1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: Now from our nation's capital. This is Bloomberg Sound on. 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,879 Speaker 1: Do not be bullied by bullies. If they're making threats, 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: you cannot back down. The administration does not have all 4 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 1: the power it needs to go after these ill gotten games. 5 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:23,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg sound on Politics, Policy and perspective from DC's top names. 6 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: You know, we've endorsed Dr Ros, We've endorsed JP right, 7 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: j D. Mandel. She's got to talk about I feel 8 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: your pain and we're here to address it. And this 9 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: is how Droomberg sound on with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. 10 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: A need call from Washington to authorize the use of 11 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: force in Ukraine. Welcome to the fastest hour in politics 12 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: as talk of drawing redlines grows. Louder will be joined 13 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 1: by Congressman Michael McCall, Republican from Texas, ranking member the 14 00:00:56,400 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: House Foreign Affairs Committee, and by Max Baucher's former democra 15 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: Hadic senator and former ambassador to China. Tomorrow's primary day 16 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: in Ohio, this is getting real. Donald Trump's latest endorsement 17 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: on the line, even though the former president is struggling 18 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: to remember his name, will tell you what to watch 19 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: with Bloomberg National politics reporter Ryan T. Beckwith the panel today. 20 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Politics contributor Democratic analyst Gennie Chanzano, along with Republican 21 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 1: media strategist Adam Goodman with us for the hour. The 22 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 1: war in Ukraine approaching week ten now and more members 23 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,800 Speaker 1: of Congress are talking out loud about red lines and 24 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: even the possible use of force. What would justify it? 25 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: Congressman Adam Kinsinger, Republican from Illinois who serves on the 26 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 1: House Foreign Affairs Committee, talked about this move that he 27 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: is making to seek a use of force authorization on 28 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: CBS's face the nation here he is, I just introduced 29 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: an a u m F an authorization for the use 30 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 1: of military force, giving the president basically congressional leverage or 31 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: permission to use it if w M d's nuclear, biological, 32 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: or chemical are used in Ukraine. Doesn't compel the president 33 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:07,279 Speaker 1: to do it. It just says if it is used, 34 00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: he has that leverage. It gives him, you know, a 35 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,240 Speaker 1: better flexibility. But also it is a deterrent to Vladimir 36 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: Putin leverage. And it's not the first time we've heard it. 37 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: I spoke earlier about the war, including that particular factor 38 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 1: with the top Republican on the Foreign Affairs Committee. That 39 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:27,079 Speaker 1: same panel, Congressman Michael mccaull of Texas was with us 40 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: from the Milk and Institute Global Conference, and I asked 41 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 1: him to start about both of these issues. The funding bill, 42 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:35,239 Speaker 1: as I say, and the use of for serious We're 43 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 1: still looking through it, but I you know, the broad 44 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,959 Speaker 1: picture here is more Lethoid for Ukraine and more humanitarian 45 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: assistants as we're seeing more and more Ukrainians, you know, 46 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 1: and civilians being killed by the Russians. So I think 47 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: you're gonna see broad based by Parson support. My only 48 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 1: point is at times of the essence, and we need 49 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: to do this now and outweight several weeks. Really pivotal 50 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: critical time is right now in the fight against the Russians, 51 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 1: and so they need these weapons right now, not two 52 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 1: to three weeks down the road. Well, with that said, 53 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: there's talk about attaching potentially COVID funding, maybe even funding 54 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 1: for the border. Congressman, with that slow this process or 55 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 1: maybe jeopardize its passage. You know, you could, and I 56 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 1: don't really like uh attaching non related bills to something 57 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 1: of this importance. This is a of critical importance to 58 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: the fight in Ukraine against Russia. Russia, I mean, to 59 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 1: to make it political is the wrong thing to do. 60 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: If the COVID restrictions are code Aid package is put 61 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: in there, I think you would have to put something 62 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: related to the border, particularly Title forty two, that that 63 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: will not be suspended, as the President has talked about 64 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: doing Thomressman McCall. We've seen Congressman Adam Kinzinger introduce a 65 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: Use of Military Force Authorization Bill for the idea of 66 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: drawing a redline essentially of FODIM or putin word to 67 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 1: use nuclear or chemical weapons. It would trigger or at 68 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 1: least give the President the opportunity to use American troops 69 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: on the ground. Is this a conversation that you're having 70 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: on the Foreign Affairs Committee? Well, the Foreign Affairs Committee 71 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 1: is the committee of jurisdiction that would produce an authorization 72 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 1: of use of military force. We are having this debate. 73 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: If they throw chemical weapons or short range tactical nukes 74 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: into Ukraine, I think that completely changes a dynamic, you know, 75 00:04:29,440 --> 00:04:31,280 Speaker 1: as to whether or not the world is gonna sit 76 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 1: by highli and watch that happen without doing anything. I 77 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:36,880 Speaker 1: could be very hard to do that. I think we 78 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 1: would have to respond in kind. And I think Mr 79 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 1: Putine needs needs to know that that there are red 80 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: lines he just can't cross. Congressman Michael McCall earlier today 81 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 1: you can add his name then to members discussing this 82 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: possibility of using American troops. And I'm glad today that 83 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: we can add Max Bochus's voice to this. The former 84 00:04:56,520 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: Democratic senator, former ambassador to China is with us right now. 85 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: Mr ambassador, thank you for coming back to talk to 86 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: us on Bloomberg Radio. Should Congress approve the use of 87 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 1: force authorization as leverage as they say that that draws 88 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: the red line on weapons of mass destruction? Well, the 89 00:05:13,640 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 1: president has authority already. Congress doesn't have to do it, 90 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: But of course presidents would like Congress to enact legislation 91 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: that gives them support national backing. Um, that's a that's 92 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 1: a presidential call. He knows a situation. Zecutive branchtones a 93 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 1: better frankly than to's Congress. But that's as good. Well, 94 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 1: it should be on the table, and that's up to 95 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:40,840 Speaker 1: the president. Are you worried about that creeping closer to reality? 96 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: The longer this goes on, people are not only outraged 97 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 1: by the images that they are seeing. But the United 98 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 1: States now seems to believe Ukraine can and needs to 99 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: win this. Well, I don't know that we're going to 100 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: have a clear win. I think it's it's going to 101 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: be a resolution that where neither side thinks it's one 102 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: totally certainly will not win totally. Um is stuff, he's strong. Um, 103 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 1: he's a thug. You'll keep fighting as long as he can. 104 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 1: And he's regrouping a bit in eastern Ukraine. So I 105 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: don't think there'll be a total win. I think states 106 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 1: that the United States wants to just cripple put In 107 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 1: as much as possible make it less likely that he 108 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 1: emerges again. Well, to the extent of crippling Russia. Here, 109 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:30,160 Speaker 1: should the House and sent it pass this Ukraine eate 110 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 1: in a clean bill? I don't know if you heard 111 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,920 Speaker 1: Congress of McCall on that, or should Democrats attach COVID 112 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: funding or border funding other things that are needed now, 113 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 1: even if it means slowing things down a bit. Well, um, 114 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 1: I think that COVID and Ukraine both are should be 115 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: first urgently passed. But politics is politics, and sometimes members 116 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: of converse have different points of view that is they 117 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 1: want to UH pursue their own agenda. This case is 118 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: the border issue, and that's leverage. And my guess is 119 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: in the end of his some kind of accommodation UM, 120 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: so that the two are passed. That is COVID in Ukraine, 121 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 1: but something that's done about the border. We ask you 122 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 1: about China, ambassador, have warnings by this administration made any 123 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 1: difference in China's posture towards Russia or or is it 124 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: getting worse. I don't think it's having much effect on 125 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 1: China and China's China. China will do all that it 126 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: wants to do for China. China straddling UM between helping 127 00:07:32,640 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: Russia and looking like the world savior at least a broker. 128 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 1: On the other hand, UM and frankly a, China finds 129 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 1: that putents invasion of Ukraine is a big farm in 130 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 1: their side, especially since he's not winning UM. And add 131 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 1: to that, the Russian invasion Ukraine is causing huge economic 132 00:07:56,560 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: dislocations around the world, which also affect in China. And 133 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: so it's um. China will pursue its own economic reach 134 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 1: as much as they can, but it's as us criticism 135 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 1: of China is not gonna have much effect on China. 136 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: You know, we heard today from General Petreas was speaking 137 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: with Bloomberg TV and Radio on Balance of Power, and 138 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 1: he was talking about the supply chain issues that are 139 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: even impacting ambassador our ability to provide or refresh weapons 140 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 1: systems for Ukraine and for ourselves. I think the White 141 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: House sataday it takes two hundred semiconductors to make one 142 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: javelin missile as the President prepares to visit that factory tomorrow. 143 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: And Uh. Interestingly, a lot of this has to do 144 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: with China because of the shutdowns that are impacting supply chainers, 145 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: Petrea said, making things a little bit worse, or going 146 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 1: back to where we were listening to what he said 147 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:51,080 Speaker 1: today on Bloomberg. The problem is, of course everyone is 148 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 1: competing for the same elements in supply chains, a lot 149 00:08:54,200 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: of these having to do with microchips again, uh, and 150 00:08:56,960 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 1: other components that have been frustrated because of actions with 151 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 1: zero COVID and China and a variety of other places 152 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 1: around the world. So the supply chain disruptions that we 153 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: saw in the earlier days of the pandemic are actually 154 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: back to some degree right now, and there will be 155 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:18,840 Speaker 1: limitations to that, Ambassador. The the impact, as you just said, 156 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 1: of China's COVID policy, almost the same as saying economic 157 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: policy is impacting the global economy. How bad does this get? 158 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: It's bad, Um, It's very bad in fact, and ironically 159 00:09:31,200 --> 00:09:34,880 Speaker 1: it's showing to some degree we need China, we need 160 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:41,040 Speaker 1: each other. Um. Collateral damage here is that we're becoming 161 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 1: more decoupled, and that means it's more difficult to get products, 162 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 1: get supplies, materials. That means there's more inflation, and it's 163 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 1: it means that we're much less efficient. Now. We want 164 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:56,920 Speaker 1: to protect ourselves against China. We need to protect our 165 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 1: national security, but we also, I think, have to start 166 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 1: look in China a different way. We have to realize 167 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: that China is not going anywhere. It's a big country. 168 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: It's economies not too many years down the road's gonna 169 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: be large in ours. We just deal with China in 170 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:13,559 Speaker 1: a way where we're where we find some accommodations, but 171 00:10:13,640 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 1: protecting ourselves at the same time. Well, boy, there's a 172 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: lot there to consider here, as as this bill in 173 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:25,960 Speaker 1: Washington to better compete with China is being debated and 174 00:10:26,040 --> 00:10:28,680 Speaker 1: moving very slowly here, and we sort of watched the 175 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: conversation with China and Russia continue here with regard to 176 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: the war, though the idea potentially of secondary sanctions is 177 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 1: one that's come up also a lot on Capitol Hill. 178 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,320 Speaker 1: What would that mean for China's economy in a potential 179 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: spring back on ours? Well, first, China's gonna do it 180 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 1: I can to avoid secondary sanctions. It does not want 181 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:54,520 Speaker 1: them because that clearly will hurt their economy. Um, they're 182 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:56,680 Speaker 1: gonna just walk. They're gonna help rush up to the 183 00:10:56,720 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 1: line where they where. Secretary sanctions are not impost, but 184 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 1: if they were, of course China will probably retaliate. Um. 185 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: It's difficult for Chinese to sit there and just take it. Um, 186 00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: they will retaliate. And that's another example of how there's 187 00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: gonna be more decoupling, and it means that we have 188 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,040 Speaker 1: to do a better job I think, and finding a 189 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 1: new way to accommodate China and accommodate but to deal 190 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,320 Speaker 1: with China. The more in nined States moves towards a 191 00:11:24,360 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: bipolar foreign policy towards China, the more it's gonna be 192 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 1: a cold war, and the more that we're gonna have 193 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 1: deeper economic geopolitical military problems. I think we have to 194 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 1: start thinking about China new way. The President needs to 195 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: meet with President She beyond a video call, I mean 196 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 1: face to face. It takes more than a meeting. It's 197 00:11:47,200 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 1: really a policy. It's a mindset um and it takes 198 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: a lot of time. It takes building up first relationships. 199 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 1: It takes much more communication between the US and China 200 00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 1: whole different, multitudinous, different number of ways. That's what it 201 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:03,800 Speaker 1: really does. He knows because he's been there. Ambassador. Thank you, 202 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 1: Former Ambassador to China. Former Montana Senator Max Bauchus with 203 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:10,719 Speaker 1: us on the fastest hour in politics as we get 204 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 1: things rolling on a Monday, Thanks as well to Congressman 205 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:16,480 Speaker 1: Michael McCall, the Republican from Texas, speaking to us from 206 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:19,680 Speaker 1: the Milk and Conference. We assemble the panel. Next. Genie 207 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:22,280 Speaker 1: is with us along with Adam Goodman. I'm Joe Matthew. 208 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg. You're listening to Bloomberg. You sound on 209 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. They're writing the bill 210 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 1: now to fund more weapons for Ukraine to bring more 211 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 1: humanitarian relief. As we heard from the Speaker of the 212 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:46,679 Speaker 1: House today in Poland. You see Nancy Pelosi over the weekend. 213 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:50,839 Speaker 1: She's just offer trip to Kiev where she met in 214 00:12:50,920 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: person with President Zelenski. Here she is today in Poland. 215 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 1: We are already writing the bill for the thirty three 216 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: billion dollars for weapons, for security, for humanitarian assistance, and 217 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 1: for economic assistance for meeting. Though she did not go 218 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 1: so far as Congressman McCall, Congressman Kinzinger, or for that matter, 219 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: Democratic Senator Chris Coons, all of whom have said, we've 220 00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:23,240 Speaker 1: got to start the conversation here. At least Kinsinger is 221 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: going so far as to write the use of force 222 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 1: authorization request. And we assembled our panel to talk this 223 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 1: out a little bit here. Bloomberg Politics contributor Democratic analyst 224 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,600 Speaker 1: Jennie Schanzano is with us, of course, along with Adam Goodman, 225 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: National Republican media strategist, columnist Edward R. Murrow, senior fellow 226 00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:44,680 Speaker 1: at Tufts University's Fletchers School. Great to have both of 227 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: you here, Genny. Is this chorus going to grow louder 228 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:51,480 Speaker 1: and maybe include more Democrats? Because it does seem like 229 00:13:51,559 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 1: the longer it goes on, the more of a tug 230 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: there will be despite what Max Bauchus just said, Chris 231 00:13:59,080 --> 00:14:01,679 Speaker 1: Coon's has already suggested it, or we're going to have 232 00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:05,280 Speaker 1: to get this on paper. You know, I actually agree 233 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: with with Max Bochus that it doesn't need to be 234 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,880 Speaker 1: on paper. Congress doesn't need to do this. I believe 235 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:15,120 Speaker 1: the president has the authority to act if in that situation. 236 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: But I also believe that Congress, if they feel strongly 237 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,600 Speaker 1: about this, and I do think more Democrats get on board, 238 00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: by the way, I do think it makes sense for 239 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: them to move forward with this. I think more importantly, though, 240 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: is the aid, and that's where I think they should 241 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: focus their attention first is on getting the all the 242 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 1: money that has needed over a humanitarian UH, support the economics, 243 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 1: support the military aid, get that funded. Then they can 244 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: do this because again I believe the presidents have this 245 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: power to begin with. Anyways, Well, you know, it's interesting, Adam, 246 00:14:46,880 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: because Kensinger specifically said as a deterrent, and that's been 247 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: the idea here with Republicans, hope to frontload sanctions before 248 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: there was ever an invasion. Is is there such a 249 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 1: thing as that turrent with Vladimir Putin? Uh, I'm not 250 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:07,160 Speaker 1: sure that we should test that. I mean, let's first 251 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,080 Speaker 1: talk about why is I mean, the Nancy Pelosi trip, 252 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:14,440 Speaker 1: by the way, was an incredible statement. I mean that's 253 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: I didn't think I'd see that in my lifetime. She 254 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 1: would make that kind of trip, go over and talk 255 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,640 Speaker 1: directly to um Zelinski and Kiev and talk to the 256 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: people and talk to the leaders in Poland. That was 257 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 1: a major mark. And you know why, Joe and Jenny 258 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: do you know why? Because unlike Afghanistan, where you know, 259 00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:35,280 Speaker 1: after the the we we took down as Sama ben Lauden, 260 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,680 Speaker 1: the incredibly the engagement continued, but beyond cob but we 261 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 1: the Americans, couldn't name another American city. Ukraine is a 262 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: made for TV social media war. It's a reality war, 263 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:48,280 Speaker 1: and we know the names of Kiev and odescent on. 264 00:15:48,440 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: That's gonna Mario Paul and we're following it one day 265 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 1: at a time, which is why Nancy Pelosi, uh and 266 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: other Democrats are now starting to come over that fence 267 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 1: and I think making making affirmative statements that we're gonna 268 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: be there when it comes. Okay, well, you know, having 269 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi there, Uh is one thing, Jeanie, what does 270 00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 1: it actually change when she comes home to Washington, would 271 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: she would she still attempt to attach COVID funding, border 272 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,840 Speaker 1: funding and so forth. If it means slowing down the bill, 273 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:21,479 Speaker 1: she should not. And you know, you heard your conversation 274 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 1: with with Representative McCall was so telling, because, of course 275 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,840 Speaker 1: he said, if they attach COVID age, they're going to 276 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 1: have to attach Title forty two, and right there you 277 00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: get into a political firestorm. So, you know, I hope 278 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:35,760 Speaker 1: and hope that it is a clean bill with just 279 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 1: the Ukrainian funding, but I'm not optimistic it's going to be. 280 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:42,320 Speaker 1: And it's not just Nancy Pelosi's decision. Of course, She's 281 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: got a big caucus to contend with, and there's gonna 282 00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:47,000 Speaker 1: be a lot of pressure on her, you know, six 283 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 1: months before a midterm election to get all of that 284 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: in there, and I do think it would slow things up. Adam, 285 00:16:52,760 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: what's your thought on the use of force authorization? Is 286 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: it a distraction to have that conversation right now or 287 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 1: something that lawmakers need to start preparing for. Well, I 288 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:04,600 Speaker 1: think I think America has to have that conversation to see, 289 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 1: you know, how far we're willing to go uh to 290 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:12,640 Speaker 1: defend something that we thought had been settled, uh, you know, 291 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 1: half a century ago. But the whole idea about you know, 292 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:18,360 Speaker 1: it's gonna feel different if he drops a nuke. That's 293 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:20,880 Speaker 1: just it's just going to be a different world. That's 294 00:17:20,920 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 1: the point of it, all right. And and you know 295 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: you've see the war planes and Russian war planes that 296 00:17:24,880 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 1: are skirting with e U or airspace over the past 297 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:30,119 Speaker 1: few weeks, or they're testing our limits, and you know, 298 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:32,680 Speaker 1: none of us want to really get into that. But 299 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,280 Speaker 1: to Genie's point, and she's absolutely right, if this is 300 00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 1: the discussion in Washington will not be limited to Ukraine. 301 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:43,159 Speaker 1: The Republicans and others are gonna bring Title forty two 302 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 1: and other things into play. Those are what are bedeviling 303 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:48,960 Speaker 1: the party in power right now, and those are coming 304 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: to define the mid terms. And that's a massive political 305 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:56,199 Speaker 1: liability for President Biden at this point. Forget Congress for 306 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,120 Speaker 1: a minute here, Jeanie not being able to deliver that funding. 307 00:17:59,160 --> 00:18:02,399 Speaker 1: But let's say they get deal clean or or otherwise. 308 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 1: You heard Adam describe Genie what it meant for Nancy 309 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:08,000 Speaker 1: Pelosi to show up there. And she wasn't alone. Adam 310 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 1: Schiff was there. Uh, Congressman McGovern was there other members 311 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 1: of the Democratic Party in this codel? Uh, what would 312 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:18,920 Speaker 1: it mean if Joe Biden showed up to deliver that funding? 313 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: If they get this done on the hill. You know, 314 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:24,879 Speaker 1: I have been waiting for this moment, and I do 315 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:29,120 Speaker 1: think we will see that. Although we understand I do. 316 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 1: I know that they have said it may not be safe, 317 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 1: but I still feel like they're going to go. Although 318 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 1: they did say there was some shelling just hours before 319 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi got on the ground there, so it is 320 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,679 Speaker 1: a dangerous and fraught situation. But I do think we 321 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:44,639 Speaker 1: do see him over there, because there were ten days 322 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 1: where where Keith wasn't hit. So I think he goes 323 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: over there, and he should go over there to deliver 324 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: a funding bill that's clean, with the support that's needed 325 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: and the British security assessment of how much damage has 326 00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:02,240 Speaker 1: been done to the Russian uh Mille Terry amazing. I 327 00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:04,879 Speaker 1: love this panel. Geanie and Adams, stay right where you are. 328 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:09,359 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg. Thanks for being with us on sound On. 329 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 1: As we turn to electoral politics, you know it's primary 330 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,720 Speaker 1: day tomorrow. It's gonna get busy this month. If you 331 00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 1: look at the calendar, some really important states are coming, 332 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:22,159 Speaker 1: including Georgia, Pennsylvania. Tomorrow it's Ohio we're watching with the 333 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,880 Speaker 1: headline on the terminal Trump script on GOP gets first 334 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 1: test via JD Vance in Ohio primary. Did you say, 335 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:33,320 Speaker 1: j D Vance? Here's Donald Trump at the rally on 336 00:19:33,359 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: Saturday night. You know, we've endorsed Dr Oz, We've endorsed 337 00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 1: JP great, j D Mandel? What and he's doing great. 338 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: They're all doing good? Well they well, who's doing good? 339 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: He endorsed J. D Vance, who's running against Josh Mandel 340 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,480 Speaker 1: and the president. Boy, I don't know, maybe they had 341 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:00,919 Speaker 1: a long conversation about which one we should go with. 342 00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 1: Here you think about one, the other name comes out. 343 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 1: Now I'm talking Josh Mandel, who's actually you know, he's 344 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 1: gone out of his way to to show himself wrapped 345 00:20:10,920 --> 00:20:13,640 Speaker 1: in all things Trump. Get a taste of this campaign ad. 346 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 1: Boys are boys and girls are girls. Black lives matter. 347 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:23,080 Speaker 1: They're the racists, not us. The Bible is a book 348 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 1: of love, not if you agree with me, please join 349 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 1: me in saving America. In saving America almost like it 350 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,160 Speaker 1: was written by the Trump campaign. And if you look 351 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,359 Speaker 1: at his stuff, I mean, check it out on social media. 352 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: Look at his fundraising emails. He's with Trump at every turn. 353 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: How about that, though, Let's grab every third rail in 354 00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 1: fifteen seconds and call it an ad. So it's been 355 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,520 Speaker 1: a heck of a little primary to watch here, and 356 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,240 Speaker 1: you know, because of the Trump endorsement. As we've told you, 357 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,959 Speaker 1: j d Vance comes from behind, and he's essentially tied 358 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: in some recent polls within a point or two with 359 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 1: j Mandel, and so there's going to have to be 360 00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:06,639 Speaker 1: I'm assuming some pretty legitimate voter confusion going into this 361 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 1: whole thing. But this is why we have Ryan take 362 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,960 Speaker 1: beckwith who joins us now Bloomberg National Politics reporter Ryan or. 363 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,080 Speaker 1: People are going to go into the polls voting for 364 00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: Josh Mandel because they thought Trump endorsed him. You know, Uh, 365 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,320 Speaker 1: he's the thing. This is a seven candidate race, and 366 00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: in Ohio primaries are determined by plurality. So I think 367 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 1: that the person who wins the person who manages to 368 00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 1: find just that slightly bigger groups of people who like 369 00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 1: them then who don't like them. This is kind of 370 00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: our Trump actually weren't in the beginning of the Republican 371 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:44,400 Speaker 1: climate is back in Steen that he was he had 372 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,199 Speaker 1: a cord committed people who liked him. Now here's the thing. 373 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 1: I don't think any of these seven people really have 374 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 1: a court with people who like them. Um. All of 375 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,199 Speaker 1: them are wearing Trump suits. Um, but you know they 376 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: don't if if not authentic. Uh. And I think it 377 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 1: shows Jady Vance is the most kind of uh over 378 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: the top. Here's the guy who used to you know, 379 00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 1: he's written for The Atlantic and written movies for Hollywood 380 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: and and you know, now he's kind of done this 381 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: when A D. Trump and a lot of the other 382 00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:18,520 Speaker 1: Candia ads, they usually featured j D events in the past, 383 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:20,800 Speaker 1: and it's bad guy and now he's all in on Trump. 384 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: And Joshona is similar. Parent it just it sounds like 385 00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,919 Speaker 1: somebody basically just uh, you know, reading someone else's campaignac 386 00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: out loud um and uh. I think there may be 387 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 1: an opening here. The Poles are you know, so uh 388 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:41,879 Speaker 1: Mahaky in his final days here, But there may be 389 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 1: an opening for Mark Owen, who's kind of just stayed 390 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,439 Speaker 1: under the radar. And it could be that this is 391 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: one of those primaries where the top two guys just 392 00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 1: blister each other with negative ads so much that the 393 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:58,600 Speaker 1: person who is sort of acceptable. Uh, somehow eats out 394 00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:02,440 Speaker 1: of win. He's he's not nobody, He's a state senitor 395 00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:06,239 Speaker 1: and he is his family owned the Slant Guardian. For 396 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:10,400 Speaker 1: some reason, Trump has banished him. But he's still very trumpy. 397 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 1: And I'm gonna just go ahead and live here and 398 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,200 Speaker 1: say that no matter who wins this primary, uh, Trump 399 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: really one or whether Trump, whether the person he explicitly 400 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,160 Speaker 1: endorsed one or not, the person who went around voting 401 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,440 Speaker 1: him one or not is a guy who basically says, 402 00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 1: you know all the Trump says, and I like Trump 403 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,119 Speaker 1: and all, and you know, I voted from twice and 404 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,360 Speaker 1: I vote him again. But Ryan, we're having a little 405 00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: bit of trouble with your line here. It's uh just 406 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 1: it's just the telecom God's I presume. But just before 407 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 1: you leave us here, is it is it likely then 408 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,600 Speaker 1: where you're going with this is that either you have 409 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 1: a come from behind uh surprise, or this goes to 410 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 1: a runoff. There's no runoff, So whoever gets the plurality tomorrow, Uh, 411 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 1: that's the winner. So that's that's where it's going to 412 00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 1: be really creasy, because this could be a person that 413 00:23:59,480 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 1: seventy center of the voters voted against. Uh, you know, 414 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 1: so that's gonna be this should be a gimme for Republicans. 415 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 1: But Democrats up a fairly strong candidate and Tim Ryan 416 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,880 Speaker 1: and you know this primary has been really, really bruising, 417 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:15,359 Speaker 1: and that they're going to come out of it with 418 00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 1: someone who may get you know, thirty one vote. So 419 00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 1: do you not feel like the Trump kingmaker status is 420 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 1: on the line here. He's certainly trying to back off 421 00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: on those expectations. You know. I look at his endorsements, 422 00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 1: and a lot of his endorsements are people who are 423 00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:37,679 Speaker 1: kind of you know, people are basically going to win already. Um, 424 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: he's kind of tiding the numbers a little bit there. 425 00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,440 Speaker 1: He doesn't have a great record of of picking the 426 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:48,119 Speaker 1: winning horse. Um. Getting back to his presidency, Uh, he 427 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:51,360 Speaker 1: had some troubles with you know, trying to decide who 428 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: to back early in a race. I think that was 429 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,240 Speaker 1: one reason why he held off so long in this one. Um. 430 00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,440 Speaker 1: And I don't know, I mean, I'm only that every 431 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,120 Speaker 1: when we read the t v's and try to say 432 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:05,360 Speaker 1: that his Trump power waning or waxing based on whether 433 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 1: or not the candidate wins. But like I said, they're 434 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:11,440 Speaker 1: all basically seeing from the Trump uneral. So even if 435 00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:15,200 Speaker 1: it's Matt Dolan who he's bashed, you know, it's still 436 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 1: going to be a guy who's uh, says Trump Ekana, Ryan, 437 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:22,240 Speaker 1: thanks for the time, Ryan T. Beck with Bloomberg National 438 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: Politics Reporter. Appreciate the insights. That's like the first time 439 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:26,919 Speaker 1: ever I mentioned on the air that the line was 440 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,639 Speaker 1: bad and it got better for a minute. Was that 441 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,520 Speaker 1: Verizon listening? As I read in Mark Niquette's piece on 442 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,240 Speaker 1: the terminal. Trump has also made endorsements in high stakes 443 00:25:38,280 --> 00:25:42,680 Speaker 1: Republican Senate primary races in Pennsylvania. That's the seventeenth of May, 444 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 1: and Georgia is the next. Several weeks are going to 445 00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:49,600 Speaker 1: be heavy duty as we make our way into the 446 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:54,000 Speaker 1: real bulk of primary season. And that's where we'll pick 447 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: up next. As we reassemble the panel. Genie is with 448 00:25:56,960 --> 00:26:00,240 Speaker 1: us Jennie Chanzano. Today, Adam Goodman is here as on 449 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:02,960 Speaker 1: the fastest hour in politics, Charley will update the markets, 450 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 1: will get you home with a look at traffic, and well, 451 00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: you know that's why you're here on Bloomberg Sound On. 452 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:18,920 Speaker 1: I'm Joe Matthew in Washington. This is Bloomberg. You're listening 453 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg Sound On with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. 454 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:30,119 Speaker 1: As we reassemble the panel with Jeanie Chantano, Bloomberg Politics contributor, 455 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:35,160 Speaker 1: Democratic analysts, joined to day by Adam Goodman, Republican media strategist, columnist, 456 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 1: and Edward R. Morrow, Senior Fellow at Tufts University's Fletcher School, 457 00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:44,000 Speaker 1: following our conversation there with Ryan te beckwith about the 458 00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,720 Speaker 1: primary tomorrow in Ohio. A Fox News polled last week. 459 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,800 Speaker 1: This is likely the most recent data we have showed. 460 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: J d Vance had vaulted to the lead from third 461 00:26:55,240 --> 00:27:00,159 Speaker 1: place following Donald Trump's endorsement, followed by the Afreman and 462 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 1: Josh Mandel. Former Ohio treasurer and investment banker Mike Gibbons, 463 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,600 Speaker 1: State Senator Matt Dolan. Former Ohio Republican Party chairwoman Jane 464 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 1: Timpkin trailed the leaders there, but a quarter of voters 465 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:19,480 Speaker 1: remained undecided, and so this is kind of interesting, Uh, Jeanie, 466 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 1: your take on this as we go into really one 467 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 1: of the most important primaries that we've had so far 468 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 1: here that we're gonna get into a much more compressed 469 00:27:27,119 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: schedule beginning with what happens tomorrow, and and the confusion 470 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,239 Speaker 1: that's out there between a number of candidates who are 471 00:27:35,280 --> 00:27:38,359 Speaker 1: all trying to more quickly wrap themselves in Trump than 472 00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,600 Speaker 1: the next guy. Yeah, and I'm so excited, Joe, as 473 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,879 Speaker 1: you know, thirteen states with primaries. It's election season, my 474 00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:48,479 Speaker 1: favorite time of the year. Um And and so you know, 475 00:27:48,640 --> 00:27:50,919 Speaker 1: I think one of the surprises and the latest polling 476 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 1: by Trafalgar Group and that we've got some by Emerson, UM, 477 00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: is that Dolan is creeping up. But to your point, 478 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 1: Vance is still about twenty six. You know, a quarter 479 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 1: of the Republicans that have been um that have been 480 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,360 Speaker 1: responding to these polls. So it looks like the endorsement 481 00:28:07,440 --> 00:28:10,480 Speaker 1: did help Vance a good amount m because he wasn't 482 00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,479 Speaker 1: in the lead prior to that endorsement. But as you 483 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 1: mentioned about a quarter of respondents saying they're undecided, and 484 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:19,639 Speaker 1: as you were just talking with Ryan, because this is 485 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:23,199 Speaker 1: a plurality, really this could be anybody's game, but you 486 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 1: could have sevent of Republicans who vote not satisfied with 487 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: who the candidate is. So it's going to be fascinating. 488 00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,639 Speaker 1: You know. My take is that either way, Trump wins because, 489 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,760 Speaker 1: as you've pointed out, all of them have been running 490 00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:37,600 Speaker 1: to the Trump except for Dolan. Well how about that? 491 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:40,440 Speaker 1: As it turns out here, Adam, you know we've seen 492 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:44,560 Speaker 1: Josh Mandel wrapped himself in Trump and try to make 493 00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 1: this a contest about, you know, the Trump purity test. 494 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 1: If if I could put all I could put those 495 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: three words together with a straight face. But you know 496 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 1: what I'm where I'm going with this. They're trying to 497 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 1: paint j. D Vance is kind of a fake Trumper 498 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 1: because he didn't always say the nicest thing about him 499 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 1: and in fact, will that be how this race has decided? Well, 500 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 1: first of all, when Josh Mandel's slogan is pro God, 501 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,880 Speaker 1: pro gun, and pro Trump, I think you pretty much 502 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:15,479 Speaker 1: know where he's coming from. And some might suggest it's not. 503 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 1: I don't believe this. But even if the supposed club 504 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,280 Speaker 1: by Trump of the names of Vans and Mandel that 505 00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 1: some might say that was, that was brilliant because he 506 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 1: wins either way. J d Vance, who's back by Peter TiAl, 507 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 1: PayPal and Facebook, big buddy of the foreigner presidents, that's 508 00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:38,000 Speaker 1: a big Trumper. Josh Mandel a big Trumper. So the 509 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 1: I that's an iron The irony is that he kind 510 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: of put them together. It's like it's like in the 511 00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 1: horse and the horse business, the horse race business, it's 512 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: like you have an entry one A and one B right, 513 00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 1: one over one A. But Matt Dolan would be the spoiler. 514 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 1: Matt Dolan, who comes from one of the richest families 515 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 1: in Ohio. He was very involved in buying the Cleveland 516 00:29:55,720 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 1: baseball team. Uh who said Biden legitimately one that would 517 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 1: be a problem. But even with that said, if Donald 518 00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:08,560 Speaker 1: Trump does not win in some of these endorsed situations, 519 00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,800 Speaker 1: and everyone's gonna try to read into this, oh my god, 520 00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:14,880 Speaker 1: he's he's falling, uh his report card, which is critical 521 00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:17,880 Speaker 1: many things to a potential twenty four run. The reality 522 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:20,680 Speaker 1: is he could lose a few and blame it on 523 00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 1: the candidates or their campaigns are both and say it 524 00:30:23,600 --> 00:30:26,400 Speaker 1: wasn't me, and he'll get fine with the nominees. So 525 00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:29,120 Speaker 1: I think I think he's gonna come out of this 526 00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:33,280 Speaker 1: looking very good. Dr Oz. You suggested in Pennsylvania ring 527 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 1: against David McCormick and others. Another major test, like Jeanie 528 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,640 Speaker 1: I cannot wait where they were funning games to begin, 529 00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 1: and we won't have to wait long since Ohio is tomorrow. 530 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 1: It's like Netflix just dropped the new series. You know, 531 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: you've got one each week for the next three weeks 532 00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 1: to get really excited about here you guys. By the way, 533 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 1: while we're talking, the White House announcing Joe Biden traveling 534 00:30:54,120 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 1: to Ohio Friday May six, gonna be Cincinnati. Uh. In 535 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:06,600 Speaker 1: interesting timing. They're coming off of the contest. You know, 536 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,720 Speaker 1: the anatomy of political ads is always fascinating. We talked 537 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:14,320 Speaker 1: about the idea here of of of trying to make J. D. 538 00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,080 Speaker 1: Vance look like less of a Trump supporter, and boy, 539 00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: the Club for Growth went for it, coming out hard 540 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:22,760 Speaker 1: against Vance. Uh. To be clear of the Club for 541 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:27,280 Speaker 1: Growth superpackets. Club for Growth Action, which endorsed Mandel in 542 00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:31,120 Speaker 1: the primary, out with a new ad using some creative editing, 543 00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,120 Speaker 1: and we kind of broke this up for you to 544 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,240 Speaker 1: get a sense of what we're talking about here. It 545 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,960 Speaker 1: uses tape from J. D. Vance being interviewed previously about 546 00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,400 Speaker 1: Trump and Trump supporters. First listen to the bit in 547 00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:45,480 Speaker 1: the ad and then we'll play you the actual source tape. 548 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,719 Speaker 1: Here's the ad from Club for Growth Action. People who 549 00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 1: voted for trumpeted form for racist reasons. Where does he 550 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,520 Speaker 1: get off saying that we've got our own eyes in 551 00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:59,760 Speaker 1: our own ears. J D. Vance is a fraud. Okay, 552 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 1: So people who voted for Trump did so for racist reasons. 553 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,000 Speaker 1: They've been they've been blasting out that clip. Here's the 554 00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:10,600 Speaker 1: full statement from that interview where they got this from. 555 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,160 Speaker 1: Listen again to J. D. Vance. Some people who voted 556 00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 1: for Trump or racists, and they voted for him for 557 00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 1: racist reasons. I always resist the idea that the real 558 00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 1: thing driving most Trump voters was racial anxiety or racial animus, 559 00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 1: partially because I didn't see it right. I mean, the 560 00:32:28,120 --> 00:32:32,000 Speaker 1: thing that really motivated people to vote for Trump, first 561 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 1: in the primary and then in the general election was 562 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 1: three words jobs, jobs, Jobs. So he's asked, if you 563 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 1: know the racist thing was an issue, and he's actually 564 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 1: explaining that it was not in his view. And now 565 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 1: it's because of a very you know, careful edit there. 566 00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,280 Speaker 1: It's it's he's saying exactly the opposite in this ad. 567 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,960 Speaker 1: And this is what politicians, of course love about. Uh 568 00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 1: editing and media and all the rest of it. And 569 00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 1: is this fair game, Genie? I mean, does this actually 570 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 1: have an impact on what we're talking about here. Of 571 00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:06,600 Speaker 1: Josh Mandel doesn't need a lot to win. You know, 572 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: their their neck and neck, that's right. And the Club 573 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:13,200 Speaker 1: for Growth has been hitting Trump very hard in Ohio 574 00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,000 Speaker 1: and you know they also and talking that ad about 575 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 1: the fact that he endorsed Romney in and you know, 576 00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:22,160 Speaker 1: they say, look how that turned out. You know, of course, 577 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:26,200 Speaker 1: Club for Growth really important in Republican conservative circles. And 578 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:28,760 Speaker 1: you know Trump's famously sent a profane message to the 579 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,760 Speaker 1: president with all of these attacks, but they have kept 580 00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:34,400 Speaker 1: it up. You know, I think you know, the reality 581 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 1: is when you look at the numbers, these ads do 582 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: men do matter? Negative ads work, Positive ads don't work. 583 00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 1: I love the editing and the music they put behind it. 584 00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:47,479 Speaker 1: It's classic um and you know, so it will likely 585 00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 1: have some impact. The question is going to be how much. 586 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,000 Speaker 1: And you know, the fascinating thing here is that you 587 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,400 Speaker 1: as you mentioned, they are within a margin of error 588 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,720 Speaker 1: depending on which poll you look at. And again we 589 00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:01,040 Speaker 1: don't get a lot of polling in the state races, 590 00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:04,120 Speaker 1: so it is very possible any one of these three 591 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 1: from Vance, Mandel or Dolan can come up with the 592 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:10,400 Speaker 1: plurality in this case, and and that could really be 593 00:34:10,560 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 1: up you know, big upset if it's Dolan. And you know, 594 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:15,680 Speaker 1: I have to laugh because I can't believe Adam just 595 00:34:15,760 --> 00:34:18,600 Speaker 1: suggested that Trump would take you know, would would take 596 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,560 Speaker 1: credit regardless what happens. That doesn't sound like our former president. 597 00:34:22,239 --> 00:34:25,080 Speaker 1: That would never happen. So connect the dots here a 598 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,280 Speaker 1: little bit, though, Adam, you heard us play Donald Trump 599 00:34:28,320 --> 00:34:30,279 Speaker 1: from earlier, earlier this hour from the rally. I don't 600 00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 1: know if we can play that again from the rally 601 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,880 Speaker 1: on Saturday night where he screws up J. D Vance's 602 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:39,000 Speaker 1: name and actually calls him, you know, JP Mandel or 603 00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:43,560 Speaker 1: something like that. You know, add that to this advertisement 604 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:48,160 Speaker 1: knocking J d Vance's uh, you know, prior statements about 605 00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:51,520 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. Are they onto something? Does it work? I'm 606 00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,080 Speaker 1: still smiling by what because of what Jeanie just said. 607 00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:57,720 Speaker 1: Uh uh, let me let me put it this way. 608 00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 1: Never lets and I'm an ad maker, really, That's what 609 00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 1: I did in the business for a long time. My 610 00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 1: My response would be, never let the facts get in 611 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:10,160 Speaker 1: the way of great ad copy. There's that's what you 612 00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:13,000 Speaker 1: saw in this act that when you've played out the 613 00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:16,759 Speaker 1: real quote versus what was used. But the bottom line is, 614 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,520 Speaker 1: I you know, I hail from Florida, or at least 615 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 1: over the last twenty five years. I was there in 616 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:27,400 Speaker 1: the beginning of the race for governor between Rhonda Santis 617 00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,920 Speaker 1: UH and a very popular Adam Putnam. Putnam was up 618 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 1: points midway through the primary. The president Um decides he's 619 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:41,719 Speaker 1: going to weigh in. He endorses Rhonda Santis. I'm being 620 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:43,719 Speaker 1: I'm interviewed on some panel and they said, what do 621 00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:46,080 Speaker 1: you think that means? I said, it's over. He said, 622 00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:48,520 Speaker 1: what do you mean? I said it's over. And Rhonda 623 00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:51,440 Speaker 1: Santis went from twenty five down to winning by like 624 00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:56,680 Speaker 1: twenty over a very popular mainstream conservative Republican. So with 625 00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,960 Speaker 1: all that we've just talked about, do not enter undersk 626 00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:05,720 Speaker 1: to made. The power is still don't bet against Inhio, Ohio. 627 00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:11,600 Speaker 1: It may don't bet against Donald Trump in this primary, 628 00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:14,160 Speaker 1: but we played it at the very beginning. Let's bring 629 00:36:14,160 --> 00:36:16,640 Speaker 1: it back again. Here's Trump at the rally Saturday night. 630 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,720 Speaker 1: You got that justin. You know, we've endorsed Dr Oz, 631 00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:26,160 Speaker 1: We've endorsed JP, right, J D. Mandel, and he's doing great. 632 00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:30,840 Speaker 1: They're all doing good. JP is is actually well, Mandel 633 00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:33,719 Speaker 1: is doing good. They're both doing good. Genie, is this 634 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,520 Speaker 1: just for people like us to hash around or or 635 00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:39,280 Speaker 1: or is it remembered? Will that become its own ad 636 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:44,120 Speaker 1: after primary day if Mandel wins. You know, Democrats are 637 00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,680 Speaker 1: loving the fact that Donald Trump is out. You know, 638 00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,279 Speaker 1: the one thing we hear from Democrats is they're they're 639 00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,200 Speaker 1: hoping Elon Musk gets this Twitter deal done and by 640 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 1: October Trump is right back on there. The more he talks, 641 00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,279 Speaker 1: the better for Democrats. So I bet we keep hearing 642 00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 1: more of this great talk with Genie and Adam Adam 643 00:37:01,120 --> 00:37:04,680 Speaker 1: Goodman with us and Jeannie Chanzano our panel for the 644 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,240 Speaker 1: Monday edition of Sunda. We'll meet you back here tomorrow 645 00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 1: on primary day and a lot more to talk about. 646 00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 1: Get up early. I'll meet you on Bloomberg's surveillance tomorrow 647 00:37:12,480 --> 00:37:16,279 Speaker 1: morning six o'clock. Until then, I'm Joe Matthew. This is 648 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:16,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg