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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat fitz

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Speaker 1: Morris here with my buddy Bo mcbrair. Scotty Scheffler wins

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Speaker 1: the PGA Championship and now he's an overwhelming favorite at

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Speaker 1: this week's Charles Schwap Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. It's

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Speaker 1: a home game for Scotty, who lives in nearby Dallas

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Speaker 1: bow and I will give you a full betting preview

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Speaker 1: of the Charles Schwab Challenge. We'll talk about the course,

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Speaker 1: the field, the odds, We'll tell you who we're betting,

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Speaker 1: and we will make our weekly one and done picks

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Speaker 1: at the end of the show. But let's start with

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Speaker 1: a quick recap of the PGA. Scotty was eleven under

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Speaker 1: par over four rounds at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: His margin of victory wound up being five shots, which

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Speaker 1: made it seem like an easy victory, but Scotty and

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Speaker 1: John Ram were tied for the lead at nine under

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Speaker 1: par as Scotty finished up this front nine on Sunday,

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Speaker 1: but then Scotty stopped the accelerator, carding Birdie's on the tenth,

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Speaker 1: fourteenth and fifteenth holes. And Rom ran into trouble on

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Speaker 1: the so called Green Mile, Quail Hollow's difficult three hole finishing.

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Speaker 1: Rom lipped out a par put on number sixteen, then

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Speaker 1: found the water on the par three seventeenth and made

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Speaker 1: double bogie. His title hopes were pretty much dashed at

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Speaker 1: that point, and his double bogie in the eighteenth was

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Speaker 1: just salt in the wound. Scotty shot in even par

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Speaker 1: seventy one for his final round, a good number given

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Speaker 1: the difficult scoring conditions. But Scotty really set himself up

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Speaker 1: for the wind with a spectacular finishing stretch on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: He was five under par over his last five holes

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Speaker 1: excuse me on Saturday, five hundred power over his last five.

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Speaker 1: Scotty drove the green on the par four fourteenth hole

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Speaker 1: and knocked in a three foot putt for eagle, thenny

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Speaker 1: berdie the fifteenth, seventeenth and eighteenth. That gave him a

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Speaker 1: three shot lead over Alex Norn going into the final round,

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Speaker 1: and Scotty caught some good breaks along the way. He

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Speaker 1: was using a replacement driver all week after his usual

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Speaker 1: driver was deemed non conforming. Rory McElroy had the same

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Speaker 1: thing happened to him, and Scotty missed some fairways with

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Speaker 1: that replacement driver. He got lucky with one of his

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Speaker 1: misses on Sunday, he pulled his t shot on number

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Speaker 1: two way left. It hit a card path and took

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Speaker 1: a big balance. It actually set Scotty up with a

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Speaker 1: clear look at the green and an easy little wed

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Speaker 1: shot in He burdied the hole. Not that there was

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Speaker 1: anything lucky about Scotty's win, but it makes it that

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Speaker 1: much harder on the field when the best player in

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Speaker 1: the world is getting some occasional breaks. Yeah. Scotty gets

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Speaker 1: his third major before his twenty ninth birthday next month.

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Speaker 1: His other two wins and majors were at the Masters.

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Speaker 1: He'll try to get his first US Open win in

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Speaker 1: his first Open Championship win this summer. Bryson, d Chambeau,

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Speaker 1: Harris English and Davis Riley finished in a three way

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Speaker 1: tie for second at six under par. Tough week for

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Speaker 1: a lot of the big guns. Rory McElroy, who had

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Speaker 1: such a good track record at Quayle Hollow, He finished

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Speaker 1: plus three tied for forty seventh. Defending PGA champs Ander

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Speaker 1: Schoffley finished one under tied for twenty eighth Ludwig Oberg, Justin,

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Speaker 1: Thomas Brooks, Koepka, Hideki Matzi, I all missed the cot

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Speaker 1: bo I. I thought Quail Hollow was a good venue

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Speaker 1: for the PGA. It was tough but fair. Charlotte got

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Speaker 1: a lot of rain early in the week. We thought

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Speaker 1: I was going to play long, maybe soft, but the

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Speaker 1: greens were still nice and firm for most of the tournament.

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Speaker 1: This was decidedly not a birdie fest. What were your

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Speaker 1: takeaways from Scotty's winningt Quail Hollow.

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Speaker 2: It's business as usual for old Scotty Scheffler. It seems like, oh, well,

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Speaker 2: we had a lot of excuses why Rory was gonna

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Speaker 2: be the favorite, Why why Scotty might not be the

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Speaker 2: best fit for this golf course. Well, it turns out

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Speaker 2: Scotty's a good fit for any golf course he shows

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Speaker 2: up at as long as he stays out of jail. This,

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Speaker 2: uh it kind of it kind of just looked like

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Speaker 2: he was in a zone and and where anytime anytime

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Speaker 2: people tell me, oh, he's like Tim Duncan, he's really boring,

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Speaker 2: but the fundamentals are there and he's so solid even

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Speaker 2: though he's boring. I was like, are you watching the

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Speaker 2: same game I am, because this is one of the

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Speaker 2: best ball strikers I've ever seen in my life, and

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Speaker 2: I'm enthralled every time I watch him play golf like

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Speaker 2: it breaks bad breaks. Scotti Scheffler is even keel, but

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Speaker 2: even he has I've seen him snap clubs over his

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Speaker 2: bag and frustration. I've seen him spike his hat when

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Speaker 2: he wins the PGA Championship and let off an explictivef Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I mean it's this guy is far from boring. He's

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Speaker 2: one of the best iron players that's ever walked on

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Speaker 2: this planet and we're calling it comparing him to Tim

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Speaker 2: Duncan the big fundamental get out of here with that.

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Speaker 2: This was a clinic. Scotti Scheffler did win easily. It

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Speaker 2: got close on Sunday because John Ram made a charge.

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Speaker 2: Everybody else was just kind of playing second fiddle to

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Speaker 2: Scottie Scheffler. It was all Scottie all week long, especially

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Speaker 2: once he turned home and shot a sixty sixty, sixty six,

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Speaker 2: sixty five on Saturday, five under his last five two

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Speaker 2: under through the Green Mile. Excuse me, that's insane. He

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Speaker 2: made that course bend at the knee, and nobody else

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Speaker 2: could do that. Like even John Rahm, who made that

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Speaker 2: charge on Sunday, couldn't keep it together five over on

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Speaker 2: the Green Mile on Sunday when he had all the

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Speaker 2: momentum going his in his favor and it was still

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Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler. Ho hum, business as usual. Another another Major,

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Speaker 2: another win. He's just winning everything he looks at and

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Speaker 2: he's not even doing He's not even letting them really

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Speaker 2: get that close to him, because if you're tied after

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Speaker 2: nine holes, he's still got nine more to try to

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Speaker 2: keep pace with a guy who doesn't make mistakes, and

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Speaker 2: when he makes mistakes, he doesn't compound them ever, So

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Speaker 2: good luck to the rest of the field this week.

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Speaker 2: It just seems like this guy is just on an

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Speaker 2: all time run, and it's the evidence is pointing in

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Speaker 2: that direction.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it was nice to see big John Rahm get

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Speaker 1: back into the back into contention at a major, but

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Speaker 1: it just merely meant he was the last to go

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Speaker 1: into Scottie Scheffler's wood chipper.

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Speaker 2: Well, yeah, basically it was. It was it was fun

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Speaker 2: to see Jon Rum enjoying himself on a golf course. Again.

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Speaker 2: We haven't seen happy John Rahm in a long time,

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Speaker 2: and he he looked like he was having some fun

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Speaker 2: out there, and he was playing some great golf. So

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Speaker 2: I'm hopeful that as everything shakes out with the Live

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Speaker 2: Tour and any future mergers, that we get back to

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Speaker 2: prime gen Ram before he switched to Live, and that

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Speaker 2: was that makes for the best theater. When you get

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Speaker 2: the big guys gunning at each other and we get

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Speaker 2: it all four times a year, that's not enough. We

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Speaker 2: need more.

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Speaker 1: Agreed. Agreed. Now, we will preview the Charles Schwab Challenge

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Speaker 1: in just a moment, But first.

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Speaker 2: Download the free Betting Pros app for iOS and Android.

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Speaker 1: The Charles Schwab Challenge will be played at venerable Colonial

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Speaker 1: Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. Colonial has been hosting

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Speaker 1: a PGA Tour event since nineteen forty six. The event

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Speaker 1: used to just be called the Colonial. Now it has

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Speaker 1: a corporate sponsor. Colonial is not terribly long by PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour standards, but it demands accuracy, demands a delicate touch

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Speaker 1: around its firm, fast greens, and it usually requires players

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Speaker 1: to navigate some win We're talking about a golf course

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Speaker 1: in Texas, after all, so it's a par seventy measuring

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Speaker 1: seven two and eighty nine yards. Players won't use the

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Speaker 1: drivers often on Colonial as they will on some other courses.

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Speaker 1: They're no par fours over five hundred yards. Saw several

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Speaker 1: such long par fours last week at Quail Hollow. Five

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Speaker 1: of the twelve par fours at Colonial measure less than

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Speaker 1: four hundred and fifteen yards, but with a lot of narrow,

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Speaker 1: tree lined fairways and dog legs, there's a premium on

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Speaker 1: accuracy off the tee. It's important that players set themselves

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Speaker 1: up with a good angle of approach to go. Flag hunting,

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Speaker 1: short iron play and wedge play are going to be

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Speaker 1: important this week. These are small, fast greens, They're hard

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Speaker 1: to hit. It's going to be a challenge to hit

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Speaker 1: these greens, especially from out of the snarley Bermuda rough.

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Speaker 1: Now Colonial lures players to sleep with two easy holes

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Speaker 1: at the start. There are only two par fives on

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Speaker 1: the course, but one of them is the five hundred

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Speaker 1: and eighty one yard first hole. It's a birdy opportunity,

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Speaker 1: so is the three hundred and eighty four yard second hole.

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Speaker 1: Then players run into the so called horrible horseshoe holes three, four,

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Speaker 1: and five. They're three of the four toughest holes on

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Speaker 1: the course. Three and five are two of the longest

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Speaker 1: par fours on the course, and number four is a

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Speaker 1: two hundred and forty eight yard par three. Davis Riley

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Speaker 1: is the defending Charles Schwab Challenge champion. He finished fourteen

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Speaker 1: under par last year, five shots better than our guy,

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Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler and Keegan Bradley. Emiliano Grio won here in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. He finished eight under par and beat

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Speaker 1: Adam Shank in a playoff. Sam Burns won in twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty two he was nine under par. He beat Scotty

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Speaker 1: Scheffler in a playoff. That year, Jason Kokrak won with

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Speaker 1: the score of fourteen under par in twenty twenty one,

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Speaker 1: and Daniel Berger won here twenty twenty, the first tournament

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Speaker 1: after play resumed following the COVID delay. He finished fifteen

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Speaker 1: under par and Burger beat Colin Morricawan a playoff. Temperatures

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Speaker 1: are expected to be in the mid to upper eighties

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Speaker 1: on Thursday and Friday, touching the low nineties Saturday and Sunday.

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Speaker 1: No rain in the forecast for the tournament, but we

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Speaker 1: will get some win. It's gonna be blowing ten to

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Speaker 1: twenty miles an hour according to weather dot com throughout

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Speaker 1: the tournament. Sounds like the course is going to play

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Speaker 1: firm and fast. What do you make of Colonial.

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Speaker 2: It's a shot maker's paradise and accuracy is the only

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Speaker 2: thing that matters. Sure seems like a course that might

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Speaker 2: fit some guy named Scotti Schefler pretty well accurate off

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Speaker 2: the t good iron player, the best iron player in

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Speaker 2: the world, hits it closer to the pin than anybody else.

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Speaker 2: Doesn't shoot himself in the foot. This this is a

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Speaker 2: golf course where if you're not finding fairways, you're pretty

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Speaker 2: much not gonna be in contention. If you're finding fairways,

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be some birdy opportunities. Even though it's not

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Speaker 2: an easy course. The winning scores typically worse than fifteen

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Speaker 2: hunder par at the end, which still means you got

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Speaker 2: to shoot sixty six, sixty six and so on, like

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Speaker 2: mid sixties all four days to win this thing. It's

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Speaker 2: gonna be fun to watch these guys try to avoid

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Speaker 2: double bogies from the trees because a lot of guys

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Speaker 2: are going to be in the trees. I think if

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Speaker 2: you find the fairway here, it's a second shot target park,

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Speaker 2: target practice type golf course with a lot of birdy opportunities.

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Speaker 2: But these are the third narrowest fairways on the PGA Tour,

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Speaker 2: averaging twenty seven yards wide. And when it comes to experience,

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Speaker 2: there's only been one first timer to win this tournament

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Speaker 2: in the last thirty years, and that was Davis Riley

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Speaker 2: last year. So by and large, guys need to see

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Speaker 2: this course a few times before they have a lasting

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Speaker 2: success here. Obviously, Scotti Scheffler is a Dallas native, and

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Speaker 2: there's quite a few Dallas natives in this field. I

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Speaker 2: kinda do give a little bit of a lean to

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Speaker 2: those players because Texas golf is kind of a different animal.

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Speaker 2: You deal with wind, You don't deal with a lot

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Speaker 2: of terrain, but you deal with tree lined fairways and

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Speaker 2: very very fast bent grass greens. These greens are going

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Speaker 2: to be a problem again. Scotty Scheffler plays better when

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Speaker 2: the greens are faster. The tougher the conditions get, the

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Speaker 2: more the cream rises to the top. So I don't

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Speaker 2: know what we're gonna do. We have to pick somebody

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Speaker 2: to win this thing and hopefully it'll pay off better

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Speaker 2: than last week.

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Speaker 1: Did fading Scottie Scheffler. Last week was not too good,

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Speaker 1: really good thing. I picked Corey Connors for that top

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Speaker 1: twenty plus ties bet at plus one ninety that saved

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Speaker 1: me from being skunk for the whole tournament. Bow It

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Speaker 1: was a yeah off PGA.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I had Bryson top five so that cash for

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Speaker 2: me and then a top twenty for I forget who

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Speaker 2: it was, but not not important. I didn't. I didn't,

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Speaker 2: I didn't break into the black so it was not

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Speaker 2: a skunk, but not great. Last week. We're moving on.

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Speaker 1: Yes, it's on too, It's onto Fort Worth. We'll get

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Speaker 1: to the Charles Schwab Challenge odds in just a moment.

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Speaker 2: But first Bet three sixty five has a special offer

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. Gambling problem called one

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Speaker 1: Now for the Charles Schwab Challenge. Odds. All odds are

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Speaker 1: a courtesy of DraftKings as of Monday. Some of these

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Speaker 1: odds may have changed by the time you consume this show.

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Speaker 1: Scotti Scheffler is an overwhelming favorite to win at plus

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Speaker 1: two point fifty. The odds on Scotti just keep getting

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Speaker 1: shorter and shorter bow. Then it's Jordan Spieth at plus

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Speaker 1: twenty two hundred, Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood and Daniel Berger

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Speaker 1: are plus twenty five hundred, Maverick McNeely is plus three thousand,

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Speaker 1: Robert McIntyre, JT. Post In and Harris English are plus

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Speaker 1: four thousand, Seewoo Kam, Aaron Raye, Keith Mitchell, JJ Spahn

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Speaker 1: and Davis Thompson are plus forty five hundred, and Davis

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Speaker 1: Riley is plus five thousand. The same old Scotti Scheffler

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Speaker 1: dilemma beau, do we dare bet on him at such

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Speaker 1: short odds? Or perhaps the better question would be do

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Speaker 1: we dare pass on Scottie Scheffler this week?

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Speaker 2: I think that we have to do the live bet

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Speaker 2: thing because plus two fifty, that's saying, basically, he's a

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Speaker 2: fifty to fifty coin flip to win the same and

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Speaker 2: I'm not ready to go that far like this. This

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Speaker 2: guy's obviously the best golfer in the world. He's obviously

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Speaker 2: playing another golf course right there next to his hometown.

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Speaker 2: It's still colonial. Colonial tends to favor other types of

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Speaker 2: golfers that are more accuracy driven off the tee. We've

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Speaker 2: seen all sorts of different guys win this tournament. Scotti

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Speaker 2: Scheffler isn't one of them. We also said this about

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Speaker 2: t PC Craigranch a few weeks ago where he won

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Speaker 2: by eight, and so yes, you should bet on Scotti Scheffler.

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Speaker 2: I'm just not sure that plus two fifty is the

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Speaker 2: way to go. I think we better pay close attention

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Speaker 2: to the live lines on Thursday, especially if he gets

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Speaker 2: a late tea time draw. Somebody goes out there shoots

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Speaker 2: sixty three, sixty four, it could happen. Then you start

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Speaker 2: to see Scotty in that plus five hundred plus six

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Speaker 2: hundred plus seven hundred territory, then I'm smashing the button there.

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Speaker 2: If you have live betting in your state, that's where

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Speaker 2: I'm going because plus two fifty, I mean, obviously he's

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Speaker 2: gonna be live to win here. But that's a coin flip.

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Speaker 2: That's saying you expect Scotty to tee it up and

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Speaker 2: win half the time here when he's never won here before.

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Speaker 2: It's just a value proposition being a smart better. And

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Speaker 2: if you bet on a little bit on a few

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Speaker 2: other guys and Scotty wins. It's not that big of

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Speaker 2: a loss. You're not putting all your eggs in it

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Speaker 2: somebody else beside Scotti Scheffler. You're just saying, Hey, if

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Speaker 2: Scotty Shuffler is gonna win this, I just don't want

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Speaker 2: it to sting me as bad where we kind of

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Speaker 2: got screwed by a major, all these great golfers competing

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Speaker 2: with Scotty and end up losing to Scotty by five

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Speaker 2: strokes this week. Isn't like that this week. You can

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Speaker 2: kind of take your measured picks and just I mean

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Speaker 2: obviously hope Scotty doesn't win, or bet Scotty live if

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Speaker 2: he starts off slow. It just seems like that's the

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Speaker 2: best value proposition for a smart betters to go in

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Speaker 2: there expecting Scotty to make you hurt again, Like he's

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Speaker 2: going to hurt us again, but we need to make

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Speaker 2: sure that he doesn't hurt us as bad as he

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Speaker 2: did last week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and you mentioned it, Bo. The nature of colonial

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Speaker 1: maybe brings more guys into contention. You know, like Brian

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Speaker 1: Harmon and Nico Echeveria are bunters who would not be

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Speaker 1: winning at Quail Hollow unless they rolled in several hundred

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Speaker 1: feet of potts during the week, whereas like those guys

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Speaker 1: could win at Colonial. This is a course that suits

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Speaker 1: guys like that. On the other hand, Scotty has won

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Speaker 1: his last two events by combined thirteen shots. He hasn't

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Speaker 1: won it Colonial yet yet, but he's been top three

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Speaker 1: in each of the last three years, including that sudden

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Speaker 1: death playoff loss. What about any of the other players

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Speaker 1: with fifty to one or shorter bo does anyone stand

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Speaker 1: out to you as a possible contender here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's quite a few guys, a lot of them.

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Speaker 2: Even with Scottie in the field, You're not getting great

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Speaker 2: value on them. Like I'm not interested in Jordan Speith here.

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Speaker 2: I'm not interested in Tommy Fleetwood ever, because he never

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Speaker 2: wins anything. Daniel Berger's form has been pretty poor when

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Speaker 2: it comes to results. His stats look good, results haven't

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Speaker 2: been good. I can see Daniel Berger from a few

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Speaker 2: years ago when he did win here, that would be

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Speaker 2: a good play. But he's going out there plus twenty

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Speaker 2: five hundred. I'm not interested Hideki plus twenty eight hundred

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Speaker 2: not the best fit. I'm going to go all the

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Speaker 2: way down to plus three thousand, Maverick mcneelly playing great golf.

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Speaker 2: He was briefly in the top ten official World Golf

332
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Speaker 2: rankings because he's on quite a top ten streak this season.

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Speaker 2: MATV mcneely's game has been great, his ball striking has

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Speaker 2: been much improved, and we're talking about one of the

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Speaker 2: best putters on the planet right now riding hot, and

336
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Speaker 2: those are good odds. That's a guy who can actually

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Speaker 2: see win this tournament in spite of everything else round him.

338
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Speaker 2: MAV McNeely is the first value I actually see on

339
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Speaker 2: the board at plus three thousand, so I'll start there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And Mav finished seventeenth last year at the Charles

341
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Speaker 1: Schwap Challenge, so he's shown that he can get a

342
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Speaker 1: whiff of the leader board here. Jordan Speith, I mean,

343
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Speaker 1: his lengthy record of success at Colonial is pretty impressive.

344
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Speaker 1: Over a ten years stretch from twenty thirteen to twenty

345
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Speaker 1: twenty two, Speed finished top fifteen nine times, including a

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Speaker 1: win in twenty sixteen and three second place finishes. But

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Speaker 1: we should also note that Speed missed the cut here

348
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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three and was thirty seventh last year,

349
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Speaker 1: and he just missed the cut at the PGA so

350
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Speaker 1: maybe not the best trajectory for Jordan Speath, even though

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Speaker 1: he is another Dallas guy.

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Speaker 2: Let's just the off the te game has been better,

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Speaker 2: but not great still because it's Jordan Speith. The dude

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Speaker 2: spraysed them all all over the place. But his approach game,

355
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Speaker 2: which is kind of the kind of the hinge point

356
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Speaker 2: of his entire form, has been terrible. His approach game

357
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Speaker 2: has been awful and we can't imagine him obviously missing

358
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Speaker 2: some fairways. He's obviously the best scrambler anybody's ever seen

359
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Speaker 2: because he's just a Houdini act out there every year.

360
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Speaker 2: It boggles my mind that he's had any success at

361
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Speaker 2: Colonial before with the way he hits the ball off

362
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Speaker 2: the tee. But I think it's more of a concern

363
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Speaker 2: of his approach game. Honestly, I don't see him hitting

364
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Speaker 2: it close enough on these little greens to make a

365
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Speaker 2: good score out here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I just don't see the value

367
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Speaker 1: at twenty two to one. And you know, Daniel Berger

368
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Speaker 1: you mentioned he did win here in twenty twenty and

369
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Speaker 1: has played well lately. A third at the RBC Heritage

370
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Speaker 1: eleventh of the Truest Championship thirty third at the PGA,

371
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Speaker 1: And yeah, Burger statistical profile would seem to fit Colonial

372
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Speaker 1: pretty well, being inside the top twenty and strokes gained

373
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Speaker 1: off the tee and strokes gain an approach top ten

374
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Speaker 1: and driving accuracy, But like you said, Bo, he just

375
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Speaker 1: hasn't been real close to any victories. And as you said,

376
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Speaker 1: that's kind of the case with Tommy Fleetwood two, whose

377
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Speaker 1: game would seem to fit here, but maybe more for

378
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Speaker 1: a top twenty than for a win. JT. Postin is

379
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Speaker 1: kind of interesting. He's been playing well. He's finished top

380
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Speaker 1: twenty five and four straight events, including a fifth at

381
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Speaker 1: the PGA, and he has kind of an interesting track

382
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Speaker 1: record at Colonial over the past seven years. Post In

383
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Speaker 1: has three top twenties and four missed cots, So it's

384
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Speaker 1: kind of all or nothing for Posting. And I don't know, boy,

385
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Speaker 1: it seems like Colonial should be right up to Seawou

386
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Speaker 1: Kim's alley. He's accurate off the tee, good with his

387
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Speaker 1: wedges and short irons, but in eight career starts at Colonial,

388
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Speaker 1: Seawou is only finished inside the top fifty once. So

389
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Speaker 1: for whatever reason.

390
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Speaker 2: It's because Pete died didn't design this course.

391
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Speaker 1: A good point one other guy I'll mention Harris English

392
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,760
Speaker 1: has played well lately, tied for second at the PGA

393
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Speaker 1: after shooting a blistering sixty five on Sunday. English is

394
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Speaker 1: a grinder who does his best work on tough courses,

395
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Speaker 1: and he's had three top twenties in his last six

396
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Speaker 1: trips to Colonial, including a runner up finish in twenty sixteen.

397
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Speaker 1: All right, let's look at some of the mid range options.

398
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Speaker 1: Brian Harmon and Michael Kim are plus fifty five hundred.

399
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:17,200
Speaker 1: Ben Griffin and Andrew Novak are plus six thousand. Ryan Girard,

400
00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,679
Speaker 1: Mackenzie Hughes and Lucas Glover are plus sixty five hundred.

401
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: Bud Coley, Akshay Battia, Harry Hall and Torborne Olison r

402
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:29,119
Speaker 1: plus seven thousand, Kurt Kittyamas plus seventy five hundred and

403
00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:33,280
Speaker 1: At plus eight thousand, Sam Stevens, Alex Smalley, Lee Hodges,

404
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:37,240
Speaker 1: Kevin Y, Tom Kim and Taylor Moore. Is there anyone

405
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Speaker 1: you like from this group?

406
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Speaker 2: Bo one guy had circled Michael Kim plus fifty five hundred.

407
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 2: That's a smash pick for me. That's a mispriced. This

408
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,919
Speaker 2: guy is playing better than anybody out there, maybe not

409
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Speaker 2: except for Rory and Scotty. This season, Michael Kim has

410
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:55,880
Speaker 2: been a case in consistency, and especially on shorter golf

411
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 2: courses where accuracy is in high demand. Michael Kim is

412
00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:01,680
Speaker 2: the perfect fit here, and I can see him winning

413
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:06,119
Speaker 2: this thing and continuing his very nice dark Horse Ryder

414
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Speaker 2: Cup candidacy. And it doesn't have anything to do with that.

415
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Speaker 2: Mike Kim last night commented that my swing had really

416
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Speaker 2: good slotting. So I'll take I'll take the compliment from

417
00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 2: from the from the PGA Tour pro. Even though I

418
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,080
Speaker 2: was looking for him to kind of help me with

419
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,280
Speaker 2: fixing my swing, he said it looked good.

420
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Speaker 1: So was this when he was stuck on the tarmac

421
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 1: killing time? I I want to say Ryan Girard. And

422
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Speaker 1: who was the other person it was?

423
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Speaker 2: It was Ben Griffin and Tom Kim.

424
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Speaker 1: Ben and Tom Camm got it, yeah.

425
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Speaker 2: And they were they were trying to get back to Dallas.

426
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Speaker 2: And and Michael Kim is another Texas guy. He's a

427
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Speaker 2: Houston native and he's uh, he's playing great golf this year,

428
00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:50,800
Speaker 2: and I just think that he's a great fit. I'll

429
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,160
Speaker 2: probably be betting an entire ladder on him every way,

430
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 2: Mike Kim, fifty five to one's just I would. I

431
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:58,040
Speaker 2: had him a handicapped at thirty five to one, so

432
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:00,840
Speaker 2: when I saw fifty five to one, I went after it.

433
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: Now, can I make you roll your eyes with one name?

434
00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:06,160
Speaker 1: Bo Ryan Harman?

435
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:12,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I won't do it. It's it makes sense

436
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 2: stats wise. You look at his proximity numbers on approach,

437
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,920
Speaker 2: they're good. His putting has been good, of course, he's

438
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: He's always been a clutch putter, very accurate off the tee.

439
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,480
Speaker 2: What I worry about him is on approach again, much

440
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:29,000
Speaker 2: like Speeth, where it's like he has to be good

441
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:32,119
Speaker 2: on approach. It's this is Brian Harmon. If he's not

442
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:36,199
Speaker 2: sticking it close, he's not making any birdies. He's just

443
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,399
Speaker 2: got to He's got to compete by hitting it close.

444
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,639
Speaker 2: And so far this year his approach game has been atrocious.

445
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,399
Speaker 2: So I'll let you bet on Brian Harmon. And if

446
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 2: you want to make him your one and done pick,

447
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,320
Speaker 2: if you haven't burned him multiple times already, I would

448
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:52,080
Speaker 2: encourage that.

449
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,879
Speaker 1: So, I mean, maybe he's a better play for a

450
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: top ten or top twenty. He has been consistently solid

451
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:03,040
Speaker 1: Colonial Over the last ten years, He's finished thirty first

452
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 1: or better nine times. That includes three top tens but

453
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 1: zero top five. So yeah, I mean, I like that

454
00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 1: the lack of distance at Colonial is not going to

455
00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,879
Speaker 1: hurt him that much. Yeah, is he going to contend?

456
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:16,320
Speaker 1: I don't know.

457
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,680
Speaker 2: You mentioned you mentioned Taylor Moore at eighty to one.

458
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:22,439
Speaker 2: I'm interested now, I'm looking at the I'm looking at

459
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: the recent finishes and Taylor Moore was great last week.

460
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 2: He's a sneaky one. Eighty one is a decent number

461
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:29,359
Speaker 2: for him. So I think I'm going to take a

462
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:32,399
Speaker 2: closer look at Taylor Moore now that he popped up

463
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 2: on your call out list. Yeah.

464
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 1: And Ben Griffin one of the guys stuck on the

465
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 1: tarmac with Michael Kim. He's played well lately, but I

466
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 1: would caution anyone playing the hotthand that, you know, the

467
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: numbers say he's just not very good with the short

468
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: irons and wedges, so true. I don't know about Ben Griffin.

469
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 1: Ryan Gerard is kind of mildly interesting. He said three

470
00:24:54,640 --> 00:24:57,639
Speaker 1: top tens over the last two months and is a

471
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 1: pretty good short iron player. And Harry Hall, I know

472
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:03,240
Speaker 1: He's been in the top twenty each of the last

473
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 1: two weeks. He's played this event twice and was third

474
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 1: here in twenty twenty three, although he missed the cut

475
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: last year. What about intriguing long shots bow anyone in

476
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 1: eighty five to one or longer who might be worth

477
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 1: a flyer?

478
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:19,760
Speaker 2: Funny you should ask Pat? I have four? Oh, okay, yeah,

479
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,159
Speaker 2: we're starting with Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one. He's been

480
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 2: playing great this year and ninety to one is another

481
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 2: miss price with how well he's playing this year. A

482
00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 2: great short iron player. That's what I'm looking for is

483
00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 2: guys that a can get off the tee and find fairways,

484
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,240
Speaker 2: and b they can go attack pins. Jacob Bridgeman's playing

485
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:40,200
Speaker 2: great golf this year. One and twenty to one. Mac

486
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 2: Meisner he finished high here last year and he's been

487
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 2: playing good golf this year in his first full time

488
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 2: season on the PGA Tour. One hundred and twenty to one.

489
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take my shots. I'm intrigued by seventeen year

490
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 2: old Blades Brown one hundred and fifty to one's he's

491
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:58,199
Speaker 2: a decently long hitter for his size and age, but

492
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:01,199
Speaker 2: he's also very accurate, and he makes a ton of

493
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,719
Speaker 2: birdies because he's always in plays. He's kind of like

494
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 2: your little Scotti Scheffler in waiting, where he's the seventeen

495
00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 2: year old version of Scotti who's really good at finding

496
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:15,240
Speaker 2: fairways and getting it close on approach. I think that

497
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:17,240
Speaker 2: that's a fun pick at one hundred and fifty to

498
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 2: one to go to see what the kid can do

499
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 2: out here.

500
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 1: And then why is.

501
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:25,119
Speaker 2: Carl Phillips two hundred and fifty to one. He won

502
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 2: this year on the PGA Tour. He's really really good.

503
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,879
Speaker 2: He's the face of Sunday Red. It makes no sense

504
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,679
Speaker 2: I'm going to be betting a ladder on Carl Phillips

505
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 2: again because he keeps paying us.

506
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't blame me for that one. Let me

507
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:44,600
Speaker 1: throw some other long shots out you bow, and some

508
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,320
Speaker 1: of these might not be quite as long as your guys.

509
00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 1: But we're getting ninety to one odds on Emiliano Grio,

510
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: who won here in twenty twenty three and has had

511
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,600
Speaker 1: two other top tens and a couple of other top

512
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 1: twenty five. So he is a horse for the course

513
00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 1: and going off at pretty long odds. Hasn't had a

514
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 1: terrible season either. I'm surprised he's ninety to one. I'm

515
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:08,600
Speaker 1: intrigued by the aforementioned Nico Etriveriat one hundred and twenty

516
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: to one. He's he's short but straight off the tee,

517
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,960
Speaker 1: and he's a good potter he is. And Paul another

518
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 1: guy who just it seems like the oddsmakers haven't caught

519
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:22,440
Speaker 1: up on him yet. Sammy Vallamachi ranks thirty fifth and

520
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:25,960
Speaker 1: strokes gained total twenty third. Strokes gained an approach tenth

521
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,800
Speaker 1: in strokes gained putting, He's one hundred and fifty to one.

522
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 2: Yes, please, all right, let's go baby, all.

523
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 1: Right, bo, who's on your betting card as of now?

524
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 2: I got Matt McNeely thirty to one, Michael Kim fifty

525
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 2: five to one full ladder, Jacob Bridgeman ninety to one,

526
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 2: Mac Meisner one hundred twenty to one, Blades Brown one

527
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty to one, and our favorite OSSI Carl

528
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 2: Phillips two hundred and fifty to one full ladder, the

529
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,479
Speaker 2: whole shebang. If I'm going to be spending any kind

530
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 2: of money on this tournament, it's not gonna be on

531
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,040
Speaker 2: Scotty to win. It'll be fun to see Scotty win

532
00:27:57,080 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 2: another one, but I'm gonna get my licks in on

533
00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 2: a guy who's already won this year and he's still

534
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 2: not getting any respect.

535
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 1: Boy, I didn't want to say it while you were

536
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 1: making your case against betting Scotty.

537
00:28:08,400 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 2: Before you're betting Scotty.

538
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: I'm betting Scotty at plus two fifty. If you can't

539
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,760
Speaker 1: beat him, join him. I'm taking Brian Harmon for a

540
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:20,080
Speaker 1: top right now. I'm top five at plus eight fifty,

541
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 1: but I might stretch that out to top twenty. I

542
00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,080
Speaker 1: don't know about top five. That might be a little rich.

543
00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,360
Speaker 1: Emiliano Grio, I'm taking him at ninety to one, also

544
00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,320
Speaker 1: a top twenty including ties at plus two point eighty

545
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:34,480
Speaker 1: going with the horse for the course, and then small

546
00:28:34,560 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: outrights on Nico Etcheveria at one hundred and twenty to

547
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:41,040
Speaker 1: one and Sammy Vallamachi at one hundred and fifty to one.

548
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 1: Now for our one and done picks. Last week, Bo,

549
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:48,040
Speaker 1: you had Bryson de Schambeau at the PGA, tied for second,

550
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 1: earning you more than one point four million dollars. I

551
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: had Rory McElroy. He was bitterly disappointing, tying for forty

552
00:28:55,680 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 1: seventh and earning me forty nine and ninety dollars in sol.

553
00:29:00,160 --> 00:29:02,360
Speaker 2: To injury and the one and done format.

554
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 1: Yes it is. You're now way up on me. In fact,

555
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 1: you've doubled me up. You're at about six point seven

556
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 1: million for the season. I'm at about three point two million,

557
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 1: and you have the honors this week at the Charles Schwab.

558
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 1: Who are you taking?

559
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 2: I'm guessing that this money is gonna be paid to

560
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 2: be by Charles Swab at the end of the season,

561
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 2: all the one and done earnings. Right, I'm gonna go

562
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 2: with the with the man that that I've been riding

563
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 2: high on all season, especially since yesterday. Michael Kim, Michael.

564
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:40,120
Speaker 1: Kim very nice. I am going to go for Maverick McNeely.

565
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 2: Hey, a shout out, norcl Yeah, and.

566
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 1: I might just have to bat him too. I mean,

567
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: you make a good case for him, bo.

568
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 2: So he's a licensed pilot, so that's pretty cool.

569
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:54,240
Speaker 1: Yes, sir, So, Michael Kim and Maverick McNeely are one

570
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,480
Speaker 1: and done picks for this week, and that is going

571
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: to do it for the Betting Pros PGA podcast come

572
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 1: join us again next week when we'll be previewing the Memorial,

573
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 1: always one of the best non majors on the PGA

574
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 1: Tour calendar. Until then, solong everyone.

575
00:30:08,800 --> 00:30:11,400
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

576
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

577
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

578
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,160
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579
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,920
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580
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.