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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This v Joey p Joe Pi's APA and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL.

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Speaker 2: It's time to.

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Speaker 1: Look ahead to Monday Night Football in week eight. We've

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Speaker 1: got the Washington Commanders and the Kansas City Chiefs. This

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Speaker 1: one's gonna be in case and the Chiefs are starting

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Speaker 1: to get things right four in three. Now, the Washington

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Speaker 1: Commanders are going to be without Jim Daniels for this game.

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Speaker 1: Marcus Mariota under center, but you might have some more

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Speaker 1: weapons joining him. Finally, it's been a while since Tara

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Speaker 1: McClure was on the field, so we're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about all of that with my good pal Scott Bogman,

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Speaker 1: and of course we are also going to give away

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Speaker 1: some free stuff. Time is running out for the Nick

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Speaker 1: Jubb Autographs helmets, So if you want to win this

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Speaker 1: gem from Pristine Auction dot Com, all you need to

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Speaker 1: do is head over to Bettingpros dot com slash contest,

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Speaker 1: complete the form and either download the Betting Pros app,

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Speaker 1: leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe

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Speaker 1: and we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel.

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Speaker 1: can be alerted when new episodes are up and if

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Speaker 1: you are the winner of the Nick Chubb autographed helmet.

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Speaker 1: All right, bobs, Let's take a look at the tail

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Speaker 1: of the tape. Here Washington three and four. The chiefs

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Speaker 1: are four and three. We are at plus twelve and

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Speaker 1: a half. Huge number here on the Washington side, minus

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Speaker 1: one ten. The best number four casey right now on

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros is minus eleven and a half. The total

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Speaker 1: for this one over forty six and a half under

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Speaker 1: forty eight and a half. Those are the VP consensus lines.

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Speaker 1: And then at the money line upset Washington plus six

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Speaker 1: y ten. I have a hard time buying that one.

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Speaker 1: I think you and I are in agreement here. Neither

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Speaker 1: of us are thrilled about this game in terms of

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Speaker 1: a betting line situation.

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Speaker 2: So I will make this easy.

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Speaker 1: I just think it's too many points. Twelve and a

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Speaker 1: half is a lot. I don't think Kansas City has

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Speaker 1: a problem with this game. I don't think they have

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Speaker 1: a problem with the Commanders. I think they win this game,

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Speaker 1: and this game is pretty much in hand. But I

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Speaker 1: just don't like that many points here, especially in a

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Speaker 1: Monday night game there. You know, guys get up to

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Speaker 1: play Monday night. It's a big standalone game. So I

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Speaker 1: will take the twelve and a half points there with

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Speaker 1: the Commanders, but again, I think Casey wins this one

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Speaker 1: pretty handily. What's your thoughts on this one here, because

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Speaker 1: I don't think you love this one either.

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Speaker 3: I hate it. I'll say this, every NFL game should

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Speaker 3: be a one score game. It's not the way it

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Speaker 3: should goes, right, But the way Parody has built the

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Speaker 3: league it is very, very even, so twelve and a

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Speaker 3: half should not be in line with that. I would

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Speaker 3: lean towards the Chiefs because we have no Mariota here,

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Speaker 3: lots of injuries on the offensive line for Washing as well.

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Speaker 3: Tunsled down, Sam cost me down. It looks like they're

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Speaker 3: missing some pieces on defense as well. I just think

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Speaker 3: this is a beat up group. We've seen the Chiefs

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Speaker 3: the last couple of weeks really play well, beating up

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Speaker 3: obviously the Raiders. That was the biggest blowout between Chiefs

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Speaker 3: and Raiders history. That was the highest shutout score thirty

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Speaker 3: one ZIP, the longest shutout score, I guess I should say.

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Speaker 3: And then you know, they beat up the Lions the

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Speaker 3: week before. This is all after looking embarrassing against the Jaguars, right,

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Speaker 3: so this is definitely a jecko on a high team.

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Speaker 3: But I like the under, I think more than anything.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think Washington's gonna score many points. You know,

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs will slow roll this at the end. They'll

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Speaker 3: probably be running the ball if they're up by a

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Speaker 3: couple scores. So yeah, let's go with the under in

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Speaker 3: this game before we pick a side. The site is gross,

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Speaker 3: this line sucks.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just again I think it's set pretty well.

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Speaker 1: But on top of it, again, you know, the Commanders

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Speaker 1: are a very enigmatic team.

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Speaker 2: You just don't know who's going to show up.

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Speaker 1: And I'm looking right now for some of the team

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Speaker 1: totals right now for Kansas City. It's hard to find

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Speaker 1: them right now. I think they're still tweaking some of

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Speaker 1: that stuff. As a Friday, So again, Monday night's still

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Speaker 1: a couple of days away. We're recording this on a Friday.

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Speaker 1: But I will say this, the Chiefs scoring twenty eight

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Speaker 1: point eight points at home this year. If you get

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Speaker 1: anything like twenty six and a half, twenty five and

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Speaker 1: a half two totals.

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Speaker 3: You want the Chiefs team totals thirty and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's thirty and a half. Are yeah, seither then they're.

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Speaker 3: Now under seventeen and a half for Washington. I don't

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Speaker 3: hate that.

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Speaker 2: I don't hate it. I don't love it.

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Speaker 1: I gotta say, you know, I think that's the hard

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Speaker 1: part right now is trying to find the value here

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Speaker 1: on this game. Just not a lot of it. But

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Speaker 1: that brings us to prop So that's okay. We can

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Speaker 1: look for some of the individuals here. Before we start

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Speaker 1: to do that, don't forget about our favorite of the

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Speaker 1: of our show.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 1: Week eight meets college football. It means world Series here

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Speaker 1: this weekend. We've also got the hockey going on. We've

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Speaker 1: got NBA, lots of betting going on the NBA, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, come on, this is our last show of

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Speaker 1: the week before Sunday. So if you're looking for more

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Speaker 1: insights for week eight. You can check out things like

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Speaker 1: Kansas City is on a fourteen game win streak against

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Speaker 1: as home favorites, so that's going on there. The Giants

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Speaker 1: have gone twelve games without a win in Philadelphia, and

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Speaker 1: all these streaks you can find on the hard Rock

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Speaker 1: All right, bogs, So Thursday night football two and three

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Speaker 1: for you. I did not hit the SG joep unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: felt a little short that with the Justin Herbert yardage.

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Speaker 2: You look great, just fell a couple of yards short.

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Speaker 2: What are you gonna do?

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Speaker 1: Gason was terrific though, So lock that one up there

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Speaker 1: and pretty handily won there by the Los Angeles Chargers

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Speaker 1: the Corizona Vikings. We're not ready to play. And Carson

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Speaker 1: Wentz I don't know if he ever wants to walk

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Speaker 1: on a football field again.

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Speaker 3: He looked like you mentioned so much pain, dude, broken

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Speaker 3: toy for sure, I mean, good god that yeah, he

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Speaker 3: needs to get you know, patched up and all that.

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Speaker 3: We saw a little Max Brosper at the end as well,

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Speaker 3: like that game was a destruction. But we didn't have

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Speaker 3: we didn't have Vikings rushing props or any of that

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Speaker 3: before we picked that game. So yeah, my Herbert and

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Speaker 3: Wentz picks were not good. At least he threw that

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Speaker 3: pick late to get me to two and three. So

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Speaker 3: but Gadson cleared in the second quarter, so that was nice.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that was good.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's start with Rushi Rice for this game here,

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Speaker 1: six and a half receptions. He was back last week,

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Speaker 1: certainly made a huge impact right away, and then this

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Speaker 1: game got out of hand last week for them, so

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Speaker 1: Homes and company were kind off the field in the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter.

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Speaker 2: So six and a half can he get over this?

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Speaker 2: You think?

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Speaker 3: I mean he had ten targets in nineteen routes last week. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: it's over half of his routes he's getting targeted in,

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Speaker 3: at least in week one. I don't know if that's

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Speaker 3: going to continue in week two, but he is the

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Speaker 3: primary go to guy for Mahomes. I think they're going

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Speaker 3: to continue to try to get him involved, get his

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Speaker 3: feet under him and all that stuff. And it's plus

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Speaker 3: money this bet plus one twenty four. I think it's

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Speaker 3: the best one I saw. But ten targets. Like I

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Speaker 3: said on the nineteen routes run, the Chiefs are eighth

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Speaker 3: in pass attempts per game at thirty five point eight.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I think I think Rashi Rice is going

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Speaker 3: to be targeted heavy again in this game. And I

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Speaker 3: know our boy Erickson has him as the number one

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Speaker 3: Fantasy wide receiver this week, and he's in the top

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Speaker 3: five of everybody's rankings, so should be a big Rishi

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Speaker 3: Rice week.

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Speaker 1: All right, Marcus Mariota again is another one of these

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Speaker 1: tough ones to gauge, right. You know, I was even

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Speaker 1: looking at some of his rushing totals trying to see

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Speaker 1: if I can get egauge on that. I couldn't find

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Speaker 1: anything there that I liked. What about the pass completions?

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Speaker 1: Eighteen and a half is the number getting even money

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Speaker 1: on the under, So why do we like this one

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Speaker 1: this week going into Monday night?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I think you know, if you're the Commanders, you don't

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Speaker 3: really want Mariota passing the ball that much until you

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Speaker 3: have to have him passed the ball. So I think

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Speaker 3: you're going to have, you know, very cowardly, low risk

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Speaker 3: throws to start this game, lots of running. You might

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Speaker 3: open it up late, but when you're opening up late,

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Speaker 3: those deep routes Mariota's never been good at. So I

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Speaker 3: think let's go under eighteen and a half. He was

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Speaker 3: fifteen for twenty we wanted his first start, sixteen for

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Speaker 3: twenty seven in his second, and Casey is allowing the

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Speaker 3: fourth fewest completions per game. So I just I don't

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Speaker 3: think we see Marcus Mario to get there.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one. Here,

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Speaker 1: we've got Isaiah Pichecko twelve and a half rushing attempts,

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Speaker 1: and this one is an over for you now. Kareem

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Speaker 1: Hunt obviously still in question. We don't think he's probably

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Speaker 1: going to play Brishard Smith could have more of a role.

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Speaker 1: So how does this all work out for Pacheco Monday Night?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, you know I have in fantasy. I'm sure you've heard.

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Speaker 3: I've broken up with Isaiah Pichecko. We are no longer together.

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Speaker 3: I am sick of watching him play for my fantasy teams.

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Speaker 3: But in this game, Kareem Hunt not practicing as we

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Speaker 3: record this. He had fifteen rush attempts last week after

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Speaker 3: obviously Kareem Hunt went down. Maybe we see more Bashard Smith, right,

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Speaker 3: but they're also twelve and a half point favorites. As

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Speaker 3: we mentioned at the top, they should be running late

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Speaker 3: and drawn. Payne is not looking one hundred percent for

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Speaker 3: this game, so in he's one of their best interior

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Speaker 3: run defenders, so it might be there. I think that

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Speaker 3: he's their highest graded interior run defender. He's their leading

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Speaker 3: tackler among the interior. That's what it is. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think Pachecko is going to take the rock a

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Speaker 3: bunch specifically late. So if we can get him to

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Speaker 3: six seven eight by the fourth quarter, I think we

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Speaker 3: see a lot of checko once we get into the fourth.

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Speaker 1: All right, next up here we have Zach Ertz. It's

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Speaker 1: National tight End Day on Sunday, but I don't know

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Speaker 1: if that's do you still observe it on Mondays? I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you can twenty and a half receiving

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Speaker 1: yards for him the unders at minus one ten and

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Speaker 1: that's where you're living this one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Casey is giving up the third fewest tight end receptions.

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Speaker 3: All three tight ends have played for Washington since Bates

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Speaker 3: came back in Week five, and Ertz has not hit

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Speaker 3: his seventy percent snap share since then, and he is

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Speaker 3: nursing a shoulder injury right now as well. So you

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Speaker 3: just add all those things combined. You know, Washington's gonna

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Speaker 3: want to try to run the ball first, so you

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Speaker 3: don't have to live and play through Mariota, and then

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Speaker 3: after that you're using all three of these tight ends

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Speaker 3: plus Arts is nursing this injury. I just I don't

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Speaker 3: know if he gets there case. He has been really

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Speaker 3: good against tight ends too, so let's go under on that.

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Speaker 2: One, all right.

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Speaker 1: And lastly, here Jacory Krossky merrit fifty two and a

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Speaker 1: half rushing slash receiving yards.

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Speaker 2: So this is the combo here.

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Speaker 1: Now you think this can be an over so again,

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Speaker 1: if you're talking about writing the script for this game,

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Speaker 1: keeping Mariota under wraps until you have no choice, basically,

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Speaker 1: it certainly would pretend that you would have a lot

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Speaker 1: more work for JCM in this game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, And the difference between his rushing total and his

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Speaker 3: rushing receiving total because he hasn't had that many receptions,

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Speaker 3: is six yards. So I'll take the difference there and

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Speaker 3: hope even if he doesn't catch a pass, he can

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Speaker 3: get to this total on the ground. I think he's

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Speaker 3: going to be given the opportunity a lot. And you know,

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Speaker 3: we both think that Debo and McLaurin are going to play.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, looks like you're going to be up.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they're probably still less than one hundred percent though,

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Speaker 3: So I think I think Bill here is going to

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Speaker 3: be your h you know, you're leading primary weapon for

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Speaker 3: Washington specifically with Daniels down and both those guys at

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Speaker 3: less than one hundred percent, and the fact that Kansas

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Speaker 3: City covers the tight end very well. Now, Kansas City

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Speaker 3: Defense has done everything very well, and they did everything

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Speaker 3: well against Las Vegas last week. But I think the

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Speaker 3: Bill can get to this total, and I think throwing

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Speaker 3: in that extra six yards and tacking on the receptions

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Speaker 3: just in case he gets a big one. I think

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Speaker 3: you know, Marioto is gonna be working short a lot,

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Speaker 3: specifically early, so let's just put both of these in

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Speaker 3: here and take that six extra yards and roll with.

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Speaker 2: It, all right.

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Speaker 1: So those are the props here for Monday Night football.

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Speaker 1: And don't forget if you need more help of your props,

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Speaker 1: We've got help for you.

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Speaker 2: Help us on the way prop.

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Speaker 1: Bet cheet Sheep, Betting pros dot Com slash Props, that's

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00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:56,680
Speaker 1: the place to go for all of your help. Remember,

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Speaker 1: if you're looking for the best lines with the best

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Speaker 1: projections for the over and the unders on passing, rushing, receiving,

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Speaker 1: all the categories, they're all there on the prop bet

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Speaker 1: Chiefs sheets. So download the app now or just go

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Speaker 1: to betting Pros dot com slash props. It's an invaluable

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Speaker 1: tool of your betting props, I'm telling you right now.

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Speaker 1: And of course you can also use the same game

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Speaker 1: parlay builder tool as well to take some of these props,

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Speaker 1: put them with some of the overs, the unders, whatever

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Speaker 1: you like, the points depending on what the game is.

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Speaker 1: So check out the SGP builder two that's also on

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app And speaking of those sgps, how

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Speaker 1: about this Rushi Rice touchdown minus one ten. I think

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Speaker 1: Rushi Rice finds the end zone with all those targets

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Speaker 1: that he's getting that Bogwin.

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Speaker 2: Talked about earlier.

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Speaker 1: I'll just take the Chiefs on the money line at

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Speaker 1: minus eight to fifty in this parlay too, just to

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Speaker 1: gotta give me a little bit some of that extra.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Chiefs lose this game. Again, I

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Speaker 1: don't love it. If you want to get a better

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Speaker 1: number here, you can try to move it around a

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Speaker 1: little bit, but look, minus a fifty it is what

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Speaker 1: it is. And then Patrick Mahomes, I gotta go under

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Speaker 1: two seventy five and a half at minus one fourteen

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Speaker 1: as well. I just don't know if they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: to work that hard. So I think this is another

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Speaker 1: one where people just say, oh, it's over over and everything.

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Speaker 1: I was like, well, let's get a little boring here.

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Speaker 1: Two seventy five and a half under. Even if you

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Speaker 1: guess at two to sixty and that's a great day,

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Speaker 1: that's still way under this number. So you put those

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Speaker 1: three things together, the Rice touchdown, the Chiefs winning homes

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Speaker 1: under two seventy five and a half for passing total,

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Speaker 1: you get the plus three eighteen. It's a pretty good

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Speaker 1: day at the office on Monday night. So I think

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Speaker 1: this is one of the safer three leg parlays we

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Speaker 1: put together on the show. And of course I kind

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Speaker 1: of already gave away the game here with my touchdown

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Speaker 1: call Versitie Rice at mice one ten. So where are

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Speaker 1: you going for your touchdown call for Monday night Football Box.

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Speaker 3: First of all, I'd like to acknowledge how angry I

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Speaker 3: was when we had a false start on a quarterback

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Speaker 3: seat by the tackle. Gosh, you get my plus five

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Speaker 3: point fifty on Justin Herbert's touchdown call on Thursday night five, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 2: Got the dogman did just see that mess? And I

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Speaker 2: was like, yes, I did, Yes.

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Speaker 3: You heard it correctly.

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Speaker 2: I exactly hear. That's exactly my exact tone.

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Speaker 1: Some text messages don't have tone to them, but I

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Speaker 1: know that one certainly did.

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Speaker 3: There are certain there are certain people that I read

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Speaker 3: the text directly in their voice. Now, it doesn't happen

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Speaker 3: well for everybody, but it definitely does. I'm gonna take

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Speaker 3: Pacheco plus one forty five. Here we talked about how

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Speaker 3: we think the Chiefs are going to win this game,

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Speaker 3: probably going away, and Pachecko I think might have a

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Speaker 3: season hi and carries and this one specifically late. So

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Speaker 3: plus one forty five for him. If we're getting close

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Speaker 3: to one and a half, I'll take it.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to go out on a limb again

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Speaker 3: just to get hosed by the refs, so we'll go

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Speaker 3: with Pachecko plus one forty five.

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Speaker 1: I'm really fascinating to see, especially with Kareem Hunt being out,

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Speaker 1: most likely what the Smith role looks like. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: gonna be fascinating to watch, because I do think you

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Speaker 1: all see, you know, a fairer dose of Pacheco. But

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Speaker 1: I've seen enough of Pacheco now where I'm more curious

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Speaker 1: to see what Richard Smith is at this point.

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Speaker 3: I wonder if this Pachecko injury, because Deepak talked about this,

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Speaker 3: how like when he came back last year, he's not

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Speaker 3: going to be one hundred percent. I wonder if he's

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Speaker 3: even one hundred percent now, right. He just still doesn't

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Speaker 3: look like the back well before this injury, So I

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Speaker 3: wonder if he needs another year, kind of like Javante.

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Speaker 3: Javante looked like garbage last year. Still we all kind

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Speaker 3: of thought he was dead, and now he looks amazing.

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Speaker 3: So maybe it's just one more year for Pacheco. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: I'm still broken up. No more Procheco this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair enough.

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Speaker 3: For my fantasy teams, I'll bet not on my face.

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Speaker 2: I think I had to pick him up in one league.

359
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Speaker 1: Somebody dropped him and I just needed some RB help

360
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Speaker 1: and I was like, all right, well he's he shouldn't

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Speaker 1: be on the waiver wire exactly.

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Speaker 3: They're dropping him. I'll let you. I'll let you back

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Speaker 3: on this. Yeah, that spot for you here, Yeah, not homeless,

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Speaker 3: come on.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, make it a big spot the roster. We'll make

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Speaker 2: a spot for yeah.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we gotta, we gotta, We got a cop for

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Speaker 3: you right here at the end of the.

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Speaker 2: Bed that's right.

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Speaker 1: We've got more help for you too, right here on

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros. If you're betting NBA, if you're betting n FL,

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00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:51,040
Speaker 1: whatever it is that floats your boat, we got you

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00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:54,200
Speaker 1: covered here on the YouTube channels, So again reminder, subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the channel, drop the comments below what's your favorite

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Speaker 1: pick for Monday Night football this week in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: And of course we'll be back next week to do

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Speaker 1: it again. For Scott Bogan, I'm Joey P. We'll see

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Speaker 1: you next time, Ginz.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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