1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:08,119 Speaker 1: The Volume. It's the best gambling show ever presented by 2 00:00:08,320 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: fan Duel. Football basketball season is here and there's no 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: better place to get in on the action than fan Duel. 4 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:18,119 Speaker 1: The app is safe, secure, easy to use. Fan Duel 5 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: always has exclusive offers. When you win, you'll get paid fast, 6 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: and there's tons of ways to play. Got to spread 7 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: the money line over under his team totals, player props, 8 00:00:28,040 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: and so much more. Jump into the action at any 9 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: time during the game. With live betting, you can buy 10 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:36,480 Speaker 1: multiple bets from the same game in the same game 11 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: parlay and try out the same game parlay plus. So 12 00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:44,200 Speaker 1: use promo code Monaco and download the fan Duel app 13 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:49,599 Speaker 1: today to make every moment more this football and basketball season. 14 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 1: And Welcome back to another episode of sports Gambling with 15 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 1: money Line Monico. I'm your host, Alex Monico, going full 16 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: nine at a ten winning weeks on the weekend money 17 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 1: Line Monico Pod, brought to you by Volume Sports by 18 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:24,840 Speaker 1: way of the Herd Network. Uncle Colin with the all 19 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: time Johnny Stockton to be here. We're just out here 20 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: trying to do a good job. Fresh off of Volume 21 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 1: Sports Work trip to Keen Lynn got to chop it 22 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: up with Mr Sharp himself Simon Hunter. We went back 23 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: and forth fade or follow, We come out profitable huge 24 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: w I with conviction take the public side. Fading the 25 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: Saints been very enjoyable to fade the Saints this year 26 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: came up short only once against them. Unwatchable, unwatchable program 27 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: there under Dennis Allen, I digress five picks for you 28 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: NFL Week ten. I get a little emotional here and 29 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: there on some of these narratives, but I feel great 30 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: about it. If we don't go three and two, I 31 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: will be thoroughly, thoroughly shocked. Quick shout out to my 32 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: guy Matt Mitchell, who I spent a full work day 33 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:20,440 Speaker 1: in the lexic pon Kentucky Airport with on the volume 34 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: Sports Work Trip. That entire Larry David Curb episode took 35 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 1: place and was consolidated in a two minute video. You 36 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: can hear. If you just enjoy Traveling Work Trip comedy, 37 00:02:35,560 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: go listen to it. The Action Network cousin podcast of 38 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 1: this one the Favorites killing the game. Let's get into 39 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: it first. It might be my best pick. I am going. 40 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 1: I am going so far against the public here, I'd 41 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: be shocked to see who else is on this with me. 42 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: We are starting in cheese Headland, Green Bay. I am 43 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,760 Speaker 1: getting the Green Bay Packers as a home underdog. And 44 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: if it doesn't look like I've been beat in the 45 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: ring by the g B Packers enough, I'm going back 46 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: for more because the Packers under Aaron Rodgers as home 47 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:21,959 Speaker 1: dogs are five and one and I can't wait to 48 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: take Green Bay at home when I'm probably I'm not. 49 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: I'm not only on Cheesehead Reevas Island by myself. Here, 50 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:34,480 Speaker 1: I'm Steven Glansburg and super Bad sitting at a table 51 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: by myself. If you under you have no idea what 52 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: I'm talking about, but go watch super Bad. This Packers 53 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: team could not spiral any low. And this is a 54 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 1: storyline game, all right, Let's just lay this out. The 55 00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers go and get get to go against 56 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: their old coach, Mike McCarthy. Aaron Rodgers gets to go 57 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: against his old coach, Mike McCarthy. This may be the 58 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 1: Super Bowl to the Green Bay Packers this year if 59 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: they don't completely turn it around and make a playoff run. Now, 60 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: green Bay, if you didn't know, plays the Cowboys, and 61 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers particularly plays the Cowboys very you well, four 62 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 1: and one against the spread over over the last five 63 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:23,960 Speaker 1: against Jerry's world. Green Bay's won five of their last 64 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: seven against Jerry and the Dallas Cowboys. Only Tom Brady 65 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,559 Speaker 1: and Russell Wilson six and one and seven and oh 66 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: have a better record than Aaron Rodgers against the Dallas Cowboys. 67 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:38,840 Speaker 1: A rash five and two in his career. Goes to 68 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 1: goest to Jerry Jones. Land lives for it, loves it now. 69 00:04:43,920 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 1: I know the Packers are on a five game losing streak. 70 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,559 Speaker 1: I know they haven't had a five game losing streak 71 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:51,920 Speaker 1: since I was in high school in the OOS. I'm 72 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 1: not here to harp on the negative. All right, let's 73 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: get on our SPACCOLDI here. Let's get optimistic in the van. 74 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: This team in the last few weeks, now, let's really, 75 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: let's really talk this out. In the last few weeks. 76 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: Going against the Bills, no one ran for over a 77 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:18,880 Speaker 1: hundred yards against him, singletary, humble outing, and the Packers 78 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: actually covered that game. You go back last week, Detroit's 79 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 1: the top five offense in most statistical categories, top five, 80 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: if not top ten. All season. They've been moving the ball. 81 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: Green Bay holds the Detroit Lions at home the fifth 82 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 1: teen points. De Swift did play, he was on a 83 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: pitch count, but Jay Will didn't get over a hundred 84 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:45,359 Speaker 1: yards either. What I'm saying is Cooper Rush leads the 85 00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:51,280 Speaker 1: Cowboys and passing yards go triple check with your own stigmatism. 86 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: This team is predicated on running the football. Dallas. They're 87 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: gonna come in Seek's been hobbled the last few weeks, 88 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: hasn't even played, and they're gonna need to lean on 89 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 1: Tony Pollard as the weather begins to change. What's not 90 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 1: not mentioned and indoors Southern team on the road in 91 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: November in a hostile environment, in a must win game. Now, 92 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: let me also tell you not just Rogers going against McCarthy. 93 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: He's going against the world right now. He had to 94 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:26,840 Speaker 1: go on his friends show Pat McAfee with a j 95 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 1: Hawk and it starts out by McAfee going, we didn't 96 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: think you'd show up. We didn't think you'd show up. 97 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: Why he responded, everybody in the NFL has pride. Everybody 98 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: in the NFL when they know they are underdogs, typically 99 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:53,839 Speaker 1: uses that as bulletin board material material. Now the packers 100 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:58,279 Speaker 1: believe it or not, actually move the ball better despite 101 00:06:58,320 --> 00:07:00,159 Speaker 1: what they've done in the last five weeks in the 102 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys as far as overall yards, this team last 103 00:07:06,680 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 1: week particularly lost because of Aaron Rodgers. They didn't lose 104 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 1: because of the team. So their best player is the 105 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:20,720 Speaker 1: reason for the l I law they s bounce back spot. 106 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: The whole entire world is going to be on the Cowboys. 107 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 1: I'm not saying the Packers are gonna win. I have 108 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 1: a feeling they are going to win. I may sprinkle 109 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: on the money line. This is a man that's taken 110 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 1: the Packers over the Giants, over the Jets. I backed 111 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:41,239 Speaker 1: him last week. It was my only loss last week, 112 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: and I'm starting my show saying I'm backing the Packers 113 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 1: plus five. I have to do it. If not now, when, 114 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: If not now, win I don't think they could sink 115 00:07:56,800 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: any lower. And again, historical numbers, maybe they matter to you, 116 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: maybe they don't. But Aaron Rodgers has never not shown 117 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: up against the Dallas Cowboys, and his quote that to 118 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 1: me was actually very encouraging. I've been counted down many 119 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: times in my life as how many of my teammates. 120 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: I hope we just dig deep and find a way, 121 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 1: we will truly be underdogs for many games moving forward. 122 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: Hopefully we can embrace that, and that is worth mentioning. 123 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,280 Speaker 1: You're not a favorite anymore. What do we know about 124 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:34,680 Speaker 1: the New York Giants? They can't cover when their favorites. 125 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: Go back and look at it when they're dogs, when 126 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 1: Danny's on the row of points. Unbelievable cover. You held 127 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: the Bills to twenty seven points, one of the best 128 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 1: offenses in the league, and outscored him in the second 129 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 1: half ten of three. Held Brian Robinson the Commander game 130 00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks back to seventy three yards. As 131 00:08:56,640 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: I mentioned single theory, sixty seven yards. They have hell 132 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 1: these teams over the last three weeks to under a 133 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:09,000 Speaker 1: hundred yards rushing. This is what Dallas does well and 134 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,320 Speaker 1: the best. So if we can get on our Belichick 135 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: here and there could be a little strategy from Lufloor, 136 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: who's killing me like he's average Joe paid the floor 137 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: driving me up a bad beat Wall. Just let Aaron 138 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: Rodgers manage the game, take over, do his thing, and 139 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: let the defense, who over the last few weeks has 140 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:37,719 Speaker 1: shown us improvement. Lean on the crowd and let's get 141 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: an old school cheesehead w I'm on the Packers plus 142 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:45,880 Speaker 1: five to pick off the money line Monico program, Let's go, 143 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: Let's go, German boon disleague eight hour flight over to Bayern, 144 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:58,559 Speaker 1: Munich Land, shall we because Tommy Tampa's headed to where 145 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:01,560 Speaker 1: his ex wife, Yeah, I said ex wife, Jack, Please 146 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: is harshly from in that as outrageous as it sounds, 147 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,319 Speaker 1: is what I'm sliding into. Because I'm on the Bucks 148 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 1: minus two and a half. We've seen it fluctuate. If 149 00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 1: you want to take it at minus three, go ahead. 150 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 1: I've seen it at minus two and a half. That's 151 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: what I'm firing on. I start with this International Games 152 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:32,800 Speaker 1: home favorites three excuse me, just favorites, because there's no 153 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:37,559 Speaker 1: home three and fourteen against the spread. The favorites have covered. 154 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 1: There has to be a Seattle Seahawks regression spot. I 155 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: have backed him three out of the last four weeks. 156 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: We have put them on the pod. They have been 157 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 1: very kind to us. Took him at home over the Giants, 158 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 1: took him last week over the Cardinals. They have been 159 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 1: game alright. Corvette Diner Pete Carroll will come sprinkled all 160 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: over the Seahawks table. They're winning. But this is pros verse. 161 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 1: Joe's as far as I'm looking at it. And I 162 00:11:08,440 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: heard Millman talk about depending on where you get your splits. 163 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:17,319 Speaker 1: There's his action network. He said it out loud, straight up. 164 00:11:18,160 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 1: The bets on the Seahawks of the money on the Bucks. Look, 165 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: Giselle's part term. Okay, Tom Brady chose football over family. 166 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: It's a sad Twitter bio divorce. Giselle is gonna be watching. 167 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 1: Tommy knows, Giselle is gonna be watching. This is an 168 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 1: important game, not just in the Brady household, but in 169 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: the Bucks locker room, and it hasn't been on Brady. 170 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: Matter of fact, what's happening in Tampa Bay Bucks football 171 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 1: over the last five games he's in a normally, there's 172 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 1: been one turnover between both the Bucks and their opponents 173 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:00,160 Speaker 1: in five straight weeks. It's the fewest can buy nine 174 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:03,960 Speaker 1: turnovers in the history of a five game span in 175 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,319 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl era. No one's turning the ball over, 176 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: and Brady is not turning the ball over. He's thrown 177 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: at least forty passes with no picks in seven consecutive starts. 178 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:21,400 Speaker 1: Forty passes no interceptions, seven consecutive starts. No other quarterback, 179 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 1: just to put that in your noggain, has done that 180 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: in the history of the league more than four starts. 181 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: And here's Tommy Tampa doing its seven. He's taking immaculate 182 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:34,960 Speaker 1: care of the football. His receivers are dropping the football, 183 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 1: and they're not running the ball. They haven't rushed for 184 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,840 Speaker 1: seventy five or more in eight straight games. That is 185 00:12:41,880 --> 00:12:46,320 Speaker 1: the second longest streak in the Super Bowl era. The 186 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 1: Cardinals hold a nine game lack of seventy five or 187 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: more rush yards in That's how long a team hasn't 188 00:12:53,440 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: run the football that we are backing this Sunday morning. 189 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: But here's the thing the Seahawks team. I go back 190 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: to a Week two. They got spanked by the San 191 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: Francisco forty niners. Gino goes thirty, no tugs, one pick. 192 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:13,480 Speaker 1: They bend in San fran with their d but they 193 00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 1: don't break. I look at the box. What has happened 194 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 1: for the Bucks when they've won games? They've won them 195 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:25,160 Speaker 1: giving up no points to their opposition six thirteen last 196 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 1: week to the Rams that beat the Falcons upwenty one 197 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 1: nothing in that game over the Saints nineteen or three 198 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 1: over the Cowboys. So to win this game, they have 199 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 1: to keep the Seahawks offense at Bay. Well, you look 200 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,440 Speaker 1: at the Seahawks and if they aren't going tip for 201 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,199 Speaker 1: tatting up blowout game outside that Cardinals humble win a 202 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago at home, they aren't winning games 203 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:53,079 Speaker 1: they have to win in a shootout. Well, so this 204 00:13:53,120 --> 00:13:56,199 Speaker 1: game comes down to, if you're capping it, which style 205 00:13:56,559 --> 00:14:00,319 Speaker 1: is gonna cave to which style? And if I had 206 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:03,319 Speaker 1: to put my money on it, I'm putting my money 207 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: on the team that since Brady has been their identity 208 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 1: wise has been everything they haven't done this season. But 209 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 1: why not on the pitch, on a little ted Lasso 210 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 1: type soccer environment, German style this week to turn it 211 00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:23,440 Speaker 1: all around? Why not this week to run the football, 212 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 1: to have receivers like Scottie Miller not drop a game 213 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: winning touchdown, to have Matt and nineties six like Mike 214 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:33,080 Speaker 1: Evans not drop cupcake balls. Let's help Tom Brady for once. 215 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 1: It's the combination of a Seattle regression spot trends for 216 00:14:37,000 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: favorites in these games bode great and Okay, so it's 217 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: a road trip. Who's more buttoned up, who's better coached. 218 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 1: You would say Seahawks. I would say Seahawks. I would 219 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: agree with you. But but who's the best leader between 220 00:14:55,720 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: anyone coach or player between these two franchises. It's home Brady, 221 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 1: so backs against the wall. And again Calard talked about 222 00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: this difference between Roger's difference between Brady. Brady hung in 223 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:10,680 Speaker 1: there all sixty minutes and his belief got him that 224 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 1: fourth and goal win, last play of the game, win 225 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: against the Rams. Put my money on Tommy camp A 226 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 1: minus two and a half if you can get it 227 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 1: at minustreet go ahead. I'm on it. Early in the morning. 228 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: We start our Sunday with an international w Sheahawks are good, 229 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:33,480 Speaker 1: They're not five wins in a row good. We turn 230 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 1: the page to another immaculate Dame Sunday night. Shanahan off 231 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 1: a bye, rested, dealing with injuries. What do you think 232 00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 1: the whole wide world on the San Francisco Forts. But 233 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: guess what, hil shan And is a home favorite is 234 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: unwatchable as a cover, And I got the numbers to 235 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 1: prove Kyle Shanahan has a home favorite. Is eight seven 236 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: keen and one against the spread eight seventeen and one 237 00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 1: I'll give you another one. Home favorites as non verse 238 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: non conference opponents. Whole favorites verse non conference opponents this 239 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 1: season six twelve and one against the spread. Two trends 240 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 1: will below well below, and the Shanahan one is clearly 241 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: the more important tread. He doesn't cover as a home favorite, 242 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 1: and the Chargers come in. They've covered four straight road games, 243 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 1: four and oh in their last four. Matter of fact, 244 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 1: I gotta at least mention it taping the nine Ers 245 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 1: five straight games. They don't dance often, but they have 246 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: beaten the Niners in five straight games. No one's beaten 247 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 1: the Niners sixth straight since the Hawks did with the 248 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 1: legion of Boom Shadow Richard Sherman, Volume Sports. We have 249 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,679 Speaker 1: on our side one of the most prolific quarterbacks to 250 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,439 Speaker 1: start his career in the history of the game. All right, 251 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 1: Doro forties starts, Herbert has ninety touchdowns, only Marina, only 252 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: Patty Mahomes and Kurt back in your Groceries, Warner has 253 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 1: started with more touchdowns than Herbert through their first forty games. 254 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 1: We should not be worried that Herbert over the last 255 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 1: several weeks has had a deal with no Allen, Mike 256 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: Williams hurt, offensive alignment hurt. They're still in the playoff 257 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: conversation with the head coach who isn't the leader of men, 258 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 1: who is putting them in awful spots. You have a 259 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:55,639 Speaker 1: Chargers team that did not give up a sack last 260 00:17:55,680 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 1: week in Atlanta. We were on him, we got the push, 261 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: we'll take it. Didn't give up a sack. Do you 262 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:07,679 Speaker 1: know how big that is for Herbert and his ribs? 263 00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 1: How about this? Who gives up the least sacks in 264 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 1: the league, The l A Chargers. They haven't allowed more 265 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: than ten sacks in the entire slate of the season. 266 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: The Niners. The last five games have been decided by 267 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: at least fourteen points. They win big, they lose big, 268 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:31,080 Speaker 1: three and two records in that span. Niners haven't had 269 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 1: six games like that. Since I'm all over here with 270 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: your stats and your trends, baby, but I'm I'm leading 271 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,200 Speaker 1: you down the Candy Land road to take the charges 272 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 1: with me. I know, I know. Teams both average is 273 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,439 Speaker 1: about the same offensively yards almost the same. Chargers have 274 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: more pass yards Niners and more rush yards. Niners have 275 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: the better defense. When Herbert doesn't throw a pick on 276 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 1: the road the Chargers of six and one in his career, 277 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 1: He's had three straight games with an interception. Not great, 278 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 1: still finding ways to win and win on the road. 279 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 1: I'm sitting here, I'm looking at this game. I'm trying 280 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:12,800 Speaker 1: to pick a side. There's not a huge discrepancy on 281 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,239 Speaker 1: pros verse. Joe's in this game. But I have a 282 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 1: hard time believing that the that the Chargers are gonna 283 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,960 Speaker 1: lose by more than a touchdown. That's a huge number 284 00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,840 Speaker 1: to give justin Herbert and I do believe certain teams 285 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: have certain styles. The Chargers win their favorites. You don't 286 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: want to back up the Chargers win their dogs. What 287 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 1: do we do? When we took him on the money 288 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,920 Speaker 1: line Monico Pod against the Chiefs and that was a 289 00:19:36,960 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 1: backdoor cover. That was almost a win until that pick six. 290 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:44,439 Speaker 1: Herbert through Herbert will get you backdoor covers. He is 291 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,199 Speaker 1: that kind of a quarterback. They are that kind of 292 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:49,159 Speaker 1: on offense. You gotta tend now career games without are 293 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 1: going for a rushing and a receiving. He did it 294 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:58,639 Speaker 1: again last week and straight games. I don't trust Jimmy 295 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 1: g to cover anything more than a touchdown. This is 296 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 1: a number play. Okay, sometimes you gotta take numbers. I'm 297 00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 1: about to give you the next game that I like 298 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: on a number. We have to take the number. You 299 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: know him from San Diego. If you listen to me, 300 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 1: you know I'm emotionally wrapped up in this team. They're 301 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 1: my toxic acts. But I don't love I don't love 302 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: the combination of the Shannon and trend and laying that 303 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:29,399 Speaker 1: much and going against a team that when they have 304 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:33,080 Speaker 1: no one in their corner show up. I'm telling you, 305 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,880 Speaker 1: this is Chargers chemistry to a t. Now they could 306 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: get routed, I don't see it. This would come down 307 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,520 Speaker 1: to coaching. They would only get routed if the coaching 308 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: mismatch is that prevalent. I'll take my chances. I'll take 309 00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:50,280 Speaker 1: my ex bolts with the seven against the Niners. Speaking 310 00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 1: of numbers, i gotta take the Jacks plus nine and 311 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: a half. I'm sorry the Titans with the twelve and 312 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 1: a half on the pod last week at Casey was 313 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 1: kind to us. I know we gotta go back into 314 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:04,119 Speaker 1: the lions Den and arrowhead, but I'm sorry. A Jack's 315 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,320 Speaker 1: team that gives up nineteen point eight points per game, 316 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,720 Speaker 1: that's top ten going against the Chiefs team that again, 317 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: I said it last week. I'll keep it short, I'll 318 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 1: keep it sweet. If the Chiefs don't put up forty 319 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 1: plus points this season, and they're not doing that against 320 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 1: the Jackson Sunday at Top ten D they don't blow 321 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,400 Speaker 1: you out. Look at the games they had to blow 322 00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: out the Bucks, the Cardinals Week one, and the Niners 323 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:37,360 Speaker 1: of all things, over forty points to easily cover those 324 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:42,359 Speaker 1: numbers against those those three respective teams. Okay, go look 325 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 1: at the games that they didn't put up forty that 326 00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: they won. They beat the Chargers by three. We were 327 00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,480 Speaker 1: on it. They beat the Raiders by one. We were 328 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 1: on the Raiders with the seven and a half, and 329 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:58,760 Speaker 1: the Titans they beat by three. We were on the Titans. 330 00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,960 Speaker 1: I am three and oh at and to spread fading 331 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:08,359 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs with big numbers or divisional members, 332 00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,400 Speaker 1: I like like Chargers plus four. The Chiefs are off 333 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:17,400 Speaker 1: a ninety one total play outing against the Titans. They 334 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,520 Speaker 1: had to run nine one plays to win that game. 335 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: The Titans ran forty first time. Casey had ninety plays 336 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: while holding their opponent to under fifty and gotta win 337 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: since the seventies man since that Wilma vald Rama seventies show, 338 00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:48,640 Speaker 1: Ashton Kutcher, Patty Mahomes single highs career eyes on completions 339 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: and attempts forty three and sixty eight. Their game plan 340 00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:58,480 Speaker 1: was busted against Fable. Okay, they're going from good coach 341 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:00,840 Speaker 1: to good coach. Doug E. P. Peterson is a better 342 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: coach than the talent he has on the Jacks. But 343 00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,120 Speaker 1: I'm telling you right now, they've been coached up. They 344 00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 1: just don't know how to win. They don't know how 345 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 1: to win, but to cover nine and a half. They 346 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:15,880 Speaker 1: have no no reason to not cover nine alf Did 347 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 1: you see what they did against the Raiders. They went 348 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,879 Speaker 1: down so big you could have got him at almost 349 00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:28,240 Speaker 1: four to one money line. They outscore LVY seventeen nothing, 350 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 1: to the point where Adam not chef or non verified 351 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 1: on Twitter is tweeting that McDaniels, a non leader of men, 352 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,399 Speaker 1: has been swiped left out the late Uncle Phil window. 353 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,640 Speaker 1: He's gone. He's gone. No, he's not. He's just that bad. 354 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,600 Speaker 1: He's hanging in for the full sixty minute out. The 355 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 1: Raiders got embarrassed by the Jacks when they were dominating 356 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:52,480 Speaker 1: them it's the second largest comeback in team history. You 357 00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 1: don't think that's momentum of a third straight Travis et 358 00:23:55,800 --> 00:24:03,360 Speaker 1: n hundred yard outing. Come on, we know Andy Reid 359 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 1: is gonna run them to the ground and practice. He's 360 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,960 Speaker 1: gonna be pissed, The Big Red's gonna be hated. It's 361 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,879 Speaker 1: not the point here. The point is we're getting a 362 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: huge number and the trends and the signs in the weeds. 363 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 1: And again, fade me on this one if you want. 364 00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,760 Speaker 1: I really think I'm being sharp here, I really do. 365 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:27,240 Speaker 1: They don't blow you out over forty. They don't cover 366 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,760 Speaker 1: well on week ten. This is a week four. I 367 00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,400 Speaker 1: got some Costco samples all over for you to try 368 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,160 Speaker 1: to back me with this. Jack's plus nine and a half. 369 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:41,679 Speaker 1: We wrap it up short and sweet, this one. Do 370 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:46,720 Speaker 1: not make it difficult. Rams money line pick them at 371 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:51,080 Speaker 1: home against the Cardinals minus one. We faded the Rams 372 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 1: multiple times this year. I'm Danny dialed on the NFC West. 373 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:59,919 Speaker 1: I'm Danny dialed. The Rams are ten in one ver 374 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:05,080 Speaker 1: the Cardinals since ten and one. The only team better 375 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 1: since that year is the Jets losing to the Patriots 376 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 1: eleven straight outings. Pat's eleven and overs the Jets second 377 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:17,600 Speaker 1: best divisional dominance, Rams over the Cardinals pen and one 378 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 1: cat one since nineteen the Cardinals indivisional games at home, 379 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,959 Speaker 1: we're only two and nine. Who and nine we're getting 380 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 1: now a team on the road, A team on the 381 00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 1: road against the Rams, team that is so low they 382 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:41,199 Speaker 1: can't even go any lower. But the Rams, they already 383 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,680 Speaker 1: have the blueprint. We did this when we took the Niners, 384 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 1: not once but twice against the Rams. It's already there. 385 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:54,160 Speaker 1: They beat him twenty to twelve Stafford eighteen forty nine. 386 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:56,400 Speaker 1: In turn, the ball over acres twelve for sixty one 387 00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: three receivers with four receptions. Kyler Murray threw the ball 388 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:05,199 Speaker 1: fifty eight times. Connor didn't run it. Why because the 389 00:26:05,280 --> 00:26:07,800 Speaker 1: Rams stopped the run. Only four teams in the league 390 00:26:07,880 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 1: under a hundred rushing yards against their opponents, the Rams 391 00:26:10,920 --> 00:26:14,720 Speaker 1: are top four. That was a good loss, As hard 392 00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:18,560 Speaker 1: as it is to say against the Bucks. It could 393 00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 1: be demoralizing, it could be, or you could remind yourself 394 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 1: it was. It was an anomaly, all right. Only the 395 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 1: third time since McVeigh took over have the Rams allowed 396 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: sixteen or less and lost again. Bets are on the Cardinals. 397 00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:42,240 Speaker 1: Money is on the Rams. And what do the Rams 398 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 1: do when they win? They hold Carolina at the ten, 399 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: They hold Arizona to twelve. Two of their three wins 400 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,800 Speaker 1: teams score less than twelve points against him Arizona in division. 401 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 1: They are a interesting, interesting case study. There is no 402 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,280 Speaker 1: way I'm to Kyler Murray this look. We have a 403 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,960 Speaker 1: coaching advantage in this matchup. We have a historical trend here. 404 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,639 Speaker 1: Ten out of the last eleven in the NFC West. 405 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: Those numbers stick and they stay. Just know that they 406 00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: stick and they stay because the Niners. It's it's a 407 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 1: food chain. It's a food chain. And when I tell 408 00:27:20,560 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 1: you Shannahan owns McVeigh but McVeigh olds owns Kingsbury, I 409 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:29,720 Speaker 1: ain't lying take the Rams. I'll take the Packers plus five, 410 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 1: the Bucks minus two and a half in a perfect world, 411 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 1: or minus three pending when you fire, I'm on two 412 00:27:35,800 --> 00:27:41,199 Speaker 1: and a half. I'm taking the Rams. Money line, I 413 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:43,720 Speaker 1: am taking Jags plus nine and a half and we 414 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,800 Speaker 1: are taking the Chargers plus seven. Oh, it's a dog 415 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 1: day week, pen, don't forget to subscribe rate review on 416 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:57,000 Speaker 1: all things where you get your podcasts, iTunes, Spotify, et cetera. 417 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,119 Speaker 1: Let's get out of here with an ad. It is 418 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,359 Speaker 1: your thousand dollar or no sweat first bet. Now is 419 00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: the perfect time to download VANDUL America's number one sports 420 00:28:04,080 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 1: book because right now new customers get a no sweat 421 00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,600 Speaker 1: first bet up to one thousand dollars. That's free bets 422 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 1: back if your first bet doesn't win. 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We'll 443 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:18,480 Speaker 1: double up my winning weekend Ta Ta Real Smooth the 444 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 1: volume