WEBVTT - Race to Find a Coronavirus Treatment, Cities Lockdown

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're here every day bringing you the latest

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<v Speaker 1>only on Bloomberg Radio. All right, you're listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Cal Master Jason Kelly. We've got another city,

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<v Speaker 1>as we know, I'm really state Jason, that's in lockdown. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is a really important story because a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of what's happening on the West Coast is more and

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<v Speaker 1>more quickly making its way to the East coast. Let's

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<v Speaker 1>go to Los Angeles now, Chris, Paul Mary my fellow

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<v Speaker 1>bureau chief out there in Los Angeles. Uh, Chris, great

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<v Speaker 1>to have you with us. I know it is incredibly

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<v Speaker 1>busy for you because the state of California, the Governor

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<v Speaker 1>Gavin Newsom declaring essentially what we heard Governor Cuomo here

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<v Speaker 1>in New York declared today a effectively sheltering in place.

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<v Speaker 1>Help us understand what's going on on the ground in

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<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles. Well, yes, it was kind of a bizarre

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<v Speaker 1>evening last night because first we had l A Mayor

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<v Speaker 1>Eric Arseti having a press conference where he announced much

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<v Speaker 1>tougher urn stage cleat sheltering in place order. Uh, and

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<v Speaker 1>then an hour later produced some motoring it from the

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<v Speaker 1>entire states. So it became a situation where you wondered

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<v Speaker 1>that did these people even talk? Uh? You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>um was the first day went into effect in Los Angeles.

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<v Speaker 1>I took a walker around. I went to my supermarket

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<v Speaker 1>this morning. It was a sobering site with a line

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<v Speaker 1>people down the block, separated five a few feet. They

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<v Speaker 1>were letting them in, uh, five at a time. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Security guard there told me that was due to robberies.

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<v Speaker 1>They've had frequent robberies. It was also security inside the supermarket. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And they were at a toilet paper uh and they

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<v Speaker 1>were announcing that things that they were out of the line. Um. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>You know. The rest of the city is ysily quiet.

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<v Speaker 1>It's it almost feels like a science fiction movie. There's

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<v Speaker 1>no cars on the street. This is um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a city where it can take me forty five minutes

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<v Speaker 1>to an hour to drive six miles to work. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And uh there's you know, a smattering, particularly the afternoon,

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<v Speaker 1>of people dog walking and jogging, and sometimes you see

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<v Speaker 1>people wearing masks. Uh. But for the most part, yerily quiet.

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<v Speaker 1>I went around his mother's tours. You are classic strip

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<v Speaker 1>stopping centers that are all around the city, and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>surprisingly quite a few of them are still open. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean there were you know, sandwich shops, dry cleaners. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>those are all allowed in the order. Uh. Both to

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<v Speaker 1>the owner of an Irish import shop. Uh, he does

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<v Speaker 1>sell groceries. He felt that was okay by him. But

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<v Speaker 1>there are some other businesses a pawn shop, tied and

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<v Speaker 1>massage place uh that were at least had open signs

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<v Speaker 1>uh and sort of questionable interpretation of the central services. Chris.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I do wonder too. It sounds like people

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<v Speaker 1>certainly taking it seriously because we've heard, you know, we

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<v Speaker 1>just heard from the New Jersey governor and even from

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<v Speaker 1>the Massachusetts governor saying, you know, you you got to

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<v Speaker 1>take this seriously, you cannot be out and about. But

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<v Speaker 1>we've had stories about folks in Florida, younger generations, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, out there and congregating in large groups. What

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<v Speaker 1>are the conversations that you're hearing or it sounds like

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<v Speaker 1>people are all of all ages are taking it seriously?

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<v Speaker 1>Is that the case? Certainly for what I'm seeing? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>I see you know, people just literally moving off of

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<v Speaker 1>the sidewalk as you're walking to you into the street

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<v Speaker 1>just to keep within six feet of you. Um, have

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<v Speaker 1>been to teach yet, probably will take a drive up

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<v Speaker 1>to the to uh you know, Hollywood and Highland and

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<v Speaker 1>check out, you know what is sort of our kind

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<v Speaker 1>of premier tourist destination there on the Chinese Heater and

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<v Speaker 1>the Walk of Fame. But um, it's it's definitely quiet

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<v Speaker 1>in Los Angeles today, all right, Chris, Paul, Mary, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you so much for that update. Obviously, you know, anyone

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<v Speaker 1>who's been to Los Angeles, even the way you describe it,

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<v Speaker 1>it's hard to get your head around in New York

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<v Speaker 1>City from what I hear, I haven't been there in

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<v Speaker 1>a week. Uh, in Downtown Manhattan, in Midtown Manhattan, rather

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<v Speaker 1>wear our offices Carolina. You're there earlier this week, but

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<v Speaker 1>I think a similar scene and certainly it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>get even more so, uh now that we have this

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<v Speaker 1>effective shelter in place. That was Chris Paul Mary. He

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<v Speaker 1>is our Los Angeles Bureau chief, longtime resident of that city,

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<v Speaker 1>so uh, it really knows what he's talking about there.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Now, this story, it's the

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<v Speaker 1>cover story of the magazine this week. I must read.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about finding the cure for the coronavirus and the

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<v Speaker 1>researcher who helps save millions of lives from HIV now

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<v Speaker 1>trying to do the same with COVID nineteen. Rob Lingrith

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<v Speaker 1>is healthcare reporter at Bloomberg News. He's on the phone

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<v Speaker 1>in New York. Also with us. Joel Weber, editor of

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week, on the phone from Brooklyn. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a great story, um, and this was an individual Rob,

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<v Speaker 1>to be quite honest, I didn't know much about tell

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<v Speaker 1>us about him well, so he first walking into fame

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<v Speaker 1>in the ninety nineties when he was one of the

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<v Speaker 1>doctor Hoe David Hoe. He was one of the key

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<v Speaker 1>people who tested HIV drug cocktails. It dramatically lowered the

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<v Speaker 1>death rates for HIV and AIDS UH and he was

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<v Speaker 1>the first doctor to be named Times Man of the

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<v Speaker 1>Year back then. So he's kind of one of the

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<v Speaker 1>world's most famous living age researchers. And now he's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>changing much of his lab to focus on rapidly finding

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<v Speaker 1>a treatment for the coronavirus. And so, Joel, how did

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<v Speaker 1>this figure into the way that you guys have been

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<v Speaker 1>covering this story. I mean, it's a very powerful cover

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<v Speaker 1>and I have to say an optimistic when at a

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<v Speaker 1>time when uh, a lot of us are feeling pretty

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<v Speaker 1>down about our chances here. Well, look, to be clear,

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<v Speaker 1>you know they're not they're not near a cure like

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<v Speaker 1>right now. This is not a plug and play moment,

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<v Speaker 1>but you know, this is an example of a line

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<v Speaker 1>of coverage that we're rapidly working on, which is, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>what are our chances do you actually get something that

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<v Speaker 1>looks like a treatment or a cure? And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>David Hoe is sort of a huge name in a

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<v Speaker 1>certain world, and that was why we wanted to put

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<v Speaker 1>the spotlight on him. But to be clear, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>and and Bob can speak more to this. There are

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<v Speaker 1>similar efforts going on lots of different places right now. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>so Bob talk about that, because you know, it does

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<v Speaker 1>feel like we are getting this sense of urgency and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe it was going on and we just weren't paying

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<v Speaker 1>attention to it but this week, and maybe it's because

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of this is being pumped up by the

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<v Speaker 1>President and others that there is this in a very

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<v Speaker 1>productive way, sort of a race for a cure here. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's absolutely kind of what's going on. And I think

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<v Speaker 1>you know what happened was, you know, when it was

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<v Speaker 1>still mostly in China, I think there was a sense

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<v Speaker 1>of wait and see a little bit among some of

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<v Speaker 1>the big drug and biotech companies. So you just didn't know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, whether this thing, like so many other epidemics

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<v Speaker 1>in the past, I was going to like fade a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit and by the time they had treatments and

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<v Speaker 1>I've no one but needing them anymore. But that's clearly

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<v Speaker 1>not going to be the case. This thing is around

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<v Speaker 1>it It's here to stay, even if it, say, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>size little in the summer, even if the social distance

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<v Speaker 1>distancing stuff works, and then slows it down a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>That disease isn't going to go away. There's only been

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<v Speaker 1>one virus in the world that's ever gotten not to

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<v Speaker 1>such an extent that he's like totally eradicated in that smallpox,

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<v Speaker 1>and that wasn't a respiratory virus. Isn't that Isn't that

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<v Speaker 1>incredible when you think about that, like all the virus

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<v Speaker 1>in the world in the history of the world, and

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<v Speaker 1>we really only eradicated one of them, and that shows

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<v Speaker 1>you what we're up against here, Bob. You know, you

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<v Speaker 1>know one thing I also thought was really striking your

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<v Speaker 1>story is that, you know, you talked about the work

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<v Speaker 1>that doctor who has done and that you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>Stars was around, he was you know, had developed antibodies

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<v Speaker 1>um but by the time you know, we got wrapped up,

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<v Speaker 1>everybody kind of lost interest in finding some kind of

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<v Speaker 1>treatment for it. And he didn't need a lot more money.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it was about twenty million. You write in

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<v Speaker 1>your story, I do wonder is this different because we

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<v Speaker 1>are anticipating that the coronavirus in some form or another

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<v Speaker 1>um or COVID nineteen, this is going to be with

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<v Speaker 1>us for a while. Yeah, I think this will definitely

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<v Speaker 1>be with us for a while. And I think what

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<v Speaker 1>happened with Stars and some of the other coronavirus outbreaks,

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<v Speaker 1>so there's another one in the Middle East called Middle

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<v Speaker 1>East Respiratory syndrome. What happened in the past is we've

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<v Speaker 1>got a false sense of security and that some of

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<v Speaker 1>those uh you know, didn't really fully take off and

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<v Speaker 1>when we were able to suppress them before they really

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<v Speaker 1>caught hold. But this one just spreads more easily, and

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<v Speaker 1>it's just out there in the world now, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we really do need to develop a treatment. And the

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<v Speaker 1>long term I think there it is a virus. We

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<v Speaker 1>have a track record of eventually developing treatments for viruses

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<v Speaker 1>that are successful. So I think long term there's reasons

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<v Speaker 1>from optimism, but we must be realistic and that a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of these treatments they aren't going to come like

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<v Speaker 1>right now when we want them right now. What we have,

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<v Speaker 1>as we say in the story, is kind of soap

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<v Speaker 1>and social distancing. Those the main tools we have right now.

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<v Speaker 1>And so help us understand, I mean, Bob, you understand

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<v Speaker 1>this so well. That's sort of the the medical pharmaceutical

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<v Speaker 1>sort of industrial complex. And I'm not saying that conspiratorially.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's a complicated world, and you do have some

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<v Speaker 1>of the biggest companies attacking this. How much cooperation is there,

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<v Speaker 1>how much healthy competition is there? Help us get a

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<v Speaker 1>sense of the broader landscape here, Well, yes, you do

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<v Speaker 1>have all sorts of companies starting to do all sorts

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<v Speaker 1>of things with both drugs and vaccines, and it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>even for someone like me to keep track of. Frankly, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's I really don't have a good sense of,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, what the competition, what the corporation is now,

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<v Speaker 1>because so many different new things are starting up all

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<v Speaker 1>at once. There's companies like Jolliett Sciences that are testing drugs.

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<v Speaker 1>There's companies like are You General and Pharmaceuticals that are

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<v Speaker 1>also working on antibodies. The Regeneralan is another company, and

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<v Speaker 1>I believe there is some corporation between doctor Home and

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<v Speaker 1>Regeneral on at least some of the projects. Uh. But yes,

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<v Speaker 1>there's many things being started up very rapidly, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>just it's a very modeled it on certain situation because

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<v Speaker 1>many of these things are just kind of going into

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<v Speaker 1>testing now. We really don't have a good sense yet

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<v Speaker 1>of which ones are going to turn out to be

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<v Speaker 1>the most promising. So, Bob, can you bring it back

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<v Speaker 1>to Hope for a second and real quick and just

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<v Speaker 1>and I know I can hear Carol already just telling

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, go ahead and wrap it up

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<v Speaker 1>and keep No. No, no, no, that's a great question.

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<v Speaker 1>We no, no, no, we have good time. What is

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<v Speaker 1>the approach that doctor who is using or thinks he

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<v Speaker 1>will be able to use to to you know, take

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<v Speaker 1>a number on the coronavirus. Yeah, so he is the

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<v Speaker 1>doctor Hall is basically leveraging some of the years of

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<v Speaker 1>expertise and learnings uh they've gotten from developing treatments for

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<v Speaker 1>HIV successfully and in fact, one of the main approaches

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<v Speaker 1>uh he he is taking is as to try to

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<v Speaker 1>attack some of the same enzymes in the coronavirus that

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<v Speaker 1>were also present and successfully attacked by HIV drugs. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>So he's basically implying from the learnings to make kind

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<v Speaker 1>of pill style drugs uh that they could block the

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<v Speaker 1>replication of dis coronavirus and possible other future coronavirus strains.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's one of the main things he's doing. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And he's also separately in a separate project working on

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<v Speaker 1>antibodies against the coronavirus based on blood samples from patients

0:11:34.840 --> 0:11:37.560
<v Speaker 1>who have recovered. So he's kind of doing several separate

0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:40.240
<v Speaker 1>projects at once and hopes that one of them comes through.

0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:42.920
<v Speaker 1>What I'm curious about too. Until you know, we thought

0:11:42.920 --> 0:11:44.640
<v Speaker 1>this was such an important story. We gave We're gonna

0:11:44.640 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 1>give you a lot of time today. I even went

0:11:48.400 --> 0:11:51.640
<v Speaker 1>on surveillance yesterday and teased up this story. Um, what

0:11:51.679 --> 0:11:54.079
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious is what's his time frame? Because I think

0:11:54.120 --> 0:11:58.480
<v Speaker 1>as Americans, we're watching the task Force updates, the Coronavirus

0:11:58.520 --> 0:12:01.400
<v Speaker 1>Task Force updates. There's a lot health officials talking about,

0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:04.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, drugs on the market that are already out

0:12:04.120 --> 0:12:05.760
<v Speaker 1>there that maybe could be used. I think there's a

0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.440
<v Speaker 1>lot of confusion about, you know, exactly what is the

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:12.920
<v Speaker 1>medical cure. When is the medical cure potentially going to

0:12:12.960 --> 0:12:18.160
<v Speaker 1>be out there? Um, it's not anytime soon. Yeah. Well,

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:21.520
<v Speaker 1>the short answer is, you know, we don't know. Uh.

0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:24.280
<v Speaker 1>And the fact is that you know, most of these

0:12:24.320 --> 0:12:27.319
<v Speaker 1>things we're talking about are not yet in human trials,

0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.400
<v Speaker 1>and the things how it is working on are probably

0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:32.560
<v Speaker 1>more than a year away from human trials. There are

0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:35.880
<v Speaker 1>a few things at other companies such as Agileiad drug

0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:39.560
<v Speaker 1>Agiliad scientist drugs that are in trials right now. But

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:42.400
<v Speaker 1>the you know, if you look back at a bowla,

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:46.439
<v Speaker 1>we actually developed sucessial treatments for a bola, but it

0:12:46.520 --> 0:12:50.600
<v Speaker 1>took a while. Uh So so it's possible we could

0:12:50.600 --> 0:12:52.200
<v Speaker 1>get lucky in one of these kind of off the

0:12:52.240 --> 0:12:55.760
<v Speaker 1>shelf things that they're talking about right now. When these

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:58.360
<v Speaker 1>off the shelf drugs was kind of already out there,

0:12:58.880 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 1>uh may work an extend the catch this virus, but um,

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:07.640
<v Speaker 1>the likelihoods will probably need to develop uh targeted customized

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:10.160
<v Speaker 1>treatments that are targeted right at this virus to really

0:13:10.160 --> 0:13:13.400
<v Speaker 1>have something that really works. Well, Joel, I wanna if

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:15.600
<v Speaker 1>I can, you know, just take an opportunities as we

0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:17.520
<v Speaker 1>do have. You've got a couple more minutes just to

0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.000
<v Speaker 1>ask you, like how it's going, you know, with the

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 1>magazine and things like that, we really haven't had a

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:24.319
<v Speaker 1>chance to catch up with you on air about sort

0:13:24.320 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>of putting this all together and keeping on top of

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:29.920
<v Speaker 1>the news, help us understand what's going on. Well, we've

0:13:30.000 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>never been this remote before and so I think, um,

0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:36.679
<v Speaker 1>that part is just to challenge for for you know,

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.600
<v Speaker 1>doing doing work in general. And I know everybody else

0:13:39.640 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 1>knows what I'm talking about right now. It's just like

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 1>you go, you go stir crazy. Um after day two,

0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.120
<v Speaker 1>I think, And here we are on on sort of

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:51.240
<v Speaker 1>day four and counting for most of us, UM, So

0:13:51.280 --> 0:13:54.080
<v Speaker 1>I think there's that's just the real thing. Um. And

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>we've been able to do a lot of you know,

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:58.000
<v Speaker 1>the work that we need to remotely so far. So

0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:01.280
<v Speaker 1>knock on what everything is good on that front? Um?

0:14:01.360 --> 0:14:03.559
<v Speaker 1>And we you know, we just have a ton of

0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:06.880
<v Speaker 1>stories that we have in motion, um that we're really

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:09.280
<v Speaker 1>excited about. Not unlike you know, some of them are

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:11.320
<v Speaker 1>all out like bombs where it's just like let's talk,

0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 1>let's get into the science of like how do we

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:15.840
<v Speaker 1>get out of this mess? But look like this story

0:14:15.960 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>is touching so many facets of our lives. You think

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:22.240
<v Speaker 1>about the economic implications of this and what the failout

0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.560
<v Speaker 1>shatter is all about, Like we're gonna be this is

0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.440
<v Speaker 1>by far the story and look like it's looking like

0:14:29.960 --> 0:14:32.120
<v Speaker 1>a lot longer than that. Well, I just think of

0:14:32.160 --> 0:14:35.000
<v Speaker 1>what you guys did last week and making it completely

0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the issue and saying, you know, talking about the last year,

0:14:37.880 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 1>you know your spot on um Bob, if I can

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:42.680
<v Speaker 1>just bring you in for one last question, um Or,

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:44.920
<v Speaker 1>we've got a little bit more David Hoe, is he

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 1>talking with the folks in Washington? I do you know

0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>the magazine has done some great coverage about talking about

0:14:50.720 --> 0:14:53.720
<v Speaker 1>the importance of coordinated efforts, you know, certainly on a

0:14:53.760 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>financial and market basis, but even more so in terms

0:14:57.080 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>of attacking the virus on a health bas is. So

0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder did David ho what was his perspective

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:05.120
<v Speaker 1>or take on that that is he being reached, you know,

0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:08.840
<v Speaker 1>called upon. Does he feel like the health community is

0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:12.160
<v Speaker 1>really being brought in together to work on this? Well

0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:14.160
<v Speaker 1>he does? You know, I don't know the extent of

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 1>his contacts in Washington. I assume he probably does have

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 1>lots of them. We were lucky to get and get

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:22.480
<v Speaker 1>into Dr Horow, you know, and a few days before

0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 1>New York see him in person. Before New York that

0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:28.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of totally shut down. And you know, like many

0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, he's has so many demands on his time

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 1>right now, like a lot of that researcher's responded to

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:34.720
<v Speaker 1>this that he's you know, becomes very hard to get

0:15:34.720 --> 0:15:36.720
<v Speaker 1>through to it all sort of this fazz old sense

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 1>of trying to find something. But he has lots of

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:43.200
<v Speaker 1>contacts around the world and China and Hong Kong and elsewhere,

0:15:43.200 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>and that's kind of one reason why he was able

0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 1>to get this effort up and running so quickly, because

0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:51.040
<v Speaker 1>you know, he has he is very well connected to

0:15:51.120 --> 0:15:55.080
<v Speaker 1>the virus research community with lots of people. All Right,

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:57.560
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna leave it there. Thank you so much. Bob Langreth,

0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.560
<v Speaker 1>Robert lang Grith is his byline. He's a help care reporter.

0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:02.960
<v Speaker 1>He's got the cover story this week in Business Week,

0:16:03.040 --> 0:16:06.280
<v Speaker 1>and it's an important one, all about the race story

0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 1>for a cure, really a must read, telling you about

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>someone that maybe you've heard his name, but the backstory,

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.160
<v Speaker 1>here's some great details about even uh dr host sort

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>of learning things about bats and their role in all

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:22.000
<v Speaker 1>this and how many there are in the world, and

0:16:22.360 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>uh and whatnot. So our thanks to him, to Bob Lingerth,

0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:26.880
<v Speaker 1>as well as of course to Joe Webber, the editor

0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week, both joining us on the phone

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 1>from their respective homes. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio tracking

0:16:38.920 --> 0:16:42.040
<v Speaker 1>the path of COVID nineteen. It is incredibly helpful in

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 1>learning about the virus and how to fight it. Andy

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Pecos Pecos is Professor of Molecular microbiology and Immunology at

0:16:50.720 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 1>Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, joining us

0:16:54.640 --> 0:16:56.720
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Baltimore. The Bloomberg School of Public

0:16:56.760 --> 0:17:00.080
<v Speaker 1>Health supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, Founder, Bloomberg l P,

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:03.560
<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Philanthropies. UM Andy, nice to have you here

0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:06.800
<v Speaker 1>with us. UM tell us a little bit about tracking

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 1>and how easy it is and what kind of coordinated

0:17:10.600 --> 0:17:12.720
<v Speaker 1>efforts are we seeing around the globe to be able

0:17:12.720 --> 0:17:15.679
<v Speaker 1>to do that in a really smart way. Yeah. So

0:17:15.760 --> 0:17:18.919
<v Speaker 1>you're seeing a lot of now um UH sites that

0:17:18.960 --> 0:17:21.600
<v Speaker 1>are ramping up their testing. You're seeing a lot of

0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 1>reporting of this data in almost real time, and now

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.960
<v Speaker 1>there's multiple web based um UM sites that you can

0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:31.480
<v Speaker 1>look at to sort of see where cases are occurring

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:35.040
<v Speaker 1>and the rate at which they're increasing in different areas.

0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:39.200
<v Speaker 1>So I think tracking in terms of of of accessibility,

0:17:39.240 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 1>the data is getting pretty good, although I think we

0:17:41.760 --> 0:17:43.959
<v Speaker 1>still need to ramp up and do more testing in

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:47.639
<v Speaker 1>many places, particularly here in the US. So Dr Pekasher,

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:50.879
<v Speaker 1>I mean, help us understand how this is spreading. What

0:17:50.920 --> 0:17:54.720
<v Speaker 1>are we learning that's new and different? How much, uh

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:57.639
<v Speaker 1>do we know about this that's just based on on

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 1>previous models. I think all of us are just trying

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:03.240
<v Speaker 1>to get some sense of where this goes next. And

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:05.439
<v Speaker 1>I feel like you're much smarter than I am about

0:18:05.640 --> 0:18:09.119
<v Speaker 1>understanding that. Well, you know, we're we're all learning along

0:18:09.119 --> 0:18:11.639
<v Speaker 1>the way here. Um. I think you know. The main

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:15.200
<v Speaker 1>thing that has changed, UM probably over the last month

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:18.720
<v Speaker 1>significantly has been we went from assuming that most of

0:18:18.720 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>the infected cases are showing severe disease UM in other words,

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 1>strong enough to reach after some medical care, to now

0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:28.680
<v Speaker 1>getting a sense that most of the people are not

0:18:28.920 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 1>getting disease that's so severe that they would necessarily seek

0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:36.080
<v Speaker 1>out UM medical care. And what that does is, I mean,

0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:40.560
<v Speaker 1>it's great because obviously it's telling us that there's fewer

0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:42.520
<v Speaker 1>cases are going to be severe in terms of the

0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:46.000
<v Speaker 1>overall number of cases. But it makes tracking and keeping

0:18:46.320 --> 0:18:50.280
<v Speaker 1>and monitoring for people who are potential spreaders very very

0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 1>difficult because you can no longer say symptoms are going

0:18:53.560 --> 0:18:57.800
<v Speaker 1>to bring you into a containing program. And so is

0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.080
<v Speaker 1>that why. I mean, I do feel like we're getting

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:04.320
<v Speaker 1>this renewed or maybe new sense of urgency from governors

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.399
<v Speaker 1>and mayors and whatnot. Is that essentially why all this

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:09.639
<v Speaker 1>social distance? This is a dumb question maybe and an

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:12.399
<v Speaker 1>obvious question, but is that why this social distancing piece

0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:15.119
<v Speaker 1>is so important? Because you've got a lot of unwitting

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:18.720
<v Speaker 1>carriers out there. No, I think that's absolutely the case. Um.

0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:21.439
<v Speaker 1>And we're starting to realize how how how many of

0:19:21.480 --> 0:19:24.920
<v Speaker 1>those there are, and so the sooner you can instigate

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 1>some of these UM or implement I should say, sorry, uh,

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:32.080
<v Speaker 1>some of these methods, the more likely you are to

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 1>really make an effort to make an impact in terms

0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:37.600
<v Speaker 1>of the number of cases. And it has to happen

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:40.320
<v Speaker 1>when now, when there are low numbers of cases around,

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>because if you can find five or six really sick people,

0:19:44.160 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 1>you've probably got a huge number of people who are

0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:51.679
<v Speaker 1>spreading in the community. UM. Dr Peckers, what is it

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:54.879
<v Speaker 1>that you find so troubling about this virus in particular? Well,

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 1>I think it's exactly that. UM. In certain populations you

0:19:58.280 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 1>can see mild disease. Yet in other populations, like the elderly,

0:20:01.920 --> 0:20:05.520
<v Speaker 1>like those with secondary medical conditions like respiratory conditions. This

0:20:05.640 --> 0:20:10.479
<v Speaker 1>virus is still very very deadly UM and UM. You know,

0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 1>initial numbers here in the US are showing that there

0:20:13.160 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit more severe disease in younger population.

0:20:16.359 --> 0:20:19.440
<v Speaker 1>So I think that even younger populations need to think

0:20:19.480 --> 0:20:23.760
<v Speaker 1>carefully about or need to think seriously about this problem

0:20:23.800 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>because UM, it's causing disease across the spectrum. But again,

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:30.280
<v Speaker 1>there are there are small groups of populations that it

0:20:30.359 --> 0:20:32.520
<v Speaker 1>causes very severe disease in and we have to find

0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 1>ways to protect them. What does it mean for the future,

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 1>And I do think about I think what's striking about

0:20:37.560 --> 0:20:39.159
<v Speaker 1>this too is that folks are saying this is going

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 1>to be a virus that's going to be with us

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:42.920
<v Speaker 1>for a while. And I know a vaccine may take

0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:47.760
<v Speaker 1>until perhaps to find that out, but I do wonder

0:20:48.040 --> 0:20:50.520
<v Speaker 1>are we entering an era where we are just going

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>to be dealing with a whole new class of viruses. Well,

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:57.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, this virus UM, you know, is going to

0:20:57.359 --> 0:20:59.520
<v Speaker 1>be a challenge for us. UM. We don't know how

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.760
<v Speaker 1>trans mission is going to change over time. I think

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:06.359
<v Speaker 1>we look to countries like China and Korea, UM and

0:21:06.640 --> 0:21:10.480
<v Speaker 1>Japan as countries that have found a way to control

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:13.280
<v Speaker 1>the number of cases. But what we now don't know

0:21:13.400 --> 0:21:16.040
<v Speaker 1>is how long we have to keep these public health

0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:19.959
<v Speaker 1>interventions in place to maintain this virus at very low levels.

0:21:20.160 --> 0:21:23.080
<v Speaker 1>That's the big challenge going forward is not knowing how

0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:26.040
<v Speaker 1>long some of these efforts are going to be in place. Yeah,

0:21:26.119 --> 0:21:27.960
<v Speaker 1>that seems to be the case too. And I would

0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:32.199
<v Speaker 1>imagine you've studied this so extensively that you also, I

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:37.040
<v Speaker 1>would imagine fear a a moment where people say, Okay,

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:40.040
<v Speaker 1>even if it's like a slight all clear, people just

0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:41.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of go nuts again and they're like they're out

0:21:41.920 --> 0:21:43.720
<v Speaker 1>at bars and they're doing their thing, and they take

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:46.240
<v Speaker 1>a vacation and all those things. I have to think

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:48.840
<v Speaker 1>that's something we're worried about too right now. And there

0:21:48.840 --> 0:21:52.280
<v Speaker 1>there are multiple examples throughout history where public health interventions

0:21:52.520 --> 0:21:56.199
<v Speaker 1>have worked very well, but then they're either relaxed too

0:21:56.280 --> 0:21:59.680
<v Speaker 1>quickly or um people start to not follow them a

0:21:59.720 --> 0:22:01.399
<v Speaker 1>string and late as they should, and you start to

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:05.720
<v Speaker 1>see these rebounds of cases that come in so um.

0:22:05.760 --> 0:22:08.680
<v Speaker 1>So you know, the flattening the curve that everybody is

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:10.879
<v Speaker 1>talking about these days that you're seeing on social media

0:22:11.320 --> 0:22:14.879
<v Speaker 1>is a very very real thing that that we have

0:22:15.080 --> 0:22:19.280
<v Speaker 1>to um um work towards using these public health interventions,

0:22:19.280 --> 0:22:21.240
<v Speaker 1>because that's all we have right now. All right, we

0:22:21.280 --> 0:22:24.159
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate your time. Dr Andy Pekosh is Professor of

0:22:24.160 --> 0:22:28.560
<v Speaker 1>molecular molecular microbiology and Immunology at the Johns Hopkins University

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health. As you can tell by

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:32.600
<v Speaker 1>the name, the Bloomberg School of Public Health, supported by

0:22:32.600 --> 0:22:36.359
<v Speaker 1>Mike Bloomberg foundering of Bloomberg GALP, Bloomberg Philanthropyes, and of

0:22:36.400 --> 0:22:43.119
<v Speaker 1>course the parent company of this radio station, roc A

0:22:43.280 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 1>journal Now, but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, no, honey, please,

0:22:50.080 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the riding rival Listen, I want to drive,

0:22:56.200 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 1>Just drive, baby, the questions trying yea, this is the

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 1>drive to the globe. Thanks, we'll try us on Bloomberg Radio.

0:23:14.720 --> 0:23:17.440
<v Speaker 1>You've got about thirteen minutes left in the trading day

0:23:17.440 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 1>to wrap up the Friday, but really to wrap up

0:23:19.640 --> 0:23:21.840
<v Speaker 1>what's been a very volatile week when it comes to

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:24.879
<v Speaker 1>the financial markets and equity markets. Back with us is

0:23:24.920 --> 0:23:28.320
<v Speaker 1>Abbe Desponde. He is founder and chief investment officer at

0:23:28.320 --> 0:23:32.720
<v Speaker 1>center Stone Investors. He's joining us on the phone from Connecticut. Abe,

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:35.240
<v Speaker 1>so good to have you here with us crazy week,

0:23:35.240 --> 0:23:36.960
<v Speaker 1>and I do want to both Jason, I want to

0:23:37.000 --> 0:23:39.720
<v Speaker 1>hear your perspective on the markets. Tell us though, a

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 1>little bit about your personal life, you guys, okay, Um,

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:47.080
<v Speaker 1>the impact that this is having on you, hey, Carol, Um, Yeah,

0:23:47.119 --> 0:23:49.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean that's very tweet of you to enquire We're

0:23:49.880 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>we're good. I'm really more worried about the city. I mean,

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:57.159
<v Speaker 1>sixty percent in New York City has its comprised of

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 1>people who really can't pay rent after if they don't

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:01.920
<v Speaker 1>it one weeks or the pay I mean, they're living

0:24:01.960 --> 0:24:04.720
<v Speaker 1>week by week, and so we've got like a major

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:07.200
<v Speaker 1>kind of civil or civic issue that that needs to

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:09.359
<v Speaker 1>be tended to. Kind of really spend a lot of

0:24:09.480 --> 0:24:12.119
<v Speaker 1>time thinking about that. Um, but I do appreciate you

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:16.040
<v Speaker 1>We're fine. Um, that's you know, but of a panic

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:20.600
<v Speaker 1>everywhere in the Northeast and increasingly more pack driven as

0:24:20.640 --> 0:24:23.639
<v Speaker 1>you know. Well, it is sorry just to pick up

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 1>on that if I can't. I mean, it is interesting,

0:24:25.720 --> 0:24:28.280
<v Speaker 1>Abbe just to go with what you're saying for a second.

0:24:28.520 --> 0:24:33.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it is revealing some real sort of cracks

0:24:33.200 --> 0:24:36.560
<v Speaker 1>in the system in many ways right sort of societally

0:24:36.680 --> 0:24:38.479
<v Speaker 1>and I know we know from talking to you a

0:24:38.480 --> 0:24:41.359
<v Speaker 1>lot in the past, like you're incredibly thoughtful about that

0:24:41.440 --> 0:24:43.479
<v Speaker 1>and you and you think well beyond the markets and

0:24:43.760 --> 0:24:46.840
<v Speaker 1>think culturally and societally and and things like that. What

0:24:46.880 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>do you think as we move through this, the outcomes

0:24:50.560 --> 0:24:55.760
<v Speaker 1>will being uh, well, hopefully more positive one where um,

0:24:55.920 --> 0:24:58.479
<v Speaker 1>people are more you know, apt to think about their

0:24:58.480 --> 0:25:02.959
<v Speaker 1>neighbors U concerns and not that's not just their own concerns. Uh.

0:25:03.240 --> 0:25:06.679
<v Speaker 1>The the you know, the fact that the you know

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:09.040
<v Speaker 1>people lived data day by day or whatever. The paycheck

0:25:09.080 --> 0:25:11.160
<v Speaker 1>to paycheck is not new. I mean, it's in fact,

0:25:11.160 --> 0:25:13.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean half the country doesn't have any savings and

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 1>this has been the case for a long, long long time. Um.

0:25:17.520 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>What what I am hopeful for, and I can see

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:26.119
<v Speaker 1>this occurring, um, is that you know, communities begin to

0:25:26.560 --> 0:25:29.399
<v Speaker 1>kind of get together to help the least fortunate. And

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:32.560
<v Speaker 1>this case we fought us fortunate are those most vulnerable

0:25:32.600 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 1>and older folks that need to be cared for. Yeah,

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:38.560
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a really important issue. And I do

0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>wonder when we as we see these programs come out

0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of Washington in particular, that there's going to be hopefully

0:25:45.080 --> 0:25:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the assistance directed towards individuals like that you're talking about,

0:25:49.800 --> 0:25:52.480
<v Speaker 1>because those are certainly very much in need. We do

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:55.320
<v Speaker 1>want to ask you, um abe, because I was reading

0:25:55.320 --> 0:25:57.800
<v Speaker 1>through your notes, I mean you sound like that. You know,

0:25:57.960 --> 0:25:59.640
<v Speaker 1>you guys are putting some money to work, so you're

0:25:59.680 --> 0:26:03.000
<v Speaker 1>seeing opportunity at this point. Yeah. I mean, you know,

0:26:03.920 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>I never want to sound like a profit here or

0:26:05.520 --> 0:26:08.120
<v Speaker 1>anything like that, but you know, we we do, um,

0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 1>we have a business to run and um so uh,

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:15.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, in the normal environment, will have established some

0:26:15.000 --> 0:26:17.239
<v Speaker 1>sort of intrinsic value for a company and will kind

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:19.280
<v Speaker 1>of trade based on where the price is relative to

0:26:19.320 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 1>intrinsic value. Right now, we're there's such a great deal,

0:26:22.119 --> 0:26:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and obviously there's so much uncertainty regarding whether or not

0:26:25.000 --> 0:26:27.359
<v Speaker 1>certain companies can't even survive from we're in a few months.

0:26:27.680 --> 0:26:30.639
<v Speaker 1>I mean, business has shut down, right so, UM, I

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 1>think the government I mean, you know, hey, I'm going

0:26:32.920 --> 0:26:34.840
<v Speaker 1>to tell you in the beginning, I was really kind

0:26:34.840 --> 0:26:38.000
<v Speaker 1>of irritated about still the kind of partisanship that was

0:26:38.040 --> 0:26:40.800
<v Speaker 1>going on just two weeks ago, and um and I

0:26:40.960 --> 0:26:43.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, voiced my own concerns with the people that

0:26:43.680 --> 0:26:46.080
<v Speaker 1>I know in in in you know, in politics, and

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:49.520
<v Speaker 1>who didn't take long for them to get their act together,

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and um realize that the United States is the main constituency. Um,

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:56.520
<v Speaker 1>so I'm kind of impressed. In that case. The fact

0:26:56.520 --> 0:26:59.200
<v Speaker 1>that you know, we've essentially been ordered to shut down

0:26:59.200 --> 0:27:01.439
<v Speaker 1>all business means that the government needs to have a

0:27:01.480 --> 0:27:04.960
<v Speaker 1>massive backstop for business, um, just so they don't have

0:27:05.000 --> 0:27:07.960
<v Speaker 1>to lay off all their employees and create that kind

0:27:08.000 --> 0:27:11.479
<v Speaker 1>of depression era sort of scenario that people are fearing.

0:27:12.480 --> 0:27:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, I mean, on the positive side, everything's happening

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:19.080
<v Speaker 1>that should happen, given the type of like bird strike

0:27:19.119 --> 0:27:24.560
<v Speaker 1>we just just that had that we just had. So. Um.

0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.200
<v Speaker 1>What we're doing, from a portfolio perspective is we're, however,

0:27:27.320 --> 0:27:31.040
<v Speaker 1>focusing more on companies. Um. We had these in our

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:34.600
<v Speaker 1>portfolio anyway, but we're focusing even more on them businesses

0:27:34.600 --> 0:27:37.800
<v Speaker 1>where the intrinsic values are more like more than likely

0:27:37.800 --> 0:27:40.879
<v Speaker 1>to be stable. So companies like TransCanada, which is a

0:27:41.000 --> 0:27:44.000
<v Speaker 1>pipeline operator Target in the United States is going to

0:27:44.320 --> 0:27:47.640
<v Speaker 1>clearly gained market share. In fact, in the worst case,

0:27:47.680 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>there are only going to be three retailers left Walmart,

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:56.200
<v Speaker 1>Target and and uh in Amazon. So the priority really

0:27:56.280 --> 0:28:00.119
<v Speaker 1>is focusing on a focusing on these businesses where we

0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:03.680
<v Speaker 1>can be certain that balance sheet and business model can

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>withstand literally anything including this. On the down the line

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:11.440
<v Speaker 1>a little bit are companies that have probably very good

0:28:11.760 --> 0:28:15.119
<v Speaker 1>chance of surviving, whose intrinsic values will be variable, but

0:28:15.280 --> 0:28:19.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, within a tolerable, within a tolerance, but the earnings,

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, are clearly uncertain. You know, put a sort

0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:25.400
<v Speaker 1>of a target in there. Sinocco. You know another company

0:28:25.440 --> 0:28:27.840
<v Speaker 1>we own is called Sonocco, not the not the gas

0:28:27.880 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 1>station company, but it's a it's a materials company. Packaging.

0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:34.600
<v Speaker 1>They have a monopoly on toilet paper rolls, the card

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:37.840
<v Speaker 1>cardboard inserts, um. You know they have they are they

0:28:37.880 --> 0:28:42.360
<v Speaker 1>serve the packaging packaged goods companies that you know, Pringles

0:28:42.360 --> 0:28:44.240
<v Speaker 1>and things like that that you bind the grocery store.

0:28:44.320 --> 0:28:46.520
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's the type of business is doing probably

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:49.959
<v Speaker 1>really well right now considering their cost materials corrugated papers

0:28:50.000 --> 0:28:52.560
<v Speaker 1>going down, and there's a huge amount of demand for

0:28:52.600 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 1>their customers products. But you know, and then down the

0:28:56.080 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 1>line are the kind of Okay, these stocks are down, um,

0:28:59.600 --> 0:29:02.640
<v Speaker 1>but I know when they're going to recover if and

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:05.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, value investors were still looking at maybe there

0:29:05.560 --> 0:29:08.840
<v Speaker 1>and going Okay, we'll take we'll take some chance there. Um.

0:29:08.960 --> 0:29:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Now we're basically fully invested. So you know, I have

0:29:14.360 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 1>to caution that I'm almost always early, um, and in

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>this case, I wouldn't be surprised for early. I also

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:27.160
<v Speaker 1>have to, you know, admit that I really didn't see

0:29:27.160 --> 0:29:29.200
<v Speaker 1>this coming at all, and it was very, very, very

0:29:29.200 --> 0:29:32.360
<v Speaker 1>slow to react to it. Certain times you want your

0:29:32.360 --> 0:29:34.640
<v Speaker 1>captain to be kind of, you know, like slow and study.

0:29:34.720 --> 0:29:37.360
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes you know that slow and study is it's just

0:29:37.720 --> 0:29:40.680
<v Speaker 1>the slow part hurt you and I and they I

0:29:40.680 --> 0:29:42.440
<v Speaker 1>want to ask you just about that, like why do

0:29:42.520 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 1>you think it because you are always looking around the corner,

0:29:46.000 --> 0:29:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Like why do you think you and and many many

0:29:48.560 --> 0:29:51.960
<v Speaker 1>others sort of missed this in many ways or missed

0:29:51.960 --> 0:29:54.480
<v Speaker 1>the severity of it. Well. I don't know about everybody else,

0:29:54.480 --> 0:29:57.600
<v Speaker 1>but I just was complacent. Um. I have seen because

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:00.720
<v Speaker 1>I've been investing in these global financial markets three decades,

0:30:00.760 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>and I've seen huge like financial crises and housing collapses.

0:30:05.240 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 1>I mean not just in the United States but all over,

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:12.400
<v Speaker 1>currency wars. I've seen viral epidemics before. Yeah, so and

0:30:12.440 --> 0:30:15.360
<v Speaker 1>with that mindset. Oh, I've seen it all, you know. Well,

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:17.480
<v Speaker 1>it just made me complacent, right I did. What I

0:30:17.520 --> 0:30:20.600
<v Speaker 1>did not see is how how quickly this panic would spread,

0:30:20.640 --> 0:30:23.680
<v Speaker 1>and how the reaction of governments would become so extreme

0:30:23.760 --> 0:30:26.400
<v Speaker 1>to this so or maybe I mean rightly extreme. I

0:30:26.440 --> 0:30:29.000
<v Speaker 1>don't want to say that it's wrong. Um so that

0:30:29.160 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 1>that was at least my mistake. Everyone else I have

0:30:31.880 --> 0:30:34.600
<v Speaker 1>no idea, but I clearly could have done a better job. Well,

0:30:34.720 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing, you know, headlines continuing to cross. Just want

0:30:37.040 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 1>to mention the energy sector just so beating up occidental

0:30:39.480 --> 0:30:42.640
<v Speaker 1>holding talks with borrowers to address the dead pile that's

0:30:42.640 --> 0:30:44.000
<v Speaker 1>out there, you know, when we get to the other

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:47.560
<v Speaker 1>side of the SAB. I mean, are you anticipating that

0:30:47.600 --> 0:30:50.360
<v Speaker 1>there's companies out there that I mean, will there be

0:30:50.400 --> 0:30:52.640
<v Speaker 1>a big wave of consolidation just companies that are going

0:30:52.680 --> 0:30:54.479
<v Speaker 1>to have to be brought up? Are just companies that

0:30:54.600 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 1>will just not make it? Well, we'll see what. So

0:30:57.880 --> 0:31:01.520
<v Speaker 1>there's two paths. One is um since it's a government shutdown,

0:31:01.640 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 1>the government back backstops pay rolls like they just announced

0:31:04.840 --> 0:31:07.360
<v Speaker 1>in the UK. It's something I've been pushing with the government,

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:10.479
<v Speaker 1>I mean, and I can't even believe I'm advocating some

0:31:10.520 --> 0:31:13.040
<v Speaker 1>of these things, but it's necessary right now. But in

0:31:13.080 --> 0:31:14.840
<v Speaker 1>that case, we can just put a quote unquote pause,

0:31:14.840 --> 0:31:18.240
<v Speaker 1>which is the I guess that's the term tousure um.

0:31:18.280 --> 0:31:23.280
<v Speaker 1>But a real pause requires like literally everyone's secure, including employment.

0:31:23.280 --> 0:31:25.520
<v Speaker 1>If that happens, then it will be a slow but

0:31:25.760 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 1>methodical um recovery. It will take a while because people

0:31:31.480 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 1>aren't just gonna go out and you know, hang out

0:31:33.160 --> 0:31:36.720
<v Speaker 1>with everybody else after this, but that would that that

0:31:36.760 --> 0:31:39.440
<v Speaker 1>would allow for a methodical recovery. Another one is like

0:31:39.440 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 1>a haphazard um, you know, approach to filling or plugging

0:31:45.000 --> 0:31:47.600
<v Speaker 1>holes as they pop up, and that could really create

0:31:47.640 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 1>a unintended waiver line and tone of consequences. All right,

0:31:51.400 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna leave. Are so sorry. I know we had

0:31:55.560 --> 0:31:58.280
<v Speaker 1>to drop out there and we apologize. I'm but great

0:31:58.320 --> 0:32:00.640
<v Speaker 1>to get your thoughts there. Abbe dis By Day, founder

0:32:00.640 --> 0:32:04.080
<v Speaker 1>and chief investment officer at center Stone Investors, joining us

0:32:04.160 --> 0:32:06.720
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. Thanks for listening

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:09.360
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Business Week. You can subscribe to the podcast

0:32:09.480 --> 0:32:12.320
<v Speaker 1>on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com. You can also

0:32:12.360 --> 0:32:15.240
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0:32:15.360 --> 0:32:16.680
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