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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk.

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Speaker 2: Matt to follow me on Twitter. We are here early,

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Speaker 2: really early. More on that in a second. This podcast

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by bet MGM. The offer for

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Speaker 2: you guys who are new users a one thousand dollars

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Speaker 2: first bet offer promo code Juice. Okay, this is an

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Speaker 2: early podcast. We're not normally here this early. We're here

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Speaker 2: this early because I'm taking my daughter to the Taylorswift

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Speaker 2: concert here in Vegas tonight, and so it's three o'clock

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Speaker 2: Pacific time.

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Speaker 1: I have no idea.

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Speaker 2: The games haven't even tipped off yet tonight for the

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Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen, so I don't know how we did really well,

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Speaker 2: not well, I don't know, but the concert starts here

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Speaker 2: in a couple of hours or heading on down to

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Speaker 2: t Mobo sorry to Allegiant Stadium to go watch it.

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Speaker 2: And there was no way I was going to be

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Speaker 2: able to do a podcast after having my brain rattled

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Speaker 2: for three and a half plus hours at Taylor Swift,

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Speaker 2: So I'm taping this now. I've got two bets in

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Speaker 2: the NAA tournaments. One's a hedge, one's a play, and

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Speaker 2: then I am going to give you an NHL bet

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Speaker 2: that I like. Now, there may be something I'm going

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Speaker 2: to add in the discord channel. You guys should be

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Speaker 2: in there Bettingpros dot com slash chat or the link

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Speaker 2: underneath me here on YouTube because I might add something.

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Speaker 1: It's a big slate in the NHL.

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Speaker 2: I got one bet that I've made so far, but

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Speaker 2: I'll probably have more going just given the size of

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Speaker 2: the slate for hockey, So stay tuned.

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Speaker 1: For that coming up a little bit later on.

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Speaker 2: But say you really want to bet an NBA prop today,

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Speaker 2: Well the NBA prop bet cheat sheets a really cool

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Speaker 2: way to do that. And how you can see the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros prop bet cheat sheet is with Betting Pros Premium.

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Speaker 2: Now we are doing a contest to give away a

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Speaker 2: free year of this if you subscribe to this Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel like in comment underneath here, and when

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Speaker 2: you do, you could win the free upgrade to Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Premium at the end of the month. Whether you're

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Speaker 2: looking for access to exclusive picks, top rated player props,

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Speaker 2: or custom analysis of the way your betting performance is going,

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros Premium has the tools to help you cash

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Speaker 2: more bets. It's that simple. Don't want to wait for

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Speaker 2: the giveaway. However, at the end of the month, you

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Speaker 2: can sign up today at bettingpros dot com, slash upgrade

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Speaker 2: and start betting smarter, not harder. Okay, so I don't

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Speaker 2: know how we did, so I can't tell you about

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Speaker 2: the record. All I'm going to do is jump right

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Speaker 2: in here to the basketball games happening in the Elite eight,

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Speaker 2: happening on Saturday. And let's start with Connecticut in Gonzaga.

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Speaker 2: Here in Las Vegas, it is a late night game here.

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Speaker 2: Both these games are night games, but this is the

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Speaker 2: game of the day, Connecticut in Gonzaga.

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Speaker 1: Here's what we are doing.

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Speaker 2: If Gonzaga win this game, we win three point six units. Now, personally,

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Speaker 2: I've been hedging off of this, but I haven't done

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Speaker 2: anything officially.

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Speaker 1: This is an official hedge.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So Gonzaga, if they win, just money line they're

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Speaker 2: two point dogs, we win three point six units. As

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Speaker 2: Gonzaga at plus three sixty they win the West Region. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so because of that, and there is a scenario in

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Speaker 2: which I get burned here. Okay, if Gonzaga, sorry, if

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Speaker 2: Yukon would win by one, I'm in trouble. But I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna lay the two points here with Yukon, and it's

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Speaker 2: a hedge. Now, Yukon is twenty four eleven and one

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Speaker 2: to the number this year, way better than Gonzaga. Gonzega

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Speaker 2: is fourteen twenty and one. But that's because of what's

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Speaker 2: happened in the West Coast Conference with their numbers being

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Speaker 2: so inflated. KEMPOM, if you care about kempom's projections as

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Speaker 2: to what kempom thinks how this game is going to go,

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Speaker 2: they have as a three point win for Connecticut. They

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Speaker 2: have Connecticut winning and covering. It's going to be a

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Speaker 2: very popular pick given what can what Yukon did to Arkansas,

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Speaker 2: and how hard Gonzaga got pushed by UCLA. And there's

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Speaker 2: a very good case for Yukon to win this game.

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Speaker 2: Because it's a very good case for Yukon to be

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Speaker 2: a legitimate national championship contender. They could win the whole

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Speaker 2: thing just given where they are defensively and offensively. This

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Speaker 2: is the number one ranked offense up against the number

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Speaker 2: thirteenth ranked efficient defense strength on strength. The difference is

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Speaker 2: probably Yukon's offense against Gonzaga's defense, which at times has

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Speaker 2: been poor. Ucla had long stretches where they were not

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Speaker 2: seeing any resistance whatsoever from this Gonzaga defense. They were bad,

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Speaker 2: and they turned the ball over a ton in the

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Speaker 2: first half against Ucla. Yukon's offense is third inefficiency twenty

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Speaker 2: ninth ineffective field goal percentage. Gonzaga's defense an effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage is two hundred and thirty fifth.

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Speaker 1: That is not great.

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Speaker 2: Offensive rebounding second best in the country. Yukon's twin towers

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Speaker 2: are a problem for anybody, and we'll be a problem

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Speaker 2: for Timmy. If they get Timmy in foul trouble. It's

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Speaker 2: lights out, all right. That is the quickest way to

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Speaker 2: end Gonzaga's run is for Timmy to get into foul

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Speaker 2: trouble and it could happen with both big men going

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Speaker 2: really after him hard, and the guards are gonna have

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Speaker 2: to play much better, Drew. Timmy isn't going for thirty

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Speaker 2: five points today. Okay, he's just not. But Sounogo is

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Speaker 2: so dangerous, so tough, six', nine big, body. Dude it's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a problem to get guys off the, bench

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Speaker 2: freshmen that have played really well in big minutes as.

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Speaker 1: Well tough matchup For.

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Speaker 2: GONZAGA i hope they win because we win three point six.

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Speaker 2: Units i'm gonna lay the two points With yukon at

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Speaker 2: one point one units to hedge back off of, it

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Speaker 2: and so we either are flat on that we win

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Speaker 2: a unit and we lose a, unit so we're, flat

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Speaker 2: and you could even bet more if you. Want, okay

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Speaker 2: But i've already, Personally i've already BET. UCLA i hedged WITH,

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Speaker 2: ucla SO i took plus one thirty five for a

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Speaker 2: unit on THE ucla. Game so because of, THAT i

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Speaker 2: don't want to GET i don't want to bet. More

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Speaker 2: but let's say you didn't do that and you Rode

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Speaker 2: gonzaga Through. Ucla you could bet literally one point five,

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Speaker 2: units one point even two units if you want coming

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Speaker 2: back on, this just to guarantee your self. Profit that's

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Speaker 2: if you have The gonzaga, ticket you can play off of.

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Speaker 1: It you can guarantee.

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Speaker 2: Yourself i'm just going to guarantee THAT i don't, lose

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Speaker 2: because Either i'm going to lose two units to win

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Speaker 2: three point six OR i will be flat As i'll

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Speaker 2: come back and win one unit to cover that. One

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Speaker 2: i'll tepically be down the, head SO i will have

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Speaker 2: lost money on it totally, personally but not, officially SO

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Speaker 2: i will.

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Speaker 1: End game like crazy because of.

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Speaker 2: That so in game betting has been huge for me

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Speaker 2: here in this, tournament will be huge in this basketball

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Speaker 2: game as, well trying to make a unit to cover

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Speaker 2: in CASE i get this. Wrong but, officially we're either

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Speaker 2: going to win a unit to cover the loss On

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Speaker 2: gonzaga or we're gonna lou or we're gonna win two

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Speaker 2: point six units With gonzaga winning or two point five

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Speaker 2: units With gonzaga winning The west yukon minus two to

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Speaker 2: one point one units down on that officially here for

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Speaker 2: This elite eight, matchup game number, two it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a fun. One Florida atlantic In Kansas. State noel is

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Speaker 2: such a, Player he's so Good Florida. Atlantic i've been

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Speaker 2: wrong all over the place With Florida, atlantic And i'm

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be wrong here. AGAIN i just can't get

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Speaker 2: Past Florida. Atlantic their three point shot is a huge.

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Speaker 2: Weapon their defense is so tough to figure. Out their

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Speaker 2: defense is so difficult to contain and to battle. WITH

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Speaker 2: i think we're gonna be in for a really, fun

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Speaker 2: fun basketball, game BUT i don't think it's gonna be.

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Speaker 1: All that high.

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Speaker 2: SCORING i, Mean Florida, atlantic this is a team that

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Speaker 2: wants to shut you down in the. Tournament they've been

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Speaker 2: an under machine in their conference tournament and THE Intaa.

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Speaker 2: Tournament every game but one has gone. Under Against tennessee

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Speaker 2: went under by twelve. POINTS i want to take K, State,

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Speaker 2: OKAY i want to lay the points with K, state

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Speaker 2: But i'm so wrong And i've been so wrong About Kansas.

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Speaker 2: State i'm going to lay the two. Points i've been

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Speaker 2: wrong ABOUT. Fau, Rather i'm going to lay the two points.

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Speaker 2: Personally BUT i just think that If i'm wrong and

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Speaker 2: K state winds up losing this, game this game is

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Speaker 2: going to go. Under and this is a top thirty

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Speaker 2: defense up against a top thirty five. Offense it's a

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Speaker 2: top twenty six and twenty sixth in efficiency for, offense

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Speaker 2: twenty seventh in defense For Kansas. State field goal effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage twenty fifth to sixtieth for K state's.

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Speaker 2: Defense Case state's offense is eighty three eighty thirdeen in

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Speaker 2: thirteenth or. Fau the big problem Is noel's, ankle, okay

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Speaker 2: and that thing probably swelled up like a. Balloon how

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Speaker 2: effective is he going to be after injuring it really

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Speaker 2: badly in the last. Game that's the one reason WHY

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Speaker 2: i can't Take kansas, officially BUT i can't take the

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Speaker 2: under because if he can't, go their offense is not

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Speaker 2: going to be effective at. ALL i had twenty assists

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Speaker 2: in the last. GAME i just think the under is

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Speaker 2: a good play here in this. Game AND i know

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Speaker 2: there's not a ton of data that says go ahead

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Speaker 2: and bet the, under except that we've seen unders be

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Speaker 2: really prevalent. Here it's one forty four and a half

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Speaker 2: from a total, PERSPECTIVE i know that's a low, total

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Speaker 2: AND i, MEAN i hate to say, this BUT i

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Speaker 2: mean BECAUSE i think it's you Know Ken palm's numbers

184
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Speaker 2: at one forty seven for this. GAME i just think

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Speaker 2: IF's If noel's ankle ankle is a, problem this game

186
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Speaker 2: is going to go. Under and if it's a, PROBLEM

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Speaker 2: fa is probably gonna win as. Well i'm gonna lay

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Speaker 2: the under one point one units down On Florida atlantic

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Speaker 2: And Kansas, state even though the numbers tend to say

190
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Speaker 2: seventeen seventeen and ONE, fau they're flat. There Kansas state

191
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Speaker 2: nineteen and sixteen to the. Over last three games have

192
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Speaker 2: all gone. Over last game because of The Michigan state

193
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Speaker 2: game going to overtime went way over by fifty three,

194
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Speaker 2: points but the two previous games at one forty two

195
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Speaker 2: and one thirty nine and a half went over by

196
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Speaker 2: two and two and a half. POINTS i think it's

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Speaker 2: more of a return to that type of. GAME i

198
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Speaker 2: think it's a grinder of basketball. Game Case, STATE i

199
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Speaker 2: want to. Lay i'm gonna lay the two points WITH

200
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Speaker 2: Kse state, personally but, Officially i'm going to bet the

201
00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:22,120
Speaker 2: under one forty four and a half For Florida atlantic

202
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Speaker 2: And Kansas. State now one bet in hockey to tell

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Speaker 2: you about The Vancouver canucks are on the road at

204
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Speaker 2: The Dallas. Stars vancouver on the year is twenty five

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Speaker 2: nine and one to the.

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Speaker 1: Over on the.

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Speaker 2: Road they have slowed down dramatically of. Late, okay they're

208
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Speaker 2: not scoring nearly as, much but they're still six and

209
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Speaker 2: four to the over on the Road dallas at, Home

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Speaker 2: dallas and homes a very good team eighteen to nine

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Speaker 2: and Nine dallas is seventeen seventeen and two at home

212
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Speaker 2: flat to the. Over so you got to look at

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Speaker 2: what's been happening recently for them at home five to,

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Speaker 2: four in three to two so far in this homestand

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00:10:57,640 --> 00:10:59,559
Speaker 2: but in the two games they've played Against vancouver this

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Speaker 2: year five to four in five to, two the total

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Speaker 2: is six in this game juice to the over at

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Speaker 2: minus one. Twenty AND i can't resist. THIS i just

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Speaker 2: can't resist the number With, vancouver with the way they've been,

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Speaker 2: playing the way they've been playing on the, road to

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Speaker 2: not lay the over for, six it's just it's too

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Speaker 2: tantalizing on the road, recently on that whole last road,

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Speaker 2: trip every game went under two to, one three.

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Speaker 1: To, two three to.

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Speaker 2: Two, okay they had a long home stand in which

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Speaker 2: most of the games went, over but they Played dallas

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Speaker 2: five to, four went over against The blues three to,

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Speaker 2: two but The predators five to. Four it went Over

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Speaker 2: islanders five to, two went Over islanders six to, five

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Speaker 2: went Over rangers four to, Three devil's five to. Four,

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Speaker 2: Okay SO i know that recently they've been an under,

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Speaker 2: team BUT i think the numbers that could have been

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Speaker 2: just a little blip anomaly on that Last West coast

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Speaker 2: road trip with The, Ducks, kings And. Coyotes vancouver has

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Speaker 2: been playing really well and it doesn't make a whole

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Speaker 2: lot of sense as to why they're playing so. HARD i,

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Speaker 2: mean they're playing themselves right out of you, know the

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Speaker 2: high draft, picks and, no maybe that's what they. Want

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Speaker 2: they weren't going to be in the badard SUPs suit

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Speaker 2: sticks at. All BUT i mean they're eight and two

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Speaker 2: over their last ten, games mostly because they're.

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Speaker 1: Scoring dallas is really good at.

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Speaker 2: Home dallas scores over Six vancouver And dallas for one

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Speaker 2: point two. Units we're going to jump in on that

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Speaker 2: coming up here For, saturday all, Right so we're going

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Speaker 2: with The yukon minus two hedge on The gonzaga. Future

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Speaker 2: we're taking the under one forty four and a half

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Speaker 2: For Florida atlantic In Kansas state that game IN msg

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Speaker 2: In New, york and taking the over six goals For

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Speaker 2: dallas And vancouver here on A.

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Speaker 1: Saturday.

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Speaker 2: AGAIN i was anything That i'm going to, Add i'll

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Speaker 2: do it in the discord channel bettingpros Dot com slash

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Speaker 2: chat to jump. IN i apologize for the scene coming

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Speaker 2: out so, early but had to be done Minus Matt

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Speaker 2: parrelt following me On twitter At Sports Talk. Matt every single,

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Speaker 2: morning it's The Daily jues podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 2: BY betemgm

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Speaker 1: And pside To them person