Speaker 1: they've got, you know, the Chippewas have got a good

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Speaker 1: coach who's been there for a long time. They got

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Speaker 1: a running game that I like. They've got a quarterback

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Speaker 1: who can move the football, and I think their defense

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Speaker 1: is good enough, good enough to slow down Michigan State

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Speaker 1: or keep them in the game. I fourteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: This is a huge game. CBS Sports Network has this

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Speaker 1: game Central Michigan against Michigan State. If they beat the Spartans,

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to be surprised at all. I'll just

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Speaker 1: take the fourteen and a half points and hope that

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Speaker 1: the game States close. I like Central Michigan plus fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half one point one units with a chance

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Speaker 1: maybe even knockoff the Spartans here on the road. Big

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Speaker 1: game for the MAC, Big game for Central Michigan. Michigan State,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't think they're going to be

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Speaker 1: all that interested in playing here. But Central Michigan is

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Speaker 1: a team that will be motivated. I'm not sure Michigan

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Speaker 1: State will match it. Plus fourteen and a half Central

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Speaker 1: Michigan one point one units. Bet number two. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about Miami of Ohio against Miami, Florida. Number is sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half mice one fifteen. Fando has this number.

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Speaker 1: So here's the thing about Miami of Ohio, another MAC

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Speaker 1: team who we bet and we did a lot of

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Speaker 1: work on over the last couple of years. Defensively, they

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Speaker 1: are very good. Okay, defensively they were last year. I

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Speaker 1: mean they were a team that we were looking at

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Speaker 1: a lot because they were pretty good on the road.

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Speaker 1: They were five and three ats on the road in

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Speaker 1: Miami was awful last year against the number horrible two

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Speaker 1: and ten, one in seven in the ACC, one in

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Speaker 1: six at home. They were just awful. And I think

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Speaker 1: the fact that Miami was so bad last year. The

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Speaker 1: Hurricanes were so bad last year. Atsy, we're getting a

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Speaker 1: better We're getting a break here. I think with the

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Speaker 1: number being sixteen and a half, I think Miami is

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Speaker 1: a much better football team. I think Miami just is

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Speaker 1: a much better team than Miami of Ohio. And I

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Speaker 1: think Miami of Ohio might really struggle in this game.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure Miami Ohio is going to score all

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Speaker 1: that much. You know, you look at team totals for

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Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio and you're like, all right, how many

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Speaker 1: points could Miami Ohio score? Team total is thirteen and

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Speaker 1: a half. Thirteen and a half with the game total

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Speaker 1: being forty five and a half tells you that the

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Speaker 1: books are thinking that, okay, thirty thirty one points. If

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Speaker 1: Miami gets over thirty points here, it's lights out. Ohio's

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Speaker 1: not going to score or sorry, Miami's not going to score.

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Speaker 1: Miami Ohio not going to score. A part of me says,

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Speaker 1: take the team total for the Hurricanes. I'll personally be

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Speaker 1: on that it's thirty and a half. But I'm a

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Speaker 1: little bit concerned just about Miami of Ohio's defense holding

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Speaker 1: down and playing ball control with Brett Gabbert, the quarterback,

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Speaker 1: a little concerned about that. So, I mean, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Miami's got a couple of really good players on their defense,

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Speaker 1: NFL caliber players on their defense, and I think they're

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Speaker 1: going to be able to run the football. I think

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Speaker 1: they're going to be able to at least I don't know,

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Speaker 1: ten to fourteen points for Miami of Ohio. I we

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Speaker 1: lean towards the under as well, but I think Miami

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Speaker 1: gets it done by three touchdowns. I think Miami will score.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay the sixteen and a half points here. I

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Speaker 1: think it's one of those situations where it's the Jimmy's

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Speaker 1: and the Joe's. It's just a better team. And again,

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Speaker 1: I don't like the offense for Miami of Ohio. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they're going to be able to move the

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Speaker 1: ball against this new defense for Miami, and I think

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Speaker 1: Mario crist Ball's offensive lines he'll do some damage. I

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Speaker 1: think they'll run the ball right down the throats of

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Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio. I think they'll basically do whatever they

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Speaker 1: want here. I'm gonna lay the sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: points Hurricanes against the RedHawks, laying sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: points at home. I'm not touching in the totals in

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Speaker 1: this today because I got burned on that one bet.

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Speaker 1: I'd rather just bet which side I think he's gonna win.

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Speaker 1: I think Miami does win. I think Miami wins and

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Speaker 1: covers Miami of Florida. The Hurricanes win and cover, laying

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half points. And then finally, this game

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Speaker 1: has been tough. Okay, so Hawaii is playing its second

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Speaker 1: game in six days. Hawaii flew is flying climb back

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Speaker 1: from Nashville, really long flight, already played a game, So

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Speaker 1: everyone's jumping in on Hawaii. Number on seven. Now it's

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Speaker 1: three three. Hawaii was really bad last year. Now they've

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Speaker 1: changed things up. They have a new coach, they have

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Speaker 1: a new offense. They are dramatically different. We saw it

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Speaker 1: the last dramatically different, and a lot of people have said,

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Speaker 1: look at this is not the same team by any means.

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Speaker 1: Hawaii's got a quarterback, they got an offense. This Hawaii

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Speaker 1: team is going to do some big things. Look out

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Speaker 1: for Hawaii. Okay, so the number goes from minus seven

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Speaker 1: to minus three. But we haven't seen Stanford play yet.

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Speaker 1: Now Stanford was bad last year. I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: deny that Stanford was not a good team and not

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Speaker 1: a good team against the spread either. Last season they

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Speaker 1: were two to ten ats now the Hawaii was nine

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Speaker 1: to four last year. Even though they were really bad

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Speaker 1: straight up, they were pretty good against the number. Stanford

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Speaker 1: only won three games, Hawaii only won three games, but

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Speaker 1: Hawaii was covering like crazy because everyone thought Hawaii was

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Speaker 1: going to be awful and the numbers were gigantic. They

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Speaker 1: kept on covering. If you remember going back to last year,

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Speaker 1: just the types of numbers we were seeing with Hawaii

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Speaker 1: were gotten godly. But Stanford didn't know the last the

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Speaker 1: last five games, and Stanford was, you know, frankly, Effords

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Speaker 1: was really bad. While they have a new head coach,

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Speaker 1: David Shaw's gone, they have a new coach now coming

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Speaker 1: in and let's see what they're going to look like.

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Speaker 1: But they do have a couple of decent running backs,

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Speaker 1: they have a good offensive line. I think they're just

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Speaker 1: a better football team. I think the over might be

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Speaker 1: in play because Hawaii's defense is still not good. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt scored what thirty five points on them last week?

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Speaker 1: They lost the game. They covered the seventeen and a

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Speaker 1: half points They're now three point home dogs Stanford. I

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Speaker 1: just think Stanford's a better football team than Hawaii is.

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Speaker 1: And yes, new coach, but I think they're going to

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Speaker 1: be able to run the ball, and I think this

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Speaker 1: will be I mean again, I think the over could

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Speaker 1: be in play, but I think the better play is

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Speaker 1: just to lay the three. Once I got to three,

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Speaker 1: I was waiting. I was like, Okay, this gets down

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Speaker 1: to three, I'm going to take Stanford. Because we don't

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Speaker 1: know what Stanford's going to look like. I mean, they

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Speaker 1: were decimated by the transfer portal, I get it, but

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Speaker 1: it's still Stanford. They're still a Pac twelve school. They

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Speaker 1: still have just bigger bodies. And yes, Hawaii played a game,

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Speaker 1: but Hawaii flew back from Nashville and this is their

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Speaker 1: second game in six days after after that long flight.

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Speaker 1: I don't know what the energy level is going to

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Speaker 1: be like for these kids coming up later in the game.

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Speaker 1: I just think Stanford, I mean, I think it benefits

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Speaker 1: them to not have played a game. I think they've

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Speaker 1: got fresher bodies to not have to play. So I

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Speaker 1: think this is going to be a problem spot, a

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Speaker 1: danger spot in my opinion for Hawaii because everyone seems

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Speaker 1: to be on Hawaii. Everyone's jumping on them, going, oh,

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Speaker 1: there's such a different team. Look out here we go.

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Speaker 1: Here comes Hawaii. I don't know. I'm I think it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit more of a I don't know. I'm

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Speaker 1: a little surprised. Troy Taylor's got the new head coach,

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Speaker 1: new system at Sacramento State. This guy put up numbers,

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Speaker 1: put up points, put up numbers. Everyone's saying stan you know,

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Speaker 1: Stanford's got three starters back and you know, on offense,

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Speaker 1: and you know'll look out here we go. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think Stanford's going to be, you know,

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Speaker 1: overwhelmed and wowed by playing in Hawaii. And I personally

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Speaker 1: think that there's just too much firepower. Here are too

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Speaker 1: many people going on Hawaii. It's remarkable going from seven

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Speaker 1: to three. I think we hit the basement here. I

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Speaker 1: think Timmy Chang's team is going to put up some numbers.

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Speaker 1: They put up some numbers on on Vandy. I lean

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Speaker 1: towards the over fifty five and a half. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Everyone's saying Stanford's the worst Power five team,

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Speaker 1: that they're just horrible, blah, blah blah. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: fade everyone's play. Maybe I'm dead wrong. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 1: Stanford Stanford minus three one point one units here on

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Speaker 1: the road at Hawaii. Okay, three bets for us going

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Speaker 1: on a Friday. We are taking Central Michigan plus fourteen

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Speaker 1: and a half at Michigan State, laying sixteen and a half,

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Speaker 1: Miami of Florida at home against Miami of Ohio, and

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Speaker 1: we're catching three points for started laying three points Stanford

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Speaker 1: minus three on the road at Hawaii. All three of

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Speaker 1: those bets. Well, let's see excuse me, No. One fifteen

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Speaker 1: on sixteen and a half, so minus one ten minus

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Speaker 1: one ten and oh is that even money? I got

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Speaker 1: even money in Vegas. Let's see if you guys can

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Speaker 1: get even money? Uh for the East Coast books for

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Speaker 1: this Stanford game at minus three even money? Oh, hold on,

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Speaker 1: let's too real quick from the juice perspective. No, okay, yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be I get even money, but it's it's

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Speaker 1: mine one ten to one point one units. Okay, So again,

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Speaker 1: Stanford minus three one point one units, Miami of Ohio

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Speaker 1: my sixteen and a half one point one five units,

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Speaker 1: Central Michigan plus fourteen and a half minus won ten

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Speaker 1: as well on that one point one units down, three

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Speaker 1: point three units down on college football. Two and one

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Speaker 1: last night, five and one so far in college football.

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Speaker 1: Let's have another good night here. This one's a little

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Speaker 1: bit dicey. I'll say I'm going against a lot of

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Speaker 1: people's trends. A lot of people think I'm okay with

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Speaker 1: being on an island. Let's have another good night Friday

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Speaker 1: night with three college football players. I'll talk to you

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Speaker 1: guys in the distort channel Betting Pros dot com, slash

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Speaker 1: Chat to join in. My name is Matt Parol. To

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Speaker 1: follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning,

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Speaker 1: The Diligence Podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks

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Speaker 1: dot com