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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcasts.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Every pitch is your pitch, The greatest show on dirt, deep.

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Speaker 2: To left field, way back, that God Show.

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Speaker 1: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

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Speaker 3: Welcome into the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 3: Bett MGM. We got college baseball Superregionals, which means Colin

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Speaker 3: Wilson is here to join us. We promised you some mayhem,

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Speaker 3: some chaos, some cinderellas. I don't know if we banked

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Speaker 3: on this many cinderella's. We got Evansville as a four seed,

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Speaker 3: cashing their ticket moving on to the Superregionals, and five

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Speaker 3: count on five three seeds Florida, K State, Oregon, Yukon,

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Speaker 3: and West Virginia all moving on to continue their dream

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Speaker 3: of to Omaha. They're gonna have to do it on

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Speaker 3: the road. I'll kick it to you to get this started. Colin,

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Speaker 3: you thought there would be some upsets. Did you have

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Speaker 3: any of these penciled in? I know that Florida was

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Speaker 3: kind of an interesting pick. They had a ton of talent,

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Speaker 3: but when you look at these other ones. Yukon, let's

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Speaker 3: start there. How did the Huskies get this done?

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Speaker 2: In the regionals.

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Speaker 1: Ye, I mean, well Storry, Yeah, I guess with you.

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Speaker 1: Kan they have a pedigree. They won their regional in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. This from a program history standpoint, you

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Speaker 1: got to think when they're recruiting these kids, it's coming up.

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Speaker 2: It's like we've been here before, We've done.

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Speaker 1: This, like this is nothing new for us to be

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Speaker 1: an underdog from the Northeast and go down and play

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Speaker 1: these teams in the South, and they prove that and

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Speaker 1: they're pitching was excellent. Now they got some problems, and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna say this for all these underdogs, some of

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Speaker 1: you have serious offensive problems and that's gonna get it

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Speaker 1: could get exposed.

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Speaker 2: But if you can keep these games low scoring, then.

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Speaker 1: The underdogs are gonna keep barking here. So Yukon is

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Speaker 1: one of those teams. They just always had the pedigree

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Speaker 1: in the program. They pitched extremely well, and here they are.

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Speaker 2: In the supers.

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Speaker 3: If you give this perspective, will you use this comp

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Speaker 3: plun times? The super Regionals are like the Sweet sixteen

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Speaker 3: for March Madness. So all of those sixteen teams six

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Speaker 3: are either three or four seeds, which kind of equates

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Speaker 3: to like a double digit seed in March Madness making

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Speaker 3: it to the second weekend. That's how much mayhem we have,

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Speaker 3: and it will be interesting to see if some of

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Speaker 3: the chalk can take advantage of these fortuitous matchups. So

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Speaker 3: we'll start at the very top with Tennessee the number

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Speaker 3: one overall team in this tournament. They're taken on Evansville,

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Speaker 3: who as a four seed, they became just the ninth

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Speaker 3: team at that number to get into the super Regionals.

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Speaker 3: Three of the previous eight made their way to Omaha.

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Speaker 3: So it'll be a question to see if the Purple

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Speaker 3: Aces can keep this magical run going. Oddsmakers don't believe

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Speaker 3: that they can. Tennessee installed minus fourteen hundred to go

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Speaker 3: ahead and win this series. Personally, just from a betting perspective,

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Speaker 3: I like this game, this series to be decided in

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Speaker 3: two games. You can get that at minus three hundred.

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Speaker 3: What's interesting there is you're not necessarily taking Tennessee to

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Speaker 3: win in two. You could also take Evansville, say if

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Speaker 3: they win the first game. So minus three hundred I

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Speaker 3: think is far more palatable as a price. But as

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Speaker 3: I mentioned, Evansville becoming just the ninth fourth seat to

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Speaker 3: make it to the super regionals and overall they played

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Speaker 3: so well. In the Greenville Regional, they went three to one,

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Speaker 3: but they had a minus three run differential. And that's

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Speaker 3: what's interesting about this. In college baseball, you can see

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Speaker 3: some of these scores just run away from you. You

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Speaker 3: can give up ten, fifteen, sometimes twenty runs in a

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Speaker 3: regional and still win it. And I think that's the

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Speaker 3: issue here for me, getting behind the Purple aces. Their

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Speaker 3: pitching staff is one hundred and twenty ninth in ra

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Speaker 3: When it goes bad, it goes really bad. And when

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Speaker 3: you look at this Tennessee offense, they're arguably the most

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Speaker 3: complete offense in all of college baseball. They bomb twelve

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Speaker 3: homers in three games. Even their ninth hitter hit two

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Speaker 3: home runs and had four ribbies in the closeout game

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Speaker 3: of their regional. So there's no moment when you can

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Speaker 3: take an X sale and figure we're going to pitch

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Speaker 3: around this guy and focus in on this element of

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Speaker 3: their lineup. They're bombing balls out of the ballpark top

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Speaker 3: to bottom. Do you think the balls have a free

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Speaker 3: square here or is this Evansville magic for real?

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Speaker 2: In your opinion, I.

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Speaker 1: Don't think we're going to call anybody a free square

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Speaker 1: at this point. If you've made it here to this,

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Speaker 1: you know, to the Sweet sixteen, to the super Regionals,

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Speaker 1: then obviously you've done something well. Evansville is hungry and

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Speaker 1: I'm conscious right now, and I do think there is

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Speaker 1: a spot to bet them here, but I mean, it

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Speaker 1: all has to be mathematically driven for me. When it

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Speaker 1: comes to the series price, Tennessee is absolutely justified at

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Speaker 1: being minus eight hundred. I make it minus seven seventy

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Speaker 1: and you think about what the volunteers did over the

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Speaker 1: weekend plus twenty one run differential at home. I've said

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Speaker 1: this since we started this podcast months ago. Tennessee has

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Speaker 1: a gear offensively that almost nobody can match, and once

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Speaker 1: they start hitting bombs, it's really hard to catch up.

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Speaker 1: And then you see a team like Arkansas. That's what

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Speaker 1: happens when you don't have that gear. And Evansville has

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Speaker 1: a gear to score runs. They average eight point one

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Speaker 1: runs per game that's also balanced out with calculated base runs.

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Speaker 1: That is very decent compared to Tennessee, who is at

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Speaker 1: eight point nine runs per game. So Evansville can keep

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Speaker 1: up on the scoreboard. But it's the pitching where it

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Speaker 1: really falls off. Evansville is going to be hot with

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Speaker 1: Kenton d on their first night. That is their best

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Speaker 1: chance to win a game after that, Donovan Schultz does

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Speaker 1: not match up with Drew Beam on Saturday in game

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Speaker 1: two whatsoever. And then if there is a third game

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Speaker 1: for some reason, if Evansville wins, Xander Seacris would be

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Speaker 1: a minus five hundred favorite over Kevin Reid. So how

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Speaker 1: do you play this number? Do you just take Evansville

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Speaker 1: at the plus four hundred whatever you can get to

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Speaker 1: see if they can win this. Do you take maybe

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half, maybe they can get a

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Speaker 1: game here Tennessee. I think is this is the regional

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Speaker 1: where if you're gonna take a shot, it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: and you're gonna take a shot in the underdog. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna do it with their best pitcher. Their best picture

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Speaker 1: is Kenton Deeberman. He does you know balance this out?

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Speaker 1: It should be down about minus three thirty against the

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Speaker 1: combination of Chris Stamos and aj Causey. There's a lot

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Speaker 1: of angles with this. I don't want to fly against

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Speaker 1: Drew Beam on Saturday in game two whatsoever. And even

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Speaker 1: if Kenton Deeberman was pitching in Game one, Chris Stamos.

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Speaker 1: Really he comes in, he does like one inning. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with aj Causey, but like

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Speaker 1: he's better out of the bullpen. He comes in and

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Speaker 1: fires five six innings and he looks like he's a starter.

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Speaker 1: But for some reason, Tony Vitello says, Nope, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: come out of the bullpen.

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Speaker 2: But this is a better chance for Evansville to get

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Speaker 2: a win.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna have their stud on the mound, and I

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Speaker 1: price it at a place where I would expect to

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Speaker 1: see plus two and a half, plus three and a

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Speaker 1: half on the run line. If you can get that,

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Speaker 1: the best bet in this is not Evansville for the

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Speaker 1: whole region, and not that Evansville might take a game,

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Speaker 1: because you're not gonna get that with your bean. Take

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Speaker 1: them game one back Kenton Deeberman hit the run line,

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Speaker 1: that is, and that's not available anywhere as we're recording this.

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Speaker 1: I assume it won't be available till Friday morning. That's

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Speaker 1: what I'll play.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the fact that they have thirty six runs in

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Speaker 3: four games makes it a little bit too difficult to

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Speaker 3: pull the trigger on them winning multiple games. Even winning

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Speaker 3: one out right, But I do like the run line

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Speaker 3: action as well as potential. You know, a live number

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Speaker 3: if they go down two or three early in that

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Speaker 3: game and you can get in that four, four and

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Speaker 3: a half, five and a half range for a live

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Speaker 3: number in terms of runs, that can be an interesting

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Speaker 3: way to go about it.

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Speaker 2: All Right, we're gonna look at the number two teams.

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Speaker 1: Think about the psychology caliberies, Like if they lose on

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Speaker 1: Friday and they have to face Drew Beam on Saturday,

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's just gonna be a lot of win

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Speaker 1: taken out of those sales. They show up on Friday,

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Speaker 1: pump to get to Knoxville, like, you're gonna get their

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Speaker 1: best effort with their stud on the mound. So the

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Speaker 1: best bet easily is game one.

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Speaker 3: Next in line Kentucky Oregon State the Wildcats minus one forty.

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Speaker 3: But we have to give the flowers to Oregon State.

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Speaker 3: Both teams from the state of Oregon out of the

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Speaker 3: Pac twelve making it to Super Regionals. But focusing on

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Speaker 3: the Beavers here, their offense finally came alive twenty six

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Speaker 3: runs in three games. They beat a quality you see

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Speaker 3: Irvine team twice erase a big deficit early in the

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Speaker 3: closeout game to get it done. Kentucky meanwhile, after scaring

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Speaker 3: game one against Western Michigan, looked masterful six' to one Over,

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Speaker 3: illinois five to zero Against Indiana. State AND i think

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Speaker 3: that is the brand of baseball that they want to.

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Speaker 3: Play they want to be able to lean on their

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Speaker 3: defense and be able to manufacture. Runs they don't want

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Speaker 3: to get into A Beer league softball game by any.

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Speaker 3: Stretch because The wildcats can, pitch their, bullpen can hold

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Speaker 3: their own their seventeenth in fielding, percentage much Like arkansas

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Speaker 3: in the past. Weekend this offense still worries me a little.

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Speaker 3: Bit they're sub two ninety in terms of their overall

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Speaker 3: team batting, average which puts them just around one hundredth

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Speaker 3: in the. Country they're fifty fourth and, slugging so grinding

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Speaker 3: out wins it can get a little bit, Dicey AND

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Speaker 3: i think if you're going to go ahead and lay

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Speaker 3: the minus one, forty it's not going to be a

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Speaker 3: situation where you're gonna cruise and have some sweat free.

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Speaker 3: Bets it is going to be a little bit sweaty

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Speaker 3: once you get to that. Bullpen my question for you

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Speaker 3: are we sleeping On Oregon state because overall their metrics look,

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Speaker 3: great although they weren't playing their best baseball coming into the,

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Speaker 3: tournament but overall their ninth in, staff E, ara eleventh

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Speaker 3: and home runs tenth and on base percentage and eighth

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Speaker 3: in slugging And jacob kamats he needed to be. Masterful

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Speaker 3: he just had a gem AGAINST Uc. Irvine does that

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Speaker 3: put a little bit of wind in his? Sales after

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Speaker 3: pitching seven innings nine k's only one earned? Run are

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Speaker 3: you a believer in The? Beavers one hundred percent of

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Speaker 3: believer in The. Beavers dogs are barking early on this.

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Speaker 3: PODCAST i Like Oregon state to take. THIS i think

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Speaker 3: The beavers go TO. Omh Travis mazana is going to

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Speaker 3: try to get it over the walls AND Td. Ameritrade

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Speaker 3: this is an offense that is capable of being better Than,

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Speaker 3: kentucky Which kentucky's been dreadful in offense and spots even

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Speaker 3: in a regional where they.

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Speaker 2: DOMINATED i, mean their run.

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Speaker 1: Differential is because of their bullpenning and because of their starting,

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Speaker 1: staff has nothing to do with scoring five to six

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Speaker 1: runs a.

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Speaker 2: Game it's pretty.

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Speaker 1: Low and then when you go and look at the,

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Speaker 1: Numbers Oregon state nine point zero three runs per, Game

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Speaker 1: kentucky eight runs per. Game and then when you go

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Speaker 1: and look at things like starting pitcher ERAS Emra team

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Speaker 1: fIF it's not bad For. Kentucky Oregon state's just a

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Speaker 1: whole lot. Better and WHEN i came into, THIS i

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Speaker 1: thought that this would be a coin. Flip THEN i

217
00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,280
Speaker 1: did the. MAP i want to know What Aiden may

218
00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:40,880
Speaker 1: is Against Trey pooser in game, one which this region

219
00:09:40,880 --> 00:09:42,840
Speaker 1: starts On. Saturday SO i Expect pooser to get his

220
00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,559
Speaker 1: seven days of bress and be the first game. Starter

221
00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,840
Speaker 1: But Aiden MAY i projected minus won twenty three in

222
00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,000
Speaker 1: the first. Game after, That i've Got jacob K maattz

223
00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:55,000
Speaker 1: minus won twenty three against not Dominicn. Neeban and then

224
00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:57,160
Speaker 1: if it goes to a game, Three i've Got eric

225
00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:01,920
Speaker 1: sagera barely Above Mason moore at minus one. Twelve that'd

226
00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:03,800
Speaker 1: be a minus one o eight there For. Kentucky but

227
00:10:03,880 --> 00:10:06,000
Speaker 1: when you talk about, that that series price comes out

228
00:10:06,000 --> 00:10:09,480
Speaker 1: to fifty six percent in favor Of Oregon. State that

229
00:10:09,559 --> 00:10:12,199
Speaker 1: correlates to minus one twenty. Five that market out there

230
00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,480
Speaker 1: as we record this is plus. Money i've put it

231
00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,520
Speaker 1: in that App i've written it. UP i have shed

232
00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:22,240
Speaker 1: close to a Dime beavers all the way here for.

233
00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,880
Speaker 1: Me you, KNOW i don't Think kentucky scores enough. Here

234
00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,920
Speaker 1: Oregon state can score it. Anytime all, right let's see

235
00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,160
Speaker 1: if you're interested In. Oregon two step, Here TEXAS a

236
00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:35,000
Speaker 1: AND m hosting The Oregon. Ducks The aggies minus four

237
00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:36,960
Speaker 1: to twenty five out of the market as of right.

238
00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,560
Speaker 1: Now The aggie is getting here by shutting out grambling

239
00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:43,320
Speaker 1: Outlasting texas and, extras and they breeze Passed louisiana in

240
00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:46,080
Speaker 1: the close out game nine to. Four, Meanwhile oregon looks

241
00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,520
Speaker 1: very impressive in The Santa Barbara. Regional they Beat San

242
00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:51,640
Speaker 1: diego and. Extras they BEAT ucsb two to one and

243
00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:53,480
Speaker 1: three to zero to get to three.

244
00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,880
Speaker 3: Wins the staff is rounding into. Shape they look like

245
00:10:55,920 --> 00:10:58,040
Speaker 3: maybe they, can you, know put the clamps on The

246
00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:01,240
Speaker 3: aggi's offense a little. Bit but the question here is very.

247
00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,800
Speaker 3: Simple The ducks have A prager size. Problem he is

248
00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,200
Speaker 3: an auto win at home FOR a AND, m which

249
00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:07,319
Speaker 3: raises the question.

250
00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:07,920
Speaker 2: Do you SAVE. R. J?

251
00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:10,480
Speaker 3: Gordon maybe even go with a bullpen start in game

252
00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:13,079
Speaker 3: one or Whenever prager pitches because he's gonna be what

253
00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:14,920
Speaker 3: minus one thousand in his start in the.

254
00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,760
Speaker 1: Series, YEAH i mean there's so many manager decisions that

255
00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:20,440
Speaker 1: are going to be made. Here on The oregon, Side

256
00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,600
Speaker 1: Kevin sider is their game three. Starter they might not

257
00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:26,000
Speaker 1: even get A game three. Here And Kevin sider pitched

258
00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,360
Speaker 1: a complete, game nine, innings one earned run here in

259
00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:33,000
Speaker 1: their regional to lock it. UP i mean just Unconscious

260
00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:36,120
Speaker 1: him And jacob KMEANTS i think combined for sixteen innings

261
00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,679
Speaker 1: of one run. BALL i mean that the pitching right

262
00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:43,040
Speaker 1: now has been Pretty i'm sorry say that. Again Kevin

263
00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:48,240
Speaker 1: sider And Grayson, grenzel both Of, oregon were pitching. Unconscious

264
00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:50,240
Speaker 1: the problem is that the hitting didn't come through out

265
00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:52,600
Speaker 1: there on The West. COAST i don't expect the hitting

266
00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:54,600
Speaker 1: to come through. Here if you look at orgon season

267
00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:57,360
Speaker 1: long number seven point runs per, game that's not even

268
00:11:57,360 --> 00:11:59,559
Speaker 1: close To TEXAS a And m's. Nine when you look

269
00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,959
Speaker 1: at the BULLP fip bullpen era not even, close the

270
00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:05,679
Speaker 1: numbers On peger blow.

271
00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,559
Speaker 2: This out of the. Water like, Mathematically.

272
00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:13,040
Speaker 1: Peger should be minus ten sixty over a thousand AGAINST.

273
00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:13,400
Speaker 2: Rj.

274
00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:15,640
Speaker 1: Gordon SO i don't know if you go full bullpen

275
00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:18,760
Speaker 1: throw in some low era, guys maybe that'll adjust it,

276
00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:20,280
Speaker 1: out but still you're only getting one.

277
00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:21,079
Speaker 2: Two innings out of these.

278
00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,360
Speaker 1: GUYS i, MEAN i can't justify when you put IN.

279
00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:25,920
Speaker 1: Rj gordon's, numbers which is what a four dot EIGHT

280
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:30,200
Speaker 1: ERA a six point two X fip no. GOOD i,

281
00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:32,079
Speaker 1: mean there's a Reason prager's minus one, thousand and the

282
00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,679
Speaker 1: REASON i harp on that is because Justin, LAMKIN i

283
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:36,840
Speaker 1: have projected minus four hundred and game two and I've

284
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,120
Speaker 1: Kevin sider getting beat By shane stou by a large

285
00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,520
Speaker 1: margin In game. Three that Makes texas minus nine seventy.

286
00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,960
Speaker 1: Five AND i think we said this. Before TEX a

287
00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,880
Speaker 1: AND m is firing on all. Cylinders the one thing

288
00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,880
Speaker 1: that they've always lacked is balance and pitching and.

289
00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:54,000
Speaker 2: Hitting they have.

290
00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:58,160
Speaker 1: That more, Importantly orgon just can't score enough here to

291
00:12:58,200 --> 00:12:59,440
Speaker 1: get Past TEXAS a AND hm at.

292
00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:00,920
Speaker 2: Home SO i, mean you're, Right.

293
00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:02,960
Speaker 1: CALIBERZY i think the only thing that they can do

294
00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,920
Speaker 1: is Chuck Kevin sider From game, three bring him Into game,

295
00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,040
Speaker 1: One maybe go bullpen and give everybody an inning or,

296
00:13:09,080 --> 00:13:11,439
Speaker 1: two because that's about the only managering DECISION i can

297
00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,600
Speaker 1: see for organ to steal one here Against Brian.

298
00:13:13,679 --> 00:13:17,120
Speaker 3: Prager it is interesting the differential between sports and. Football

299
00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:18,679
Speaker 3: you can never do. That you can never tell your

300
00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:20,800
Speaker 3: team we're not gonna win. This just go out there

301
00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:22,960
Speaker 3: and you, know put up a half effort and let's

302
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:23,720
Speaker 3: just not get anybody.

303
00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,400
Speaker 2: Injured doesn't work like. That but baseball you can put.

304
00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:29,320
Speaker 3: A calf to slaughter and, say let's just basically chalk

305
00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:31,079
Speaker 3: this one up as a loss and then try to

306
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:33,240
Speaker 3: throw our best arms in game two in game. Three

307
00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,640
Speaker 3: do you think psychologically that could be helpful To oregon

308
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,160
Speaker 3: where they play a little bit looser Against prager as

309
00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:42,000
Speaker 3: opposed to feeling like somehow they have to slay this

310
00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:43,280
Speaker 3: giant in game.

311
00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,640
Speaker 2: One, YEAH i mean.

312
00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:48,320
Speaker 1: From a psychological, standpoint you're gonna go on the, road

313
00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,599
Speaker 1: which I, OREGON i believe had a winning record on

314
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,520
Speaker 1: the road this. Year but you, know you're facing one

315
00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,080
Speaker 1: of the best pitchers in college, baseball and if you

316
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:57,840
Speaker 1: don't get this game, one it's the same, thing LIKE

317
00:13:57,880 --> 00:13:59,840
Speaker 1: i said earlier're going to roll Into game two with

318
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:02,400
Speaker 1: your backs behind the, wall especially if you eat up

319
00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:06,040
Speaker 1: six pitchers in that. Game So oregon's some really tough sledding.

320
00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,559
Speaker 1: Here the number out there while we're recording is minus four.

321
00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:12,199
Speaker 1: HUNDRED i THINK i can't remember many times in my

322
00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,160
Speaker 1: Life i've laid a minus four hundred unless it was a.

323
00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:15,679
Speaker 1: Game it was like, tennis AND i knew that this

324
00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:19,560
Speaker 1: was absolutely, uh there's an injury involved or. Something BUT

325
00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:22,760
Speaker 1: i Think TEXAS a AND m for me Because oregon

326
00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:24,400
Speaker 1: is going to have to do something with their pitching

327
00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:27,400
Speaker 1: staff because they only average seven runs per. Game this

328
00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:30,400
Speaker 1: is the favorite regional super regional spot WHERE i would

329
00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:31,920
Speaker 1: Say TEXAS a AND m minus one and a half

330
00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:32,520
Speaker 1: probably has some.

331
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,560
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336
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337
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Speaker 4: Jersey North, Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia West, virginia And.

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Speaker 2: Wyoming terms and conditions.

339
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Speaker 4: Apply must be twenty one plus gambling problem called one

340
00:14:58,480 --> 00:14:59,000
Speaker 4: eight hundred.

341
00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:03,560
Speaker 3: Gambler all, right you're kicking the tires on some. Dogs

342
00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:05,640
Speaker 3: he already gave out. One let's turn to one WHERE

343
00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:08,600
Speaker 3: i think the favorite is being. DISCOUNTED i think they

344
00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,880
Speaker 3: have a favorable price to potentially lay the minus two,

345
00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:14,080
Speaker 3: sixty and THAT'S unc Against West. Virginia North carolina goes

346
00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:17,200
Speaker 3: from oh, no we DREW lsu to being gifted A

347
00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,360
Speaker 3: West virginia team that really had an easy.

348
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:19,800
Speaker 2: Road In.

349
00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,760
Speaker 3: Tucson they Upset Dallas, baptist which was a quality, win

350
00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:25,200
Speaker 3: but then they got two games Against Grand canyon to

351
00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:27,120
Speaker 3: be able to get here to the Super, regionals WHEREAS

352
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:30,640
Speaker 3: unc has to feel great about going THROUGH, lsu including

353
00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:32,760
Speaker 3: a thrilling four to three win at home.

354
00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:33,040
Speaker 2: To get to.

355
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,480
Speaker 3: Supers at minus two, sixty this seems like a.

356
00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:37,440
Speaker 2: Gift AM i?

357
00:15:37,520 --> 00:15:39,480
Speaker 3: WRONG i was taking a glance at some of your

358
00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:42,800
Speaker 3: projected numbers and the projected starting pitching. MATCHUPS i feel

359
00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,720
Speaker 3: like they're gonna have an advantage and a sizeable one

360
00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:45,000
Speaker 3: in every.

361
00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:46,720
Speaker 2: Game, yeah and there is.

362
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:49,480
Speaker 1: A sizeable advantage at all areas here we're talking, defense,

363
00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:50,120
Speaker 1: offense and.

364
00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,440
Speaker 2: Pitching North carolina is, absolutely.

365
00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:58,680
Speaker 1: From a mathematics, standpoint a huge favorite. Here minus five

366
00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,200
Speaker 1: twenty five is the. Projection he's a colin that's nowhere

367
00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,480
Speaker 1: close to what the market is the market WHEN i

368
00:16:04,480 --> 00:16:07,120
Speaker 1: fired this morning was minus two, thirty minus two. FIFTY

369
00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:08,520
Speaker 1: i THINK i saw some two eighties out.

370
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,000
Speaker 2: There maybe able to go up. Now but let's look

371
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:11,520
Speaker 2: at these pitching.

372
00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:16,280
Speaker 1: Matchups Jason, DeCaro which we'll see if this is a

373
00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:17,960
Speaker 1: place where he. Pitches he went in and gave two

374
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 1: innings in the last game AGAINST lsu and That barnt

375
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:24,160
Speaker 1: burner of a, game and he also pitched the first

376
00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:26,600
Speaker 1: game of that. Regional So i'm not, sure you, know

377
00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:28,680
Speaker 1: seven days rest he should be, okay or MAYBE i

378
00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:29,280
Speaker 1: guess he'll.

379
00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:30,760
Speaker 2: Be on four days, rest five days.

380
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:32,840
Speaker 1: Rest SO i don't know if we're going to still

381
00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 1: Have jason DeCarlo come in, here or if they're going

382
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,800
Speaker 1: to Push Shae sprague. Up but no matter what combination we,

383
00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,800
Speaker 1: GET i Got jason de carl minus two twenty Against Derek.

384
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:44,520
Speaker 1: Clark Derek clark was absolute fire in the regional For West.

385
00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:48,360
Speaker 1: Virginia very much underestimated what The mountaineers can. Do they

386
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 1: were kind of sleepwalking down the end of the, schedule

387
00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:52,840
Speaker 1: SO i didn't really put it Together Derek clark would

388
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:54,880
Speaker 1: be firing the way he did in the. Regionals BUT

389
00:16:54,880 --> 00:16:57,080
Speaker 1: i still Have Jason carl minus two hundred and. TWENTY

390
00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:00,080
Speaker 1: i Have Shay sprague minus three to ten Over tyler's With.

391
00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,720
Speaker 1: Swazalski and then if it goes to a game, THREE

392
00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:04,960
Speaker 1: i got The battle of The aidens. Here i've got

393
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:07,520
Speaker 1: Aiden hoe Of North carolina minus three fifty Over Aiden

394
00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,720
Speaker 1: major For West. Virginia so when you put three fifty

395
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,320
Speaker 1: three twenty and minus two twenty all, together it's a

396
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,359
Speaker 1: series price a minus five to twenty. Five there's just

397
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,560
Speaker 1: not a window here to get inside the tar heels

398
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:20,679
Speaker 1: and mess with. Them and you, know when you go

399
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:23,080
Speaker 1: to the runs per Game North, carolina this is one

400
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:25,200
Speaker 1: of our offenses that we can. Trust nine runs per.

401
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 1: Game when you go To West, virginia this is an

402
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:30,240
Speaker 1: offense that we can't. Trust six point seven runs per.

403
00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:34,160
Speaker 1: Game West virginia And, yukon which we already, mentioned they

404
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:37,360
Speaker 1: both an organ for that, matter they all follow the same.

405
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:40,200
Speaker 1: PATTERN i need the scoring to be five runs or

406
00:17:40,280 --> 00:17:42,359
Speaker 1: less AND i need my bullpen to take us. Home

407
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:44,880
Speaker 1: that's not gonna work for all of, them And i'm

408
00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:46,760
Speaker 1: sure they'll be an. Upset somebody could pull it off

409
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:47,159
Speaker 1: two out of.

410
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,120
Speaker 2: Three But i'm telling, you like these teams.

411
00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,480
Speaker 1: At average nine runs per game or. More locking them

412
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:54,199
Speaker 1: down to four or five runs in a game is

413
00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:57,920
Speaker 1: just a massive, undertaking LIKE mvp type. Shit SO i

414
00:17:57,960 --> 00:18:00,920
Speaker 1: would be shocked if The North Carolina sticks don't fire.

415
00:18:01,000 --> 00:18:02,560
Speaker 2: Off i'd be.

416
00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: Shocked if they're defense lets them. Down i'd be shocked

417
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: if they're pitching lets them. DOWN i think the only

418
00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 1: thing that there's an area of concern is If dacaro is,

419
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:12,760
Speaker 1: fresh because he pitched those extra two.

420
00:18:12,640 --> 00:18:15,399
Speaker 2: Innings AGAINST lsu On. Monday so that's the one Thing

421
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,240
Speaker 2: i'll keep my eyes. On but other than, THAT i

422
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,320
Speaker 2: think you can fire On North carolina. FREELY i think going.

423
00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:22,679
Speaker 3: To go ahead in Parlay North carolina AND a AND m.

424
00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,080
Speaker 3: Together i'll see what the parlay spits out, there BUT

425
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:28,320
Speaker 3: i feel very strongly about those two matchups and potentially

426
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,760
Speaker 3: just winning in two games and moving on To omaha

427
00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 3: right away without having.

428
00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:32,800
Speaker 2: To mess with the game.

429
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:34,680
Speaker 3: Three all, right let's get back to some dogs with some,

430
00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,480
Speaker 3: bite and The Florida gators we tried to warn you about.

431
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 3: Them there are preseason top three. Team they snuck into the.

432
00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,680
Speaker 3: Tournament they're going down To Clemson clempson minus one sixty five.

433
00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:47,280
Speaker 3: Here what's interesting About florida is that their pitching staff

434
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,479
Speaker 3: got it, together WHICH i did not see. Coming they

435
00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:52,200
Speaker 3: Held nebraska the two runs and then needing two straight

436
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:55,439
Speaker 3: wins On Oklahoma state's home, diamond which historically has been

437
00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,000
Speaker 3: a launching, pad they hold The pokes to four runs

438
00:18:58,000 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 3: in those two, games winning.

439
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:00,520
Speaker 2: Five to two and four.

440
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 3: Two so when you basically weigh that and the momentum

441
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:06,960
Speaker 3: that they have and finally getting something from the staff

442
00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:09,200
Speaker 3: and not relying just on their lineup to be able

443
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:10,840
Speaker 3: to win in high scoring, games.

444
00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,439
Speaker 2: Are you leaning with The gators or do you favor your?

445
00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:15,640
Speaker 3: Numbers because WHEN i was looking, THERE i saw that

446
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:17,800
Speaker 3: you believe That clemson is going to win this series

447
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:18,919
Speaker 3: about seventy percent of the.

448
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 2: Time is this a pass for?

449
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:22,240
Speaker 3: You? Then is it kind of falling in that dead?

450
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,560
Speaker 3: Area or you're gonna ride with THE sec team over

451
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:26,040
Speaker 3: an acc program not a?

452
00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:27,000
Speaker 2: Pass not a.

453
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:29,400
Speaker 1: Pass and let me just a whisper this once and

454
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:32,320
Speaker 1: we will never say it. Again IF i was going

455
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 1: to make a bet on who Wins bracket one bracket,

456
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:36,400
Speaker 1: TOO i might have laid one hundred and twenty five

457
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 1: to one On florida Beating North. Carolina so let's just

458
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,919
Speaker 1: get that's my chipotle. MEAL i didn't have it at

459
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:43,680
Speaker 1: a peanut butter and jelly. Sandwich AND i have a

460
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 1: little ticket On florida to Beat North.

461
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:48,880
Speaker 2: Carolina in the. Finals that's how.

462
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: Confident we did this a week ago for the. Regionals

463
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 1: and the statement was the mathematics Say Oklahoma. State but

464
00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,720
Speaker 1: the betting, GUT i mean that part of you that

465
00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:02,000
Speaker 1: is staring at college football On Monday, tuesday before the market,

466
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,800
Speaker 1: shapes before everybody says what they're, betting and before you're

467
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:09,560
Speaker 1: listening to outside, noise something in my betting gut Said

468
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:11,439
Speaker 1: florida is about to go on a massive.

469
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:14,159
Speaker 2: Run here they did on this.

470
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:17,160
Speaker 1: PODCAST i BELIEVE i termed them dead because of their. Pitching,

471
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:20,680
Speaker 1: now at the Time Here's coppola was getting whaled. On

472
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,600
Speaker 1: Liam peterson was on the back of a milk. Carton

473
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,800
Speaker 1: we hadn't even seen him pitch in like three, weeks,

474
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 1: Right so at the time that we've made the statement

475
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: that we Think florida is, DONE i believe they were

476
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,199
Speaker 1: a sub five hundred and. B the pitchers that are

477
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 1: pitching for them now weren't even. There they're, There Liam

478
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 1: peterson is going to be the game one. Starter he

479
00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: was fantastic in. Regionals he comes in, here BUT i

480
00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:41,800
Speaker 1: expect him to be an. UNDERDOG i Think Tristan smith

481
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 1: will be about minus one. Fifty but where Does And

482
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 1: i'll say this and then we'll shove it aside And

483
00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:49,840
Speaker 1: i'll never say. Again if you do the mathematics on

484
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:54,920
Speaker 1: this pitchers, series price should Be clemson minus two twenty.

485
00:20:54,920 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: Five But i'm. Fine i'm going a different route.

486
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:03,160
Speaker 1: Here jack cagleone pitching On game two is not only

487
00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 1: must WATCH, tv but the reason WHY i think you

488
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:09,639
Speaker 1: don't find the probability in this through three. GAMES i

489
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 1: think this is a series where you look at two

490
00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 1: games because if you don't get That jack hagleon game

491
00:21:14,080 --> 00:21:15,680
Speaker 1: in game, two it's.

492
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:17,399
Speaker 2: Over you have to have. Him he is YOUR.

493
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 1: Mvp he is the Shohe atani of college. Baseball he

494
00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 1: is going to get into that box Against clemson pitching.

495
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:26,840
Speaker 1: Specifically now think about, this this is what's gonna happen

496
00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:29,480
Speaker 1: in game. Two Jack kaglione is gonna get into the

497
00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,960
Speaker 1: box and stare at freshman Pitcher Aiden, kannak who has

498
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 1: been excellent all, season but he's a freshman and he's

499
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 1: gonna be staring at the Shoe Hey otani of college.

500
00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:40,920
Speaker 1: Baseball then that Showe aotani of college baseball and gets

501
00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 1: to take the Mountain.

502
00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 2: Game two and pitch against.

503
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,199
Speaker 1: Him there's so much pressure on this eighteen year Old

504
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 1: Hayden knnock going in this. Game the numbers if you

505
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:53,840
Speaker 1: take Out game three and the horrible year long statistics

506
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,800
Speaker 1: Of Pierce Cooppolo florida going up Against ethan dartin game,

507
00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,480
Speaker 1: three if you take that, Out clemson's minus one fifty

508
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,960
Speaker 1: to win this reach only two. Games i'm gonna SAY

509
00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: i will fire On florida to win. This at plus

510
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 1: one point, FIFTY i think is where you should buy.

511
00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 1: IT i saw a plus one sixty two out there

512
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,640
Speaker 1: one of our favorite national. Shops i'm Sure clemson we'll

513
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:17,240
Speaker 1: get some money. Here i'm writing With. Florida the MATHEMATICS

514
00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 1: i believe are broken for a team that has the

515
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 1: number one strength of.

516
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:21,840
Speaker 2: Schedule AND i would love to sit down.

517
00:22:21,680 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: With anybody that homes through, data anybody that's in quantitative,

518
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: analytics come and talk to me about these teams Like

519
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,919
Speaker 1: florida where you play the number one strength of schedule

520
00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 1: and you have a team full of freshmen and sophomore

521
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 1: pitchers that have no, experience and then all of a

522
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 1: sudden they're firing hot right. Now you just can't put

523
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 1: them in the same model as everybody. Else florida plus

524
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 1: one fifty is the buying. Point we're putting our money

525
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 1: On Jack cagalleione Throwing game two against a freshman pitcher

526
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 1: And Aidan, connock and if they win, this they're going.

527
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,120
Speaker 2: To make a run In. Omaha so count me In

528
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 2: florida all the way.

529
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:54,239
Speaker 1: Here all.

530
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 3: Right if you think the math was broken in that,

531
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 3: matchup AND i agree with, YOU i Think florida still

532
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,680
Speaker 3: is the way to go because of how well their

533
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 3: pitching staff is ran into shape seemingly kind of out of.

534
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 3: Nowhere looking At GEORGIA Nc state this, ONE i refreshed

535
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,679
Speaker 3: the browser about three times BECAUSE i was confused that

536
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:12,919
Speaker 3: The bulldogs on their home, field which they're thirty two

537
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,960
Speaker 3: and five At Foley, field minus one fifty in this

538
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 3: series against The.

539
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,520
Speaker 2: Bulfpack i'll go ahead and take.

540
00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 3: It and then WHEN i opened up your, spreadsheet the

541
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 3: implied probability when you look at the pitching, matchups you

542
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,160
Speaker 3: have them closer to minus six hundred minus six twenty.

543
00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: Five Whether Colton smith pitches On saturday Or, sunday he's

544
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 3: going to go off at minus four. Hundred and then

545
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 3: when you look at the other matchups in this, series

546
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,320
Speaker 3: in a lot of, cases it's going to Be georgia

547
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 3: minus two seventy five minus three hundred minus three twenty.

548
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:41,480
Speaker 3: Five So i'm trying to figure out what's going on

549
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 3: BECAUSE i, know having watched a lot Of bulldog baseball this,

550
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,400
Speaker 3: year their offense is. Electric they're second in home, runs

551
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:48,639
Speaker 3: third and slugging fifth and on base, percentage and they

552
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 3: have a lineup that features five hitters that hit above three,

553
00:23:51,280 --> 00:23:53,960
Speaker 3: hundred and this lineup helped them secure come from behind

554
00:23:54,040 --> 00:23:56,200
Speaker 3: victories in the. REGIONALS i think there was a bit

555
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,159
Speaker 3: of this energy where they needed to prove. It they

556
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 3: need to say that the stage wasn't too. Big, clearly

557
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:04,119
Speaker 3: if they had lost To army In game, one that

558
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 3: would have been a fraud alert. Moment but they come,

559
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 3: back they. Win they do the same thing To Georgia

560
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 3: tech in an in state battle that they absolutely.

561
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 2: Needed they score in.

562
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 3: I think the seventh, eighth and then you know they

563
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 3: score in extras to win that one and then WHEN

564
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:20,800
Speaker 3: i dig INTO Nc state's pitching, STAFF i think they're

565
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: in big trouble because you look at where they are

566
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,480
Speaker 3: one hundred and sixty eighth in THE. Arra they issue

567
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:27,120
Speaker 3: far too many walks the one hundred and eighty. Nine

568
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 3: you don't want to put extra guys on the base

569
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 3: paths with all of these power hitters for The, bulldogs

570
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 3: including THE sec player of the, year Probably national player

571
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 3: of the, year and then their A Sam. Hifil Since

572
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 3: april first is the era's seven point one?

573
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:42,679
Speaker 2: Three what is going on with this?

574
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,159
Speaker 3: Number try to speak some sanity to me on this

575
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,639
Speaker 3: BECAUSE i just feel like this is a fifty seventy

576
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,160
Speaker 3: five percent discount on what it should.

577
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:51,840
Speaker 2: Be, yeah and if YOU.

578
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 1: I think what's also shocked me is that overnight From

579
00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 1: tuesday to Now, wednesday since we've recorded, this the line

580
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: has moved twenty cents in the way OF Nc.

581
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 2: State this is. Baseball this isn't. Football it's not LIKE

582
00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 2: i need to check on the.

583
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 1: QUARTERBACK i need to see if the offensive lineman have,

584
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 1: diarrhea like, RIGHT i, mean this is a full baseball, team,

585
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 1: Right there's not like one injury that you can take

586
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,960
Speaker 1: out like you can even Take Charlie condon out and

587
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 1: that offense is still, banners. RIGHT i, Mean Kolby branch

588
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 1: is probably hit a Grand. Slam while you AND i

589
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 1: are talking about this from a season long, PERSPECTIVE Nc

590
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:27,919
Speaker 1: state's numbers are just not.

591
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 2: There.

592
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 1: Now they looked excellent in this. Regional they went up

593
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: Against Bryant South Carolina James. Madison they trailed one inning

594
00:25:35,920 --> 00:25:37,600
Speaker 1: out of twenty seven innings played In.

595
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 2: Raleigh that's.

596
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 1: Insane and that Includes South, carolina the team THAT i really.

597
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 1: Like so you have to figure tell me about the team, Bullpen,

598
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 1: well they're pretty. Bad both teams are above five point

599
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 1: SIX era and X fip when it comes to a

600
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 1: team bullpen and going after each other because this game's you,

601
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: know this series is gonna have bullpen play and that's

602
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:00,640
Speaker 1: where it's gonna be determined who.

603
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,639
Speaker 2: Wins who has the best, Offense so let me just

604
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 2: get to.

605
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,720
Speaker 1: That considering the bullpens are, trash who has the best

606
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 1: offense in this super Regional, Georgia it's not even. CLOSE i,

607
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 1: MEAN i don't know if somebody's, SICK i don't know

608
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:13,840
Speaker 1: if the team has a flu. BUG i don't know

609
00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: why it moved twenty cents the other. Way But georgia

610
00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 1: average is more than nine runs per, game nine point

611
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 1: seven runs per.

612
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 2: Game excuse, me And nancy states is seven point.

613
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,840
Speaker 1: Six it's not even. Close it's more than two runs per.

614
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 1: Game and that's what leads into these. Numbers Leyton finley

615
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 1: minus three twenty in game one Over Sam, Hithel Colton

616
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 1: smith minus four to five Against Dom, fortan and then

617
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,240
Speaker 1: if it goes to game three minus two sixty two

618
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:43,400
Speaker 1: For Zachary harris Against Logan. Whitaker the just the complete

619
00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: contrast and offensive output for the entire season dictates you're Playing.

620
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:51,399
Speaker 1: Georgia the pitching difference in the starters versus says that

621
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,280
Speaker 1: you're Taking. Georgia the number should Be georgia minus six

622
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 1: to twenty. Five you're definitely Laying. Georgia you're definitely playing

623
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 1: at minus one. Fifty you're playing at minus one. Thirty

624
00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 1: if you found the one THAT i did out there

625
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,240
Speaker 1: at a national, BOOK i don't understand what's going. On

626
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: if this is not, clipping say minus two hundred minus

627
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 1: two fifty by the time we get first, PITCH i

628
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,040
Speaker 1: would be searching for injury information because it should not.

629
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 2: Be this low to, me AND i don't say this.

630
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:16,800
Speaker 2: OFTEN i think this number is a.

631
00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:22,520
Speaker 3: Mistake all, right onto the next, Series Florida state Hosting

632
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 3: yukon down In. Tallahassee The noles minus three thirty HERE fsu.

633
00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,200
Speaker 3: Cruised they Beat stetson seven, two five to two OVER

634
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:31,879
Speaker 3: ucf and then in the second matchup with The knights

635
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:35,720
Speaker 3: twelve to four in a. Laugher So yukon a bit

636
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 3: of a darling, here although as you mentioned at the,

637
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 3: top they've been here before in twenty twenty. Two can

638
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:43,160
Speaker 3: they make some noise? Here because they Upset, duke which surprised,

639
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 3: me Then oklahoma and Then oklahoma again in a seven

640
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:48,199
Speaker 3: to one romp In, Norman so that certainly has to

641
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 3: help them build their. CONFIDENCE i have a few questions

642
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 3: in terms of their, offense because WHEN i look at these,

643
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,719
Speaker 3: NUMBERS i figured they need to be in lower scoring

644
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 3: games At Florida. State isn't necessarily the team you wanted

645
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,680
Speaker 3: to draw to be able to grind out those kind of,

646
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,360
Speaker 3: wins because they certainly do not up in their lineup

647
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 3: if this turns into a, seven, eight, nine ten run

648
00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:11,200
Speaker 3: affair kind of. Series so is there only one paths

649
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 3: to victory for The huskies or do they have multiple?

650
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 3: Outs in your, opinion.

651
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:16,520
Speaker 2: There's only one path to.

652
00:28:16,600 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 1: VICTORY i don't think they have it in them offensively

653
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 1: six point six runs per game on the entire. Season

654
00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: the offense struggles considering the level of competition that they.

655
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:30,199
Speaker 1: Play you could say you should have it. Higher and

656
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,399
Speaker 1: THEN i know the arguments that come out of people

657
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 1: that back The Big east and The northeast and all

658
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 1: the teams up, There but we don't have good enough

659
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,840
Speaker 1: weather Until may to even actually get a real offensive game.

660
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 2: GOING i get.

661
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,040
Speaker 1: It you played your entire schedule at forty eight degrees

662
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 1: with mist and crappy.

663
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 2: WEATHER i get. It build a.

664
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 1: Dome so the thing, IS i, mean when you look

665
00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 1: at it from that, perspective if you go down to

666
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 1: Like yukon's, schedule like when did they bust out and

667
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,400
Speaker 1: throw a fifteen spot on? Somebody LIKE i can't find.

668
00:28:56,440 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 1: It So i'm not sure if they offensively have it in.

669
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: Them now DO i like to even quickly And Ian,

670
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 1: COOK i will say, this the number is astronomically, high

671
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 1: just Like TEXAS a AND M Florida state projects out

672
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 1: to be minus eight seventy, five and that's because in

673
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 1: the two games That Jamie arnold is not pitching For Florida,

674
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 1: STATE i Project Carson dorsey And Connor whittaker to be

675
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 1: minus three hundred or. Better so that makes a huge series.

676
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: Price something About yukon makes me. Nervous is it the,

677
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:28,200
Speaker 1: pedigree is it the program? History are they playing? Unconscious

678
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 1: Is Florida state potentially overlooking? Them something about this number

679
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 1: makes me a little bit. Nervous now it's, steaming And

680
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 1: Florida state's heading in the direction that you, want if

681
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 1: you want to buy. IT i Think yukon is pesky

682
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:44,000
Speaker 1: enough to take a game. HERE i absolutely think they're

683
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:45,480
Speaker 1: pesty enough to take a, game so you can buy

684
00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:48,120
Speaker 1: the series. Price the mass says that you, should BUT

685
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: i would put a warning label on this super regional

686
00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 1: completely Because yukon's just you, know they've been here, before

687
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 1: they've done it. Before numbers don't, match didn't match, before

688
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,560
Speaker 1: and they still, Won so we'll see what they can do.

689
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 3: Here i'm going to go to The Action network's utility

690
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 3: closets IF i can find you a horn to, toot because.

691
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 2: K state has made their way to The super.

692
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 3: Regionals and you brought them up a few times during

693
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 3: our podcasting earlier this, season saying that if everything broke,

694
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:16,960
Speaker 3: right if they got, healthy some magic could. Happen, well

695
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 3: here they are Against. Virginia The wahoo's minus two thirty

696
00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 3: in this. Series they Beat penn four, Two Mississippi state,

697
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 3: twice five to, four and then nine to. Two but K,

698
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,520
Speaker 3: state in my, opinion looked far more. Impressive they dropped

699
00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 3: nineteen On, lateech then they Upset arkansas seven to, six

700
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 3: and then they Drill simos seven to two to punch their.

701
00:30:33,960 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 3: Ticket can they keep it? Going and do you think

702
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,960
Speaker 3: That virginia is at all undervalue based on the fact

703
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,280
Speaker 3: that your numbers suggest they should be in the minus

704
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 3: four hundred minus four fifty range whereas their minus two to.

705
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 3: Thirty walk us through some of the pitching matchups and

706
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 3: how your numbers got.

707
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 1: There, yeah obviously if you Take, KANSAS i, MEAN i

708
00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 1: mean this is another three seed where the stats as

709
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 1: a whole on the season make this number.

710
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 2: Inflated for the home.

711
00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 1: Favorite we Got Joe savino going And game one Against

712
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,800
Speaker 1: Owen burrema Of Kansas. State that's a minus three twenty For.

713
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 1: Virginia then you get to the big one That Evan

714
00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:08,720
Speaker 1: blanco For virginia Against Jackson. Wentworth if you don't know that,

715
00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:11,040
Speaker 1: Name Jackson. Wentworth he was the closer, here but he

716
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 1: could go three, innings so they converted him into a

717
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:15,040
Speaker 1: starter like six weeks, ago and.

718
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 2: He's been absolutely.

719
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:20,480
Speaker 1: Fire not to mention their, Closer Tyson, neighbors he also

720
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 1: goes like three innings like and he pitches every. Day

721
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:26,120
Speaker 1: so when you got guys Like Jackson wentworth And Tyson

722
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 1: neighbors that are lights out and they can pitch it

723
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 1: at any time and they can pitch it any, inning it

724
00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 1: makes it really hard mathematically to project What Kansas state

725
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 1: is gonna. Do and then you look at that six

726
00:31:35,120 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 1: point three runs per game For Kansas, State it's LIKE

727
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:40,600
Speaker 1: i just saw you guys put up what nineteen on L.

728
00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,760
Speaker 1: Tech so, Anyways Evan blanco minus two fifty in game

729
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 1: two For virginia Against Jackson, wentworth and then if it

730
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 1: goes game, Three Josh wintrow would take On Virginia's Jay.

731
00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 2: Woolfolk virginia would be favored by minus two to.

732
00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: Fifty so you have two minus two fifties in a

733
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,800
Speaker 1: three twenty which comes up to a series price of

734
00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: minus four thirty eighty two percent chance Of virginia. Winning

735
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 1: so how do we make a case For Kansas state

736
00:32:01,880 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 1: to put up a fight, here BECAUSE i, mean six

737
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: point three runs per, Game, ARGUABLY i would say they

738
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 1: got a regional host that was the most ready to bow.

739
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: OUT i Think i'd been barking about What arkansas had

740
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: been doing for a, while BUT i don't want to

741
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 1: discount What Kansas state is. Doing at the same. Time

742
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 1: they're going to a place At Disharoon park where you

743
00:32:21,840 --> 00:32:24,480
Speaker 1: have to be able to score eight nine runs a,

744
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: game AND i know there were some low scoring games

745
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 1: going on in the regional but it generally is a.

746
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,239
Speaker 1: PLACE i, Mean virginia averages nine point seven runs per.

747
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,440
Speaker 1: Game it's the second, HIGHEST i think of all regional.

748
00:32:34,480 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: Teams their offense can absolutely get it. Going and then

749
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 1: you know both of these bullpens are about the. SAME

750
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,240
Speaker 1: i see five point four to five point six and staff.

751
00:32:43,280 --> 00:32:46,400
Speaker 1: THERAS i know the number Says virginia should be bet on,

752
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 1: here AND i know the place is a launch. Pad

753
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:52,920
Speaker 1: i'm more interested in taking Maybe Kansas state as a

754
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 1: plus one and a, half maybe taking them When Jackson

755
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 1: wentworth pitches In game, two maybe taking the run line

756
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 1: With Jackson. Wentworth so even THOUGH i Think virginia is the,

757
00:33:01,520 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: play AND i think mathematically the number is not even caught,

758
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 1: up the mark is not even caught up to where

759
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 1: they should. Be Kansas state is going to steal one.

760
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 1: HERE i would play a plus one and a half

761
00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 1: On Kansas state now is stepping.

762
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:14,800
Speaker 3: Back this is a good moment to kind of reset the.

763
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 3: Table we go from sixty four teams down to, sixteen

764
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:21,600
Speaker 3: and that obviously resets the futures market as. Well talk

765
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,800
Speaker 3: to me about the very, top because right now you

766
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 3: look at At tennessee three to ONE a and m

767
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 3: essentially three to, One Florida state eleven to Two North

768
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 3: carolina plus six fifty as the top four, teams and

769
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 3: then the bottom. Five you Have oregon at forty five to.

770
00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 3: One it balloons all the way up To evansville at

771
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 3: three hundred to. One is there any dog at the

772
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 3: back of the pack that you think is mispriced and

773
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 3: worthy of drawn on a flyer? On or is there

774
00:33:43,880 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 3: a team that's kind of in the middle a. Bit you,

775
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 3: know you have A Virginia clemson at eleven to, One

776
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:51,240
Speaker 3: Oregon state fifteen to one that you also think is

777
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 3: mispriced or is just you, know have we all missed

778
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:55,880
Speaker 3: the boat on adding a future at this point and

779
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 3: we should just be considering series by series moving.

780
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: Forward, YEAH i, mean if you pull, out you do

781
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,160
Speaker 1: a ten thousand level view of what the bracket looks

782
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:05,560
Speaker 1: like right now For, omaha you don't want to be

783
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: In bracket. One you don't want to be on that

784
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: side that starts On friday In omaha a week From, friday.

785
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:14,040
Speaker 2: WHICH i Think i'm going to be.

786
00:34:14,040 --> 00:34:16,280
Speaker 1: There so if anybody wants to stop by td ameritrad

787
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 1: and say, Hi i'll be happily there to greet. You

788
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,359
Speaker 1: but you don't want to be On bracket one that

789
00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: Has tennessee on one side of it Has North carolina

790
00:34:24,000 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 1: on the. BOTTOM i wouldn't want to mess with any

791
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,280
Speaker 1: either of those. TEAMS i think both of those teams

792
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 1: are the bracket final In bracket. One so if you're

793
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 1: gonna look for a, FUTURE i would go to the other.

794
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 1: Side And i've already Said, florida you, know.

795
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:36,080
Speaker 2: Is taking On.

796
00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 1: Clemson if they pop, in they're gonna get matched up

797
00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 1: with THE a AND. M morgan winner and they're gonna

798
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:43,320
Speaker 1: get matched up WITH a AND. M now What's florida

799
00:34:43,360 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 1: capable of right? Now they played an ENTIRE sec, schedule

800
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,320
Speaker 1: they managed a five hundred record that there's no shame

801
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 1: in that. Whatsoever and then when you look at the,

802
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 1: TOP i Think Oregon. State, again this is like a

803
00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:58,799
Speaker 1: bigger version Of. Yukon they have the, pedigree the program preit.

804
00:34:58,840 --> 00:35:01,399
Speaker 1: PEDIGREE i should. Oh they won a national championship against

805
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 1: The razorbacks in twenty. Eighteen they've got the, offense they've

806
00:35:04,360 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 1: got the, pitching they're deep in the. Staff they're the

807
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 1: ONES i think they can make a deep run. Here

808
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 1: so IF i was going to play a future, HERE

809
00:35:11,040 --> 00:35:14,240
Speaker 1: i would Consider florida AND i would Consider Oregon state

810
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: just BECAUSE i think The GEORGIA Nc state winner they're

811
00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:19,920
Speaker 1: just one team's got a problem, hitting one team's got

812
00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: a problem pitching long in the Bull SO i Think

813
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: Oregon state.

814
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 2: In florida the two teams i'd want to.

815
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,359
Speaker 3: Take All, right we'll close out the pod here with

816
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 3: appointed question one that was not on our rundown before the.

817
00:35:30,960 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 2: Show So i'm gonna put you on the.

818
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 3: Spot of all these, teams who do you think is

819
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 3: going to be at the top of the jello shot

820
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 3: rankings when you're there In, omaha which fan base.

821
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:41,760
Speaker 2: Is quite literally.

822
00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:43,799
Speaker 3: HUNGRY i don't know if you eat jello shots drink.

823
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 2: THEM i think it's somewhere in.

824
00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:47,319
Speaker 3: Between who do you think takes the crown if their

825
00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 3: team makes it To omaha purchasing the most of Rocos,

826
00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:51,720
Speaker 3: well our beloved.

827
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,320
Speaker 1: Editor Pete ruden will be going with. Me he's At iowa.

828
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: Base he'll be meeting me In. Omaha and we've decided

829
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:58,560
Speaker 1: that every time a team, wins we're gonna go take

830
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 1: that jello shot and maybe film little. Content IF i

831
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 1: had to, GUESS i think we. SHOULD i mean this

832
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 1: is fun Because i'm going to set odds on this.

833
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 1: TOO i, MEAN i don't know How calibery's we are

834
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 1: not going to set odds on the on. THAT i

835
00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 1: mean LIKE lsu was a shoe in last, year, RIGHT i,

836
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 1: mean if you're looking at drunken fan bases out of all,

837
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 1: this are you really going to try to go up

838
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: Against florida Or. GEORGIA i mean that's the cocktail, party,

839
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:22,440
Speaker 1: Right SO i have to put them at the very

840
00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 1: top if they make. It IF i had to, say

841
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,880
Speaker 1: who would be at the. BOTTOM i would Say. Yukon

842
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,400
Speaker 1: i'm not sure how many fans they're gonna. DRAW i

843
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,240
Speaker 1: think the entire city Of evansville would drive To. Omaha

844
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:33,919
Speaker 1: it's not that. Bad so you can't say that they're

845
00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,320
Speaker 1: low on the Jell o shot list after that from a,

846
00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: DRUNK i, Mean Florida state's going to bring a.

847
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 2: BAG Nc state fans are.

848
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 1: So passionate about all their sports and the fact that

849
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:46,800
Speaker 1: they get to the top and they can never clench

850
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:47,120
Speaker 1: in any.

851
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 2: SPORT i think they'll be there to.

852
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 3: Drink But West, VIRGINIA i mean they've been trained on

853
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 3: moonshine for.

854
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: GENERATIONS i tell you, what if there's a flame and

855
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 1: couch Outside tdamriatry WHEN i get, There i'm going to

856
00:36:56,760 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 1: change it. In But West virginia to win it all

857
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,440
Speaker 1: the whole. Thing if there's a flame in, coutch SO

858
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 1: i think you're. RIGHT i don't know If West virginia

859
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 1: is Above florida And, georgia but they're up.

860
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 2: There For Colin.

861
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 3: Wilson I'm Mike Calbery's this has BEEN bboc covering the

862
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 3: college baseball tournaments on the way To omaha or the

863
00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 3: College World series of. Programming note next week we got

864
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 3: double barrel action early in the. Week On, tuesday we're

865
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:19,680
Speaker 3: going to go ahead and preview my book which comes

866
00:37:19,719 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 3: out On june, tenth which Is Legendary bowl deciding College football's.

867
00:37:23,440 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 3: Goat we're going to break down who has been the

868
00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,920
Speaker 3: best college football team in the past fifty, Seasons so

869
00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:30,960
Speaker 3: going to debate that Between Colin stuckey and.

870
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:32,760
Speaker 2: Myself and On, thursday.

871
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 3: We're going to record early in the, morning hopefully get

872
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,840
Speaker 3: it up by midday on The East, coast a Full

873
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 3: College World series. Breakdown the reason why we're doing it

874
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:41,400
Speaker 3: then is hopefully we have all the pitching matchups to

875
00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 3: be able to share with you as, Well so not

876
00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 3: just who's going to Win bracket, One bracket, two who's

877
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,759
Speaker 3: going to be the national, champ but also those situational,

878
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,680
Speaker 3: spots those pitching matchup head to, head And colin is

879
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 3: going to be our man in the spreadsheets on that,

880
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 3: one bringing you every bit of cystical. Information whether you

881
00:37:56,360 --> 00:37:58,320
Speaker 3: bet with your, gut whether you bet with the, Data

882
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:00,879
Speaker 3: he's got you covered either. Way all, Right, colin any

883
00:38:00,880 --> 00:38:02,840
Speaker 3: final thoughts before we say goodbye to the.

884
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: AUDIENCE i see everybody In omaha and get ready for

885
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 1: massive rain delays and the most fun of the entire.

886
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 1: Year i've said this to everybody THAT i. MEET i

887
00:38:13,440 --> 00:38:16,399
Speaker 1: think The College Baseball World series should be celebrated more

888
00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:19,920
Speaker 1: than it. IS i think it's a one of the

889
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 1: most not talked about spots on the. Calendar when you

890
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,359
Speaker 1: get eight fan bases into one single, spot it can

891
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,719
Speaker 1: get a little. Rowdy And i've been to everything you

892
00:38:28,719 --> 00:38:30,879
Speaker 1: can split In march. Madness where do you get eight

893
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 1: fan bases in one? SPOT i Think omaha should be.

894
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,520
Speaker 1: Celebrated it's a treasure AND i can't.

895
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:39,160
Speaker 3: Wait and ourminder to our audience that the reviews are

896
00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:41,160
Speaker 3: the lifeblood of our. Show it helps us spread the,

897
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:44,000
Speaker 3: words get more coverage for what we're. Doing five star

898
00:38:44,080 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 3: reviews are. Preferred, obviously go in hit us with a

899
00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:49,400
Speaker 3: five star, review subscribe like and if you go ahead

900
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:51,399
Speaker 3: and do, THAT i don't really care what you. Say

901
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,879
Speaker 3: you can poke some fun at Us arkansas flamed out

902
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: of the. Tournament you can take as many shots A

903
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,040
Speaker 3: colin as you. Want doesn't. Matter if it's five, star

904
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:00,240
Speaker 3: you're gonna be in the running for Some Action network

905
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 3: swag from our illustrious Producer Matt, mitchell And i'm happy

906
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:06,000
Speaker 3: to hand out more ten dollars. Futures if you want

907
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 3: to Get florida twenty to, One i'm happy to place

908
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 3: that bet for. You so just go ahead and hit

909
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:12,400
Speaker 3: us up On. Twitter i'm over At East. Breeze you

910
00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 3: can Find colin what is It Colin underscore walking that

911
00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 3: At underscore callin? One all, right, Perfect so hit it

912
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 3: either one of us up and leave a five star,

913
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 3: review and we're happy to help you build some portfolio

914
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 3: beas college, football THE.

915
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 2: Nfl it's right around the. Corner you want to have

916
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 2: some money in that?

917
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:28,879
Speaker 3: Account all, right that's it for, Us thanks so, much

918
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 3: and remember next week two, episodes so tune in.

919
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:42,000
Speaker 1: Them Action network reminds you please gamble.

920
00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:45,600
Speaker 3: Responsibly if you or someone you care about has a gambling,

921
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 3: problem help is available twenty four to seven at one

922
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Speaker 3: eight Hundred gambler