WEBVTT - NFL Week 7 Predictions: Raiders-Chiefs, Bucs-Lions, Commanders-Cowboys, Eagles-Vikings | Nick Wright 0:00:01.920 --> 0:00:05.400 Welcome in What Driving nick Wright Episode three eighty, our 0:00:05.559 --> 0:00:08.840 week seven gambling show. This episode of What Drymen nick 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:11.760 Wright has presented to you as always by our friends 0:00:11.800 --> 0:00:15.880 at boost Mobile, and a remindered all of you please like, rate, subscribe, 0:00:15.920 --> 0:00:17.959 and review to the pot. It really helps us out. 0:00:18.200 --> 0:00:22.160 And also a reminder, all lines are from hard Rock 0:00:22.280 --> 0:00:28.480 bet Demonsey. I've been telling you all year my picks 0:00:28.480 --> 0:00:34.440 have mirrred directly the chief season rocky start, then thought 0:00:34.520 --> 0:00:38.599 we found our footing, then a brief setback, and then 0:00:38.640 --> 0:00:42.280 in week six put the whole world on notice. The 0:00:42.479 --> 0:00:46.680 champs are back four and one last week to get 0:00:46.760 --> 0:00:50.879 to exactly five hundred on the season, just like the Chiefs, 0:00:50.920 --> 0:00:56.160 and really kind of five and one because we initially 0:00:56.320 --> 0:01:00.280 had in there Pittsburgh minus five and oh oh, you 0:01:00.320 --> 0:01:04.399 guys left that in. Oh so here's the thing that 0:01:04.560 --> 0:01:07.560 was not actually I mean, this graphic is fine if 0:01:07.600 --> 0:01:10.800 you remember, in the last minute we took out Pittsburgh 0:01:10.800 --> 0:01:13.800 minus five and a half and put in the Rams 0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:17.720 minus seven. So the Rams minus seven was our official pick. 0:01:18.160 --> 0:01:20.720 Both of them covered. We only get credit for one 0:01:20.720 --> 0:01:23.959 of them. We had Tampa minus three. I can't call 0:01:24.040 --> 0:01:25.880 that one never a doubter, but they did win by 0:01:25.880 --> 0:01:29.640 double digits. KC minus two that was never a doubter. 0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:33.720 Chicago plus four they won out right, and then Dallas 0:01:33.760 --> 0:01:37.560 minus three against Carolina had a chance but lost. So 0:01:38.959 --> 0:01:43.240 last week, if you remember Demons, it was and the 0:01:43.280 --> 0:01:46.840 reason we switched out Pittsburgh for the Rams, it was 0:01:47.200 --> 0:01:52.080 quarterbacks we trust against flawed teams or just quarterbacks we 0:01:52.200 --> 0:01:55.440 super super trust. Ye we didn't we I think it's 0:01:55.480 --> 0:01:58.640 the first time ever we've gone with four favorites and 0:01:58.880 --> 0:02:03.800 just one dog this week. Now that we have our footing, 0:02:04.560 --> 0:02:08.560 now that we're back to five hundred, we are going 0:02:08.720 --> 0:02:12.600 back to what has made this show if you check 0:02:12.639 --> 0:02:18.119 it year over year over year, the most consistent against 0:02:18.160 --> 0:02:24.200 the spread, free publicly available weekly gambling show for the NFL, 0:02:24.240 --> 0:02:30.360 there is we have one year we haven't made money, 0:02:30.680 --> 0:02:33.720 and that year it's because we count the big and 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:37.200 we finished five hundred. Every other year not only we 0:02:37.280 --> 0:02:41.520 finished above five hundred, but we have finished profitable and 0:02:41.680 --> 0:02:45.560 we're gonna continue that this year with some picks that 0:02:45.639 --> 0:02:49.160 I I'll be honest, are gonna be hard to stomach. 0:02:49.880 --> 0:02:52.720 We will get because we're gonna be betting on some 0:02:52.760 --> 0:02:55.400 bad teams this week. Guys, you can't just bet on 0:02:55.440 --> 0:02:59.040 the good teams, and so there's some bad teams we're 0:02:59.040 --> 0:03:02.240 betting on this week. And I think we're gonna have 0:03:02.480 --> 0:03:04.560 back to back four in one weeks. I can just 0:03:04.600 --> 0:03:07.040 feel it and have it for the first time all 0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:10.600 year be firmly above five hundred. It looks like it. 0:03:12.280 --> 0:03:14.720 Yeah, five five and is possible. 0:03:15.880 --> 0:03:17.960 I feel like this is a four and one week. 0:03:18.200 --> 0:03:22.280 And I say that because I don't the the I 0:03:22.320 --> 0:03:24.720 feel badly if we go four and one and someone 0:03:24.840 --> 0:03:27.239 did parlay the whole thing together and then they don't 0:03:27.280 --> 0:03:30.639 get they don't make any money again, no guarantees, don't 0:03:30.680 --> 0:03:33.240 gamble what you can't afford, all of that. But I 0:03:33.360 --> 0:03:38.280 feel really good about this week's slate, even though these 0:03:38.320 --> 0:03:41.640 are some grimy games we're getting into today's show. Bry 0:03:41.680 --> 0:03:44.119 The Way is brought to you by representing sponsor hard 0:03:44.200 --> 0:03:46.360 Rock Bet. If you love betting on sports, you just 0:03:46.400 --> 0:03:48.760 love sports and want to try betting, hard rock bet 0:03:48.840 --> 0:03:52.360 sportsbook app makes it simple plus packed with great insights 0:03:52.440 --> 0:03:55.360 and NonStop promos every day of the week. If you're 0:03:55.360 --> 0:03:57.920 already looking ahead to Sunday in Kansas City, hard Rock 0:03:57.960 --> 0:04:00.520 Bet stats up right there in the app. Here's what 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:03.640 the app show and you arrow ahead for you guys, 0:04:03.800 --> 0:04:06.320 know what an edge this is for the Chiefs when 0:04:06.360 --> 0:04:09.080 they're a favorite. They've won thirteen in a row at 0:04:09.120 --> 0:04:13.240 home as a favorite. They're massive favorites over the Raiders, 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:17.040 but they are on a six game streak of failing 0:04:17.160 --> 0:04:21.320 to cover against divisional teams. Will they snap it Sunday? 0:04:21.360 --> 0:04:23.920 We'll see if you need a little help from Kareem Hunt. 0:04:24.160 --> 0:04:28.040 He has scored a touchdown in five straight Week seven games. 0:04:28.520 --> 0:04:32.520 Xavier Worthy, he's on a four game touchdown streak in 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:36.200 Sunday games when the Chiefs are favorites. If you haven't 0:04:36.240 --> 0:04:38.120 tried your first bet on hard Rock Bet, there's still 0:04:38.200 --> 0:04:40.240 time for you to get one hundred three dollars in 0:04:40.279 --> 0:04:43.119 bonus bets if you win. Just place a five dollars 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.960 bet and if it hits, you get not only your winnings, 0:04:46.040 --> 0:04:48.600 but also an extra one hundred fifty dollars in bonus bets. 0:04:48.680 --> 0:04:51.599 New promos every day, so if you're listening to this later, 0:04:51.720 --> 0:04:54.279 open the app check out what they've got any day 0:04:54.720 --> 0:04:58.080 of the week. Download the hard Bet app today, take 0:04:58.120 --> 0:05:01.880 a look around and make your first deposit, payble and 0:05:02.000 --> 0:05:05.440 bonus bets, not a cash offer offered by the Seminal 0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:09.880 Tribe of Florida. In Florida offered by Seminal hard Rock 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:13.400 Digital LLC and all other states, must be twenty one 0:05:13.400 --> 0:05:18.039 plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 0:05:18.080 --> 0:05:21.919 New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:25.800 conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight 0:05:25.960 --> 0:05:28.760 eight to eight. Admit it. In Indiana. If you are 0:05:28.839 --> 0:05:31.160 someone you know as a gambling problem wants help, call 0:05:31.240 --> 0:05:34.200 one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called 0:05:34.200 --> 0:05:38.039 one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, 0:05:38.120 --> 0:05:42.279 Tennessee or Virginia. All right, DEMANSI let's get to the games. 0:05:42.560 --> 0:05:45.320 I'm not betting. I'll give you my leans on them, 0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:45.920 but go ahead. 0:05:46.920 --> 0:05:52.839 London game Rams versus Jacksonville. Jacksonville are three point underdogs. 0:05:53.160 --> 0:05:59.920 Yeah, I I think the Rams are going to win. However, 0:06:01.279 --> 0:06:07.920 Jacksonville being so familiar playing in London, the Rams taking 0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:11.080 the longest trip you can take in the NFL LA 0:06:11.160 --> 0:06:16.360 all the way to London plus the Puka Nakua uncertainty 0:06:16.400 --> 0:06:19.120 as we sit here recording it is enough for me 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:22.440 to not want to lay the three points. But if 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:25.200 I think the Rams are gonna win despite all that, 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:29.120 getting three is not quite enough so that to stay 0:06:29.160 --> 0:06:29.599 away from me. 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:32.880 Now they just did against the Ravens. I mean, yeah, 0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:36.320 you know that mighty game plans or whatever. Miami at Cleveland. 0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:38.279 Cleveland's two and a half point favorites. 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:43.640 Yeah, this is I mean, I think Dylan Gabriel's been really, 0:06:43.680 --> 0:06:49.200 really bad, but and so being able to go against 0:06:49.240 --> 0:06:54.040 Gabriel and get points would normally be something I would love. 0:06:54.800 --> 0:07:00.440 But Miami might be self emily, and I think that 0:07:00.800 --> 0:07:05.000 the fact that they all week had to address what 0:07:05.080 --> 0:07:07.960 their quarterback said at the podium, and then the quarterback 0:07:08.000 --> 0:07:11.280 had to I just think it's bad vibes in Miami, 0:07:11.960 --> 0:07:15.160 and so bad vibes with a one win team on 0:07:15.240 --> 0:07:19.280 one side of the ball, maybe the worst current starting 0:07:19.360 --> 0:07:21.440 quarterback with a one win team on the other side 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:25.560 of the ball. If I had to play aside in this, 0:07:25.800 --> 0:07:28.520 I would play Miami. I guess just because I'm getting 0:07:28.520 --> 0:07:31.720 the points, I don't have to play aside. I'll stay 0:07:31.760 --> 0:07:32.280 away from it. 0:07:33.080 --> 0:07:36.360 Oh, next you got New Orleans at Chicago, Chicago's four 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:37.320 and a half white favorites. 0:07:38.800 --> 0:07:41.920 I'm not yet ready to lay more than two and 0:07:41.960 --> 0:07:45.720 a half points with Caleb and the Bears. I don't 0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:48.360 think they It was a great win for them, and 0:07:48.400 --> 0:07:53.559 they need to continue that momentum. But New Orleans, even 0:07:53.600 --> 0:07:57.440 with just one win, has been just frisky enough and 0:07:57.600 --> 0:08:02.640 Rattler's been just good enough that I don't feel comfortable. 0:08:02.640 --> 0:08:07.280 I don't feel like the Bears have earned being four 0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:11.440 and a half point favorites yet against you know, I 0:08:11.480 --> 0:08:14.239 know New Orleans one of the worst teams, but they're 0:08:14.320 --> 0:08:19.520 a dangerous one four and and so I think that 0:08:19.840 --> 0:08:24.280 is I think that is a fair stance that maybe 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:29.200 I should just go with New Orleans. I want to 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:32.240 see because there were a lot of things the Bears 0:08:32.240 --> 0:08:35.360 did really well Monday night that they hadn't been doing well, 0:08:35.400 --> 0:08:38.560 most notably run defense and running the ball. Was that 0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:40.960 a single game thing or was that an out of 0:08:41.000 --> 0:08:44.640 the buy this team improved on those things area. If 0:08:44.679 --> 0:08:47.679 that's the case, then I think they could cover the number. 0:08:47.760 --> 0:08:48.720 I'll just stay away. 0:08:50.040 --> 0:08:53.160 Next, You've got Philly at Minnesota, Minnesota's one and a 0:08:53.160 --> 0:08:56.560 half point Dogs. 0:08:57.559 --> 0:09:01.440 Feels like a bit of a trap. It feels like 0:09:01.520 --> 0:09:06.720 they are begging you, daring you even to bet Philly. 0:09:07.840 --> 0:09:11.000 Philly's lost to in a row, the Vikings are on 0:09:11.080 --> 0:09:15.800 a backup quarterback, Philly needs the game, Philly is on 0:09:16.200 --> 0:09:21.599 extra rest, and Philly is only a point and a 0:09:21.640 --> 0:09:27.880 half favorite. That is fishy to me. I'm stay maybe 0:09:28.800 --> 0:09:30.560 and maybe it is. The thing is you could be 0:09:30.640 --> 0:09:35.240 imploding and still potentially beat Carson Wentz like and so 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:40.240 it just it is. That's just a stay away from me, 0:09:40.360 --> 0:09:44.400 because it feels like they're they're begging you to bet Philly. 0:09:44.679 --> 0:09:48.720 Next of Vegas at Kansas City, Kansas City's twelve point 0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:51.120 favorites too many points. 0:09:51.559 --> 0:09:54.800 Too many points. But I'm also but I'm also not 0:09:54.960 --> 0:10:00.680 betting on the Raiders. Like this absolutely could be thirty 0:10:00.720 --> 0:10:06.840 one to ten. It also could be a really annoying Raiders. 0:10:06.880 --> 0:10:08.520 I feel like always kind of play the Chiefs a 0:10:08.520 --> 0:10:13.280 little closet they have the last few years, even if 0:10:13.280 --> 0:10:14.199 they've been terrible. 0:10:14.240 --> 0:10:17.880 They obviously beat them on Christmas. Antonio Pierce then talked 0:10:17.880 --> 0:10:21.120 about how they had the blueprint. Antonio Pierce last scene 0:10:21.200 --> 0:10:26.480 wearing Chiefs paraphernalia at the Chiefs training camp practices. He is, 0:10:26.800 --> 0:10:29.480 you know, no longer the head coach of the Raiders. 0:10:29.559 --> 0:10:32.600 Just too many points. I've watched the Chiefs last few 0:10:32.640 --> 0:10:36.480 years not cover these double digit spreads. But I'm not 0:10:36.600 --> 0:10:38.839 betting on the Raiders, so it's staying away. 0:10:39.640 --> 0:10:42.720 We got India at the Chargers. Chargers two point favorites. 0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:47.520 I like Indi in this spot. I almost included them 0:10:47.520 --> 0:10:52.480 on my picks because they're getting points and I think 0:10:52.520 --> 0:11:02.160 they're the better team. I there is an element of 0:11:05.040 --> 0:11:11.360 can that Chargers defense disrupt Daniel Jones That concerns me, 0:11:11.840 --> 0:11:16.520 and it concerned me just enough to stay away from 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:19.400 this game. But I do think Indy is the right 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:20.079 side of it. 0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:23.760 Next, you got Washington at Dallas. Dallas one and a 0:11:23.800 --> 0:11:24.600 half point dogs. 0:11:26.080 --> 0:11:29.000 Dalla's very very difficult team to gamble on right now 0:11:29.600 --> 0:11:34.679 because they're just going to hang with anybody and let 0:11:34.720 --> 0:11:37.680 anybody hang with them. The offense is that good and 0:11:37.720 --> 0:11:42.880 the defense is that bad. So I and Washington. I'm 0:11:42.960 --> 0:11:46.800 worried about Jaden coming out of Monday night a little 0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:50.120 banged up and it just took a lot of hits. 0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:54.240 I lean Washington, but that's a stay away. 0:11:54.320 --> 0:11:58.320 Next, Green Bay at Arizona Arizona six and a half 0:11:58.360 --> 0:12:05.120 point dogs. Yeah, well green Bay green Bay is not 0:12:05.160 --> 0:12:05.640 covering that. 0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:12.360 I don't think. I just yeah, I'd take Arizona points. 0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:16.880 What's the I just don't know what's going on with 0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:21.520 Kyler after missing last week. So that's the you know, 0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:23.120 and this is one of the you know, we do 0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:26.600 this on Thursday. Is there? I don't know what the 0:12:26.640 --> 0:12:31.480 news is on that. I also think that there is 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:38.720 there are too many red flags right now with Green 0:12:38.760 --> 0:12:41.800 Bay to lay a big number with them. But I 0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:45.679 don't feel comfortable about much of anything going on with 0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:50.280 the Cardinals, so I so I'm just gonna stay away. 0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:52.960 And then last one we're staying away from is the 0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:53.679 game of the week. 0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:57.600 Tampa Bay Detroit Detroit's five and a half point favorites. 0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.160 Man, it was hard. It was so hard to stay 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:06.120 away from Tampa Bay here, but it just felt like 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:12.160 fishy and Detroit is without Brian Branch. They're banged up. 0:13:12.520 --> 0:13:16.720 They just looked bad and they're laying five and a half. 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:20.200 I thought I when I saw I thought it'd be 0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:23.199 Detroit minus three, maybe three and a half. Five and 0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:27.400 a half's a lot Tampa go. 0:13:27.320 --> 0:13:31.360 Ahead, Baker's just lost everything. I wouldn't bet against Baker 0:13:31.400 --> 0:13:33.839 in this spot. I mean, he just keeps losing guys, 0:13:33.880 --> 0:13:36.960 and he keeps making it happen. But I do feel 0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:39.320 like this is if this is a spot where they're. 0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:41.720 Gonna get got. Like nobody's expecting Baker to win this game. 0:13:42.080 --> 0:13:48.200 If Detroit's desperate, Detroit has to have it, Tampa doesn't. 0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:50.680 I just don't want to go against him yet he's 0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:52.480 he's kept doing it, so. 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:55.640 He's kept doing it, and so I'm just I'm gonna 0:13:56.480 --> 0:14:01.600 enjoy watching this game. Ravens and Bills are and now 0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:05.760 we are getting to If last week was a week 0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:10.360 of me betting on good quarterbacks, this week is a 0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:14.840 week of me betting on some of the worst quarterbacks 0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:19.000 in the NFL. Let's go with the first pick, Demonse. 0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:22.200 All right, man, exercising that right already? You got Tennessee 0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:24.120 plus seven against New England. 0:14:25.600 --> 0:14:29.040 Listen, I promise I'd never bet on Tennessee again as 0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:32.880 long as Brian Callahan was the head coach. He's not 0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:38.000 the head coach. Seven points is too many, fired coach Bounce. 0:14:39.440 --> 0:14:46.000 Patriots coming off a couple really good wins, First place 0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:51.280 in the division, feeling great about themselves. It feels like 0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:56.960 a game that a young hasn't won anything. Team maybe 0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:01.760 could slip up and lose outright. It certainly feels like 0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:06.600 a game that is going to I think Vrabel is 0:15:06.600 --> 0:15:08.240 not going to be focused on Oh, I got to 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:10.760 blow these guys out to show them because they fired me. 0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.040 I think Vrabel is gonna coach a game of we 0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:20.000 just have to win. Teams who fire their coach go 0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:22.960 from terrible at covering. It's one of the reasons coach 0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.800 gets fired. So they cover basically half the time. New 0:15:26.880 --> 0:15:29.640 England's third straight game on the road. That's a bad 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:31.880 thing for them to have to deal with as far 0:15:31.920 --> 0:15:36.080 as covering. And it's just too many points. I'd love 0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.760 seven and a half all take seven in a game 0:15:40.240 --> 0:15:45.080 sneaky Upsettler for the Patriots, but I think the Titans 0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:48.640 keep it close. Ish Tennessee plus seven. 0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:52.479 Jets plus one and a half versus Carolina. 0:15:53.920 --> 0:16:06.960 Okay, so Bryce Young is one and seventeen straight up 0:16:07.520 --> 0:16:12.320 on the road, and he is a road favorite. Okay, 0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:21.120 the Jets are obviously awful. However, here is what I'm 0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:27.040 gonna tell you. This game opened Jets minus one and 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:31.880 a half, Jets is the favorite. It is now Jets 0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:44.440 plus one and a half, and my decades of gambling 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:50.600 led me to believe one thing. I can't explain it. 0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:55.720 I don't know why, but this is going to be 0:16:55.880 --> 0:17:02.080 a one point game, and folks that bet Carolina late 0:17:02.800 --> 0:17:05.440 and instead of getting them plus a point and a half, 0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:08.840 are laying a point and a half are going to lose. 0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:15.199 If you are going to bet the Carolina Panthers on 0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:19.400 the road and you are getting the worst line, a 0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:23.080 three point line movement, and you're still betting them, you're 0:17:23.160 --> 0:17:27.400 going to lose. I have no analysis to support this 0:17:27.560 --> 0:17:31.840 other than Carolina minus one and a half. Betters are 0:17:31.880 --> 0:17:35.360 going to lose this week because they didn't get Carolina 0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:38.600 plus one and a half, which means the only way 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.520 that tracks is if this is a one point game. 0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:44.479 I think this is a one point game. Twenty one 0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:49.720 point twenty seventeen sixteen. Something stupid happens in this game. 0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:53.000 It could be a missed extra point, it could be 0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:59.480 a safety. This is a pure The bad gamblers will 0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:03.359 get the bad number on this and lose. So I 0:18:03.400 --> 0:18:06.639 am taking the Jets plus one and a half. The 0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:10.200 other piece of it is this. If you're a Jets fan, 0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:14.600 if you don't win this week, when are you going 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:17.800 to win? I think that is a fair question, Like 0:18:17.920 --> 0:18:22.119 are you staring at Owen seventeen? Maybe I'll take the 0:18:22.200 --> 0:18:23.480 Jets plus one and a half. 0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.560 H next you got the Giants plus seven at Nitor. 0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:30.199 I like this one. 0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:37.240 This is another one that I feel like, sneaky Upsettlert 0:18:37.880 --> 0:18:43.000 Giants on extra rest. This is a big The Giants 0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:48.280 played Thursday, right, they played Thursday in a game they 0:18:48.280 --> 0:18:50.520 didn't even have to fly to or wait that game 0:18:50.560 --> 0:18:52.560 was that Met Life I don't even remember it was, 0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:58.000 but Philly, New York either. Okay, they played Thursday at home. 0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:04.600 Denver played so in London in London and they so 0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:10.840 there's that Denver's offense looked abhorrent in that game. The 0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:19.119 Giants are feeling good. The Giants can win this game outright. Oddly, 0:19:20.640 --> 0:19:28.320 light detector test, Brian Dable might trust or like his 0:19:28.560 --> 0:19:33.879 quarterback more than Sean Payton likes his. This isn't the 0:19:35.520 --> 0:19:38.640 bonitt or Jackson. Dart is not going to be afraid 0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:41.520 of this great Denver defense, even if he should be, 0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.960 which maybe will lead to some mistakes, but maybe some 0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:49.480 big plays. It's too many points. The Giants plus seven 0:19:49.600 --> 0:19:51.520 in a game they could win outright. 0:19:52.480 --> 0:19:56.800 Yeah, Atlanta plus plus two at San Francisco. 0:19:58.320 --> 0:20:02.440 Yeah, I the Niners have not played a football game 0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:08.560 missing both Bosa and Fred Warner in more than a 0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:16.720 half decade. I don't think the market understands or as 0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.320 factored in what Bijon is going to be able to 0:20:20.359 --> 0:20:25.439 do to a Niners defense without Fred Warner, and so 0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:30.159 I don't care if Perty's coming back. I think the 0:20:30.280 --> 0:20:33.560 Niners are about to have one of the worst defenses 0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:37.000 in football because it's going to take them a lot 0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:40.879 of time to adjust to not having Fred Warner. I 0:20:40.880 --> 0:20:47.040 think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright 0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:51.360 on Sunday Night football. And I think that Drake London 0:20:51.359 --> 0:20:54.320 can have a big game, Bijon can have a big game, 0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:59.520 and that Falcon secondary which is excellent with Purty potentially 0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:04.880 playing his first game back after missing a month. I 0:21:05.000 --> 0:21:08.600 love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team 0:21:08.640 --> 0:21:10.600 is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus. 0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:14.040 Two Seattle minus three versus Houston. 0:21:16.240 --> 0:21:21.040 Yeah, I think Seattle is a little underrated. They're four 0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:27.800 and two with a loss against the Niners a week 0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:30.439 one that they had a chance to win, and then 0:21:30.520 --> 0:21:33.960 a tough loss to Baker thirty eight thirty five. The 0:21:34.960 --> 0:21:39.040 d line's been good, Darnold's been excellent. Houston, on the 0:21:39.080 --> 0:21:43.239 other hand, I know they're coming off a bye. I 0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:46.120 still don't trust the Houston offense despite what they did 0:21:46.119 --> 0:21:55.000 to Baltimore. So I really really would prefer, obviously to 0:21:55.080 --> 0:21:58.600 be laying two and a half, but I'll swallow it 0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.600 and lay the full three. And it's the only favorite 0:22:01.640 --> 0:22:05.159 I'm going with this week. And so my five picks 0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:08.800 this week, I am rolling with Cam Ward and the 0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:13.240 Titans plus seven, Justin Fields and the Jets plus one 0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:17.639 and a half, Jackson Dart and the Giants plus seven, 0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:22.199 Michael Pinnox and the Falcons plus two, and then Sam 0:22:22.320 --> 0:22:27.000 Darnold and the Seahawks minus three. Listen, guys, if it 0:22:27.040 --> 0:22:29.879 were as simple as just bet on the great quarterbacks, 0:22:29.920 --> 0:22:33.280 everybody would make money. We did that one week to 0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:35.840 stable ourselves. It was the right week to do it, 0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:38.720 all right, real quick. 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Terms apply demons. 0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:11.160 I felt bad because I kind of jingsed your teaser. 0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:14.320 I gave you an A plus, I talked about how 0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:17.359 much I loved it. You had been four and one, 0:23:18.040 --> 0:23:19.920 and then not only did you not win it, but 0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:22.239 you didn't win it because my team cost it for 0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:26.600 you in a roundabout way. Last week you had Seattle 0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:30.920 plus nine against Jacksonville they win by eight, Chicago plus 0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:36.280 twelve against Washington they went outright, Detroit plus ten at 0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:41.359 Kansas City and the Chiefs blow out the or beat 0:23:41.440 --> 0:23:48.719 the by what they win by thirteen regardless. So all right, 0:23:48.760 --> 0:23:50.119 what are we looking at this week? 0:23:50.520 --> 0:23:51.040 It was rough? 0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:53.680 So this week we got another three team eight point 0:23:53.720 --> 0:23:57.159 teaser at plus one hundred, where teasing Tennessee up to 0:23:57.240 --> 0:24:00.960 plus fifteen, go ahead, and he's Indie up to plus ten. 0:24:01.880 --> 0:24:04.280 We we got the Giants, he's in the Giants up 0:24:04.359 --> 0:24:09.240 plus fifteen. Feeling this one of my bones, probably lost 0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:11.480 the last one five and two coming up. 0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:20.920 Ay in part, not so much because of key numbers, 0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:26.320 even though you do go through them, but because I 0:24:26.440 --> 0:24:29.280 liked the Titans and the Giants plus seven. Now they're 0:24:29.320 --> 0:24:32.880 plus fifteen, and then Indy I said, I thought could 0:24:32.880 --> 0:24:36.879 win outright, and now you're getting ten. So yeah, I 0:24:36.960 --> 0:24:38.879 like it a lot. I do feel like this is 0:24:38.880 --> 0:24:41.159 five and two. I feel like this is five and 0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:43.880 two Buddy five and the ship. 0:24:44.200 --> 0:24:46.119 I hope you guys are actually placing these bets out here. 0:24:46.160 --> 0:24:48.160 If you just bet your mortgages on these, you'll pay 0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:48.399 your No. 0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:52.239 No, let's not, let's not. Let's not. Let's not encourage that. 0:24:53.000 --> 0:24:57.359 The mortgage betting we shouldn't encourage. Let's just bet sensibly, 0:24:58.119 --> 0:24:59.680 just put it, you know what I mean. Just you're 0:24:59.720 --> 0:25:02.600 just little bit of entertainment, that's all. But it has 0:25:02.640 --> 0:25:06.240 been good. Well, you have been crushing all right, Go. 0:25:06.119 --> 0:25:09.600 Ahead, so last week the offer, Oh wait you do 0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:12.399 you've been picking your TD Genie. I think you're undefeated. 0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:16.400 On TV Genie so far Lifetime. Yeah, last last week 0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:19.800 you picked Xavier Worthy yet plus one twenty five and 0:25:19.880 --> 0:25:22.919 he hit what are there any standouts to you for 0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:23.359 this week? 0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:28.760 Staying away this week? No touchdown, gen I don't no 0:25:28.920 --> 0:25:30.040 touchdown Genie this week? 0:25:30.119 --> 0:25:32.760 Was it Kareem Hunt like the straight week sevens? 0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:36.320 Yeah, yeah, I don't. That's not that instructive to me. 0:25:36.880 --> 0:25:40.960 And I just I'm gonna stay away this week. Okay, 0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:44.680 I kind of wanted to do Rashi Rice, but I'm 0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:45.960 just staying away this week. 0:25:47.160 --> 0:25:49.960 That's a little bold, a little bold. 0:25:50.480 --> 0:25:55.960 And so yeah, we're just gonna we're not doing this week. 0:25:56.000 --> 0:25:57.840 We're staying away this week next. 0:25:58.080 --> 0:26:00.200 All right, So the offer fell short last week week 0:26:00.240 --> 0:26:03.080 with Micah and Rashaan Gary both have over a half 0:26:03.119 --> 0:26:06.560 sack plus two ten. So you were talking about how 0:26:06.640 --> 0:26:10.520 bad San Francisco's defense is and Bjeon Robinson's gonna be. 0:26:10.560 --> 0:26:11.160 Rolling through there. 0:26:11.200 --> 0:26:14.080 So we're gonna we're gonna look at Bijon over ninety 0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:16.560 nine and a half rush yards at plus two twenty 0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:19.960