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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris,

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Speaker 1: joined as always by Beau mcbrear. We're going to give

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Speaker 1: you a full betting preview of the John Deere Classic.

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Speaker 1: We'll analyze the course, the odds, our favorite bets, and

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Speaker 1: we'll make our one and done picks at the end

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Speaker 1: of the show. But let's start with a very quick

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Speaker 1: recap of the Rocket Classic. Youth is served in Detroit,

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Speaker 1: and so is Beau mcbrear's wallet. Twenty year old Aldrich Pottgeeter,

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Speaker 1: the big hitting South African, wins his first PGA tournaments.

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Speaker 1: He came oh so close to winning the Mexico Open

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Speaker 1: back in February, but was edged out by Brian Campbell.

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Speaker 1: There would be no denying pot Geter this time. But

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Speaker 1: this year's Rocket Classic was quite the Battle Royal. There

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Speaker 1: were a lot of players in contention throughout the weekend.

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Speaker 1: At one point on Saturday afternoon, there were thirty two

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Speaker 1: players within two shots of the league. And yeah, there

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Speaker 1: were a lot of guys still in the hunt as

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Speaker 1: of Sunday, including a lot of players BO and I

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Speaker 1: talked about as compelling long shit on last week's show.

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Speaker 1: Michael Thorbjornsen, Jake Knapp, and of course pot Geter. So

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Speaker 1: Potkeeter got off to a slow start on Sunday. After

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Speaker 1: taking a small lead into the final round, he was

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Speaker 1: won over par after six holes. That led a bounch

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Speaker 1: of other players into contention thorb Bijornsen, Knapp, Chris Kirk,

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Speaker 1: Max Grazerman and others. But Potkeeter birdie the seventh and

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Speaker 1: eighth holes to jump start his final round. Then he

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Speaker 1: birdied thirteen and fourteen. He bogied the par three fifteenth,

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Speaker 1: but then made a key birdie on the par five

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Speaker 1: seventeenth to get him to twenty two under par that

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Speaker 1: got him into a three way playoff with Max Grazerman

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Speaker 1: and Chris Kirk. All three players parted the first playoff hall,

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Speaker 1: pot Keeter and Grazerman part the second playoff hall, but

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Speaker 1: Kirk missed a four foot par putt and was eliminated.

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Speaker 1: Pot Keeter and Grazerman both parted the third playoff hole

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Speaker 1: and then bertie the par five sixteenth. All finally on

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Speaker 1: the fifth playoff hole, the par three fifteenth, Grazerman could

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Speaker 1: not convert a birdie try from thirty fourth feet and

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Speaker 1: Potkeeter rolled in in eighteen footer to get the victory.

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Speaker 1: Hats off to you. Bow. On last week's show, you

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Speaker 1: talked about Potkeeter as a compelling long shot because of

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Speaker 1: how well his power would play at the Detroit Golf Club.

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Speaker 1: I wasn't convinced. After almost winning the Mexico Open, Podgeter

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Speaker 1: missed the cut in seven of his next eight events,

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Speaker 1: but he broke the cold streak with a sixth place

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Speaker 1: finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge in late May. He

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Speaker 1: hadn't played in another tournament since then. I know you

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Speaker 1: sold at least one of our viewers on pot Geter bow.

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Speaker 1: He sent us a screen shot of a nice four

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Speaker 1: figure win. Congratulations to Ryan. So give me your thoughts

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Speaker 1: on the Rocket Classic bow and remind me what number

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Speaker 1: did you get on pot Geter. Our buddy Ryan got

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Speaker 1: him at one hundred and ten to one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I ended up getting him on Wednesday, along with

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Speaker 2: Max Grazerman, who was too short. When we recorded the

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Speaker 2: show last week, I had him on my short list

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Speaker 2: of people to watch as he opened at thirty five

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Speaker 2: to one. That was too short for my liking. Razerman

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Speaker 2: at forty five to one, and I got pot Keeter

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Speaker 2: at one hundred and twenty to one. So I was

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Speaker 2: celebrating as soon as Chris Kirk got knocked out and

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Speaker 2: jubilant when he missed the birdie putt that because Chris

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Speaker 2: Kirk should have won that playoff in the first hole,

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Speaker 2: the first playoff hole, he had the short birdie putt

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Speaker 2: and missed it on the high on the high side,

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Speaker 2: it didn't break at all. He played, he played outside

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Speaker 2: the hole and missed it, and then he got knocked

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Speaker 2: out with a three putt, and I was like, Okay,

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Speaker 2: no matter what, I got this in the bag. But

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Speaker 2: now I'm kind of rooting for the younger South African

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Speaker 2: because he's gonna win me more money. I'd already cash

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Speaker 2: top five bets with Grazerman as well as Thorbjornsen. So

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Speaker 2: it was a very good week. It was our second

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Speaker 2: win this year of seventy to one or better. Things

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Speaker 2: are good. Things are good. The bank rolls happy that

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Speaker 2: I had a couple more roll in that got him

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Speaker 2: at one hundred to one. One guy kind of hedged

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Speaker 2: his bets that didn't pan out early on the tournament

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Speaker 2: and got him at eight to one. Just because I

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Speaker 2: was kind of pushing it a little harder once. Once

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Speaker 2: he shot that early sixty one or sixty two I

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Speaker 2: think he shot on the first day, it was it

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Speaker 2: was a full steam ahead for Aldrich pot Geter. And

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Speaker 2: really it was another bombing goage week at the Rocket Classic,

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Speaker 2: just as I predicted. It was very similar to the

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Speaker 2: Mexico Open at Vedanta, because that is there's no defense

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Speaker 2: to the course, there's no penalty for being wayward. And

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Speaker 2: although pot Geter is definitely going to struggle on more

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Speaker 2: traditional golf courses that have danger off the tee or

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Speaker 2: danger with how poor his wedge play was, his chipping

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Speaker 2: was a nightmare. If pot Geter didn't win that tournament,

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Speaker 2: we could point right to his short game as the culprit.

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Speaker 2: But thankfully he had enough, he made enough putts to

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Speaker 2: pull it together on that fifth playoff hole and finish

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Speaker 2: the job for us. That was nice, and it was

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Speaker 2: just it was good to It was good to be right.

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Speaker 2: We all love being right, but it's really good to

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Speaker 2: be right on somebody who There was a handful of

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Speaker 2: people that were on him as a long shot because

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Speaker 2: of the power element, but again we hadn't seen him

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Speaker 2: in over a month. He had completely stopped playing in tournaments.

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Speaker 2: He got all new clubs, He redid his entire game

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Speaker 2: over that last month since the Charles Schwab so that

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Speaker 2: him retooling and coming to a place that was as

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Speaker 2: friendly to his style of play as Detroit. That was

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Speaker 2: all I needed to see.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you have to pick the right venue for pot Caeter.

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Speaker 1: For sure. You knew exactly when to get back on

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Speaker 1: the Aldrich Pott Keeter Express. I was not ready to

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Speaker 1: go with you, but overall, bow pretty good month of

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Speaker 1: June for the podcast. I think March was our golden

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Speaker 1: month in twenty twenty four. I think June has been

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Speaker 1: the one this year.

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Speaker 2: If this guy finds a short game, lookout, Let's.

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Speaker 1: See if we can keep the heat turned up going

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Speaker 1: into July. We'll get to the John dere Classic in

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Speaker 1: just a moment. Right after bau McBriar tells you about

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 2: own custom betting systems to find winning trends and profitable opportunities.

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Speaker 2: using code juice and activating your trial on the upgrade screen.

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Speaker 1: The John Deer Classic returns to TPC Deer Run in

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Speaker 1: western Illinois near the Illinois Iowa border. TPC Deer Run

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Speaker 1: is a par seventy one that measures seven eighty nine yards.

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Speaker 1: Course was designed by former tour player da Wybring. As

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Speaker 1: with last week's Rocket Classic, the John Deere Classic is

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Speaker 1: going to be a birdie fast, go low or fall behind,

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Speaker 1: and we do not have a star studded field for

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Speaker 1: this event. The big names are sitting this one out

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Speaker 1: the fair way is it TPC Deer Runner nice and wide,

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Speaker 1: The greens are large and those greens are bent grass

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Speaker 1: by the way, and there's some elevation changes at TPC

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Speaker 1: Deer Run, so players will occasionally be faced with uneven lies,

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Speaker 1: but this is one of the easier courses the PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour Pros will play all year, and unlike last week,

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Speaker 1: big hitters don't really have a huge advantage. After all,

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Speaker 1: Zack Johnson used to dominate this event and he's always

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Speaker 1: been one of the shortest staterers on tour. Steve Stricker

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Speaker 1: owned this event for quite a while, he wasn't a

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Speaker 1: big hitter. Davis Thompson is the defending John Deere champion.

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Speaker 1: Last year he just completely blitz the field, finishing twenty

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Speaker 1: eight under par, four shots better than Michael Thorbjornsen, Luke

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Speaker 1: Clanton and ct PAN. Sepstraca won here in twenty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: he was minus twenty one. JT post in one. In

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two he was also minus twenty one, and

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Speaker 1: Lucas Glover won. In twenty twenty one, heaus minus nineteen.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be hot in Silvis, Illinois for this

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Speaker 1: event his in the low nineties and oper eighties. It

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Speaker 1: could get a little breezy at times, especially on Friday

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Speaker 1: and Saturday with wins in the ten to twenty mile

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Speaker 1: an hour range, when should be a little lighter on

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Speaker 1: Thursday and Sunday more than five to ten mile per

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Speaker 1: hour range. Bow your thoughts on TPC Deer Run and

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Speaker 1: what it's going to take to win the John Dear Classic.

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Speaker 2: It's it's a similar scoring setup to needing to make

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Speaker 2: a ton of birdies, just like last week, but it's

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Speaker 2: a totally different type of golfer. We're looking for good

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Speaker 2: off the te players accuracy wise. Distance doesn't have any

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Speaker 2: advantage here at all because it's still a positional golf course.

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Speaker 2: It's a shorter golf course, but it's also going to

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Speaker 2: force more layups, Like you can't just bomb it over

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Speaker 2: the trees here. There are trees, The fairways are inviting

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Speaker 2: and wide, but you're again going to see more elevation changes.

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Speaker 2: You're going to get a little more nuanced and strategy

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Speaker 2: involved versus last week where it just hit it down

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Speaker 2: there like one ninety six ball speed for Podkeeter on

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Speaker 2: a couple holes. That isn't going to matter this week.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna want to be in the fairway taking dead

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Speaker 2: aim at these pins that on big greens that run

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Speaker 2: pretty slow for tour average. It's gonna be easy for

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Speaker 2: the guys who are off in the fairway and taking

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Speaker 2: dead aim at getting close on approach, and it's less

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Speaker 2: of a putting contest this week. I think if you

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Speaker 2: have a good around the green game, you're going to

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Speaker 2: do well here. But like, just like last year, Davis

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Speaker 2: Thompson was so hot on approach, he found the fairway.

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Speaker 2: He's a shorter hitter himself, but he was so close

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Speaker 2: to the pin. He gave himself so many birdy opportunities,

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Speaker 2: and he was just so hot. He made everything he

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Speaker 2: looked at last year, And you're gonna have to to win.

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Speaker 2: Twenty eight under might not happen, but it will be

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Speaker 2: twenty to twenty six under par. I would venture an

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Speaker 2: educated guest on the finishing score being somewhere in that range,

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Speaker 2: especially when the weather's not really going to be a

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Speaker 2: factor unless you get heat exhaustion. It's been a hot

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Speaker 2: one in the Midwest, as you know, Pat, it's hot

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Speaker 2: here too, but we expect that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, hot and muggy here in the Midwest. And yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think about that twenty eight under last year he

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Speaker 1: averaged a sixty four over those four rounds, pretty impreven.

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Speaker 2: That's seven under part average for four days. That's smoking

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Speaker 2: hot it is.

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Speaker 1: We will get to the John Deere Classic odds in

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Speaker 1: just a moment, but first I'm gonna let Bo tell

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Speaker 2: he's bordering on insufferable about Novig, but I get it

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Speaker 2: because he keeps winning. He's about as much of a

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Speaker 2: fanatic about Novig as you can get. He's dropping screenshots

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Speaker 2: in our discord. I had to turn off notifications and

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Speaker 2: discord because he kept dropping winning screenshots and even losing

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Speaker 2: screenshots that he came really close on. It's a If

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Speaker 2: you have questions, ask Mike mayor, he's very happy to help.

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Speaker 1: Now for the John Der Classic odds. All odds are

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Speaker 1: courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday, so some of these

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Speaker 1: odds may have changed by the time you consume this show.

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Speaker 1: Ben Griffin is the favorite of plus sixteen hundred, Jason

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Speaker 1: Daves plus twenty two hundred, Danny McCarthy, JT. Post In,

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Speaker 1: and See kim Our plus three thousand. We have a

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Speaker 1: big group at thirty five to one odds, Michael thorpe Bjornson,

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Speaker 1: Luke Clanton, Jake Knapp defending Champ, Davis Thompson, Sung JM,

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Speaker 1: Chris Kirk and Chris Godder up Aldrick pot Keater is

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Speaker 1: forty to one, as are Michael Kim, Kevin You, Torborne, Olison,

231
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Speaker 1: Sam Stevens, Bud Colly and Pearson Coody. It's an a

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Speaker 1: rather unusual group of favorites. But is there anyone you

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Speaker 1: have your eye on from this group?

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Speaker 2: So I like Ben Griffin, I don't like him at

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Speaker 2: plus sixteen hundred. Sorry, Ben, You're great, You're playing great

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Speaker 2: golf this year, but I'm not betting on you to

237
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Speaker 2: win at those odds. It's just not gonna happen. If

238
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Speaker 2: he slips to twenty, which I don't expect. I probably

239
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Speaker 2: expect him to go even shorter from here. So I'll pass,

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Speaker 2: and I'm going to pass on a lot of these

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Speaker 2: guys because this is the tournament for youngsters. This is

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Speaker 2: the tournament Davis Thompson not young but inexperience on tour

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Speaker 2: last year lit it on fire. You notice he said

244
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Speaker 2: the names who came very close to winning last year,

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Speaker 2: very young guys Luke Clinton and Michael thorpe Jornson in

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Speaker 2: the rookie seasons last year nearly won this tournament. This

247
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Speaker 2: is for the youths. So I'm going to take and

248
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Speaker 2: go with somebody who you're probably not expecting. I'm gonna

249
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Speaker 2: go all the way to Denny McCarthy at plus twenty

250
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Speaker 2: eight hundred. He's the class of this field. Let's be honest,

251
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Speaker 2: Denny McCary. Denny McCarthy is the class of this field.

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Speaker 2: He's got the most complete game. He's not playing as

253
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Speaker 2: well as Ben Griffin, but he's having a very good season.

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Speaker 2: He's got quite a few top tens this season. He's

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Speaker 2: got the best short game in this field, and it

256
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Speaker 2: just comes down to can he make enough berdies I

257
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Speaker 2: think Denny McCarthy absolutely can make enough birdies at TPC

258
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Speaker 2: Deer Run, So that's where I'm starting my card plus

259
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Speaker 2: twenty eight hundred. That's the only guy in the group

260
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Speaker 2: of favorites that I'm interested in at their odds at all.

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Speaker 1: Great combination of course fit In recent forum McCarthy has

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Speaker 1: finished sixth, sixth, and seventh in his last three John Deeres.

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Speaker 1: He's also finished top fifteen in two of his last

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Speaker 1: four events, including the PGA Championship and the Travelers, which

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Speaker 1: had really good fields obviously, So yeah, I get why

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Speaker 1: Ben Griffin is the favorite. He's finished top fifteen and

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Speaker 1: six straight events, and that includes some big ones, the PGA,

268
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Speaker 1: the US Open, the Travelers which was a signature event,

269
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Speaker 1: so that had a really strong field. Griffin finished fifth

270
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Speaker 1: in his John dere Classic debut last year. But you

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Speaker 1: said it, bo, I mean, we're getting Xander Schoffley type

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Speaker 1: odds on Ben Griffin. I just can't go there. Jason

273
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Speaker 1: Day has played pretty well of late's. In his last

274
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Speaker 1: two events, he finished twenty third at the US Open,

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Speaker 1: fourth at the Travelers. Hasn't played the John der Classic

276
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Speaker 1: very often is in his career, but he played it

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Speaker 1: last year and finished twenty third. I just don't know

278
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Speaker 1: if the price is right. Gt Posten like normally one

279
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Speaker 1: of the best putters on tour bo, but this year,

280
00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,560
Speaker 1: not this year ninety third strokes game putting. He did

281
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Speaker 1: win here in twenty twenty two and followed that up

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Speaker 1: with a sixth place finish in twenty twenty three. But

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Speaker 1: I just I can't get on board with I'll Postino

284
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Speaker 1: here when he's not in very good form. What about

285
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Speaker 1: Chris Kirk? Bo seems to be getting hot. He made

286
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Speaker 1: it into the playoffs Sunday in Detroit, ended up tying

287
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Speaker 1: for second, and he was twelfth at the US Open.

288
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Speaker 1: Kirk has finished just inside the top twenty five in

289
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Speaker 1: each of his last two John Deere appearances.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if I'm looking at Chris Kirk, I'd rather get

291
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Speaker 2: a guy who's won here before, Michael Kim, who's playing

292
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Speaker 2: great golf this season. I don't love him at forty

293
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Speaker 2: to one, but I could be talked into him at

294
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Speaker 2: forty to one if if we get closer to Locke.

295
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Speaker 2: And I'm not really going heavy this week at all,

296
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Speaker 2: I'm kind of going to sit on this bankroll until

297
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Speaker 2: the Scottish Open next week in the Open Championship the

298
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Speaker 2: week after this week. For betting is it's kind of

299
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Speaker 2: a crapshoot. Honestly, when Ben Griffin is the betting favorite,

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Speaker 2: then we know we have to be a little guarded

301
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Speaker 2: with her with our investment this week. But in this range,

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Speaker 2: if I'm looking at kind of that cusp of favorites

303
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Speaker 2: versus mid range, I'd rather go with Michael Kim because

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Speaker 2: he has good vibes here and Chris Kirk has the

305
00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:09,840
Speaker 2: worst vibes possible because he choked away a win just

306
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Speaker 2: a few days ago. It's just too much for me

307
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Speaker 2: to believe in that guy bouncing back that quickly at

308
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Speaker 2: a totally different golf course in a field that it

309
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Speaker 2: has a lot of young guns that are playing really well.

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Speaker 2: I think Michael Kim is the preferred option in this range,

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Speaker 2: although I'm not exactly running to the books to bet

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Speaker 2: on Michael Kim either.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Kim won here in twenty eighteen, but he has

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Speaker 1: missed the cut in his last four John Deere starts,

315
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Speaker 1: which is kind of unusual. Boy, I felt really bad

316
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Speaker 1: for Chris Kirk's dad, who looked just crestfallen after he.

317
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Speaker 2: And Podgeter's dad were walking the course together during the playoff.

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Speaker 1: That was tough. Well those young guys. Michael Thorpby Ornson

319
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Speaker 1: finished second here last year and is coming off the

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Speaker 1: fourth place finish in Detroit, and by the way, pretty

321
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Speaker 1: pretty good combination for him. He ranked sixth, then Strokes,

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Speaker 1: ganned off the tee and six then Greens in regulation.

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Speaker 1: So Peter Green, he does have the game to make

324
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Speaker 1: some noise here this week. I just I bet Luke

325
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Speaker 1: Clinton last week bo and he did finish second here

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Speaker 1: last year, but he has not been sharp of lates,

327
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Speaker 1: a miss cut, a thirty fourth and a sixtieth in

328
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Speaker 1: his last three events.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's your ultimate volatility pick because he's either

330
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Speaker 2: gonna push for the win like he did last year,

331
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Speaker 2: or he's gonna go up in a cloud of dust

332
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Speaker 2: like I had Clanton in my one and done last week.

333
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Speaker 2: And we'll cover that. But he was amazing for three

334
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Speaker 2: days and.

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Speaker 1: Close with that seventy seven seventy.

336
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:44,280
Speaker 2: Seven, seventy seven on that golf course. That's five over

337
00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 2: par when the average score is three under. Part that

338
00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 2: was an atomic bad round and we can't afford that

339
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Speaker 2: for Luke Clinton. So if you're risk tolerant, which I

340
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:58,080
Speaker 2: often am, I would bet Luke Clinton at thirty five

341
00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:00,600
Speaker 2: to one, but he was just seventy to one, or

342
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Speaker 2: he's just too short this week, I can't do it.

343
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Speaker 2: It just it's too much to watch that go up

344
00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,120
Speaker 2: and smoke like it did last week, where he's he's

345
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,800
Speaker 2: either gonna make birdie or double bogie, and it's there's

346
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,000
Speaker 2: not much in between with Luke Clanton at this stage

347
00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 2: in his career.

348
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Speaker 1: Yeah, Clinton seventy seven at the Detroit Golf Club, on

349
00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:22,760
Speaker 1: par with Nick Dunlaps ninety at Augusta National earlier this year.

350
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,919
Speaker 1: Let's look at some more odds. Alex Smalley, Lucas Glover

351
00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:30,159
Speaker 1: and Ryan Gerard are plus forty five hundred, Mark Hubbard,

352
00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,640
Speaker 1: Kurt Kittiyama, Ricky Foller and Keith Mitchell are plus five thousand,

353
00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,879
Speaker 1: Nico Etchivaria's plus fifty five hundred, Andrew Putnam and Steven

354
00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,920
Speaker 1: Jeger are plus six thousand. Kevin Roy, Vince Whaley, Victor Perez,

355
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 1: Jacob Bridgeman, Thriston, Lawrence, Emiliano Grio and Taylor Moore are

356
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 1: plus sixty five hundred and at plus seven thousand are yes, Prisvenson,

357
00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:57,119
Speaker 1: Tom Kim, Christian Bizudenhaut, and Rio Hussatsine. Where is the

358
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:58,399
Speaker 1: betting value with this group?

359
00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 2: Bo can? I say not? In this group?

360
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:02,399
Speaker 1: You can?

361
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:08,680
Speaker 2: It's yeah, it's rough. I did see that norcl resident

362
00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:11,479
Speaker 2: Cameron Champ is in this field and he has dropped

363
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:14,680
Speaker 2: into this range at seventy to one. I'd probably start

364
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 2: there because he looked really good last week, but that's

365
00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 2: just because he has the upside of making all those birdies.

366
00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:25,120
Speaker 2: Tristan Lawrence, Yeah, he played well last week, but that's

367
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:28,160
Speaker 2: that's because that's another bombing gouge course. I don't think

368
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:30,680
Speaker 2: he's gonna do well in a tighter course with more

369
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 2: approach Leyden's results. I just don't see it with Lawrence,

370
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:37,480
Speaker 2: even though he's had a decent season. Niko is a

371
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,639
Speaker 2: guy that drives it well and puts it well, but

372
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 2: he's not a good approach player. This whole range is

373
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:47,560
Speaker 2: a mess, so I'm gonna probably go with somebody else

374
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: down farther. Some of the younger guys that are a

375
00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:53,880
Speaker 2: little bit deeper. You could probably talk me into Rio.

376
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:56,520
Speaker 2: He saw Sune at seventy to one. But this group

377
00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:00,440
Speaker 2: is a mess. Nobody really playing that great in this

378
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,840
Speaker 2: whole mid range. Kevin Roy is okay, but sixty to

379
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 2: one for Kevin Roy seems like a ripoff.

380
00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:07,920
Speaker 1: I'm going to have Thirst and Lawrence on my betting

381
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,240
Speaker 1: card this week. Bo, Like, I hear what you're saying about.

382
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,880
Speaker 1: Maybe you know the bombing gouge being more his speed,

383
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 1: but I don't know. I'm just getting the vibe. Maybe

384
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 1: that we lightning strikes twice, two large South Africans strike

385
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,640
Speaker 1: twice in a two week span. At sixty five to one.

386
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 1: His last two events, he was twelfth at the US Open,

387
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:36,720
Speaker 1: just pretty impressive, and then eighth at the Rocket Classic.

388
00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 1: So I'm very interested. I think he's a value at

389
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 1: sixty five to one. I hear you on Nico, but

390
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 1: you know, it is an interesting combo. You might be

391
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 1: right about his approach game not being good enough, but

392
00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 1: you know his lack of power isn't going to hurt him,

393
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:53,119
Speaker 1: and he's an excellent putter.

394
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:54,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

395
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,720
Speaker 1: So, just a couple other guys from this group. Lucas

396
00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,080
Speaker 1: Glover's three top tens in his last five trips to

397
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 1: the John Deere, and he won here in twenty eighteen.

398
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 1: His last appearance this year was at the Travelers where

399
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:11,679
Speaker 1: he finished ninth, So pretty good course fit and has

400
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 1: played decently of late. Mark Hubbard is sort of intriguing.

401
00:21:15,520 --> 00:21:19,640
Speaker 1: He's quietly played really well, four top fifteens and two

402
00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 1: top tens at his last eight events. Hubbard finished thirteenth

403
00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:25,800
Speaker 1: at the John Deere in twenty twenty two to sixth

404
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 1: and twenty twenty three. And Andrew Putnam has finished top

405
00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 1: ten in each of his last two events, the Canadian

406
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:35,120
Speaker 1: Opened in the Rocket Classic and One More Bow. I'm

407
00:21:35,119 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: going to continue to tout Emiliano Grio as a value.

408
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: Top twenty five finishes in four of his last five

409
00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:44,160
Speaker 1: events and finished second at the John Deere Classic back

410
00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two. But what about long shots? This

411
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:49,840
Speaker 1: was the sweet spot for us last week in Detroit.

412
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,280
Speaker 1: Who could give us a payday at longer odds this week?

413
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 2: For me, it's the turnaround of the season. I think

414
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,080
Speaker 2: is going to come down to Max Home. Maxhoma has

415
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 2: way too much talent to finish poorly here. He's down

416
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 2: at ninety to one in this field. For me, that

417
00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 2: seems like it's a little bit of a misfit. I'll

418
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 2: throw in a little bit on Maxhome at ninety to

419
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,480
Speaker 2: one with a top twenty kicker, and then we're back

420
00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,760
Speaker 2: to one hundred and fifty to one odds on Carl Phillips.

421
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,400
Speaker 2: Everybody's gonna be off of him after last week's performance.

422
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 2: Last week wasn't a good fit for him. Last week

423
00:22:22,640 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 2: was Thorby Ornsen's fit Thorby Jornsen's the bomber with three

424
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: hundred and fifteen yard average. Phillips is less of a

425
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,119
Speaker 2: long hitter and more of an accurate iron player and

426
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,040
Speaker 2: a much better short game. I think that this is

427
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 2: going to be coming down to Carl Phillips is a

428
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 2: much better fit for this course than he was last week.

429
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 2: So I'll be back on him in one hundred and

430
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:46,120
Speaker 2: fifty to one with definitely a top twenty investment because

431
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 2: he's got all the talent world as long as he

432
00:22:48,760 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 2: doesn't have to really worry about getting out driven like

433
00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:55,239
Speaker 2: he was last week. Was he was so wayward off

434
00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 2: the tee last week that it just did. It didn't

435
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,439
Speaker 2: come down to anything other than he didn't make a putts,

436
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: didn't make any birdies. It was a mess last week.

437
00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 2: But I do believe in Carl Phillips. He won us

438
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 2: a lot of money earlier in the season, and as

439
00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:09,880
Speaker 2: long as the odds are in the triple digits, I'm

440
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,720
Speaker 2: going to keep betting him. Another mention would be Jackson Coyven,

441
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,760
Speaker 2: who he saw play really well last week. His game's

442
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 2: a little more balanced, so I do think that he's

443
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 2: going to be a name that we see on a

444
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,239
Speaker 2: continuous basis, regardless of which course it is.

445
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,120
Speaker 1: Let me throw a few more names at you. Matt

446
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 1: McCarty is interesting. At eighty to one, he ranked sixteenth

447
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 1: and strokes gained putting. He is a fairway finder off

448
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 1: the team. McCarty was fourth at the Canadian Open and

449
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 1: he just finished nineteenth at the Rocket Classic. I will

450
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:42,959
Speaker 1: continue to tout Sammy Vallamachi. He ranks eighth and strokes

451
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:46,719
Speaker 1: gained putting twenty seventh and strokes ganning approach. He finished

452
00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 1: twelfth at the John Deere last year, and he's coming

453
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: off a nineteenth place finish in Detroit. How about Jackson

454
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 1: Suber At one hundred and ten to one, he just

455
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 1: finished sixth at the Rocket Classic. He was top twenty

456
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 1: at the Canadian Open. Suber has been very good with

457
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 1: his irons and his wedge play this year and finally

458
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 1: bowl two hundred and fifty to one. Harry Higgs, Harry.

459
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: Big Rig, the big Rig.

460
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,480
Speaker 1: Handsome Harry Higgs. He's done pretty well in events with

461
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:19,399
Speaker 1: weaker fields this season. Higgs finished second last week twenty

462
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 1: fourth in Detroit respectable, and he was second to Ryan

463
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 1: Fox at the one Flight Myrtle Beach Classic, where he

464
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:29,680
Speaker 1: lost in a three way playoff. So at two hundred

465
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,600
Speaker 1: and fifty to one, yeah, I'll throw a little bit down.

466
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:36,480
Speaker 2: I want to give you one more just because this tournament.

467
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 2: I heard this guy's name a few times this year.

468
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 2: He showed up a couple of weeks ago. But Chrystobald

469
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 2: del Solar is one thousand to one this week, So yeah,

470
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,159
Speaker 2: you should throw in a couple bucks on one thousand

471
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 2: and one. Cristobal del Solar playing well lately, Yes he is,

472
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:52,159
Speaker 2: He's good.

473
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: So who's in your batting card?

474
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: On the card I have Denny McCarthy at twenty eight

475
00:24:57,760 --> 00:25:01,000
Speaker 2: to one, Mike Kim at forty to one, one Maxim

476
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 2: at ninety to one, Carl Phillips one hundred and fifty one.

477
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:05,399
Speaker 2: In a little bit of Chrystobovil Salar.

478
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 1: All right, I am only betting players to win this week,

479
00:25:09,160 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 1: like you. I'm gonna kind of keep my powder dry

480
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 1: this week, but I am gonna put some small bets

481
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 1: on seven different players. Danny McCarthy at thirty to one,

482
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 1: Michael thorbe Jornson at thirty five to one, Tristan Lawrence

483
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:24,399
Speaker 1: at sixty five to one, Emiliano Grillo at sixty five

484
00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: to one, Sammy Vallamachy at one hundred to one, Jackson

485
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 1: Suber at one hundred and ten to one, and Harry

486
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 1: Higgs at two fifty to one. All Right, now for

487
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 1: our one and done picks, I had Ben Griffin last week.

488
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 1: He tied for thirteenth and earned me one hundred and

489
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:42,240
Speaker 1: seventy two thousand dollars. Bo had Young Luke Clanton as

490
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: we talked about, he had a pretty rough Sunday and

491
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 1: uh he finished in a tie for sixtieth and earned

492
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,439
Speaker 1: bow twenty one thousand dollars. Bo is at about seven

493
00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: point seven million for the season. I'm at about seven

494
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 1: point two million. You have the honor this week, bo

495
00:25:57,119 --> 00:25:57,960
Speaker 1: who are you taking?

496
00:25:58,280 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 2: I'm going to take our guy at the top of

497
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 2: the board, Danny McCarthy all.

498
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:07,120
Speaker 1: Right, I think I am going to take I think

499
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: you were right about Chris Kirk not being the guy

500
00:26:10,640 --> 00:26:12,159
Speaker 1: I was thinking I was going to take him, but bo,

501
00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:17,639
Speaker 1: I'm going to take Michael Thorbjornson. All right, all right,

502
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 1: that is going to do it. For this week's Betting

503
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 1: PROSPGA podcast. Please come join us again next week when

504
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 1: we will be previewing the Genesis Scottish Open. Until then,

505
00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:29,280
Speaker 1: so long every one.

506
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,320
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

507
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:34,760
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508
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,160
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509
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,080
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510
00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:44,840
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511
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,399
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