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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Tuesday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast

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Speaker 2: with me Matt Perolt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow

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Speaker 2: me across all socials. This podcast is being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by Omaha Steaks dot Com. The promo code is

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Speaker 2: not a great night. Last night we get the push

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Speaker 2: on the Panthers. Kind of a miracle.

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Speaker 1: We got that. If you got three and a half late,

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Speaker 1: Congratulations you won. That's great.

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Speaker 2: I had the same game teaser I told you about

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Speaker 2: that last night we hit that. I should have made

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Speaker 2: that official. Sorry, I should make the same game the

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Speaker 2: same game teasers official more often. I'll do that because

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Speaker 2: I really primetime same game teasers are going to be

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Speaker 2: a thing for a bit.

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Speaker 1: I do like them a lot.

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Speaker 2: So I went one oh to one on the full

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Speaker 2: unit bets there officially we went we went oh oh

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Speaker 2: oh and well or one yeah oh was one push

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Speaker 2: right yeah yeah on the on the push and then

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Speaker 2: we got the Bryce Young over twenty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half past temps right as we cashed on that. So

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Speaker 2: overall two oho and one on that day for me.

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Speaker 2: So I got the Saints game, in the Panthers game,

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Speaker 2: I got that right. The Steelers game, no bueno under

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Speaker 2: was dead pretty fast. You got to pick six early

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Speaker 2: in the first touchdown of the game in the first quarter,

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Speaker 2: and you can pretty much kiss a goodbye. That's not

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Speaker 2: going to be a good thing. They had two defensive touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: forget that. Deshaun Watson looked horrible. The offense for the

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Speaker 2: Steelers is a problem. What is Matt Canada doing. Najee

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Speaker 2: Harris had ten carries in the game. He had two

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Speaker 2: carries in the first half. What is going on with

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Speaker 2: that offense? You can't ask can pick it to throw

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Speaker 2: the ball this much. It's not smart. And I know

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Speaker 2: they got other guys in the backfield, but Nase's your workhorse,

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Speaker 2: What are you doing? I'm perplexed, beyond perplexed with what's

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Speaker 2: going on with that Steelers offense, but their defense is legitimate,

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Speaker 2: unbelievable atmosphere twenty first win in a row on Monday

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Speaker 2: Night football and another again Mike Tomlin has never lost

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Speaker 2: to the Cleveland Browns in the regular season at home.

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Speaker 2: Another win, Another impressive victory defensively for the Steelers. They've

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Speaker 2: got questions, but they're one in one and now the

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Speaker 2: Browns are one and one and Ravens are two and zero.

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Speaker 2: Zero to two for the Bengals. Oh time in Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: with that injury to Joe Burrow not good for Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: So overall, we get one right, one bet right, and

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Speaker 2: the only bet we got right was the prop bet.

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Speaker 2: We got the full unit bet wrong, a push and

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Speaker 2: then a loss on the the loss on the under,

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Speaker 2: and then the half unit parlay. Both teams lost, Rangers

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Speaker 2: and the Marlins both lost. Ye got a good bet there.

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Speaker 2: So down on the day for us yesterday, down in

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Speaker 2: the week so far, Let's get back to a Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: Let's see if we can get going here. It is

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Speaker 2: a baseball so a baseball day. So I got three

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Speaker 2: bets for you, one future and two bets to give

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Speaker 2: you guys here. I'll give you the future first because

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna explain what we're gonna play here. Okay, So

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Speaker 2: at most books, FanDuel is where this number is most prevalent,

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Speaker 2: but you can get other books as well. The Milwaukee

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Speaker 2: Brewers to win the World Series is twenty one to one. Now,

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Speaker 2: before you go and stare at your radio and go,

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Speaker 2: what the heck did he just say, here is the

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Speaker 2: philosophy we're going to do with the Brewers. Okay, bear

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Speaker 2: with me, Okay, bear with me on this. Here's the philosophy.

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Speaker 2: The Milwaukee Brewers are vastly underappreciated and undervalued in the market.

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Speaker 1: They're eighty four and sixty six. Okay.

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Speaker 2: This again is not saying that they're going to win

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Speaker 2: the World Series. Don't need them to right now. They

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Speaker 2: would play the Cubs if the playoffs began today, which

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Speaker 2: it does not because there's so many teams fighting for

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Speaker 2: that final wildcard spot, but the Cubs currently occupy it.

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Speaker 1: The Brewers are going to be the three. Okay.

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Speaker 2: The one is the Braves, the two is the Dodgers.

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Speaker 2: That's set. Okay, the three seed is going to be

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Speaker 2: the Brewers, so the Brewers will play the worst wildcard team.

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Speaker 2: The way this bracket is structured doesn't make a lot

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Speaker 2: of sense because in reality, you would say, wait, why

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Speaker 2: wouldn't they play the worst team of the three division winners?

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Speaker 2: Why wouldn't they play the best wildcard team? That's how

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Speaker 2: it normally works. No, because they don't want that two

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Speaker 2: seed to be penalized. The idea is to play two

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Speaker 2: versus three, so you get the three seed to go

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Speaker 2: ahead and knock out the sixth seed. And because they're

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Speaker 2: being forced to play and they don't get a buy

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Speaker 2: that's I guess how they're gonna structure it. I don't

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Speaker 2: fully understand the bracket, but that's how Major League Baseball

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Speaker 2: is doing it. Check on MLB dot com if you

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Speaker 2: don't believe me, so start up play today. It would

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Speaker 2: be Brewers against the Cubs. The Brewers are going to

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Speaker 2: be favored in that series. We will bet the Cubs

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Speaker 2: at plus money to win that series. Okay, it's a

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Speaker 2: one unit bet. Let's play with it with one unit

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Speaker 2: at twenty one to one. Okay, so if they Brewers

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Speaker 2: win the World Series, we win twenty one units, Stay

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Speaker 2: with me.

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Speaker 1: The Brewers are right now fourth.

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Speaker 2: In team era, second in team Whip, they're first in

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Speaker 2: opposing batting average, and they are tied for six in

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Speaker 2: quality starts. They're gonna run out a one, two three

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Speaker 2: that is going to be as good as anyone's gonna

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Speaker 2: run out there in Braves included in the playoffs, Burns, Woodruff,

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Speaker 2: and Peralta. That's really solid. Now, offensively they're a bit challenged.

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Speaker 2: But what happens in the postseason, right, two, one, three,

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Speaker 2: two baseball games? Right, this is a team that can

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Speaker 2: win those types of games if they're pitching stays solid,

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Speaker 2: which I think it's going to. But again, we will

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Speaker 2: bet round one. If it's the Cubs or whoever they play,

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Speaker 2: they'll be dogs. We'll bet against it. Okay, so we'll chew,

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Speaker 2: you know, we'll guarantee ourselves. We'll git one unit on

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Speaker 2: the Cubs. Say it's plus one thirty, Okay, one unit

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Speaker 2: Cubs to win the series. So if the Brewers lose, Okay,

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Speaker 2: now we've won point three. We're profitable. We've won our

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Speaker 2: money back and we're profitable. Okay, let's say they win

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Speaker 2: that series. Okay, Now we've invested one unit. So now

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Speaker 2: it's a twenty to one bet. Okay, they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: dogs against the Dodgers. How big of a dog we

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Speaker 2: don't really know. But let's say it's Mayas one thirty. Okay,

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Speaker 2: bet on the Dodgers. We may bet a little more

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Speaker 2: on the Dodgers. We may bit two units on the Dodgers. Okay,

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Speaker 2: maybe two point six. It's the Dodger a Miyas one

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Speaker 2: thirty or Mius one forty to win the series. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we'll come in and bet to make sure we can't lose.

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Speaker 2: We'll hedge back.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So now we've given up one in one point four.

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Speaker 2: Now we're two point four units in. If the Brewers

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Speaker 2: have won all of these, they're into the National League

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Speaker 2: Championship Series. Okay, they're gonna be dogs, probably right because

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Speaker 2: going to face the Braves. So now we already have

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Speaker 2: a price that's going to be better than the series price.

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Speaker 2: We can come in and bet the Braves and we

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Speaker 2: can chew into that number however much we want to

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Speaker 2: two into that number. Okay, maybe the Braves are minus

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Speaker 2: one to fifty. Maybe the Braves or mice movement two

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Speaker 2: to three units. There Okay, this is the philosophy and

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Speaker 2: the strategy. We're trying to make money every step of

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Speaker 2: the way, so we will have the twenty one to

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Speaker 2: one ticket. But given the path that we're going to see,

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Speaker 2: the Dodgers are one hundred percent beatable. I'm telling you

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Speaker 2: right now, the Brewers can beat the Dodgers. They don't

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Speaker 2: have the pitching, they don't have the bullpen. They've got

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Speaker 2: the offense, and as long as the pitching staff does

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Speaker 2: what they're supposed to do, the Brewers can beat the Dodgers.

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Speaker 1: I'm fully convinced of that. Can they beat the Braves,

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: But the first bet for the podcast one unit Brewers

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Speaker 2: to win the World Series at twenty one to one,

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Speaker 2: because we're going to play off of it. Okay, if

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Speaker 2: you haven't done this before, you don't have to follow.

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Speaker 2: If you want to follow, Okay, if you don't have

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Speaker 2: the liquidity to go ahead and do this, I get it.

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Speaker 2: You don't want to do this, you don't want to

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Speaker 2: bet baseball, Fine, but this is a fun way of

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Speaker 2: going through the playoffs. Okay, this is entirely something I've

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Speaker 2: learned from Dave Shapin. I'm not going to take credit

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Speaker 2: for this at all. My co host on The Bostonian

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Speaker 2: versus the book, he has taught.

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Speaker 1: Me the ways. This is like his Yoda Jedi magic.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this has been extremely It's not something I would

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Speaker 2: ever have thought to do or have known to do.

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Speaker 2: It's the benefit of being the co host of an

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Speaker 2: extremely sharp person, one of the sharpest betters here in

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Speaker 2: Las Vegas, and someone who has taken bets for twenty years,

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Speaker 2: who has watched this whole thing go out. And I've

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Speaker 2: watched Dave do this and I'm learning I'm still not

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Speaker 2: nearly as good as he.

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Speaker 1: Is on this.

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Speaker 2: But we talked this through last night and I really

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Speaker 2: like this play a lot.

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Speaker 1: You can do exacts too if you want.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm going to be involved with exacts, but

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Speaker 2: I think that's too complicated for the Daily Juice to

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Speaker 2: get into about.

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Speaker 1: You know, if you want to bet an exact right now,

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Speaker 1: of the ruers over the Orioles, it's.

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Speaker 2: Like one hundred and one. Okay, you can play off that.

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Speaker 2: You can bet that, and you can play with that.

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Speaker 2: You can be potentially looking at that. I mean, we're

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Speaker 2: talking like you're gonna put a lot of money down

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Speaker 2: to have a real big score at twenty to one,

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Speaker 2: how about two hundred or how about one hundred to one? Okay,

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Speaker 2: so you can do the math if you want. As

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Speaker 2: to playoff for this, but officially twenty one to one

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Speaker 2: the Milwaukee Brewers to win the World Series. Are putting

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Speaker 2: a flag down that we're gonna play off of throughout

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Speaker 2: the entire World Series.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have some fun with this here on the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. Try to win. You know, at the end

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Speaker 1: of it, if we're up ten units, we've done our job. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's what the Brewers winning the World Series, by the way.

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Speaker 2: But and we can bet more, we can bet more

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Speaker 2: and add on to the position and whatnot. But for

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Speaker 2: the start here, first bet for us on a Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: Brewers to win the World Series at minus or sorry

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Speaker 2: plus twenty one hundred twenty one to one Brewers to

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Speaker 2: win the World Series.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Second bet Houston at Baltimore. These teams have played so

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Speaker 2: far four times this year, including last night eight to seven.

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Speaker 1: The game goes over the Orioles Rally.

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Speaker 2: So far this year, the final scores between these two

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Speaker 2: teams seven six, eight, two five four eight seven four

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Speaker 2: games all four games have had a total of nine

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Speaker 2: runs or more. This game has a total of nine

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Speaker 2: Orioles and the Astros it's minus one oh two to

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Speaker 2: the over. Somehow it's just to the under. Don't understand it,

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Speaker 2: but a push potential with a solid number of nine.

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Speaker 2: We've got the Orioles on the year at seventy six,

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Speaker 2: sixty two and eleven to the over. On the road

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Speaker 2: they are forty two, twenty seven and five to the over.

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Speaker 2: Houston is seventy eight sixty nine and nine on the

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Speaker 2: year to the over. At home they're forty one, thirty

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Speaker 2: three and one to the over over over over. Gibson

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Speaker 2: going on the road has a four point seven to

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Speaker 2: four ERA at two sixty five opposing batting average three

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Speaker 2: earned runs in four earned runs his last two starts

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Speaker 2: on the road, and in those game games the final

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Speaker 2: score was ten to three and nine to four, both

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Speaker 2: games over nine. Clearly, he'll face up against Brown, who

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Speaker 2: was a five point six e RA at home two

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Speaker 2: seventy one.

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Speaker 1: Opposing batting average.

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Speaker 2: He was very good in his last start at home

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Speaker 2: against the A's, but in the two previous six earned

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Speaker 2: final score was eleven to two for that three earned

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Speaker 2: five to four was the final score. Bullpen's get getting

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Speaker 2: to play runs being scored over nine minus one oh

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Speaker 2: two for the Orioles and the Astros for the second

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Speaker 2: bet for one point zero two units tonight, and finally

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Speaker 2: Mets and the Marlins man alive going over this Lukichi lukeisi,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you how you say it. Okay, he

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Speaker 2: spits two times in two months, but he hasn't given

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Speaker 2: up a run, and either start, he's been really good.

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Speaker 2: You got a pitcher who this Marlins team has not seen.

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Speaker 2: And the Marlins lost two to one. Last night. We

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Speaker 2: were on the Marlins money line gitting home run two

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Speaker 2: to one. Now, there's two schools of thought here, right,

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Speaker 2: So this kid who's been very good, the Marlins haven't

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Speaker 2: seen him that good or bad. The Marlins had been scoring, okay,

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Speaker 2: their offense had come to life before last night.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean, in terms of where the Marlins have been.

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Speaker 2: They're forty three and thirty three at home now, but

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Speaker 2: offensively just one run. They scored sixteen, eleven and nine

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Speaker 2: against the Braves. Okay, but the Braves don't care. The

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Speaker 2: Braves are the best record the Braves, aren't. I mean

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Speaker 2: that was you know, the Marlins got hot against the Brewers.

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Speaker 2: They scored two to one and none in the four

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Speaker 2: games against Milwaukee. That's team with a decent pitching staff.

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Speaker 2: Against the Phillies, they scored five, four and three. But

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Speaker 2: I don't think they've seen this kid. I don't think

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Speaker 2: that they're going to score a lot of runs off

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Speaker 2: of the Lukisi kid.

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Speaker 1: But they got.

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Speaker 2: Garrett going, who was as a four point eight too

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Speaker 2: ERA at home and a two seventy opposing batting average.

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Speaker 1: That's not outstanding. I understand that.

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Speaker 2: But if you look at the way that Garrett has

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Speaker 2: in the games involving Braxton Garrett, One, he's a lefty

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Speaker 2: against the Mets. But two, he hasn't been horrible. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying he's been tremendous, but if you look

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Speaker 2: at the games he's pitched recently against Milwaukee two to

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Speaker 2: two nothing victory, six innings, no earn runs given up.

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Speaker 2: Before that, against the Dodgers at home, he lost ten nothing,

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Speaker 2: but he only gave up one earned run. The bullpen

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Speaker 2: gave up everything else. He went three and two thirds.

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Speaker 2: He only gave up and it was ten to nothing lost,

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Speaker 2: but he was pretty good before that. On the against

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Speaker 2: Washington six to one, a win. He went six, give

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Speaker 2: up one earned run against the Washington Nationals at home,

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Speaker 2: six innings, three earned runs. The worry is the bullpen

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Speaker 2: for the for the Marlins. I'm not gonna lie on that.

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Speaker 2: But the hope is that Garrett goes five six innings,

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Speaker 2: gives up two or three runs, and that the other

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Speaker 2: side only gives up one or two or three and

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Speaker 2: we have kind of a four to two baseball game

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Speaker 2: total is eight, mine's one ten. I'm gonna play under.

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Speaker 2: I know owners canna be scary, but the Marlins are

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Speaker 2: an under team at home, an under team on the year.

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Speaker 2: The Mets are an under team on the road. Take

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Speaker 2: praxicton Garrett and the Marlins under eight for one point

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Speaker 2: one units. Okay, it's Tuesday, only two bets for you

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Speaker 2: here on baseball. That's what we kind of we normally

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Speaker 2: are doing it here. It's a totals Tuesday in a

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Speaker 2: way with two bets on a Tuesday, So Tuesday two

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Speaker 2: bets to totals. The alliteration works. Plus a World Series

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Speaker 2: future with a plus to one bet with the Brewers

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Speaker 2: to win the World Series over nine Houston and the

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Speaker 2: Baltimore Orioles.

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Speaker 1: And we're playing under eight.

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Speaker 2: For the Marlins and the Mets here tonight, min Aus

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Speaker 2: Matt Parol to you guys can follow me. Oh by

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Speaker 2: the way, we have oh someone just sent me the

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Speaker 2: message on this the leader board for our Pick Contest

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Speaker 2: or NFL Pick Contest.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty cool. That's a hold on real quick on

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Speaker 1: the discort channel.

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Speaker 2: So we have seven tied at twelve and two. Seven

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Speaker 2: of you at the top are tied with a twelve

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Speaker 2: and two straight up record here so far in our

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice NFL Pick Contest with Splash Sports.

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Speaker 1: That's pretty cool.

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Speaker 2: We have three hundred to you guys basically in that

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Speaker 2: three hundred entries, seven tied at the top with a

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Speaker 2: twelve and two market. It's pretty good twelve and two

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Speaker 2: through two weeks with the wonkiness we've had so far.

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Speaker 2: Props to you guys with that straight up record here

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Speaker 2: going into week number three. I'll keep you abreast as

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Speaker 2: to what's happening each and every week. That was before

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Speaker 2: Monday night, however, so we could actually have more. Nope,

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Speaker 2: that was after Sorry, that was at nine to nineteen.

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Speaker 2: That was after so that's up to dates, so twelve

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Speaker 2: and two.

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Speaker 1: Pretty good. Nice job guys, keep it up here. We'll

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Speaker 1: see you.

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Speaker 2: We'll keep your breast of Once we get to like

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Speaker 2: one or two or three, I'll start calling out team names.

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Speaker 2: But seven of you tied to the top, competing for

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Speaker 2: pretty good payout for fifty bucks. So min as Matt

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Speaker 2: Parreltz following me on all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning, it is the Dili

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Speaker 2: Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by olmah stakes

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Speaker 2: dot Com