WEBVTT - OpenAI Moves Toward a $1.25 Trillion Value

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>News.

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Tech is live from the heart of Silicon Valley

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<v Speaker 4>with Ed Ludlow in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Tech.

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<v Speaker 5>Coming up, OpenAI is looking to raise fresh funding at

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<v Speaker 5>a staggering $ 1. 25 trillion valuation. We have the details. Plus,

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<v Speaker 5>Anthropic's looming IPO could deliver blockbuster gains for some of

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<v Speaker 5>its biggest investors with billions of dollars on the line.

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<v Speaker 5>And SpaceX is taking another step toward becoming a major

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<v Speaker 5>US wireless carrier, eyeing access to at least 80,000 cell

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<v Speaker 5>sites nationwide.

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<v Speaker 1>Well... We made it.

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<v Speaker 5>It's Friday. And actually, in the moment, technology stocks are higher,

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<v Speaker 5>but headed for two straight weeks of declines. The first

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<v Speaker 5>time we've had back to back weekly drops on the

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<v Speaker 5>Nasdaq 100 since July. Not as bad this week and

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<v Speaker 5>not as deep a drop as we saw last week. Actually,

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<v Speaker 5>a lot of the news flow right now is in

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<v Speaker 5>the private markets. I want to get right to our

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<v Speaker 5>top story in today's big number, $ 1. 25 trillion. That's the

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<v Speaker 5>valuation OpenAI is now targeting in its latest funding round.

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<v Speaker 5>Joining us for the details, Bloomberg News reporter Rebecca Torrance.

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<v Speaker 5>We had already reported that this round was underway, $ 30

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<v Speaker 5>billion raise at $ 1. 4 trillion valuation. Looks like the valuation

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<v Speaker 5>is coming off a bit. What else do we need

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<v Speaker 5>to know? There are some new names in this round.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right.

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<v Speaker 6>So, We are now reporting that CO2 management is in

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<v Speaker 6>talks to co-lead this round. That's alongside entities from the

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<v Speaker 6>United Arab Emirates. We had reported that previously. The total

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<v Speaker 6>round size is holding at roughly $ 30 billion, as we

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<v Speaker 6>reported at the end of September. But the price has

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<v Speaker 6>come down a little bit. We're now looking at a

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<v Speaker 6>$ 1. 25 trillion valuation, as you said. That's $ 150 billion down

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<v Speaker 6>from the previous price, which is reflecting some price instability

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<v Speaker 6>in the broader markets.

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<v Speaker 5>A lot of people at the time when we first

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<v Speaker 5>broke the story were like, well, why is OpenAI doing this?

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<v Speaker 5>Aren't they going to go public? You know, we have

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<v Speaker 5>our reporting on when that might happen. It all kind

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<v Speaker 5>of played out around OpenAI's Dev Day as well, where

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<v Speaker 5>we actually got to speak to Sam Altman and Sarah

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<v Speaker 5>Fryer about it. It seems like this is the investors

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<v Speaker 5>wanting to do this rather than like OpenAI needs the money.

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<v Speaker 6>That's certainly how it's being positioned. I will say they

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<v Speaker 6>do have these big commitments. The work that they're doing

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<v Speaker 6>is not cheap, so they can certainly use the money,

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<v Speaker 6>and this money would be sort of a bridge to

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<v Speaker 6>their public listing. They had originally planned to go as

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<v Speaker 6>early as this year, but now they're looking at next

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<v Speaker 6>year earliest. So this capital will sort of get them

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<v Speaker 6>to that next milestone, ideally a public listing.

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<v Speaker 5>They'd already raised $ 122 billion round earlier this year. And

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<v Speaker 5>I think what Sarah Fry told me when I asked

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<v Speaker 5>if they were doing a new round, which she did

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<v Speaker 5>not confirm, but she basically said this market demands to

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<v Speaker 5>do one, was a lot of that prior rounds capital

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<v Speaker 5>sits on the balance sheet. Let's frame this in the

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<v Speaker 5>sort of race, neck and neck with Anthropic. What was

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<v Speaker 5>Anthropic's last private valuation? We just showed at OpenAI's and

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<v Speaker 5>where are we at with all these IPOs?

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<v Speaker 7>Right.

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<v Speaker 6>So Anthropic's last private valuation was $ 965 billion. OpenAI's was

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<v Speaker 6>$ 852 billion. So this private round for OpenAI, if it

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<v Speaker 6>does happen, would push it above Anthropic for the highest

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<v Speaker 6>private valuation in tech. That said, it looks like Anthropic

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<v Speaker 6>is going to go public as soon as November, in

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<v Speaker 6>which case it will no longer be a private company

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<v Speaker 6>and OpenAI will indisputably be the highest valued private company.

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<v Speaker 5>Rebecca Torrance, Bloomberg News. Thank you very much indeed. So

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<v Speaker 5>Anthropix's upcoming IPO is set to bring multi-billion dollar gains

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<v Speaker 5>to its investors. Iconic, an investment firm that owns a

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<v Speaker 5>stake worth about $ 17 billion in the company, could see

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<v Speaker 5>the biggest returns. This is one of the most read

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<v Speaker 5>on Bloomberg today, and it's no surprise. Bloomberg's venture capital reporter,

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<v Speaker 5>Natasha Mascarenas, is with us. There are lots of big

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<v Speaker 5>names in Anthropic. Some of them have been there for

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<v Speaker 5>a long time. Some of them haven't, but you've just

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<v Speaker 5>set out this wonderful piece. Who's going to win? Who's

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<v Speaker 5>going to gain?

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, this is definitely a story of the biggest

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<v Speaker 4>investments leading to the biggest returns, which venture capitalists want

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<v Speaker 4>to happen. Concentration is a word we hear a lot

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<v Speaker 4>about this year. And in this case, many of the

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<v Speaker 4>firms in our story, so Iconic, Sequoia, GIC, they made

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<v Speaker 4>their largest investments of all time in this company, expecting

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<v Speaker 4>and hoping for it to be their largest returns. But listen,

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<v Speaker 4>we have to give credit to the early stage firms.

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<v Speaker 4>Anthropic did not get institutionally backed until 2023 when Spark

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<v Speaker 4>Capital led its round. It wrote its largest investment at

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<v Speaker 4>the time, $ 75 million. And now we expect its stake

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<v Speaker 4>to be valued at around $ 7 billion. So it's also

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<v Speaker 4>how much you pay to get those multi-billion returns that matters.

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<v Speaker 5>We just showed some of the backers of Anthropic. What's

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<v Speaker 5>interesting is, wow, institutional money for the first time in 2023.

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<v Speaker 5>It wasn't that long ago.

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<v Speaker 8>No.

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<v Speaker 5>But then like all these what we call strategics come in, right? NVIDIA,

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<v Speaker 5>the cloud computing players, and then GIC. Tell me a

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<v Speaker 5>little bit more about the more recent history of who

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<v Speaker 5>backed those big rounds.

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<v Speaker 4>It's rare that you see the biggest returns come for

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<v Speaker 4>an investor that just backed it last year.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, in Iconic's case, it had passed on Anthropic before.

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<v Speaker 4>In GIC's case, I believe we reported that it's invested

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<v Speaker 4>upwards of $ 4. 5 billion in the company with its first

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<v Speaker 4>check starting just last year.

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<v Speaker 8>Wow.

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<v Speaker 4>This is investors trying to get a meaningful stake in

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<v Speaker 4>a short period of time. When the S1 does drop,

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<v Speaker 4>I know we're both anxiously waiting for it, we don't

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<v Speaker 4>expect them to be in that 5% ownership bucket yet.

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<v Speaker 4>And so it was really important for us to get

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<v Speaker 4>the story out before to understand, hey, they're not going

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<v Speaker 4>to be listed in the S1 most likely. So let's

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<v Speaker 4>see what they have before then.

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<v Speaker 5>And then so on Iconic, you said a $ 17 billion stake,

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<v Speaker 5>but that was based off Anthropic's last private valuation.

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<v Speaker 9>Correct.

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<v Speaker 8>Correct.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to have to recalculate all of this when

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<v Speaker 4>we do eventually get pricing.

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<v Speaker 5>But obviously, which we don't have, which we don't have.

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<v Speaker 4>Two trillion is something that's been reported and discussed. But

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<v Speaker 4>that can shift. And I know we're actively chasing that.

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<v Speaker 5>Okay, Bimbo, Santosh, and Mascarenas, I wish you a peaceful

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<v Speaker 5>and happy Friday, free of anxiety. The best ones, whether

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<v Speaker 5>they come or not. Another story overnight, SK Hynix scrapped

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<v Speaker 5>its plans for a potential $ 10 billion US listing of

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<v Speaker 5>its Soladyne unit after it faced strong opposition from both

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<v Speaker 5>regulators and shareholders. This makes it the latest firm to

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<v Speaker 5>halt an IPO due to growing investor concerns about the

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<v Speaker 5>AI boom in the tech markets. The shares rallied after

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<v Speaker 5>the announcement, rising as much as 4.5%, the shares outside

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<v Speaker 5>of the United States. SpaceX is seeking to secure at

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<v Speaker 5>least 80,000 cell sites across the U.S. to build a

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<v Speaker 5>fourth nationwide wireless carrier. A person familiar tells Bloomberg the

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<v Speaker 5>company is in lease discussions with Crown Castle, one of

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<v Speaker 5>the U.S. 's largest owners of cell towers. This is

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<v Speaker 5>the market reaction. Shares of Crown Castle surged on this report.

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<v Speaker 5>There was movement in SpaceX. I saw some movement in

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<v Speaker 5>some of the carriers as well. Bloomberg's Kelsey Griffiths broke

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<v Speaker 5>the story. This all started... At SpaceX's first earnings call,

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<v Speaker 5>it was like a big moment where they kind of

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<v Speaker 5>dropped the bomb about what they wanted to do. Can

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<v Speaker 5>you just go through what you're reporting, what you're explaining

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<v Speaker 5>that their latest move is?

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<v Speaker 10>Yes, this detail is significant because it is the first

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<v Speaker 10>indication that we have that SpaceX is really serious about

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<v Speaker 10>building out this ground based network. Up until this point,

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<v Speaker 10>they had discussed some strategy around maybe incorporating satellite and

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<v Speaker 10>some mobile nodes into their consumer home internet terminals. That

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<v Speaker 10>would be kind of a novel way to put together

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<v Speaker 10>a network. Now, this reporting shows that they are actually

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<v Speaker 10>planning to do things the way that the big wireless

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<v Speaker 10>companies do things. That doesn't mean that they won't bring

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<v Speaker 10>in some novel elements like coverage from space, but the

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<v Speaker 10>TAU releases are a very traditional play for a traditional

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<v Speaker 10>wireless network.

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<v Speaker 7>Right.

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<v Speaker 5>The audience is probably more familiar with Starlink, which is

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<v Speaker 5>constellation based Internet, space based Internet. And what we're saying

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<v Speaker 5>is like they are looking at a path to Starlink Mobile, essentially,

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<v Speaker 5>but they're doing it very much here on Earth. Why

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<v Speaker 5>is this cell tower reporting important and the player involved here?

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<v Speaker 9>What does that tell us?

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<v Speaker 10>So that tells us that SpaceX is looking to scale

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<v Speaker 10>up in the same way and on the same level

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<v Speaker 10>that these wireless competitors, AT &amp; T, T-Mobile, Verizon, they're

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<v Speaker 10>trying to get on their level in terms of ground-based infrastructure.

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<v Speaker 10>And up until this point, I don't think that we

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<v Speaker 10>had really seen that. Again, in earnings, we did hear

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<v Speaker 10>from Musk as well as others that They do plan

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<v Speaker 10>to build out this ground-based terrestrial network in addition to

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<v Speaker 10>acquiring Spectrum, in addition to continuing to build their satellite

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<v Speaker 10>network from space.

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<v Speaker 9>But I think this is.

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<v Speaker 10>That first indication that they are really seriously looking at this.

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<v Speaker 5>At one point in the session, Crown Castle was up 16%

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<v Speaker 5>and on track for its biggest jump since 2008, still

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<v Speaker 5>up 10% after the report. Bloomberg's Kelsey Griffiths, thank you

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<v Speaker 5>very much. SpaceX isn't just thinking big in wireless. Musk

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<v Speaker 5>also laying out massive ambitions for AI infrastructure, another sign

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<v Speaker 5>that the tech build-out isn't slowing down. But Missouri's Jordan

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<v Speaker 5>Klein says investors are increasingly trading on AI vibes, not fundamentals.

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<v Speaker 5>Jordan's back with us on the show. I'm trying to

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<v Speaker 5>make sense of the trade, not just this week, but

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<v Speaker 5>past week. Explain how you see this as being vibes,

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<v Speaker 5>not fundamentals.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, thanks, Ed.

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<v Speaker 11>Well, I feel like ultimately fundamentals should drive stock performance.

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<v Speaker 11>but lately it's more stocks moving and the price determining

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<v Speaker 11>the narrative. You know, we're in the midst of earnings

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<v Speaker 11>season and, you know, as an analyst, I think myself

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<v Speaker 11>and my clients that I speak to are trained and

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<v Speaker 11>their job is to understand what's going on with these companies,

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<v Speaker 11>what they're saying, the forecasts, the estimates, and those are

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<v Speaker 11>all looking pretty good, but yet the stocks are not

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<v Speaker 11>trading as such. Actually, they're selling, you know, good beats

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<v Speaker 11>and raises, or maybe if the beats aren't big enough,

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<v Speaker 11>they're selling off, but I think it's just more everyone's

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<v Speaker 11>nervous that there might be smoke in the movie theater

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<v Speaker 11>and they don't want to be caught getting burned up

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<v Speaker 11>if things start going lower faster.

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<v Speaker 5>Can I just ask you about SpaceX in the context

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<v Speaker 5>of what we learned bigger picture? Their reach goal for

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<v Speaker 5>next year is to have 20 gigawatts of computer capacity, right? And,

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<v Speaker 5>you know, a lot of people would say, do we

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<v Speaker 5>extrapolate out from what SpaceX said in the same way

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<v Speaker 5>we would do with the hyperscalers to give us a

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<v Speaker 5>sort of confidence level of what the next 12 months

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<v Speaker 5>looks like? What was your take on that?

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<v Speaker 11>Well, I think even their base case of adding 10

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<v Speaker 11>additional gigawatts is, you know, probably 70 to 80%. It's

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<v Speaker 11>a lot more than what people had thought. You know,

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<v Speaker 11>whether they can get to 20 is another story. That

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<v Speaker 11>probably is... dependent more on the availability of the power

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<v Speaker 11>source as opposed to anything else. But no, I think

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<v Speaker 11>it sets a very bullish tone, and it probably sends

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<v Speaker 11>a message to the industry that, like, look, we're going

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<v Speaker 11>all in. I think Mark Zuckerberg at Meta is doing

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<v Speaker 11>something similar where he'd rather have more compute than less

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<v Speaker 11>because both SpaceX and I think Meta and all these

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<v Speaker 11>guys are working on new capabilities, new features. Things like

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<v Speaker 11>agentic AI and they know that those are going to

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<v Speaker 11>be very compute hungry and they need to have basically

0:12:12.490 --> 0:12:14.709
<v Speaker 11>the plans in place to get this compute set up

0:12:14.790 --> 0:12:17.490
<v Speaker 11>now or else they could fall behind and then not

0:12:17.530 --> 0:12:19.620
<v Speaker 11>be able to monetize these capabilities.

0:12:20.929 --> 0:12:25.100
<v Speaker 5>There are some warning signals in credit markets, for example.

0:12:26.140 --> 0:12:30.120
<v Speaker 5>There has been sustained pressure in aggregate over two weeks.

0:12:29.860 --> 0:12:31.020
<v Speaker 1>On the AI trade.

0:12:31.820 --> 0:12:33.819
<v Speaker 5>I know that you've said that this is being done

0:12:33.880 --> 0:12:36.970
<v Speaker 5>on vibes, not fundamentals, but what is the origin or

0:12:36.990 --> 0:12:40.250
<v Speaker 5>the source of the anxiety around the AI trade right

0:12:40.290 --> 0:12:42.309
<v Speaker 5>now that you're hearing each morning at the desk?

0:12:42.990 --> 0:12:44.689
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, well, it's a couple of things.

0:12:44.770 --> 0:12:47.740
<v Speaker 11>I mean, first and foremost, I think People are nervous

0:12:47.820 --> 0:12:50.870
<v Speaker 11>that all this massive amounts of trillions of dollars of

0:12:50.890 --> 0:12:55.610
<v Speaker 11>spending is unsustainable. And that's because either you can't finance it.

0:12:56.110 --> 0:12:56.350
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:12:56.390 --> 0:13:00.010
<v Speaker 11>So that people watch the credit markets and rates, particularly

0:13:00.050 --> 0:13:04.420
<v Speaker 11>for these. tier two and tier three, um, compute vendors

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:07.459
<v Speaker 11>like a Neo cloud. And then secondly, like why would

0:13:07.500 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 11>anyone build all this and spend the money if there

0:13:10.970 --> 0:13:13.750
<v Speaker 11>wasn't enough monetization or revenue potential?

0:13:13.929 --> 0:13:14.130
<v Speaker 8>Right.

0:13:14.170 --> 0:13:16.890
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it is still an economic decision.

0:13:16.910 --> 0:13:19.679
<v Speaker 11>Uh, you know, you don't, invest in something where you're

0:13:19.700 --> 0:13:22.060
<v Speaker 11>not sure you're going to get the return. And so

0:13:22.100 --> 0:13:24.980
<v Speaker 11>much of AI is new, it's novel, it's evolving. And

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:28.370
<v Speaker 11>so it's hard for investors to see that far out

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:31.189
<v Speaker 11>and say, well, if they're spending $ 2 trillion, let's say,

0:13:31.250 --> 0:13:34.110
<v Speaker 11>per year, they can get a return on that. And

0:13:34.510 --> 0:13:37.610
<v Speaker 11>every three to five months, basically, we see new features

0:13:37.650 --> 0:13:40.910
<v Speaker 11>and capabilities that AI can come in and do or

0:13:41.030 --> 0:13:44.059
<v Speaker 11>save And I think that changes the dynamic, but that's

0:13:44.100 --> 0:13:47.060
<v Speaker 11>why people are so, I think, laser focused on these

0:13:47.420 --> 0:13:52.290
<v Speaker 11>frontier model revenue run rates, right? The anthropic and open AI,

0:13:52.429 --> 0:13:55.130
<v Speaker 11>ARR numbers, because they're like, if those don't continue to

0:13:55.190 --> 0:13:58.689
<v Speaker 11>accelerate and grow, then there's going to be somewhat of

0:13:58.730 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 11>a mismatch between the spend and the return.

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:07.050
<v Speaker 5>Actually, John, let's keep talking about that. I mean, the

0:14:07.070 --> 0:14:11.250
<v Speaker 5>more imminent thing is an anthropic IPO, which the reporting

0:14:11.330 --> 0:14:17.130
<v Speaker 5>is they'd like to pull off before Thanksgiving. Again, how

0:14:17.150 --> 0:14:19.650
<v Speaker 5>does that impact your day-to-day right now and your clients'

0:14:19.690 --> 0:14:22.210
<v Speaker 5>day-to-day in terms of something they're bracing for, what they

0:14:22.270 --> 0:14:25.210
<v Speaker 5>think will happen to equity markets more generally?

0:14:26.230 --> 0:14:28.090
<v Speaker 1>I think that's a good question, and it's twofold.

0:14:28.370 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 11>One, They need to see this deal, which is like

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:37.500
<v Speaker 11>the most high-profile AI frontier model company, be successful. And

0:14:37.540 --> 0:14:40.790
<v Speaker 11>by that, I mean there's various definitions of successful. But

0:14:40.810 --> 0:14:42.550
<v Speaker 11>I think in the first 30 days, it's got to

0:14:42.610 --> 0:14:46.970
<v Speaker 11>trade well and not basically go down from the first

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:48.010
<v Speaker 11>opening price.

0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:49.740
<v Speaker 1>There has to be demand.

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:52.020
<v Speaker 11>There has to be people thinking this is a good investment,

0:14:52.420 --> 0:14:55.320
<v Speaker 11>and that's going to be dependent upon the valuation. I

0:14:55.340 --> 0:14:57.380
<v Speaker 11>think we'll know all the fundamentals by the time it

0:14:57.680 --> 0:15:02.270
<v Speaker 11>goes public. Secondly, and this is also not to be underestimated,

0:15:02.290 --> 0:15:05.490
<v Speaker 11>is that if you're a portfolio manager and you're looking at,

0:15:05.530 --> 0:15:09.270
<v Speaker 11>should I buy this or own this new issuance, you've

0:15:09.290 --> 0:15:12.260
<v Speaker 11>got to find room in your portfolio, in your book,

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:14.980
<v Speaker 11>so to speak, to fund that. And people are going

0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 11>to want to know, does that come at the expense

0:15:17.020 --> 0:15:21.450
<v Speaker 11>of another competitor or a SpaceX, a Tesla, you know,

0:15:21.570 --> 0:15:24.370
<v Speaker 11>some of the semi companies, it's unknown, right?

0:15:24.570 --> 0:15:26.370
<v Speaker 1>Because it's going to be pretty big.

0:15:26.390 --> 0:15:28.109
<v Speaker 11>And if you're a relative manager and you're trying to

0:15:28.130 --> 0:15:30.100
<v Speaker 11>keep up with a benchmark, you may need to have

0:15:30.130 --> 0:15:32.460
<v Speaker 11>some exposure. If you're a hedge fund, you don't have

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:34.100
<v Speaker 11>to own it unless you think it's going to give you,

0:15:34.120 --> 0:15:35.180
<v Speaker 11>you know, alpha.

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:38.930
<v Speaker 5>Well, that's interesting in the irony, you know, SpaceX's fast

0:15:38.950 --> 0:15:41.330
<v Speaker 5>track inclusion in some of the indexes. Those managers had

0:15:41.350 --> 0:15:44.970
<v Speaker 5>the same calculus before SpaceX went public. Jordan Klein of Missouri,

0:15:44.990 --> 0:15:46.990
<v Speaker 5>it's great to catch up, have you back on the show.

0:15:47.030 --> 0:15:51.580
<v Speaker 5>Happy Friday. Thank you very much. Okay, Apple's $ 2, 000 plus

0:15:51.720 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 5>iPhone Duo is officially on sale. People around the world

0:15:55.300 --> 0:15:59.380
<v Speaker 5>lining up at stores overnight to collect pre-orders or try

0:15:59.450 --> 0:16:03.530
<v Speaker 5>their luck. on a walk-in purchase. Large crowds have been

0:16:03.710 --> 0:16:06.930
<v Speaker 5>rare in recent Apple launches, but limited inventory for the

0:16:07.050 --> 0:16:10.890
<v Speaker 5>foldable phone is drawing people to stores. Customer placing their

0:16:10.910 --> 0:16:14.609
<v Speaker 5>orders on Apple's website being quoted a delivery time in

0:16:14.630 --> 0:16:16.710
<v Speaker 5>the US right now is the end of January. I

0:16:16.730 --> 0:16:19.830
<v Speaker 5>checked this morning, same for me here in California. All right,

0:16:19.870 --> 0:16:24.800
<v Speaker 5>coming up, startup Zona raises $ 250 million to fund efforts

0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:29.140
<v Speaker 5>to remake the 50-year-old GPS system. We'll speak with the

0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:37.260
<v Speaker 5>CEO next. This is Bloomberg Tech. All right, let's get

0:16:37.300 --> 0:16:39.560
<v Speaker 5>out to New York where Bloomberg's Isabel Lee is standing by.

0:16:39.620 --> 0:16:40.080
<v Speaker 3>Hi, Isabel.

0:16:40.540 --> 0:16:40.920
<v Speaker 5>Hi, Ed.

0:16:40.990 --> 0:16:42.550
<v Speaker 1>It's time now for Talking Tech.

0:16:42.630 --> 0:16:47.190
<v Speaker 12>First up, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang announcing another AI investment,

0:16:47.290 --> 0:16:50.350
<v Speaker 12>this time into Higgs Field. This is an AI video startup.

0:16:50.650 --> 0:16:54.210
<v Speaker 12>The San Francisco-based company is on track to surpass a

0:16:54.250 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 12>billion dollars in annualized revenue. NVIDIA's investment will help fund

0:16:59.460 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 12>the global infrastructure and hiring. Plus, DeepSeq and Minimax winning

0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:08.560
<v Speaker 12>approval to deploy models overseas. A Chinese state media affiliate

0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:11.540
<v Speaker 12>posting on social media that the companies completed the new

0:17:11.600 --> 0:17:16.400
<v Speaker 12>registration process that Chinese AI companies must complete to operate globally.

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:19.030
<v Speaker 12>Also written in the post is that much of Chinese

0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:23.450
<v Speaker 12>AI is similarly going to remain free for export. and

0:17:23.650 --> 0:17:28.209
<v Speaker 12>SEC examiners stepping up scrutiny of private fund valuations and AI,

0:17:28.630 --> 0:17:32.790
<v Speaker 12>focusing on fees, expenses, and valuations in private funds, as

0:17:32.830 --> 0:17:36.210
<v Speaker 12>well as how firms prepare for AI-related cyber attacks. The

0:17:36.230 --> 0:17:39.740
<v Speaker 12>priorities released by the SEC's Division of Examinations are the

0:17:39.780 --> 0:17:43.940
<v Speaker 12>latest sign of regulatory concerns surrounding AI and private markets.

0:17:44.660 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 12>And Sona, a startup... working to improve GPS with a

0:17:48.380 --> 0:17:53.950
<v Speaker 12>new purpose-built commercial satellite navigation network, has raised $ 250 million.

0:17:54.690 --> 0:17:57.690
<v Speaker 12>The CRSD funding round was led by longtime SpaceX board

0:17:57.730 --> 0:18:01.710
<v Speaker 12>member Steve Jurvetson and valued the company at $ 2. 5 billion.

0:18:01.850 --> 0:18:06.699
<v Speaker 12>Sona CEO co-founder Brian joins you next after Talking Tech, Ed.

0:18:07.540 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 9>All right, Isabel with the news.

0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:11.179
<v Speaker 5>And that's right, Brian Manning is with us. And I

0:18:11.220 --> 0:18:13.180
<v Speaker 5>want to start with a congratulations on the round.

0:18:13.280 --> 0:18:14.220
<v Speaker 1>Big numbers, Brian.

0:18:14.240 --> 0:18:17.460
<v Speaker 5>But what I'd say is let's start with the problem

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:20.879
<v Speaker 5>you're solving for. People will be listening going, GPS? I

0:18:20.900 --> 0:18:22.810
<v Speaker 5>thought we cracked that. What's the problem here?

0:18:23.950 --> 0:18:27.470
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I appreciate you guys having us on. And that's

0:18:27.830 --> 0:18:29.030
<v Speaker 3>one of the questions I think a lot of our

0:18:29.050 --> 0:18:32.879
<v Speaker 3>early investors were asking also is, well, GPS... You know,

0:18:33.500 --> 0:18:35.920
<v Speaker 3>it works. It's something that I use every single day.

0:18:36.420 --> 0:18:38.399
<v Speaker 3>Where are the challenges? And the world that we came

0:18:38.460 --> 0:18:40.889
<v Speaker 3>out of was largely, you know, our CTO came from

0:18:40.910 --> 0:18:44.550
<v Speaker 3>the autonomous car world and realizing that the current navigation

0:18:44.609 --> 0:18:48.320
<v Speaker 3>systems really just do not support the precision, the power,

0:18:48.380 --> 0:18:50.980
<v Speaker 3>the protection that is needed. for the world to evolve

0:18:51.040 --> 0:18:54.340
<v Speaker 3>from the hands-on world that it is today to a

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:57.970
<v Speaker 3>hands-off world. And it extends far beyond cars. It extends

0:18:58.090 --> 0:19:02.969
<v Speaker 3>into agriculture, into drones, into robotics, into defense. All these

0:19:02.990 --> 0:19:06.979
<v Speaker 3>different things that depend on location and time need a

0:19:07.020 --> 0:19:08.620
<v Speaker 3>lot better capability than today.

0:19:09.470 --> 0:19:12.230
<v Speaker 5>We're basically talking about computing at the edge, and that

0:19:12.270 --> 0:19:15.609
<v Speaker 5>can mean literally anything in this day and age. So

0:19:15.650 --> 0:19:19.070
<v Speaker 5>what is the technology that Zona is developing that is

0:19:19.170 --> 0:19:21.990
<v Speaker 5>proposing that serves as the fix?

0:19:23.490 --> 0:19:25.150
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so there was two big breakthroughs that we made

0:19:25.190 --> 0:19:27.200
<v Speaker 3>as a company that really enable us to do what

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:30.220
<v Speaker 3>we do. The first one is that. You know, historical

0:19:30.460 --> 0:19:34.379
<v Speaker 3>GPS satellites are these big multi hundred million dollar monsters.

0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:37.500
<v Speaker 3>We figured out how to provide extremely high performance from

0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:39.859
<v Speaker 3>small satellites that we can actually build for hundreds of

0:19:39.900 --> 0:19:42.470
<v Speaker 3>thousands of dollars at scale instead of hundreds of millions

0:19:42.490 --> 0:19:44.830
<v Speaker 3>of dollars. And they're built right here in the factory

0:19:44.850 --> 0:19:47.530
<v Speaker 3>that I'm standing in. And that's what enables us to

0:19:47.550 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 3>go from satellites that are 20 kilometers away from Earth

0:19:52.020 --> 0:19:54.780
<v Speaker 3>down to these small satellites that are 20 times closer

0:19:54.800 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 3>to Earth and enable us just to get massively better

0:19:57.660 --> 0:20:00.439
<v Speaker 3>performance than you can with the legacy systems.

0:20:01.450 --> 0:20:04.330
<v Speaker 5>Let's talk a little bit about the round then. It's

0:20:04.350 --> 0:20:08.629
<v Speaker 5>a big Series D. Congratulations on it again. What's the

0:20:08.670 --> 0:20:10.449
<v Speaker 5>priority for you right now, Brian? Where are you going

0:20:10.470 --> 0:20:13.100
<v Speaker 5>to deploy that capital to get you going, get you

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:13.740
<v Speaker 5>moving on this?

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.820
<v Speaker 3>For sure. It's coming off a huge week for us.

0:20:17.840 --> 0:20:21.740
<v Speaker 3>We launched six new satellites actually on Tuesday morning. And

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:23.460
<v Speaker 3>these are some of the first satellites that will actually

0:20:23.480 --> 0:20:28.449
<v Speaker 3>start providing the world's first commercial satellite navigation service. And

0:20:28.490 --> 0:20:31.910
<v Speaker 3>at this point, we have a pretty massive backlog of customers,

0:20:31.950 --> 0:20:35.070
<v Speaker 3>both on the commercial side, as well as government side

0:20:35.109 --> 0:20:36.850
<v Speaker 3>that are really just waiting for us to get the

0:20:36.890 --> 0:20:38.950
<v Speaker 3>satellites up in the air. So the new capital is

0:20:38.990 --> 0:20:41.780
<v Speaker 3>going towards building more satellites in the factory here, getting

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:44.380
<v Speaker 3>them up in the air to deploy the service globally

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 3>and expand our capability.

0:20:46.720 --> 0:20:49.840
<v Speaker 5>And in August, you had a big approval from the FCC.

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 5>Can you explain the significance of that moment?

0:20:52.119 --> 0:20:52.879
<v Speaker 9>Why it was unique?

0:20:54.190 --> 0:20:58.750
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so Spectrum is one of the biggest bottlenecks for

0:20:58.830 --> 0:21:04.320
<v Speaker 3>any company. Spectrum is a very limited natural resource. And

0:21:04.650 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 3>we've been coordinating for the last five plus years to

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:14.260
<v Speaker 3>figure out how can we share the GPS spectrum efficiently

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:16.300
<v Speaker 3>without causing any sort of interference to it. Because that's

0:21:16.320 --> 0:21:19.280
<v Speaker 3>what really enables our service to be able to integrate

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:21.859
<v Speaker 3>directly into the billions of GPS devices around the world

0:21:22.260 --> 0:21:25.300
<v Speaker 3>without changing the hardware, with just updating the software. And

0:21:25.820 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 3>we've done a massive amount of engineering. And in August,

0:21:30.380 --> 0:21:32.959
<v Speaker 3>we got the full approval for our full network, which

0:21:32.980 --> 0:21:34.770
<v Speaker 3>really is kind of the last puzzle piece that gives

0:21:34.900 --> 0:21:39.740
<v Speaker 3>us the regulatory approvals that we need to actually go

0:21:39.770 --> 0:21:42.490
<v Speaker 3>deploy the service at scale now and start turning on customers.

0:21:43.869 --> 0:21:46.090
<v Speaker 5>The what's at stake here that I find fascinating is

0:21:46.109 --> 0:21:48.850
<v Speaker 5>that if there was a disruption, it could cost this country,

0:21:48.930 --> 0:21:51.930
<v Speaker 5>just the US, a billion dollars a day. And that's

0:21:51.950 --> 0:21:53.770
<v Speaker 5>the thing that you're fighting to solve. It's been great

0:21:53.790 --> 0:21:56.010
<v Speaker 5>to have you on the program. Zona CEO, Brian Manning,

0:21:56.570 --> 0:21:57.409
<v Speaker 5>raising $ 250 million Series D at a $ 2.

0:21:57.310 --> 0:21:57.750
<v Speaker 9>45 billion valuation.

0:22:08.690 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 13>When you think about a bubble, you think about building

0:22:12.140 --> 0:22:18.970
<v Speaker 13>capacity and then hoping the demand comes. With AI, you're

0:22:19.010 --> 0:22:22.830
<v Speaker 13>building capacity and you're hoping you can keep up with

0:22:22.869 --> 0:22:23.450
<v Speaker 13>the demand.

0:22:23.530 --> 0:22:24.929
<v Speaker 1>Two-thirds of the U.S.

0:22:25.230 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 14>Economy is capital expenditures right now on technology, whether it's

0:22:30.180 --> 0:22:31.020
<v Speaker 14>cloud technology.

0:22:31.609 --> 0:22:33.010
<v Speaker 1>Or whether it's AI.

0:22:33.290 --> 0:22:36.670
<v Speaker 14>And if we slow down the build-out of this technology,

0:22:37.150 --> 0:22:39.990
<v Speaker 14>I think it really does jeopardize the economy.

0:22:40.050 --> 0:22:42.450
<v Speaker 1>I don't think that we are living in a bubble

0:22:42.510 --> 0:22:43.310
<v Speaker 1>which is personal.

0:22:43.350 --> 0:22:46.020
<v Speaker 5>The fear that we are in front of the bubble

0:22:46.560 --> 0:22:47.760
<v Speaker 5>is not a justified one.

0:22:47.960 --> 0:22:49.200
<v Speaker 9>These bubbles....

0:22:50.300 --> 0:22:52.820
<v Speaker 13>If we're going to use that word, often coincide with

0:22:52.840 --> 0:22:55.199
<v Speaker 13>these giant technological transformations.

0:22:55.440 --> 0:22:57.340
<v Speaker 5>And the companies that are on the other side of

0:22:57.380 --> 0:23:00.020
<v Speaker 5>that bubble are the market leaders for decades to come.

0:23:00.500 --> 0:23:04.000
<v Speaker 13>Today, there's really an indisputable shortage of compute.

0:23:04.460 --> 0:23:06.360
<v Speaker 1>And it's hard to deliver that compute.

0:23:06.700 --> 0:23:09.480
<v Speaker 13>And that's what's preventing some of the excesses we've seen

0:23:09.560 --> 0:23:11.639
<v Speaker 13>in past what they call bubbles.

0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:14.700
<v Speaker 5>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech.

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:15.399
<v Speaker 9>I'm Ed Ludlow.

0:23:15.440 --> 0:23:18.139
<v Speaker 5>That was some of the top figures in finance addressing

0:23:18.280 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 5>fears of an AI bubble this week on Bloomberg Television.

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:24.280
<v Speaker 5>And there was a range of views also reacting to

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:27.899
<v Speaker 5>fears of an AI bubble credit markets. The tech sell-off

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:30.540
<v Speaker 5>has pushed global credit spreads to the highest point in

0:23:30.540 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 5>17 months, or at least toward it. And the inverse

0:23:33.119 --> 0:23:38.160
<v Speaker 5>relationship between U.S. government bonds and AI-focused stocks is has

0:23:38.240 --> 0:23:39.700
<v Speaker 5>strengthened to its highest.

0:23:39.460 --> 0:23:40.709
<v Speaker 9>Level in a year.

0:23:41.090 --> 0:23:44.149
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg's Sally Bakewell is with us to try and unpick

0:23:44.190 --> 0:23:48.909
<v Speaker 5>all of this. I mean, are fixed income markets reacting

0:23:49.010 --> 0:23:52.090
<v Speaker 5>to something that's genuinely a concern, something that's real and

0:23:52.130 --> 0:23:54.540
<v Speaker 5>in front of them? Or is this something sort of

0:23:54.800 --> 0:23:57.660
<v Speaker 5>markets and technicals? And I don't know, it's not really

0:23:57.680 --> 0:23:58.900
<v Speaker 5>my strongest point, Sally.

0:24:00.220 --> 0:24:02.720
<v Speaker 15>Well, in reality, it's probably a collision of both of

0:24:02.780 --> 0:24:05.399
<v Speaker 15>those things that you talked about, both of structural risk

0:24:05.600 --> 0:24:08.020
<v Speaker 15>and a kind of rotation out of tech. And this

0:24:08.040 --> 0:24:11.560
<v Speaker 15>is playing out in real time, this fundamental debate over

0:24:11.640 --> 0:24:15.580
<v Speaker 15>whether this debt-funded AI spending will ever justify itself in returns.

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:19.399
<v Speaker 15>And since the strength of economies will become increasingly tied

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:22.109
<v Speaker 15>to AI, that's driving a measurable flight to quality across

0:24:22.530 --> 0:24:25.070
<v Speaker 15>global credit markets. And we have the corporate bond yield

0:24:25.090 --> 0:24:28.750
<v Speaker 15>premiums globally at their widest since May 2025. As analysts

0:24:28.770 --> 0:24:31.810
<v Speaker 15>talk about this being a more sustained repricing of credit risk,

0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:33.980
<v Speaker 15>And then we have this gauge, as you mentioned, of

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 15>the inverse relationship between U.S. government bonds and AI-focused stocks.

0:24:37.980 --> 0:24:40.270
<v Speaker 15>And it's strengthening to levels last seen a year ago.

0:24:40.290 --> 0:24:42.950
<v Speaker 15>And bonds have restored their role as a bit of

0:24:42.990 --> 0:24:46.070
<v Speaker 15>a safe haven, which they haven't been so much. And so,

0:24:46.210 --> 0:24:49.649
<v Speaker 15>I think, yes, we have this debate playing out in

0:24:49.710 --> 0:24:53.710
<v Speaker 15>real time. And it's a bit of investors getting out

0:24:54.150 --> 0:24:56.250
<v Speaker 15>of some AI concentration and a bit.

0:24:56.170 --> 0:24:56.790
<v Speaker 1>Of flight to safety.

0:24:56.810 --> 0:24:56.970
<v Speaker 8>Yes.

0:24:58.540 --> 0:25:01.900
<v Speaker 5>The credit risk or the anxiety in credit markets reflects

0:25:01.940 --> 0:25:05.619
<v Speaker 5>the simple story that debt is playing a huge role

0:25:06.100 --> 0:25:10.440
<v Speaker 5>in financing the AI build-out, the funding of data center projects.

0:25:11.369 --> 0:25:13.750
<v Speaker 5>Can the debt market handle it? I think that's the question.

0:25:14.550 --> 0:25:16.870
<v Speaker 15>It is the question because, yes, we're seeing this profound

0:25:16.930 --> 0:25:20.330
<v Speaker 15>structural shift where global AI expansion in credit markets become

0:25:20.350 --> 0:25:25.020
<v Speaker 15>increasingly intertwined. Because the chips that power AI are so expensive,

0:25:25.300 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 15>the debt that will be needed to fund them is vast.

0:25:27.540 --> 0:25:30.030
<v Speaker 15>It's more than we've already seen with data centers, which

0:25:30.070 --> 0:25:33.110
<v Speaker 15>has already been vast. And so we are talking about

0:25:33.250 --> 0:25:36.750
<v Speaker 15>huge sums. So we're going to need to engage debt markets,

0:25:36.830 --> 0:25:40.630
<v Speaker 15>project finance, insurance, commercial real estate, among others. And Wall Street,

0:25:40.650 --> 0:25:42.490
<v Speaker 15>of course, being Wall Street, has come up with ways

0:25:42.530 --> 0:25:45.260
<v Speaker 15>to engineer this. It's fine if you're an Amazon or

0:25:45.280 --> 0:25:47.980
<v Speaker 15>a Meta, an investment grade company with lots of access

0:25:48.020 --> 0:25:51.040
<v Speaker 15>to large pools of institutional money or, you know, your

0:25:51.060 --> 0:25:52.919
<v Speaker 15>own corporate cash. But it's less fine if you're an

0:25:52.980 --> 0:25:55.480
<v Speaker 15>AI startup or a Neo cloud that's burning through cash

0:25:55.500 --> 0:25:58.710
<v Speaker 15>with no rating or a junk rating. And so they

0:25:58.750 --> 0:26:00.649
<v Speaker 15>are coming up with these. This is where it gets

0:26:00.690 --> 0:26:04.129
<v Speaker 15>a bit wonky project or structured finance type structures to

0:26:04.150 --> 0:26:05.050
<v Speaker 15>fund the expansion.

0:26:06.750 --> 0:26:09.510
<v Speaker 5>Real quick, we used to be worried about circular financing.

0:26:09.550 --> 0:26:12.470
<v Speaker 5>It seems like concentration risk is the new kind of buzzword.

0:26:13.260 --> 0:26:13.960
<v Speaker 1>Well, exactly.

0:26:14.020 --> 0:26:17.640
<v Speaker 15>So, what you're seeing is these special purpose vehicles, they

0:26:17.660 --> 0:26:19.720
<v Speaker 15>borrow money, they buy the chips, they ring fence the

0:26:19.740 --> 0:26:22.130
<v Speaker 15>deal away from corporate balance sheets. This debt is backed

0:26:22.170 --> 0:26:25.229
<v Speaker 15>by cash flow from customers and the whole thing is

0:26:25.350 --> 0:26:28.370
<v Speaker 15>backed by the likes of Broadcom and Nvidia. Sounds sensible,

0:26:28.410 --> 0:26:32.730
<v Speaker 15>sounds fine. But there are risks. It's all concentrating the

0:26:32.770 --> 0:26:35.230
<v Speaker 15>risk in this group of about 10 or so companies.

0:26:35.290 --> 0:26:38.050
<v Speaker 15>And so, if end user revenue disappoints the issues won't

0:26:38.070 --> 0:26:40.960
<v Speaker 15>be isolated. They'll ripple directly back onto the balance sheets

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:43.300
<v Speaker 15>of these mega vendors and major Wall Street banks.

0:26:44.820 --> 0:26:47.560
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg's Sally Bakewell, really top breakdown. And what is, frankly,

0:26:47.600 --> 0:26:49.660
<v Speaker 5>one of the most read stories this morning on the Bloomberg.

0:26:49.700 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 5>Thank you very much. I want to turn to private

0:26:51.420 --> 0:26:55.500
<v Speaker 5>markets and venture capital. Inspired Capital has closed a new

0:26:55.500 --> 0:26:58.159
<v Speaker 5>$ 450 million fund. It's the fourth fund from the firm

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:00.920
<v Speaker 5>that makes early stage bets. And it's backed the likes

0:27:01.010 --> 0:27:04.510
<v Speaker 5>of Suno and ShopMy and Inspire Capital founder Alex von

0:27:04.550 --> 0:27:08.290
<v Speaker 5>Tobel is with us. I'm delighted to say I'm really interested.

0:27:08.310 --> 0:27:13.530
<v Speaker 5>Congrats on raising this fund. I guess, you know, sometimes

0:27:13.570 --> 0:27:17.100
<v Speaker 5>we we we are like, OK, venture firms raise funds

0:27:17.119 --> 0:27:18.860
<v Speaker 5>from time to time. But I think it'd be really

0:27:18.900 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 5>helpful to say, like, why now? What pushed you to

0:27:21.380 --> 0:27:23.400
<v Speaker 5>do this new fund? What was the environment you were

0:27:23.440 --> 0:27:24.060
<v Speaker 5>responding to?

0:27:24.470 --> 0:27:26.500
<v Speaker 2>So first, I think we're pretty unique, Ed, in that

0:27:26.540 --> 0:27:29.080
<v Speaker 2>we had a single day dry close of our fourth fund.

0:27:29.180 --> 0:27:33.430
<v Speaker 2>So $ 450 million were an early stage fund. And I

0:27:33.470 --> 0:27:36.290
<v Speaker 2>think it really happened on the backs of some exceptional

0:27:36.330 --> 0:27:39.710
<v Speaker 2>results happening in our portfolio. We're a highly concentrated firm

0:27:39.770 --> 0:27:42.630
<v Speaker 2>here in New York City, but we now have over

0:27:42.630 --> 0:27:45.670
<v Speaker 2>10 unicorns, 10 companies over $ 100 million of revenue, four

0:27:45.730 --> 0:27:49.060
<v Speaker 2>over $ 400 million of revenue, one publicly traded company, and

0:27:49.060 --> 0:27:53.700
<v Speaker 2>10 major exits to incredible technology companies. So I think

0:27:53.740 --> 0:27:56.220
<v Speaker 2>the results really spoke for themselves. And again, we're early

0:27:56.280 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 2>stage generalists, and it was just a single day dry close.

0:28:00.560 --> 0:28:02.359
<v Speaker 2>So this new fund is closed, and we're ready to go.

0:28:03.330 --> 0:28:07.070
<v Speaker 5>So I would love to get into the generalist discussion.

0:28:08.830 --> 0:28:12.190
<v Speaker 5>Right now, for obvious reasons, we're very focused on AI.

0:28:12.650 --> 0:28:17.139
<v Speaker 5>And my understanding is that you're quite good at non-AI

0:28:17.180 --> 0:28:20.659
<v Speaker 5>investments and that there are some interesting examples of that

0:28:20.700 --> 0:28:21.520
<v Speaker 5>in the portfolio.

0:28:21.540 --> 0:28:24.139
<v Speaker 9>Would you talk a little bit about that? Sure, absolutely.

0:28:24.200 --> 0:28:26.700
<v Speaker 2>So, you know, I say as the managing partner of

0:28:26.740 --> 0:28:28.860
<v Speaker 2>the firm, I wake up every day in 2036. I'm

0:28:28.900 --> 0:28:31.070
<v Speaker 2>focusing on what's happening on the other side of AI.

0:28:31.480 --> 0:28:35.550
<v Speaker 2>So we have some incredible early-stage investments in quantum computing

0:28:35.609 --> 0:28:39.650
<v Speaker 2>companies like Logical, companies on the edge of what we

0:28:39.690 --> 0:28:42.910
<v Speaker 2>call physical AI and robotics, companies like Bright AI and TreeSwift.

0:28:43.770 --> 0:28:45.750
<v Speaker 2>On the flip side, we have companies like Solace Health

0:28:46.570 --> 0:28:50.380
<v Speaker 2>and ShopMy, Solace Health being a major, rapidly fast-growing healthcare

0:28:50.420 --> 0:28:54.000
<v Speaker 2>company And so we truly are a generalist firm, but

0:28:54.020 --> 0:28:56.020
<v Speaker 2>I think the most important thing is we are constantly

0:28:56.060 --> 0:28:59.120
<v Speaker 2>focusing not on the bumps and bruises that are happening

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:01.520
<v Speaker 2>now quarter by quarter, but really on where's the market

0:29:01.560 --> 0:29:03.560
<v Speaker 2>going to be in a decade, thinking about the future

0:29:03.600 --> 0:29:07.940
<v Speaker 2>of compute, thinking about inference, pulling forward things like quantum computing,

0:29:08.180 --> 0:29:12.450
<v Speaker 2>the next wave of medicine for Americans and for our planet.

0:29:13.730 --> 0:29:17.060
<v Speaker 5>Those things, though, are still quite aligned with the broad

0:29:17.180 --> 0:29:19.600
<v Speaker 5>category that we'd call AI, right?

0:29:19.680 --> 0:29:19.820
<v Speaker 7>Yep.

0:29:20.020 --> 0:29:23.940
<v Speaker 5>Are there any sectors that you are so high conviction

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 5>on that you feel like the rest of the venture

0:29:25.940 --> 0:29:27.880
<v Speaker 5>community just isn't paying attention to?

0:29:27.900 --> 0:29:29.620
<v Speaker 9>Well, listen, our.

0:29:29.520 --> 0:29:31.410
<v Speaker 2>Job has been the world zigs to zag. And I

0:29:31.450 --> 0:29:33.350
<v Speaker 2>think what that means is to go where other people

0:29:33.390 --> 0:29:35.770
<v Speaker 2>are not going. So we made a number of embeds

0:29:35.970 --> 0:29:40.230
<v Speaker 2>in places like InsurTech, companies like Stand, which announced a

0:29:40.230 --> 0:29:43.470
<v Speaker 2>$ 70 million raise last week, over a billion. So again,

0:29:43.510 --> 0:29:46.360
<v Speaker 2>when things are out of vogue, inspired the very thematic

0:29:46.380 --> 0:29:50.680
<v Speaker 2>thesis-driven firm. We ourselves as founders have built and scaled

0:29:50.680 --> 0:29:52.740
<v Speaker 2>10 companies to hundreds of millions of users. We're a

0:29:52.840 --> 0:29:56.620
<v Speaker 2>very differentiated firm. And my co-founder is Penny Pritzker. But

0:29:56.640 --> 0:29:58.600
<v Speaker 2>so we look at companies that people aren't paying as

0:29:58.660 --> 0:30:03.320
<v Speaker 2>much attention to. So on consumer products, products aren't going anywhere. We,

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:05.780
<v Speaker 2>as I said, pulled forward a two-year thesis on the

0:30:05.820 --> 0:30:08.180
<v Speaker 2>future of quantum computing and what that will look like

0:30:09.240 --> 0:30:12.080
<v Speaker 2>as we get to the other side of AI. But

0:30:12.100 --> 0:30:13.940
<v Speaker 2>so again, very thematic and we like to go where

0:30:13.980 --> 0:30:14.900
<v Speaker 2>people are not fishing.

0:30:16.580 --> 0:30:19.180
<v Speaker 5>Alexa, I'd reflect and I do reflect often on the

0:30:19.240 --> 0:30:22.540
<v Speaker 5>show that like the cap tables look different present day.

0:30:22.940 --> 0:30:27.390
<v Speaker 5>You see private growth equity and strategics get on much earlier.

0:30:28.050 --> 0:30:31.090
<v Speaker 5>Interesting how that might impact early stage. But actually, my

0:30:31.170 --> 0:30:34.170
<v Speaker 5>curiosity with your new fund is how different the LPs

0:30:34.370 --> 0:30:37.970
<v Speaker 5>are or how different LP interest is present day. They

0:30:38.010 --> 0:30:40.800
<v Speaker 5>want to get into these names earlier. Could you talk

0:30:40.840 --> 0:30:41.360
<v Speaker 5>a bit about that?

0:30:41.620 --> 0:30:42.160
<v Speaker 9>Absolutely.

0:30:42.200 --> 0:30:44.700
<v Speaker 2>So first, I'll just say, you know, the Inspired investor

0:30:44.740 --> 0:30:47.700
<v Speaker 2>base is truly the best investors on the planet in

0:30:47.720 --> 0:30:50.880
<v Speaker 2>the world, and they give our companies majorly unfair advantages.

0:30:51.330 --> 0:30:52.210
<v Speaker 1>So I'm really proud.

0:30:52.230 --> 0:30:54.310
<v Speaker 2>I think that's one of the reasons why our portfolio

0:30:54.350 --> 0:30:58.070
<v Speaker 2>is outperforming. And then to your point, yes, you're absolutely

0:30:58.130 --> 0:31:01.820
<v Speaker 2>seeing big strategics wanting to get in. I think if you're,

0:31:01.840 --> 0:31:04.080
<v Speaker 2>you know, I sold my company to Northwestern Mutual. If

0:31:04.100 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 2>you're a big incumbent company, you recognize very clearly that

0:31:07.900 --> 0:31:09.580
<v Speaker 2>you need to be on the edge of what's happening

0:31:09.620 --> 0:31:12.680
<v Speaker 2>in technology. And those talent pools, you want to get

0:31:12.740 --> 0:31:15.780
<v Speaker 2>visibility on as quickly as you can. And so we're

0:31:15.800 --> 0:31:18.740
<v Speaker 2>seeing a lot of our companies have massive strategic interests,

0:31:19.140 --> 0:31:20.880
<v Speaker 2>not just from the acquisition front, but also from the

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:24.330
<v Speaker 2>capital front and huge commercial partnerships. So we're absolutely seeing

0:31:24.350 --> 0:31:25.200
<v Speaker 2>that be pulled forward then.

0:31:26.510 --> 0:31:29.979
<v Speaker 5>Is there any tangible difference for you in the direction

0:31:30.020 --> 0:31:34.060
<v Speaker 5>for exits away from IPOs towards strategic M &amp; A,

0:31:34.380 --> 0:31:34.960
<v Speaker 5>something like that?

0:31:35.340 --> 0:31:35.620
<v Speaker 1>Sure.

0:31:35.720 --> 0:31:37.570
<v Speaker 2>So, I mean, we wake up every day and get

0:31:37.590 --> 0:31:39.610
<v Speaker 2>out of bed to find companies that are going to

0:31:39.730 --> 0:31:42.450
<v Speaker 2>impact a billion people on this planet. So, again, big,

0:31:42.590 --> 0:31:45.490
<v Speaker 2>huge swings where … an early stage generalist looking for

0:31:45.550 --> 0:31:47.820
<v Speaker 2>companies that can do a billion of revenue and be

0:31:47.860 --> 0:31:52.020
<v Speaker 2>worth 50 billion plus. But when things are not going

0:31:52.080 --> 0:31:57.540
<v Speaker 2>as well, I think strategic exits are always available as

0:31:57.780 --> 0:31:59.730
<v Speaker 2>an option. But for us, we really focus more on

0:31:59.770 --> 0:32:03.310
<v Speaker 2>companies that want to go and be generational iconic category

0:32:03.330 --> 0:32:04.010
<v Speaker 2>defining companies.

0:32:05.270 --> 0:32:09.090
<v Speaker 5>Alexa von Tobel, founder of Inspired Capital, raising a new

0:32:09.090 --> 0:32:10.510
<v Speaker 5>$ 450 million early stage fund.

0:32:10.550 --> 0:32:11.470
<v Speaker 9>Thanks so much for being with us.

0:32:11.520 --> 0:32:12.080
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much.

0:32:12.100 --> 0:32:12.740
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate it.

0:32:13.560 --> 0:32:16.060
<v Speaker 5>Okay, coming up in the show, the battle for your attention.

0:32:16.480 --> 0:32:20.890
<v Speaker 5>We hear from NBCUniversal Entertainment chairman Donna Langley how Hollywood

0:32:20.970 --> 0:32:23.330
<v Speaker 5>is fighting to win over the next generation.

0:32:23.590 --> 0:32:25.070
<v Speaker 9>That's next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:32:37.900 --> 0:32:40.520
<v Speaker 5>Okay, so the hype around Grand Theft Auto 6 is

0:32:40.580 --> 0:32:44.300
<v Speaker 5>already giving PlayStation a boost. Sony's PlayStation 5 unit sales

0:32:44.420 --> 0:32:48.190
<v Speaker 5>in the US jumped 22% in September, while the hardware

0:32:48.230 --> 0:32:53.310
<v Speaker 5>revenue surged 43%. The higher-end $ 900 PS5 Pro is now

0:32:53.410 --> 0:32:56.730
<v Speaker 5>sold out or in limited supply at retailers, and that's

0:32:56.760 --> 0:33:00.100
<v Speaker 5>around the world, as gamers gear up for GDA 6.

0:33:00.100 --> 0:33:03.480
<v Speaker 5>The highly anticipated title, set to launch November 19th, on

0:33:03.540 --> 0:33:08.150
<v Speaker 5>PlayStation and Xbox. And gaming is just one part of

0:33:08.190 --> 0:33:12.230
<v Speaker 5>an increasingly fierce battle for our attention. NBC Universal Entertainment

0:33:12.250 --> 0:33:15.410
<v Speaker 5>Chairman Donna Langley says Hollywood is competing not just with

0:33:15.450 --> 0:33:18.980
<v Speaker 5>other studios and streamers, but with everything from social media

0:33:19.220 --> 0:33:29.050
<v Speaker 5>to short form video. Here's my five questions with Donna Langley. Now, today, 2026,

0:33:29.050 --> 0:33:32.610
<v Speaker 5>what makes something a hit? What gets people out of

0:33:32.670 --> 0:33:34.310
<v Speaker 5>their homes into movie theaters?

0:33:34.490 --> 0:33:38.090
<v Speaker 9>It is cultural relevance, authenticity.

0:33:38.690 --> 0:33:41.850
<v Speaker 16>If you look at the Odyssey and you look at Obsession,

0:33:42.190 --> 0:33:47.410
<v Speaker 16>they couldn't be more different, but they created urgency. It

0:33:47.450 --> 0:33:50.780
<v Speaker 16>was excitement for a young audience to have that kind

0:33:50.820 --> 0:33:53.000
<v Speaker 16>of a film and a story up there on the

0:33:53.020 --> 0:33:54.180
<v Speaker 16>big screen to go see.

0:33:55.140 --> 0:33:59.340
<v Speaker 5>If you could, like, rebuild a media organization, what would

0:33:59.360 --> 0:34:02.360
<v Speaker 5>you have to do to, like, account for all of

0:34:02.420 --> 0:34:03.620
<v Speaker 5>those different mediums?

0:34:03.870 --> 0:34:07.110
<v Speaker 16>That's such a fun question. Without doubt, you'd have theatrical,

0:34:07.730 --> 0:34:09.930
<v Speaker 16>but you'd have large format. You would be building and

0:34:09.969 --> 0:34:13.169
<v Speaker 16>making films for that most premium experience. But I think

0:34:13.190 --> 0:34:15.149
<v Speaker 16>that's on one end of the spectrum. They can sort

0:34:15.170 --> 0:34:17.049
<v Speaker 16>of choose their own adventure. And then you'd have everything

0:34:17.070 --> 0:34:19.410
<v Speaker 16>in between. But you'd have streaming, you'd have television.

0:34:19.550 --> 0:34:20.170
<v Speaker 9>But sort of.

0:34:20.190 --> 0:34:23.009
<v Speaker 16>Paramount in all of that would be storytelling.

0:34:23.950 --> 0:34:25.690
<v Speaker 5>What is Donna Langley watching at the moment?

0:34:26.070 --> 0:34:28.850
<v Speaker 16>So the new season of South Park, I have two

0:34:28.890 --> 0:34:29.610
<v Speaker 16>teenage boys.

0:34:29.850 --> 0:34:30.870
<v Speaker 9>We like co-viewing.

0:34:31.030 --> 0:34:32.470
<v Speaker 16>We're watching The Gentleman together.

0:34:33.090 --> 0:34:34.260
<v Speaker 9>I love Slow Horses.

0:34:34.450 --> 0:34:37.720
<v Speaker 16>And then Ted Lasso is complete co-viewing, the whole family.

0:34:38.840 --> 0:34:42.620
<v Speaker 5>Away from television and film, where is the competition for

0:34:42.660 --> 0:34:43.220
<v Speaker 5>your eyeballs?

0:34:43.780 --> 0:34:46.520
<v Speaker 16>I am very aware that I have to limit myself

0:34:46.800 --> 0:34:50.200
<v Speaker 16>on Instagram Reels or TikTok videos because I can go

0:34:50.280 --> 0:34:52.739
<v Speaker 16>down the rabbit hole like everybody else. I'm not a

0:34:52.780 --> 0:34:55.609
<v Speaker 16>doom scroller, though. that I will not allow myself to do.

0:34:56.050 --> 0:34:58.550
<v Speaker 16>And I also have fun trying to beat my own algorithm.

0:34:59.010 --> 0:35:00.530
<v Speaker 16>I don't like to be told what to watch.

0:35:01.890 --> 0:35:06.580
<v Speaker 5>Your industry, is it the studios and the streamers battling

0:35:06.620 --> 0:35:09.680
<v Speaker 5>each other, or you are in competition with the social

0:35:09.739 --> 0:35:10.620
<v Speaker 5>media platforms?

0:35:10.760 --> 0:35:11.160
<v Speaker 9>We're in a.

0:35:11.160 --> 0:35:15.400
<v Speaker 16>Battle for the attention of the audience that we value,

0:35:15.540 --> 0:35:17.489
<v Speaker 16>and we value all of our audience, but we want

0:35:17.530 --> 0:35:20.549
<v Speaker 16>that young audience. We want to create the cinephile.

0:35:20.030 --> 0:35:20.610
<v Speaker 9>Of the future.

0:35:22.670 --> 0:35:25.950
<v Speaker 5>And speaking of getting audiences into theaters, A24 has a

0:35:25.989 --> 0:35:29.509
<v Speaker 5>surprise hit on its hands. You can see everything. The

0:35:29.530 --> 0:35:33.370
<v Speaker 5>nearly three-hour documentary following Elizabeth Holmes in the weeks before

0:35:33.410 --> 0:35:36.650
<v Speaker 5>the Theranos founder reported to prison has now grossed more

0:35:36.690 --> 0:35:40.260
<v Speaker 5>than $ 23 million domestically as of Wednesday. And that's just

0:35:40.280 --> 0:35:43.560
<v Speaker 5>from a limited release in under 1,000 theaters. The film's

0:35:43.580 --> 0:35:47.540
<v Speaker 5>set to expand to more screens this weekend. Okay, coming up,

0:35:47.580 --> 0:35:51.739
<v Speaker 5>we go live to the Agricultural Commodity Futures Conference in Kansas.

0:35:52.260 --> 0:35:55.880
<v Speaker 5>CEO Tarek Mansour joins us next of Kaoshi. This is

0:35:55.920 --> 0:36:10.790
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg Tech. OK, let's get out to the Agricultural Commodity

0:36:10.930 --> 0:36:14.350
<v Speaker 5>Futures Conference in Kansas, where Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is joining

0:36:14.370 --> 0:36:16.279
<v Speaker 5>us with Kaoshi CEO Tarek Mansour.

0:36:16.320 --> 0:36:16.739
<v Speaker 3>Hi, Tyler.

0:36:19.960 --> 0:36:21.919
<v Speaker 8>Hey, Ed, thanks so much. As you mentioned, I'm pleased

0:36:21.940 --> 0:36:24.180
<v Speaker 8>to say I'm joined now by the CEO of CalSheet,

0:36:24.239 --> 0:36:27.299
<v Speaker 8>Tarek Mansour. Ed mentioned we're here on the sidelines of

0:36:27.450 --> 0:36:29.190
<v Speaker 8>this conference, and we should say you and I just

0:36:29.210 --> 0:36:32.390
<v Speaker 8>had a very long panel discussion about how Americans are

0:36:32.450 --> 0:36:35.859
<v Speaker 8>increasingly turning to prediction markets when it comes to the election.

0:36:36.330 --> 0:36:38.650
<v Speaker 8>And if we look at what calci traders are pricing in,

0:36:38.770 --> 0:36:41.290
<v Speaker 8>it seems like there is a good chance that Democrats

0:36:41.330 --> 0:36:44.550
<v Speaker 8>are favored going into Election Day. And just to start

0:36:44.630 --> 0:36:47.380
<v Speaker 8>more broadly, I'm wondering how you're preparing for that as

0:36:47.430 --> 0:36:50.940
<v Speaker 8>a company, knowing that there have been policymakers on Capitol

0:36:50.960 --> 0:36:53.600
<v Speaker 8>Hill that have indicated they want to rein in the industry.

0:36:53.620 --> 0:36:55.859
<v Speaker 9>Well, excited to be here. Thanks for having me.

0:36:56.040 --> 0:36:57.980
<v Speaker 7>You know, we're very excited because it really feels like

0:36:58.000 --> 0:36:58.859
<v Speaker 7>this is the first election.

0:36:59.820 --> 0:37:00.740
<v Speaker 9>Prediction market election.

0:37:00.980 --> 0:37:04.140
<v Speaker 7>Obviously we went, you know, the breakout year was 24,

0:37:04.140 --> 0:37:05.779
<v Speaker 7>but this is the first one where we're seeing kind

0:37:05.800 --> 0:37:09.489
<v Speaker 7>of an institutionalization of the usage of prediction markets. You know,

0:37:09.550 --> 0:37:12.089
<v Speaker 7>really majority of campaign, if not all the campaigns now

0:37:12.110 --> 0:37:15.020
<v Speaker 7>are reliant and are using prediction market data to inform

0:37:15.040 --> 0:37:17.899
<v Speaker 7>their decision making and what's happening in their races. Because

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:19.500
<v Speaker 7>it's one, more accurate, and there's been a lot of

0:37:19.540 --> 0:37:22.740
<v Speaker 7>studies about that, and two, it's real time. As news erupts,

0:37:23.120 --> 0:37:25.660
<v Speaker 7>the markets move in real time, like traditional financial markets.

0:37:26.190 --> 0:37:28.090
<v Speaker 9>So we're very, very excited about sort of the development.

0:37:28.150 --> 0:37:29.850
<v Speaker 7>And, you know, really what we're focused on is providing

0:37:29.890 --> 0:37:32.730
<v Speaker 7>a platform that is safe, fair, and neutral for, you know,

0:37:32.750 --> 0:37:35.410
<v Speaker 7>the millions of Americans that are predicting what's going to happen.

0:37:35.430 --> 0:37:36.049
<v Speaker 9>At the election.

0:37:36.170 --> 0:37:39.260
<v Speaker 8>Have you been engaging with any policymakers on Capitol Hill

0:37:39.300 --> 0:37:42.260
<v Speaker 8>as we look past the midterms? We just had Senator

0:37:42.280 --> 0:37:44.839
<v Speaker 8>Ted Cruz indicate that he's going to introduce a bill

0:37:44.880 --> 0:37:46.460
<v Speaker 8>that would rein in the industry. Yeah.

0:37:46.969 --> 0:37:49.490
<v Speaker 7>We've been engaging on a bipartisan basis with both Republicans

0:37:49.530 --> 0:37:51.950
<v Speaker 7>and Democrats, absolutely. I mean, Couch's position has always been

0:37:51.989 --> 0:37:55.489
<v Speaker 7>very clear. We're a pro-regulation company. We spend the first

0:37:55.530 --> 0:37:58.930
<v Speaker 7>four years of the company getting regulated. And really, the

0:37:59.030 --> 0:38:00.569
<v Speaker 7>important thing that we have to do as we kind

0:38:00.590 --> 0:38:02.490
<v Speaker 7>of look ahead, you know, we have 30 million customers now.

0:38:02.570 --> 0:38:05.200
<v Speaker 7>Americans are engaged in prediction markets. It's one of the

0:38:05.219 --> 0:38:09.000
<v Speaker 7>fastest growing companies and industries in America, really, outside of AI.

0:38:10.410 --> 0:38:12.710
<v Speaker 7>And we have to set some sensible rules of the

0:38:12.750 --> 0:38:14.609
<v Speaker 7>road when it comes to kind of banning certain types

0:38:14.650 --> 0:38:16.990
<v Speaker 7>of markets that shouldn't exist, that exist on offshore markets,

0:38:17.670 --> 0:38:20.259
<v Speaker 7>policing and banning insider trading and participation from members of

0:38:20.320 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 7>Congress and administration, and then a comprehensive customer protection regime

0:38:24.180 --> 0:38:25.719
<v Speaker 7>to make sure that people can innovate and compete and

0:38:25.760 --> 0:38:27.580
<v Speaker 7>trade the way they want, but at the same time,

0:38:27.880 --> 0:38:28.800
<v Speaker 7>giving them the right guardrails.

0:38:29.380 --> 0:38:29.799
<v Speaker 9>Part of the.

0:38:29.780 --> 0:38:32.299
<v Speaker 8>Debate on Capitol Hill is echoing what's coming down to

0:38:32.620 --> 0:38:36.790
<v Speaker 8>multi-state litigation over sports contracts in particular. It feels like

0:38:36.830 --> 0:38:39.770
<v Speaker 8>it is poised to go to the Supreme Court. If

0:38:39.810 --> 0:38:41.650
<v Speaker 8>the Supreme Court comes back and says that a lot

0:38:41.670 --> 0:38:44.950
<v Speaker 8>of these sports contracts are gambling, what do you do next?

0:38:44.989 --> 0:38:47.200
<v Speaker 9>What does that do to Kalshi's business model? Look, I mean,

0:38:47.239 --> 0:38:49.060
<v Speaker 9>at the end of the day, Kalshi is a market.

0:38:49.180 --> 0:38:49.640
<v Speaker 9>It's an exchange.

0:38:49.660 --> 0:38:52.080
<v Speaker 7>And there's this turf battle, right? These turf battles have

0:38:52.100 --> 0:38:54.219
<v Speaker 7>existed in the past. They've happened between the state and

0:38:54.239 --> 0:38:56.380
<v Speaker 7>the federal government about the Chicago Board of Trade for grain.

0:38:56.400 --> 0:38:59.279
<v Speaker 7>They've happened between the CFC and SEC forever. And really

0:38:59.300 --> 0:39:01.830
<v Speaker 7>what we're focused on is building the marketplace. Now, at

0:39:01.850 --> 0:39:04.069
<v Speaker 7>a high level, that debate sort of boils down to

0:39:04.090 --> 0:39:06.350
<v Speaker 7>a very simple question, right? And, like, people kind of

0:39:06.630 --> 0:39:07.890
<v Speaker 7>have been sort of talking about the idea of, like,

0:39:08.230 --> 0:39:11.390
<v Speaker 7>are people betting on cash versus not betting? Yes, certainly

0:39:11.430 --> 0:39:13.969
<v Speaker 7>there's betting on cash going on. There's betting, you know,

0:39:13.989 --> 0:39:16.450
<v Speaker 7>people bet on stocks. People bet on oil prices because

0:39:16.469 --> 0:39:17.609
<v Speaker 7>speculation is a form of betting.

0:39:17.630 --> 0:39:18.129
<v Speaker 9>It looks the same.

0:39:18.530 --> 0:39:20.400
<v Speaker 7>The question is not about whether there's betting. The question

0:39:20.400 --> 0:39:22.169
<v Speaker 7>is about are you doing it against the house where

0:39:22.170 --> 0:39:23.980
<v Speaker 7>the sole purpose of the house is to take your money?

0:39:23.980 --> 0:39:25.549
<v Speaker 7>or are you doing it on an open market? That

0:39:25.590 --> 0:39:28.610
<v Speaker 7>difference in structure really dictates a difference in regulatory regime,

0:39:28.910 --> 0:39:32.580
<v Speaker 7>because on an open market, it has positive externalities, public goods,

0:39:32.620 --> 0:39:35.399
<v Speaker 7>and the fact that it brings a forecast that people

0:39:35.420 --> 0:39:37.700
<v Speaker 7>are using, where you coded cash markets to figure out

0:39:37.719 --> 0:39:39.940
<v Speaker 7>what's going to happen for the midterms, because that's a

0:39:40.239 --> 0:39:42.700
<v Speaker 7>forecast that comes from millions of people trading on the market,

0:39:43.100 --> 0:39:45.200
<v Speaker 7>and people's ability to hedge. And we see a lot

0:39:45.219 --> 0:39:47.980
<v Speaker 7>of people hedging on sports, elections, economic climate, and so

0:39:48.000 --> 0:39:48.520
<v Speaker 7>on and so forth.

0:39:49.170 --> 0:39:52.189
<v Speaker 8>Our reporting indicates that you're raising money at a $ 40

0:39:51.840 --> 0:39:55.640
<v Speaker 8>billion evaluation, eyeing an IPO for next year. I hear

0:39:55.660 --> 0:40:00.410
<v Speaker 8>your argument when it comes to this potential Supreme Court case.

0:40:00.840 --> 0:40:03.350
<v Speaker 8>But I'm wondering if the court case would influence your

0:40:03.469 --> 0:40:05.390
<v Speaker 8>timing or your filing strategy.

0:40:05.570 --> 0:40:08.090
<v Speaker 7>I'm not going to discuss IPO timing and filing here.

0:40:08.110 --> 0:40:12.719
<v Speaker 7>We'll discuss what we're focused on and what we're heading towards.

0:40:13.560 --> 0:40:15.700
<v Speaker 7>What's amazing about Couchy, if you look at our growth

0:40:15.719 --> 0:40:18.960
<v Speaker 7>trajectory and the different products that have been growing, our

0:40:19.020 --> 0:40:22.090
<v Speaker 7>crypto products have actually been growing faster than our prediction

0:40:22.110 --> 0:40:23.029
<v Speaker 7>markets and sports products.

0:40:23.110 --> 0:40:24.270
<v Speaker 9>In fact, we're at Atcon today.

0:40:24.730 --> 0:40:27.390
<v Speaker 7>Our fastest-growing product line right now is commodities, which is

0:40:27.410 --> 0:40:29.490
<v Speaker 7>why we've been expanding into traditional products. We just launched

0:40:29.790 --> 0:40:33.590
<v Speaker 7>and announced that we're launching inflation futures. Their incoming compute

0:40:33.630 --> 0:40:35.650
<v Speaker 7>futures have been a huge focus for Calshi, and we're

0:40:35.670 --> 0:40:37.030
<v Speaker 7>going to, I think, lead the way in that industry

0:40:37.070 --> 0:40:37.370
<v Speaker 7>as well.

0:40:38.230 --> 0:40:39.830
<v Speaker 9>We're getting into securities and stock exchanges.

0:40:39.870 --> 0:40:41.450
<v Speaker 7>So we're very excited about the diversity of products that

0:40:41.469 --> 0:40:44.640
<v Speaker 7>we're getting to our 30 million customers and how kind

0:40:44.660 --> 0:40:46.879
<v Speaker 7>of the diversification of our product lines is going.

0:40:47.120 --> 0:40:50.060
<v Speaker 8>Well, Bloomberg News actually broke the news on inflation futures.

0:40:50.100 --> 0:40:51.860
<v Speaker 8>Can you talk a little bit more about your ambitions

0:40:51.900 --> 0:40:52.440
<v Speaker 8>in that space?

0:40:53.150 --> 0:40:55.549
<v Speaker 7>So markets, what they do best is price discovery. They

0:40:55.670 --> 0:40:59.780
<v Speaker 7>predict or they price something. It could be a physical commodity,

0:40:59.820 --> 0:41:01.900
<v Speaker 7>like what we're dealing with in this conference, like the

0:41:01.920 --> 0:41:04.480
<v Speaker 7>price of grain or oil. It could be an intangible commodity,

0:41:04.520 --> 0:41:06.700
<v Speaker 7>like credit, the price of credit of a company and

0:41:06.719 --> 0:41:07.290
<v Speaker 7>so on and so forth.

0:41:07.710 --> 0:41:09.569
<v Speaker 9>And cash is mentioned, cash means everything in Arabic. It's

0:41:09.590 --> 0:41:10.030
<v Speaker 9>to price.

0:41:10.750 --> 0:41:12.770
<v Speaker 7>A much larger set of things. So we're getting into

0:41:12.830 --> 0:41:16.060
<v Speaker 7>pricing inflation. Inflation has been a big hot issue right

0:41:16.080 --> 0:41:18.319
<v Speaker 7>now for people in America. And there hasn't been very

0:41:18.340 --> 0:41:20.759
<v Speaker 7>good tools to basically predict what inflation is going to

0:41:20.800 --> 0:41:23.120
<v Speaker 7>be over the next 12 months. The same thing applies

0:41:23.160 --> 0:41:26.770
<v Speaker 7>for compute and AI and all these questions that are

0:41:26.790 --> 0:41:29.290
<v Speaker 7>basically facing us. The one thing that's so interesting is

0:41:29.330 --> 0:41:32.670
<v Speaker 7>that with our 30 million customers, And we've seen a

0:41:32.670 --> 0:41:34.270
<v Speaker 7>lot of data that Main Street, which is Cal Street,

0:41:34.290 --> 0:41:37.310
<v Speaker 7>is outperforming Wall Street at predicting a lot of different things,

0:41:37.390 --> 0:41:40.719
<v Speaker 7>including inflation. Our best inflation forecasters on prediction markets is

0:41:40.760 --> 0:41:42.779
<v Speaker 7>actually a random dude in Kansas, which is where we

0:41:42.820 --> 0:41:45.180
<v Speaker 7>are right now, who, you know, essentially has never really

0:41:45.200 --> 0:41:47.239
<v Speaker 7>traded on Wall Street, doesn't come from the typical Wall

0:41:47.260 --> 0:41:49.719
<v Speaker 7>Street background, but has been doing an incredible job at,

0:41:49.900 --> 0:41:51.759
<v Speaker 7>you know, trading on our inflation markets and making them

0:41:51.800 --> 0:41:53.609
<v Speaker 7>more accurate over time. We want to apply that same

0:41:53.630 --> 0:41:54.490
<v Speaker 7>thing to inflation futures.

0:41:54.910 --> 0:41:57.350
<v Speaker 8>In the final minute, I have you broadly speaking and

0:41:57.390 --> 0:41:58.270
<v Speaker 8>looking at the outlook.

0:41:58.650 --> 0:42:00.230
<v Speaker 1>Do you ever see.

0:42:00.050 --> 0:42:03.650
<v Speaker 8>The perpetual side of the business getting bigger than prediction markets?

0:42:04.070 --> 0:42:05.350
<v Speaker 9>In volume, they're already comparable.

0:42:05.489 --> 0:42:08.779
<v Speaker 7>So right now, and have a look at the most

0:42:08.820 --> 0:42:11.000
<v Speaker 7>recent numbers, but we're doing around a trillion dollars annually

0:42:11.480 --> 0:42:12.460
<v Speaker 7>of volume on CalSheet.

0:42:13.060 --> 0:42:14.600
<v Speaker 9>A little bit over half of that is predictions.

0:42:14.640 --> 0:42:18.120
<v Speaker 7>The rest is amongst our non-predictions of futures and purpose products.

0:42:19.200 --> 0:42:21.259
<v Speaker 7>So certainly, I mean, I think these products just take

0:42:21.280 --> 0:42:23.440
<v Speaker 7>some time to mature, but our purpose trajectory has been

0:42:23.460 --> 0:42:26.609
<v Speaker 7>incredibly exciting. We started crypto, moving to commodities. We're about

0:42:26.640 --> 0:42:30.750
<v Speaker 7>to do single stocks, AI, compute. And so, you know,

0:42:30.770 --> 0:42:34.029
<v Speaker 7>really the amount of opportunity is really endless right now,

0:42:34.110 --> 0:42:35.529
<v Speaker 7>and we're very excited to bring more and more products

0:42:35.550 --> 0:42:35.890
<v Speaker 7>to market.

0:42:36.330 --> 0:42:39.790
<v Speaker 8>All right. Tarek Mansour, the CEO of CalSheet, thank you

0:42:39.810 --> 0:42:42.710
<v Speaker 8>so much for joining us here on Bloomberg Television and Radio.

0:42:42.910 --> 0:42:44.890
<v Speaker 8>I'm Tyler Kendall, and I will toss it back to you.

0:42:45.920 --> 0:42:48.920
<v Speaker 5>Okay, Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall with Calgary CEO Tyrone Monceau. Thank

0:42:48.940 --> 0:42:51.480
<v Speaker 5>you very much. That does it for this edition of

0:42:51.520 --> 0:42:54.069
<v Speaker 5>Bloomberg Tech. This is what markets look like going out

0:42:54.110 --> 0:42:55.989
<v Speaker 5>of the week. We're up on a Friday, and a

0:42:56.030 --> 0:42:59.190
<v Speaker 5>happy Friday to you all. But remember, back-to-back weekly declines

0:42:59.270 --> 0:43:02.090
<v Speaker 5>in the NASDAQ 100 for the first time since the summer.

0:43:02.130 --> 0:43:04.690
<v Speaker 5>A lot happening in private markets, too. Recap the whole

0:43:04.710 --> 0:43:09.410
<v Speaker 5>show on the podcast. On all the Bloomberg platforms and online, Apple, Spotify, iHeart,

0:43:09.469 --> 0:43:11.450
<v Speaker 5>thank you for being with us all week long in

0:43:11.469 --> 0:43:13.629
<v Speaker 5>the world of technology. This is Bloomberg Tech.