1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,240
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pod. All right,

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:05,920
Speaker 1: here we go.

3
00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,760
Speaker 2: Fifteen cuny twenty five thirty thirty five, thirty forty five

4
00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:16,120
Speaker 2: fifty and the kick.

5
00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:25,599
Speaker 1: As block lookball stunner, Oh my goodness, please stumbled and

6
00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:31,320
Speaker 1: fob the lateral turn the counter of the job, don't

7
00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:32,320
Speaker 1: you believe?

8
00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:35,919
Speaker 3: Take them off the field to night.

9
00:00:39,560 --> 00:00:43,680
Speaker 1: It's not the sage the game anything, It's the sage

10
00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:51,120
Speaker 1: of the fight. Welcome to everyone listening here out there

11
00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:53,400
Speaker 1: in podcast lands. Our pod today is brought to you

12
00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:55,600
Speaker 1: by bet MGM. This is the group of five Deep Dive.

13
00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:57,800
Speaker 1: I'm your host, Mike Calvary's joined us always by The

14
00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,880
Speaker 1: Action Network's Mike Ianello or mine to our audience, The

15
00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,400
Speaker 1: Three Man Weaver back next week with their weekly college

16
00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:06,200
Speaker 1: basketball podcast every Wednesday morning right here on the Big

17
00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:10,160
Speaker 1: Bets on Campus Podcast. We're mainly winners last week, particularly

18
00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,200
Speaker 1: our best bets hitting both of those. How are you

19
00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,520
Speaker 1: feeling as we get into the stretch? Run Maction's here.

20
00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,200
Speaker 1: Lots of midweek college football, you know, from the sun

21
00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,960
Speaker 1: Belt to the Mac everywhere in between. There's lots of

22
00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,800
Speaker 1: action from Tuesday through Saturday. Where's your head out at

23
00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:26,600
Speaker 1: this point. I know, it's been incredible. Maybewek. Maction has

24
00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:27,440
Speaker 1: been phenomenal.

25
00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,679
Speaker 4: I broke gambling rule one to one. I never do it.

26
00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,320
Speaker 4: I'm very good about being disciplined. But I had a

27
00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,000
Speaker 4: few beers, quite a few. I was at that point

28
00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:37,479
Speaker 4: where you know, you look at your thing, You're like, oh,

29
00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:39,960
Speaker 4: I'm exactly ten and ten on the week.

30
00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:42,840
Speaker 3: So I'm just juicing out late night.

31
00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,880
Speaker 4: Fresno State Jay Caner team total over hits with these

32
00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:47,920
Speaker 4: gave me a winning week.

33
00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,520
Speaker 3: Thank you, Jay Canner. So yeah, pretty good week.

34
00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,440
Speaker 1: Keep that name in minds because it's on my board

35
00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,280
Speaker 1: for this week. Also a reminder now we're doing our

36
00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:02,960
Speaker 1: Monday taping Tuesday taping of the MACTION Live Big Bets

37
00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:06,800
Speaker 1: on Campus podcast. I was hosting this week with mccollin

38
00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,920
Speaker 1: and Brett. We're three and oh after Tuesday, so hopefully

39
00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:11,440
Speaker 1: we can bring it home with another three and oh

40
00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,280
Speaker 1: on Wednesday for a clean sweep of the week. And

41
00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,560
Speaker 1: I'll be back next week with Stuckey and with Brett

42
00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:19,920
Speaker 1: as well. So I'm excited to do more of that.

43
00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,000
Speaker 1: It's it's what the people want, you know. People are

44
00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:26,200
Speaker 1: clamoring for that action breakdown and honestly, because the weather's

45
00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:28,080
Speaker 1: been so nice. There's been some high scoring games, some

46
00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,840
Speaker 1: fun games at ball State Toledo game, you know, came

47
00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,080
Speaker 1: down to it, so I really enjoyed that. All Right,

48
00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,560
Speaker 1: we're gonna hop into our g five Heroes of Week

49
00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:45,440
Speaker 1: number ten. I goin to get started with a guy

50
00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 1: whose celebration just matched where I was emotionally. I was

51
00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:53,720
Speaker 1: on UTSA against against UAB and it just seemed like

52
00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,919
Speaker 1: they had pissed away that lead and it was clearly

53
00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:58,600
Speaker 1: a game they were gonna lose. They get to overtime,

54
00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:02,160
Speaker 1: both teams score in the first stands of OT. They

55
00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:05,079
Speaker 1: go to the second OT, Utsa gets an easy touchdown

56
00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:09,680
Speaker 1: need to stop, and Nick Booker Brown, the NC State transfer,

57
00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:14,080
Speaker 1: goes in and has a sack on Jacob Zino, who

58
00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,600
Speaker 1: was apparently his ears were burning because I was just

59
00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,320
Speaker 1: crapping on that kid for two weeks straight and he

60
00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:21,600
Speaker 1: played the best game of his entire career, but not

61
00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,480
Speaker 1: on Booker Brown's watch. He goes through Saxum and in

62
00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,600
Speaker 1: terms of celebration, he pulls out the Aaron Donald Super

63
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,640
Speaker 1: Bowl where he throws his hand in the air and

64
00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,120
Speaker 1: points to his ring finger because Apparently he thought that

65
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,000
Speaker 1: he won the Super Bowl in that moment. By the way,

66
00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,480
Speaker 1: it was third down, so I love the enthusiasm. Kid, incredible,

67
00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,480
Speaker 1: you made the big play. It was clearly too much

68
00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:41,480
Speaker 1: for UAB to convert on fourth down. They get out

69
00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:43,400
Speaker 1: of there with the win. Loved it. I love a

70
00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,640
Speaker 1: good creative celebration, particularly on a non touchdown kind of play.

71
00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:48,600
Speaker 1: So Nick Booker Brown, I took my hat to you,

72
00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:49,040
Speaker 1: how about you?

73
00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:50,360
Speaker 3: I know, I think that's what he was doing.

74
00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:52,800
Speaker 4: He was saying, king me G five Hero of the Week, baby,

75
00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,360
Speaker 4: for my G five here of the Week. In look,

76
00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 4: maybe in a normal week, maybe we'd be talking about

77
00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,920
Speaker 4: Tama Morricai. But obviously you're Houston, so we're not gonna

78
00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:05,720
Speaker 4: mention that. I'm doing more of a G five Here

79
00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:10,120
Speaker 4: of the Week, a G five Lifetime Achievement award. I

80
00:04:10,160 --> 00:04:14,000
Speaker 4: think in terms of getting the most out of its roster,

81
00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,600
Speaker 4: you know, reaching the ceiling of a program. I think

82
00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:20,960
Speaker 4: Jamie Chadwell is a top ten coach in the country.

83
00:04:21,520 --> 00:04:25,599
Speaker 4: What he continues to do at Coastal is unbelievable to me.

84
00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,520
Speaker 4: They beat app State thirty five twenty eight last week,

85
00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,400
Speaker 4: all but locks up the East Division. You know, we

86
00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:34,719
Speaker 4: talked so much coming to this year. I think Colin

87
00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:36,359
Speaker 4: was on this one with us, and all three of

88
00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,440
Speaker 4: us agreed that we thought they were going to take

89
00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,320
Speaker 4: a big step back this year. They lost Isaiah Likely,

90
00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,239
Speaker 4: they lost Jayvon Highley, they lost Shamari Jones, Cam Brown,

91
00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:47,560
Speaker 4: two offensive linemen, almost their entire defense. They returned to

92
00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:52,120
Speaker 4: six total starters, three on each side of the ball. Well,

93
00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:54,480
Speaker 4: they're eight and one and they just keep beating everybody

94
00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:59,520
Speaker 4: everyone they play. Coastal Carolina is thirty and four over

95
00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:03,279
Speaker 4: the last three years. The only teams in the entire

96
00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:06,159
Speaker 4: country that have a better record over the last three

97
00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:11,240
Speaker 4: years in Coastal Carolina is Georgia, Ohio State and Alabama.

98
00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,280
Speaker 4: What Jamie Cawell does is just unbelievable. You know, they

99
00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:18,479
Speaker 4: should not have that much talent there. They don't have

100
00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:21,560
Speaker 4: that much obviously, Grayson McCalls a stud but like I

101
00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:24,279
Speaker 4: don't understand why they're still good and how they keep

102
00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,040
Speaker 4: doing it. And to me, all the credit goes to him,

103
00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:28,920
Speaker 4: and I wanted to give him a shout out here

104
00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:30,479
Speaker 4: because I think what he's doing is remarkable.

105
00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,680
Speaker 3: I also don't think he will be he has no bid.

106
00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:38,000
Speaker 4: I'll be pissed if he's at Coastal next year because

107
00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:38,920
Speaker 4: he's too good to be there.

108
00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:39,919
Speaker 3: I don't know about you.

109
00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:42,560
Speaker 4: I think he is a slam dunk for Georgia Tack.

110
00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,640
Speaker 4: I mean, if he can kind of run that they

111
00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,080
Speaker 4: were still good and they ran the option. If he

112
00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,360
Speaker 4: has this kind of hybrid option offense at Georgia Tech,

113
00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:51,520
Speaker 4: I think he's a no doubt or there. They should

114
00:05:51,560 --> 00:05:54,960
Speaker 4: hire him if they keep recycling these schmucks instead of,

115
00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 4: you know, hiring Jamie Chuff something. You know, Tom Herman

116
00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,600
Speaker 4: and what's his face? Dan maull are going to get

117
00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:02,080
Speaker 4: jobs and not Jamie Chowell.

118
00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:02,599
Speaker 3: That's a joke.

119
00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,239
Speaker 4: So they also should be ranked in the top twenty

120
00:06:05,240 --> 00:06:07,920
Speaker 4: five to a Kentucky But Jamie Chowell is my G

121
00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:10,960
Speaker 4: five hero of the last three years.

122
00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:13,440
Speaker 1: Are you going full Brett McMurphy's sources here? Are you

123
00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:17,440
Speaker 1: predicting the Chadwell McCall package deal to Atlanta? The atl

124
00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:18,720
Speaker 1: getting him in Georgia.

125
00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:20,000
Speaker 3: Deck, I mean they would It would be a smash

126
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,160
Speaker 3: for Jordan Tack. They would be so good there.

127
00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:26,839
Speaker 1: I think, I mean, I love it. I think either way,

128
00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,000
Speaker 1: to be honest, I would love to see them stay together.

129
00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:32,159
Speaker 1: Whether it's at Coastal, I'd be fine with that, or

130
00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:34,120
Speaker 1: if they're a packaged deal in one of these open jobs.

131
00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,200
Speaker 1: I think that would be pretty cool too. We're going

132
00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,479
Speaker 1: to hop into our best bets here in week eleven.

133
00:06:38,520 --> 00:06:41,800
Speaker 1: I'm going to get it started. As I mentioned Fresno State,

134
00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:45,680
Speaker 1: they're cooking again. Jay Hayner's back offenses rolling. They're laying

135
00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:49,080
Speaker 1: under the key number of ten at UNLV. Haynter last

136
00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:51,559
Speaker 1: two game seven touchdowns, seven hundred and twenty one yards

137
00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:54,240
Speaker 1: through the air, and UNLV in their last four they're

138
00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,520
Speaker 1: falling apart. They're own four straight up, two and two

139
00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,919
Speaker 1: against the spread. Brumfield's back, but he's clearly not as

140
00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:02,680
Speaker 1: just in the last game two picks, three sacks, QBR

141
00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,320
Speaker 1: fifteen point four against San Diego State. I know that

142
00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,520
Speaker 1: the Aztecs have a good defense, but they were just

143
00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,960
Speaker 1: totally listless in the passing game. But when we talk

144
00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:12,640
Speaker 1: about players returning from injury, one of the biggest ones

145
00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,320
Speaker 1: in the entire Mountain West Conference is Evan Williams. Evan

146
00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:17,360
Speaker 1: Williams back at safety. He's the quarterback of the defense

147
00:07:17,360 --> 00:07:20,640
Speaker 1: for the Bulldogs. They finally have that extra feistiness. You

148
00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:22,560
Speaker 1: saw it in the Hawaii game. I stayed up. That

149
00:07:22,600 --> 00:07:24,600
Speaker 1: was another swing game for me where it's like, am

150
00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:27,160
Speaker 1: I going to have a profitable weekend or a losing weekend.

151
00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:30,160
Speaker 1: I needed Fresno and that second half they just absolutely

152
00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 1: put them in a sleeper hole and put the bows

153
00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,920
Speaker 1: to sleep late night. I love the fact that Evan

154
00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:38,360
Speaker 1: Williams is back. He gives them a lot more in

155
00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,520
Speaker 1: terms of their run defense because he comes downhill and

156
00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:42,440
Speaker 1: he helps in the box, but also just getting everybody

157
00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:44,480
Speaker 1: lined up and in the proper place. And then in

158
00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,880
Speaker 1: terms of the situation here, Fresno controls their destiny in

159
00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,120
Speaker 1: the West Division of the mount and West Conference if

160
00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,960
Speaker 1: they went out. So they have a half game lead

161
00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,400
Speaker 1: for all intents and purposes over San Jose State because

162
00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:56,800
Speaker 1: they want to head the head but they have the

163
00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,280
Speaker 1: same exact conference record, so there's not going to be

164
00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:01,960
Speaker 1: any overlooking here. I feel like they're juices back. You

165
00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,000
Speaker 1: could just see the energy on their sideline. The way

166
00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:05,920
Speaker 1: that they're playing. They look like the team that came

167
00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,680
Speaker 1: into the season as potentially a G five darling. So

168
00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:10,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and take in my opinion a

169
00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:12,840
Speaker 1: favorable number here and they're playing against you and olv

170
00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,320
Speaker 1: It's it's no home field advantage playing in an NFL stadium.

171
00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:17,840
Speaker 1: I know, the cool slot machine and that kind of

172
00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:19,480
Speaker 1: chews on the sideline, but there's going to be like

173
00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,960
Speaker 1: ten thousand fans here, so I'm not worried about that,

174
00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:24,760
Speaker 1: and it's it's my best bet for that reason. What

175
00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:25,720
Speaker 1: do you think about the Bulldogs?

176
00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:28,440
Speaker 4: I love him and I actually I had written I'm

177
00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:30,320
Speaker 4: only doing two of the high fives this week, but

178
00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,480
Speaker 4: I actually written down wrote down three and I was

179
00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,679
Speaker 4: going to give you a choose your own adventure. I

180
00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:37,240
Speaker 4: guess you chose because fredsde State was one of the

181
00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:38,200
Speaker 4: ones I was going to do so and now I

182
00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:38,840
Speaker 4: can just do that one.

183
00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:39,640
Speaker 3: I love it.

184
00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,880
Speaker 4: I think you know, we saw Jake Canner is cooking.

185
00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,280
Speaker 4: He looks like his old self seven times, make seventy

186
00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,560
Speaker 4: eight percent of his passes. They just have so many

187
00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:48,839
Speaker 4: weapons on the outside. You know, obviously we talked about

188
00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,400
Speaker 4: Jalen Morino cropper for two years. But you know, Nico

189
00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,880
Speaker 4: Romigio is awesome to watch. He's so much fun. Zain't

190
00:08:55,920 --> 00:09:00,840
Speaker 4: Pope's great. And I think Jordan Mims cooked this defense

191
00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,840
Speaker 4: that just is so bad against the run. And I'm

192
00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:05,880
Speaker 4: so glad you mentioned Ewie Williams because I wrote it

193
00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:09,120
Speaker 4: down to you know, Freslo State has been a lot

194
00:09:09,160 --> 00:09:12,040
Speaker 4: more leaky defense than we thought coming into this year,

195
00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,760
Speaker 4: especially against the pass. But Williams coming back, he missed

196
00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:17,960
Speaker 4: four games. You mentioned that he is the heart and

197
00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:21,000
Speaker 4: stall this defense. And while they have been more suspect

198
00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:23,160
Speaker 4: against the pass, Unov can't throw the ball, you know,

199
00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:26,760
Speaker 4: they just they can't. And I think Fresno State should

200
00:09:26,760 --> 00:09:28,319
Speaker 4: be able to kind of load the box and take

201
00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:31,439
Speaker 4: away this run game. So if Fresno State gets up early,

202
00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,520
Speaker 4: and they should with Jak, I mean they were forty

203
00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:36,079
Speaker 4: eight nothing on Hawaii in the third quarter. U and

204
00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:38,600
Speaker 4: V is just not built to come back. So I

205
00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:40,800
Speaker 4: really like the Bulldogs pull the way here, like you said,

206
00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:42,760
Speaker 4: getting under ten, I think they run it up.

207
00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:45,679
Speaker 1: It's been really kind of a good month for us

208
00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:47,960
Speaker 1: on best bets. So what are you adding to the

209
00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:49,080
Speaker 1: slate here in Week eleven.

210
00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,240
Speaker 4: I'm sticking with another Mountain West game here right under

211
00:09:52,240 --> 00:09:55,120
Speaker 4: a key number. I'm gonna take San Jose State minus

212
00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:58,480
Speaker 4: two and a half against San Diego State we know

213
00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,040
Speaker 4: what San Diego State has wanted to for years. They

214
00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,719
Speaker 4: want to play defense and they want to run the football,

215
00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,840
Speaker 4: but they've taken a massive step back at both. You know,

216
00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:09,240
Speaker 4: their defense ranks just forty fifth in the country, which

217
00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:11,880
Speaker 4: is you know, decent, but it's a big step back

218
00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:13,880
Speaker 4: for them. They were typically in that you know, twenty

219
00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:17,320
Speaker 4: five thirty range and they're seventh in the Mountain West

220
00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,840
Speaker 4: and yards for play allowed, that's just not what we

221
00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,480
Speaker 4: expect from them. And then with Greg Bell moving on,

222
00:10:22,559 --> 00:10:24,160
Speaker 4: they just can't run the ball at all. They're one

223
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,319
Speaker 4: hundred and thirteenth and rushing success on the ground. Jordan

224
00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:29,640
Speaker 4: Birds their leading rusher. He's havingly just forty yards per

225
00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:33,000
Speaker 4: game on the ground. They have eight rushing touchdowns all year,

226
00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:35,800
Speaker 4: and four of them have come from their quarterbacks, you know.

227
00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,120
Speaker 4: And then obviously we know they can't throw the ball.

228
00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:41,520
Speaker 4: Braxton Burmeister has been out, Jalen Maiden has been playing.

229
00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:45,440
Speaker 4: But either way, they have just eight passing touchdowns seven interceptions.

230
00:10:45,720 --> 00:10:48,080
Speaker 4: They're averaging one hundred and forty five yards passing a game.

231
00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:50,640
Speaker 4: This team is one hundred and twenty eight one hundred

232
00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:54,120
Speaker 4: and twentieth in total offense, this offense is so bad.

233
00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:56,560
Speaker 4: And then San Jose State, on the other hand, is

234
00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,120
Speaker 4: probably the best defense in the Mountain West. Would you

235
00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:01,680
Speaker 4: agree with that? Maybe Boise State, but I probably go

236
00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:05,000
Speaker 4: San Jose State, to be honest. They're allowing just sixteen

237
00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:07,600
Speaker 4: points per game this year under five yards for play.

238
00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,679
Speaker 4: They're seventeenth in the country in success rate, twelve at

239
00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:14,000
Speaker 4: preventing finishing drives. They have these two edge rushers that

240
00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,559
Speaker 4: just absolutely wreck havoc. They do such a good job

241
00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:20,600
Speaker 4: of getting into the backfield. And then San Jose State

242
00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,280
Speaker 4: has the sixth highest passing rate in the country. And

243
00:11:23,320 --> 00:11:26,680
Speaker 4: while I don't love Schevon Cordero, I'm not really gonna

244
00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:28,800
Speaker 4: say anything nice about him. He has thrown just two

245
00:11:28,840 --> 00:11:32,440
Speaker 4: interceptions this year, and San Diego State's seventy ninth at

246
00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,800
Speaker 4: defending the pass, and that's all they do.

247
00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:36,320
Speaker 3: Elijah Cooks is sick.

248
00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:37,040
Speaker 1: He's a really good.

249
00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:39,480
Speaker 4: Weapon on the outside, and I look at this way,

250
00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,360
Speaker 4: it spreads three or two and a half. San Jose

251
00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,520
Speaker 4: State has scored at least twenty eight points and five

252
00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:49,319
Speaker 4: of their last six games. San Diego State has scored

253
00:11:49,360 --> 00:11:53,240
Speaker 4: twenty four on an FBS opponent just once all season.

254
00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:55,880
Speaker 4: So if you're like, Okay, San Jose State should put

255
00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,360
Speaker 4: up twenty eight. San Diego State can't get to twenty four, boom,

256
00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:02,280
Speaker 4: there's recover there. So all l under a fieldgo with

257
00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:03,400
Speaker 4: San Jose State.

258
00:12:04,160 --> 00:12:06,719
Speaker 1: You're going with the fight and Jeff Garcias I like it.

259
00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:10,720
Speaker 1: Arguably situational motivation, that kind of element. They're in the

260
00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:12,319
Speaker 1: same spot as far as No State. They need to

261
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:13,920
Speaker 1: win out and get a little bit of help. So

262
00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:16,920
Speaker 1: there's certainly no overlooking this game. And I agree with you.

263
00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:20,000
Speaker 1: I think their defense is the best in the Mountain West.

264
00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:22,200
Speaker 1: It's just going to be a question of can their

265
00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:24,440
Speaker 1: offense get it done move the football. I think it's

266
00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:26,240
Speaker 1: a good bet. So I like what we have at

267
00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:28,320
Speaker 1: the top of our sheet, which now moves us into

268
00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,120
Speaker 1: our round robin portion our G five high five here

269
00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:33,000
Speaker 1: in week eleven, the G.

270
00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,560
Speaker 3: Five high five? Should we high five high five?

271
00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,400
Speaker 1: Forty seven Army Troy seems like a lot of points

272
00:12:41,440 --> 00:12:44,319
Speaker 1: to me. Troy unders a paid out six out of

273
00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:47,120
Speaker 1: the nine times this year. Army's actually gone over in

274
00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:49,120
Speaker 1: five of their eight games, but you know, just kind

275
00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:52,320
Speaker 1: of sneaking past that. But really the game within the game,

276
00:12:52,400 --> 00:12:55,040
Speaker 1: we know exactly what Army is gonna do. They're gonna run, run, run, run,

277
00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,880
Speaker 1: run into a Troy defense that's twenty first in run defense,

278
00:12:57,880 --> 00:13:00,640
Speaker 1: twentieth in yards per carry allowed. And then from a

279
00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,080
Speaker 1: pace perspective, Troy is there are no jack Rabbits by

280
00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:06,200
Speaker 1: any stretch. They're eightieth in place per game. An army

281
00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,680
Speaker 1: does what Service Academy does, They're one hundred and sixteenth

282
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:13,240
Speaker 1: in place per game. So double clicking into this. At home,

283
00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:16,000
Speaker 1: Troy likes to play low scoring games against FBS opponents

284
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,920
Speaker 1: at home. This season, total points in those games thirty,

285
00:13:19,480 --> 00:13:22,160
Speaker 1: so forty seven to me. I had this in my

286
00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 1: own projections at forty two forty two and a half,

287
00:13:24,520 --> 00:13:26,080
Speaker 1: so I was shocked to see it all the way

288
00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:29,680
Speaker 1: up here to forty seven. This is also another game.

289
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:31,920
Speaker 1: Troy doesn't need it for the Sun Belt standings, but

290
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,720
Speaker 1: there's certainly a team that's ascending. I think they have

291
00:13:34,760 --> 00:13:36,360
Speaker 1: plenty of juice this year. I love what they have

292
00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:38,840
Speaker 1: on defense, with Carlton Marshall kind of leading the way

293
00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:42,880
Speaker 1: with his opportunity to set the NCAA tackle record having played,

294
00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:45,920
Speaker 1: you know since twenty ten. I just really like this

295
00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:50,000
Speaker 1: under and I think there's nothing better is stuck, he

296
00:13:50,120 --> 00:13:52,320
Speaker 1: likes to say, under porn, where you get like that

297
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,440
Speaker 1: fifteen play drive for MARVII and then they miss a

298
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:56,880
Speaker 1: thirty five yard field goal. I think we're in line

299
00:13:56,880 --> 00:14:00,440
Speaker 1: for something like that in this game. And honestly, barring

300
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,480
Speaker 1: any special teams or defensive touchdowns, I think this was

301
00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:05,600
Speaker 1: right next to my first and play for my best

302
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:07,360
Speaker 1: bet of the week. So I'm gonna started off there.

303
00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:09,080
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on a Troy team that we've

304
00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:11,079
Speaker 1: talked a lot about. I know the both of us

305
00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:12,959
Speaker 1: have watched a lot of Trojan football this year. What

306
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:13,520
Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

307
00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:15,280
Speaker 3: I love it.

308
00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:17,280
Speaker 4: You know what I think of Troy and their defense,

309
00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,920
Speaker 4: especially by the way, another reason I wanted to hype

310
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,200
Speaker 4: up Jamie Chadwell and how well they do against close

311
00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,480
Speaker 4: to Carolina is because we both know I'm taking Troy

312
00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,880
Speaker 4: in that in the SO Championship game.

313
00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:29,640
Speaker 3: I mean, we both know I'm taking Troy in that game.

314
00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:30,600
Speaker 3: But I love it.

315
00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:34,800
Speaker 4: In a quick update because you mentioned it, Carlton Marshall

316
00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:39,640
Speaker 4: is officially eighteen tackles away from breaking the all time record.

317
00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:41,960
Speaker 3: He might do it on Saturday.

318
00:14:42,160 --> 00:14:44,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, this could be it. Yeah, absolutely he.

319
00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:47,120
Speaker 4: Had eighteen tackles earlier in the year against Marshall, and

320
00:14:47,360 --> 00:14:49,280
Speaker 4: you know, obviously all Army is gonna do is run

321
00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,520
Speaker 4: the ball, so he could break it here.

322
00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,360
Speaker 1: All right, what is your first edition to the high five?

323
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:59,360
Speaker 4: Because you took Fresno State, you basically have forced me

324
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:01,680
Speaker 4: into this play. So I want you to remember that

325
00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:04,280
Speaker 4: you did this. You did this, And I'm going to

326
00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:07,440
Speaker 4: rearrange yorder and I'm going to transition into my gross

327
00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:09,640
Speaker 4: under of the week. I think my gross under last

328
00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:10,320
Speaker 4: week actually hit.

329
00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:11,720
Speaker 1: This is gross.

330
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:17,600
Speaker 4: I'm taking Florida Atlantic Florida International under fifty four and

331
00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:18,720
Speaker 4: a half.

332
00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,080
Speaker 3: Which offense do you trust in this game? Go ahead

333
00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:24,920
Speaker 3: tell me, I'll wait the Owls.

334
00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,000
Speaker 1: I guess I think it helps that. You know, just

335
00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:28,840
Speaker 1: off the top of my head, I could name three

336
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,200
Speaker 1: skill position players for the Owls and I could not

337
00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,080
Speaker 1: do the same for FIU. If we're being honest, you

338
00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 1: know you get just the chambers. Literally. Yeah, it's kind

339
00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:38,880
Speaker 1: of like the old NCAA football days, like and number

340
00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:42,240
Speaker 1: eighty three and number eighty one. They're not household names

341
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:42,640
Speaker 1: for sure.

342
00:15:43,360 --> 00:15:45,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, Florida Lantix, I was gonna need to do most

343
00:15:45,800 --> 00:15:47,560
Speaker 4: of the heavy lifting if this did go over. But

344
00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,600
Speaker 4: they're actually just twenty one points per game. They're in

345
00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:51,920
Speaker 4: the bottom half a conference USA and yards to play.

346
00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:55,240
Speaker 4: I don't trust the Kosty Perry as far as I

347
00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:57,120
Speaker 4: can throw him or as he can throw a ball,

348
00:15:57,520 --> 00:15:59,120
Speaker 4: and he's held them to two undire yards in the

349
00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,040
Speaker 4: last three games. He only has five interceptions, but he

350
00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 4: has eleven turnover really plays.

351
00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:04,120
Speaker 3: He's completing just.

352
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:06,760
Speaker 4: Fifty five percent of his passes, and FAU wants to

353
00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,320
Speaker 4: run the ball first anyway, and they aren't really explosive

354
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,640
Speaker 4: at all. And then Flourida International is just a nept

355
00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:16,080
Speaker 4: on offense. They're averaging four point seven yards per play

356
00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,880
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty in the country. They're scoring just

357
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,280
Speaker 4: twenty points per game. Grayson James has thirteen turnover worthy

358
00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,600
Speaker 4: plays just eight big time throws. Yeah, Tyres Chambers is

359
00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:28,320
Speaker 4: very good, but he's there. He's like the only players

360
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,000
Speaker 4: the team that would like start on any other team,

361
00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:36,080
Speaker 4: like the country basically, and FIU is five and four

362
00:16:36,120 --> 00:16:40,240
Speaker 4: to the under this season, but FAU is under an

363
00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:43,320
Speaker 4: FAU games is seven and two this year. So I

364
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:46,960
Speaker 4: just really don't trust either offense here. I think FAU

365
00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:50,560
Speaker 4: should blow him out and comfortably win this like twenty

366
00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:52,600
Speaker 4: eight to ten. Like this game is going to be gross.

367
00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:54,640
Speaker 4: I just don't see how it gets over fifty five.

368
00:16:56,080 --> 00:16:57,880
Speaker 1: The fact that I got to bet and win on

369
00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,000
Speaker 1: the Battle of the Bricks on Tuesday night. Another great

370
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:05,080
Speaker 1: rivalry game here, it's the Shula Bowl, which apparently there

371
00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:07,960
Speaker 1: was ties from the first head coach of FAU and

372
00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:12,040
Speaker 1: the first head coach of FIU head ties to Don Shula. So,

373
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:15,879
Speaker 1: I don't know, not the worst rivalry game name in

374
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:19,640
Speaker 1: the game. Yeah, I agree with you. There's a high

375
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:23,159
Speaker 1: likelihood of one of these offenses totally falling apart in

376
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:25,960
Speaker 1: this game, which then makes it very difficult to envision

377
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,879
Speaker 1: going past this total. So a gross under. I like it.

378
00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 1: It's gross underseason. At this point, it really is. All right.

379
00:17:32,080 --> 00:17:34,359
Speaker 1: I'm going to transition to the biggest G five game

380
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:36,880
Speaker 1: of the entire slate, and that of course, is Tulane

381
00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:40,240
Speaker 1: hosting UCF college game. They should be them, should be there,

382
00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:42,080
Speaker 1: Shame on them. The fact that they're going to like

383
00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,080
Speaker 1: a three loss Texas whatever. We're not going to get

384
00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,800
Speaker 1: into that. The fact of the matter is Tulane is

385
00:17:46,840 --> 00:17:50,879
Speaker 1: on the precipice of really stamping their ticket to the

386
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,119
Speaker 1: New Year six Bowl. If they can go ahead and

387
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,840
Speaker 1: win this game, that's a huge step forward for them.

388
00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,320
Speaker 1: The pressure now on their side, they're laying to I'm

389
00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,119
Speaker 1: going to lay the point. I think it's going to

390
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:04,119
Speaker 1: be an electric atmosphere at Yeoman Stadium. The fact that

391
00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:05,800
Speaker 1: college game Day is not there, I don't think we'll

392
00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,480
Speaker 1: have any impact. You've seen it in their last few games.

393
00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:11,720
Speaker 1: They're selling out. The juice is there, and it really

394
00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:14,600
Speaker 1: juices up their defense. Who shuts down explosive plays ninth

395
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:17,800
Speaker 1: nationally in terms of explosive plays allowed, you know, in

396
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 1: terms of what they give up on the grounds, only

397
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:22,040
Speaker 1: three point seven yards per carry, and when you look

398
00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,880
Speaker 1: at teams that like to run the ball, they shut down.

399
00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:27,119
Speaker 1: Keith Mitchell from East Carolina. He was a shell of

400
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:29,080
Speaker 1: himself in that game. And then, if you want to

401
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:34,440
Speaker 1: look for something close to replicating some kind of similarity

402
00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:37,360
Speaker 1: with this UCF gus Bus offense, the Case eight game,

403
00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:39,560
Speaker 1: they held Case say to one hundred and eighty six

404
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,280
Speaker 1: on the ground, which doesn't seem great on paper, but

405
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,800
Speaker 1: that's twenty less than their season average. And that was

406
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,480
Speaker 1: also when Adrian Martinez was healthy. So the fact that

407
00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 1: they were able to go to Manhattan win that game

408
00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,160
Speaker 1: shut down the best unit on the field, which should

409
00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 1: have been the Wildcats rushing attack. I think that speaks

410
00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:58,119
Speaker 1: volumes to what they could potentially do here. And also

411
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,440
Speaker 1: UCF at this point in the season, with Keen playing

412
00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:03,840
Speaker 1: so well, is it a good thing that Plumbley's gonna

413
00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:06,320
Speaker 1: come back. They're saying he's still day to day. But

414
00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:09,159
Speaker 1: Plumbley for me is boom or bust. He's shown it

415
00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:11,320
Speaker 1: this year in games where he's not been able to

416
00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:13,760
Speaker 1: move the football and pick up first downs regularly. So

417
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 1: maybe a Plumbley plays that actually plays in the Green

418
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:19,119
Speaker 1: Waves favor, you know, with the strong UCF running game

419
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 1: against their strong run defense. And finally, one more little tidbit,

420
00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,840
Speaker 1: Balzon's three and five against the spread on the road,

421
00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,679
Speaker 1: you know when he leaves the bounce house. Since he

422
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,280
Speaker 1: took over at UCF and Orlando, he just hasn't been

423
00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 1: the same coach on the road. So all these factors

424
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 1: together under the key number three, I'm gonna lock it

425
00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: in with Tulane see how far this magical run can go.

426
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 1: Because honestly, this has kind of come out of the

427
00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:42,280
Speaker 1: clouds for them to be on the precipice of winning.

428
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 1: You know, the AAC so really excited to put my

429
00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,439
Speaker 1: weight behind him here, and I'm hoping that the simmer

430
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: and quarterback controversy for the Knights is enough to you know,

431
00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:53,520
Speaker 1: throw a monkey wrench at their offensive plans. What are

432
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,880
Speaker 1: your thoughts on the Game of the Year in the AAC.

433
00:19:56,200 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 4: Well, it's it's interesting you picked Tulane and U. You know,

434
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,520
Speaker 4: I'll give my thoughts a little later on.

435
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:04,160
Speaker 3: A little teaser for you there.

436
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,680
Speaker 1: All right, Hopefully this, you know, can stay amicable. If

437
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,120
Speaker 1: we're on opposite sides here, why don't we just transition

438
00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 1: to your last entry to the G five high five

439
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,000
Speaker 1: and hopefully it's not AAC related for.

440
00:20:16,119 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 4: My last pick of the G five five five. First,

441
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,200
Speaker 4: I want to give a shout out to loyal listener Alec.

442
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,960
Speaker 4: I don't know if you can see this shirt, but

443
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,879
Speaker 4: when we hit our ECU money line the other day,

444
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 4: this dude, Alec reached out to me on Twitter saying

445
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 4: that he want money and he lives in North Carolina

446
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,399
Speaker 4: and he wanted to send me an ECU Pirate shirt

447
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 4: so I don't have to wear Pittsburgh Pirates gear on

448
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:44,199
Speaker 4: the podcast every time I talk about ECU. So I

449
00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:49,119
Speaker 4: am finally wrapping my ECU Pirate shirt. And I'll be honest,

450
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 4: I wrote this down when it was six and a half.

451
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:53,320
Speaker 4: It's dropping, so take it as soon as you listen

452
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 4: to it. I don't like it as much, but I

453
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,240
Speaker 4: don't care. I still like it at five and a half.

454
00:20:57,440 --> 00:21:00,600
Speaker 4: Hopefully it takes back to six. I my shot with

455
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:04,040
Speaker 4: UCF taken down Cincinnati. I still don't think this Bearcats

456
00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:06,440
Speaker 4: team's that good. They can't run the ball at all.

457
00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,120
Speaker 4: They're outside of the top one hundred and they've been

458
00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:11,000
Speaker 4: forced to throw the ball a ton. And I'm not

459
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,159
Speaker 4: a huge Ben Bryant fan. He's thrown eighteen touchdowns with

460
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,639
Speaker 4: six interceptions, and you know, Tyler Scott's pretty good. But like,

461
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 4: they just don't have the weapons and the stars in

462
00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:23,719
Speaker 4: the NFL talent that they had last year. We said it,

463
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 4: you can't replace that kind of talent in the G five,

464
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,879
Speaker 4: and they can't. They just how many guys on their

465
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 4: team now are going to the NFL. You know, one

466
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:35,440
Speaker 4: I've in pace. Maybe, Like the defense is still solid,

467
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,080
Speaker 4: but it's not as lead as they were last year,

468
00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 4: especially at the cornerback position. Is Sauce Gardner already the

469
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 4: best cornerback in the NFL?

470
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,920
Speaker 1: He could be. I mean, basically, he's just poorted his

471
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 1: PFF stats from college to the pros. It's like you

472
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:54,320
Speaker 1: just don't throw on his side of the field. It's outrageous.

473
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:57,679
Speaker 4: This dude was university agreed upon maybe Derek Singley to

474
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 4: be top two cornering in college.

475
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:01,040
Speaker 3: Last year.

476
00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:04,199
Speaker 4: He was a top ten NFL draft pick, and I

477
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 4: think he's still underrated somehow.

478
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 1: Like he plays for the he plays for the Jets,

479
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,399
Speaker 1: So it's not exactly what the media excited.

480
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 3: Even in college. You know Cincinnati's defense, Cincatati's defense, sincadty.

481
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 4: Did this dude took away an entire half of the

482
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 4: field every single game.

483
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 1: Quick time out here. How did he not win the

484
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 1: Thorpe Award. I know it went to Kobe Bryant on

485
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,119
Speaker 1: the other side, but it's like Thorpe Award voters like what,

486
00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:30,680
Speaker 1: Like they're not in the same stratosphere. Like Kobe Bryant

487
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: was a really really good college corner who racked up

488
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: stats because they had to throw the ball to him.

489
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:38,880
Speaker 1: But saus Gardner was a generational cornerback, so I mean,

490
00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,679
Speaker 1: the awards circuit in college football is a joke anyway,

491
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 1: but like the fact that he didn't win is just ridiculous.

492
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,920
Speaker 1: He's probably what the best cornerback to come out of

493
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:50,680
Speaker 1: college since Patrick Peterson or something. Yeah, I mean, yeah,

494
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:53,720
Speaker 1: it's ridiculous. So yeah, you continue, But he that's.

495
00:22:53,600 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 4: I'm saying, like he he literally took away an entire

496
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 4: half of the field. So it's like, yeah, Kobe Bryant

497
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,639
Speaker 4: was great because he only had to cover half the field.

498
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,840
Speaker 4: The linebackers are great because they only have to worry

499
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,119
Speaker 4: about stopping the run. And with him gone, it's just

500
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 4: everything is so different with this team. They're still good,

501
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 4: but they have to play a full field now. The

502
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 4: secondary is just ninety first in the country in coverage

503
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 4: grade and our boy, Holton Ayler's is finally doing it. It

504
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 4: took us five years for our sweet baby boy to

505
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 4: reach his potential, and he's done it.

506
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, he has done it. But when

507
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 1: you agree, he's like the G five version of like

508
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 1: Sean Clifford or Chris Rix or Doctor Bow when he

509
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:36,919
Speaker 1: was at Old Miss, where it's like you're just waiting

510
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: for the shoe to drop, Like I am. I'm with

511
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: you on the Pirates, by the way in this game,

512
00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 1: but I will be holding my breath that the good

513
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 1: old nailer shows up, because first of all, don't you

514
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:49,880
Speaker 1: ever use Shan Clifford as in the negative connotation? Oh yeah,

515
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,920
Speaker 1: because no one is down on Shawn Cilford except for

516
00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 1: his head coach. But yeah, go ahead.

517
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 4: But every year we're like, if you could just clean

518
00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 4: up the mistakes, and you know, really, if we can

519
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,479
Speaker 4: see the good Holdonnale all the time, he'd be awesome,

520
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 4: and he just he'd be so hot and cold jackal

521
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 4: and Hyde.

522
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,080
Speaker 3: He's been good almost his entire year.

523
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:12,639
Speaker 4: We've finally seen good peak polin allers consistently. This offense

524
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:15,720
Speaker 4: is seventeenth in the country and passing Eaylers is completing

525
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 4: seventy percent of his passes eighteen touchdowns just five interceptions.

526
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 4: We mentioned the lack of Cincinnati's weapons. Isaiah Winston and C. J.

527
00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 4: Johnson are both studs. Titan Ryan Jones is a great

528
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,640
Speaker 4: red zone weapon. You know, they lost to Rajie Harris,

529
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:34,280
Speaker 4: which sucked. But Keith Mitchell is averaging over one hundred

530
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 4: and forty three yards per game with six touchdowns over

531
00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 4: the last three weeks. So we talked about the you.

532
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 3: Know Cincinnati and Cincinnati.

533
00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 4: ECU has the better quarterback, they have the better running back,

534
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,359
Speaker 4: they have to the best, they have two better receivers,

535
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 4: and you know, I'll give Cincinnati to the edge on defense,

536
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 4: but this ECU defense has been a lot better. They're

537
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 4: really good against the run and since they care on

538
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 4: the ball, so they're going to force Ben Bryant to

539
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 4: air it out and beat this ECU passing attack. I'll

540
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,080
Speaker 4: be honest, I think you can win this game. But

541
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 4: I'm certainly gonna take five and a half. And I

542
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:08,920
Speaker 4: said I already took him at six and a half.

543
00:25:08,960 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 4: I would take him anything over probably, you know, four

544
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,800
Speaker 4: or five. But give me the Pirates. Shout out to

545
00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 4: alec again for the shirt. We're gonna raise the Jolly

546
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:18,160
Speaker 4: Roger once again.

547
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: Bindley and Easy football team quality wise, that's matching the

548
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 1: quality of their their sports bar, Subdogs, the number one

549
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 1: sports bar in America. So love to see that for

550
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 1: Pirate fans. I like the play. I'm gonna I'm gonna

551
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: tell ya on that one. I'm gonna finish up RG

552
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 1: five high five with a fun Belt play. And I

553
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,439
Speaker 1: know we've been so high on Troy this year, but

554
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:40,600
Speaker 1: they still have a team nipping on their heels in

555
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 1: the West and that's South Alabama. They're only in sixteen

556
00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 1: and a half against Texas State. Jags have to win

557
00:25:45,560 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 1: out and get some help from Troy losing, but they've

558
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,240
Speaker 1: scored thirty plus in four of their last six. And

559
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,119
Speaker 1: it really comes down to Carter Bradley because he's not

560
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 1: done a great job avoiding negative plays. He's turned the

561
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 1: ball over, he's taken sacks, and Texas State statistically is

562
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 1: really and everything except for havoc A twenty eighth and havoc,

563
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,800
Speaker 1: So he needs to protect the football when it comes

564
00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:07,399
Speaker 1: to Texas State having the ball there one hundred and

565
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 1: seventh in success rate, but they've been held to fourteen

566
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: or less than three of their five fun Belt games

567
00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 1: this year, so I don't think they're going to bring

568
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,120
Speaker 1: a lot to the table offensively. And if Bradley does

569
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 1: protect the football, Allays do is turn around and hand

570
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,720
Speaker 1: it to la Damian Webb, who's absolutely blasting off when

571
00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,560
Speaker 1: I look through his game log, four hundred and nine

572
00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,919
Speaker 1: rushing yards in the last two games seven rushing touchdowns.

573
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,160
Speaker 1: This kid, you know, he was a Power five transfer.

574
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,480
Speaker 1: He's crushing it. He gives them stability and Texas State's

575
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 1: seventy seventh and explosive running plays allowed. So I think

576
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:43,359
Speaker 1: the motivation, the skill factor from Web and also the

577
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,400
Speaker 1: fact that Texas State can't move the football and they're

578
00:26:45,480 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 1: kind of, you know, in in a position where they're

579
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: not going to go bowling. They'd have to win out

580
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 1: just to get to six and six. I don't see

581
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:54,159
Speaker 1: that happening. So I think South Alabama rolls them in

582
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:56,760
Speaker 1: this game. My power rankings call for this to be

583
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 1: twenty three and a half, so sixteen and a half

584
00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 1: under a couple key numbers. They're happy to take the

585
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,560
Speaker 1: Jags here, a team that has scared me the whole

586
00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,920
Speaker 1: year in terms of my Troy futures. Troy was able

587
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 1: to handle them in a low scoring game, but I

588
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,479
Speaker 1: think the Drags are gonna pop off here. What are

589
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,920
Speaker 1: your thoughts on the last play of our gie five

590
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:12,400
Speaker 1: high five?

591
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,679
Speaker 4: I agree, Uh, Texas State, you know, they they stink

592
00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 4: and we saw you know, South Alabama came through for

593
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 4: us with our over last year.

594
00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,400
Speaker 3: I still are last week. I still like this offense.

595
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 4: By the way, speaking of fun Belt, I have some

596
00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:26,879
Speaker 4: I have some breaking news here that you know, obviously

597
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,560
Speaker 4: when people listen this won't be breaking news, so but

598
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:32,640
Speaker 4: it's breaking news to us pepe view. Uh crappy news.

599
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 4: Grayson McCall out three to six weeks with a foot injury.

600
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:38,680
Speaker 4: That probably puts them out for the rest of the year.

601
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,840
Speaker 4: You'd think, I mean at least three weeks, you know.

602
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 3: Maybe the Sunbelt Championship game. But that sucks.

603
00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 4: That's that's absolutely you know, a huge blow for Coastal

604
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 4: because he's their whole team. Definitely gonna take Troy in

605
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,200
Speaker 4: that game now. But uh yeah, kind of some kind

606
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 4: of some shitty news here.

607
00:27:55,920 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's real unfortunate. But you know, give them

608
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 1: some extra time to look in at the transfer portal,

609
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,720
Speaker 1: you know, have a clear head to make that choice.

610
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,760
Speaker 1: We're now going to finish up the group of five

611
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,600
Speaker 1: deep dive with our money line underdog play, which is

612
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: assuredly going to hit this week. You know, we've been

613
00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: white hot in this department. I'm going to get started

614
00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 1: with a big swing and a team that's their fan

615
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: base does not particularly like us. This year, But I

616
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 1: don't care gonna take Rice plus four hundred on the

617
00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:28,359
Speaker 1: money line over washing ENTUCKYE here we go, Here we go.

618
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: You know this happens a lot more during March Madness

619
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 1: and Selection Sunday, where they put up the two resumes

620
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 1: where it's like, what are your best wins? The Awls

621
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 1: have beat utap uab and Louisiana this year. Those are

622
00:28:39,440 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 1: three real nice wins. Western Kentucky has been Austin p Hawaii, FIU,

623
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee and Charlotte's. So are we so sure that

624
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: the Hilltoppers are all that great? I know that they

625
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: had the fourth ranks passing attack in the whole country.

626
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 1: Low interception rate, low sack rate. All comes down to

627
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 1: Austin Reid, who's been Zappi Light, which I think should

628
00:28:57,960 --> 00:28:59,920
Speaker 1: be you know, an off off brand beer that we

629
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: should be selling. And listen. Rice statistically does give up

630
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 1: a lot of yardage, but they're fifty six in Havoc,

631
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 1: so maybe if they can put a little pressure on

632
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 1: him and get lucky with a turnover or two. Because

633
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:14,160
Speaker 1: other than that, their in conference play numbers are pretty strong.

634
00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 1: Rice is fifth in scoring in Converce USA Play, third

635
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: in total defense and third in sacks, and they're also

636
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:21,800
Speaker 1: a team that needs one more win to get to

637
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,360
Speaker 1: Bowl eligibility. They're playing kind of a murderer's row by

638
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 1: convererce USA standards in their last three. But I think

639
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 1: they have the juice. I mean, they got Luke McCaffrey

640
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 1: and know it's somebody that you've talked up on this

641
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 1: pod before. Just in his last three games, eighteen receptions,

642
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: four total touchdowns that get him involved in the running

643
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 1: game as well. I think Rice has every opportunity to

644
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 1: stay in this game, and if they're able to do it,

645
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: I think they have the offense to get over the hump.

646
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,600
Speaker 1: It's just a matter of can they force Read into

647
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 1: some bad decisions and you be on the plus side

648
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 1: of the turnover margin, because if they are, I think

649
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 1: this is overinflated. Like if it was Rice, like plus

650
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: two to fifty, it's probably a past me. But four

651
00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: to one essentially is saying West Kentucky's unbeatable in this game,

652
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,120
Speaker 1: and they are not. And given the fact that you

653
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: know they've beaten so many tin Cans this year, I'm

654
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 1: just not sure that they're the world beaters. They're being

655
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 1: made out to be. So what are your thoughts on

656
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,280
Speaker 1: the owls and then we can get into your AAC

657
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: conflicts with one of my t five five five plays.

658
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 3: I mean, that's certainly swinging for the fences. I don't

659
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:20,480
Speaker 3: hate it.

660
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 4: I agree with you out Western Kentucky hasn't played anybody.

661
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 4: And by the way, quick just quick update for everyone

662
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 4: who listened to our off season previews. If you remember

663
00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 4: my best bet for conference, he was a Western Kentucky

664
00:30:36,680 --> 00:30:41,760
Speaker 4: team total under, and our boy, David Davis, western Kentucky's

665
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 4: best receiver, quote tweeted the clip of me just ripping

666
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 4: them to shreds. I love the slander. It makes the

667
00:30:49,080 --> 00:30:52,800
Speaker 4: outcome so much better. Well, David, the outcome was you

668
00:30:52,880 --> 00:30:56,600
Speaker 4: cashing your win total under before Halloween, so under eight

669
00:30:56,600 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 4: and a half. Absolutely never it out. This team was

670
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 4: never going to do it. They did last year, so

671
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 4: I'm glad the bulletin board material helped.

672
00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,040
Speaker 1: I still think they're being priced as though Bailey, Zappy

673
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,880
Speaker 1: and Kittlee and all their toys on the perimeter are

674
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 1: still there, but they're not. I mean, they clearly have

675
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,080
Speaker 1: still been able to shred opposing defenses, but they just

676
00:31:16,200 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 1: haven't played anybody. I don't want to go full Paul

677
00:31:18,800 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 1: finebamb on this situation, but Paul, hey play nobody like

678
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 1: this is. This is the situation. I think to take

679
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 1: a big swing because Rice is a borderline Bowl team

680
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,240
Speaker 1: right now, and I think if they get in, they're

681
00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 1: gonna be a feisty ball team. So I'm gonna go

682
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 1: ahead and take a quality team that's ascending, that is

683
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: the opposite of a Public team. I think that's the

684
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 1: reason why it's four to one here. You know, Rice

685
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: hasn't been a team anyone's been excited to bet since

686
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 1: the Jared Dillard days.

687
00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:43,600
Speaker 3: So I've met them all year.

688
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: I mean you I'm talking about you know, John Q.

689
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 1: Public is not racing up to the the betting window

690
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 1: to throw down some money on the aulis all right,

691
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 1: what is your underdog play here?

692
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 4: I'm taking UCF plus one point fifteen. Again, I've said

693
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:02,000
Speaker 4: all you're the best team in the conference. I'm sticking

694
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:04,960
Speaker 4: to it. By the way, you don't want to get

695
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 4: into the thing, I will, uh, ESPN not going to

696
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 4: New Orleans is an absolute joke. It's not like we're

697
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 4: asking you to go to like Munsey, Indiana. It's like

698
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 4: you're going to New Orleans unless they were nervous about

699
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 4: like god, God knows what kind of trouble Pat mcafe

700
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,000
Speaker 4: would have gotten down on Bourbon Street. They're gonna go

701
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 4: to Austin, Texas for the second time this year for

702
00:32:25,320 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 4: a three loss team instead of going to New Orleans

703
00:32:29,120 --> 00:32:31,840
Speaker 4: for that first time. An awesome matchup with the two

704
00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:34,960
Speaker 4: top twenty five teams. They've never been to Tulane.

705
00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 3: That was a joke.

706
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 4: Now, I love Tulane, we know this. I don't necessarily

707
00:32:41,560 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 4: want to say anything bad about them. These teams are

708
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 4: first and second in the conference in scoring.

709
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:47,640
Speaker 3: You know.

710
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,240
Speaker 4: I love Michael Pratt, Love Tajy Spears, love this defense.

711
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:55,719
Speaker 4: I think both defenses are pretty even, to be honest.

712
00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,800
Speaker 4: You know, both are much better against the run. Both

713
00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:02,960
Speaker 4: offenses run the ball first, so I honestly think the defenses.

714
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 3: Are pretty comparable.

715
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 4: But when you go to the office side of the ball,

716
00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:08,640
Speaker 4: like I said, they both want to established to run first.

717
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 4: UCF is just better at it. They're thirteenth in the

718
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 4: country and success right on offense sixteenth and passing fifteenth

719
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 4: in rushing success. You mentioned that John Reece Plumley is

720
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:19,880
Speaker 4: it by the way is it Reece Plmley or Rice

721
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 4: Plumbley because everyone.

722
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 1: Says Rice, it's Rice Plumbley, which doesn't make any sense.

723
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's Rice. Well, I mean it's Rice, Rice Rice.

724
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 1: All all were.

725
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 4: Comparing the money line dog parlay with Rice, So I

726
00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 4: actually kind of like that symmetry we have going on here.

727
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 4: John Rice Plumbley is awesome. I think he's awesome. He's

728
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 4: very boom or bust. Guess what underdog we need the boom.

729
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 4: He's audging two hundred and thirty five passing yards sixty

730
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:45,360
Speaker 4: seven rushing yards, and Tulane has a good rush defense.

731
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 4: But Plumbley, Isaiah Bowser, R. J. Harvey, Johnny Richardson, there's

732
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:53,680
Speaker 4: so many weapons here. Harvey's acting seven point four yards

733
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:57,960
Speaker 4: per carry. We have seen rushing quarterbacks have success against Tulane.

734
00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:02,360
Speaker 4: You know, Tune had over fifty yards, Jerry Bohannon had

735
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 4: over fifty yards. U Masses quarterback at over fifty yards,

736
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 4: so you know they have allowed that kind of scramble

737
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:11,640
Speaker 4: first downs with running quarterbacks. I just don't think anybody

738
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 4: can really stop this rushing attack, and then they do

739
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 4: throw the ball. Ryan o'keef's having another great year. They

740
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:20,240
Speaker 4: brought him, Javon Baker, and Kobe Hudson from Alabama and Auburn.

741
00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,960
Speaker 4: All three of them are outaging over fifty yards. I

742
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,719
Speaker 4: think there's just so much weapons on this UCF team

743
00:34:25,719 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 4: that Tulane doesn't really have. And if Plumbley is fully healthy,

744
00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 4: which he should be, because Malazon said he cleared concussion

745
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 4: protocol before Saturday's game, he was available and could play.

746
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:41,640
Speaker 1: And he warmed up well, he hadn't, but he hadn't

747
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 1: practiced all week, so that's why they went with Keene.

748
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 4: So I actually like the fact that Plumbley had an

749
00:34:46,280 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 4: extra week's rest. He should be good to go. I

750
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,440
Speaker 4: think UCF's the best team in this conference. I have

751
00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 4: a year. I'll be honest.

752
00:34:53,480 --> 00:34:58,120
Speaker 3: If Tulane was plus one and fifteen plus twenty, they'd.

753
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,919
Speaker 4: Probably be my underdog pick. Honest with you, I think

754
00:35:01,120 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 4: this is a toss up game. Like I said, their

755
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 4: defenses are even. I think UCS offense is better, but

756
00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:09,880
Speaker 4: Kulainne's obviously at home. I was probably gonna take the

757
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 4: dog in either game if it was up to this high.

758
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 4: It spreads two and a half to me, this should

759
00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:16,400
Speaker 4: be a pick them, So I'm going to take the

760
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 4: plus money with the Knights here, who I still think

761
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 4: is the best team in the American I'm.

762
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 1: Just going to throw this out there quickly. If Tulane

763
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 1: had not lost to Southern Miss, where are they in

764
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 1: the College Football Playoff conversation? Because it's kind of like

765
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 1: a train wreck up teams that we expected to have

766
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 1: a spot locked in, you know, the Alabamas, the Clemsons

767
00:35:35,480 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 1: doors open. So hypothetically, I know the Playoff Committee loves

768
00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 1: to shaft the G five teams, but like, yeah, would

769
00:35:41,719 --> 00:35:43,600
Speaker 1: they be eighth right now? Would they be seventh? Like,

770
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:45,279
Speaker 1: honestly would be I'll be.

771
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 4: Honest, given what you've seen from the College Football Playoff Committee,

772
00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 4: Like I don't even think they'd be top ten. I

773
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 4: don't think they'd be above Clemson because I mean, Liberty

774
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 4: is not ranked, Coastals not ranked. So honestly, you know,

775
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:01,920
Speaker 4: whether they're nineteen now, they're probably like eleven or twelve

776
00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 4: if they're undefeated, because it's not like Southern myths was

777
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 4: it like you know what I mean, Like they don't

778
00:36:07,680 --> 00:36:10,759
Speaker 4: have like I mean they be Arizona State right was

779
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:12,480
Speaker 4: that their big No, Kansas State was a big win

780
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 4: so it's like, yeah, to me, I don't think they'd

781
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 4: even be in the top ten just based on how

782
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 4: they should, just based on how the committee kind of

783
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 4: like you said, just shafts at G five at every

784
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,200
Speaker 4: chance they can get again. How's close to am that

785
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:26,439
Speaker 4: ranked or Liberty.

786
00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 1: Liberty Liberty one hundred should be ranked. I think that's

787
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: kind of nonsense. And it's also a minor miracle that

788
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,880
Speaker 1: they've been able to retain the services a few freeze.

789
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,320
Speaker 1: I know they've thrown some decent by chief five standards,

790
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 1: decent money, but like you would think that if he

791
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 1: went somewhere outside of the SEC that he could get,

792
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 1: you know, a prominent job given the turnarounds, And honestly,

793
00:36:50,280 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 1: at the end of the day, like, did he did

794
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:54,160
Speaker 1: he screw up? Did he get fired for cause at

795
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 1: Old Miss? Was it justified? Yes? But you know, in

796
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:00,920
Speaker 1: terms of the worst things that we've seen coaches do

797
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,319
Speaker 1: and still get second and third chances, I'm a little

798
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: bit surprised. Maybe he's content being at Liberty and kind

799
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,759
Speaker 1: of building this program up into like an East Coast BYU,

800
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:13,360
Speaker 1: but I'm a little bit confused as to why he's

801
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 1: still in the state of Virginia.

802
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,839
Speaker 2: All right, before we continue. As a reminder, the Big

803
00:37:17,880 --> 00:37:20,960
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

804
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:23,799
Speaker 2: So kick off the new Pro football season with the

805
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 2: King of sports Books. Sign up with BETMGM using bonus

806
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:29,879
Speaker 2: Code Action two hundred, and your first wager is risk

807
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 2: free up to one thousand dollars. Visit betmgm dot com

808
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 2: for terms and conditions. Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada,

809
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:43,719
Speaker 2: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Puertorico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington, DC,

810
00:37:43,800 --> 00:37:46,319
Speaker 2: West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be twenty one

811
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,800
Speaker 2: years or older to wager nineteen or older in Ontario

812
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,520
Speaker 2: New customer offer. All promotions are subject to qualification and

813
00:37:51,560 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 2: eligibility requirements. Rewards issued as a non withdrawable free bets

814
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,760
Speaker 2: or site credit free bets expired seven days from ischuants

815
00:37:56,840 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 2: excludes Michigan disassociated persons. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called

816
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,960
Speaker 2: one hundred next step in Arizona one hundred five two

817
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 2: two forty seven hundred in Colorado, DC, Kansas, Louisiana, Nevada, Wyoming, Port,

818
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 2: Virginia one one hundred two seven zero seven one one

819
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 2: seven for confidential help in Michigan, twenty hundred gambler in Indiana, Maryland,

820
00:38:14,120 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 2: New Jersey, or West Virginia one eight hundred bets off

821
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,600
Speaker 2: in Iowa one hundred nine eight one zero zero two three.

822
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 2: In Puerto Rico, call eight seven seven eight Hope NY

823
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 2: or text Hope NY. In New York, call our text

824
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 2: the Tennessee Redline at eight hundred eight nine nine seven

825
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:30,040
Speaker 2: eight nine or one eighty eight seven seven seven nine

826
00:38:30,080 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 2: six nine six in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have

827
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,279
Speaker 2: questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you,

828
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 2: please contact Connects Ontario at one eight sixty six five

829
00:38:37,680 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: three one two six zero zero to speak to an

830
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,920
Speaker 2: advisor free of charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, Ohio,

831
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,799
Speaker 2: and Utah and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not

832
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:47,879
Speaker 2: available in Nevada and New York.

833
00:38:48,560 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: All right for our listeners, Now, I'll give a quick

834
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,280
Speaker 1: rundown on all of our plays here in week eleven.

835
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 1: For our best bets, I like Frozen of State, Lane

836
00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 1: nine and a half traveling to Las Vegas to take

837
00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 1: on you and lv I in l O with another

838
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:01,880
Speaker 1: Mountain West Conference place Satose State laying two and a

839
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:05,359
Speaker 1: half at San Diego State, our G five high five

840
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:08,239
Speaker 1: South Alabama in the Fun Belt laying sixteen and a

841
00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:11,439
Speaker 1: half against Texas State. I like the under pretty ugly

842
00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: under between Troy and Army, sitting at forty seven. Speaking

843
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 1: of ugly unders, FIU fau in the Shula Bowl under

844
00:39:18,120 --> 00:39:22,120
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, ECU catching six in a

845
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:25,600
Speaker 1: game against Cincinnati and Tulane for my G five high

846
00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 1: five lane two at home in the AAC Game of

847
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:31,360
Speaker 1: the year against Central Florida. And for our money line

848
00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:35,880
Speaker 1: underdog parlay going big here Rice plus four hundred traveling

849
00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,840
Speaker 1: to Western Kentucky to take up the Hilltoppers and ucf

850
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 1: is Ianello's pick plus one twenty playing in New Orleans

851
00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,640
Speaker 1: against Tulane. You put those two plays together, it pays

852
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,759
Speaker 1: out just shy of ten to one plus nine to

853
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:48,720
Speaker 1: seventy five over at bet MGM.

854
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:50,839
Speaker 3: I'll cover all of our losses for the year.

855
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. You just got to hit one of these

856
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 1: big boys and all of a sudden we look like geniuses.

857
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 3: That's what we should do. The next week. If we

858
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 3: lose again, next week we'll come up with was it

859
00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:00,680
Speaker 3: eleven to one?

860
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 4: And the following week we'll have to put together twelve

861
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:05,359
Speaker 4: to one, and we'll just keep building and we'll make

862
00:40:05,400 --> 00:40:06,839
Speaker 4: them big enough that we finally hit one.

863
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 3: It covers the whole year.

864
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:10,919
Speaker 1: So that'll do it for the group of five Deep

865
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 1: dive here under the Big Bets on Campus podcast banner,

866
00:40:14,160 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: a reminder to our listeners that we have wall to

867
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:19,359
Speaker 1: wall content this time of year. We have Colin and

868
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:22,720
Speaker 1: Stucky coming back with their full FBS slate of plays.

869
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,920
Speaker 1: That podcast will drop Thursday night, Friday morning, and then

870
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:29,240
Speaker 1: Saturday the live show with Stucky, Colin Brett McMurphy getting

871
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:33,280
Speaker 1: into all of the latest developments line movement, player availability

872
00:40:33,440 --> 00:40:35,879
Speaker 1: to help you make money on your Saturday, and then

873
00:40:35,880 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 1: we're back with the new BCS. We also have College

874
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:42,320
Speaker 1: Basketball podcast debuting for this season next Wednesday. That's the

875
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 1: Three Man Weave dropping Wednesday mornings, so you're going to

876
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:47,160
Speaker 1: want to check that out. There's lots of things filling

877
00:40:47,239 --> 00:40:50,000
Speaker 1: up your podcast feed, trying to give you every single

878
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:52,239
Speaker 1: angle in the college universe. So that's it for the

879
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,040
Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus podcast. I'm Mike Calbarys for Mike Iinello.

880
00:40:55,120 --> 00:41:04,200
Speaker 1: Thank you so much for listening, and have a great weekend.