WEBVTT - Cliff Notes: IS A RECESSION ON THE WAY?

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<v Speaker 2>Let's give in to this topic. You post it on

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<v Speaker 2>Instagram that a recession is coming hot take, can you

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<v Speaker 2>please elaborate on that.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, this will go into the files of Oh my god,

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think Ian is right, and then when it

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<v Speaker 3>happens we can catalog it so between you having a

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<v Speaker 3>World War three potentially right now, a flattening you'll curve

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<v Speaker 3>a week job market. And now, people in any market

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<v Speaker 3>don't like when things are not stable or safe, so

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<v Speaker 3>please write write that down. The market has the highest

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<v Speaker 3>probability of going up when they're a safety in the market.

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<v Speaker 3>And now, because the entire world is now teaming up

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<v Speaker 3>against Russia, and then China came in at the last

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<v Speaker 3>minute with the union pay to allow them to be

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<v Speaker 3>back on a payment platform. This is getting really scary.

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<v Speaker 3>This looks like a movie where I'm waiting for the

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<v Speaker 3>rock to come in and save it and be like, hey,

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<v Speaker 3>everything's gonna be fine. He's gonna choke out putin game

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<v Speaker 3>over it. We are entering scary times. So anytime, and

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<v Speaker 3>I know some of you are going to be like, hey,

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<v Speaker 3>we need two consecutive quarters of GDP lacking true, but

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<v Speaker 3>that is a lagging indicator of when it happens, so

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of times. If for those you remember two

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<v Speaker 3>thousand and seven and two thousand and eight when gas

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<v Speaker 3>prices shot up like crazy and the job market weekend,

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<v Speaker 3>you can feel it before we got there that something

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<v Speaker 3>was really wrong. And we're back in that space again.

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<v Speaker 3>I told you guys last year. If NFTs are going up,

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<v Speaker 3>options are going up, Companies that are not that great

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<v Speaker 3>are going up double. They are allowing you to get

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<v Speaker 3>money last year to prepare for the winter that may

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<v Speaker 3>come for two or three years, and then we're going

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<v Speaker 3>to have another one inside of twenty seven. Please be

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<v Speaker 3>very careful. I know this is something that we don't

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<v Speaker 3>want to hear, but what to do. Always tell every creator,

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<v Speaker 3>every business person, focus on growing your business and invest

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<v Speaker 3>at the same time, build your base. It's a great

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<v Speaker 3>time to build a base and you'll be good. Will

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<v Speaker 3>it be scary as hell? Yes, but it looks like

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<v Speaker 3>a recession is coming if they do not get this

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<v Speaker 3>Russia situation handled very quickly.

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<v Speaker 2>Talk about the China situation what you had, You talked

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<v Speaker 2>about it briefly, but can you elaborate on that.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, now we're entering a season where the wars

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<v Speaker 3>that are fought are economic wars of terrorism. So now

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<v Speaker 3>visas visa massacred Apple cut off the payment flow for Russia, right,

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<v Speaker 3>and then China comes in and says, hey, you can

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<v Speaker 3>use union pay. So before when China was being quiet

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<v Speaker 3>on their perspective, on what they should do with their

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<v Speaker 3>ally to Russia or not. You always need to follow

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<v Speaker 3>the money trail. So if they are now an ally

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<v Speaker 3>shout out to ally to Russia, what does that mean.

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<v Speaker 3>It goes back to my theory that I've been saying forever.

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<v Speaker 3>If they team up, it could be disastrous. Now, I

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<v Speaker 3>think the strategy that the rest of the world took

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<v Speaker 3>was brilliant because the new wars are not going to

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<v Speaker 3>be fought with bombs and muscles. They will be fought bad.

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<v Speaker 3>They will be fought financially. And this is why crypto

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<v Speaker 3>is incredibly important. I know you guys were saying before, Hey,

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<v Speaker 3>b Talic is not going to chime in. You need

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<v Speaker 3>to go look and see what cryptocurrencies are backing Russia. Silently. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>not going to say the Ethereum is one of them, but

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<v Speaker 3>you should go look and coinbase it. They won't take

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<v Speaker 3>Russia off of their platform as well. You have to

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<v Speaker 3>be very mindful what people are hiding this money and

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<v Speaker 3>what those allegiances and tithes.

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<v Speaker 4>Maybe I think that's the interesting one. I mean, you

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<v Speaker 4>touched on a bunch of things and so like really quickly.

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<v Speaker 4>So the visa and massacart band. It was like, obviously,

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<v Speaker 4>this is obviously a payment processing company and so that's American, right,

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<v Speaker 4>But they said that the domestic transactions can still happen,

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<v Speaker 4>so if they're inside of Russia they can still use it.

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<v Speaker 4>Obviously internationally you can't use it anymore. They're just think

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<v Speaker 4>things like what you said with that China Union pay.

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<v Speaker 4>It was like, wait, this is the country obviously that

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<v Speaker 4>we've been speaking about, that has been tied to them

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<v Speaker 4>for so long, stepping up to the bat when they

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<v Speaker 4>needed them. I think the crypto piece is very interesting though,

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<v Speaker 4>because if you look at it, people are saying, hey, Coinbase,

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<v Speaker 4>Hey Finance, you should restrict the amount of crypto that's

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<v Speaker 4>allowed in Russia. That kind of defeats the purpose of cryptocurrency,

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<v Speaker 4>and so it's like double, what are you supposed to do.

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<v Speaker 4>You can't cut them off because obviously the blockchain technology

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<v Speaker 4>doesn't use it, but the people want now to use

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<v Speaker 4>bitcoin as a thing, like hey, we're going to stop it.

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<v Speaker 4>Last week we talked about how people were funding and

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<v Speaker 4>sending money to Ukraine through cryptocurrency. But the other end

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<v Speaker 4>of is that is that it might be people that

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<v Speaker 4>could be sending money to Russia the same way, right,

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<v Speaker 4>so you can't really ban it. So it's an interesting time,

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<v Speaker 4>man Like right now, watching all this is really really

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<v Speaker 4>really intriguing, and we should be paying attention to these

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<v Speaker 4>little things. I'm glad that he brought up that China

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<v Speaker 4>Situation because that was kind of like a one minute article.

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<v Speaker 4>That's a very big pieces.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a very interesting time that we're in right now.

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<v Speaker 2>And shout out to my bro Dave Gross. I had

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<v Speaker 2>like an hour and a half conversation with him yesterday.

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<v Speaker 2>If anybody doesn't know who Dave Gross is that he's

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<v Speaker 2>an extremely successful businessman, used to work on Wall Street

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<v Speaker 2>for twenty years. But you might know him from being

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<v Speaker 2>Nipsey Hustle's business partner. He was the guy you see

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<v Speaker 2>with Nipsey Hustle all the time who was, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>really educating nip on a lot of things, especially on

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<v Speaker 2>the real estate side. So I was speaking to him

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<v Speaker 2>and he was saying, like, you know, there's a shortage

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<v Speaker 2>of investments out there, like where people can really put

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<v Speaker 2>their money. And he was like, you know, you don't

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<v Speaker 2>know how many people hit me up and starting these

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<v Speaker 2>these funds to buy artists music, like artists catalogs because

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<v Speaker 2>there's not a lot of place to get good returns

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<v Speaker 2>on your investment right now, So people was looking at

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<v Speaker 2>all kinds of alternative ways to invest money and like

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<v Speaker 2>musical catalogs. This is where the NFT thing comes into play.

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<v Speaker 2>Real estate is already you know, way over valued, stock market,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, is in trouble right now, cryptocurrency has been falling.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's a very inter it's an interesting space right now.

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<v Speaker 2>And it's also this is another conversation but goes back

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<v Speaker 2>to like evaluations on companies. People are looking to buy

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<v Speaker 2>companies and stuff like that. People just looking to spend

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<v Speaker 2>money on things that they can get a good return

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<v Speaker 2>on their investment on because it's not easy to get

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<v Speaker 2>a good return on investment, especially larger, large sums of money.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's interesting times that way in and this this

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<v Speaker 2>Russia Ukraine situation doesn't look like it's going to be

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<v Speaker 2>over anytime soon, even though they put a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>pressure on Russia's economy, on the oligarchs and it's being felt.

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<v Speaker 2>But you know, Putin is he's still you know, playing

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<v Speaker 2>the game to win. So we'll just have to wait

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<v Speaker 2>and see what happens. But if China gets more involved,

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<v Speaker 2>then that's going to give them more time. Like if

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<v Speaker 2>China just would be not involved at all. I think

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<v Speaker 2>it will be over pretty quickly fast. As long as

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<v Speaker 2>China keeps giving them lifelines, they're always going to be

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<v Speaker 2>in the game.

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<v Speaker 4>And one of things we talked about and speaking of

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<v Speaker 4>where people can invest the money, and we spoke about

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<v Speaker 4>it last week was commodities. And literally like when when

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<v Speaker 4>when Jess was on shout out to Jess when she

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<v Speaker 4>was like, yo, oil is going to one twenty, And

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<v Speaker 4>when she texted me last night like it's at one forty,

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<v Speaker 4>I'm like, wow, give me. We said it, and then

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<v Speaker 4>I asked her repeated just to make sure, and yeah

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<v Speaker 4>she did. But also Nickel, did you see nickeltoon all

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<v Speaker 4>time high for nickel commodity. I remember going to see

0:10:24.880 --> 0:10:27.600
<v Speaker 4>Robert Kiyosaki in like two thousand and seven. Uh, he

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<v Speaker 4>was had a speech in a seminar in New York

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<v Speaker 4>City and all the whole seminar was about Nickel. That's

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<v Speaker 4>all he was talking about, Like you should invest in

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<v Speaker 4>the Nickel investor, Nickel investor Nickel because everybody was already

0:10:38.679 --> 0:10:40.360
<v Speaker 4>invested in gold as a commodity, and he was like,

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<v Speaker 4>your Nickels the next thing, and so to see it

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<v Speaker 4>hit an all time hogh. Today, I was just like, man,

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<v Speaker 4>this is this is pretty it's pretty interesting. And we

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<v Speaker 4>spoke about it, like literally when we spoke about the Monday.

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<v Speaker 4>I watched some of the news outlets Tuesday. Everybody's talking

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<v Speaker 4>about commodities.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely and copy Jess. I want to be very clear

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<v Speaker 3>because no one was calling that shout out to jests.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's so when we're telling you guys these pieces of information,

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<v Speaker 3>please use them to your advantage. And even with Nickel,

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<v Speaker 3>going back to your point, when Kyosaki was doing those

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<v Speaker 3>tours and money master the game, one of Kyle Bassett's

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<v Speaker 3>favorite strategies. If he could, he will put every dollar

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<v Speaker 3>that he could into Nickel. So you have to have

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<v Speaker 3>the right kind of diversification. And true diversification isn't retail oil,

0:11:24.880 --> 0:11:30.679
<v Speaker 3>gold crew, ev tech diversification truly, like when you talk

0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:33.240
<v Speaker 3>to people inside of hedge funds or family offices, is

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<v Speaker 3>to make sure that no matter what happens with your portfolio,

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<v Speaker 3>that you are positive. And Ray Dallio tapped on it

0:11:40.160 --> 0:11:42.280
<v Speaker 3>a little bit with all Weather strategy. That's not the

0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:45.840
<v Speaker 3>real strategy that they use it at his firm. But

0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:48.959
<v Speaker 3>you have to make sure even if the world falls apart,

0:11:49.240 --> 0:11:51.840
<v Speaker 3>that you're able to print and produce money and going

0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:54.559
<v Speaker 3>back to your partner, shot capital allocators have to put

0:11:54.600 --> 0:11:57.240
<v Speaker 3>money to use regardless, so they can't just sit on

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:01.640
<v Speaker 3>five hundred million, three billion, fourteen billion dollars. They have

0:12:01.679 --> 0:12:03.640
<v Speaker 3>to put the money somewhere. You guys have to continue

0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:05.440
<v Speaker 3>to look. And that's why I always tell you look

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<v Speaker 3>at every asset class top to bottom. There is a

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<v Speaker 3>market somewhere that is going to boom a sometimes sometimes

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<v Speaker 3>if you find it.

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<v Speaker 2>My graduate from my school being forced bad drop bags,

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<v Speaker 2>drop my drop bag, drop bag drop.

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