1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio, studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 2: Shares of Intel are just surging as we speak right now. 3 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Taking a look at shares in the after hours, they 4 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:16,079 Speaker 2: were up as much as fifteen percent. This after the 5 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,439 Speaker 2: company gave a fourth quarter revenue forecast slightly above estimates. 6 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: It sparked optimism that it's capable of reclaiming some lost 7 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 2: market share. Shares are just absolutely surging right now. Remember 8 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 2: shares down going into this print, close to sixty percent. 9 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: We got with us Ed Ludlow joining us from our 10 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 2: San Francisco bureau. I know he's looking closely at these 11 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 2: results because he's got a chat with Pat Gelsinger coming 12 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 2: up at six pm Wall Street Time, a special edition 13 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:47,280 Speaker 2: of Bloomberg Technology on Bloomberg TV, Bloomberg Radio, YouTube, and 14 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Originals. We'll get to that in just a minute. First, though, 15 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 2: Ed expectations were pretty low going into this print. 16 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, and there's a lot to unpick here. 17 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 3: It's not straightforward because in the core to gone, Intel, 18 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 3: which was previously like one of the world's leading chip makers, 19 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 3: has given us a mixed bag. Its data centerships business 20 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 3: did better than expected, but it's PC business where it 21 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 3: has historically been the leader did worse. The answer to 22 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 3: that is customers had inventories and they worked through backlogs. 23 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: And when we speak to Pat later, I think there's 24 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 3: a discussion to be had about the future of Intel 25 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:27,399 Speaker 3: and the PC market. But the most important thing to 26 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 3: note is the stock is up significantly and after hours, 27 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,480 Speaker 3: and that is in spite of almost three billion dollars 28 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 3: of impairment charges that Intel took relating to headcount reduction 29 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 3: canceled projects. And what's so interesting about that is if 30 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 3: you look at the estimates going into this quarter, and 31 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 3: lists on Wall Street had not factored that in. 32 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 1: So it's a surprise, a negative surprise. 33 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 3: And even so the stock is up significantly because, as 34 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 3: you point out, the top line of the story is 35 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 3: maybe there's some hope here for Intel. 36 00:01:57,440 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 2: It is there. There's also a headline ed and I'm 37 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 2: just getting caught up. I know you've made some time 38 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: to look at this, but there's the news is coming 39 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 2: fast and furious. They're reducing headcount by sixteen five hundred employees. 40 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: Is that on top of the other headcount productions this year. 41 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 3: This is a confirmation of the previously stated plan for 42 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 3: headcount reduction, and that the literal update is that the 43 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:25,799 Speaker 3: Audit Committee of Intel, a section of its board, has 44 00:02:25,840 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 3: approved that plan. So the number is final sixteen thy 45 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 3: five hundred staff to be cut. And again I go 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,960 Speaker 3: back to the impairment charges. If you look at the 47 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 3: adjusted loss per share in the quarter gone much much 48 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 3: wider than anyone on the Wall Street had anticipated. And 49 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 3: a part of that was that the impairment charges it 50 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 3: disclosed relative to headcount reduction, but there's other things in there. 51 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:52,800 Speaker 3: They just hadn't factored that in for this quarter. Intel 52 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 3: wasn't able to guide for it into this quarter. So 53 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 3: it's a timing and an accounting issue, which you know 54 00:02:58,120 --> 00:02:59,360 Speaker 3: sometimes can be a bit dry. 55 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: There's much more to discuss. 56 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:04,519 Speaker 2: Okay, well' speina, much more to discuss. The Intel CEO 57 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:06,320 Speaker 2: Pat Gelsinger, who you're going to speak with a little 58 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 2: later today, saying in a statement that he intends to 59 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 2: keep the company together. Yeah, he says that distinct, but 60 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,839 Speaker 2: better together is the strategy. The context for this is 61 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 2: is reporting from earlier this year that said they were 62 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 2: exploring a separation of parts of the company. 63 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: So it's complicated. 64 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:28,519 Speaker 3: And first off, the headlines from Pat Gelsinger were a 65 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 3: part of a brief conversation that our colleague and King 66 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 3: had with him on the phone. And the context is, yes, 67 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 3: Intel is a chip company. It offers chip products processes 68 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 3: that go into computers and data centers and other business areas. 69 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 3: But it also has a manufacturing business, which historically the 70 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:51,440 Speaker 3: reason that Intel was so good at chips is it 71 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 3: built them or manufactured them for itself. As many of 72 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 3: your listeners have learned in the last two or three years, 73 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 3: there's a company in Taiwan called TSMC that has basically 74 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:05,360 Speaker 3: taken over the vast majority of cutting edge chip manufacturing 75 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 3: on a contract basis for everyone else, and Intel had 76 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,120 Speaker 3: really fallen behind. But Intel's ambition is to have a 77 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 3: company where it has its own products, it manufactures its 78 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 3: own products, but it also wants to manufacture chips with others, 79 00:04:18,560 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 3: just like TSMC does. And that's a long answer, but 80 00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 3: the short of it is, this is Pat Gelsinger saying, yes, 81 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 3: we're going to run the company that way to separate divisions, 82 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 3: but no, we're not going to sell off one part 83 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 3: to a third party or be acquired by a third party. 84 00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 3: That's kind of reading between the lines because he was 85 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 3: not explicit. 86 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 4: Ed. You have to wonder how much patience investors have 87 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 4: right now to see this turnaround play out, because, like 88 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 4: Tim had mentioned, Intel stock is down almost sixty percent 89 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 4: year to date. So what do we know right now 90 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 4: about just how urgent the need for the turnaround is. 91 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 4: When you think about the share price. 92 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 3: I mean, do we have to wait for those listening 93 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,679 Speaker 3: on radio. I'm looking at a chart and the line 94 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 3: goes straight up in the air with a thirteen percent 95 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:11,839 Speaker 3: next to it, And if you're watching on YouTube, maybe 96 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:14,000 Speaker 3: we can put the chart up. And it's an astonishing 97 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 3: market reaction because of the pain of the quarter gone 98 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 3: that I just told you, and what Intel told us 99 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 3: for the final three months of this year is here's 100 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:24,480 Speaker 3: a range of revenues we think we're going to have. 101 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,159 Speaker 3: At the midpoint of that range, it was just slightly 102 00:05:27,200 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 3: ahead of consensus estimates. But the market is you know, 103 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 3: what's the saying, you guys that the investors vote with 104 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 3: their feet, right, And you know, I think that's the 105 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 3: read here. They look at the commentary from Intel and say, 106 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 3: you've done some really painful things in the quarters gone. 107 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 3: You've let go of a lot of people canceled a 108 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 3: lot of projects. You had a pretty rough quarter in 109 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 3: your PC business where you were once a leader and 110 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 3: you've fallen behind. But as we look to the next 111 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 3: three months and beyond that, there are signs that you 112 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 3: might be turning a corner here. And that's great because 113 00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,839 Speaker 3: that gives us a lot to ask Pat Gelsinger about 114 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 3: to today. 115 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 2: Don't give away the questions, ed, I would never ask 116 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,159 Speaker 2: you to do that, but what is top of mind 117 00:06:06,160 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 2: for you ahead of this conversation, especially given that you 118 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 2: got to read a little bit of what Ian's conversation 119 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 2: went with him earlier, and then also you get the 120 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 2: most recent numbers that we're talking about right now. 121 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, because of the analyst call as well, and you 122 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 3: never know what's going to come up in an analyst call. 123 00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 3: There's definitely a technology to discussion to have here. You know, 124 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,840 Speaker 3: one of the interesting parts of Qualcomm, or the report 125 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:32,280 Speaker 3: that Qualcomm was Qualcom was interested in buying some all 126 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 3: of Intel, is that they had made inroads themselves into 127 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:40,240 Speaker 3: the PC market where Intel had once been dominant. And 128 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 3: you know, a theoretical idea that came out of that is, 129 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 3: why would Qualcom want to buy Intel if they're doing 130 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:48,159 Speaker 3: so well on their own, But you could flip that 131 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 3: on its head and say, the story of twenty twenty 132 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 3: four has been about the AIPC PC laptops that have 133 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:57,480 Speaker 3: new chips in them that are not made by Intel. 134 00:06:57,760 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 3: So when's Intel going to come to the races on that? 135 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 3: And in fact, a number of our audience, but also 136 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:04,640 Speaker 3: like executives in the world of tech, have asked me 137 00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 3: to ask Pat about that issue, because if Intel's so 138 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 3: good at PC chips, why is it not doing the 139 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 3: latest thing? These are technology questions, but I think we 140 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 3: should probably be explicit. Was Intel or was Intel not 141 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 3: approached by some of its peers about an acquisition? 142 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 1: Simple stuff. 143 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 4: Ed In just three minutes, we should be getting Apple's 144 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 4: earnings reports. 145 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: What goodness? 146 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 4: What should people be watching hump for for the iPhone? 147 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, iPhone sixteen and China very simple, leading product, most 148 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 3: important market, and that's probably what it will come down to. 149 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 4: Will those iPhone sixteen's are they flying off the shelves? 150 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:49,920 Speaker 3: So we've learned in the newsroom a really painful lesson 151 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 3: this year, which is treat the third party data with caution. 152 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 3: You guys will probably have done it on the show 153 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 3: right these stories about some of the market researchers, who 154 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 3: is you report saying the first six weeks of iPhone 155 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 3: sixteen sales are down relative to the first six weeks 156 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:09,240 Speaker 3: of iPhone fifteen according to xyz data set Counterpoint research 157 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 3: is one. 158 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: But there's also evidence that in recent. 159 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 3: Quarters, Apple's actual data has proven the third party data 160 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 3: to be off the mark a little bit. And there's 161 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 3: a very interesting phenomena happening in China. Apple won't make 162 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:27,040 Speaker 3: its latest generf generative AI tech available in China for 163 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 3: some time until the regulator says it's okay. But there 164 00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 3: is evidence that the consumer in China is buying the 165 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:36,440 Speaker 3: iPhone anyway in anticipation they might have access at some 166 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 3: point to like the latest and greatest software, which I 167 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:42,679 Speaker 3: think is so interesting. Right, You're buying something without having 168 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 3: been able to experience it and like look at it 169 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 3: because it's not available in that market. 170 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So okay, let's talk a little bit about China. 171 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 2: Just thirty seconds here, ed because these numbers are coming 172 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,280 Speaker 2: out in thirty seconds. Sure, what are the numbers we 173 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,560 Speaker 2: need to see in China indicate that that Apple is 174 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 2: not losing market share to Samsung show me and the. 175 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,199 Speaker 3: Like numbers or commentary, so they'll report something for Gray 176 00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 3: to China. They won't be as sort of candid about 177 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 3: category specific stuff, but on the call they would tell 178 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,520 Speaker 3: us how they think they do or rank in that market. 179 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 2: Okay, we're going to get numbers from Apple in just 180 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 2: about fifteen seconds. Going into today, shares for the year 181 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 2: up seventeen percent, so underperforming the S and P five 182 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: hundred shares today down one point eight percent. We are 183 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:33,079 Speaker 2: getting a slew of earnings continuing and now we're getting 184 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:36,719 Speaker 2: Apple results. Bear with me while I bring these up. 185 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 2: Fourth quarter revenue meets estimates coming in at ninety four 186 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 2: point nine three billion dollars. Estimates were for ninety four 187 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 2: point three six billion dollars. As we look at the 188 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 2: different parts of the reportable categories, services revenue for the 189 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,360 Speaker 2: fourth quarter coming in below estimates, twenty four point nine 190 00:09:52,400 --> 00:09:55,320 Speaker 2: to seven billion. Estimates for twenty five point two seven 191 00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 2: billion fourth quarter earnings per share coming in way below 192 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 2: estimate and are not excuse me, not below estimates below 193 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,319 Speaker 2: what they were last year ninety seven cents versus one 194 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 2: dollar and forty six year over year fourth quarter revenue 195 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 2: once again beating estimates, coming in at ninety four point 196 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 2: nine three billion dollars. Estimates were for ninety four point 197 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 2: three six billion dollars. Apple also declaring a cash dividend 198 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 2: of twenty five cents per share. 199 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 1: That's I'm not done that much. 200 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:25,719 Speaker 2: Okay. Let's look at fourth quarter iPhone revenue coming in 201 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 2: above estimates at forty six point twenty two billion. 202 00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:28,560 Speaker 1: Estimate. 203 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 2: Weres for forty five billion dollars, fourth quarter Greater China 204 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 2: revenue coming in just shy of estimates fifteen point zero 205 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:38,560 Speaker 2: three billion dollars. Estimates are for fifteen point eight billion. 206 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,760 Speaker 4: Dollars, and their fourth quarter Wearables, Home and Accessories slightly 207 00:10:42,800 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 4: missing estimates nine billion dollars. The MAC revenue seven point 208 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 4: seventy four billion, right in line with estimates, and iPad 209 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:53,080 Speaker 4: revenue slightly below estimates six point ninety five billion versus 210 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 4: estimates of seven billion. The red headline crossing the Bloomberg 211 00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 4: terminal is that the Apple fourth quarter Greater China revenue 212 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 4: missed estimates. It's fifteen point oh three billion versus estimates 213 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 4: of fifteen point eight billion. 214 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a that's a pretty significant miss right there. 215 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:13,559 Speaker 2: Seeing shares bounce around a little. They were higher when 216 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 2: these numbers came out. Now they're down about one point 217 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 2: three percent. Some of these certainly worth repeating. Fourth quarter 218 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 2: iPhone revenue coming in above estimates at forty six point 219 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 2: two to two billion dollars, fourth quarter revenue coming in 220 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 2: at ninety four billion, ninety four point ninety three billion 221 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:32,640 Speaker 2: dollars above estimates, but fourth quarter Greater China revenue coming 222 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:34,240 Speaker 2: in below estimates. I do want to go back to 223 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,200 Speaker 2: Ed Ludlow, who's standing by in San Francisco. He's only 224 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 2: had two minutes to look at these numbers China. That 225 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:41,640 Speaker 2: certainly seems like a story here. 226 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 3: Ed, Yeah, I mean you want wonderful summary. I mean, all, 227 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 3: how do you follow that? But I think that that's 228 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 3: the simple calculus. Overall iPhone revenue beat right, Greater China 229 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 3: slightly missed. It's not until the analyst call that you 230 00:11:54,679 --> 00:11:58,679 Speaker 3: get the commentary. It's usually from the CFO rather than 231 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 3: Tim Kirk that says, actually, by category or products are 232 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 3: be it iPhone, mac wearables, here's how we did, and 233 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 3: in that explanation we will find out did iPhone grow 234 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 3: in China or not? It's interesting, you know the miss 235 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 3: is it's a miss, you know, it's slight. The only 236 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 3: other thing that I point out is that you have 237 00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 3: to read between the lines a bit. And the Apple 238 00:12:23,559 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 3: once again has a new record high of number of 239 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 3: installed devices around the world. That's the number of people 240 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 3: with an Apple hardware product or device somewhere in the world. 241 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:37,439 Speaker 1: It's growing. But where in particular, which product line. That's 242 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:38,559 Speaker 1: kind of the question next. 243 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 2: But that's an important number because increasingly, as people hold 244 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:43,760 Speaker 2: onto these devices for longer, the more of them that 245 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,319 Speaker 2: are out there, the more people are spending on services 246 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 2: like Apple TV plus, Apple Music, iCloud and the like. 247 00:12:50,960 --> 00:12:53,199 Speaker 2: I know, I'm certainly not buying new devices right now, 248 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 2: but I'm still spending each month quite a bit on 249 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,960 Speaker 2: Apple and Apple loves that it's a high margin business. 250 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, the timing of this very interesting. 251 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 3: So in the release they talk about the rollout of 252 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 3: Apple Intelligence, which is staggered. As Mark German has reported 253 00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:11,520 Speaker 3: here at Bloomberg News. Apple Intelligence is the company's proprietary 254 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 3: AI or generative AI offering. It's a suite of software 255 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 3: tools in iOS that can do various things. This past week, 256 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 3: I was offered to upgrade MYOS to eighteen point one. 257 00:13:23,320 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 3: Then I was put on a wait list for Apple Intelligence. 258 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 3: That's all lot preamble to say, we don't know anything 259 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 3: from this release. And you noted that services missed right, 260 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 3: that all this work they put in AI and all 261 00:13:35,120 --> 00:13:38,760 Speaker 3: of the delay translates to consumers spending more money within 262 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 3: the iOS or Apple ecosystem. And I know that many 263 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 3: analysts investors are going to be listening carefully for that. 264 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 2: Let's go through some of these numbers again. If you're 265 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 2: just joining us. Apple shares down about one point seven 266 00:13:50,200 --> 00:13:53,440 Speaker 2: percent in the after hours. They reported just about four 267 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 2: minutes ago, five minutes ago, our fourth quarter revenue came 268 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 2: in above estimates at ninety four point ninety three billion dollars. 269 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,320 Speaker 2: Quarter iPhone revenue came in above estimates at forty six 270 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 2: point two two billion dollars. That's a billion dollars more 271 00:14:06,200 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 2: than what analysts were expecting. Fourth quarter greater China revenue, 272 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 2: though coming in below estimates, Does that mean the iPhone 273 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:14,000 Speaker 2: sixteen is a huge success ad. 274 00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 3: You have to read between the lines again until an 275 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 3: executive says it definitively on the call, you don't know. 276 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,280 Speaker 3: But there were other areas that were a bit of 277 00:14:23,320 --> 00:14:27,760 Speaker 3: a surprise, right. iPad was a surprising miss despite having 278 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 3: released new generations. 279 00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: So take that. 280 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 3: MAC revenue came in at one hundred million more than 281 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:36,800 Speaker 3: the same period a year ago, or maybe sequentially in 282 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 3: line with expectations, so that's not giving a surprise contribution. 283 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 3: What's left we know revenue services revenue missed, maybe iPhone. 284 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 2: Piecing it together, well, how much of the iPhone sixteen 285 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 2: was sold in this most recent quarter? Like, do we that? No, 286 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 2: we do in terms of availability. 287 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 3: So in terms of availability, I'm trying to go through 288 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 3: the tank, you and the thing to look at the 289 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 3: inventory number because that's the next place that I can. 290 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 3: I can't find it yet because to me with another one, 291 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 3: and I'll try catch. 292 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 2: Out, Okay, So I'll give you some time to look 293 00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 2: for that. The reason I always am interested in that 294 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 2: is because they announced this thing in September, goes on 295 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 2: sale a few weeks later. The quarter ends after only 296 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,840 Speaker 2: a couple weeks after that, iPhone goes on sale. In 297 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:19,480 Speaker 2: some years Emily, they haven't even been able to put 298 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:22,400 Speaker 2: the new phone on sale before the quarter of learning. 299 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:25,680 Speaker 2: So it's just a question of okay, how many people 300 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 2: were buying the old iPhone versus the new iPhone right 301 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 2: here as an indication of how well is that new 302 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 2: model selling. 303 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 4: I'll also add Tim that we are seeing Apple stock 304 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:39,960 Speaker 4: extending some losses. You know, nothing huge here, and it is. 305 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:42,520 Speaker 4: It has only been six minutes since Arnais came out, 306 00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 4: but we do now see shares of Apple down about 307 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 4: one point seven percent, despite the fact that fourth quarter 308 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:53,560 Speaker 4: revenue met estimates and was still up six percent year 309 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 4: over year, and also that service revenue up twelve percent 310 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 4: year over year but did slightly miss estimates. 311 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 2: Taking a look now at our live blog. If you 312 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 2: have access to this on the Bloomberg terminal, do check 313 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 2: it out our own. Mark German, adding to what Ed 314 00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 2: said that iprad is a surprising miss, coming out just 315 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 2: shy of seven billion, despite the release of that new 316 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 2: iPad Pro and iPad Air models earlier this year. That 317 00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:19,560 Speaker 2: new iPad Mini released this month unlikely to help materially. 318 00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 2: Mark Kerman also writing that the Mac came in with 319 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 2: about one hundred million dollars annual revenue increase, meeting Wall 320 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 2: Street estimates of seven point seven billion dollars. New Max 321 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,760 Speaker 2: released this week should help that product segment in the 322 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 2: current quarter, and I want to go back to you. 323 00:16:33,000 --> 00:16:36,200 Speaker 2: I know you've been diving into that ten Q speed 324 00:16:36,240 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 2: reading it. What sticks out to you from there. 325 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:42,120 Speaker 3: Well, not the inventries. They're basically very similar to the 326 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 3: same period a year ago. So I'm going to spend 327 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 3: a bit more time pondering that. You know, a story 328 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,440 Speaker 3: of the megacaps so far in twenty twenty four has 329 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:56,000 Speaker 3: been sweetness for shareholders and this is more dry stuff. 330 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 3: But you know that your audience on this show, whether 331 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 3: they're listening or watching, there are so many different types 332 00:17:02,120 --> 00:17:04,520 Speaker 3: of Apple investors out there where the role of a 333 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:08,640 Speaker 3: dividend or shareholder returns is really important. And so whatever's 334 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 3: happening with any given products line or category, Remember this 335 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 3: Apple is a cash machine twenty seven billion dollars of 336 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 3: operating cash flow generated in the quarter. Hence they're able 337 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 3: to return relatively the same twenty nine billion dollars back 338 00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 3: to investors. The differences is that in prior quarters, when 339 00:17:27,040 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 3: we've seen a sweetener like a divvy or a boost 340 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 3: into a buyback program, that's been a great thing for investors, 341 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:38,119 Speaker 3: they've responded positively. On EM's note, just then, the stock 342 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,120 Speaker 3: isn't really responding to that, right, there isn't some sort 343 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,960 Speaker 3: of relief in that sense, knowing that the bar too 344 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 3: is high. 345 00:17:44,880 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, and you bring up a really good point that 346 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 4: I know you said it's dry, but it's not as 347 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:50,679 Speaker 4: dry to me. I interview a lot of I know, 348 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 4: full managers. 349 00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 2: This is a nice little mix for you. 350 00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:58,440 Speaker 4: You know, people always talk about cash rich companies and 351 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,679 Speaker 4: how those kinds of companies are despite what the macro 352 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 4: economic environment is doing. If you buy a large company 353 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:09,480 Speaker 4: that has a big, strong balance sheet, no matter what 354 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 4: the FED does, no matter what other earnings do, you'll 355 00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 4: be safe. And I think that sentiment has really carried 356 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 4: these mega tex stocks this year, all the volatility. 357 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 3: It's important because again there's a badge of honor for 358 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:24,480 Speaker 3: many that comes with holding Apple stock, whether you're the 359 00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 3: smallest retail investor or the giant on Wall Street. 360 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 1: That's been the case for so long. 361 00:18:29,320 --> 00:18:32,119 Speaker 3: But at the end of the day, you have in 362 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:35,680 Speaker 3: the world of technology, two main operating systems for smartphones 363 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 3: iOS and the iPhone, and then Android, where a number 364 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 3: of handset makers are involved. And it comes back to 365 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 3: what's happened to Apple, and the cores are just gone. 366 00:18:44,760 --> 00:18:47,360 Speaker 3: It grew in every market around the world apart from 367 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 3: one greater China. Tim's question is did the iPhone do 368 00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,920 Speaker 3: great well? The question outstanding is as important as the 369 00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:57,360 Speaker 3: data that we've related to the audiences we don't know. 370 00:18:57,880 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: Let us answer the question on the call. 371 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,720 Speaker 3: The iPhone grow in China and all of these things 372 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 3: investors take into account just as much as they do 373 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:07,200 Speaker 3: the sweeteners that have put before them. 374 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 2: All Right, We're going to hear from Apple executives on 375 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 2: the call a little later. 376 00:19:11,760 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 4: ED. 377 00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 2: It's notable because it is I believe Luka Maistri's last 378 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 2: earnings call at Apple. He's going to be passing the 379 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 2: torch to his top deputy when the calendar turns to 380 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. Is that something that is meaningful to 381 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 2: you in terms of how this There's not a lot 382 00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:35,239 Speaker 2: of executive turnover at this company. These people have been 383 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 2: there for years. Can text you like that for us? 384 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 3: On the one hand, Kevan Perek, who's you're like right, 385 00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:43,600 Speaker 3: his deputy and steps up to being CFO, is a 386 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 3: known quantity because he's been there and this was telegraphed. 387 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 3: But I've often posted in the Bloomberg Top Life blog 388 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 3: it's the blog we run during these big moments that 389 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,439 Speaker 3: it's often my Strey rather than cook that gives you 390 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 3: the information that we'd consider news. It is some more 391 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 3: granular detail about performance of a specific product in a 392 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 3: specific market, like iPhone in China. He is widely seen 393 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,360 Speaker 3: as being a master of the margin, right you think 394 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 3: about it, talked about cash generation but the bottom line 395 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:18,439 Speaker 3: in general and Apple being a highly profitable company with 396 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,439 Speaker 3: just insane amounts of cash on the balance sheet. You know, 397 00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 3: Luke and Maistreet has been a big part of that story. 398 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:28,359 Speaker 3: Does can Correct have the same prowess in that field? 399 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 3: It takes some quarters to find out, but you know, 400 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 3: when you're a journalists and an investor, you become familiar 401 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 3: with these names and you listen closely when they say 402 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 3: things because you know that they choose their words with purpose. 403 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 4: Ed. 404 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 2: We're going to give you a break in just a minute. 405 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,000 Speaker 2: But last question to you is just give us the 406 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 2: high level view of Apple for people who are just 407 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:51,680 Speaker 2: joining us right now. 408 00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, in the quarter, Apple posted sales that were about 409 00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 3: what everyone expected. They grew their sales in every geography 410 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 3: around world world apart from China. An iPhone which is 411 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 3: basically everything still for anyone that cares about Apple beat 412 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:10,000 Speaker 3: estimates overall, but there's a lingering question about how it's 413 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,639 Speaker 3: doing in China because it's such an important market. The 414 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 3: next phase, or the forward looking bit, is the work 415 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 3: they've done in AI. Working for them is a business 416 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 3: because services revenue came in a bit light. 417 00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 1: Now. 418 00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 3: Apple Intelligence is only just this week, last couple of 419 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 3: days been rolling out in markets like North America. It 420 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 3: is not available in the EU. It is not available 421 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 3: in China. But some explanation because we don't have it 422 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 3: in the release of how this amazing AI tech is 423 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 3: going to drive growth for them in terms of sales 424 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 3: and profit is probably the next logical thing to look at. 425 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:47,919 Speaker 2: D Love though, is the cohost of Bloomberg Technology on 426 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 2: Bloomberg TV.