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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peroltz.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: We are here each and every morning as we approach

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Speaker 1: our one year anniversary, and we are inching ever closer,

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Speaker 1: ever so closer to the two million to listen of

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast here on Bettingpros dot com, always

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by BETMGM. You guys know about

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Speaker 1: the offer which on YouTube is right above me here

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Speaker 1: with a twenty dollars wager to win one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: on any event to use that promo code Juice one hundred.

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Speaker 1: When you sign up for a new account and you

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Speaker 1: get that offer twenty bucks, you automatically win regardless of

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Speaker 1: the wager if you put it on the podcast. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: on the parlay last night, the La Clippers won, but

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Speaker 1: in the discord channel, I was telling you, hey, guys,

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Speaker 1: you really should think about going ahead and taking the

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Speaker 1: Clippers because the hockey games were both going to go under,

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Speaker 1: and so if Luca and company lost, you would have

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Speaker 1: been able to make your wager back and you would

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Speaker 1: have been flat if you had did indeed bet the parlay,

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Speaker 1: so that probably would have happened the Red Sox.

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Speaker 2: Good news.

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Speaker 1: Red Sox get the wind that was nice at minus

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Speaker 1: one oh five, so that's good to get a victory.

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Speaker 1: And then I don't know what went on for Vegas,

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Speaker 1: as it's getting kind of late here in Vegas, so

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Speaker 1: I had to tape the podcast and get it up.

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Speaker 1: I got stuff I gotta do. We're having a end

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Speaker 1: of year party tomorrow at my house. Dave Sherpan is

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Speaker 1: coming with his youngest so we'll hang out with Dave

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Speaker 1: a little bit, and a bunch of kiddos are coming over.

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Speaker 1: I think we got ten kids coming to hang out

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Speaker 1: and celebrate the summer and kind of celebrate the end

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Speaker 1: of COVID and whatnot. So I got a lot of

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Speaker 1: work to do, get the house ready and help my

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Speaker 1: wife out. So I got to get this thing logged

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Speaker 1: and posted before I really get really tired. So that's

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Speaker 1: why it's two to one Colorado right now. If that

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Speaker 1: score holds and the Avalanche win, I will be very

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Speaker 1: depressed and I will not bet against a Denver team

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: I won't do it.

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Speaker 1: I won't bet against the Avalanche, and I won't bet

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Speaker 1: against the Denver Nuggets. I will have lost three consecutive

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Speaker 1: bets betting against Denver. It'll be four because they'll knock

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Speaker 1: out the Vegas goal to night, so Vegas won't win

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Speaker 1: the Stanley Cup playoffs.

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Speaker 2: It'll be three nothing, and it's over.

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Speaker 1: If Denver wins this, If the Avalanche win this, it's over.

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Speaker 2: So it's been rough.

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Speaker 1: The under has been the play here in this series,

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Speaker 1: and I probably should have just taken the under, but

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Speaker 1: I thought Vegas would win. And man, I mean, Colorado

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Speaker 1: just is really really good. Grubauer is really really good.

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Speaker 1: He's really tough to score on, and just frankly, Vegas

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Speaker 1: can't figure him out. And I don't see anybody in

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Speaker 1: the NHL right now that can beat Colorado.

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Speaker 2: I really don't.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching these playoffs. I'm watching Winnipeg and Montreal. Give

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Speaker 1: me a break. I mean, that's gonna be four games,

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Speaker 1: five games. I don't care who comes out of there.

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Speaker 1: Montreal is getting waxed, Winnipeg's getting crushed.

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Speaker 2: I mean, just not even close.

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Speaker 1: I think Tampa versus I think Tampa versus Colorado will

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Speaker 1: be the most entertaining Carolina. Maybe the Bruins in Colorado

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Speaker 1: and the Bruins versus the Avalanche would be the most

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Speaker 1: interesting because they're totally different, so that would be the

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Speaker 1: one contrast in styles. I would love to see that

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Speaker 1: happen if it did go down that road, but I

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Speaker 1: think Tampa would probably beat Boston. We'll see what happens

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Speaker 1: in that game coming up tonight. I don't have a

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Speaker 1: play with Tampa and Carolina coming up today, but I

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Speaker 1: do have a Belmont Stakes pick to give you.

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Speaker 2: I do have a baseball pick to give you.

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Speaker 1: I do have a basketball play to give you, and

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Speaker 1: a hockey play to give you coming up here today.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you here and we can start with hockey.

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Speaker 1: I will have a personal play on the Boston Bruins

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Speaker 1: to win today. Okay, but the number is five, so

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Speaker 1: I don't need to explain myself. I'm gonna keep on

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Speaker 1: doing this. This is my own personal philosophy that when

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Speaker 1: the books are putting up five, we're firing. I know

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Speaker 1: it did not hit the last game, okay, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: look it's one. It's two and one to the over

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Speaker 1: right now. In this series, they're coming back with a

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Speaker 1: five again, and I think I really do believe that

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Speaker 1: New York has to open it up. I think they've

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Speaker 1: got to play more wide open. They got to take

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Speaker 1: advantage of scoring opportunities. I know they would rather play tight,

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Speaker 1: but so does Boston. Boston wants to play tight. I

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Speaker 1: don't think they can beat Boston. I think Boston's better

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Speaker 1: at that than the Islanders are. They got to open

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Speaker 1: it up. It's a Saturday game. I think there's a

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Speaker 1: chance here for both teams to get some offense going,

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Speaker 1: scoring going. So I think I think it's a three

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Speaker 1: to two win, maybe a four to two win with

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Speaker 1: an empty nett or maybe we're getting kind of a

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Speaker 1: crazy three to three type of scenario where it's more

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Speaker 1: high scoring like the Pittsburgh and New York series was.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna take Islanders Bruins over five minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: It's a philosophy, it's a strategy. It is paid off.

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Speaker 1: It's been successful. I know we missed it the last time.

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Speaker 1: We might miss it again, but we're two and one

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Speaker 1: so far. I'm coming back and I'm firing on it again.

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Speaker 1: Over five Bruins and the Islanders minus one twenty, I

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Speaker 1: do think Boston wins I'm gonna take the Bruins, but

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Speaker 1: I could easily see a play on the.

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Speaker 2: Islanders as well.

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Speaker 1: This is kind of like a personal like I want

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Speaker 1: the Bruins to win type of thing, but I think

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Speaker 1: Boston just the better team. So I think Boston wins.

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Speaker 1: I think Boston takes it, and so I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: Bruins here. But the bet officially for the podcast is

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Speaker 1: over five at minus one twenty. Okay, so let's go

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Speaker 1: into the well, let's do basketball. Let's do Milwaukee and Brooklyn. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the total is two two thirty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: is a total.

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Speaker 2: Brooklyn is favored by three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't know where I want to go with this

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Speaker 1: because I think Milwaukee's being under appreciated here. I think

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee's going to be in this series. I think Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: could beat Brooklyn. I really do.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I have not made up my mind yet as to

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Speaker 1: who comes out of this series. However, I do think

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Speaker 1: this is going to be an extremely high scoring game

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Speaker 1: number one. So Milwaukee is forty three, thirty two and

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Speaker 1: one to the over, Brooklyn forty three, thirty four, forty

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Speaker 1: three and thirty four to the over. Over the last five.

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Speaker 1: Both teams are three and two. Both teams are six

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Speaker 1: and four. Milwaukee on the road this year twenty seventeen

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Speaker 1: and one to the over, Brooklyn at home this year

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Speaker 1: twenty one and.

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Speaker 2: Eighteen to the over.

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Speaker 1: The first game of the year when they played and

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Speaker 1: everyone was available that back on the on the eighteenth

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Speaker 1: of January. The total was two thirty nine and a

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Speaker 1: half and it went over by eight and a half points.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm expecting here today, like a one to

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Speaker 1: twenty five, one twenty three game the Brooklyn won. I'm

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Speaker 1: expecting that type of game here today.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: They played two times later in the year when everybody

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Speaker 1: was banged up and it wasn't the full complement of

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn at players, and both games went under. On the

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Speaker 1: road in Milwaukee, two forty two and a half went

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Speaker 1: under by eleven and a half and two forty three

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Speaker 1: went under by one.

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Speaker 2: So we're sitting here with two thirty nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: I feel comfortable taking the over here in game number one,

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Speaker 1: and I think we're gonna see a lot of scoring.

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Speaker 1: Both the teams trying to show, you know, it's before

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Speaker 1: the series like gets really into it. And they locked

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Speaker 1: down defensively, and they get to know what other teams

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Speaker 1: are gonna want to do to.

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Speaker 2: Each other with matchups and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: I just think we're gonna see a really high scoring game,

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Speaker 1: real up tempo, back and forth battle. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the Books can really sit in a line high enough.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this line probably should be two fifty, but

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Speaker 1: the Books aren't gonna do it. They're gonna set a

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Speaker 1: line two fifty. It's under two forty pretty much. If

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Speaker 1: these lines get set under two forty in any game

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Speaker 1: in this series, I'm gonna bet the over, regardless of

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Speaker 1: how the trends are looking. I just think these teams

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Speaker 1: have too much firepower. Brooklyn doesn't play defense, as we know,

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Speaker 1: they just don't play defense, so they give up so

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Speaker 1: many points. And I think for that reason, I just

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Speaker 1: think Milwaukee's gonna be able to score a lot here.

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Speaker 1: Milwaukee the number one scoring offense in the NBA at

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty points per game. Brooklyn the number

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Speaker 1: two scoring offense at one hundred and ninet eighteen point

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Speaker 1: nine points per game. Brooklyn gives up a hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirteen point nine. Milwaukee gives us one hundred and thirteen

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Speaker 1: point four. This is number twenty one and number twenty

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Speaker 1: two for defense. It's an average oppointent scoring margin. They

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Speaker 1: just give up a lot of points. They score a

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Speaker 1: lot and they give up a lot. Let's not overthink it.

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Speaker 1: It'll be a public play. Everybody will be on it.

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Speaker 1: Over to thirty nine and a half for Milwaukee and Brooklyn.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the baseball game. And again,

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Speaker 1: this is another bet where I'm not going to overthink

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Speaker 1: this all that much. So. The Chicago White Sox are

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Speaker 1: thirty three and twenty three on the run line so

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Speaker 1: far this season. That's a fifty eight point nine percent clip.

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Speaker 1: They are facing a left handed pitcher. You guys know

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Speaker 1: what happens when a left handed pitcher is going to

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Speaker 1: be going for a team that won. The White Sox

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Speaker 1: are playing at home against the Detroit Tigers. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is an interesting thing because I've been talking to a

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Speaker 1: bunch of people about like when to bet run lines,

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Speaker 1: and betting run lines for the road team is always

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Speaker 1: better because you're guaranteed to bet in the ninth inning

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Speaker 1: where the home team might not have to bat. So

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Speaker 1: there's always a little bit of scare. Now, and that's

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Speaker 1: why the prices are a little bit different. But for

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Speaker 1: this one, the White Sox are at home. Some dude

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Speaker 1: named Scobel is pitching for Detroit. He's two and seven

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Speaker 1: with a four point five to nine ERA. Leo Gelido's

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Speaker 1: going for the White Sox. He's five and four to

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Speaker 1: three point seven to three ERA one point one three whip.

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Speaker 1: Detroit's a bad team, man. They're twenty three and thirty three.

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Speaker 1: They are ten and eighteen on the road. And when

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Speaker 1: you look at the way this team for the White Sox,

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Speaker 1: the way they hit lefties, it's just they tee off.

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Speaker 1: They just absolutely tee off on left handed pitching. And

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Speaker 1: we've talked about it a lot, and we've looked at

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Speaker 1: this and I just think the White Sox are going

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Speaker 1: to win this game, and they're going to win this

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Speaker 1: game going away. I don't know how many point how

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Speaker 1: many runs Detroit scores. That's why I bet the over's eight.

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Speaker 2: Eh.

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Speaker 1: I can't do it. I got the run line on

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Speaker 1: minus one fourteen. This is kind of breaking one of

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Speaker 1: my rules.

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Speaker 2: Though. I don't like betting and laying juice on the

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Speaker 2: run line. I don't like that.

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Speaker 1: However, in Detroit situation, with a bad starting pitcher going,

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Speaker 1: and you might go, why don't you bet the first five?

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Speaker 2: Eh?

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Speaker 1: Again, I kind of want the full compliment here. Let

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Speaker 1: this offense get out. There could be like a three,

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Speaker 1: three to two lead after five, and then they get

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Speaker 1: an insurance run late and they get to the run line.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I will include bullpens here because Detroit's

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Speaker 1: bullpen is bad. So I'm gonna include the White Sox

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Speaker 1: with a full game, We're going run line mis one

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Speaker 1: fourteen White Sox against the left handed pitcher in the

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Speaker 1: Detroit Tigers. Hopefully it's an easy walk in the park

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Speaker 1: victory for Chicago here tonight today up against Detroit. All right,

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Speaker 1: So those are the three half unit plays. I have

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Speaker 1: a twenty four dollars bet for you in the Belmont Stakes.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: So I hit the trifecta in the Preakness. I missed

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Speaker 1: on the trifecta for the Derby. Here is a big caveat.

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Speaker 1: You want to be in the discord channel for a

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Speaker 1: variety of reasons. However, but I got info before the Preakness.

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Speaker 1: I got great info before I went to the counter,

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Speaker 1: and I took a picture of my exacta bet. Took

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Speaker 1: a picture of all of both my trifective bets and

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Speaker 1: I showed you guys what I was told to bet.

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Speaker 1: And so the bet on the podcast didn't hit, but

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Speaker 1: the bets that I had and I was told the

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Speaker 1: morning of those all did hit. And so I went,

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Speaker 1: I was down?

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Speaker 2: What was I down? I think I was down.

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Speaker 1: Fifty four dollars after the Derby and I won two

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty on the Preakness. Okay, so I am

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Speaker 1: up here for my Triple Crown races. So I'm betting

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Speaker 1: with house money here, but just bettingpros dot com slast chat.

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slast chat definitely be in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: If you're on YouTube, that link is right underneath me

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Speaker 1: right here. You can click on it and get into

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel and you can find I'll post my

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Speaker 1: tickets once I go to the book tomorrow this morning,

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Speaker 1: and I'll show you what I am betting for the

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Speaker 1: Belmont Stakes here today. Okay, so this is what I

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Speaker 1: am betting. I am betting a one dollar trifecta box

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Speaker 1: for four horses, which is twenty four dollars, right, twenty

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Speaker 1: four different bets for one dollar each for a trifecta.

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Speaker 1: I am putting Essential Quality the number two horse in

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Speaker 1: this okay. This horse Skip the Preakness, had a bad

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Speaker 1: run at the Derby. It was one of the favorites

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Speaker 1: to win the Derby. Bad run, bounces back here has

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Speaker 1: a good run here for the Belmont Ron Bauer. Ron

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Speaker 1: Bauer won the Preakness. It was supposed to win this race.

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Speaker 1: Ron Bauer new jockey, but they got a Hall of

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Speaker 1: Fame jockey and John Velasquez because the jockey that rode

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Speaker 1: for the Preakness said that they were going to ride

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Speaker 1: hot Rod Charlie, which is also in this box. Hot

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Speaker 1: Rod Charlie seven to two opening line, so two to

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Speaker 1: one for Central Quality, three to one for Ron Bauer,

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Speaker 1: seventy two morning line for hot Rod Charlie. And Flavor

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Speaker 1: Pratt will be on this ride for this horse, and

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Speaker 1: he's trying to become the first jockey to take two

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Speaker 1: different horses and win two different Triple Crown races in

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Speaker 1: the same year. Be the first time ever to do that.

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Speaker 1: Hot Rod Charlie and the final horse we're taking the

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Speaker 1: seven horse, Rock Your World, who is a horse that

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Speaker 1: won the Santa Anita Derby won it handily, set nine

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Speaker 1: to two the morning line, and Joel Rosario is going

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Speaker 1: to be riding this. It's a real fast horse that

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Speaker 1: could get to the lead and much like we saw

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Speaker 1: with Medina Spirits, Rocky World might get out there and

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Speaker 1: just run and just be out there the whole entire

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Speaker 1: time to get to lead early and keep the lead.

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Speaker 1: It's a smaller field, it's a longer race than any other,

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Speaker 1: all right. So I'm taking four horses, the two, the three,

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Speaker 1: the four, and the seven horse. We're boxing them trifecta box.

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Speaker 1: So any order of those four horses coming in one, two,

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Speaker 1: three and we win trifecta box one dollar trifecta box.

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Speaker 2: Four horses, twenty four.

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Speaker 1: Dollar bet at the triple at the Belmont Stakes for

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Speaker 1: the Triple Crown. All right, so let's recap the bets

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Speaker 1: coming up here for a Saturday. We are going with

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Speaker 1: the Bruins Islanders over five at minus one twenty. We're

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Speaker 1: going over two thirty nine and a half Brooklyn and

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Speaker 1: the Bucks at minus one ten. We are going and

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Speaker 1: taking the White Sox on the run line against the

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Speaker 1: Detroit Tigers at minus one fourteen and we're taking a

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Speaker 1: trifecta box the two three, four and seven horses at

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Speaker 1: the Belmont Stakes one dollar bet each for a twenty

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Speaker 1: four dollar bet going into that Triple Crown race. Nothing

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Speaker 1: on the MMA World tonight. I'm not really interested. I'm

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Speaker 1: not betting anything with the boxing match if you want

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Speaker 1: to call it that between Floyd Mayweather and Logan Paul.

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Speaker 1: Not going to pay attention to it, to be quite honest.

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Speaker 1: It's just I think everybody expects a pretty embarrassing time.

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Speaker 1: If you were going to buy that fight, I think

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Speaker 1: you're going to be mad about that. But to each

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Speaker 1: its own, I think pretty much you're going to see

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Speaker 1: a master's class in how to school and embarrass a kid.

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Speaker 1: But you never know, maybe Floyd gets clipped. It's boxing,

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Speaker 1: so we'll see what happens. But pretty much Logan is

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Speaker 1: the tune up because I think eventually Logan Paul is

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Speaker 1: going to step aside and Jake Paul will wind up

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Speaker 1: fighting after he fights Woodley. If he beats Woodley, which

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Speaker 1: he might, if he beats Tyrone Woodley, it'll be Jake

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Speaker 1: Paul against Floyd Mayweather.

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe that gets more attention, but no one's going to

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Speaker 1: sanction a fight where one fighter is giving up forty

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Speaker 1: pounds professionally. Exhibition fine, professionally, no one's going to do that.

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Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens. Let's get back on the

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Speaker 1: horse here, Let's see how we do it. We were

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Speaker 1: very light on Friday, most likely a one in one

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Speaker 1: mark for us on Friday, so a flat day, but

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Speaker 1: a day to recoup and get our minds right and

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Speaker 1: no I'll come back here hopefully having a very good

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Speaker 1: Saturday for us. Mine is Matt Parot. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 1: it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 1: brought to you by BEDAMGM