1 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,119 Speaker 1: My from the Bloomberg Interactive Brooker Studios. This is Bloomberg 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: day Break for Thursday, February second. Coming up today, stocks 3 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: extend the fed fueld rally. Now it's Europe's turn, with 4 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:16,560 Speaker 1: the ECB and Bank of England set to raise raids, 5 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: met a share surge on track for their biggest game 6 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: in a decade, and techernies continue with Apple and Amazon 7 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,760 Speaker 1: reporting today there has been an arrest in the attempted 8 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: fire bombing of the New Jersey Synagogue. Plus the US 9 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: says it will increase its military presence in the Philippines. 10 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:37,199 Speaker 1: I'm Michael blar More Ahead, I'm John Stashward, sports reactor 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: to the Tom Brady retirement. The nets cut blown out 12 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: in Boston seton Hall Beat. St John. That's all's trading 13 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: ahead on Bloomberg day Break on Bloomberg eleven three on 14 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 1: New York, Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one oh 15 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Sirius x 16 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: M one nine team and the round the world on 17 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:04,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio dot com and via the Bloomberg Business App. 18 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,119 Speaker 1: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hagar and I'm Karin Moscow. Here 19 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: are the stories we're following today. It is all about 20 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 1: the FED this morning. Chair J Powell is vowing to 21 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: keep raising rates, but it looks like markets don't believe him. 22 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: Stocks are rising anyway. Instead, investors are hearing a more 23 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,120 Speaker 1: upbeat outlook on inflation, keying in on the central banks 24 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:28,919 Speaker 1: failure to push back on the recent rally. Michael Gabon 25 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: Astead of US Economics at Bank of America's securities if 26 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,160 Speaker 1: they really really wanted to push back again expectations of 27 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: easing and financial conditions or cuts later, or just that 28 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: they wanted to kind of, you know, reassert their intent, 29 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: they could have gone fifty and they didn't. Bank of 30 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,559 Speaker 1: America's Michael Gapon says the Fed mayhike one more time 31 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: before pausing. Former Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart says that 32 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 1: next policy meeting will be crucial and March will learn 33 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 1: a lot, will learn a lot about how they actually 34 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 1: see this play ending, meaning how they actually, when they're 35 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: closer to it, see a stopping point, a whole period 36 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:12,119 Speaker 1: and an ultimately a Pivotly easy. Dennis Locker points out 37 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 1: that j. Powell did not say the FED still has 38 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: a long way to go. Right now, markets are pricing 39 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: in just one more rate hike this year. Well. Interest 40 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: rates are also in focus in Europe, Nathan, we have 41 00:02:22,160 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 1: a pair of policy decisions set for this morning, and 42 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: we get a preview from Bloomberg's Leanne Garens. In London, 43 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: the Bank of England and European Central Bank are both 44 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 1: forecast to raise interest rates by fifty basis points. The 45 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: BAW is expected to lift their main interest rate from 46 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 1: three point five percent to four percent. Now. This will 47 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 1: be its tenth consecutive rise. The debate within the ECB 48 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:50,560 Speaker 1: may be more finely balanced, however. Euro Area headline inflation 49 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: slowed in January by more than expected, but the core 50 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: measure of prices held at an all time high. In London, 51 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: I'm Leanne Gerens Bloomberg at daybreak, Thanks Lee and staying 52 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: in Europe. Shares of Deutsche Bank are down two percent 53 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 1: this morning. Fourth quarter pretext profit and revenue at the 54 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: firm fell short of estimates, but chief financial officer James 55 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 1: von Molka says he is still optimistic going forward. We're 56 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 1: still very pleased with the performance and don't see that 57 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:19,160 Speaker 1: as any signal about three. In fact, the momentum has 58 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: really continued strongly in Deutsche Banks CFO James von Molka 59 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 1: made the comments in an interview with Bloomberg. Deutsche Banks 60 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: gains and fixed income trailed Wall Street for the first 61 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: time in ten quarters. Well back here in the US 62 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: and Nathan Shares, a Facebook parent, Meta are surging their 63 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: up almost nine percent following earnings, and we get the 64 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: details live with Bloomberg. Steve rapp Abart, Steve, good morning, 65 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 1: Good morning, Karen, and Nathan. Meta stock soaring in early 66 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: trading after Mark Zuckerberg touted reforms for the platform. I 67 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: just think we're in We've entered somewhat of a phase 68 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: change for the company where we just grew so quickly 69 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,480 Speaker 1: for like the first eighteen years of the company's growth, 70 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: and it's it's very hard to really crank on efficiency 71 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: while you're growing that quickly, Zuckerberg telling investors. Those changes 72 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: include removing some layers of middle management and the use 73 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: of AI to increase productivity. Met As sales fell four 74 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: percent last quarter but still beat expectations. Live from New York. 75 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: I'm Steve Rappaport Bloomberg Daybreak. Steve. Thanks, it's gonna be 76 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,239 Speaker 1: another big day for tech earnings in the US. Today 77 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 1: we get a preview from Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. Apple and 78 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: Amazon dot Com are both scheduled to open their books 79 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,840 Speaker 1: after the market's close. Apple has been dealing with supply 80 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,200 Speaker 1: chain issues that may have driven iPhone revenue down and 81 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,799 Speaker 1: sales growth may have been muted by the strong dollar, 82 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:38,040 Speaker 1: But Bloomberg intelligence as the negative foreign exchange impact should 83 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: fade as the year goes on, and lost iPhone revenue 84 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 1: should recover in the second half. Amazon's fourth quarter sales 85 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 1: may have risen an anemic six percent. Gains from Amazon 86 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:52,200 Speaker 1: Web services have slowed, likely offsetting some of the strength 87 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:56,359 Speaker 1: from online advertising and prime video. Analysts are expecting to 88 00:04:56,440 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: hear that Amazon had its first unprofitable year since one fourteen. 89 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: Jeff Budinger, Bloomberg day Break. All right, Jeff, thanks, Let's 90 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: turn to India now, where shares of a donnie are 91 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: down another twenty percent a day. More than a hundred 92 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: billion dollars has now been wiped off. Got to mcdonnie's empire. 93 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: Begin More from a Bloomberg Finance reporter Tom metcalf, I 94 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: think we are probably now in meltdown territory. So they 95 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 1: sold two point five billion dollars worth of shares on Tuesday, 96 00:05:22,600 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: and then they actually canceled that share sell because the 97 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: share price had fallen so much after that, you know, 98 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: basically the chare sales underwater. But this, for me says 99 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: so much about India, India Inc. And obviously this whole 100 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: kind of massive, hugely wealthy industry's built up around the 101 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: Adorni's Bloomberg's town. Metcalf says, the Donnie's bonds are now 102 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 1: hitting distressed levels. Let's turn out to the debt debate 103 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: in Washington, Karen. President Biden has held his first meeting 104 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 1: on spending and the debt ceiling, sitting down yesterday with 105 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: how Speaker Kevin McCarthy. First of all, I had a 106 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 1: good first meeting. Um I shared my perspective with him, 107 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 1: he shared it is and we can. We agreed to 108 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 1: continue the conversation. Speaker McCarthy says he thinks he and 109 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: the President can find common ground on the debt ceiling. 110 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: Terry Haynes, founder of Pangia Policy, says there will have 111 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 1: to be a deal at some point. I think it's 112 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: very much in Speaker McCarthy's interest to come out and 113 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,840 Speaker 1: be conciliatory. Leave it up to the White House to 114 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 1: continue the known negotiations. Point Panjia Policies. Terry Haynes spoke 115 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,919 Speaker 1: with our Washington correspondent Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Sound On. 116 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 1: You can catch the show weekdays five pm Eastern on 117 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio, or listen anytime to the sound On podcast. 118 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: It's twenty nine degrees in Central Park Love a mix 119 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,840 Speaker 1: of sunning clouds today in a high near forty degrees, 120 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 1: losing the upper twenties tonight with a breeze. Now, let's 121 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: take a look at some of the other stories making 122 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 1: news in New York and around the world with Bloomberg's 123 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: Michael Bark. Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Nathan. The FBI 124 00:06:49,480 --> 00:06:52,039 Speaker 1: says there has been an arrest after a man was 125 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 1: seen on video in a ski mask, lighting a Molotov 126 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: cocktail and throwing it at the front door of a Bloomfield, 127 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: New Jersey synagogue. Authorities identified the suspect in the temple 128 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,800 Speaker 1: near to meet attack as Nicholas Malandrados. The U S 129 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: Attorney's Office says the twenty six year old from Clifton 130 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: was charged with federal arson related charges. You will face 131 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: a judge today. Mourners celebrated the life of Tyree Nichols 132 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: at his funeral. The twenty nine year old died three 133 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: weeks ago after video shows Memphis police beating him violently 134 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: during a traffic stop. Vice President Kamala Harris sat with 135 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,679 Speaker 1: the family. We are here on behalf of the people 136 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 1: of our country and our President Joe Biden Um and 137 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: we are here to celebrate the life of Tyree Nichols. 138 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:41,880 Speaker 1: Vice President Harris said, nichols memory will shine a light 139 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: towards justice. The US and the Philippines have announced an 140 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: agreement that will give the US a larger military presence 141 00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:51,840 Speaker 1: in the Philippines. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin spoke in Manila. 142 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: This is an opportunity to increase our effectiveness, increase in 143 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 1: our operability. It is not about permanent but but it 144 00:08:00,560 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 1: is a big deal. It's a really big deal. Secretary 145 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: Austin says. The idea is to deter China's aims on 146 00:08:06,880 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: Taiwan and boost the Philippines claims in the South China Sea, 147 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: where China continues to increase its operations Israeli warplanes bomb 148 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 1: parts of the Gaza Strip early today, after a bloody 149 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: month of rising tensions between Palestinians and Israel. The Israeli 150 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 1: Defense Force has said it's fighter jets struck a production 151 00:08:26,000 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: site for raw chemical material production. Stick a fork in 152 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: plastic forks. In New York City, Mayor Eric Adams signed 153 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:36,680 Speaker 1: a new law prohibiting restaurants and delivery services from including 154 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 1: single use plastic utensils, napkins, and condiment packages in food 155 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: delivery orders unless you ask for them. We must have 156 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: all said it, you know, we ordered something to take 157 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 1: out and we wonder why is all this plastic? You know, 158 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 1: utensu We go home, We have utensils at home, and 159 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 1: this was just a brilliant idea, Mayor Adams says. The 160 00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:03,079 Speaker 1: new law takes effect in July. Global News powered by 161 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts in over 162 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 1: one d twenty countries. I'm Michael Bard. This is Bloomberg, Nathan. 163 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 1: Thanks Michael Bloomberg. Sports update brought to you by Try 164 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 1: Stayed Out with John stash Ower Banks Nathan netson cethics 165 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: in Boston. This game was decided very early Celtics jumped 166 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:28,120 Speaker 1: in front thirty five to seven. They led forty six 167 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:29,880 Speaker 1: to nineteen at the end of the first quarter. That 168 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,959 Speaker 1: lead grew to forty nine. Boston won by forty six 169 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: nine ninety six. Nick Since that overtime win last week 170 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: in Boston have lost to the Nets and Lakers. Next Tonight, 171 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 1: host Miami Seaton Hall for the second time this season, 172 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: beat St. John's eighty four seventy two. The Pirates have 173 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:48,079 Speaker 1: won six of the last seven. The Red Storm dropped 174 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: to four and eight in the Big East top rank 175 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 1: PERDU one by twenty now twenty two and one on 176 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 1: the year. Second rank. Tennessee lost at Florida. Big free 177 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: agent signing in the w NBA, Brianna Stewart was an 178 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 1: m v P and Seattle want two championships there. She's 179 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 1: coming to New York to play for the Liberty. Tom 180 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:08,200 Speaker 1: Brady's retirement announcement means Tampa Bay now needs a quarterback, 181 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,080 Speaker 1: so does Las Vegas. They've cut ties with Derek Carr. 182 00:10:11,080 --> 00:10:13,679 Speaker 1: There were thoughts that Brady might go there hook up 183 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: with Josh McDaniels, who he was with for many years 184 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 1: in New England. Was also top of Brady playing for Miami. 185 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:21,839 Speaker 1: His kids live there now, but ESPN reported Brady did 186 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,720 Speaker 1: not have any interest in joining a new team, that 187 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: it was going to be either stay with the Bucks 188 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 1: or retire, which he is doing. A family, my friends, teammates, 189 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 1: my competitors, I could go on forever. There's too many. 190 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: UM thank you guys for allowing me to live my 191 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 1: absolute dream. That would change I think Brady insist this retirement, 192 00:10:47,880 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: unlike last year's, is for good. He's got a ten year, 193 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:52,839 Speaker 1: three hundred and seventy five million dollar deal to now 194 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: analyze games for Fox. John stash Award Bloomberg Sports Live 195 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,199 Speaker 1: from Hoasted Coast from New York to San Francisco, Boston 196 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: to Washington, d C. Nationwide on Sirius Examp, the Bloomberg 197 00:11:07,280 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 198 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 1: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hagar. The morning after a decision 199 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:19,000 Speaker 1: from the Federal Reserve, the Central Bank has dialed back 200 00:11:19,040 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 1: interest rate increases as expected, with another twenty five basis 201 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: point rate hike, and Chairman J Powell says the Fed 202 00:11:25,640 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 1: is making progress in getting prices back to target. Over 203 00:11:29,440 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 1: the past year, we've taken forceful actions to tighten the 204 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,680 Speaker 1: stance of monetary policy. We've covered a lot of ground 205 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 1: and the full effects of our rapid tightening so far 206 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: are yet to be felt. Even so, we have more 207 00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: work to do. And now we're joined by Bloomberg opinion 208 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 1: columnist Marcus Ashworth, and I guess that sets up the 209 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 1: operative question, Marcus, how much more work does this FED 210 00:11:51,360 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 1: have to do? How did you read the statement and 211 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 1: the news conference from Chairman Powell. Well, I think and 212 00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 1: it's it's on a strong view, but that the set 213 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: is probably done hiking. I mean they may do one more. Certainly, 214 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:07,559 Speaker 1: if they've done fifty, I would have been more confident 215 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 1: they won't do anymore. It doesn't make much sense, but 216 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,960 Speaker 1: you know, they could do another five. But I think 217 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:15,240 Speaker 1: that the juries out on that one there will really 218 00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 1: will be data dependent. Um we've seen from some of 219 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: the labor market data, particularly Jolts, that there is there 220 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:25,320 Speaker 1: is still a really tight labor market which is keeping them, um, 221 00:12:25,360 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 1: you know, on a very much of a bias to Titan. 222 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: But that's what we've shifted down to know, a bias 223 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 1: the Titan rather than a planned definitive absolutely tiding. They 224 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 1: know how the market works by going from seventy five 225 00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:40,359 Speaker 1: down a fifty down. They know the market is expecting 226 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 1: that they'll go to nothing as a hold path for 227 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: a while. Um, it may be after the next meeting, 228 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 1: or maybe at the next meeting, but I mean we are, 229 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:52,720 Speaker 1: we've we can see the summit, we may be even 230 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 1: at it. So I think that's going to filter through clearly. 231 00:12:55,920 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: The way Power put it, which was fascinating, was that 232 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,439 Speaker 1: he knows the market's running ahead, he's put it down 233 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,839 Speaker 1: to a different view on inflation, and he's relaxed with that. 234 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 1: That's the body language. I think the market realizes that 235 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: they are. They're not going to all of a sudden 236 00:13:09,920 --> 00:13:14,960 Speaker 1: change and snap back that back that gap information expectations, 237 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:17,679 Speaker 1: and that's why the market ranny because it was It 238 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 1: was interesting, wasn't it, Marcus to hear the chairman not 239 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,720 Speaker 1: really pushed back too hard against the looser financial conditions 240 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:27,040 Speaker 1: that we've seen of late. Is that the main reason 241 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 1: why you're thinking that there's a bias tour the hike 242 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: as opposed to a plan. Yeah, well we saw it 243 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 1: from the mark of Canada. I've been thinking it for 244 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:37,480 Speaker 1: a while. I just that wasn't quite sure, how scary 245 00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,520 Speaker 1: j Powe will be. Bear in mind he was absolutely 246 00:13:40,600 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 1: horrifying at Jackson Hole and he you know, he's he 247 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: has scared as before and so he can never be 248 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:48,319 Speaker 1: a hunter of per cent. Sure, but he he was. 249 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: He was relaxed, mellow, He's going to watch and wait, 250 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: see how things are coming along. So I think you know, 251 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 1: they're just in a bias of time mood now and 252 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 1: that's uh. You know. He also didn't push back as 253 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:01,960 Speaker 1: everyone was expecting that the fact that the markets pricing 254 00:14:02,000 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 1: and rate cuts by the back end of this year. Um, 255 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: I would have thought he would have been much much 256 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 1: harsh on that. He wasn't, So I guess you have 257 00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: to view it is cautiously calmly dubbish. And I think 258 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 1: that Southern market reaction is uh, he's not too worried 259 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,560 Speaker 1: about financial conditions not being as tied as he might 260 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: have wanted. So a bit surprised. Um, so I would say, oh, 261 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 1: we're all dubbish though, it's just that they really want 262 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: to wait, watch and wait. Does this leave room for 263 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: a surprise from what we're gonna hear today from the 264 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 1: Bank of England and the European Central Bank it seems 265 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 1: like the markets have priced in even more aggressive rate hikes. 266 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: And what we got from the Fed yesterday, well, I mean, 267 00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: the the ECB needs to hike more because they were 268 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 1: much much later to the party and obviously they had 269 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 1: much harsher inflation. But we are definitely seeing signs of 270 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 1: inflation turning down in Europe. So um, and the question 271 00:14:52,720 --> 00:14:55,560 Speaker 1: will be, I mean, we're pretty certain that the c 272 00:14:55,720 --> 00:14:58,520 Speaker 1: B are going to hike fifties, whether they talk, they 273 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 1: are definitely going to hike f the next time. I'm 274 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: not so sure they will be able to, but and 275 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 1: the Fed has definitely made room for them. They will 276 00:15:05,960 --> 00:15:08,120 Speaker 1: be very happy about how the Fed at places. It 277 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: gives them a lot more room. You can see the 278 00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: strength of the euros. For dollars to one ten you 279 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,600 Speaker 1: will to slip below parity and a few months ago, 280 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,320 Speaker 1: so the last six months of the euro has been 281 00:15:16,640 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: much much stronger. Um. That will help, I think in 282 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: tening conditions in Europe. At the same time, they're about 283 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 1: to start que set of tightening and the beginning of March, 284 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 1: and the balance sheet for the ECB is actually collapsing 285 00:15:28,360 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 1: quicker than the Feds. So you know, in some senses, 286 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 1: the d CBS catching up a lot of steam. A 287 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 1: fifty basis point hike today will now that gap to 288 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: the to the the U S, which is hence by 289 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: of the euro so strong. So the question is where 290 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 1: they will need to do more after this. I don't 291 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 1: think they will. I think they'll drop back to twenty five, 292 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 1: but they won't be able to show any weakness and 293 00:15:48,760 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 1: they'll be all all harsh and what have you. The 294 00:15:51,560 --> 00:15:55,600 Speaker 1: Bank of England, well, we could have almost any result, Nat, 295 00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: and it's quite extraordinary. Bear in mind two of the 296 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: Monyitment Policy Committee voted for no change last time, but 297 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 1: the committee overall vote at the fifty basis points in Serrie, 298 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: you could think that they would deflogie for a coup today. 299 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: I'm sure they won't, but all sorts of possibilities could 300 00:16:11,480 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 1: be up there. I'm expecting fifty bought for them to 301 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 1: say this is pretty much it. However it could be 302 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 1: twenty five it commute, we just don't know. This is 303 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the stories making 304 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 1: news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for 305 00:16:29,000 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 1: us on your podcast feed at six am Eastern each 306 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:36,160 Speaker 1: morning on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 307 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:39,120 Speaker 1: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 308 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,880 Speaker 1: am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three oh in 309 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 1: New York, Bloomberg in Washington, Bloomberg one oh six one 310 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 1: in Boston, and Bloomberg nine six in San Francisco. Our 311 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 1: flagship New York station is also available on your Amazon 312 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven. Plus listen 313 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: coast to coast on the Bomberg Business app, Sirius XM 314 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:04,879 Speaker 1: Channel one nineteen, the I Heart Radio app, and on 315 00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:08,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. 316 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 1: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 317 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 1: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak