1 00:00:02,000 --> 00:00:04,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P joe P Zapia and 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: this as BP NFL. We've advanced to the Divisional round 4 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: of the NFL playoffs. And Andrew Rickson, the Undertaker and 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 1: I are here to help you get your best bets 6 00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: for the week. And don't forget to download the Betting 7 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: Pros app that's smarter, not harder, use the tools, don't 8 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: be a tool, and subscribe to our channel here on 9 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: YouTube and of course wherever you get your podcasts as well. 10 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 1: Andrew Errickson, we had a pretty entertaining weekend of football. 11 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: I hope this week lives up to last week's standard 12 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 1: that we've set. And let's see where you want to 13 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 1: kick things off today with your first bet for Divisional 14 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: Round number two for the NFL. 15 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 2: I am taking the Buffalo Bills on the money line 16 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 2: to beat the Denver Broncos on the road. This line 17 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:49,440 Speaker 2: is kind of all over the place. I'm not sure 18 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 2: what we would tell you right now would even be 19 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: the line when you look when this is released, Because 20 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,480 Speaker 2: it's Bill's plus one to have, it's Bill's minus want 21 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 2: to have, it's the Broncos are favorit, it's the Bills 22 00:00:57,960 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: are favorite. So I'm kind of throwing that all out 23 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: the way I know, against the spread, and I'm just 24 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 2: gonna look at the Buffalo Bills as the team is 25 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 2: going to win because Joe, like we saw last week, 26 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 2: when they have the superior quarterback, they end up winning 27 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 2: that game. And I know that you and I both 28 00:01:10,120 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 2: like the Jacksonville Jaguars last week against Buffalo, and I 29 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: think how that game played out, I don't think that 30 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 2: that was like a terrible process play again, it was 31 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,919 Speaker 2: a close game, went down to the wire. Jaguars obviously 32 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 2: fell short, but the way Buffalo was able to win 33 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:26,960 Speaker 2: despite James Cook having an underwhelming performance. Look, I just 34 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: don't want to keep betting against Josh Allen. If you 35 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:31,960 Speaker 2: look at the quarterbacks that he has lost to in 36 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:36,440 Speaker 2: the postseason, Deshaun Watson and Josh Allen's first game in 37 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 2: the playoffs, Patch Mahomes on multiple occasions, and Joe Burrow 38 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 2: every other game he's won. So when he is hands 39 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: down the better quarterback in the playoff matchup, the Buffalo 40 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,520 Speaker 2: Bills win these postseason games. So I'm going to bet 41 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 2: on Josh Allen against bow Nicks, who I don't think 42 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: really took a massive step forward in his second season. 43 00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 2: Are we looking at the Denver Broncos number one seed 44 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:00,919 Speaker 2: and painting the picture of oh yeah, Owns really stepped 45 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 2: up in year two. I think that he kind of 46 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: regressed a little bit if you look at him during 47 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: his last nine games, eight of his last nine games 48 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: sub ninety passer rating, and in Week eighteen against a 49 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 2: bunch of backup Chargers players, that offense looked wicked dysfunctional. 50 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 2: So I think the Broncos yes nine and went at 51 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: home the season, but just five and five straight up, 52 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 2: or excuse me, five and five against the spread. Never 53 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:26,880 Speaker 2: Brouncas have not been a profitable bet as a favorite 54 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 2: this season. So if the Buffalo Bills closes the underdogs here, 55 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 2: give me Josh Allen as a dog three to zer 56 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:34,640 Speaker 2: against the spread as an underdog this season, and just 57 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 2: similar to Patrick mahomes, hey is Patrick mahomes an underdog 58 00:02:37,720 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 2: in the postseason until it doesn't You keep betting until 59 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 2: it doesn't work, essentially, And that's how I feel about 60 00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: Josh Allen, especially if the public again, even last week, 61 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 2: I was betting against him. I was wrong, and I'm done. 62 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 2: I'm done doing that, So give me the bills on 63 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 2: the mining line to beat the Denver Broncos. 64 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: I think he makes some very coching arguments, and I 65 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 1: even liked that that Massachusetts came out that wicked for 66 00:02:58,040 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: a moment. 67 00:02:58,400 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 3: Then thank you. 68 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: So there you go. Just clearly been hanging out with 69 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:04,079 Speaker 1: his cousins last weekend watching the Patriots game. It Woosta. 70 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 1: He was hanging out in Woa watching a game, watching 71 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,400 Speaker 1: the Pats. Look, I gotta tell you, I think this 72 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 1: game for me. I see lots of different outcomes here. 73 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: So instead I'm going to with something I can control. 74 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 1: And Andrew Rickson, do you like to guess what the 75 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: average point total for the Denver Broncos is in the 76 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: first half of games this year? Maybe you know this, 77 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,679 Speaker 1: you're a smart guy, but I figured I would throw 78 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: this out at you. Take a guess average. 79 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,639 Speaker 2: Considering I think Denver has won most of its games 80 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 2: in the second half and in the fourth quarter, it's 81 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 2: probably gonna be a low number. 82 00:03:33,919 --> 00:03:36,080 Speaker 3: I will say twelve and a half. 83 00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 2: They're tove and a half points lower, Bob oh, No, 84 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 2: like lower than ten? 85 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: No, ten point nine. 86 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 3: Ten point nine, okay, ten point nine. 87 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: Which means they had to buy They're coming off a 88 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 1: little flat, right, Typically those teams, even good offense has 89 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 1: come out a little flat after a bye week, right 90 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. It's a long season. 91 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 3: Uh. 92 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 1: I think that this is the one thing that I 93 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 1: can really controlling this game. I'm gonna take the first 94 00:04:01,680 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: half Buffalo Bills Denver Broncos under twenty three and a 95 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 1: half total. I think that if Denver does what they do, 96 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: which is put up their ten spot, and even if 97 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: the bronc even if the Bills can, you know, somehow 98 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 1: manage thirteen against that really good defense, I'm still gonna 99 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,080 Speaker 1: clear this bar by the hook. So I feel good 100 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:23,239 Speaker 1: about this. I could see this very well being maybe 101 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: a seven to seven game at halftime and maybe a 102 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: little lackluster. So I'm gonna take the under here on 103 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: the twenty three and a half here, I think, uh, 104 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: like I said, Denver, as you pointed out, Bo Nicks 105 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,320 Speaker 1: has been a fourth quarter coming quarterback. I'm afraid that 106 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: he's gonna do that again to the Buffalo Bills because 107 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:40,480 Speaker 1: he's done it to a lot of teams this season. 108 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:42,479 Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna avoid it. I'm gonna chop this 109 00:04:42,560 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 1: game in half, take what I can control, and then 110 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 1: move on to game number two here, which is the 111 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: San Francisco forty nine Ers and the Seattle Seahawks. Andrew 112 00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 1: walk us through your favorite bet on this one. 113 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 2: I am taking the Seattle Seahawks, laying the points at 114 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 2: home minus seven, and I can get into a bunch 115 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 2: of different and trends here. I think this is one 116 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 2: that I like the most. I shared with this with 117 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 2: pat This Morris in our private slack chat. So since 118 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 2: nineteen eighty four, teams with eight plus days of rest 119 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:13,240 Speaker 2: advantage into playoffs against their opponent seven to zero straight up. 120 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:15,720 Speaker 2: In those games, the team with shorter rest has been 121 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 2: held to ten or fewer points in six of those 122 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 2: seven games, while the team with longer rest has scored 123 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: twenty or more points in all seven games. This is 124 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 2: not a good matchup for Kyle Shannon and this forty 125 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 2: nine Ers team. We've seen him go up against McDonald's 126 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 2: defense four times already in two seasons, and their offense 127 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:38,400 Speaker 2: has not been productive, scoring on average below twenty points 128 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 2: per game. Last week, I was very much on the 129 00:05:40,720 --> 00:05:43,120 Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles to destroy the forty nine Ers, and the 130 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 2: minute that Lane Johnson was ruled out, I immediately knew 131 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:47,600 Speaker 2: that I was screwed, and I wish I could take 132 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 2: back everything I said. 133 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:50,800 Speaker 1: Because you and me both will eat the l on 134 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 1: that one. 135 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 2: But I don't want to give again. I can't discredit 136 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 2: we were right about the Bears. 137 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 1: The Bears did it. 138 00:05:58,440 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, no Bears. 139 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 2: They are sucked in basically for three quarters and ended 140 00:06:02,400 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 2: up pulling it off as they tend to do. But 141 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 2: the thing that I don't want to overlook with the 142 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:10,720 Speaker 2: forty nine or overstate is, oh, this forty nine Ers defense, right, 143 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 2: It's so it was the Eagles. Okay, this Eagles and 144 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 2: neft offense that has shown at times that they can't 145 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 2: even get a first down in an entire second half 146 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 2: of football. They had the lowest pressure rate of the 147 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 2: season on Jalen Hurts last week, and the Eagles offense 148 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 2: still couldn't get out of their own way. So I 149 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 2: think that game last week was much more about the 150 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 2: Eagles dysfunction and less about oh, this forty nine Ers 151 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 2: gritty defense. This fort Niners defense lost another starter last week. 152 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 2: They don't have anybody left, so I think Eventually the 153 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 2: injuries are going to catch up with them in a 154 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 2: matchup against a team that I think is far superior 155 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:49,039 Speaker 2: on the defensive side of the football. Seattle's Seattle dominated 156 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 2: the forty nine ers just two weeks ago. It was 157 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 2: one of the worst offensive performances of the year for 158 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:57,159 Speaker 2: the San Francisco forty nine Ers, so Seattle much rested. 159 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 2: They're getting Charles crossback, their stud offensive tackle. Seattle's two 160 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 2: to zero against the spread straight up after a bye 161 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 2: week under McDonald, six and three against the spread seven 162 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 2: to two straight up with rest advantage since McDonald took 163 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 2: over as the Seahawks head coach and the forty nine 164 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 2: Ers this is the team that you want to fade 165 00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,160 Speaker 2: after they win as an underdog one to five against 166 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 2: the spread. As underdog following a win, they failed to 167 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 2: cover the spread sixteen of their last twenty one games 168 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 2: following a win, and Matt Parult dropped this on the 169 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 2: one of the earlier shows on the Betting Pro Show, 170 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 2: Sam Donald thirteen to oh straight up, ten and three 171 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:29,920 Speaker 2: against the spread as a six point plus favorite. In 172 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 2: me the Seattle Seahawks to dominate this game against the 173 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 2: forty nine. 174 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: Ers, I think the Seahawks dominate this game, but I 175 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: don't think they cover the spread. And I think those 176 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,520 Speaker 1: two things can be true. In all that data that 177 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: you laid out there, of those games on the eight 178 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: days of rest and all that good stuff, how many 179 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 1: of those teams ended up facing an indivision opponent. I 180 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 1: don't know if you have that information at your fingertips 181 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 1: or not, but to me, it's a little bit of 182 00:07:53,320 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: a familiarity breeds contempt. I think the four Niners know 183 00:07:56,840 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: that they're on borrowed time. I don't think they're under 184 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: nearly the sure. I think going and winning against the 185 00:08:01,920 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 1: Eagles last week was great for them. They lost George Kittle, 186 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: like everything should point to exactly what Andrew's talking about, 187 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:11,119 Speaker 1: Which is why I'm gonna go the other way, because 188 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 1: all of the good process all year long has taught 189 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 1: me one thing. If it looks too good to be true, 190 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: if it smells too nice, chances are it's rotten and 191 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 1: you open it up, He's just not gonna be right. 192 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: And somehow, I don't know if it's a backdoor brock 193 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 1: perty cover, I don't know. If some weird things happen, 194 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 1: I don't think Seattle's in danger of losing this game. 195 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: Just like I said last week about the Patriots, I 196 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: was uncomfortable with the number, but I never thought the 197 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 1: Patriots would be in danger of losing that football game. 198 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: And to be honest with you, watching that game last 199 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,760 Speaker 1: Sunday night, I was never worried that the Patriots weren't 200 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: gonna find a way to win that football game, or 201 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 1: that the Chargers would find a way to somehow eake 202 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: out of w never thought that was gonna happen. But 203 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:51,640 Speaker 1: I think seven's a little much, So I'm gonna go 204 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: ahead and take the forty nine ers to cover. I 205 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 1: still like Seattle to win. I'm all for that. And 206 00:08:55,920 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 1: my other pick in this game here is the under 207 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: forty four and a half. And if I get that under, 208 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: and that's my pick number three here, it's minus one 209 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: of four in a lot of markets. Right now, you 210 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: can get it. I do think that San Fran gets 211 00:09:10,160 --> 00:09:13,960 Speaker 1: closer to that cover of the seven. Now, Andrew, you 212 00:09:14,000 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 1: are also for pick number three in on the under, 213 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:17,280 Speaker 1: let's talk about your reasons why. 214 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, So this matchup between the Seahogs forty nine Ers 215 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 2: is going We've seen this play out a Lot Division rivals. 216 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 3: Three of the last four. 217 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 2: Games between these two teams have been three straight unders, 218 00:09:26,559 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 2: and no game has exceeded thirty seven points. So really 219 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 2: it wasn't until that first matchup when it was the 220 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 2: forty nine ers against McDonald. And we've seen this with 221 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:37,199 Speaker 2: McDonald even during his time with the Baltimore Ravens, where 222 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 2: it does take time for his defense for his players 223 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 2: to understand the scheme right. Even in some of the 224 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:44,959 Speaker 2: earlier days with the Ravens they were getting like lit 225 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 2: up by posing offenses, but then eventually in the second 226 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 2: half they really start to come into form. And we've 227 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 2: seen that all throughout this season of how Seattle's defense 228 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 2: has been. Again looking at the top defense of the 229 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 2: NFL that we all agree that Houston is number one, 230 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:59,760 Speaker 2: but Seattle right on their heels as one of the 231 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 2: best units in the NFL, especially playing at home. Mentioned 232 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 2: this earlier when fading the forty Niners. Shanahan has averaged 233 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,600 Speaker 2: eighteen point three points per game in four games against 234 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 2: Mike McDonald since he became the Seahawks head coach. That 235 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 2: is the fewest among sixteen head coaches. Shanahan has faced 236 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 2: at least three times including the playoffs. So yes, Shanahan 237 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 2: pulled out all the tricks last week, has Juwan Jennings 238 00:10:20,200 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 2: throwing passes the Christian McCaffrey. That's what's gonna take for 239 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 2: the forty Niners to score points in this game, because 240 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 2: I think they're vastly undermanned. You mentioned it. I didn't 241 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 2: even mention this when handicapping this game. But no George Kittle, 242 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 2: this team average is significantly less points per game. For 243 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 2: fewer points scored per game without George Kittle, their yards 244 00:10:37,920 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 2: per play drops by nearly half a yard. You're taking 245 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 2: one of the most explosive and reliable playmakers. That is 246 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 2: Brock Purdy's guy. And we know George Kittle is a 247 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 2: matchup nightmare, especially against Seattle, who has been had against 248 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,800 Speaker 2: tight ends. Yes, we love Jake Tungus. He's a fun guy. 249 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 2: Maybe you can bet the overd on his props. But 250 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 2: is he gonna be the reason why the forty nin 251 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 2: Ers come away with the upset here? Probably not, So 252 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 2: I agree with you that the unders again. To me, 253 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 2: this feels like Seahawks win like thirty to ten. Like 254 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: that's kind of how I feel that this game being 255 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,680 Speaker 2: a shakeout where they can establish to run a little 256 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 2: bit with Ken Walker and Zach Sharbonne who ran all 257 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: over the forty nine ers. 258 00:11:10,840 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 3: I mean that thirteen to three final score in. 259 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 2: Week eighteen is so fugazi because Seattle dominated that game 260 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 2: up and down the board, and the fort Nites were 261 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 2: lucky to lose by only ten points. So I think 262 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 2: that again to your point, you don't disagree with me 263 00:11:23,920 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 2: that Seattle dominates, but you think that the score might 264 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:26,720 Speaker 2: just be a little bit. 265 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's gonna be like a twenty to 266 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 1: sixteen game where the forty nine ers get a touchdown 267 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: late the fourth quarter, but it's already the game's already 268 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: out of hands. That's the way, Like I said, it's like, 269 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: you're gonna be at one point, it's gonna be twenty 270 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 1: to ten, and you'd be like, oh, you know, then 271 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 1: maybe they try to go for the two or something 272 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 1: like that. It just it just feels very much like 273 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:50,319 Speaker 1: Seattle's and control of this game. But San Fran again 274 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 1: last gasp against the Indivision team, They're not gonna go quietly. 275 00:11:54,440 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 1: The familiarity again of these teams. Whenever there's familiar teams, 276 00:11:57,920 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: they tend to play each other a little bit tighter. 277 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: It's just thing we've learned all year long. Especially. You can't, 278 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 1: you know, you can't overlook these teams that are going 279 00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:07,079 Speaker 1: on the road with nothing to lose, and the forty 280 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:08,960 Speaker 1: nine ers have nothing to lose but another game and 281 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:11,280 Speaker 1: go home, and they've lost so much this year. They've 282 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:15,040 Speaker 1: been another or another defense, were offensive player. Let's be honest. 283 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: Let's be honest. I mean, by the way, do you 284 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 1: watch that study about the magnetic fields to practice. It's 285 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:23,319 Speaker 1: kind of fascinating. I kind of think we need a 286 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: deeper dive there. Let's go. I want it all right 287 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: before we get to our next pick here number four 288 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: for both of us, don't forget to join our Discord 289 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun. You 290 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 1: can get expert handicap advice and meet some really cool 291 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 1: people there as well who're wagering on everything from NFL 292 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,840 Speaker 1: to college football, to NBA and more. So. Join our 293 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: Discord Bettingpros dot Com slash chat end don't forget right 294 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 1: here on the channel again on Saturday, Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos, 295 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 1: Joe Pisa, Pa Scott Bogman will be here live on 296 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 1: the channel, so ring the belts that goes ding when 297 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 1: you subscribe, join us live here on the YouTube channel 298 00:12:59,480 --> 00:13:03,959 Speaker 1: so you can watch in game live betting Bills and Broncos. 299 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 1: Last week was super fun between the Rams and Panthers, 300 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: and it's gonna be more fun. So I want you 301 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: to hang out with us and watch that football game. 302 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: All right, number four on our list here, let's talk 303 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: about it. Andrew Erickson Pats Texans. Let's get your take 304 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 1: on this one. 305 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:21,719 Speaker 3: I'm gonna be at this game, Joe. I'm gonna be now, 306 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 3: I know. I mean, I really was. 307 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:26,560 Speaker 2: I had to stop myself from looking at the Patriots 308 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 2: record against the spreading games that I've attended. I had 309 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 2: to stop myself from looking at this lest things. One 310 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:34,120 Speaker 2: of these trends. How is honestly that matters to me? 311 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:35,680 Speaker 1: How is that number is? 312 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 2: I did go to the game last year. The game 313 00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 2: I went to Joe Milton started or he didn't start 314 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: playing the game. But the Patriots did win as underdogs in. 315 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 3: Week eighteen, So. 316 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 2: I am kind of hedging here a little bit here 317 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 2: with the Patriots on the money line. I first looked 318 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 2: at the spread and you're seeing threes, you're seeing three 319 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 2: and a halves, and ultimately, I think that this game 320 00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 2: is settled by a field goal. So if I bet 321 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 2: Patriots minus three and I sit through a three hour 322 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 2: game and they win by field goal and I just 323 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 2: get a push, that's not how I want to enjoy 324 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 2: this game, to be totally honest, Like, I want the 325 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 2: Patriots to win obviously, just like you do, Joe as 326 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:13,880 Speaker 2: a Patriots fan. But I also want to be smart 327 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 2: from a waging perspective, So I would not be laying 328 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 2: the points at if it stays at minus three with 329 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 2: New England, just because of how good Houston has been 330 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 2: at covering three and a half this year. So fifteen 331 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:28,120 Speaker 2: of eighteen games the Texans have covered plus three and 332 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 2: a half. That's eighty four percent of the time. So yeah, 333 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 2: I think that Texans can keep this within a field goal, 334 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 2: and I think that would be the sharp play to 335 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:38,080 Speaker 2: play the spread. But I like going with the Patriots 336 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 2: online in the game total going under forty nine and 337 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 2: a half points. So if you combine those two, you 338 00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 2: get minus one oh five odds, which is the same 339 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 2: as basically taking the Patriots against the spread, and we know, Joe, 340 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,120 Speaker 2: I don't need to sell the listeners on oh well 341 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 2: you should bet that under on a Texans game, right. 342 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 2: I don't think that that really needs a lot of 343 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: data back behind it, but because I like providing it. 344 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:01,200 Speaker 2: If you look at the Texans only four games they've 345 00:15:01,240 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 2: played this year, I have scone over fifty total points, 346 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 2: and then you're also taking Nico Collins out of the 347 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 2: lineup here, So. 348 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, Collins injury is huge. That's a big beast missing 349 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: for that explosive. It's not look Christian yek category game. 350 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 1: Jaydan Higgins is capable, but they're not Nico Collins at 351 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:19,800 Speaker 1: this point, I would agree. So that's kind of my 352 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: take on the game. I do want to talk about 353 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: a little bit why I think the Patriots can win 354 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: this game Specifically, I think that this is probably one 355 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 1: of the tougher ones of the divisional weekend where you're seeing 356 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 1: two really good teams going head to head, and how 357 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 1: good the Houston Texans defense. I think that the line 358 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 1: is actually over counting the loss of Nico Collins because 359 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 1: if you look at this Texans win streak, how many 360 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: of these games you're going to credit, Oh, well, they 361 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: won because they had Nico Collins, I would say, like, 362 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: none of these games, it's all about their They were 363 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 1: winning with Davis Mills as their quarterback. 364 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 3: Of their defense. 365 00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 2: So these lines, Joe, I looked at it before Wild 366 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 2: Card we get kicked off. Patriots were favored by minus 367 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 2: one and a half points, so they were really close favorites, 368 00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 2: and the line has obviously expanded. I think it's because 369 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 2: of the Collins injury, but I don't think that's right, 370 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 2: because the defense is the only reason you should betting 371 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 2: on the Houston Texans, like you should really like not 372 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 2: care about, Oh it's c J. 373 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 3: Stroud, Like he's zero and two. 374 00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 2: On the road as a road underdog in the playoffs, 375 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:17,360 Speaker 2: those are the things that I would be looking at 376 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 2: Houston as a road underdog four and seven straight up, 377 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 2: six and five against the spread. So I think that again, 378 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 2: going back to if you have to pick against the spread, 379 00:16:25,240 --> 00:16:26,800 Speaker 2: Houston plus three and a half is the line that 380 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:28,200 Speaker 2: I would take it out. That's someone that you like 381 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 2: as well, so I'll kind of throw it to you here. 382 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 2: I would say, though, with the Patriots that and just 383 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 2: lock the last point here why I think they can 384 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: win is the Texans defense one of their biggest weaknesses 385 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 2: is against mobile quarterbacks. They rank thirty second against quarterbacks 386 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 2: scrambles this season. 387 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 3: And I can't get out. 388 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 2: Of my mind Riley Leonard, a seventh round rookie quarterback 389 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,120 Speaker 2: for the Colts and lighting this defense up in the 390 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 2: first half of Week eighteen when they were playing. 391 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 3: Their starters, And what does Riley Leonard have? Mobility? 392 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 2: So I think that's going to play a big factor 393 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 2: of that we're going to talk about. We're going to 394 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 2: talk about Drake May and his rushing yards on the 395 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 2: Player Prop show. 396 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:03,240 Speaker 1: That's right, you got to watch that show too. It's 397 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: why I subscribe to the channel. But yeah, I mean 398 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:07,320 Speaker 1: watching Aaron Rodgers stand in that pocket and take hit 399 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 1: after a hit, that's not going to be Drake May. 400 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:11,199 Speaker 1: And look, he faced a good defense last week and 401 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 1: the Chargers give him credit, and they rushed the quarterback 402 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 1: and they got after him. But Drake May is able 403 00:17:15,800 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 1: to escape Drake May and make plays with his legs. 404 00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: So neither Houston has to change a little bit of 405 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 1: what they do or be prepared for Drake May to 406 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 1: run the ragget a little bit, because Drake May will 407 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:25,399 Speaker 1: do that to them. And I think that's the difference 408 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 1: of this game. But I am on the textan side 409 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:28,800 Speaker 1: of this game with the plus three because I think 410 00:17:28,840 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: it's a one point game at the end. I think 411 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 1: it's a last minute field goal or last second field 412 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:35,360 Speaker 1: goal to win a game kind of situation. I think 413 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: this is one of those spots where Patriots drive late 414 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,439 Speaker 1: kick a game winning field goal. They are up twenty 415 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: one to twenty, and that's the ballgame. I think that's 416 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: kind of where we're going here for this one. So Joe, 417 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: that's my take on this one. Plus it also insulates 418 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:51,720 Speaker 1: me that if my Patriots lose at least time, I'm 419 00:17:51,760 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 1: not completely lost all day. 420 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:54,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say, I do want to ask you 421 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 2: one last follow up with this game. Because it's Patriots Texans, 422 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:58,760 Speaker 2: of course we've got to spend a little bit more 423 00:17:58,760 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 2: time on this. 424 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: Yeah. It's also a really look. I mean, you love defense, 425 00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:05,359 Speaker 1: you love this game too. A lot of people didn't 426 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 1: like the Chargers Patriots game. I loved it. I love 427 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:10,959 Speaker 1: big defenses playing hard hitting people. It's a it's a 428 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: forgotten brand of football. You don't see the NFL nowadays. 429 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:17,879 Speaker 2: Do you think that Drake may seeing this defense for 430 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:20,560 Speaker 2: the second time. So his first NFL start was against 431 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:22,320 Speaker 2: Demko Ryans last year. 432 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:26,199 Speaker 1: Sure, very different offense, different circumstances. 433 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:28,680 Speaker 2: But defense, it's still Demiko Ryans, it's still Will Anderson 434 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 2: is still Danielle Hunter. So but do you think that 435 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 2: helps him a little bit? Where it was his first start? 436 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:37,040 Speaker 2: He threw three touchdowns, Kishon Boody had a long touchdown 437 00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 2: play burning Derek Stingley got off the line, like you 438 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 2: don't think that they went back, but like. 439 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,200 Speaker 1: Oh, I don't think Drake May is afraid of anybody. 440 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: And I think the best thing that could have happened 441 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:46,640 Speaker 1: for him too is to come out of the gate 442 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: slow in the playoffs, because I think that was a 443 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 1: little bit of a humble check a little bit too. 444 00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:53,119 Speaker 1: You know, you've been beating up on the Jets, the 445 00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,680 Speaker 1: Dolphins the last couple weeks of the season. It's very 446 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: different when you go play a team like the Chargers. 447 00:18:57,600 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 1: They're an eleven win team, They've got a good defense, right, 448 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,680 Speaker 1: and they came and they brought it, and Drake May 449 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:04,920 Speaker 1: made the one big play, you know, the big touchdown 450 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 1: throw there at a Hunter Henry and I think at 451 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:08,639 Speaker 1: the end of it, you know, It's funny because that's 452 00:19:08,680 --> 00:19:12,120 Speaker 1: the only game that was more than a field goal difference, 453 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:14,480 Speaker 1: and it was the only game that had just one 454 00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 1: touchdown in it, so in terms of the difference in 455 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:20,040 Speaker 1: point differentials, kind of odd when you think about how 456 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: that game went. Every game was so tight, but the 457 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: game with the least amount of touchdowns that it had 458 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,840 Speaker 1: the biggest margin of victory. I think that this week 459 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 1: Drake may will have to make plays with his legs. 460 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,119 Speaker 1: I think the home field advantage does matter. I think 461 00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,239 Speaker 1: there are some limitations there. And at the other thing 462 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: we're not talking about too. 463 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: C J. 464 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 1: Stroud was seeing a lot of ghosts in Pittsburgh. You're 465 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,560 Speaker 1: hit in c J. Stroud like crazy, And I think 466 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 1: that the other the thing that everybody's not talking about 467 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 1: enough is the Patriots defense and the Patriots getting after 468 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:51,320 Speaker 1: the quarterback and the Patriots demolition of poor Justin Herbert 469 00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 1: last week. That I think the blueprints right there. The 470 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,359 Speaker 1: Steelers gave it to you, and if you could do 471 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,639 Speaker 1: that again to ce J Stroud two weeks in a row, 472 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,400 Speaker 1: I think you're in a good spot to in this game. 473 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:01,880 Speaker 1: But I do think it's gonna be a one point 474 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: kind of contest. 475 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:05,399 Speaker 2: That's my Yeah, bad offensive lines tend to not travel 476 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,679 Speaker 2: like we saw with the Los Angeles Chargers. 477 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,159 Speaker 3: That just doesn't work that way. 478 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 2: And another thing too, is you know who's got some 479 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,399 Speaker 2: intel on some of these defensive personnel players. It's Stefon Diggs, 480 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 2: who was on Houston Texans last year. 481 00:20:16,400 --> 00:20:17,320 Speaker 1: That's true. 482 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 3: So it's funny. 483 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 1: Because I had a lot of time sitting around there because. 484 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,160 Speaker 2: I rewatched that game from last year, which Nico Collins 485 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,200 Speaker 2: also did not play in, even though the Texans scored 486 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 2: forty points on the Patriots, and they were also wearing 487 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 2: their red uniform so of course they got blown out 488 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 2: because they were wearing their red throwback jerseys and Diggs 489 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,880 Speaker 2: was he was talking smack the Christian Gonzales. He had 490 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 2: a unsports like conduct penalty against Christian Gonzales in that game. 491 00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:42,359 Speaker 2: He scored a touchdown, so he was feeling it in 492 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:45,160 Speaker 2: that game. I think that Digs again, he's been quiet 493 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 2: the last kind of second half of the season. Really 494 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 2: hasn't been since that basically the Buffalo matchups where he's 495 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,399 Speaker 2: really blown up, but hey, he had those were revenge 496 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:55,600 Speaker 2: spots for him, and this is another revenge spot for 497 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:58,680 Speaker 2: Steffond Diggs against his old team, the Houston Texas. Another 498 00:20:58,840 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 2: storyline to look at. 499 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: I don't know if I love that matchup though, that's 500 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,800 Speaker 1: not the best. More on that on tomorrow show, which 501 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,680 Speaker 1: leaves us one more game, the Bears and the Rams. 502 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: And you know, I've been sticking up for the Rams 503 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: a lot this year. You know, they were my Super 504 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 1: Bowl pick on the NFC side. I thought they were 505 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 1: gonna blow the doors off the Panthers, and they had 506 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,199 Speaker 1: the opportunity to put their foot on them and they 507 00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:24,440 Speaker 1: let them up off the mat and then it got 508 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,159 Speaker 1: real ugly. And you know what, you can't do that 509 00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: against the Chicago Bears. And the Chicago Bears once again 510 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 1: will be at home, will be in a scenario where 511 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 1: it's gonna be cold, very cold. We're talking single digits 512 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: at some point in this game. To me, the Rams 513 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 1: once again are a superior team. They are the better roster, 514 00:21:44,080 --> 00:21:46,960 Speaker 1: they have the better coach, they have the better quarterback. 515 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,720 Speaker 1: But the Rams just consistently let teams back in time 516 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,159 Speaker 1: and time again. And I'm taking the Bears with the 517 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 1: points here, give me the Bears with the three and 518 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: a half. I think there's a chance that the Bears 519 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 1: can win this game. These games has got to go 520 00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 1: cock guide. One of these underdogs is gonna win. It's 521 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: just typically the nature of the beast. We don't get 522 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 1: four home you know, not home teams are four favorites 523 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: advancing all the time. And it's funny because Matthew Stafford 524 00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: is the only remaining quarterback to play in the Super 525 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:16,159 Speaker 1: Bowl of all this bunch too, which is also kind 526 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:17,919 Speaker 1: of interesting when you think about it. So if he 527 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 1: were to get knocked out, that'd be really interesting. We're 528 00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,680 Speaker 1: gonna get somebody which is got a whole fresh kind 529 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 1: of Super Bowl, which would be fun. I don't know 530 00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:27,760 Speaker 1: if that's gonna happen. I think the biggest chance is 531 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,440 Speaker 1: for the Rams to lose and somehow find a way 532 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,479 Speaker 1: once again to let the Bears hang around. And if 533 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,320 Speaker 1: you'll let the Bears hang around, they got this weird magic. 534 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 1: I don't know what it is, but I'm here for it. 535 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,080 Speaker 1: I was still confident last week, even a halftime then 536 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: I thought the Bears were gonna come back and cover 537 00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: for me. And not only did they cover, they won. 538 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna cover again with the three and 539 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: a half, so give me the Bears. Andrew, I know 540 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 1: you disagree, and you were one hundred percent right. For 541 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 1: the record, Andrew was one hundred percent right about the 542 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 1: Panthers and the Rams last week. So this week you're 543 00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,960 Speaker 1: on the Rams side. Talk to me why well. 544 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 2: Because because the carolynin Pan have the Rams number. If 545 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:05,560 Speaker 2: you look at the Rams on the road basically since 546 00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 2: twenty twenty three, they are eleven and four against the spread, 547 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 2: twelve and two straight up, they're eleven and two against 548 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:13,639 Speaker 2: the spread as a road favorite against all teams not 549 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:17,640 Speaker 2: named the Carolina Panthers. And similar to how the Panthers 550 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 2: have the Rams number, we know that the Bears have 551 00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,040 Speaker 2: the Packers number. And I think that we might be 552 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 2: overstating what Chicago could do in this particular matchup because 553 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 2: I think that this Rams team is significantly better than 554 00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 2: the green Bay Packers because green Bay has been playing 555 00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 2: without their two of their best players, right Michael Parsons 556 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,480 Speaker 2: the last two Bears wins against green Bay. He didn't 557 00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:38,160 Speaker 2: play in either of those games, and either did Zach 558 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,880 Speaker 2: tom one of the packers stud offensive tackles. Once those 559 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 2: guys went down in Week fifteen, the Packers didn't win 560 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 2: again all year, they did not win a single game 561 00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 2: after both those guys got hurt in Week fifteen against 562 00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos. So we know how the Bears have 563 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 2: won this year. It has been by turnovers, by leaving 564 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 2: the NFL in turnovers plus twenty two turnover differential, and 565 00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:01,720 Speaker 2: by seven fourth core or comebacks in the second half 566 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,520 Speaker 2: of games. To me, I'm just like talking this through 567 00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:07,000 Speaker 2: and eventually things are going to come to roost. 568 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,080 Speaker 1: Here, right, That's what I can tell myself, But then 569 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 1: it never does. 570 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 2: But when I look at why the Packers specifically, why 571 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 2: couldn't the Packers be the team that shut the shut 572 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 2: out the Bears in the second half of games and 573 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 2: bear and to me is because the Packers couldn't run 574 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 2: the football. Josh Jacobs ran out of gas at the 575 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,080 Speaker 2: end of the season. You know who's going to be 576 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 2: able to run all over a Bears defense that has 577 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:31,840 Speaker 2: no linebackers left? The freaking Los Angeles Rams with Blake 578 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:34,720 Speaker 2: korm and Kyra Williams both top three running backs this 579 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 2: season in rushing success rate. So I think that Sean 580 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 2: McVay doesn't look at this matchup as oh, it's got 581 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 2: to be staffer, it's got to be against Caleb Williams. No, 582 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:44,480 Speaker 2: it's I have two wicket efficient running backs that I'm 583 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,160 Speaker 2: going to just absolutely pound the crap out of on 584 00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 2: the road in cold weather in Chicago. So I'm not 585 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,840 Speaker 2: trying to overstate the weather in this game. We saw 586 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 2: the Rams go on the road last year and play 587 00:24:54,359 --> 00:24:56,360 Speaker 2: in a snow game against the Eagles and almost win, 588 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 2: So I don't think that they're going to be totally 589 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:02,280 Speaker 2: overmatched here by weather concerns. So again I agree with 590 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:05,400 Speaker 2: you on looking at who's the superior team. It's obviously 591 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 2: the Los Angeles Rams in my opinion, And I think 592 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,440 Speaker 2: this is where the clock strikes midnight on this turnover 593 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,480 Speaker 2: look for Chicago on the second half comebacks for the 594 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 2: Chicago Bears, because I think that the Los Angeles Rams 595 00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:18,760 Speaker 2: are just going to run the crap out of the 596 00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:21,880 Speaker 2: ball over the Chicago's Bears defense. They're gonna have no answer. 597 00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:23,560 Speaker 2: They're not going to have a Cala Williams won't have 598 00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:26,800 Speaker 2: a chance in the fourth quarter to make another comeback 599 00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 2: because the Rams are going to play bully ball and 600 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 2: control the football. 601 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 1: All right, we shall see. You are right. Shouldn't be 602 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:39,400 Speaker 1: Bears just find a way. Sometimes they're just bears. They 603 00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,439 Speaker 1: just got this weird thing going on, and I know, 604 00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:43,719 Speaker 1: and look, I also recognized that it was a very 605 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:46,119 Speaker 1: emotional game for them last week. And sometimes you have 606 00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 1: those big emotional wins, it's hard to reinflate the ball, 607 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:51,560 Speaker 1: you know, again, and go out there and play. But 608 00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,320 Speaker 1: I don't know. The Bears have had a ton of these, 609 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 1: and they keep showing up, and they keep doing this 610 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,120 Speaker 1: over and over again. If this was in La maybe 611 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 1: I feel differently. But because of the Chicago too, I 612 00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,520 Speaker 1: think the weather plays a little factor too. I think 613 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:04,760 Speaker 1: the ramsers is not used to this kind of environment, 614 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: and I think it's gonna be a little tough for 615 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 1: them sledding. 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In other states. Must be 644 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: twenty one plus in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, 645 00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:29,760 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Play terms and conditions apply. 646 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three to 647 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,679 Speaker 1: three play wise. 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I think the second half is going 656 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:01,760 Speaker 1: to be very entertaining, a very different game in the 657 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:05,120 Speaker 1: second half, but I do think lackluster first half. Andrew Erickson, 658 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,120 Speaker 1: what's your best bet of the week from hard Rock Bet? 659 00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:10,000 Speaker 3: I just take yours. Yours is so good. I love 660 00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:14,720 Speaker 3: Yours is fantastic. Definitely going to be betting that one 661 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:15,160 Speaker 3: for sure. 662 00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 1: I think you should. I think everybody should that while 663 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,560 Speaker 1: I'm giving it out for. 664 00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:21,760 Speaker 2: Me, I'm going to go back to the Los Angeles 665 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,120 Speaker 2: Rams just kind of talked about them laying minus three 666 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 2: and a half here on the road against Chicago Bears. 667 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,600 Speaker 2: I think that the weather is being overblown. Both teams 668 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:31,800 Speaker 2: have to play in the cold weather. Matthew Stafford last 669 00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:34,320 Speaker 2: year went on the road against Philadelphia in snow and 670 00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:37,040 Speaker 2: blizzard and they almost came with a win. I think 671 00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,360 Speaker 2: they can run the football against a Bears defense that 672 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 2: has put more of their linebackers on injured reserve. And 673 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,880 Speaker 2: when you're running the ball effectively, I think that you 674 00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,160 Speaker 2: can control the game and keep it out of Cab 675 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 2: Williams Ham so he won't get a chance to bring 676 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,080 Speaker 2: up one of his fourth quarter comebacks. You look at 677 00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 2: the Bears very reliant on turnovers this season. They are 678 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 2: nine to zero straight up when they have at least 679 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 2: two turnovers on defense, three and six straight up with 680 00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,160 Speaker 2: one tier turnover or a few, and two and seven 681 00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,360 Speaker 2: against the spread. The only teams they've covered when they 682 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,719 Speaker 2: actually haven't turned the ball over. You guessed it, the 683 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 2: Green Bay Packers. So I'm going to go with the Rams, 684 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 2: avenging Sean mcvay's best buddy, Matt Lafloor get in the 685 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 2: w again on Sean mcvay's staff, Matt Lafour's brother, Michael Floor. 686 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:18,560 Speaker 2: I think the Rams roll here. 687 00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:20,840 Speaker 3: Give me them minus three and a half against the Bears. 688 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 1: Cram it up your cram ho Lafleur. Sorry, just every time. 689 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,680 Speaker 1: I just gotta do it every time, all right. Remember 690 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:28,480 Speaker 1: you put these two bets together too. You also get 691 00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 1: plus two sixty six. That's your parlay of the week 692 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,160 Speaker 1: for the best bets. So make sure you download hard 693 00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: Rock Bet and bet it today and again, don't forget 694 00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 1: five bucks to gets you one hundred and fifty pous 695 00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 1: bets when you do only at hard Rock Bet. Which 696 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: brings us to the Upsets special of the week. And 697 00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: uh yeah, I gotta tell you this one's kind of tough. 698 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: I think the only one that really is there. I mean, 699 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:49,760 Speaker 1: the Texans are in play for sure. That defense is 700 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 1: so good. I'm gonna take the Bears plus one seventy two. 701 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 1: I think that that's the one upset that I just 702 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:58,680 Speaker 1: I keep waiting for the Rams to dominate, and they 703 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:01,160 Speaker 1: just don't. And if you don't and you keep letting 704 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: teams hang around, eventually bad things happen. And it's happened 705 00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:06,880 Speaker 1: to the Rams a few times here this season, and 706 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,400 Speaker 1: I'm pissed off about it. I'm tired of making excuses 707 00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,920 Speaker 1: from them. And it's gonna be freezing cold in Chicago, 708 00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 1: and teams from LA don't always perform very well in 709 00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,120 Speaker 1: the cold, historically speaking, especially when you got travel different 710 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,280 Speaker 1: time zones and things like that. So that's what I'm 711 00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:23,640 Speaker 1: putting out there. Two plus. You gotta realize the Rams 712 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 1: have gone from East Coast time to West Coast town 713 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,520 Speaker 1: to back to Central like they're all over the place, 714 00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:30,719 Speaker 1: you know, and then they got to play at night 715 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:34,120 Speaker 1: game it there's a lot. It's a lot going on 716 00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 1: from a standpoint of being locked in, Andrew, if you 717 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 1: had to look for one upset this week, who would 718 00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:42,200 Speaker 1: it be for you? 719 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,160 Speaker 2: Well, technically, at the time of this recording on hard 720 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,640 Speaker 2: Rock Bet, Buffalo Bills are plus one, so they're technically 721 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 2: that team. 722 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 3: Well no, no, I and I respect that. 723 00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,960 Speaker 1: You're I thought that was my first insect, but that 724 00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 1: was I rolled my eyes and myself. 725 00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:01,479 Speaker 2: No, No, I totally get that, and I think that 726 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 2: you are being right by not using Buffalo as kind 727 00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 2: of a crutch underdog pick, because I think that's what 728 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 2: most people would do. But hey, technically, if they close 729 00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,320 Speaker 2: this an underdog, they technically would qualify. 730 00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,680 Speaker 3: So I'm like you, so I. 731 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 1: Uh, live fast, baby, let's go. That'll do it for us, 732 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,200 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on. Don't forget 733 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: Saturday four o'clock four fifteen. Actually, to be precise, Scott 734 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,920 Speaker 1: bogging myself right here, Bill's broncos for that upset that 735 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: Andrew just talked about. That'll do it for us, But 736 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Andrew ericson. 737 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time, gidz Floor. 738 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:38,760 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 739 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 740 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 741 00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 742 00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:49,480 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 743 00:31:49,880 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 1: Also subscribe to our 744 00:31:50,960 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Prost