1 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you? Welcome? 2 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 2: Into a Wednesday morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast 3 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 2: with being Matt Parolta at Sports Talk Matt to follow 4 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: me on Twitter. This podcast can be found on Betting 5 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 2: Pros's YouTube channel or wherever you guys get your audio. 6 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: Podcasts always being brought to you by bet MGM, and 7 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,760 Speaker 2: the offer for new users is a one thousand dollars 8 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 2: first bet offer with the promo code Juice at betmgm 9 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:37,279 Speaker 2: dot com. Okay, at the time of taping, we are 10 00:00:37,320 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: currently one in one, but the run line bet just 11 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: got completely spoiled by a Grand Slam. The A's were 12 00:00:47,479 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 2: down eight to four Grand Slam, so it's eight to 13 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 2: eight top of the ninth right now. We may need 14 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: a ghost runner situation where we go to extras and 15 00:00:57,160 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks score a bunch of runs with a ghost 16 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: runner for us to get there. We're not dead, but 17 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 2: we might be dead. There's two outs in the eighth now, 18 00:01:06,440 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 2: one guy on first base, so let's we get a 19 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: two run home run here, probably going to extras, and 20 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 2: then we're gonna need some help here. So we're not dead, 21 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 2: but it's a one in one day probably a one 22 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 2: in two day, just a one point one unit down day. 23 00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: But we're bleeding out one in two, one and two, 24 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 2: one and two. It's not what we want. Paper cut 25 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 2: type things don't love it. So I'm gonna do some 26 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 2: a little different today. I'm gonna pause on baseball, not 27 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 2: gonna bet baseball today, officially. If you have to bet baseball, 28 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 2: I would bet, and I will bet personally the Diamondbacks 29 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 2: on the run line again against the A's and the 30 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,400 Speaker 2: over in the Red Sox game is probably pretty good. 31 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 2: Over nine and a half for the Red Sox and 32 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 2: the Mariners. Not a bad play there either is if 33 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: you want baseball, those are two plays I'll make personally, 34 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 2: and I don't know what I'll put down on it, 35 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: but I'll have something on either one of those games. 36 00:01:53,560 --> 00:01:55,200 Speaker 1: So if you want baseball, there you go. 37 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 2: I'm going all basketball Celtics Heat Game one, Eastern Conference Finals. 38 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 2: We got the one basketball bet right last night. Let's 39 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: see if we can. When I'm kind of in a rut, 40 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 2: I like doing this kind of let's just change it up. 41 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 2: Let's do something different. I haven't done this before, so 42 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 2: let's have multiple bets all in one game. If it 43 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: goes awry, you fall on your face, and the whole 44 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 2: week's dead. If you go right, things could really work 45 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 2: out well. So three bets a series bet, and then 46 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 2: I might come back with player props as well. 47 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: I may have one or two player props. 48 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: I got the yokge points and assists right yesterday with 49 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 2: their win over the Lakers the push on six, as 50 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: I talked about, I said, you know, there's too many points. 51 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: If it was four, I would have bet the Nuggets 52 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 2: it was eight, would have bet the Lakers fall six, 53 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 2: right on the number, but it flew over. They missed 54 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 2: the total by thirty points. Easy, easy over at two 55 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 2: twenty two. Game will be probably two forty two coming 56 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 2: up next week, So yep, we're going to the bottom 57 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 2: of the ninth with the A's now up. So well, 58 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 2: we'll watch that while I'm recording, and maybe we have 59 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:57,519 Speaker 2: a prayer in the ninth or tenth or something. I 60 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 2: guess not the ninth to tenth for the Dbacks, but 61 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: probably in one and two day for us. 62 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: Coming with that. 63 00:03:02,639 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 2: Before we do the picks for today, let's talk about 64 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 2: our friends at Rival Fantasy. You've heard me talk about 65 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 2: Rival Fantasy before the platform keeps getting better. 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However, 93 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 2: at the end of the month, you can set up 94 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:49,600 Speaker 2: today at bettingpros dot com, slash upgrade and start betting smarter, 95 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 2: not harder. Okay, let's get to the Heat and the Celtics. 96 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 2: First bet is a series bet. Now, the Boston Celtics 97 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 2: are the better basketball team. I don't think there's much 98 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 2: of a debate there. But this is Jimmy Butler, who 99 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 2: is going to be really good and in some nights 100 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,279 Speaker 2: he'll be the best player on the floor. And Eric 101 00:05:12,320 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 2: Spolstra is a tremendous coach. I mean just a tremendous coach. 102 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 2: We don't know about Joel Mozzoli yet, I don't know 103 00:05:20,000 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 2: how good of a coach he is, but we know 104 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 2: that Eric Spolser most likely is going to go into 105 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:24,159 Speaker 2: the Hall of Fame. 106 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: That we know. 107 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:30,160 Speaker 2: Okay, the series is tied to two. So if you 108 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 2: look at the way these games have been played one 109 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 2: eleven to one oh four, Game one one thirty four 110 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:42,280 Speaker 2: one twenty one, Game two one twenty one sixteen, Game 111 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 2: three ninety eight ninety five in game four. Now that 112 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 2: one game was in January in Miami, and it was 113 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 2: sort of during Boston's swoon. Okay, three of the four 114 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 2: games played this year would have gone over. But they're 115 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 2: two to two. The series is Boston minus two and 116 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 2: a half. 117 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 1: Okay. 118 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 2: Now it's plus money on that, but that's a gentleman's sweep. 119 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 2: That's for to one. 120 00:06:09,320 --> 00:06:10,800 Speaker 1: Okay. 121 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 2: If the Heat can force a game six, if it's 122 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 2: three to two, the plus two and a half will cash. 123 00:06:21,640 --> 00:06:24,359 Speaker 2: I think Miami's gonna win two games in this series. 124 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,480 Speaker 2: In fact, Miami might win game one. I'm not putting 125 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 2: it past the Heat to win tonight, Okay, So to me, 126 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 2: I'm going to lay one point four units down on 127 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 2: a minus one forty. 128 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 1: You can get mis one thirty five. 129 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 2: I got minus one forty on this, but plus two 130 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 2: and a half games the Miami Heat plus two and 131 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 2: a half games if this thing goes to six, or seven, 132 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 2: we cash. Okay, four or five we lose, But I 133 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 2: don't think Boston is going to win this in four 134 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 2: or five. 135 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: If the Heat win the series, we win the bet 136 00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:58,919 Speaker 1: as well. Okay. 137 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 2: So the only thing that beats us is if Boston 138 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 2: wins in four games or five games. And I don't 139 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:06,240 Speaker 2: think Boston's gonna win in four games or five games. 140 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 1: I just don't. 141 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 2: Even if they kill the Heat tonight in Game one, 142 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 2: I don't think it's gonna happen. All right, One point 143 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 2: four units down Heat plus two and a half for 144 00:07:14,040 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 2: this series, two and a half games for the series. 145 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 2: First bet, second bet, first half team total Boston Celtics 146 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 2: going back to the well, fifty six and a half 147 00:07:25,680 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 2: is the number. Okay, Again, I run these numbers before 148 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 2: with you guys. But the Boston Celtics this season were 149 00:07:32,200 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 2: extremely good scoring in the first half. They were the 150 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 2: number one first half scoring team in the NBA. Okay, 151 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 2: averaged over sixty points per game in the first half. 152 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: They've not been doing a. 153 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 2: Great job of late, but they still average sixty one 154 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 2: point two points at home for this season, last three games, 155 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 2: only scoring fifty one point three points. But this is 156 00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 2: a home crowd that's gonna be really, really jacked up, 157 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 2: and frankly, I think Boston's gonna look till run on Miami. 158 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: I don't think they want to get into a half 159 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 2: court game and have that defense clamp down on them. 160 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 2: I think they're don't want to go up tempo and 161 00:08:06,800 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 2: do it early. I'm gonna bet it early. Boston team 162 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: total over fifty six and a half points here in 163 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 2: the first half of this game. I think Boston's gonna 164 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:21,640 Speaker 2: get off to a really good start. I think they 165 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 2: could be up, you know, six to seven points in 166 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 2: the first half. 167 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: I'm looking really I'm really. 168 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 2: Excited to see how many points Boston can put up 169 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 2: from the three point line, because they shoot well in 170 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 2: this series. It could be over fast. But it's minus 171 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 2: one oh five okay, one point zero five units down. 172 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 2: Boston team total over fifty six and a half points 173 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 2: in the or in the first half. 174 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: Second. 175 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 2: Bet the Miami Heat are catching eight points. You saw 176 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,760 Speaker 2: it last night in the Laker game. Eight points is 177 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 2: too many points. Again, Miami's live to win this game. 178 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 2: People might be like what I think they are? Okay, 179 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 2: and you Mightael Matt, we don't bet points, Yeah, something's 180 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 2: telling me that the points spreads are going to be 181 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 2: pretty good. Here. We're down to four teams. The books 182 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 2: have a ton of data. These numbers are going to 183 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:10,600 Speaker 2: be really sharp. Last night landed on the number, closed six, 184 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 2: landed six. Now it's eight. I think Miami is gonna 185 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:17,600 Speaker 2: be in this game. I don't think this is going 186 00:09:17,640 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 2: to be a blowout. I think Miami is going to 187 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 2: be in it tight. They might be down big after 188 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 2: the at half or in the third quarter, but I 189 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: think Miami finds a way. 190 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 1: Boston falls asleep way too often in the fourth quarter. 191 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 2: From my liking, they let teams back in, much like 192 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 2: what Denver did last night. Miami plus eight, one point 193 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 2: one units down, taking the heat at plus eight and 194 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:43,559 Speaker 2: the third bet on this. These two teams played three 195 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 2: games over one game under. Okay, now, technically the first 196 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 2: game that they did, these two teams, excuse me, played 197 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 2: did go under because it was sort of a high. 198 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 2: It was a higher than normal total. In the first 199 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 2: meeting between these two teams. It was let me see here, 200 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:10,040 Speaker 2: the first matchup between Boston and Miami. Game wise, it 201 00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:12,800 Speaker 2: was two twenty one was the total. It went under 202 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 2: by six points, but that total of what that one 203 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 2: to eleven one to fourteen goes over tonight's two ten number. 204 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: Okay, goes over to ten. 205 00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,199 Speaker 2: In the second meeting one thirty four to one to 206 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 2: twenty one went over by thirty and a half points 207 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 2: in the second meeting. In third meeting went to twenty 208 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:31,680 Speaker 2: seven one twenty to one. Sixteen went over by nine points. 209 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 2: In the final meeting, uh, it went under by twenty 210 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 2: one points ninety It was two fourteen in Miami, ninety 211 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:43,600 Speaker 2: eight ninety five in Boston. We're talking about both games 212 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:45,840 Speaker 2: going over two ten and a half or two ten. Sorry, 213 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 2: I'm betting over over to ten Boston. In Miami, this 214 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,320 Speaker 2: game goes over. I think we're going to at offense, 215 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 2: maybe like a one oh eight to one oh five 216 00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 2: type of game. Okay, I think Boston wins the game. 217 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 2: Think Miami covers over hits all right. Three bets one game. First, 218 00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 2: bet my Boston team total first half over fifty six 219 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:18,240 Speaker 2: and a half. Second bet Miami plus eight. Third bet 220 00:11:18,600 --> 00:11:22,319 Speaker 2: over two ten and a half for the game. The 221 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,760 Speaker 2: series bet is Miami plus two and a half. Miami 222 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 2: wins two games at any point during this series, that 223 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 2: bet is good that bet will cash. Okay, I might 224 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:35,920 Speaker 2: come back with player props. Maybe not positive, but I 225 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 2: might bettingpros dot com s last Chat to get into 226 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 2: the discord channel. 227 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 1: That's why I put up player props if I like it. 228 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 2: Okay, not guaranteed, but I might three bets for tonight 229 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 2: okay minus one oh five, minus one ten, minus one 230 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,600 Speaker 2: ten all in one game. Taking a break from baseball, 231 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 2: I will see what happens here. Whether we're two and 232 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:59,280 Speaker 2: one or one and two, I don't know yet. We're 233 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 2: in the bottom of the ninth inning, one on one out. 234 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 2: We'll see if the Dbacks can get to the ghost 235 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 2: runner and maybe get a steal of a run line 236 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:13,000 Speaker 2: victory for us here with us particularly one in two 237 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 2: or two and one min's Matt Parl. Follow me on 238 00:12:15,160 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 2: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it 239 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:19,719 Speaker 2: is the del Juice Podcast being brought to you by 240 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 2: bedam GM