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Speaker 1: On this episode of Newsworld, I'm joined by members of

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Speaker 1: my Inner Circle Club for a fascinating conversation about a

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Speaker 1: wide range of issues and topics on their minds. We

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Speaker 1: hold these regular video conference calls so that we can

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Speaker 1: have an honest discussion about what is happening in America today.

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Speaker 1: I find it extraordinarily helpful to me personally and helping

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Speaker 1: think through the issues that are facing us. So I

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Speaker 1: hope you'll find this episode of newts World informative, and

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Speaker 1: if you'd like to become a member of my Inner

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Speaker 1: Circle Club, please go to newts Inner Circle dot com

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Speaker 1: and sign up for a one or two year membership.

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Speaker 1: Today a couple of just general thoughts. Obviously, we have

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Speaker 1: talked briefly about Justice Bryer and the Supreme Court. But

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Speaker 1: I thought the most interesting thing I ran across today

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Speaker 1: was a Fox and Friends piece on shrink. It was

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Speaker 1: based on the idea that there are prices that stay

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Speaker 1: the same, but the amount you get goes down. So

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Speaker 1: they were showing, for example, a box of family size

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Speaker 1: cereal which is now going for the same amount of money,

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Speaker 1: but by the way, it has one serving of cereal

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Speaker 1: less than they used to have. They also showed a

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Speaker 1: Chobani yogurt which now has about ten percent less yogurt

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Speaker 1: than it used to have the same price, but you're

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Speaker 1: not getting as much, so actually the price has gone

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Speaker 1: up by definition. And it's just one of the reactions

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Speaker 1: to the Biden inflation process, along with the logistics supply

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Speaker 1: chain mess. That was the most interesting thing I saw

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Speaker 1: today in Justice Briar. I may be a little different

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Speaker 1: than a lot of people. Badges did Larry Cutlow's show,

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Speaker 1: and I like Larry very much, but he was often

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Speaker 1: this whole notion that it was somehow inappropriate to try

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Speaker 1: to find a black woman. Say, I would say, it's

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Speaker 1: not inappropriate to stay as long as there is a

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Speaker 1: highly qualified federal judge who happens to also be a

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Speaker 1: black woman, that that's perfectly legitimate. The court has changed

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Speaker 1: over time. Originally was white Protestant men, then gradually began

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Speaker 1: to include Jews and Catholics, then began to include women,

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Speaker 1: led by the way by Ronald Reagan, who appointed the

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Speaker 1: first female justice. And these processes go on over time,

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Speaker 1: and I think that trying to find somebody who meets

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Speaker 1: the political needs of his coalition is what presidents do

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Speaker 1: now the challenge he's got, I think, and the way

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Speaker 1: I put it in a tweet this morning, you have

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Speaker 1: to check first to make sure they're competent, because if

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Speaker 1: they're not competent, I don't care what their background, you

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Speaker 1: can't let them be on a lifetime appointment. Second, I

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Speaker 1: think we should be willing to accept a liberal, but

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Speaker 1: not accept a radical. After all, they won the election.

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Speaker 1: Elections have consequence. Donald Trump proved that when he named

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Speaker 1: three conservatives and changed decisively the makeup of the US

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Speaker 1: Supreme Court, which is now six to three in favor

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Speaker 1: of conservatives. So Joe Biden legitimately can name a liberal

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Speaker 1: he did win. That is the broad base. But we

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Speaker 1: don't have to tolerate a radical who would make decisions

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Speaker 1: for the rest of their lifetime that are profoundly opposite

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Speaker 1: of the American tradition. So that's sort of how I

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Speaker 1: put that. It should concern us. By the way, just

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Speaker 1: looking at the world at large, you had just had

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Speaker 1: a naval demonstration off of Taiwan by two US aircraft

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Speaker 1: carriers and a Japanese aircraft carrier. The Japanese have built

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Speaker 1: what they called destroyer carriers, which are basically large destroyers

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Speaker 1: that have a pretty good sized deck to fly F

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Speaker 1: thirty fives, which are designed specially to take off on

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Speaker 1: land in a very short area. They've now moved those

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Speaker 1: carriers down to the South Sea, at least the Americans.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure if the Japanese win. So you have

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Speaker 1: two huge US carriers plus their various supporting ships because

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Speaker 1: those ships never go by themselves. So they have cruisers,

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Speaker 1: they have destroyers, they have submarines, all of them making

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Speaker 1: a demonstration in the area that the Chinese Communists would

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Speaker 1: like to claim as their own. Now it's got to

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Speaker 1: be a fairly impressive display of strength. At the same time,

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Speaker 1: of course, there are real questions about whether or not

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Speaker 1: we should be reinforcing the Baltic states Estonia, Latia, Lithuania

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Speaker 1: and Poland to signal through the Russians that we're not

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Speaker 1: going to tolerate them moving into NATO. We are apparently

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Speaker 1: sending sophisticated weapons to the Ukrainians. The British and the

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Speaker 1: Americans both and the Canadians all three have training units

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Speaker 1: in the Ukraine training the Ukrainian Army. They would lose

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Speaker 1: to the Russians over time, but they would probably end

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Speaker 1: up causing a lot of casualties, killing a lot of Russians.

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Speaker 1: So the question for Putinez, now that he's had fun

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Speaker 1: and he's gotten the world's attention, does he really want

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Speaker 1: to engage in a war and face the various economic

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Speaker 1: and other consequences. I think we should not try to

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Speaker 1: get an American force directly engaged. We managed to get

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Speaker 1: through the entire Cold War from nineteen forty six to

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Speaker 1: nineteen ninety one and never openly have Americans and Russians

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Speaker 1: killing each other. There were Russian volunteers flying aircraft in

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Speaker 1: the Korean War for North Korea, but we all just

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Speaker 1: ignored it and there weren't very many of them. In

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Speaker 1: the end, it didn't matter. But we've never openly had

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Speaker 1: direct confrontation between Russian and American forces, and as the

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Speaker 1: two countries that have ninety percent of the world's nuclear weapons,

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Speaker 1: I personally think we ought to be very very careful.

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Speaker 1: I'm all for arming the Ukrainians. I'm all for economically

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Speaker 1: punishing Russia if they go into Ukraine. I'm all for

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Speaker 1: continuing to arm the Ukrainians if they end up in

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Speaker 1: a guerrilla war. But I don't think I want to

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Speaker 1: see any American troops there. Now, the countries that are

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Speaker 1: in NATO are different, So if you're one of the

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Speaker 1: NATO regime, then I think it's better for us to

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Speaker 1: put troops in early to make it clear to Russia.

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Speaker 1: Not that eighty five hundred American troops, which is the

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Speaker 1: number we're currently talking about, would defeat one hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty five thousand Russian troops, but they are a trip

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Speaker 1: wire that says we're serious and we're going to be there.

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Speaker 1: The last common I'll make is the recent Gallop poll

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Speaker 1: numbers that showed an amazing shift from a nine point

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Speaker 1: advantage for the Democrats in January to a sixth point

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Speaker 1: advantage for the Republicans at the end of the year.

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Speaker 1: It's a fifteen point shift in which party you favored

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Speaker 1: generically for Congress, largest shift Gallops ever seen and the

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Speaker 1: largest lead the Republicans have had I think in modern times. Now, again,

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Speaker 1: one week is a long time in politics. We are

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Speaker 1: a long way from the election. I wouldn't automatically count

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Speaker 1: on a gigantic victory. I think it's overwhelmingly likely though,

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Speaker 1: we'll end up with a majority in the Senate and

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Speaker 1: the majority of the House. I think Kevin McCarthy will

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Speaker 1: be speaker, and I think it's likely that Mitch McConnell

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Speaker 1: will be leader. But the size of the majority, if

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Speaker 1: it happened today, it'll be the largest increase since the

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Speaker 1: election of nineteen twenty. So you know, he started getting

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Speaker 1: changes you haven't seen in a hundred years. Something big

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Speaker 1: is going on. I think it's pretty clear cut. Things

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Speaker 1: aren't working. Prices are going up, two million people across

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Speaker 1: the border illegally, crime is going up. The various logistics

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Speaker 1: supply chains aren't getting solved, etc. Just go down the list,

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Speaker 1: and I think as long as the Democrats are mired

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Speaker 1: down and totally failing to govern, that it's a problem.

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Speaker 1: I did, by the way, a great podcast with Governor

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Speaker 1: Ricketts of Nebraska, who now has a one point seven

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Speaker 1: percent unemployment rate, the lowest unemployment rate in history for

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Speaker 1: a state. He has done an amazing job of leading Nebraska.

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Speaker 1: It's a great podcast. You can get it for free.

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Speaker 1: It's a news world and you can get it through

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Speaker 1: English three sixty. So that's a sweeping overview. Ryan from

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Speaker 1: San Louis Obispo, California, Rights under Trump, the Republican Party

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Speaker 1: through its policy on trade and messaging began to shift

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Speaker 1: in the direction of representing the working American. How will

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Speaker 1: this influence the campaigns in the mid terms and in

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Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election in twenty four oh I think

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Speaker 1: it'll be a real continued effort in our part to

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Speaker 1: be the party of working Americans and to do the

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Speaker 1: things necessary to ensure that we have jobs in America.

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Speaker 1: Part of it starts with energy, the gasoline price as

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Speaker 1: high as they are because the bid Deministration is waging

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Speaker 1: war on American energy. Part of it starts with computer chips,

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Speaker 1: where we need to get a bill through the House

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Speaker 1: and Senate to begin to enable us to rebuild our capacity.

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Speaker 1: I was very encouraged that Intel is going to open

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Speaker 1: the largest computer chip factory in the world in Ohio.

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Speaker 1: That's a great step in the right direction. But I

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Speaker 1: think we have to have a goal of in sourcing

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Speaker 1: everything that currently is being made in China that in

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Speaker 1: any way affects our national security or effects our ability

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Speaker 1: to do things. When you learn they first gave us

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Speaker 1: COVID and then they sold us the masks made in China,

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Speaker 1: so that we're supposed to protect us from COVID and

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Speaker 1: they're the primary maker of the feedstock for pharmaceuticals. You

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Speaker 1: know somethings that's wrong. Those who are interested in going

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Speaker 1: to electric vehicles and have to recognize it right now

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Speaker 1: on a very high percent of the world's batteries and

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Speaker 1: a high percentage of the world's solar power are made

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Speaker 1: in China. So we need to be sourcing those things

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Speaker 1: back into the US if we're serious about it. And

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Speaker 1: of course the administration just went in the opposite direction

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Speaker 1: by ruling that they could not open a nickel and

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Speaker 1: coppermine in northern Minnesota, which means that we're going to

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Speaker 1: be even more reliant on China for the things you

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Speaker 1: need for batteries. I think a lot of people who

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Speaker 1: are green or don't understand that they're turning the fate

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Speaker 1: of their green movement over to the Chinese communist dictatorship,

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Speaker 1: and that's not a very good place to Heaven Speaker,

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Speaker 1: I'm calling from Jasper, Georgia. I'm curious to know your

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Speaker 1: thoughts on whether or not the Russians and the Chinese

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Speaker 1: would collude to launch simultaneous aggression against Ukraine and Taiwan,

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Speaker 1: probably after the Olympics, to overwhelm NATO militarily and Biden politically.

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Speaker 1: We know that and Jijianping, the Russian and Chinese leaders

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Speaker 1: spend time together, talk together, lot have met for long

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Speaker 1: meetings for several days at a time. We know that

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Speaker 1: they have had military exercises together, and in fact, there's

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Speaker 1: a report that the Russians, Chinese and Iranians will be

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Speaker 1: having an exercise in the Persian Gulf. So I think

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Speaker 1: you have to look at all that and conclude not

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Speaker 1: necessarily that they are down at a detailed level collaborating,

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Speaker 1: but that certainly they're talking in general terms about how

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Speaker 1: to compete with the United States. And I worry that

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Speaker 1: you could have a simultaneous effort of the Chinese Communist

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Speaker 1: against Taiwan and the Russians against Ukraine, and we would

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Speaker 1: be very very stretched thin to try to deal with

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Speaker 1: that if they both were moving at the same time.

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Speaker 1: So that was a good question. It's an important topic

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Speaker 1: when as Mark RALI come from mortle Be, South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: Let's just speak. Over the past year, we've seen the

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Speaker 1: Democrats attempt to change the rules in Congress, the rules

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Speaker 1: in the Senate, with what I would consider to be

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Speaker 1: disastrous effects for our country. I'm curious as we look

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Speaker 1: into maybe we're gaining control the Congress. In the Senate,

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Speaker 1: could we change the rules of the Senate so that

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Speaker 1: something like the filibuster couldn't be changed with the simple majority. Well, no,

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Speaker 1: I don't think you can do that. First of all,

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Speaker 1: I think we should be very grateful that Mansion and Sentima,

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Speaker 1: the two senators from West Virginia and Arizona, blocked the

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Speaker 1: effort to change it. Second, I think that the Republicans

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Speaker 1: have indicated pretty clearly they don't want to change it.

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Speaker 1: I think it's just amazingly stupid because if we take over,

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Speaker 1: which we probably will in January, if the Democrats had

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Speaker 1: managed to wipe out the filibuster next year, we could

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Speaker 1: run over them all day, every day, which is frankly

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Speaker 1: bad government. Now the House is a different problem. Pelosi's

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Speaker 1: tried to create what is an effective dictatorship, and I

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Speaker 1: think they've got to go through a great deal of

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Speaker 1: change in the House to get it back to the

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Speaker 1: way it's supposed to operate in terms of the Constitution.

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Speaker 1: But the Senate's not in that better shape yet. And thus,

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Speaker 1: partly because Mansion and Cinema were not willing to go along.

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Speaker 1: And it's amazing. I think there are thirty five Democratic

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Speaker 1: senators who had signed a letter defending the filibuster when

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Speaker 1: Trump was president, and all thirty five have sold out.

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Speaker 1: It's a remarkable example of shortsightedness, and if they got

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Speaker 1: their way, they would deeply regret it by the spring

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Speaker 1: of two thou and twenty three. Thank you, Good evening everyone,

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Speaker 1: mister speaker. I'm originally from New York City, but now

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Speaker 1: I'm living in the Land of the Three, the state

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Speaker 1: of Florida. And my question to you, mister speaker, is

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Speaker 1: would you rule out the possibility of serving as the

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four presidential nominees running mate or otherwise serving

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Speaker 1: in the cabinets. Well, the first one's easy. You nobody's

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Speaker 1: going to pick me to be at the running mate,

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Speaker 1: and I probably would not accept a cabinet job unless

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Speaker 1: there was some extraordinary reason, too. I think that I

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Speaker 1: do make a contribution to the policy. I'm happy to

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Speaker 1: advise cabinet officers. In the George W. Bush period, I

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Speaker 1: spent six years advising Rumsfeld at the Defense Department. I

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Speaker 1: spent about the same time advising Tommy Thompson at Health

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Speaker 1: and Human Services, and I'm very willing to be involved

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Speaker 1: on the idea and but I don't have any great

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Speaker 1: interest in actually trying to run one of the departments.

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Speaker 1: But I appreciate and I'm flattered by your comments. And

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Speaker 1: it's nice to have friends who have big ideas. But sometimes,

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Speaker 1: you know, but I think I'm probably just going to

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Speaker 1: write books and do podcasts and hang out with you

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Speaker 1: guys on the Inner Circle. Good afternoon, I'm Randy Nichols.

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Speaker 1: I'm calling from Birmingham, Alabama. Mister speaker, I'm curious whether

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Speaker 1: you think Vice President Harris will be among those considered

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Speaker 1: for the vacancy on the Supreme Court. Someone speculated that

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Speaker 1: might be a mechanism to shift someone the Democrats think

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Speaker 1: are more electable into the vice presidential slot. Thank you

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Speaker 1: for your time. I saw a lot of emails today

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Speaker 1: talking about the speculating about it. I think it's very unlikely.

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Speaker 1: First of all, she was not a very good candidate

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Speaker 1: for president. She has been a bad vice president. I

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Speaker 1: don't think she could get approved. She's not exactly a

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Speaker 1: great lawyer, and I think that the reality is that

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Speaker 1: she would be very embarrassed by the kind of question

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Speaker 1: if you go back and you look at the three

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Speaker 1: Trump nominees and what they went through, and you realize,

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Speaker 1: I mean, even if you're not hostile, you're going to

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Speaker 1: ask tough questions and you're going to expect the person

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Speaker 1: to know something about the law. And the fact is

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Speaker 1: that I don't think she knows very much at all.

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Speaker 1: So I think this would be a very difficult thing

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Speaker 1: to do. Plus, if she were appointed, this gets very complicated.

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Speaker 1: In order to replace the vice president, which you can

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Speaker 1: do under the twenty fifth Amendment, in order to replace

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Speaker 1: the vice president, you have to have both the House

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Speaker 1: and the Senate by a majority vote agree to the

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Speaker 1: new person. Well, that means if she steps down to

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Speaker 1: go to the Supreme Court, they're at fifty fifty and

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Speaker 1: they don't have a tiebreaker in the Senate, so they

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Speaker 1: can't get anybody approved. It would be a total mess.

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Speaker 1: I can understand why people would like to find some

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Speaker 1: way to get rid of her, but I think we

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Speaker 1: are stuck with her through the end of Biden's first

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Speaker 1: and only term. Name is Charles Kilmer, currently from Leesburg, Virginia.

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Speaker 1: My question is Elon must formed a company called ad

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Speaker 1: Aster to teach his kids. That company then went on

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Speaker 1: to teach the children of SpaceX employees. Now it's open

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Speaker 1: to the general public. Question is, would you think of

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Speaker 1: a good idea to run some state or federal programs

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Speaker 1: in select counties in say Texas or Florida and Virginia

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Speaker 1: use the must educational program. Well, I actually I've never

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Speaker 1: looked at it. In fact, that you now have me

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Speaker 1: looking at a whole new topic, I've got to go

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Speaker 1: to research on. I have enormous respect from Uski. He's

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Speaker 1: an amazing entrepreneurial character. He has done extraordinarily well and

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Speaker 1: I think, by some standards as the richest man in

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Speaker 1: the world. So it's at least worth looking at. But

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Speaker 1: I frankly had never thought about it till just now.

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Speaker 1: So I'll try to report back the next time we

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Speaker 1: have one of these calls and let you know what

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Speaker 1: I learned. It's a great idea, well worth exploring, and

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go take a look at it, mister speaker.

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Speaker 1: I was originally from Maryland. I'm now anders in South

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Speaker 1: Carolina near the mountains. Love it. My question is, why

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Speaker 1: do you support the United States helping Ukraine protect its borders?

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Speaker 1: And also does the United States what Ukraine to be

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Speaker 1: part of native It's a good question. Let me say,

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Speaker 1: first of all, I think the Mexican border is a

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Speaker 1: lot more important to the United States than the Ukrainian border,

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Speaker 1: and I wish we would get serious about taking care

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Speaker 1: of the American border with Mexico. I recently did a

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Speaker 1: podcast with the mayor of Yuma, who had announced an

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Speaker 1: emergency because they had a two thousand, five hundred percent

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Speaker 1: increase in the number of people crossing the border at Yuma.

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Speaker 1: So while I'm concerned about Ukraine, and I think there

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Speaker 1: are very practical historical reasons to avoid Ukraine being occupied

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Speaker 1: or invaded by Russia, which should relate to the whole

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Speaker 1: balance of power worldwide and whether or not big countries

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Speaker 1: are allowed to go gobble up smaller countries. I think

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Speaker 1: that we ought to start with a recognition that we

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Speaker 1: have a lot of other interests than just Ukraine. At

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Speaker 1: the same time, I would not want to put Ukraine

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Speaker 1: in NATO at the present time, because it would be

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Speaker 1: a direct threat to Moscow and would almost guarantee that

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Speaker 1: Putin would to war. At one time, I actually thought

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Speaker 1: we should try to explore a better relationship with Russia.

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Speaker 1: But we need to recognize two really big things about one.

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Speaker 1: He is a KGB trained, ideologically Russian imperialist who really

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Speaker 1: does want to re establish the Soviet Empire. He desperately

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Speaker 1: means this. He sees us as the main enemy, and

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Speaker 1: therefore I don't think we can find a very good

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Speaker 1: way to deal with him. And then second, I think

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Speaker 1: we have to recognize that while we want to protect

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Speaker 1: Ukraine's ability to stay independent, we don't want to do

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Speaker 1: so in a way which gets us involved directly in

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Speaker 1: a major war with Russia if it's at all possible

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Speaker 1: to avoid it. But I do think, both with Taiwan

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Speaker 1: and with Ukraine, that there's a great deal about the

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Speaker 1: future of the world that hinges on our ability to

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Speaker 1: make sure that neither Taiwan nor Ukraine gets run over

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Speaker 1: by the neighborhood dictatorship. And I think that that's important

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Speaker 1: to set up other things, because if in fact Russia

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Speaker 1: could seize Ukraine with impunity, or if Communist China could

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Speaker 1: seize Taiwan with impunity, that would have implications for the

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Speaker 1: future that would be very, very dangerous, in my judgment,

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Speaker 1: and would potentially set off a whole series of problems,

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Speaker 1: including breaking up NATO, having Germany potentially ally itself with Russia,

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Speaker 1: and a variety of things which would be very bad

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Speaker 1: for the United States. But thank you. Let me mention

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Speaker 1: to all of you. We have a website now, American

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Speaker 1: Majority Project dot com. It has an enormous amount of

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Speaker 1: polling data and focus group data, and I encourage you

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Speaker 1: to go look at it, and if you find these

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Speaker 1: kind of conversations useful, tell your friends. We love to

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Speaker 1: have folks who join us at the Inner Circle. And

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Speaker 1: as you just saw with the question about education, I

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Speaker 1: learned stuff every time we do one of these, so

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Speaker 1: it's very helpful to me too. So thank you very much,

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Speaker 1: thank you for listening, and thank you to members of

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Speaker 1: my Inner Circle club. And if you'd like to become

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Speaker 1: a member, please go to newts Inner Circle dot com

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Speaker 1: and sign up for a one or two year membership today.

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Speaker 1: Newtsworld is produced by Gingerish three sixty and iHeartMedia. Our

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Speaker 1: executive producer is Guardsey Sloan, our producer is Rebecca Howe,

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Speaker 1: and our researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the

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Speaker 1: show was created by Steve Fenley Special thanks to the

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Speaker 1: team at gingwish three sixty. If you've been enjoying Newtsworld,

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Speaker 1: us with five stars and give us a review so

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Speaker 1: others can learn what it's all about. Right now, listeners

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Speaker 1: of Newtsworld can sign up for my three free weekly

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Speaker 1: columns at gingwish three sixty dot com slash newsletter. I'm

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Speaker 1: newt GINGRIDG. This is Newtsworld, Fur