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Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of his information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree? Did agree?

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Speaker 3: I got five dollars?

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Speaker 1: This is a rale hopping the trackleship one man play.

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Speaker 3: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be human. My goodness, not mispeak.

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Speaker 3: You guys, prose the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn? Baby less there? What's up?

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Speaker 3: Everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast. This is your

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Speaker 3: DFS preview for.

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Speaker 2: The NFC Championship game with the San Francisco forty nine

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Speaker 2: ers going to Philadelphia to take on the top seeded Eagles.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Chris Raybond joint is always by

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Speaker 2: one of the top rankers, top projectors in the game,

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Speaker 2: Sean Kern or Sean what's going on?

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Speaker 1: What's up? Yeah? I can't believe you only have three

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Speaker 1: games left in this season. It's flown by and we're

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Speaker 1: going to see two very good teams eliminade this weekend.

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Speaker 1: So can't wait to see all the carnage.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we always got USFL when this ends, so you.

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Speaker 1: Know, oh yeah, well and XFL. We have two right

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Speaker 1: B leagues now. So I can't wait for that, but

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Speaker 1: we get to watch at least three more high quality

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Speaker 1: football games.

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Speaker 2: I should say, yeah, sure, all right, just want to

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Speaker 2: jump right into that San Francisco Philly game. Just want

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Speaker 2: to shout out our contest winner from this week, p

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Speaker 2: TAZ fourteen. Thank you for the writing and review PTAZ fourteen.

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Speaker 2: You can hit up podcasts at actionnetwork dot com to

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Speaker 2: claim your free year of Action Pro and if anyone

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Speaker 2: out there enjoys the pod, be sure to leave us

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Speaker 2: a rating and review on Apple and we'll pick our

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Speaker 2: favorite one each week and you get a free year

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Speaker 2: of Action Pro. All right, was jump into the Niners

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Speaker 2: at the Eagles. Eagles favorite by two and a half

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Speaker 2: total is forty six.

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Speaker 3: Who do I g in a captain spot?

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Speaker 1: So I like DeVante Smith here. You know the Eagles

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Speaker 1: might not be as efficient running the ball here against

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Speaker 1: an elite forty nine ers run defense, they ranked second

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Speaker 1: in DVO against the run. So I think this is

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Speaker 1: a game where the Eagles could be forced into more

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Speaker 1: pass heavy game script and especially more you know, third

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Speaker 1: downs that because they won't be as effective running the ball.

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Speaker 1: So DeVonta Smith leads a team and target rate on

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Speaker 1: third downs. Last week he actually saw fifty seven percent

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Speaker 1: of the targets on third and fourth downs, So you know,

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna have a big game here. Plus

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Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, you know they can be pretty

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Speaker 1: vulnerable to deep balls. They have the fifth highest yards

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Speaker 1: per tent allowed on throws twenty plus yards downfield. You know,

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Speaker 1: AJ Brown's dealing with the hip injury. Goddar has a

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Speaker 1: much tougher matchup this week. He got to face the

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Speaker 1: Giants last week, which I said, you know that was

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Speaker 1: an easy matchup, but Niners much better defense to tight end.

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Speaker 1: So I think DeVante sets up perfectly for the captain's line.

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Speaker 1: I don't think his roster ship will be too high there,

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Speaker 1: or at least it shouldn't be as high as it

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Speaker 1: be in this matchup.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's been playing real well and yeah, got a

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Speaker 2: monitor that ag looks like AJ Brown's gonna be fine.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, anytime a guy gets like banged up, you

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Speaker 2: know you got to kind of pay attention because so

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Speaker 2: the minors practice status. But it's yeah, there's a good

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Speaker 2: chance DeVante just operates spot out as that number one,

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Speaker 2: and he usually runs more routes than aj anyway, I

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Speaker 2: mean rarely comes off the field for me. I'm going

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Speaker 2: gotta go to j with Jalen Hurts here. And I

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Speaker 2: think the fact that it could be a little more

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Speaker 2: of a neutral or negative games script even actually helps

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Speaker 2: Hurts because we already know what he's gonna do in

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Speaker 2: a positive game script.

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Speaker 3: He's gonna run the ball, but he might not throw

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Speaker 3: that much.

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Speaker 2: And you know, we saw last week he had just

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty four yards on twenty four attempts.

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Speaker 3: He did have two scores, so that was good.

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Speaker 2: But this week he could see him up over that

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Speaker 2: thirty attempt mark, which is where you really start to

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Speaker 2: get some value out of him in the past game.

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Speaker 3: And you know, I thought he looked fine running the

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Speaker 3: ball last week.

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Speaker 2: You know, nine carry for thirty four yards and a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: So they're not they're not afraid to run him near

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Speaker 2: the goal line.

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Speaker 3: So I think that's a positive here.

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Speaker 2: Now, obviously, you know if Brown is super banged up,

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Speaker 2: that that's the one thing that would not be ideal

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Speaker 2: for Hurts. But I do think the more banged up

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Speaker 2: Brown is, the more you see Hurts run. And the

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Speaker 2: one thing that's plagued the forty nine ers defense throughout

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Speaker 2: multiple postseasons. Now, you know, just all their defense has

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Speaker 2: always been pretty good these last few years, but scramblin

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks have given them issues. And you know we saw

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Speaker 2: last week, you know, Dak Prescott went well over his

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Speaker 2: rushing prop he had twenty two yards, Gino Smith the

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Speaker 2: week before twenty eight yards, and in week seventeen, Jared Stidham,

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Speaker 2: who I mean not really known as too big of

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Speaker 2: a runner, thirty four yards on the ground against his

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Speaker 2: nine or d So they, you know, they cover pretty

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Speaker 2: well and kind of forced, you know, the quarterback to

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Speaker 2: take off and make moves. So I think that's something

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Speaker 2: that you're gonna you can see a lot out of Hurts.

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Speaker 2: You know, we've seen his upside this year be you know,

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Speaker 2: seventeen rush attempts. He hit that mark three times this year,

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Speaker 2: and he's gotten over seventy five rush yards in four

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Speaker 2: games this year. He's gotten multiple rushing touchdowns three times.

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Speaker 2: So I think you could see a big running game

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Speaker 2: from Hurtz. But I also think you could see more

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Speaker 2: in the past game because you have a two and

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Speaker 2: a half point spread. The Eagles are usually blowing teams

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Speaker 2: out and this this is a Niner team that likely

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Speaker 2: is not getting getting blown out here if they even

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Speaker 2: lose the game at all.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Really, it's the rushing touchdowns. You know that Eagles have

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Speaker 1: that QB sneak play on Lockdown as you said, you know,

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Speaker 1: QB getting rushing touchdowns in the captain slot is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate level.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's that's why he's always He's always the

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Speaker 1: top option of the captain slot in this game. Is

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Speaker 1: certainly no different.

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Speaker 3: All right, who else do you like in this game?

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Speaker 2: You know, dark Rows just great, you know, DFS, Chiccos,

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Speaker 2: just some some good value guys that you're going to

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Speaker 2: be kind of targeting to fill out your lineup in

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Speaker 2: this spot.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so in any Eagles game, Showdown Slate have to

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Speaker 1: consider Quz Watkins, although I do like your under bet

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Speaker 1: as always. You know, Quez, he just has a wide

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Speaker 1: range of outcomes. He's the ultimate boom bust type receiver.

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Speaker 1: So you could easily get zero catches on zero targets

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Speaker 1: like he did last week, or you know, a long touchdown.

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Speaker 1: You never know with him. But that's that's kind of

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Speaker 1: what we want on these one game slights. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: last week it was concerning to see his routes run

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Speaker 1: rate go all the way down to twenty seven percent.

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Speaker 1: Zach Pascal led the way with thirty eight percent routes

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Speaker 1: rate out of those two. So I don't know if

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Speaker 1: that could have had something to do with, you know,

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Speaker 1: a big lead. You don't really need Ques Watkins when

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Speaker 1: you're up by twenty one or more.

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Speaker 2: Points, So you could have stopped that sentence after oh,

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Speaker 2: just you don't need question, I.

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Speaker 3: Mean this year, like we really haven't needed him this year.

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Speaker 1: Well they have AJ Brown, right, and so that's that's

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Speaker 1: the main reason. So I don't know if AJ Brown's

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Speaker 1: hip injury it is worse than we think, you know,

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Speaker 1: Quez could be used a little bit more. But either way,

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Speaker 1: we could see his routes run rate shoot back up

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Speaker 1: to the fifty five sixty percent range it typically is.

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Speaker 1: So again, as always, he's just a boom bust option

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Speaker 1: that I like to take a swing on whenever you

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Speaker 1: have a showdown slate. And on the niner side, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go Juwan Jennings. He had his standard two

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Speaker 1: catches for twenty six yards last week. He was playing

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Speaker 1: through an ankle injury, so it was good to see

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Speaker 1: that he was able to at least run his typical

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Speaker 1: fifty eight percent routes run rate. I'm guessing he should

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Speaker 1: only be healthier this week since he made it through unscathed,

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Speaker 1: and he lines up in the slot more than Deebo actually,

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Speaker 1: so he might still be able to, you know, avoid

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Speaker 1: the Darius Slave James Bradbury coverage. Although he's never a

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Speaker 1: guy you're gonna expect or try to bank on a

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Speaker 1: four plus catch game from him, I think ultimately we're

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Speaker 1: just trying to get a cheap touchdown from him in

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Speaker 1: this spot. He hasn't scored since Week twelve, so I

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Speaker 1: think his roster ship is going to be extremely low

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Speaker 1: for one game slate. But you know, he's a guy

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Speaker 1: that they do scheme up plays in the red zone.

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Speaker 1: So I think there is a chance or good enough

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Speaker 1: chance that he does catch a touch on this game,

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Speaker 1: and I think he would be some sneaky leverage if

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Speaker 1: he does.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Absolutely.

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Speaker 2: You know Jennings always and he's always going to be

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Speaker 2: out there because they love him as a blocker as well,

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Speaker 2: so it's never like his snaps are going to dip

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Speaker 2: too too far down.

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Speaker 3: He'll always be out there a.

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Speaker 2: Good amount all right for me, I'm going with I'm

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Speaker 2: actually go with Zach Pascal for the Eagles because you know,

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Speaker 2: I don't again, I don't know what's going on with Watkins.

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Speaker 2: Watkins ran his lowest route participation of the season last

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Speaker 2: year at twenty seven last week at twenty seven percent,

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Speaker 2: and that was with Brown banged up. So Pascal actually

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Speaker 2: had thirty eight percent. Now maybe that had to do

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Speaker 2: with the blowout, but routes, you know, you know, you're

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Speaker 2: not throwing that much when it's in a blowout, so

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Speaker 2: that the routes are still kind of when the game

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Speaker 2: was close.

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Speaker 3: So that was kind of interesting.

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Speaker 2: I'm wondering if perhaps they've view Pascal as more of

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Speaker 2: Aja Brown's direct backup, which would you know, kind of

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Speaker 2: you know, go into why he saw more of an

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Speaker 2: increase last week.

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Speaker 3: But either way, I think there's a good chance that,

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Speaker 3: you know, he could come.

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Speaker 2: Up big again and he he probably has a lower

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Speaker 2: roster ship than Quez at this point, just because Quez

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Speaker 2: has been that starter all year.

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Speaker 3: So like Pascal for.

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Speaker 2: The Eagles, another guy for the Eagles, Kenneth Gainwell, just

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Speaker 2: because this again you might see more neutral to negative

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Speaker 2: game script and Miles Sander is not really a guy

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Speaker 2: they used much.

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Speaker 3: In the past game. So let's say the Eagles get

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Speaker 3: down here.

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Speaker 2: You know, this is a high quality Niner team that's

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Speaker 2: ripped off a ton of wins in a row. Eagles

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Speaker 2: get down here, I think you're gonna see a ton

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Speaker 2: of gain Well and you could get you know, two, three,

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Speaker 2: four or five catches out of him if they're kind

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Speaker 2: of you know, have to go in some hurry up

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Speaker 2: mode in this game. So like Gainwell and then for

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Speaker 2: the Niners, it's gotta be Elijah Mitchell. You know, he's

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Speaker 2: seen a carrier target now on twenty six of his

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Speaker 2: thirty six postseason snaps. That's seventy two percent. I know

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Speaker 2: he got banged up, and but it looks like they're

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Speaker 2: saying he's gonna play. McCaffrey got banged up as well.

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Speaker 2: But I think you have the most kind of upside

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Speaker 2: with Mitchell if McCaffrey gets banged up, because McCaffrey's healthy,

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Speaker 2: he's still going to dominate the snaps. But we saw

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Speaker 2: last week he kind of got banged up, and they,

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Speaker 2: you know, they sub Mitchell. And even though Mitchell, I

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Speaker 2: guess allegedly picked up somewhat of an injury too. They

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Speaker 2: kept going to him and to the point where he

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Speaker 2: only had two fewer touches than McCaffrey last week.

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Speaker 3: So I think Mitchell's an interesting guy.

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Speaker 2: And we saw him involved in the receiving game against

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Speaker 2: Seattle a couple of weeks ago, So I think Mitchell

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Speaker 2: is an interesting guy.

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Speaker 3: For the Niners.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're not really playing their backup tight ends

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Speaker 2: much use checks another guy you could consider. You know,

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Speaker 2: he's running around about thirty percent of the time in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. But I just think Mitchell is a guy

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Speaker 2: that you know, they're not scared to give the ball

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Speaker 2: to in the red zone near the goal line, and

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Speaker 2: if McCaffrey, you know, reaggravates an injury, I do think

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Speaker 2: even a gimpy Mitchell would be given the call over

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Speaker 2: like Jordan Mason and ty Davis Price for as long as,

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Speaker 2: you know, as long as Mitchell could hold up.

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Speaker 3: This is kind of what we've seen out of Shanahan

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Speaker 3: thus far.

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Speaker 2: You know, he'll use those guys in the regular season,

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Speaker 2: but when the postseason hits, he's really trying to use,

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Speaker 2: you know, his top options. So that that also could

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Speaker 2: be really good for debo. You know, a little bit

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Speaker 2: of a post hype. I know he didn't do much

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Speaker 2: last week, but a little bit of a post hype

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Speaker 2: kind of, you know, captain play this week for debo

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Speaker 2: because I think he could be a lot more involved

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Speaker 2: in the run game. If you know McAffrey and Mitchell,

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Speaker 2: you know entered this game with an injury designation.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So this is an interesting spot where both

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Speaker 1: CMC and Mitchell are on the injury report. I have

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Speaker 1: my notes from last year that you know, Mitchell was

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Speaker 1: able to play through a very painful shoulder injury and

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Speaker 1: he was very effective. So I have my notes. You know,

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Speaker 1: if he's playing and he's hurt, you know you can

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Speaker 1: trust him because he seems like a really tough back

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Speaker 1: And if he was able to play through that Childer

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Speaker 1: injury last year, I think the growing injury would be

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Speaker 1: a little bit easier. So yeah, I like the call,

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Speaker 1: especially against you know, an Eagles defense that's more of

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Speaker 1: a run funnel. And this is a game where I

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Speaker 1: think the Niners could lead. But once you get to

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Speaker 1: the luck rankings, this is a spot where I think

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Speaker 1: I might actually be on the Niners. So I think

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Speaker 1: setting up lineups where the Niners have a positive game

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Speaker 1: script I think is gonna be the way to go here.

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Speaker 3: Also, I mean, good segue. What do you got for

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Speaker 3: the luck rankers?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is a luck Rankings game. The Niners

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Speaker 1: ranked twenty fourth and the Eagles are six, so this

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Speaker 1: is a luck ranked differential of eighteen are are new

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Speaker 1: and improved luck Rankings two point zero likes the Niners

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Speaker 1: even more and it's gotten two and oh against the spread.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think this is a spot where, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: obviously everybody knows the Niners are good, but they've been

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Speaker 1: playing a lot better than their scores have even indicated.

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Speaker 1: So this is a spot where I like taking the

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Speaker 1: Niners if you can get them at plus three and

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Speaker 1: building lineups where they're going to play with a leading

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Speaker 1: game script as well.

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Speaker 2: I mean, so, would you buy the three because I

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Speaker 2: don't know if it's getting to three, you just it's

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Speaker 2: at two and a half. I doubt it would get

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Speaker 2: to three for any amount of time. Would you buy

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Speaker 2: the three? Would you still take them eight and a half?

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Speaker 2: Like are you just expecting them to win this game?

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Speaker 3: Or yeah? If anything?

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Speaker 1: For me, I would either buy the three. You know

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Speaker 1: how much I love that three or just take them

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Speaker 1: money line because yeah, it's less likely that two and

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Speaker 1: a half will come into play. Famous last words, I know,

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Speaker 1: but this is a spot I'd rather just take the

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Speaker 1: money line. But it's worth waiting. I think we have

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Speaker 1: seen a ton of action on the Eagles. If you

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Speaker 1: look at the more casual Twitter, people are wondering why

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Speaker 1: the Eagles are only minus two and a half. So

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Speaker 1: it's given me a reason just kind of wait because

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Speaker 1: you never know it could get up to three. But ultimately,

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Speaker 1: I think I'd rather just take Manors money line.

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Speaker 3: Gotcha all right? Well that is gonna do it.

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Speaker 2: For our NFC Championship preview on the Fantasy Flex, be

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Speaker 2: sure to check out the full luck rankings list at

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Speaker 2: actionnetwork dot com For more great fantasy content.

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Speaker 3: From Sean and I.

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Speaker 2: You can check out our full player Props episode over

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Speaker 2: on the Action Network podcast channel, and keep an eye

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Speaker 2: out for our Fantasy Flex ANFCY Championship game episode. Actionnetwork

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Speaker 2: dot com for all of our NFL betting and fantasy content,

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00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:48,439
Speaker 2: as well as fantasywabs dot com for our DFS tools

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Speaker 2: and models. Shawn's on Twitter at the Underscore Adds maker.

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Speaker 2: I'm at Chris Rayboni. You can find us at those

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Speaker 2: same handles on the free, award winning Action Networks app,

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Speaker 2: and so next time, let's get this money. Action Network

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