1 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: We are trying something new on the Fish Stripes podcast, 2 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: Eli Susman here being joined by Ethan Badski to focus 3 00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: on pittures, specifically starting pitchers within the Miami Marlins organization. 4 00:00:23,960 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: After years years of rebuilding trades and overhauling the player 5 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: development standards, the Fish have an enviable stock pile of 6 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: talented potential starters. It can be tough to split hairs 7 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: between them, to distinguish between who you trust most, who 8 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: you like the most, all that stuff. But our objective 9 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: on this episode and of every episode of the series, 10 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: temporarily calling it Today's Aces, that's a working title. Today's 11 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 1: Aces is going to be a power ranking where we trust, 12 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: where we go through who we trust the most right 13 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: now on the mound to lead the Marlins to victory 14 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: in a hypothetical must win game. Are you ready, Ethan? 15 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I'm ready. 16 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 3: I'm ready to You know, I love some of these 17 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 3: arms in the system, so I'm ready to talk about 18 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:13,280 Speaker 3: them for sure. 19 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: And we'll give the people the ground rules. I imagine 20 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: these will also evolve over time as well, but the 21 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: main starting point is that we're going to be ranking 22 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:26,319 Speaker 1: our top six Marlins potential starting pitchers. The idea is 23 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 1: to bridge that gap between the conventional five man major 24 00:01:29,600 --> 00:01:33,680 Speaker 1: league rotation and the prospects, because that's always especially now, 25 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 1: that's such a big proponent of why people feel as 26 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 1: optimistic as they do about the Marlins, because aside from 27 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: whoever is in the major league rotation at a certain time, 28 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: there's another wave and multiple waves, you know, right below 29 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: them in the high levels of the miners that we 30 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 1: can envision having an immediate impact. So we're gonna be 31 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: giving our top six. You'll be doing your number six, 32 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: then my number six, your number five, my number five, 33 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 1: getting up to number one, and I'm sure there's gonna 34 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: be some overlap there at this point. And just to 35 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: reiterate the big idea here is to focus on the 36 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 1: pitchers that give the team the best chance to win 37 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: today and to be in that situation to contribute today, 38 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 1: you can't be hurt, and that's an unfortunate risk that 39 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 1: you take as a pitcher. Once the season actually gets underway. 40 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: We're recording this on January twentieth, you know, still almost 41 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 1: a full month until the pitchers and catchers report, more 42 00:02:24,080 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 1: than two months until regular season games. So for the moment, 43 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 1: everybody is healthy, and that's why I wanted to get 44 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,399 Speaker 1: this together now while everybody's healthy and before we get 45 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:35,639 Speaker 1: a little too thrown out a whack by what happens 46 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 1: during spring training. We get our current thoughts. If everybody 47 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: is on a level playing field, imagining a must win game, 48 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: it's a neutral ballpark. You're going against a lineup, a 49 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 1: balanced lineup. It's as if you know right before the 50 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 1: start of the game, and all these neutral settings, facing 51 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: lefties facing right E's teamed up with a catcher that 52 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: isn't of your choosing, with a defensive alignment that you 53 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 1: can't customers, It's all about trying to judge the picture 54 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: as independently as possible. Laying it out this way, it 55 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: just ignores some of the politics that goes into putting 56 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: together a roster, because I think, as people realize following 57 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: the Marlins and be in kind of a small market team, 58 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 1: it at any particular moment, the team isn't always able 59 00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: or determined to put their best possible talent at the 60 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:26,640 Speaker 1: major league level all at the same time, right there 61 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: are guys that deserve to be up sooner than they 62 00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,359 Speaker 1: get called up. There are guys that have a longer 63 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: leash and stay up at the major league level even 64 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: when they're struggling. And by expanding this to a top six, 65 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: we can ensure that we are ignoring some of those 66 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 1: like artificial barriers between what we consider, you know, the 67 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: guys that are ready now at the major league level 68 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: and who's not. We break down those barriers. We see 69 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: through the BS in terms of the team. Even if 70 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 1: we believe in this front office overall, you know, there 71 00:03:56,000 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: is some BS that goes into putting it all together 72 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: with finances in mind, with the long term in mind. 73 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: And I think that's what's gonna make this pretty valuable 74 00:04:04,680 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 1: to people, right, is that we can actually look at 75 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: all these pictures at the same time and actually really 76 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:15,800 Speaker 1: pick them out and just judge them for what ultimately 77 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 1: people care about the most, and that's how nasty they 78 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:19,800 Speaker 1: can be and how much they can help you win. 79 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I agree with that, and especially because some 80 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 3: of the guys that you might trust most just based 81 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,040 Speaker 3: on their you know, their persona, the way they conduct 82 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 3: themselves on the mound, the kind of stuff they have, 83 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:34,360 Speaker 3: are in the minors. And so you know, we're not 84 00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 3: just talking about the five guys that we think will 85 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 3: be in the rotation. You know, there are a few 86 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 3: guys on my lists that might not touch the big 87 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 3: leagues at all this year, so I'm excited to I 88 00:04:46,040 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 3: love this pitching system so much. I love so many 89 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 3: of these arms. There are guys that I felt bad 90 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 3: leaving off because of, you know, just what I think 91 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 3: they can bring. But I'm just not sure if they're 92 00:04:59,720 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 3: more ready than some of these guys are to pitch 93 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 3: in a in a must win game. 94 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 2: So I'm ready to go. I'm ready to go when 95 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 2: you are. So it's a unique thing to discuss. It's 96 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 2: a unique idea. 97 00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 3: You know, you're not talking about the Marlins lineup. You 98 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 3: just want to look at solely off of the pitcher. 99 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 3: And so I think that the Marlins have a lot 100 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 3: of guys that they could hand the ball to and 101 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 3: feel pretty confident, whether it's this year or whether it'll 102 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 3: be you know, three, four or five years from now. 103 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, And ultimately idea is to put together a type 104 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: of format where people can play along at home too. 105 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 1: You know, everybody has their own takes on this stuff, 106 00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: some better takes than others. And I personally, I'm the 107 00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 1: first one to say that there's a lot that I 108 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: don't know about the nuances of pitching and all that, 109 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 1: but following these guys pretty carefully, and almost all these 110 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 1: guys have joined the organization just the past few years, 111 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: we've been able to see every step of their development. 112 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: We've been able to see them through the miners and 113 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:56,760 Speaker 1: reach the majors, and with others, we've seen every step 114 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:03,760 Speaker 1: of their pro career so far. Well, have you lead off? 115 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: We're going to go back and forth and starting with 116 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: your number six on the today's rankings. 117 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 3: I've been talking about these guys for you know, years now, 118 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 3: and you know with with some of the guys that 119 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 3: came over in a trade. One guy that I won't 120 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 3: be talking about today as Nick knightert He came over 121 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 3: in a trade from the Seattle Mariners, and he's. 122 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 2: A prospect that I love. 123 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 3: But the first guy that I want to talk about today, 124 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,920 Speaker 3: number six on my rankings is Eddie Cabrera. Edward Cabrera, 125 00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 3: the twenty two year old right hander who has who 126 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 3: rocketed up prospect lists in twenty nineteen. That was the 127 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 3: last time that we saw Eddie on the hill in 128 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 3: a competitive baseball game. Of course, everything that happened. With 129 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:49,719 Speaker 3: everything that happened last season, we were unable to see Eddie. 130 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,359 Speaker 3: We were hopeful that we would see Eddie at some 131 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 3: point in the major leagues, but that did not happen. 132 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 3: Down the stretch in September, we thought maybe he could 133 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:00,800 Speaker 3: bring a little bit of a jolt the rotation, but 134 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:05,240 Speaker 3: ultimately the Marlins decided against it. But I if you've 135 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 3: listened to earning their stripes, if you've kept up with 136 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 3: me on Twitter, if you've kept up with me on 137 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 3: any of the Fish stripes content that I've worked on, 138 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 3: You'll know that I'm obsessed with Edward Cabrera. He's got, 139 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 3: you know, a big hard fastball. I'm gonna pump it up. 140 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 2: Near one hundred. 141 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 3: He won't run it up like six Stow will, where 142 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 3: he's pumping it one oh two, you know, the whole game. 143 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 3: But he's gonna be throwing a hundred and he's got 144 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 3: a big hook, and he's got this change up that 145 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 3: some are saying sitting around ninety, and he's got a 146 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 3: little bit. 147 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: Of ways to go. 148 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 3: You know, it was really just the twenty nineteen is 149 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 3: the one year that really kind of jumps off the 150 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 3: page at you but I mean you want to talk 151 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 3: about you know, you you mentioned in your intro eli 152 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 3: talking about independent the focusing on just pitching, right, So 153 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 3: there's a statistic for this, and it's fielding independent pitching 154 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 3: where it kind of takes some of the defensive factors 155 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 3: out of it, and it shows that Cabrera has always 156 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 3: been really good except for one year. In twenty sixteen, 157 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 3: his ERA was four point two one, which doesn't look great, 158 00:08:09,640 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 3: but his FIP was three point one eight, so that 159 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 3: suggests he was getting some bad defensive fluck. In twenty seventeen, 160 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 3: it was the same. His ERA was five point three, 161 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 3: but he had a three point twenty sixth FIP. He 162 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 3: also had eight k per nine that year. His K 163 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,400 Speaker 3: per nine has increased every year. In twenty eighteen it 164 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 3: was a little bit of a struggle for him. He 165 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 3: had a four point two two e R, a four 166 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:34,559 Speaker 3: point five to one whip or US not whip sorry FIP, 167 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 3: but again the strikeouts went up. And then this year 168 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 3: is when it just last year, whatever year it was, 169 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 3: I don't know's twenty twenty one now, So two years 170 00:08:42,400 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 3: ago twenty nineteen is when it really all came together 171 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 3: for Eddie and the pitch fastball called third strike, Well 172 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 3: that was a ninety four but still had a lot 173 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 3: of movement like fastball, big strike out. In High A, 174 00:08:57,600 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 3: he had a two point two e R a two 175 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:04,959 Speaker 3: point to zero FIP in eleven starts in Jupiter, eleven 176 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 3: point three to three ks per nine. And then he 177 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,439 Speaker 3: went up to Jacksonville and he had eight starts in 178 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 3: Jacksonville and he was great, you know, two point five 179 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:16,079 Speaker 3: sixty e R, a ten point oh one k per nine. 180 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 3: But he's a guy that I'm very excited about because 181 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 3: he's kind of like six sough. He had some trouble 182 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 3: with the home run I should should mention in twenty 183 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 3: nineteen or in his stint in Jacksonville, and that probably 184 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 3: just comes from facing better hitters. 185 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 2: But he. 186 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,240 Speaker 3: The way he jumped off the page in twenty nineteen 187 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:40,080 Speaker 3: and he leaped into because of how good he was, 188 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 3: he leaped into top one hundred lists. I would say 189 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 3: he's a consensus top one hundred prospect. Now Baseball America, 190 00:09:46,280 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 3: I saw what was the where did do they have 191 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 3: him rank? 192 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 2: Do you know the number? 193 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: So this is I'll get into this in a second. 194 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: They did drop him, I believe at the end of 195 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty he was number sixty two and the new 196 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: one he's down to eighty one. I'll get into that 197 00:10:00,760 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: in a second, but. 198 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know, he came out of nowhere. 199 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 3: At one point he was like ninety nine on pipeline 200 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,360 Speaker 3: and then they re ranked him and he moved up 201 00:10:10,400 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 3: into the eighties. So he clearly he's a quick riser. 202 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:16,080 Speaker 3: And I know you you have some comments on that 203 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 3: because of what we talked about the other day with him. 204 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 3: But he's a guy that he still needs some time. 205 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 3: So it was hard for me to pick him over 206 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:28,200 Speaker 3: a nightert because nighter it's a little closer to the 207 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 3: Biggs and Eddie needs some fine tuning. But his come 208 00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:36,719 Speaker 3: his stuff and the way he can get strikeouts. I 209 00:10:37,120 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 3: feel very confident that he'll be a good picture for 210 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 3: the Marlins. And you know, there are some people that 211 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 3: think that he is the ace and six tows to 212 00:10:44,800 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 3: the number two. I am personally not of that belief, 213 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 3: but the Marlins have a really good one in Edward Cabrera, 214 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 3: and I think if you hand him the ball, you 215 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 3: know he can he can make some guys swing and miss. 216 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 2: For sure. 217 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 1: Eddie just missed my top six. Him and Nier were 218 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: in some order seven and eight for me. Very different styles, 219 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: of course, and I probably agree that the best version 220 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: of Eddie is pretty incredible once he puts it all together. 221 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: I did mention he over this offseason just based on 222 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 1: where he was at the end of alternate training site 223 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:22,160 Speaker 1: during the summer base and compared to where he is 224 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: now in Baseball America, they dropped him almost twenty spots, 225 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: one of the bigger fallers out of anybody, and I 226 00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: was a little confused by that, and so actually Kyle 227 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:34,520 Speaker 1: Glazer of Baseball America reached out to me to explain, 228 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: like very briefly why that was. That they actually did 229 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:41,479 Speaker 1: have him higher than eighty one in their internal conversations 230 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 1: among the BA staff, but then from actual front office 231 00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:49,559 Speaker 1: officials from outside the Marlins organization, they were pretty consistent 232 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: that about moving him down. They called him a move 233 00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: down guy. Based on their feedback. It's still a little 234 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:58,839 Speaker 1: bit vague about what exactly their concerns are about him. 235 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 1: We know that the Marlins themselves are super high on him. 236 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:06,200 Speaker 1: I mean the way that Craig Mish reports about him. 237 00:12:06,960 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: I mean, he's kind of the one that almost started 238 00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 1: that debate between Eddie and Sixto, because there are people 239 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: within the Marlins organization that feel Eddie might actually be 240 00:12:15,880 --> 00:12:19,559 Speaker 1: the better prospect for whatever reason. Outside the organization, there's 241 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:22,439 Speaker 1: more debate about that. And he's he's a guy that's 242 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: I mean, with almost all these prospects, it's so difficult 243 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:26,720 Speaker 1: to judge us because he did not play in any 244 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:30,800 Speaker 1: official games this past year, but it was close to me. Instead, 245 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 1: who I have at number six is another prospect, another 246 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:38,080 Speaker 1: heart throwing right hander. It's Max Meyer, who was their 247 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 1: first round draft pick in twenty twenty, a guy that 248 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: in terms of just a prospects evaluation, I might actually 249 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:49,200 Speaker 1: have Eddie higher than Max Meyer. But in terms of 250 00:12:49,480 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: ones for this exercise about guys that I'd want in 251 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,839 Speaker 1: this situation winning a game for me right now, I mean, 252 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: what sticks out about Max is that he has that 253 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: one special pitch. He has that unhittable slider, a seventy 254 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 1: and eighty grade slider that's almost as perfect as any 255 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 1: pitch could be. In twenty nineteen, we had Spencer Morris 256 00:13:10,679 --> 00:13:13,320 Speaker 1: as well. No, just in twenty twenty, early twenty twenty, 257 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 1: we had Spencer Morris doing a lot of co hosting 258 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 1: on earning their stripes. He's someone that has studied. He 259 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 1: studies the amateur prospects way more than I do. When 260 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 1: of course, until just a few months ago, Max Meyer 261 00:13:23,960 --> 00:13:26,920 Speaker 1: was an amateur player that just popped on our radar 262 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 1: at the last minute because we didn't even think the 263 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: Marlins would take him at the top of the draft, right. 264 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 1: The expectation was Sick Lacey exactly, and they had the 265 00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 1: opportunity to take Lacey and they passed on him. This 266 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: very interesting decision, somewhat controversial, but Spencer has been beating 267 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 1: this drum about Max Meyer even before then. He thought, 268 00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: just mono, we mono, he preferred Max Meyer, and it'd 269 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 1: all come back to that slider. And I mean, just 270 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 1: really convenient timing that, you know, just a few hours 271 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,000 Speaker 1: before we record this, Spencer was. 272 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 2: Really saw his tweet. Yeah, I saw his stweet. I 273 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,760 Speaker 2: was going to that up. Yeah. 274 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 1: So from Spencer and I quote his sladder simply cannot 275 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 1: be overstated, not only the raw juice on it, but 276 00:14:07,960 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 1: his ability to play with the velocity and shape, throw 277 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: it in and out of the zone. It's just unfair 278 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 1: if I'm in this kind of situation where you want 279 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: to roll the dice on a pitcher that has no 280 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: official professional experience and just hope for the best. If 281 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: you get Meyer on the right day, where that slader 282 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 1: is working and he just throws it fifty percent of 283 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 1: the time and for the most part it's missing bats 284 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 1: and he's getting ahead in the count with it, then 285 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 1: I think good things could happen in that scenario. I mean, 286 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,200 Speaker 1: for as great as Eddie is, and Eddie has a 287 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 1: good breaking ball, and he has a great fastball as well, 288 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:49,960 Speaker 1: but in terms of that one potentially transcendent pitch, have 289 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 1: the one pitch that in terms of being a prospect, 290 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: I mean the fallback plan for Max Myris, he could 291 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 1: be a great reliever even if he doesn't have that 292 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: perfectly well rounded pitch mix, just because it is so 293 00:15:00,720 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: special and. 294 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 2: So could be. 295 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, that there were people that wanted Meyer out of 296 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 3: the pen down the stretch if they need a bullpen, 297 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 3: if the Marlins need a bullpen help because they that 298 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 3: his fastball slider com was already big league ready and 299 00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:18,280 Speaker 3: he had just rafted in June, and you know that 300 00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 3: would obviously never happen in a normal season. But with 301 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:25,440 Speaker 3: the way that COVID changed the year where they might 302 00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 3: have wanted him to get some innings. They were ready, 303 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 3: you know, there were people that were ready to do it. 304 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 3: Obviously ended up happening, but I mean, yeah, you you 305 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:40,320 Speaker 3: talked about it. Eli Meyer, according to pipeline, has a 306 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 3: seventy grade fastball and a seventy grade slider, whereas Eddie 307 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 3: has a seventy grade fastball and a sixty grade slider. 308 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 3: They both have the same grade change up at fifty five. 309 00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:52,920 Speaker 3: So they're both bringing that heat and they're both bringing 310 00:15:52,960 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 3: in a good hook. But like you said, one is 311 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 3: transcendent and and and one could be the pitch, you 312 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,320 Speaker 3: know what I mean that that could be that signature, 313 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 3: you know, de gram slider or something like that, where 314 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 3: that's what he's known for specifically. And Meyer, I actually 315 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 3: was really close to doing this as well. I just 316 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 3: couldn't because Eddie's pitched in the pros and Meyer hasn't. 317 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 3: And you know, there's definitely something to be said for 318 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,000 Speaker 3: pitching at the college level. It's a high level and 319 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 3: being you know, leading a staff in a in a 320 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 3: you know, I wouldn't say the Big Ten is the 321 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 3: best conference in college baseball, but it's still a power 322 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 3: five conference in college base you know, in college baseball. 323 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:37,400 Speaker 3: So there's something to be said for that. And I 324 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 3: was almost ready to do it. I was ready to 325 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 3: do it. But I mean the Marlins, you know, people 326 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 3: are are I mean, Meyer's ranked number three in our 327 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 3: system right now. He's a top fifty prospect according to Pipeline, 328 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: and and everybody is super high on him, and the 329 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 3: Marlins are you know, like you said, I think I 330 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 3: saw he was ranked ninth overall and the Marlins had 331 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 3: the third pick and they had the guy right in 332 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 3: front of them. They had Austin Martin, who's a great 333 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 3: prospect right in front of them, you know, a hitting 334 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 3: and they need some bats. And they had as Lacey 335 00:17:07,760 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 3: right in front of them, who was the you know, 336 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 3: sure fire number one pitcher off the board, and it 337 00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 3: went with Meyer. And that shows their belief in him 338 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:22,600 Speaker 3: and the kind of picture that they're looking for with 339 00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 3: this fastball and that hook. 340 00:17:25,320 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, the main reservation about Meyer, the knock on him, 341 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,399 Speaker 1: is that he's undersized for a starting picture that is 342 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 1: five to eleven is ish maybe six feet on the 343 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 1: right day. And you were and there's just not that 344 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: many examples of the guys that size holding up a 345 00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:40,200 Speaker 1: year after year after year of being a starter. But 346 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 1: I mean that's you throw that out the window for 347 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,920 Speaker 1: this exercise that we're doing. I mean, you're just focusing 348 00:17:45,960 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: on one game. So I threw that away. Shortened twenty 349 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 1: twenty season in Minnesota, struck out forty two percent of 350 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: batter's face as a starter in the starting role. I mean, 351 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: that's amazingly dominant for reliever. But when you're going three 352 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 1: times through a lineup college in a couple of these instances, 353 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 1: it's off the charts. And I mean they did their 354 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,360 Speaker 1: best to get him like actual pro experience this year. 355 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 1: They signed him in time for that full summer camp 356 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 1: thing at the start of the year where he was 357 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 1: at in Jupiter alongside six to zero and Trevor Rodgers 358 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:19,160 Speaker 1: who's coming up later, who some of the veterans as well. 359 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,840 Speaker 1: I mean, he got around all those guys during the 360 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 1: start of summer camp. Throughout the regular season. He was 361 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: still at the alternate training site as well, and they 362 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,119 Speaker 1: even kept him around a little longer than that for 363 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: instructional League. It was right after summer camp. They didn't 364 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 1: right after the season, they didn't send him home. They 365 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 1: kept him around for almost another month for instructionals, where 366 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 1: that was against more guys his own age. But through 367 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 1: that whole process, it's like four months of learning experience, 368 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 1: hands on with the coaches. I like to think that 369 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 1: helped prepare him, at least in some aspect. The Marlins 370 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 1: have that philosophy. First few weeks when you're in the organization, 371 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 1: they let you do your thing, but right after that 372 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,360 Speaker 1: they actually started coaching you up, and they actually start 373 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: making adjustment. And we'll have to see what exactly those 374 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 1: adjustments are. But for me, yeah, number six on here, 375 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 1: despite having no minor league experience whatsoever. 376 00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:12,560 Speaker 2: I think as soon as he get shows that, it 377 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: shows how close he is. 378 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 3: It shows how close he is to making an impact 379 00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 3: in this organization, you know, because when do we ever 380 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:25,119 Speaker 3: take college pitchers, and college pitchers can be ready to 381 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 3: make an impact. You know, Casey myes will probably be 382 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 3: in the Biggs this year and he was drafted what 383 00:19:30,760 --> 00:19:33,640 Speaker 3: a year or two ago, So yeah, you know, it's 384 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 3: such a different story when you're talking about a college 385 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,639 Speaker 3: pitcher as being more refined than you know, the usual 386 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 3: pictures like Trevor and Brax and Eddie and six. Do 387 00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 3: you know, who come in as sixteen year olds or 388 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:51,440 Speaker 3: whatever and you got to develop them from something raw, 389 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:55,080 Speaker 3: whereas they're already pretty refined in college and they still 390 00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:57,680 Speaker 3: you know, might need some fine tuning. But yeah, it 391 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,879 Speaker 3: makes such a difference when you have a guy that's 392 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 3: that ready to the point where he will probably be 393 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 3: in the Biggs. I'd say, if not in September, hopefully 394 00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:09,159 Speaker 3: opening day next. 395 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:14,360 Speaker 1: Year, go ahead with number five on your rankings. 396 00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:17,160 Speaker 3: All right, well you just mentioned him. I just mentioned him. 397 00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 3: The big left team, my favorite left in the system. 398 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:24,399 Speaker 3: It's Trevor Rodgers. This guy's a beast. I want to 399 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,480 Speaker 3: say he's like six six. He's listed at six to 400 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:32,320 Speaker 3: six on fangrafts. But I saw him up close when 401 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:34,440 Speaker 3: I went to the High A All Star game, and 402 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:35,000 Speaker 3: that dude. 403 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:35,919 Speaker 2: Looks like a basketball player. 404 00:20:36,480 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 3: He is a monster, And we saw him in the 405 00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 3: Biggs this year. I didn't expect to see him for 406 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 3: a minute wearing that ninety five. I kind of hope 407 00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:47,679 Speaker 3: he keeps that ninety five. That ninety five is kind 408 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 3: of sweet on the back of his jersey. But I've 409 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 3: been high on Rogers for a few years now. I 410 00:20:54,119 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 3: will say I was mad when the Marlins took him 411 00:20:56,000 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 3: because Fayeto was coming out that year from Florida, and 412 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:04,160 Speaker 3: I love Ato, and I really wanted Fayeto, but Rogers 413 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,120 Speaker 3: has made me bite my tongue completely. 414 00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 2: The guy has been tremendous and one thing that I. 415 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:10,960 Speaker 3: Don't think we talk about enough with him as the 416 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 3: strikeout numbers. In twenty eighteen, he had a ten point 417 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 3: five three k per nine in Greensboro in UH that 418 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,879 Speaker 3: was twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen, nine point nine to 419 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 3: five in High A, nine point six nine and five 420 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 3: starts in Double A, and then get this, in seven 421 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 3: starts in the big leagues last year he had twelve 422 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 3: point five four k's per nine. The way that he 423 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:38,239 Speaker 3: got swings and misses with that fastball was something that 424 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:41,680 Speaker 3: I was so impressed with right away in. 425 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:42,280 Speaker 2: His first start. 426 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,679 Speaker 3: In his first start, he was putting that fastball on 427 00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:47,520 Speaker 3: the outside part of the plate to lefties and they 428 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 3: weren't able to catch up to it, and he was 429 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 3: getting it up. 430 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 2: I pop out. 431 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 3: Around ninety spin in starts, maybe, but he was really 432 00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 3: sitting around ninety three ninety four area, which is even 433 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 3: harder than I thought he was gonna throw. So I 434 00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,520 Speaker 3: was super, super impressed with Rogers, and you know, he 435 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 3: got knocked around a little bit, and that's expected. He's 436 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:13,439 Speaker 3: not a polished prospect and reads that I you know, 437 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 3: was a little bit weary about putting him on this 438 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:18,840 Speaker 3: list is because I think he'll probably start He should 439 00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 3: at least start in the miners this year unless he 440 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,679 Speaker 3: has a really, really good it really impresses in the spring. 441 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:30,600 Speaker 3: But I loved what I saw from him in the 442 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,399 Speaker 3: in the league this year. You know, last year in 443 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,400 Speaker 3: Jupiter he was great. He had a two point five 444 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:39,399 Speaker 3: three e R, a two point seventy four FIP, and 445 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:43,479 Speaker 3: then a one point one zero whip. So I've been 446 00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 3: high on Rogers for a while now. I've been so 447 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 3: impressed with his strikeout numbers in the miners, and they 448 00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 3: translated to the bigs. He was getting a lot of 449 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,439 Speaker 3: swing and miss, like I said, on the fastball, but 450 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 3: also on the off speed stuff, and the big the 451 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:56,959 Speaker 3: big league hitting just kind of caught up to him 452 00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:59,400 Speaker 3: a little bit. You know, he had some command issues. 453 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:04,160 Speaker 3: He was couldn't you know. Guys were taking his pitches 454 00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 3: a lot, and he was his walks were way up 455 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 3: from where they were in the minors. 456 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 2: But I'd like Trevor a lot. 457 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:14,879 Speaker 3: I think he's a very very good prospect out of 458 00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,440 Speaker 3: the two lefties in the minor leagues. I'm probably higher 459 00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:22,000 Speaker 3: on him than Bras because he throws harder. But I 460 00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:26,120 Speaker 3: think he is the left the lefty in the Marlins 461 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 3: system right now, because one, they don't have. 462 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,360 Speaker 2: One at the big league level if I'm correct. 463 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:35,239 Speaker 3: And two, yeah, like I said, out of the two 464 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:37,639 Speaker 3: lefties that kind of go together in my mind. 465 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:40,000 Speaker 2: You know, they were drafted back to back years, and they're. 466 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 3: Always pretty much ranked right next to each other on 467 00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:46,080 Speaker 3: prospect lists. I'm a little bit higher on Trevor, and 468 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,440 Speaker 3: so I felt pretty good about him every time he 469 00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 3: gave him the ball in in in uh you know, 470 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,120 Speaker 3: when he was up this year, and so i'd feel 471 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:56,200 Speaker 3: good about him going out there. 472 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: Now we're on the same page with Trevor. He's number 473 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,679 Speaker 1: five on my ranking as well, and just the surface 474 00:24:02,680 --> 00:24:06,760 Speaker 1: stats six to eleven ERA in a super short rookie season, 475 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: and the fit tell's a better story. The four point 476 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: three to three right around league average. But when you 477 00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,040 Speaker 1: were watching him, and I think anybody could agree watching him, 478 00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: he even seemed more impressive than that, And so you 479 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 1: dig a little bit deeper, and what I think represents 480 00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: his performance a little bit more is his expected weighted 481 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,080 Speaker 1: on base, which is a stat that comes from stat 482 00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:29,920 Speaker 1: Cast that they've been monitoring the last handful of years, 483 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: a two seventy eight expected weighted on base where league 484 00:24:33,280 --> 00:24:36,640 Speaker 1: average is about three twenty. He was well better than 485 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 1: league average in his way down base and even when 486 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,400 Speaker 1: guys put balls in play more often than not, they 487 00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:45,440 Speaker 1: were just hits that were finding holes in the defense. 488 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 1: That again, this is stuff that's outside of his control. 489 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: Just digging a little deeper in terms of what he 490 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,240 Speaker 1: can control. The sequencing of when those hits happened was 491 00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,439 Speaker 1: kind of unlucky, Like there were some big crooked numbers 492 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,639 Speaker 1: put up against him that if you just spread out 493 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 1: those those base runner so over a larger sample of 494 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 1: endings than he would have been a lot more effective 495 00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,439 Speaker 1: in you know, the run prevention department. That, yeah, just 496 00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 1: by watching him so impressive more so than anything. I mean, 497 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 1: the fastball, not just the vell as you mentioned the 498 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 1: vello is better than advertised, but also the commands was 499 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 1: better than advertised. Of that, so many strikeouts that he 500 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: had looking on the corners perfectly at the knees. It was, Yeah, 501 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: you rarely see that. I mean, frankly, even from some 502 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,560 Speaker 1: of these guys ahead of him on the list that 503 00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:31,879 Speaker 1: I don't even know if I trust their fastball command. 504 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:34,320 Speaker 1: It's not just saw from him in that limited sample. 505 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 1: Got his feet wet a little bit. In the postseason, 506 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,880 Speaker 1: he got that one relief appearance at the End's kind 507 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,040 Speaker 1: of in mop up duty. But that's better than nothing 508 00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:44,640 Speaker 1: if you actually want to know what switch out from 509 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: him in the most high pressured of situations. But that's 510 00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,920 Speaker 1: all I have to say about him. He was more 511 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 1: impressive than the stats would indicate, and I think just 512 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,639 Speaker 1: really pleasant surprise from twenty to twenty. 513 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 3: So I just want to follow up on the bad 514 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 3: luck factor that you're talking about with him, and he 515 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,440 Speaker 3: did have a lot of it. I was gonna mention 516 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,159 Speaker 3: that just from watching his starts, But he had a 517 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:12,080 Speaker 3: three eighty babbit batting average on balls and play, which 518 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,680 Speaker 3: is really high, which suggests that he either had some 519 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 3: lack of defense behind him or he just had some 520 00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:24,200 Speaker 3: bad luck where guys were just finding holes. And but overall, yeah, 521 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:27,439 Speaker 3: I was surprised that the stats were that high. Like 522 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,119 Speaker 3: you said, the FIP tells a little bit better story. 523 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,040 Speaker 3: I feel like he was pretty league average for the 524 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 3: most part, which for a guy that had never pitched 525 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 3: above double A and we didn't expect to see in 526 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:42,240 Speaker 3: the Biggs this year, league average was really good. And 527 00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 3: that strikeout number is extremely impressive. So I'm very high 528 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:47,960 Speaker 3: on Trevor, very high. 529 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:52,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, go ahead with number four, all right. 530 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,879 Speaker 3: The next guy is a guy that we talked about recently, 531 00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:59,119 Speaker 3: Eli because of the article that I just wrote for 532 00:26:59,240 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 3: Fish Stripes that out about Adam Otovino. But this is 533 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:08,639 Speaker 3: Eliezer Hernandez, and I didn't realize how impressive Eliezer. 534 00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:09,800 Speaker 1: Well. 535 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,720 Speaker 2: Last year. His numbers were really really good. 536 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 3: He had a three point one six e RA, a 537 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:17,880 Speaker 3: eleven point nine to two case er nine. He only 538 00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:21,480 Speaker 3: had six starts. But this is a guy that he's 539 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:24,680 Speaker 3: on the Marlins roster now and I've floated him around 540 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:27,440 Speaker 3: there at around out there as a trade piece because 541 00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 3: he has value. But while he's here, take advantage of 542 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:35,880 Speaker 3: the fact that he's been pretty solid. He was really 543 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 3: good last year, really really impressive last year. And you know, 544 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:44,440 Speaker 3: I don't know how he factors into the long term plans. 545 00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:46,680 Speaker 3: I'm not sure he does. I think the Marlins are 546 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:48,639 Speaker 3: going to kind of want to go He was a 547 00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:51,959 Speaker 3: Rule five pick, right. I think that the Marlins are 548 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:55,520 Speaker 3: gonna kind of want to go younger and and go 549 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,199 Speaker 3: more towards their prospects. He's only twenty five, but I 550 00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,240 Speaker 3: feel like they want to go towards these in house 551 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 3: guys that they've been grooming more. So it might leave 552 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 3: him kind of on the outskirts. But while he've got him, 553 00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:08,840 Speaker 3: Like I said, while you've got him, you might as 554 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:11,399 Speaker 3: well take advantage because he's been great and he was 555 00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:15,200 Speaker 3: big in some big games this year, and so I 556 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 3: think they've got a nice piece to just kind of 557 00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:22,159 Speaker 3: keep some stability in the rotation if they want it 558 00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:25,160 Speaker 3: right now where they could move him because he has 559 00:28:25,200 --> 00:28:27,920 Speaker 3: a lot of trade value, or they could keep him 560 00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 3: and he could be very valuable to your rotation. So 561 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:33,320 Speaker 3: it's a good piece to have in the rotation right now. 562 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 2: To two and he got him up in a way 563 00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,120 Speaker 2: Wanshoto rare strikeout. 564 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,719 Speaker 1: I assumed that you would have him even lower because 565 00:28:44,880 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 1: of how excited you are to trade him, like you 566 00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 1: almost every proposal that I guess this states back to 567 00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: probably during the season. I mean it's not just you, you know, 568 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 1: it's some other fans as well that they're just like 569 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 1: waiting for him to come back down to earth, and 570 00:28:57,240 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 1: they kind of seem want to get rid of him 571 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,200 Speaker 1: before that happens. He doesn't have that, he doesn't have 572 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:03,920 Speaker 1: that big fastball. I mean, that's the one thing that 573 00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:08,240 Speaker 1: stands out is in terms of vel compared to everybody else, 574 00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 1: Like even in this discussion, I mean, it's kind of 575 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,920 Speaker 1: from the same realm as Nick Knier, but Nick Knider 576 00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 1: is more polished pitcher overall. I mean, the big breakout 577 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 1: with Elaser was with his slider starting in twenty nineteen 578 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,840 Speaker 1: actually where I mean that season was more up and down, 579 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 1: but he was finally able to get swings and misses 580 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:29,840 Speaker 1: with that, and he really put it together during limited 581 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,160 Speaker 1: time in twenty twenty. He's the one guy here that 582 00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: is coming off an injury, but that was five months ago, 583 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,240 Speaker 1: and when asked about it, that was with a latin muscle. 584 00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:43,000 Speaker 1: It was nothing structurally wrong, no surgery, And when Kim 585 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 1: Ang was asked about this a couple months ago, she 586 00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: already said that they don't have any linkering injuries from 587 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: the season that he's going to be good to go, 588 00:29:49,400 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 1: and so that's why he's eligible for this, even though 589 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:56,080 Speaker 1: he ended the regular season on the il. But I mean, yeah, 590 00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 1: to me, he is pretty yeah this part of the 591 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,480 Speaker 1: It was really tough for me to split hairs because 592 00:30:02,480 --> 00:30:05,480 Speaker 1: he's a lot different from someone like Trevor Rodgers, obviously 593 00:30:05,520 --> 00:30:09,120 Speaker 1: stylistically in terms of his lack of prospect pedigree and 594 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 1: in terms of his velo. Honestly, the one thing holding 595 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: him back, because I mean last year an era in 596 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:20,120 Speaker 1: the low threes strucking out his strikeout rate was almost 597 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: as high as Trevor's, was that the performance was really 598 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:25,800 Speaker 1: great and he actually got the results to kind of 599 00:30:25,840 --> 00:30:27,800 Speaker 1: back it up. I mean, the one thing that holds 600 00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 1: it back for me is that this lingering issue he 601 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 1: has that I think the Marlins are attributing it to 602 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 1: a blister that develops on his fingers every time he 603 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: makes a start. Like people notice that even when he 604 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 1: was pretty dominant in some starts his past year, that 605 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 1: they did not trust him to go three times through 606 00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,720 Speaker 1: the order. They didn't trust him to go deep into games. 607 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 1: He hasn't pitched into the seventh inning with the Marlin. 608 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 1: He's been on the major league roster last three years 609 00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: and he hasn't pitched into the seventh inning and he 610 00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 1: start career high just one hundred and one pitches. And 611 00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:02,000 Speaker 1: for the we just don't know if there's gonna be 612 00:31:02,040 --> 00:31:04,320 Speaker 1: anything they can do to really resolve that, or if 613 00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 1: there's any adjustments he can make about that. And so 614 00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 1: for me, that does put a little bit of limit 615 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,320 Speaker 1: on exactly what you would get for him in any 616 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,880 Speaker 1: individual game, right, because if we're looking at this. 617 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 2: In terms of. 618 00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 3: In your getting five to six innings, and those are 619 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,080 Speaker 3: good innings, you know what I mean, he had a 620 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:23,640 Speaker 3: lot of starts where it was five or six and 621 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 3: then you know, you'd have to turn it over the pen, 622 00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,960 Speaker 3: and with the way that it was in twenty twenty, 623 00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:30,720 Speaker 3: the pen was taxed all the time. 624 00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I've I'm really impressed with him. I think 625 00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:37,360 Speaker 1: there's something sustainable here with this letter and also just 626 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: the fact that he pounds his own He is right 627 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:40,720 Speaker 1: up there at the top of the league in terms 628 00:31:40,760 --> 00:31:43,080 Speaker 1: of pitches that he actually throws in the strike zone, 629 00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 1: and that can get him in trouble with home runs. 630 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: I mean, he has a mixed track record with actually 631 00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 1: keeping the ball in the park. All things considered, though, 632 00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:53,800 Speaker 1: I think he's pretty good. I'm not as eager to 633 00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,000 Speaker 1: trade him as some other people are, but I understand 634 00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:59,520 Speaker 1: both sides. But I'm hopeful that they hold on to 635 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 1: him for a little while longer because he's he's legit, 636 00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:04,040 Speaker 1: he's really solid. 637 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,000 Speaker 3: I'll say here that I'm not as hope I'm not 638 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 3: necessarily eager to trade him with the way that I 639 00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:15,280 Speaker 3: was with Caleb, because I saw Caleb, I saw the 640 00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:20,400 Speaker 3: crash down to Earth coming a little bit. I just 641 00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:25,520 Speaker 3: think we need bats, and we need an impact bat. 642 00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 3: And so when Eliezer has the value that he does, 643 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,400 Speaker 3: where he can be included in a trade for an 644 00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:35,480 Speaker 3: impact bat, that's that's just where you know, my tendency 645 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,880 Speaker 3: to include him in trades is is because there are 646 00:32:37,960 --> 00:32:40,880 Speaker 3: a lot of options out there where you're looking at 647 00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 3: it and you're looking at, Okay, what could this you know, 648 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 3: what what would this deal kind of look like? And 649 00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 3: everything kind of involves Eliezer, you know what I mean? 650 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:55,120 Speaker 3: Like even Ben and Tendee, you know, there are the 651 00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 3: rumors about Ben and Tendy where they say, oh, they 652 00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,880 Speaker 3: want a bad and a picture you know they want. 653 00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 3: The only reason you say, well, you know you wouldn't 654 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,480 Speaker 3: say laser is because it said that they want a 655 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 3: non forty man pitch or whatever, so they want to 656 00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 3: go young with their pitching. But that could be another 657 00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,400 Speaker 3: deal where you could, you know, because of the value 658 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:17,240 Speaker 3: that he has, where he can lock down a fourth 659 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,520 Speaker 3: or fifth spot in the rotation, you know, eat some 660 00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:21,160 Speaker 3: innings for you. 661 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:22,520 Speaker 2: Like you said, there is the you know. 662 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 3: The issue with longevity, but he can get you five 663 00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,960 Speaker 3: or six really good innings. And like you said, said, 664 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,160 Speaker 3: you know he had six starts to see he only 665 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 3: had one decision, so you know that's either him not 666 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:35,640 Speaker 3: going very long or not getting to the point of 667 00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 3: the game where the game is decided. So but I 668 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,440 Speaker 3: think he's solid enough to hand him the ball. And 669 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:45,040 Speaker 3: if you have you know, if you can get him six, 670 00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:48,160 Speaker 3: you need three guys out of the pen, seven, eight, nine, 671 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 3: you know, if all goes well. 672 00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,400 Speaker 2: So is he your number four? Is he not on 673 00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:52,840 Speaker 2: your list? 674 00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 1: No, he's number four. I mean we halfway through these lists. 675 00:33:56,520 --> 00:33:59,880 Speaker 1: We're calling this working title for this the series to 676 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: Aces opens here suggestions to fans in terms of what 677 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,280 Speaker 1: you guys want to call this, but yeah, our pitchers 678 00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 1: that we trust most must win game right now. Halfway 679 00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 1: through Ethan with number six Edward Cabrera, number five, Trevor Rodgers, 680 00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:15,720 Speaker 1: number four, Eliezer Hernandez and for me number six Max Meyer, 681 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:20,840 Speaker 1: number five Rogers and number four Eliezer. So we're halfway through. 682 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,120 Speaker 1: Heading back to you. For number three, I imagine that 683 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:26,520 Speaker 1: we have the same three at the top, but we'll 684 00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:28,360 Speaker 1: see exactly what order those guys are in. 685 00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 3: So I'm curious to see if we agree on number three, 686 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 3: because I feel like number one is probably the same, 687 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:37,400 Speaker 3: and then number two and three might be able to 688 00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:41,600 Speaker 3: play around with. But the guy, even though he was 689 00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:45,520 Speaker 3: tremendous in the playoffs this year in two starts, I 690 00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,640 Speaker 3: thought he was really really good in two starts this year, 691 00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:51,799 Speaker 3: I'm gonna put Sandy at number three. And it's just 692 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 3: because he gets a little wild sometimes, and like I said, 693 00:34:57,080 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 3: he was he was great in Chicago. Let me see 694 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,640 Speaker 3: if I can find the numbers on the playoffs. He 695 00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,879 Speaker 3: was great in Chicago. I was so impressed with how 696 00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:12,680 Speaker 3: he did in Chicago in that in that playoff game, 697 00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:17,080 Speaker 3: and he was pretty good against Atlanta too, and and 698 00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:19,880 Speaker 3: he is. He is the ace of this staff. So 699 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:21,919 Speaker 3: it sounds weird to say, you know, in a mess 700 00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,640 Speaker 3: win game that he wouldn't give the ball to your ace. 701 00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:28,720 Speaker 3: But like I said, he just gets a little wild 702 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:33,360 Speaker 3: and gets knocked around sometimes. Against Atlanta he had you know, 703 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,840 Speaker 3: he let up eight hits in five runs. They you know, 704 00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 3: they jumped on that fastball. They got to him. They 705 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,640 Speaker 3: knocked him around pretty good. You know, Acunya took him 706 00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:44,680 Speaker 3: deep or whatever. But you know against Chicago, six point 707 00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:48,160 Speaker 3: two innings, six and two thirds innings, three hits, one run, 708 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 3: you know, four strikeouts. He had eight strikeouts against the Braves. 709 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:53,040 Speaker 2: And and. 710 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,280 Speaker 3: I would have him higher if I trusted his command 711 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 3: day in and day out more. I'm so high on Sandy. 712 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 3: His stuff is electric. He was so great at times 713 00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:10,600 Speaker 3: this year, even coming you know, coming back from dealing 714 00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:11,600 Speaker 3: with COVID nineteen. 715 00:36:12,280 --> 00:36:15,000 Speaker 2: I mean, his road number is better than his own numbers. 716 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:20,520 Speaker 3: Another strikeout of Stanton Love Sandy, And I think that 717 00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:22,440 Speaker 3: right now, I would say he's the. 718 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:23,240 Speaker 2: Ace of the staff. 719 00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:25,760 Speaker 3: But there are just two guys that I would trust 720 00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 3: a little bit more on the mound in a must 721 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,320 Speaker 3: win game, and they were actually guys that I wanted 722 00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,240 Speaker 3: the Marlins to go to, but Sandy proved me wrong. 723 00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,960 Speaker 3: He was really really good against Chicago, and he was 724 00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:39,960 Speaker 3: I thought. I think that line that he had against 725 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,640 Speaker 3: the Braves was a little harsh because it felt like 726 00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:44,920 Speaker 3: he pitched a lot better than that. It felt like 727 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:46,960 Speaker 3: he pitched a lot better than an eight hit, five 728 00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:50,120 Speaker 3: run games. So but I love what we saw from 729 00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:53,800 Speaker 3: Sandy this year, and he should lead the staff going 730 00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,319 Speaker 3: into this next season. I want to see him get 731 00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,839 Speaker 3: the ball on opening day. He was the opening day 732 00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:00,839 Speaker 3: starter this past season, and I hope he is again 733 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:01,279 Speaker 3: this year. 734 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, in that Braves game, there were a few inherited 735 00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:07,440 Speaker 1: runners that they let in. I mean that was a 736 00:37:07,640 --> 00:37:10,640 Speaker 1: game that Jeamy Garcia finally came back down to earth 737 00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:14,520 Speaker 1: after that amazing season he put together. Yeah, he just 738 00:37:14,600 --> 00:37:16,640 Speaker 1: choked in that situation, and that was with I think 739 00:37:16,680 --> 00:37:18,720 Speaker 1: he took over with a couple guys in scoring position 740 00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:20,600 Speaker 1: and they came around to score. So yeah, even in 741 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:24,040 Speaker 1: that second second playoff start, he was he pretty much 742 00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:27,120 Speaker 1: did his job. And you said it in terms of 743 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,759 Speaker 1: a guy that keeps proving us wrong. I mean, I'm 744 00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:33,840 Speaker 1: definitely someone that I remember pretty deep into twenty nineteenth 745 00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,520 Speaker 1: season feeling that he should get sent down to Triple A. 746 00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,279 Speaker 1: That he was he had all this great stuff, but 747 00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:42,760 Speaker 1: he was not harnessing it. He was not missing bats, 748 00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:47,240 Speaker 1: and I just I thought he needed some tinkering midway 749 00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 1: through that twenty nineteen season, and he made those adjustments. 750 00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I was gonna say he did tinker. 751 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,920 Speaker 3: He tinkered a little bit with the way he was 752 00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:58,239 Speaker 3: approaching hitters. 753 00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:01,000 Speaker 1: There's a pretty clear line to me, right at the 754 00:38:01,120 --> 00:38:03,800 Speaker 1: end of July in twenty nineteen. It was actually after 755 00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:05,719 Speaker 1: that he named him an All Star, And it was 756 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 1: actually not only until after the All Star Game that 757 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:11,920 Speaker 1: I felt he really locked in. I mean, there's a frankly, 758 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 1: it's been That's That's the thing about him is that 759 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,640 Speaker 1: he since then the last couple months of twenty nineteen, 760 00:38:17,680 --> 00:38:22,399 Speaker 1: all throughout twenty twenty, that he's going to give you something, Representatives, 761 00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,160 Speaker 1: he's gonna help, he's going to contribute something. He doesn't 762 00:38:25,160 --> 00:38:27,919 Speaker 1: get crushed. He doesn't get crushed anymore. He always has. 763 00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:32,719 Speaker 1: He has a great way of composing himself in rough situations, 764 00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:36,799 Speaker 1: and of course he has that amazing v low and 765 00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:40,320 Speaker 1: sinking movement on his fastball. That is able to repeatedly 766 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:43,319 Speaker 1: keep the ball on the ground. That's something that is 767 00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:47,360 Speaker 1: I think pretty sustainable, even though he's someone that the 768 00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:49,759 Speaker 1: stats don't fully back up what he's been doing. He's 769 00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,120 Speaker 1: a guy that throughout his career the FIP is a 770 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,680 Speaker 1: lot higher than the era first career, it's like eight 771 00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,000 Speaker 1: tenths of a run difference between the three seven to 772 00:38:57,000 --> 00:39:00,719 Speaker 1: one era the four four nine FIP out. But he's 773 00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,560 Speaker 1: a guy that, to me, is going to continue to 774 00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 1: overperform what that says because of the way that his 775 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,880 Speaker 1: stuff moves, and I'd say more so than anybody else 776 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,719 Speaker 1: in the high levels of the organization. He does have 777 00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,160 Speaker 1: a deep pitch mix. It's the sinker, He's able to 778 00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:18,520 Speaker 1: throw a four steamer as well. It's multiple raaking balls, 779 00:39:18,520 --> 00:39:21,719 Speaker 1: both a slider and an occasional curve. And the change up. 780 00:39:21,840 --> 00:39:24,680 Speaker 1: The changeup is nasty. I mean, his change up is 781 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:28,200 Speaker 1: as hard as Eliezer's fastball. That's something that regularly gets 782 00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:32,560 Speaker 1: over ninety and has amazing dip to it, and he's 783 00:39:32,640 --> 00:39:35,759 Speaker 1: able to especially this past season, smaller sample size, but 784 00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,480 Speaker 1: he was missing more bats than ever before this year 785 00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:40,960 Speaker 1: or more so, like if you really dig into it. 786 00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:44,160 Speaker 1: He was always missing bats before, but this time he's 787 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:48,400 Speaker 1: actually converting them into strikeouts. And that's something that is 788 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,399 Speaker 1: a really fascinating thing to study in terms of when 789 00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:53,920 Speaker 1: you can actually get those whiffs with two strikes when 790 00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,320 Speaker 1: they actually are really really important. And he just continues 791 00:39:57,360 --> 00:40:00,480 Speaker 1: to really really impress me. He is the most experienced 792 00:40:00,520 --> 00:40:04,120 Speaker 1: guy in the organization right now, which is crazy to think. 793 00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 2: About it, which is crazy. It is crazy. It is crazy. 794 00:40:06,640 --> 00:40:09,560 Speaker 3: But I'll tell you what, eli I actually, funny enough, 795 00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:16,080 Speaker 3: did a paper for a class about Sandy and the 796 00:40:16,080 --> 00:40:19,839 Speaker 3: way he changed when he started tunnel using that sinker more, 797 00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:23,719 Speaker 3: and how he was one type of picture when he 798 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:25,719 Speaker 3: wasn't using the sinker a lot, and then he was 799 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:28,680 Speaker 3: a completely different type of picture when he started using 800 00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:30,840 Speaker 3: the sinker a lot, and he was getting more. 801 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:31,440 Speaker 2: Swings and misses. 802 00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,880 Speaker 3: And we were all concerned about the fact that Stanny's 803 00:40:35,000 --> 00:40:36,800 Speaker 3: got this big stuff and he's just, you know, supposed 804 00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:39,080 Speaker 3: to be this big strikeout picture because of the high 805 00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,800 Speaker 3: v low and the good slider, and when he first 806 00:40:41,840 --> 00:40:44,000 Speaker 3: came up with the Marlins, he wasn't getting a ton 807 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,759 Speaker 3: of swings and miss but I just kept saying, it's 808 00:40:46,800 --> 00:40:50,040 Speaker 3: working you know, it doesn't matter how it happened. 809 00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:53,680 Speaker 2: It was working in in you know, in twenty eight. 810 00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,160 Speaker 3: In twenty nineteen when he had that full year and 811 00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:57,840 Speaker 3: he had those couple starts, you know, he had the 812 00:40:57,880 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 3: complete game and then I think he had a. 813 00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:02,960 Speaker 2: Did he pitch two complete games that year? 814 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:05,120 Speaker 3: I know he threw a maddox once, which was the 815 00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:06,719 Speaker 3: craziest thing to the. 816 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:07,480 Speaker 1: Two complete games? 817 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:12,239 Speaker 3: Yeah, two shutouts, Sandy Algont throw a maddox. Yeah, he 818 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:17,120 Speaker 3: had two complete game shutouts that year. And I just 819 00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 3: said that it doesn't matter. He's one of those guys 820 00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:25,480 Speaker 3: where it shouldn't work because he, you know, was they 821 00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,920 Speaker 3: putting the ball in playout and it was hard contact, 822 00:41:28,960 --> 00:41:32,440 Speaker 3: but it just does somehow. I don't know how. But 823 00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:35,799 Speaker 3: it doesn't matter because he gets the results and he was. 824 00:41:35,920 --> 00:41:37,319 Speaker 2: He was really good this year. 825 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:42,359 Speaker 3: And and like you said, the strikeouts went from his 826 00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,560 Speaker 3: k per nine twenty nineteen, why a full thirty two 827 00:41:45,719 --> 00:41:49,120 Speaker 3: game season was six point eight nine and in twenty 828 00:41:49,160 --> 00:41:51,200 Speaker 3: twenty was eight point three six. So that's a that's 829 00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:53,440 Speaker 3: a big improvement and that's something the Marlins will be 830 00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:57,480 Speaker 3: looking for. And that's that sinker is a pitch that 831 00:41:57,600 --> 00:41:59,400 Speaker 3: was getting a ton of swing and miss, and it 832 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 3: was really that was what did it for him. That 833 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,799 Speaker 3: was the adjustment that he made, and it was right, 834 00:42:06,160 --> 00:42:09,600 Speaker 3: like you said in July, it was right when that 835 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:11,840 Speaker 3: was right when he started using it more. It correlates, 836 00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:15,200 Speaker 3: I remember because I did this paper on but that 837 00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:19,000 Speaker 3: was exactly when it correlated with the increased sinker usage 838 00:42:19,360 --> 00:42:21,040 Speaker 3: and the increased results. 839 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,080 Speaker 1: I'm such a believer now in Sandy in terms of 840 00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:28,000 Speaker 1: the results in the recent consistency and the intangibles for 841 00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:30,560 Speaker 1: what those are worth. That he's not number three, he 842 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 1: is higher on the list for me, my number three guy. 843 00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah. 844 00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,319 Speaker 1: And this is the toughest decision on the list for me, 845 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:39,320 Speaker 1: between Sandy and my number three guy, who is Pablo. 846 00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:42,719 Speaker 1: Pablo Lopez. I was super I was as high as 847 00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:45,799 Speaker 1: could be on Pablo entering twenty twenty. I predicted he'd 848 00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:48,040 Speaker 1: be the best picture in the rotation, the most valuable 849 00:42:48,040 --> 00:42:50,480 Speaker 1: picture in the rotation. And he was. I mean mainly 850 00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:53,200 Speaker 1: because he just stayed healthy the whole year. He avoided COVID. 851 00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:54,799 Speaker 1: I don't know, there's not really any skill in that. 852 00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,880 Speaker 1: He just got kind of lucky. But it was a 853 00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:00,319 Speaker 1: career year for him in twenty twenty, I mean for 854 00:43:00,360 --> 00:43:03,040 Speaker 1: his career overall, a four to four seven ERA, a 855 00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:05,960 Speaker 1: four point zero three FIP, but way better than that. 856 00:43:06,080 --> 00:43:09,960 Speaker 1: Both departments during twenty twenty got way more. He took 857 00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,040 Speaker 1: a page out of Sandy's books. He got even more 858 00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:15,200 Speaker 1: ground balls than Sandy did in twenty twenty. A big 859 00:43:15,239 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 1: part of that being his change up. He's had a 860 00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:19,279 Speaker 1: great change up ever since he came up, and he 861 00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:22,239 Speaker 1: started using it more and it was really successful for 862 00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,960 Speaker 1: him in terms of gang ground balls, missing a few 863 00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:28,279 Speaker 1: more bats than ever before. He pitched once in the postseason, 864 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,400 Speaker 1: and he did pretty well against the Braves. I mean, 865 00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:32,600 Speaker 1: he had the best start out of anyone in that series, 866 00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 1: even though they ended up losing that game, getting swept 867 00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:38,480 Speaker 1: in the series. So he got that experience under his belt. 868 00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:42,880 Speaker 1: He can't say enough about him, his intangibles and his 869 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:46,960 Speaker 1: character and how much how important he is to the clubhouse. 870 00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,640 Speaker 1: I mean, he's just the nicest person you got ever 871 00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:52,320 Speaker 1: think of, and someone that doesn't quite have the same 872 00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:56,799 Speaker 1: potential as the same raw stuff as Sandy, or as 873 00:43:56,840 --> 00:43:59,480 Speaker 1: six to Do or as some of the other guys 874 00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:03,359 Speaker 1: who've already, but he is He's really clever, and he 875 00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:06,280 Speaker 1: puts a lot of effort into into getting the most 876 00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:09,440 Speaker 1: out of his stuff and put together amazing game plan 877 00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:13,840 Speaker 1: to maximize his success. Like he's the guy that you 878 00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 1: would hope I mean, he's one that technically was not 879 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 1: part of this rebuilds. He was already here acquired a 880 00:44:20,280 --> 00:44:23,600 Speaker 1: final few months before the ownership change. Uh, And I 881 00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:24,440 Speaker 1: hope that they. 882 00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:25,799 Speaker 2: I still consider him. 883 00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:27,920 Speaker 3: I still kind of consider him part of that rebuild 884 00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:31,480 Speaker 3: because that was kind of the you know, Lauria and 885 00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:33,120 Speaker 3: all of them were kind of on the way out, 886 00:44:33,440 --> 00:44:35,280 Speaker 3: and that was kind of when Mike Hill was allowed 887 00:44:35,320 --> 00:44:36,799 Speaker 3: to just really do his thing, and I thought he 888 00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:38,680 Speaker 3: did a great job at the end. 889 00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:40,880 Speaker 2: There, you know, that was in that. 890 00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:44,000 Speaker 3: Flurry of trades where like he was he in the 891 00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:46,920 Speaker 3: de Gordon trade or was he in the that was. 892 00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:50,359 Speaker 1: The David Phelps trade? David Phelps, right. 893 00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:52,320 Speaker 2: They were both the Mariners. 894 00:44:52,480 --> 00:44:55,160 Speaker 3: So Phelps went to the Mariners and got Pablo, and 895 00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:57,600 Speaker 3: then Dee went to the Mariners and got Nidered. 896 00:44:58,320 --> 00:45:05,560 Speaker 2: But I remember, you know, when Pablo over thinking that. 897 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:10,719 Speaker 3: He was a five or a four or a swing arm, 898 00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:14,520 Speaker 3: kind of I see him as a as a three 899 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:18,720 Speaker 3: going forward, if if you know, maybe he gets bumped 900 00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:22,200 Speaker 3: down because you know, you you look at the Marlins 901 00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:26,080 Speaker 3: having Sandy and six Dow and Eddie, maybe he gets 902 00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:28,719 Speaker 3: bumped down to that four spot. But I think on 903 00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:32,000 Speaker 3: a team with less pitching depth, you could look at 904 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:36,080 Speaker 3: Pablo as a two or three and and like you said, 905 00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:38,040 Speaker 3: it's his composure. 906 00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:41,799 Speaker 2: And I don't I don't know if you were. 907 00:45:41,719 --> 00:45:44,359 Speaker 3: Done talking about him before I go into He's he's 908 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,480 Speaker 3: next on my list, He's number two And the reason 909 00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:51,680 Speaker 3: that I have him over Sandy is because of the 910 00:45:51,680 --> 00:45:56,560 Speaker 3: intangibles that you talked about. I almost put him number one, 911 00:45:57,080 --> 00:46:02,279 Speaker 3: because I actually wanted him in game two in Chicago, 912 00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:08,879 Speaker 3: because I looked at it as either either up and 913 00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:11,439 Speaker 3: you go to him to shut it down. You're either 914 00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,040 Speaker 3: you're up one nothing and you're you give it to him, 915 00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:19,160 Speaker 3: or you're down one nothing, you're down oh one, you 916 00:46:19,200 --> 00:46:22,000 Speaker 3: give him the ball and get to that game three 917 00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:25,120 Speaker 3: where you can give the ball to six Dough and say, 918 00:46:25,160 --> 00:46:27,520 Speaker 3: here you go, kid, you know this is your moment, 919 00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:30,680 Speaker 3: show us what you got and and go out swinging. 920 00:46:31,719 --> 00:46:34,280 Speaker 3: And I actually wanted Pablo in game two, and I 921 00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:36,839 Speaker 3: kind of wanted Pablo in game two against Atlanta. I 922 00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:39,360 Speaker 3: didn't like that we put him on the mound down 923 00:46:40,239 --> 00:46:43,000 Speaker 3: down to nothing already, because that's serious. But let's face it, 924 00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 3: that serious. You know, once six dough blew up and everything, 925 00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:47,160 Speaker 3: that series was over. 926 00:46:48,320 --> 00:46:52,560 Speaker 2: So I yeah, I've got. 927 00:46:52,560 --> 00:46:55,200 Speaker 3: Him at number two because of that demeanor that he 928 00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:59,319 Speaker 3: has and his improve change up his case. His case 929 00:46:59,320 --> 00:47:02,040 Speaker 3: per nine went up from seven point six eight to 930 00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:05,160 Speaker 3: nine point twenty six last season, and his e r 931 00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:09,160 Speaker 3: A dipped. His f i P was actually about zero 932 00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:12,360 Speaker 3: point six lower than his e r A it was. 933 00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:13,920 Speaker 3: He had a three point six one r A and 934 00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:15,960 Speaker 3: a point nine to FIP. I'm bad at math, so 935 00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:19,640 Speaker 3: somebody can do that for me. But he he was 936 00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:22,719 Speaker 3: really really good. Like you said, he was the best 937 00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,600 Speaker 3: pitcher that the Marlins had this year. He's kind of 938 00:47:25,640 --> 00:47:28,120 Speaker 3: the anchor of the staff right now. You know what 939 00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:30,480 Speaker 3: you're gonna get when he's out there every night. You 940 00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 3: know you're gonna get really good innings. And you talked 941 00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:38,600 Speaker 3: about that Atlanta game. Five innings, three hits, two runs, 942 00:47:38,600 --> 00:47:42,120 Speaker 3: seven strikeouts, no walks. That's just a day in the life, 943 00:47:42,400 --> 00:47:43,040 Speaker 3: you know, for him. 944 00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:46,600 Speaker 1: So he struck out so three times three times in 945 00:47:46,640 --> 00:47:46,879 Speaker 1: that game. 946 00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:51,920 Speaker 3: He struck out of Yeah, I remember, yeah, we we 947 00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:52,839 Speaker 3: we needed that one. 948 00:47:52,920 --> 00:47:56,120 Speaker 2: So very very impressed with what with the twenty twenty 949 00:47:56,200 --> 00:47:57,399 Speaker 2: that he Yeah. 950 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:00,520 Speaker 1: Final couple thoughts on Pablo. Why I have him Sandy 951 00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:04,880 Speaker 1: It's won the consistency. I think if you draw that 952 00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:08,480 Speaker 1: line for Sandy back to August of twenty nineteen, the 953 00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:13,000 Speaker 1: consistency is ridiculous, and with Pablo it's it's also pretty good, 954 00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:17,680 Speaker 1: but not quite the same. I think there are situations where, yeah, 955 00:48:17,719 --> 00:48:20,280 Speaker 1: he's just too hittable. He's a guy that does throw strikes, 956 00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:23,960 Speaker 1: but he's too hitable. I don't The ground ball rate 957 00:48:24,000 --> 00:48:25,919 Speaker 1: did spike up a lot last year, but I'm not 958 00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:29,359 Speaker 1: totally sold on that being part of his profile moving forward. 959 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:31,160 Speaker 1: I think he's going to be more susceptible to home 960 00:48:31,239 --> 00:48:34,200 Speaker 1: runs than Sandy. And the other thing is the splits. 961 00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:38,759 Speaker 1: What he throws with Chad Wallack, he is awesome, and 962 00:48:39,160 --> 00:48:40,960 Speaker 1: I mean the one particular thing that they do together 963 00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:45,080 Speaker 1: is they do suppress home runs. Forty two innings during 964 00:48:45,120 --> 00:48:47,120 Speaker 1: the regular season that he's thrown with Chad Wallack, he's 965 00:48:47,120 --> 00:48:51,319 Speaker 1: allowed one home run and forty two innings. But when 966 00:48:51,360 --> 00:48:54,040 Speaker 1: he could, when he paired up with anybody else. I 967 00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:56,560 Speaker 1: mean that's when some of these blow ups happen, whether 968 00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,919 Speaker 1: it's with Alfaro or also with you know, any other 969 00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:01,640 Speaker 1: number of catchers that are no longer with the organization 970 00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:06,680 Speaker 1: or more backup types that when the splits put with him, 971 00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:09,879 Speaker 1: when he throws with t Wallack versus everybody else, are 972 00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:14,479 Speaker 1: I think sort of significant. And if you're just looking 973 00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:17,800 Speaker 1: at the picture in a vacuum, someone that can unleash 974 00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:19,960 Speaker 1: the best version of himself no matter who he's working with, 975 00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:25,040 Speaker 1: that those splits and how dramatic they are kind of 976 00:49:25,400 --> 00:49:29,560 Speaker 1: give me a little bit of pause that in. I mean, ideally, 977 00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:32,120 Speaker 1: if you are having him pitch like a must win game, 978 00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,240 Speaker 1: then they probably are pairing him up with Chad Wallack. 979 00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:39,120 Speaker 1: But in terms of focusing on the individual as much 980 00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:43,160 Speaker 1: as possible and nothing else outside of that, that's where 981 00:49:43,239 --> 00:49:47,239 Speaker 1: I discount him just a little bit for this exercise. 982 00:49:47,719 --> 00:49:50,439 Speaker 1: But we know where we're both going with number one, 983 00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:52,920 Speaker 1: So introduce us to six doercentitions. 984 00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:59,720 Speaker 3: I mean, it was hard to pick him over Sandy 985 00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:02,400 Speaker 3: and just because they have more experience, but also it 986 00:50:02,480 --> 00:50:08,480 Speaker 3: wasn't this is the future ace of the my Marlins. 987 00:50:08,560 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 3: You're you're looking at him. You saw it from the 988 00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:16,080 Speaker 3: first start in Washington. You saw it with him right away, 989 00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:25,920 Speaker 3: just electric, electrifying. I haven't felt that way about watching 990 00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:31,680 Speaker 3: a Marlins pitcher since Jose Fernandez. Nobody has taken me captive. 991 00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:33,040 Speaker 2: Kicking the ball. 992 00:50:33,160 --> 00:50:35,920 Speaker 3: I couldn't keep my eyes off of him when he 993 00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:40,040 Speaker 3: was on the mound. The way he conducts himself. He's 994 00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:45,040 Speaker 3: got that swagger that Jose brought to the position where 995 00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:48,440 Speaker 3: he's striking guys out and he's staring guys down, and 996 00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:51,520 Speaker 3: he's you know, he's all over pitching Ninja. Rob Friedman 997 00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,480 Speaker 3: loves him because he's got these little struts in these 998 00:50:54,520 --> 00:50:58,040 Speaker 3: little you know, follow throughs that he does where he's 999 00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:01,399 Speaker 3: just saying, I'm better than you. I got you out. 1000 00:51:01,719 --> 00:51:04,840 Speaker 3: He was so impressive and his stuff is so electric, 1001 00:51:05,239 --> 00:51:08,680 Speaker 3: and he was very impressive against Chicago in what you 1002 00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:13,520 Speaker 3: could consider a must win game. You know, when he 1003 00:51:13,560 --> 00:51:17,799 Speaker 3: went out and he shut them, he shut them out. Sorry, 1004 00:51:17,800 --> 00:51:20,480 Speaker 3: I'm looking at the Fangraft's not the game log here. 1005 00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:23,359 Speaker 3: He shut them out in Chicago and kept them off 1006 00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:27,360 Speaker 3: the board in a playoff game as a rookie. You know, 1007 00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:31,680 Speaker 3: he wasn't supposed to be in the Bigs at that 1008 00:51:31,760 --> 00:51:35,319 Speaker 3: point at five five innings, four hits, no runs, two walks, 1009 00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:40,920 Speaker 3: six k's. Everything that we heard about him was true, 1010 00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:45,799 Speaker 3: exceptional command, electric stuff. The fastball, you know, with the 1011 00:51:45,880 --> 00:51:48,680 Speaker 3: with the way it sinks and it dives and it moves, 1012 00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:52,839 Speaker 3: and the velocity that he has on it. The curve 1013 00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:55,480 Speaker 3: ball is coming along, the slider was getting a ton 1014 00:51:55,520 --> 00:51:58,520 Speaker 3: of swings and missus and that change up is just 1015 00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:02,799 Speaker 3: pure and utter filth. I mean, it's running up there, 1016 00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:07,000 Speaker 3: you know, ninety and above, and it's dotting, it's painting 1017 00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:13,960 Speaker 3: corners and getting guys to miss Electric is I keep 1018 00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:16,799 Speaker 3: going back to an electric, but it's really the word 1019 00:52:16,840 --> 00:52:20,440 Speaker 3: for him. He is electrifying. Every time he takes the mound. 1020 00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:23,120 Speaker 3: You have to keep an eye on him, and I 1021 00:52:24,800 --> 00:52:28,239 Speaker 3: it was crazy that, you know, Pablo was probably what 1022 00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:30,520 Speaker 3: I felt best about because you knew what you were 1023 00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:32,600 Speaker 3: gonna get with him, and with six though, you were 1024 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,440 Speaker 3: always a little cautious that maybe he could blow up 1025 00:52:35,440 --> 00:52:39,040 Speaker 3: because he's a rookie, and he never really did. 1026 00:52:40,040 --> 00:52:42,359 Speaker 2: Except for I guess that Braves. He had a couple 1027 00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,760 Speaker 2: bad starts against the Braves. The Braves kind of figured 1028 00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:46,879 Speaker 2: him out, and the Nationals had a start. 1029 00:52:46,960 --> 00:52:49,280 Speaker 3: You know, there was a start against the Nationals where 1030 00:52:49,560 --> 00:52:52,200 Speaker 3: they kind of knocked him around, But other than that, 1031 00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:53,640 Speaker 3: people couldn't figure him out. 1032 00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:57,279 Speaker 2: And he is. 1033 00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:03,280 Speaker 3: Gonna be the ace going forward. I feel very confident 1034 00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:07,720 Speaker 3: in saying that he you know, can be cemented. I there, 1035 00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:10,680 Speaker 3: you know, nobody really knows a hundred he's gonna he 1036 00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:12,719 Speaker 3: should be there on opening A. I don't think there's 1037 00:53:12,920 --> 00:53:14,640 Speaker 3: reason to send him back to Triple A. 1038 00:53:15,120 --> 00:53:15,840 Speaker 2: I don't think. 1039 00:53:16,760 --> 00:53:18,759 Speaker 3: I think the things that he needs to work on 1040 00:53:18,880 --> 00:53:20,960 Speaker 3: in terms of the fact that he got knocked around 1041 00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:25,160 Speaker 3: by guys that had seen him a second time, the 1042 00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:28,400 Speaker 3: lineups that had seen him a second time, the Nationals 1043 00:53:28,440 --> 00:53:30,200 Speaker 3: got to him when they saw him again, and the 1044 00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:32,000 Speaker 3: Braves got to him when they saw him again. I 1045 00:53:32,040 --> 00:53:34,200 Speaker 3: think that's something that comes with being in the big 1046 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:37,040 Speaker 3: leagues and you just work on, you know, as you 1047 00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:42,120 Speaker 3: become more experienced. So I'm this guy where we we 1048 00:53:42,200 --> 00:53:44,960 Speaker 3: got great one. And you know, if the Phillies don't 1049 00:53:45,040 --> 00:53:48,880 Speaker 3: end up keeping j T, which you know, all all 1050 00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:52,319 Speaker 3: of a sudden now, it might be more lucky that 1051 00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:58,160 Speaker 3: you know it, if there might be Sorry, I lost 1052 00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,920 Speaker 3: my train of thought for a second, Uh, it's looking 1053 00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:05,760 Speaker 3: more likely that they could keep him. But if they don't, 1054 00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,239 Speaker 3: you know, the Marlins, what an unbelievable job they did 1055 00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:12,440 Speaker 3: turning a great player into their future ace. 1056 00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:14,799 Speaker 2: And he is just that. 1057 00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:20,960 Speaker 1: He h same as you. It's difficult to compare with 1058 00:54:21,040 --> 00:54:23,800 Speaker 1: the previous two guys because of the less major league experience. 1059 00:54:24,520 --> 00:54:27,720 Speaker 1: I mean what jumps out to me the most among 1060 00:54:27,800 --> 00:54:29,799 Speaker 1: I mean, you covered a lot of it with what 1061 00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:33,560 Speaker 1: you said already. The other particular thing for this exercise 1062 00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:37,240 Speaker 1: is just how amazingly efficient he is with his pitches 1063 00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:39,879 Speaker 1: in most cases. And this is something that really jumped 1064 00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:42,520 Speaker 1: out to me back in twenty nineteen at Double A, 1065 00:54:42,800 --> 00:54:46,680 Speaker 1: where he was totally for someone his age back then. 1066 00:54:46,800 --> 00:54:48,160 Speaker 1: And I mean this is even more so in the 1067 00:54:48,200 --> 00:54:50,920 Speaker 1: major leagues, being a lot younger than his competition and 1068 00:54:51,000 --> 00:54:54,840 Speaker 1: yet being able to be so efficient on average played 1069 00:54:54,880 --> 00:54:58,040 Speaker 1: appearances against them three pitches three and a half pitches 1070 00:54:58,040 --> 00:55:01,200 Speaker 1: per played appearance opponents. He gets through it so quickly 1071 00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:04,719 Speaker 1: in a variety of ways, whether it's missing bets, whether 1072 00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 1: it's getting those cheap grounders he's he gets through things quickly. 1073 00:55:09,480 --> 00:55:11,520 Speaker 1: And if all the pressure is him on one game 1074 00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:13,280 Speaker 1: and you want to trust one guy to go deep 1075 00:55:13,280 --> 00:55:16,359 Speaker 1: into that game. I mean, he's probably the guy that 1076 00:55:16,400 --> 00:55:19,800 Speaker 1: can go deep because he doesn't he really doesn't waste pitches, 1077 00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:21,439 Speaker 1: and when he throws it outside the zone, he's usually 1078 00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:23,680 Speaker 1: getting you to chase at it, and so many of 1079 00:55:23,719 --> 00:55:26,960 Speaker 1: his pitches are actually in the zone itself. I mean 1080 00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:29,239 Speaker 1: during the regular season this past year, three four to 1081 00:55:29,320 --> 00:55:32,880 Speaker 1: six ERA and the fifth is almost identical. Three point fifty. 1082 00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:36,799 Speaker 1: The expected weighted on base it backs that up too. 1083 00:55:36,800 --> 00:55:39,680 Speaker 1: It's even better than Trevor Rodgers a two sixty two, 1084 00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:42,480 Speaker 1: where you know, league average is well over three hundred. 1085 00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:45,920 Speaker 1: That first start in the majors, people were impressed by 1086 00:55:45,960 --> 00:55:47,920 Speaker 1: his pure stuff, but he did allow two home runs 1087 00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:50,359 Speaker 1: in that start, and then the entire rest of the year, 1088 00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:54,040 Speaker 1: including the playoffs, just one total home run allowed. So 1089 00:55:54,080 --> 00:55:57,680 Speaker 1: if you want to look at guys that in almost 1090 00:55:57,719 --> 00:55:59,279 Speaker 1: any case, as long as he's keeping the ball in 1091 00:55:59,320 --> 00:56:01,359 Speaker 1: the ballpark, he's going to give you a chance to win. 1092 00:56:01,840 --> 00:56:04,680 Speaker 1: And he's able to do that with the unique pitch 1093 00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:07,680 Speaker 1: mix that he has and the amazing qualities of his 1094 00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:10,359 Speaker 1: stuff that he could keep the ball in the ballpark too, 1095 00:56:10,560 --> 00:56:14,120 Speaker 1: just like Sandy can. But even with a little more 1096 00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:17,920 Speaker 1: of that well grounded skill set than Sandy has, so 1097 00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:23,280 Speaker 1: he's extremely extremely impressive. It's the same. I mean, honestly, 1098 00:56:23,360 --> 00:56:26,480 Speaker 1: I guess it even more of a concern than Max 1099 00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:30,120 Speaker 1: Meyer being undersized relative to other starring pitchers in terms 1100 00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:33,560 Speaker 1: of height and also in terms of his actual level 1101 00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:38,120 Speaker 1: of fitness and exactly what kind of shape he is 1102 00:56:38,160 --> 00:56:41,279 Speaker 1: in that there's still some work to do there, and 1103 00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:44,560 Speaker 1: until he does that, I mean, that could get in 1104 00:56:44,600 --> 00:56:47,560 Speaker 1: the way of things like repeating your delivery and of 1105 00:56:47,600 --> 00:56:51,000 Speaker 1: course leaving you susceptible to injury. Until he takes the 1106 00:56:51,040 --> 00:56:53,720 Speaker 1: fitness more seriously. I mean, we're not that far removed 1107 00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:57,040 Speaker 1: from spring training twenty twenty, where he showed up fat. 1108 00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,560 Speaker 1: I mean, not out of shape, he showed up fat. 1109 00:56:59,840 --> 00:57:02,560 Speaker 2: No, there's no other way to put it. He was fat. 1110 00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:06,160 Speaker 1: He was fat, yeah, and for that reason, for that reason, 1111 00:57:06,200 --> 00:57:08,720 Speaker 1: he did not pitch in spring training games in twenty twenty, 1112 00:57:08,760 --> 00:57:10,960 Speaker 1: because they said, you need to focus on your conditioning. 1113 00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,680 Speaker 1: That's your first, second, and third priority until you get 1114 00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:16,240 Speaker 1: into games. So he was like the only guy on 1115 00:57:16,280 --> 00:57:19,080 Speaker 1: the forty man roster that didn't appear in spring training games, 1116 00:57:19,680 --> 00:57:23,320 Speaker 1: not because the injury, but because of his conditioning. That's 1117 00:57:23,600 --> 00:57:26,840 Speaker 1: that's something when you talk about intangibles that we've gone 1118 00:57:26,840 --> 00:57:29,560 Speaker 1: to No, Sandy and Pablo really well to be fair 1119 00:57:29,640 --> 00:57:31,680 Speaker 1: to six, So we just don't know him quite as 1120 00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:35,000 Speaker 1: well due to the lack of major league experience. And 1121 00:57:35,320 --> 00:57:37,560 Speaker 1: I mean this is a bias that goes against us, 1122 00:57:37,760 --> 00:57:40,480 Speaker 1: the fact that he's not fluent in English yet, that 1123 00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:42,920 Speaker 1: we just haven't gone to know him quite as well 1124 00:57:43,080 --> 00:57:46,680 Speaker 1: to understand those little nuances of who he is as 1125 00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:48,440 Speaker 1: a person and how that's going to play a role, 1126 00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:52,000 Speaker 1: and how he adjusts to adversity between starts, during starts, 1127 00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:53,760 Speaker 1: et cetera. That's a little bit more of a question 1128 00:57:53,800 --> 00:57:57,680 Speaker 1: mark than the other guys. I mean, I think we've 1129 00:57:57,680 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 1: got it all covered with six Doh. Other thing that 1130 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:04,240 Speaker 1: just sticks out to me that sort of outside the 1131 00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:06,960 Speaker 1: parameters of this exercise is, of course, how much hype 1132 00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:09,960 Speaker 1: he was getting almost immediately in his first few starts, 1133 00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:13,880 Speaker 1: the comparisons to Pedro Martinez, who's his idol, the actual 1134 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:18,080 Speaker 1: relationship that he has formed with Pedro, actually having conversations 1135 00:58:18,120 --> 00:58:21,200 Speaker 1: with him on the air as well as privately, that 1136 00:58:21,400 --> 00:58:24,360 Speaker 1: Pedro has taken a liking to him. Pedro has been 1137 00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:28,720 Speaker 1: pretty effusive in his praise and going that comparison between 1138 00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:34,160 Speaker 1: the two has been made too much, and I see 1139 00:58:34,200 --> 00:58:35,960 Speaker 1: that as something that I want to keep an eye 1140 00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:38,840 Speaker 1: on that we don't treat him as a finished product, 1141 00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:41,400 Speaker 1: because I think you're pretty careful if you're wording there 1142 00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:45,480 Speaker 1: the future ace like moving forward. There's so much upside 1143 00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:47,200 Speaker 1: with him, and we could see some of that like 1144 00:58:47,320 --> 00:58:50,120 Speaker 1: manifesting itself as soon as this year. I mean, he 1145 00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:53,720 Speaker 1: could really break out as that star pitcher right now. 1146 00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:56,360 Speaker 1: But anyway you slices the overall body of work that 1147 00:58:56,400 --> 00:59:00,400 Speaker 1: we have so far, it's still premature. There's still more 1148 00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:03,000 Speaker 1: that he has to get a grip on. There was 1149 00:59:03,240 --> 00:59:07,280 Speaker 1: those few you can't totally wipe under the rug, some 1150 00:59:07,320 --> 00:59:09,200 Speaker 1: of those blow ups that he had in that last 1151 00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:12,560 Speaker 1: postseason start, that second time that he faced the Nationals. 1152 00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:15,960 Speaker 1: That's probably the most painful one, saying that start live 1153 00:59:16,000 --> 00:59:18,440 Speaker 1: against the Nats and how they were on it. They 1154 00:59:18,440 --> 00:59:21,280 Speaker 1: were on everything that he had. They were not missing 1155 00:59:21,640 --> 00:59:25,760 Speaker 1: that there there's still yeah, there are still days where 1156 00:59:25,800 --> 00:59:30,160 Speaker 1: he just he's still throwing hard, he's still mixing his pitches, 1157 00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:34,040 Speaker 1: but yet he doesn't have it like there's a there's 1158 00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:37,240 Speaker 1: still enough of an unknown about him that hopefully more 1159 00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:41,320 Speaker 1: experience is gonna take care of that, maybe just maturity 1160 00:59:41,480 --> 00:59:44,400 Speaker 1: will take care of that. That there's still some risk 1161 00:59:44,760 --> 00:59:48,000 Speaker 1: with him, some substantial risk, and there's still that separation 1162 00:59:48,040 --> 00:59:50,640 Speaker 1: between where he is now and that ultimate potential of 1163 00:59:50,720 --> 00:59:52,479 Speaker 1: you know, being one of the faces of. 1164 00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:57,680 Speaker 2: All baseball again. I I you talked about it. 1165 00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:00,280 Speaker 3: The fact that it was the teams that have seen 1166 01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:05,439 Speaker 3: him twice scares me. The they game plan for him, 1167 01:00:05,600 --> 01:00:07,920 Speaker 3: and they figured him out, and they knocked him around. 1168 01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:09,840 Speaker 3: They knocked him around good, you know what I mean. 1169 01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:11,880 Speaker 3: They were hitting the ball and they were hitting it hard, 1170 01:00:12,520 --> 01:00:14,400 Speaker 3: and he didn't give up a lot of hard contact 1171 01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:14,720 Speaker 3: this year. 1172 01:00:14,800 --> 01:00:15,120 Speaker 2: He didn't. 1173 01:00:15,120 --> 01:00:18,000 Speaker 3: The ball didn't leave the ballpark against either of those teams. 1174 01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:23,360 Speaker 3: But you know, four hits against the Braves, four runs, 1175 01:00:23,400 --> 01:00:26,280 Speaker 3: four hits against the Braves, four runs, eight hits against 1176 01:00:26,280 --> 01:00:30,640 Speaker 3: the Nationals, five runs, and he you know, he had 1177 01:00:30,760 --> 01:00:35,120 Speaker 3: four walks against Atlanta and his last regular season started, 1178 01:00:35,120 --> 01:00:37,720 Speaker 3: he had three walks against Atlanta. In the postseason. He 1179 01:00:37,800 --> 01:00:41,000 Speaker 3: had two walks against Washington in this you know, the 1180 01:00:41,040 --> 01:00:43,960 Speaker 3: second time he faced them. But I saw him against Philly, 1181 01:00:45,000 --> 01:00:46,920 Speaker 3: and it jumps off the page. 1182 01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:47,200 Speaker 2: At you. 1183 01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:51,479 Speaker 3: But yeah, there, like you said, it's not finished yet. 1184 01:00:51,680 --> 01:00:54,240 Speaker 3: He shouldn't get the ball on opening day yet. I 1185 01:00:54,520 --> 01:00:57,600 Speaker 3: still would give it to Sandy, and I'd probably give 1186 01:00:57,600 --> 01:00:59,960 Speaker 3: it to Pablo on Opening Day before I give it 1187 01:01:00,080 --> 01:01:03,120 Speaker 3: to him right now. And you know, depending on if 1188 01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:06,320 Speaker 3: they the Marlins bringing a veteran starter, which I've been 1189 01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:09,240 Speaker 3: a proponent of, I'm not sure I would give it 1190 01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:13,160 Speaker 3: to him over whichever veterans starter they bring in because 1191 01:01:13,200 --> 01:01:17,320 Speaker 3: he's not polished yet. But we do have to acknowledge 1192 01:01:17,320 --> 01:01:21,760 Speaker 3: the fact that his hype has only increased. He moved 1193 01:01:21,920 --> 01:01:23,600 Speaker 3: up on MLB Pipeline. 1194 01:01:23,640 --> 01:01:24,240 Speaker 2: He was twenty. 1195 01:01:24,320 --> 01:01:27,320 Speaker 3: He was sitting around this twenty four to twenty six 1196 01:01:27,480 --> 01:01:31,600 Speaker 3: range for a while. He's now at nineteen. Baseball America 1197 01:01:31,720 --> 01:01:36,680 Speaker 3: ranked him as the number one overall pitching prospect. There's 1198 01:01:36,720 --> 01:01:39,640 Speaker 3: something to be said for that he was the number 1199 01:01:39,640 --> 01:01:40,640 Speaker 3: he's the number. 1200 01:01:40,320 --> 01:01:41,760 Speaker 2: Six overall prospect. 1201 01:01:42,400 --> 01:01:45,640 Speaker 3: He was ranked higher than Nate Pearson on Baseball America, 1202 01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:50,120 Speaker 3: and he was ranked number three on right hand on 1203 01:01:50,160 --> 01:01:54,200 Speaker 3: the right handed pitchers list by MLB Pipeline. So there's 1204 01:01:54,240 --> 01:01:56,800 Speaker 3: something to be said for how much hype he's getting. 1205 01:01:57,360 --> 01:02:01,000 Speaker 3: And it's something that we have to deal with I 1206 01:02:01,000 --> 01:02:05,080 Speaker 3: I'm not ready to say Pedro yet his changeup is fantastic, 1207 01:02:05,120 --> 01:02:07,200 Speaker 3: but I wouldn't say it's quite a Pedro change up. 1208 01:02:07,760 --> 01:02:10,240 Speaker 3: My buddy Ian Smith, who you guys have heard, you 1209 01:02:10,280 --> 01:02:13,360 Speaker 3: know when when we were on earning their stripes together, 1210 01:02:14,560 --> 01:02:17,480 Speaker 3: said Quato to Johnny Cuato. And I see that a 1211 01:02:17,520 --> 01:02:21,480 Speaker 3: lot more than I see Pedro, really, But I mean. 1212 01:02:21,760 --> 01:02:23,680 Speaker 2: He he's. 1213 01:02:23,160 --> 01:02:26,400 Speaker 3: Got it, and he's not quite there yet. He's not 1214 01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:28,160 Speaker 3: one of the best pitchers in the league yet. And 1215 01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:31,200 Speaker 3: maybeybe he does have that breakout year we're expecting and 1216 01:02:31,280 --> 01:02:34,120 Speaker 3: he goes on and wins Rookie of the Year, and 1217 01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:38,040 Speaker 3: it's very possible, but he has some growing to do. 1218 01:02:38,240 --> 01:02:41,240 Speaker 3: Like you said, he needs to come into camp and 1219 01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:43,960 Speaker 3: shape this year because he needs to throw in spring training. 1220 01:02:45,440 --> 01:02:48,520 Speaker 3: He can't take a spring training off because he's got 1221 01:02:48,560 --> 01:02:52,200 Speaker 3: to be ready for opening day, you know, to be 1222 01:02:52,240 --> 01:02:53,840 Speaker 3: in the rotation. I'm not saying he's gonna start on 1223 01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:59,280 Speaker 3: opening Day, but that just comes. He's twenty two, right, 1224 01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:02,800 Speaker 3: you know, it comes with the age, and he's got 1225 01:03:02,800 --> 01:03:05,240 Speaker 3: to get a little more mature. And I think that, 1226 01:03:05,600 --> 01:03:08,360 Speaker 3: like I said, that game planning where teams won't knock 1227 01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:10,959 Speaker 3: him around a second time after seeing him, because there's, 1228 01:03:11,120 --> 01:03:13,000 Speaker 3: first of all, there's a lot of teams that haven't 1229 01:03:13,040 --> 01:03:17,280 Speaker 3: seen him period. You know, there's about let me count 1230 01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:24,400 Speaker 3: on two, three, four, five, six, there's twenty five, twenty 1231 01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:26,640 Speaker 3: three other teams in the league that haven't seen him 1232 01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:31,600 Speaker 3: at all. So there, you know, they're gonna see him 1233 01:03:31,640 --> 01:03:34,560 Speaker 3: for the first time, but then the Colorado Rockies are 1234 01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:37,920 Speaker 3: gonna see him again. And does he get knocked knocked 1235 01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:41,000 Speaker 3: around by the Colorado Rockies the second time he sees them. 1236 01:03:41,200 --> 01:03:44,120 Speaker 3: So I just think that comes with, you know, a 1237 01:03:44,240 --> 01:03:47,720 Speaker 3: full season and kind of getting into a rhythm as 1238 01:03:47,760 --> 01:03:50,600 Speaker 3: the season goes on, and obviously this season was so different, 1239 01:03:50,880 --> 01:03:53,880 Speaker 3: but getting into a rhythm, getting into a game plan, 1240 01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:57,080 Speaker 3: showing a different game plan on certain nights, and being 1241 01:03:57,120 --> 01:04:00,439 Speaker 3: able to work lineups in different ways, and I think 1242 01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:03,160 Speaker 3: that will come with time. For Sixto. It's not a concern. 1243 01:04:03,240 --> 01:04:06,880 Speaker 3: I'm not concerned about him at all. I have no 1244 01:04:06,920 --> 01:04:09,120 Speaker 3: concern over him. He was a rookie last year and 1245 01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:11,880 Speaker 3: he was probably even better than I could have expected. 1246 01:04:12,640 --> 01:04:17,080 Speaker 3: But there are right he's not there are still things 1247 01:04:17,080 --> 01:04:19,600 Speaker 3: he needs to work on. He's not one hundred percent 1248 01:04:19,680 --> 01:04:23,880 Speaker 3: ready yet. But when he is, he should and probably 1249 01:04:23,960 --> 01:04:27,400 Speaker 3: will be the ace of the Marlins rotation as. 1250 01:04:27,280 --> 01:04:28,960 Speaker 1: Long as the hype doesn't get to his head. As 1251 01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:31,479 Speaker 1: long as he yeh, keeps his head down and keeps 1252 01:04:31,520 --> 01:04:35,080 Speaker 1: working on the little things he's receptive to coaching and 1253 01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:37,560 Speaker 1: advice that he gets. He's I mean, even though they 1254 01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:39,560 Speaker 1: don't have at this moment, they don't have like a 1255 01:04:39,600 --> 01:04:42,080 Speaker 1: conventional veteran on the staff. And that's been like one 1256 01:04:42,080 --> 01:04:44,280 Speaker 1: of my gripes about the off season is they haven't 1257 01:04:44,320 --> 01:04:47,840 Speaker 1: gotten that classic veteran yet. But we've we've already covered 1258 01:04:47,880 --> 01:04:51,120 Speaker 1: Sandy and Pablo and how those guys are young veterans, 1259 01:04:51,160 --> 01:04:54,200 Speaker 1: the way the experiences that they've had and the way 1260 01:04:54,240 --> 01:04:56,680 Speaker 1: that they're wired. They are wired like guys that they 1261 01:04:56,720 --> 01:04:59,040 Speaker 1: they're gonna help. They're gonna help if you let them 1262 01:04:59,040 --> 01:04:59,480 Speaker 1: help you. 1263 01:04:59,560 --> 01:05:03,040 Speaker 3: So especially especially Boblow with the way that he's just 1264 01:05:03,080 --> 01:05:07,560 Speaker 3: the nicest guy you've ever met. And doesn't it feel 1265 01:05:07,600 --> 01:05:09,880 Speaker 3: like this season, even though it was only sixty games, 1266 01:05:09,920 --> 01:05:12,200 Speaker 3: was kind of like two years, like you know what 1267 01:05:12,240 --> 01:05:16,160 Speaker 3: I mean, Like that, I can't imagine how valuable it was. 1268 01:05:16,400 --> 01:05:20,320 Speaker 3: Like you said, they're young veterans because they've been through 1269 01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:23,960 Speaker 3: so much already, and they've had to be the leaders 1270 01:05:24,040 --> 01:05:27,160 Speaker 3: of the staff already. So six to oho is gonna 1271 01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:29,800 Speaker 3: have to be a leader on this staff if they 1272 01:05:29,800 --> 01:05:33,000 Speaker 3: don't go out and sign a veteran starting pitcher. 1273 01:05:32,760 --> 01:05:35,320 Speaker 2: Which I think they probably. 1274 01:05:34,880 --> 01:05:37,400 Speaker 3: Might, you know, somebody cheap, because they've got to find 1275 01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:40,440 Speaker 3: a fifth spot. They've got to find five. I'm not 1276 01:05:40,480 --> 01:05:43,760 Speaker 3: sure Rogers will be. You know, they've got four, I 1277 01:05:43,800 --> 01:05:46,600 Speaker 3: would say, And then are they ready to throw Rogers 1278 01:05:46,640 --> 01:05:49,280 Speaker 3: out there from the opening day rotation? I don't know so, 1279 01:05:50,280 --> 01:05:52,360 Speaker 3: but he's gonna have to be. Yeah, he's gonna have 1280 01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:56,320 Speaker 3: to be a leader of this staff, and and he's 1281 01:05:56,360 --> 01:05:59,080 Speaker 3: gonna learn quickly. And I think that going through the 1282 01:05:59,080 --> 01:06:01,600 Speaker 3: type of season that he did it should help him. 1283 01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:02,919 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1284 01:06:03,160 --> 01:06:06,240 Speaker 1: Just it's gonna it's gonna be really exciting to see 1285 01:06:06,280 --> 01:06:09,040 Speaker 1: a playout. I guess one other reason, tho, why the 1286 01:06:09,080 --> 01:06:12,680 Speaker 1: timing of this first episode of these rankings, why I 1287 01:06:12,680 --> 01:06:15,160 Speaker 1: felt it was appropriate, is because I feel like we're 1288 01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:17,200 Speaker 1: at a point in the off season where the remaining 1289 01:06:17,360 --> 01:06:20,600 Speaker 1: starting pitchers out there, veterans in free agency. They're either 1290 01:06:20,600 --> 01:06:22,520 Speaker 1: going to cost too much money for the Marlins to sign, 1291 01:06:22,600 --> 01:06:24,440 Speaker 1: or the ones that they can afford. I'm not sure 1292 01:06:24,440 --> 01:06:26,600 Speaker 1: they're gonna crack this top six. You know, they're guys 1293 01:06:26,600 --> 01:06:29,440 Speaker 1: that you could put in the opening day rotation and 1294 01:06:29,480 --> 01:06:31,640 Speaker 1: all the opening day roster and the majors, but that 1295 01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:35,280 Speaker 1: doesn't mean they're actually won the six most talented starters 1296 01:06:35,360 --> 01:06:36,160 Speaker 1: in the organization. 1297 01:06:36,360 --> 01:06:40,160 Speaker 3: And so that's why, right, let's say we signed Honeyball Sanchez. 1298 01:06:40,240 --> 01:06:42,720 Speaker 3: You know he's had some great moments, but are you 1299 01:06:42,840 --> 01:06:46,280 Speaker 3: sending you know, this version of Honeyball Sanchez out there 1300 01:06:46,280 --> 01:06:47,120 Speaker 3: over six though? 1301 01:06:48,200 --> 01:06:52,560 Speaker 1: No, you know, right, So we'll adjust accordingly. That's the 1302 01:06:52,560 --> 01:06:54,040 Speaker 1: fun in this is that we adjusted that a lot 1303 01:06:54,120 --> 01:06:57,360 Speaker 1: depending on how these events play out. Once again, the 1304 01:06:57,440 --> 01:07:01,160 Speaker 1: working title of this or today's aces and our rankings 1305 01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:04,400 Speaker 1: from one to six. For Ethan it was six Do Sanchez, 1306 01:07:04,960 --> 01:07:08,320 Speaker 1: Pablo Lopez number two, Sandial Contra number three, eliots Or 1307 01:07:08,320 --> 01:07:11,800 Speaker 1: Hernandez number four, Trevor Rodgers number five, and Edward Cabrera 1308 01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:14,920 Speaker 1: number six. For me, we have a lot in common 1309 01:07:15,200 --> 01:07:18,520 Speaker 1: also number one six do I have Sandy at number two, 1310 01:07:18,560 --> 01:07:23,120 Speaker 1: Pablo at number three, Eliezer four, Trevor five, and Max 1311 01:07:23,200 --> 01:07:26,720 Speaker 1: Meyer at number six. So we want to hear from 1312 01:07:26,800 --> 01:07:29,320 Speaker 1: you all the listeners. If you're listening on your favorite 1313 01:07:29,320 --> 01:07:32,120 Speaker 1: pod provider on our website, catching a little snippet of 1314 01:07:32,120 --> 01:07:36,280 Speaker 1: this on social media. This exercise is pretty universal. Just 1315 01:07:36,280 --> 01:07:38,560 Speaker 1: follow the basic ground rules. The guys that you trust 1316 01:07:38,600 --> 01:07:41,640 Speaker 1: in a vacuum in they must win game. All the 1317 01:07:41,680 --> 01:07:44,440 Speaker 1: pitching talent in this organization, there's a ton of it, 1318 01:07:45,040 --> 01:07:48,080 Speaker 1: and I'm really excited to just see how this stuff 1319 01:07:48,080 --> 01:07:50,320 Speaker 1: evolves over the course of the year. But this was 1320 01:07:51,080 --> 01:07:53,560 Speaker 1: a good opportunity to do it while everybody's still healthy 1321 01:07:53,640 --> 01:07:57,480 Speaker 1: and while there's still so much in our minds imagining 1322 01:07:57,480 --> 01:07:59,120 Speaker 1: how this is going to look over the course of 1323 01:07:59,160 --> 01:08:03,200 Speaker 1: a more normal year, hopefully soon under circumstances where you 1324 01:08:03,200 --> 01:08:05,320 Speaker 1: can play safely in front of fans after not being 1325 01:08:05,320 --> 01:08:07,280 Speaker 1: able to do that at all last year. That's another 1326 01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:10,200 Speaker 1: variable that it's it's pretty hard to account for in 1327 01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:12,840 Speaker 1: this exercise because all the recent pitching that we saw 1328 01:08:12,840 --> 01:08:15,840 Speaker 1: from these guys in twenty twenty empty ballparks. 1329 01:08:16,160 --> 01:08:19,479 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and definitely we want I want to hear 1330 01:08:19,479 --> 01:08:20,720 Speaker 2: from you guys. You know. 1331 01:08:21,000 --> 01:08:24,880 Speaker 3: Follow me at my full name at Ethan Medowski on Twitter. 1332 01:08:25,120 --> 01:08:26,760 Speaker 3: That's where I've been putting up a lot more of 1333 01:08:26,840 --> 01:08:30,040 Speaker 3: my fish stripes content. Moving away from my other accounts 1334 01:08:30,040 --> 01:08:33,200 Speaker 3: will follow me there and when I post up the 1335 01:08:33,200 --> 01:08:35,840 Speaker 3: link to this pod, send me your six I want 1336 01:08:35,840 --> 01:08:38,880 Speaker 3: to hear them for sure, because I feel like a 1337 01:08:38,920 --> 01:08:41,360 Speaker 3: lot of them will be pretty similar. But maybe somebody's 1338 01:08:41,400 --> 01:08:43,880 Speaker 3: got Bracs in there, maybe somebody got not. You know, 1339 01:08:44,240 --> 01:08:46,439 Speaker 3: there are so many guys, like you said you you 1340 01:08:46,479 --> 01:08:49,000 Speaker 3: said about eight or nine that you considered, and I 1341 01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:51,839 Speaker 3: would say they were about that many as well, because 1342 01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:54,280 Speaker 3: you know, Bras was left off, and Nier was left 1343 01:08:54,280 --> 01:08:59,080 Speaker 3: off and Meyer was left off. So yeah, there, I 1344 01:08:59,120 --> 01:09:01,080 Speaker 3: want to hear from you guys and kind of get 1345 01:09:01,080 --> 01:09:04,840 Speaker 3: a feel for how the fan base feels about the 1346 01:09:05,479 --> 01:09:08,720 Speaker 3: or you know, the totem poll of pitchers in this organization. 1347 01:09:10,040 --> 01:09:12,080 Speaker 1: Take it out of the hands of the team, because 1348 01:09:12,080 --> 01:09:14,479 Speaker 1: the team makes a lot of good choices, but some 1349 01:09:14,720 --> 01:09:16,840 Speaker 1: that are a little questionable and some that aren't always 1350 01:09:16,920 --> 01:09:20,120 Speaker 1: motivated in terms of winning right now. But that's the 1351 01:09:20,160 --> 01:09:22,679 Speaker 1: mentality we want to have coming off of postseason appearance 1352 01:09:22,760 --> 01:09:25,719 Speaker 1: year for the rebuilds. We want to put our minds 1353 01:09:26,360 --> 01:09:29,000 Speaker 1: on the win now and exactly the best way to 1354 01:09:29,080 --> 01:09:32,880 Speaker 1: utilize all these great players that they've compiled together together 1355 01:09:32,920 --> 01:09:36,080 Speaker 1: in the organization. So for Ethan Podowski. I'm Eli Sussman. 1356 01:09:36,560 --> 01:09:40,800 Speaker 1: Today's Aces version one for twenty twenty one. Looking forward 1357 01:09:40,800 --> 01:09:44,160 Speaker 1: to your feedback. Check us out on this podcast feed 1358 01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:46,040 Speaker 1: for a lot of other content. The rest of this offseason, 1359 01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:48,479 Speaker 1: and of course once the games get started, will be 1360 01:09:48,680 --> 01:10:06,920 Speaker 1: busier than ever. Thanks for the support and go Fish.