Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat fitz
Speaker 1: Morris here with my buddy Bo mcbrair. Scotty Scheffler wins
Speaker 1: the PGA Championship and now he's an overwhelming favorite at
Speaker 1: this week's Charles Schwap Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. It's
Speaker 1: a home game for Scotty, who lives in nearby Dallas
Speaker 1: bow and I will give you a full betting preview
Speaker 1: of the Charles Schwab Challenge. We'll talk about the course,
Speaker 1: the field, the odds, We'll tell you who we're betting,
Speaker 1: and we will make our weekly one and done picks
Speaker 1: at the end of the show. But let's start with
Speaker 1: a quick recap of the PGA. Scotty was eleven under
Speaker 1: par over four rounds at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Speaker 1: His margin of victory wound up being five shots, which
Speaker 1: made it seem like an easy victory, but Scotty and
Speaker 1: John Ram were tied for the lead at nine under
Speaker 1: par as Scotty finished up this front nine on Sunday,
Speaker 1: but then Scotty stopped the accelerator, carding Birdie's on the tenth,
Speaker 1: fourteenth and fifteenth holes. And Rom ran into trouble on
Speaker 1: the so called Green Mile, Quail Hollow's difficult three hole finishing.
Speaker 1: Rom lipped out a par put on number sixteen, then
Speaker 1: found the water on the par three seventeenth and made
Speaker 1: double bogie. His title hopes were pretty much dashed at
Speaker 1: that point, and his double bogie in the eighteenth was
Speaker 1: just salt in the wound. Scotty shot in even par
Speaker 1: seventy one for his final round, a good number given
Speaker 1: the difficult scoring conditions. But Scotty really set himself up
Speaker 1: for the wind with a spectacular finishing stretch on Sunday.
Speaker 1: He was five under par over his last five holes
Speaker 1: excuse me on Saturday, five hundred power over his last five.
Speaker 1: Scotty drove the green on the par four fourteenth hole
Speaker 1: and knocked in a three foot putt for eagle, thenny
Speaker 1: berdie the fifteenth, seventeenth and eighteenth. That gave him a
Speaker 1: three shot lead over Alex Norn going into the final round,
Speaker 1: and Scotty caught some good breaks along the way. He
Speaker 1: was using a replacement driver all week after his usual
Speaker 1: driver was deemed non conforming. Rory McElroy had the same
Speaker 1: thing happened to him, and Scotty missed some fairways with
Speaker 1: that replacement driver. He got lucky with one of his
Speaker 1: misses on Sunday, he pulled his t shot on number
Speaker 1: two way left. It hit a card path and took
Speaker 1: a big balance. It actually set Scotty up with a
Speaker 1: clear look at the green and an easy little wed
Speaker 1: shot in He burdied the hole. Not that there was
Speaker 1: anything lucky about Scotty's win, but it makes it that
Speaker 1: much harder on the field when the best player in
Speaker 1: the world is getting some occasional breaks. Yeah. Scotty gets
Speaker 1: his third major before his twenty ninth birthday next month.
Speaker 1: His other two wins and majors were at the Masters.
Speaker 1: He'll try to get his first US Open win in
Speaker 1: his first Open Championship win this summer. Bryson, d Chambeau,
Speaker 1: Harris English and Davis Riley finished in a three way
Speaker 1: tie for second at six under par. Tough week for
Speaker 1: a lot of the big guns. Rory McElroy, who had
Speaker 1: such a good track record at Quayle Hollow, He finished
Speaker 1: plus three tied for forty seventh. Defending PGA champs Ander
Speaker 1: Schoffley finished one under tied for twenty eighth Ludwig Oberg, Justin,
Speaker 1: Thomas Brooks, Koepka, Hideki Matzi, I all missed the cot
Speaker 1: bo I. I thought Quail Hollow was a good venue
Speaker 1: for the PGA. It was tough but fair. Charlotte got
Speaker 1: a lot of rain early in the week. We thought
Speaker 1: I was going to play long, maybe soft, but the
Speaker 1: greens were still nice and firm for most of the tournament.
Speaker 1: This was decidedly not a birdie fest. What were your
Speaker 1: takeaways from Scotty's winningt Quail Hollow.
Speaker 2: It's business as usual for old Scotty Scheffler. It seems like, oh, well,
Speaker 2: we had a lot of excuses why Rory was gonna
Speaker 2: be the favorite, Why why Scotty might not be the
Speaker 2: best fit for this golf course. Well, it turns out
Speaker 2: Scotty's a good fit for any golf course he shows
Speaker 2: up at as long as he stays out of jail. This,
Speaker 2: uh it kind of it kind of just looked like
Speaker 2: he was in a zone and and where anytime anytime
Speaker 2: people tell me, oh, he's like Tim Duncan, he's really boring,
Speaker 2: but the fundamentals are there and he's so solid even
Speaker 2: though he's boring. I was like, are you watching the
Speaker 2: same game I am, because this is one of the
Speaker 2: best ball strikers I've ever seen in my life, and
Speaker 2: I'm enthralled every time I watch him play golf like
Speaker 2: it breaks bad breaks. Scotti Scheffler is even keel, but
Speaker 2: even he has I've seen him snap clubs over his
Speaker 2: bag and frustration. I've seen him spike his hat when
Speaker 2: he wins the PGA Championship and let off an explictivef Yeah.
Speaker 2: I mean it's this guy is far from boring. He's
Speaker 2: one of the best iron players that's ever walked on
Speaker 2: this planet and we're calling it comparing him to Tim
Speaker 2: Duncan the big fundamental get out of here with that.
Speaker 2: This was a clinic. Scotti Scheffler did win easily. It
Speaker 2: got close on Sunday because John Ram made a charge.
Speaker 2: Everybody else was just kind of playing second fiddle to
Speaker 2: Scottie Scheffler. It was all Scottie all week long, especially
Speaker 2: once he turned home and shot a sixty sixty, sixty six,
Speaker 2: sixty five on Saturday, five under his last five two
Speaker 2: under through the Green Mile. Excuse me, that's insane. He
Speaker 2: made that course bend at the knee, and nobody else
Speaker 2: could do that. Like even John Rahm, who made that
Speaker 2: charge on Sunday, couldn't keep it together five over on
Speaker 2: the Green Mile on Sunday when he had all the
Speaker 2: momentum going his in his favor and it was still
Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler. Ho hum, business as usual. Another another Major,
Speaker 2: another win. He's just winning everything he looks at and
Speaker 2: he's not even doing He's not even letting them really
Speaker 2: get that close to him, because if you're tied after
Speaker 2: nine holes, he's still got nine more to try to
Speaker 2: keep pace with a guy who doesn't make mistakes, and
Speaker 2: when he makes mistakes, he doesn't compound them ever, So
Speaker 2: good luck to the rest of the field this week.
Speaker 2: It just seems like this guy is just on an
Speaker 2: all time run, and it's the evidence is pointing in
Speaker 2: that direction.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was nice to see big John Rahm get
Speaker 1: back into the back into contention at a major, but
Speaker 1: it just merely meant he was the last to go
Speaker 1: into Scottie Scheffler's wood chipper.
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, basically it was. It was it was fun
Speaker 2: to see Jon Rum enjoying himself on a golf course. Again.
Speaker 2: We haven't seen happy John Rahm in a long time,
Speaker 2: and he he looked like he was having some fun
Speaker 2: out there, and he was playing some great golf. So
Speaker 2: I'm hopeful that as everything shakes out with the Live
Speaker 2: Tour and any future mergers, that we get back to
Speaker 2: prime gen Ram before he switched to Live, and that
Speaker 2: was that makes for the best theater. When you get
Speaker 2: the big guys gunning at each other and we get
Speaker 2: it all four times a year, that's not enough. We
Speaker 2: need more.
Speaker 1: Agreed. Agreed. Now, we will preview the Charles Schwab Challenge
Speaker 1: in just a moment, But first.
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Speaker 1: The Charles Schwab Challenge will be played at venerable Colonial
Speaker 1: Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial has been hosting
Speaker 1: a PGA Tour event since nineteen forty six. The event
Speaker 1: used to just be called the Colonial. Now it has
Speaker 1: a corporate sponsor. Colonial is not terribly long by PGA
Speaker 1: Tour standards, but it demands accuracy, demands a delicate touch
Speaker 1: around its firm, fast greens, and it usually requires players
Speaker 1: to navigate some win We're talking about a golf course
Speaker 1: in Texas, after all, so it's a par seventy measuring
Speaker 1: seven two and eighty nine yards. Players won't use the
Speaker 1: drivers often on Colonial as they will on some other courses.
Speaker 1: They're no par fours over five hundred yards. Saw several
Speaker 1: such long par fours last week at Quail Hollow. Five
Speaker 1: of the twelve par fours at Colonial measure less than
Speaker 1: four hundred and fifteen yards, but with a lot of narrow,
Speaker 1: tree lined fairways and dog legs, there's a premium on
Speaker 1: accuracy off the tee. It's important that players set themselves
Speaker 1: up with a good angle of approach to go. Flag hunting,
Speaker 1: short iron play and wedge play are going to be
Speaker 1: important this week. These are small, fast greens, They're hard
Speaker 1: to hit. It's going to be a challenge to hit
Speaker 1: these greens, especially from out of the snarley Bermuda rough.
Speaker 1: Now Colonial lures players to sleep with two easy holes
Speaker 1: at the start. There are only two par fives on
Speaker 1: the course, but one of them is the five hundred
Speaker 1: and eighty one yard first hole. It's a birdy opportunity,
Speaker 1: so is the three hundred and eighty four yard second hole.
Speaker 1: Then players run into the so called horrible horseshoe holes three, four,
Speaker 1: and five. They're three of the four toughest holes on
Speaker 1: the course. Three and five are two of the longest
Speaker 1: par fours on the course, and number four is a
Speaker 1: two hundred and forty eight yard par three. Davis Riley
Speaker 1: is the defending Charles Schwab Challenge champion. He finished fourteen
Speaker 1: under par last year, five shots better than our guy,
Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler and Keegan Bradley. Emiliano Grio won here in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. He finished eight under par and beat
Speaker 1: Adam Shank in a playoff. Sam Burns won in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two he was nine under par. He beat Scotty
Speaker 1: Scheffler in a playoff. That year, Jason Kokrak won with
Speaker 1: the score of fourteen under par in twenty twenty one,
Speaker 1: and Daniel Berger won here twenty twenty, the first tournament
Speaker 1: after play resumed following the COVID delay. He finished fifteen
Speaker 1: under par and Burger beat Colin Morricawan a playoff. Temperatures
Speaker 1: are expected to be in the mid to upper eighties
Speaker 1: on Thursday and Friday, touching the low nineties Saturday and Sunday.
Speaker 1: No rain in the forecast for the tournament, but we
Speaker 1: will get some win. It's gonna be blowing ten to
Speaker 1: twenty miles an hour according to weather dot com throughout
Speaker 1: the tournament. Sounds like the course is going to play
Speaker 1: firm and fast. What do you make of Colonial.
Speaker 2: It's a shot maker's paradise and accuracy is the only
Speaker 2: thing that matters. Sure seems like a course that might
Speaker 2: fit some guy named Scotti Schefler pretty well accurate off
Speaker 2: the t good iron player, the best iron player in
Speaker 2: the world, hits it closer to the pin than anybody else.
Speaker 2: Doesn't shoot himself in the foot. This this is a
Speaker 2: golf course where if you're not finding fairways, you're pretty
Speaker 2: much not gonna be in contention. If you're finding fairways,
Speaker 2: there's gonna be some birdy opportunities. Even though it's not
Speaker 2: an easy course. The winning scores typically worse than fifteen
Speaker 2: hunder par at the end, which still means you got
Speaker 2: to shoot sixty six, sixty six and so on, like
Speaker 2: mid sixties all four days to win this thing. It's
Speaker 2: gonna be fun to watch these guys try to avoid
Speaker 2: double bogies from the trees because a lot of guys
Speaker 2: are going to be in the trees. I think if
Speaker 2: you find the fairway here, it's a second shot target park,
Speaker 2: target practice type golf course with a lot of birdy opportunities.
Speaker 2: But these are the third narrowest fairways on the PGA Tour,
Speaker 2: averaging twenty seven yards wide. And when it comes to experience,
Speaker 2: there's only been one first timer to win this tournament
Speaker 2: in the last thirty years, and that was Davis Riley
Speaker 2: last year. So by and large, guys need to see
Speaker 2: this course a few times before they have a lasting
Speaker 2: success here. Obviously, Scotti Scheffler is a Dallas native, and
Speaker 2: there's quite a few Dallas natives in this field. I
Speaker 2: kinda do give a little bit of a lean to
Speaker 2: those players because Texas golf is kind of a different animal.
Speaker 2: You deal with wind, You don't deal with a lot
Speaker 2: of terrain, but you deal with tree lined fairways and
Speaker 2: very very fast bent grass greens. These greens are going
Speaker 2: to be a problem again. Scotty Scheffler plays better when
Speaker 2: the greens are faster. The tougher the conditions get, the
Speaker 2: more the cream rises to the top. So I don't
Speaker 2: know what we're gonna do. We have to pick somebody
Speaker 2: to win this thing and hopefully it'll pay off better
Speaker 2: than last week.
Speaker 1: Did fading Scottie Scheffler. Last week was not too good,
Speaker 1: really good thing. I picked Corey Connors for that top
Speaker 1: twenty plus ties bet at plus one ninety that saved
Speaker 1: me from being skunk for the whole tournament. Bow It
Speaker 1: was a yeah off PGA.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I had Bryson top five so that cash for
Speaker 2: me and then a top twenty for I forget who
Speaker 2: it was, but not not important. I didn't. I didn't,
Speaker 2: I didn't break into the black so it was not
Speaker 2: a skunk, but not great. Last week. We're moving on.
Speaker 1: Yes, it's on too, It's onto Fort Worth. We'll get
Speaker 1: to the Charles Schwab Challenge odds in just a moment.
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Speaker 1: Now for the Charles Schwab Challenge. Odds. All odds are
Speaker 1: a courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday. Some of these
Speaker 1: odds may have changed by the time you consume this show.
Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler is an overwhelming favorite to win at plus
Speaker 1: two point fifty. The odds on Scotti just keep getting
Speaker 1: shorter and shorter bow. Then it's Jordan Spieth at plus
Speaker 1: twenty two hundred, Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood and Daniel Berger
Speaker 1: are plus twenty five hundred, Maverick McNeely is plus three thousand,
Speaker 1: Robert McIntyre, JT. Post In and Harris English are plus
Speaker 1: four thousand, Seewoo Kam, Aaron Raye, Keith Mitchell, JJ Spahn
Speaker 1: and Davis Thompson are plus forty five hundred, and Davis
Speaker 1: Riley is plus five thousand. The same old Scotti Scheffler
Speaker 1: dilemma beau, do we dare bet on him at such
Speaker 1: short odds? Or perhaps the better question would be do
Speaker 1: we dare pass on Scottie Scheffler this week?
Speaker 2: I think that we have to do the live bet
Speaker 2: thing because plus two fifty, that's saying, basically, he's a
Speaker 2: fifty to fifty coin flip to win the same and
Speaker 2: I'm not ready to go that far like this. This
Speaker 2: guy's obviously the best golfer in the world. He's obviously
Speaker 2: playing another golf course right there next to his hometown.
Speaker 2: It's still colonial. Colonial tends to favor other types of
Speaker 2: golfers that are more accuracy driven off the tee. We've
Speaker 2: seen all sorts of different guys win this tournament. Scotti
Speaker 2: Scheffler isn't one of them. We also said this about
Speaker 2: t PC Craigranch a few weeks ago where he won
Speaker 2: by eight, and so yes, you should bet on Scotti Scheffler.
Speaker 2: I'm just not sure that plus two fifty is the
Speaker 2: way to go. I think we better pay close attention
Speaker 2: to the live lines on Thursday, especially if he gets
Speaker 2: a late tea time draw. Somebody goes out there shoots
Speaker 2: sixty three, sixty four, it could happen. Then you start
Speaker 2: to see Scotty in that plus five hundred plus six
Speaker 2: hundred plus seven hundred territory, then I'm smashing the button there.
Speaker 2: If you have live betting in your state, that's where
Speaker 2: I'm going because plus two fifty, I mean, obviously he's
Speaker 2: gonna be live to win here. But that's a coin flip.
Speaker 2: That's saying you expect Scotty to tee it up and
Speaker 2: win half the time here when he's never won here before.
Speaker 2: It's just a value proposition being a smart better. And
Speaker 2: if you bet on a little bit on a few
Speaker 2: other guys and Scotty wins. It's not that big of
Speaker 2: a loss. You're not putting all your eggs in it
Speaker 2: somebody else beside Scotti Scheffler. You're just saying, Hey, if
Speaker 2: Scotty Shuffler is gonna win this, I just don't want
Speaker 2: it to sting me as bad where we kind of
Speaker 2: got screwed by a major, all these great golfers competing
Speaker 2: with Scotty and end up losing to Scotty by five
Speaker 2: strokes this week. Isn't like that this week. You can
Speaker 2: kind of take your measured picks and just I mean
Speaker 2: obviously hope Scotty doesn't win, or bet Scotty live if
Speaker 2: he starts off slow. It just seems like that's the
Speaker 2: best value proposition for a smart betters to go in
Speaker 2: there expecting Scotty to make you hurt again, Like he's
Speaker 2: going to hurt us again, but we need to make
Speaker 2: sure that he doesn't hurt us as bad as he
Speaker 2: did last week.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and you mentioned it, Bo. The nature of colonial
Speaker 1: maybe brings more guys into contention. You know, like Brian
Speaker 1: Harmon and Nico Echeveria are bunters who would not be
Speaker 1: winning at Quail Hollow unless they rolled in several hundred
Speaker 1: feet of potts during the week, whereas like those guys
Speaker 1: could win at Colonial. This is a course that suits
Speaker 1: guys like that. On the other hand, Scotty has won
Speaker 1: his last two events by combined thirteen shots. He hasn't
Speaker 1: won it Colonial yet yet, but he's been top three
Speaker 1: in each of the last three years, including that sudden
Speaker 1: death playoff loss. What about any of the other players
Speaker 1: with fifty to one or shorter bo does anyone stand
Speaker 1: out to you as a possible contender here?
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's quite a few guys, a lot of them.
Speaker 2: Even with Scottie in the field, You're not getting great
Speaker 2: value on them. Like I'm not interested in Jordan Speith here.
Speaker 2: I'm not interested in Tommy Fleetwood ever, because he never
Speaker 2: wins anything. Daniel Berger's form has been pretty poor when
Speaker 2: it comes to results. His stats look good, results haven't
Speaker 2: been good. I can see Daniel Berger from a few
Speaker 2: years ago when he did win here, that would be
Speaker 2: a good play. But he's going out there plus twenty
Speaker 2: five hundred. I'm not interested Hideki plus twenty eight hundred
Speaker 2: not the best fit. I'm going to go all the
Speaker 2: way down to plus three thousand, Maverick mcneelly playing great golf.
Speaker 2: He was briefly in the top ten official World Golf
Speaker 2: rankings because he's on quite a top ten streak this season.
Speaker 2: MATV mcneely's game has been great, his ball striking has
Speaker 2: been much improved, and we're talking about one of the
Speaker 2: best putters on the planet right now riding hot, and
Speaker 2: those are good odds. That's a guy who can actually
Speaker 2: see win this tournament in spite of everything else round him.
Speaker 2: MAV McNeely is the first value I actually see on
Speaker 2: the board at plus three thousand, so I'll start there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And Mav finished seventeenth last year at the Charles
Speaker 1: Schwap Challenge, so he's shown that he can get a
Speaker 1: whiff of the leader board here. Jordan Speith, I mean,
Speaker 1: his lengthy record of success at Colonial is pretty impressive.
Speaker 1: Over a ten years stretch from twenty thirteen to twenty
Speaker 1: twenty two, Speed finished top fifteen nine times, including a
Speaker 1: win in twenty sixteen and three second place finishes. But
Speaker 1: we should also note that Speed missed the cut here
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three and was thirty seventh last year,
Speaker 1: and he just missed the cut at the PGA so
Speaker 1: maybe not the best trajectory for Jordan Speath, even though
Speaker 1: he is another Dallas guy.
Speaker 2: Let's just the off the te game has been better,
Speaker 2: but not great still because it's Jordan Speith. The dude
Speaker 2: spraysed them all all over the place. But his approach game,
Speaker 2: which is kind of the kind of the hinge point
Speaker 2: of his entire form, has been terrible. His approach game
Speaker 2: has been awful and we can't imagine him obviously missing
Speaker 2: some fairways. He's obviously the best scrambler anybody's ever seen
Speaker 2: because he's just a Houdini act out there every year.
Speaker 2: It boggles my mind that he's had any success at
Speaker 2: Colonial before with the way he hits the ball off
Speaker 2: the tee. But I think it's more of a concern
Speaker 2: of his approach game. Honestly, I don't see him hitting
Speaker 2: it close enough on these little greens to make a
Speaker 2: good score out here.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I just don't see the value
Speaker 1: at twenty two to one. And you know, Daniel Berger
Speaker 1: you mentioned he did win here in twenty twenty and
Speaker 1: has played well lately. A third at the RBC Heritage
Speaker 1: eleventh of the Truest Championship thirty third at the PGA,
Speaker 1: And yeah, Burger statistical profile would seem to fit Colonial
Speaker 1: pretty well, being inside the top twenty and strokes gained
Speaker 1: off the tee and strokes gain an approach top ten
Speaker 1: and driving accuracy, But like you said, Bo, he just
Speaker 1: hasn't been real close to any victories. And as you said,
Speaker 1: that's kind of the case with Tommy Fleetwood two, whose
Speaker 1: game would seem to fit here, but maybe more for
Speaker 1: a top twenty than for a win. JT. Postin is
Speaker 1: kind of interesting. He's been playing well. He's finished top
Speaker 1: twenty five and four straight events, including a fifth at
Speaker 1: the PGA, and he has kind of an interesting track
Speaker 1: record at Colonial over the past seven years. Post In
Speaker 1: has three top twenties and four missed cots, So it's
Speaker 1: kind of all or nothing for Posting. And I don't know, boy,
Speaker 1: it seems like Colonial should be right up to Seawou
Speaker 1: Kim's alley. He's accurate off the tee, good with his
Speaker 1: wedges and short irons, but in eight career starts at Colonial,
Speaker 1: Seawou is only finished inside the top fifty once. So
Speaker 1: for whatever reason.
Speaker 2: It's because Pete died didn't design this course.
Speaker 1: A good point one other guy I'll mention Harris English
Speaker 1: has played well lately, tied for second at the PGA
Speaker 1: after shooting a blistering sixty five on Sunday. English is
Speaker 1: a grinder who does his best work on tough courses,
Speaker 1: and he's had three top twenties in his last six
Speaker 1: trips to Colonial, including a runner up finish in twenty sixteen.
Speaker 1: All right, let's look at some of the mid range options.
Speaker 1: Brian Harmon and Michael Kim are plus fifty five hundred.
Speaker 1: Ben Griffin and Andrew Novak are plus six thousand. Ryan Girard,
Speaker 1: Mackenzie Hughes and Lucas Glover are plus sixty five hundred.
Speaker 1: Bud Coley, Akshay Battia, Harry Hall and Torborne Olison r
Speaker 1: plus seven thousand, Kurt Kittyamas plus seventy five hundred and
Speaker 1: At plus eight thousand, Sam Stevens, Alex Smalley, Lee Hodges,
Speaker 1: Kevin Y, Tom Kim and Taylor Moore. Is there anyone
Speaker 1: you like from this group?
Speaker 2: Bo one guy had circled Michael Kim plus fifty five hundred.
Speaker 2: That's a smash pick for me. That's a mispriced. This
Speaker 2: guy is playing better than anybody out there, maybe not
Speaker 2: except for Rory and Scotty. This season, Michael Kim has
Speaker 2: been a case in consistency, and especially on shorter golf
Speaker 2: courses where accuracy is in high demand. Michael Kim is
Speaker 2: the perfect fit here, and I can see him winning
Speaker 2: this thing and continuing his very nice dark Horse Ryder
Speaker 2: Cup candidacy. And it doesn't have anything to do with that.
Speaker 2: Mike Kim last night commented that my swing had really
Speaker 2: good slotting. So I'll take I'll take the compliment from
Speaker 2: from the from the PGA Tour pro. Even though I
Speaker 2: was looking for him to kind of help me with
Speaker 2: fixing my swing, he said it looked good.
Speaker 1: So was this when he was stuck on the tarmac
Speaker 1: killing time? I I want to say Ryan Girard. And
Speaker 1: who was the other person it was?
Speaker 2: It was Ben Griffin and Tom Kim.
Speaker 1: Ben and Tom Camm got it, yeah.
Speaker 2: And they were they were trying to get back to Dallas.
Speaker 2: And and Michael Kim is another Texas guy. He's a
Speaker 2: Houston native and he's uh, he's playing great golf this year,
Speaker 2: and I just think that he's a great fit. I'll
Speaker 2: probably be betting an entire ladder on him every way,
Speaker 2: Mike Kim, fifty five to one's just I would. I
Speaker 2: had him a handicapped at thirty five to one, so
Speaker 2: when I saw fifty five to one, I went after it.
Speaker 1: Now, can I make you roll your eyes with one name?
Speaker 1: Bo Ryan Harman?
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I won't do it. It's it makes sense
Speaker 2: stats wise. You look at his proximity numbers on approach,
Speaker 2: they're good. His putting has been good, of course, he's
Speaker 2: He's always been a clutch putter, very accurate off the tee.
Speaker 2: What I worry about him is on approach again, much
Speaker 2: like Speeth, where it's like he has to be good
Speaker 2: on approach. It's this is Brian Harmon. If he's not
Speaker 2: sticking it close, he's not making any birdies. He's just
Speaker 2: got to He's got to compete by hitting it close.
Speaker 2: And so far this year his approach game has been atrocious.
Speaker 2: So I'll let you bet on Brian Harmon. And if
Speaker 2: you want to make him your one and done pick,
Speaker 2: if you haven't burned him multiple times already, I would
Speaker 2: encourage that.
Speaker 1: So, I mean, maybe he's a better play for a
Speaker 1: top ten or top twenty. He has been consistently solid
Speaker 1: Colonial Over the last ten years, He's finished thirty first
Speaker 1: or better nine times. That includes three top tens but
Speaker 1: zero top five. So yeah, I mean, I like that
Speaker 1: the lack of distance at Colonial is not going to
Speaker 1: hurt him that much. Yeah, is he going to contend?
Speaker 1: I don't know.
Speaker 2: You mentioned you mentioned Taylor Moore at eighty to one.
Speaker 2: I'm interested now, I'm looking at the I'm looking at
Speaker 2: the recent finishes and Taylor Moore was great last week.
Speaker 2: He's a sneaky one. Eighty one is a decent number
Speaker 2: for him. So I think I'm going to take a
Speaker 2: closer look at Taylor Moore now that he popped up
Speaker 2: on your call out list. Yeah.
Speaker 1: And Ben Griffin one of the guys stuck on the
Speaker 1: tarmac with Michael Kim. He's played well lately, but I
Speaker 1: would caution anyone playing the hotthand that, you know, the
Speaker 1: numbers say he's just not very good with the short
Speaker 1: irons and wedges, so true. I don't know about Ben Griffin.
Speaker 1: Ryan Gerard is kind of mildly interesting. He said three
Speaker 1: top tens over the last two months and is a
Speaker 1: pretty good short iron player. And Harry Hall, I know
Speaker 1: He's been in the top twenty each of the last
Speaker 1: two weeks. He's played this event twice and was third
Speaker 1: here in twenty twenty three, although he missed the cut
Speaker 1: last year. What about intriguing long shots bow anyone in
Speaker 1: eighty five to one or longer who might be worth
Speaker 1: a flyer?
Speaker 2: Funny you should ask Pat? I have four? Oh, okay, yeah,
Speaker 2: we're starting with Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one. He's been
Speaker 2: playing great this year and ninety to one is another
Speaker 2: miss price with how well he's playing this year. A
Speaker 2: great short iron player. That's what I'm looking for is
Speaker 2: guys that a can get off the tee and find fairways,
Speaker 2: and b they can go attack pins. Jacob Bridgeman's playing
Speaker 2: great golf this year. One and twenty to one. Mac
Speaker 2: Meisner he finished high here last year and he's been
Speaker 2: playing good golf this year in his first full time
Speaker 2: season on the PGA Tour. One hundred and twenty to one.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take my shots. I'm intrigued by seventeen year
Speaker 2: old Blades Brown one hundred and fifty to one's he's
Speaker 2: a decently long hitter for his size and age, but
Speaker 2: he's also very accurate, and he makes a ton of
Speaker 2: birdies because he's always in plays. He's kind of like
Speaker 2: your little Scotti Scheffler in waiting, where he's the seventeen
Speaker 2: year old version of Scotti who's really good at finding
Speaker 2: fairways and getting it close on approach. I think that
Speaker 2: that's a fun pick at one hundred and fifty to
Speaker 2: one to go to see what the kid can do
Speaker 2: out here.
Speaker 1: And then why is.
Speaker 2: Carl Phillips two hundred and fifty to one. He won
Speaker 2: this year on the PGA Tour. He's really really good.
Speaker 2: He's the face of Sunday Red. It makes no sense
Speaker 2: I'm going to be betting a ladder on Carl Phillips
Speaker 2: again because he keeps paying us.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't blame me for that one. Let me
Speaker 1: throw some other long shots out you bow, and some
Speaker 1: of these might not be quite as long as your guys.
Speaker 1: But we're getting ninety to one odds on Emiliano Grio,
Speaker 1: who won here in twenty twenty three and has had
Speaker 1: two other top tens and a couple of other top
Speaker 1: twenty five. So he is a horse for the course
Speaker 1: and going off at pretty long odds. Hasn't had a
Speaker 1: terrible season either. I'm surprised he's ninety to one. I'm
Speaker 1: intrigued by the aforementioned Nico Etriveriat one hundred and twenty
Speaker 1: to one. He's he's short but straight off the tee,
Speaker 1: and he's a good potter he is. And Paul another
Speaker 1: guy who just it seems like the oddsmakers haven't caught
Speaker 1: up on him yet. Sammy Vallamachi ranks thirty fifth and
Speaker 1: strokes gained total twenty third. Strokes gained an approach tenth
Speaker 1: in strokes gained putting, He's one hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 2: Yes, please, all right, let's go baby, all.
Speaker 1: Right, bo, who's on your betting card as of now?
Speaker 2: I got Matt McNeely thirty to one, Michael Kim fifty
Speaker 2: five to one full ladder, Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one,
Speaker 2: Mac Meisner one hundred twenty to one, Blades Brown one
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to one, and our favorite OSSI Carl
Speaker 2: Phillips two hundred and fifty to one full ladder, the
Speaker 2: whole shebang. If I'm going to be spending any kind
Speaker 2: of money on this tournament, it's not gonna be on
Speaker 2: Scotty to win. It'll be fun to see Scotty win
Speaker 2: another one, but I'm gonna get my licks in on
Speaker 2: a guy who's already won this year and he's still
Speaker 2: not getting any respect.
Speaker 1: Boy, I didn't want to say it while you were
Speaker 1: making your case against betting Scotty.
Speaker 2: Before you're betting Scotty.
Speaker 1: I'm betting Scotty at plus two fifty. If you can't
Speaker 1: beat him, join him. I'm taking Brian Harmon for a
Speaker 1: top right now. I'm top five at plus eight fifty,
Speaker 1: but I might stretch that out to top twenty. I
Speaker 1: don't know about top five. That might be a little rich.
Speaker 1: Emiliano Grio, I'm taking him at ninety to one, also
Speaker 1: a top twenty including ties at plus two point eighty
Speaker 1: going with the horse for the course, and then small
Speaker 1: outrights on Nico Etcheveria at one hundred and twenty to
Speaker 1: one and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.
Speaker 1: Now for our one and done picks. Last week, Bo,
Speaker 1: you had Bryson de Schambeau at the PGA, tied for second,
Speaker 1: earning you more than one point four million dollars. I
Speaker 1: had Rory McElroy. He was bitterly disappointing, tying for forty
Speaker 1: seventh and earning me forty nine and ninety dollars in sol.
Speaker 2: To injury and the one and done format.
Speaker 1: Yes it is. You're now way up on me. In fact,
Speaker 1: you've doubled me up. You're at about six point seven
Speaker 1: million for the season. I'm at about three point two million,
Speaker 1: and you have the honors this week at the Charles Schwab.
Speaker 1: Who are you taking?
Speaker 2: I'm guessing that this money is gonna be paid to
Speaker 2: be by Charles Swab at the end of the season,
Speaker 2: all the one and done earnings. Right, I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with the with the man that that I've been riding
Speaker 2: high on all season, especially since yesterday. Michael Kim, Michael.
Speaker 1: Kim very nice. I am going to go for Maverick McNeely.
Speaker 2: Hey, a shout out, norcl Yeah, and.
Speaker 1: I might just have to bat him too. I mean,
Speaker 1: you make a good case for him, bo.
Speaker 2: So he's a licensed pilot, so that's pretty cool.
Speaker 1: Yes, sir, So, Michael Kim and Maverick McNeely are one
Speaker 1: and done picks for this week, and that is going
Speaker 1: to do it for the Betting Pros PGA podcast come
Speaker 1: join us again next week when we'll be previewing the Memorial,
Speaker 1: always one of the best non majors on the PGA
Speaker 1: Tour calendar. Until then, solong everyone.
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