1 00:00:01,440 --> 00:00:06,280 Speaker 1: The volume for a limited time. You can save up 2 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:11,000 Speaker 1: to forty percent off on an NFL Plus Premium annual 3 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:14,960 Speaker 1: subscription when you sign up through Plus Play from Verizon 4 00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Plus Play. It is a platform where you can shop, manage, 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: and save on the subscriptions you already love like NFL Plus. 6 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 1: With NFL Plus Premium, you get access to live games 7 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:29,360 Speaker 1: on mobile, NFL Red Zone, NFL Network, and more so, 8 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: you can watch multiple games all at once on any 9 00:00:33,080 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: screen around you for updates, never miss a touchdown. That's simple, 10 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: and for fantasy players, NFL Plus Premium makes all the difference. 11 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 1: Access to programming like Fantasy Live through the NFL Network 12 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 1: Red Zone for tracking player performances on a Sunday, access 13 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 1: to live local and primetime games, access to Fantasy Plus. 14 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 1: Just go to Verizon dot com slash NFL to get 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: NFL Plus Premium today. That's forty percent off an annual subscription, 16 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: just fifty nine ninety nine for the full season. Get 17 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: it before it's gone. Hi, everybody, and welcome in sharp 18 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: or Square with Chad Milman. A lot of games to discuss. 19 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: I give him my six or seven that interests me. 20 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: Then he gives me a couple I haven't thought about, 21 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,120 Speaker 1: and we'll get into that. You know, as I was 22 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: watching the game tonight, obviously Saquon Barkley's out, Andrew Thomas 23 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 1: left tackle is out for the Giants, Brandon Au star 24 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 1: receiver was out for San Francisco. But I mean, this 25 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 1: was a ten and a half point spread. It is interesting, 26 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 1: and I don't want to do recency bias right and 27 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: be a victim of that. But so this game was 28 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 1: ten and a half. Houston at the Jags, Jags favored 29 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: by nine and a half, Dallas at Arizona, Dallas favorite 30 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,919 Speaker 1: by twelve and a half, Chicago at Kansas City, Kansas 31 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 1: City favored by twelve and a half. Those are like 32 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: college numbers, and I think there's always been double digit spreads, 33 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: but for double digit spreads this early in the season, 34 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: it shows you the gap and quarterback play and the 35 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: significance of quarterback play, you know, Trevor Lawrence against c. J. Stroud, 36 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: Dak Prescott against Josh Dobbs, justin fields against Patrick Mahomes so, 37 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: and I think that's just where the league is. I 38 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 1: had said this years ago, my only concern about the 39 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 1: NFL once they cleaned up the hitting, because of the 40 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: you know the CTE, the nine hundred million or so 41 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: dollar check the NFL wrote. They cleaned it up. You know, 42 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: we have concussion concerns, but it's the safest the sport 43 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: has been in my life. Also, the practices, there's less hitting, 44 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: fewer players, star players play in the preseason. I think 45 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: they're going to cut the preseason down to two games. 46 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: And so you know, if you generally look at the 47 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,320 Speaker 1: end of the year, the final four teams, they are 48 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 1: overwhelmingly healthy. Very few players are lost for the season. 49 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 1: Though it happens Trayvon Diggs for the Cowboys at practice. 50 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: That's just a gutting loss for Dallas. But as a 51 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: sport becomes more quarterback centric, you're going to have these 52 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: wider gaps in point spreads. But you know, one of 53 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 1: the things I was thinking about this today driving home 54 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 1: from work is that, you know, the NFL has certain 55 00:03:29,480 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: advantages on other sports. Let's take baseball. Well, there's one 56 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty two baseball games seventeen football games. So 57 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: there's always been an urgency advantage to the NFL. But 58 00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: as we're a more distracted country, why has the gap 59 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: in baseball and football The ratings and interest. Why is 60 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: it so great now? And I think a lot of 61 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: it is. And I've noticed this in terms of consumption. 62 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,120 Speaker 1: People tend to read headlines, they don't read entire stories. 63 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 1: We're less patient because of our iPhones. We want things immediately. 64 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: We want big headlines, big stars, big brands, and people 65 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: just don't have the patients. And you have to have 66 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: patients to watch baseball. And I think we're a less 67 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: patient nation. But I also think the reality is the 68 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 1: NFL has always thought of itself as a football show 69 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 1: at a TV show and baseball. I'll give you an example. 70 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 1: You know, in analytics, if you can get a two 71 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: percent three percent edge in baseball, you just do it. 72 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: You don't think about how it hurts the TV product 73 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,799 Speaker 1: that it takes a star pitcher out of a game. 74 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: Can you imagine in the NFL, if you had a 75 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: one percent advantage over the course of a year in 76 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: getting two more first downs per game and half a 77 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: point a game over the season, if it was determined 78 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: that you pull your starting quarterback with five minutes to 79 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: go in the third quarter, that you'd on the a 80 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: season average one and a half more first downs a 81 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: game and half a point you say to yourself, oh, 82 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: you would do it. No, you wouldn't. In football. Part 83 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: of the drama and the fun in football and part 84 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: of what's been lost in baseball and baseball you go 85 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: to the bullpen. If the analytics say pull the starter, 86 00:05:17,360 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter if he's pitching, well, it's six and 87 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: a third, it's arm fatigue, he's out. And in football, 88 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 1: you just play a star quarterback even if he's struggling, right, 89 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: you just do. And I think the sport of football, 90 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 1: you know, tonight's a prime example of you know, you 91 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 1: had to mismatch giants, row a lot, a lot of 92 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 1: injuries to deal with, beat up a little bit. This 93 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: was not your classic star quarterback, average quarterback. San Francisco 94 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 1: is really the only team in the league that is 95 00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl contender and doesn't have what's considered like 96 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 1: a high end quarterback. But you know, as I was 97 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:53,240 Speaker 1: thinking about this today, is I watched this game until 98 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,159 Speaker 1: the very end tonight. Why it wasn't competitive? And I 99 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 1: think a lot of it is you play your stars. 100 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 1: You play your star if they're healthy, they play. You 101 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 1: don't pull them out because of analytics. You don't pull 102 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: them out because of weather. You don't rest people just 103 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: because you know. You watch this game tonight and Christian 104 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: McCaffrey is running that football in the fourth quarter and 105 00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 1: you know over the course of the season he doesn't 106 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: need those extra six seven carries. And Deebo Samuel's getting 107 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: hammered and George Kittle is getting hammered until the very end. 108 00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: And I think, like the NFL, even though this was 109 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:30,480 Speaker 1: a ten and a half point spread, it really never 110 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:32,160 Speaker 1: felt in the second half like it was going to 111 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: be competitive. You're just waiting to see if the forty 112 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 1: nine ers hold on and cover right. But I think 113 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: that one of the great things about football is not 114 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 1: only the urgency, but it is a great television show, 115 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 1: and the stars play beginning, middle end, doesn't have no 116 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: matter how much you lead by Kittle's getting the ball, 117 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: Deebo's getting the ball, Mcaffy's getting the ball, rock Perty's 118 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 1: going to stay in the game. And I find it 119 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 1: to be just a really good television product. That's not 120 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: to say that baseball doesn't have its moments, but you 121 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 1: pull starting pitchers because of pitch counts, even if they're 122 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: pitching well. And tonight is like the power of the 123 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 1: NFL to me, not really competitive. Ten and a half 124 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 1: points spread. I mean at halftime it felt like I mean, 125 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: the Giants could not run the football. Daniel Jones trailing 126 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 1: without one of his better young receivers either available or 127 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: playing many snaps, no chance to win that game. But 128 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 1: it held me. And that's the power of football, you know. 129 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: I think there's not a ton of takeaway from a 130 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 1: game like this. Brock Pretty. You know, it was obvious 131 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: the game plan puts some pressure on him. But you know, 132 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 1: what he does is what people have complained about about 133 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 1: justin fields. He sees it and lets it rip. A 134 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:43,880 Speaker 1: couple of times they put like ten guys in the 135 00:07:43,920 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 1: box near the gold line and he just got rid 136 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: of it. He didn't hold it. He sees it, lets 137 00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: it go, and he delivers it accurately. And that's just 138 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: a big component of this game. So I think brock Pretty, 139 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: I don't think anybody watches him and thinks big arm, 140 00:07:56,680 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: great athlete. But there are these systems. Miami and San 141 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: Francisco are the two greatest examples. Get that ball, see 142 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: the field and let it go. And if there's pressure 143 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: live for another down, let it go. And I think 144 00:08:11,840 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: Tua and Brock Purty are very similar that way. Not 145 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 1: big physical presence, not big arms, not wildly mobile. But 146 00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: those coaches, Mike McDaniel and Kyle Shanahan, see what they 147 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: are great distributors. You know, I was always a Chris 148 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 1: Paul fan. The point God. I always liked distribution, first, 149 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: scoring second. Chris could give you twenty eight points. He 150 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,120 Speaker 1: could go on a streak, but Chris would defend, Chris 151 00:08:36,160 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: would lead, Chris would set up others a little fall away, 152 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 1: you know, behind the back movie does with one hand 153 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: and gets that little fallaway at the free throw angle. 154 00:08:46,000 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: And I think that's what brought Purty into a do 155 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 1: now both have incredible weapons. I said this last week, 156 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:54,360 Speaker 1: I sign up for a Dolphins forty nine Ers super 157 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: Bowl today, I would take it to the bank. I 158 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 1: think there's only three teams in the league right now 159 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: that are really playing great football. San Francisco, Miami in Dallas. 160 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: Everybody else. Philadelphia has got a little bit of an 161 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: identity crisis. Baltimore's a little banged up. I think everybody 162 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 1: else is just Buffalo. They got to clean up their 163 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: offense and please they have to establish a run game. Consistently. 164 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:22,839 Speaker 1: I think Kansas City's scary because they're not playing well 165 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 1: and they still went down to Jacksonville and hammered the Jags, 166 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: and that defense is going to be the best Patrick 167 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 1: Malmes has had as a pro. So tonight didn't take 168 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 1: much out of it. But the fact that that game 169 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,120 Speaker 1: held me I was never born. I was totally into it. 170 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:39,959 Speaker 1: There's also the fantasy football component to it, but stars 171 00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: play to the end. Nobody's pulling a starter, and that's 172 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 1: what I love about this game. We're back with another 173 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 1: week of football and Draftking Sportsbook is keeping us in 174 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: on all the NFL action great offers. Every single game, 175 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 1: New customers can bet five dollars and get two hundred 176 00:09:57,240 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 1: dollars instantly in bonus bets, throw five down on any 177 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: of the week's epic matchups, walk away an instant winter 178 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: DraftKings is not stopping there. All customers take advantage of 179 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: two new offers every game this September. Football is more 180 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: fun when you're in the action, no question about it. 181 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:15,680 Speaker 1: Download the app now, sign up code Colin. That's me 182 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 1: Coli in. New customers bet just five bucks and get 183 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:23,160 Speaker 1: two hundred dollars instantly in bonus bets only on DraftKings Sportsbook, 184 00:10:23,160 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: an official sports betting partner of the NFL, with the 185 00:10:25,559 --> 00:10:33,280 Speaker 1: code Colin. The Crown is yours time for another edition 186 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: of Sharp or Square. Chad Milman CEEO of the Action Network. 187 00:10:36,920 --> 00:10:40,079 Speaker 1: All odds provided by DraftKings Rocky Start. But you know what, 188 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:43,719 Speaker 1: I've had a lot of turbulent flights that land perfectly, 189 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:45,560 Speaker 1: so I don't care. I'm not bothered by it. 190 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 2: Colin I said last week, you wear it well. The pressure, 191 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 2: it doesn't. 192 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 1: Get to you. 193 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:53,600 Speaker 2: You wake up in the morning and you're like, this 194 00:10:53,679 --> 00:10:54,959 Speaker 2: is a day for opportunity. 195 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 1: So my first one is Pittsburgh plus two and a 196 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 1: half at Vegas. Here's why. So there's a lot of 197 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: elements of Pittsburgh I really like, and then there's one 198 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 1: offensive line play Kenny Pickett. I think he's regressed, but 199 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: I do think there's a sense of urgency. Literally, his 200 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 1: coordinator offensive coordinator for the Steelers boot at the Stadium 201 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 1: ripped unmercifully. Mike Tomlin addressed it. I do think you'll 202 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:26,319 Speaker 1: get a fairly inspired effort. I do feel that facing 203 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 1: Cleveland's defense, which is really good, and the Niners defense, 204 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:35,080 Speaker 1: which is spectacular to the Raiders defense feels like a 205 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:38,960 Speaker 1: slumber party. I'm going to take the points, Pittsburgh overall, 206 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: good roster. I think this is a I think a 207 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 1: lot of Kenny Pickett's issues. He may have faced two 208 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 1: of the top four defenses in the league. I'm gonna 209 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 1: take Pittsburgh plus the point Sharper square. 210 00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 2: I feel like everything I say right now is fraught 211 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:57,640 Speaker 2: with tension because the stress levels are so high about 212 00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:02,080 Speaker 2: turning around the blazing five, I tell you right now, 213 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:06,320 Speaker 2: not my stress, oh high. There's so much pressure right now. 214 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 2: I need you to be listening to me. The wise 215 00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:13,080 Speaker 2: guys are all over the Raiders here, Colin. Like this 216 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 2: line opened at Raiders plus one and a half on 217 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 2: Sunday night, and immediately even before the Monday night game 218 00:12:22,559 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 2: with the Browns, the wise guys were betting this game. 219 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 2: It's now Raiders minus two and a half. And I 220 00:12:27,000 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 2: can give you a bunch of trends that would actually say, 221 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 2: you know what, in this spot, at this number, you 222 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 2: kind of do want to back the Steelers. 223 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: But here's the problem. 224 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:38,600 Speaker 2: We can all agree that the Chicago Bears right now 225 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,839 Speaker 2: are the biggest train wreck of a team in the 226 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 2: NFL the past twenty four to forty eight hours have 227 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 2: not been kind to the Chicago Bears. They've had three 228 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:51,040 Speaker 2: red zone trips in the first two weeks of the season. 229 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 2: There's one team that has made fewer red zone trips 230 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 2: than the Chicago Bears. It is the Pittsburgh Steelers. This 231 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 2: rush defense going to the other side of the ball 232 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,040 Speaker 2: is not very good right now. We saw it with 233 00:13:05,120 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 2: Nick Chubb before he was out. He was on his 234 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:10,280 Speaker 2: way to one hundred yards in the first half. His 235 00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 2: backup broke a big run had more than one hundred yards. 236 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:17,640 Speaker 2: So I'm a little concerned about this Steelers defense right 237 00:13:17,679 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 2: now as well. So the wise guys are on the Raiders. 238 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 1: I like the Chargers plus one at Minnesota for a 239 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: lot of reasons. One, I think they're a much better team. 240 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 1: Quarterback advantage now between Mike McDaniel and Vrabel, huge coaching 241 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 1: age over Brandon Staley. I don't feel it's quite that 242 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: much of a disadvantage this week. I think Vrabel's one 243 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:42,000 Speaker 1: of the top five coaches in the league, and I 244 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 1: think McDaniel, maybe along with Kyle Shanahana McVeigh and he Reid, 245 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,480 Speaker 1: the smartest guy. You know that the IVY League. Guy, 246 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: I think this is the entire organization. This is the 247 00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: biggest Charger game outside of a playoff game that I remember. 248 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:01,560 Speaker 1: This is a better team with a better roster. And 249 00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: the truth is the Vikings run game with cam Akers 250 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: could be good. It's not. Now it'll become very Kirk 251 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: Cousins dependent. I'm going to take the Chargers plus the 252 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 1: point sharper square. 253 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 2: This is a total pro jo game. And what I 254 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 2: mean by that is the higher number of bets are 255 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 2: on the Chargers. When you have a higher number of bets, 256 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 2: that's usually the square side. That's the public, the money, 257 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 2: the professionals, the wise guys are on the Vikings. And 258 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: so you're kind of be in square here. But I 259 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 2: will tell you there's no model that anyone is running 260 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 2: that says, oh yeah, there's an advantage with Minnesota. Both 261 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 2: teams are owing to Both teams have shown some promise 262 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 2: and some really bad performances. I would say that with 263 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 2: the Vikings, Kirk Cousins has been on fire right. He 264 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 2: was amazing in both of his games. His completion percentage 265 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:05,200 Speaker 2: is amongst the top three in the NFL. His total yards, 266 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 2: his QB rating his yards per attempt. He's having a 267 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 2: great year, Justin Herbert might have one of the best 268 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 2: rosters in the NFL offensively, and they cannot win. Remember 269 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 2: last week we had a conversation. You were talking about 270 00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 2: the Chargers against the Titans, and I'm like, look, I 271 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:22,560 Speaker 2: know everything you're going to say about the Titans, but 272 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 2: they have Mike Rabel, a better coach, like you just said, 273 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 2: and it's a coaching mismatch with Brandon Staley. I beg 274 00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,840 Speaker 2: you to take the Titans. All of that is still true, right, 275 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 2: Brandon Staley is just not a very good NFL head coach, 276 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 2: and he doesn't imbue his team with confidence, and that 277 00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 2: leads to miscues, that leads to bad play calling. So 278 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 2: to me, I'm either playing Minnesota or I'm passing. At 279 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:48,440 Speaker 2: this point, I haven't done. I bet on Minnesota. But 280 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:50,479 Speaker 2: the wise guys do not like the Chargers. 281 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: Here all right, Buffalo at Washington. What's the current line? 282 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: All of our odds provided by DraftKings five and a 283 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: half ish. 284 00:15:58,240 --> 00:15:59,880 Speaker 2: The last I saw was six. 285 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,840 Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna tell a why. Like Washington, I know 286 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:07,480 Speaker 1: I'm a square. The weather that is forming it could 287 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: be a mess. A mess. Every year there is a 288 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 1: team that we look up about week six or seven 289 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 1: and go, they're kind of good. So Sam Howell last 290 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 1: three starts, ninety five passer rating, two good receivers, excellent back, 291 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:30,000 Speaker 1: defensive fronts. The strength of the team. Buffalo still can't run, 292 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 1: can struggle to protect the quarterback. Don't overview the Raider win. 293 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 1: Raiders are pretty average team, better at home. Average team. 294 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: I think Washington is the New York Giants of last 295 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: year that you look up and go, it's kind of 296 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 1: a good team with some really good players. They've drafted. 297 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 1: We think of Dan Snyder, we think hot mess. They've 298 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 1: done a pretty good job in the draft. I think 299 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:56,760 Speaker 1: I would take Washington in really sloppy weather, in the 300 00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:58,880 Speaker 1: points Sharper square totally sharp. 301 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 2: Wise guys are on the commite and the line actually 302 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 2: at DraftKings right now six and a half. It's been 303 00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:08,040 Speaker 2: basically in that six six and a half range. Honestly 304 00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 2: since before Week two that was the look aheadline was 305 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 2: Buffalo minus six. The Wise guys are on it. I 306 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 2: think they too feel like Sam Howell might be a player. 307 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:23,240 Speaker 2: He's made some throws, he's stuck around the game plan. 308 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,919 Speaker 1: Hey, last week go ahead. Greg Cosell told me today, 309 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 1: I said, I comped him with Baker Mayfield. He said, Oh, 310 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 1: he's more athletic, and really when he plants and throws, 311 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:38,120 Speaker 1: has a stronger arm. Baker Mayfield was a number one pick. Like, yes, 312 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:39,399 Speaker 1: Sam can play a little. 313 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 2: He's very confident. Right. There was a throw last weekend 314 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 2: where he had a check down right in front of 315 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:50,040 Speaker 2: him to the running back and instead he launched it 316 00:17:50,080 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 2: to Terry McLaurin in the end zone. And he knew 317 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 2: he was throwing into coverage, but he trusted his receiver, 318 00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:57,880 Speaker 2: he trusted his placement, and he got the ball into 319 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 2: the end zone and they ended up winning that game. 320 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 2: And you've also seen like what Eric the Enemy has 321 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 2: done with that team, that game plan in the second half, 322 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:09,439 Speaker 2: a lot of them was throwing screenings and putting Howell 323 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 2: in a position to succeed, and then the Broncos not 324 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:15,840 Speaker 2: being able to make defensive adjustments. And so I think 325 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 2: the wise guys are starting to believe in Sam Howell. 326 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,120 Speaker 2: And I do think the weather, look it can be 327 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,359 Speaker 2: you know, tropical rain up and down the East coast, 328 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: So I do think that's playing a factor. 329 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:32,480 Speaker 1: So I am loath to take big numbers. I don't 330 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 1: like to, I've never liked to. But Kansas City's defense 331 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:39,639 Speaker 1: is really good getting better. Young defenses are prone to this. 332 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,960 Speaker 1: Chicago's had a noisy, messy week. We have moved to 333 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:48,639 Speaker 1: stage five of failing quarterbacks blame. It gets really ugly. 334 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: There's coaching issues, coordinator quits, everybody's finger pointing. So Kansas 335 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 1: City has played really two poor games as they try 336 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:01,960 Speaker 1: to get their receiving core right, and could have won 337 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,719 Speaker 1: both and did win one over good Jacksonville team. I 338 00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 1: hate big numbers, but if there's a game that looks 339 00:19:07,040 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 1: like thirty to seven, like there's one every couple weeks, 340 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 1: I think I would take the Chiefs minus twelve and 341 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 1: a half. And I know it's square, but I feel 342 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 1: comfortable with it sharper square. 343 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 2: Well, yeah, of course it's square, but I can't say 344 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,199 Speaker 2: it's square in that like I'm just checking the numbers 345 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:24,440 Speaker 2: here to make sure how to make sure of how 346 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 2: square it really is. I can't say that it's square, like, Okay, 347 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 2: the wise guys are all jumping on the Bears right now. 348 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 2: They're not. I think a lot of people are concerned 349 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,120 Speaker 2: about the Bears, and normally they would they would jump 350 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:40,719 Speaker 2: all over the Bears at plus twelve and a half 351 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 2: because it's such a big number. In look throughout his career. 352 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 2: You put Patrick Mahomes in this kind of situation and 353 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 2: he does not cover because the numbers for Patrick Mahomes 354 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,639 Speaker 2: as a favorite are always so big, and the bigger 355 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 2: the number, the harder it is to cover. Right now, 356 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 2: seventy two percent of the bets about out sixty percent 357 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:02,720 Speaker 2: of the money. So what I will tell you is 358 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:06,679 Speaker 2: that while not all of the money a sort of 359 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 2: ratio of more money than tickets on the Bears, there 360 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 2: is enough money on the Bears to make me think 361 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:17,560 Speaker 2: there's some wise guy syndicates that are playing the Bears 362 00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 2: because the number is so big. But you're not wrong 363 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,880 Speaker 2: about the Bears. Like yesterday, you know, I'm from Chicago, 364 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:29,440 Speaker 2: and immediately when the news about the defensive coordinator resigning 365 00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 2: came up, I was on a tex chain with my buddies, 366 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 2: even though I was in a very important business meeting, 367 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 2: and we were all sort of apoplectic about it. And 368 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:43,760 Speaker 2: then Nathan Peterman was cut and my immediate response was, 369 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 2: oh my god. The Bears are in such bad shape 370 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:49,880 Speaker 2: that they decided cutting Nathan Peterman would be the perfect 371 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 2: smoke screen to distract everybody from the fact things are 372 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:57,919 Speaker 2: just terrible for the Bears. So I can't blame you 373 00:20:57,960 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 2: for wanting to bet the Chiefs here. I would not 374 00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:03,680 Speaker 2: play game. I think there's too many things that are 375 00:21:03,720 --> 00:21:08,359 Speaker 2: sort of systemically wrong to feel comfortable playing putting a 376 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 2: bet on this game. 377 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 1: So again, this is a week where I like some favorites. 378 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 1: Miami minus six and a half seven, I'd pass seven 379 00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 1: and a half. I may consider Denver, but minus six 380 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: and a half a home opener for a team that 381 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 1: has played a really talented Charger team in the road 382 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,360 Speaker 1: and a very good defensive team in New England. Now 383 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 1: you have a Denver team in which Greg co Sell 384 00:21:28,800 --> 00:21:33,199 Speaker 1: said today they are missing open looks. The defense has 385 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:37,360 Speaker 1: been incredibly discouraging. The old line is new. Cohesion's an issue. 386 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 1: Russell has been awful in the second half. He's bad 387 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 1: off script. And I had an executive in the league 388 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 1: who I trust in personnel, and he said, Colin, I 389 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,239 Speaker 1: know you love Russell. He said, there's two weeks ago 390 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:51,120 Speaker 1: he said, this is it. This is what he is now. 391 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 1: You can script him up. There's no juice beyond that, 392 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 1: and I think Miami could be the best coached team 393 00:21:56,800 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 1: in the league, head coach to top coordinator. I'd lay 394 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: the minus six and a half seven. Probably stay away, 395 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 1: but half a point matters Miami. Sharper square, You're being 396 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: really square. 397 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,119 Speaker 2: I hate to say it, and listen, I hate asking 398 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:13,520 Speaker 2: you to do this when you're on the kind of 399 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,640 Speaker 2: streak that you're on, but this is how you fight 400 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,919 Speaker 2: your way back is you make hard choices. You're a 401 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:23,600 Speaker 2: very you're a very, very successful, successful person in every 402 00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:27,200 Speaker 2: aspect of your life. Your wife is beautiful. You're a magnate, 403 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 2: you're a media magnate. You're a radio audio legend, Hall 404 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 2: of Famer, hall of famer. You've had to make hard 405 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 2: choices before, and I hate, I hate asking you to 406 00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:43,639 Speaker 2: do this, but this is like the biggest pros Joe's 407 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:47,360 Speaker 2: Game of the week. Right. You're never going to get 408 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 2: higher inflation on Miami than you are right now, and 409 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:55,000 Speaker 2: you're never going to get more value on the Broncos 410 00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 2: than you are right now. Everything about this screams you 411 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:00,360 Speaker 2: got to take the Broncos, and everything you're saying abou 412 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,040 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson is right. Look as soon as they get 413 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,119 Speaker 2: to the second half and everyone else has made adjustments, 414 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 2: he looks lost. 415 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:07,119 Speaker 1: He looks old. 416 00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 2: You could see it last week in that game against 417 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:13,199 Speaker 2: Washington he had that fumble and the ball was right 418 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 2: in front of him and he It was reminiscent of 419 00:23:16,800 --> 00:23:21,200 Speaker 2: that very famous photo of y a Tittle when he's 420 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,720 Speaker 2: on his knees and there's blood dripping down from his 421 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 2: head and he just sort of looks like an old 422 00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:29,879 Speaker 2: football player, Right, That's sort of what that felt like 423 00:23:29,960 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 2: to me. He just sort of he wasn't there, Like 424 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 2: he definitely is not the same player. And it's a bummer. 425 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:42,640 Speaker 2: But the Broncos have also been one of the unluckiest 426 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 2: teams in the NFL. And I don't say that sort 427 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 2: of as a broad generic term. On Action Network, we 428 00:23:49,640 --> 00:23:54,199 Speaker 2: actually have something called the Luck Rankings, which categorizes the 429 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,159 Speaker 2: sort of inconsistent events that can impact a game and 430 00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 2: normalizes what should have happened right if you take out turnovers, 431 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 2: weird circumstances, et cetera. The Broncos are the second most 432 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 2: unluckiest team and this is sort of the biggest luck 433 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:13,240 Speaker 2: gap that we have second biggest luck gap that we have. 434 00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 2: Also one thing, I'll say Sean Payton after Mike Tomlin, 435 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 2: second most profitable coach as an underdog the past twenty years. 436 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 2: So if I am going to bet on a team 437 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 2: in a situation in which they are zero and two, 438 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,320 Speaker 2: I'm probably going to bet on Sean Payton in this scenario. 439 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 2: One more stat I'll give you teams playing their first 440 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:39,160 Speaker 2: home game in week two, so we're talking about I'm sorry, 441 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,040 Speaker 2: the first home game in week three. So we're talking 442 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:46,760 Speaker 2: about the Dolphins here when they are a favorite of 443 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 2: three or more in the last twenty years twelve, twenty 444 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 2: one and two. So I don't like the number. I 445 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:57,639 Speaker 2: don't like the spot, I don't like the circumstances. But 446 00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,080 Speaker 2: I don't like having to tell you to do this 447 00:24:59,200 --> 00:24:59,640 Speaker 2: right now. 448 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,199 Speaker 1: Okay, now we do. I ask you a game that 449 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 1: I haven't a strong, definitive opinion, then you give me 450 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,119 Speaker 1: when I should bet. The one I'm fascinated with is 451 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:12,040 Speaker 1: New Orleans at Green Bay Packers now minus one and 452 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 1: a half. So a lot of hand holding so far 453 00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,360 Speaker 1: with Jordan love Yep, David BOCHTII, Christian Watson. I think 454 00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: it's sort of unfair to jump to any conclusions on 455 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,960 Speaker 1: Jordan without Christian Watson. He is their track star. He 456 00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 1: is their deep threat. When he's on the field, it 457 00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 1: changes coverage. Bochtari is a top five pass blocking left tackle, 458 00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,760 Speaker 1: so health this could be a game time bet based 459 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 1: on health. But this is our Where would you go 460 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 1: with this bet of the week. I'm just interested in 461 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: your thoughts. 462 00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 2: So I lean Saints. I was kind of hoping that 463 00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:52,359 Speaker 2: the number might float a little bit higher. Today's actually 464 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 2: been a pivotal day for this game. It's been sitting 465 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,439 Speaker 2: at plus two for the Saints all week, and today 466 00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,840 Speaker 2: the wise guy came in and started betting on the Saints. 467 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 2: So now the number is about one and a half. 468 00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 2: So I kind of I feel like I missed the 469 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:11,920 Speaker 2: window a little bit. The Saints, I think right now, 470 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 2: are probably a little bit of a better team. I've 471 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 2: been really impressed with Jordan Love like he has made 472 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:23,119 Speaker 2: some throws and taken the shots that he needed to 473 00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 2: take even when it hasn't worked out. But this team 474 00:26:25,400 --> 00:26:28,639 Speaker 2: also gave up a twelve point lead to an Atlanta 475 00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,360 Speaker 2: Falcons team that is not a dynamic offense. As as 476 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 2: much as we love the Jon Robinson. He's not a 477 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,200 Speaker 2: dynamic offense. And I think the Saints defense is better 478 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 2: than the Falcons defense. I think Derek Carr is a 479 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 2: better quarterback than Desmond Ritter so and also, by the way, 480 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 2: the stat I just gave you about the Dolphins, yeah, 481 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,560 Speaker 2: playing their first game at home in Week three, applies 482 00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 2: to the Packers as well. So I lean Saints here. 483 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: Okay, and give me a bet I missed that. You 484 00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:58,520 Speaker 1: really like, I'm gonna guess it's Baltimore, Indy. 485 00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:04,000 Speaker 2: It's close. It's down to that or the Texas. 486 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:06,480 Speaker 1: A lot of people like Indy. But so you like 487 00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:08,600 Speaker 1: the Texans plus nine and a half oh lines all 488 00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 1: beat up? 489 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:13,360 Speaker 2: I do. But apparently Laramie Tunsel's playing, So I like that. 490 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:18,880 Speaker 2: I think that CJ. Stroud of the rookie quarterbacks has 491 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:23,119 Speaker 2: actually played better than all of them. Has no receptions, like, 492 00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,280 Speaker 2: no interceptions. He's making the plays that they're in front 493 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,919 Speaker 2: of him, even in garbage time, like you still have 494 00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 2: to make the plays, right. So their problem has been 495 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 2: a seventeen percent conversion percentage in the red zone. Now, 496 00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,160 Speaker 2: the Jags defense isn't very good. The Jags are also 497 00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,080 Speaker 2: without Cam Robinson, still their offensive line is not performing 498 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 2: the way it should be. They've underperformed. They beat the Colts, 499 00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,119 Speaker 2: you know, thirty one twenty one, but I watched that 500 00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 2: whole game. It was not a good game and they 501 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 2: did not play their best. They got lucky in that game, 502 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,159 Speaker 2: and then they had a chance to beat a hobbled 503 00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,919 Speaker 2: Chiefs team. And you look at the stats on that 504 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:04,640 Speaker 2: Chiefs game. The Chiefs averaged sixty yards per play, they 505 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 2: had four hundred total yards. They got some bad penalties. 506 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 2: They would have blown the Jaguars out. So I'm a 507 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 2: little nervous about this team that is a huge, huge favorite. 508 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 2: I think it's a bad spot for them. So the 509 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 2: wise guys are on the Texans. 510 00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:21,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, in the air, I thought about this, but I 511 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 1: was worried about the Olne play. It's a division game. 512 00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,400 Speaker 1: That nine and a half points in division is crazy. 513 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:32,680 Speaker 1: And I will say this about rookie quarterbacks c J. Stroud, 514 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,680 Speaker 1: I think has leadership qualities and he doesn't make mistakes 515 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,480 Speaker 1: so far. There's limitations on what they can all do. 516 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,800 Speaker 1: But that's what gets Justin Fields into or Kenny Pickett. 517 00:28:42,840 --> 00:28:46,240 Speaker 1: It's the mistakes. Yeah, he's not making any mistakes. They 518 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 1: play between the thirties right like it's between the thirties football. 519 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:53,200 Speaker 1: So that was when I figured, I figured that I 520 00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 1: can't go with Gardner Minshew because I think Baltimore's really good. 521 00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,560 Speaker 1: But I do sense the Dogs are heavy in the 522 00:29:00,560 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 1: Colts this week. 523 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,200 Speaker 2: The wise guys are on the Colts. And that line 524 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 2: probably was eight and a half for most of the week. 525 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 2: It got down to seven and a half. And it's 526 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 2: because the wise guys are coming in and I think 527 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,720 Speaker 2: they've actually been impressed with the Colts team and they've 528 00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 2: been really well coached. And I also think you're buying 529 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 2: the Ravens really really high right now. And so but 530 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 2: you got to think about this. In Week one, the 531 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 2: Ravens beat the Texans. They didn't dominate the Texans. The 532 00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 2: Texans were in that game the entire time. The red 533 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 2: zone is what caused problems for the Texans. And you're 534 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,040 Speaker 2: playing a quarterback who is a rookie, it's Week one. 535 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 2: Those are the things to be expected. But I was 536 00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,440 Speaker 2: all over the Texans plus ten in that game, and 537 00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 2: I never felt like I didn't have a shot to 538 00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 2: cover in that game until it was over. And then 539 00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,880 Speaker 2: last week they played a team in Joe Burrow that 540 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 2: he's clearly hobbled. So there's a lot of inflation on 541 00:29:56,640 --> 00:30:01,440 Speaker 2: the Ravens and people sort of over valuing what they've 542 00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:03,760 Speaker 2: done so far in the season. So I think that's 543 00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 2: why you're seeing a little bit of love for the Cult. 544 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 2: But I understand why you wouldn't want to play it 545 00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 2: because Minshew's you know, he can be a scary gamble 546 00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 2: Chad Millman. 547 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:17,680 Speaker 1: He is the CCO of the Action Network. You're the 548 00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: only C COO I know, I know, COO. What is 549 00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: the what's the second C stand for content? 550 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:31,680 Speaker 2: We're in the twenty what is this the twenty second century? 551 00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:35,040 Speaker 2: What year is this? Twenty first century? First, these are 552 00:30:35,080 --> 00:30:37,840 Speaker 2: the titles we get now. Content? 553 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:40,920 Speaker 1: You got to achieve it, like you got to be in. 554 00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 2: Charge of it, you know what I'm saying. 555 00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: You know, Emma Thompson said, if you call it just content, 556 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,400 Speaker 1: it feels like stuffing in a pillow. Could you use 557 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:49,440 Speaker 1: the word creative? 558 00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 2: I don't disagree with her. Like, somewhere along the way, 559 00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,680 Speaker 2: content became something that everybody feels like they can talk about, 560 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 2: and it's so commoditized. And you know, back when you started, 561 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 2: back when I started, nobody called it content. When I 562 00:31:04,600 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 2: got to college and worked at Sports Illustrated, we weren't 563 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 2: putting together the magazine thinking, Okay, what's the content. We 564 00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 2: were talking about stories, we were talking about pieces, we 565 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 2: were talking about articles. When I went to ESPN the magazine, 566 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 2: and when I was running ESPN dot com, we didn't say, hey, 567 00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:22,080 Speaker 2: what's our content planned for the day. We're like, what's 568 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,959 Speaker 2: the best story we can tell, whether it's in video, audio, 569 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 2: on platform, on digital, whatever it is. And then one 570 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 2: day I'm at the Action Network and my boss comes 571 00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:34,440 Speaker 2: in and he says, Hey, congratuate now the chief content officer. 572 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 2: I'm like, I don't even know what that means. But 573 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:38,720 Speaker 2: now I'm in the C suite. 574 00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: Hit jokes on them, head of stuffing, head of pillow stuffing. 575 00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 2: I'm the head of pillow stuffing here at the Action Network. 576 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:48,560 Speaker 1: Colin. 577 00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 2: We got to turn this around this week. I am 578 00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 2: so rooting for you. I want greatness for you. I 579 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:54,000 Speaker 2: don't know where you're going to go with the Blazon 580 00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,720 Speaker 2: five tomorrow. I hope I've been a positive influence. 581 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: Well. The New Orleans one is interesting to me because 582 00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,160 Speaker 1: I was sort of go either way if they don't 583 00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:05,560 Speaker 1: have Christian Watson. By the way, how about that catch 584 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:09,120 Speaker 1: by Olave up the sideline. It won't get the one 585 00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,760 Speaker 1: handed ob J. That's one of the best catches I've 586 00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,640 Speaker 1: seen in my life. To be literally in the air 587 00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 1: and have the presence of min to hit it with 588 00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:19,240 Speaker 1: one hand catch it slam into the turf. I was 589 00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:22,200 Speaker 1: I sat there and I was like, the announcers aren't 590 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:25,600 Speaker 1: giving this credit the best amazing It was one of 591 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:26,800 Speaker 1: the best catches I've ever seen. 592 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:29,880 Speaker 2: But also, let's think about that game, like if Michael 593 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 2: Thomas is really starting to play as he did a 594 00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:34,720 Speaker 2: couple of years ago, and he's had some moments and 595 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:36,960 Speaker 2: Olave is the player that he can that he. 596 00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,360 Speaker 1: Was last year, that's a receiving corps. 597 00:32:39,680 --> 00:32:42,440 Speaker 2: That's a receiving corps, right, and so all of a 598 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 2: sudden it changes the scope for New Orleans, and all 599 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:50,440 Speaker 2: of a sudden, that NFC South between the Bucks, who, 600 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,560 Speaker 2: by the way, wise guys loved it five and a 601 00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,840 Speaker 2: half bet it down to four and a half against 602 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 2: the Eagles because they like what Baker is doing with 603 00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:00,840 Speaker 2: Michael Evans and Chris Godwin, and they know that the 604 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:04,520 Speaker 2: Eagle secondary is incredibly banged up, and that that offensive 605 00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,040 Speaker 2: coordinator and Jalen Hurst, they have not geled. You can 606 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,240 Speaker 2: see sort of a lot of disconnection in the game. 607 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:17,040 Speaker 2: So between the Bucks, the Falcons, who I just love 608 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 2: every single week, and the Saints, all of a sudden, 609 00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:22,959 Speaker 2: you're talking about like a really competitive division. So then 610 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 2: you got to wonder the Panther's going to win any 611 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,320 Speaker 2: games at all because they might not beat anyone in 612 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:28,880 Speaker 2: their division. 613 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 1: No, we thought the AFC was going to be great. 614 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:32,960 Speaker 1: The NFC's actually been really good. That's the way it 615 00:33:33,000 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 1: always is. We thought the NFC South was pathetic. Everybody's 616 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 1: got you know, looks like Atlanta Tampa have a punch. 617 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 1: It's the way it always works. I mean literally, college 618 00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:45,680 Speaker 1: football is predictable. NFL outside of one or two teams, 619 00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: is not. 620 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 2: Helen, we don't know anything. We have a combined eight 621 00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:52,400 Speaker 2: thousand years in the business, and we don't know anything. 622 00:33:52,520 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: I know people like this. I get people come up 623 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 1: to me at my gym and the two things they 624 00:33:56,520 --> 00:34:00,320 Speaker 1: say are you're ripped, and I love and I love 625 00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:08,680 Speaker 1: Sharper Square. All right, buddy, that was funny, see you, buddy. 626 00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 2: That was good. All right, man, I hope your picking 627 00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:17,000 Speaker 2: not funny. Just all right, my man, I'll see you later. 628 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:26,760 Speaker 1: The volume football is officially back. No more preseason games. 629 00:34:26,880 --> 00:34:30,320 Speaker 1: The regular season is here. Listen. We all like watching 630 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 1: football on TV, but nothing's better live and in person. 631 00:34:36,360 --> 00:34:39,120 Speaker 1: And the best way to get tickets to any of 632 00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 1: these games is at game Time, the fastest growing ticket 633 00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:47,960 Speaker 1: app in the entire United States. 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