1 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up, 2 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: Drake Fire, Fam, It's me Jason McIntyre. Straight Fire for Friday, 3 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,079 Speaker 1: October sixth I told you were we were in for 4 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,960 Speaker 1: a banger on Thursday Night Football, and the Chicago Bears delivered. 5 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: How about that cover? And just for good extra whatever 6 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:32,839 Speaker 1: that is good extra, whatever that is. I told you 7 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: guys on the Herd, I said, the Chicago Bears. I 8 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: put some on the money line. It was a late 9 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 1: Thursday morning edition. I'm like, you know, let me just 10 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 1: put some on the money line. And the Bears jump 11 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: out touchdown on the first drive, field goal touchdout. I 12 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: mean seventeen to three before you could bat, and I 13 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: twenty seven three at the half. The Bears end a 14 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: fourteen game losing streak. They had lost every game this season, 15 00:00:55,680 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: the last ten last year. If I were to ask 16 00:00:58,240 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: you when was the last time the Bears won a game, 17 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: I would remember it. Nobody else would. It was when 18 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 1: they defeated the Patriots on Monday Night Football. And the 19 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 1: reason I remember that is because I had the Patriots 20 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: in my Survivor league. It knocked me out and I 21 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 1: was very very upset. You guys could probably remember that podcast. 22 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:15,679 Speaker 1: We do have a lot of new listeners here on 23 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: the podcast this season. Let's just say I haven't been 24 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:20,960 Speaker 1: a huge Bears fan, but they did come through big time. 25 00:01:21,160 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: And I'll say this, we can bang on Justin Fields. 26 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: He's got slow eyes. He can't read the defense. Justin 27 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: Fields with seven touchdown passes in the last two weeks. 28 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 1: I mean he had four touchdown passes last night, three 29 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: against the Broncos. He is wait for it, tied for 30 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 1: the NFL lead in touchdown passes. Yes, he does have 31 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 1: one more game than everyone else. And all of a sudden, 32 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 1: it's like, you know, if you hadn't watched any football, 33 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: you're a big college football fan, you love fields at 34 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: a high state, and you just checked him out. You're like, well, 35 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: what's the problem Fields? He looked great. Now, I will 36 00:01:55,600 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 1: say this, the Washington Commanders they look comelely lost. I 37 00:02:00,680 --> 00:02:04,320 Speaker 1: mean DJ Moore caught eight passes for two hundred and 38 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: thirty yards, three touchdowns. He had a final one in 39 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: the final minutes that just killed me. I'm facing him 40 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: in fantasy of course. He scored fifty some odd points. 41 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: I'm in trouble. Listen that's the DJ Moore we expected 42 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: coming into the season. That was the Bears we thought 43 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: we would see. And I know some people are gonna say, listen, 44 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: this was all about the Dick Butkus passing. The Bears 45 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: of course announced, you know, a couple hours before the 46 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: game that Dick Butkus, the legendary linebacker, had passed away, 47 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,359 Speaker 1: and a lot of people going, oh, they doing it 48 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: for butt GISs stop Like, okay, we told you guys 49 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: that the Commanders played an overtime, exhausting game against the 50 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: Eagles on Sunday, a divisional matchup, huge implications. They could 51 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 1: have won it. Riverboat Ron, We're gonna start calling him 52 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 1: like robot Ron refused to go for the two pointer 53 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: at the end. They lose in overtime. Teams that play 54 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 1: on Thursday night after playing an overtime game on Sunday 55 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: historically have been awful. And just add them to the ledger. 56 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:02,920 Speaker 1: They were tossed in the wood chip or this game 57 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: was over. I mean we're talking twenty seven to three. 58 00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:08,320 Speaker 1: It fell over. Washington did get the ball down thirty 59 00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: twenty two with a chance. It felt like they maybe 60 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: the window was a jar to possibly get close and 61 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:17,920 Speaker 1: they ultimately could not end up pulling that off. The 62 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: Bears end up pulling away with the late Dj Moore touchdown. 63 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 1: Matt Eberflus can sleep easy. Okay, Justin Fields has to 64 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:25,800 Speaker 1: feel pretty good about himself. The Bears get a couple 65 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 1: extra days off and listen, I'm not gonna pretend they've 66 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 1: got a shot at making a run at the playoffs. 67 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: But it is nice when you could see a young 68 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: quarterback like Justin Fields have a big, big, impressive showing 69 00:03:37,920 --> 00:03:40,160 Speaker 1: on an island game. You guys know what these island 70 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 1: games do. Okay, Sunday night was the last stand for 71 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. If he didn't show up, it felt like, 72 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: I'm not even kidding, no, cap it was done for him. Okay, 73 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 1: he showed up Monday night. Daniel Jones for whatever reason, 74 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: third time prime time performance of the season. He has 75 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 1: basically pooped his pants in all of them. And it 76 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: looked like it's over for Daniel Jones. And now it's like, 77 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 1: do the Giants draft to quarterback? I dropped the mock 78 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: draft on Fox Sports this week, and I have the 79 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: Giants going quarterback in the top ten and a couple 80 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 1: Jabebroni's no way the Giants are going hold up. Really, 81 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: these island games can really wreck havoc on young quarterbacks, 82 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: and I'm happy for Justin Fields. Now, the other side 83 00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:23,680 Speaker 1: of the coin, Rob, is what do you do with 84 00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: Sam Howell? This is staggering. Fifty one pass attempts, understandable 85 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: because they were behind the entire game from the jump. 86 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 1: Sacked five times. He's now been sacked twenty nine times 87 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: this season. But of those fifty one pass attempts, you're like, oh, 88 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:37,919 Speaker 1: he was probably going heavy the Terry McLaurin, You know, 89 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:42,480 Speaker 1: Terry McLaurin so good. Terry McLaurin had five targets. This 90 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: is a Bears secondary that literally pulled guys off practice 91 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 1: squads from other teams here in the last couple of 92 00:04:48,040 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: weeks and thrust them into action. And Terry McLaurin had 93 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: five targets. Now, listen, be enemy, you know's bienemy didn't 94 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: catch a lot of heat in this one. Everybody moves 95 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: the football against the Bears, you know, everybody. And Sam 96 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: Howell needed like an entire half. The enemy needed an 97 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 1: entire half. Kind of a bad look for the enemy 98 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 1: and Howell, I don't know what to make of howel 99 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: he's down alternated bad in the opener against Arizona, good 100 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:19,039 Speaker 1: in the Denver game, bad against Buffalo, really good against 101 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: the Eagles last week, and now bad. So I don't know, 102 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: he's inconsistent. Forget about him. I think Ron Rivera's days 103 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: are probably numbered in Washington. This is a bad, bad look. 104 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,679 Speaker 1: Washington does not get a lot of primetime games, and 105 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 1: you know, the new ownership's probably like, our team was 106 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,679 Speaker 1: not prepared to face the Bears, the zero to four Bears, 107 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: who were slated to draft number one in twenty twenty 108 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: four draft, and our defense no showed so a lot 109 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 1: of questions about that Washington team. They showed good fight 110 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 1: against the Eagles and then just totally lay a massive egg. 111 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:53,480 Speaker 1: I'll say this one last word, Robin Justin Fields. So 112 00:05:53,880 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: you see forty points and you're like, oh, well, how 113 00:05:55,880 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 1: many defensive touchdowns? Oh? H none? Wait? Really? Where if 114 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 1: you've had some touchdowns? And you're like, okay, so how 115 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: did the Bears get all these points? Like it must 116 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 1: have been Fields slinging the ball around the playground. Not 117 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:18,720 Speaker 1: so fast, my friend. Okay, Justin Fields completed fifteen passes. Okay, 118 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: here's the kicker. This is the stat that I love. 119 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: Three guys for the Chicago Bears caught passes, that's it. 120 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: DJ Woard caught eight and two tight ends caught passes, 121 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: that's it. No dump offs, running backs. Mooney had a 122 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: chance at a touchdown. That's it. Now, that is a 123 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 1: bizarre stat line, right, forty points and you complete pass 124 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,159 Speaker 1: this to three different guys. Very strange game for Chicago. 125 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: I think this was more rob about Washington being just 126 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 1: completely flat and then it was Chicago's back or anything 127 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:50,880 Speaker 1: like that. 128 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, one thousand percent. I mean one of the the 129 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 2: fun facts that you see on Twitter in the you know, 130 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:58,560 Speaker 2: wee hours of the morning is the information is kind 131 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 2: of trickling in the Washington Commanders dropped back to pass 132 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 2: fifty five straight times without a design run call from 133 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 2: the midway through this second quarter at the end of 134 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,600 Speaker 2: the game. That is the most by a team in 135 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 2: a game in PFF history. So, you know, shout out 136 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:18,560 Speaker 2: to Sam Howe for getting those throws off and Eric 137 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 2: b and we've recalling his ass off. I mean, I 138 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 2: don't know if it wasn't successful, but you know, when 139 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 2: you get a call fifty five straight pass play it's 140 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 2: like every gamer's like fantasy, Like I don't get run 141 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 2: the ball at all. I can just call pass play 142 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 2: at all. Game This is great. But to your point, yes, 143 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 2: as much as you want to get excited for Justin 144 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 2: Field and Matt Eberflus, who I'm sure we're at halftime, 145 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 2: we're like Caleb who, like we don't need this guy, 146 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 2: Like we're next, We got this, don't worry about it. 147 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 2: This game, to me, at least, was more about the 148 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 2: ineptitude of the Commander's defense than anything that Chicago did. 149 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 2: Now credit to Justin Fields. He hit the open man 150 00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 2: and he was doing enough to make the plays happen. 151 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: But according to ESPN Next Year Stats, two hundred and 152 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 2: twenty one of two hundred and thirty Dj moore receiving 153 00:08:06,080 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 2: yards came on hitches and go routes, so two of 154 00:08:11,480 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 2: the most basic routes you can run in your route tree. 155 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 2: Both of the touchdowns are two long touchdowns on go routes. 156 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 2: One on a hitch was the last one which almost 157 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,320 Speaker 2: got intercepted, but it was great catch by Dj Moore. 158 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 2: A total of one hundred and forty three yards after catch, 159 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:33,199 Speaker 2: including this is the kicker plus eighty three yards after 160 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,599 Speaker 2: catch over expected, which means from breaking down for the 161 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:42,479 Speaker 2: layman here that he wasn't like throwing into these windows 162 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 2: and DJ Moore's making a play. What's happening is he 163 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:51,120 Speaker 2: completes the pass and the commander's secondary was so bad 164 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: at tackling that they gave up an additional eighty yards 165 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 2: after catch. Then then what would be reasonably expected, including 166 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 2: the last one and where it was like a forty 167 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 2: eight yards, you know, further than what you would expect 168 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 2: a normal receiver to get. That kind of stuff is 169 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 2: awesome to work with in fantasy. I know I'm going 170 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:12,719 Speaker 2: against justin Fields. You're going against fields and DJ Moore 171 00:09:12,760 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 2: in your league this week. So it looks great on 172 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: the stat sheet, but this kind of stuff is not 173 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 2: sustainable what we saw in the last two weeks. Hate 174 00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 2: the poor cold water on the Bears fans right now. 175 00:09:24,760 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 2: Blown coverages in Denver that led to colk Comet getting 176 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 2: two wide open long touchdowns. Yeah, blown coverages and mistackles 177 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 2: last night in Washington. I know it feels good to 178 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:37,920 Speaker 2: say that I've thrown eight interceptions or eight touchdowns and 179 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,200 Speaker 2: one interception just to fields the last two weeks and 180 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 2: it's back in the span of five days, so it's 181 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 2: even crazier we think about it. But I don't know 182 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 2: if this is enough for me to get back on 183 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:52,320 Speaker 2: board with Justin Field and the Matt Eberflus pairing in Chicago. 184 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 2: I still don't think it's their long to be together. 185 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,439 Speaker 2: I imagine that at the end of the season, one 186 00:09:57,520 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 2: or both of them will be gone. And it feels 187 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 2: good now out to break the streak, but just pump 188 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:03,000 Speaker 2: the breaks a little bit. 189 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: Chicago football is back. No more preseason games. The regular 190 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 1: season is here. While we all love watching our favorite 191 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: teams on television, there is nothing better than being at 192 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: a game live and in person. And the best way 193 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:17,920 Speaker 1: to get tickets to any of these games is on 194 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 1: game Time, the fastest growing ticketing app in the US. 195 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 1: For last minute, amazing deals on tickets to see your 196 00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:28,720 Speaker 1: favorite football teams. This September, download game Time and it's 197 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 1: not just football. Game Time has tickets to baseball games, concerts, 198 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 1: and comedy shows across the country. Download the game Time 199 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 1: app and redeem code Jmack for twenty dollars off your 200 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:43,920 Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again. Download the game Time app 201 00:10:43,920 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: and enter code Jmack. That's Jmac for twenty dollars off. 202 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:50,840 Speaker 1: No matter where you live, get out and have some 203 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:54,319 Speaker 1: fun this week. Download game time today, last minute tickets, 204 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: lowest price guarantee. If they stay at the top, I 205 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 1: would agree, but no, they win a few games and 206 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 1: somebody goes deep south in Arizona. I know they're feiight, Steve, 207 00:11:04,440 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 1: but who knows what's gonna happen. Interesting thing, It's funny. 208 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 1: I had to look this up now. I couldn't find 209 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 1: out who was guarding DJ Moore most of the game, 210 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:15,559 Speaker 1: but I do know this. So Washington in the draft 211 00:11:16,080 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: needed a quarterback. Christian Gonzalez, the kid from Oregon was 212 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: starting to slide down draft boards and you're like, oh, 213 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: Washington will grab him. They need a quarterback. Washington took 214 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: the kid Forbes, I think out of Mississippi State. I 215 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 1: saw him playing last night. I don't know how much 216 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: he got cooked. I don't know the exact breakdown, but 217 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 1: they took Forbes over Gonzalez. Christian Gonzalez was showing out 218 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:41,319 Speaker 1: with the Patriots. I mean he was fantastic against Garrol Wilson, 219 00:11:41,400 --> 00:11:43,520 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill, like playing really well. He's now injured, down 220 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 1: for the season. But another blemish, Like if you're the 221 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: front office, you're like, Dedez, how the hell do we 222 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: take this guy? Forbes? He's out here getting cooked. And 223 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 1: a lot of it has to do sometimes with the defense, 224 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:56,320 Speaker 1: Like I think, is it who's the defensive coordinator for Washington, 225 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:57,440 Speaker 1: Rub can you look it up? I want to say 226 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: it's Jack del Rail Jack. Yes, Okay, it's Jack del 227 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 1: He's playing like this zone and it's like third down 228 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: and there it looked like they were just running straight 229 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 1: for Verts and it's like nobody takes DJ mood. He's 230 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,080 Speaker 1: wide opening the end zone, Like what is it? So? 231 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,560 Speaker 1: I think they took Forbes because they wanted to play 232 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: zone defense. So this is how you screw up a franchise, Right, Hey, 233 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 1: our defensive coordinator he liked zone defense. Forbes is a 234 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:24,559 Speaker 1: better zone corner than Gazales, So we gotta take Forbes. Like, no, 235 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: that's terrible football. You want to take the better player. 236 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,040 Speaker 1: Maybe you know what instead of saying my scheme is 237 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:32,920 Speaker 1: the scheme? I mean del Rio has been around the block, right, 238 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,319 Speaker 1: this is not his first rodeo. It's not like he's 239 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: some immortal coach that we're gonna draft to fit his keep. 240 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 1: We don't even know if he's gonna be there next year. 241 00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:42,600 Speaker 1: Washington can't get out of their own way. I know, 242 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: I totally cammered Daniel Jones this week, and I said 243 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: Sam Howell was a better quarterback than Daniel Jones. I'll 244 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,960 Speaker 1: say this, I trust Sam Howell Moore throwing fifty one 245 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 1: passes in Daniel Jones. We will I've got an extended 246 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 1: best bet this week, and I will touch on Daniel 247 00:12:56,960 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: Jones against the Dolphins. There's a chance Daniel Jones deems himself. 248 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 1: But rob short week. I looked up the temperature the 249 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 1: humidity on fields expected to be mid nineties in Miami. 250 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 1: Short week, Miami revenge spot after losing last week, you 251 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 1: think Daniel Jones is just some trouble. Maybe maybe we'll see, 252 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: but overall, yeah, I don't want to crush fields. I 253 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: like fields. Does that sound wrong to say? I mean, 254 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:24,120 Speaker 1: it's not that I didn't like him, but this it 255 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:26,520 Speaker 1: kind of reminds me of Jameis Winston, right number one 256 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 1: overall pick Ballyhood college career, and then he's like putting 257 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 1: up some numbers but not winning a lot and It's 258 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: like okay, and then like what do you do with 259 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 1: a guy like that? You end the for rookie deal 260 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:41,080 Speaker 1: and it's like is he a starter in this league? 261 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: Like maybe how many chances do you give him? And 262 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 1: the Bucks got lucky and we're able to bring in 263 00:13:45,720 --> 00:13:49,199 Speaker 1: Tom Brady. You know that worked out well. Jamis goes 264 00:13:49,240 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 1: to New Orleans. I think he was maybe the starter 265 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:54,680 Speaker 1: for like a couple of minutes, and then he was 266 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: injured and might have to go to the backup. I 267 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 1: forget exactly what happened, but you get your chance, right, Rob, 268 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:01,679 Speaker 1: like Jamis got he had several years in Tampa, and 269 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 1: you can argue about the OCS and YadA, YadA, YadA, 270 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 1: like ultimately, like you gotta stop blaming other people, and like, 271 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,640 Speaker 1: I like Fields, this is year. I believe three right, yeah, 272 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 1: third year because he's in that class with Zack Wilson 273 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: and Trey Lance. And it's like, I don't know, these 274 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: flashes of good are very good from Fields? Like who's 275 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,360 Speaker 1: shown you more? Rob? And I'm not just talking about 276 00:14:23,400 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: running around, but like justin Fields or Zach Wilson. 277 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 2: Oh, justin Fields. And I'll elaborate on that further, but 278 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 2: I saw this stat and I wanted to run it 279 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 2: by you because you brought up Emmanuel Forbes. Now, obviously 280 00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 2: not all the yards were against him, because there was some. 281 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 2: Actually last night he got benched midway through the third quarter. 282 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 2: I don't know if he saw that on the broadcast 283 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:43,000 Speaker 2: I did, but I did that last week against AJ 284 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:47,360 Speaker 2: Brown nine catches, one seventy five two touchdowns. DJ Moore 285 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 2: eight catches, two thirty three touchdowns. I believe Kirk Herbstreet 286 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: said on the broadcast, I wish what wrote it down 287 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 2: that last week between him, between AJ Brown and Devonte Smith, 288 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 2: Emmanuel Forbes had given him somewhere around a heard of 289 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 2: nine catches for one hundred and ninety yards. So, yeah, 290 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 2: this one's not working out too well for them right now. 291 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:10,720 Speaker 2: But going back to Justin, No, he's not. No, he's 292 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 2: not going Jason McIntyre, he's not. I think Jason mcnack 293 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 2: could at least hold him to eight for one fifty, 294 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 2: eight for one fifty, not maybe nine for one ninety. 295 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,720 Speaker 2: Just hold him. Just take the penalty at that point, 296 00:15:23,760 --> 00:15:28,000 Speaker 2: just take the penalty. No, But to Justin Fields, I 297 00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 2: believe in him too, Like I see the talent I 298 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:32,520 Speaker 2: see the arm talent. I mean that last through a 299 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 2: DJ more as much as said about the ear after catch. 300 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 2: That had to be a bullet at the exact right 301 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 2: spot or else it's it might be an interception, you 302 00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 2: know with the jump that the defender got on it 303 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 2: and he has athletics him to move around. He ran 304 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 2: for what eleven hundred yards last season, but he's just 305 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:52,160 Speaker 2: been done such a disservice by the Bears coaching staff. 306 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 2: I mean, get see and you go back to last season. 307 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,600 Speaker 2: Richard Sherman was saying, Thursday night game, you have a 308 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 2: mobile quarterback and you're telling him not to run, Like, 309 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 2: I don't understand it. What are you doing? It doesn't 310 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 2: make any sense. And it was right around this time 311 00:16:09,640 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 2: five or six when it took place. Sure enough, he 312 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 2: goes on a rampage the last you know, half of 313 00:16:14,440 --> 00:16:16,360 Speaker 2: the season. That's what people got so excited for the MVP. 314 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 2: Same thing this season. You got a quarterback who was 315 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 2: a dark horse MVP candidate by some people. Wasn't by me, 316 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:24,600 Speaker 2: but it was definitely out there that people were betting 317 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 2: on Justin Field's MVP. 318 00:16:27,240 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 1: They come in. 319 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 2: I think he had three carries in the first two 320 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 2: or three games or two games something like that. It 321 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 2: was something minuscule. It's like, what are you doing? Like, 322 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:40,360 Speaker 2: you're not putting this guy in the position to succeed, 323 00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 2: You're not accentuating what he does well. You're trying to 324 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 2: fit a square peg into a round hole. And it 325 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 2: doesn't make any sense. And to compound matters, Matty Refluch, 326 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,760 Speaker 2: who was supposed to be a defensive coach, is putting 327 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 2: out a defense that's giving up I think I've read 328 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 2: that it was like thirty three points a game over 329 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 2: the last fifteen coming to last night, and it had 330 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 2: been twenty five straight or twenty five minimum of twenty 331 00:17:06,240 --> 00:17:08,560 Speaker 2: five for the last thirteen. But I think the total 332 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 2: points per game with thirty three, and so nobody's gonna 333 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 2: win in that scenario. Patrick Mahomes is not gonna win 334 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:17,399 Speaker 2: your defense giving up thirty three points a game. And 335 00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 2: so until we see him in a situation that's going 336 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 2: to lean into what he does well, then I don't 337 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 2: know if we're ever gonna know if he's a franchise 338 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 2: quarterback or not. It's gonna be to be determined until then. 339 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:34,400 Speaker 2: And unfortunately, most guys don't get that opportunity. They're washed 340 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,679 Speaker 2: out before you ever really get that shot with a 341 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 2: second team. 342 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 1: It's really incredible. The whole idea of like what if 343 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan had taken justin fields instead of Trey Lance. 344 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,400 Speaker 1: I will never know. I just want to point out 345 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:49,400 Speaker 1: row before I get to the best bet. I did 346 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: look at the schedule for the Bears, So they get 347 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 1: extra time before going up against the Minnesota Vikings next weekend. 348 00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 1: That's at home, So they get justin Jefferson against these 349 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:06,200 Speaker 1: practice squad guys on the outdoors. Okay, I don't think 350 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 1: Minnesota is gonna be a huge favorite there. And by 351 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:10,280 Speaker 1: the way, Minnesota could get destroyed by Kansas City. We'll 352 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 1: see what happens after that. They play your Raiders also 353 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:18,760 Speaker 1: in Chicago. Again, the Vikings aren't good. I'm sorry, no disrespect. 354 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: The Raiders aren't good. What if you know, with this 355 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:26,480 Speaker 1: extra time, they get positive, they're able to ship playpool 356 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 1: out of town guys get healthy. By the kid Tevin Jenkins, 357 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,040 Speaker 1: the ligneman they got back, he looked good. What if 358 00:18:33,080 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 1: they somehow find a way to beat the Vikings in 359 00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:36,879 Speaker 1: a close game and they're able to take down the 360 00:18:36,920 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 1: Raiders both games are gonna be at least toss ups. 361 00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 1: Maybe the Vikings are two point favorites. I cannot have mad. 362 00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 1: They're playing poorly like fields facing two defenses where he 363 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 1: could shred. So now Rob, you go from zero to four, 364 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:53,119 Speaker 1: number one pick Caleb Williams to three and four. And 365 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: then we got Chargers, Saints Panthers ahead of us, and like, 366 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: Chargers I think are good, but we who knows with 367 00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: Herbert's finger Saints like, Okay, it's gonna be tough to 368 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:04,760 Speaker 1: win there, but that Saints offense doesn't scare anybody. The 369 00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 1: NFL is just so freaking crazy, like it's one win 370 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:10,920 Speaker 1: in primetime and I'm now looking at the Bear schedule 371 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 1: and thinking, can they get on the wildcard mix? You know? 372 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: Now's that going overboard? I'll say, I'm just gonna put 373 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: this out. They also faced the Cardinals in December, and 374 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:22,960 Speaker 1: I don't know if Kyler's coming back or where they're 375 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: gonna be. Falcons Packers don't look great as of right now. 376 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 1: Rest of the schedule, they do not face a team 377 00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: that has a winning record besides the Detroit Lions. Cleveland 378 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 1: Browns are two and two. Yeah, so like the schedule 379 00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:41,679 Speaker 1: is kind of favorable, rob Am, I talking out of 380 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: my rear end or. 381 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 2: What yes, you are talking out of your rear end, 382 00:19:44,960 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 2: and full disclosure. I said three rushing attempts first gain, 383 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:51,000 Speaker 2: it was thirteen, but the second game he only had four. 384 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:52,560 Speaker 2: And that's why his four character three yard that's what 385 00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:53,159 Speaker 2: I got confused. 386 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:55,920 Speaker 1: Well, some of those might have been scrambles versus like versus, 387 00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:58,360 Speaker 1: and you were right, yeah, exactly. Yeah. 388 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,440 Speaker 2: So yeah, you know you're getting way ahead of yourself 389 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 2: because before Sunday, because you know it's only been but 390 00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,120 Speaker 2: five days now, between the Week four and Week five 391 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 2: for them, justin Fields was averaging one hundred and seventy 392 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,159 Speaker 2: five pass yards a game, three touchdowns, four interceptions. I 393 00:20:14,359 --> 00:20:18,280 Speaker 2: call me crazy, but I tend to think that the 394 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:22,680 Speaker 2: Bears offense is closer to what we saw versus Packers 395 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:27,359 Speaker 2: Bucks Chiefs than what we've seen against Broncos Commanders. So 396 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 2: I think I would pump the brakes on the wild 397 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 2: card talk for now. 398 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,760 Speaker 1: Okay, so this is what's fun. This is what's so fun, 399 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 1: rob Okay, Chiefs, good defense, right, I mean, Zach didn't 400 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: get the win, it was all right, but like they, 401 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,800 Speaker 1: I mean they shut down Trevor Lawrence. Like the Chiefs 402 00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: have a good defense. We would agree the Bucks have 403 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 1: a pretty good defense. Eagles went up and down the 404 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 1: field but only had twenty five points like okay, and 405 00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: then he faced bad defenses and had success like I 406 00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: don't it's gonna sound crazy like some of these defenses 407 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 1: are coming up. I mean Raiders and Vikings. They're closer 408 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:05,520 Speaker 1: to Broncos and Commanders, are they. 409 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:07,760 Speaker 2: That's a good point. I don't know. 410 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 1: It's just NFL is so crazy, love it so much. 411 00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 1: All right, it's time. Let's get to best bets for 412 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: Week five. Breaking down the board. 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So 440 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:01,399 Speaker 1: I recorded the Best Bet a little earlier Thursday evening. 441 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:04,280 Speaker 1: In the audio quality not amazing. I don't think it's 442 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:05,920 Speaker 1: the end of the world, but Rob thinks I sound 443 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,800 Speaker 1: like I'm in a submarine. So I just want to 444 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: give you a heads up that it's not incredible. Hopefully 445 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 1: you can grin and bear it, piggyback the picks and 446 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 1: make some bank. The only thing better than sitting on 447 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 1: your couch watching the game. He's making money while you 448 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: do it. Here's your best bet, all right after cleaning 449 00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 1: up on Thursday night football. You'd love to see it. 450 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:31,840 Speaker 1: Great start to the week. The vibes are good heading 451 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 1: into week five. Week four was not good. First losing 452 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:35,639 Speaker 1: week of the season for me. And listen, I'm not 453 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 1: out here plumping my chest when I win. I'm not 454 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: out here too low when I lose. Never get too high, 455 00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 1: never get too low, you know the same. At any rate. 456 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 1: Gonna change it up a little bit this week and 457 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to try to go through every game, even 458 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 1: briefly on the card. I'll start with the London matchup. 459 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 1: Bill's jags. I did take a little bit of jag six. 460 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,199 Speaker 1: I took five and a half. I just think the 461 00:23:58,240 --> 00:24:02,159 Speaker 1: spot here screams Jacksonville getting the left tackle back is 462 00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,440 Speaker 1: real nice, and staying over in London all week is 463 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: pretty nice. You know, it's not nice beating the tar 464 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: out of the Dolphins. And then are you ready for 465 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 1: this hearing all week that you're the best team in 466 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 1: the league, and you your Super bowls are soaring and 467 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:19,199 Speaker 1: Josh Allen's the MVP and Buffalo's back you read your 468 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 1: plus press clip things. You then take the what is 469 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 1: an eight eight hour flight to London from Buffalo? 470 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 2: I don't know. 471 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:28,520 Speaker 1: I've never flown to Buffalo from Buffalo to London. And 472 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:30,680 Speaker 1: and then you face a Jacksonville team that listen, has 473 00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,959 Speaker 1: it played particularly good? Listen? I lost with Jacksonville two 474 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 1: weeks ago in Houston. I was scared to take him 475 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 1: against the Falcons. Bad read by me. They dominated the Falcons. 476 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,400 Speaker 1: The Tredavious White injury for Buffalo's big in the secondary, 477 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,159 Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence should be okay in the pocket and a 478 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 1: lot of time to throw. Yes, the Jacksonville secondary conserves me, 479 00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: but remember, nobody is as good or as bad as 480 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:56,080 Speaker 1: they were last week. Remember two weeks ago when the 481 00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,159 Speaker 1: Jacksonville secondary got torched by C. J. Stroud. They're not 482 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 1: that bad. You look at the grades for their quarterbacks 483 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,360 Speaker 1: on Pro Football Focus, Williams and the young kid from 484 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:10,120 Speaker 1: Georgia Campbell. They're good. Listen, nobody's gonna shut down Digs. 485 00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 1: But this feels to me like a spot where Jacksonville 486 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,400 Speaker 1: can hang. If you remember a couple of years ago, 487 00:25:16,840 --> 00:25:19,840 Speaker 1: there was an ugly, ugly game Buffalo went into Jacksonville. 488 00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 1: They were highly touted, and they end up losing like 489 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:25,639 Speaker 1: nine six. You guys, remember, I think Josh Allen sacked 490 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 1: Josh Allen like three times a wild game. Wacky things 491 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 1: happen in the NFL, guys, they do, so gimme Jacksonville. 492 00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:32,719 Speaker 1: I don't know if I'll have the stomach to take 493 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: in the contest because I don't want to wake up 494 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 1: out here on the West Coast Sunday. And then I 495 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:39,080 Speaker 1: look at the Halftimes score and I'm like, damn it, 496 00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 1: I lost money and Jacksonville's down twenty. I don't need that, 497 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 1: but I might. Well, we'll see, we'll see. I'm considering it. 498 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,040 Speaker 1: They're not in my top five right now after that, 499 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I confess I really really like the Atlanta 500 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: Falcons against the Texans. And you're gonna say, Jason, how 501 00:25:54,359 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 1: many times are you gonna go against the Texans? You know, 502 00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 1: you took Jacksonville two weeks ago, you took Pittsburgh last week. 503 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,560 Speaker 1: You do them back to the well again, you know. 504 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,520 Speaker 1: And I even wrote this one up for Fox Sports 505 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:08,800 Speaker 1: dot Com. They had me doing picks. This Atlanta team 506 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,959 Speaker 1: has looked futrid for two weeks on the road. They 507 00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:15,000 Speaker 1: have looked bad. At home, they looked okay. They kind 508 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,680 Speaker 1: of played with their food for a little bit against 509 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,520 Speaker 1: Bryce Young in the opener and then pulled away thanks 510 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 1: to Bryce Young turnovers. Then they needed a fourth quarter 511 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:24,199 Speaker 1: to come back against Jordan Love and the Packers. I 512 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: think about it this way. I like Arthur Smith a lot. 513 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,680 Speaker 1: And for whatever reason, Arthur Smith has faced San Francisco 514 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,679 Speaker 1: the last two years. Why does San Francisco matter? Well, 515 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 1: Jamiico Ryans from San Francisco sets up the defense with 516 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 1: the Texans the way San Francisco does slow it. The 517 00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: offensive coordinator from San Francisco. I even mentioned this last week. 518 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 1: It was a concern about for the Steelers, but I 519 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 1: clearly not big enough concern because I was a wedded 520 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,439 Speaker 1: to Pittsburgh and they got their doors blown off. That 521 00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:58,199 Speaker 1: being said, Okay, think about this. Atlanta has played well 522 00:26:58,240 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: against San Free in the last two years. They lost 523 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:01,439 Speaker 1: one and then they won the other one. Garoppolo at 524 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 1: a couple turnovers and Houston's gonna be feeling themselves. Okay, 525 00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:07,560 Speaker 1: two impressive wins. C J. Strouds on top of the world, 526 00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 1: hasn't had a turnover. Atlanta's secondary good. Atlanta at home, 527 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 1: They're gonna be juiced up Atlanta. I think. I look 528 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 1: at the injury reports, Atlanta totally clean. Everybody's healthy coming 529 00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:22,600 Speaker 1: back from London, and I'm sorry. I'm on Atlanta at one, 530 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,640 Speaker 1: one and a half, even two to obviously listen, Atlanta's 531 00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,120 Speaker 1: a field goal team. Smith is very conservative. I think 532 00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 1: Ritter is it safe to play? Say he's playing for 533 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:33,720 Speaker 1: his job. Taylor Heinike's waiting in the wings. I would 534 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 1: not mind to see Taylor Heinekey out there. He's making plays. 535 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,160 Speaker 1: Ritter seems a little cautious for my liking. I'm going 536 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 1: with Atlanta here, folks, we shall see back of me. 537 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,399 Speaker 1: If you want what do they say, fade or follow? 538 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,239 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's a tough one of stomach going 539 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,479 Speaker 1: against Houston, which has look good the last couple of weeks. 540 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:56,479 Speaker 1: Next up Eagles is an afternoon game. Bengals. Oh, now 541 00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,960 Speaker 1: that's an afternoon game as well. Damn, what are the 542 00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 1: other morning games? Oh? Detroit Lions by ten against Carolina. 543 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:05,879 Speaker 1: I can't help myself. I don't know if I'll take 544 00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: the Lions in the contest. Atlanta, by the way, definitely 545 00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,359 Speaker 1: a play. I just look at this Lions team and 546 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:13,560 Speaker 1: I'm like, all right, should Jared Goff and Dan Campbe 547 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,159 Speaker 1: will be favored by ten over anybody. And then you 548 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,119 Speaker 1: look at Carolina and you're like, holy cam Carolina couldn't 549 00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:23,600 Speaker 1: do anything with Bryce Young last week against the Vikings defense, 550 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 1: no offensive touchdowns. Two weeks ago, Andy Dalton made mince 551 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,440 Speaker 1: meat of the Seahawks. The week before that, Bryce Young 552 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 1: nothing against the Saints. The week before that, Bryce Young 553 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 1: nothing against the Falcons. So with Andy Dalton, they moved 554 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: the football and they look pretty sharp. With Bryce Young, 555 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 1: they don't look good at all. So Bryce Young is 556 00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:47,160 Speaker 1: in line to start here. Detroit has a good defensive line. 557 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 1: I talked me off Detroit is it's just ten too 558 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:52,560 Speaker 1: much and you want to take a dog and maybe 559 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,840 Speaker 1: they call off the dogs. I don't know. The Kirk 560 00:28:55,880 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: Cousins looked okay last week against this Carolina team and home, 561 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 1: and I remember Geno Smith in the Seattle run game, 562 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 1: like Carolina's kind of beat up again. I'm leary of 563 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:11,320 Speaker 1: backing Detroit at a big number, but this team just 564 00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 1: might be better than I thought. They smashed screen Bak 565 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,280 Speaker 1: when they're going out in the hammering teams, It's like, Okay, 566 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: do you guys have something going on? Let me just 567 00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:21,280 Speaker 1: double check one thing. Who do they have next week? 568 00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 1: Next week they have Tampa and not a look ahead 569 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 1: then Baltimore. Huh, so they have extra time to prepare 570 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: for a Carolina team that's kind of sort of reeling. 571 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:35,560 Speaker 1: Might be now the worst team in football? You know, 572 00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,200 Speaker 1: let me just double check the Carolina injury report because 573 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 1: I don't know. Something tells me that eventually they're gonna 574 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 1: play well, right or is this team just so rotten 575 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 1: they put out this report that they're desperate looking looking 576 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,880 Speaker 1: for a number one receiver. It's like, oh yeah, no, no, 577 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 1: poop Sherlock. It looks like some of their guys are 578 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 1: back at practice. But Frankie Luvu, who's very good, he's 579 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:05,560 Speaker 1: to watch Lions. The kid Branch is the rookie at 580 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: Alabama who's playing great Amara Saint Brown. Oh, neither of 581 00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:10,760 Speaker 1: them practiced. I don't know. I already bet. I already 582 00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: bet the Lions. I don't know if I'll put him 583 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 1: in the contest. It is a big number. Big number 584 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,480 Speaker 1: is always risky in the NFL, especially with a team 585 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 1: like that. Other early games Tennessee, Indy. I wanted to 586 00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 1: take Tennessee, but I feel like everybody in their mom 587 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:27,520 Speaker 1: is going to be backing the Titans on the road 588 00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:29,840 Speaker 1: just because they beat the Bengals. Titans have done nothing 589 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:33,520 Speaker 1: on the road this season. At home, they're good. Vrabel 590 00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,360 Speaker 1: has done well against Indy historically. I think he's won 591 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: five straight. Shane Steichen, Anthony Richardson. Looks like Jonathan Taylor 592 00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 1: is going to play. There is some issues with the 593 00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 1: Colts defensive line. I guess if you had a play, 594 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:47,920 Speaker 1: you would go Tennessee. 595 00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 2: For me. 596 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:50,920 Speaker 1: Tennessee your past, but probably not going to make the card. 597 00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: Saints Patriots is interesting. Patriots so desperate they traded for 598 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 1: j C. Jackson this week. J C. Jackson a total 599 00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:01,480 Speaker 1: tire fire with the Chargers. Now he has has looked 600 00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:04,800 Speaker 1: fairly good during his Patriots stays, which is putting it mildly. 601 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 1: But with no Gonzales, new Judoon, no Judon. There's a 602 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:12,840 Speaker 1: big game, especially for the Saints, who just total let down. 603 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 1: The offense could do nothing. I would say this is 604 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:18,240 Speaker 1: a big Taysom Hill game and Kamara on the ground, 605 00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:21,240 Speaker 1: But where was that last week against the Bucks? I mean, 606 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: New Orleans has to Pete Carmichael. Oh see, like we're 607 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:25,840 Speaker 1: talking about coaches in trouble. Pete Carmichael put him on 608 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 1: the list. He has not been great. I'm on the 609 00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,959 Speaker 1: Saints here. I know Belichick off a big loss, but 610 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,920 Speaker 1: I just I don't see it with mac Jones, I 611 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,560 Speaker 1: don't see the talent. New England's defense should show well here. 612 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 1: If anything, the Saints will make my card. I'm I'm 613 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,400 Speaker 1: not touching. I'm not touching the Patriots here. Baltimore, Pittsburgh. 614 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:47,000 Speaker 1: I don't know, guys. I just I don't think I 615 00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:48,800 Speaker 1: can do it. I don't think I can I can 616 00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,680 Speaker 1: back Pittsburgh, And you know what that is that's the 617 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,240 Speaker 1: that's the play. But can you back can you pick 618 00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:58,280 Speaker 1: at at like seventy five percent against a Ravens team 619 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,000 Speaker 1: that's playing great? Now the key numbers in this one, 620 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: and again, I'm not gonna hit you with all these 621 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: trends and browbeat you with them. That's what everybody does. 622 00:32:06,560 --> 00:32:09,760 Speaker 1: And trust me, trends are not predictive. Okay, they're just not. 623 00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: We've had a lot of guys on here trends. You 624 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 1: look at him, you take him in, got it. The 625 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 1: key here for this one is the line when this 626 00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: is at five and a half, I think this was 627 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 1: five and a half, five and five and a half Ravens. 628 00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 1: You start thinking about this series and anytime these two 629 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 1: teams face, it's usually somebody wins by three. Right. That 630 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 1: being said, ta who remember he runs that website. I 631 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:33,040 Speaker 1: know some of you guys signed up for it because 632 00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,160 Speaker 1: he told me you did, which is good, always looking 633 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 1: to support guys. He had an interesting nugget that Lamar 634 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 1: Jackson hasn't faced the Steelers in a few years, so 635 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 1: all these close games in the series are like Tyrone 636 00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 1: Hunt Lee and whoever. The backups are very weird. Now 637 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,440 Speaker 1: you face Lamar Jackson, whose team is getting healthier, especially 638 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:55,880 Speaker 1: on defense and the offensive line. Now, this is a 639 00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,440 Speaker 1: great spot for Mike Tomlin, big big underdog at home. 640 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,080 Speaker 1: I think the golden rule in the series is anytime 641 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 1: the spread is bigger than three, bet the underdog, and 642 00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,880 Speaker 1: it's okay to put some money on it. But for me, 643 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:09,400 Speaker 1: the contest matters more than you know, a few hundred bucks. 644 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,160 Speaker 1: I would love to cash a million dollar contest. Chance 645 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 1: of that happening very slim, especially with an eight and 646 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:19,160 Speaker 1: twelve start just vomit worthy. So ultimately I probably will 647 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:23,080 Speaker 1: end up betting on Pittsburgh, but I don't I just 648 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 1: don't know if I could do it for the contest 649 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 1: that is. Oh, no, Giants, Miami. Listen, go look at 650 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,200 Speaker 1: the New York Giants injury report, folks. It looks like 651 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:35,440 Speaker 1: three offensive line will miss the game because two of 652 00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: them got hurt on the brotherly shove that they tried. 653 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 1: Andrew Thomas looks like he's gonna miss again. Listen, this 654 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,520 Speaker 1: is a tough one double digit favorites. I know, I 655 00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:47,719 Speaker 1: sounded like I like to Detroit and I barely survived 656 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 1: sanfraying against Arizona last week. But how can you not 657 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,480 Speaker 1: like the Dolphins here? Dolphins coming off a bad loss. 658 00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: I looked at the weather. It's gonna be I think 659 00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,719 Speaker 1: the weather on hard Rock Stadium weather report said feels 660 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,240 Speaker 1: like ninety five degrees estimated. So now you've got a 661 00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: New York Giants team on a short week. Their quarterback 662 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:10,799 Speaker 1: got sacked ten times, They've got injuries galore. You're telling 663 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:14,399 Speaker 1: me you don't think the Dolphins are the side here. Now, 664 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:16,480 Speaker 1: maybe Daniel Jones has a lot of success against a 665 00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,880 Speaker 1: bad defense. He did come through the back door against 666 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:22,319 Speaker 1: Arizona and didn't get the cover, but they got to 667 00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 1: win with a monster second half. Problem is Miami ain't 668 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,719 Speaker 1: gonna stop scoring and the Giants aren't stopped them. So 669 00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:30,839 Speaker 1: I know it's not gonna be popular, but I have 670 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 1: bet the Dolphins here. I bet him at ten and 671 00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,719 Speaker 1: ten and a half at eleven. I'm sorry, this is 672 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: probably dumb bet. Dumb money. Go ahead, bashed me the 673 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,840 Speaker 1: perceived sharp soil set. Come on, Giants are pass Jason 674 00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:43,960 Speaker 1: no way again, you look at the matchups. What does 675 00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:46,680 Speaker 1: wing Martin Dale do? He blitzes his head off. Okay, 676 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,560 Speaker 1: what is Twoad do? Just destroys the blitz. Look on 677 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,600 Speaker 1: the outside, they've got one rookie cornerback and then adri Jackson, 678 00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:56,399 Speaker 1: who is just so overrated. What are Tyree kilim Wato 679 00:34:56,480 --> 00:34:58,759 Speaker 1: gonna do. Who's gonna stop those guys? If Wings blitz it, 680 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't see it. We'll see, but 681 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 1: Miami for sure is a bet for me afternoon games. 682 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 1: I am on Cincinnati as a three point favor. I 683 00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:12,560 Speaker 1: wasn't able to get it too because anytime it dipped 684 00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:14,080 Speaker 1: down to two and a half or sorry, two and 685 00:35:14,120 --> 00:35:17,680 Speaker 1: a half, instantly the guys in Vegas, you know, they're 686 00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:19,640 Speaker 1: just sitting on a computer all day. Boom, hit it 687 00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:24,080 Speaker 1: back to three. Boom, hit it back to three. Listen, 688 00:35:24,760 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: there's really no compelling argument that I can make that 689 00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:31,239 Speaker 1: the Bengals are the side here other than this. A 690 00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,880 Speaker 1: month ago, Cincinnati was supposed to be a Super Bowl contender, 691 00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:38,280 Speaker 1: and on the look ahead, I believe this was seven 692 00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:43,840 Speaker 1: and a half. And Cincinnati is by all accounts a 693 00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:47,239 Speaker 1: good team. They have a fantastic defensive coordinator, and Arizona 694 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,279 Speaker 1: a month ago was one of the worst teams in 695 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:54,560 Speaker 1: the league, headed toward disaster, probably tanking, and now they 696 00:35:54,600 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 1: are a cover machine, and everybody loves them against Cincinnati. 697 00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:05,080 Speaker 1: Everybody loves a public underdog. I don't. You can't get 698 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:06,880 Speaker 1: me to bet Arizona year, and I know Dobbs has 699 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:11,160 Speaker 1: showed out I can't do it. So for me, it's Bengals, 700 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 1: and sadly, I'm gonna probably have them in the contest. 701 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,239 Speaker 1: I know Burrow doesn't have time to throw. I know 702 00:36:16,280 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 1: t Higgins has banged up Cincinnati guys. That's the only 703 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,840 Speaker 1: that's the only play on that one. For me, I'm 704 00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 1: on the Eagles at four. I'm surprised that came in 705 00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 1: this low. One interesting thing that I've started to look at. 706 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:30,760 Speaker 1: If you go back and listen to turn off discussion 707 00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:33,759 Speaker 1: last week, familiarity was a big one that we talked about. 708 00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:37,920 Speaker 1: We drilled down. He liked that. I'm gonna just say this. 709 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:43,160 Speaker 1: A week ago, the Rams faced Shane Steikin and Nicoles. Okay, 710 00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 1: Shane Steichen was where last year in Philadelphia with Jalen Hurts. 711 00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:50,280 Speaker 1: Now he has a running quarterback in Anthony Richardson familiarity, 712 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,919 Speaker 1: So the Rams have seen this attack, they'll be ready. Well, 713 00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,840 Speaker 1: the Eagles are kind of sort of aware of that obviously. 714 00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, You guys did a good job bottling up 715 00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:01,800 Speaker 1: Richardson for a half half, and then Richardson exploded. Adjustments 716 00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,200 Speaker 1: were made and Richardson and company stormed back second half. 717 00:37:05,400 --> 00:37:08,360 Speaker 1: Look at that the the Rams are forced to go 718 00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:12,520 Speaker 1: to overtime. I think Philly's gonna be ready. They did 719 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:14,839 Speaker 1: not look particularly sharp against Washington. I don't buy the 720 00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:18,560 Speaker 1: Eagles secondary at all right now. It's very bad. And 721 00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:21,959 Speaker 1: my concern would be that this Rams team doesn't stop playing, 722 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:24,400 Speaker 1: It doesn't stop chucking. Stafford came in the back door 723 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: against the Niners. He came in the back door for 724 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:28,480 Speaker 1: the push against the Bengals. They just they won't stop. 725 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,080 Speaker 1: This is what stops him. Matt Stafford's hit. He was 726 00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 1: injured in that Colts game, didn't come out, didn't miss 727 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,120 Speaker 1: a play, but all week he's been giving interviews about it, 728 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: how banged up he was, how barely he barely finished 729 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:43,120 Speaker 1: the game. It's like, okay, well, their offensive line stinks 730 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,440 Speaker 1: and they get pushed around and the Philadelphia Eagles Jalen 731 00:37:46,480 --> 00:37:49,200 Speaker 1: Carter is the number one graded out defensive tackle in 732 00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:50,960 Speaker 1: the league right now, ahead of Aaron Donald, ahead of 733 00:37:51,000 --> 00:37:54,839 Speaker 1: Quinn Williams, ahead of Chris Jones like he's dominant. So 734 00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:56,960 Speaker 1: now you're talking about a Philly defensive line that's going 735 00:37:57,000 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 1: to put pressure on Stafford. I don't know. I think 736 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 1: this good. Sixty sixty five percent Eagles fans. It's so 737 00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:04,480 Speaker 1: fi I got, I got a side with the Eagles. Here, 738 00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:08,680 Speaker 1: guys at four, I think that's the play. Jets Broncos. 739 00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna sidestep this one only because you know, 740 00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,080 Speaker 1: I'm a huge Jets fan and they're desperate to win 741 00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:18,520 Speaker 1: this game. I think Hackett empties the bag. But you 742 00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:20,480 Speaker 1: know Zach Wilson really gonna do what he just did. 743 00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:24,160 Speaker 1: Oh he's facing Vance Joseph. Why can't he have success? Well, 744 00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:26,719 Speaker 1: maybe because he's not good. Nobody's as good or as 745 00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:28,440 Speaker 1: bad as they were last week. I don't know. I 746 00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 1: probably should take the Jets, but I'm not going to 747 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:34,920 Speaker 1: Chiefs Vikings. You could not talk me into the Minnesota 748 00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:36,560 Speaker 1: Vikings here. I know a lot of people bet them 749 00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:38,960 Speaker 1: down from five to or be it was like six 750 00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: and now it's a five. I think there was some 751 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 1: fours flashing. Bengals don't cover big spreads. Again, this is 752 00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:49,800 Speaker 1: another tendencies thing guys all Floores does is blitz Minnesota 753 00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,920 Speaker 1: has blitzed fifty seven percent of the time, number one 754 00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:54,640 Speaker 1: in the league by a mile. But guess what when 755 00:38:54,680 --> 00:38:57,840 Speaker 1: it comes to pressure rate, I believe they're twenty seventh 756 00:38:57,840 --> 00:38:59,960 Speaker 1: in the league. So they're blitzing and they're not getting home. 757 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 1: What does that mean? Their defensive backs are left all 758 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:06,240 Speaker 1: alone and they're getting lit up. I mean, justin Herbert 759 00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:09,719 Speaker 1: was he was unbelievable against him. Even last week, Bryce 760 00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:11,759 Speaker 1: Young had a little bit of success. He wasn't great, 761 00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:13,319 Speaker 1: but he had a little bit of success. They didn't 762 00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,000 Speaker 1: find the end zone, but he was. Okay, he's not good. 763 00:39:15,000 --> 00:39:18,319 Speaker 1: What's Patrick Mahome's gotta do? Guys, come on now. I 764 00:39:18,320 --> 00:39:22,719 Speaker 1: know his receivers aren't what Herbert has, but Philadelphia which 765 00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:25,000 Speaker 1: looked eh, and then in week two they come out 766 00:39:25,000 --> 00:39:27,239 Speaker 1: and Jalen hurts his chucking. Oh that's the jail. It hurts. 767 00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:29,839 Speaker 1: We know, Okay, I got it. I'm just saying, if 768 00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:34,760 Speaker 1: Flores continues blitzing, Mahomes is gonna go bonkers. This feels 769 00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,239 Speaker 1: like three hundred and fifty yards five touchdowns. The only 770 00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:40,239 Speaker 1: question is is case gonna stop anybody? And that's the 771 00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,600 Speaker 1: only problem. I don't know that they are. They let 772 00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:45,200 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson go up and down the field last week, 773 00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:47,359 Speaker 1: and if let's say, at thirty five to ten late 774 00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:50,760 Speaker 1: third quarter, Casey says, oh, we got a game against 775 00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:55,239 Speaker 1: Denver on Thursday night, important divisional game. It's a Jets 776 00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,799 Speaker 1: be Denver. Hey, maybe we just maybe put the death 777 00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:01,160 Speaker 1: blow to Peyton and Wilson and they start rustling guys. 778 00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:02,920 Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe they start rusting guys for the 779 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:05,560 Speaker 1: Denver game if you're up by twenty eight points, and 780 00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:08,760 Speaker 1: what is Kirk Cousins remember against the Eagles, just keeps chucking, 781 00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,759 Speaker 1: keeps chucking. So there is a world that they're playing 782 00:40:11,800 --> 00:40:14,759 Speaker 1: at home. I don't know, home field advantage, which isn't 783 00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:16,880 Speaker 1: worth as much as it used to be. But is 784 00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,680 Speaker 1: there a world where Kirk and Justin Jefferson and the 785 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,600 Speaker 1: kid Jordan Addison and they just chuck and chuck and chuck, 786 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:25,160 Speaker 1: and next thing you know, thirty five to ten turns 787 00:40:25,160 --> 00:40:28,160 Speaker 1: into thirty eight thirty five Chiefs win, and don't cover that. 788 00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:29,719 Speaker 1: I get totally see that, and I would be so 789 00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,000 Speaker 1: ticked because I've gotten burned on some of those back 790 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:33,920 Speaker 1: doors this year. I would likely still be on the 791 00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:36,279 Speaker 1: Chiefs and then Niners. Cowboys not gonna make the card 792 00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:40,080 Speaker 1: just cause I like the Niners here three and a half. 793 00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,960 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go deeply into it. Coaching mismatch in 794 00:40:42,960 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 1: my opinion, low scoring game, I would go probably something 795 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:50,839 Speaker 1: like twenty to twenty or thirteen nine ers. I do 796 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:52,600 Speaker 1: like Green Bay on Monday night, but we'll talk about 797 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,240 Speaker 1: that on Monday. All right, that is a lengthy breakdown. 798 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:56,879 Speaker 1: I can't believe I went through every game. Rob Gie's 799 00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:59,360 Speaker 1: gonna be so ticked. Anyways, Good luck with the gambling. 800 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:00,000 Speaker 1: Talk to you soon.