1 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast. I am Shad Mellman 2 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 1: from the Action Network. It is Wednesday morning when you 3 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:17,479 Speaker 1: were downloading this, or maybe Thursday or maybe Friday, but 4 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: today is the very special day when we get Bob 5 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: scoochi bookmaker at the Orleans and all the Boyd gaming 6 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada as well as a 7 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:34,280 Speaker 1: growing empire where he is bookmaker to the world. Scooch, 8 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: don't talk. We've got some intro music for you. You 9 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: cannot tell me when you're done with that music that 10 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: you're like not super psyched to go book Yeah, it 11 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: gets me pumped up every time. I mean I hear that. 12 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: I once had a here's a great story. You love 13 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 1: this story. So years ago when I worked at ESPN, 14 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: I was at a conference and one of my closest 15 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: friends at ESPN ran all of ad sales, and we 16 00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: were at the conference and there are a bunch of 17 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: different panels and um, every time someone came out, there 18 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: are a lot of athletes speaking on panels and stuff. 19 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 1: Every single time someone came out, they would come out 20 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: to highlights, like you know, highlights of themselves with this 21 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: great music and you'd be so inspired when it was over, 22 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: so inspired when it was over, and he and I 23 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 1: were standing like at the back of the conference, just 24 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: sort of sucking around, and I said to him, I 25 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 1: feel like if I had a highlight reel of me 26 00:01:48,040 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: doing the mundane things I do in the office with 27 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 1: like good music, like living in the Hall of Fame, 28 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 1: you know, like living in the Hall of Fame, you know, 29 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: like that song, I would I look amazing, I look heroic, 30 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: like me at a whiteboard, me with my feet on 31 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: my desk, making a phone call, me slamming the door 32 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:08,799 Speaker 1: on somebody whatever. He's like, God, that would be amazing. Uh. 33 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 1: I said to him, how much you want to bet 34 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: the first one of us to do that? We were 35 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: in meeting together all the time. The first one of 36 00:02:16,360 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 1: us to do that in a meeting. We cannot tell 37 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: each other we're doing it. We just have a presentation. 38 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: That's how we start the presentation. He goes a thousand dollars. 39 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: So in that moment, he and I bet a thousand 40 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: dollars that. Uh, the first person who plays a highlight 41 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 1: video of them doing mundane office tasks in front of 42 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: an entire room of people, we'll win a thousand dollars. Right, 43 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 1: So for the next year, he and I every meeting 44 00:02:48,880 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: we go to we just look at each other. We're like, 45 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 1: is this gonna be the day They're gonna happen? And 46 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: it never happens. Right. So ESPN every couple of years 47 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: will have this massive uh off site sales meeting. The 48 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: entire you know, four or five six people, everyone in 49 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: the sales organization will disappear for two days and they'll 50 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: do like two days of you know, learning and setting 51 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,480 Speaker 1: themes for the year and getting presentations and how to 52 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: be more effective in their job. And one of the 53 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:18,080 Speaker 1: years they did this, they asked me to sort of 54 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 1: be the m C of the event for two days 55 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 1: where I give the opening remarks like a keynote speech, 56 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 1: and then sort of between the different presentations, I go 57 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 1: up and like find the connective tissue and scooch. I 58 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,680 Speaker 1: just need a verbal confirmation you're still with me, You're 59 00:03:31,680 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: still there? Yeah, okay, because I'm talking a lot right now. 60 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: I just want to make sure I'm sure no doubt 61 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: like the over under on me before I would let 62 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: you speak, says people and put lines on this on Twitter. 63 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: It was like five or seven minutes. It's going it's 64 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: going over close, that's going way fucking over. And so 65 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: I've got to give this presentation right the morning. The 66 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 1: presentation is like a thirty and everyone's outside in the 67 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: hallway like you're having your bagels and coffee or whatever. 68 00:03:56,920 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: And I see my buddy and I'm introducing him. He's 69 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:03,279 Speaker 1: like seeking after me, and he looks at me. He goes, oh, 70 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: I go what. He goes, today's the day. I go, 71 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: what are you talking about? He goes, You're gonna do 72 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: the video. I'm like, his name is Eric. I'm like 73 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: it called me j e J. This is not the day, 74 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 1: like your boss, the president of ESPN, like sales is here. 75 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: There's four or five people here. I don't know everybody 76 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:25,919 Speaker 1: in this room. I'm giving like a serious presentation. I 77 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: cannot I can't use this time to do that today. 78 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: He goes, yeah, it makes sense. So I go up there. 79 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,600 Speaker 1: I give my remarks for about ten minutes, and I go, 80 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bring out e J. But before I do, 81 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: there's one thing I have to do. And then I 82 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: look at e J and I smile, and he's in 83 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 1: the on the side of the stage literally does a 84 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: spit take and someone presses play on the video and 85 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: they do a video with me to living in the 86 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: Hall of Fame. Uh as a highlight reel. And I 87 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: didn't explain. I didn't explain to anybody what happened. I 88 00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: would just me like doing office tasks. E J paid 89 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,720 Speaker 1: me a thousand to us No way. Yeah, did did 90 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 1: people come to you later? Just like what the fuck? 91 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: He he explained it, He explained what happened. Pretty good. 92 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: That's pretty good. Yeah. I don't how did we even 93 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: get on that? How did we even get on that? 94 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: The walk up music? Because when you set music, you 95 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: could be doing anything, and music is gonna make it 96 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,720 Speaker 1: sound better. So you've inspired me. As I'm moving lines 97 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: in front of my monitors, I'm gonna get some music 98 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna have someone film it because you have 99 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:36,560 Speaker 1: to send that to me and we can post it 100 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: on Twitter. All right, please do that? All right? Oh 101 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:43,600 Speaker 1: my god, that would be amazing. You know what else 102 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 1: is amazing? Scooch? What? Uh? This week, the Denver Broncos 103 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: played the Kancity Chiefs, and I bet the Broncos at 104 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: plus five and a half and then before the game 105 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: went off, it was down to three and a half. 106 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 1: So I bet the Chiefs at minus three and a 107 00:05:54,080 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 1: half and I middle that game. Wow, exploiting US bookmakers again. Huh, 108 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: we got middle profession. That's what they call me. What 109 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 1: is that? What is that noise? That was? That was 110 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: one of my many phones. Jesus, what's going on with you? Man? 111 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:19,480 Speaker 1: How how's your week I feel like last weekend was 112 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 1: off the chain, ridiculous. I wrote about it on the 113 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 1: Action Network actually network dot com Millins the Red Zone 114 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: Diaries because I um I had literally every game that 115 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: went to overtime. You know, I had the Raiders, had 116 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: the Colts, I had the Titans. I had the Cardinals 117 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 1: which went to the last second. It was absurd. Well, 118 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 1: we had. We had actually a pretty good weekend. I'll 119 00:06:41,560 --> 00:06:44,600 Speaker 1: be honest with you. The morning started out, I thought 120 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 1: it was gonna be one of our one of our 121 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 1: worst days ever. Uh. You know, the Patriots just started rolling. 122 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:56,039 Speaker 1: Everyone started rolling, and all the favorites were covering Early 123 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: Green Bay. Uh, and then kind of things took a 124 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:04,919 Speaker 1: little turn for us. The Tennessee Titans came back and 125 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 1: uh upset the Eagles. That was a good one for US. 126 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 1: Um A couple other games that UM kind of went 127 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 1: our way and and it turned out to be a 128 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: decent Sunday. It wasn't a great day, wasn't anything compared 129 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 1: to the week before, But what looked like a disaster 130 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: early on actually turned out okay. You know what I 131 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 1: like about it? What did we both win? Our Scooter 132 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 1: row letpicks? I can't remember. No. I think I lost 133 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: because I had the cults, right, I had the cults. 134 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:37,280 Speaker 1: That was one of the ones I lost in overtime. Oh, 135 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 1: when you were like adamant that you get to you 136 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 1: got to go first? Yeah, you were mad that I 137 00:07:41,880 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: got the cults, And I bet you're not mad anymore. 138 00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: Could I end up taking the Cardinals? I don't remember 139 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 1: who you took mad for? Our producer is looking it 140 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: up right now. You think you think that like I 141 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: would take care of these things. I've become such a 142 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: prima donna, like all I do is tell All I 143 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: do is tell stories about myself, talk about my own bets, 144 00:08:01,360 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: and ask matt Ford for everything. Matt Ford just whispered 145 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 1: to me that I took Oakland winner. You know what 146 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:13,480 Speaker 1: that means? What I'm going first for? Scootrou Let today. Alright, 147 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 1: this is a tough board. This is a really tough board. 148 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 1: I want to get to these games because it is 149 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 1: not easy. Like, I see a couple opportunities, I think, um, 150 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,960 Speaker 1: and I already made one bet, but uh, I want 151 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 1: to get right into it. Man, Like the New England 152 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 1: Patriots back being overvalued ten point favorites over the Colts. 153 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:33,000 Speaker 1: I don't know if you opened this at ten and 154 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: a half, it's been bent down to ten. Um even 155 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 1: though all the money and is coming in on New 156 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 1: England right now, tells me the wise guys took a 157 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,839 Speaker 1: little bit of piece of the Colt at ten. Give 158 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: me your take. Uh, well, we opened it at ten 159 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: and went to ten and a half. New England's got 160 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 1: some some injuries on this on their side. Gronkowski still 161 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:57,400 Speaker 1: uh listed as questionable for the game. So um. You 162 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: know it's funny because it's it only takes one game 163 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:03,240 Speaker 1: for the betting public to just forget everything they saw. Uh. 164 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:07,680 Speaker 1: So you know, if New England just didn't completely dominate 165 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: the Dolphins last week, uh, you know, then everyone would 166 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: be talking about how you know, they finally lost the 167 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: step and they're not as good and but it only 168 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: takes one game to say, Okay, that's the New England 169 00:09:18,760 --> 00:09:23,199 Speaker 1: we remember, so now they're double digit favorites. Um, so 170 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 1: you know the but these Thursday night games are kind 171 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 1: of tough to figure out because as we've seen it, 172 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: it seems like almost always one of the teams can't 173 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: put back to back games together. So either they kind 174 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 1: of uh the short week isn't enough for them to 175 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: prepare for it, or they're kind of looking to the 176 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 1: next game. So these Thursday night games are It's the 177 00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: kind of game where I think, uh uh New England 178 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:53,240 Speaker 1: would have a tougher time covering double digit uh point 179 00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: spreads against the Colts. I mean, so I favor the 180 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: Colts in this one. I'm okay with needing. Needing the Colts. 181 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: We're gonna need him probably big time because uh the 182 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 1: ticket counts about four to one right now. So um, well, 183 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. What do you think of Andrew 184 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 1: Luck Like he's becoming a hard guy for me to 185 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,360 Speaker 1: bet against. And I feel like every week I'm betting 186 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 1: on the Bengals and the Colts lad just because I 187 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 1: think they're undervalued. Um. But so therefore, I've watched every 188 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,839 Speaker 1: Andrew Luck game. He's one of those guys like I 189 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: don't want the ball in his hand if I'm betting 190 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: against him on third down. Yeah. Well, you know, I 191 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:33,320 Speaker 1: know we say the right side of the winning side, 192 00:10:33,320 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 1: but really the Colts I felt were the right side 193 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: last week against against the Texans that you know, it 194 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,439 Speaker 1: looked like they had the momentum there at the end. 195 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 1: I mean, if you saw the game, the Colts got 196 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 1: down early because they were in their own back with 197 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 1: on their own five four yard line, and they fumbled 198 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: it and the Texans got a quick touchdown there. Um, 199 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 1: and even with the Texans up pretty big, I think 200 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,319 Speaker 1: there are up at one point, Andrew Luck just led 201 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:05,400 Speaker 1: right back and it felt like the momentum was on 202 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 1: their side. Um. And then of course that you know, 203 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: big decision on fourth and four I think it was, 204 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 1: and they decided to go for it, and uh they didn't. 205 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 1: They didn't get it, and then they lose it in overtime. Uh, 206 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: it still felt like the Colts were the better team, 207 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 1: if that makes any sense at all. So, Um, to 208 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: answer your question, I'm a big Andrew Luck fan, and 209 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,319 Speaker 1: I think ten points is probably too much to give 210 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,559 Speaker 1: him I'm with you, man, I am totally with you. Um, 211 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 1: let's talk about another good one. Kansas City three point 212 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:41,800 Speaker 1: favorites over the Jags at home. As you know, in 213 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 1: case in case I didn't mention it, I middled the 214 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: game last night. Yeah, well, this is gonna be a 215 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: great one. I mean Kansas City four and oh now 216 00:11:53,240 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: and going up against that Jacksonville defense. Um, it's it's 217 00:12:00,920 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: it's it's right there. I mean, I think three is 218 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 1: the right number there. I don't think we'll see a 219 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: whole lot. I mean, the public, we know that they're 220 00:12:07,000 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 1: going to keep riding Kansas City until they lose or 221 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 1: just don't cover. But uh, I think the three really 222 00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 1: is the right number here. I think if any if 223 00:12:18,160 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: Kansas City is gonna have a hard time, uh moving 224 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: the ball, it's gonna be against this this defense, and 225 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: especially with the with the short week. I mean, we've 226 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,000 Speaker 1: seen Kansas City do this last year too. They jumped 227 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 1: out to a you know, five and five and oh 228 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: record before kind of having a hitting the skids in 229 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 1: the middle of the year. Of course that was with 230 00:12:37,679 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 1: a different quarterback. But I think Jacksonville put a game 231 00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 1: plan together to slow down the homes. Last night, at 232 00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:48,439 Speaker 1: the end of the game, when uh, it was clear 233 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:51,319 Speaker 1: that the Chiefs had won and and I was gonna 234 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:54,320 Speaker 1: win both of my bets, I was explaining, you know, 235 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:58,319 Speaker 1: my wife and I were watching the game in our bedroom, 236 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 1: and I explained, like what had happened that I middled 237 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,160 Speaker 1: the game? And she looked at me. She goes, how 238 00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:08,360 Speaker 1: we rich and and I said to her, uh, only 239 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:14,760 Speaker 1: in love and and she said to me, that's not 240 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 1: good enough. I'm going to bed. I want the green Bags. Yeah, 241 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 1: I want to be rich the other way. I'm tired 242 00:13:22,280 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 1: of being rich in love. You know. Funny? It was funny, Scooch, 243 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 1: It was funny. It was so funny I wrote it 244 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: down all right, next game up. I don't like this game. 245 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: Green Bay is at one point favorite at the Lions. 246 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 1: Mm hmm, yeah, was that some sound effects? It's Billy 247 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: Bob Thornton from Slim Blade. M hmm. Gonna you're gonna 248 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:55,680 Speaker 1: better than packers? What was that? You're gonna better than packers, 249 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna eat them friend for appotatus. Doesn't that sound 250 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:06,520 Speaker 1: like him? Yeah, it kind of does. So this normally 251 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:12,560 Speaker 1: looks I feel like scooches just like it's like indulging me, 252 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: like my kids, Like all right, just moving on. Yeah, 253 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: at some point, just yeah, at some point you just 254 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:19,560 Speaker 1: gotta say you don't pat him on the head and 255 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: say it's okay, it's a little yeah, carry on, Mr Scucci. 256 00:14:27,480 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: Yeah yeah. So I mean normally that we know the 257 00:14:31,000 --> 00:14:32,720 Speaker 1: public is gonna come in, they're gonna look at this 258 00:14:32,760 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 1: game and they're just gonna automatically think that green Bay 259 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 1: is is a lock. Here they're only laying they're only 260 00:14:39,120 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: laying one and a half points. Um. And I'll tell you, 261 00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 1: green Bay did look pretty good, but they were playing 262 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 1: against the Bill's team, so you got to take that 263 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: with a grain of salt. Last week, the problem I 264 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: have is green Bay's they've got a lot of injuries, 265 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:58,359 Speaker 1: are dealing with their their cornerbacks. They've got three cornerbacks 266 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 1: that that are still less to this questionable. So going 267 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 1: up against a guy that's gonna throw the ball thirty times, 268 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 1: it's not gonna bode well for them to have half 269 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: of their secondary out. It feels like an over to me, definitely, 270 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 1: definitely an over. The problem is all the money is 271 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: coming into the over, Like have you moved the number 272 00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: is its still at fifty one? Where did you open? 273 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,840 Speaker 1: We're at fifty and a half. I see some fifty 274 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: ones out there. It might be time to kind of 275 00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: move the line right now. And I'm talking about so 276 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: we get at least at least one line change on 277 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:38,000 Speaker 1: the board one? Are you doing it right now? Just 278 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 1: went just went to one? But when you did it? 279 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: Did you um play any music to make it feel 280 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 1: like you? No? I gotta. I told you, I've got 281 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 1: to get some music lined up so that each time 282 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,680 Speaker 1: I do something like that, you know, I can start 283 00:15:55,680 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 1: playing the music. You know, I'll put together a little 284 00:15:57,680 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 1: montage the next one. I don't really know what to 285 00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: do with it. Like, I just decided last weekend that 286 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: the things I believe in are um other than love. 287 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 1: The things I believe in are short home favorites and 288 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 1: home dogs. And when I can get a short home 289 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: favorite of less than field goal, if I can get 290 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 1: a home dog of more than a field goal, I 291 00:16:22,560 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: basically just wanna hold my nose in bed it right. 292 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:30,600 Speaker 1: So and I did that last weekend, and it generally 293 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 1: worked like I won five of my seven bets. Okay, 294 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 1: um I lost? Uh what I lose I lost a 295 00:16:42,040 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 1: home favorite with the Colts, and I lost um Minnesota, 296 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 1: which wasn't a home favorite thing. I just you know, 297 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 1: I just didn't work out for me. Um. But am 298 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:55,280 Speaker 1: I really supposed to hold my nose and bet the 299 00:16:55,320 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: Bills is three and a half point dogs at home? 300 00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:03,400 Speaker 1: A supposed to do? Absolutely? I am, because this is 301 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 1: no This was one of the games I had marked 302 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: on the board as one of the ones that we're 303 00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: gonna absolutely need before I hung the line, I said, 304 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,359 Speaker 1: the line that we have to hang is three. I 305 00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 1: know that, and uh but I know that everybody's gonna 306 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:21,600 Speaker 1: lay the three and by game time we're gonna be 307 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 1: at four. But this is the perfect spot for Buffalo. 308 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:28,400 Speaker 1: So you know, Tennessee, with the big win last week 309 00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: against Philadelphia, they're gonna go across country. They're gonna play 310 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,000 Speaker 1: the the early game in Buffalo. Now, Buffalo is typically 311 00:17:35,000 --> 00:17:37,120 Speaker 1: one of the hardest places to play. Even so even 312 00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,240 Speaker 1: even when you have a bad team like this year, 313 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:44,320 Speaker 1: it's still a very hostile environment. And so it's it's 314 00:17:44,359 --> 00:17:46,199 Speaker 1: one of those games that's going to be tougher than 315 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:50,199 Speaker 1: people look, that tougher than people think. So we we 316 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:53,720 Speaker 1: hung the three and ironically, the first bet out of 317 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 1: the gate was on the bills by one of the 318 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,879 Speaker 1: sharp guys that we know, and I thought that I 319 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 1: was wasn't low enough, and I said, man, I should 320 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 1: have hung it two and a half. But within a 321 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 1: couple of hours the public just overwhelmingly came in on Tennessee. 322 00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 1: And now the public actually drove it up to three 323 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 1: and a half, So I think so, I think the 324 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,160 Speaker 1: wise guys are just gonna wait and see how high 325 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,119 Speaker 1: it will go before they take the bills. But I 326 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:19,600 Speaker 1: think the wise guys will be on the bills in 327 00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 1: this one. Wow. But why is it different for the 328 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans to go across country and playing Buffalo where 329 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,119 Speaker 1: it's so hard and the Los Angeles Chargers did it 330 00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: owner in the year as huge favorites and it didn't matter. Yeah, yeah, 331 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 1: I mean, I can't it's not gonna worry every time 332 00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:42,440 Speaker 1: it's it's not gonna I can't answer that. I don't know, Okay, 333 00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:44,280 Speaker 1: but you're telling me this is the perfect spot. This 334 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:47,399 Speaker 1: is the prime spot way over inflation on the Titans 335 00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:49,880 Speaker 1: because of what happened with the Eagles, and they went 336 00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:54,520 Speaker 1: forward and they won, and just the Bills being the 337 00:18:54,560 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 1: Bills after a week of beating up the Vikings then 338 00:18:57,000 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 1: coming back to reality against the Packers. Yeah yeah, I 339 00:18:59,840 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 1: mean next to next to Arizona. The Bills have the 340 00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: lowest point total of any team in the NFL. So 341 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: it's hard to bet. We already know that it's hard 342 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: to bet on them. But you can take some good things, 343 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,399 Speaker 1: uh from from their their loss against Green Bay. I 344 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:17,960 Speaker 1: mean they it looked like it looked like they moved 345 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: the ball and then just came up short every time. 346 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,359 Speaker 1: But their defense actually, you know, one of the best 347 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,960 Speaker 1: offenses in the league. They've actually kind of held them 348 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 1: to like six points in the second half. I mean 349 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 1: they actually showed some some signs, especially on the defensive 350 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: side that I think now that they're at home coming 351 00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 1: coming up against the Titans, I think they can shut 352 00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 1: down the Titans offense. What do you think is going on? 353 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:45,080 Speaker 1: That's great analysis right there. That is great. That is 354 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: bookmaker analysis coupled with football analysis. That is why you 355 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 1: are the bookmaker of the world. Yeah, we'll get back 356 00:19:56,840 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 1: to Scoot in the second, but first, Keiland, a historic 357 00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:05,600 Speaker 1: racing track right in the heart of thoroughbred country in Lexington, Kentucky. 358 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:08,800 Speaker 1: They're referred to as racing as it was meant to be. 359 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 1: Think what Augusta is to golf, Wimbledon is to tennis, 360 00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: Keenland is to horse racing. Their Fall Race Meet kicks 361 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 1: off this Friday, October five, and they have an awesome 362 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: weekend of racing lined up. 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Cincinnati is is 387 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:01,120 Speaker 1: just legit now And I saw now not only if 388 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: you look at the you know the sharp guys were 389 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: on them last week, that they they bet them from 390 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,440 Speaker 1: five and a half down to three and a half 391 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,720 Speaker 1: in some places at game time, uh last week. And 392 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:14,520 Speaker 1: I mean it could have went either way. If you 393 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 1: saw that uh game against the Falcons, I mean it 394 00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 1: kind of came right down to the wire and even 395 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 1: the point spread was in play right up until the 396 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 1: end of the game. But when the Sharp guys are 397 00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 1: on the same team as the public. We have to 398 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:31,440 Speaker 1: kind of compensate for that. So we know the sharp 399 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: guys have been on the Bengals last couple of weeks. 400 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 1: We talked about him too, but we talked about the 401 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 1: Bengals team and uh and we I think we both 402 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,440 Speaker 1: kind of liked him as a matter of fact last week. 403 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 1: But we know that now the public as well as 404 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 1: the sharp guys are gonna be on so we want 405 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: to make it as high as possible. And on the 406 00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,159 Speaker 1: other side of the field, I mean, there was nothing 407 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 1: that looked good about that Dolphin Steve and he talked 408 00:22:56,320 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: about being kind of overrated. The first couple of weeks 409 00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:02,640 Speaker 1: that looked like the worst three and old team I've 410 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:07,040 Speaker 1: ever seen. Yeah, they were. They came crashing down hard. 411 00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 1: I mean the truth is all the value is now 412 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:13,000 Speaker 1: out of the Bengals. Like I was on him last week, 413 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 1: I was on him in week one. Um. I was 414 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 1: amazed at how much the Shards moved that line, like 415 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: down to three and a half. It it moved so much. 416 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: On Sunday, I contemplated playing the Falcons. Yeah, because it 417 00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: came down at some point, and when it comes down 418 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,440 Speaker 1: too far, I think you may have even seen a 419 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: three out there. I mean, if you if you shopped around. 420 00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean at that point it looked like 421 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 1: there was value on Atlanta. You know, I'm kind of 422 00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 1: a sharp player. That's what I did with the Chiefs, 423 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 1: and so I just you know, I could have taken advantage, 424 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,400 Speaker 1: but I didn't trust the Falcons. But here's another one. 425 00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,719 Speaker 1: Here's another one. Hold your nose right to hold your 426 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,800 Speaker 1: nose game. We're gonna start. We've got the corner TV 427 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: game and we've got to hold your nose game. But like, 428 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: what am I supposed to do? If the Ravens are 429 00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:58,680 Speaker 1: three point favorites at Cleveland and I've decided I'm betting 430 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:02,159 Speaker 1: like home dog some short home favorites. What am I 431 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 1: supposed to do? Do I have to bet this game? 432 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,159 Speaker 1: If I don't bet this game, am I missing out? Like? 433 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 1: Am I? Is? It like being at the Crafts table 434 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:10,960 Speaker 1: and not like sort of playing within the rhythm in 435 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 1: the system and like not putting the money down the 436 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:17,480 Speaker 1: one time that everything cashes? What am I to do? 437 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 1: You have to go with It's like if you're hitting 438 00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:24,960 Speaker 1: uh sixteen on every hand, you can't suddenly decide I'm 439 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 1: gonna stay on sixteen for this one hand. You can't 440 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 1: change up the game plan. You you have to play 441 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,639 Speaker 1: Cleveland on this in this game, and I don't I 442 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: don't think you necessarily have to have to hold your 443 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,680 Speaker 1: nose and do it. Cleveland has a pretty good defense 444 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: that they can they can really attack Flacco. And and 445 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 1: so I'll tell you we use one. We use one 446 00:24:49,640 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: predictive kind of program that takes into account of it's 447 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: it's basically a simulation program, so it takes into the 448 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,920 Speaker 1: data and it's simular. It's the game a thousand times 449 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 1: and in this simulation it came out with Cleveland a 450 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite every time. So the 451 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,960 Speaker 1: the statistics, just the raw data, uh, in this kind 452 00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:18,280 Speaker 1: of formula shows that Cleveland is actually a small favorite here. 453 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:20,720 Speaker 1: So I don't think you have to hold your nose 454 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 1: in this one. Do you feel like this number is 455 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:27,640 Speaker 1: gonna move higher? Well, yeah, it's one of the highest 456 00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:31,199 Speaker 1: bet games for for the public, So yeah, I I 457 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 1: could probably see a couple of big betters moving the 458 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 1: line up to three minus twenty and ultimately three and 459 00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 1: a half. But I think, uh boy, the sharp guys 460 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:40,760 Speaker 1: will just eat that up. I mean, they're just hoping 461 00:25:40,800 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: for that three and a half. So if I want 462 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:44,200 Speaker 1: to bet this game, I should probably wait. I'm not 463 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,560 Speaker 1: going to get the best number right now, totally. Yeah, 464 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 1: it's not gonna go down to two and a half before. 465 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: I mean, so, I mean it's it's gonna it's only 466 00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:54,960 Speaker 1: only gonna go up. So uh yeah, I think you 467 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,159 Speaker 1: can get a better number later in the week. I 468 00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:58,639 Speaker 1: bet the Bills plus three and a half. Do you 469 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 1: think I pulled the trigger too early? Um No, because 470 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 1: like I said, I mean this one, this one, it 471 00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 1: could go to four, So you might have missed out 472 00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:09,200 Speaker 1: on a half a point. But I think it's gonna 473 00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 1: come down by game time. So you got an okay number? Okay, 474 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 1: Uh Caroline, now you're looking You're looking to middle everything now, 475 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:22,160 Speaker 1: aren't you what I do? You know? Some people call 476 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:27,160 Speaker 1: me the Millie Monster. Some people call me the middle Monster, 477 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:33,879 Speaker 1: Middleman Millman. I'm like, I'm like, I'm like that Target 478 00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 1: commercial d d DA met me in the middle, all right, 479 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:47,440 Speaker 1: I just sampled that. Yeah, Carolina, seven point favorites over 480 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:54,160 Speaker 1: the New York Trash. Yeah, boy boy, this team is 481 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:59,359 Speaker 1: train wreck trash, Like they don't deserve any of the 482 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 1: good will I gave them. I am disgusted at how 483 00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:08,040 Speaker 1: much I hyped them up earlier in the year. Every 484 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:11,040 Speaker 1: single thing I said was wrong. And by the way, 485 00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 1: the Wise guys were too, because they put a lot 486 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,160 Speaker 1: of money on them for the Super Bowl. They moved 487 00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,880 Speaker 1: their Super Bowl odds quite a bit. Everybody was high 488 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,840 Speaker 1: on this team. I mean, they showed up the offensive line. 489 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,879 Speaker 1: They thought they were going to get protection for Eli. 490 00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 1: They thought Kwan Barkley was gonna be, you know, the 491 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:31,879 Speaker 1: the next big thing. And uh this the new coaching staff, 492 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:34,439 Speaker 1: the new offense, I mean, everything was supposed to go 493 00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:36,760 Speaker 1: in their favor, where they were supposed to be so 494 00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 1: much improved, and we gave them a lot of slack 495 00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: the first couple of weeks, and we said, okay, it 496 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,360 Speaker 1: takes time, and we thought maybe they showed some some 497 00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: signs of life with Houston, but uh, boy, they just 498 00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 1: they they are trash. Uh They're just not a good team. 499 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 1: Anybody bet in this game. Anywise guys on this game 500 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 1: right now? Nobody, nobody. I don't blame him, am a 501 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 1: matter of fact. The why as guys actually late we 502 00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 1: actually opened six and a half, went right to seven, 503 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:09,160 Speaker 1: went to seven minus twenty. I see it all one way. 504 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: I mean there's hardly any tickets on the Giants whatsoever. Um, 505 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,959 Speaker 1: there's still a couple of six and a half out there. 506 00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 1: I don't know why they're not getting bed because I'm 507 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 1: ready to go to seven and a half. Wow. Yeah, absolutely, 508 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 1: I mean it's it's ugly. Well, speaking of ugly, like 509 00:28:28,920 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos are one point underdogs to the Jets 510 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:37,200 Speaker 1: at home. The Jets do not deserve to have anybody's respect. 511 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:41,440 Speaker 1: They do not even deserve to be home favorites right 512 00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: now against the Broncos team that is pretty stout. No, 513 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 1: they actually stink on defense. But I think they're better 514 00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 1: than the Jets, and I feel like the Jets are 515 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 1: still living off of like one game against the Lions. Yeah, 516 00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:00,280 Speaker 1: I think you're totally right there, And this is one 517 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 1: of the short home favorites that I don't think you play. Um, 518 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 1: we moved, We moved this game really really quickly. You know. 519 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 1: We we opened to We're at one right now, and 520 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 1: and I'm ready to go. This is the kind of 521 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 1: game where I'll go from the Jets minus one to 522 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: Denver minus one on on one play and and it 523 00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 1: won't have to be a very very big play. Um, 524 00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 1: we've got i mean, next to nothing on the Jets 525 00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:33,320 Speaker 1: right now, and uh and probably I mean we don't 526 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:35,239 Speaker 1: have a whole lot of money on the Broncos. But 527 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 1: it's really just loop side uh in terms of like 528 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 1: volume and ticket count. Um. So even this is the 529 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,080 Speaker 1: kind of game where where I'm just gonna kind of 530 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,880 Speaker 1: go to minus one on the Broncos even right after, 531 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 1: right after our podcast, I might actually try it out 532 00:29:51,680 --> 00:29:54,320 Speaker 1: for a little bit. I might just test the waters 533 00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:57,560 Speaker 1: and see what they do with it. In the digital game, 534 00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,560 Speaker 1: they call that a B testing a V A B 535 00:30:02,040 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 1: A B. Like you test one thing, you test, you 536 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: test the A headline, You test the headline. You see 537 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 1: what works. Okay, A slash B. All right, I'm gonna 538 00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:13,880 Speaker 1: be it right now. I'm a digital I'm a digital native. 539 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:16,040 Speaker 1: You can be you can be a digital native. A 540 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: B test that line, alright, Let be fine. What I 541 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:25,880 Speaker 1: call it testing the waters kind of boring. You could 542 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,600 Speaker 1: do that too, But if you want to impress your 543 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 1: friends from now on, like you should be like Linda Jake, 544 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna a B test this spread. All right, yeah, 545 00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:40,720 Speaker 1: I'll do that. Called Linda right now, Linda, we're a 546 00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 1: B testing the spread. We're a B testing the Jets, 547 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,840 Speaker 1: the Jeff Broncos. Right now, she's gonna look at you 548 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 1: like she's gonna look at you the way my wife 549 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,440 Speaker 1: looked at me when I told her we weren't rich. Like, 550 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,240 Speaker 1: hang on one second, I might have a play role ready, 551 00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 1: hang on, hello, hey, on which game? Yeah? What'd you 552 00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,440 Speaker 1: get on it? Okay? All right, thank you? All right, 553 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 1: all right, what do we got? We got some we 554 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 1: got some action. What we got what kind of what's happening? Well, 555 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: if you remember what we we moved the we moved 556 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:17,240 Speaker 1: the Panthers, So we got uh some pretty big action 557 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:22,760 Speaker 1: on the Giants at at plus seven even money, which 558 00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:26,240 Speaker 1: we're kind of high out there. And then also I 559 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 1: got some money on the Jets. Are ready just in 560 00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:33,360 Speaker 1: that what thirty seconds span that we moved it? Uh so, 561 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 1: I'm so I'm back to Pick on the game. I 562 00:31:35,640 --> 00:31:38,920 Speaker 1: moved it to DENVERMNUS one, and I'm back to Pick. 563 00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,960 Speaker 1: So I got some quick action. I like it. Wow, 564 00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 1: you listen, I've never heard you sound so giddy like 565 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 1: you love booking. Games. You love it. That's what gets 566 00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:52,440 Speaker 1: that's what gets your blood pumping. And you know what 567 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 1: if I had some music right now, so I'm like, 568 00:31:54,640 --> 00:31:58,600 Speaker 1: really like, you know, some like Game of Thrones music 569 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:08,400 Speaker 1: or something bom bomb right exactly, dude. Maybe the music 570 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: that you played at the top of the podcast, maybe 571 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,080 Speaker 1: we just play that every time like some of the 572 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 1: the action starts rolling in now scooches producing the podcast. 573 00:32:20,640 --> 00:32:23,960 Speaker 1: You are booking games, moving lines, and producing the podcast 574 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,520 Speaker 1: all at the same time from the comfort of your 575 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 1: office beneath the bowling Alley at the Orleans Yep. Exactly. 576 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:37,240 Speaker 1: Are like the eighth wonder of the world. I feel 577 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: like I feel like your first successful A B test 578 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:41,680 Speaker 1: of a point spread. I think I feel like your 579 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:45,240 Speaker 1: first A B test of a point bed was really successful. Yeah, 580 00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 1: I think so too. I like it. Let's test some 581 00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,080 Speaker 1: more stuff. What do you think of the What do 582 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:51,760 Speaker 1: you think of the Falcons at the Steelers? There are 583 00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:56,200 Speaker 1: three point underdogs? Uh this line opened at four and 584 00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:59,320 Speaker 1: I for one loved it when the Falcons were four 585 00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,360 Speaker 1: point dogs. I think the Falcons are still one of 586 00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: the best teams in the NFC. And you know, you 587 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:09,080 Speaker 1: can't just can't just look at their record and uh, 588 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 1: you know, just kind of get the distracted from it. 589 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,880 Speaker 1: They still have one of the best offenses in the NFL, 590 00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,320 Speaker 1: So they might be one of the best one in 591 00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:22,360 Speaker 1: three teams out there, like as bad as the Dolphins were, 592 00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 1: you know, through the worst three and oh team, this 593 00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 1: might be the best one in three team. Uh, the Steelers, 594 00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:32,600 Speaker 1: you know, you you just can't wait anymore on them 595 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 1: to finally get their act together. You know, we like, 596 00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 1: like I said at the beginning of the year, kind 597 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:39,600 Speaker 1: of gave him a little bit of a passing and 598 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,880 Speaker 1: they're dealing with no lady on Bell and eventually this 599 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:46,800 Speaker 1: team is gonna gel and just give Roethlisberger some some time. 600 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,040 Speaker 1: And I mean he's still and I think in the 601 00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 1: top five of all the pastors in the NFL in 602 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:55,240 Speaker 1: terms of yards. But uh, this this team just they're 603 00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 1: not They're not the Steelers that anyone expected them today 604 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 1: this year. Do you remember the beginning thing of the year, 605 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,720 Speaker 1: the season win total was ten and a half and 606 00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,200 Speaker 1: and we said that ten and a half was way 607 00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:08,520 Speaker 1: too high on that and now that's really kind of 608 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,759 Speaker 1: panning out. So I actually like the Falcons here I 609 00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:14,960 Speaker 1: think the public is favoring the Falcons as well, And 610 00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 1: if anything, this line comes down, I don't think you'll 611 00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,560 Speaker 1: see too many threes by game time. I think you 612 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:22,239 Speaker 1: see this down to two and a half. So you're 613 00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:24,319 Speaker 1: telling me that by game time this game is gonna 614 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: be a two and a half and I'm gonna have 615 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 1: to bet the Steelers as a short home favorite exactly, 616 00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:35,720 Speaker 1: and you're not gonna like it. You are not gonna 617 00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,279 Speaker 1: like it. Gonna hold my nose. I don't really want 618 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,520 Speaker 1: to talk about the Raiders and the Chargers. I feel 619 00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:43,960 Speaker 1: like it's kind of a boring game. It's a dead number. 620 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 1: Uh five and a half? Can we skip it? Absolutely? 621 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,439 Speaker 1: Do you have anything to say about it? I don't 622 00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:55,279 Speaker 1: want to do a disservice to listeners. I mean, I mean, 623 00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 1: the Raiders were life and death to beat the Cleveland 624 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:00,200 Speaker 1: Browns and they had to score forty five point to 625 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,440 Speaker 1: do it. So I think that's all you need to 626 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,759 Speaker 1: know about the Raiders because the game I really want 627 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: to talk about. There's like two games coming up that 628 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,880 Speaker 1: I'm dying to talk about, the Rams and the Seahawks. 629 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:15,120 Speaker 1: The Rams opened it seven and a half. Full disclosure. 630 00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,239 Speaker 1: I bet it at seven and a half. Um, I 631 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:22,120 Speaker 1: might have accidentally better twice, but uh, you say you 632 00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:23,839 Speaker 1: took the plus seven and a half. Took the plus 633 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,319 Speaker 1: seven and a half, that's the side. That's the side 634 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:29,840 Speaker 1: to take scooch. Yep, It's like, give me a hook 635 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,439 Speaker 1: on a home dog that like needs the game and 636 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,280 Speaker 1: has everybody in the world against them, against a team 637 00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,759 Speaker 1: that's inflated. I just feel like, come on, I know 638 00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:43,840 Speaker 1: the wise guys are with me. Yeah, I mean I 639 00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:48,040 Speaker 1: really I really thought that the Vikings would would have 640 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,960 Speaker 1: given the Rams their first loss. Um. Now I'm going 641 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:55,520 Speaker 1: to have to say that I think they might stumble 642 00:35:55,560 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 1: against the Seahawks here. Uh, this is a perfect spot 643 00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: for the for a big the dog. It's gonna be 644 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,719 Speaker 1: talk about Buffalo being a tough place to play, this 645 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,839 Speaker 1: might be the toughest place to go into play. It's 646 00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:12,680 Speaker 1: gonna be loud, it's gonna be tough. Uh, but I 647 00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 1: know it's this. It's gonna be tough to watch if 648 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:17,440 Speaker 1: you're putting money on the Seahawks because the Rams just 649 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:22,319 Speaker 1: look unbeatable. But uh, we have more money on the 650 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:25,120 Speaker 1: Rams and more tickets on the Rams than any team 651 00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:28,319 Speaker 1: on the board right now most of its most of 652 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:32,000 Speaker 1: its public money. We did get one sharp play ironically 653 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,080 Speaker 1: on Seattle at plus seven, and now that we're at 654 00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,759 Speaker 1: seven and a half, I'm not getting anything, So that 655 00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:41,200 Speaker 1: concerns me a little bit. You know, they bet them 656 00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 1: earlier in the week at plus seven, but now they're 657 00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,399 Speaker 1: not betting them at plus seven and a half. And 658 00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:49,480 Speaker 1: uh and we just have an avalanche of money on 659 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,160 Speaker 1: the rams. So this will be our biggest, biggest game 660 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,279 Speaker 1: on the board in terms of like who we need 661 00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,080 Speaker 1: and uh game being lopside, Well, you know, what did happen? 662 00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:05,400 Speaker 1: M what happened? I'm pretty sure Michae Kendricks the lineback 663 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 1: or who they signed? Suspension the suspension, So I wonder 664 00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:14,600 Speaker 1: if that's having an impact. Yeah yeah, I mean they 665 00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:19,360 Speaker 1: were already already kind of depleted um on the defensive side, 666 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:23,879 Speaker 1: so that didn't help. But but yeah, yeah, and uh boy, 667 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:26,000 Speaker 1: it's gonna be this is gonna be our biggest game. 668 00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:28,880 Speaker 1: It's an afternoon game that which always kind of puts 669 00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,640 Speaker 1: the microscope on it, so it's gonna be a tough one. 670 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:36,320 Speaker 1: How about the Arizona Cardinals four point dogs at San Francisco? 671 00:37:37,360 --> 00:37:41,160 Speaker 1: I might be uh, I might be falling in love 672 00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:49,960 Speaker 1: with this game on the right. No, you're gonna bet 673 00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,200 Speaker 1: you're you're gonna bet on the team that has the 674 00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:59,520 Speaker 1: lowest point output in the NFL going up against San Francisco. Okay, 675 00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:02,880 Speaker 1: do that this is a corner game. I don't know 676 00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:05,040 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a way in the corner. Forget it. 677 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:07,920 Speaker 1: I don't even want to talk about this game. But 678 00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 1: why wouldn't I bet in Arizona? Like their defense is good, 679 00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,680 Speaker 1: they bring a lot of pressure. I think they're finally 680 00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,319 Speaker 1: playing significantly better than they were. I watched a lot 681 00:38:15,400 --> 00:38:18,600 Speaker 1: of Josh Rosen. I was really impressed, Like, why wouldn't 682 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,480 Speaker 1: I bet on the Cardinals? Who do the Who do 683 00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 1: the Niners have? Now? The Niners? Uh? The Niners just 684 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:27,799 Speaker 1: got just got decimated then without without Garoppolo, there's not 685 00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: much to I mean, this is the lowest volume of 686 00:38:31,040 --> 00:38:34,319 Speaker 1: any game on the board, so you have not not 687 00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:36,600 Speaker 1: a whole lot of interest in it. But I see 688 00:38:36,640 --> 00:38:38,719 Speaker 1: signs of life with with Arizona. I think you just 689 00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:41,600 Speaker 1: have to watch Larry Fitzgerald. He's been dealing with that hamstring. 690 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:45,120 Speaker 1: I mean he looked okay, uh Sunday, But It's just 691 00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:47,680 Speaker 1: something that you know, we've got to keep an eye 692 00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:50,520 Speaker 1: on during the During the week, Minnesota is a three 693 00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:53,799 Speaker 1: point dog at Philly. So I went to three and 694 00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:57,919 Speaker 1: a half on this game. And you know, we're talking 695 00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:03,359 Speaker 1: about injuries. Dell Lynn Cooks is um probably gonna listen 696 00:39:03,440 --> 00:39:08,319 Speaker 1: as doubtful for Minnesota and they're already struggling moving the 697 00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:13,000 Speaker 1: ball and they're going up against Philadelphia's defense. Philadelphia has 698 00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,920 Speaker 1: the number one ranked defense against the run this year, 699 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,839 Speaker 1: letting up a little under sixty five yards a game. 700 00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:22,200 Speaker 1: So it doesn't bode well when you're running back is injured. 701 00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:26,440 Speaker 1: I think I think the Eagles really bounced back from 702 00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,680 Speaker 1: the lost last week. They're gonna be at home now 703 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:31,839 Speaker 1: and they're gonna be up for this game. I think 704 00:39:31,880 --> 00:39:35,919 Speaker 1: Minnesota is gonna see a couple of games skid here 705 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,840 Speaker 1: and uh, but I think I wanted to be at 706 00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:43,480 Speaker 1: least on the high side with Philadelphia. Um. You know 707 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:46,279 Speaker 1: you talk about the short short home favorites. I know, 708 00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 1: when you get to three, that's not exactly the the 709 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,759 Speaker 1: line you want to be laying. But uh, I kind 710 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,359 Speaker 1: of like Philadelphia here, I'm not laying that number until 711 00:39:54,400 --> 00:39:55,520 Speaker 1: you get to two and a half and you're not 712 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:58,960 Speaker 1: getting there. I'm not getting there. If anything that's going up, 713 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,640 Speaker 1: I'm passing. I'm passing on this game. I'm also gonna 714 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:07,120 Speaker 1: pass on Dallas and Houston, two teams that I just 715 00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:11,200 Speaker 1: I'm having a hard time figuring out this year. Uh, 716 00:40:11,440 --> 00:40:14,719 Speaker 1: both of them. You know, Houston was playing a lot 717 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,239 Speaker 1: worse during the beginning of the year the first couple 718 00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:19,080 Speaker 1: of games than I thought they would. I thought they 719 00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:20,839 Speaker 1: were gonna be a lot better coming out of the gate, 720 00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:23,839 Speaker 1: but then finally they show a game that they look 721 00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:27,879 Speaker 1: pretty good. Dallas, on the other hand, I'm still I mean, 722 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:34,000 Speaker 1: they arguably played their best game against the Lions. Uh, 723 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:37,120 Speaker 1: I'm still not I'm still not sold on on this team. 724 00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:40,480 Speaker 1: Their defense is really good, so their defense will definitely 725 00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:44,480 Speaker 1: uh uh keep them in this game. But I think 726 00:40:44,520 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 1: three is the right number though. I don't think there's 727 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:49,600 Speaker 1: any value in either side on this one. Yeah, this 728 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 1: to me could potentially be a corner TV game if 729 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:56,560 Speaker 1: it wasn't the Sunday night game, it would it will 730 00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,480 Speaker 1: it definitely will be in the corners, but it'll be 731 00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,040 Speaker 1: the the game on and it'll be on all the 732 00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 1: games in between. What kind of world are we living 733 00:41:04,360 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 1: in when this Sunday night game is less of a 734 00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,920 Speaker 1: marquee matchup than the Monday night game. I know they 735 00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:12,720 Speaker 1: need to start using that flexi game earlier in the season. Wow, 736 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:16,279 Speaker 1: no one's gonna care about that game. Uh, this next 737 00:41:16,320 --> 00:41:21,279 Speaker 1: game the Saints Redskins. Let me tell you something. I 738 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:23,719 Speaker 1: love the Redskins at plus seven, but now it's at 739 00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 1: six and a half. So we're at seven even money, 740 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:30,719 Speaker 1: which means we opened seven and we took We took 741 00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,440 Speaker 1: a pretty big bet on the Redskins plus seven. For 742 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:34,920 Speaker 1: all I know, it might have been you because you 743 00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:39,800 Speaker 1: love the Redskins and I'm professional, but I'm hesitant to 744 00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:42,080 Speaker 1: go to six and a half because it is the 745 00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:46,440 Speaker 1: Monday night game, and uh, you know a couple of reasons. 746 00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,280 Speaker 1: We want to make sure that we take enough money 747 00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:50,680 Speaker 1: before getting off of a key number, because the last 748 00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 1: thing I want to do is go from seven down 749 00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:56,600 Speaker 1: to six and let everybody parlay the minus six and 750 00:41:56,640 --> 00:42:00,279 Speaker 1: then have it be all this volume on Monday Night 751 00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:03,799 Speaker 1: where the game falls seven and we get middled again 752 00:42:03,840 --> 00:42:06,480 Speaker 1: like we did last Monday. For two people like like 753 00:42:06,560 --> 00:42:09,359 Speaker 1: you who take take plus seven and then lay six 754 00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:12,040 Speaker 1: or five and a half and get us both ways 755 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:14,720 Speaker 1: and then it's a tea. It's to keep teaser number 756 00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:17,040 Speaker 1: as well. So uh, I just don't want to give 757 00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:19,400 Speaker 1: them too much value there. Guys like me, Scooch, we 758 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:23,279 Speaker 1: are always looking at the market, trying to find opportunities. 759 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:29,360 Speaker 1: Sometimes sometimes we even move the market in our direction 760 00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:35,759 Speaker 1: just to take advantage of you. Yeah. Sometimes, guess what 761 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:40,040 Speaker 1: time it is time for It's time for Scooch. For 762 00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:51,440 Speaker 1: let time for Scooch rue Lets here we go. I'm 763 00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:56,480 Speaker 1: up first, I'm up first. A tough one. It's a 764 00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,480 Speaker 1: tough one. It's a tough one. So many hold your 765 00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:05,200 Speaker 1: nose game. I guess I gotta go with Seattle. I 766 00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:09,000 Speaker 1: gotta go with Seattle plus seven and a half game. 767 00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:12,520 Speaker 1: I did did I did it for me. It was 768 00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:15,360 Speaker 1: like down to Seattle or Buffalo, and I guess I 769 00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:17,560 Speaker 1: just feel better about the team and the points in 770 00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:21,759 Speaker 1: that game. Ye. So if that's the case, then I'm 771 00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:26,680 Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and take Buffalo. Are against Tennessee. You 772 00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:30,720 Speaker 1: have to do it. You just have to do it. Wow. 773 00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,320 Speaker 1: I mean, there's a lot of half to in this 774 00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,600 Speaker 1: this week. You have to do the Browns. You have 775 00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:39,680 Speaker 1: to do the Bills. You have to do the Seahawks. Um, 776 00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:41,839 Speaker 1: eventually I'm going to have to do the Steelers because 777 00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:46,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna be short favorites. Yep, I'm gonna go broke 778 00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:52,200 Speaker 1: this week. Yeah, on Sunday night, I'll be say on 779 00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:53,880 Speaker 1: Monday night, I'll be saying to my wife, we're not 780 00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:59,960 Speaker 1: rich in anything anymore. It'll be that bad. Don't let 781 00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:01,840 Speaker 1: to get that bad. And I will I will, I 782 00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:06,000 Speaker 1: will have will run through the entire e J bankroll 783 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:11,520 Speaker 1: from when I, you know, played a highlight video responsible gaming. 784 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:15,319 Speaker 1: My friend will send you some brochures. Maybe you can 785 00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:24,239 Speaker 1: send me some cash that alright, alright, scooge listen, thank 786 00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:27,359 Speaker 1: you for joining me on your podcast. I am Chad 787 00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:32,120 Speaker 1: Millman from the Action Network. This has been the Favorites. 788 00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 1: I encourage you to go to iTunes. You can rate us, 789 00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:38,680 Speaker 1: you can review us, you can subscribe, you can unsubscribe, 790 00:44:38,719 --> 00:44:42,239 Speaker 1: you can resubscribe. You can also find us an Apple podcasts, 791 00:44:42,400 --> 00:44:46,319 Speaker 1: radio dot com or wherever you listen to podcasts. Join 792 00:44:46,440 --> 00:45:00,080 Speaker 1: us on Friday for me and black Jack Fletcher. What 793 00:45:00,320 --> 00:45:00,360 Speaker 1: do