1 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,639 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,560 Speaker 1: Parolt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all 4 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: socials in this podcast is officially ice cold. Look, these 5 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: are the tough times, right when you're on vacation trying 6 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: to get things done and you're just like, man, I 7 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: can't hit a bet to save my life. So we 8 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 1: are officially in fade territory for me. So if you're 9 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: officially fading these bets, I'm not going to be upset, 10 00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,640 Speaker 1: angry or mad at you at all. Because we're zero 11 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: and one on the night the Pirates hit seven home 12 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: runs off the Mets. That's the first time the Pirates 13 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: have hit seven home runs at home, and like, I 14 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,280 Speaker 1: think forever seven home runs. Brian Reynolds hit a Grand 15 00:00:58,320 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 1: Slam another home run. I mean that bullpen just fell 16 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 1: apart from the Mets and and the Pirates went crazy. 17 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: So it's just kind of like where I'm at at 18 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: the moment in terms of betting. It's not a good scene. 19 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,040 Speaker 1: So I'm going to continue to go light. This is 20 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: what I do when I'm ice cold. I tend to 21 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: shrink and I tend to limit my losses and try 22 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: to be as successful limiting my losses as I can 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: until we pull out of the nose dive. But if 24 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:25,480 Speaker 1: you want to take these two bets and Fadom, go 25 00:01:25,560 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 1: right ahead. We still have the WNBA play to go. 26 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: Here tonight at taping time, it's oh and one. We 27 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: might go one in one and be lucky to go 28 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: one in one, or potentially it could be an zero 29 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: and two night and it would be I think I've 30 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 1: lost six straight bets in baseball. I think that's right. 31 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:41,960 Speaker 1: So it's been it's been a rough run in baseball. 32 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: And this is what happens in July. I mean, this 33 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: is I wish I could sit here and tell you 34 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:48,000 Speaker 1: that this doesn't happen in July, but it's happened so 35 00:01:48,240 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 1: often where it's the dog days, and really from now 36 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: until the All Star Break, baseball is an absolute crapshoot. 37 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: It's it's really difficult. The arms are tired, the bullpen needs, 38 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: bullpens need time to recover, and it's just a brutal, 39 00:02:04,360 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: brutal start or stretch here from Major League Baseball. So 40 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: the WNBA has been okay, but I've been cold this 41 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: week in the WNBA, so I got one bet in 42 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: the w and one bet in baseball. There's no UFC today, 43 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 1: there's not a boxing match I want to bet today. 44 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 1: There's not a golf bet that I like today. It's 45 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:24,080 Speaker 1: a really tough weekend, and so we're going to go 46 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: light here on the day with just one WNBA play 47 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 1: in one bet in Major League Baseball to give you guys. 48 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: But before we do that, let's remind you about the 49 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: giveaway we got going on for the Julio Rodrigez signed jersey. 50 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: If you want a chance to win this thing, it's 51 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: a signed Julio Rodrigez jersey. You could win it for 52 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,119 Speaker 1: free thanks to our friends at Pristine Auction dot com. 53 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: All you need to do is head over to Bettingpros 54 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: dot com slash contents, contest excuse me, complete up the form, 55 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: and either download the Betting Pros app, leave a review 56 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 1: for the Betting Pros podcast or this podcast, The Daily Jew. 57 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: Subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros on 58 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 1: x and TikTok or Betting Pros NFL well on Instagram. 59 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: The more actions you complete, the more entries you will receive. 60 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,360 Speaker 1: We'll be announcing a winner right here on the Daily 61 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: Juice coming up later on this month, so make sure 62 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 1: you tune in those notifications. Will turn on those notifications 63 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: so you can be alerted when new episodes are up 64 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: and claim your prize. It could be a autographed jersey 65 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: from Julio Rodriguez. Ur in the month of July. To 66 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:25,079 Speaker 1: enter for free, go to bettingpros dot com slash contest. Okay, 67 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 1: let's start in the WNBA New York against Indiana. This 68 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: is at Gamebridge Fieldhouse. A couple of things are going 69 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 1: on here with a WNBA. People are betting it more, 70 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: the content space is paying attention to it, and I believe, 71 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: in my opinion that the books are starting to juice 72 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:45,680 Speaker 1: these totals up. Now, not every book is doing that, 73 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: but I think you can look at some of the 74 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: books and go, hmm, these numbers are starting to climb. 75 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: These numbers are starting to get a little bit in 76 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: the upper echelons, the higher type of numbers, and you're like, wow, Okay, 77 00:03:57,440 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: this is a WNBA and we're talking about numbers that 78 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: are high, like one seventy two type highs. We're at 79 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: one seventy one and a half right now for New 80 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: York in Indiana. And this number opened up at one 81 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: sixty nine. It's been bet up to one seventy one 82 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: and a half now. This is involving Caitlin Clark and 83 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: the Indiana Fever, so you know there's gonna be big 84 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 1: action on this game. Indiana is seven and eleven straight 85 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:28,400 Speaker 1: up this season, but they're ten and eight ats. They 86 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 1: are four and four straight up at home, but three 87 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: and seven straight up on the road. New York is 88 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:37,279 Speaker 1: seven and two on the road, but nine and one 89 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 1: at home. They are eight and eleven ats and eleven 90 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 1: of their and they're eleven and eight to the over. 91 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,880 Speaker 1: The Indiana Fever are fourteen and four to the over. 92 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,599 Speaker 1: The Indiana Fever are seven and three to the over 93 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: over their last ten games, and New York is seven 94 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: and three to the over over their last ten games. However, 95 00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:02,600 Speaker 1: last two games have gone under for New York and 96 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: the last three games for Indiana have gone under one 97 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 1: seventy nine and a half against Vegas under one seventy 98 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: five against Phoenix under one sixty seven against Seattle under. 99 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: These are games they went two and one ats or 100 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:21,719 Speaker 1: sorry one and two ats wise after they went on 101 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: a really nice run of five consecutive games in which 102 00:05:24,480 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: they covered I think at one seventy one and a half. 103 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:29,880 Speaker 1: I think this is too high. You cross over one 104 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:33,360 Speaker 1: seventy in the WNBA and you start entering in the 105 00:05:33,400 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: situation where you're like, man, that's a lot. Now. The 106 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:40,360 Speaker 1: over is eight and two over the last ten games 107 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,840 Speaker 1: involving these two teams, including a game back in New 108 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 1: York where it was one oh four to sixty eight. 109 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: New York covered the fourteen and a half point number. 110 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: The total was one to seventy and it went over. 111 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 1: But the game just went over. New York scored one 112 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: hundred and four points at home. The Fever were really 113 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: in a bad stretch back on the second of June. 114 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 1: We're a month month later, Indiana's playing better, New York 115 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 1: is playing a bit more conservatively offensively, and the numbers 116 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,120 Speaker 1: are getting juiced up and jacked up. Here this is 117 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: you know, one seventy one and a half is the highest, 118 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 1: and since you know, going dating back all the way 119 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: to twenty twenty two, this is the highest total we've 120 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: seen only a total on June twenty third of last year, 121 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,600 Speaker 1: which is one seventy one, it went over. It was 122 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: one oh one to eighty three. But again, this is 123 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 1: a different season. I think the numbers are too high 124 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 1: here again you want to fade this, go right ahead. 125 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: I don't mind it, but I'm gonna bet the under here. 126 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:37,239 Speaker 1: It's an under in an Indiana game. Dangerous. They're fourteen 127 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: to forur to the over. But again, last three games 128 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 1: have gone under, and I think the books are starting 129 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:43,280 Speaker 1: to jack up this even more. You make it one 130 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: seventy two, you make it one seventy three. You want 131 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: to wait until this number run. Not gonna hate that 132 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: at all. Goes high as it ken. You want to 133 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 1: do it in game and see as how high you 134 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,720 Speaker 1: can get and bet the under. Don't hate that as well. 135 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:57,320 Speaker 1: But fourth quarters have been weird. Scoring has really slowed 136 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: down in the fourth quarter. I'm gonna bet the under 137 00:07:00,160 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: one seventy one and a half for New York at 138 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 1: Indiana here for one point one units. Okay, to the 139 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: Major League Baseball ranks, where again I can't be more 140 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: cold than I am at the moment. Ranger Sworez on 141 00:07:13,360 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: the mound for the Phillies. Can he save US ten 142 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: and two with a two point two seven ERA just 143 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: three games all year. The Phillies have lost with Ranger 144 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: Swarez on the mound two of the three on the road, however, 145 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: lost to Detroit on the road, lost to Colorado on 146 00:07:28,240 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: the road. Teams you wouldn't think that they would lose. 147 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: The Phillies would lose too. But they're not playing obviously, 148 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: they're not playing with two of the best players in 149 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: Swarber and Bryce Harper. But this is a team that 150 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: has played really well on the road for Ranger Swarez 151 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 1: two point zero six ERA, a five and two record 152 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,560 Speaker 1: and opposing batting average of one ninety six fifty two 153 00:07:49,560 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: and one third innings worth of work, just twelve earned 154 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: runs given up so far on the road for Rangers Sworez. 155 00:07:55,920 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: The Phillies are fifty seven and thirty okay, but look 156 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: against the Braves and right now they'll lead them eight 157 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 1: to six. Here on the road. It's a chance to 158 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: take another game against a team that obviously is the 159 00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:13,400 Speaker 1: second best team in the division. And this game's on Fox, 160 00:08:13,840 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: It's a nationally televised game. Spencers Swallenbach is going Atlanta 161 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: and the Phillies are going to be tied at two games. 162 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 1: Apiece and this currently holds with an eight to six 163 00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,520 Speaker 1: lead here for the Phillies, they'll tie up a two 164 00:08:27,520 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: games apiece for the season. And then we run into 165 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:33,439 Speaker 1: a situation where you have a guy in Swallenbach who's 166 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: not very experienced. He's twenty four years old. At home, 167 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:38,959 Speaker 1: he's got a four point five ERA. He's one in 168 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,559 Speaker 1: two with a two to ten opposing batting average, eight 169 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: earned runs in sixteen innings worth of work. That's not great. 170 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 1: He hasn't worked a ton this year. But he's lost 171 00:08:47,920 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: four of his last five games. The team has lost 172 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: four of his last five. In fact, it's five at 173 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:54,000 Speaker 1: the last six. The team's only won one game in 174 00:08:54,000 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 1: which he started. That was a win on the eighteenth 175 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 1: of June, a two to one win over the Tigers, 176 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,719 Speaker 1: four urn run against the Pirates last time out, four 177 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:04,440 Speaker 1: to two loss, four and runs against the Cardinals in 178 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: a four to three loss, two earn runs against the 179 00:09:06,920 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 1: Orioles and a four to two loss, and six earned 180 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: runs against the Red Sox in a nine to nothing lost. 181 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:13,719 Speaker 1: Now those games were most of those games are on 182 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: the road. Saint Louis, Baltimore and Boston were on the road. 183 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: But lost against Washington at home, lost against Pittsburgh at home, 184 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 1: and then a win over Detroit two to one. Again, 185 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 1: I'm ice cold. So you want to go ahead and 186 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 1: fade these plays, fade this bet. I'm not going to 187 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: be angry with you at all if you think, well, Matt, 188 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: you can't get a better save your life. I'm going 189 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: with the Braves. I'm not gonna hate on you at 190 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 1: all if that's what you want to go ahead and do. 191 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: But I just think we're going to take Ranger Swarez 192 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 1: on the road. The betting's the better starting pitcher, and 193 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,320 Speaker 1: we get a really decent price. We get minus one 194 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: ten on Rangers Swarez. I don't think you can really 195 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: overlook that here with the Phillies on the road. Yes 196 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 1: it is Atlanta, Yes they're gonna win most likely tonight, 197 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: but get this cheap of a price on Ranger Swars 198 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:00,400 Speaker 1: and the Phillies that you have to take it one 199 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 1: point one units down Philly's money line up against the 200 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: Braves here on a Saturday evening, Saturday night in Major 201 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 1: League Baseball. Okay, let's see if we can pull this 202 00:10:10,480 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: tail spin out and get a winning day here for 203 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 1: us and try to get a two and oh mark 204 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:16,040 Speaker 1: and kind of come back and hopefully kind of get 205 00:10:16,080 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 1: ourselves righted as we head towards a different week. There's 206 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: no way we're overcoming this. We're gonna have a losing week. Okay, 207 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: We're gonna have a losing start. We're gonna have a 208 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: big hole for the month of July. To pull ourselves 209 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,760 Speaker 1: out of it. Long time to go. We had a 210 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: winning June, try to have a winning July. But like 211 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: I've said before, we don't win every day. We don't 212 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: win every week, we don't win every month. We were 213 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: due to have a downturn. We've got a pretty good 214 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: May and June downturn here. Obviously in July has not 215 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:41,959 Speaker 1: been great, but plenty of time to go. A lot 216 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: of football and other fun stuff still to come through 217 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:47,440 Speaker 1: the year of twenty twenty four. For right now, not 218 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:50,320 Speaker 1: so great. Things are rice cold, but we're going under 219 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 1: one seventy one and a half for New York and 220 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 1: Indiana and Phillies money line and minus one ten both 221 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: for one point one units. Mine's Matt Parole fun because 222 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:02,040 Speaker 1: all shocis at Sports Talk Matt every single morning, even 223 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: when we're on vacation. It's the daily juice