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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Friday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Perelt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 2: across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and

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Speaker 2: we are back after Day one of the Madness. All

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Speaker 2: of my equipment is currently boxed up because we're doing

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Speaker 2: live shows on the Las Vegas Strip.

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Speaker 1: Day one. That was an early start.

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Speaker 2: The Creighton Blue Jays had me up early, nervous pacing

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Speaker 2: and they blew the doors off Louisville More on the

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Speaker 2: Creighton Blue Jays here in just one second. But a

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Speaker 2: good day for us to start March Madness. We get

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Speaker 2: a push with UC San Diego. If you got it

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Speaker 2: early was three and a half. We gave it to

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Speaker 2: you late at plus three. That was a push. Arkansas outright,

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Speaker 2: Drake outright, Saint John's easy second half blowout. If it

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Speaker 2: wasn't for Clemson, we swept the day. UCLA was easily

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Speaker 2: a winner there, but Clemson was the biggest shocker of

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Speaker 2: them all. We get Drake wins, Arkansas wins, and then

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Speaker 2: we got burned on the Clemson deal. So two big

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Speaker 2: upsets and one that came and cost us an upset unfortunately,

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Speaker 2: So could have been a sweep, could have been a

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Speaker 2: really big day, could have been a four unit day,

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Speaker 2: and said it's up one point eight units on a Thursday.

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Speaker 2: As we head towards Friday, day two of March Madness,

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Speaker 2: I'm excited. I've got plays, four of them for today.

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Speaker 2: The Colorado State play, which is to make the Sweet sixteen,

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Speaker 2: is essentially a money line bet for us here for

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Speaker 2: what's going to happen for.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, the cats, I'm upstairs.

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Speaker 2: I'm in like animal hell right now, that's that's like

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Speaker 2: I just said, that's yes, so Colora, hopefully that's not

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Speaker 2: dogs barking. There. Essentially a moneyline play. It's a four

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Speaker 2: to one bet. The bet basically is for them to

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Speaker 2: make the Sweet sixteen. So they're going to win today

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Speaker 2: and then we'll fade off of it. We'll hedge you

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Speaker 2: in the second game. But they got to win today

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Speaker 2: for that bet to become live. So just FYI on

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Speaker 2: on that play for us here with that, Before I

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Speaker 2: give you the picks for today, I'm adding I've already

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Speaker 2: given you a bunch.

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Speaker 1: Of plays, well, I think four.

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Speaker 2: I've already given you four plays for today I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: you gotta do is subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube

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Speaker 2: channel right now, drop a comment below.

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Speaker 1: And any of our Daily Juice videos and that's all

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Speaker 1: you gotta do. You're in.

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Speaker 2: We will announce the winner right here on a podcast

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Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice on April the first, So make

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Speaker 2: sure you turn on the notifications so you know when

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Speaker 2: They signed Gary Payton Jersey, Seattle SuperSonics Throwback. Subscribe to

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pro YouTube channel and comment on a Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice video and you are in Okay.

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Speaker 1: Let me just tell you we are already.

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Speaker 2: Involved with Oklahoma that number six at certain places where

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Speaker 2: we took five and a half. We are on Colorado

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Speaker 2: State money line. Like I mentioned, we laid four with

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's, so he came in with Saint Mary's on that.

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Speaker 2: This is going to be a couple of ads. Okay,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina money line. I'm gonna try my hand on

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Speaker 2: a two leg money line parlay again. Okay, look, I

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Speaker 2: think Baylor is going to win today. All right, you

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Speaker 2: can take plus one and a half if you want.

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Speaker 2: But according to Kempom, this is a win. I don't

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Speaker 2: like Mississippi State. It's a seventy four to seventy three

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Speaker 2: win for Baylor. I know Baylor lost their final two

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Speaker 2: games of the year, two or the last three. They

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Speaker 2: lost to Houston and they lost to Texas Tech. They

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Speaker 2: beat Kansas State, but I think the brand of basketball

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Speaker 2: that they played just how much great. I mean, they

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Speaker 2: played Gonzaga, they played Tennessee, they played Yukon, they played

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Speaker 2: Iowa State, they played Arizona State, they played Cincinnati. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Baylor didn't have a great year, they were nineteen and fourteen,

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Speaker 2: but I didn't like the way the Missippi State played

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Speaker 2: at all. They wound up under five hundred in conference

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Speaker 2: in the SEC. I mean, their best win in the conference,

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Speaker 2: you could make the case was against A and M.

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Speaker 1: But I don't like A and M.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you guys know how I feel about Buzz Williams's team.

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Speaker 2: I don't like they beat Ole Miss in overtime. They

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Speaker 2: beat South Carolina in overtime. Their best non conference win

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Speaker 2: was SMU Memphis, which is decent. They beat Vandy on

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Speaker 2: the road, which, considering how tough Vandy was at home,

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Speaker 2: I guess that's a good win, but which early in

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Speaker 2: the year.

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Speaker 1: It was in January.

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Speaker 2: I just don't like Missisippi State's chances here in this

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Speaker 2: matchup against Baylor. I think Baylor wins the game outright,

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Speaker 2: and then I'm going back to my people. Okay, you

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Speaker 2: know my people are Creighton with Greg McDermott, Drake, Ben McCollum,

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Speaker 2: whoever's coaching Drake and Oregon and Dan Altman, who I

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Speaker 2: started covering when he was the head coach of Creighton basketball.

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Speaker 2: They don't lose in the first round, Okay, there's probably

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Speaker 2: kiss of death. They're probably gonna lose here to Liberty.

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Speaker 2: But Dane Altman doesn't lose in the first round. I mean,

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Speaker 2: he didn't really lose in the first round at Creighton

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Speaker 2: for goodness sakes. But at Oregon he's seven and zero

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Speaker 2: in the first round. Okay, he just doesn't lose this game.

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Speaker 2: They may lose the next game, but not this game.

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Speaker 2: This is a four point win according to kempom. They

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Speaker 2: lost to Michigan State in the Big Ten Tournament, which

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Speaker 2: wasn't great, but they were red hot going into that game.

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Speaker 2: They beat Indiana. They had had a pretty rough late

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Speaker 2: late January early February, they lost five in a row

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Speaker 2: in six to seven, but they really turned things around

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Speaker 2: and got hot down the stretch. They wound up twelve

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Speaker 2: and eight in conference and one in one in the

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Speaker 2: Big Twelve. In the Big Ten Tournament. For Liberty, they're

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Speaker 2: twenty eight and six. Richard McKay's team is really hot

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Speaker 2: at the moment, but they have the Brandon of basketball.

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Speaker 1: I mean who they have played. They're slow. They're two

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty fifth in tempo.

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Speaker 2: They're seventy six in efficiency, they're forty seventh in defensive efficiency.

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Speaker 2: They do not rebound the basketball very well, but they're

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Speaker 2: very good and effective field goal percentags. They take very

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Speaker 2: good shots. They're second in the nation in effective field

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Speaker 2: goal percentage. The problem I think what's going to come

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Speaker 2: in here for Liberty is that Oregon defensively, I think

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Speaker 2: it's going to be able to exploit and be able

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Speaker 2: to stop Liberty because if they say they play slow,

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Speaker 2: Oregon is completely comfortable playing slow. They're one hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifty second in tempo. But they can play fast or slow.

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Speaker 2: Dana may press them just to go ahead and pick

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Speaker 2: them up just talent wise. I think there's just a

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Speaker 2: really big difference here. Now Biddle in company the seven footer,

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Speaker 2: there's nobody on this court for Liberty. We saw it

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Speaker 2: with Michigan, right, I mean that's how they ultimately won

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Speaker 2: the game was because of the size.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: They won the game by three. They didn't cover the

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Speaker 2: three and a half. They pushed on the three. They

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Speaker 2: covered the closing number at two and a half. But

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Speaker 2: I don't want to lay seven points with Oregon. It's

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Speaker 2: too heavy. So instead, if you go money line Baylor

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Speaker 2: because I think they win, and moneyline Oregon, that is

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Speaker 2: a pretty nice plus one eighty two parlay like, that's

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Speaker 2: a pretty good bet. Okay to come in here and

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Speaker 2: take that. So that's the ad to come in here

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Speaker 2: for Friday. Okay, that's the ad. Oregon money line parlayed

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Speaker 2: with Baylor money line. You can just do a Baylor

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Speaker 2: money line, but if you want, that's plus money. But

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go ahead and throw the Oregon Ducks in

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Speaker 2: there because I think Oregon's gonna win and I want

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Speaker 2: to have a little more action and we can make

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Speaker 2: up for Clemson's debacle yesterday. And let's see if we

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Speaker 2: can make up that unit that we lost or close

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Speaker 2: to that unit that we lost. So plus one eighty

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Speaker 2: two for one unit. Oregon money line parlayed with Baylor

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Speaker 2: money line. Now opening number for the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: up against Auburn. On my bracket, I picked this upset again.

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Speaker 2: If you miss this, this is why I'm doing this.

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Speaker 2: This is your life, Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So in twenty ten, fifteen years ago in Oklahoma City,

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Speaker 2: Northern Iowa, coached by Ben Jacobson, best friends with Greg McDermott,

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Speaker 2: had a guard named Steve named Ali Farrokmanesh who was

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Speaker 2: an older player who was a six foot, six foot

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Speaker 2: one shooting guard, veteran leader Steven Ashworth, six foot shooting guard,

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Speaker 2: veteran lee Greg McDermott, nine seed. You and I went

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Speaker 2: and played the number one overall seed in Kansas in

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma City and beat him outright. So the biggest win

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Speaker 2: in the history of Northern Iowa in one of the

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Speaker 2: biggest shots in the history of the NCAA tournaments when

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Speaker 2: Ali for Okmanesh took a three that they did not

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Speaker 2: need to ice the game and to knock out the

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Speaker 2: number one seed overall. It was the biggest no, no, no,

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Speaker 2: yes shot in recent memory over the last twenty years.

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Speaker 2: Could the Jays have a similar moment? Look, the Creighton

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays matchup very well with Auburn. Okay, Auburn might

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Speaker 2: destroy them. And I'm not saying that Auburn is not

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Speaker 2: an incredibly difficult opponent for anyone, including the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: The Jays have the size, however, and the one big

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Speaker 2: weapon that they've got is Jeremiah Neil, who scored twenty

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Speaker 2: nine points in the last game. If he plays like that,

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Speaker 2: the Jays are going to be alive this year. Eleven

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Speaker 2: six and one away from home ten and nine Auburn

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Speaker 2: away from home in the SEC Auburn eight and twelve.

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Speaker 2: Auburn didn't cover today, they haven't covered in five games.

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Speaker 2: They're zero to five against the spread. This number is

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. You can sprinkle money line if

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Speaker 2: you want the shocker. Okay, I have it on my bracket,

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Speaker 2: but I'm taking the points right now. At open plus

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Speaker 2: nine and a half, maybe you get a ten. It

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Speaker 2: was ten and a half at certain books at the beginning.

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Speaker 2: I didn't get on it fast enough. I got nine

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Speaker 2: and a half. Okay, but I think the Jays are

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Speaker 2: gonna be live to win the game, and at plus

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Speaker 2: nine and a half we should have a chance to

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Speaker 2: bet in game. I don't know how many in game

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Speaker 2: bets I made today, maybe ten. I made a ton

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Speaker 2: of in game bets, and I'm gonna do the same

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Speaker 2: thing today. So like, if you take the plus go ahead,

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Speaker 2: and I mean I pushed. I had plus seven with Kansas,

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Speaker 2: so I had five and a half Arkansas and plus

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Speaker 2: seven with Kansas.

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Speaker 1: I pushed on that, but you can play that way.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna take nine and a half with Creighton and

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Speaker 2: then look to hedge off of it and hopefully the

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Speaker 2: Jays get up five or six points and we can

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Speaker 2: take Auburn plus the points in some form or fashion.

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Speaker 2: So you have a nice big middle. I look for

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Speaker 2: ten point middles, Okay, So that's what I look for.

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Speaker 2: We have almost a ten point middle. If Auburn is

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Speaker 2: favored at all, he's a dog, sorry at all.

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Speaker 1: In the game.

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Speaker 2: We basically have a ten point middle by taking nine

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Speaker 2: and a half with the Creighton Blue Jays. Okay, So

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Speaker 2: I'm doing that on Saturday. There's our first bet for Saturday,

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Speaker 2: Creighton plus nine and a half up against Auburn, the

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Speaker 2: number one overall seed. Kalkbrenner I think is going to

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Speaker 2: be able to contain Broom. I think defensively the Jays

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Speaker 2: can slow down the shooting. There's some really big problems.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not saying that Auburn doesn't pose a

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Speaker 2: lot of problems for everyone in the country, but they're

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Speaker 2: the weakest number one seed, even though they're the number

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Speaker 2: one seed overall. Chad Baker Mazzara is a complete matchup

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Speaker 2: nightmare for the Jase, But I think they're going to

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Speaker 2: be able to contain him enough to stay in the game,

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Speaker 2: and that really is gonna be up to Jeremiah Neil

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Speaker 2: to go ahead and track Chad Baker Mazara, but Broom

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Speaker 2: I like Cawkbrunner to hold him down. Pettiford is a

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Speaker 2: tremendous shooting guard, but Ashford's gonna be right there. Miles

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Speaker 2: Kelly's been great, but the Jays have got other weapons,

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Speaker 2: and frankly, Creighton's got size from their front court that

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Speaker 2: I think they're actually gonna be able to out rebound Auburn.

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Speaker 2: And Auburn rebounding this year they've been okay, but not outstanding,

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Speaker 2: like good, but not outstanding. This is a ten point

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Speaker 2: win according to Kenpom. We're catching nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: You can buy the half a point if you want

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Speaker 2: and buy them up, but we're gonna betting in game

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Speaker 2: like crazy Lexanon, Kentucky. No more advantage for having a

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Speaker 2: home court. Okay, Auburn will have fans there, but so

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Speaker 2: with the Creighton Blue Jays. People are gonna come out

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Speaker 2: from Omaha for this game on Saturday at rop Arena.

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Speaker 2: I'm telling you, Jays fans will drive, James fans will fly,

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be there for sure. And look, they both

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Speaker 2: match up pretty well against each other on paper. You know,

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Speaker 2: Creighton is gonna have to hit their threes, gonna need

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Speaker 2: Steven Ashworth and Jeremiah Neil to hit their threes, and

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Speaker 2: they're probably gonna need somebody like Jackson McAndrew to have

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Speaker 2: the game of his life. But he's a six foot

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Speaker 2: ten kid who's a shooter who really there isn't anybody

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Speaker 2: on the court for Auburn that matches up well with

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Speaker 2: that kid in terms of height. Now, he's not very

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Speaker 2: big or strong, but if you hit the Jay's hit

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Speaker 2: their three, and if Jason Green plays the way he

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Speaker 2: played in the Biggiest Tournament, he's got a chance to

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Speaker 2: do some serious damage. So I think Auburn is extremely

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Speaker 2: vulnerable here and the Jay's got a great draw out

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Speaker 2: of this. So we're gonna come in and we're gonna

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Speaker 2: take plus nine and a half for the Creighton Blue Jayson.

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Speaker 1: All right, So full card for us here today.

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Speaker 2: Saint Mary's minus four Oklahoma plus five and a half

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Speaker 2: up against Yukon North Carolina money lined Baylor Oregon money

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Speaker 2: line parlay at plus one eighty two Colorado State to

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Speaker 2: meet to make the Sweet sixteen. So essentially it's a

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Speaker 2: moneyline bet today and then we'll hedge off of it.

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Speaker 2: If they beat Memphis today, we'll hedge off of it.

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Speaker 2: So they got to win today in order to have

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Speaker 2: that be available for them to play in that round

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Speaker 2: of thirty two game to win their bracket, if you will.

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Speaker 1: So that's an important w there for one unit.

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Speaker 2: And then Creighton plus nine and a half on Saturday

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Speaker 2: the first bet for US on Saturday up against Auburn

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Speaker 2: at minus one ten for one point one units. I

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Speaker 2: definitely want as many points as possible. With the Jays

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Speaker 2: at plus nine and a half, I prefer ten. I

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Speaker 2: already missed out on one full. I mean some books

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Speaker 2: were at ten and a half. If you found ten

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Speaker 2: and a half. If it goes back up to ten

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Speaker 2: and a half, I would love to see it because

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Speaker 2: ten ten and a half will be great. You can

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Speaker 2: buy it up to ten if you want, but I

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Speaker 2: think the Jays are going to be live to win

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Speaker 2: the game, so I'm going to say you don't need

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Speaker 2: it on that.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt Day two of the Madness. Enjoy it.

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Speaker 2: Let's keep the good times rolling. Good day one, Let's

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Speaker 2: have a good day two. Follow me because all my

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Speaker 2: socials at sports dot map every morning. Wherever you guys

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Speaker 2: get your podcasts. It is the daily juice.