1 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: Welcome in What Driving nick Wright Episode three eighty, our 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: week seven gambling show. This episode of What Drymen nick 3 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: Wright has presented to you as always by our friends 4 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: at boost Mobile, and a remindered all of you please like, rate, subscribe, 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:17,959 Speaker 1: and review to the pot. It really helps us out. 6 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 1: And also a reminder, all lines are from hard Rock 7 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 1: bet Demonsey. I've been telling you all year my picks 8 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: have mirrred directly the chief season rocky start, then thought 9 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:38,599 Speaker 1: we found our footing, then a brief setback, and then 10 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: in week six put the whole world on notice. The 11 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: champs are back four and one last week to get 12 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: to exactly five hundred on the season, just like the Chiefs, 13 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: and really kind of five and one because we initially 14 00:00:56,320 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: had in there Pittsburgh minus five and oh oh, you 15 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: guys left that in. Oh so here's the thing that 16 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: was not actually I mean, this graphic is fine if 17 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: you remember, in the last minute we took out Pittsburgh 18 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: minus five and a half and put in the Rams 19 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 1: minus seven. So the Rams minus seven was our official pick. 20 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 1: Both of them covered. We only get credit for one 21 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,959 Speaker 1: of them. We had Tampa minus three. I can't call 22 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: that one never a doubter, but they did win by 23 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 1: double digits. KC minus two that was never a doubter. 24 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: Chicago plus four they won out right, and then Dallas 25 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: minus three against Carolina had a chance but lost. So 26 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: last week, if you remember Demons, it was and the 27 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: reason we switched out Pittsburgh for the Rams, it was 28 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:52,080 Speaker 1: quarterbacks we trust against flawed teams or just quarterbacks we 29 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: super super trust. Ye we didn't we I think it's 30 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 1: the first time ever we've gone with four favorites and 31 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:03,800 Speaker 1: just one dog this week. Now that we have our footing, 32 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: now that we're back to five hundred, we are going 33 00:02:08,720 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: back to what has made this show if you check 34 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:18,119 Speaker 1: it year over year over year, the most consistent against 35 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: the spread, free publicly available weekly gambling show for the NFL, 36 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:30,360 Speaker 1: there is we have one year we haven't made money, 37 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 1: and that year it's because we count the big and 38 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 1: we finished five hundred. Every other year not only we 39 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: finished above five hundred, but we have finished profitable and 40 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: we're gonna continue that this year with some picks that 41 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 1: I I'll be honest, are gonna be hard to stomach. 42 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,720 Speaker 1: We will get because we're gonna be betting on some 43 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: bad teams this week. Guys, you can't just bet on 44 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: the good teams, and so there's some bad teams we're 45 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: betting on this week. And I think we're gonna have 46 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 1: back to back four in one weeks. I can just 47 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: feel it and have it for the first time all 48 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: year be firmly above five hundred. It looks like it. 49 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, five five and is possible. 50 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: I feel like this is a four and one week. 51 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 1: And I say that because I don't the the I 52 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: feel badly if we go four and one and someone 53 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 1: did parlay the whole thing together and then they don't 54 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 1: get they don't make any money again, no guarantees, don't 55 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,240 Speaker 1: gamble what you can't afford, all of that. But I 56 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: feel really good about this week's slate, even though these 57 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: are some grimy games we're getting into today's show. 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They've won thirteen in a row at 68 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 1: home as a favorite. They're massive favorites over the Raiders, 69 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 1: but they are on a six game streak of failing 70 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: to cover against divisional teams. Will they snap it Sunday? 71 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 1: We'll see if you need a little help from Kareem Hunt. 72 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 1: He has scored a touchdown in five straight Week seven games. 73 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:32,520 Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy, he's on a four game touchdown streak in 74 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: Sunday games when the Chiefs are favorites. If you haven't 75 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: tried your first bet on hard Rock Bet, there's still 76 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: time for you to get one hundred three dollars in 77 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:43,119 Speaker 1: bonus bets if you win. 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In Florida offered by Seminal hard Rock 86 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: Digital LLC and all other states, must be twenty one 87 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 1: plus and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 88 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:21,919 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 89 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight 90 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: eight to eight. Admit it. In Indiana. If you are 91 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,160 Speaker 1: someone you know as a gambling problem wants help, call 92 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it. Gambling problem called 93 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, 94 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 1: Tennessee or Virginia. All right, DEMANSI let's get to the games. 95 00:05:42,560 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: I'm not betting. I'll give you my leans on them, 96 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:45,920 Speaker 1: but go ahead. 97 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 3: London game Rams versus Jacksonville. Jacksonville are three point underdogs. 98 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, I I think the Rams are going to win. However, 99 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:07,920 Speaker 1: Jacksonville being so familiar playing in London, the Rams taking 100 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: the longest trip you can take in the NFL LA 101 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 1: all the way to London plus the Puka Nakua uncertainty 102 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,120 Speaker 1: as we sit here recording it is enough for me 103 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 1: to not want to lay the three points. But if 104 00:06:22,440 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: I think the Rams are gonna win despite all that, 105 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: getting three is not quite enough so that to stay 106 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:29,599 Speaker 1: away from me. 107 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 3: Now they just did against the Ravens. I mean, yeah, 108 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 3: you know that mighty game plans or whatever. Miami at Cleveland. 109 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:38,279 Speaker 3: Cleveland's two and a half point favorites. 110 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is I mean, I think Dylan Gabriel's been really, 111 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: really bad, but and so being able to go against 112 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:54,040 Speaker 1: Gabriel and get points would normally be something I would love. 113 00:06:54,800 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 1: But Miami might be self emily, and I think that 114 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: the fact that they all week had to address what 115 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: their quarterback said at the podium, and then the quarterback 116 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: had to I just think it's bad vibes in Miami, 117 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: and so bad vibes with a one win team on 118 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: one side of the ball, maybe the worst current starting 119 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: quarterback with a one win team on the other side 120 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:25,560 Speaker 1: of the ball. If I had to play aside in this, 121 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: I would play Miami. I guess just because I'm getting 122 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: the points, I don't have to play aside. I'll stay 123 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:32,280 Speaker 1: away from it. 124 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 3: Oh, next you got New Orleans at Chicago, Chicago's four 125 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 3: and a half white favorites. 126 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:41,920 Speaker 1: I'm not yet ready to lay more than two and 127 00:07:41,960 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 1: a half points with Caleb and the Bears. I don't 128 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: think they It was a great win for them, and 129 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:53,559 Speaker 1: they need to continue that momentum. But New Orleans, even 130 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: with just one win, has been just frisky enough and 131 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 1: Rattler's been just good enough that I don't feel comfortable. 132 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: I don't feel like the Bears have earned being four 133 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:11,440 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites yet against you know, I 134 00:08:11,480 --> 00:08:14,239 Speaker 1: know New Orleans one of the worst teams, but they're 135 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: a dangerous one four and and so I think that 136 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: is I think that is a fair stance that maybe 137 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: I should just go with New Orleans. I want to 138 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 1: see because there were a lot of things the Bears 139 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: did really well Monday night that they hadn't been doing well, 140 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:38,560 Speaker 1: most notably run defense and running the ball. Was that 141 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 1: a single game thing or was that an out of 142 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: the buy this team improved on those things area. If 143 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,679 Speaker 1: that's the case, then I think they could cover the number. 144 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:48,720 Speaker 1: I'll just stay away. 145 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:53,160 Speaker 3: Next, You've got Philly at Minnesota, Minnesota's one and a 146 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 3: half point Dogs. 147 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:01,440 Speaker 1: Feels like a bit of a trap. It feels like 148 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 1: they are begging you, daring you even to bet Philly. 149 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: Philly's lost to in a row, the Vikings are on 150 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 1: a backup quarterback, Philly needs the game, Philly is on 151 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:21,599 Speaker 1: extra rest, and Philly is only a point and a 152 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:27,880 Speaker 1: half favorite. That is fishy to me. I'm stay maybe 153 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:30,560 Speaker 1: and maybe it is. The thing is you could be 154 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: imploding and still potentially beat Carson Wentz like and so 155 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: it just it is. That's just a stay away from me, 156 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: because it feels like they're they're begging you to bet Philly. 157 00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 3: Next of Vegas at Kansas City, Kansas City's twelve point 158 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,120 Speaker 3: favorites too many points. 159 00:09:51,559 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: Too many points. But I'm also but I'm also not 160 00:09:54,960 --> 00:10:00,680 Speaker 1: betting on the Raiders. Like this absolutely could be thirty 161 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: one to ten. It also could be a really annoying Raiders. 162 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:08,520 Speaker 3: I feel like always kind of play the Chiefs a 163 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 3: little closet they have the last few years, even if 164 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 3: they've been terrible. 165 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: They obviously beat them on Christmas. Antonio Pierce then talked 166 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:21,120 Speaker 1: about how they had the blueprint. Antonio Pierce last scene 167 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 1: wearing Chiefs paraphernalia at the Chiefs training camp practices. He is, 168 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: you know, no longer the head coach of the Raiders. 169 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: Just too many points. I've watched the Chiefs last few 170 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: years not cover these double digit spreads. But I'm not 171 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 1: betting on the Raiders, so it's staying away. 172 00:10:39,640 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 3: We got India at the Chargers. Chargers two point favorites. 173 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: I like Indi in this spot. I almost included them 174 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: on my picks because they're getting points and I think 175 00:10:52,520 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: they're the better team. I there is an element of 176 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: can that Chargers defense disrupt Daniel Jones That concerns me, 177 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: and it concerned me just enough to stay away from 178 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 1: this game. But I do think Indy is the right 179 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:20,079 Speaker 1: side of it. 180 00:11:20,280 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 3: Next, you got Washington at Dallas. Dallas one and a 181 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 3: half point dogs. 182 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 1: Dalla's very very difficult team to gamble on right now 183 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:34,679 Speaker 1: because they're just going to hang with anybody and let 184 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:37,680 Speaker 1: anybody hang with them. The offense is that good and 185 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 1: the defense is that bad. So I and Washington. I'm 186 00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 1: worried about Jaden coming out of Monday night a little 187 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 1: banged up and it just took a lot of hits. 188 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: I lean Washington, but that's a stay away. 189 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 3: Next, Green Bay at Arizona Arizona six and a half 190 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 3: point dogs. Yeah, well green Bay green Bay is not 191 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:05,640 Speaker 3: covering that. 192 00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 2: I don't think. I just yeah, I'd take Arizona points. 193 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 1: What's the I just don't know what's going on with 194 00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:21,520 Speaker 1: Kyler after missing last week. So that's the you know, 195 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: and this is one of the you know, we do 196 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: this on Thursday. Is there? I don't know what the 197 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: news is on that. I also think that there is 198 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: there are too many red flags right now with Green 199 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: Bay to lay a big number with them. But I 200 00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:45,679 Speaker 1: don't feel comfortable about much of anything going on with 201 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, so I so I'm just gonna stay away. 202 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: And then last one we're staying away from is the 203 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:53,679 Speaker 1: game of the week. 204 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 3: Tampa Bay Detroit Detroit's five and a half point favorites. 205 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,160 Speaker 1: Man, it was hard. It was so hard to stay 206 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:06,120 Speaker 1: away from Tampa Bay here, but it just felt like 207 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 1: fishy and Detroit is without Brian Branch. They're banged up. 208 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 1: They just looked bad and they're laying five and a half. 209 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 1: I thought I when I saw I thought it'd be 210 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:23,199 Speaker 1: Detroit minus three, maybe three and a half. Five and 211 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 1: a half's a lot Tampa go. 212 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 3: Ahead, Baker's just lost everything. I wouldn't bet against Baker 213 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:33,839 Speaker 3: in this spot. I mean, he just keeps losing guys, 214 00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 3: and he keeps making it happen. But I do feel 215 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 3: like this is if this is a spot where they're. 216 00:13:39,080 --> 00:13:41,720 Speaker 2: Gonna get got. Like nobody's expecting Baker to win this game. 217 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 1: If Detroit's desperate, Detroit has to have it, Tampa doesn't. 218 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,680 Speaker 2: I just don't want to go against him yet he's 219 00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 2: he's kept doing it, so. 220 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 1: He's kept doing it, and so I'm just I'm gonna 221 00:13:56,480 --> 00:14:01,600 Speaker 1: enjoy watching this game. Ravens and Bills are and now 222 00:14:01,679 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: we are getting to If last week was a week 223 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: of me betting on good quarterbacks, this week is a 224 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 1: week of me betting on some of the worst quarterbacks 225 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: in the NFL. Let's go with the first pick, Demonse. 226 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:22,200 Speaker 3: All right, man, exercising that right already? You got Tennessee 227 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 3: plus seven against New England. 228 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 1: Listen, I promise I'd never bet on Tennessee again as 229 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 1: long as Brian Callahan was the head coach. He's not 230 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: the head coach. Seven points is too many, fired coach Bounce. 231 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 1: Patriots coming off a couple really good wins, First place 232 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 1: in the division, feeling great about themselves. It feels like 233 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 1: a game that a young hasn't won anything. Team maybe 234 00:14:57,120 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: could slip up and lose outright. It certainly feels like 235 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 1: a game that is going to I think Vrabel is 236 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,240 Speaker 1: not going to be focused on Oh, I got to 237 00:15:08,280 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 1: blow these guys out to show them because they fired me. 238 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: I think Vrabel is gonna coach a game of we 239 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:20,000 Speaker 1: just have to win. Teams who fire their coach go 240 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: from terrible at covering. It's one of the reasons coach 241 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: gets fired. So they cover basically half the time. New 242 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 1: England's third straight game on the road. That's a bad 243 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: thing for them to have to deal with as far 244 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:36,080 Speaker 1: as covering. And it's just too many points. I'd love 245 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:39,760 Speaker 1: seven and a half all take seven in a game 246 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 1: sneaky Upsettler for the Patriots, but I think the Titans 247 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,640 Speaker 1: keep it close. Ish Tennessee plus seven. 248 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,479 Speaker 2: Jets plus one and a half versus Carolina. 249 00:15:53,920 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 1: Okay, so Bryce Young is one and seventeen straight up 250 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 1: on the road, and he is a road favorite. Okay, 251 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: the Jets are obviously awful. However, here is what I'm 252 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 1: gonna tell you. This game opened Jets minus one and 253 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 1: a half, Jets is the favorite. It is now Jets 254 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 1: plus one and a half, and my decades of gambling 255 00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 1: led me to believe one thing. I can't explain it. 256 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:55,720 Speaker 1: I don't know why, but this is going to be 257 00:16:55,880 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 1: a one point game, and folks that bet Carolina late 258 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: and instead of getting them plus a point and a half, 259 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: are laying a point and a half are going to lose. 260 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:15,199 Speaker 1: If you are going to bet the Carolina Panthers on 261 00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:19,400 Speaker 1: the road and you are getting the worst line, a 262 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: three point line movement, and you're still betting them, you're 263 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:27,400 Speaker 1: going to lose. I have no analysis to support this 264 00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 1: other than Carolina minus one and a half. Betters are 265 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:35,360 Speaker 1: going to lose this week because they didn't get Carolina 266 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: plus one and a half, which means the only way 267 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:41,520 Speaker 1: that tracks is if this is a one point game. 268 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:44,479 Speaker 1: I think this is a one point game. Twenty one 269 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: point twenty seventeen sixteen. Something stupid happens in this game. 270 00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:53,000 Speaker 1: It could be a missed extra point, it could be 271 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 1: a safety. This is a pure The bad gamblers will 272 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:03,359 Speaker 1: get the bad number on this and lose. So I 273 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:06,639 Speaker 1: am taking the Jets plus one and a half. The 274 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 1: other piece of it is this. If you're a Jets fan, 275 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: if you don't win this week, when are you going 276 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 1: to win? I think that is a fair question, Like 277 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: are you staring at Owen seventeen? Maybe I'll take the 278 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 1: Jets plus one and a half. 279 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,560 Speaker 3: H next you got the Giants plus seven at Nitor. 280 00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:30,199 Speaker 3: I like this one. 281 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:37,240 Speaker 1: This is another one that I feel like, sneaky Upsettlert 282 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: Giants on extra rest. This is a big The Giants 283 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: played Thursday, right, they played Thursday in a game they 284 00:18:48,280 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 1: didn't even have to fly to or wait that game 285 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: was that Met Life I don't even remember it was, 286 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: but Philly, New York either. Okay, they played Thursday at home. 287 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 1: Denver played so in London in London and they so 288 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: there's that Denver's offense looked abhorrent in that game. The 289 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 1: Giants are feeling good. The Giants can win this game outright. Oddly, 290 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: light detector test, Brian Dable might trust or like his 291 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 1: quarterback more than Sean Payton likes his. This isn't the 292 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,640 Speaker 1: bonitt or Jackson. Dart is not going to be afraid 293 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 1: of this great Denver defense, even if he should be, 294 00:19:42,040 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 1: which maybe will lead to some mistakes, but maybe some 295 00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:49,480 Speaker 1: big plays. It's too many points. The Giants plus seven 296 00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,520 Speaker 1: in a game they could win outright. 297 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:56,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, Atlanta plus plus two at San Francisco. 298 00:19:58,320 --> 00:20:02,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I the Niners have not played a football game 299 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 1: missing both Bosa and Fred Warner in more than a 300 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:16,720 Speaker 1: half decade. I don't think the market understands or as 301 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: factored in what Bijon is going to be able to 302 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:25,439 Speaker 1: do to a Niners defense without Fred Warner, and so 303 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 1: I don't care if Perty's coming back. I think the 304 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: Niners are about to have one of the worst defenses 305 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: in football because it's going to take them a lot 306 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 1: of time to adjust to not having Fred Warner. I 307 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:47,040 Speaker 1: think Atlanta absolutely can and will win this game outright 308 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:51,360 Speaker 1: on Sunday Night football. And I think that Drake London 309 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 1: can have a big game, Bijon can have a big game, 310 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: and that Falcon secondary which is excellent with Purty potentially 311 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:04,880 Speaker 1: playing his first game back after missing a month. I 312 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 1: love Atlanta in this spot. I think the wrong team 313 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: is favored. I'll take Atlanta plus. 314 00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 2: Two Seattle minus three versus Houston. 315 00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Seattle is a little underrated. They're four 316 00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 1: and two with a loss against the Niners a week 317 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,439 Speaker 1: one that they had a chance to win, and then 318 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 1: a tough loss to Baker thirty eight thirty five. The 319 00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:39,040 Speaker 1: d line's been good, Darnold's been excellent. Houston, on the 320 00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:43,239 Speaker 1: other hand, I know they're coming off a bye. I 321 00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:46,120 Speaker 1: still don't trust the Houston offense despite what they did 322 00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 1: to Baltimore. So I really really would prefer, obviously to 323 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: be laying two and a half, but I'll swallow it 324 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: and lay the full three. And it's the only favorite 325 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 1: I'm going with this week. And so my five picks 326 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 1: this week, I am rolling with Cam Ward and the 327 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:13,240 Speaker 1: Titans plus seven, Justin Fields and the Jets plus one 328 00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 1: and a half, Jackson Dart and the Giants plus seven, 329 00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:22,199 Speaker 1: Michael Pinnox and the Falcons plus two, and then Sam 330 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:27,000 Speaker 1: Darnold and the Seahawks minus three. Listen, guys, if it 331 00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:29,879 Speaker 1: were as simple as just bet on the great quarterbacks, 332 00:22:29,920 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: everybody would make money. We did that one week to 333 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,840 Speaker 1: stable ourselves. It was the right week to do it, 334 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:38,720 Speaker 1: all right, real quick. 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Terms apply demons. 344 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 1: I felt bad because I kind of jingsed your teaser. 345 00:23:11,720 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 1: I gave you an A plus, I talked about how 346 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 1: much I loved it. You had been four and one, 347 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 1: and then not only did you not win it, but 348 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,239 Speaker 1: you didn't win it because my team cost it for 349 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 1: you in a roundabout way. Last week you had Seattle 350 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 1: plus nine against Jacksonville they win by eight, Chicago plus 351 00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 1: twelve against Washington they went outright, Detroit plus ten at 352 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:41,359 Speaker 1: Kansas City and the Chiefs blow out the or beat 353 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:48,719 Speaker 1: the by what they win by thirteen regardless. So all right, 354 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:50,119 Speaker 1: what are we looking at this week? 355 00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:51,040 Speaker 2: It was rough? 356 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,680 Speaker 3: So this week we got another three team eight point 357 00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:57,159 Speaker 3: teaser at plus one hundred, where teasing Tennessee up to 358 00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 3: plus fifteen, go ahead, and he's Indie up to plus ten. 359 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 3: We we got the Giants, he's in the Giants up 360 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 3: plus fifteen. Feeling this one of my bones, probably lost 361 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:11,480 Speaker 3: the last one five and two coming up. 362 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:20,920 Speaker 1: Ay in part, not so much because of key numbers, 363 00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: even though you do go through them, but because I 364 00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,280 Speaker 1: liked the Titans and the Giants plus seven. Now they're 365 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,880 Speaker 1: plus fifteen, and then Indy I said, I thought could 366 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:36,879 Speaker 1: win outright, and now you're getting ten. So yeah, I 367 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,879 Speaker 1: like it a lot. I do feel like this is 368 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 1: five and two. I feel like this is five and 369 00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,880 Speaker 1: two Buddy five and the ship. 370 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 3: I hope you guys are actually placing these bets out here. 371 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 3: If you just bet your mortgages on these, you'll pay 372 00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 3: your No. 373 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:52,239 Speaker 1: No, let's not, let's not. Let's not. Let's not encourage that. 374 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 1: The mortgage betting we shouldn't encourage. Let's just bet sensibly, 375 00:24:58,119 --> 00:24:59,680 Speaker 1: just put it, you know what I mean. Just you're 376 00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: just little bit of entertainment, that's all. But it has 377 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,240 Speaker 1: been good. Well, you have been crushing all right, Go. 378 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 3: Ahead, so last week the offer, Oh wait you do 379 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 3: you've been picking your TD Genie. I think you're undefeated. 380 00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,400 Speaker 3: On TV Genie so far Lifetime. Yeah, last last week 381 00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:19,800 Speaker 3: you picked Xavier Worthy yet plus one twenty five and 382 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 3: he hit what are there any standouts to you for 383 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:23,359 Speaker 3: this week? 384 00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:28,760 Speaker 1: Staying away this week? No touchdown, gen I don't no 385 00:25:28,920 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: touchdown Genie this week? 386 00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 2: Was it Kareem Hunt like the straight week sevens? 387 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I don't. That's not that instructive to me. 388 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: And I just I'm gonna stay away this week. Okay, 389 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,680 Speaker 1: I kind of wanted to do Rashi Rice, but I'm 390 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 1: just staying away this week. 391 00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 2: That's a little bold, a little bold. 392 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: And so yeah, we're just gonna we're not doing this week. 393 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: We're staying away this week next. 394 00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:00,200 Speaker 3: All right, So the offer fell short last week week 395 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 3: with Micah and Rashaan Gary both have over a half 396 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 3: sack plus two ten. So you were talking about how 397 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:10,520 Speaker 3: bad San Francisco's defense is and Bjeon Robinson's gonna be. 398 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:11,160 Speaker 2: Rolling through there. 399 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 3: So we're gonna we're gonna look at Bijon over ninety 400 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 3: nine and a half rush yards at plus two twenty 401 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,960 Speaker 3: five or a less spicy one Vjon over one hundred 402 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 3: and seventeen one hundred and seventeen and a half rushing 403 00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 3: plus receiving yards at minus one field. 404 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,439 Speaker 1: All right, so what can we put the bjon I 405 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 1: want to get it to plus number plus money, but 406 00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 1: I want to have I don't want to do the 407 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: rush yards one. I want to do the combined one. 408 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 1: So if we did bjon over, is there an alternate 409 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:48,359 Speaker 1: like plus one? All right, we're just gonna call it. 410 00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:52,399 Speaker 1: I'm making my own market here, bjon over one twenty 411 00:26:52,480 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: nine and a half rushing and receiving yards at least 412 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,119 Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty rushing and receiving yards. That's plus 413 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:01,800 Speaker 1: one oh five. It feels right. That's the offer this week. 414 00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,919 Speaker 1: I like that. I think that I think you'll be 415 00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 1: able to find it with our friends at hard Rock. 416 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,639 Speaker 1: Bijeon's gonna I don't know if it's gonna be on 417 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,600 Speaker 1: the ground or in the air. Is gonna crush? All right? 418 00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 2: Good? Thank you. 419 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,840 Speaker 1: The Yeah, what do you mean? What are you talking about? 420 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 3: I'm telling he's my most rushing touchdown, most rushing. 421 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,199 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, you're before the year. Yeah you need a 422 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 1: big touchdown. Thank you to Boost, thank you to hard Rock, 423 00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,040 Speaker 1: thank you to Volume, thank you to Blue Dog, thank 424 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:35,320 Speaker 1: you for everyone for listening. Thank you to our friends 425 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,679 Speaker 1: at Zen. Talk to you guys next week. Happy birthday 426 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:38,760 Speaker 1: to my wife. What's right