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Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys, what's up? Welcome in to another episode

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me recasts all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt in this podcast being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by our friends at DraftKings. All right, we end

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Speaker 1: the week with a nice Sunday Props go three and one.

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Speaker 1: We actually had in like a one minute stretch two

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Speaker 1: props hit late in games from Leak Neighbors going over

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Speaker 1: his reception, which was really nice. So we wound up

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Speaker 1: going three and one of the props. We went two

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Speaker 1: to one in one because the Eagles Jalen hurts that

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Speaker 1: injury killed that bet. Five turnovers and they still lost

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Speaker 1: that game. That's stunk, but the Eagles didn't get there.

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Speaker 1: The Vikings won by three, but the over did come

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Speaker 1: in in that game, so we got that right. Bengals

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Speaker 1: line teaser comes in easily. Props go three and one.

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Speaker 1: So it's a five too and one day up one

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Speaker 1: point four units for Sundays. So four winning days, three

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Speaker 1: losing days, but it is a losing week because we

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Speaker 1: ended up losing more.

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Speaker 2: Well. The two bad losses Thursday and Friday were bad

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Speaker 2: was it?

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Speaker 1: No? Sorry, Thursday and Friday and Saturday were bad, so

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Speaker 1: we ended up being down a couple of units on

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Speaker 1: the week. I think it was one point nine I

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Speaker 1: think for the week. So we won in the first week,

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Speaker 1: one big We won six point seven to five units

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Speaker 1: in the first week of December. We lost in the

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Speaker 1: second week, and we lost in the third week of December.

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Speaker 1: So currently we are down point six units for December,

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Speaker 1: so we are barely down, but we are down for

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Speaker 1: the month. So here we are on the twenty third

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Speaker 1: of December, and we start the final full week of

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four in the final full week of the month.

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Speaker 1: So let's see if we can close out this year

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Speaker 1: strong here and get ourselves. We'll have a losing year.

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Speaker 1: I think for the year, I think we'll be down.

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Speaker 1: We'll be down a ton. Baseball will be the reason

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Speaker 1: why we'll do a full recap in January.

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Speaker 2: Baseball was a busmal. Hockey wasn't good either, though.

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Speaker 1: Hockey and baseball both killed me in twenty four We've

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Speaker 1: done well in the NFL, we've done well in college football,

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Speaker 1: well in some of the other sports. Golf did pretty well,

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Speaker 1: so we'll kind of do a whole twenty twenty four

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Speaker 1: unwrapped if you will for the Daily Juice, I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you where we did well, where we did poorly, and

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Speaker 1: we'll start a brand new year coming up on January first.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of that, I am traveling a lot now. The

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Speaker 1: last time, last two times I've traveled, it has not

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Speaker 1: gone well. So understand we're talking about a different in

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Speaker 1: my routine. We're talking about change in my ability to

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Speaker 1: watch games. It's the holidays, I have family obligations. Just

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Speaker 1: a heads up, Okay, I get on a red eye

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Speaker 1: flight on Thursday back to Boston. Then I'm traveling again

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Speaker 1: for New Years and I'm coming back to Boston. Then

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Speaker 1: I'm going back to Vegas. All right, So I have

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Speaker 1: basically four flights over a ten day period, and the

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Speaker 1: Juice is going to come out in weird times. Okay,

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Speaker 1: You're going to see the Daily Juice pop in your

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Speaker 1: inbox in the middle of the afternoon. You may see

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Speaker 1: it pop really late at night. You may see it

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Speaker 1: pop normally. I don't know when and where I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be able to do it, but hotel rooms and

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Speaker 1: airports and who knows where I'm going to be doing

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Speaker 1: the juice from here during this week. It's the holidays.

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Speaker 1: Traveling's nuts. You guys can relate. Just you'll get the podcast,

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Speaker 1: it just may not come out at the normal schedule

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Speaker 1: time for you. It also will take away my ability

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Speaker 1: to do live streams in live chats while I'm on vacation,

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Speaker 1: while I'm gone, so just a heads up on that.

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Speaker 1: There won't be live streams on Thursday. I won't be

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Speaker 1: part of the Sunday live stream for next weekend. But

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Speaker 1: then getting back to Vegas on January the fifth, as

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Speaker 1: we roll right into the National semi Finals, so that

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Speaker 1: will be huge Thursday and Friday of that week, or

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Speaker 1: the National Semi Finals for the college football world. And

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Speaker 1: then the first two days of the NFL Playoffs, the

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Speaker 1: wild card games. There's three on Saturday and two on

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Speaker 1: Sunday for wild Card weekend. So Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

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Speaker 1: maybe the best four day stretch of playoff football ever

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Speaker 1: coming up on the week I get back to Vegas,

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Speaker 1: So really looking forward to that. But first and foremost,

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Speaker 1: it's the trip and travel in the holidays and the

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Speaker 1: Big Man flying this week, so a lot of good

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Speaker 1: stuff to get into on the show.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to go heavy today.

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Speaker 1: I've got three bets for us here on Monday Night

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Speaker 1: football between the Saints and the Green Bay Packers. It's

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Speaker 1: the Packers, so clearly weather is a factor here with

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Speaker 1: Green Bay don team from the South going up.

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Speaker 2: To lambeau Field. Enjoy that.

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Speaker 1: But before we get to the picks and the plays,

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Speaker 1: dot com slash promos. Okay, let's talk about the Packers numbers.

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Speaker 1: Fourteen opened at thirteen and a half. Some books have

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Speaker 1: already gone to fourteen and a half. Well against the

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Speaker 1: number this year, the green Bay Packers are eight and

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Speaker 1: six against the number. The New Orleans Saints are six

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Speaker 1: and eight. Not good, but they did cover. In their

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Speaker 1: last game against Washington, they lost by one at home

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Speaker 1: as seven and a half point dogs. Green Bay has

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Speaker 1: covered four consecutive games. They have won three of those

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Speaker 1: four games. Against Seattle they were laying two and a half.

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Speaker 1: They won by seventeen points on the road. On Monday night,

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Speaker 1: they killed them on the road. Against Detroit, they were

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Speaker 1: catching three and a half. They lost by three. We

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Speaker 1: were on the Packers of that game, Miami three and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. At home they won by thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Against San Francisco to the laid six, they won by

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Speaker 1: twenty eight. Jordan Love hast been playing very well four

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Speaker 1: and three overall at home. But as I said, they've

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Speaker 1: covered their last four games. When you take a look

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Speaker 1: at these big numbers, this is kind of wild. These numbers.

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Speaker 1: We're getting into like historic type numbers here for how

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Speaker 1: big this is going to be. You just don't see

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Speaker 1: fourteens like you just don't see this. Fourteen points is

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Speaker 1: a insane amount. Fifteen points historic Okay, we're into historic

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Speaker 1: angles if this thing closes at fifteen, which is possible

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Speaker 1: because it's already at fourteen and a half at certain

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Speaker 1: books at the moment. This the last two times a

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Speaker 1: number was thirteen on Monday Night Football.

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Speaker 2: It's a while ago.

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Speaker 1: Favorites this big, By the way, on Monday Night are

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Speaker 1: one seven and one against the spread, failing to cover

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Speaker 1: by over a touchdown. Double digit favorites on Monday Night

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Speaker 1: Football are ten twenty six and two ats over the

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Speaker 1: last twenty years, and when those games are played on Saturdays,

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Speaker 1: Sundays or Mondays, double digit favorites in primetime not good.

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Speaker 1: Thirty three, fifty six and two. We're talking the Bengals

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Speaker 1: over the Steelers. The number was fourteen and a half

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty Upsets at Night. Bengals beat the Steelers

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Speaker 1: as fourteen a half point dogs. The Giants beat the

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Speaker 1: Broncos in twenty seventeen is fourteen point dogs in twenty

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Speaker 1: seventeen and twenty ten. The Vikings beat the Eagles in

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Speaker 1: twenty ten. The Packers are seven and oh straight up

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Speaker 1: against teams under five hundred this year. They're five and

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Speaker 1: zero straight up were better against teams under five hundred

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Speaker 1: opponents this season. Matt Lafleur is thirteen and twelve straight

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Speaker 1: up in his career against teams under five hundred. They've

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Speaker 1: won ten games in a row in December. Matt Lafleur

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Speaker 1: has been so darned dominant nineteen and three straight up

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Speaker 1: in December twenty twelve, nineteen and one ats in December. Look,

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Speaker 1: Jay Jordan Love hasn't throwne a pick in four starts.

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Speaker 1: He has seven passing touchdowns, and the Packers have scored

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Speaker 1: thirty or more points in all of those games.

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Speaker 2: The Saints are just in and for it right now.

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Speaker 1: The last time we've seen numbers like this so last

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Speaker 1: week seven and a half. That was the largest home

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Speaker 1: dog spread since nineteen ninety nine for the Saints in

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Speaker 1: the Superdome. Now they're fourteen and a half point dogs,

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Speaker 1: potentially going up to fifteen point dogs.

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Speaker 2: If we get to fifteen, that would be.

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Speaker 1: The highest line in the NFL since nineteen ninety four

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Speaker 1: against the forty nine ers for the New Orleans Saints,

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Speaker 1: they were catching fifteen points. Derek Carr is not playing

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Speaker 1: in this game, backup quarterbacks on the road, lambeau Field,

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Speaker 1: cold temperatures.

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Speaker 2: No bueno all the way around.

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Speaker 1: All I'm gonna do with this game personally is go

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Speaker 1: from fourteen and pull it down to eight and Packers

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Speaker 1: minus eight. I think they win the game by ten

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Speaker 1: or more, but maybe not fourteen, but they win the

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Speaker 1: game by ten or more. Against New Orleans, the total

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Speaker 1: well Green Bay at home is actually four two and

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Speaker 1: one to the under. New Orleans is three and three.

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Speaker 1: On the road this year last three games have gone

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Speaker 1: under for New Orleans. At home against the Rams, forty

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Speaker 1: nine went under by fourteen points. Against the Giants it

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Speaker 1: was forty one, went under by sixteen points, and against

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Speaker 1: Washington it was forty four and a half. It went

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Speaker 1: under by five and a half points. For the Green

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Speaker 1: Bay Packers two in two over their last four with

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Speaker 1: the total last time out against Seattle was thirty to thirteen,

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Speaker 1: under by five. Against Detroit on the road, he was

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Speaker 1: thirty four to thirty one, went over by twelve. Last

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Speaker 1: time at home against Miami was forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Thirty seventeen was the final under by half a point.

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Speaker 1: Against San Francisco it was thirty eight to ten. It

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Speaker 1: went over by three and a half points, with a

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Speaker 1: total of forty four and a half, so thirty thirty

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Speaker 1: one thirty thirty eight points scored. Team total for the

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers is twenty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: I like that.

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Speaker 1: I'll bet that team total over. But I'm a little

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Speaker 1: worried that it could be a twenty eight to ten.

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Speaker 2: Final.

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Speaker 1: New Orleans team total was thirteen and a half. I'm

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Speaker 1: a little concerned that that's gonna be a twenty seven ten,

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Speaker 1: twenty eight ten, twenty seven thirteen type. Finally right on

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Speaker 1: the number of fourteen, So pull it down to eight.

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Speaker 1: I need the total down. I'm gonna pull it down

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Speaker 1: instead of going under, which you can do that. You

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Speaker 1: can pull it down and go under if you want.

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Speaker 1: I think the Packers score a lot of points tonight.

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Speaker 1: I think they score thirty. They keep that streak alive

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Speaker 1: and they score thirty. Question will be how many points

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Speaker 1: will the Saints score. It's probably garbage time thirty to ten.

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Speaker 1: Now that game goes on. That's under forty two. Thirty

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Speaker 1: to ten covers the fourteen, mind you. But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tease it down and go over thirty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go Packers minus eight over thirty six and

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Speaker 1: a half from minus one to twenty for one point

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Speaker 1: two units to keep the streak. The prime time two

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Speaker 1: leg teaser alive here for us on a Monday night

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Speaker 1: with the Packers against the New Orleans Saints. Two other

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Speaker 1: bets in the prime and in the prop market that

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna make for this game, Jordan Love. I don't

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Speaker 1: think Jordan Love is gonna throw a ton in this game.

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Speaker 1: The number is twenty nine and a half. This is

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Speaker 1: from the prop bet cheat sheet. You guys, some of

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Speaker 1: you guys were laughing when I said the word system before.

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Speaker 1: That's from the Betting pros app. If you go and

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting pros app, you can see like

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Speaker 1: a ton of these systems. This is a system that

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Speaker 1: I found on the Betting pros app, some of which

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Speaker 1: are up over three hundred units in football this year.

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Speaker 1: Like I'm not kidding, So some of these systems are

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Speaker 1: extremely profitable in the prop market, and this is one

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Speaker 1: of them. This is a system play a trend play

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love under twenty nine and a half yards, sorry,

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Speaker 1: under twenty nine and a half attempts passing tonight. So

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love twenty seven, twenty twenty eight, twenty three and

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Speaker 1: seventeen attempts over his last five games. You got to

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Speaker 1: go back to against Detroit, in which he threw thirty

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Speaker 1: nine times to see him go over this number of

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Speaker 1: twenty nine and a half. Look him at home against Miami,

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Speaker 1: it was twenty eight up against it. At home against

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Speaker 1: Detroit thirty nine. It went over against Houston thirty three.

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Speaker 1: It went over against Arizona thirty two. It went over.

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Speaker 1: But recently, over the last four games, Giams, Jordan Love

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Speaker 1: is not thrown a pick. Why they're running the ball.

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Speaker 2: They're running the ball.

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Speaker 1: A lot more. They're playing ball control. They're not trying

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Speaker 1: to throw the ball all over the place. In Jordan

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Speaker 1: Love's numbers, frankly, have not been all that amazing two

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Speaker 1: twenty nine, two h six, two seventy four, one sixty

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Speaker 1: three over this four game stretch in which they've covered

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Speaker 1: all four games and gone three to one straight up.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they want him throwing the ball more

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Speaker 1: than twenty six twenty seven times a game. Numbers twenty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half will take a shot in the

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Speaker 1: under under twenty nine and a half passing attempts for

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love for one point two units. We're gonna bet

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Speaker 1: point six units to win a half a unit coming back.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: One of the targets I think you will see is

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs, who at home is averaging about eight point

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Speaker 1: eight yards per game, receiving eighteen catches for one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty eight yards, does have a long of forty nine.

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Speaker 1: Jacobs has a really weird tre and going four catches,

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Speaker 1: no catches, four catches, no catches, four catches. That's the

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Speaker 1: last six games for one mister Josh Jacobs. Forty two

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Speaker 1: zero seventy four zero fifty eight. Those are the yards

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Speaker 1: that he's had over the last six games or five

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Speaker 1: games rather, I don't really understand. I'm gonna bet to

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Speaker 1: break the streak here. Last home game against Miami, he

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Speaker 1: had four catches for seventy four yards. At home against Detroit,

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Speaker 1: sorry sorry, at home against San Francisco, he had one target,

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Speaker 1: no catches. In the home game against Detroit, he had

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Speaker 1: two receptions, three targets, thirteen yards receiving. I think Jacobs

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Speaker 1: gets the football here because I think this.

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Speaker 2: Game might be a blowout, so this could be just.

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Speaker 1: Be a swing pass check down, don't risk it, don't

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Speaker 1: have to do much. Let Josh Jacobs go to work.

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Speaker 1: And the number is not extremely high for Josh Jacobs.

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Speaker 1: It's sixteen and a half yards receiving. We're gonna go

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Speaker 1: over Josh Jacobs over sixteen and a half yards are

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Speaker 1: receiving for him for point.

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Speaker 2: Five to five units to win a half unit coming back.

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Speaker 1: So not a huge card for us here all on

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Speaker 1: Monday Night football with the Packers hosting the Saints, three

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Speaker 1: bets for US here today. We're going to go ahead

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Speaker 1: and play Packers minus eight and the over thirty six

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Speaker 1: and a half six point same game teaser for one

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Speaker 1: point two units. Jordan Love under twenty nine and a half

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Speaker 1: attempts passing the football at MIUS one twenty for point

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Speaker 1: six units to win a half union coming back. And

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs over sixteen and a half yards receiving tonight

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Speaker 1: at MIUS one ten for point five to five units

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Speaker 1: to win a half unit coming back. That's our Monday

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Speaker 1: here to start the week of Christmas. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peroult, follower goss All Socials at Sports Talk. Matt

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Speaker 1: every morning, it's the dal Juice podcast, presented by DraftKings