1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. Pot all right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: here we go fifteen cundy forty five thirty thirty five 3 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: forty forty five fifty and the kick as block look 4 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 1: college football World stunner. Oh my goodness. 5 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 2: He stumbled and football. 6 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: The lateral turn a counter of the d job. Get you. 7 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: The lad came off the veil the night. 8 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: By god, it's not the side of the dog in 9 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: the fighting. It's the side of the fight in the dog. 10 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is 11 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 1: the group of five Deep Dive. I'm your host, Mike 12 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 1: Calvary's I'm joined by the Action Network's Mike Ianello. The 13 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: band is back together. We made it through preseason. We've 14 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: made it through talking season. We've made it through teams 15 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: moving to different conferences. You know what, I don't care 16 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: about any of that at this point, because we have 17 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 1: real games this Saturday to bet on. Mike, how are 18 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: you doing? How excited are you to actually get some 19 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: of those bets in those digital slips all over the place? 20 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: Money fly in. We did it. This is the exciting 21 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: time of year. We finally did it. 22 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 2: We're finally here. Just keep checking the app like It's 23 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,640 Speaker 2: finally here. It's finally here, back for our second season. 24 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:27,479 Speaker 3: Week zero. 25 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:29,759 Speaker 2: Haven't even made a bet yet, and we're already We're 26 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: already bulletin board material for Western Kentucky. They're already they're 27 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: looking at our faces on dartboards every day of practice. 28 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:37,760 Speaker 3: So I'm excited to be back. I'm excited to be 29 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 3: with you again. 30 00:01:39,240 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: Shout out to the Big Bets on campus team. That 31 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: means Colin's Stucky, Brett McMurphy. We all came together. We 32 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: previewed all ten conferences. Obviously we did the heavy lifting 33 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: for the G five, but the rest of the team 34 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,440 Speaker 1: putting it together, breaking out you know, divisions in the 35 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: SEC and the Big Ten. You can go through all 36 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 1: of that in our podcast channel. You can go through 37 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: wherever fine podcasts are sold you can find. You can 38 00:02:00,480 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 1: also have it over YouTube and watch some of the 39 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: video of that as well. All of those picks have 40 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 1: also been put together into a single episode, so you 41 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 1: can hear our best bets throughout the summer and all 42 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: the preseason odds, win totals, futures and situational plays for 43 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: September as well. I know the Colin Stuckey are bullish 44 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,079 Speaker 1: on a few spots early in the season. So at 45 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:21,799 Speaker 1: this point, what we want to do is we want 46 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,440 Speaker 1: to set the table for what the big bets on campus, 47 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 1: specifically Group of five Deep Dive is going to look 48 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:28,959 Speaker 1: like this season. And what that means is every single 49 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 1: week we're going to get into our G five hears 50 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,360 Speaker 1: of the week. And for the uninitiated, what that means 51 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: is that every weekend there's those players or coaches or 52 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 1: in some cases officials who end up lending a helping 53 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: hands making the big plays that make the difference, at 54 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: least against the spread, that really help us cash those bets. 55 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: We want to make sure to give them their proper shine. 56 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: Then we transition into our Group of five round robin, 57 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: where we go through all of our bets you know 58 00:02:53,600 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: that you can put together in a round robin for 59 00:02:55,240 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: that week. Those five plays. We also get into best bets, 60 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 1: and we wrap it all up with G five underdog 61 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: moneyline parlay. That means you can hit you know, eight 62 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: to one, fifteen to one, twenty to one. We're trying 63 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 1: to make you know your weekend, make your month all 64 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 1: in one singular bet. So with all that being said, 65 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: let's reel back a little bit, and I'm gonna start 66 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: with Mia the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, the pride of the Commonwealth. 67 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 1: Oh no, oh no, hell no, boy up and done. 68 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:29,520 Speaker 3: Oh no, hell no. 69 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: First of all, Western Kentucky, your fan base has come 70 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: out a pretty hard on social media after we you know, 71 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: does I know likes to say way to he'll turn there, 72 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 1: having loved the Toppers last year, Bailey Zappy Leaves Kittley 73 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: Leaves as the OC play caller. Jared Stearns Leaves was 74 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,839 Speaker 1: the covered bear. Maybe we overstated it a little bit. Well, 75 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: we got hit up by just about everybody. Beat Writers 76 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:58,000 Speaker 1: Alumni Day with Davis starting wide receiver hitting me up, 77 00:03:58,000 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 1: don't worry day with I went ahead and drafted you. 78 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: My college fans, their center's mom, their center's mom. There 79 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 1: is I mean, this is number one mom college football 80 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: podcast in the game, so it makes a lot of sense. 81 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 1: But I will say this once Jared Dagy, who was 82 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: very low on immediately you know, tucked his tail between 83 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 1: his legs and headed out of town. I think he's 84 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: down at Troy now or at least competing for that 85 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 1: job and opened it for Austin Reid and you know 86 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: how I feel about those FCS Division two JUCO transfers. 87 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 3: I love them. 88 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 1: D two Essential player of the Year in the D 89 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 1: two at West Florida. He's coming in to run this offense. 90 00:04:32,279 --> 00:04:34,640 Speaker 1: I'm back in on the Toppers. If you can find 91 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: a number south of forty points on their team total 92 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: against Austin p this is number that's probably gonna pop 93 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:42,480 Speaker 1: on game day on Saturday. Go ahead with over on 94 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,160 Speaker 1: the team total. I'm back on Western Kentucky. Any apologies 95 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: that you need to get out of the way to 96 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: anyone in the G five land here. 97 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,520 Speaker 3: Imla No, I'm so confident that under eight and a half. 98 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: Now, all right, let's just jump into it. Then we're 99 00:04:55,080 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 1: going to talk two G five preseason heroes. I'm excited 100 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 1: about two guys, both in the great State of Texas. 101 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 1: You're probably going to see them on either the cover, 102 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 1: in small prints or certainly in the actual publication. I'm 103 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: talking about Dave Campbell's Texas Football. If you've never been 104 00:05:17,040 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: to the state of Texas, it's a huge deal. They 105 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,280 Speaker 1: covered both high school and college football, and they put 106 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: together Dave Campbell Top fifty, So it's the top fifty 107 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:28,480 Speaker 1: college football players in the great State of Texas. Katie Davis, 108 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: the linebacker for North Texas checking in at number five, 109 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: a kid from North Texas being a top five player 110 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: in the state that has so many Division one schools, 111 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: so many great players. Bijeon Robinson, you know, just to 112 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: name that number one player on that list. This guy's incredible. 113 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,480 Speaker 1: He was everywhere in Denton last year. He was an 114 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: absolute hurricane of a middle linebacker. One hundred and twenty 115 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: one tackles, thirteen tackles for lost, five and a half sacks, 116 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: First team All Conference USA by the coaches, and the 117 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:58,760 Speaker 1: portal was looking at him really strong. I think by 118 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: that Dr Pepper commercial and jump into the portal, Texas 119 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 1: A and M wanted them, Old miss wanted them. He 120 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:06,120 Speaker 1: would have been starter on either team. He's coming back 121 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: to anchor a defense that could actually be pretty good 122 00:06:08,839 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 1: for Seth Latrell and to put together a winning season again. 123 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: They went six and six in the regular season, six 124 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:17,080 Speaker 1: and seven overall last year. So can they get back 125 00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: to a bowl game? 126 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 3: Can they win? 127 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:20,359 Speaker 1: It's gonna start with Katie Davis. Let's go to you. 128 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 1: Who's your first G five hero and why are you 129 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: in love with this player ahead of the season. 130 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to positive route too. 131 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: You know, for those of you who are new, sometimes 132 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 2: our G five hero is shining light on a star 133 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 2: who deserves the light, and other times it's kind of 134 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:36,239 Speaker 2: tony in cheek, poking fun. Last year, I made Scott 135 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 2: Leffler my G five Hero of the Week when he 136 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 2: got himself tossed and bowling green immediately scored twenty eight 137 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 2: points when he left the field. But I'm going with 138 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,440 Speaker 2: the positive route here as well. You know, Stucky and 139 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,400 Speaker 2: Colin and Brett McMurphy put out their their Action network, 140 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: you know, all American teams last week, and I immediately 141 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:53,520 Speaker 2: hit up you and I said, whoa, whoa, whoa. We 142 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 2: need to give the G five some love here. So 143 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 2: we put ours out today. We'll put ours out on 144 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 2: Monday if you haven't seen it. So I want to 145 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 2: highlight those guys. So we named me and Breeze got together. 146 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 2: We named Jake Hayner our offensive player of the year, 147 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 2: Carlton Marshall from Troy linebacker our defensive player of the year, 148 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 2: probably going to break the all time record for tackles 149 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 2: in college football history this year, and Jonah Delmas Boise 150 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 2: States Kicker as our Special Teams Player of the Year. 151 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: So we will probably talking about these three a lot. 152 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 2: If you haven't read that article, go read it. Every 153 00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 2: player on that list should be a household name. I 154 00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 2: would say most of them will be playing on Sundays. 155 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 2: So I'm just going to give a special shout out 156 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:33,400 Speaker 2: to Hayn, Marshall and Delmas as our offensive, defensive, and 157 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 2: Special Teams player of the Years. 158 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: I'm going to wrap it up with my second pick 159 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: here staying in the state of Texas, and as I 160 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: mentioned at the top, I love a good transfer story. 161 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 1: This guy. I'm not sure a lot of people know 162 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: this because he's got NFL buzz now. He was a 163 00:07:48,600 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: phenomenal player in the AAC last year. By the end 164 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: of the year, Auburn certainly knew all about him in 165 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 1: that Bowl game because he lit them up. Talking about 166 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 1: Tank Dell started at Alabama A and M. When the 167 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 1: Juco route went the Independence Junior College in Kansas that 168 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 1: was featured on Last Chance You. So he was literally 169 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: down to his final strike trying to prove that he 170 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: wasn't too undersized, because I think he was like one 171 00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty eight pounds at the time. This guy 172 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: is sudden as a hiccup. Ninety receptions last year, thirteen 173 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: hundred yards twelve tds. Also in the punt return game 174 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: over two hundred yards there, and it wasn't just Auburn 175 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 1: against since he two When you can bind those two games, 176 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: you know, the AAC title game against Sincy, the Auburn 177 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: Bowl game. Nineteen receptions, three hun and two yards and 178 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 1: a touchdown. Houston's a team that I'm very excited to 179 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: see this year. I want to see them breakthrough right 180 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:36,320 Speaker 1: before they make them move to the Big twelve. It 181 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:38,960 Speaker 1: would be exciting story to see them run the table, 182 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 1: potentially flirt with the College Football playoff again, and in 183 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:43,839 Speaker 1: this case it at least be able to land in 184 00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: a New Year six bowl game. I'm excited about this 185 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: Houston offense. Clayton Tune in particular, has his number one 186 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: option bank back tanked out my G five Here to 187 00:08:52,480 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 1: get things started. 188 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 3: I'm doing another group pick here. 189 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 2: I'm grouping my second GEEP by hero as all of 190 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:00,679 Speaker 2: the coaches who have come out in name their starting 191 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: quarterback before kickoff, because especially in the G five is 192 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 2: not on national love. We don't hear, Oh how this 193 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 2: quarterback's looking. You really have no clue, and half these 194 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,959 Speaker 2: quarterbacks you've never even heard of, so especially shout out 195 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 2: to allose coaches. I'm gonna do this super quick for 196 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 2: those of you who haven't seen or aren't falling as 197 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 2: much as you know we are. Tanner Mordecai smu knew 198 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:19,960 Speaker 2: that was coming. Jerry Bohan in South Florida, John Reyes 199 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 2: plumblee UCF. That was a very interesting one. Matthew Downing 200 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 2: at Louisiana Tech, Austin Reed, as you mentioned in Western Kentucky, 201 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 2: Clay Miller at Colorado State, Miles Kendrick, New Mexico, Kyle 202 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 2: Van Trees Georgia, Southern Chandler Fields, Louisiana, Carter Bradley South Alabama, 203 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,480 Speaker 2: Ty Keys is going to be a Southern Miss. Charlie 204 00:09:35,520 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 2: Brewer somehow still in college football. He was named the 205 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,680 Speaker 2: starter at Liberty. Wylie Green was just named Rice's starter 206 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 2: like an hour ago and last, but certainly not in 207 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 2: the least you doubted for a second. Hayden Wolf officially 208 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 2: Old Dominion's quarterback. Never turn your back on the wolf Pack. 209 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: Wolf in the shotgun. He's got him asking you shall 210 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: receive my friends from Hayden Woolf. 211 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:04,559 Speaker 2: So your bank on the wolf bang bang. 212 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 1: Well we'll see just how many games he starts for, 213 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: According to Colin Wilson, the presumptive Sun Belt champions. So 214 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 1: we'll see what old Dominion is up to this year 215 00:10:13,480 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 1: in the Sun Belts in some belt east, I should add, 216 00:10:16,559 --> 00:10:20,160 Speaker 1: not exactly lights sledding there. All right, I promise some 217 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: picks here. We're at week zero. We don't talk hypothetically. 218 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: You don't have to tie your money up for an 219 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 1: entire season. You get immediate action. Let's start with a 220 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: game that I have circled because I really believe, and 221 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: I am banking on a low scoring, defensive minded battle. 222 00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:38,240 Speaker 1: And for this pick here on this total you know 223 00:10:38,280 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: who we're talking about. 224 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 2: We're talking Minor Nation out in the West Texas town 225 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 2: of al Pastor. 226 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 1: Picks up Texas El Paso. This is a team that 227 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,240 Speaker 1: I love to hitch my wagon too, because I know 228 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: exactly the kind of the brand of football that they 229 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: want to play. The minor defense returns seven starters from 230 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:01,360 Speaker 1: a bradley Dale Paveto unit that finished thirty fifth in 231 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 1: total defense last season, just their second top forty finish 232 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: in the last fifteen years in al Paso, led by 233 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: Praise amal Away, a defensive end with thirteen tackles for 234 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 1: loss last year. Absolute monster of a human being. And 235 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 1: when you look at their front six, the way that 236 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: it's constructed, all those are returning starters. They also bring 237 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: back their nickelback. This was a defense that really excelled 238 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 1: at getting off of the field twelfth and third down 239 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:27,920 Speaker 1: conversion defense last season. And they're up against the North 240 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 1: Texas team that clearly has a set identity. They want 241 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: to run the football. But I'll get to that in 242 00:11:32,320 --> 00:11:34,079 Speaker 1: a moment. When I look on the other side of 243 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: the ball for UTEP, the offense completely loses its pop 244 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,679 Speaker 1: because it was one player and it was Jacob Cowing, 245 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:44,839 Speaker 1: mister big play for the Miners. He is off to Arizona. 246 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: So where did those big plays come from? In a 247 00:11:47,760 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: I mean otherwise, when you look at their offense, it's 248 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: Ronald A. Watt, it's Dean Haggins. They want to run 249 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: the ball a lot, and those guys aren't the kind 250 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: of twenty thirty yard chunk runners that they want to 251 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 1: move the chains. They want to play field position, So 252 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 1: when I flip it over, you look at the North 253 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: Texas team, couldn't have been more focused on the run 254 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: outside of the service academies. This was like the running 255 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 1: team in all of college football last year. Fifth nationally 256 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: in yards per game on the ground, but forty second 257 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 1: in yards per carry. Another team that doesn't do it 258 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: in chunk plays on the ground, and that's when they 259 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 1: had DeAndre Toy He's gone now. So when you look 260 00:12:20,559 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: at what they're trying to accomplish year with Ragsdale and 261 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 1: a die A, I'm not sure they're going to be 262 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:28,360 Speaker 1: able to replicate the same kind of magic. And to 263 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 1: look at this number fifty five and a half. My 264 00:12:30,880 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: projections for this is forty seven and a half, So 265 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 1: a ton of point value here. I'm going to go 266 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 1: ahead and jump in. I would play it all the 267 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 1: way down to fifty three. I think the market's starting 268 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:41,319 Speaker 1: to bang it down a little bit. And in the 269 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:43,199 Speaker 1: off season, if you asked me two months ago, I 270 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,520 Speaker 1: would say, all right, they're bringing in Grant Gnaal. You know, 271 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 1: he's been a transfer, has been all over the map, 272 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,040 Speaker 1: but he's got a big arm. Maybe he changes things 273 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:53,200 Speaker 1: for them a little bit. Instead they stick with Austin Annie. 274 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: We know what he is. Nine touchdowns, nine interceptions last year. Yes, 275 00:12:57,520 --> 00:12:59,840 Speaker 1: they have four starters returning on the offensive line, but 276 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 1: they are bringing in at least three new skill position players. 277 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 1: So I just don't see this at all. I think 278 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:07,880 Speaker 1: this is a gift from the gambling gods to start 279 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 1: the season. I know no one's excited to say I 280 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:11,839 Speaker 1: haven't bet on college football in eight and a half 281 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 1: months and one runs to the window and throw down 282 00:13:14,040 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 1: an under. But when you give me Katie Davis, when 283 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: you give me that UTEP defense, you know, and also 284 00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: I'll say this, Katie Davis pairing up with Phil Bennett, 285 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,439 Speaker 1: a DC who's you know, been a traveling salesman for years, 286 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 1: but he has turned around some defenses and he did 287 00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,199 Speaker 1: it in short order. He took a unit that was 288 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 1: in the hundreds from North Texas. They got into the 289 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 1: sixties seventies in most metrics. I think they're only going 290 00:13:36,000 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 1: to be better this year. And one final plug for 291 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: a potential G five here. I'll probably be back next 292 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 1: week talking this guy up. Tom Shreeb, a Juco All American, 293 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: and they end up signing this kid to anchor their 294 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 1: defensive line on the edge twenty five tackles for loss 295 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: last year. So I'm seeing a lot of negative plays 296 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: for UTEP in this game, a lot of punting and hopefully, 297 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: you know, a twenty three to seventeen kind of game. 298 00:13:57,240 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 1: Cash my first ticket. What is your thought on this 299 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 1: conference to a battle to start Week zero? 300 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually don't hate that at all, but because 301 00:14:06,559 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 2: of a lot of what you said, my best bet 302 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 2: this week, well, second best bet actually comes from this 303 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 2: game as well. I'm on North Texas. You know, we 304 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 2: talked about it in the previous show. I'm actually you know, 305 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 2: I took a flyer in the manger and to win 306 00:14:18,080 --> 00:14:20,800 Speaker 2: the conference. As much as I love UTEP, I just 307 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 2: like North Texas in the spot. You know, I'm I'm 308 00:14:23,680 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 2: not as down on Austin on me as you make 309 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 2: it sound. You know, he's back for his fifth season 310 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:31,640 Speaker 2: at North Texas after six seasons in the Yankees organization. 311 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 2: He'll be happily celebrating his forty eighth birthday next month, 312 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 2: So happy birthday at Austin on Mee. But even as 313 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 2: old and experience as him, I don't I totally agree 314 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 2: with the he is. We know what he is because 315 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 2: he didn't start the season as their quarterback. He didn't 316 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,640 Speaker 2: even take over as the startero up till Week five. 317 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 2: And if you look at him last year, in his 318 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 2: first three games, they went zero to three and he 319 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:55,200 Speaker 2: threw six interceptions. In the next five games they went 320 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 2: five and oh and he threw one interception. He got 321 00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 2: much better as the season went on. Granted, they really 322 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 2: started leaning on the run. They get Oscar Adaway back 323 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 2: who towards ACL last spring, so they really have four 324 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 2: really really. 325 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,280 Speaker 3: Strong running backs. You mentioned it. 326 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 2: Four offensive line starters are back. They bring back the 327 00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 2: leading receiver, roder Burns, and for UTEP. Yeah, they're really 328 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 2: stout up front. But they have to replace both their corners, 329 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 2: they have to replace both their safeties, and you mentioned it. 330 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,960 Speaker 2: They lose Jacob County first team off conference. They also 331 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 2: lost Justin Harritt. They lost seventy percent of all their 332 00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 2: catches in yards last year. These two teams just played 333 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 2: last November. This is one of the last games of 334 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 2: the year. North Texas won that game twenty to seventeen. 335 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 2: So both if that happens again, we'll both win, which 336 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 2: is fine with me. North Texas won on a game 337 00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 2: winning field goal. But you look at that game, North 338 00:15:43,280 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 2: Texas held a want to eighty five yards on seventeen carries, 339 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,160 Speaker 2: and you look at how UTEP moved the ball. Cowing 340 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,480 Speaker 2: had one hundred and seventy four yards in a touchdown 341 00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:53,720 Speaker 2: in that game. He was their whole offense that game 342 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 2: and most of the year he's gone. Burns, who's back, 343 00:15:57,440 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 2: had ninety three yards in a touchdown against UTEP. So 344 00:16:00,840 --> 00:16:03,040 Speaker 2: I love the way North Texas two. They come into 345 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:06,560 Speaker 2: the season. UTEP lost for their final five, and I 346 00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 2: don't think they're as good as they were last year. 347 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 2: So you tell me North Texas won by three last year, 348 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:14,200 Speaker 2: they're better. UTEP's worse, and now they're laying one. I 349 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 2: understand it's in UTEP, but I like North Texas money 350 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 2: line at minus one fifteen. 351 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 3: I think the meingreen come out and they get this win. 352 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: I think you've convinced me to be honest. Kind of 353 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 1: running through all those different elements. And this was the 354 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: UTEP team that was top twenty in time of possession 355 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: last year. They were seventeenth nationally. Getting the ball, holding 356 00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 1: onto it, moving the chains. As I mentioned, an effective 357 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 1: running game, but not one that you know, popped the 358 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,440 Speaker 1: big play, so how do they replace that? Is there 359 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 1: an opportunity to work out any growing pains against the 360 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: defense that could be pretty good by commerce USA standards? 361 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: In my opinion, probably not so. I do think it 362 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 1: would be interesting in a game parlay with North Texas 363 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 1: on the money line as well as the under. I 364 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,320 Speaker 1: think that's one way to go about it. I just 365 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 1: of all my projections in week zero. In Week one, 366 00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 1: this was the furthest that was off in terms of 367 00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: the total, almost a full eight points. So I think 368 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 1: there's just too much value to pass up. All Right, 369 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:08,879 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead and tee you up for this 370 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,080 Speaker 1: next game. I know that we talked off air about this. 371 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: I'm dipping my toe in. I'm, you know, cautiously headed 372 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,280 Speaker 1: to the window. Sir, do you know what you want 373 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 1: to bet on? And I sheep actually shake my head 374 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 1: and I whispered the Vanderbilt Vanderbilt minus six. Here's the deal, 375 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:28,480 Speaker 1: I mean, why is I'll make an analogy here in 376 00:17:28,520 --> 00:17:31,639 Speaker 1: my house, between August and the beginning of April, it 377 00:17:31,720 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 1: is college sports walled wall, it's college football, and it's 378 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 1: the college basketball season. The rest of the time, my 379 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: wife has home renovation shows on, and this is one 380 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 1: of those flipper flop situations where you walk in, the 381 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 1: foundation of the house is cracked. The kitchen's a galley kitchen, 382 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 1: all the appliances are mismatched, the you know, the flooring 383 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:51,360 Speaker 1: looks awful. The master suite doesn't have a bathroom attached 384 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:55,479 Speaker 1: to it. It's a disaster, but potentially long term, you know, 385 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 1: it's in the right location. It may have some access 386 00:17:57,800 --> 00:18:00,719 Speaker 1: to the waterfront. That's the White Program right now. I 387 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: like Timmy Chang a whole lot. I love this program. 388 00:18:04,119 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: One of the most sentimental teams to me in my 389 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,440 Speaker 1: life was the seven you know Bows when they went 390 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,560 Speaker 1: all the way, took it to the Sugar Bowl. Who 391 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: cares what happened against that Georgia team that was absolutely loaded. 392 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 1: They won so many close games. They were always that 393 00:18:17,480 --> 00:18:20,119 Speaker 1: break glass in case of emergency gambling team. Oh no, 394 00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: I'm down six units on a Saturday. Is anyone still 395 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:25,200 Speaker 1: out there yet to kick off? Oh well, he kicks 396 00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:28,320 Speaker 1: off at eleven to fifty nine pm. Fantastic. All right, 397 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,040 Speaker 1: let me hop in with Colt Brennan and the boys. 398 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 1: Rest and peace. So I got a lot of love 399 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,199 Speaker 1: for this program, and I think in time, because of 400 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 1: the system, he wants to run that spread, that run 401 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,920 Speaker 1: and shoot, kind of the throwback to the June Jones days. 402 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 1: I think they can accomplish it, just not in one 403 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,640 Speaker 1: off season. And I think, you know, through the passing game, 404 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 1: they could be okay in this game, you know, in 405 00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: terms of actually getting the ball back to the quarterback, 406 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:53,480 Speaker 1: getting it out of the perimeter. But their offensive line 407 00:18:53,520 --> 00:18:55,199 Speaker 1: is not going to be okay. And I know that 408 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:57,919 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt is far from world beaters when it comes to 409 00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,159 Speaker 1: generating pressure. I think they were maybe either last or 410 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:04,120 Speaker 1: second to last in the SEC in sacks generated last year. 411 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: But when I look at what they're bringing back, they've 412 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 1: experienced in all three levels to the defense, and I 413 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: think just in the trenches. If I say trench three times, 414 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:15,640 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson just shows up like beetlejuice. But listen, they're 415 00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 1: gonna be so physical in there. I think they're gonna 416 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:20,879 Speaker 1: wear down this Hawaii team. I'm surprised that this you 417 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 1: can still get this number out there in the market 418 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 1: at minus six and a half. I would play it 419 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 1: all the way up to minus nine and a half 420 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: on the Commodore's here. You know they're gonna steam out 421 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: to Hawaii. Play this game, be focused because it's it's 422 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: very rare for a program like this to be served 423 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 1: on a silver platter. Hope. And when you look at Vanderbilt, 424 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,080 Speaker 1: they've been hopeless for years really, I mean you could 425 00:19:41,080 --> 00:19:42,680 Speaker 1: go all the way back to the James Franklin days. 426 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 1: That was the last time they really believed in themselves. 427 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,879 Speaker 1: But you can look at this schedule Hawaii, Elon and 428 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,880 Speaker 1: Northern Illinois, and Northern Illinois always plays some close games. 429 00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 1: You could see a scenario with Vanderbilt starts three to one. 430 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 1: So those kids have been hearing it, they've been getting 431 00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 1: positivity on the offseason. And yes, if you want to 432 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 1: play Hawaii, in my opinion, you want I want to 433 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:01,920 Speaker 1: play him either at the beginning of the season or 434 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 1: the end of the season because the logistical element of it, 435 00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 1: you can take so much more care in terms of 436 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: turnaround time and when you get out there and practice 437 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: schedules and getting on the right sleep schedule, you can 438 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: do it if it's book end of the season. And 439 00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:16,960 Speaker 1: the last shout out I'll give to Colin Wilson here. 440 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 1: He did great work last year putting together metrics for 441 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 1: home field advantage. It is an absolute debunked myth that 442 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 1: Hawaii has this great home field advantage. They do not. 443 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,200 Speaker 1: He had him ranked in the one hundred and twenties 444 00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,440 Speaker 1: in terms of, you know, the closing number against the 445 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:33,880 Speaker 1: spread and performance, and when you toss in the fact 446 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,239 Speaker 1: that they're playing in a practice complex that has like 447 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,159 Speaker 1: nine thousand seats. I did see on Twitter their athletic 448 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:42,239 Speaker 1: department was trying to pump everybody up. It'll be an 449 00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:45,520 Speaker 1: environment like you've never seen. It's like Vanderbilt plays at 450 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 1: Bryant Denny, they played Jorden Hair, they play in the 451 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: swamp like they're gonna be ready for them, doing the 452 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: hakka and getting pumped up for this game. So, you 453 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,280 Speaker 1: know what, the more I talk about this more I'm excited. 454 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: Talk me through a little bit of the personnel and 455 00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 1: x's and osen why you'd like Vandy so much here. 456 00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:01,640 Speaker 2: Well, it will be environment they've never they haven't seen 457 00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:03,920 Speaker 2: since COVID year when there were no fans in the 458 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:04,960 Speaker 2: stands anywhere. 459 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 3: So they'll be going back to that. 460 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,679 Speaker 2: If you if you're hesitantly tiptoeing up to the window, 461 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 2: I'm in the back rolling my eye saying get out 462 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 2: of the way so I can place this bet on Vanderbilt. 463 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:17,400 Speaker 3: I love this bet. 464 00:21:17,560 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 2: I bet it live on the show when Colin was 465 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,479 Speaker 2: talking about it, and the more I read about it, 466 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 2: the more I loved it. If you listen to that, 467 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:26,680 Speaker 2: you know Mountain West Preview, you know I'm very down 468 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 2: on WHI this year. Love Timmy Chang, but unless he 469 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 2: honestly if he was suiting up at forty, I'd be 470 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 2: a little more worried. 471 00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 3: About my Vanderbilt bet. 472 00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,360 Speaker 2: But there was such a mass excess from the Island 473 00:21:39,000 --> 00:21:42,920 Speaker 2: after Todd Graham killed their love and passion for football. 474 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 2: Their words, not mine, they said, that's what his players 475 00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:49,280 Speaker 2: said about him. They lost their quarterback, running backs, receivers, linebackers, corners. 476 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:52,440 Speaker 2: They have just five returning starters, three on offense, two 477 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,600 Speaker 2: on defense. Still don't know who their quarterback is. You know, 478 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 2: could be Cam and Cooper, could be Brayden Schrager. The 479 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,600 Speaker 2: fact that Cooper, who's a Washington State transfer, hasn't won 480 00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:07,439 Speaker 2: the job is a little jarring, considering Braden Trigger was 481 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,760 Speaker 2: horrible last year. They lose eight of their top ten 482 00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:13,199 Speaker 2: tacklers for defense that was one hundred and thirteenth in 483 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:17,480 Speaker 2: the country. And you know, yeah, okay, Vanderbilt's not great, 484 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 2: but you know they also haven't named their quarterback, but 485 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,960 Speaker 2: at least theirs, it's like, okay, I think it's gonna 486 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,360 Speaker 2: be Mike Wright. He was much better than Ken Seals 487 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 2: eight touchdown, six picks. He's also very mobile, which I love. 488 00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,399 Speaker 2: Every single running back that had to carry for Vanderbilt 489 00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:37,200 Speaker 2: is backed leading Russher Rocko Griffin's back. And you mentioned 490 00:22:37,240 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 2: that Colin Wilson wrote that piece about the biggest tarp 491 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 2: discrepancies in a week zero Bandy returned seventy five percent 492 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 2: of tarp on both sides of the ball. The commoner's returned. 493 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 2: It's seventy two percent of their pressures. Hawaii returns just 494 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:51,879 Speaker 2: forty four percent of their ow alliance snaps. Vandy is 495 00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 2: going to live in this backfield and on the flip side, 496 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,000 Speaker 2: they bring back seventy percent of their passes defended and 497 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 2: Hawaii loses their entire passing attack. I don't know how 498 00:23:02,880 --> 00:23:05,919 Speaker 2: Hawaii's going to score here. And you know, Vandy is 499 00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:09,239 Speaker 2: going to dominate the trenches. Trenches and they're just going 500 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,919 Speaker 2: to run down Hawaii's throat. And like I said, I 501 00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:15,359 Speaker 2: don't know how Hawaii scores, and you mentioned the home 502 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 2: field advantage, myth. 503 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:17,720 Speaker 3: I looked it up. 504 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 2: Over the last seven years, teams are twenty seven twelve 505 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,719 Speaker 2: and two against the spread in Hawaii. It's people just 506 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 2: the numbers are always low because the public is just 507 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,400 Speaker 2: like the public still sees Cult Brannan and they still 508 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:33,880 Speaker 2: see that. 509 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:35,679 Speaker 3: Oh, you're going to the island. 510 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,200 Speaker 2: You're going to the island, and it's easy, and the 511 00:23:38,480 --> 00:23:42,840 Speaker 2: numbers get inflated and teams just cover with these against them. 512 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 3: And you know, I'm not. 513 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,119 Speaker 2: A huge trends better typically, but if you are, SEC, 514 00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 2: teams are seven and one against Hawaii all time, and 515 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 2: they're three and one on the island. So at the 516 00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,719 Speaker 2: end of the day, Bandy's trash. But they're an SEC 517 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 2: team going up against what's essentially Hawaii's like backups because 518 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,760 Speaker 2: all their starters left. So I'm pretty confident I'm with you. 519 00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 2: I'll take it to nine and a half. I got 520 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,680 Speaker 2: it at six and a half, and I love love 521 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:11,439 Speaker 2: Vanderbilt at the spot. 522 00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:14,880 Speaker 1: I also think it's a question of getting the attention 523 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 1: of eighteen to twenty two year olds where when you're 524 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:22,159 Speaker 1: going to Hawaii from Tennessee, everyone's like, Okay, that's a 525 00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,680 Speaker 1: huge deal. We need to prepare. There's a time change, 526 00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 1: there's long flights, like no one's sweeping that under the rug. 527 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,680 Speaker 1: I'm more worried situationally, when it's like a West Coast 528 00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,280 Speaker 1: team playing at like a ten am body clock game, 529 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:36,520 Speaker 1: you know in the Midwest or something like, those situations 530 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 1: can be a little sneakier. But Hawaii is just like 531 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 1: it's it's all they've been talking about for six months. 532 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 1: So I mean as soon as the off season program started. 533 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,120 Speaker 1: So I agree with you. I think we're you've now 534 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,879 Speaker 1: four to five. My belief in the commodore's here, and 535 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 1: there's every time to get on the bandwagon. 536 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 3: Now is the time. 537 00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,879 Speaker 1: I certainly know it so much. Ill will thrown towards 538 00:24:55,960 --> 00:24:59,199 Speaker 1: Northern Illinois for taking so many victories away from our 539 00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 1: staff last ball. There could be some interest on Vanderbilt, 540 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,479 Speaker 1: maybe catch with some points against Northernly we'll see how 541 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: they look in early September. Maybe they end up actually 542 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:07,920 Speaker 1: being a favorite in that game. 543 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:09,639 Speaker 3: Any mic go over their team total two and a 544 00:25:09,680 --> 00:25:10,960 Speaker 3: half by October first. 545 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:16,280 Speaker 1: It's an interesting possibility. All right, I have exhausted the 546 00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,160 Speaker 1: picks on the board that I like. You know, there's 547 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,280 Speaker 1: probably gonna be some player props that I may get 548 00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 1: into on game day when they pop. As I mentioned 549 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 1: in Western Kentucky, if I get thirty eight, thirty nine, 550 00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 1: just shy a forty, I'll go over on the team total. 551 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:30,879 Speaker 1: But that's it. I don't want to get, you know, 552 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:34,439 Speaker 1: two ahead of my skis here with week one just 553 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 1: around the corner and so many games going from Thursday 554 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: to Monday. But is there anything else on this board 555 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,920 Speaker 1: that you like? I'd love to kind of kick the 556 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:43,240 Speaker 1: tires on maybe one more option. 557 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, I hate to do this, but I do have 558 00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:48,479 Speaker 2: one more bet. I know we're trying to you know, 559 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,320 Speaker 2: start the new season. We're all happy, go lucky. We're 560 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:53,360 Speaker 2: trying to gain new listeners. If this is your first 561 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 2: time listening, I apologize if this is your last. 562 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,560 Speaker 3: But what better way the year? 563 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,000 Speaker 2: And you know, maybe you worked a summer job this summer. 564 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 2: Let you go ahead, and you got the money burn 565 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 2: in your pocket, go ahead and throw it away. We're 566 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:12,399 Speaker 2: taking to Yukon. It's like twenty seven and a half. 567 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:15,560 Speaker 2: I'm really open against the twenty eight, as if the 568 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:17,520 Speaker 2: hook's gonna matter when it comes to Yukon. 569 00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 3: But we're hoping for the twenty eight. 570 00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 2: You know, Jim Mora takes over as the head coach, 571 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:25,160 Speaker 2: former Falcons head coach, Seahawks head coach, UCLA head coach 572 00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,440 Speaker 2: Taekwon Robson's a new quarterback, former four. 573 00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 3: Star from Penn State. 574 00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 2: They bring in Will Knight, who was a jew COO 575 00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 2: transfer running back. They still have Nathan Carter from last year. 576 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,360 Speaker 2: They bring him out their top four receivers. They add 577 00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 2: Nigel Fitzgerald from Old Dominion. The defense, you know, brings 578 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:45,120 Speaker 2: back Jackson Mitchell, who's pretty good. They added some decent transfers. 579 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 2: They added transfer to Kentucky, you know when from Texas Tech. 580 00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,399 Speaker 2: Utah State got super lucky last year. We know that 581 00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:52,840 Speaker 2: We've talked about that in our Mountain West preview. They 582 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 2: lose Devin Tompkins, who is the nation's second leading receiver. 583 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,880 Speaker 2: They lose their top three wideouts, they lose for their 584 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:03,520 Speaker 2: top five linebackers. The day Utah State didn't really blow 585 00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,000 Speaker 2: teams out last year. You know, look at those teams 586 00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,639 Speaker 2: that are kind of power rated similarly to Yukon. 587 00:27:08,960 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 3: You know at the bottom. 588 00:27:10,840 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 2: They beat UNLV by four, they beat New Mexico State 589 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,359 Speaker 2: by twenty two, They beat New Mexico by twenty five. 590 00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:20,879 Speaker 2: You know, Yeah, Yukon's not going to win, but they 591 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:24,360 Speaker 2: can lose by twenty five and still cover the spread. 592 00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 2: So if this hits twenty eight, I may be forced 593 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:30,200 Speaker 2: to take the Huskies. I don't want to do it, 594 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,360 Speaker 2: but at some point you have to say. It's week 595 00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,880 Speaker 2: zero and I'm bet on Yukon football. 596 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,639 Speaker 1: I'm actually hearing something come through my earpiece here. It 597 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:41,000 Speaker 1: sounds like our producers letting us know. The last time 598 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,919 Speaker 1: an Action Network employee advocated for betting on Yukon, it 599 00:27:45,000 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 1: resulted in the reception of this voicemail justin from reading 600 00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: Yo stuck. 601 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,840 Speaker 3: I listened to you one more time on anything involving Yukon. 602 00:27:57,480 --> 00:27:58,359 Speaker 3: I'm coming after you. 603 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 1: Take it easy. This is this is a tough one 604 00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:06,520 Speaker 1: to get behind. I'm trying to figure out the thought process. Yes, 605 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:09,160 Speaker 1: Devin Tompkins not at Utah State. He was mister big 606 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 1: play for them last year. Down the stretch they did 607 00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 1: blow out San Jose State. Shockingly, they blew out San 608 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,440 Speaker 1: Diego State, you know, and their great defense in the 609 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,400 Speaker 1: Mountain West Championship game. But I agree with you. They 610 00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 1: clearly had a motive to take their foot off the 611 00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 1: accelerator against some of the lousy teams they played, so 612 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,120 Speaker 1: I do get that to a certain degree. I also 613 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 1: look at it in terms of, you know, their quarterback depth. 614 00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,479 Speaker 1: They probably want to get some snaps behind Logan Bonner 615 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,200 Speaker 1: in this game, so I don't necessarily see him playing 616 00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 1: the full four quarters either. Yukon on paper should be 617 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 1: a little bit better, and if their quarterback play takes 618 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: that big leap, then yeah, so maybe you know what, 619 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 1: I'll go ahead and think about this. On the first 620 00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,560 Speaker 1: half line take getting two touchdowns. If I can get 621 00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,160 Speaker 1: the full fourteen points in the first half, I think 622 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:56,280 Speaker 1: that may be a consideration. 623 00:28:56,680 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 3: Here's an important question we have. 624 00:28:58,120 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 2: We may have to do a little bit more research 625 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 2: before you fully locked in this bet. Does Jim Mora 626 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 2: have the Randy Etzel contract where he gets bonuses for 627 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,480 Speaker 2: like winning the turnover battle, or kicking the longest field goal, 628 00:29:10,960 --> 00:29:14,360 Speaker 2: or eating eating his pizza the fastest, or calling the 629 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:17,400 Speaker 2: most time his timeouts the quickest. If he has these 630 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:21,600 Speaker 2: little cheapy bonuses, then Yukon is incentivized to keep playing 631 00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 2: late and even if they're down twenty five and Jim 632 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:26,239 Speaker 2: Mora knows he only needs one more sack and then 633 00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 2: he has more sacks than. 634 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,360 Speaker 3: The other team, which was a legitimate bonus. 635 00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 2: Randy Ettel used to get Yukon's gonna be playing in 636 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,720 Speaker 2: the final whistle because that's that's that's money in their 637 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:34,440 Speaker 2: coaches pocket. 638 00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 1: That was the best Easter egg I think we found 639 00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 1: last year in the podcast. That was absolutely incredible, that 640 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: that was a real thing. I'm not going to be 641 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 1: joining you on this bet. I've really I've really tried 642 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:45,840 Speaker 1: to give it the full weight of the podcast, but 643 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:47,640 Speaker 1: I can't do it. We want to make sure that 644 00:29:47,680 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 1: we don't scare people off from what we're going to 645 00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: get into it. It's not all the dregs. It's not 646 00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,480 Speaker 1: gonna be all new Mexico Yukon, all right, So we 647 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 1: do have some nice picks here. We're getting you started 648 00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,520 Speaker 1: into the season. We feel really good. I think the 649 00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,120 Speaker 1: fact that you new Mexico game great breakdown from you 650 00:30:02,160 --> 00:30:05,080 Speaker 1: I and l O on why you know this is 651 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 1: probably the spot to get back on the seth Latrell bandwagon. 652 00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,240 Speaker 2: Let's just hope all of our listeners can find stadium 653 00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 2: so we can watch that twenty four to ten North 654 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:14,560 Speaker 2: Dexas swin. 655 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 1: God will all right, So that gets us started here 656 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 1: in week zero for the Big Bets on Campus podcast. 657 00:30:20,680 --> 00:30:22,560 Speaker 1: This has been the Group of five Deep Dive. A 658 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: shout out to all of our listeners. Subscribe like you know, 659 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:27,800 Speaker 1: refer to a friend, refer to an enemy. We want 660 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 1: to get as many listeners as we can. This season 661 00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 1: really starts to get the juices flowing. And for all 662 00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:36,960 Speaker 1: of those Week zero picks that go into even further depth, 663 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson stuck, you're going to be dropping their week 664 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: zero preview in by the time you listen to this 665 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: about thirty six hours, so make sure to check your 666 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 1: feeds for that. I know we did it. We're back 667 00:30:46,040 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 1: in the saddle. Hopefully we can deliver a couple of winners. 668 00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,960 Speaker 1: We'll have upwards of ten picks for week one going 669 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,400 Speaker 1: all through G five Land. Really excited to be back 670 00:30:54,400 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: here with you