1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:04,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in friends to the Betting Pros College Football Preview Show. 2 00:00:04,680 --> 00:00:07,360 Speaker 1: I am Chris Welsh. I am not Scott Bogman, but 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:11,039 Speaker 1: Bogman is here. You are without four this week, but 4 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: Bogman will be filling that chair. But you have no 5 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: worries because we have Mike Farrell here. You can find 6 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at is it the Welsh? We've got 7 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: at Bogman Sports and m Farrell Sports everybody locked in motion. 8 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: Bogs are going to have to create some adjusted line system. 9 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: So do we have the b ts the Bogman A well, 10 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 1: like I should, probably Don'll do it. 11 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 2: It's called the Bogman Big Fat Cut System. So it's 12 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:37,160 Speaker 2: what I use every single week. It's done pretty well 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 2: for me this year. We got back up to five 14 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 2: hundred head of six and four week this week, so 15 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 2: I was happy about that and ready to rock and roll. No, 16 00:00:45,680 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 2: we're not. We don't need to talk about tex. 17 00:00:47,280 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: This week, So Mike, would you like to talk about 18 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: Texas or maybe talk. 19 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:52,599 Speaker 3: About Yeah, we can talk about Texas. We can talk 20 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 3: about four downs and three street running the same play 21 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 3: pretty much. And then why receive screen to one hundred 22 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 3: and fifty five pound guy who you know, can easily 23 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 3: be stopped. We can talk about all that. 24 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: We could do that Boggan. We got forty five minutes, 25 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 1: so we got plenty of time. 26 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,080 Speaker 2: You guys are fun. Yeah, this is gonna be a 27 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 2: great show, Mike. 28 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,119 Speaker 1: So from the same thing there. It was a weird week. 29 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:20,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, look, Texas just choked Texas, but I'm hoping hoping 30 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 2: for a rematch. And did look good. 31 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 3: I mean they came out physical, they were hitting the Yeah, 32 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 3: I wasn't gonna happen again to them, and then they 33 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 3: just happened to win the game. 34 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 2: I will give them full credit. You know, Texas got 35 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 2: going too late, some bad play calls, as Mike mentioned 36 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 2: at the end, and just Gabriel is good. Dylan Gabriel 37 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 2: is a very good QB. He led them on that 38 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 2: game winning drive and you know, hat tip to them. 39 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 2: They won, they deserved it and hopefully we'll see them again. 40 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: Well, one thing I would tell you, guys, I know 41 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: you're gonna miss Thor in this episode. We did do 42 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: the early look Ahead show, which you can check out, 43 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: which I host with Eric Froton, and which does have 44 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: some of those early lines. Make sure you're following Thor 45 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: on the betting pros app you can also see where 46 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: his bets are. And I think we should be we 47 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: have the crew back together of Mike and Thor on Saturday. 48 00:02:11,880 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 1: But let's dig into some of these games, let's dig 49 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 1: into all of it. And we're jumping into Saturday with 50 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: this first bad Boy. We have got number one Georgia 51 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: going up against Vanderbilt. Thirty one and a half is 52 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: the line, fifty six and a half is the total. 53 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: Look like the tickets and the money is on Vandy 54 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: and it's kind of split on the over right now. 55 00:02:32,200 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 1: So Micha, let's ship right into you. What do you think? 56 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 1: What do you got on this Georgia game with a 57 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: pretty big spread? 58 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 3: Well, don't I don't really trust Vanderbilt At thirty one 59 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 3: and a half, it's pretty high. George is going to 60 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 3: be on a little bit of a calm down. They're 61 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 3: going to overlook them a little bit. Obviously. The Kentucky 62 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 3: game was a statement game for them at home. That 63 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 3: being said, I have no idea why everybody's taking Vanderbilt. 64 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 3: They Yeah, they're just not a good football team. You know, 65 00:02:58,040 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 3: Florida covered pretty easily, and they're not a good football 66 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 3: team either. So I'm gonna say Georgia is going to 67 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 3: cover this big number. You know, they're on a mission. 68 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 3: People are telling them they're not as good as the 69 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 3: last two teams. People are telling them that, you know, 70 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 3: they told them last week that Kentucky could beat him. 71 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 3: Kirby's gonna keep him focused. He always is great at 72 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 3: motivating and somehow he's going to motivate them. I have 73 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 3: no idea how to get motivated for Vanderbilt at Vanderbilt, 74 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 3: but he's gonna come up with something stupid, you know, like, oh, 75 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:27,760 Speaker 3: you know, people think you're gonna lead down and you're 76 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,959 Speaker 3: not gonna win, so let's win by fifty or you know, 77 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:33,919 Speaker 3: Vanderbilt is talking smack or something dumb and it'll work. 78 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 3: So they're gonna win this game by I would I 79 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 3: would guess thirty five to forty points. 80 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 1: Bugs. When you look at the when you look at 81 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: all that money and the tickets on Vandy, everybody taking 82 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: the points on that, does it give you any pause? 83 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 3: No? 84 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 2: Not really, And the reason is is because this this 85 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: is the best Vanderbilt team I've seen in a long time, 86 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 2: and they still suck. They're just not very good. I mean, 87 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 2: Georgia is a contender. We have talked about on this 88 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 2: show how Georgia will take a half to wake up, 89 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 2: but they didn't do it last week against Kentucky. Like 90 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 2: Mike said, it is a statement game. The only thing 91 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 2: that worries me is like if they score thirty five 92 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 2: in the first quarter and then just kind of coast 93 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 2: for the rest of the game, because we have seen 94 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 2: Georgia do that. But Vandy, I believe, in the last 95 00:04:19,520 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 2: two meetings didn't score a point against Georgia. I think 96 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:25,840 Speaker 2: I don't have a reason that that is going to 97 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 2: change very much in this game. It's a de facto 98 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 2: home game for Georgia because they will fill up that 99 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 2: stadium in Nashville. I just think that they're not sleepwalking anymore. 100 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 2: They put thirty four points up in the first half. 101 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:42,480 Speaker 2: This is a bad bandy team. They can make unforced 102 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 2: errors in this game, and Georgia is gonna win going away. 103 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 2: So not my favorite bet of the week, but I 104 00:04:48,240 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 2: will take Georgia and I'll take the over because I 105 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 2: think they get the majority of it. 106 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: What do you like better, the spread or the total? 107 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 2: It's still the spread. The total, I don't know, but 108 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 2: I still like Georgia lane. 109 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, it total depends on what the Vanderbilt scores. I mean, 110 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 3: you know, George is not gonna score fifty six themselves. 111 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 3: You don't think so ken Vanderbilt cobble together fourteen points 112 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 3: or ten points. So I don't like the over either 113 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 3: or the under. We agree on the side, and you 114 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 3: know what, we're both gonna be wrong because here's what's 115 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 3: gonna happen. George is gonna come out slow because I 116 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 3: don't care about this game. It's a high school atmosphere. 117 00:05:20,360 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 3: They're not gonna be fired up, you know, and they're 118 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 3: gonna end up winning this game by twenty six twenty 119 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 3: seven points, and we're gonna be pissed. But I'm still 120 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 3: lay in the thirty one and a half. It's not 121 00:05:32,120 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 3: my favorite bet either, but I mean, Vanderbilt is just atrocious. 122 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: You get a baseball Vanderbilt. 123 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: I was about to say, it's a baseball school to me. 124 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:40,839 Speaker 1: That's it's a baseball school to me, as I watched 125 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: Dominic keegan and hit homers the other day here in 126 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:44,720 Speaker 1: the Arizona Fall League. But there might be something to 127 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: watch live, maybe there's a live bet in play. But 128 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: I'm not so sure there's something that we're going to 129 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,080 Speaker 1: be jumping into as far as the sprints and the 130 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: totals if we are really wanting to get some action 131 00:05:54,680 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 1: on this. Hey, college football fans, are you ready to 132 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: put your betting skills to the test. Maybe it's at 133 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: Georgia Vanderbilt game, or maybe it's one that's coming up 134 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: here soon. Maybe it's all of them, because that is 135 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 1: what you want to do. If you join the Betting 136 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 1: Pros College Football Podcast betting group, make your picks all 137 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:14,040 Speaker 1: season long, and if you're among the top ROI performers, 138 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: you could win big prizes include a sign Garrett Wilson 139 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:21,280 Speaker 1: Ohio State Jersey, which is pretty awesome, and premium subscriptions 140 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,480 Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. You got to make 141 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: just at least one hundred picks, so if you've missed out, 142 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:27,560 Speaker 1: you got to catch up. So you might want to 143 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: get in all these games, you gotta have one hundred 144 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: throughout the season to qualify. Jump in now over at 145 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,799 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com, slash college or in the Betting Pros 146 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 1: app under the College Football Podcast group. Made the best 147 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: better win Arkansas Alabama Number eleven. Alabama has a nineteen 148 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: and a half point spread a forty seven total. Looks 149 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 1: like we have got the tickets on Arkansas, the money 150 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: on BAMA, and the money big time on the under. 151 00:06:57,120 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: It's kind of split as far as tickets are on 152 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: the over, the heaviest percentage is on the under here 153 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 1: as far as the cash goes. So, Mike, what do 154 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: you think about Arkansas and Alabama? 155 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 3: I like the under. You know, I'm agreeing with the 156 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 3: general public. I would lean towards Arkansas covering this. Not 157 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 3: that they're going to win, but you know, I think 158 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 3: the Sam Pittman Ara is winding down two and four, 159 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:23,040 Speaker 3: four straight losses. But seven point loss to b YU, 160 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 3: three point loss to LSU, you know, twelve to A 161 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 3: and m you know seven to Old Miss. These teams 162 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 3: aren't discernibly worse than Alabama. I mean by he's not 163 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 3: in the same category. LSU doesn't have a defense. But 164 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 3: you know, I mean these are solid teams, lets U, 165 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 3: Texas A and m Old Miss. They've been staying close 166 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 3: at least close enough or at least within nineteen and 167 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 3: a half. So I would take Arkansas to cover, But 168 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 3: I like the under. I think Arkansas has a solid defense. 169 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 3: You know, they're giving up to good teams. You know, 170 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 3: thirty thirty four. Alabama doesn't have a great offense. This 171 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 3: is going to be a defensive struggle. I could see 172 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 3: this game being thirty one two. I don't know, thirty 173 00:08:06,000 --> 00:08:11,400 Speaker 3: one to ten. You know. That's why the side is attractive, 174 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 3: But not because I think if Thor would do his 175 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:15,600 Speaker 3: analytics would be like, my number is nineteen point seven. 176 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 3: It's like right there. The line is good. But I 177 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 3: think this could be a low scoring game, you know, 178 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 3: and I think the under is what I'm going to take. 179 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: Bugs When you look at this, the heavy heavy money 180 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: on that under looks like it might be tantalizing. But 181 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: Alabama has also been someone to bet against for multiple 182 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:36,040 Speaker 1: weeks some playing This is not a game you have 183 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: like a money line play in it. But that's a 184 00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: big number on the spread. Is this an Arkansas play? 185 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,199 Speaker 1: Is this You've been very big totals this year, so 186 00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: I feel like you're going to hone in on the totals. 187 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: What do you like out of this game? 188 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,080 Speaker 2: It's the under? I mean, I hate to agree, you know, 189 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 2: two in a row, I've agree with Mike and the 190 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 2: public here. I guess we went against the public with Georgia, 191 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:54,720 Speaker 2: but I don't know. 192 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 3: Man. 193 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 2: I like the undermore than anything this game. Kaj Jefferson 194 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 2: is having to do everything on offense for thebas and 195 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 2: it hasn't been working. Arkansas's last every game they played 196 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 2: against P five opponents so far, four games in a 197 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,280 Speaker 2: row by U lsu A, and M and Old Miss. 198 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 2: Last two games they only put up twenty two and 199 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,040 Speaker 2: twenty points. Bama's turned it on the last two weeks 200 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: after the embarrassing performance at South Florida. They held Old 201 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 2: Miss to ten, Mississippi State to seventeen. They'll get Arkansas's 202 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:23,440 Speaker 2: best effort for sure, but I don't think it's going 203 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:26,040 Speaker 2: to be enough. I'm just not sold on the Bama 204 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:29,439 Speaker 2: offense yet either, so I don't want to lay the points. 205 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 2: But I'm not sure Arkansas is gonna have too many 206 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 2: scoring opportunities. So Bama isn't having a great year. But 207 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 2: I still think they rank as the I think they 208 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:40,880 Speaker 2: still rank as the number one team in defense according 209 00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 2: to pff uh. It's just not clicking on offense. So 210 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:45,720 Speaker 2: I think the under is the play here. 211 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 1: Let me throw one thing at you guys here real quick. 212 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:49,480 Speaker 1: You do want to take four system? 213 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 3: Okay, good door system. Yeah, I have system. 214 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: I do hosts. 215 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:56,680 Speaker 2: He hosts the first show of the week. 216 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 1: I have the first show. I do them. 217 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:00,839 Speaker 3: Everyone I got. 218 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 2: I got some minds. 219 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 3: Maybe don't work much launch codes. Man, that's pretty bad. 220 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: About to blow your mind. Alabama actually opened up as 221 00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: a seventeen and a half point favorite Thores. Now, this 222 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 1: could have been adjusted over the last couple of days 223 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: as far as the early line look was, his system 224 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:22,319 Speaker 1: had Alabama at eighteen and a half and two and 225 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: a half points on the over. Forty nine and a 226 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: half was the total here. So that is what as 227 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 1: of Sunday when we ran the system and we did 228 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: the look ahead, that's what that is. So it plays 229 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: like the slightest edged Arkansas and actually a little bit 230 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: on the over. 231 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,319 Speaker 2: I think this might have been Milroe's best game last 232 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 2: year too, right. 233 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, it was definitely And and he's improving. You know, 234 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 3: he's a good downfield passes. They suited the offense for 235 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 3: what his strengths are, downfield passing and running. He's not 236 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 3: an intermediate passer. He's not very accurate in that he 237 00:10:50,440 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 3: needs say he have his feet moving to actually compete 238 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:55,199 Speaker 3: a complete and accurate pass, which is the opposite of 239 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 3: what you want. But to to Alabama's credit, I mean 240 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 3: after this Florida and Texas games, you know which they 241 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 3: didn't come close to covering either. They covered against Old Mists, 242 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,439 Speaker 3: covered agains Mississippi State, they covered against Texas Sam. So 243 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 3: they're on a little streak. So if you do want to, 244 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 3: you know, lean that way for momentum purposes. I just think, 245 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 3: you know, nineteen and a half is a lot. Arkansas 246 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,839 Speaker 3: is not a horrible football team, so I'm going under. 247 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 3: But I could see why, you know, people might be 248 00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:28,959 Speaker 3: pushing that line up if it was seventeen and a 249 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 3: half because Alabama has been covering at least the last three. 250 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, and again it's it's interesting because that was a 251 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,440 Speaker 1: night it was a seventeen and a half open and 252 00:11:37,480 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 1: it's moved over into this We were moving into the 253 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 1: value changing side. So Arkansas has become the bet where 254 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 1: there might have been some early value on Bama. All right, 255 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:49,960 Speaker 1: let's move over to the next game on the slate. 256 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: We've got Syracuse at number four for Florida State. Seventeen 257 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:55,680 Speaker 1: and a half is the line. Your total is fifty 258 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: six and a half. We've got heavy tickets and money 259 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: on Syracuse and we you've got heavy ticket percentage on 260 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 1: the over, kind of locked in on the under. It's 261 00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 1: about the same. There's nothing crazy to talk about that with. 262 00:12:09,679 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: But Mike, where is your play in this Florida State game? 263 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 3: I like Syracuse here. I mean, you know, Florida State 264 00:12:15,440 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 3: has sort of disappointed me a little bit with these 265 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 3: big lines. You know, I expect a little bit more 266 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 3: and they haven't covered. So seventeen and a half isn't 267 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 3: the same as as you know, twenty whatever it was 268 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 3: against Boston College or you know, but it's still a lot. 269 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 3: And Syracuse is a serviceable football team, and it played 270 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,079 Speaker 3: you know, Florida State's common oppoonment. They succeed blah blah blah. 271 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 3: They're going to be prepared. Florida State is drilling teams, 272 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 3: but not drilling them enough, and they need style points 273 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 3: and I thought they would really continue to you know, 274 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:49,760 Speaker 3: get them. But Virginia Tech, they had a chance to 275 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:53,680 Speaker 3: actually cover, they didn't do it. They didn't cover against 276 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 3: Boston College. So I think, you know, I think Syracuse 277 00:12:57,160 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 3: is better than both of those teams by far, they 278 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 3: can cover the seventeen and a half Boggs. 279 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: I did take a peek. I think I have the 280 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 1: okay from Thor as the host and him sending me 281 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:09,320 Speaker 1: this out. This is his show also, and so I 282 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 1: want to put this out here. There is value. According 283 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:16,880 Speaker 1: to Thor's system, fourteen and a half was the value 284 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 1: line here. So that shows a play to Syracuse by 285 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,280 Speaker 1: multiple points. You have over three points of value on 286 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 1: Syracuse's side. Is that enough for you though? 287 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 2: Nope, I'm taking Florida State in this game. I just 288 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:32,040 Speaker 2: saw Syracuse get torched for six hundred and forty four 289 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 2: yards against UNC and Drake May is one of the 290 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 2: best qbs in the country. I understand that. I think 291 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 2: Jordan Travis is one of the best QB's in the country. 292 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 2: They have big time targets too, and Wilson and Coleman, 293 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 2: you know, a big running back in Trey Benson. They 294 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,720 Speaker 2: have disappointed and they're very wishy washy. So once again, 295 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:52,719 Speaker 2: not my favorite bet of the week. It's not one 296 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 2: I'll probably be holding a ticket on either way. But 297 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 2: I got to take Florida State in this game because 298 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 2: of what I just saw from Eracues was terrible. Copycat league, 299 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 2: you know football's copycat. I think maybe's Syracuse got a 300 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:11,320 Speaker 2: little blueprinted last weekend's unc I think Florida State tortes 301 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,959 Speaker 2: them so, and Florida State needs to put the foot 302 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 2: on the gas and press down because they haven't been 303 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 2: like Mike said, Boston College covered another team covered here, 304 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 2: they haven't looked. They're they're definitely not unbeatable. And you 305 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 2: know the ranking. You got to get into that top four, 306 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 2: you got to win with style. So I think this 307 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 2: is a team that they can do that with. I 308 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 2: think they got to take advantage of those spots. 309 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,640 Speaker 1: And it looks like the line has moved down a 310 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 1: full point from where it opened. I want to get hooked, though. 311 00:14:42,080 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 1: I'd be personally me looking sixteen and a half if 312 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: we could get there. If all this eracuse better is 313 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 1: if I were to bet Florida State, I would love 314 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:52,000 Speaker 1: to not be sitting around that hook because that hook 315 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: is a dangerous by it down, yeah, byeway, goodbye down too. 316 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:56,840 Speaker 1: You Actually, when you get closer to that, let's go 317 00:14:56,840 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: over to BYU. At TCU, we got a smaller spread. Finally, 318 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: four and a half with a fifty two and a 319 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:06,560 Speaker 1: half total. The tickets and the money currently are on BYU. 320 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: Nothing insane, but it's in favor of You've also got 321 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: tickets and money on the under, so there seems to 322 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 1: be a relative consensus on this bad boy Mike, what 323 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 1: do you think about TCU and b YU. 324 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not really liking what I'm seeing from TCU, 325 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 3: and I actually like what I see from BYU. I mean, 326 00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:23,840 Speaker 3: they're obviously a solid football team. I knew coming to 327 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 3: the Big twelve. You know, they're kind of the fish 328 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 3: out of water. You know, they're an experienced team. They 329 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 3: don't play a lot of young guys. They're physical upfront, 330 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 3: They've got a really good offensive line, they play tough defense, 331 00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:39,800 Speaker 3: you know, and the Big twelve is known for spreading 332 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 3: you out and you know, throwing a ball around quite 333 00:15:42,080 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 3: a bit. That it reminds me one hundred years ago 334 00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 3: and when Boston College entered the ACC and nobody could 335 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 3: really figure out what are we doing with these six 336 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:55,000 Speaker 3: foot eight, three hundred and thirty pound linemen, and you 337 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 3: know this this power running game and all this other stuff. 338 00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 3: It's going to take a couple of years for the 339 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 3: league to a ups to them, you know, and TCU, 340 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 3: I mean just lost the Iowa state. They're horrible, you know, 341 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 3: the lost West Virginia average. So TCU, you know, Sunny 342 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 3: Dike's inherited quite the team as we're learning from from 343 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 3: Gary Patterson, and they're missing some some key key players 344 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 3: from last year's teams. There's no magic here and it's 345 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 3: b Yu and magic. I don't want to make them. 346 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 3: Can I make a magic underwear joke? I can't, probably right, 347 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:30,040 Speaker 3: you can't, right, It's just you could try. Maybe they 348 00:16:30,080 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 3: have to cut that out. But give me, give me 349 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 3: b Yu at home cover. 350 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: I will tell you. I do see in some spots 351 00:16:37,600 --> 00:16:39,680 Speaker 1: this line has even moved to six and bogs. I 352 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,160 Speaker 1: know we updated this right before the show was going, 353 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 1: but I see this at six in some spots. And 354 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: the only reason I'm bringing up the relevance to that 355 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 1: as well is Thor's line is six point nine, or 356 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,280 Speaker 1: at least again it was. I want to preface all 357 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:54,560 Speaker 1: of this. I am not Thor. Thor has the ultimate 358 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:57,200 Speaker 1: hammer on where these moved throughout the week, but this 359 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 1: was the early adjusted line here, and it was still 360 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 1: about a point differential from if it is at six 361 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: so six to four and a half is kind of 362 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: a big swing on what books you're looking at. But 363 00:17:06,720 --> 00:17:07,680 Speaker 1: do you have a lean on either side? 364 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't care what the number is. I'll take 365 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 2: BYU because I hate TCU. TCU has torched me twice. 366 00:17:12,560 --> 00:17:15,240 Speaker 2: I think I'm agreeing with Ferrell here. I think Sonny 367 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: Dykes is kind of you know, inherited a good team 368 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 2: from Patterson and obviously made the mistake at quarterback. He 369 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 2: wanted to go with Chandler Morris last year and he 370 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 2: got hurt, so he had to go with Max dugg And, 371 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 2: who ended up as a Heisman contender. So in this game, 372 00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:34,359 Speaker 2: you know, TCU is having a weird season. They lost 373 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:37,200 Speaker 2: so much on offense they have struggled to find replacements 374 00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 2: and now QB Chandler Morris, it's hurt. With a new 375 00:17:40,080 --> 00:17:42,880 Speaker 2: QB for TCU, and BYU is coming off this bye week, 376 00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,160 Speaker 2: I gotta go with BYU b YU. Maybe getting back 377 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 2: some good pieces too, wide receiver Cody Apps, running back 378 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 2: Eighten Robbins may be back as well. And like I said, 379 00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 2: it might be a little biased because TCU has torched 380 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 2: me twice. Last week was one of them. I thought 381 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 2: they beat the pants off Iowa State and they got smoked. 382 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 2: I just don't know what to expect from Josh Hoover, 383 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: who's going to be playing QB here. I feel like 384 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:07,440 Speaker 2: the over could be in play, but once again, Hoover's 385 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,959 Speaker 2: a big question. I'll go BYU in the over without 386 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 2: a ton of confidence on either. 387 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: Okay, well, this line moving has worked in favor of you. 388 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: This will be you, guys versus Thor system, which is 389 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 1: in favor of TCU. So as that line does move. 390 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 1: If it does, if you are seeing it at six, 391 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 1: if you're a by you better even better. You know 392 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 1: you get a better line, better bet overall. I've been 393 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:31,119 Speaker 1: making some money off of Texas A and M. Me 394 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:33,439 Speaker 1: and Thor. We're talking about that. Texas A and M 395 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: has been very nice. I know bogs with the thumbs down, Ah, 396 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,920 Speaker 1: the aggies, but you know what money bet over aggies, 397 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 1: my friend. They're going to be going up against number 398 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:46,240 Speaker 1: nineteen Tennessee. Three and a half point is the spread, 399 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:50,200 Speaker 1: fifty five and a half is the total tickets, kind 400 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: of down the middle. Money big time on an M 401 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 1: A little bit on the under in favor of and 402 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the money I'm seeing is on 403 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: the So this is an under and maybe an A 404 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,120 Speaker 1: and M line. But Mike, let's say. 405 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 3: You and a good football team. We know a lot 406 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 3: about them. I don't think we really know what we're 407 00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:12,760 Speaker 3: seeing from Tennessee. You know, we see a little bit 408 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 3: of an erratic team that didn't play anybody. You know, 409 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 3: Virginia's horrible. Austin p Utsa has been a big disappointment 410 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 3: that season. Yeah, they throttled South Carolina in the revenge game. 411 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 3: That was great. They actually look pretty solid on defense, 412 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:28,040 Speaker 3: believe it or not. And actually they're I believe their 413 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:31,120 Speaker 3: average yards per play is like four point four or something, 414 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 3: which is astonishing better than last season. But they also 415 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 3: lost to Florida and looked like garbage. The offense isn't 416 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:40,440 Speaker 3: the same. They're missing the two top wide receivers from 417 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 3: last year off to the NFL and missing the accuracy 418 00:19:42,960 --> 00:19:45,159 Speaker 3: of Hennon Hooker, A and M. We know what we're getting. 419 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,480 Speaker 3: We know they're a bit of an underachieving team based 420 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 3: on recruiting classes and all that good stuff. But they're 421 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 3: a really solid defense. You know, they're going to be 422 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,120 Speaker 3: able to diminish any sort of running attack. I think 423 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:01,119 Speaker 3: the Tennessee has which is really going to hurt Joe 424 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:05,880 Speaker 3: Milton and you know, offensively Texas. A and M has studs. 425 00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:08,919 Speaker 3: I mean, they've got good players, they just haven't been 426 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 3: able to put it together entirely. I think they're going 427 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,800 Speaker 3: to cover this game. Maybe they don't win, maybe they 428 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,199 Speaker 3: lose this one on the road, but at the very 429 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 3: least it should be a very close game. So give 430 00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:18,680 Speaker 3: me A and M. 431 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:21,560 Speaker 1: Yeah that three and a half, That hook might come 432 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:25,280 Speaker 1: into play here, Boggs, I'd be curious. I'm very curious 433 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 1: if we're going to usually positive about Aggie's But also 434 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,320 Speaker 1: I would say that four would be in line with this, 435 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:32,560 Speaker 1: at least according to a system, because there is around 436 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:34,719 Speaker 1: a point and a half value at least at the 437 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,639 Speaker 1: early onset, So that hook might be another one of 438 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:39,880 Speaker 1: those little key factors you'd want to jump in on. 439 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: But well, I mean, what say you do you think 440 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 1: Tennessee as the favorite? Here is the play? 441 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 2: I love this game. I think it's going to be 442 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 2: super weird. But no, Tennessee is not the play for me. 443 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 2: Neither is A and M. The under to me is 444 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,439 Speaker 2: the play in this game. I actually really like the under. 445 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 2: Tennessee lost to a bad Florida team, they beat a 446 00:20:56,960 --> 00:21:00,119 Speaker 2: decent South Carolina team. Like Mike mentioned to me, this 447 00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 2: game is all about the Tennessee offense against that Texas 448 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 2: A and M defense. Texas A and M harasses at 449 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 2: QB constantly. Joe Milton, I would call him middle of 450 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 2: the road against pressure. I look at the PFF numbers 451 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,080 Speaker 2: kind of the same thought as my gut feeling. He's 452 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 2: kind of middle of the road. Max Johnson, the quarterback 453 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,119 Speaker 2: taking over at Texas A and M, is actually the 454 00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:22,280 Speaker 2: number one rated QB with a clean pocket of qbs 455 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:26,160 Speaker 2: with a minimum and fifty dropbacks this season. But Tennessee 456 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 2: is a top five pass rutch defense according to PFF 457 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:32,359 Speaker 2: as well. The best play, in my opinion is the under. 458 00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:34,800 Speaker 2: I'll roll with that. I'll go with Tennessee because they're 459 00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:37,000 Speaker 2: coming off a bye week to playing at home and 460 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: they don't have their backup QB under center. But I 461 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 2: don't want any part of the side give me the 462 00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:44,600 Speaker 2: under in this game. I like the defense on both sides. 463 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 1: Well, that is where the money is. The money is 464 00:21:47,119 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: in play on that under, so that might be where 465 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 1: you want to go. You my friends can use Sportsbook 466 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,480 Speaker 1: Sync to automatically track your bets across all major sports 467 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: books in one spot. When you download the free Betting 468 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 1: Pros app on I or Android, easily track your bet 469 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:05,479 Speaker 1: performances by sport and bet type, including game picks, props, 470 00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 1: and parlays. Get personalized bet recommendations tailored to your interest, 471 00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: including line alerts. When viewing a game of interest, simply 472 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: get a game notification so that you're alerted once a 473 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,640 Speaker 1: line has hit a certain number that you're looking for. 474 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 1: At that point, you're going to be notified so you 475 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:20,880 Speaker 1: can lock in your bet and an ideal line. Then 476 00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: you can set that number to be up and set 477 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 1: it with your sports book. Head over to bettingpros dot 478 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,560 Speaker 1: com slash apps to start setting your line alerts now, 479 00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: or download the Betting Pros app in the iTunes or 480 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,520 Speaker 1: Google play Store today. It is an invaluable app. I 481 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: use it. I track my bets. NFL has been and 482 00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: guess what my college football bets have been? Great as 483 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 1: I have been hanging with these guys Thor and fro 484 00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 1: toon getting it done. So you can use me as 485 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:47,880 Speaker 1: a proxy if you want to follow me, you can 486 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 1: see what I'm betting with these guys and getting the 487 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,680 Speaker 1: smart money from all the smart people on the college 488 00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 1: football side. All right, let's get to some more games. 489 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:59,399 Speaker 1: We've got number eight Organ Baby, this game at number 490 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: seven Washington, Game of the week, line two and a 491 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 1: half total sixty seven. Things are split except for one thing, 492 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:12,920 Speaker 1: bet the over. We got money on Washington. We've got 493 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 1: tickets on Oregon, but we got everything on the over. 494 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: So Mike, are you overing it? And is there a 495 00:23:19,600 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: side that you want to play? 496 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:22,639 Speaker 3: No? I don't like decide at all. I don't know 497 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 3: who's gonna win this football game. I know the over 498 00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 3: is probably going to come in barring in the injuries. 499 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,240 Speaker 3: I mean, this is going to be an absolute shootout. 500 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,440 Speaker 3: I don't think either defense can stop the other. We've 501 00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 3: Oregon's got a good defense on paper, but they haven't 502 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 3: played anybody at all, So you know, sort of table 503 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:42,800 Speaker 3: those numbers Washington. You know, I mean, give up thirty 504 00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 3: two points to count twenty four to Arizona. They can 505 00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,919 Speaker 3: give up points to average teams. In Oregon's not an 506 00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,920 Speaker 3: average football team, so their secondary is not very good. 507 00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 3: And I think, you know it's funny because Organ's susceptible 508 00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 3: to me to the run. Even though Washington never runs 509 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 3: the ball. I think they're gonna run the ball a 510 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 3: little bit more in this game, and it's going to 511 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 3: be for big games, So give me the over here. 512 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,200 Speaker 3: I don't like the sides. If I had to pick 513 00:24:07,200 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 3: a team that's going to win this one, I would 514 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 3: go Washington, probably because it's going to be a shootout 515 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 3: and their offense is better. 516 00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 1: Penix Pennick talkman, what is there a side for you? 517 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: Or is this just a total player? Is there nothing? 518 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,119 Speaker 2: I mean, it's a stay away for me, you know, 519 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 2: as I'll steal thor saying it is definitely a stay away. 520 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 2: Two teams that haven't really been tested yet. Oregon was 521 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 2: able to stop that aggressive passing attack from Colorado, who 522 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 2: still ranks as a top five passing offense scoring in PFF, 523 00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 2: but Washington is the number one rated pass offense obviously 524 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:40,119 Speaker 2: in the country. Penix versus Nicks could be big in 525 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:42,679 Speaker 2: a Heisman race as well. I think Oregon is going 526 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 2: to have to win behind running backs Bucky Irving and 527 00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:48,400 Speaker 2: Jordan James. Really they need to test this Washington run defense. 528 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 2: Bon Nicks isn't making mistakes he's got one pick. He's 529 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 2: got an eighty percent completion rate as well. But Washington 530 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,160 Speaker 2: is going to be the first elite defense that they'll 531 00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:58,879 Speaker 2: have played this whole year. Penix is crushing it right now, 532 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:01,440 Speaker 2: and the Huskies are expected to get back stud wide 533 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,040 Speaker 2: receiver Jaylan McMillan to mix in with o'dunte and Pollock 534 00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:07,080 Speaker 2: and Polk excuse me, to form arguably the best wide 535 00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,960 Speaker 2: receiver corps in the country. Both teams are coming off 536 00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 2: a bye, so there's no advantage there. I think I'm 537 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,480 Speaker 2: going to take the Ducks in this game. The pass 538 00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 2: rush has been good. They really dominated Colorado and sold 539 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:21,240 Speaker 2: down a good uh you know, passing offense. This game 540 00:25:22,160 --> 00:25:24,400 Speaker 2: overall is to stay away, But for me, I'll lean 541 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:27,239 Speaker 2: on the Ducks as a more complete team here. But 542 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:28,920 Speaker 2: I do just I think this is just going to 543 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:30,160 Speaker 2: be a really fun game to watch. 544 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 1: Thor's voices coming down from Asgard to me, and he 545 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:38,480 Speaker 1: is incepting me with the tell go with mister Mike 546 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 1: Farrell because there are five points of value on that over. 547 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: He's got that one going at seventy two at least 548 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:47,120 Speaker 1: on the early lines, so that point. 549 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 3: And you have to bet this game if you're a 550 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:50,639 Speaker 3: human being. I mean, this is the game of the 551 00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 3: WA's going to be the most exciting game. You know 552 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:54,680 Speaker 3: you're going to bet it, Bogan, you know you're gonna. 553 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:55,359 Speaker 2: I'm gonna have to. 554 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 3: You cannot not bet it. 555 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,680 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Oregon. Yeah, I'll take Oregon. 556 00:25:58,800 --> 00:25:59,679 Speaker 3: You have to bet it. 557 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 2: I just one little piece. I know I'm gonna watch it, 558 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 2: so I want to little. 559 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,640 Speaker 3: As small as fine, But I don't have any sort 560 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 3: of gambling inkling of the addiction in your body. You 561 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 3: cannot watch this game without having money on it. And 562 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,439 Speaker 3: we will prop it out Saturday like crazy. There's so 563 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 3: many props that are gonna pop up here, but I'm 564 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:15,920 Speaker 3: gonna bet like that. 565 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 2: Bucky're probably over on the nine. 566 00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,199 Speaker 3: Props in this game. But yeah, if you're watching this 567 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 3: game and you don't have any money on it, shame 568 00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:24,639 Speaker 3: on you. So you're gonna bet it. 569 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 1: You know you will listen. I might not even be 570 00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:28,879 Speaker 1: able to get to the TV. I'm gonna bet it. 571 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:30,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet Washington because I love Pennix and I'm 572 00:26:30,920 --> 00:26:33,119 Speaker 1: gonna bet the over and I'm gonna probably do it 573 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:34,919 Speaker 1: as soon as we're done. With this show because I'm 574 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:37,040 Speaker 1: gonna lock in my stuff, but make sure you guys 575 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,879 Speaker 1: are tuned in on Saturday mornings at ten am Eastern. 576 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 1: I think I always screw that up at ten am Eastern, 577 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,480 Speaker 1: where Ferrell and Thor will be breaking everything down, getting 578 00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: you the latest, the greatest, and like you said, propping 579 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 1: you guys up with all the best props. Get locked 580 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:55,760 Speaker 1: into that. Auburn LSU eleven and a half points as 581 00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:58,199 Speaker 1: the line. This is another big total sixty and a half. 582 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 1: We've got tickets and money on money is barely on Auburn, 583 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: and it looks like so far we don't have any 584 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: money lines, but we got tickets that are heavy on 585 00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: the under. So Mike, what's your play? If there is 586 00:27:09,359 --> 00:27:10,400 Speaker 1: one in LSU. 587 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,679 Speaker 3: And Auburn, I'm going to go under here. And this 588 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 3: is kind of interesting because LSU's defense stinks. You know, 589 00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:18,720 Speaker 3: they pulled out that cover. Thank you, Brady Cook, you 590 00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:22,879 Speaker 3: idiot for throwing at pick six, because I had that one. 591 00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 3: Missouri was seventeen to three of them. I mean I 592 00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,639 Speaker 3: had it. I had it. And then he all he 593 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 3: has to do was like I don't turn it over 594 00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 3: on down. It's just don't throw a pick six, but 595 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 3: he did. They covered that way. Their defense stinks, but 596 00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 3: their pass defense is atrocious and Auburn can't throw the 597 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,680 Speaker 3: ball to save their lives. So what are they gonna do. 598 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 3: They're gonna try to run on them. Yeah, it's just 599 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 3: it's gonna be one of these games where I think 600 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 3: LSU puts up good points. I think they're going to 601 00:27:46,840 --> 00:27:48,520 Speaker 3: win the game. If they had to pick a side, 602 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 3: would go to LSU. Auburn's not gonna put up a 603 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 3: lot of points here, despite the fact that LSU's defense 604 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 3: is horrible, So go with. 605 00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:57,040 Speaker 1: The under bugs. I just knowing you as long as 606 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 1: I have. People don't know I've known Bogmin for twenty 607 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,280 Speaker 1: five years. Maybe I'm gonna be wrong here. I can't 608 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:04,400 Speaker 1: imagine there's a play that you like in this goal 609 00:28:04,520 --> 00:28:07,119 Speaker 1: there is Oh my god, I don't know anything about you. 610 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 1: I don't even know who you are. If you don't bet, 611 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,080 Speaker 1: if you don't bet the Cal Washington game, I don't 612 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:12,879 Speaker 1: know you, and apparently I don't know you from this. 613 00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 1: So what is the play? Because I don't know where 614 00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:15,199 Speaker 1: you're gonna go with. 615 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,120 Speaker 2: I know that Auburn is getting the love here because 616 00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:18,679 Speaker 2: they're coming off the buy, they had two weeks to 617 00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 2: prepare for this game. They're a solid team, but there's 618 00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:25,240 Speaker 2: a reason that LSU is still double digit favorite here. 619 00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:27,120 Speaker 2: LSU is going to be able to score on Auburn, 620 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,240 Speaker 2: who does have a solid defense top twenty five and 621 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,040 Speaker 2: scoring thirty third against the pass. My guy Nick Allen 622 00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:35,159 Speaker 2: and see if you Winning Edge has the Auburn backfield 623 00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:38,320 Speaker 2: seven as a top fifteen unit. But it doesn't matter. 624 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels has been awesome. They will score. They will 625 00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 2: put pressure on the Auburn offense to keep pace, and 626 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,120 Speaker 2: like Mike said, Auburn should be able to score, but 627 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:51,280 Speaker 2: the passing offense is disgusting. Auburn is inefficient. They're currently 628 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 2: ranked one hundred and twenty first in passing yards per game. 629 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,280 Speaker 2: PFF has them at seventy ninth in passing. Anyone should 630 00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,840 Speaker 2: be able to pass against LSU, as they rank a 631 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third against the pass. They're bad, but 632 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,720 Speaker 2: I don't think Auburn has enough choice to do it. 633 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 2: LSU will load up the box on defense, they'll stop 634 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,480 Speaker 2: the run. They might give up big plays, but I 635 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:15,240 Speaker 2: think Auburn hat being one dimensional gives LSU a big 636 00:29:15,280 --> 00:29:17,680 Speaker 2: advantage here. The big matchup is going to be the 637 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:21,080 Speaker 2: Auburn defense against the LSU offense, and I'll take the 638 00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 2: offense here. LSU is going to win going away. 639 00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 1: I cannot speak to how Thor would bet this, but 640 00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: the early line looked on the adjusted the four adjusted 641 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 1: system was round ten on LSU. So it's kind of 642 00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: moved on the opposite end. 643 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:39,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, and then Peyton Thorn will throw a pick six 644 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 2: and LSU will cover, so. 645 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 3: Right, gross, and he's worse than Brady Cook. Brady Cook's good. 646 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 2: Brady Cook's really good. 647 00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:49,479 Speaker 3: You set the SEC record for it passes with an 648 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 3: interception and then you know that obviously ended in earlier 649 00:29:52,880 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 3: in the game. 650 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 2: But LS you put so much pressure because they scored 651 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 2: so many points, and Auburn's gonna have to pass at 652 00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:00,480 Speaker 2: the end and they're gonna throw picks. It's what's going 653 00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 2: to happen. 654 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 1: Oh they are. 655 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,640 Speaker 3: I'm just still talking thinking about the Brady Cook and 656 00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 3: or so I still mad about how that's just ruined 657 00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 3: my life so well. 658 00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 1: I don't get this one. And you guys are you 659 00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: guys are the analyst. You guys are the smart guys. 660 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 1: I just go back, and I go, well, Notre Dame. 661 00:30:14,280 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 1: I know that USC went to wire to wire three overtimes, ridiculous. 662 00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:23,240 Speaker 1: Shouldn't have even been with that with Arizona. But Notre 663 00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:26,040 Speaker 1: Dame also just lost. And Notre Dame at home, I 664 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 1: suppose is a two and a half point favorite on USC. 665 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 1: It's a big rivalry matchup. Number ten, number twenty one 666 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,840 Speaker 1: sixty three is the line. You got tickets and money 667 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,480 Speaker 1: kind of in favor of USC. The overlooks like it's 668 00:30:37,480 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: in play for a lot of betters currently. Maybe Notre 669 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 1: Dame is just better. I feel like they've just been 670 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: a disappointment. USC playing down, But Mike, what say you? 671 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,920 Speaker 1: The thor system agrees kind of with Notre Dame. I 672 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 1: just don't If I were betting this, I wouldn't bet 673 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,280 Speaker 1: Notre Dame. But you know you're the guy that makes 674 00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 1: the money, So what's the you. 675 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not betting this side. I like the over. 676 00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:57,880 Speaker 3: The reason Notre Dame is favored in this game is 677 00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 3: because there's one thing that you see is well, there's 678 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,640 Speaker 3: a lot of things USC defensively can't do, but one 679 00:31:03,720 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 3: is they're not good up front. They're not good at 680 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,320 Speaker 3: stopping the run. Notre Dame is good at, you know, 681 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 3: running the football, except for last week against Louisville when 682 00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 3: that was inexplicable. There are two lost teams, so them 683 00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 3: being favored against an undefeated playoff contender feels kind of weird, 684 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 3: but that's probably what everybody's looking at when it comes 685 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 3: to these matchups. To me, it's the over. You know, 686 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:28,080 Speaker 3: if Notre Dame gets a lead, USC will you know, 687 00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,280 Speaker 3: obviously aired out with Caleb Williams and put up some 688 00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 3: points and this could end up in a track meet. 689 00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 3: If USC gets a lead, Notre Dame is going to 690 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 3: be very uncomfortable. They've never been a good team coming 691 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:41,280 Speaker 3: from behind. That could lead to more points for USC 692 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 3: if Notre Dame makes some mistakes. So take the over here. 693 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 3: If I had to pick a side, would think USC 694 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:52,040 Speaker 3: just simply because they've got the better quarterback. They're they've 695 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 3: got the better offense, and it's kind of inexplicable than 696 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,240 Speaker 3: an undefeated team is a to a half point underdog 697 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 3: at Notre Dame when they're coming off end this loss 698 00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:02,520 Speaker 3: at home, but they didn't look good at all. 699 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny, bugs because we're like, oh, Washington Organ 700 00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 1: you gotta bet it, blah blah blah. But then it's 701 00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,680 Speaker 1: like you got two huge teams, two huge rivalries, which 702 00:32:09,720 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 1: feels like kind of a no touch. 703 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:12,640 Speaker 2: You don't want to bet this game because then you 704 00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:13,400 Speaker 2: have to watch it. 705 00:32:13,680 --> 00:32:16,040 Speaker 1: So yeah, I feel like you're not gonna want to 706 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 1: touch this one. But I mean, what say you is yeah? 707 00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 2: Side? 708 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:19,160 Speaker 1: Is there a total? 709 00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:21,760 Speaker 2: I mean, here's what we know. We know USC is 710 00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,520 Speaker 2: going to score. USC's low score the season so far, 711 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 2: as the forty three they just put up against Arizona. 712 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,800 Speaker 2: Notre Dame is a strong defensive team. They held Ohio 713 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 2: State to seventeen and Duke to fourteen, but they just 714 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 2: let Louisville gash them for thirty three. And USC is 715 00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 2: also going to get scored on the last three weeks. 716 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:44,280 Speaker 2: They've given up twenty eight to ASU, forty one to Colorado, 717 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 2: forty one to Arizona. The question is is can Sam 718 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:49,840 Speaker 2: Hartman take advantage. He threw three picks last week and 719 00:32:49,880 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 2: one of the few things that USC does well is 720 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,880 Speaker 2: rush the passer. With USC being guaranteed to score and 721 00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 2: Sam Hartman not playing his best ball, I'm gonna take 722 00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,120 Speaker 2: USC on the road I'm more confident in you u 723 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:02,760 Speaker 2: SC than the total, but I can see the total 724 00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:07,120 Speaker 2: going over as well because USC's defense is garbage. Lincoln 725 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 2: Riley and his defense has been bad for a long time. Farrell, Uh, 726 00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:16,560 Speaker 2: you know, proposed that maybe Alex Grinch has some pictures 727 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:20,320 Speaker 2: of Lincoln Riley last week. Something has to be going 728 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,680 Speaker 2: on there because it is bad on defense for USC. 729 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 2: So the over is a decent play. But I'm also 730 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:27,200 Speaker 2: going with the Trojans. 731 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 3: On the road here. 732 00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: Yes, And like my differentiating factor is just like the 733 00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: quarterback play, like I Hartman Caleb Williams, I'm gonna go 734 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: with Caleb Williams on this side. I know USC can't 735 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,440 Speaker 1: stop anybody, but I just think that the better. 736 00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 2: Salem didn't look good last week, but it was clearly 737 00:33:41,680 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 2: a look ahead game. You know they're going at quarterback. 738 00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 3: If you bet the better quarterback in every game, you're 739 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:52,080 Speaker 3: probably going to come out. 740 00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 1: Like fifty eight. Yeah. 741 00:33:54,240 --> 00:33:56,640 Speaker 3: I don't think people don't do it, and I don't 742 00:33:56,640 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 3: do it. I should, but yeah, I mean just a 743 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:01,000 Speaker 3: lot about take the better quarterback. 744 00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:03,800 Speaker 1: You're not a principal. I'm betting USC principal. Sorry not 745 00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,040 Speaker 1: to Dame I'm betting USC. I'm just doing it out 746 00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,760 Speaker 1: of principle because I'm a degenerate and I don't need big, 747 00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 1: big lines and big facts to get me. You know what, 748 00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,319 Speaker 1: that hit me, struck me better. Quarterback Kayla Williams. Lock 749 00:34:14,360 --> 00:34:16,040 Speaker 1: it in, all right? Two more here. We got number 750 00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: twenty five Miami going up against number twelve North Carolina. 751 00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 1: The spread is three and a half, little hook there, 752 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:23,600 Speaker 1: fifty seven and a half. We got tickets and money 753 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:27,840 Speaker 1: on UNC. We don't have any information on the totals. So, 754 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:32,840 Speaker 1: mister Mike Farrell, Miami, North Carolina, what is the bet UNC? 755 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:36,880 Speaker 3: Mario lost this football team. He won't admit it, the 756 00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:40,880 Speaker 3: team won't admit it, the administration won't admit it. But 757 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:43,839 Speaker 3: he's lost this football team. There's no way you can 758 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,200 Speaker 3: possibly gain this football team back after what you did 759 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 3: last week, after you put these kids in that position, 760 00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 3: after you not only didn't kneel and fumbled and and 761 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:54,920 Speaker 3: you know, review shows that was not a fumble, but 762 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:57,560 Speaker 3: who cares? You still didn't need decision. 763 00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:59,480 Speaker 2: Way, yeah, but then you. 764 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 3: Gave up any four yards and twenty six seconds when 765 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 3: all you had to do is play prevent defense. You 766 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:07,719 Speaker 3: deserved everything you got. It's the worst coaching I've ever seen. 767 00:35:08,840 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 3: There's no way to get this team back. And you know, 768 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:12,960 Speaker 3: Mario was quote to say there was a spirited you 769 00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 3: know we're back in practice, it's spirited. Yeah, that's great. 770 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,600 Speaker 3: The second things go wrong, everybody's just gonna lose faith 771 00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:20,960 Speaker 3: and they're gonna fold. So Miami is on a downward 772 00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 3: spiral here. Not against craft teams, but North Carolina is 773 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 3: a good team. They can score some points. They're gonna 774 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:29,520 Speaker 3: put it up. I don't like the over because I 775 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,920 Speaker 3: just I don't trust Miami. I'm not sure how you 776 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:34,680 Speaker 3: know Van Dyke's gonna come back from that three pick 777 00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,160 Speaker 3: game and how they're going to respond. I mean, give 778 00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:39,160 Speaker 3: me North Carolina to cover this even with the hook. 779 00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 3: I'll take three and a half and lay it against Miami. 780 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,520 Speaker 1: Bagman, do you said on another side here, do you 781 00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:44,839 Speaker 1: think this is a big unc bet? 782 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:45,200 Speaker 3: No? 783 00:35:45,360 --> 00:35:47,520 Speaker 2: I think this is gonna be like Mike said, is 784 00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,400 Speaker 2: gonna be how Miami responds to the biggest choke maybe 785 00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,520 Speaker 2: ever against Georgia Tech. It's a bad matchup to cut to, 786 00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,520 Speaker 2: you know, coming off that gut wrenching loss. But also 787 00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,160 Speaker 2: maybe it is a good matchup because you do have 788 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,279 Speaker 2: to refocus real quick and say, look, we're going up 789 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,840 Speaker 2: against the top fifteen team here. We got to refocus. 790 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 2: We got to forget about that, We've got to concentrate 791 00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:11,200 Speaker 2: on this team. So maybe your focus is a little better. 792 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:14,239 Speaker 2: But UNC has beat everyone put in front of them 793 00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,040 Speaker 2: so far. They look really good last weekend Syracuse. As 794 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:19,640 Speaker 2: I talked about before, the problem is with UNC is 795 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:21,520 Speaker 2: that they'll have a weird game like they did against 796 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 2: app State. Drake May showed out last week. He threw 797 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:26,759 Speaker 2: for over four hundred yard. Three of his eight touchdowns 798 00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:29,360 Speaker 2: this year were last week. Miami has been strong on 799 00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:33,000 Speaker 2: defense top fifteen group according to PFF, but UNC is clicking. 800 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:35,680 Speaker 2: Miami is strong on offense too. Tyler, this is a 801 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,520 Speaker 2: really good team coached poorly, Like Mike said, Tyler, Van 802 00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:41,799 Speaker 2: Dyke played very well, an incredibly strong rushing attack with 803 00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,640 Speaker 2: Parrish and Cheney. I really like. I think my favorite 804 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,240 Speaker 2: play here is the over. Both these defenses are decent, 805 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,960 Speaker 2: but the offenses are elite. I think this is going 806 00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,120 Speaker 2: to turn into a shootout by the end of the game. 807 00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,239 Speaker 2: I'll take UNC at home and lay the points. But 808 00:36:54,280 --> 00:36:55,360 Speaker 2: I think the over is what I like. 809 00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:59,160 Speaker 1: Hear the most all right. Final game on the CFF 810 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:02,680 Speaker 1: preview for Week seven. We have got number eighteen Ucla 811 00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:06,400 Speaker 1: going up against number fifteen Oregon State Packed twelve football. 812 00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,319 Speaker 1: The line is three and a half. Total is fifty five. 813 00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,799 Speaker 1: We've got tickets and money on Oregon State. We've got 814 00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,799 Speaker 1: tickets and money on the under. So, Mike, a couple 815 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 1: of rank pack twelve teams and an under bet. Is 816 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:19,880 Speaker 1: there a total or side that you like? 817 00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:23,360 Speaker 3: Yeah? I like the under. Oregon State's got a good defense. 818 00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:26,359 Speaker 3: It's a tough place to play. You know, Ucla still 819 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 3: putting the hands in some young players. Obviously some transferred 820 00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:33,640 Speaker 3: to go up young players. Dante Moore, I just think 821 00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:34,960 Speaker 3: this is gonna be a low scoring game. I'm not 822 00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:36,879 Speaker 3: sure who's gonna win. I would I would lean towards 823 00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:40,560 Speaker 3: Oregon State winning this football game. But I mean, UCLA 824 00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,400 Speaker 3: be the tough Washington State team last week, but it 825 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,160 Speaker 3: was sort of a low scoring game. You know, they 826 00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 3: lost to Utah in a fourteen to seven game. So 827 00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 3: you know, give me the under here if you want 828 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:55,360 Speaker 3: to be a degenerate and parlay, take Oregon State. But 829 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:57,160 Speaker 3: I like the under. 830 00:37:57,320 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 2: Box. 831 00:37:57,560 --> 00:37:59,360 Speaker 1: Do you seem to agree on that underplay? Is that 832 00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 1: the ones do you want to take? 833 00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:02,200 Speaker 2: I think it might be my favorite player of the week, 834 00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:04,239 Speaker 2: you know. I think like the last game we talked 835 00:38:04,280 --> 00:38:07,839 Speaker 2: about where the offenses are lead, the defenses are pretty good, 836 00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:09,800 Speaker 2: but the offenses are lead. I think it's the reverse 837 00:38:09,840 --> 00:38:12,040 Speaker 2: in this game. I think the offenses are both pretty 838 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,880 Speaker 2: solid here, but the defenses are elite. So I like 839 00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:19,240 Speaker 2: the under UCLA is eighth in scoring defense, third against 840 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:22,120 Speaker 2: the run, which is the Beaver strength, twenty fourth against 841 00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:25,720 Speaker 2: the pass. UCLA only allowed Washington State to score seventeen 842 00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 2: points last week. Wazu's previous low this season was thirty 843 00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,399 Speaker 2: one against Wisconsin. They've also UCLA has also been getting 844 00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:37,160 Speaker 2: turnovers thirteen already in five games. Oregon State saw nice 845 00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:39,160 Speaker 2: first of offense in two of the last three weeks, 846 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:41,280 Speaker 2: putting up thirty five against Wazoo and fifty two against 847 00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:44,680 Speaker 2: Cal last week, and DJU looked awesome nineteen of twenty 848 00:38:44,719 --> 00:38:47,520 Speaker 2: five two to seventy five and five touchdowns. The rushing 849 00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:49,800 Speaker 2: attack has runked sixteenth in yards per game, and I 850 00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 2: really like that is really the strength of this offense. 851 00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,480 Speaker 2: But I think Ucla is going to win this game 852 00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:58,000 Speaker 2: behind a very strong run Dee and a defense that 853 00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:00,640 Speaker 2: is going to be able to slow down, not stop, 854 00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:04,279 Speaker 2: but slow down the Beavers rushing attack. So Dan Moore, 855 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:07,960 Speaker 2: Dante Moore has to show up in this game for 856 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,959 Speaker 2: UCLA to win, which is why I like the under 857 00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:13,160 Speaker 2: more than I like the side. But I like Ucla 858 00:39:13,320 --> 00:39:15,560 Speaker 2: slightly in this game, but the under might be my 859 00:39:15,680 --> 00:39:17,080 Speaker 2: favorite bet of the entire week. 860 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:17,919 Speaker 3: I love the under. 861 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,840 Speaker 1: Here Week seven preview in the books, make sure you 862 00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 1: follow Bagman on Twitter at Bogman's Sports. That article is 863 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 1: going to be coming out here in the next twenty 864 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:28,800 Speaker 1: four hours, I think, right Buck, was it Thursday? 865 00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 2: It comes out, Yeah, Thursday, usually early Thursday. 866 00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:34,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, Bogman's Best Bets. If you're missing out on Thor 867 00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 1: from this show, go follow him over on the Betting 868 00:39:37,200 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: Pros app. You can see what bets he's locked in. 869 00:39:39,680 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 1: They'll be breakdowns and information in there. He'll also have 870 00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,960 Speaker 1: his bet best Bets article and you can find Mike 871 00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:50,560 Speaker 1: Ferrell and Thor on Saturday ten am Eastern previewing Everything. 872 00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:53,279 Speaker 1: Getting you props? Mike, is there a prop you're just 873 00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:55,799 Speaker 1: waiting to drive? You're just waiting to see what it's 874 00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:57,479 Speaker 1: going to be so you can hammer. Have you already 875 00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:58,680 Speaker 1: got that in your head? I feel like you've got 876 00:39:58,719 --> 00:39:59,239 Speaker 1: that in your head. 877 00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:02,040 Speaker 3: I can see, yeah, you know, I wish I did it, 878 00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:03,359 Speaker 3: did you know? I want to see what the bold 879 00:40:03,440 --> 00:40:06,680 Speaker 3: next rushing are are, you know, because that's always last 880 00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:08,720 Speaker 3: year that was low hanging fruit tilly at the ankle injury. 881 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,320 Speaker 3: You know, they've upped it a little bit here, they've adjusted, 882 00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 3: but it's still, you know, a pretty good bet, you know. 883 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,279 Speaker 3: And honestly last year is still limited against Washington. He's 884 00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:20,040 Speaker 3: gonna want to take off and run. So if that 885 00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:22,840 Speaker 3: thing's low, I'm going to hammer the hell out of that. 886 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:23,359 Speaker 3: All right. 887 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:24,920 Speaker 1: We'll make sure you guys tune in so you can 888 00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:27,400 Speaker 1: get all the information on that at Bogman Sports at 889 00:40:27,600 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 1: m Farah with two L's Sports. I'm at is it 890 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:31,960 Speaker 1: the Welsh. Thank you guys for hanging out with us 891 00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:35,120 Speaker 1: on the CFF preview for week seven. We'll talk to 892 00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:37,640 Speaker 1: you next time. Right here, I'm Betting Pros by Friends. 893 00:40:38,800 --> 00:40:41,680 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us 894 00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 4: on x and TikTok, at Betting Pros and Instagram. At 895 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:48,200 Speaker 4: Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at 896 00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,120 Speaker 4: YouTube dot com Slash Betting Pros