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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 3: Five five dollars?

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Speaker 2: This is a ratable lepping they travel. You're saying that

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Speaker 2: humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, that mistake.

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Speaker 2: I suppose the best relentless refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn? Very bless theirs? What's the

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Speaker 1: very wood?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex Podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and Fantasy Abs.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybond.

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Speaker 2: NFL Week eighteen is here, but we're still breaking down

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Speaker 2: these player projections as always. I'm joined by the most

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Speaker 2: accurate ranker in the game, the odds maker, Sean Kerner. Sean,

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Speaker 2: Happy New Year.

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Speaker 3: How's it going?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? Happy New Year? And Happy Week eighteen.

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Speaker 4: This is like one of my favorite weeks to project

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Speaker 4: because it's pure and total chaos and it kind of

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Speaker 4: reminds me of the preseason, which I also love to project.

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Speaker 1: But happy Week eighteen.

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Speaker 3: All right, so we'll get into, of course, our top

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Speaker 3: five guys.

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Speaker 2: Still, if you're playing any maybe you know Week seventeen

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Speaker 2: eighteen Championships or anything like that out there, disress, guys

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Speaker 2: will hiring Loan and we'll throw out some props. So

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Speaker 2: it's started off with QB for Week eighteen, Who you

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Speaker 2: got in the top five?

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Speaker 3: Shaw?

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Speaker 4: I got Lamar Jackson, Sam Darnold, Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 4: and Jared Goff.

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Speaker 3: Like, yeah, it's a little weird this week.

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Speaker 2: I got Jackson, Baker, Burrow, Donald and Gos. Yeah, sos

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Speaker 2: not too dissimilar.

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Speaker 1: Who you high one? I'm high on Joe flakov against

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars.

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Speaker 4: And it's very early this week, and this is the

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Speaker 4: trickiest week to project as well, so I'm sure there's

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Speaker 4: gonna be players I talk about, maybe you two that

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Speaker 4: end up getting ruled out or not even playing. So

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Speaker 4: let's start with the potential one here with Joe Flacco.

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Speaker 4: But I think it's critical just to highlight, you know,

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Speaker 4: we don't really know if it's gonna be Flacco.

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Speaker 1: Or Anthony Richardson starting this week.

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Speaker 4: But this is something I pointed out heading into the

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Speaker 4: season that like whenever it's a toss up, it has

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Speaker 4: such a huge impact on all Colts pass catchers. Something

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Speaker 4: like I haven't seen before where you know, if Flaco's in,

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Speaker 4: like they're going to have maybe seventy more passing yards

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Speaker 4: to go around.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, So it's like this is insane. So like, yeah,

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Speaker 4: I'm high on Flacco. He's might keep you twelve. But

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Speaker 4: the more important thing is just we have to be

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Speaker 4: aware of this, you know, phenomenon. So let's assume Flacco's starting.

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Speaker 4: This is a great matchup against the Jaguars. They have

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Speaker 4: nothing to play for. You know, he just went off

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Speaker 4: last week for three hundred and thirty yards. I would see,

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Speaker 4: you know, a similar game plan this week, and this

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Speaker 4: could be I don't know, it could be his last

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Speaker 4: start of all time. So maybe once to go out

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Speaker 4: of the bang. But if he's in there again, he's

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Speaker 4: my QB twelve if he's playing, and then that's just

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Speaker 4: a massive boost to you know, Josh Downs, Michael Pittman,

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Speaker 4: out Pierce, maybe ad Mitchell, who knows, but just it's

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Speaker 4: a huge impact on projection. So I think it's important

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Speaker 4: to talk about. Like I said, he opens week inside

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Speaker 4: my top twelve. Assuming Anthony richards held Anthony Richardson is

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Speaker 4: held out again this week.

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Speaker 2: I mean it sounds like he will be just because

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Speaker 2: they were I saw something weak that like, yeah, like

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Speaker 2: the Colts are you know, the one positive is that

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Speaker 2: they got their guy for twenty twenty five, So it

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Speaker 2: sounds like they were just throwing in the towel. I mean,

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Speaker 2: clearly they're thrown in the towel if they're giving up

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Speaker 2: forty five points and Drew Locke.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I would I would think that.

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Speaker 2: You see Flacko this week and he I mean I

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Speaker 2: thought maybe they just did another one of those we're

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Speaker 2: gonna bench Richardson because Flaco gives us a better chance

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Speaker 2: to win type deals.

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Speaker 1: Like it was.

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Speaker 2: It's been so weird with the Colts all year long,

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Speaker 2: but turns out they're just dysfunctional. Uh so yeah, like Mike,

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Speaker 2: Yeah right, Yeah, I think there's gonna be might be

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Speaker 2: a record for four win teams this year, like real win. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: there's just a big I mean for the parody, there's

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Speaker 2: been a big discrepancy. Kind of maybe it makes sense

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Speaker 2: of you know, what favorites are. Alts are having such

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Speaker 2: a good year as well, there's just kind of a

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Speaker 2: bigger discrepancy between the good and bad teams. But I'm

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Speaker 2: high on Gino Smith this week. He just happens to

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Speaker 2: have some incentives to play for us. I think I

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Speaker 2: think he'll actually try to go out there and get him.

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Speaker 2: He gets a couple of million bucks if he gets

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Speaker 2: Widow under two hundred more passing yards, and then he

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Speaker 2: gets another one if he hits. He escalates if he

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Speaker 2: hits ten or more wins or they make the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: So they can't make the playoffs, but if they win

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Speaker 2: this game, they could get to ten wins against the Rams.

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Speaker 2: And it sounds like the Rams are going to be

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Speaker 2: rested in their starters. So Gino is the QB twenty

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Speaker 2: four ECR. I think that he's gonna They're just gonna

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Speaker 2: play like a normal game for him, So especially against

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Speaker 2: the rams backup defense, I think he should be much

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Speaker 2: higher in this spot.

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Speaker 3: All right, who are you low on? At quarterback? Sean CJ.

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Speaker 1: Stroud?

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Speaker 4: And you know week eighteen, the players I'm typically gonna

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Speaker 4: be low on are the ones that we can't be

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Speaker 4: sure if they're either playing this week or there might

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Speaker 4: not play long. So you know, Stroud has had a

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Speaker 4: rough sophomore season. He's been struggling down the stretch. That's

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Speaker 4: not why I'm low on him here. But the Texans,

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Speaker 4: you know, they locked in this four seed, so they're

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Speaker 4: probably going to rest starters here. I think the fact

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Speaker 4: that the Titans are one point favorites probably means that

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Speaker 4: maybe the Titans will just lose another spread.

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Speaker 1: Yeah the Titans.

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Speaker 3: I mean the Titans have been favorite because Jacksonville last.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they have to be a team.

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Speaker 4: Like the record most times they've been favored, but you know,

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Speaker 4: didn't win many games. Gotta be some we gotta ask

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Speaker 4: Evan what the record is on that.

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Speaker 1: But I digress.

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Speaker 4: This is just the game where the Texans know how

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Speaker 4: much play for. So uh, maybe by the time you're

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Speaker 4: listening to this, or you know, later in the week,

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Speaker 4: we have clarity on this. But as of now, you know,

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Speaker 4: maybe Stroud opens the game and then they pull them.

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Speaker 4: But again, this is a lot like a preseason game

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Speaker 4: where I'm just projecting some of these starters if they

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Speaker 4: do play for maybe a couple of drives. So just

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Speaker 4: something to be careful of and aware of that Stroud

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Speaker 4: is one of a few quarterbacks that could be in

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Speaker 4: that spot this week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they say they're playing their starters, but

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Speaker 2: they also saying, like, you know, within reasons, so I

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Speaker 2: can see them starting the game trying to get something going.

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Speaker 3: It's the Titans.

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Speaker 2: I mean the fact that they're closing as a favorite

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Speaker 2: or there are a favorite, just means the Texans are

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Speaker 2: going to put up like forty. It's a revengched spot

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Speaker 2: for the Texans too, so maybe Stroud gets it done.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, it's kind of shaky right now. Another guy

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Speaker 2: in that boat, for different reasons is Drake May.

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Speaker 3: I'm well on him.

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Speaker 2: He it sounds like the Patriots are talking about Milton

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Speaker 2: potentially getting some run here. May did get banged up

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Speaker 2: in that Chargers game, But Patriots also have a chance

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Speaker 2: at that number one pick. So I don't know if

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Speaker 2: Drake May plays the full game, even if he does start.

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Speaker 2: So just another guy that Yeah, I don't think he

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Speaker 2: gets a full game, so got to be well, we're

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Speaker 2: on him, all right, uh prop let's see last week,

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Speaker 2: of course Richardson doesn't even play.

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Speaker 4: See his prop was fourteen and a half. I was

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Speaker 4: getting hammer the under. I guess we'll never know.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean he probably wouldn't have got over.

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Speaker 4: If they well, yeah, they probably still would have given

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Speaker 4: up you know, forty points, So that would have been bad.

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Speaker 1: That would have been bad. True.

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Speaker 2: Let's go it a fun one since uh, what did

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrow do like eight games in a row with

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Speaker 2: the three three hundred, three hundred yards and three touchdowns? Yeah,

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Speaker 2: just give you a simple yes. No, Joe Burrow over

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Speaker 2: under three hundred yards and three touchdowns. He has to

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Speaker 2: get he has to get both. Oh yeah, if he

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Speaker 2: gets both, so yeah over to Yes, to get over

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Speaker 2: to two point five touchdowns and over two hundred ninety

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Speaker 2: nine and a half yards.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, that's that's a good one, I'll say. Uh yeah, no,

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Speaker 4: like Chase Brown's banged up, I will go with.

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Speaker 3: No, okay Steeler, like Tomin Magic once.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, well that to preview our touchdown pod whatever we're

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Speaker 4: calling it. Uh, I think Burro's gonna run one in again.

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Speaker 4: So that'll be my stinky way to.

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Speaker 1: Have this not hit.

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Speaker 3: All right, the risky business with this guy Burrow.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah, no, I'm well aware. No, it's a great line.

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Speaker 4: It probably is a coin flip, to be honest.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's probably under a coin foo because

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Speaker 2: I think considering he has to do both.

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Speaker 3: But I mean the fact that he's even done it

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Speaker 3: this long is.

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Speaker 4: Just yeah, they're yeah, they're correlated though, but yeah, he's

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Speaker 4: he's been so good that if anybody deserves that prop,

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Speaker 4: it's him.

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Speaker 3: All right, let's go to running back. Who's in your

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Speaker 3: top five for Week eighteen?

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Speaker 1: I got jamiir Gibbs, John Robinson, Jonathan Taylor, Derrick Henry,

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Speaker 1: and Bucky Irving?

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Speaker 2: Nice? Yeah, I got John Gibbs, Henry Irving number four

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Speaker 2: and uh and JT So yeah name same same top five?

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Speaker 3: Bucky making a run here? Who were high on?

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Speaker 1: Oh?

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Speaker 4: Well, this is the first and only time I get

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Speaker 4: to do this all year, but I am high on

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Speaker 4: Blake koram baby against the Seahawks. You know, the Rams

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Speaker 4: or a team that you know they're locked into either

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Speaker 4: the three or four seed. I'm surprised they probably should

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Speaker 4: want the three seed, but it sounds like they're resting

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Speaker 4: their starters. You know, they're five point underdogs against the Seahawks.

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Speaker 4: That's the clearest sign of the markets expecting that. So

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Speaker 4: Sean McVay could handle this game like he does preseason,

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Speaker 4: which is no starter will play a single snap and

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Speaker 4: the backups will just be in full time roles. So

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Speaker 4: I'm unsure how he viewsed Blake Korum in that regard,

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Speaker 4: but I'm assuming he's getting the start here. He's gonna

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Speaker 4: have the lead role. He's going to be Kien Williams here.

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Speaker 4: Just you know, Kyen was healthy for all sixteen games

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Speaker 4: so far, so we didn't really get Seacorn in this spot.

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Speaker 4: Figure at McVeigh wants him to get a good game

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Speaker 4: under his belt, to get those reps for the playoffs

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Speaker 4: or next year for whatever. So you know, in this spot,

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Speaker 4: Korum would normally be a top five, top ten option

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Speaker 4: for me, but just given all the starters are resting,

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Speaker 4: you know it's gonna be Jimmy g under Center, no Pukakua,

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Speaker 4: no Cooper Cup. His touchdown ons go down significantly because

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Speaker 4: of that. Their team total is like eighteen right now.

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Speaker 4: So because of that, he's all the way down to

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Speaker 4: RB twelve for me. But again, I'm super excited to

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Speaker 4: finally see him potentially in that workhorse role.

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Speaker 3: So you you're not worried about.

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Speaker 2: What's his name because you know they got remember how

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Speaker 2: they rested Korum with the starters in preseason, and they

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Speaker 2: do have four running backs.

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Speaker 3: On the roster.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they have.

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Speaker 3: They elevate Tody Strader. You're not worried about Strader?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is this is an evolving situation still early

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Speaker 4: Tuesday morning in week eighteen, so who the hell knows,

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Speaker 4: but I think that it's well, no, by the time

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Speaker 4: they play, like McVeigh doesn't mess around too much, like

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Speaker 4: he'll just play these guys in full time roles.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, he was he rested core on the entire preseason,

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Speaker 1: which is yeah.

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Speaker 2: That's I'm wondering if he still views him like as

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Speaker 2: like a free because I guess he's yeah, but starting

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Speaker 2: kickoff returner, I guess quota Yeah, who knows.

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Speaker 1: But very's pretty simple.

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Speaker 3: If they're playing, Yeah.

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Speaker 4: They're playing a lot of snaps, so like the receivers,

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Speaker 4: they're just playing three or four receivers. He's pretty straightforward

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Speaker 4: in that regard. So hopefully we have way more information

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Speaker 4: later in the week. Another running back I'm very high

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Speaker 4: on a is Tony Pollard. Uh, you know who sat

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Speaker 4: out last week with his ankle injury, and he picked

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Speaker 4: up an illness. I think that's ultimately what ruled him out,

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Speaker 4: so you know, maybe his ankle's healthier now. But Tajay

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Speaker 4: Spears is he's in concussion protocol. Would have to imagine

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Speaker 4: he's out, especially since he recently had one. He's been

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Speaker 4: wearing the bigger helmet, so would imagine they're not gonna

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Speaker 4: make him play in this meaningless game, So I'm assuming

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Speaker 4: he's out. But Pollard has incentives this week. He needs

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Speaker 4: eighty three rush yards for two hundred and fifty K

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Speaker 4: two touchdowns for additional two hundred and fifty K, So

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Speaker 4: again there they are one point favorites here against the Texans,

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Speaker 4: who might be wrestling starters, so this could be a

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Speaker 4: big game for Pollar. So he he opens week as

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Speaker 4: my RB eleven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm interested to see the the injury report with him, because,

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Speaker 2: like you said, he came down with like a second injury,

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Speaker 2: so I'm curious as to how healthy to angle it

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Speaker 2: because he wasn't practicing for like the last month of

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Speaker 2: the year. He did suit up a couple of times,

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Speaker 2: but then he's last couple of times he didn't and

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Speaker 2: I would have thought they would have tried to get

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Speaker 2: him the incentive sooner than week eighteen, So I'm guessing

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Speaker 2: he was actually hurt, you know what.

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Speaker 4: Well, So yeah, yeah, the ankle is obviously why he

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Speaker 4: has been practicing at all for like a month, but

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Speaker 4: I think the flu, like he didn't make the flight

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Speaker 4: because he has the flu. They just probably didn't want

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Speaker 4: everybody to get sick, if you could imagine.

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Speaker 3: So I hope point shading operation they probably did want to.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, who knows, but hopefully hopefully he's recovered from the flu.

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Speaker 4: Get well, Tony Pollard. And at the same time, it

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Speaker 4: gave him a chance to actually rest his ankle. So

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Speaker 4: he just needs to have a really big week eighteen

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Speaker 4: to hit these incentives.

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Speaker 3: What else did you give me for both of these

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Speaker 3: guys to sit out?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I see it coming up.

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Speaker 2: We've done it, but we do this all the time.

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Speaker 2: On like Tuesday morning and then by like Friday, it's like,

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Speaker 2: rude out.

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Speaker 3: What would you.

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Speaker 1: Fifty to fifty? Yeah, I'm kind of admitting that. And

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Speaker 1: if they're out, then you know, to not play them

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Speaker 1: or a beut on them. But I I want to

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Speaker 1: be more.

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Speaker 3: I wanted to want I don't think I actually take that.

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Speaker 1: I think that's right exactly.

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Speaker 3: I bet they're playing.

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Speaker 4: I also, I also just really really wanted to talk

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Speaker 4: about Blake corm at least once this year, right, And

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Speaker 4: I think that's more you know, productive, And I'm high

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Speaker 4: on Bucky Irving. He's my top five running back everybody

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Speaker 4: knows that, So, uh, just give me this moment to

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Speaker 4: talk about Blake Krman. If he says he says, that

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Speaker 4: means that they actually values him, which is, you know,

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Speaker 4: a good sign for next year.

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Speaker 2: I guess yeah, No, I was just I'm just joking out,

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Speaker 2: but I could see it happening though. I could see

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Speaker 2: it happening with the two these two specific guys, but uh, yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's I.

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Speaker 1: Do I do.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that Poward has the incentive, so it

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Speaker 2: would make sense for them to try to give him

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Speaker 2: that shot.

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Speaker 3: Am I on a Khalil Herbert.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Chase Brown has an ankle, a high ankle.

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Speaker 2: They're holding out hope that he's gonna play, But I

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Speaker 2: I don't see a running back like Chase Brown playing

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Speaker 2: on that and being that effective. So I think if

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Speaker 2: he does play, I don't think he's I think it's

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Speaker 2: either not lasting the whole game or he's gonna play

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Speaker 2: a lot fewer snaps.

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Speaker 3: So either way, I like Khalil Herbert.

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Speaker 2: They seem to just never play Trayveon Williams as that

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Speaker 2: third string back, So you have a chance that Herbert

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Speaker 2: is in the Chase Brown role at worst, or it's

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Speaker 2: more of like a fifty to fifty split. I think

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Speaker 2: I just don't see them, uh like pushing Chase.

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Speaker 3: Brown to that level with that with that ankle injury.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, like uh like Khalil Herbert, not that is

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Speaker 2: uh that is uh, you know incentive or anything driven

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Speaker 2: is just just kind of an injury, no injury play

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Speaker 2: h Who I run it back.

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Speaker 1: James Cook against Patriots. Nothing too exciting here.

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Speaker 4: Just you know, the Bills are a team, Uh that's

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Speaker 4: probably gonna rerest starters. They might start the game and

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Speaker 4: play a driver too. That's kind of what the coach

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Speaker 4: speak has been giving me, which is a typical preseason plan.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 4: So I project Cook for around four to five touches.

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Speaker 4: So of course, you know he's gonna have four carries

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Speaker 4: for eighty yards and two touchdown touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, yeah, no, like that's a given. But like

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Speaker 1: what was it like it was it was weak.

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Speaker 4: It was when Week seventeen was the last week, and

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Speaker 4: it was like Kirk Cousins was playing for Washington at

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Speaker 4: the time, and he was expected to play like one

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Speaker 4: quarter and he threw for three touchdowns in the first quarter.

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Speaker 4: People that use them in GPPs didn't know what they

351
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Speaker 4: were doing, but they the giants or something. I feel

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Speaker 4: like that was well, yeah, it was something like that.

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Speaker 4: And he actually only played. Yeah, he actually only played

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Speaker 4: a quarter. It's not like they lied. It's like he

355
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Speaker 4: just went off in the one quarter. So that James

356
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Speaker 4: Cook could do that here, I'm expecting them to play

357
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Speaker 4: about one quarter. But I think this could be a

358
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Speaker 4: big Ray Davis game. And again, this is one of

359
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Speaker 4: those situations. Just got to be careful with the starters

360
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Speaker 4: that will probably start play some of the game but

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Speaker 4: then get pulled early.

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Speaker 1: Just this is the week to really be careful about that.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, definitely. I mean, yeah, the Bills, I don't Yeah,

364
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Speaker 2: they might not even mess around with it. I mean

365
00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,040
Speaker 2: they've already been saving James Cook. It would be crazy

366
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Speaker 2: if they just played him, like, you know, a quarter

367
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Speaker 2: if almost for him to get hurt on the on

368
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Speaker 2: in that quarter, So yeah, I couldn't.

369
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Speaker 3: He might be a guy they just hold out.

370
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Speaker 4: If you see, if you see like Frank who to

371
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:53,520
Speaker 4: be Frank Gore Junior elevated like the sign that's the

372
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Speaker 4: sign of like, okay, they're probably resting James Cook.

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Speaker 1: There's always something that triggers.

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Speaker 2: It could be it could just be another like if

375
00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:06,200
Speaker 2: they bring up Tyrell Shavers, but then Curtis Samuel is

376
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Speaker 2: also active because that because they might just play Samuel

377
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Speaker 2: at running back. They but they were doing that a

378
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Speaker 2: little bit earlier this year too at times. So like, yeah,

379
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Speaker 2: I think he played fifteen snaps in the last Yeah,

380
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Speaker 2: he's playing by way.

381
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Speaker 1: Yeah. I might project them for a carry here.

382
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Speaker 2: I mean, don't some of these fullbacks just don't get

383
00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:27,600
Speaker 2: carries anymore, Like I think Prentice went the whole year

384
00:17:27,640 --> 00:17:28,080
Speaker 2: without one.

385
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Speaker 3: Gilliam Ricard.

386
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Speaker 2: I want to say this, like it's like those teams

387
00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,360
Speaker 2: just don't give their fullbacks carries these days.

388
00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:36,399
Speaker 1: Those are fun season long bets.

389
00:17:37,960 --> 00:17:39,880
Speaker 3: Over under half of carry. Yeah.

390
00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:44,639
Speaker 2: Oh man, I'm on Josh Jacobs, and that's because he's

391
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Speaker 2: the top I mean, he's top five in the e CR.

392
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Speaker 2: I don't think he should be top five. There's kind

393
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Speaker 2: of questions as to how hard Green Bay is going

394
00:17:51,280 --> 00:17:54,080
Speaker 2: to go here. They still have seating at stake. But

395
00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,840
Speaker 2: we saw last week, you know, Jacobs did fun with

396
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Speaker 2: the ball. But we've seen the last couple of weeks

397
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 2: and some of it has been due to blowouts, which

398
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,879
Speaker 2: could be the case. Again, they're still nine point favorites

399
00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,040
Speaker 2: against the Bears, but he hasn't been playing quite as

400
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,040
Speaker 2: many snaps. You've seen him seed some work to Manny

401
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:13,720
Speaker 2: Wilson behind him, to Chris Brooks behind him. So this

402
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:15,639
Speaker 2: is a spot where it's a little bit murky, kind

403
00:18:15,680 --> 00:18:18,199
Speaker 2: of like what you're talking about. Starters could start how

404
00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,480
Speaker 2: long did they go, especially a guy like Jacobs who essentially,

405
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,760
Speaker 2: you know, at times he's been like just their offensive

406
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,479
Speaker 2: focal point to the point where you could see him

407
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:29,360
Speaker 2: getting twenty five to thirty carries in a playoff game.

408
00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:31,919
Speaker 2: So if they're you know, they already know they're going

409
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,960
Speaker 2: to be like six seven seed anyway, they might just

410
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:36,960
Speaker 2: not really try to push it with him past you know,

411
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 2: ten fifteen touches, make sure he's right going into the

412
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 2: next week.

413
00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, top five I think is too rich for

414
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,160
Speaker 3: Josh Jenekobs this week.

415
00:18:46,280 --> 00:18:49,320
Speaker 4: And I think they really they think highly of Emmanuel Wilson.

416
00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:52,119
Speaker 4: He mixed in quite a bit even like a close

417
00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:55,080
Speaker 4: competitive game, so could to see him getting a bit

418
00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 4: bigger workload this week as well.

419
00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, Wilson, he was mixing in even last year in

420
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 2: the playoff behind Aaron, I mean Aaron Jones got a

421
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:04,159
Speaker 2: ton of carries, but most of them definitely got some

422
00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:05,520
Speaker 2: action in the in the playoffs.

423
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:08,440
Speaker 3: Last Yeah, all right, who what are we doing for

424
00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:09,640
Speaker 3: the running back prop?

425
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,600
Speaker 1: Well, we have to do a Blake Kreham propu. We're

426
00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:14,480
Speaker 1: gonna go with rushing yards.

427
00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,679
Speaker 4: So obviously this just makes his odds of sitting up

428
00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 4: to seventy yeah when we absolutely he's gonna really playing

429
00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:24,240
Speaker 4: with fire here, but we have to do it. This

430
00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 4: is Blake Korum week. We can't miss out if he

431
00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 4: does play. Uh, So I'm gonna go sixty five and

432
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 4: a half rushing yards.

433
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Speaker 3: I'm gonna go under. I'm gonna go under.

434
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 2: The reason I'm gonna go under is because I I

435
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 2: just think we're gonna see some shenanigans here where like

436
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,280
Speaker 2: Rivers and Strader. Rivers was like the backup at one time,

437
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: and then he hasn't touched the ball or I don't

438
00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 2: even know if he's played a snap since, like Korum

439
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 2: took over, and Strader has been on the active roster

440
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,399
Speaker 2: all year but hasn't like played a snap. So I

441
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 2: just feel like Sean McVay is if he's ever gonna

442
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 2: get these guys touches like I'm not I'm not saying

443
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:00,400
Speaker 2: Corm won't start the game, but I could see, Yeah,

444
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 2: I can see those guys mixing him because like what

445
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:04,879
Speaker 2: like like if you keep a guy like Straighter on

446
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:06,960
Speaker 2: the active roster yet that means you like something like

447
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 2: you like him as a player, but you just didn't

448
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 2: have snaps for him. This would be the time, right,

449
00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 2: So I'm convinced that, Yeah, I'm convinced that we see

450
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,840
Speaker 2: some other guys besides this Korn and that's Rudy has

451
00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:19,239
Speaker 2: been better, that's Seata Rundy has been better since they

452
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 2: you know, they started, you know, they got their secondary

453
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:26,320
Speaker 2: a little more shaped up, and they got Ernest Jones

454
00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:27,119
Speaker 2: and linebacker.

455
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:34,000
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'll, i'll yeahs tackle projections must be just.

456
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 4: Ernest Johnson my favorite. He actually tries to just rack

457
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:43,160
Speaker 4: him up. But Sean McVay did say he's excited about

458
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 4: watching Blake Korm get a heavy workload, but it is

459
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 4: Sean mcay. It's hard to trust him. But I take

460
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:54,040
Speaker 4: your point. I would say that, you know, even if

461
00:20:54,280 --> 00:20:56,479
Speaker 4: Korm gets a big workload, which I think he does,

462
00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 4: here the resting their starters, so they don't have puk

463
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 4: and Akua.

464
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:00,879
Speaker 1: To like move the chains.

465
00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 4: I don't know, like their offensive line if they play

466
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 4: the backups or just kind of want to get the

467
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 4: playing the.

468
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:08,840
Speaker 3: Back of that.

469
00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,119
Speaker 1: True, Yeah, that has been hurt. So it's like the

470
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:11,880
Speaker 1: offensive line.

471
00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:14,639
Speaker 4: They might wrest somebody, but it's like you're not getting

472
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:17,400
Speaker 4: the full offense, so that that hurts the running back

473
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,200
Speaker 4: that it might be a trailing game script so like

474
00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 4: that goes against quorum. But I thought, you know, sixty

475
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:24,760
Speaker 4: five and a half will probably be what their profit.

476
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:26,480
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, like I said, I just think there's

477
00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:28,680
Speaker 2: a couple outs like you could have. You could be inefficient,

478
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:30,680
Speaker 2: or he could just not see as many like he could.

479
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 3: He might not see like the sixteen carries or expecting.

480
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 4: Yeah, he was very inefficient last week. What was it

481
00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:38,960
Speaker 4: like two carries for three yards or something. But he

482
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:42,160
Speaker 4: needs some momentum. He needs like you know, a drive

483
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 4: or two to get going.

484
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:44,120
Speaker 1: So we'll see.

485
00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:47,120
Speaker 4: Just I'm excited for Blake corm week and I'm sure

486
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 4: hopefully fifteen carries for fifty yards.

487
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,639
Speaker 1: But again, like it's good to see. Looking for weekly.

488
00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:56,280
Speaker 2: Projections from me and Sean Kerner. The only place you'll

489
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,719
Speaker 2: find them is that Fantasy lebs dot com. You'll get

490
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,200
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492
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493
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499
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to a wide receiver. Who is

500
00:22:34,560 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 3: in your top five?

501
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 4: Oh wow, i'n't looked at this should be fun, Jamar Chase,

502
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:47,360
Speaker 4: Mike Evans of course, Justin, Jefferson, a'monra and Brian Thomas Junior.

503
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:52,639
Speaker 2: Ooh nice, Yeah, I got Jefferson, a Monra, Chase Evans

504
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 2: and T Higgins.

505
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 1: Nice?

506
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 3: Who are you high on?

507
00:22:57,600 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 4: I'm hiring a guy that just missed it and he

508
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 4: probably be in my top five by the end of

509
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:06,560
Speaker 4: the week. But it's Courtland Sutton who just has the

510
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 4: ultimate motivation this week because Broncos need to win and

511
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 4: make the playoffs. They're facing a Chiefs team that's going

512
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 4: to be resting starters, so they should be able to

513
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 4: you know, have their way. He needs eighty two yards

514
00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 4: I guess to earn a half million dollars, So that's

515
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 4: a big deal. And he's a player where that's that's

516
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 4: not too far fetch, Like, it doesn't take much to

517
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 4: get his projection in that range. So if he's already

518
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,879
Speaker 4: going to be around there, I could see them you know,

519
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:33,879
Speaker 4: force feeding him the ball, especially if they if they

520
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:35,600
Speaker 4: get a big lead, they can kind of do whatever

521
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 4: they want. I would see them you know, peppering setting

522
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 4: with targets or somehow they get in a trailing game

523
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:43,159
Speaker 4: script just out of necessity, they're gonna have to be

524
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 4: peppering setting the target.

525
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:46,960
Speaker 2: So he's we've seen that a lot with the Chiefs

526
00:23:47,080 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 2: last game of season, they're like big underdogs and they

527
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:50,679
Speaker 2: either win or barely.

528
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 3: Have seen that too many times.

529
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:54,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I maybe have went starting.

530
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 4: I'm not sure like who they're gonna have a receiver,

531
00:23:57,560 --> 00:24:00,200
Speaker 4: but they could be a competitive team here, so I

532
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 4: could see that happening. That just gives you know, setting

533
00:24:03,040 --> 00:24:07,080
Speaker 4: a very very high floor. So he opens a week

534
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 4: as my wide receiver six might end up in my

535
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:10,120
Speaker 4: top five.

536
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 1: Uh. The more I look into this, just his floor

537
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 1: is massive here.

538
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,399
Speaker 3: But over over can't be over.

539
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,680
Speaker 1: I don't want to do that. I don't want to

540
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 1: do that.

541
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 3: He can't be over.

542
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 2: It is his incentives either, and then it can't be

543
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: over Jefferson, and it's gotta be over Jefferson are in

544
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 2: that like that closing game and indoors at the fifty

545
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 2: sixth total target.

546
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 4: All right, if anything, Neighbors might pass up Ston, So yeah,

547
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,720
Speaker 4: hang out for dear life and yeah to Higgins, oh

548
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 4: my god, but yeah.

549
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, well I got it.

550
00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,920
Speaker 4: I got another guy that is a RAMS player that

551
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 4: should step up this week. And it's our boy, Jordan Whittington,

552
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 4: who if Big Bay does what I think he will do, uh,

553
00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 4: he'll rest Coogan Akua, Cooper Cup And I think DeMarcus

554
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 4: Robinson's a part of that batch that probably won't play

555
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 4: a snap. So we could see, you know, to two

556
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 4: out well, Jordan Whittington, Tyler Johnson playing most of the snaps.

557
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 1: We could see Xavier Smith.

558
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:15,719
Speaker 3: David Smith about him.

559
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, he'll Nixon probably like if two two Outwell gets

560
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 4: like semi starter treatment. Maybe he sits as well, Like

561
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 4: you know, McVeigh will just play these three guys the

562
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 4: whole entire game. That's kind of how he operates preseason.

563
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 4: When it's preseason, you kind of want to see some

564
00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 4: of these other guys.

565
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 1: He doesn't do that. He just rolls out the guys

566
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 1: to play the entire game.

567
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:38,920
Speaker 4: So Whittington more than capable of racking up you know,

568
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 4: five plus receptions here if he's Jimmy G's you know

569
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,680
Speaker 4: league guy. So I think Whittington's sneaky here as well.

570
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 3: Are you have you?

571
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 2: I'm sure you've seen like the do you factor in

572
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:54,640
Speaker 2: Whittington his like weird usage this year where he's he's

573
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 2: been like playing snaps like me, like actual snaps, but

574
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 2: they've been like, excume be on rundowns in some games

575
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 2: like that.

576
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:04,680
Speaker 3: Have you seen that? It's it's like really weird.

577
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,280
Speaker 2: You factor that, ye, Like you think I mean like

578
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,439
Speaker 2: normal normal usage in this game or do you think

579
00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 2: you still play on like more run somehow more rundowns.

580
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, No, that's that's a good point, and that's probably

581
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 4: later in the week I would notice that. But again

582
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 4: in this case, I'm just going off of mcvay's preseason tendancies,

583
00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 4: and his preseason tendancy is Wdnington will just be out

584
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 4: there every play, including passing down. So yeah, I'm not

585
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 4: sure why. Yeah, no, I'm not sure why that has

586
00:26:31,320 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 4: been And if that's the case, those are those are

587
00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 4: Blake Krum. You know, he's gonna either way either way,

588
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 4: I would be happy over there.

589
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 2: But Blake Orham like Blake Coreham running back like trick

590
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 2: play touchdown and Jordi winning Dame.

591
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 4: Yes, I'd be ecstatic about that. Yeah, yeah, so that

592
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 4: that that could be the case. But again, I just

593
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,960
Speaker 4: think that that's how McVay rolls. He's going to play

594
00:26:57,040 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 4: these three or four guys the entire game and winning

595
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 4: when when he has been in that, you know, an

596
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:04,520
Speaker 4: actual receiver role has been balling out this year. So

597
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 4: I think that they want to get him going here,

598
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:08,960
Speaker 4: get him some reps. I think he could factor into them,

599
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 4: you know, next year and beyond.

600
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think.

601
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like I'm curious as to how they would treat

602
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 2: that well as well, because I do think I could

603
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 2: see them going with straight like Whittington, Tyer Johnson and

604
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 2: uh and Zavier Smith is like the at well, Yeah,

605
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 2: if and then because they have the four tight ends.

606
00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:27,760
Speaker 2: Now I'm guessing Higby would be the guy to sit,

607
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:29,320
Speaker 2: but they would still have three tight ends, so they

608
00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 2: and then they have the three running They have four

609
00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,239
Speaker 2: running backs on the roster. I mean, jesus, a lot

610
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 2: of skill guys, like like, they have seven receivers and

611
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 2: four running backs. That's that's pretty much the only team

612
00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 2: that has that's that's doing that this year, I'm pretty sure.

613
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:42,800
Speaker 1: Yeah.

614
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, and four tight ends and four tight ends, and

615
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 4: he's top evy. He just likes to play the top

616
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,400
Speaker 4: guys every snap. Anyway, it's kind of weird.

617
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, and the special teams is it? Is it terrible? No?

618
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:56,880
Speaker 2: It's Oh, I guess the kicking game hasn't been great.

619
00:27:57,119 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 2: I'm trying to think because usually with that with those coaches,

620
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 2: it's like when they're having guys for offense instead of

621
00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 2: like special teams, those I think I think it's just

622
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 2: a kicking gear.

623
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 3: I gotta look at that.

624
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, they have Quinte on the practice squad. Maybe

625
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:11,840
Speaker 1: he gets elevated for him.

626
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,159
Speaker 3: No, no, I'm just kidding. Yeah, did you get a

627
00:28:16,320 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 3: gambling didn't get a gambling suspension? I was he was

628
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:21,440
Speaker 3: in that he was in that Lions.

629
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,119
Speaker 1: Group with I think, oh John bet On, bet On

630
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:25,760
Speaker 1: is under then that's the case.

631
00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 3: Only if he is.

632
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, am I own Jacoby Meyers this week? Nothing really crazy,

633
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 2: but he is ninety six yards short of a thousand.

634
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 2: He hasn't had a thousand yard season yet, so I

635
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 2: think Aidan O'Connell maybe he could take a break from

636
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 2: some Trey Tucker for just a couple of a couple

637
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 2: of plays here to get to get Jacoby his ninety six.

638
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 2: And you may have a situation where the Chargers aren't

639
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 2: incentivized anymore depending on what happened Saturday, So that could

640
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: also help zone cover. Have you zone coverage team to

641
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 2: be the way Jacobe should get his his chances here.

642
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:06,520
Speaker 2: So he's been a guy that's been playing pretty well

643
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 2: all year. Hasn't had a really a lot of monster

644
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 2: games or been a guy we've talked about much, but

645
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 2: he's been pretty consistent, played well, good target per route rate.

646
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,520
Speaker 2: Quarterback situation hasn't been ideal, but I could see him

647
00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 2: blowing up here last game of the season, getting himself

648
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 2: his first one K year. So why Kim He's wide

649
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 2: receiver thirty at ECR. I think he should be higher

650
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 2: with all the question marks this week? Who are you

651
00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:32,200
Speaker 2: low on at wide receiver?

652
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 4: Jalen McMillan. But it's complicated, Yeah, this on trust me,

653
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,560
Speaker 4: I'm with you on this. He's a rookie. I thought

654
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:42,720
Speaker 4: I was sneaky this year. I loved his landing spot

655
00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 4: on the Bucks. He's been stepping up. He's been on fire,

656
00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 4: six touchdowns in the last four games. You and I

657
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 4: have both been high on him during this stretch. I

658
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 4: would not be shocked if he keeps that going here.

659
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 4: But Mike Evans, my god, he has a ton of

660
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 4: incentives this week because he needs what five catches eighty

661
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,320
Speaker 4: five yards for like a three million bonus, but also

662
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 4: he needs one hundred yards for another thousand yard season.

663
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 4: I think that would really solidify his case for the

664
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:12,800
Speaker 4: Hall of Fame. So you know, he's gun him for

665
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 4: that should see you know, even more targets as a result.

666
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:18,920
Speaker 4: And I think in those spots we need to think

667
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 4: about like if that's case, like who would that hurt?

668
00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 4: And in this case, it'd be McMillan. He's the clear

669
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 4: number two receiver. And if they're you know, force feeding Evans,

670
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 4: those are targets not going McMillan's way. Plus, this is

671
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 4: a game, you know tam Bay should win easily, there

672
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:35,920
Speaker 4: might not be as many passing attempts. In general, Bucky

673
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 4: Irving is probably going to just go ape shit against

674
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 4: the Saints run defense, so there's there might not be

675
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 4: that much room to give McMillan targets here. Plus we

676
00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:48,120
Speaker 4: could see you know, Stirring Shepherd or Kate Otton return

677
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 4: this week, which could ding you know, McMillan a little bit.

678
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 4: So again, McMillan's a guy I'm very high on still,

679
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 4: but in this spot where I think everyone's going to

680
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 4: be on Mike Evans overs, there could be you know,

681
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 4: a pivot here to kind of fay McMillan because you

682
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 4: know he's gotting Evans did gonna have to see those

683
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:07,160
Speaker 4: extra targets at someone's expense, And I think it could

684
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 4: be McMillan here.

685
00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:09,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I can see that.

686
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 2: I mean, it's it also depends on I guess Aughton

687
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 2: and Sheffiard. Although Aton has he's been he's been a nope,

688
00:31:17,880 --> 00:31:22,560
Speaker 2: nothing since since Yeah, I haven't returned anyway, But yeah,

689
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,880
Speaker 2: I can see that. Uh, I'm going Quentin Johnston he's

690
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:29,280
Speaker 2: number he's thirty first in consensus.

691
00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,960
Speaker 3: I just I don't know what we're doing with him here.

692
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 2: He's gotten the fifty plus, he's gotten a fifty yards

693
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 2: twice all year. He hasn't done it in nine games,

694
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 2: so he's very touchdown dependant.

695
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 3: It's the game.

696
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 2: The charges could be a little incentivized. He still is

697
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 2: a starter, so I you know, he could play less

698
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 2: in that one, but just really hasn't been productive enough

699
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 2: even when he's been on the field to to warrant

700
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 2: like a top thirty rating ranking, even in a a

701
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:55,720
Speaker 2: slate like this.

702
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 3: So I'm yeah, I'm well on.

703
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:01,800
Speaker 2: Quentin Johnston against the Raiders. All right, wide receiver prop.

704
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:05,320
Speaker 2: All right, since you said, so Sutton is he needs

705
00:32:05,360 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 2: eighty two yards? Right? Uh?

706
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 1: Eighty three?

707
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 3: Okay, yeah he needs.

708
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:15,680
Speaker 2: Eighty two and then and Evans needs uh he's what

709
00:32:15,760 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 2: does he need a hundred for?

710
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:18,120
Speaker 1: Yeah?

711
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:22,560
Speaker 4: Eighty five for the contract, one hundred for legacy purposes.

712
00:32:23,440 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 2: Okay, So let's go Mike Evans minus sixteen and a

713
00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 2: half on Sutton.

714
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: That's a good one.

715
00:32:33,760 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, they both just have massive floor ceiling combos. I'll

716
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 4: go with uh, Sutton, But that's that's a good line.

717
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's an interesting one because when you think of these, uh,

718
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 2: it's that you know, you never think of like, all right,

719
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: how do you compare both of them? Uh, you know,

720
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 2: it's it's like who has the bigger game here? Because

721
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,480
Speaker 2: that's yeah, they're both like pap Sen options this week,

722
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 2: so that's.

723
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:57,719
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's an interesting one.

724
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're both like massive favorites, right, they're both double

725
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:04,360
Speaker 1: digit favorites.

726
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 3: So thirteen and a half and the Broncos ten.

727
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, so it's like it's it's probably not going to

728
00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 4: be a pass heavy game script, but they should have

729
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:18,400
Speaker 4: their way, which again helps them both out. But yeah, yeah,

730
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,160
Speaker 4: like everyone's gonna be on their overs. It would be

731
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 4: interesting to have like a cross you know, player had

732
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 4: to head matchup like that to make it a little

733
00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:27,440
Speaker 4: bit more even.

734
00:33:27,480 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, I'll take I'll take the points here, Okay, okay, fair.

735
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, there's a better chance that I think

736
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 2: the Broncos get into a game where they have to

737
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 2: be throwing because, like I said, the Chiefs never go

738
00:33:36,760 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 2: quietly and it's still the Chiefs coaching staff, Chiefs on

739
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:43,520
Speaker 2: long rest, like you know, longer rest, so you know,

740
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 2: all right, tight end.

741
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,959
Speaker 3: Who you got in top five tight end?

742
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 4: I got Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, Sam Laporta, George Kittle,

743
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 4: and TJ.

744
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: Hockinson. Yep, same for me.

745
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 2: Just what a different order got Bowers, Laporta, McBride, Hockinson, Kittle.

746
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 2: So I don't know what's going out with Perty yet.

747
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 3: I guess that's I think.

748
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: I think they basically said he's not playing.

749
00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:08,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it sounded like he was, but he didn't.

750
00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 2: He said he wanted to play, so I wasn't. I

751
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 2: didn't see anything official, but yeah, i'd figure he was. Yeah,

752
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:16,120
Speaker 2: he wasn't going to go after his arm almost blew

753
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:19,879
Speaker 2: up and he's in a contract year. Yeah, but still

754
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 2: like kidd, I mean, kidd, it was just too good

755
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 2: to knock out.

756
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 3: Who are you high on at tai end?

757
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,360
Speaker 4: I'm going to go with Chego O'quonkuo against the Texans,

758
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:34,000
Speaker 4: continuing his late season surge. This is like the third

759
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:35,719
Speaker 4: season in a row he's been tearing it up in

760
00:34:35,760 --> 00:34:38,480
Speaker 4: the final few weeks. Is like a trend with him,

761
00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 4: Like remember Will Disley would always be a top ten

762
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 4: tight end. Yeah, after the first few weeks and then

763
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:45,320
Speaker 4: get hurt like cheg Oh was like the opposite of that,

764
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:49,399
Speaker 4: but another really solid game. Five catches for forty two yards.

765
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 4: I think I lost the prop on him. I think

766
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 4: you said his line at thirty eight and a half.

767
00:34:54,440 --> 00:34:57,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, he had a seventeen yard run.

768
00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,920
Speaker 4: They've done that from time to time. I think, you know,

769
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 4: giving him a design run. But for whatever reason, they're

770
00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:05,799
Speaker 4: just all in on Chego right now. And he said

771
00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:08,239
Speaker 4: another season high and routes run rate, So back to

772
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 4: back weeks, setting a season high with an eighty seven

773
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:14,800
Speaker 4: percent routes run rate last week. We might see you know,

774
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:19,600
Speaker 4: both Mason Rudolph and Will Levis under center here thinking yeah,

775
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:23,279
Speaker 4: no kidding. I think like the snaps Mason Rudolph is

776
00:35:23,360 --> 00:35:25,360
Speaker 4: in the game will probably be better for him. But

777
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 4: either way, I think both quarterbacks are going to be

778
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 4: targeting him heavily at this point. So again, he just

779
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 4: seems to do this every year, So I think he's

780
00:35:33,120 --> 00:35:36,400
Speaker 4: going to keep this hot streak going through week eighteen here.

781
00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:39,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean even the coaches staff they kind of said,

782
00:35:39,480 --> 00:35:40,880
Speaker 2: you know, it's like been intentional.

783
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 3: We can get him more looks. Yeah, I do think

784
00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:44,000
Speaker 3: that's on that we'll continue.

785
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 2: I'm my own Noah Gray here, he should get some

786
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 2: good run with the chief sitting starters. Kelsey shouldn't play

787
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 2: in this game, so like no AGray, I do think

788
00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:59,360
Speaker 2: the Chiefs would be competitive here. So Carson Wentz not

789
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,320
Speaker 2: the first quarterback in the world to after throwing you

790
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 2: the ball. I think he's functional, So yeah, give me

791
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,360
Speaker 2: some No Bray. Who's still tight in seventeen in escr

792
00:36:07,400 --> 00:36:09,200
Speaker 2: I think he can kind of put up. I mean,

793
00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 2: I wouldn't say the full Kelsey wine because Kelsey did

794
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 2: have a good game that last one, but you can.

795
00:36:13,600 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 2: You can get pretty close in a game like this,

796
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 2: So yeah, give me some No Bray.

797
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 3: Who are you low on?

798
00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 4: I'm all on cole Comet against the Packers. Actually, Cole

799
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,960
Speaker 4: Comett won the Cardio King Award for Week seventeen. He

800
00:36:30,120 --> 00:36:33,239
Speaker 4: ran the most routes out of anybody, twenty six without

801
00:36:33,320 --> 00:36:37,040
Speaker 4: seeing a single target. And he's like kind of the

802
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:40,320
Speaker 4: favorite in this market right now because he's getting a

803
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,239
Speaker 4: ton of playing time. But he seemed like a three

804
00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,920
Speaker 4: percent target rate over the past five games. It's been insane,

805
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,359
Speaker 4: and in hindsight it makes a ton of sense. I think,

806
00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:52,040
Speaker 4: like that's one of the reasons I was lowan on

807
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 4: this year. It's like, you know, they added Key and

808
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:56,480
Speaker 4: Allen and Roma Dunes to the mix, you know, with

809
00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 4: DJ Moore obviously, so it's just you know, give me

810
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,760
Speaker 4: tougher for him to command targets, but he's the clearly

811
00:37:02,880 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 4: tight end at the same time, so you know, he's

812
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:09,279
Speaker 4: impossible to project for targets right now. So he's all

813
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:12,759
Speaker 4: the way down to tight end thirty. But again, just

814
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 4: seeing a ton of playing time, just no targets.

815
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:18,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, if Caleb Williams is not looking at the tight

816
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 2: end because it's not even like like you said, it's

817
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:22,920
Speaker 2: not like he's just blocking and he's not getting into

818
00:37:22,960 --> 00:37:23,279
Speaker 2: the route.

819
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:27,439
Speaker 3: He's still running a decent amount of routes. So yeah,

820
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:28,279
Speaker 3: it's it's odd.

821
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:33,719
Speaker 2: I'm low on Isaiah likely this week, not like super low,

822
00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:35,680
Speaker 2: but I think you know, he's tight ended fourteen in

823
00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 2: ECR and this could be a matchup where if they

824
00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:41,399
Speaker 2: get out to a big wed it's just not good

825
00:37:41,440 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 2: for him because he's a tight end that he's going

826
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,399
Speaker 2: to see most like a lot of his production when

827
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 2: the Ravens are trailing, you know, when they're weeding. He

828
00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:56,520
Speaker 2: has only thirteen of his receptions only one touchdown. Tighter

829
00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 2: trailing he has twenty six receptions five touchdowns, So I

830
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:02,960
Speaker 2: just think that this could get out of hand quickly.

831
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 2: The Browns might start either dtr or Billy Zappy in

832
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,360
Speaker 2: this spot. Raven seventeen and a half point favorites, and

833
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews is still the number one tight end. And

834
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:14,880
Speaker 2: I think likely also saw a little bit of a

835
00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,759
Speaker 2: bump with Agalar out these past couple of weeks. You know,

836
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,480
Speaker 2: kind of a slot receiver, so Vaguar's back that could

837
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,439
Speaker 2: further kind of cut into too, like we's playing time.

838
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,719
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I think Andrews is the guy

839
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 2: you want in this kind of a game script for

840
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:33,520
Speaker 2: the Ravens. All right, tight ends, prop what you got?

841
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:37,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Mike Gasicki here, who has

842
00:38:37,640 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 4: been kind of tricky to project lately. I think it

843
00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 4: was week sixteen his routes run rate dipped all the

844
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 4: way down to like hifty let's yeah, thirty nine percent.

845
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,880
Speaker 4: There was like no injury reported, but that was the

846
00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 4: second game in three weeks he had a less than

847
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 4: routes run rate. And this is with Tanner Head who's out,

848
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,239
Speaker 4: who might be back this week, so that could complicate things.

849
00:39:03,280 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 4: But last week ran around on seventy two of Joe

850
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:10,399
Speaker 4: Burrows dropbacks and went off for ten catches forty six yards.

851
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:16,799
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna set his prop at I'm gonna set

852
00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 4: his prop at thirty six and a half.

853
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 2: Uh, I wonder I think. I think against the Steelers

854
00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:28,960
Speaker 2: there's always the chance of like, uh, you know what,

855
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 2: and high school, all those guys just kind of wreck

856
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 2: wreaking havoc on the game, and that would that would

857
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,440
Speaker 2: lead them to put in sample more for blocking. So

858
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:39,239
Speaker 2: I think this is a yeah, yeah, I mean it's

859
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:41,760
Speaker 2: it's tricky, but yeah, I think I think the blocking

860
00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:44,200
Speaker 2: against the Steelers is something I rather I'd rather be

861
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:46,279
Speaker 2: on the under for sticky with. And I mean we

862
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,000
Speaker 2: still got T. Higgins in the line up, and that

863
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 2: that's generally when it splits have gone under until that

864
00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 2: last game, So yeah, yeah, I'm not gonna overreact.

865
00:39:53,880 --> 00:39:56,560
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go under that one. But that's it you

866
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 3: put up.

867
00:39:57,080 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 4: Uh he put up fifty three against them and we

868
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:04,000
Speaker 4: thirteen and Higgins was back in that game, Okay.

869
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, he has been over It wasn't as

870
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:08,279
Speaker 3: bad as as a year.

871
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:11,000
Speaker 4: But yeah, yeah, I guess sick. He's just the wide

872
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 4: Ranger Velt. The walking wide range belt comes right now.

873
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:17,880
Speaker 2: Exactly all right, that is gonna do it for our

874
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:21,920
Speaker 2: NFL Week eighteen Player Projections episode. We sure to subscribed

875
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:24,120
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