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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast is presented by wind

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Speaker 1: is click on the Action Network link in this episode description. Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's get things started.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty five fifty a.

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Speaker 2: Check clock start.

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Speaker 4: Oh boy, god, best.

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Speaker 2: Please don't hold up four.

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Speaker 3: It's not the size on the dog, and it's the

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Speaker 3: size of the fight in the dog. Welcome to the

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Speaker 3: Big Bets on Campus Podcast, presented by win Bet. I'm

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Speaker 3: your host Mike Calbary's the Action Network, and I am

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Speaker 3: joined as always by my colleague Mike Ianello. Stucky and

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Speaker 3: Colin will continue to drop their weekly college football betting

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Speaker 3: previews late every Thursday night and a Friday morning. This

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Speaker 3: season on the Big Bets on Campus podcast, But every

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Speaker 3: Wednesday afternoon, Ianello and I will deliver the Group of

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Speaker 3: Five Deep Dive, a short episode covering the best weekly

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Speaker 3: gambling angles and betting matchups across the greatest conferences in

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Speaker 3: college football. And I'm pleased to announce the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Bad Beat hotline is back. Nine to five

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Speaker 3: nine Bad Beat. This is the number to call when

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Speaker 3: you feel personally victimized by the score of a college

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Speaker 3: football game. Did a college kicker do college kicker things

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Speaker 3: to you and your bankroll? Give us a call. Did

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Speaker 3: James Franklin's time management skills ruin your weekend or family reunion?

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Speaker 3: We want to hear about it. Or maybe an offensive

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Speaker 3: coordinator got a little too cute and called for his

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Speaker 3: quarterback to take an intentional safety ruining you're against the

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Speaker 3: spread play. It's happened to us, but we want to

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Speaker 3: hear it from you, So let it all out at

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Speaker 3: nine to five nine Bad Beat. So we're going to

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Speaker 3: kick off this week's episode of the Group of Five

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Speaker 3: Deep Dive with something very close to our hearts because

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Speaker 3: we're positive guys. It's it's at this point we're in

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Speaker 3: the Black. I believe we both had some winners there

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Speaker 3: in week zero? Is that correct? Is my math on

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Speaker 3: point here? Ianello?

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Speaker 2: A nice, nice, easy first week.

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Speaker 3: Well, let's get to what we want to talk about

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Speaker 3: every single week to kick off the show, which is

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Speaker 3: our g five heroes of the week, the opposite of

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Speaker 3: the bad beats, the ones that are making the magic

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Speaker 3: happen and making us money.

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Speaker 1: On the front.

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Speaker 3: So let's hear from you, Immello.

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Speaker 2: My hero of the week is Travis Hewitt.

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Speaker 5: And I know what you're thinking. Who's Travis Hewitt? He

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Speaker 5: is the assistant athletics director of equipment for Fresno State.

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Speaker 5: He had to bring extra cleats in every size for

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Speaker 5: this game against Yukon because the field temperatures were one

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Speaker 5: hundred and twenty degrees.

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Speaker 2: Did I mention it's hot.

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Speaker 4: It's not just a little bit hot, it is so hot,

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Speaker 4: you guys. Fresno State has a contingency plan in place

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Speaker 4: in case their players' shoes melt on this turf, because

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Speaker 4: that's something that they've seen happen before. In fact, they

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Speaker 4: brought extra shoes in every size and they have them

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Speaker 4: on the sideline there just in case that happened.

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Speaker 5: So shout out to Travis Hewitt, the Fresno State Assistant

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Speaker 5: athletics director for equipment while they were running all up

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Speaker 5: and down the field on Yukon, the fact that they had.

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Speaker 3: That imagery of a sideline reporter holding the old school

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Speaker 3: thermometer and it was just maxed out. It didn't even

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Speaker 3: go any further. Like how hot does it have to

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Speaker 3: get in Central California for them to cancel a game

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Speaker 3: against Yukon. I know that people had that marked on

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Speaker 3: their calendars for years out, you know, when they scheduled

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Speaker 3: that in twenty thirteen, They're like, I am going to

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Speaker 3: be in the stands for this Yukon football game. But

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Speaker 3: holy moly, it was like their special teams gunners looked

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Speaker 3: like they were going to burst into flames upon re entry,

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Speaker 3: like Tom Hanks and Apollo thirteen. It was so hot

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Speaker 3: and a game that was so you know, inconsequential. I

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Speaker 3: just can't believe that nobody got carted off the field

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Speaker 3: with heat stroke or anything, so that those are the

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Speaker 3: real winners. They're certainly not. My play of over sixty

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Speaker 3: two and a half Yukon doing exactly zero percent of

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Speaker 3: the heavy lifting. I think they just cleared triple digits

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Speaker 3: for total yards. So Yukon is back in the doghouse

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Speaker 3: where they belong as far as I'm sorry, but as

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Speaker 3: I said, this is where we get positive. These are

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Speaker 3: our heroes. My G five hero of the week, Andy Warner,

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Speaker 3: another deep cut. Who is Andy Warner? Well at the

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Speaker 3: stage for you. Halfway through the third quarter, with UCLA

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Speaker 3: leading forty four to three against the Rainbow Warriors, the

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Speaker 3: Bruins lay the lumber on Deetrik Parson forse fumble, scoop

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Speaker 3: and score and my under sixty eight was in big trouble,

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Speaker 3: but not on Andy's watch. After a lengthy review, he

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Speaker 3: determined correctly that Parsons knee was down overturned the defensive

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Speaker 3: TD changed everything. Why he goes on a four minute drive.

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Speaker 3: They score ends up being the last score of the game,

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Speaker 3: zero points scored in the fourth quarter. So Andy, you

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Speaker 3: did a great job. You were right on the money.

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Speaker 3: Keep doing the Lord's work, keeping those unders hitting. Really

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Speaker 3: appreciate it all right now.

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Speaker 2: It's both. This gave us both a way to start

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Speaker 2: off to your man's look smart. That was our pick

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Speaker 2: we gave out on the show.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and as you pointed out, you know, Chip Kelly

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Speaker 3: went vanilla in the second half. Really just so many

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Speaker 3: direct handoffs, dives they weren't even really reads at that point,

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Speaker 3: taking his foot off the accelerator, trying to prevent LSU

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Speaker 3: from getting any leg up logistically on you know what

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Speaker 3: they were trying to do offensively in some of the

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Speaker 3: new brinkles that they're to put in. So a really

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Speaker 3: good read from you on that one. All right, we're

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Speaker 3: going to get into all of our picks here. We

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Speaker 3: have so many in week one, week zero. You know

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Speaker 3: you really had a squint at the card to see

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Speaker 3: some value. But just a huge buffet of games. But

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Speaker 3: before we get into it, because at least for my money,

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Speaker 3: I'm going to be sitting on the sideline for UCF Boise.

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Speaker 3: But this is the G five, premier game, the two

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Speaker 3: teams East and West in the country. I would argue

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Speaker 3: with the last fifteen years, the premier group of five teams,

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Speaker 3: multiple New Year six Bowl wins, the head coaching talent,

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Speaker 3: the NFL talent, the buzz around these programs, the home

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Speaker 3: field advantage on the smurf turf, and the bounce house.

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Speaker 3: This is a great game. How do you view it?

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Speaker 3: Whether you're playing it, or just from a viewing perspective,

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Speaker 3: what are you looking forward to seeing in Gus Melzon's

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Speaker 3: debut against Andy Evlos in his first game as Boise

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Speaker 3: and State's head coach.

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Speaker 5: Sagree with you where I'm probably not playing it as

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Speaker 5: of now. I think there's just too much unknown. I'm

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Speaker 5: curious your thoughts. I feel more uncertain and about Gusmelzon

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Speaker 5: at UCF. Josh Heipel when he was there at UCF,

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Speaker 5: they ran this extreme spread offense. First the nation in

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Speaker 5: place per game, you know, twenty ninth in explosiveness. Dylan

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Speaker 5: Gabriel led the country in passing yards, you know, the

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Speaker 5: second most attempts per game, fifth in the country in

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Speaker 5: average depth of target. They were throwing the ball all

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Speaker 5: over the yard. And then you look at you know,

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Speaker 5: Gus Melzon at Auburn, he runs that putt putt offense.

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Speaker 5: You know, it's like it's like he's playing mini golf

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Speaker 5: out there. You know, they were eighty third in pass

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Speaker 5: plays per game last season, seventy ninth in explosiveness.

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Speaker 3: Bo Nicks bow Nicks season. Then full effect, we.

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Speaker 5: Get the sound drop for bo Nicks is my favorite one.

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Speaker 5: His average death of target last year was eight point four.

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Speaker 5: That's one hundred and twelfth in the country. Since Malsana's

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Speaker 5: head coach, he's only had one QB rank in the

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Speaker 5: top fifty in depth of target. So I think that

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Speaker 5: offense is going to look a lot different. So I'm

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Speaker 5: very curious to see how it looks, you know, I'm

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Speaker 5: I hope he doesn't break Dylan Gabriel because he's awesome

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Speaker 5: to watch, and if he tries to turn Gabriel into

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Speaker 5: that pup putt pass, I'm interested to see what it

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Speaker 5: looks like. And then from the Boise side, you know,

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Speaker 5: I was I would reading message boards and stuff, and

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Speaker 5: a lot of Boise State fans weren't that sad to

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Speaker 5: see Brian Harrison leave despite all his success that he

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Speaker 5: had there. I don't think the fans ever embraced him.

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Speaker 5: You know, he had clashed with defensive coordinators, with the ad,

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Speaker 5: with the Mountain West Commissioner, you know, with fans on

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Speaker 5: social media, and and then you know, you bring in

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Speaker 5: Andy Avolos, who is a Boise State guy. You know,

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Speaker 5: he played linebacker for them, spent the last two years

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Speaker 5: as Oregon's defensive coordinator, and it was very successful. There.

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Speaker 5: So you know, as far as from a handicap perspective,

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Speaker 5: like I said, I'm probably not playing it. If I did,

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Speaker 5: I would probably lean the under honestly, just because.

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Speaker 2: All Zoon's going to slow down that offense.

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Speaker 5: It's not going to be the UCF you know, air raid,

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Speaker 5: you know, spread it out and throw all over the

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Speaker 5: place that we're used to seeing.

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Speaker 2: Boise State is expected to.

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Speaker 5: Play a little bit faster, you know, they have the

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Speaker 5: new OC was supposed to speed up the pace. But

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Speaker 5: I can never decide if I think Hank Bachmeyer is

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Speaker 5: good or not. I think he's pretty good, not great,

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Speaker 5: So then you out I don't fully trust the Boise

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Speaker 5: State offense to just you know, throw it all over

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Speaker 5: the yard either, so if I had to handicap it.

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Speaker 5: But another thing that should be noted for this game

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Speaker 5: that that makes me a little bit nervous too, if

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Speaker 5: any UCF backers Boise State has a live dog that

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Speaker 5: runs onto the field and picks up the tee after kickoffs.

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Speaker 2: Rip he passed away last week.

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Speaker 5: So this game is at the bounce house, so maybe

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Speaker 5: doesn't have as much of effect. But if this game

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Speaker 5: was in Boise without their little dog, that's something to

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Speaker 5: keep an eye on.

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Speaker 2: So the only thing that matters in this game is

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Speaker 2: rip to Cowboy Cole.

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Speaker 3: I tend to agree with you if Boise was starting

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Speaker 3: Jack Sears, who from a physical perspective, really opens up

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Speaker 3: the vertical passive game, and I think he unlocks the

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Speaker 3: potential of Khalil Shaker and C. T. Thomas in a

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Speaker 3: way that Meyer simply doesn't. We got so used to

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Speaker 3: Boise state whether it was under pet Kokowski Andy Avolos

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Speaker 3: as their DC being you know, one of, if not

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Speaker 3: the best group of five defenses a year in and

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Speaker 3: year out, and you look at their stats last year

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Speaker 3: they were a middling team against you know, the past.

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Speaker 3: They were even worse, you know, defensively in their front

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Speaker 3: trying to bottle up running games. And I think for

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Speaker 3: those reasons, if I were to play it, I think

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Speaker 3: this is trending more towards a high scoring game. But

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Speaker 3: I agree all the concerns that you listed out kind

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Speaker 3: of systematically, going back to how does Gus Melzon transition

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Speaker 3: from more of a dink and dunk run oriented offense

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Speaker 3: to something that's opening up closer to what he had

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Speaker 3: with Jared Sidham. But really the ceiling for a passing

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Speaker 3: game is much higher with Gabriel, and I just wonder

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Speaker 3: if he's got, you know, the play calling chops to

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Speaker 3: go away from his bread and butter, and this may

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Speaker 3: be a live play for me getting into some of

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Speaker 3: our best bets that we are excited about for this week.

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Speaker 3: I'm going to go out and throw Western Kentucky. I know, no,

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Speaker 3: it's a shock. I know. We haven't talked about them much.

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Speaker 2: The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the pride of the Commonwealth.

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Speaker 3: No, no, hell no, all hell no. Western Kentucky Land

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Speaker 3: twenty and a half against U T. Martin. This is

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Speaker 3: a number that hasn't popped up on many sports books

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Speaker 3: yet because they're playing the Skyhawks from the FCS level

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Speaker 3: of football. This is probably a number that's going to

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Speaker 3: pop up on game day. But UT Martin is picked

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Speaker 3: to finish fourth in the Ohio Valley Conference, and a

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Speaker 3: few little tidbits here that really means that they're like

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Speaker 3: fifth or sixth, Because generally speaking, Jacksonville State a perennial power.

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Speaker 3: They've now moved out for a transitional year to the Whack.

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Speaker 3: So when you look at the top of the OVC,

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Speaker 3: you're talking Austin p who's a top fifteen program, Murray State,

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Speaker 3: Southeast Missouri State. Those three teams are really good. And

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Speaker 3: then there's everybody else in the Ohio Valley. Now UT

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Speaker 3: Martin has some decent skill on their secondary, but other

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Speaker 3: than that, I think they're going to be overmatched from

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Speaker 3: a talent perspective. When you look at Western Kentucky, beyond

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Speaker 3: Bailey Zapfy, Bailey Zappi, the Stern Brothers, Ben Ratz Left,

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Speaker 3: there's so much in this passing game to get excited about.

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Speaker 3: And you saw this number open at third team and

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Speaker 3: a half and immediately bubble up as soon as it

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Speaker 3: came to legitimate sportsbooks at twenty and a half. And

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Speaker 3: I think the reason for that is that Sharps are

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Speaker 3: excited to play the Tops in their first game with

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Speaker 3: this new look offense. I'm excited to see what the

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Speaker 3: you know, home field advantage looks like with the water

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Speaker 3: tower looking down on the houch. This is going to

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Speaker 3: be an electric game. I'm excited for Western Kentucky and

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Speaker 3: maybe I'm out in front of my skis and I

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Speaker 3: should be, you know, doing what I just advocated for

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Speaker 3: in UCF Boise take a little time to see what

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Speaker 3: it actually looks like this finished product on the field.

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Speaker 3: But I can't wait. I'm all in on this. I

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Speaker 3: think they're going to roll by thirty five plus in

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Speaker 3: this game. What do you think about that play?

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Speaker 5: Honestly, I'm going to take it just out of solidarity

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Speaker 5: with you on the podcast. I know you're all about

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Speaker 5: Bailey Zappy and Western Kentucky. So yeah, like you said,

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Speaker 5: it's kind of hard to find right now, but when

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Speaker 5: I'm able to, I will definitely be taking it with you,

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Speaker 5: just just for the excitement factor.

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Speaker 3: All right, hit me with one of your favorite G

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Speaker 3: five bets of the week.

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Speaker 5: You know, my favorite one is Marshall minus two and

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Speaker 5: a half at Navy. This line is a little bit

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Speaker 5: confusing to me, to be honest. You know, Marshall brings

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Speaker 5: back Conference USA Freshman of the Year Grant Wells at quarterback.

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Speaker 2: He was awesome last year.

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Speaker 5: He kind of tailed off at the end, which was

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Speaker 5: a little nervous, but I like him to bounce back.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 5: He brings back leading wide receiver Corey Damage, All, Conference

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Speaker 5: tight end Xavier Gaines, and obviously Doc Holliday's gone.

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Speaker 2: But I think Charles Hoff is.

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Speaker 5: One of, if not the best head coaching higher of

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Speaker 5: this cycle. You know, he's so highly respected among in

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Speaker 5: coaching circles. You know, he's assistant head coach running back

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Speaker 5: coach at Bama for the last two years. Prior to that,

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Speaker 5: he was at Mississippi State for one year, and then

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Speaker 5: before that he was Penn State's running back coach for

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Speaker 5: fourteen to eighteen.

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Speaker 2: That was you know, Taequon Barkley year. Stuff like that.

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Speaker 5: His running backs never fumbled the ball. You know, they

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Speaker 5: really do a good job protecting the ball. He emphasizes

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Speaker 5: that a lot, which just makes you know, it makes

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Speaker 5: me feel good. And they're playing Navy, and obviously, you know,

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Speaker 5: you look at the triple option. Marshall was dominant against

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Speaker 5: the run last year. They're fourth in the country. They

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Speaker 5: gave up just ninety five rushing yards per game two

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Speaker 5: point eight yards per carry. So this d line can

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Speaker 5: handle that option. And being Week one, you know, they've

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Speaker 5: had all offseason essentially to prepare for the option. The

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Speaker 5: defensive tackle Jamar Edwards is one of the best run

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Speaker 5: blockers in the group of five. I love the move

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Speaker 5: they add Penn State grad transfer Shane Simmons at defensive end.

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Speaker 5: He started a few games for Penn State last year.

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Speaker 5: He graduated, followed Charles hoff here to Marshall. And then

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Speaker 5: the thing with Navy is, you know, obviously everyone knows

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Speaker 5: they're an option team. All they do is run the ball.

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Speaker 5: They were horrible running the ball last year, and for

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Speaker 5: a team that's all they do, that's a problem. They

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Speaker 5: were one hundred and ninth in rushing success last season.

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Speaker 5: They ran three different quarterbacks throughout the year. None of

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Speaker 5: them were able to execute the option. So their offensive

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Speaker 5: line loses starters, they lose their top two rushers from

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Speaker 5: last year. I know, you know, Service Academy's tender reload quickly,

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Speaker 5: but I just you know, I don't trust their running game.

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Speaker 5: That didn't work last year. Their quarterbacks the same. Their

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Speaker 5: defense got no pressure on the quarterback. So I think

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Speaker 5: Grant Wells it's going to be able to sit back

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Speaker 5: in the pocket and just pick apart this Navy defense.

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Speaker 5: I think the Marshall run defense will be able to

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Speaker 5: swallow up the triple option. And like I mentioned earlier,

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Speaker 5: Marshall started the year seven to zero before dropping their

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Speaker 5: last three games, including the conference championship, to UAB and

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Speaker 5: I'm betting that does not sit well with them going

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Speaker 5: into the off season, knowing how good they were losing

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Speaker 5: their final three games. They lost their bowl game to Buffalo.

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Speaker 5: I think they're going to be super motivated for this game.

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Speaker 5: I think it matches up really well for them, and

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Speaker 5: I like them to come out here and just, you know,

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Speaker 5: really handle Navy with with a little difficulty.

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Speaker 3: Generally just early in the season, because it is difficult

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Speaker 3: to project year over year the kind of improvements or

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Speaker 3: letdowns with triple option teams. You know, by design, they're

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Speaker 3: supposed to be a little bit more plug and play.

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Speaker 3: The fact that you have a game like this with

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Speaker 3: Navy and Marshall, you also have Army against Georgia State

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Speaker 3: another short line. But this is just an opportunity for

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Speaker 3: me to see if Navy can write the ship no

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Speaker 3: pun intended and get back to what they were consistently

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Speaker 3: as a program. It's one of the reasons why Ken's

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Speaker 3: name has always floated in Power five job openings, where

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Speaker 3: it's like it was a Kansas or a Vanderbilt going

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Speaker 3: to go to the triple option. They're going to bring

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Speaker 3: him in. I have enough respect for him that this

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Speaker 3: is a stay away from me. But in terms of

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Speaker 3: the fundamentals, everything that you laid out, that Marshall team

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Speaker 3: was very promising and young. Last year saw a lot

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Speaker 3: to like, certainly for my next play here for our

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Speaker 3: best bets under fifty eight in Texas against Louisiana, the

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Speaker 3: Raging Cajun's headed to the forty acres. I brought up

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Speaker 3: his name earlier, Pete Kwakowski. He's the new defensive coordinator

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Speaker 3: at Texas. He has coached some incredible units going back

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Speaker 3: to his Boise days, following coach Pete, you know, to

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Speaker 3: Washington and then coming over to this Texas team that

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Speaker 3: is reloading. They have some new faces, particularly in their

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Speaker 3: front seven. Where's the pressure going to come from? He's

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Speaker 3: a defensive coordinator I respect greatly, and I think it's

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Speaker 3: overstated a bit. Louisiana's offensive continuity. You know, they bring

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Speaker 3: back so many starters, they bring back a quarterback who

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Speaker 3: appears to be in his tenth year of eligibility. But

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Speaker 3: to me, the best part of their offense was Elijah

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Speaker 3: Mitchell and Trey Regaus last year and they're both gone,

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Speaker 3: and they're up against a defensive coordinator who has been

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Speaker 3: a Broilers finalist before, and I think he's going to

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Speaker 3: be able to figure them out and keep this as

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Speaker 3: a lower scoring game. And he's going to need to

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Speaker 3: because Patrick Tony on the Louisiana side is an incredible

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Speaker 3: defensive coordinator and he's got a stack deck. This is

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Speaker 3: the best group of five defense in my opinion. Pro

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Speaker 3: Football Focus ranked them number eight coming into the season.

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Speaker 3: Zion Hill anchors their defensive line plus nine other starters,

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Speaker 3: and eight of ul's eleven games last year went under

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Speaker 3: this number of fifty eight. For that reason, I think

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Speaker 3: this is going to be a very physical game. I

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Speaker 3: look at Texas on the perimeter. They're breaking in a

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Speaker 3: lot of new weapons. At wide receiver Bjon Robinson's incredible,

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Speaker 3: but from a defensive game planning standpoint, I think Tony

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Speaker 3: can really focus in on him. And for that reason,

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Speaker 3: I think this is overpriced by about five or six points.

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Speaker 3: I think that's where the value is. What do you

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Speaker 3: think about under in a game that has caught a

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Speaker 3: lot of national notoriety because UL has been public underdog.

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Speaker 3: They opened at about eleven and eleven and a half

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Speaker 3: that's been bet down to eight. I think the value

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Speaker 3: is right up. You know, on the side or money line,

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Speaker 3: how do you view this game between the Longhorns and

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Speaker 3: the occasions?

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Speaker 5: So I definitely agree with everything you said it and

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Speaker 5: I like the under a lot. I don't know that

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna play it, but for basically a lot of

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Speaker 5: the reasons you said.

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Speaker 2: I love Texas in the spot.

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Speaker 5: I think Louisiana is set super trendy underdog, and I

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Speaker 5: think Texas is one of those teams where you know,

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Speaker 5: they're easy to make fun of.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Texas is back and.

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Speaker 5: They always seem to be over hyped, and I think

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Speaker 5: this year they're kind of being like, people want Texas

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Speaker 5: to be bad, they want Texas to lose this game.

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Speaker 5: So I actually really like Textas in the spot. You know,

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Speaker 5: I Hudson car I think is really good. Like you

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Speaker 5: already mentioned b Jon Robinson, I think their defense will

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Speaker 5: be a lot better. So it's already at eight, you know,

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Speaker 5: I'll take it at eight. I'm waiting to hope it

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Speaker 5: hits seven and I'll take Texas and lay the seven

400
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Speaker 5: points with them.

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Speaker 3: All right, hit me with one more best bet and

402
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Speaker 3: then we're going to get into both our G five

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Speaker 3: money line underdog parlay and the brand new G five

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Speaker 3: high five round robin, which is gonna be exciting for

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Speaker 3: our listeners.

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Speaker 2: The other one I'll throw.

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Speaker 5: I like Charlotte plus six against Duke Charlotte's at home,

408
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Speaker 5: you know, a nice little home dog. I think Charlott's

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Speaker 5: gonna have a bounce back here. You know, I'm a

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Speaker 5: huge Will Healey fan. I love what he's doing. He's got,

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Speaker 5: you know, Club Litt is bumping over there in Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: The Charlotte forty nine ers is Will Heally head coach

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Speaker 2: to Charlotte.

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Speaker 3: How much you miss Club Litt? I am missing Club

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Speaker 3: Lit a lot.

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Speaker 1: Been working extremely hard on my dad bough, so look

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Speaker 1: forward to being I'm gonna be.

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Speaker 3: Back in there a newly renovated club Lot.

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Speaker 2: They were hammered by COVID last year. It really affected them.

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Speaker 5: They were one of the teams that you know, got

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Speaker 5: hit the hardest with it. They got Chris Reynolds back

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Speaker 5: at QB. He looked good at times. James Foster transferred

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Speaker 5: in from A and M to kind of compete for

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Speaker 5: that job. I assume it'll still be Reynolds going forward.

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Speaker 5: By like having you know that P five drop down,

426
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Speaker 5: back up just in case, bring back four offensive line

427
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Speaker 5: beefs up their defensive line in the portal with a

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Speaker 5: couple you know, Kofe Wardlow from Notre Dame, Joshua Bailey

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Speaker 5: from Iowa State. So they have a couple of power

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Speaker 5: five guys on the d line, which I really like.

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Speaker 2: Duke was just really bad. Last year.

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Speaker 5: They did stomp Charlotte, but you know, they turned them

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Speaker 5: ball over so much. You're starting a sophomore with just

434
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:12,280
Speaker 5: twenty five career pass attempts, one hundred and sixty one yards,

435
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:14,959
Speaker 5: no touchdowns, two picks in his career. So I'm going

436
00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,560
Speaker 5: to back Will Heally and the Charlotte forty nine ers

437
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:18,000
Speaker 5: at home.

438
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:20,320
Speaker 2: I like getting the six points. Their team will probably

439
00:20:20,320 --> 00:20:22,960
Speaker 2: look to sprinkle money line as well. Give me Charlotte.

440
00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 3: I'm just this another example after you went through Nyvy

441
00:20:25,720 --> 00:20:28,160
Speaker 3: where I have the respect for the head coach, similar

442
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:30,800
Speaker 3: here in David Cutcliffe. I'm just not ready to throw

443
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,239
Speaker 3: dirt on him quite yet, particularly when you look at

444
00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 3: their box score last year they beat this Charlotte team

445
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,880
Speaker 3: fifty three to nineteen. That'd be a pretty big, you know,

446
00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 3: differential in terms of performance. To flip it around in

447
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 3: one year, but you bring up a lot of good points,

448
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 3: particularly on the defensive line. They were one of the

449
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 3: major beneficiaries at the G five level to bring in

450
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:52,600
Speaker 3: some serious Power five talent. So I'm wishing you the

451
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:56,040
Speaker 3: best of luck. I just think, you know, Fading Cutcliffe

452
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 3: and this this duke team is going to be a

453
00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 3: very popular move after what put on tape last year.

454
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,600
Speaker 3: And maybe it's just a sentimental perspective for me, but

455
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,399
Speaker 3: I want to see him finish out his career at

456
00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:10,879
Speaker 3: least bringing them back to the verge of bowl eligibility

457
00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,680
Speaker 3: and not getting pushed out the door or retiring because

458
00:21:13,800 --> 00:21:16,480
Speaker 3: he just lost his touch. All right, We're gonna get

459
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,440
Speaker 3: into now the G five money line underdog parlay of

460
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 3: the week. We're really excited about this, you know, for

461
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 3: our listeners using win bet this particular week, taking two

462
00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,640
Speaker 3: money line dogs, you're gonna get north of six to one.

463
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 3: This is our G five money line underdog parlay.

464
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,680
Speaker 2: It's time for the money line parlay.

465
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 3: I'm gonna let you go first. I n l O

466
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 3: and then I'm gonna come in over the top of

467
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 3: my pick.

468
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 2: Yeah.

469
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 5: For mine, I'm gonna give Nevada plus one forty against

470
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,359
Speaker 5: cal Carson Strong is gonna be the best quarterback in

471
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,200
Speaker 5: this game. I only refer to Carson Strong as Carson

472
00:21:51,400 --> 00:22:02,359
Speaker 5: so Strong strong. And when you're taking a you know,

473
00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 5: a money line underdog, I always kind of like to

474
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,919
Speaker 5: have the best quarterback playing to get the upset. You know,

475
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,160
Speaker 5: Mountain West player the year last year, he'll get talks.

476
00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 5: Her first round pick brings back all of his weapons,

477
00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,679
Speaker 5: you know, all Mountain West wide receiver Romeo Dubbs and

478
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 5: tight end Cole Turner.

479
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 2: Who there.

480
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 5: You know, they bring their top seven pass catchers. Defense

481
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 5: brings back nine starters. They added a pair of corners

482
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 5: from the portal to really help boost that pass defense.

483
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 5: A huge thing with you know, I think the spread

484
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 5: is this is what three at the time. They have

485
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 5: the best kicker in the conference. That's always a plus

486
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 5: when you need a couple. When you have that field

487
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,320
Speaker 5: goal as the kicker, you know, pun intended, you know,

488
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 5: Brando talton is is helpful.

489
00:22:39,080 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 2: And you look at Cal Lesher. I know it's a small.

490
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 5: Sample size, so it's hard to see what you read

491
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,320
Speaker 5: into it. They were one hundred and twenty fourth and

492
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,880
Speaker 5: defensive passing success rate last year one hundred and twenty fourth.

493
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 5: They played UCLA, Oregon State, Stanford, and Oregon. Now they

494
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,200
Speaker 5: have to go against Carson Strong. I like di Vada

495
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 5: to get the upset, so I'll play them plus one

496
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 5: forty on the money line against cal.

497
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 3: I'm really glad you brought up this special team's edge

498
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,280
Speaker 3: that Nevada has in this game, because nothing is worse

499
00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,199
Speaker 3: than picking out a live dog and then that element

500
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 3: of the game lets you down. Not only is Brandon

501
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 3: Talton just ice in his veins kicker had some game

502
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,160
Speaker 3: winners last year, game winner actually in his very first

503
00:23:14,200 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 3: game kicking for them. But then you look at their punter.

504
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,359
Speaker 3: You know, Julian Diez. He's someone who averaged close to

505
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 3: forty seven yards per punt. And then Dubes is a

506
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:24,959
Speaker 3: dynamic punt returner and if it comes down to it,

507
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 3: that that differentiator to put them over the top. All right, So,

508
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,680
Speaker 3: as I mentioned teased it win bet when you add

509
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 3: in my moneyline play, this is going to pay out

510
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,160
Speaker 3: at north of six to one. UTSA The road Runners,

511
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 3: I know Colin Wilson's ears just perked up. Meat meep

512
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 3: the UTSA Roadrunners. I'm all about this team. Plus one

513
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 3: ninety five at Illinois. I was thrilled to see Illinois

514
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,919
Speaker 3: win a game against Nebraska, who they're just the Keystone Cops,

515
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 3: just you know, fiddling for their keys, shooting themselves in

516
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,439
Speaker 3: the foot, weird safeties where they're throwing forward passes out

517
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 3: of their own end zone. For all of that, I

518
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 3: think just set up this illusion about this Illinois team.

519
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:06,919
Speaker 3: With Artzikowski scheduled to make this start, I think this

520
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:10,440
Speaker 3: sets up perfectly for utsa team that's going to run

521
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 3: the ball, and they're gonna run against a team in

522
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 3: Illinois that got pushed around in the second half against

523
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 3: the corn Huskers. It was a spot where Adrian Martinez

524
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:21,159
Speaker 3: goes for over one hundred yards rushing, also kills them

525
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 3: with a seventy five yard touchdown and almost got them

526
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,159
Speaker 3: back in the game. When you look at the road Runners,

527
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 3: Frank Harris third ranked by Pro Football Focus in terms

528
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 3: of quarterbacks that like to run the ball who returned

529
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,159
Speaker 3: to college football this year Sincere McCormick. I think you

530
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,720
Speaker 3: play his way into a second or third round NFL

531
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 3: draft evaluation. That's how good he is and how explosive

532
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 3: he is. And they're running in front of an offensive

533
00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 3: line that returns five stars, four of which who are seniors.

534
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,480
Speaker 3: And when I look back at their twenty twenty, it

535
00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 3: wasn't just the games they want and they covered, but

536
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,560
Speaker 3: they also played two top fifteen schools. They played BYU

537
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,159
Speaker 3: and Louisiana. They lost by a touchdown in each of

538
00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 3: those games. They were right on the cusp. And really,

539
00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:59,679
Speaker 3: for me, this comes down to ten Frank Harris help

540
00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,280
Speaker 3: them to a baby step forward in the passing game.

541
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 3: Sokari Franklin is more than capable of helping them get

542
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 3: there if they're just a B minus or even a

543
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:11,959
Speaker 3: C plus in the passing game to complement this rushing attack.

544
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:13,439
Speaker 3: I think they're going to win this game. I think

545
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,600
Speaker 3: there's a chance they win up by double digits. This

546
00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:18,720
Speaker 3: is one of those matchups where, just because of the

547
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 3: name that's that's on you know the chiron at the

548
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,360
Speaker 3: bottom of the screen, you think to yourself, Oh, Illinois

549
00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 3: is playing a weird directional school or small satellite campus

550
00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 3: of a major university. I'm going to go ahead and play,

551
00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 3: you know, the blue Blood. I love the Roadrunners here.

552
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 3: I think it does a nice job capping off our

553
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:40,639
Speaker 3: six to one parlay, and that is a quick reminder

554
00:25:40,720 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 3: to our listeners. The Big Bets on Campus podcast is

555
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 3: presented by win Bet Sportsbook and they've got a great

556
00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,400
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557
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558
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559
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560
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Speaker 3: new wind beat account, make a qualifying deposit, and your

561
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Speaker 3: first bet within ten days, that bet is risk free

562
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,360
Speaker 3: up to one thousand dollars in eligible states, thousand dollars.

563
00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 3: That's probably more than Ohio State quarterback Quinn viewers is

564
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 3: getting paid by Holy Kombucha this season. But to take

565
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 3: advantage of this win bet offer, just click on the

566
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 3: Action Network link in the episode description. Must be twenty

567
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 3: one or older to gamble, No when to stop before

568
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,880
Speaker 3: you start gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right,

569
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,040
Speaker 3: let's get back to the show. Transitioning now to the

570
00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 3: brand new g five high five round robin. Every single

571
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 3: week we're going to give you five plays. Just a

572
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 3: reminder to our audience, this is not something to back

573
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,800
Speaker 3: up the brink trucks and unload on what you want

574
00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,959
Speaker 3: to do is, you know, diversify your weekly bets. This

575
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 3: is something where if it hits huge payouts, if you

576
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:44,480
Speaker 3: get four out of five, you're going to be in

577
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 3: a nice spot to make a little bit of money.

578
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 3: But certainly we want to give you the best of

579
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 3: the best in this section. This is our G five

580
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 3: round Robin aka the G five High five.

581
00:26:55,800 --> 00:26:59,359
Speaker 2: This is the high five. Should be high five high five.

582
00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 3: NC State minus eighteen and a half against South Florida

583
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 3: at home. Frankly, I'm confused by this number. My Power

584
00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 3: Rankings had at twenty four and a half point spread. Personally,

585
00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,679
Speaker 3: I'm also playing this at twenty seven and a half

586
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 3: on the alternate spread, getting in that plus two to

587
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,600
Speaker 3: fifty plus two to seventy five range. NC State just

588
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,360
Speaker 3: has the goods Defensively, They return ninety percent of their production.

589
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 3: They have great playmakers at all three levels. And this

590
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:25,840
Speaker 3: is how deep I went in. This is not just

591
00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 3: for you I and L. This is for our listeners.

592
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 3: I dialed into the weekly Zoom call with their defensive

593
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:34,160
Speaker 3: coordinator this week and he was talking about how physical,

594
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,480
Speaker 3: how disruptive their defense has been in fall practice, and

595
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 3: that's what I wanted to hear because coming out of

596
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 3: last season down the stretch, they cranked up the havoc.

597
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 3: They played against Liberty, who is top fifteen at the time.

598
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 3: They beat him fifteen to fourteen, eight tackles for lost,

599
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 3: three interceptions, a blocks field goal to win that game.

600
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 3: NC State's finally playing with that edge. And when you

601
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: look at Devin Leary, who in his three starts last

602
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:58,480
Speaker 3: year they go three to oho, three to zero against

603
00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:01,719
Speaker 3: the spread. A great opportunity for them to take that

604
00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 3: next step and to finally be in a conversation of

605
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,920
Speaker 3: if everything goes right, could they knock off a Clemson.

606
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:09,560
Speaker 3: I think that's where they are in terms of the roster.

607
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,919
Speaker 3: You know, Zonovan vam Knight gives them an awesome playmaker

608
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,360
Speaker 3: on the offensive side. There's just a lot to love

609
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 3: about this NC State team, and I think Leary is

610
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:20,920
Speaker 3: someone who finally puts it all together for them. You

611
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 3: get three passing touchdowns that traveled over twenty five yards

612
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 3: in the air last season in his three starts. So

613
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 3: I could rave for a while on this NC State team,

614
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 3: but I think they're going to absolutely dump Truck a

615
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 3: USF team that got blitzed in their nine games last year,

616
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,040
Speaker 3: seven of which they give up thirty four points or more.

617
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:41,720
Speaker 3: I see a similar, you know, game plan that's going

618
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:43,440
Speaker 3: to be executed by NC State. They're gonna score a

619
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 3: lot of points. What do you think about that first one?

620
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 2: Yeah? I love it. You know I'm on it too.

621
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 5: I actually, if anybody read on the Action Network site

622
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 5: this week, we posted our favorite win totals for the

623
00:28:55,360 --> 00:28:56,600
Speaker 5: season or the whole staff.

624
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:58,800
Speaker 2: NC State over six and a half is my favorite.

625
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 2: I love this team. I love everything.

626
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 5: I love their defense. To bring him back to awesome linebackers.

627
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 5: Like you said, getting Leary back is huge, So I'm

628
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 5: right with there with you. I love this wolf Pack team.

629
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:11,400
Speaker 3: Quickly for my second one here for the G five

630
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 3: High five Texas A and M lay twenty nine at

631
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 3: Kyle Field in State led the country and scoring last

632
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:20,240
Speaker 3: year forty nine point eight points per game. Whoopee. They

633
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 3: did in four games against two programs from the bottom

634
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 3: five of all of college football. And when they finally

635
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 3: played a team with a pulse last year, they played

636
00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 3: Buffalo on the road. They give up over four hundred

637
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:35,360
Speaker 3: yards and eight rushing touchdowns to one player, Jared Patterson.

638
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 3: This team is going to get just pushed around of

639
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,920
Speaker 3: the line of scrimmage. You look at the running back

640
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,040
Speaker 3: talent that A and M has in this game, Isaiah

641
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 3: Stiller and Devon a chan A Chane. If football doesn't

642
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,280
Speaker 3: work out for him, he could be an Olympic style runner,

643
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:50,920
Speaker 3: that's how fast he is. So I'm seeing him get

644
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 3: to the second level and really put some highlight plays

645
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 3: together in this game. And then from a defensive perspective,

646
00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 3: they're right on the cusp of this Wrecking Crew defense

647
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 3: of being a top five defense nationally and Kent State

648
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 3: coming in. Yes, Dustin Crumb put up some great numbers.

649
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,120
Speaker 3: He's a promising guy. He's, you know, functionally a dual threat,

650
00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 3: but he loses McCoy, who was his number one, you

651
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:13,200
Speaker 3: know threat last year. I don't know if they have

652
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 3: another guy like that who they're going to be able

653
00:30:14,800 --> 00:30:17,360
Speaker 3: to fill in. Certainly not in a huge step up

654
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 3: opportunity like this. Talent wise against A and M, I

655
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 3: don't see it. I think they're going to struggle to

656
00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 3: score more than seventeen points, and A and M in

657
00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:28,200
Speaker 3: this particular spot with Haines King in his first start,

658
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 3: I think they're going to give him an opportunity to

659
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 3: really feel good about himself. I don't think they're going

660
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 3: to take their foot off the accelerator. So I like

661
00:30:34,440 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 3: the Aggies to run away with this one at home.

662
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, Like everybody said that, this makes me a little

663
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:43,080
Speaker 5: more nervous than the other one, just because Sean Lewis

664
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 5: is a type of coach that he's going to go

665
00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 5: a million miles an hour.

666
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 2: He's going to be airing it out.

667
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 5: He's going to, you know, play like he's trying to

668
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 5: backdoor cover. So this is one of those games where

669
00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:53,600
Speaker 5: the back door is going to be wide open the

670
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:56,640
Speaker 5: whole game. But for the sake of the show, I'll

671
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 5: be rooting with you for Texas A and them to

672
00:30:59,120 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 5: keep it closed.

673
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 3: All right, give me your two here for the G

674
00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 3: five high five.

675
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 5: Yeah, so I'm gonna go my first one, kind of

676
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 5: pigyback on your money line, Parlay. I'm taking the road

677
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,480
Speaker 5: Runners in this at plus five and a half. Also

678
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:14,920
Speaker 5: like the money line, but for the sake of this,

679
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 5: I'll take the plus five and a half. I bet

680
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,520
Speaker 5: them will win the conference. Love, Sincere McCormick think Frank

681
00:31:21,560 --> 00:31:24,280
Speaker 5: Harris takes a step back, Illinois is going to be

682
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 5: you know, a little overhyped because they beat Nebraska, who

683
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 5: may turn out to be a dumpster fire. Martinez ran

684
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 5: all over this this Illinois team, so I think Harris

685
00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 5: and McCormick will do the same. You know, Stocky put

686
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 5: out a really good piece a couple of weeks ago

687
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,640
Speaker 5: on the Action Network about teams that haven't played yet

688
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:45,000
Speaker 5: playing against a team that has already played have covered

689
00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 5: the spread at a fifty five percent clip. So you

690
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:51,160
Speaker 5: know that's something I like too. Is UTSA has seen Illinois.

691
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 5: They have tape on them. They have tape on Tikowski

692
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 5: playing most of that game, where you know Illinois doesn't

693
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:59,240
Speaker 5: have tape on this this Roadrunner team, So I love

694
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 5: it just like you. I'm going take the plus five

695
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 5: and a half as my first high five play.

696
00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 3: Now. You mentioned Marshall earlier. This is a Marshall team

697
00:32:07,920 --> 00:32:10,920
Speaker 3: that had a young quarterback last year. Seemed unfazed by that.

698
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,280
Speaker 3: He played really, really well as they raced out to

699
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,040
Speaker 3: I believe it was a seven oh start to their

700
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,719
Speaker 3: Conference USA season. Why do you like them so much

701
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:18,480
Speaker 3: here against Navy?

702
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 2: Yeah?

703
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,040
Speaker 5: I just think you know this Marshall team, their strength

704
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 5: was their defensive front seven. They were awesome against the run.

705
00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 5: They were one of the best in the country, you know,

706
00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 5: fourth in the country against the run, and then a

707
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:32,560
Speaker 5: Navy team who all they do is run, was one

708
00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,520
Speaker 5: hundred and ninth in rushing success rate. They really struggled

709
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 5: to execute the option and I you know they're running back,

710
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 5: they have their quarterback is back there.

711
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 2: You know, they lost their top three rushers.

712
00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 5: So it just makes me a little nervous that they're

713
00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 5: going to be able to come out and execute this

714
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 5: option against a Marshall team with a great front seven.

715
00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:52,560
Speaker 5: They bring back, like you said, Freshman of the Year

716
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 5: Grant Wells at quarterback, and I think they should have Nope,

717
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 5: I love the hire of Charles Toff. I think they

718
00:32:57,120 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 5: should have no problem taking care of Navy and shutting

719
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 5: down this option.

720
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 3: To cap off the G five to high five going

721
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:06,800
Speaker 3: with under fifty eight in Texas against Louisiana. It's just

722
00:33:06,840 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 3: my undying love for these two defensive coordinators. These guys,

723
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 3: I in my opinion, should be finals for the Broyles

724
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 3: Award if all goes right for them this season. Pete

725
00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 3: Kuitkowski is an incredibly talented defensive coordinator. He kind of

726
00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 3: reminds me of one of those lifer DC's, those Mickey Andrews,

727
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 3: those Brent venables, where he's had some opportunities to jump

728
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 3: ahead and be a head coach, but this is where

729
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 3: he lives, this is what fires him up. And against

730
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,560
Speaker 3: Louisiana team that got most of its explosive plays on

731
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,480
Speaker 3: the ground last year, I think he's going to be

732
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:38,280
Speaker 3: able to scheme them out of that and put a

733
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:40,840
Speaker 3: lot of pressure on Chris Smith, who was a nice

734
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 3: to have offensively for them last year. He did more

735
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 3: in special teams and kind of coming in as a

736
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,000
Speaker 3: scat back change of pace. Now he's the marked man.

737
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:50,480
Speaker 3: If Louisiana is going to score and score big in

738
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 3: this game, they need him to run for about one

739
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty yards. I just don't see it. And

740
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 3: then Patrick Tony with the best group of five defense

741
00:33:56,640 --> 00:34:00,240
Speaker 3: in the country, this raging Cajun team is loaded with

742
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,680
Speaker 3: starters with experience number eight in Pro Football Focus the

743
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:08,440
Speaker 3: preseason rankings for defense nationally, and something that I've mentioned before,

744
00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 3: eight of Louisiana's eleven games last year went under fifty eight.

745
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:13,760
Speaker 3: I think this is another one. I think it's overpriced

746
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,200
Speaker 3: by close to a touchdown. So I'm happy to cap

747
00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 3: off the G five High five with this under. So

748
00:34:19,239 --> 00:34:21,440
Speaker 3: the quick rundown at the G five High five for

749
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:24,440
Speaker 3: our listeners. NTI State laying eighteen and a half at

750
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:27,440
Speaker 3: home against South Florida, Texas A and M laying twenty

751
00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 3: nine against Kent State at Kyle Field under fifty eight

752
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,600
Speaker 3: Texas Louisiana on the forty acres down there in Austin

753
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 3: Marshall minus won forty against the Midshipman and UTSA traveling

754
00:34:37,880 --> 00:34:40,920
Speaker 3: to Champagne catching five and a half against Brett Bielima

755
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,439
Speaker 3: and the Fighting ALII. All right, so we have our

756
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,359
Speaker 3: picks altogether, the money line parlay the G five High five.

757
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,560
Speaker 3: There's been a lot of synergy. I feel like there's

758
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:51,439
Speaker 3: been a bit of a mind meld. So I want

759
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 3: to ask you first, is there any picks that you

760
00:34:53,920 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 3: know you feel maybe a bit controversial between the two

761
00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 3: of us. Give me an opportunity to chop you down

762
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 3: a little bit, and of any other factoids that you'd

763
00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 3: love to drop on our listeners before we wrap up

764
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:03,919
Speaker 3: the show.

765
00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 5: Just fascinated to hear what possible argument you could have

766
00:35:07,480 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 5: for this, So you know, looking at the lines and

767
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 5: obviously a lot of you know, Power five big spreads here.

768
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 5: Baylor only laying fourteen against Texas State seemed small to me.

769
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 5: You know, this Texas State team was horrible last year.

770
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 5: They were two and ten. Their defense was atrocious, They

771
00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:25,640
Speaker 5: were the worst defense in the Sunbelt. Their offensive line

772
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 5: was horrible. Baylor had a weird year, you know, they

773
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,239
Speaker 5: first year under Dave Randa, COVID year, didn't really get

774
00:35:31,239 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 5: to practice a ton. They had a ton of COVID

775
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:35,360
Speaker 5: issues too, not only with them, but their opponents seemed

776
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 5: to have COVID every other week.

777
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:38,440
Speaker 2: Baylor's bringing back their whole.

778
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:40,440
Speaker 5: Defense, which you know, under Dave Randa, you expect the

779
00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:42,439
Speaker 5: defense to be good and take a big step forward.

780
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,839
Speaker 5: So I love that they're getting that back. And they

781
00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 5: brought in Jeff Grimes, who was the offensive coordinator at BYU,

782
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,399
Speaker 5: to really help revamp this offense, which I love that move.

783
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 5: You know, obviously they lose what's his face, Charlie Brewer

784
00:35:55,680 --> 00:35:58,359
Speaker 5: to Utah, but you know, Jerry Bohannon is their new

785
00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:01,000
Speaker 5: starting quarterback. He's been in the system as the backup

786
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 5: for the last two years. He's gotten plenty of playing

787
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:06,520
Speaker 5: time behind Brewer, so I don't expect a huge drop

788
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 5: off there.

789
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:07,919
Speaker 3: Yeah.

790
00:36:07,960 --> 00:36:09,839
Speaker 5: So I just think this Baylor team is a lot

791
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,400
Speaker 5: better than Texas State, who stinks. So I'm very curious

792
00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:15,640
Speaker 5: why what what gives you optimism about Texas State?

793
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 3: And when you say two and ten, they stink. That's

794
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 3: their straight up record. I could care less. They went

795
00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:22,239
Speaker 3: seven to five against the spread last year. They were

796
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:24,880
Speaker 3: in it with SMU a single score game. They go

797
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 3: up to Chestnut Hill, they almost knock off philter Kovic

798
00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:30,239
Speaker 3: and the Boston College Eagles. This is a program on

799
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 3: the rise, at least at the betting window. And when

800
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,000
Speaker 3: you look at what they did in the off season,

801
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,400
Speaker 3: they brought in zero high scorers. They bring back a

802
00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 3: ton of experience. The only guys they brought in were

803
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:41,520
Speaker 3: in the portal and Juco's grown men ready to go.

804
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,440
Speaker 3: I think this is a bear trap for Baylor. Now

805
00:36:44,440 --> 00:36:46,720
Speaker 3: that it's crossover fourteen, you want to check that number

806
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:48,719
Speaker 3: at win bet. If you can get fourteen, it's a

807
00:36:48,760 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 3: play on with Texas State. Love the Bobcats in this

808
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 3: spot so much so I'll tell you this, if Baylor

809
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 3: covers the number, I'll get you a Baylor helmet of

810
00:36:58,600 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 3: your choice. They're kind of the of Texas, so they

811
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,080
Speaker 3: have like seventy five different helmets, So you go ahead

812
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,279
Speaker 3: and pick the flavor you like.

813
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll give you Texas State one if they win.

814
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 5: I don't know if you have Texas Day. I don't

815
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 5: know if they even sell those, but if they do,

816
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:10,160
Speaker 5: I'll find one in mail.

817
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 3: Yeah. Unfortunately, I had an order from Shanghai, so it's

818
00:37:14,040 --> 00:37:15,759
Speaker 3: somewhere on a boat in the Pacific, but it is

819
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 3: on its way to me. I think there's an estimated

820
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 3: delivery date of October. So I would love it. I mean,

821
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,759
Speaker 3: multiple Texas State helmets, why not? They have some alternates

822
00:37:23,760 --> 00:37:26,320
Speaker 3: folding around there. All right, you mentioned one little tidbit

823
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,759
Speaker 3: that you wanted to drop on us before we call

824
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 3: it a show. Here, what do you got?

825
00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:32,359
Speaker 5: Yeah, this is a perfect day to be recording because

826
00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:35,120
Speaker 5: this is a historic day in history for the group

827
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 5: of five fourteen years ago today, September one, two thousand

828
00:37:39,120 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 5: and seven, Appalachian State upset number five Michigan at the

829
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 5: Big House as thirty point underdogs. I think you could

830
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,520
Speaker 5: argue it's the biggest upset in college football, at least

831
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,279
Speaker 5: modern history. So I had to give a shout out

832
00:37:52,280 --> 00:37:54,279
Speaker 5: to that because as you can see, when we have

833
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 5: a ton of huge underdogs this week against power five teams,

834
00:37:58,400 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 5: anything can happened with this these group of five teams.

835
00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:03,319
Speaker 2: So so just you know, be on the lookout for that.

836
00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:06,160
Speaker 3: It's totally appropriate that you bring it up because in

837
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,880
Speaker 3: the intro music where you know they're laying out the

838
00:38:08,880 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 3: college football world's been stunned. That was from Appstate knocking

839
00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,839
Speaker 3: off Michigan and Armanti Edwards. If you're listening to this,

840
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 3: I still appreciate you. I certainly you know, have the

841
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 3: memory just seared in my mind trying to find the

842
00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 3: Big Ten network, running from apartment to apartment while I

843
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:27,520
Speaker 3: was in college, finally finding it. You getting to watch

844
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:29,319
Speaker 3: the second half of that game. Not only was it

845
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 3: an upset, sometimes you have games where the favorites, you know,

846
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 3: they fumble things away. It was a prize fight. That

847
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:38,160
Speaker 3: game was fantastic. If you ever have, you know, an

848
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:41,080
Speaker 3: off season, spare summer day where you're looking for someone

849
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 3: fun to watch, go rewatch that entire game.

850
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 2: Wasn't Dexter Jackson? Was he the was he the Star

851
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:47,400
Speaker 2: Wars receiver for app State team? So fast.

852
00:38:47,800 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 3: I think he had a cup of coffee in the

853
00:38:49,239 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 3: NFL with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but he will live

854
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 3: on forever, at least in our hearts here on the

855
00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,880
Speaker 3: G five Deep Dives as one of the original OG's

856
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,840
Speaker 3: making making the magic happen and certainly making better. Is

857
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:00,799
Speaker 3: a lot of money on the line at that one.

858
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:02,640
Speaker 3: All right, that'll do it for the G five Deep

859
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 3: Dive here on the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented

860
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,879
Speaker 3: by win Bet and as a reminder, Stucky and Colin

861
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 3: Wilson will have their Week one college football betting preview

862
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,880
Speaker 3: episode out tomorrow, so get excited for that. Lots of

863
00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 3: content from the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, including a

864
00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 3: weekly segment with Brett McMurphy who is new to our

865
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Speaker 3: team mister Sources himself. Don't miss it.