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Speaker 1: This is straight fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up?

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Speaker 1: Straight fire fan didn't mean Jason McIntyre straight fire For Friday,

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Speaker 1: October twenty one, wild wild night in sports, Holy Toledo.

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Speaker 1: I was at the Laker game. Disappointing ending. We'll talk

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Speaker 1: about it a little bit later. I was all set

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Speaker 1: to follow Arizona New Orleans on my phone. You know,

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Speaker 1: we're watching it while we're eating some dinner before the

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Speaker 1: Lakers game. And it was kind of a wacky game

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Speaker 1: where Andy Dalton throws two picks and both have returned

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Speaker 1: for touchdowns. You're like, oh, okay, Arizona's kind of sort

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Speaker 1: of back. And then you get this bombshell where Staples

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Speaker 1: non Staples, Crypto dot Com Arena or whatever it's called,

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Speaker 1: does not have good service, and it's like halftime, and

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Speaker 1: my phone just starts blowing up as c MAC to

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Speaker 1: the Niners. Oh my gosh, Holy cow, forty Niners are

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Speaker 1: getting the Super Bowl, like just people freaking out. I

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Speaker 1: was like, is this real? I honestly did not know

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Speaker 1: if I was getting punked. I was like, really, because

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Speaker 1: you know, you think about Christian McCaffrey, one of the

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Speaker 1: best backs in the league, has been injured a lot

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Speaker 1: the last couple of years. But let's be realistic here,

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Speaker 1: you're adding an incredible weapon to one of the best

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Speaker 1: in game coaches or offensive minds. Let's say not not

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Speaker 1: coaches offensive minds in the league in Shanahan that already

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Speaker 1: dominates yards after the catch. They have a Yuk, they

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Speaker 1: have Deebo Samuel, they have George Kittle. Elijah Mitchell, I think,

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Speaker 1: is two weeks away from returning off injury, and now

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Speaker 1: you're adding Christian McCaffrey, who doesn't need a twenty carry

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Speaker 1: workload because you can just rotate multiple backs in and

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Speaker 1: you can line up I mean, think about this. You

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Speaker 1: could line up Christian McCaffrey on one side in the slot,

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Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel on the there and George Kittle, or or

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Speaker 1: you move Debot to the backfield like this is gonna

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Speaker 1: be very difficult to defend. I think it's a great

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Speaker 1: trade for the Niners, and frankly, I think it's a

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Speaker 1: bit of a heist. I know that some people on

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Speaker 1: the internet think it was too much. The Panthers basically

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Speaker 1: got three picks in the two thousand twenty three draft,

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Speaker 1: a second, third, and fourth and they got a fifth

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Speaker 1: in two thousand twenty four, and everybody's like, oh, that's

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Speaker 1: too many picks. Time out, guys. This forty Niners team

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Speaker 1: is one of the best in the NFC. I would say,

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Speaker 1: at the minimum they're headed to the NFC Championship Game.

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Speaker 1: Minimal potential Super Bowl. I mean, are they better than

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Speaker 1: Green Bay? Yeah? Are they better than Tampa? Are they

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Speaker 1: better than the Eagles? We'll see Eagles will probably have

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Speaker 1: home field advantage. Niners have gone on the road and

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Speaker 1: beaten just about everybody, so I'm not worried about that.

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Speaker 1: So you're telling me now that that second round pick

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be like in the fifty seven to sixty range,

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Speaker 1: and the third round pick, yeah, go ahead and add

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Speaker 1: thirty two to that, and you're looking at it like

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Speaker 1: nine two. So the forty Niners already have one of

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Speaker 1: the best rosters in the league. They've got young talent everywhere.

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Speaker 1: I know there are a lot of injuries right now

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Speaker 1: and they're dealing with it. But look at the big picture.

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Speaker 1: You're telling me that the forty Niners didn't win this

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Speaker 1: trade getting one of the best weapons in football. Who's

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Speaker 1: not gonna be carrying a massive load. Um, and the

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Speaker 1: Panthers don't get any picks in like the top fifty

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Speaker 1: five what like. I think it's a great trade for

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Speaker 1: the Niners. It's not awful for Carolina. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: you're telling me nobody could have would have given a

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Speaker 1: first round pick. Nobody would have given one up. And

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Speaker 1: by the way, all this bashing of running backs. And

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Speaker 1: we have a great guest coming up later in the podcast,

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Speaker 1: Teddy covers a um you know him, big time Vegas gambler.

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Speaker 1: We talk NFL and I'll have best bets at the end.

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Speaker 1: But just think for a second, Christian McCaffrey, deebos, Ammuel

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Speaker 1: Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle, Just how many how many

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Speaker 1: teams have four better weapons than that? Think about the

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Speaker 1: Rams right now. The Rams literally have Cooper Cup. That's it.

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Speaker 1: Don't tell me Scarronic as a weapon. Don't tell me

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Speaker 1: Higgby is a weapon. I'm talking. Deebo is at the

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Speaker 1: top of the food chain for receivers. Kittle is a

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Speaker 1: top three tight end. Brandon Ayuk is a yak king.

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Speaker 1: He's not an awesome receiver, but man, he can has

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Speaker 1: the potential. And McCaffrey healthy it's a beast. This is

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Speaker 1: a great trade for the Niners. I mean, if you're

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Speaker 1: the Rams and you can't generate offense and you will

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Speaker 1: face McCaffrey in two weeks, forty Niners. Um, they have

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Speaker 1: a big one against the Chiefs this weekend. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if McCaffrey will play. I mean, maybe he'll play

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Speaker 1: be on a pitch count. But this is for the

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Speaker 1: big picture, and I think the Niners are clearly the

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Speaker 1: class of the NFC. West Arizona is not dead yet.

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Speaker 1: They looked much better, but a lot of that had

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Speaker 1: to do with Andy Dalton. An interception in the end

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Speaker 1: zone to pick six is like kind of a big

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Speaker 1: swing there. Um. Yeah, I I think this is a

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Speaker 1: huge win for the Niners. I think it just puts

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Speaker 1: them in the upper crust. They were already kind of

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Speaker 1: in there in the NFC. It was like Eagles Bucks,

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Speaker 1: I forgot about the Vikings, and Vikings are in there.

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Speaker 1: But think about who who's got better weapons than the Niners.

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Speaker 1: The Eagles certainly don't. The Vikings have justin Jefferson Dalvin Cook,

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Speaker 1: theeln Tampa Bay's got some good receivers in Leonard four Net.

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Speaker 1: I mean if you look at the skill position guys

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Speaker 1: around around the league, and I mean, who are you

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Speaker 1: taking ahead of the Niners? This is a stacked offense,

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Speaker 1: and I gotta be I gotta be honest. It's tough

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Speaker 1: to say it for like a three and three team,

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Speaker 1: But does Christian McCaffrey put them over the top and

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Speaker 1: make them the favorites in the NFC? I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they'll be the gambling favorite. Um I did see

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Speaker 1: that the number ticked up this weekend. Tampa Bay now

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Speaker 1: a thirteen point favorite over Carolina, which is in full

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Speaker 1: on tank mode. They will probably be getting c J.

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Speaker 1: Stroud in the draft with the number one pick, and

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Speaker 1: now you have an extra second, third fource, so you

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Speaker 1: can build that roster back pretty quickly. I joked, well,

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Speaker 1: I didn't joke, but I mentioned Lane Kiffin on The

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Speaker 1: Herd as a potential next coach of the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: Did not go over particularly well with some of the

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Speaker 1: social media folks who, uh, we're watching the show. They

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Speaker 1: did not like that. But I don't know if it

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Speaker 1: is how good of a job as Carolina. You don't

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Speaker 1: have Christian McCaffrey your best receiver, d J Moore. I

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Speaker 1: guess you gotta consider trading him now too, Right, you

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Speaker 1: probably keep J. C. Horne because he's on his rookie contract,

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Speaker 1: the cornerback, you keep the two defensive lineman. I don't

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Speaker 1: really know what else they have. You obviously keep a

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Speaker 1: Quanta with the left tackle that they drafted. But Caroline

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Speaker 1: is gonna be bad, like aggressively bad, two three wind bad.

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Speaker 1: I went and and I said, I was a laquer

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Speaker 1: game and it was impossible, but I was able to

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Speaker 1: somehow get it by doing it repeatedly for fantasy. I

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Speaker 1: picked up Foreman, the backup to McCaffrey, even though there's

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Speaker 1: no chance I'm playing in this weekend against Tampa. Tampa

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Speaker 1: should kill them, I don't. I mean, Caroline is really

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Speaker 1: in trouble, folks. They are up Poop's Creek without a

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Speaker 1: paddle and rob g I know this doesn't impact your Raiders,

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Speaker 1: but San Francisco forty Niners, Holy heist, Batman. Oh, I

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Speaker 1: love this trade for them, and not just for this season.

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Speaker 1: You brought up all the good reasons why this season

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Speaker 1: it puts I don't know if it puts them ahead

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Speaker 1: of Philadelphia right now, only because the quarterback is still

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Speaker 1: a question mark and San Francisco, but moving forward, you know,

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Speaker 1: everybody's upset. You're like, hey, you're giving up all your picks. Um.

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Speaker 1: Somebody try to say that they haly have a third

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Speaker 1: and a fifth available next season because of the this

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Speaker 1: trade and the trade Lance trade, And then I stumbled

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Speaker 1: upon this from Adam Schefter says, well, one of the

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Speaker 1: reasons why the forty nine were willing to give up

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Speaker 1: so much draft capital is because they have six extra

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Speaker 1: third round cut compics coming their way because of that

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Speaker 1: new NFL rule that says if you have a minority

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Speaker 1: coach who leaves and goes to another team, you can

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Speaker 1: get two third round compics. So they have six coming

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Speaker 1: their way. So it's not really too big of a

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Speaker 1: loss when you consider they gave up what second, third,

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Speaker 1: and fourth and the other reason and to me, this

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Speaker 1: is the biggest reason why I love this trade for

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Speaker 1: San Francisco is Jimmy g is not long for that team.

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Speaker 1: It's this season and that's it. I think shy of

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Speaker 1: him becoming Super Bowl m v P. This is Trey

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Speaker 1: Lance's team starting next season once he once he's back

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Speaker 1: from injury. It sounds I wouldn't do it, but I

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Speaker 1: think that they've invested so much into him and they've

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Speaker 1: already decided that he's their guy, that that that's what's

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Speaker 1: gonna happen. And because of that, this has been the

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Speaker 1: the model in the NFL for several years. Now, get

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Speaker 1: your quarterback on a rookie deal, you flood the rest

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Speaker 1: of the roster with high end talent until you have

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Speaker 1: to pay m It doesn't matter at this point that

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Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey's cap number the next three seasons is nineteen

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Speaker 1: nineteen fifteen million dollars, does not matter what your quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: making a million and a half, two million, whatever it is.

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Speaker 1: This team, outside of quarterback again, that's the big question mark,

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Speaker 1: is probably the most loaded roster in football right now.

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Speaker 1: And rather than doing something which you see a lot

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Speaker 1: in the NBA, where it's, hey, we want to keep

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Speaker 1: these picks. That's the Lakers problem right now is that

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Speaker 1: they can't shoot and they don't want to trade their picks. Um,

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Speaker 1: when you have a window to go for it, then

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Speaker 1: freaking go for it. Like what are you waiting for?

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Speaker 1: If I'm a Green Bay Packer fan right now, I'm

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Speaker 1: freaking piste. We have Aaron Rodgers two time m v P,

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Speaker 1: and we're gonna roll out Romeo Dobbs and Alan Lazard

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Speaker 1: as our big offensive weapons on the outside, Big Bob

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Speaker 1: Tony in over the middle. And you got San Francisco

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Speaker 1: who already has to year point Deebo Samuel, they already

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Speaker 1: got George Kittle, they already got Brandon Aiyuk. And now

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Speaker 1: you add, in my opinion, the most versatile running back

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Speaker 1: in football to that roster. What is preventing Green Bay

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Speaker 1: from calling up Caroline and say, hey, here's two seconds

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Speaker 1: for d J. Moore. Well, it's funny you say that

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Speaker 1: about green Bay because how pissed would Davon Rodgers be

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Speaker 1: about this? And someone had texted me, when does Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers ask for a trade? And I was like, come on,

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Speaker 1: no way, you just sign a new dal. He sounds

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Speaker 1: fed up. He's dressing like Obi Won ben Kenobi. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you guys have noticed, but he's wearing

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Speaker 1: like not quite rags, but like super baggy stuff. He's

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Speaker 1: got the beard. He's kind of sound, all philosophical, and

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Speaker 1: some of these interviews he looks like somebody who's not

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Speaker 1: long for Green Bay. I'd be very curious what's going

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Speaker 1: to happen the four Niners. They adda McCaffrey and we're

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Speaker 1: adding who who? Now that what? What? Could the Raiders?

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Raiders could have been in a mix?

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Speaker 1: Could they? Because Derek Carr is a fat salary Yeah?

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Speaker 1: That makes it a little bit trickier. And I don't

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Speaker 1: even know if they have the picks given the Davante

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Speaker 1: Adams traight. Uh no they should. I think that they

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Speaker 1: only gave up the first last year, and I think

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Speaker 1: a second is what they gave up. So they I

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Speaker 1: mean they theoretically they could have, but given what they're

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Speaker 1: already paying to car Adams, Crosby, Waller, renfro like you

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Speaker 1: know you, I know the salary cap is a myth,

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Speaker 1: but it can't be fudged like that much, you know

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Speaker 1: what I mean? I do. I do kind of love

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Speaker 1: the aggressiveness of San Francisco. Um. I don't think I

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Speaker 1: need to say anything really about the Cardinals beating the Saints.

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Speaker 1: Although the Saints are two and five, I'm a little surprised.

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Speaker 1: I thought they'd be a playoff team in the NFC. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Injuries obviously have gotten to them. Uh, for fantasy purposes,

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Speaker 1: which you don't care about, you know, Benjamin was pretty

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Speaker 1: darn good for me. Nice to see DeAndre Hopkins back.

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Speaker 1: I'm curious. I don't know that the Cardinals are automatically

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Speaker 1: bet on, because again, this was an Andy Dalton screw

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Speaker 1: up game. He literally cost them seven or at least

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Speaker 1: three with the interception in the end zone and then

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Speaker 1: two pick six is and like what a two minute

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Speaker 1: span at the end of the half. So goodwin for

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Speaker 1: the Cards they get right back in the hunt. Um,

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Speaker 1: bad loss for the Saints. They're not dead because Tampa

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Speaker 1: is still struggling and the NFC's is garbage. UM. I

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Speaker 1: just want to quickly get a word on the Lakers

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Speaker 1: before we get to our guest, Um Teddy Covers. So

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Speaker 1: just a couple of notes here. I was taking No,

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Speaker 1: it's kind of at the game a little bit. I

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Speaker 1: know that's super nerdy, but this this one is absolutely staggering.

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Speaker 1: The Lakers point guards Kendrick Dunne, Patrick Beverley, Russell Westbrook

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Speaker 1: combined to go one for from the field and one

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Speaker 1: for sixteen on three pointers. Just like, let that sink in.

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Speaker 1: John Wall by the way, who was really damn good.

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Speaker 1: I could not believe it. Like John Wall had fifteen

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Speaker 1: points himself. John Wall was making things happen, and the

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Speaker 1: Lakers three point guards did absolutely nothing. That is scary.

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Speaker 1: And everybody's been yelling at Polinka broh uh, we gotta

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Speaker 1: get shooting. And he didn't want to do the deal.

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Speaker 1: He didn't want to toss in the picks. Well, what

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Speaker 1: if the pacers come to you and say today's price

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Speaker 1: is not yesterday's price, and now we need more because

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Speaker 1: you're oh and two and the whole world knows you

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Speaker 1: can't shoot in you're desperate. Um, I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: go on and rant about how Anthony Davis like he

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Speaker 1: loves to sit on the perimeter and he got bodied.

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Speaker 1: I'm talking bodied inside by Ivaka zoo Bach. However, how

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Speaker 1: do you say his name? Rob? There you go, thank you?

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Speaker 1: Ba six offensive boards the Lakers as a team had eight,

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Speaker 1: and he had seventeen rebounds. He he was a beast inside.

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Speaker 1: He's good. And Anthony Davis was not Lebron was lebron

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Speaker 1: as usual? He was very good? Um, well are you

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Speaker 1: why are you laughing? He was not good? Did you

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Speaker 1: see that he like landed round on his tailbone. He

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Speaker 1: could barely walk in the second half. What is that

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Speaker 1: an excuse? Okay, I guess that you got a man

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Speaker 1: up a d what's the option you could just be

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Speaker 1: out injured again, I don't know. He couldn't play like

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Speaker 1: fifteen minutes like Kauai did. That'd be nice. Uh Kauai

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Speaker 1: actually twenty one minutes, and it was. I'll say it

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Speaker 1: was disturbing when instantly he came in. He's really good. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's pretty good. Instantly went right at j t A

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Speaker 1: Juan Tuscano Anderson two easy midrange buckets and then I

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Speaker 1: don't know if you again, I was watching closely. He

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Speaker 1: was hunting Austin Reeves, Like, give me the pick. I

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Speaker 1: want to go at Austin Reeves. And you know, Reeves

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Speaker 1: was atrocious defensively, he was a turnstile. They went after him.

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Speaker 1: He nearly fouled out. Um, Kendrick Nunn, listen, I like

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Speaker 1: Kendrick Nunn. He's bouncy and exciting, but he was over

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Speaker 1: seven and eleven minutes. Um gott to leave the efficiency though.

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Speaker 1: Seven shots up in eleven minutes. Yeah, he was in

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Speaker 1: Jason McIntyre esque. You know it. Um, I'll say, the

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Speaker 1: highlight of the game obviously was Lonnie Walker. He was electric.

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Speaker 1: Lonnie Walker's lay up package as elite. UM. He played

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Speaker 1: some solid defense. If he could shoot a little better

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Speaker 1: from three, that'd be great. He's very good from the

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Speaker 1: foul line. He was the lakers best player, Lebron and

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Speaker 1: Lonnie Walker. And then like a d you know, when

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Speaker 1: he wanted to go inside and didn't fade away. Um,

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Speaker 1: I had listen, Rob, I'm sorry, I had to uh.

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Speaker 1: And you know, Rob, I don't know. If you watch

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Speaker 1: the very end of the game, you know Lakers are

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Speaker 1: down maybe five, but like two minutes left, and of

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Speaker 1: course they double Lebron and leave Westbrook wide ass open

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Speaker 1: at the top of the key. And I'm telling you,

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Speaker 1: when you guys go to a Lakers game, this is

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Speaker 1: no joke. When he's at the three point line and

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Speaker 1: setting up to shoot, there is a loud groan the

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Speaker 1: entire lower bowl h and you knew he's gonna miss

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Speaker 1: it because he can't make threes outside of corner threes

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Speaker 1: and he's wide open. The Clippers daring him, and he

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Speaker 1: climbed it and that was that was that, that was

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Speaker 1: their shot. Um. They they fought hard. They're not a

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Speaker 1: total disaster. They basically played, you know, to the two

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Speaker 1: best teams in the West. I think, uh and open

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Speaker 1: with two losses. But they fought hard. And now he

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Speaker 1: said too much rob any thoughts on the Lakers will quit? Uh,

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Speaker 1: you sounds kind of upset. It wasn't. I mean, no,

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Speaker 1: I have no extra thoughts on the Lakers. Dennis Shrewder

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Speaker 1: is going to be coming back from injury. I don't

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Speaker 1: know when I'll tell you this. Dennis Shooter is way

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Speaker 1: better offensively than Russell Westbrook. Now, Russ did make a

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Speaker 1: couple of good defensive plays against Kauai. He fronted him

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Speaker 1: on the inbounds and like that helped. But he's such

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Speaker 1: a liability on offense, and they gotta find scoring. Um

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Speaker 1: the Shrewder maybe the answer, but there's I don't see

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Speaker 1: how you keep Russ on this team much longer. It's

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Speaker 1: only two games out of eighty two and now we've

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Speaker 1: gone too long in the NBA. But tough loss. All right,

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Speaker 1: Let's get to our guest, Teddy Covers. Fox Sports Radio

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Speaker 1: has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch

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Speaker 1: all of our shows at Fox sports radio dot com

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Speaker 1: and within the hard radio app search f s R

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Speaker 1: to listen live. Jason likes to think he knows everything

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Speaker 1: when it comes to sports. I know what sports dance want,

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Speaker 1: But for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does.

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Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a guy.

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Speaker 1: He knows another guy. All right, let's welcome into straight fire.

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Speaker 1: One are the legendary sports gamblers out there. He's simply

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Speaker 1: known as Teddy Covers. He has one. I'm guessing millions

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Speaker 1: and millions of dollars. He's a longtime NFL gambler. Teddy Covers.

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Speaker 1: How you doing, man? I appreciate the crudos. So I'm

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Speaker 1: actually talking about this this morning. You only become a legend, right,

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Speaker 1: It's like people start calling legendary. It to me like,

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Speaker 1: fifteen years are you do? Just stay alive for fifteen

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Speaker 1: years and let's start to call you a legend. And

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Speaker 1: I've been now in Vegas like so well, I'll open

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Speaker 1: with a question that's kind of um. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if this is even answerable, Teddy, but one of the

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Speaker 1: things I've been struggling with this NFL season is the parody. Right,

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Speaker 1: we all know the Bills and Chiefs are great, and

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Speaker 1: the Eagles are pretty damn good. But after that, Teddy,

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Speaker 1: can you remember a year where we're almost at the

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Speaker 1: midway point and like twenty teams, you don't know if

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Speaker 1: they're good or not? I mean the the range. I'm

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Speaker 1: a Jets guy, I don't know if they're good at

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Speaker 1: four and two. I don't know if Green Bay is good.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Tampa is good, like I just it's

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Speaker 1: so difficult right now to discern who is good. Some

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Speaker 1: of the numbers that you see, whether it's d v

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Speaker 1: O A yards per play, it just doesn't make sense.

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Speaker 1: What do you make of it? So one of the

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Speaker 1: things that being out here for twenty five football seasons

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Speaker 1: it gives me, the gives me the ability to do,

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Speaker 1: is to say, how much different is this than it's

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Speaker 1: ever been? And my answer that is not that much.

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Speaker 1: There's lots of years where mid season that maybe half

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Speaker 1: the teams you think are good end up you know,

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Speaker 1: not crapping out down the stretch, and another half teams

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Speaker 1: that you thought were mediocre at best and up getting

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Speaker 1: hot or certainly, injuries are always gonna factory into any

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Speaker 1: NFL season, and how healthy a team is able to

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Speaker 1: stay or how injured they get can dramatically affect their fortunes. So,

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Speaker 1: you know, you often see in season turn rounds and

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Speaker 1: from year to year. In a normal year, you know, what,

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Speaker 1: do we have four team playoff teams? Right? You know? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so in a normal year there'll be six or seven

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Speaker 1: new playoff teams. Okay, it's so there's a lot of randomness,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of parody, and as an NFL better

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Speaker 1: you kind of have to accept those factors and look

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Speaker 1: to those factors as opposed to, Wow, this season so different.

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Speaker 1: It's not. I don't, at least I don't think it is. Okay,

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Speaker 1: how about this last week? Week six, there were eight

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Speaker 1: teams that won games with a quarterback through for less

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Speaker 1: than two hundred yards, including the Jets, and uh, I

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Speaker 1: think the Giants as a slew of teams, and you're like,

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Speaker 1: you know, Marcus Mariota didn't go for two hundred yards.

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Speaker 1: They beat the four Niners by fourteen. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Week six just has kind of thrown me for a loop.

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Speaker 1: Are you feeling confident about teams setting in the Week

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Speaker 1: seven or not? Really so in terms of strong opinions,

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Speaker 1: all right, we're not politicians. We don't have to have

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Speaker 1: the same opinion about a team the whole time. We

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Speaker 1: can change our minds. The goal is to try to

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Speaker 1: be a little bit proactive when we change our minds.

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Speaker 1: If you're like, oh, who thought the Giants were gonna bean?

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Speaker 1: I get a season win season win takes on the

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Speaker 1: Giants over seven wins. I feel pretty good that some

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Speaker 1: people thought the Giants were gonna be a little bit

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Speaker 1: better And like no one saw that comment. You know, um,

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Speaker 1: so it's not impossible or or this stuff isn't all random,

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Speaker 1: but there is some randomness to it. You know, the

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Speaker 1: Jets played pretty lousy offensive football for extended stretches last week,

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Speaker 1: but they had a block pont and they had a

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Speaker 1: broken play touchdown. We're you know, halls running rount of

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Speaker 1: the house and now, and mind you, I had the

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Speaker 1: Jets in my pocket. But when you look at the

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Speaker 1: fun I'll score. If you watch the game, it didn't.

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Speaker 1: You know, it wasn't always that easy. You know, Green

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Speaker 1: Bay never played well, but New York's putting up twenty

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Speaker 1: seven was was kind of anomoy. You know, Uh, their

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Speaker 1: offense didn't exactly and then that's not the only random

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Speaker 1: thing like that last week, and that'll happen. They'll be

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Speaker 1: weeks like that. So I look at the week seven

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Speaker 1: card and I have a couple of bets that I

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Speaker 1: fired on. I got the Patriots early in the week.

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Speaker 1: It's too big of a number, but that's Monday. I

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Speaker 1: want to focus on the Sunday games when I tell

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Speaker 1: you that, Um, the Miami Dolphins getting to a back

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Speaker 1: seven trending towards seven and a half. Teddy Brian Flores

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Speaker 1: spent a couple of years with TWA knows him as

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Speaker 1: well as any coach in the league. He's now a

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Speaker 1: defensive coach with the Pittsburgh Steelers. He did not like

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Speaker 1: to he knows all the his weaknesses. I feel like

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Speaker 1: I need to, on principle, take Pittsburgh getting seven. Mike

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Speaker 1: tom On is an underdog to a back from the concussions.

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Speaker 1: Where are you on that game? So you said something

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Speaker 1: so smart there, but you gotta put a cabin on that.

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Speaker 1: If you're a smart batter, you're not taking Pittsburgh plus seven.

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Speaker 1: Do you just relax? The seven and a half will

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Speaker 1: be there, you know, Uh, this line is only going

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Speaker 1: one way. It's not like we're gonna see a whole

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Speaker 1: bunch of Pittsburgh money. And the teams with elite receivers

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Speaker 1: are gonna give Pittsburgh some problems. And Miami with two, uh,

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Speaker 1: that's a really good football team. You know, they have

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Speaker 1: elite receivers. So even with the floors, and I'm with

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Speaker 1: you on Florist, I'm a big Florist fan, okay, And

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Speaker 1: I think that is a legit edge for the stealer,

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Speaker 1: you know, the Steelers in this ball game. Even with that,

422
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,119
Speaker 1: I don't know that I get the Pittsburgh, But if

423
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,120
Speaker 1: I did get the Pittsburgh, I'd wait for the seven

424
00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: and a half because you've gotta think you're gonna see him.

425
00:23:53,560 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 1: The Pittsburgh defense was so beat up last week. I

426
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,360
Speaker 1: think they were down three guys in the secondary obviously,

427
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 1: know what, so I bet Tampa and Tampa never never

428
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 1: was in that game. I thought it was just Pittsburgh

429
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: looked depressive. And now I look at the injury report

430
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: and it's like Minka Fitzpatrick's gonna be back, Witherspoon's back,

431
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 1: Sutton's back, and I don't know. I just looked back

432
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 1: to that opener for the Dolphins against the Patriots, and

433
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,600
Speaker 1: it's like these good coaches defensively know how to scheme

434
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,399
Speaker 1: out these wide receivers. Um. Baltimore has got this new

435
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator in for Wink Martindale, and I thought he's

436
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: been awful all season, and the junkie was throwing a

437
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 1: two in the fourth quarter. I was just stunned. Um,

438
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 1: But I don't know. Okay, maybe maybe it's on the fence.

439
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 1: How about this, Is there a game you love that

440
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,680
Speaker 1: you've already fired on. Well, you're talking about Tampa Bay.

441
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 1: You know who who had no chance last week was

442
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 1: never in the game. That's two weeks in a row.

443
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 1: By the way, they were up on the Falcons twenty

444
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 1: one nothing. I had them and then they stopped playing

445
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter and Falcons come in the back door. Sure,

446
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:51,360
Speaker 1: I mean there's they didn't They didn't play a half

447
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 1: of full in the game against where they ended up

448
00:24:56,200 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: winning that game by three scores. Yeah. I don't know

449
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: that that this is a team team that's gonna the

450
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 1: switch offensively, And I know Carolina's not gonna flip the

451
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:14,399
Speaker 1: switch up on J Walker. You're not so p J

452
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 1: Walker made me a lot of money at Temple. I

453
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,399
Speaker 1: love the guy will always love the guy. Okay, that

454
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 1: run at Temple was you know, it was better than

455
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,359
Speaker 1: any NFL run you'll get. You know, the NFL of

456
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:27,359
Speaker 1: the market's catch up. Temple went for two years and

457
00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: just covered and covered and covered and covered. You know.

458
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 1: Uh So I'll always have a soft spot in my

459
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: heart for the guy. But at no point in his

460
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 1: careers he looked like an NFL quarterback because he felt

461
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:40,000
Speaker 1: like an NFL quarterback as as But uh, you know,

462
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 1: there's still effort in Carolina, certainly on the defense side

463
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,400
Speaker 1: of the football. Um, the Panthers can't move the ball

464
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,639
Speaker 1: and Tampa can't move the ball, and there's effort for

465
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 1: Tampa on the defense side of the football. You know,

466
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:52,320
Speaker 1: I'm I'm I was some under money in my pocket

467
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: in that ball game. For sure. That's one that that

468
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:59,240
Speaker 1: absolutely stands out to me. Um, Casey San Franz are

469
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 1: really interesting game. You know, where where there's you know,

470
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,280
Speaker 1: there's thought that, oh this is a letdown for the Chiefs.

471
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:09,680
Speaker 1: You know, uh oh they played the big Monday night game. Um.

472
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 1: A lot of times handicappers are looking for reasons to

473
00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:17,200
Speaker 1: you know, if you if you like one side, you'll

474
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 1: latch onto any reason you can think of to support

475
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 1: that side. If you like the other side, you'll latch

476
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:25,000
Speaker 1: on to any reason. I mean, Casey is really good,

477
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,520
Speaker 1: all right, they're awful loss, and they're really good. And

478
00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: San Fran isn't you know, I mean the Niners. We

479
00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 1: saw this Super Bowl not that long ago. I made

480
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,600
Speaker 1: money on that game. I thought three was cheap, and

481
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:39,880
Speaker 1: I like my homes off the loss. He's just money

482
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:41,680
Speaker 1: in the bank in that role. He really has been.

483
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: And in this point spread range. Uh, san Fran. They

484
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 1: stayed out in the back East last week and as

485
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,960
Speaker 1: you mentioned, the loss to a feisty little Atlanta team

486
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:56,679
Speaker 1: that just keeps covering point spreads. Uh. But the track record,

487
00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 1: they've done this four times in the Channon Era, four times.

488
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,280
Speaker 1: They come back home next week and the lost straight

489
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:07,240
Speaker 1: up and against that's after the back to back East coaches. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

490
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 1: and they've lost all four sure and and San Frand

491
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 1: they spent the whole offseason designing the offense for the

492
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:15,640
Speaker 1: other guy. People like, oh, Garoppolo will be fine. I'll

493
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:19,240
Speaker 1: just fit in seamlessly. And the weapons they have are sick.

494
00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 1: You know when you look at you know, Kittle and

495
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 1: I you can Samuel on the field at the same

496
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:27,080
Speaker 1: time with you know whoever else. I mean, it's a

497
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 1: it's a team that has ample weaponry to put points

498
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: on the football. With Trey Lance, that team would be

499
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: scary right now with Garoppolo is not, especially with the

500
00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: years they have that even the side. Fox Sports Radio

501
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch

502
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,600
Speaker 1: all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com

503
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:48,800
Speaker 1: and within the I Heart Radio app search f s

504
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 1: R to listen live. There's a couple of games this

505
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,240
Speaker 1: week where the injuries it's like, I can't bet this

506
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:55,920
Speaker 1: until you know Sunday. I can't put it in a

507
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: contest because I don't know who's gonna go For the Niners,

508
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: I mean after after literally the half of their team

509
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:06,239
Speaker 1: is either inactive on the I r um or got

510
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 1: banged up against the Falcons by the end of last week.

511
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 1: It's brutal for them. But Kansas City, like, I don't know.

512
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 1: I thought they were good against the Bills Teddy and

513
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: they did lose their They didn't have Fenton and the

514
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:18,560
Speaker 1: rookie quarterback McDuffie was supposed to be back, he didn't return,

515
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 1: and they and Spagnolo left the young corners on islands

516
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:27,399
Speaker 1: against Digs and Davison gave up touchdowns. So I don't know,

517
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,560
Speaker 1: I didn't think it was a bad Chief's loss last week.

518
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,000
Speaker 1: I actually felt they were right in the game and

519
00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 1: I would bet them again. So, uh, I have Buffalo,

520
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 1: and it certainly and didn't feel like a right side.

521
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 1: But the way the Bills were able to fool Mahomes

522
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 1: on that last play, you know, And I was reading

523
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: this article, but like four years in the making, you know,

524
00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, they were so wired into that

525
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: team for that game. It was like I just had

526
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: to do it. I had to, you know. And Buffalo

527
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 1: being the road shock, it's like the markets are telling

528
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 1: you what the right side is in the game like that.

529
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,840
Speaker 1: Um So it's it almost reminds me a little of Tampa,

530
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 1: Casey from a few weeks back, where it was the

531
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: Super Bowl game and it was a Super Bowl rematch

532
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,160
Speaker 1: and you knew the Chiefs are gonna be the side

533
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,240
Speaker 1: and everybody wanted Tampa, Tampa, Tampa, and the Chiefs just

534
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 1: smacked them. They they look like they've been looking at

535
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 1: that game for over two years. Sure, and and and

536
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 1: a and a well coached team. Looks like there aren't

537
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 1: that many coaches that are at the caliber Andy Reid.

538
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 1: You know, I mean like of dislike it as a

539
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: person from a point spread standpoint, he's fairly unique. You know,

540
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 1: he's been good the whole way. You know, Pete Carroll's

541
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: had his ups and down. You know, Carrol's been pretty

542
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:45,920
Speaker 1: good again this year. He has been pretty good. Uh

543
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,360
Speaker 1: but you know the some of the some of the

544
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:53,400
Speaker 1: coaching legends you you respect, I respect anyway, Um, not

545
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 1: in every role, not every week. Like I said, we're

546
00:29:56,480 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 1: not politicians. Were supposed to have our opinions fluctuate at times,

547
00:30:00,320 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 1: but um, it's it's not. It's not unusual to find

548
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 1: me looking for reasons to support the Andy Reid in

549
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 1: a big game. Last week just wasn't one. Teddy. Let

550
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 1: me ask you about one of the you know, most

551
00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 1: impressive slash lucky teams, the New York Giants five and one,

552
00:30:16,600 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 1: and they are road dogs against two and four Jacksonville,

553
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 1: And that to me is the fishy line of the week.

554
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think particularly much of the Giants,

555
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 1: but I also don't know what I'm getting with the

556
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jags week after week. I had them last week

557
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:32,360
Speaker 1: in the contest. If they give up that field goal

558
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 1: on the final drive of the Colts, I win, and

559
00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 1: they you know, they give up a touchdown pass in

560
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 1: the final twenty five seconds and kill me. They were

561
00:30:39,480 --> 00:30:42,480
Speaker 1: covering the entire game until that moment. I mean, teddy,

562
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: what are we to make of the Jags favored by

563
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:48,640
Speaker 1: three over the Giants? So this is this is something

564
00:30:48,920 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 1: maybe I can help and try to explaining the Benny markets.

565
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 1: You know, why is Denver favored over the Jets? Why

566
00:30:54,840 --> 00:30:59,800
Speaker 1: are the Jags favorite over the Giants? When it comes

567
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 1: to teams that had low preseason expectation, like both of

568
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 1: the New York teams, the markets unless they have Unless

569
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 1: those teams have a remarkable statistical profile, which neither one does.

570
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 1: You know, neither one is outgaining their opponents and just

571
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: crushing them every week. It's been you know, they'll call

572
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 1: it fluky kind of wins. You know, in theory, sure

573
00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 1: of the g Man have had their chair of flukey wins.

574
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:29,280
Speaker 1: Um The markets don't really start the broader betting markets,

575
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 1: meaning the sharp money, meaning the guys that actually moved

576
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,360
Speaker 1: the lines and set the lines and all of that.

577
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 1: They don't really respect those teams all that much. They

578
00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 1: expect the reversion to the mean. You know, the Giants

579
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 1: were a seven win team line the preseason. The Jets,

580
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: I think we're six and a half. Neither one is

581
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: even you know, approaching five hundred. They weren't even eight

582
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 1: win teams or eight and a half win teams. So

583
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: so to see that both teams get off the hot starts,

584
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 1: the markets aren't very high on either team. The casual better,

585
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 1: the recreational better loves teams and you know, hey man,

586
00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 1: look at the records. Keep winning, you know, and this

587
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 1: is one area where the legitimately feel that casual betters.

588
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,239
Speaker 1: And this is one time year October I would say

589
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 1: October is the time for recreational better because they believe

590
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 1: what they see and the broader markets don't believe it.

591
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: Yet there's still like the Giants frauds there for a

592
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,200
Speaker 1: flash in the pan. You know, they'd be like Denver

593
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 1: last year where they started three and oh and uh

594
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:29,760
Speaker 1: you know, won five games, or Carolina started three and

595
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: oh last year. They're not believing any of these teams.

596
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,280
Speaker 1: That's why Atlanta keeps covering points breads I mean it's

597
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 1: it's so so that's why the line is where it is.

598
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,959
Speaker 1: When it comes to Jacksonville. The markets have no idea

599
00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: how to price this team. Okay, after the win against

600
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 1: the Chargers, the markets went not say, man, the Jacks

601
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 1: are good. It was all this money, Jacks to win

602
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 1: the division, Jacks to win the a f C. Look

603
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 1: at Trevor Lawrence. He figured it out. And then since

604
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:58,960
Speaker 1: that time, it's been one bad game after the next

605
00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 1: in different ways. They have been mental mistakes. They have

606
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: been you know, there's that awful home loss to Houston

607
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 1: where you know they couldn't figure out how to be

608
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 1: to cover two. I mean it was and then last week,

609
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:12,240
Speaker 1: you know, and both in both of those games, that

610
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:17,320
Speaker 1: game and the game last week in bad defensive penalties

611
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: on key drives in the fourth quarter to keep them alive.

612
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,000
Speaker 1: That's how Houston scored the go ahead touchdown. Wasn't a

613
00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: drive like that. It was the same thing last week.

614
00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,080
Speaker 1: Jack's take it out of their own way right now. Uh,

615
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 1: I'm not laying three, but the wise guys are I

616
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: can only take in this game. And that's why this

617
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:39,000
Speaker 1: time of year, in particular, you know, you see sometimes

618
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:41,440
Speaker 1: the Books gets clocked in the nose. They had bad

619
00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,040
Speaker 1: weekends each of the first two weekends of October. Last

620
00:33:44,080 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 1: weekend they did really well because, as you said, all

621
00:33:46,120 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: those random things happened. But the first two weekends of

622
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 1: this month, you know, the books did not have good weeks.

623
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:54,040
Speaker 1: They were paying out parlay betters, they were paying out

624
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: to user betters, they were paying out Joe's more than pros. Yeah,

625
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 1: it's it's we're really word I mean, it's tough when

626
00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 1: we're I'm like, well, I look at the boardom like, Gosha,

627
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:05,160
Speaker 1: you gotta pick five games in the contest. I'm like,

628
00:34:05,200 --> 00:34:08,120
Speaker 1: I don't love five games. I don't see five for sure.

629
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:10,960
Speaker 1: And you know, one of the games that I'm really

630
00:34:11,040 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 1: torn on. And again it's like the Bengals laying a

631
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,640
Speaker 1: big number six. Now it looks like six and a

632
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 1: half against the Falcons. Like I thought the Bengals were

633
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,200
Speaker 1: gonna revert a little bit to the mean bad coach

634
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:27,040
Speaker 1: uh you know, played incredible and got a little luck

635
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 1: on their side in the playoffs. Teddy, I think I

636
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:35,839
Speaker 1: gotta take the Bengals this week. Right. So there's there's

637
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 1: two things I want to talk about. There one is

638
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:41,719
Speaker 1: contest strategy, all right, A lot of times you can't

639
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:44,480
Speaker 1: find the fifth game. All right, what you want to

640
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 1: do in that situation, you take the free space, all right.

641
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:50,719
Speaker 1: You take the game that's priced around a key number

642
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,880
Speaker 1: where the number is moved. Whether you have an opinion

643
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:54,360
Speaker 1: on that game or not. Hey, the lines two and

644
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 1: a half and I'm getting a plus three. You know

645
00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:58,840
Speaker 1: that we were called it for you know. Uh. And

646
00:34:59,000 --> 00:35:00,960
Speaker 1: that's what you do with that asked game is you

647
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 1: take the best of the number in the contest where

648
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 1: the markets have said that that number it should be different. Now,

649
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,400
Speaker 1: so yeah, often times around two and a half, three

650
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 1: and a half, six and a half, seven and a

651
00:35:11,600 --> 00:35:16,880
Speaker 1: half the key numbers. When it comes to Atlanta, I mean,

652
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 1: the Falcons showed us week one that they were no joke,

653
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,799
Speaker 1: all right. They came out and looked solid week one

654
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:25,400
Speaker 1: and no one paid any attention. And they look solid.

655
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,160
Speaker 1: It was week two the we Week two they rallied

656
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 1: from behind that the one in La where they round

657
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 1: twenty three or was that later? Yeah, they had too

658
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 1: lucky backdoor covers. But they weren't lucky. They weren't lucky

659
00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 1: because they kept on. They were look, I watch every game,

660
00:35:39,760 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 1: you understand. I watched every game. The Falcons were not

661
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: lucky in either game. Both games. They fought. They fought hard,

662
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,400
Speaker 1: and they fought when they were trailing twenty three and

663
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: twenty one and nothing, and that's how they covered points. Bread.

664
00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 1: Some teams tucked tail. Atlanta fought, and we'll give me

665
00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 1: on both sides of the ball. They fought. And I

666
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:04,440
Speaker 1: think Arthur Smith's genius right now, all right, I got

667
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 1: nothing but respect for that man. And every quote that

668
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,319
Speaker 1: I see out of that locker room talks about how

669
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 1: they think their coach is smart. They think their coach

670
00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:14,160
Speaker 1: is smarter than the other coach, and they like their

671
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: game plans. So Atlanta six and O against the spread.

672
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: They're never on national TV. Nobody's talking about them. They

673
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 1: haven't pulled off enough upsets. They're absolutely a team that

674
00:36:25,120 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 1: has held their value and they may well hold it

675
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: moving forward. So you can take Sinsey if you want.

676
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:32,760
Speaker 1: But since you I remember, they were in this nail

677
00:36:32,880 --> 00:36:36,360
Speaker 1: fighter against Baltimore, right and they lost and uh, and

678
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:38,320
Speaker 1: then the next week they come back and they're this

679
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:41,040
Speaker 1: nail bighter. Man. They used everything you saw that game

680
00:36:41,160 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 1: last week. Ainst they fought with everything they had in

681
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 1: the tank and used every bit of energy and just

682
00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,400
Speaker 1: beat the Saints. And yeah, you can lay six and

683
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,280
Speaker 1: a half of them here. I'll be on their side.

684
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 1: You're definitely. Yeah. It's it's interesting because you know, you

685
00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 1: look at the injury report and it looks like their

686
00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,520
Speaker 1: secondaries kind of beat up down. Dean PE's has done

687
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,560
Speaker 1: a great job defensive coordinator this year. But I don't

688
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 1: know about going into a match up against the Bengals

689
00:37:05,040 --> 00:37:07,800
Speaker 1: without your top two quarterbacks. I gotta check on A. J. Torell.

690
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:10,120
Speaker 1: But you know, you look at last week, the Saints

691
00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: didn't have Lattimore and it burned him on the end.

692
00:37:12,640 --> 00:37:14,480
Speaker 1: I would, luckily on the Saints. I'm sorry. I was

693
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,799
Speaker 1: on the Bengals and Chase takes that long past sixty

694
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 1: yards for the game winner and the cover. But I

695
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:21,440
Speaker 1: don't know, I'm where are you on the second on

696
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 1: injury reports in the secondary? You know, it burned me

697
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 1: with the Steelers and it paid off with the Saints

698
00:37:26,520 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 1: fading them. I'm interested in I'm interested in paying attention absolutely.

699
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 1: You know. Um that said, you know there are many

700
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 1: times where it's more schematic than player related. And it's

701
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 1: more spot related than player related. If a team is

702
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 1: devastated at a key injury position like and for me,

703
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,520
Speaker 1: the most most key injury position, you're talking about offensive line,

704
00:37:53,840 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 1: defensive line, secondary, one too three, all right, you know, um,

705
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 1: probably in that ord. You know, Uh, if a team

706
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:06,359
Speaker 1: is devastated, they've lost everyone. Yeah, that's either you're either

707
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 1: gonna bet against that team. Are you gonna bet the

708
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 1: under if it's the offtive line or you know you're

709
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 1: gonna bet the over if it's the defensive liner. Bet

710
00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 1: against that team. I mean, every time until proven wrong. Um, what,

711
00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 1: I haven't looked at the Atlanta injury report this week

712
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,239
Speaker 1: to make it it doesn't. Haven't looked as bad to me,

713
00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: I guess as it did to you. No, no, no, no, no,

714
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,680
Speaker 1: nobody's out yet. You know they're not out? Yeah, Heyward

715
00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:33,040
Speaker 1: and um and Terrell left the game against the Niners,

716
00:38:33,680 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 1: and I think one out of concussion. I haven't checked

717
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 1: it yet today and we record this on Thursday. Um,

718
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:42,360
Speaker 1: But injuries also, I mean, you know it's tough because

719
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:45,000
Speaker 1: you know, make a Fitzpatrick sits out, you're like, oh jeesus,

720
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:47,839
Speaker 1: the second best defensive player in Pittsburgh after what how

721
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: are they going to stop the Bucks? Bucks receivers are

722
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 1: healthy and they stopped the Bucks. It's just it's that's

723
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:56,320
Speaker 1: why I love this so much, because it's so freaking difficult.

724
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: I want to move to a game. Um My New

725
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 1: York Jets have been a long time I'm Jets fan.

726
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:03,480
Speaker 1: About a decade of futility in the wilderness since Mark

727
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 1: has left or they Mark since has failed? Um, where

728
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 1: are you on? Jets? Broncos? Crazy line movement? As I

729
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 1: look at it right now, it's down to pick them, Teddy.

730
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:16,440
Speaker 1: I saw uh an article that said this summer when

731
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 1: they were hanging lines for every week, Denver was a

732
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,480
Speaker 1: seven point favorite against the Jets in this spot, it's

733
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:25,480
Speaker 1: now down to pick them a little bit of what

734
00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:29,879
Speaker 1: over reaction or no? Let do you have the summer lines? Yeah?

735
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:33,200
Speaker 1: I got somewhere on my desk. Let me here you go,

736
00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:35,759
Speaker 1: because technically, you know, probos are two and four, but

737
00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:38,400
Speaker 1: in net yards per play their fourth in the league.

738
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,520
Speaker 1: Have the openers right here? Which weeks? Oh, darnith, last

739
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 1: year's I was stupid, gad, I like, there it is,

740
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:52,800
Speaker 1: I know I haven't here back and let's shoot I

741
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 1: don't want to. I don't want to keep you bottom line.

742
00:39:55,080 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: I mean, is this too big of a move from

743
00:39:57,040 --> 00:39:59,840
Speaker 1: what we thought of the Broncos potential Super Bowl contenders,

744
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:02,399
Speaker 1: they might win the division? Russell Wilson blah blah blah.

745
00:40:05,520 --> 00:40:08,320
Speaker 1: So I believe in the Jets just and making me

746
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 1: money right now? Yes? Um, so you're saying you're a

747
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 1: just fan for Cheney. I was a fan area right,

748
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 1: So I'm Mets, Jets, Nixon Rangers. My brother got to

749
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 1: enjoy that the champ my older brother got to enjoy

750
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:25,600
Speaker 1: the championships when when when I was too little to

751
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,560
Speaker 1: remember any of them, and I got decades of utility,

752
00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:31,080
Speaker 1: you know, ended by I got a title in eighty

753
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 1: six with the Mets, and that was pretty much it

754
00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:36,640
Speaker 1: from my entire fandom, which is maybe how he became

755
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 1: a black heart and started betting against the teams that

756
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:45,040
Speaker 1: I used to love. Um, so, you know, there's nothing

757
00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 1: my misery, nothing but misery. Zach Zack Wilson's coming for Flacco.

758
00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 1: You know, there're three, you know, but it's kind of

759
00:40:51,000 --> 00:40:53,319
Speaker 1: a deceptive three, you know, Teddy, because you know Zack

760
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:55,600
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson. After that Pittsburgh game when he had that

761
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:59,359
Speaker 1: really ugly turnover right before the half slid. Clearly doesn't

762
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 1: trust him. He's barely throwing the football, everything safe, nothing

763
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: down the field. I think they're a little smoking mirrors

764
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,880
Speaker 1: involved here in this fourm to start for sure. I

765
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,920
Speaker 1: mean the offense in there yet, okay, it's not. But

766
00:41:14,080 --> 00:41:18,759
Speaker 1: the defense is. They blew up the line of scrimmage

767
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 1: on every play last week? Did you see that? Oh yeah,

768
00:41:22,280 --> 00:41:25,359
Speaker 1: Quinny Williams. And and why won't they do that in Denver?

769
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:29,359
Speaker 1: You know, yes, you know you talked about the line

770
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,120
Speaker 1: when the line was coming. Because Russell Wilson's hurt. You know,

771
00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 1: that's why the money's coming. You know, that's all age related.

772
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:38,200
Speaker 1: That's sharp money coming. But but again, let me let

773
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:41,720
Speaker 1: me ask Titty. So Russell Wilson hurt, he's he's at practice,

774
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:46,439
Speaker 1: he's a little limited. He it's a hamstring. If he's

775
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 1: really hurt, shouldn't it move more than a point in

776
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:51,680
Speaker 1: a half? It was three, and that it was three okay?

777
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 1: And half? Okay, you know with seven over the summer,

778
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:57,800
Speaker 1: but the summer lines again, it's all based on press

779
00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:00,000
Speaker 1: and expectations, and the Jets are way better than pretty

780
00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 1: the expectations and Denver is way worse than preasons and

781
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,279
Speaker 1: every day and certainly at least on one side of

782
00:42:04,320 --> 00:42:07,279
Speaker 1: the football. Uh. You know, the the the issue here

783
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,799
Speaker 1: is the Brock defense is better than anything that Jets

784
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 1: have seen all year. Uh, and that could that could

785
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: be a problem here another game where you know, you know,

786
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 1: telling those betting sides in these teames, you know Denver

787
00:42:20,680 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: is an under machine. UM, and that Jets defense, I

788
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:27,759
Speaker 1: think it's very real, um where the touchdowns coming. And

789
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,160
Speaker 1: this gave the lowest total on the board for a reason. Yeah,

790
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:34,040
Speaker 1: I saw, I saw a stat speaking of low totals.

791
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,680
Speaker 1: We can wrap up on this, Teddy UM. Last week

792
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:40,680
Speaker 1: there were three games I think that had that finished

793
00:42:40,680 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 1: with more than forty five points, which is the fewest

794
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 1: in a week in like nineteen years or something. O'b

795
00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:48,200
Speaker 1: scene like that. And just I mean unders are cashing

796
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 1: at a crazy clip. Primetime unders have been automatic. What

797
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,120
Speaker 1: do you think this is the one big thing that

798
00:42:54,200 --> 00:42:57,440
Speaker 1: can be attributed to this? So remember okay, so we're

799
00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:01,839
Speaker 1: speaking now, right, and if you take all of these

800
00:43:01,920 --> 00:43:04,440
Speaker 1: numbers and you just instead of looking back project forward,

801
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 1: you're not gonna see the same results. All right, you're

802
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 1: not gonna see the next however, many prime time unders,

803
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 1: they're not gonna hit its sixty percent clip. You're not

804
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:14,400
Speaker 1: seeing unders for the rest of the year hit at

805
00:43:14,400 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 1: the sixt It's not gonna happen because the markets haven't

806
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 1: flow with it. The time to bed unders is common

807
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:21,800
Speaker 1: and and I think it's probably gone, you know, blindly,

808
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,720
Speaker 1: bed Onders, you made a fortunate so far this season,

809
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 1: but moving forward, the totals are where they should be.

810
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: You know, Um, we have defenses that are making adjustments,

811
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:34,040
Speaker 1: and we have offenses that many of whom are are

812
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,879
Speaker 1: lacking elite level quarterback play. You know, you put those

813
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 1: two factors together and scores a little bit down. But

814
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 1: I don't think that it's a uh this incredible Harvard

815
00:43:43,160 --> 00:43:44,480
Speaker 1: ure of things to come. I don't think that the

816
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 1: nature of the professional football is changing, uh. And I

817
00:43:48,560 --> 00:43:50,640
Speaker 1: think that at the end of the season the numbers

818
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 1: will be closer to fifty than they are right now.

819
00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:56,080
Speaker 1: All right, Teddy, Uh So the audience wants to know,

820
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,920
Speaker 1: he Teddy, I can only bet one side this weekend,

821
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,279
Speaker 1: only one. My wife will only let me be one side,

822
00:44:02,320 --> 00:44:05,279
Speaker 1: not me, obviously, but the audience Um, where would you

823
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:09,840
Speaker 1: look because there's a lot of divisional matchups here. Um, alright,

824
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 1: what about your raiders out there is seven point favorites

825
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:16,960
Speaker 1: for some reason over the Texas Um, Green Bay Packers

826
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 1: on the road. It's markets moving there towards the Washington Commandos.

827
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 1: Oh I would Those are games you talked about two

828
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: games that I will not bet. I got zero betting

829
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:30,279
Speaker 1: opinion on either one of them. And you know, and

830
00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:32,680
Speaker 1: that's you know, you talk about what the biggest edges

831
00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,759
Speaker 1: that better has over a bookmaker, and this is a

832
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:38,800
Speaker 1: years in Vegas. There is the single biggest edge we have.

833
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 1: They gotta put up numbers for every single game side

834
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:44,440
Speaker 1: total first half. All we gotta do is pick a

835
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:47,520
Speaker 1: couple that we like. You know, I'm not a guy

836
00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 1: that peppers the board. Um. That being said, Casey, a

837
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 1: less than a field goal in San Francisco stands out

838
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,080
Speaker 1: to me like the short thumb. Again, I watched this

839
00:44:56,160 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, all right, you know Casey my mahomes better

840
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 1: than Jimmy g Um minus tune alf is. Yeah. Well,

841
00:45:06,840 --> 00:45:09,359
Speaker 1: I like Casey as well. But what if I said, well,

842
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 1: the only guy missing from the Super Bowl the most

843
00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:13,400
Speaker 1: integral is the guy who flipped the game on that

844
00:45:13,520 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 1: third and long Tyreek Hill. They don't have a game

845
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 1: breaker like that. They're not as explosive as they were

846
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 1: with Tyreek. The counter to that would be, the counter

847
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:27,920
Speaker 1: with that would be, it's not like Casey lacks playmakers.

848
00:45:28,640 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 1: It's not like Mahomes doesn't have options on third and long.

849
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:35,960
Speaker 1: Even if they aren't names that are household names like

850
00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:39,880
Speaker 1: the superstar they once had. Yeah, I mean I did

851
00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:42,880
Speaker 1: bet Casey. I'm with you. Um, hopefully it did well.

852
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:44,440
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if because the other way, I think

853
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,400
Speaker 1: I got the better quarterback, the better coach. Um, So

854
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 1: it's good. We're in lockstep. Teddy. Thanks a lot, Teddy.

855
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:52,759
Speaker 1: Where can the audience find your stuff besides social media? Yeah?

856
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 1: You follow me on Twitter at Teddy understore Covers, and

857
00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:58,440
Speaker 1: you visit the website and wager talk dot com. Yeah,

858
00:45:58,480 --> 00:45:59,920
Speaker 1: all right, keep up the good work man, thanks for

859
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:05,319
Speaker 1: taking the times. Good luck. The only thing better than

860
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:09,520
Speaker 1: sitting on your couch watching the gag. He's making money

861
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 1: while he's doing. Here's your best bat good stuff from

862
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: the Teddy Francy a k A. Teddy Covers, longtime gambler.

863
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:22,239
Speaker 1: Hopefully he'll help you sift through the Week seven card,

864
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:25,279
Speaker 1: because folks, I gotta be honest with you. I don't

865
00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 1: love anything here except the Patriots. That's the only one.

866
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:29,520
Speaker 1: I've laid the lumber too, and I keep it real

867
00:46:29,560 --> 00:46:31,920
Speaker 1: with you guys. I say when I say that the

868
00:46:32,200 --> 00:46:35,320
Speaker 1: Falcons are my biggest better the season against the Seahawks

869
00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 1: a few weeks back, that was true. I have not

870
00:46:38,840 --> 00:46:41,320
Speaker 1: unloaded since then, and I'm talking to unload like a

871
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 1: big play, like you know, one of those. Your wife

872
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:47,880
Speaker 1: might not be happy if she hears it. Um, But

873
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:50,320
Speaker 1: I felt confident in that I love the handicap. I

874
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,719
Speaker 1: felt great. I look at this week's four, I don't

875
00:46:52,800 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 1: I don't love anything. You know. I got the Patriots.

876
00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:58,120
Speaker 1: I have a little bit on the Browns just because

877
00:46:58,120 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 1: I think it's a divisional matchup and that number is

878
00:46:59,719 --> 00:47:01,560
Speaker 1: two big. But I don't have a ton of confidence

879
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,520
Speaker 1: in the Browns. They can't stop anybody, and some of

880
00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 1: the advanced metrics really like the Ravens, but they keep

881
00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:10,760
Speaker 1: blowing games. Um. One of my theories is that Lamar

882
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:13,040
Speaker 1: Jackson is so worn down in the fourth quarter from

883
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 1: carrying that team, which is not good offensively, especially without Bateman,

884
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 1: their only wide receiver that by the fourth quarter he's

885
00:47:20,680 --> 00:47:23,120
Speaker 1: so worn down when he started turning the ball over,

886
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:26,000
Speaker 1: getting sloppy. And that happened against the Giants for sure,

887
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:29,839
Speaker 1: just two really bad plays, uncharacteristic after three good quarters

888
00:47:29,880 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 1: from lamar Um. So I have a little bit on

889
00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 1: the Browns. I took a nibble of the Commanders at five,

890
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 1: but that number is gone. I can't tell you to

891
00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:41,759
Speaker 1: go put your after tax dollars on Taylor Heineke like

892
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 1: that is a very tough sell. Washington. Listen. I know

893
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 1: they beat the Bears, but what does that mean? What

894
00:47:47,960 --> 00:47:50,040
Speaker 1: is that? What's out worth? That sound worth? Jack squat?

895
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:53,160
Speaker 1: I do have the Bengals. I feel like I like that,

896
00:47:53,280 --> 00:47:56,080
Speaker 1: But again, we're talking about a team last year, the

897
00:47:56,160 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals, that were underdogs and I think fifteen of

898
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 1: seventeen games and now there are rules are reversed and

899
00:48:02,520 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 1: their favored in almost every game. Why because they went

900
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl? Are they that good? I don't know.

901
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:11,359
Speaker 1: They're twelve and two against the spread in their last

902
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 1: four team, but how many of those were as an underdog.

903
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 1: Now now you're giving six to a team that has

904
00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:21,040
Speaker 1: covered everything Um, I would wait to see what's up

905
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:26,000
Speaker 1: with the Falcons defense, especially a secondary. Their backup corners

906
00:48:26,040 --> 00:48:29,240
Speaker 1: against Chase Higgins and Boyd is bad news. But I'm

907
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,239
Speaker 1: probably gonna put the Bengals in the contest. I like

908
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions coming off a bye playing indoors on

909
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:40,400
Speaker 1: a fast track. UM. Regular guests on this podcast Bernie Fratto,

910
00:48:40,840 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 1: You guys know, he's another Vegas guy. We we were

911
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,920
Speaker 1: talking and he said that he likes the Lions as

912
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,560
Speaker 1: one of his best picks, and some of his reasoning

913
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:56,880
Speaker 1: is DAC as a home favorite VERSEUS, a non divisional

914
00:48:56,920 --> 00:49:00,799
Speaker 1: foe seven and seventeen against spread. Yeah, he beats up

915
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 1: on the Giants and Washington and these Tomato Cans, but

916
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:08,520
Speaker 1: a non division foe huh. And it's his first game back,

917
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 1: so there could be a rust element for dec. I

918
00:49:11,800 --> 00:49:13,759
Speaker 1: don't know. I just like the Lions to keep it close.

919
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 1: It's weird. I don't like this Lions team as much

920
00:49:16,640 --> 00:49:21,240
Speaker 1: as everyone else. I think that if they get Swift

921
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,799
Speaker 1: and st amaras st Brown back, the weapons will be there,

922
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:26,719
Speaker 1: that the back door will be open. Of course, the

923
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,160
Speaker 1: pressure Dallas number one in the league in pressure rate.

924
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:32,680
Speaker 1: You know, listen. That scares me with golf. But there

925
00:49:32,719 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 1: should be a healthy Lions offensive line, right, so I

926
00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:38,080
Speaker 1: think the Lions are gonna be a play. But then

927
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: you look down and you're like, wait, is that Jason

928
00:49:40,719 --> 00:49:45,839
Speaker 1: You are putting money on Jared Goff on the road,

929
00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:51,560
Speaker 1: Jacoby were set against Baltimore, Taylor Heineke against Green Bay.

930
00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:53,680
Speaker 1: And then when you start saying it out loud, you're like, gosh,

931
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:58,120
Speaker 1: that's rough. And I don't know what I'm gonna do

932
00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 1: with this Jags Giants game. I feel like I need

933
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:04,879
Speaker 1: to need to have a side there, but I don't know. Um,

934
00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 1: I kind of want to take the Jags indie. I

935
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:09,720
Speaker 1: feel like I need to take them against the Titans.

936
00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 1: But again, divisional matchup, it's a coin flip. You know

937
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 1: this league? Half the league is a freaking coin flip.

938
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:17,800
Speaker 1: It's frustrating, man, I just don't love this week and

939
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:19,960
Speaker 1: you don't want to just go ahead and whiff on

940
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:21,320
Speaker 1: a lot of stuff and then all of a sudden

941
00:50:21,320 --> 00:50:23,600
Speaker 1: you're like, you know, down four or five figures, you

942
00:50:23,640 --> 00:50:26,759
Speaker 1: just don't because you're force and stuff. Um So that's

943
00:50:26,800 --> 00:50:29,160
Speaker 1: where I'm at this weekend, and it's not a great

944
00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:33,520
Speaker 1: weekend in college football, not a ton of good games,

945
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,360
Speaker 1: and so you combine kind of I don't know, mediocre

946
00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:41,440
Speaker 1: NFL slate. I mean, listen, I've definitely looked at the

947
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:45,720
Speaker 1: Jets as hard as possible. This Elijah More trade request

948
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:49,319
Speaker 1: not ideal. You know, you got a three game winning streak,

949
00:50:49,400 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 1: the team's all excited, everybody stoked, and now a guy

950
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 1: who's not getting the ball is like, trade me, and

951
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:57,800
Speaker 1: they're going to Denver a really good defense. Like I

952
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,200
Speaker 1: can see the Jets getting smacked and it's nine team

953
00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,920
Speaker 1: to six and they lose, or I was sorry, eighteen

954
00:51:02,960 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 1: to six because the Broncos, we know they won't score

955
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:06,120
Speaker 1: a touchdown. They'll just kick a bunch of field goals.

956
00:51:06,520 --> 00:51:08,680
Speaker 1: So it's it's listen, this is a really hard week.

957
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:12,560
Speaker 1: Don't force anything. I think survivors the automatic right, definitely

958
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:16,520
Speaker 1: going survivor in the Patriots, Um, I don't even know

959
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:18,319
Speaker 1: if I have a backup. I'm so locked in on them.

960
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 1: If they go down, I'll be out of both of

961
00:51:20,480 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 1: my leagues and that would suck. Um. Listen, everybody, have

962
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:29,440
Speaker 1: a great, phenomenal weekend, and we'll talk to you Monday.

963
00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 1: M