1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: day Break podcast, available every morning on Apple, Spotify or 3 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 1: wherever you listen. It's Thursday, the twenty sixth of September 4 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:20,479 Speaker 1: in London. I'm Caroline Hepgar. Coming up today. Open Ai 5 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: discusses becoming a for profit company and giving founder Sam 6 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: Altman a sizable steak. Western allies and Arab powers propose 7 00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: a CEASEFA deal between Israel and Hezbolla in a bid 8 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 1: to avoid all out war, plus walking a fine diplomatic line. 9 00:00:37,760 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: Kis Starmer plans to meet Donald Trump today as global 10 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: leaders hedged their bets on the next US president. Let's 11 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: start with a roundup of our top stories. Bloomberg understands 12 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: that open Ai is discussing giving Sam Altman a seven 13 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: percent equity steak and becoming a for profit business. The 14 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:58,640 Speaker 1: move would be a major shift for the firm behind 15 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: chat gpt, the first time it's CEO would be granted ownership. 16 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:06,720 Speaker 1: Bluemeg's Annabel Drulers says it's also an abrupt change for 17 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: the AI firm. 18 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: Well, it certainly would be a bit of an about turn. 19 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,199 Speaker 2: I mean, Sam Altman is someone who in the past 20 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 2: has really said that he didn't want to have any 21 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 2: sort of equity stake in the company. He was telling 22 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 2: people that he already had enough money and that this 23 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 2: was a company that was supposed to be benefiting society broadly. 24 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 2: It does also speak to this biggest story that we've 25 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: also been talking around as well, which is that open 26 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 2: ai is looking at changing the structure of the business. 27 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: Our reporter Annabel Dreula's there So also say the transition 28 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:39,399 Speaker 1: is still under discussion and a timeline has not been determined. 29 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 1: The proposal comes amidst the raft of senior departures, including 30 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 1: the chief technology officer, Mira Murrati. On Wednesday, in a statement, 31 00:01:49,200 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: an open ai spokesperson said the business remains focused on 32 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: building AI that benefits everyone. China is considering a one 33 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 1: hundred and forty two billion dollar capital injection into its 34 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: biggest state banks to help them support the country's struggling economy. 35 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg has learned that most of the funding will come 36 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: from the issuance of a new special sovereign bond, but 37 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 1: our China corresponds at midmn Low says that the sector 38 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 1: is not in crisis. 39 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 3: I don't think we should see it as the bank's 40 00:02:19,040 --> 00:02:22,360 Speaker 3: being distressed, because if you look at the capital adequacy racial, 41 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 3: it is for the big banks still well above the 42 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,160 Speaker 3: requirement of eight point five percent. The average now is 43 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 3: about eleven point seven percent. So this is really to 44 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,600 Speaker 3: support these banks at a time when their profit margins 45 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 3: has been hit. It's at about one point five percent 46 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 3: as of engine, which is significantly below the threshold of 47 00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:44,239 Speaker 3: one point eight percent that is deemed to be reasonable profits. 48 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's midmn Low speaking there. The movie is part of 49 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 1: a broader economic stimulus package that we've seen unveiled this week, 50 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: which included reductions to mortgage and key policy interest rates. 51 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: Though the details are yet to be finalized and they 52 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 1: are subject to change. The action would be the first 53 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: time that Beijing has injected capital into its big banks 54 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:10,920 Speaker 1: since the two thousand and eight global financial crisis. The US, 55 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: Our Powers and all other members of the G seven 56 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:19,799 Speaker 1: have proposed a three week ceasepar between Israel and Hezbola. 57 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,679 Speaker 1: It is a bid to avert all out war after 58 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: days of Israeli air strikes or Lebanon, where Hezbola is embedded. 59 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 1: Lebanon's economy and trade Minister Amin Salam told Bloomberg there 60 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: is not much time left. 61 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 4: The next twenty four hours would be very critical because 62 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:41,680 Speaker 4: we are at a very serious turning point. If a 63 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,560 Speaker 4: cease fire is to be accomplished now, we would really 64 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 4: have helped Lebanon, will have helped the region and avoided 65 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 4: a full scale war that is very very close to happen, 66 00:03:57,080 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 4: you know, in the few hours and a few days 67 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 4: ahead of US. 68 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 1: Lebanon's Trade and Economy Minister Amen Salam speaking there, He 69 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 1: adds that he has spoken to Hezbollah and that the 70 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: group recognized the need to avoid escalation. Israel as un 71 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 1: envoy told the Security Council that his country did not 72 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,840 Speaker 1: seek a full scale war. Donald Trump has lashed out 73 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 1: at Ukrainian leader of Lodove Zelenski for criticizing him. The 74 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: Ukrainian president has questioned Trump's pledges to negotiate a quick 75 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 1: end to the war in Ukraine if elected. Trump did 76 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: not take the comment, well. 77 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 5: The president of Ukraine is in our country and he's 78 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 5: making little nasty aspersions toward your favorite president me. But 79 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 5: take a look at the war happening right now in Ukraine. 80 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 5: It would have never happened if I were president to 81 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 5: start off with, A deal could have been made if 82 00:04:54,320 --> 00:04:57,240 Speaker 5: we had a competent president instead of a president that 83 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 5: egged it all on. 84 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 6: And Biden and Kaman allowed this to happen by feeding 85 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:10,760 Speaker 6: Zalynsky money and munitions like no country has ever seen before. 86 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 5: Every time he came to our country, he'd walk away 87 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 5: with sixty billion dollars. It's probably the greatest salesman on earth. 88 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 1: The Republican presidential nominee also said that he has no 89 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 1: plans to meet the Ukrainian leader. One person Donald Trump 90 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: will be meeting is the UK Prime Minister, Kiss Darma. 91 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:32,760 Speaker 1: The British leader hopes to build relations with both presidential 92 00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: nominees and global business trips on his trip to the US. 93 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: The meetings come as more economic gauges are showing the 94 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:48,359 Speaker 1: UK government's narrative around a tough budget to come is 95 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: shaking confidence. The British Retail Consortium says that belief in 96 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 1: the strength of the economy fell by thirteen points in 97 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: August in contrast to the gloom, Though the OECD upgraded 98 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: Britain's growth for the next two years by more than 99 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: any other G seven nation. The organization's chief Economists. Alva 100 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: ro Pereira says that's because of the government's missions. 101 00:06:11,480 --> 00:06:13,600 Speaker 7: The emphasis on growth is key and the emphasis on 102 00:06:13,720 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 7: reform is key. In fact, what are we saying around 103 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:17,520 Speaker 7: the world, not only for the UK, but around the 104 00:06:17,520 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 7: world that now that we are turning the corner on inflation, 105 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,919 Speaker 7: it's time to turn the on fiscal That means to 106 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 7: go to fiscally prudent policies and also on reforms. In 107 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:31,039 Speaker 7: what we've heard in terms of growth, I think makes sense. 108 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:37,359 Speaker 1: So that was the OECD's Alva Pereira speaking that the 109 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: economists also welcomed reports that the UK Chancellor plans to 110 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: upgrade her fiscal framework to allow more investments. And Quantus 111 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: Airways ghost flight scandal misled almost one million customers booked 112 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 1: on tens of thousands of non existent services. The revelation 113 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: comes from court documents that show the scale of the 114 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 1: misconduct and the airline's awareness of the problem. Quantus settled 115 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 1: the lawsuit last year, agreeing to pay one hundred and 116 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:10,520 Speaker 1: twenty million Australian dollars in fines and compensation for selling 117 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 1: tickets on flights that it had already decided to cancel. 118 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: The bombshell allegations led to the premiature departure of the 119 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 1: chief executive Alan Joyce last year, but it wasn't clear 120 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: at the time how much Quantus knew about its own 121 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 1: ticketing deficiencies. In a moment, we're going to bring you 122 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: more on the last ditch Ceespha proposals being pushed for 123 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 1: Israel and Hezbolla, and also on the chat GPT creator 124 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: open Ai. The story there, it's been going through something 125 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 1: of an existential crisis. What is this metamorphosis going to 126 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: look like. We'll bring in our tech report of Ladsavov, 127 00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 1: but first there's another story on the terminal that I 128 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: thought was worth a couple of moments of your time 129 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:53,800 Speaker 1: in the UK. If you're looking for a new role, 130 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 1: expect to see more job salaries. About half of UK 131 00:07:57,720 --> 00:08:01,320 Speaker 1: firms so that they will add pay data to listings 132 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:03,720 Speaker 1: when they are advertising a job. This according to a 133 00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: survey from Mercer International. Apparently forty eight percent of businesses 134 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:09,840 Speaker 1: said that they'll include pay data in listings in the 135 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: next two years. That's basically more than double what they're 136 00:08:13,720 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 1: doing at the moment. Why you ask pay Transparency apparently 137 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: is gaining a momentum. The UK doesn't have rules around this, 138 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 1: but the EU and some US states do so. A 139 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: lot of companies now apparently are taking on the idea 140 00:08:27,360 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: of having a global policy about pay information and so 141 00:08:31,920 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: maybe that will benefit employees if you see it that 142 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: way here in the UK. It's a nice story. It's 143 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: on the Bloomberg terminal for you this morning. 144 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 8: Now. 145 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 1: The company behind chat GPT is discussing giving CEO Sam 146 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:47,840 Speaker 1: Altman a seven percent equity stake. Open Ai is looking 147 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 1: at restructuring into a for profit business. It comes after 148 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: significant upheaval and an exodus of senior leaders. Joining me 149 00:08:56,640 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 1: now to discuss is Bloomberg's tech editor of Ladsavov Plaid. 150 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 1: Good morning. Open ai has been having something of an 151 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 1: existential crisis. What is the plan now under discussion in 152 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: terms of the evolution. 153 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 9: Well, it has been a very tumultuous years starting with 154 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 9: November last year. It was a very quiet time as 155 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 9: far as tech news was going in twenty twenty three, 156 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 9: and then we had the whole explosion of news around 157 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 9: open ai, with Sam Opmer first losing the CEO position 158 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 9: and then regaining it in the interim. The person who 159 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 9: took over His interim CEO was Mirror Morati, and she 160 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 9: is the chief technology officer of the company, or will 161 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:37,600 Speaker 9: be until the time that a suitable a suitable successor 162 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 9: is found for her. Because she just announced that she's leaving, 163 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 9: she's the latest high profile departure. So Indeed, over the 164 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,680 Speaker 9: past year, open ai has been doing a whole bunch 165 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 9: of restructuring, reorganizing and figuring out its own mission. One 166 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 9: of the things that sam Opman himself said in a 167 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 9: message that he shared with the world on x and 168 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 9: to the company is that they will have an old 169 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:01,280 Speaker 9: hands meeting on Thursday in the US and they'll take 170 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 9: they'll talk more with both staff and everyone involved and 171 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 9: just to let them know what the strategy is. So 172 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 9: I can answer your question. But hopefully after Thursday, opening 173 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:12,160 Speaker 9: itself will give us more clarity. 174 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,560 Speaker 1: Okay, what does it mean then for the future of 175 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: open ai and chat GPT. 176 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 9: Well, the conflict last year that pushed sam Oman out 177 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 9: in the first place had a lot to do with 178 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 9: a couple of factions within the company. One was very 179 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 9: much concerned with doing responsible save for the benefit of 180 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,959 Speaker 9: all humanity kind of AI development, which is probably much 181 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 9: slower as far as pacing goes than sam Omen liked, 182 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 9: and it seems like he is the one who has 183 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 9: won out several people. Ilia Sutzkiva is one of the 184 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 9: key tech people he left over the course of the 185 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 9: past year, alongside Miro Morati, the chief of research and 186 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 9: a vice president in charge of research have also announced 187 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 9: that they're leaving. So it very much seems like the 188 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 9: company is aligning entirely behind sam Open and his vision, 189 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 9: and that is a much more commercial When you look 190 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 9: at also some of the news and reports that have 191 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:07,439 Speaker 9: happened over the recent months, you can see Opening Eye 192 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 9: partnering with Apple to distribute its technology on the iPhone. 193 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 9: It already has a close relationship with Microsoft. It seems 194 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 9: like he's very much pushing toward turning this into a 195 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 9: much more conventional commercial tech company. 196 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 1: Yeah. Indeed, lastly, I mean, speaking of tech, AI functionality 197 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,720 Speaker 1: needs more micro needs more memory chips, and so Micron 198 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 1: has reported strong earnings. Just a brief line on that. 199 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,840 Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean, micro outperformed the expectations for the current 200 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 9: quarter as far as its forecast went, and the results 201 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:44,439 Speaker 9: of that has been an upsurge across the entire semi industry. 202 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 9: Here in Asia, most notably s k Heiniz, the leader 203 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,679 Speaker 9: in providing HPM memory chips for the likes of videos 204 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 9: AI accelerators. That's up pretty well, so it does seem 205 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 9: to show that the demand for that technology is not 206 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 9: dissipating anytime soon. 207 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 1: No, lad, absolutely, thank you for being with me now 208 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: to Lebanon and an urgent effort by the US, Europe 209 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 1: and Arab countries to avert an all out war and 210 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 1: a potential ground invasion by Israel against Hesbola in Lebanon. 211 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: Joining me now to discuss is Bloomberg's THEMEA news director 212 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: Waslyn matheson Good Morning, was the proposal is a three 213 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 1: weeks ceasefar between Israel and Hezbollah that would then open 214 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 1: the door for a wider negotiation cease far hostage at 215 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 1: what are the details here? 216 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 10: Well, that's basically it in terms of the details that 217 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 10: we have so far. At what seems to be on 218 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 10: the table, as you say, is the Arab allies, the 219 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,679 Speaker 10: US Europe as saying if you agree to a three 220 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:42,679 Speaker 10: week cease fire, hopefully that gives us and gives us 221 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 10: enough space to work out how to have a conversation 222 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 10: and how to talk about a pathway to stop the 223 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,440 Speaker 10: fighting and certainly to stop it from escalating into that 224 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 10: all out war that people are very worried about. So 225 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:57,240 Speaker 10: the starting point seems to be just agreed to halt 226 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 10: the rocket fire that's been going on, strike has been 227 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 10: going on, and then allow people to sit down somewhere 228 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 10: at the table. And we do know from our interview 229 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 10: with the Lebanese Economy minister this morning that he says 230 00:13:11,320 --> 00:13:14,120 Speaker 10: it Hesblow is at least open to the idea, but 231 00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:17,719 Speaker 10: there's no word from Israel so far, and without a 232 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 10: lot of details, it's a bit hard to know what 233 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,880 Speaker 10: the reception is going to be. But that just shows 234 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 10: just how complicated it is. You can't really go in 235 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,560 Speaker 10: with the proposal for how to stop this fighting. All 236 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 10: you can do so far is say let's just stop 237 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,079 Speaker 10: fighting and talk and see if we can find a 238 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 10: way through. 239 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 3: Yeah. 240 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 1: So, how much hope is there that this diverts the 241 00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,199 Speaker 1: possibility of a ground invasion by Israel. 242 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 10: Well, it's very clear that Israel wants possibly, you know, 243 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 10: very much, to avoid a ground invasion if they can. 244 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 10: You know, history shows us what that can lead to. 245 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 10: But they have an overarching goal, which is to degrade 246 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 10: hes Balah and to push Hesbelah back from the border, 247 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:58,880 Speaker 10: and they're doing that mostly as we can see right now, 248 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:03,719 Speaker 10: through rocket attacks, missile strikes, targeted strikes on Hesbela officials 249 00:14:03,720 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 10: and so on. So, if that goal is still there, 250 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,760 Speaker 10: and it's very clear that they're determined on that front, 251 00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:11,960 Speaker 10: at some point, do they have to send troops in 252 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 10: to achieve it? Very much. They don't want to, that's clear. 253 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 10: But they are moving significant numbers of troops to the 254 00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 10: northern areas of Israel. They're calling up reservers' troops again 255 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 10: and sending them in. So certainly they're massing troops in 256 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 10: the area just in case they need to use them. 257 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 1: Okay, just lastly, what might we hear today? What might 258 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 1: be the developments that the US has some hopes. 259 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 10: Well, it's interesting because of course Benjamin Nahu is going 260 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:38,400 Speaker 10: to the US or in the US for other UN 261 00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 10: General Assembly meetings, so interesting to see what happens on 262 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,520 Speaker 10: the sidelines of that, and quite possibly he doesn't want 263 00:14:45,640 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 10: anything to be escalating while he's out of the country. 264 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 10: But we haven't had any kind of response from Israel 265 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 10: so far to this proposal for a cease far. We're 266 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 10: hearing slightly positive noises from Hesbellah, but nothing from Israel. 267 00:14:58,840 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 10: And really it will be to a large extent up 268 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:04,520 Speaker 10: to Israel to decide, because most of the rocket attacks 269 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 10: of late have come from Israel, so it's really going 270 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 10: to be interesting to see whether they're amenable and certainly 271 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 10: what has to say today we was. 272 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 5: In the US. 273 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 8: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 274 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 8: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 275 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 276 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 277 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 8: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 278 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 8: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 279 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: Our flagship New York station is also available on your 280 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:41,600 Speaker 1: Amazon Alexa devices. 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