1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,280 Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,360 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: your bets. And this be Joey P Joe P's Apia 3 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:09,480 Speaker 1: and this is bp NFL. It's time for week seven. 4 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: That means the best bet crew is here and they 5 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: are the best. It's Terrell Furman Junior, the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson. 6 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: Both of these handsome young gentlemen are above five hundred 7 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:24,279 Speaker 1: for the season. Terrell six picks over five hundred. I 8 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: might add very hot twenty twenty five, and it's only 9 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: getting hotter. So make sure you subscribe to the channel. 10 00:00:30,320 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: We love when you follow us over here on Betting 11 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: Pros YouTube. We're trying to get to one hundred thousand subs. 12 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: We could do it with your help. Terrell needs a 13 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: sub in the worst way, to a different kind of 14 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: sub because he is starving. So we're gonna get through 15 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: these bets as fast as possible because he is angry today. 16 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 1: Are you gonna be all right? You had a little 17 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:47,520 Speaker 1: snack before the show. Are you gonna make it? Yeah? 18 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'll be able to make it, but 19 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:51,239 Speaker 2: I don't know. I've looked at the some of the 20 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 2: picks here on board and it's making me a little 21 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 2: bit more angrier. 22 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 1: Oh okay, all right, Andrew Rickson, what's your go to snack? 23 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: You're a very healthy guy, like your protein bar? Guy, 24 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 1: what are you doing these days? 25 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 3: Ap proachin bar is usually pretty easy to go to. 26 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 3: I like snacking on seeds or nuts or things like that. 27 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 3: Also a big fan of beef jerky. I don't know 28 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 3: you remember a couple of. 29 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 1: Years ago when we did have the sponsorship. Dude, I 30 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: ate so much jerky. I thought my cholesterol and your 31 00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: cholesterol and Soniyu budels are probably not great. 32 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 3: They were off the charts, but it was a cool 33 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:28,000 Speaker 3: three weeks where I would be every day. 34 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:29,959 Speaker 1: It was the cool three weeks of Ericson having the 35 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 1: meat sweats on every show. That's what it was. All right, 36 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: So we are here, Uh no sweating, We're We're just 37 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,040 Speaker 1: gonna go ahead, make these picks here and Terrell, let's 38 00:01:37,080 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: kick things off here with the London game. Here. We've 39 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 1: got the Jags and the Rams and you got got 40 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 1: some feelings about that. 41 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 2: Uh so that's not who's playing Joe, With all due 42 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: respect that it's not who playing It is the London Jags. 43 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 2: When you refer to them in this spot. They will 44 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 2: be the. 45 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: St the Jacksonville Jacks. Okay, the London Jags. 46 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: Okay, oh no, no, you just said the Jags, and 47 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 2: you need to say the full name. It's like him 48 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 2: name slack Back. You gotta say the full name. It 49 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 2: is the London Jags here because this is the Jags 50 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 2: in London. This is Trevor Lawrence in London. Four and 51 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 2: too straight up in London. Two and oh as a 52 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 2: dog four and two ats two and o acs like 53 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 2: he's been very good in this spot, especially as a dog. 54 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 2: You've got this Los Angeles Rams team who is coming 55 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 2: off of another straight road game. They went played at Baltimore. 56 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 2: They stayed at Baltimore, and we're practicing on Camden Yards 57 00:02:29,400 --> 00:02:31,959 Speaker 2: in Camden Yards baseball field, that's where they practiced that 58 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 2: they were even if you saw the picture of Matthew 59 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 2: Stafford throwing the football on the mound with his cleats on, 60 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 2: where the sign clearly says please do not have your 61 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:41,799 Speaker 2: cleats on the mound. This Rams team doesn't care about 62 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 2: anything right now. Hookahs down, They're going over to London. 63 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: They don't do this as often. Do you understand that 64 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 2: when Shrevor Lawrence and company go to London, they know 65 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 2: people by name by name, like they actually know I 66 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,679 Speaker 2: once a year go back to my college for homecoming 67 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: every year because it's a great homecoming, greatest homecoming on nerve, 68 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 2: as people would like to say. And I remember people 69 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 2: for that one time I see them every year. 70 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 4: The people in. 71 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 2: London remember the Jags every year because they're like, oh, 72 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 2: the Jags are in sound finally, this is a home 73 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 2: game they and they're a dog in this spot. 74 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 4: I love the. 75 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 2: Bounce back spot for this Jags team. I think that 76 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 2: they're gonna be very competitive in the game. I think 77 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to move the football on this 78 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 2: Rams defense. And I'm gonna be interested to see what 79 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 2: the Rams offense looks like minus Pooking the cool because 80 00:03:28,639 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 2: he was a huge part of the offense. Give me 81 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 2: the Jags plus three. This is the Jacks in London 82 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,639 Speaker 2: and London Jags no. 83 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: Way, all right, Ericson, You're on the other end of this, 84 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: and they've got not only Pooking a coup out, but 85 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 1: kind of a strange travel pattern. They're the latest team 86 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,680 Speaker 1: to arrive. I don't know if you've heard this in London. 87 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: They've been practicing at Camden Yards this week. Matthew Stafford 88 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: working off the mound a little bit, maybe getting some 89 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,680 Speaker 1: extra throws in there, because we all know he used 90 00:03:52,680 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: to play baseball with Clayton Kershaw. I remember everybody won't 91 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: hear that every single time those guys are out there. 92 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 1: But anyway, you're on the opposite end. So Turrell makes 93 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: a pretty strong case for the Jags. What's the case 94 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 1: for the Rams here? 95 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 3: Well, the Rams are road warriors, So pump up the 96 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 3: Jacksonville Jaguars home field advantage in London all day long, 97 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 3: because I want to pump up the Rams playing on 98 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:16,080 Speaker 3: the road, even though technically it's a neutral field setting. 99 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 3: Los Angeles under Matthew Stafford seih McVay best record since 100 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 3: twenty twenty three as road favorites eight and one against 101 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 3: the spread. Last week it was a struggle. They still 102 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 3: got it done. They still cover the more the touchdowns 103 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 3: spread on the road against Baltimore Ravens. They cover the 104 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 3: spread and tend or last eleven games as road favorites. 105 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 3: And when you look at the international games in the aggregate, 106 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 3: who usually wins and who usually covers the favorites. The 107 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,560 Speaker 3: favorites tend to dominate both against the spread and straight up, 108 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 3: so even if there is no Poka Naku again, I 109 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 3: don't expect him to play in this game. I think 110 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 3: this is a smash spot for Demante Adams. I think 111 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 3: this is the reason why they went out and got 112 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 3: him as another receiver. You know, Puka gets banged up 113 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,800 Speaker 3: just the way that he plays so aggressively throwing his 114 00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:01,640 Speaker 3: body around. So I think Adams against Jacksonville. They've loved 115 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 3: the most fantasy points per game to perimeter wide receivers 116 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 3: this season, so they've been good in the slot. DeVante 117 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 3: has been cooking out on the outside. I think this 118 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 3: is a matchup that he can win. So I'm going 119 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 3: to be backing the team with the better quarterback, who 120 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:15,559 Speaker 3: is Matthew Stafford, the guy that makes more big time throws. 121 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence is sixth then turnover worthy plays this season, 122 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 3: so I think he's more likely to turn the ball 123 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,280 Speaker 3: over and the Jaguars thirty first in penalties, So when 124 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:25,599 Speaker 3: push comes to shove in a field goal game, I'm 125 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:28,040 Speaker 3: going to go with a better head coach, quarterback combination 126 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 3: and a team that can bring the heat with pressure. 127 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence was pressured on fifty percent of his dropbacks 128 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 3: last week. Jared Vers coming to town. Let's go light 129 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 3: it up, give me the rams, all right. 130 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: So the guys on opposite ends, we'll see next week 131 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 1: who was right. Let's go to the Minnesota Vikings and 132 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles are a little struggle bus lately here. 133 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: Could they get back on track here in Minnesota? Throw? Yeah? 134 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: This is typically what they do. They go and they 135 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 2: lose a game, and then they lose the other game, 136 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:58,360 Speaker 2: as I have said, and they did to the New 137 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 2: York Giants. And then now here we are where they 138 00:06:01,480 --> 00:06:03,479 Speaker 2: come back and they get back right and things begin 139 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:05,919 Speaker 2: to flow again. They go and they have their little 140 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: cryptic meetings and Jalen Hurts has this cryptic talking and 141 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 2: all of that, and then they go and they put 142 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: something out there on the field. And ultimately with this 143 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:16,040 Speaker 2: Vikings team, I'm either betting or in JJ, or on 144 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 2: betting on Carson Wentz. And if Fitz Carson Wentz, I 145 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,359 Speaker 2: feel so much better about this, by the way, But 146 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 2: if it's JJ, he's still coming off with the injury 147 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 2: where we really don't know what he looks like with 148 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 2: the ankle, they still are even questioning if he's even 149 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 2: going to play this week. So it tells me he's 150 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,039 Speaker 2: not one hundred percent going into this game. So we 151 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:35,480 Speaker 2: have the question mark set the quarterback with if Carson 152 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:37,039 Speaker 2: Wentz is going to actually be able to get this 153 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:40,239 Speaker 2: done in this spot or if JJ is actually healthy. 154 00:06:40,279 --> 00:06:43,039 Speaker 2: And then you have this Eagles team and this offense 155 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,040 Speaker 2: that I think is really really looking for a get 156 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 2: right spot. It wasn't going to happen against New York Giants. 157 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 2: They have an opportunity here. I think that there's a 158 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 2: chance where they can run on this Minnesota Vikings defense 159 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 2: with Saekuan move football a little bit, and then we'll 160 00:06:54,520 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 2: see Jalen Hurst just has to be decent. Like I'm 161 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 2: not expecting him to go out here and throw around 162 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:00,320 Speaker 2: the world. But if he goes out out there and 163 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 2: he's decent, he can get the big play to Devon 164 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 2: says Smith on the outside and then be able to 165 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 2: get a lot of PPR and receptions over there to 166 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 2: aj Brown. I think they'll be perfectly fine. So Eagles 167 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 2: are down, but I don't think they're down enough where 168 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:13,680 Speaker 2: theyre going to lose to the Vikings here. I like 169 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 2: the Eagles to be able to. 170 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: Win, all right. The last thing to beat the Eagles 171 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: was the New York Football Giants, so they played really 172 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: well at home. But of course Jackson dartn not traveling 173 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: on the road Denver Bronco is probably the best defense 174 00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,120 Speaker 1: right now in the NFL. I think people have a 175 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: tough time arguing against that. So the Giants are seven 176 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: point underdogs on the road against the Broncos. That feels 177 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: right to me. I know I'm betting pros though you 178 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: can still find six and a half. That's why you're 179 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: using the VP app everybody. So let's talk about this 180 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 1: number here in the Broncos. I guess the question is, ericson, 181 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 1: do you believe enough here? Nippo Knicks can shake the 182 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 1: dust off because obviously last week against the Jets was 183 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: not exactly an exciting offensive output with the thirteen points 184 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: they put on the board. 185 00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 3: No, it was not. The Broncos really struggled to run 186 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 3: the football effectively against the New York Jets. I don't 187 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 3: think they'll have that kind of issue against the New 188 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 3: York Giants, who will have one of the worst run 189 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 3: defenses in the NFL, especially playing at home and not 190 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 3: a neutral field. So I'm expecting the run game to 191 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 3: kind of get things going. That sets up to play 192 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 3: action and that makes life much easier for Sean Payne 193 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 3: and Boon Nicks to run their offense that they want 194 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,720 Speaker 3: to do. So I'm expecting a bounce back effort from 195 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 3: the Broncos offensively bone Nicks. Historically, he's been a strong 196 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 3: bet as a home favorite, and the trends are you 197 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 3: want to bet against rookie quarterbacks on the road. There 198 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 3: is the reason why Jackson Dart is two and oh 199 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 3: straight up against the spread at home and own one 200 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 3: on the road. It's because it's much tougher for these 201 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,719 Speaker 3: quarterbacks to play up to a higher level when they're 202 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:40,400 Speaker 3: playing in tough circumstances. Playing in New Orleans is a 203 00:08:40,440 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 3: tough place to play. 204 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 1: It's loud. 205 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 3: Playing at Denver on the road, it's a really tough 206 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 3: place to play, just as cam Ward. It's not a 207 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 3: fun place to play. 208 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:48,880 Speaker 1: So I like. 209 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 3: Backing the Broncos here, even with the touchdown point spread. 210 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 3: They've covered in five of the last seven games against 211 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 3: teams that have a losing record, and if you look 212 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,680 Speaker 3: at the New York Giants since twenty twenty three after 213 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,679 Speaker 3: a win massive letdown spot three five and one against 214 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,440 Speaker 3: the spread. We saw it just a couple of weeks 215 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 3: ago when they beat the Chargers. Jackson Dart is here, 216 00:09:08,559 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 3: he has arrived. They lose against the Saints because Jackson 217 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 3: Dar's turned the ball over. Camp Scautab has turned the 218 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,199 Speaker 3: ball over. So although they seem inevitable between Jackson Dark 219 00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 3: Camp Scattabo, that may not be the case in Denver 220 00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: in a much tougher matchup against the defense that's gonna 221 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:23,920 Speaker 3: have most of its main pieces, not like the Eagles, 222 00:09:24,000 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 3: who didn't have Quenyon Mitchell, didn't have Dalen Carter. I 223 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 3: think they help the Giants a lot their win. 224 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, Well, I mean it's not untracked. 225 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: I'm spitting facts. 226 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 2: Well, first of all, First of all, first of all, 227 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 2: Quinnon Mitchell left the game Earth, Yes he did. We 228 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,640 Speaker 2: didn't have elite neighbors. Nobody wants to say that part. 229 00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 2: We were going out there. Lil Jordan Humphrey was on 230 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 2: the couch on the couch prior to and went out 231 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 2: there and cooked them. So, I mean, you know I'm 232 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 2: gonna say is there was some backing of the Browns 233 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 2: last week coming from London and that didn't go well. 234 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:03,120 Speaker 2: So you're hitting your pitsburs Steelers minus five and a half. Erickson, 235 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna say, Broncos coming back from London, it's 236 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:07,199 Speaker 2: not a great spot. 237 00:10:08,320 --> 00:10:11,079 Speaker 1: That's fair assessment. You know, we'll see again. I think 238 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 1: the defense can can carry this team, but we shall see. 239 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: You hangover in London sometimes is a real deal. Here. 240 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,880 Speaker 1: Let's talk about our sponsor, hard Rock Bet. 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Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eighty 273 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it in Indiana. If you are something 274 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 1: you who know as a gambling problem and wants help, 275 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: call one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem 276 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 1: called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 277 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:56,200 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to number three here on our list, 278 00:11:56,280 --> 00:12:00,480 Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboy It looks like 279 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: we're getting mclormb back for this game. Still a little 280 00:12:02,200 --> 00:12:04,320 Speaker 1: uncertain about the Deebo health. So what does that mean 281 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,079 Speaker 1: for the Commander's team total here, which is twenty seven 282 00:12:07,120 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 1: and a half? 283 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,840 Speaker 2: Take the over going against Cowboys defense. It's horrible, simple enough, 284 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: don't have to talk about it anymore. In fact, if 285 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,440 Speaker 2: this wasn't content, I'd probably stop talking about it now 286 00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 2: and say let's go on to the next thing, because 287 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 2: it's that easy. But you're looking at Dallas Cowboys defense, 288 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,600 Speaker 2: and they allowed their opponent to go over the team 289 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:26,199 Speaker 2: total in four of their five games this season, including 290 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:31,680 Speaker 2: the Carolina Panthers at thirty points last week. Come on now, like, 291 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 2: what are we talking about? Is there even anything to 292 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 2: really talk about? Cowboys can't stop the run. They're allowing 293 00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:40,520 Speaker 2: anybody and everybody to run through wherever. I think that 294 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 2: we could go send Joe's football team out there. 295 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:46,680 Speaker 4: And they could probably run the football. 296 00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: Away and your practice last so, like you know, I'm 297 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 1: just saying. 298 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 2: And I am positive that they would be ready to go, 299 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 2: and you're telling me that I only have to get 300 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 2: four touchdowns on this Cowboys defense, the defense that I 301 00:12:57,840 --> 00:13:00,560 Speaker 2: think is very capable of giving up thirty tore We 302 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 2: have Jalen Daniels who is looking to have a good 303 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,719 Speaker 2: game after one could say he was the reason they 304 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 2: lost that game to the Bears, like we could very 305 00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 2: much say it. First of all, I like to say 306 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:15,079 Speaker 2: the NFC should be very very very scared going forward 307 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 2: after what was happened last week. But with that all 308 00:13:18,280 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 2: that being said, Dallas Cowboys deference is still no more 309 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 2: and I think they are really really missing Michael Parsons. 310 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 2: There's nothing. They have no move, they have no play, 311 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 2: they have nothing to get back here and Terry McLaurin 312 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 2: is possibly back for the game. I love the points 313 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:36,839 Speaker 2: here love the points. Yeah, Dak may be able to 314 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 2: keep them in the game, and if they win this game, 315 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 2: it's only going to be because Dak was able to 316 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 2: throw and put up forty points on the board by himself. 317 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:45,160 Speaker 2: But I liked the at least the Commanders regardless of 318 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: what happens when loucadraw to put up twenty eight points, 319 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 2: give me the Commanders over twenty seven and a half. 320 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,640 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Andrew Erickson for pick number 321 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:54,839 Speaker 1: three in week seven, and we're gonna stick with you 322 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: because we're thinking the same game for pick number four. 323 00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 1: So lead us through the rabbit hole for the Rounds 324 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 1: Dolphins game. I can't wait to hear this. 325 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,400 Speaker 3: Oh, this is my favorite game on the Sunday Slate. 326 00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: We bet you're the only human being who will say 327 00:14:07,679 --> 00:14:08,160 Speaker 1: those words. 328 00:14:08,160 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 5: I don't care. 329 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:10,680 Speaker 3: It's gonna be a lot of fun for me because 330 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:12,920 Speaker 3: we're gonna make money. So the first bet is the 331 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:15,840 Speaker 3: under at forty and a half. I can't believe that 332 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 3: we have a Cleveland Browns home game that has a 333 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 3: total that doesn't start with a three, Like that's number 334 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 3: one here. This should be thirty eight and a half, 335 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,400 Speaker 3: thirty nine, A half should be nowhere near forty and 336 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 3: a half points. These games are going to go under. 337 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 3: The Browns defense basically turns into the eighty five Bears defense. 338 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: Will they play at home? 339 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 3: They played two home games this season against Joe Burrow again, 340 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 3: a Bengals offense that actually had their starting quarterback and 341 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 3: Jordan Love. They covered both games and they gave up 342 00:14:40,800 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 3: second in terms of the fewest yards allowed at home 343 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:46,200 Speaker 3: this season, third and fewest points allowed. And again against 344 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 3: two good offenses between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Green 345 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 3: Bay Packers. The Browns are six and five over their 346 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:54,800 Speaker 3: last eleven games as home underdogs. Straight up, they play 347 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:58,479 Speaker 3: really well at home. They're a completely different defense, significantly 348 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 3: better both against the run and the pass. So I 349 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 3: really like the Browns defense to show a big here 350 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 3: and stifle a Miami Dolphins offense that has already gone 351 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 3: through a lot of ups and downs this season. You 352 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 3: have two of calling out his teammates about not showing 353 00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 3: up to these player only meetings. How's that going to 354 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 3: reflect on the field, Like, are we expecting, oh, hunky Dot, worry, 355 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 3: everything's back, the offense is cooking. I don't think that's 356 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 3: going to be the scenario here. So considering the Dolphins, 357 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 3: they're on a streak of five straight overs. I think 358 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 3: this is kind of where regression comes to the mean 359 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 3: and the streak ends. Because nine of the dolphins last 360 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 3: thirteen road games have actually gone under the total polans line, 361 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 3: So Dolphins don't score nearly as much as they're playing 362 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 3: on the road. And Brown's home games are homes to 363 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 3: the under fourteen to five at home towards the under. 364 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 3: Since the start of twenty twenty three, eight of the 365 00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:45,960 Speaker 3: last eleven Browns home games have gone under the total 366 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 3: points line. So I'm taking the under here, and then 367 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 3: when it comes to the sides, I think you guys 368 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 3: know where I'm leaning here. 369 00:15:52,520 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 1: I like the Browns a lot in this. I think 370 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: you've shown your hand, but I'm just, you know, just 371 00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 1: a little bit. 372 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 3: I do like the Cleveland Browns here laying two and 373 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 3: a half. We've been betting against the Browns last two weeks. 374 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 3: I bet ag it's still and Gabriel been two to oh. 375 00:16:06,440 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 3: But now I'm changing my course a course of action 376 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 3: here because they're playing at home for the first time, 377 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:14,320 Speaker 3: and we look at rookie quarterbacks making their first starts 378 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:17,200 Speaker 3: at home. This is according to Viison, this is one 379 00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 3: of the most profitable spots to bet on. We've seen 380 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 3: it with Jackson Dart. He's been really fantastic as a 381 00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 3: home quarterback this season, going two to oh straight up. 382 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:27,280 Speaker 3: When you look at since the start of the twenty 383 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 3: twenty season, rookie starting quarterbacks at home forty one and 384 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,600 Speaker 3: eleven straight up thirty eight thirteen and one against spread. 385 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 3: That's seventy five percent hit rate for rookie quarterbacks starting 386 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 3: at home. So Cleveland Browns, I don't remember the last 387 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 3: time they actually were favorites at home. This is a 388 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 3: very rare occurrence for this team. But in a game 389 00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 3: where Miles Garrett feels like he can actually win for ones, 390 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,080 Speaker 3: I think that this is going to be a Browns 391 00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 3: all the way type of matchup. So give me the 392 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,800 Speaker 3: Browns in a lower scoring game. I think they win 393 00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 3: handedly though, And it me if the Browns do the 394 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 3: majority of scoring in this game and they're the reason 395 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 3: why the total may goes over not because of the 396 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 3: Dolphins offense. 397 00:17:07,480 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: Well, so if the Dolphins lose to the Browns, do 398 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:15,240 Speaker 1: we see Mike McDaniel with his walking papers Monday? I'm 399 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: asking for a friend. 400 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 3: I think it's I think it's very possible. 401 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 2: That's kind of that's that's kind of like rock moll 402 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,439 Speaker 2: because everybody keeps forgetting how we got here in the 403 00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:25,159 Speaker 2: first place. 404 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 6: It's because he wonted Brian Flores to tank. Mike McDaniel's 405 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:34,680 Speaker 6: doing his job right now. He's literally doing his job. 406 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:36,439 Speaker 6: He's not he's lasting the whole season. 407 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:38,439 Speaker 1: I guess week twelve it is. You're right, Torell, We'll 408 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 1: get the week twelve. 409 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 2: When they win a game, he's gonna get fired. 410 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 4: Next time they win a game, immediately fire. 411 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: When did they play the Jets again? Let's talk about 412 00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers and Arizona Cardinals. This one's in Arizona. 413 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 1: But it doesn't look like we're gonna have Kyler Murray 414 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 1: for this week. So Jacoby Brissette is back under center again. Uh, 415 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 1: but what is that mean for this game? Here? Terrell 416 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: feels like you're excited about this one. Let's tell the kids. 417 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,639 Speaker 2: Why Why would I not be excited to take a 418 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 2: quarterback that has covered this line in fifteen of his 419 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 2: last nineteen starts. 420 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 1: Wow? Really, wow, that is a stunning statistic. 421 00:18:16,840 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 3: Kobe doesn't get has covered a touchdown in fifteen of 422 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 3: his last night sets. 423 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 1: Hey man, I'm rolling them over Gino in a super 424 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:30,400 Speaker 1: flex league this week. I got QB issues, So I'm there. 425 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a good Packers defense in theory. 426 00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 4: I mean, it doesn't matter what. 427 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 1: Their secondary is not that good, but the secondary is 428 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:37,959 Speaker 1: not good. No pass Russ good the secondary. 429 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:39,960 Speaker 2: So first of all, let's talk about the Packers overall, 430 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 2: because question mark, are the Packers even good overall? 431 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 4: Like, are they even good? 432 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: They're good? 433 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:45,919 Speaker 4: No, no, no, no no no no no no no 434 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 4: no not. 435 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,240 Speaker 2: So let's just good with the lower to get the 436 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 2: past few games. Unlet's see if they're good because they 437 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,399 Speaker 2: hung in there and I mean really really hung in 438 00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 2: there with the Cincinnati Bengals last week. 439 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: They probably should have been multiple scores. 440 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 4: What did you watch the game? Did you think that 441 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 4: they did you think that you watched now? 442 00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:06,879 Speaker 1: Did you think when you watched the game? Did you 443 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: think that they. 444 00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 4: Were really really far beyond a better? 445 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: They did not think that they were going to lose 446 00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 1: that game. But I also didn't think they were mine. 447 00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,399 Speaker 2: They didn't play good, they didn't look good. They just 448 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 2: were playing a horrible team. Let's go back to the 449 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,159 Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys, where somehow you forty forty tied with the 450 00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,960 Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys. You're telling me that this defense that you 451 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:28,360 Speaker 2: are so predicated, so happy about with and still gave 452 00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,880 Speaker 2: up forty points, forty points is forty points. They don't 453 00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,399 Speaker 2: regardless of who you give it to. Forty points up 454 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 2: to the Dallas Cowboys defense. And then they lost to 455 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 2: the Browns, the Browns that you were just talking about. 456 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,439 Speaker 4: And they're on the road here in the spot. 457 00:19:40,560 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 2: And they're on the road here in this spot playing 458 00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 2: an Arizona Cardinals defense that is actually pretty solid. 459 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 4: Are they going to give out their share of plays? 460 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 3: Yes? 461 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 4: Sure. Is Jacoby Brissett going to make his share mistakes? 462 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:51,639 Speaker 4: Yes sure? 463 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,879 Speaker 2: But guess what. The Cardinals have played a one score 464 00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,320 Speaker 2: game in the last six games. They could send you 465 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 2: to lose one score game. They're either losing them or 466 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 2: they winning them. But they're playing one score game. So 467 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:05,199 Speaker 2: I'm not afraid of taking this Cardinals team. It just 468 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 2: seems like this Packers team is just a little bit overvalued. 469 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,199 Speaker 2: There's something they need to figure out. Jordan Love has 470 00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 2: been horrible, and I mean horrible at playing under pressure 471 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 2: this season, and that's what this Cardinals defense can be 472 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 2: able to do. They find different ways to be able 473 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,919 Speaker 2: to generate pressure and throw the quarterback off. So if 474 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:25,160 Speaker 2: you're telling me that you get a Jordan Love, that's 475 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,840 Speaker 2: gonna more than likely throw interceptions when you get pressure 476 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 2: on them, and you're gonna give the ball back to 477 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 2: this Cardinals offense, which I think is gonna happen, and 478 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 2: maybe even a defensive touchdown in this game, because it 479 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 2: feels like this is gonna be the spot where they route. 480 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 2: The defense rallies up and says, hey, we're gonna do 481 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 2: everything we can make this easier on the offense than 482 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,879 Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissett. Yet again, and then yet again, I do 483 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 2: I have to say, at fifteen of his last nineteen games, 484 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 2: Jacoby Brissett has captain within a touchdown. Yes, I am 485 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 2: taking the Cardinals plus six and a half. Here sprinkle 486 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 2: on the money line. 487 00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:57,479 Speaker 1: Oh look at you, Look at you get real sassy 488 00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 1: on that one. All right. If you want more picks 489 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,440 Speaker 1: and inside to make sure you go to our Discord 490 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,119 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun, and 491 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,199 Speaker 1: again our expert handicappers are there to help you with 492 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:10,920 Speaker 1: MLB NFL. You've also got the basketball is back, Hockey's back. 493 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,360 Speaker 1: It's all here, and it's all on our discord. So 494 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:15,360 Speaker 1: go ahead and check us out over again on our 495 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,280 Speaker 1: discord bettingpros dot Com slash chat. All right, last one 496 00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 1: for the week, we'll do upset special and then we'll 497 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 1: give you the parlay of the week as well. So 498 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:26,639 Speaker 1: let's talk about Monday Night football, gentlemen. We've got Baker 499 00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:30,640 Speaker 1: Mayfield as an underdog. We're hoping to get Mike Evins. 500 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: We're probably not having a mecha egg Buka, so that 501 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 1: makes us on a little tricky going into the Lions. 502 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 1: Then the line's coming off a tough loss to the 503 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: Chiefs here at home, I assume we're looking at overs. 504 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,880 Speaker 1: I don't want to make any assumptions here, So Andrew, 505 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: why don't you lead us here first down the path 506 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,280 Speaker 1: Monday night Football with your favorite bet. 507 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 4: Where's this game being paid for? 508 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 1: It is in Detroit, my friend. So do you like 509 00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,400 Speaker 1: the over more or do you like the Baker Mayfield 510 00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 1: upset special always? Because that's what he does. Already like 511 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: him both together. That's the real question. 512 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 3: That's so That's the thing, right when you first open 513 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:05,199 Speaker 3: up the slight, you thinking, all right, Baker Mayfield five 514 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 3: and a half point under dog, cage slam me, slam 515 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 3: the Bucks right like like that's like the easier player 516 00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 3: to make, like the one thing that's pushing me against this. 517 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,399 Speaker 3: It's because the Lions against the spread are something that 518 00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:18,119 Speaker 3: you have to take very very much into consideration against 519 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,240 Speaker 3: every other type of trend because they're the best team 520 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 3: against the spread since Dan Campbell's basically been there, and 521 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,760 Speaker 3: their lights out after they lose a game. Eleven straight 522 00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:29,840 Speaker 3: covers after a loss for the Detroit Lions, and that's 523 00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 3: even amplified more when they're playing at home. So I 524 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 3: expect both bounce back performances are not really a bounce 525 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 3: back for the Buccaneers, but a high level performance from 526 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield in the Bucks and from the Lions, which 527 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:43,360 Speaker 3: is why I just want to bet the game total over. 528 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:44,919 Speaker 3: I don't want to sweat the sides here because I 529 00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 3: think that both sides are going to perform at a 530 00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 3: high level, specifically on the offensive sides of the football, 531 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 3: because I mean, who's left in these defensive secondaries. I mean, 532 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 3: Brian Branch like he's the one guy that's left and 533 00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:57,919 Speaker 3: he gets suspended. 534 00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 1: After the game. 535 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 3: You're reus just stoopid, it's stupid, stupid, And because the 536 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:06,359 Speaker 3: Lions significantly here, So I just like the game total 537 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,520 Speaker 3: overt fifty two and a half. I really want to 538 00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:10,200 Speaker 3: find a bet where I can bet this game has 539 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 3: more points than the Commanders and Cowboys, because I bet 540 00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:14,639 Speaker 3: you can get that at plus money because right now 541 00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 3: it has a smaller total than that game does. So 542 00:23:17,359 --> 00:23:19,400 Speaker 3: that's a fun bet that I'm looking for to maybe 543 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,480 Speaker 3: trying to wager on a little bit, But for me, 544 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:22,920 Speaker 3: it's just betting on the over. 545 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:23,160 Speaker 1: Again. 546 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:25,879 Speaker 3: You look at the Lions last thirty one home games. 547 00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 3: The average total in those games has been fifty six points. 548 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 3: Of those games have gone for at least fifty one 549 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 3: or more. Seven the Lions last nine games, his favorites 550 00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:39,320 Speaker 3: have gone over the total twelve less eighteen home games 551 00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 3: have gone over the total. Each of the Buccaneers last 552 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:45,199 Speaker 3: four games has also gone and he guesses over the total. 553 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:46,200 Speaker 3: So give me the over. 554 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,399 Speaker 1: There you go, all right? So, Torell, how do you 555 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 1: want to approach Monday night football in this one? With 556 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: so many juicy trends? That we talked about all the 557 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 1: time with Baker Mayfield with the Lions. So where are 558 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 1: you going on this one? 559 00:23:57,000 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of had the same angle as Eric's 560 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:04,200 Speaker 2: in here. Baker Mayfield one in five in the last 561 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,240 Speaker 2: six primetime games that he had, so that was really 562 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 2: really nerve wracking to me. But I ended up still 563 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 2: taking Bucks team total over That's how I played it. 564 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 2: I didn't even worry about the Lions side of the ball. 565 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:16,880 Speaker 2: And I'll say why I didn't worry about the Lions 566 00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 2: side the ball. Add everything Ericson said to the over 567 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:23,400 Speaker 2: Briant branch. You had Terry and Arnold out or DJ Reid, 568 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,960 Speaker 2: all these pieces in the secondary out. I think Baker's 569 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,400 Speaker 2: gonna carve them up because the offensive line is gonna 570 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 2: give him time, and Baker has time, he's gonna make 571 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,199 Speaker 2: the right read. He's got the places might see Mike 572 00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 2: Evans all of that. But on the Lions side of the ball, 573 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,680 Speaker 2: I'm really concerned about the run game when they run 574 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 2: the football. The Lions, this team is really really good, 575 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,479 Speaker 2: and you do not run on the Tampa Bay Bucks 576 00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:46,480 Speaker 2: like they are one of the best run defenses, not 577 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:50,359 Speaker 2: just this year but over the past three seasons, Videveya 578 00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:52,719 Speaker 2: and those guys do not give up a lot on 579 00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: the ground, and that makes a lot of teams one 580 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,400 Speaker 2: dimensional and a lot of teams can't get past that. Now, 581 00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 2: Jered Goff might be able to be able to throw 582 00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 2: the football and able still put up points. But just 583 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 2: because of that, and because of the impact that I 584 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 2: think the Tampa Bay Bucks are going to have on 585 00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 2: the run game in this game, I didn't want the 586 00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 2: Lion's side of this. So I'm just going to trust 587 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,400 Speaker 2: MVP Baker and Baker just go out there and put 588 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,480 Speaker 2: up points against this soft secondary right now. Without Brian 589 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,760 Speaker 2: Branch as well, I just can't see the Detroit Lions 590 00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 2: getting to stop here on Baker on Monday Night Football. 591 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:23,680 Speaker 2: So I like team total over twenty one half. 592 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:25,600 Speaker 1: It should be a very entertaining game. But I think 593 00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:27,440 Speaker 1: the fact that they are so good up front Tampa 594 00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,480 Speaker 1: is why I give them a shot for this win 595 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,399 Speaker 1: and certainly the cover as well. At the very least, 596 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,719 Speaker 1: I still think Baker Mayfield is just feeling it right now. 597 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:36,679 Speaker 1: I think the Bucks are feeling it. I think they 598 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,399 Speaker 1: feel invincible. I think they are the best team in 599 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 1: the NFC. I've already bet them to win the NFC, 600 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,280 Speaker 1: And I talked last week on the show when we're 601 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 1: talking about Upset Special, like about losing the battle and 602 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 1: winning the war last week, right, I said, Look, maybe 603 00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,920 Speaker 1: I'm going to be wrong here about the forty nine 604 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,160 Speaker 1: ers winning this football game. But if I'm right, then 605 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 1: my Baker Mayfield MVP bet is going to shrink a lot. 606 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,800 Speaker 1: My Baker Mayfield MVP bet was plus nine to fifty 607 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 1: and now it's plus three fifty. So I lost a battle. 608 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: I kind of feel like I'm winning the war right 609 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 1: now on that one. So we'll see. This would be 610 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,480 Speaker 1: another huge feather in his cap too. If he goes 611 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:09,240 Speaker 1: to Detroit and wins, it's gonna be minus money. 612 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 5: Folks. 613 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 1: I got news for you, especially after that Josh Allen 614 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 1: Monday Night football performance. He will be at the top 615 00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 1: of the board. He will be plus one hundred or 616 00:26:14,880 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: minus one hundred somewhere around there a potonio right now, 617 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:19,480 Speaker 1: So get ready. It's gonna be a good time. But 618 00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:22,439 Speaker 1: that was last week. It's a new week. Upset Special 619 00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 1: time two and four in the air, So let's see 620 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: if we can get up there a little closer to 621 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:28,879 Speaker 1: five hundred. There's a line out there that I just 622 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: think is straight up wrong. I think the Indianapolis Colts 623 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:34,679 Speaker 1: right now are playing better football than the Chargers. I'm 624 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 1: just gonna come out there and say it. Look, the 625 00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:40,080 Speaker 1: Chargers beat Miami, and I am not super impressed by 626 00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,320 Speaker 1: beating Miami. Like it doesn't ring the bell for me. 627 00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,120 Speaker 1: They've got offensive line injuries all over the place. They've 628 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,080 Speaker 1: got running back issues all over the place. I know 629 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 1: if I now look good, but again, that was the 630 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts right now. Look, the best player 631 00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 1: on this field is a good chance his name is 632 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:56,720 Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor. And the way the offensive line is played 633 00:26:56,760 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 1: for the Colts too, they are just ripping holes. It's 634 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: basically two to one for Jonathan Taylor scored multiple touchdowns 635 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: in a game. Things have gotten really crazy. The defense 636 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: has played better for the Colts to lou An Romo's 637 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:08,840 Speaker 1: did a really good job with that group. I think 638 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,439 Speaker 1: Indianapolis straight up finds a way to win. And we 639 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 1: always talk about how the Chargers don't have a home 640 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,680 Speaker 1: field advantage, So why not take advantage of that lack 641 00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,280 Speaker 1: of advantage? Here? Give me the Colts plus one eighteen 642 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:20,159 Speaker 1: straight up on the money line for the upset special 643 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,680 Speaker 1: of the week. And let's talk about parlays. I got 644 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: to hit one eventually. Even broken clock is right twice 645 00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 1: a day. I wish I was right twice this season 646 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 1: on these, but I just can't get a w But 647 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 1: let's right again. Then we might as well at this point. 648 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,360 Speaker 1: But we're having fun. This is this show's about having 649 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: a little good time here the parlays, Like, look like 650 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,720 Speaker 1: I got the Bijon Robinson parlay last week, right, we 651 00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:48,360 Speaker 1: Bejon Robinson over total yardage and the touchdown that came 652 00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,679 Speaker 1: in about ten seconds on Monday night. So you know, 653 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 1: some of these are good. But you know, for the 654 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,919 Speaker 1: sake of bits and segments here in the show, you know, 655 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,159 Speaker 1: I try to put together three leg parlays and three 656 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 1: leag parlays are the fruits of the devil. That's what 657 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,480 Speaker 1: they are. But we're gonna see if we can pay 658 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: the devil this week. So plus six thirty eight that's 659 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,400 Speaker 1: the number here. Give me the over for the team 660 00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:12,720 Speaker 1: total for the Dallas Cowboys, Ceedee Lamb hopefully returning here 661 00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half. I don't see how these 662 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 1: teams are both on in the thirties by the time 663 00:28:16,560 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 1: we shut this one down. Give me the Patriots minus 664 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,760 Speaker 1: seven to handle their business now normally. Normally, dead Coach 665 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: Bounce is something I'm very much into. However, dead Coach 666 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:28,919 Speaker 1: Bounce is running into Mike rabel revenge game, and I 667 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 1: just think the will of that is going to be 668 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,960 Speaker 1: far too strong here. Mike Rabel's going in to Tennessee 669 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,639 Speaker 1: to put an as kickin on this team and the 670 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,200 Speaker 1: team that fired him here, and I think this seven 671 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:41,560 Speaker 1: is very safe. I think this one could even get ugly. 672 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,520 Speaker 1: Drake Megas playing out of his mind and they couldn't 673 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: even figure out who they wanted to take over for Tennessee. 674 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 1: It took up a good Usually you have somebody fired 675 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 1: to you anounced right away he's taken over. There was 676 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 1: a big little gap there, and I'm going, what are 677 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,960 Speaker 1: we doing here, Tennessee? What the hell's happening? And then 678 00:28:56,240 --> 00:28:58,400 Speaker 1: give me the Carolina Panthers, even though it's on the 679 00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 1: road to beat the Jets, to get Garrett Wilson for 680 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,800 Speaker 1: this game, the Jets are just imploding. It's getting worse 681 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,000 Speaker 1: and worse. No, I don't think they can beat the 682 00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,720 Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, and I think Rico Dowbtle has given the 683 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:12,000 Speaker 1: Panthers this new dynamic that Chuba Hubber just wasn't quite 684 00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,480 Speaker 1: giving them. So whether Tuba plays or not, I think 685 00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 1: Rico is the special sauce here for the Carolina Panthers 686 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 1: who are starting to believe a little bit in the process, 687 00:29:20,560 --> 00:29:23,120 Speaker 1: and that's dangerous. And the only thing that the Jets 688 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 1: believe is they are going to have the number one 689 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,000 Speaker 1: pick in the NFL Draft. That's where we are. So again, 690 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 1: Dallas team total over twenty seven and a half. Give 691 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 1: me the Jets to lose to the Panthers minus one 692 00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 1: and a half and the Ingle Patriots minus seven to 693 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: cover against the terrible, awful, no good Tennessee Titans. That 694 00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 1: gets you to plus six thirty eight. But what's your 695 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:43,200 Speaker 1: favorite bets of the week? Drop them below let us know, 696 00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,720 Speaker 1: and of course subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. 697 00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:47,320 Speaker 1: That'll do for us. But the story of the game 698 00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 1: goes on for Terrell and Andrew Ericson. I'm Joey p. 699 00:29:50,920 --> 00:29:51,800 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. 700 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 3: Kids. 701 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,920 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 702 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 5: love the show, the best Freeway. To support us is 703 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 704 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 705 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 706 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros