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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. All Right, here

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Speaker 1: we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen houndy, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty, forty five,

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Speaker 2: fifty and the.

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Speaker 3: Chicks block Look College Football World stunder God, Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 3: he stumbled, and Football the Lateral turn a Canter on

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Speaker 3: the episode get you the lad I'm.

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Speaker 2: Not gonna table off the veil of the night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 1: It's the side of the fight in the doll.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: Week seven college football betting preview. I'm stucky and joining

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Speaker 2: me as a my BBOC cost Colin Wilson. Colin, We're

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Speaker 2: getting into the saturdays where there we're gonna get separation

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Speaker 2: every single week amongst the top teams, a couple of

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Speaker 2: marquee games. We'll get to you excited for this slate.

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Speaker 1: I'm excited just for weather alone in the month of October,

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Speaker 1: because people just feel like the forecast is going to

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Speaker 1: have rain in it. You see the totals drop, but

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Speaker 1: really they don't understand that it's wind cross landscape orientation,

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Speaker 1: Like I mean It just goes so much more than

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Speaker 1: waking up on Sundays and Mondays and whacking totals down

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Speaker 1: to nothing because there might be pre sip. Very interesting

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Speaker 1: how totals end up this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of times earlier in the week, those

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Speaker 2: are just if there's even a hint of weather, those

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Speaker 2: are going to get hit. So I mean a lot

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Speaker 2: of times what people do is they'll say, you know,

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Speaker 2: you'll have people that are just taking positions on Okay,

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Speaker 2: if it is weather, I'm going to get a good

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Speaker 2: number here. If not, I can always buy back and

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Speaker 2: just juice out. But it is hard to predict the weather,

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Speaker 2: you know, a week out, and sometimes these things don't

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Speaker 2: come to fruition. Recall the remember the hurricane effect for

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Speaker 2: the ukon fiu BC Florida State. Remember those totals crashed

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Speaker 2: and then you watch the games and there's no weather impact.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, mother nature, like college football, not the easiest

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Speaker 2: thing to predict. Before we get into our three market matchups,

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Speaker 2: just want to remind everyone that the BBOC podcast is

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Speaker 2: presented by bet ongm used bonus code action when signing

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Speaker 2: up to get up to fifteen hundred dollars paid back

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Speaker 2: in bonus bets if your first bet loses. For new

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Speaker 2: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming.

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Speaker 2: Terms of conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: get in to our three marquee games and then we're

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Speaker 2: gonna get to I think eight rapid fire. I have

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Speaker 2: a ton of trash, and then we'll obviously cover Friday

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Speaker 2: Night Lights, our favorite overdogs and underdogs at the end

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Speaker 2: of the show.

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Speaker 1: As always hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: Let's start off in the SEC in a matchup between

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Speaker 2: Texas A and M and Tennessee. Tennessee is a I

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Speaker 2: think they're now a three point favorite. Over under is

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Speaker 2: sitting at fifty five and a half. Interesting thing about

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Speaker 2: this game is Tennessee at home lectric crowd. They have

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Speaker 2: the fourth longest home streak in the nation, and Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M the road has not treated them kindly

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Speaker 2: of late. I think they've lost fourteen to fifteen against

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Speaker 2: rank components on the road. Last road when came against

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Speaker 2: the heavily Missouri and twenty one true road game. So

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is obviously gonna be hyped crowd here. The spot

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Speaker 2: favors the balls because you have Tennessee coming off foot bye,

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Speaker 2: come in here fresh. They you know, they got some

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Speaker 2: guys back. I think they might get their starting cornerback.

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Speaker 2: They got Cooper May's back at center, defensive tackle, came

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Speaker 2: back against South Carolina as well and got I think

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Speaker 2: ten to fifteen snaps, So they're getting healthier along the

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Speaker 2: offensive line and on defense. And meanwhile, Texas A and

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Speaker 2: M is coming off a just a heartbreaking loss to

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Speaker 2: Alabama and the game that they just fumbled the bag.

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Speaker 2: I mean Alabama was trying to get in the game.

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Speaker 2: They wouldn't take it. Jimbo Fisher are terrible calls and

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Speaker 2: that pretty much puts them out of the SEC race

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Speaker 2: because of that straight up loss to Alabama and now

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Speaker 2: they have two losses on the year. So how do

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Speaker 2: they bounce back here? That is a major question from

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Speaker 2: a matchup perspective. You know, Tennessee looks a lot different

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Speaker 2: than last year. They are a heavy, heavy run team

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Speaker 2: and they've I had a lot of success doing it

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Speaker 2: with a three headed monster of Right, Small and Sampson

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Speaker 2: who are all averaging over six yards per carry. And

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Speaker 2: now you got maysed back at center, so they really

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Speaker 2: want to run a lot. Defense looks improved, but they

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Speaker 2: really haven't faced many competent offenses this year. Even against

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Speaker 2: UTSA they were facing their backup quarterback. The run defense

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Speaker 2: looks legit. It was pretty good last year. If you

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Speaker 2: take away a seventy five yard run against South Carolina,

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Speaker 2: they had like twenty six carries for seventy yards. Florida,

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Speaker 2: despite the win, really didn't do that much on the ground.

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Speaker 2: I still have some questions in the Tennessee secondary. So

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Speaker 2: from a matchup perspective, this actually sets up well for

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Speaker 2: texting Um in my opinion, because they've been great against

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Speaker 2: the run. Their run defense has been phenomenal and that's

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Speaker 2: what Tennessee wants to do. You can attack their secondary.

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Speaker 2: But now no Bru McCoy in that receiving corps that

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Speaker 2: lost two receivers to the NFL, and Joe Milton, unlike

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Speaker 2: Jaylen Milroe, who has elite numbers throwing the deep ball.

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Speaker 2: He's just eight of thirty on balls turn twenty plus

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Speaker 2: yards downfield. So can he really exploit the Texas A

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Speaker 2: and M defense and the other side of the ball.

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Speaker 2: It's all about kin Texas A and M and Texta

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Speaker 2: aams starting to get more pressure to Derek and is

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Speaker 2: blitzing more, but he always have the ball. In Texas

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Speaker 2: A and M. I don't think they're gonna able to

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Speaker 2: run the ball much against the Tennessee D. But I

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Speaker 2: think there's gonna be opportunities in the passing game as

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Speaker 2: long as Max Johnson has enough time. TEXA and M

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Speaker 2: offensive line has been a problem. Tennessee's getting decent amount

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Speaker 2: of pressure, even if it's not against the toughest schedule.

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Speaker 2: The other thing I worry about, too, is neither of

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Speaker 2: these teams have been great finishing drives. Tex A M

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Speaker 2: is moving the ball up and down the field, but

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Speaker 2: their run game has been bad, so they haven't really

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Speaker 2: been punching in the end zone. Unfortunately for me, they

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Speaker 2: for us last week. They couldn't get in from the

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Speaker 2: one yard line to cover that game. Tennessee also, despite

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Speaker 2: a really good run game, hasn't been great finishing drives.

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Speaker 2: So ultimately, when I look at this game, I think

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Speaker 2: that Texa, A and M has solid matchup advantages on

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Speaker 2: both sides of the ball. But the spot really favors

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Speaker 2: Tennessee tech, saying them come out here with a focused

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Speaker 2: effort on the road in a hostile environment, pick up

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Speaker 2: the win. What do you see here?

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Speaker 1: We should just blindly be playing spots, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: it is a part of a handicap. But I cannot

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Speaker 1: get over how much I do not like this Tennessee team.

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Speaker 1: Just a massive difference in strength of schedule here Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M at twelve Tennessee at one hundred and fourth.

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Speaker 1: You know, you mentioned all of the advantages that there

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Speaker 1: are for Texas A and M in here, But you know,

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Speaker 1: unlike Bama, Tennessee does have a top ten havoc allowed rank,

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Speaker 1: meaning they don't let a lot of teams get behind

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Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage. They don't have a lot of interceptions,

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Speaker 1: a lot of pvus, they don't make a lot of mistakes.

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Speaker 1: But I go back, like this schedule that they've faced

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Speaker 1: is just so soft. So you have to ask, is TEXTA,

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Speaker 1: A and M going to get as many freebies. When

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Speaker 1: it comes to field position creating havoc that they did

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Speaker 1: against Alabama, Tennessee rolled South Carolina and UTSA for three possessions,

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Speaker 1: but somehow they rank one hundred and twenty fifth in

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Speaker 1: pass explosives. You couldn't have told me preseason that, no

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Speaker 1: matter how good or bad Joe Milton was, the Tennessee

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Speaker 1: was going to be one hundred and twenty fifth in

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Speaker 1: passing explosives.

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Speaker 2: And that's how you beat A and M.

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Speaker 1: That's how you beat A and M. And so when

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Speaker 1: you go deeper into Joe Milton's numbers ninety three t

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Speaker 1: D to I INT, but he's six to five and

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Speaker 1: big time throws a turnover worth. He plays the largest

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Speaker 1: average depth of target drop of his career. Last year

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Speaker 1: he was fifty one percent adjust A completion rate on

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Speaker 1: passes over twenty yards. This year it's thirty three percent.

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Speaker 1: He's terrible Milton. He likes quarters, he likes cover three.

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Speaker 1: He has a high success rate. The efficiency really drops

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Speaker 1: off when he goes up against cover run Texas, A

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Speaker 1: and M is pretty good in all three. They do

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Speaker 1: run cover one, they run cover three quarters, so I

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Speaker 1: believe they'll probably run more cover one, because that is

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Speaker 1: what's given Milton so many problems. But I can't get

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Speaker 1: over the fact that the schedule that this Tennessee team

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Speaker 1: has had on offense, they're ninety fifth in quality drives

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Speaker 1: and sixty first in finishing drives. Those were cupcakes. Those

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Speaker 1: were just walks in the park. Now to you're right,

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Speaker 1: Taxa A and M is struggling to score themselves. Jembo's

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Speaker 1: overriding fourth and one calls, right zone calls, Jimbo taking

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Speaker 1: control of the wheel over Petrino is what's really caused

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Speaker 1: some of these numbers to happen. I project this game

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Speaker 1: in two. I bought Texas A and M at four

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Speaker 1: on open, I would buy them again at three. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to ignore the spot because I have so many

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Speaker 1: problems with Tennessee's offense. I mean, if you're not throwing

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Speaker 1: deep and you're trying to be this grounded down, that's

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Speaker 1: just not who you are volunteers and Texa AA that

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Speaker 1: plays right into what Texanan wants to do. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna be with the Aggies. Hopefully they rebound off the

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Speaker 1: Bama loss, and maybe Jimbo will just swallow all his papers.

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Speaker 1: Let Petrino call the full.

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Speaker 2: Game because of the spot. I mean, I'm not too

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Speaker 2: far off this line. I do like the matchup for

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Speaker 2: A and M. It really comes down to do they

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Speaker 2: come out here fired up? So because of that, I'm

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Speaker 2: going to I' probably gonna have any having a round

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Speaker 2: robin as a small dog, and I actually like the

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Speaker 2: under at over fifty five. Yeah, this Tennessee offense is

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Speaker 2: not the same as it's been and I still think

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Speaker 2: there you know, the market is pricing this Tennessee offense

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Speaker 2: is having some explosive passing attack, but it's not there.

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Speaker 2: The accuracy is in there for Milton, they want to

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Speaker 2: run the ball. A and M can defend the run,

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Speaker 2: and A and M's having trouble in the red zone

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Speaker 2: and they can't really run. I think there's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a lot of field goals in this game. Like I

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Speaker 2: think that both teams can we'll be able to have

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Speaker 2: some success moving the ball, but I think they're both

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Speaker 2: going to continue struggling to finish drives. So I think

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Speaker 2: that this the under has a bit of value. I'm

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Speaker 2: going to be on that small.

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Speaker 1: That Sex's A and M's whole season thirteenth in offensive

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Speaker 1: quality drives they get down the field, but when they

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Speaker 1: get into scoring position, they're vanilla.

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Speaker 2: All right, We're gonna head to the Pac twelve where

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Speaker 2: Washington will host Oregon. Washington is a three point favorite

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Speaker 2: here over under sixty seven and a half. Your call.

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Speaker 2: Last year a thriller was thirty seven thirty four. Washington

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Speaker 2: won in Eugene. Bonnicks got hurt in that game for

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Speaker 2: a stretch which really cost to Oregon, and Washington capitalized late.

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Speaker 2: It's Washington has a couple. The both teams are coming

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Speaker 2: off of a bye, so we'll see what tricks they

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Speaker 2: had up their sleeves and schematic changes. We'll wash he

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Speaker 2: did have some more injury concerns in Oregon. We will

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Speaker 2: see if as a turner, their safety's back McMillan. Their

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Speaker 2: wide receiver Adunze also got banged up the end of

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Speaker 2: last game, and then they're really good defensive tackle too.

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Speaker 2: Do I think they need He's worth monitoring as well.

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Speaker 2: We'll see if Washington get those guys back. You do

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Speaker 2: have Roadbow next here, which you always have to bring

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Speaker 2: up where historically he just hasn't been as great in

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Speaker 2: his career than when he's playing at home. When I

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Speaker 2: look at this game just from AFAR, I think the

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Speaker 2: line is pretty close to the right. I have these

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Speaker 2: teams pretty equal, and then you throw in home field advantage.

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Speaker 2: But when I still have questions, I have more questions

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Speaker 2: about the Washington defense then I do the Oregon defense.

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Speaker 2: And if you watch Oregon this year, they're getting a

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Speaker 2: pass rush which was lacking last year, and they just

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Speaker 2: have better overall personnel to run what Landing wants to run.

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Speaker 2: They're now more multiple, they they're running more complex in

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Speaker 2: his scheme. He has two weeks to prepare for this,

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Speaker 2: so you know, I don't think Washingt's gonna much sucess

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Speaker 2: running the ball. I think Oregon can throw off the timing.

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Speaker 2: This Washington offense is all about timing. I think they

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Speaker 2: can throw off the timing a bit. And what I

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Speaker 2: think this game ultimately comes down to, I think Oregon's

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Speaker 2: gonna win. Now, trusting Roadbo Knicks is tough, But what

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Speaker 2: I think this game comes down to is I do

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Speaker 2: think Oregon has an advantage in the trench when they're

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Speaker 2: on offense with their offensive line, I think they're gonna

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Speaker 2: be able to run the ball. And this game is

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Speaker 2: gonna the marchin is gonna be thin, but all of

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Speaker 2: the third and fourth in shorts, I think Oregon's gonna

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Speaker 2: get Washington's really struggle to stop those. And Oregon has

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Speaker 2: the advantage up front and they can rely on their

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Speaker 2: ground game to convert those, whereas Washington will have to

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Speaker 2: be more reliant on throwing the ball on those third

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Speaker 2: and fourth downs, and I think Oregon will force you

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Speaker 2: get some pressure, maybe force a couple key in completions. Additionally,

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Speaker 2: I think Oregon might have just a few more are

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Speaker 2: successful trips in the red zone as far as converting

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Speaker 2: those trips into sevens then Washington. Because Washington's gonna move,

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Speaker 2: they can move the ball and down the field. When

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Speaker 2: they have space to operate, they're very difficult to defend,

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Speaker 2: but when the field condenses, it becomes a little more difficult.

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Speaker 2: Whereas Oregon with their rushing attack, I think that they

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Speaker 2: can have a bit more success in getting those sevens

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Speaker 2: in the red zone. So I think that's what's gonna

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Speaker 2: be the difference. I don't think you're gonna find many

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Speaker 2: people that are like, I have this team way ahead

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Speaker 2: of this other team. So you know, these are two

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Speaker 2: pretty evenly matched teams from a power rating standpoint at

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Speaker 2: least from my perspective, And then you throw in home

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Speaker 2: field and that's what you're seeing here, Like this line

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Speaker 2: is two and a half. Then you have people that

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Speaker 2: wanted to buy Washington at home. Then you had three.

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Speaker 2: Someone said, look, you have some people out there that

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Speaker 2: said these teams are pretty even. Maybe you have Oregon

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Speaker 2: little head. I'll happily take the field goal, especially if

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Speaker 2: you like some matchup avetages. What do you see here

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Speaker 2: in Washington Oregon? A game that will have massive implications

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Speaker 2: for the Heisman Race, the Path twelve race, the National championship,

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Speaker 2: and college football playoffs as well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I echo everything that you said. These are two

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Speaker 1: different offenses and the way that they get down the field.

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Speaker 1: I mean they're number one and number two in quality drives.

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Speaker 1: You can't say anything about these two offense. You can't

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Speaker 1: say anything negative about these two offenses and how they operate.

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Speaker 1: But they are two different animals. Organ has been extremely

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Speaker 1: good running the ball and having rush explosives as to

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Speaker 1: where Washington, the big play usually comes all the way

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Speaker 1: through the air, and you know, no other offenses and

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Speaker 1: the entire nation has less penalties, less misfield goals, interceptions, fumbles,

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Speaker 1: every drive is fifty yards, every drive ins and some

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Speaker 1: sort of score. But the glaring weakness is the way.

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Speaker 2: Bon Nicks has like no turnover, really plays. But he's

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Speaker 2: also like just not making risky as risky of downfield

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Speaker 2: throws as last year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's what's crazy. I'll get to his

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Speaker 1: rushing stats, which kind of blow me away. But you know,

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Speaker 1: the glaring weakness here is the Washington rush defense, and

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Speaker 1: you have to ask yourself, is bon Nick's going to

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Speaker 1: get involved with that right now? Bucket Irving, Jordan James,

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Speaker 1: Noah Whittington, they're all averaging at least three point five

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Speaker 1: yards after contact. They've combined for twenty six explosive runs.

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Speaker 1: You know, Bucky Irving be the one that creates the

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Speaker 1: more mistackles. James, you know, really leads the team seven tds.

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Speaker 1: He's the bruiser. But where's Bonnicks. He's not running this year.

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Speaker 1: Is he being saved for this game or is he

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Speaker 1: just not needed to because they have a great stable

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Speaker 1: of running backs. Or maybe it's because he had a

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Speaker 1: high ankle spring last season that kept him out of

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Speaker 1: so many games late, and maybe Landing thought that would

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Speaker 1: have got him over the hump for the Pac twelve.

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Speaker 1: He's had seven rushing attempts on the season. That's in

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Speaker 1: comparison to sixty six last year. So I don't know

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Speaker 1: if they just unleash him here, especially with these really

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Speaker 1: poor Washington rush metrics. On defense, the one thing I

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Speaker 1: keep coming back and Washington, you know they're they're more

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Speaker 1: explosive top rank in the country and big play rate.

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Speaker 1: They lead the nation in ten, twenty and thirty yard passes,

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Speaker 1: so there's no doubt that they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: get down the field. But what do you do if

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Speaker 1: you're Dan Lanning? Do you decide to lean into your run,

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Speaker 1: shorten the game and keep the hand and keep the

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Speaker 1: ball out of the hands of Michael Pennix. I kind

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Speaker 1: of think that might be the answer here because the

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Speaker 1: running backs have been unbelievable. Washington hasn't been able to

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Speaker 1: stop that games against Arizona and cow I mean that

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Speaker 1: Calo game was a little bit hiden because I got

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Speaker 1: such a huge lead at the beginning. Ultimately, I have

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Speaker 1: money down now on Oregon team total over thirty two

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Speaker 1: and a half. I want to play Oregon plus three.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little bit nervous about the number of points

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Speaker 1: in this game, because if Dan Lanning decides we're gonna

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Speaker 1: take the ball, we're gonna play keep away. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: go time and possession, abuse this rush defense of Washington

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Speaker 1: and not let Pennix on the field. This is gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lower scoring game and Oregon's gonna control the trench.

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Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I have a better organ plus three,

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Speaker 1: but I know I'm heading there. I know I'm on

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Speaker 1: my way.

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Speaker 2: Because of the matchup advantages my intuition, along with A

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Speaker 2: and M, Oregon's gonna be in my round. Robin, I

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Speaker 2: actually like the under here. It's scary. But what you said,

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Speaker 2: I think Oregon is gonna be methodical, is going to

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Speaker 2: control the clock, especially with the new clock rules. The

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Speaker 2: West was thirty seven to thirty four, but new clock rules.

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Speaker 2: This year. Both defense is a little better than las year.

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Speaker 2: You gotta remember last year both defense were really bad.

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Speaker 2: So I think Washington Oregon's gonna control the clock here,

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Speaker 2: keep the ball out of Washington's hands, and then on

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Speaker 2: the other side when Washington is the ball, I think

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Speaker 2: Oregon's defense is significantly improved that I think Landing's gonna

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Speaker 2: have a good game plan here. They're gonna be a

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Speaker 2: to get some pressure and then the red zone. I

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Speaker 2: think they're gonna make some stops and force some field goals.

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Speaker 2: It just becomes much more difficult for Washington, which is,

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Speaker 2: you know, moves the ball with such ease with those

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Speaker 2: ten twenty thirty yard games, but you can't really do

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Speaker 2: that when the field shrinks so and then throwing some weather.

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Speaker 2: You know, there could be some weather in Seattle and Washington.

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Speaker 2: While they're a high power passing that, they're not fast,

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Speaker 2: They're they're slow as far as they're number of seconds.

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Speaker 2: It takes the wrung play.

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Speaker 1: So one team is superior on passing downs, defense by

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Speaker 1: far from a six fiss rate, and limiting explosives in

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Speaker 1: its Oregon.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, I think Oregon's gonna win this game.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be super close. The one thing that could

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Speaker 2: swing it in Washington's favor does Roadbownecks make a couple

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Speaker 2: key boneheaded turnovers.

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Speaker 1: I got a guy on Twitter that keeps telling me

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Speaker 1: that's all Auburn based, It's not a Oregon base. Quit

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Speaker 1: talking about it on the podcast. I'm gonna through some

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Speaker 1: deep dives on the bow Knicks pack twelve road games.

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Speaker 2: I mean, look, he arguably they should have lost that

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech, which people forget, which seems like two months ago.

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Speaker 2: All right, good stuff there. Oh by the way, here

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Speaker 2: here's a question for you. It's is hypothetical. It's hard

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Speaker 2: to project what the what the fuck is gonna happen

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Speaker 2: in this crazy awesome college football season. But in the past,

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Speaker 2: when you have dominant dominant SEC, right, like with two

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Speaker 2: or three elite teams when they played each other early

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Speaker 2: midway through the year, you would say, Okay, the loser

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Speaker 2: of this game is not eliminated from the College twelve playoffs,

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Speaker 2: right because you could go on to be a one

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Speaker 2: loss SEC champ and then you still are going to

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Speaker 2: get into the College wall plow.

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Speaker 1: I don't.

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Speaker 2: Look, there's there's human bias in who goes to the

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Speaker 2: college football playoff with the committe, and that's just the

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Speaker 2: way that it is. But I feel like, with how

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Speaker 2: deep the Pac twelve is this year, the loser of

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Speaker 2: this game shouldn't necessarily be eliminated from the college football

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Speaker 2: playoff picture. In the past PAC twelve, like, once you

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Speaker 2: lose a game, it's like all right, you're done. You

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Speaker 2: pretty much had to run the table and win the

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Speaker 2: PAC twelve. But I don't think the loser of this

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Speaker 2: game is eliminated. It might even be a chance to

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Speaker 2: buy one of them, depending on the futures price, because

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Speaker 2: then if they go on to win out, like say

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Speaker 2: Oregon wins, if Washington wins out, which you know, they

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Speaker 2: play USC and they knock them off, and then say

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Speaker 2: Washington beats Oregon on a neutral to win the PAC twelve,

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Speaker 2: could see them still getting in the Would you agree

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Speaker 2: with that?

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Speaker 1: Here's what's going through my head. Would you rather have

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Speaker 1: a national title future on Oregon or Washington as a

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Speaker 1: one loss or Ohio State undefeated right now? And my

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Speaker 1: answer is either of the PAC twelve teams or Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: So I agree with you. Yeah, I know, maybe it's

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Speaker 1: my hate for Ohios right now, but I think these

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Speaker 1: pactwelve teams are full of quality and can rumble with

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Speaker 1: some of the big boys in the NANCYC in the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. USC will head to South Bend to take on

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Speaker 2: Notre Dame. Notre Dame, I believe, is playing its fourth

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Speaker 2: straight primetime game and fourth straight game against a ranked

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Speaker 2: opponent for the I think the fourth straight prime times,

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Speaker 2: first time program history. Four straight ranked fourth time in

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Speaker 2: program history. This team has to be exhausted. That's the

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Speaker 2: number one question. Now you get to come home. You know.

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Speaker 2: By the way, if they beat Ohio State and then

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Speaker 2: they beat they steal that game against Duke, I think

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Speaker 2: they'd have a much They might have won that game

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Speaker 2: at Louisville. Right, they were exhausted. But if you're undefeated, right,

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Speaker 2: your kids, it's easier to get up for that. However,

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Speaker 2: I'll tell you why. Maybe that's not true, because last

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Speaker 2: week was a disaster for Notre Dame. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: every time you see Notre Dame now come out, Ohio

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Speaker 2: State looks worse. And every time you see Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: they look worse. Like I said, show lost in another Dame.

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Speaker 2: So Notre Dame last week goes to Louisville, obviously, just

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Speaker 2: at the end of a gauntlet of the schedule. Let's started

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Speaker 2: off in Ireland. For what it's worth, Notre Dame does

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Speaker 2: lead the country in points scored per game overseas, if

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Speaker 2: you're curious, they do. They lead the country of scoring

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Speaker 2: in Ireland. But last week they go to Louisville and

431
00:21:24,280 --> 00:21:26,520
Speaker 2: we talked about it. The spot was awful. Is it

432
00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 2: surprising that they lost none, but how it happened? Yes.

433
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 2: So what Elko did two weeks ago is he just said,

434
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 2: we're loading the box and we're going to force you

435
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,679
Speaker 2: to beat us with your receivers, and we're gonna take

436
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 2: away the run. Louisville did the same thing. Nine in

437
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 2: the box. We're not gonna let you run and your

438
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 2: receivers who are underwhelming and or hurt a flash throwing

439
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 2: the season against an underwhelming schedule haven't been great of late,

440
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:58,880
Speaker 2: and Gerard Parker has deteriorated. I don't know what's going

441
00:21:58,920 --> 00:22:02,520
Speaker 2: on to play calling. Most curious of all, they decided

442
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 2: we're gonna be like a an NBA team that subs

443
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 2: five in and five. We're gonna just sub our offensive

444
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:11,480
Speaker 2: lineman all game. We're gonna have an offensive line rotation

445
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 2: in the interior, and they were subbing in and out Goues,

446
00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 2: maybe because they were worried about the fatigue. The results

447
00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 2: were disastrous. I'm not a fan of that. Offensive line

448
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 2: is all about continuity right reading the d like what

449
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 2: the I don't know what they were doing the play

450
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 2: calling was also horrible. They didn't adjust at all to

451
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,879
Speaker 2: what Louisville was doing and what Duke did the week before,

452
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:37,040
Speaker 2: and it led to five turnovers and a loss. Meanwhile,

453
00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:40,400
Speaker 2: i USC show I lost Arizona go for two Jesus us,

454
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:42,720
Speaker 2: he's been playing with their food because their defense stinks.

455
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:45,960
Speaker 2: But if you look back to last year, USC's defense

456
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 2: also was horrible. But against Notre Dame they pretty much

457
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:52,000
Speaker 2: said we're gonna stop the run load of the box.

458
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 2: We're able to do so, and that's the handicap here.

459
00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:00,400
Speaker 2: Notre Dames defense has been good, right, and their secondary good.

460
00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,200
Speaker 2: They've been putting some compromise situations due to the offensive late,

461
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:07,959
Speaker 2: but you're not gonna completely slow down this USC attack.

462
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,480
Speaker 2: So I assume that USC is gonna come in here

463
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:13,840
Speaker 2: and they're gonna say we're gonna stop. Then we've seen

464
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 2: what althought. Who knows what this UFC defensive staff. They'll

465
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 2: probably sit drop eight and let Notre Dame run for

466
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,960
Speaker 2: three hundred. But if they have a brain, they'll just

467
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: gonna load the box. And no matter how bad they've

468
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 2: been playing, their run defensive stats are awful. You have

469
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 2: that many guys in the box you can stop anyone

470
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:32,240
Speaker 2: can stop. Most teams can stop the run Lesia exposed

471
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,119
Speaker 2: on the outside, but Notre Dame hasn't proved that they

472
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,200
Speaker 2: can do anything about that, and US is at least

473
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:41,639
Speaker 2: getting pressure getting into the backfield. So two questions I

474
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:44,920
Speaker 2: have for you before you share your thoughts. One, can

475
00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,200
Speaker 2: we expect Notre Dame and the weather might help Notre

476
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 2: Dame here if it is wendy and rainy? Can we

477
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 2: expect Notre Dame? Or should we expect Notre Dame to

478
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 2: be up for this game after this stretch like or

479
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:56,719
Speaker 2: are they just gonna be so fatigued? It is at

480
00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 2: home against USC, but are they gonna and they've been

481
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 2: wearing down in the second half of games. And then two,

482
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: can we expect USC like they did last year to

483
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 2: just take away this Notre Dame rushi attack, which, if

484
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: you do, seems to just completely hamper the Irish offense?

485
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 2: What do you see here? Notre Dame's three three point

486
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 2: favorite here for whiz work.

487
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,040
Speaker 1: Notre Dame loss thirty eight twenty seven last year out

488
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 1: in LA A little bit of a surprising outcome there,

489
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: But you know, you wonder if the revenge factor is

490
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 1: being talked about by Marcus Freeman in this spot, or

491
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 1: the fact that Sam Hartman, who you know might have

492
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,119
Speaker 1: hopes of winning the Heisman, is going up against the

493
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 1: raining Heismen winner, so there should be plenty of motivation.

494
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 1: Or plus you're off of a loss, so I would

495
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,760
Speaker 1: think Notre Dame has all the motivation here, and hopefully

496
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:44,880
Speaker 1: Freeman practices them light and tells them all to get

497
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 1: ten hours of sleep in bed enjoy being in that

498
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:51,159
Speaker 1: nice cold South Bend weather with some rain coming in,

499
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: which I think completely helps Notre Dame here, especially Audric estimate,

500
00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 1: you know, getting through the USC defensive front seven he

501
00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 1: averages four point four yards after contact. He's created a

502
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,400
Speaker 1: ton of mistackles, and right now USC is one hundred

503
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,040
Speaker 1: and eleventh and tackle grating. So are they going to

504
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,439
Speaker 1: load the box? Maybe because audrick estimate looks like they

505
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:12,840
Speaker 1: could could absolutely bulldoze this defense. And if not, then

506
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,680
Speaker 1: the expectation is that Sam Hartman is going to be

507
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,800
Speaker 1: able to throw all over the USC defense his Trojan's defense.

508
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 1: I don't know if I should go through all the stats.

509
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:21,160
Speaker 1: I mean, you gave up forty one Arizona forty one

510
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,639
Speaker 1: to Colorado, twenty eight to San Jose State twenty eight

511
00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 1: Arizona State. You know, Hartman has struggled this is with

512
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: cover one so far this year, but USC's pretty mediocre

513
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 1: and success rate with cover one and they only run

514
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:35,240
Speaker 1: at about sixteen percent of the time. So we're going

515
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,880
Speaker 1: to see if that back seven has enough, which they

516
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 1: haven't shown me anything. And passing downs are ninety ninth

517
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 1: and the success rate they're one hundred and sixth and

518
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,919
Speaker 1: limiting explosives in passing down. So I think even if

519
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 1: Hartman gets behind the chains and off schedule, he's going

520
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 1: to be able to connect on a lot of passes

521
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,000
Speaker 1: he's got. I think great House and some of the

522
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:55,040
Speaker 1: other wide receivers are healthier this week. Hopefully they go

523
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,880
Speaker 1: back to just a rotation of five on the offensive line.

524
00:25:58,040 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: I think on the other side of the ball, like

525
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 1: you know with Caleb Williams, is it gonna be able

526
00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,199
Speaker 1: to escape the pass rush And I think you're going

527
00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 1: to see a lot of Caleb Williams doing that little

528
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 1: spin move outside the tackle box once he gets pressure.

529
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 1: Because Notre Dame is fifteenth and pass rush they're ninth

530
00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 1: in pressure is created in all of all FBS teams

531
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 1: and right now Notre Dame is swatting everything out of

532
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 1: the air. They have six im t's and they have

533
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: twenty five PBUs so you know they are very aggressively.

534
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 2: Two really good corners, which helps in this game.

535
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 1: Two good corners, so you got to watch over the

536
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,680
Speaker 1: middle where Caleb is probably gonna look or comebacks. And

537
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 1: you know Notre Dame lives in cover one about forty

538
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: one percent of the time. Twenty percent of the time

539
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 1: they're in cover three. So if you go into Caleb's

540
00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: metrics over the past two years, he's got a sub

541
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 1: success rate against cover one and cover three. He thrives

542
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 1: against quarters, which absolutely makes sense for how much he

543
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 1: gets outside the tackle box and what he sees down

544
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 1: the field. Notre Dame runs quarters like less than ten

545
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,640
Speaker 1: percent of the time. They are over sixty percent cover

546
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 1: one cover three, where Caleb has some problems. I mean,

547
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 1: he has a high EPA. It doesn't matter what the

548
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,120
Speaker 1: coverage is. Caleb can throw high explosives, but he is

549
00:26:59,200 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 1: not moving the chain and being as successful against cover

550
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,159
Speaker 1: one and cover three. And for that reason, I like

551
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:07,040
Speaker 1: Notre Dame because of the ground game. I like Notre

552
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 1: Dame because of the weather. I like Notre Dame because

553
00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 1: of the coverage they show on defense. What's keeping me

554
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: from making this a monster bet is the fact that

555
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 1: I do power rate this at Notre Dame minus two

556
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 1: and a half, so you know, it's not like there's

557
00:27:17,720 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 1: a huge discrepancy. But I really like the Irish in

558
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 1: this game. I think they bounce back clean.

559
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 2: The receivers are going to have to make some plays.

560
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 2: And I was reading on a message board. It was

561
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 2: an article in the comments section and Stucky was getting roasted.

562
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,399
Speaker 2: I felt like it was my Twitter timeline after a

563
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 2: college football or basketball Saturday. People just saying Stuck, he's

564
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 2: a fraud, Stuck, he's got to go. Stucky doesn't know

565
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:47,679
Speaker 2: what he's doing. But when they're obviously referring to Chancey Stucky,

566
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 2: the wide receivers coach for Notre Dame. But I was

567
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,160
Speaker 2: reading and it just kept saying Stuck, He's a fraud

568
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,640
Speaker 2: who Stucky's got to go, but should be an interesting

569
00:27:55,720 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 2: one in South Bend.

570
00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,280
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571
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,679
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572
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573
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574
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579
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582
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583
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584
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586
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Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to a little rapid fire.

587
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 2: Let's hit. We're gonna hit on eight.

588
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 1: Games rapid fire.

589
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:59,160
Speaker 2: Let's start in the ACC Syracuse off of two straight losses,

590
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 2: too straight blowout losses to Clemson and North Carolina. They

591
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 2: sitting out four and two on the season. They had

592
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 2: to Florida State, who is now five and zero on

593
00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 2: the season. They have host Duke next. Johnny Wilson is questionable,

594
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 2: their star receiver who left last week's game with an injury.

595
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 2: Could Syracuse bounce back here? Is this a by low

596
00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 2: spot on the Orange who just haven't fared well when

597
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 2: they've stepped up in class so far this season? They're

598
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 2: catching seventeen and a half in Tallahassee noon Eastern on ABC.

599
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 2: See anything here?

600
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I took eighteen on Open with Syracuse because I

601
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: made the number twelve. I'm sorry thirteen. I made a

602
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:47,240
Speaker 1: Florida State minus thirteen. I took it because Garrett Schrader

603
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: is going to be healthy. And I just thought that

604
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 1: this was a complete overreaction to what happened to Syracuse

605
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: the previous week. And now I'm starting to wonder after

606
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: some comments from Dino Baber's made on Monday, I think

607
00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,160
Speaker 1: I might have made the wrong decision here, Becau is

608
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: all you can talk about is we have no depth.

609
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:03,480
Speaker 1: We have no depth.

610
00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 2: This happened to Syracuse every year every Yep.

611
00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:07,880
Speaker 1: I've got it right here, ready to go. I mean

612
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,640
Speaker 1: the Orange got crushed last two weeks, seventy one to

613
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 1: twenty one. You know, I mean, when you look at

614
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: what you inc did nine explosive passes, only ten other

615
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,920
Speaker 1: forty five run attempts were stuffed. When I started deep

616
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 1: diving this on Monday, Syracuse didn't have a single explosive

617
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 1: ver methodical drive against you and C. You go the

618
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 1: week before then have a single explosive ver methodical drive

619
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 1: against Clemson, and the defense just completely fell off the

620
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: table against you and C. When you go into the

621
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 1: history of Syracuse, they are what we call what a

622
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,600
Speaker 1: walking corpse, huge history of breaking down here. Dino started

623
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:43,640
Speaker 1: six and zero last year, lost five straight in twenty

624
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: twenty one, they lost six of their final eight games.

625
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 1: In twenty twenty they lost their final eight games. I mean,

626
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 1: there's this monster history of second half just complete absolute

627
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 1: failure going on by Syracuse. So you know I made

628
00:30:56,680 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 1: the bet FSU struggles to stop explosive runs. That all

629
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,560
Speaker 1: comes down to Garrett Trader. He has more explosive runs

630
00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:06,520
Speaker 1: than laquin Allen made. He's created ten more mistackles, he

631
00:31:06,560 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 1: averages more than four yards after contact. Trader in this

632
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:11,719
Speaker 1: game last year did not do very well. He had

633
00:31:11,720 --> 00:31:15,200
Speaker 1: a fumble in this game six of seventeen passing I

634
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 1: have been living for the last four days after making

635
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 1: this opening bet, thinking I probably made a mistake here.

636
00:31:20,200 --> 00:31:22,719
Speaker 1: I think I need to cover it up because Syracuse

637
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,640
Speaker 1: is a sinking ship once this thing gets October.

638
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 2: Miami at North Carolina staying in the ACC. This is

639
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:34,959
Speaker 2: all about to me. There's two questions here, one that

640
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,040
Speaker 2: I think we'll get the answer to early on in

641
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 2: the game. One, how real is the North Carolina defensive improvement?

642
00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 2: You know, just if you look, first of all, it

643
00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:48,560
Speaker 2: was hard not to improve from last year they were

644
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:53,600
Speaker 2: so bad, and they just helped Syracuse to seven pick

645
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,160
Speaker 2: got the twenty four on them. Minnesota, who can't score

646
00:31:56,160 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 2: on anybody who cares. South Carolina. You know they've played

647
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 2: well out of pass rush in that game, but at State,

648
00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,400
Speaker 2: you know, put up thirty four and five hundred yards

649
00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:09,160
Speaker 2: of offense. So I think that some of the numbers

650
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 2: might be a bit phony. Drake May obviously one of

651
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 2: the best quarterbacks in the country who also got tes

652
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: Walker back at receiver last week, So we'll see how

653
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 2: real you I don't think anything anyone's saying that this

654
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 2: UNC defense is really good, but they're definitely improved. How

655
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:29,920
Speaker 2: much still on shore? There the other question, well I've answered,

656
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 2: is how will Miami bounce back? They obviously they lost

657
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 2: one of the most heartbreaking games that I can ever remember,

658
00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 2: the games in the back all you got to do

659
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 2: is taking me and you don't and then you give

660
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 2: up a big pass at a bomb and lose at

661
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 2: the bell in the game that you were basically on

662
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 2: the sidelines being like, all right, we're on to Carolina.

663
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 2: Run defeated, just emotionally, and then you know you have

664
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 2: all these kids crying after. How does Mario Crystal Ball

665
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 2: keep the locker room intact, keep them focused and have

666
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 2: them show up for this road game. That's makes this

667
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 2: tough for me. I'll probably have Miami in a round

668
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 2: robin because if they do show up, I think this

669
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 2: number has some value on Miami, which has look good.

670
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 2: I just think they they'll be able to run the

671
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 2: ball here to set up the pass. Van Dyke had

672
00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 2: some bad throws last week, but he still had a

673
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:16,240
Speaker 2: pretty good year overall and has looked a lot better

674
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 2: in this offense. And I think the Miami defense has

675
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 2: more talent, So I'll probably throw them in around robin

676
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:22,760
Speaker 2: because there's also a chance that if they just don't

677
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 2: show up and they're flat. They could get run out

678
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 2: here and then their season just goes into a tailspin.

679
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 2: And for what it's worth, when we lost money on

680
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,960
Speaker 2: that game against Stanford when he did the same exact

681
00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:37,040
Speaker 2: fucking thing and they fumbled when they just could have

682
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 2: taken a knee. What happened to that Oregon team the

683
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:42,680
Speaker 2: next week they beat a ranked cal team, So they

684
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 2: did bounce Christball was able to right the ship, which

685
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 2: you know, sample size of one, but uh, that's all

686
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 2: we have to go off of. So yeah, I have

687
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 2: a lot of questions about Miami's you know, just psychological state,

688
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 2: and still try to figure out I'm much improved this

689
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 2: UNC defense is it's improved. I don't think it's drastically improved.

690
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,560
Speaker 2: But I think this number has gotten a little bit

691
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,439
Speaker 2: too high because of what happened to Miami last week.

692
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:13,279
Speaker 2: Maybe that's fair, But I think Miami's a good round

693
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:17,359
Speaker 2: robin candidate because they do show up. I think there's

694
00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:19,799
Speaker 2: some value in this money line. What do you see

695
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 2: here with UNC and Miami?

696
00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:22,920
Speaker 1: Oh, I completely agree. Like I went down the same

697
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 1: path as you like that Oregon when that happened in

698
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 1: twenty eighteen. I went to see what happened afterwards. They

699
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:31,080
Speaker 1: beat cal forty two to twenty four. The point spread

700
00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: was three and a half in that game.

701
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 2: So they eat Cows ranked twenty fourth, yeah at the time.

702
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:37,440
Speaker 1: Yeah. And then they followed up the next week by

703
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:40,760
Speaker 1: beating Washington. So Chrystal Ball did not lose the locker

704
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,759
Speaker 1: room in Oregon when that happened. And that was my

705
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:44,360
Speaker 1: big worry was, like, are you going to lose the

706
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 1: Miami locker room now? Considering the Boosters, the ad they

707
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 1: all shelled out a blank check to Crystal Ball to

708
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: get him to come from Oregon. I don't think it

709
00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:56,319
Speaker 1: affects his job safety. Why. I don't know if Chris

710
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:59,160
Speaker 1: Walgan do anything to affect his job safety, considering how

711
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: in love everybody down there with him. He did come

712
00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:03,440
Speaker 1: out and his presser and he said I should have

713
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 1: taken a knee. I mean he said that flat out.

714
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 1: That's got to be hard for a guy like him

715
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 1: to say that. So, you know, you take ownership of it,

716
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: you move on, and generally that's how these things get,

717
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: you know, put behind you. To me, I want the

718
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:16,400
Speaker 1: under in this game. There's a lot of reasons I

719
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 1: want the end of this game, U and See has

720
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:19,959
Speaker 1: been really poor and defending the rush. They did limit

721
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:23,200
Speaker 1: Trader and Allen of Syracuse last week, but you know

722
00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:25,879
Speaker 1: they allowed Pit five point eight per Carree, Minnesota five

723
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,839
Speaker 1: point seven. You mentioned those teams. UNC has been top

724
00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 1: ten limiting pass explosives or twenty fourth in coverage, so

725
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:33,879
Speaker 1: that makes me think there may be some troubles here

726
00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,680
Speaker 1: for Tyler van Dyke when I look at the coverage,

727
00:35:36,760 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 1: you know, especially cover one where Tyler van Dyke has

728
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 1: moderate success rate and average EPA. That's what he's going

729
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 1: to see a lot. When you switch over to Drake

730
00:35:43,840 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 1: May on offense for North Carolina, will he torch on

731
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,319
Speaker 1: Miami coverage unit the ranks forty eighth and then their

732
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:52,359
Speaker 1: eightieth and passing downs EPA allowed, So you would think

733
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:54,319
Speaker 1: there's an avenue here for May to get some work

734
00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 1: in to go deep in passing downs. But Miami's going

735
00:35:57,080 --> 00:35:59,840
Speaker 1: to go quarters and cover one, and May has struggled

736
00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: with quarters coverage all his last two years. He has

737
00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 1: a negative EPA, no explosive passes, and a forty four

738
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 1: percent success rate, which is about six percent less than

739
00:36:08,320 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 1: national average. So if with quarters coverage, it limits what

740
00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 1: Drake make can do down the field, or at least

741
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:15,759
Speaker 1: his history of that. So I'm taking the under here.

742
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:18,000
Speaker 1: I want the steam on the total to get down

743
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:19,959
Speaker 1: to fifty nine. To fifty nine is a huge key.

744
00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 1: But there's not going to be any rush explosives for

745
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 1: the Hurricanes on offense through the ground or you know,

746
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 1: in the air either, and then may struggles with quarters coverage.

747
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 1: So for me, this is under you all the way.

748
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 2: Moved on to the PAC twelve. One of the other

749
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 2: big games this week UCLA Oregon State. We'll see if

750
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 2: Dante Moore on the road didn't go too well at UCLA.

751
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:47,280
Speaker 2: Dju had his best game throwing the ball last week.

752
00:36:47,760 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 2: UCLA's defensive front which has been dominating games against that

753
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:55,479
Speaker 2: Oregon State offensive line. That's a great matchup in this game.

754
00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 2: What do you see here?

755
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:58,920
Speaker 1: I think the over in this game. That's kind of

756
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: interesting saying Dan know he considering Danton Lynn has been

757
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,800
Speaker 1: a fantastic addition as the DC from the Raven staff.

758
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:08,400
Speaker 1: He does a four two five, four to three. He

759
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: mixes in one of the heavy splits numbers in college

760
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:13,400
Speaker 1: football and layo two. Latu has twenty eight pressures in

761
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:17,359
Speaker 1: eighteen hurries. Safety Jalen Davies has four pvus, so the

762
00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 1: defense is doing their part. But you know, all of

763
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:23,120
Speaker 1: a sudden, DJU is. We knew he was going to

764
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,759
Speaker 1: be successful and explosive on offense running the ball with

765
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 1: Damian Martinez and Deshaun Fenwick. But where did these pass

766
00:37:29,560 --> 00:37:32,440
Speaker 1: explosives come from? So we're going to see if DJU

767
00:37:32,480 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 1: can replicate that. He destroys Cover three. USA runs half

768
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:38,319
Speaker 1: and half cover one Cover three, so we'll see if

769
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:42,279
Speaker 1: DJU has the explosives again against the UCLA secondary. I

770
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: suspect they're probably not going to run Cover three, but

771
00:37:46,320 --> 00:37:49,560
Speaker 1: opponents are creating explosives on the ground against Oregon State

772
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 1: at a massive rate. Beavers are outside the top one

773
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:56,120
Speaker 1: hundred and tackling defensive rushing success rate. They allowed nineteen

774
00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:58,400
Speaker 1: first downs a game. So you can be methodical and

775
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 1: you can be explosive against this organ State defense. I

776
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:04,840
Speaker 1: project sixty three. I like the over DJU. If he

777
00:38:04,880 --> 00:38:06,920
Speaker 1: gets to see Cover three, he'll have some success in

778
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:10,440
Speaker 1: the air. And Dante Moore, I mean, I get it.

779
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:13,920
Speaker 1: Everybody's focused on the I iNTS and the pick sixes,

780
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 1: and he looks like a completely green freshman in those

781
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:19,799
Speaker 1: but if you go into the advanced numbers, he's got

782
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,960
Speaker 1: fifteen big time throws and only six turnover worthy plays.

783
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:24,759
Speaker 1: It just so happens to be the mistakes he made

784
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 1: or like leading off Sports Center and everybody's getting their

785
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 1: eyeballs on that. He's actually been pretty good. So I'm,

786
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,200
Speaker 1: you know, believing that UCLA is going to have a

787
00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:35,560
Speaker 1: lot of explosives here they can keep away. And that

788
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 1: Washington State score was phony. UCLA should have won the yeah, absolutely,

789
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,560
Speaker 1: So I like UCLA in this game, and I love

790
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:44,919
Speaker 1: the over.

791
00:38:45,760 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was impressible. The question I had to go

792
00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 2: into that game was the UCLA pass defense. I really

793
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 2: haven't played a passing offense with the posts, and they

794
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 2: completely shut down cam Ward who was completely lost. So

795
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 2: that was a nice feed in the cap for the Uclad,

796
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 2: which we knew their front and their run d has

797
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 2: been really good. And that's that's salid. That's where everything

798
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 2: starts for Oregon State. Moving on to the SEC. This

799
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:14,480
Speaker 2: is the Disappointment Bowl in my backyard in Lexington, Kentucky.

800
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 2: Kentucky two two and a half point favorite over under

801
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 2: fifty and a half will host Missouri. Both teams went

802
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:24,480
Speaker 2: into last weekend undefeated on the season. Missouri took on

803
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 2: LSU in a home hype spot, Kentucky traveled down to

804
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:30,320
Speaker 2: Athens to take on the number one team in the country,

805
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:36,480
Speaker 2: and both now entered this weekend no longer undefeated. Part

806
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 2: of this, I think comes down to who's gonna bounce

807
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,839
Speaker 2: back mentally, and I just I also just don't love

808
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,080
Speaker 2: this matchup for Kentucky because you can't really run on Missouri.

809
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 2: You got attack down field, and Leary is too inconsistent

810
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,399
Speaker 2: early on. You saw it against Georgia, missed the wide

811
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 2: up and touchdown. You just can't do that in these

812
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 2: games against good teams. You can get away with it

813
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:58,120
Speaker 2: early in the season, but that's what we're wearing me here,

814
00:39:58,160 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 2: because you can't just line up and rely on Ray

815
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,800
Speaker 2: Davis in this game. And Kentucky's secretary has some holes

816
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:07,279
Speaker 2: that Brady Cook and Burden can potentially exploit. What do

817
00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:07,799
Speaker 2: you see here?

818
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 1: Exactly exactly what you just said. I mean, Kentucky is

819
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,960
Speaker 1: still number one in rush explosives despite not recording a

820
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:15,680
Speaker 1: single twelve yard gain on Georgia. Was a little bit

821
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:18,799
Speaker 1: shocked by that. And this should be a complete ground game.

822
00:40:18,840 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 1: It looks like in your backyard you're gonna get about

823
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 1: a forty percent chance of pre SIP. I see at

824
00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:25,440
Speaker 1: least ten mile an hour sustained wins and gusts up

825
00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 1: to twenty. But if you look at Commonwealth Stadium, it

826
00:40:27,840 --> 00:40:31,040
Speaker 1: goes at Kroger Field, it goes across, not really from

827
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:33,600
Speaker 1: end zone to end zone, so that should affect some

828
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 1: kicking if you're into the total here. But I just

829
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 1: think this is a Missouri play all the way. Brady Cook,

830
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 1: despite what happened at the end of that game and

831
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,239
Speaker 1: lsu covering, Brady Cook had four big time throws and

832
00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:47,080
Speaker 1: three turnover worthy plays. It's just everybody remembers that last

833
00:40:47,920 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 1: crushing to the spread pick six that happened. But there

834
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:54,480
Speaker 1: are advantages from Missouri here and there passing attack from

835
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:57,880
Speaker 1: a success rate. From an EPA perspective, Cook has just

836
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:01,280
Speaker 1: destroyed quarters of Cover three. The numbers come down against

837
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: Cover one, and Kentucky plays sixty percent in quarters and

838
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:06,640
Speaker 1: Cover three, so they never play in Cover one. So

839
00:41:06,680 --> 00:41:08,720
Speaker 1: that means that Brady Cook is going to see coverage

840
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:12,160
Speaker 1: that he likes to get downfield on. And when you

841
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:16,400
Speaker 1: talk about Kentucky being all rush explosives Ray Davis fifteen

842
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:18,920
Speaker 1: to fifty nine against Georgia and then they had to

843
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,480
Speaker 1: rely on Devin Larry ten to twenty six two tds

844
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:25,400
Speaker 1: in this game. You're right, Missouri, the defense excels on

845
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 1: stopping the run seventh and stuff right twelfth and rushing

846
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 1: success rate. They limited Jayden Daniels like, I mean, that's

847
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 1: not easy to do. So, you know, so I'm going

848
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,640
Speaker 1: to take Missouri here in a bounce back spot. They're

849
00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:40,200
Speaker 1: going to contain Kentucky's explosive running and I think you know,

850
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:41,800
Speaker 1: Cook is going to be able to cook because of

851
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 1: the coverage that he's going to see. It's what he

852
00:41:43,360 --> 00:41:44,080
Speaker 1: favors the most.

853
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:49,279
Speaker 2: Staying in the SEC. Auburn at LSU LSU and Dan

854
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 2: to an eleven and a half point favorite at home

855
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:58,000
Speaker 2: over Under sitting at sixty. Auburn comes off of a

856
00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:03,239
Speaker 2: by here after giving Georgia a fight two saturdays ago.

857
00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:07,320
Speaker 2: LS You meanwhile, comes off of that game against Missouri.

858
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 2: I sort of from a spot perspective, like LSU, what

859
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:13,400
Speaker 2: do they have left in the tank? There could be

860
00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 2: some fatigue here against an Auburn team coming off the bye.

861
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 2: You know, they had that game against Arkansas finishes thirty

862
00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 2: four to thirty one. The next week they played Mississippi

863
00:42:22,320 --> 00:42:25,120
Speaker 2: and again it's fifty five forty nine. Last week it's

864
00:42:25,160 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 2: forty two to thirty nine in the final minute. Like

865
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,399
Speaker 2: these are just back and forth games. They go right

866
00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:33,080
Speaker 2: down to the final seconds. Three weeks in a row.

867
00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:37,239
Speaker 2: And now you're playing another SEC opponent, and this time

868
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:40,319
Speaker 2: one that's coming off the by So from a spot perspective,

869
00:42:40,600 --> 00:42:42,440
Speaker 2: this favors Auburn.

870
00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:44,880
Speaker 1: There's no difference between this and what Notre Dame went

871
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:45,959
Speaker 1: into Louisville last week.

872
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 2: Yep. So the question is can Auburn's offense, which is

873
00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:55,319
Speaker 2: extremely limited through the air, we'll see it freeze. I'm

874
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 2: sure there'll be some improvement, some new wrinkles after the bye.

875
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 2: These an amazing schemer. It's two weeks to prepare for

876
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:06,560
Speaker 2: this game. Can Auburn's offense do what every other offense

877
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 2: does against LSU, even though they're pretty one dimensional and

878
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:14,680
Speaker 2: score it will because if they do, then, especially with

879
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,920
Speaker 2: the spot, then obviously fading this LSU team is a

880
00:43:17,960 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 2: double ditch favorite books enticing what do you see here?

881
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is a huge spot. I think

882
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,759
Speaker 1: I'm going to bet Auburn here as we're podcasting about it.

883
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 1: It's a game that I make at ten. You have

884
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 1: to wonder how many games in a row ls you

885
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 1: could just show, well, their defense hasn't showed up at all.

886
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:32,799
Speaker 1: This is a seventh game in a row. The LSU offense,

887
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:33,600
Speaker 1: the defense.

888
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:35,320
Speaker 2: Should be rested. They haven't even done anything.

889
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: I think the first question is because I mean, I've

890
00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:40,279
Speaker 1: actually had a lot of techs and dms about this.

891
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: Is the overtraining going to continue? LSU has been over

892
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:46,000
Speaker 1: every single week, and I wonder if this is fine

893
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: because I make it sixty, which is about where we're

894
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,920
Speaker 1: at in the market. But Aubury's primary attack is the

895
00:43:51,000 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 1: rush with Jarkos Hunter and Brian Batt.

896
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:55,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is an under team versus over team. Something's

897
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:55,600
Speaker 2: got to give.

898
00:43:55,680 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, some's got to give. And if you think that

899
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,359
Speaker 1: Auburn's going to cover, then you're gonna take an under here.

900
00:43:59,400 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 1: But man is I had a scary proposition, So I'm

901
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,640
Speaker 1: gonna veer off and just say I'm gonna take Auburn here.

902
00:44:04,120 --> 00:44:05,320
Speaker 1: Ls u's one hundred times.

903
00:44:05,200 --> 00:44:09,560
Speaker 2: High correlation in both like, yeah, Auburn can't probably can't

904
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:11,480
Speaker 2: cover win this game if it's if LSU is in

905
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:12,360
Speaker 2: the forties.

906
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, one thing that you're looking at with Auburn, like

907
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,160
Speaker 1: another reason why you'd like the under is that there's

908
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,640
Speaker 1: no explosives. There's seventy sixth in rush EPA, theyre one

909
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:21,840
Speaker 1: hundred and seventeenth in pass EPA. It doesn't matter if

910
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 1: it's Peyton Thorn or Robbie Ashford. They're just not getting

911
00:44:24,719 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 1: huge plays in there. And you have to ask if

912
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,000
Speaker 1: Jaden Daniel is going to overcome a great Auburn secondary.

913
00:44:30,000 --> 00:44:31,960
Speaker 1: I talked about that with Georgia a couple of weeks ago.

914
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:33,600
Speaker 1: It was a big factor into why we wanted to

915
00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,680
Speaker 1: be on the Auburn side. And you know, Jayden Daniels

916
00:44:36,719 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 1: destroys quarters cover one and cover three. Auburn lives in

917
00:44:39,760 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 1: quarters and cover three. So we're gonna see if those

918
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: great corners that Auburn has, if they're gonna be able

919
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:46,960
Speaker 1: to live up here and keep Jayden Daniels when he

920
00:44:46,960 --> 00:44:49,680
Speaker 1: goes into passing downs, because Auburn should be able to

921
00:44:49,680 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 1: throw a little bit of a wrench in that zone

922
00:44:51,360 --> 00:44:55,839
Speaker 1: red rushing, that that run type that LSUS likes to do.

923
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:00,319
Speaker 1: So I do like Auburn here. I lean Auburn base on.

924
00:45:00,800 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 1: You know what LSUSD has done, which is absolutely nothing.

925
00:45:03,760 --> 00:45:06,560
Speaker 1: Their quality drives and finishing drives rank is one hundred

926
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 1: and twenty fourth in the nation, bottom ten in allowing

927
00:45:10,560 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 1: teams getting down the field and putting points up on

928
00:45:12,640 --> 00:45:15,520
Speaker 1: the board. So I think this is a great spot.

929
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 1: Freeze has multiple options about what he wants to do

930
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,360
Speaker 1: at quarterback. Jarquez Hunter is going to be able to

931
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 1: tear through the middle of the LSU defense. Give me

932
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:23,440
Speaker 1: Auburn all right.

933
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:27,560
Speaker 2: Let's move to the Mountain West where air Force will

934
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 2: host Wyoming. Ten and a half point favorites over under

935
00:45:30,200 --> 00:45:35,279
Speaker 2: down to forty two. Both these teams are undefeated in

936
00:45:35,360 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 2: the Mountain West. I don't know how Wyoming does it.

937
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 2: They just keep winning this but this is no longer

938
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:43,440
Speaker 2: in Laradise. I mean what, they beat Fresno last week.

939
00:45:43,719 --> 00:45:47,840
Speaker 2: They upset Texas Tech earlier in the season. They've scored

940
00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:51,000
Speaker 2: not including overtime, they scored ten total points in the

941
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:52,640
Speaker 2: second half of those games. They didn't score in the

942
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:54,640
Speaker 2: second half. Last week, it's Fresno and they won. So

943
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:56,760
Speaker 2: you know what this all comes down to. Air Force

944
00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:00,560
Speaker 2: they're only averaging nine possessions per game with the new

945
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:02,719
Speaker 2: clock rules, and they're the most rush heavy team in

946
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 2: the country, but they're scoring touchdowns like every drive. You're

947
00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:08,719
Speaker 2: the most efficient passing team in the country. They've only

948
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:10,960
Speaker 2: thrown a nineteen times. I think they've completed fifteen. Can

949
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:16,960
Speaker 2: Wyoming slow down this Air Force triple option attack? And

950
00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:19,319
Speaker 2: if so, the ten and a half looks a little

951
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 2: bit ticing in a game with a total of forty two.

952
00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:24,359
Speaker 2: What do you see here?

953
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:25,920
Speaker 1: Well, I thought you might roam me off the podcast

954
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,040
Speaker 1: for saying this, but you already mentioned it, so I

955
00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 1: maybe I have free rein to do this. I like

956
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:33,680
Speaker 1: the over in this game, as all the total is

957
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,440
Speaker 1: steaming down. Forty one is a huge key there is

958
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,360
Speaker 1: the one of the sharpest shops on the block is

959
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 1: down at forty one. If I see a forty and

960
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 1: a half, hey, I'll sit This thing wants to keep

961
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:45,839
Speaker 1: coming down. But you mentioned it. Airs Air Force has

962
00:46:45,880 --> 00:46:49,919
Speaker 1: scored seventeen tds and eighteen red zone trips. I mean,

963
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,359
Speaker 1: come on, and the total is going to be this low,

964
00:46:52,760 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 1: So I mean, I'm willing to wait to see if

965
00:46:54,440 --> 00:46:56,560
Speaker 1: it comes down. But you know, I mean there are

966
00:46:56,560 --> 00:46:58,479
Speaker 1: other things in here. I mean Wyoming runs on sixty

967
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,160
Speaker 1: percent of the snaps with Harris and Wayley four yards

968
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:04,200
Speaker 1: after contact, twelve runs of ten plus yards. He's an

969
00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,480
Speaker 1: explosive back. I mean, I didn't know if Wyoming what

970
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:08,239
Speaker 1: kind of offense they're gonna have with Peasley, or if

971
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,200
Speaker 1: they would have any kind of run game at the

972
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 1: beginning of the season when I took a future thirteen

973
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:15,399
Speaker 1: to one on the Mountain West. Obviously, I need this game,

974
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:17,960
Speaker 1: specifically a game where they beat air Force last year

975
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 1: by three. I know that was at home, so I

976
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:21,920
Speaker 1: need some of that magic to happen here. But I'm

977
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:24,040
Speaker 1: just not a believer in air Force and who they've

978
00:47:24,040 --> 00:47:26,160
Speaker 1: gone up against. Look at their defensive rushing success rate

979
00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,359
Speaker 1: numbers have come on a strength of schedule of one

980
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty three. Who is air Force gone up

981
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 1: against garbage? So can Wyoming stop the triple? Not sure

982
00:47:34,320 --> 00:47:36,279
Speaker 1: about that. I mean they're eighty ninth and stuff right,

983
00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,080
Speaker 1: and you know ninety six in the line yard. So

984
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:41,160
Speaker 1: but they do have a strength of schedule thirty. They

985
00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:43,400
Speaker 1: have played a much tougher schedule, So I do like

986
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 1: Wyoming in this game. But I'm gonna veer off. I'm

987
00:47:45,120 --> 00:47:47,440
Speaker 1: gonna take it over as this thing steams down. I

988
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:50,400
Speaker 1: cannot get over how air Force is just a machine

989
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 1: in the red zone, scoring touchdowns and not ever settling

990
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:54,200
Speaker 1: for field goals.

991
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 2: By the way, something to watch is Harrison Waley's Omaster.

992
00:47:59,000 --> 00:48:02,520
Speaker 2: He's averaging of a seven yard per carry. He is questionable,

993
00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:04,400
Speaker 2: he's day to day. He got hurt with like a

994
00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:07,640
Speaker 2: minute ago. Bowle says he's hopeful. So that's something to

995
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:10,799
Speaker 2: watch for Wyoming with their Starbuck who's averaging over seven

996
00:48:10,880 --> 00:48:13,719
Speaker 2: yards per rush. By the way, you don't I don't

997
00:48:13,719 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 2: even see this on the script of the list of games.

998
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,400
Speaker 2: Maybe you're trying to get out of it. You like

999
00:48:18,480 --> 00:48:22,400
Speaker 2: an air Force over San Diego State Hawaii fifty three and.

1000
00:48:22,400 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 1: A half as techovers, oh, we're going over.

1001
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 2: Well, listen, that's sounded a hesitation.

1002
00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 1: No, I mean, I mean, look, both these teams are

1003
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,200
Speaker 1: off of a bye. It's the same spot as last season.

1004
00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,360
Speaker 1: Hawaii's off a bye. They lost sixteen to fourteen a

1005
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:38,759
Speaker 1: snap dragon. San Diego State lost. They've lost four straight now.

1006
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:42,480
Speaker 1: Jalen Maiden's got more ten plus yard runs than anybody

1007
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 1: else on the roster all of the running backs combined,

1008
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:49,239
Speaker 1: and Hawaii's d is ninety seventh and rushing EPA and

1009
00:48:49,320 --> 00:48:51,560
Speaker 1: in success rate they're one hundred and thirteenth and allowing

1010
00:48:51,600 --> 00:48:53,920
Speaker 1: the big play, and you know what they do on offense,

1011
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:57,280
Speaker 1: they've been terrible since we got all those bombs against Vanderbilt.

1012
00:48:57,600 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 1: They passed on six Jimmy Chang's got him passing on

1013
00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:02,360
Speaker 1: sixty five five percent of snaps. And Shager, you know,

1014
00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:04,120
Speaker 1: he's still has some pretty good td I in t

1015
00:49:04,440 --> 00:49:07,359
Speaker 1: big time throw turnover worthy play ratios, but he has

1016
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 1: been horrific against Cover one and cover three, which is

1017
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:13,720
Speaker 1: what San Diego State plays. Santigo State goes to the Island,

1018
00:49:13,920 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 1: they cover late at night. I like it through seven.

1019
00:49:16,160 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 1: I'm not going to play a total here. I'm gonna

1020
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 1: take San Diego State to cover that six. As matter

1021
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:20,840
Speaker 1: of fact, I think I was gonna put it in.

1022
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:22,799
Speaker 1: I'm taking San Diego State minus six.

1023
00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:24,799
Speaker 2: Move on to the Sun Belt. We got a good

1024
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:30,200
Speaker 2: one noon ESPN two James Madison hosting Georgia Southern. Uh,

1025
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,000
Speaker 2: I'm I'm curious to you. I thought to this game

1026
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 2: because I haven't seen or talked to anyone in the

1027
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:38,960
Speaker 2: world that likes Georgia Southern except myself. I even took

1028
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 2: a bad number. Now that's not going out to six

1029
00:49:41,440 --> 00:49:44,799
Speaker 2: James Madison this year, and look, David Greatsin is coming

1030
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:47,000
Speaker 2: off to that FPS with the past two seasons. They

1031
00:49:47,040 --> 00:49:49,399
Speaker 2: had a miracle comeback against Virginia the one by one.

1032
00:49:50,640 --> 00:49:55,480
Speaker 2: They beat Troy by two, They beat Utah State on

1033
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:59,319
Speaker 2: a last minute long touchdown by seven, and they beat

1034
00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:02,319
Speaker 2: South Alabama about one possession. Four wins all by one

1035
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 2: possession against FBS teams net positive thirty yards. That's it.

1036
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 2: They could easily have a couple losses on the season. Meanwhile,

1037
00:50:12,080 --> 00:50:15,440
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern, you know, they've had four wins all by

1038
00:50:15,480 --> 00:50:18,200
Speaker 2: double digits and a game att wisconstant. They lost because

1039
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 2: of six turnovers. Otherwise they actually it was a dead

1040
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:24,560
Speaker 2: even game statistically. They actually had four more yards in Wisconsin.

1041
00:50:25,120 --> 00:50:27,200
Speaker 2: But I actually think this is a good matchup for

1042
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:30,880
Speaker 2: Georgia Southern. Why James Madison is a really good defensive

1043
00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:32,719
Speaker 2: front and they're dominant against the run. I think it

1044
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:35,000
Speaker 2: only all on one point three yards per rush, which

1045
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:37,400
Speaker 2: is the most in the country. The lowest in the

1046
00:50:37,400 --> 00:50:41,680
Speaker 2: country next is one point eight you can't run on them. Okay, well,

1047
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 2: who cares. Georgia Southern does not run ever, all they

1048
00:50:44,080 --> 00:50:47,480
Speaker 2: do is throw. And I think this James Madison team

1049
00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 2: can be attacked in the secondary. We've seen that in

1050
00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:52,359
Speaker 2: a couple games already this year. And on the other

1051
00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:55,880
Speaker 2: side of the ball, James Madison, they have some explosive passing,

1052
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 2: but they want to run to set up the pass.

1053
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:01,799
Speaker 2: That's the strength that Georgia Southern's defense is against the run.

1054
00:51:02,239 --> 00:51:04,960
Speaker 2: They have a couple of really good defensive linemen. I

1055
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:07,720
Speaker 2: think that this game sets up as a potential shootout,

1056
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:10,959
Speaker 2: just like last year. Last year in a very similar spot,

1057
00:51:10,960 --> 00:51:12,080
Speaker 2: I think it was right around this time of year,

1058
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:14,719
Speaker 2: James Madison's undefeated. They went and they played Georgia Southern.

1059
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:16,400
Speaker 2: The game end that I think forty five thirty eight.

1060
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,239
Speaker 2: There was thirteen hundred yards of offense. I'm in a

1061
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 2: game that I think it might come down who has

1062
00:51:21,080 --> 00:51:24,000
Speaker 2: the ball last. In a favorable matchup for Georgia Southern.

1063
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,560
Speaker 2: I like the Eagles, Gatta. I got my Georgia Southern

1064
00:51:26,600 --> 00:51:29,040
Speaker 2: shired on. We're going with the Eagles at noon? Do

1065
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:29,960
Speaker 2: you agree or disagree?

1066
00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:32,400
Speaker 1: I was pretty excited when I got onto the podcast

1067
00:51:32,480 --> 00:51:34,120
Speaker 1: here and we started recording. I saw you in a

1068
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:36,480
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern T shirt because this is the side that

1069
00:51:36,560 --> 00:51:38,480
Speaker 1: I wanted. I'll tell you what's going on in the market.

1070
00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:41,600
Speaker 1: Somebody at the Mothership who's floating at about forty seven

1071
00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 1: percent this year, power racist at nine and then a

1072
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 1: cert and then a tout service put it out and

1073
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:48,320
Speaker 1: that thing flew from four up to six. And I

1074
00:51:48,440 --> 00:51:50,479
Speaker 1: just kind of took my hands and was rubbing them together,

1075
00:51:50,560 --> 00:51:53,880
Speaker 1: like give me seven, give me seven. And so the

1076
00:51:53,920 --> 00:51:56,120
Speaker 1: big steam that's hitting on James Madison, that gave it

1077
00:51:56,120 --> 00:51:58,680
Speaker 1: a big push on Wednesday. I mean you can kind

1078
00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 1: of see it in the numbers, rightnumber one defense against rush,

1079
00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:04,560
Speaker 1: defensive havoc. They got forty PBUs And but who cares.

1080
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 2: About the number one date in the rush and that

1081
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,520
Speaker 2: the numbers against Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern only one other

1082
00:52:09,560 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 2: team in the country is passes it more as a

1083
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 2: lower rush rate over expectation, I know.

1084
00:52:14,840 --> 00:52:16,719
Speaker 1: And so people look at that stuff and they think,

1085
00:52:16,760 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 1: oh my god, this James Madison defense is great, but

1086
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 1: that's not so much against the past. Plus let me

1087
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,560
Speaker 1: mention that Georgia Southern's top twenty five and havoc allowed.

1088
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:25,439
Speaker 1: They don't make a lot of mistakes, and they pass

1089
00:52:25,480 --> 00:52:27,040
Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the time. They're not going to

1090
00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:29,200
Speaker 1: run into the teeth of this James Madison defense. They're

1091
00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:31,839
Speaker 1: going to try to throw over it. But what I love.

1092
00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:34,120
Speaker 1: The biggest handicap of this game, when I love Georgia Southern,

1093
00:52:34,160 --> 00:52:36,120
Speaker 1: I'm just kind of sitting back letting this thing float

1094
00:52:36,680 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 1: is release time distribution by Davis Brinn. That guy does

1095
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 1: not like to hold the ball. I think he held

1096
00:52:42,000 --> 00:52:44,520
Speaker 1: the ball way too long a Tulsa. That's not happening

1097
00:52:44,640 --> 00:52:48,160
Speaker 1: right now. Right now, he is well above national average

1098
00:52:48,280 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 1: and success rate in one to one point five seconds

1099
00:52:52,200 --> 00:52:55,680
Speaker 1: per release. I mean he chucks everything one to one

1100
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,560
Speaker 1: point five seconds, and he is well above success rate

1101
00:52:58,640 --> 00:52:59,880
Speaker 1: on anybody else in the country.

1102
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:01,480
Speaker 2: And that's how you want to attack JMS.

1103
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,080
Speaker 1: That's exactly how you want to attack JMU. You're going

1104
00:53:04,120 --> 00:53:06,279
Speaker 1: to throw it before anybody gets to you. He has

1105
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:10,440
Speaker 1: a quarterback rating of one twenty two on throws between

1106
00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:12,480
Speaker 1: one and one and a half seconds. I think that

1107
00:53:12,719 --> 00:53:15,640
Speaker 1: negates the James Madison pass rush. And then you go look,

1108
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:17,719
Speaker 1: and this is what caught my attention all this right

1109
00:53:17,840 --> 00:53:20,480
Speaker 1: because Davis Brann we've known him at Tulsa and a

1110
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 1: DOT at average depth of target about eleven to fourteen

1111
00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:25,120
Speaker 1: yards over the years that he was at Tulsa. You

1112
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,719
Speaker 1: know what it is This year it's like eight point three.

1113
00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:30,080
Speaker 1: And I started thinking to myself, why the hell is

1114
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:32,360
Speaker 1: Davis Bran only is he hurt? Is he's got a

1115
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:36,120
Speaker 1: broken arm? No, it's because that's just how this offense runs.

1116
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:39,400
Speaker 1: It is quick hitters, boom boom gone. And so you know,

1117
00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:41,400
Speaker 1: he's well below his career average in a DOT, but

1118
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 1: he's so much faster in getting rid of the ball.

1119
00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:46,320
Speaker 1: The JMU tackle grade right now, they're one hundred and

1120
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:50,120
Speaker 1: twenty third and they're dead last and standard downs explosives allowed.

1121
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:51,600
Speaker 1: I couldn't even believe it when I read it. I'm

1122
00:53:51,640 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 1: staring at it right now. One hundred and thirty third

1123
00:53:53,200 --> 00:53:56,280
Speaker 1: standard down explosives allowed. There's room here for Georgia Southern

1124
00:53:56,320 --> 00:53:58,120
Speaker 1: to win this game. If they're going to connect on

1125
00:53:58,160 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 1: these short passes, they're going to make it extremely quick.

1126
00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:01,960
Speaker 1: James Madison is just going to look like a bunch

1127
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 1: of eleven guys on Techmo Bowlders running wild all over

1128
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:06,880
Speaker 1: the place. Georgia Southern does need to fix the red

1129
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:09,320
Speaker 1: zone efficiency. That makes me nervous. When you have this

1130
00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:11,200
Speaker 1: kind of offense that throws so much. The closer you

1131
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:13,120
Speaker 1: get to the end zone, less space you have to

1132
00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:15,600
Speaker 1: work with. So we need some of these explosive passes

1133
00:54:15,680 --> 00:54:19,520
Speaker 1: to turn into points. So I think Georgia Southern here

1134
00:54:19,719 --> 00:54:22,560
Speaker 1: is definitely the side. I kind of lean towards the

1135
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,480
Speaker 1: under I'm not sure I'm gonna play on the total,

1136
00:54:24,760 --> 00:54:26,560
Speaker 1: but I'm with you, and I hope it steams more.

1137
00:54:26,680 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 1: I hope some other talent serves the people are listening

1138
00:54:29,239 --> 00:54:31,239
Speaker 1: to are banging on the James Madison horn.

1139
00:54:31,480 --> 00:54:33,560
Speaker 2: All right, we agree on that sunbl game. Let's hit

1140
00:54:33,600 --> 00:54:37,720
Speaker 2: one other sun Belt game. Georgia State will host, Marshall.

1141
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:40,000
Speaker 2: I have a Georgia State chair. I should go put

1142
00:54:40,040 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 2: it on. I like Georgia State here.

1143
00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 1: This is good. I'm on there too. Boy, it's a

1144
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 1: Sunbell podcast here.

1145
00:54:44,840 --> 00:54:45,799
Speaker 2: Do you like Georgia State too?

1146
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:47,040
Speaker 1: I love Georgia State in this game?

1147
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 2: Nice? Okay, So I'll make my case first. And for

1148
00:54:50,120 --> 00:54:52,799
Speaker 2: those new listening, we don't we talk zero before the pod.

1149
00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:54,719
Speaker 2: We think the pod is way better when we come

1150
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:58,440
Speaker 2: in with just completely separate, siloed opinions. It is a

1151
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:01,600
Speaker 2: horrible spot Number one for Marshall. Ready fourth straight Saturday,

1152
00:55:01,640 --> 00:55:04,560
Speaker 2: they're playing, and they've played three hard fought, one possession

1153
00:55:04,640 --> 00:55:06,680
Speaker 2: games the last three weeks, including last week in a

1154
00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:09,239
Speaker 2: game against NC State that was crazy all the way

1155
00:55:09,239 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 2: down to the end. Georgia State meanwhile, coming off Bubye

1156
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 2: should be much fresher, So it's a bad spot. And then,

1157
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:17,080
Speaker 2: by the way, Marshall also plays JMU on I think

1158
00:55:17,080 --> 00:55:19,680
Speaker 2: Wednesday or Thursday. They have a short week playing the

1159
00:55:19,760 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 2: undefeated team. So like this look ahead factor here, I

1160
00:55:22,719 --> 00:55:25,560
Speaker 2: think Georgia State will come out focus after getting blown

1161
00:55:25,560 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 2: out in their last game at home here against the

1162
00:55:27,560 --> 00:55:31,720
Speaker 2: Marshall team in a bad situational spot, and Georgia State's

1163
00:55:31,880 --> 00:55:34,960
Speaker 2: pretty simple handicapped. You gotta look, everything starts with the

1164
00:55:35,080 --> 00:55:37,440
Speaker 2: run for them. Like one of the reasons that we

1165
00:55:37,520 --> 00:55:39,960
Speaker 2: love Troy's because Troy can shut down the run, but

1166
00:55:41,080 --> 00:55:44,840
Speaker 2: you can get you can hit run explosiveness against Marshall,

1167
00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:49,120
Speaker 2: and that's a bad that's bad news when you're going

1168
00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:52,560
Speaker 2: up against Georgia State with Granger and Carol. For what

1169
00:55:52,640 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 2: it's worth, Georgia State's offense, it's completely relying on explosiveness.

1170
00:55:55,920 --> 00:56:00,480
Speaker 2: There's sixth and overall explosedness, second on rushing plays. Marshall

1171
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:05,880
Speaker 2: seventh worst on defense and explosiveness, dead last in explosiveness

1172
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:09,640
Speaker 2: on rushing plays, dead last against second. The Georgia State's

1173
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 2: going to hit a ton of big rushing plays. And

1174
00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:14,759
Speaker 2: the other side about Georga State's rundy is good and

1175
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:18,399
Speaker 2: everything Marshall's do starts with the rushing ali and their

1176
00:56:18,520 --> 00:56:21,160
Speaker 2: secondary is weak and you can get them, but I

1177
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:24,440
Speaker 2: just don't trust Cam Fancher to consistently beat them down

1178
00:56:24,480 --> 00:56:28,480
Speaker 2: the field without making a couple key mistakes. So give

1179
00:56:28,640 --> 00:56:33,440
Speaker 2: me Georgia State at home as a now small favor.

1180
00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:36,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you here. Marshall's off their first loss

1181
00:56:36,320 --> 00:56:38,839
Speaker 1: of the season to NC State. Georgia State's off their

1182
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:41,319
Speaker 1: bye week, their first loss of the season Detroit twenty

1183
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:44,000
Speaker 1: eight to seven. But this is a completely different defense

1184
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 1: are going up with? Now you mentioned Georgia State's heavy

1185
00:56:46,000 --> 00:56:49,160
Speaker 1: rush attack. I don't care about Marshall's pass defense numbers.

1186
00:56:49,200 --> 00:56:51,719
Speaker 1: They're good, but it doesn't matter here. Georgia State's heavy

1187
00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:54,160
Speaker 1: rush attack starts with Marcus Carroll three point two yards

1188
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:57,880
Speaker 1: after contact. He's got nine tds on the season, seventeen

1189
00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 1: runs of ten yards or more. Georgia State is second

1190
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,560
Speaker 1: in the nation in rush explosives behind Kentucky. They are

1191
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:08,040
Speaker 1: absolutely going to get eight yards per carry on first

1192
00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:09,080
Speaker 1: down in this game.

1193
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:11,400
Speaker 2: Why you just got to do. Cowd's gonna have like

1194
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:13,360
Speaker 2: a sixty seventy yard or Grange is gonna have like,

1195
00:57:13,920 --> 00:57:16,520
Speaker 2: you know, thirty forty yard scrambles yep.

1196
00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:20,680
Speaker 1: Georgia State second in the country, and standard downs explosives.

1197
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,200
Speaker 1: That's all on the ground. That means to me they're

1198
00:57:23,200 --> 00:57:27,280
Speaker 1: gonna get five to eight to maybe more yards rushing

1199
00:57:27,320 --> 00:57:30,320
Speaker 1: the ball on first down. Marshall one hundred and thirty

1200
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:33,520
Speaker 1: first defensively and allowing explosives and standard downs. They do

1201
00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:36,520
Speaker 1: not know what to do with themselves when the opposing

1202
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:41,360
Speaker 1: offense is on schedule. Plus there is a monster, monster

1203
00:57:41,480 --> 00:57:44,640
Speaker 1: gap and special teams between these two teams. I am

1204
00:57:44,720 --> 00:57:46,880
Speaker 1: happily going to take Georgia State here. They have it

1205
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:48,880
Speaker 1: in a lot at the kicking game, they have it

1206
00:57:48,920 --> 00:57:50,960
Speaker 1: in the punting game, they have it field position game,

1207
00:57:51,000 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 1: they have it everywhere, and they're gonna rush themselves all

1208
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:55,959
Speaker 1: the way to victory here, all.

1209
00:57:55,920 --> 00:58:00,200
Speaker 2: Right, good stuff there, sun Belt consensus. Always love to

1210
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:04,320
Speaker 2: see it. Let me do a quick QB updates that

1211
00:58:04,320 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 2: we won't talk about the rest of the show. Leonard

1212
00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:08,200
Speaker 2: Riley Leonard for due, keep an eye on his status.

1213
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:11,640
Speaker 2: Foutech looks like they're gonna go with drones. Vandy looks

1214
00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:15,360
Speaker 2: like Seals, Kansas looks like bean Cal looks like Mendoza,

1215
00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:19,760
Speaker 2: Arizona Delora questionable. TC's going with Josh Hoover with the

1216
00:58:19,800 --> 00:58:22,520
Speaker 2: injury there, Navy horvats out. They're going with Laviti. Plenty

1217
00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 2: of experienced there, Oklo Mistate looks like they're sticking with

1218
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:27,280
Speaker 2: Bowman misstate this for next week. Rogers is hurt. Keep

1219
00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:30,960
Speaker 2: an eye on his status. Virginia must get hurt his shoulder,

1220
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 2: They have a bye, and Tony Allen came out and

1221
00:58:34,280 --> 00:58:36,960
Speaker 2: said they want to keep Callandrew's red shirt. So if

1222
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:40,600
Speaker 2: Musket can't go, you're down to some guys in Broster

1223
00:58:40,720 --> 00:58:44,160
Speaker 2: House or something something worth just jotting down U see

1224
00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:46,560
Speaker 2: f Plumley's knee just didn't feel right last week. They

1225
00:58:46,600 --> 00:58:49,120
Speaker 2: play Oklahoma next week. Keep an eye on his status.

1226
00:58:49,720 --> 00:58:52,600
Speaker 2: But there's a quick quarterback update before we get to

1227
00:58:52,680 --> 00:58:56,560
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1251
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Speaker 2: the I seem too is I just don't basically just

1252
01:00:22,040 --> 01:00:24,400
Speaker 2: don't sleep for six months and can wake up my

1253
01:00:24,440 --> 01:00:28,400
Speaker 2: eyes before seeing people are doing stuff like this. All right,

1254
01:00:28,480 --> 01:00:29,840
Speaker 2: let's move honest trash.

1255
01:00:29,600 --> 01:00:32,160
Speaker 1: Baby, the trash man pick of the week.

1256
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:33,800
Speaker 2: I'm the trash man.

1257
01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:37,040
Speaker 3: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it,

1258
01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:39,840
Speaker 3: totally unreliable, undependable it.

1259
01:00:39,960 --> 01:00:41,520
Speaker 2: That's it. You've been told off. How do you like that?

1260
01:00:41,960 --> 01:00:45,160
Speaker 2: Go ahead, got lots of trash. I will say this

1261
01:00:45,360 --> 01:00:50,320
Speaker 2: is that my trashiest card of my entire life. I

1262
01:00:50,400 --> 01:00:53,720
Speaker 2: saw was you're gonna run through them. And by the way,

1263
01:00:53,760 --> 01:00:55,480
Speaker 2: I would say this is to people out there, I've

1264
01:00:55,560 --> 01:01:01,240
Speaker 2: had a bad Saturday, bad losing Saturday into you. It's

1265
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:04,120
Speaker 2: gonna happen soon. It's coming. I know it could be

1266
01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:07,600
Speaker 2: this weekend. And number one, if you can't afford to

1267
01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:10,560
Speaker 2: like go to and ten, you're betting too much. Number Two,

1268
01:01:11,520 --> 01:01:15,600
Speaker 2: if you are going to tilt and just be miserable

1269
01:01:16,120 --> 01:01:18,800
Speaker 2: losing by betting on a bunch of horrendous teams because

1270
01:01:18,840 --> 01:01:22,080
Speaker 2: some of some of these, you're gonna it's gonna be awful, right,

1271
01:01:22,160 --> 01:01:24,120
Speaker 2: I mean awful viewing experience. You're gonna know it's over

1272
01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 2: after the first quarter. You're not comfortable that just pick

1273
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:28,760
Speaker 2: one or two out. You don't have the tail every

1274
01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:34,560
Speaker 2: bet I've been doing this for two decades. I bet

1275
01:01:34,640 --> 01:01:37,400
Speaker 2: the worst of the worst. A glutton for punishment doesn't

1276
01:01:37,440 --> 01:01:40,000
Speaker 2: bother me. I've had to know an eighteen Saturday before

1277
01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:42,960
Speaker 2: I've bet on the worst teams that you can ever imagine.

1278
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:43,520
Speaker 1: Uh.

1279
01:01:43,640 --> 01:01:47,240
Speaker 2: There's a theme here, and the theme that you'll see

1280
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:50,720
Speaker 2: a lot is I'm fading the top teams in the

1281
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:56,160
Speaker 2: country that are laying huge numbers, that play slow, and

1282
01:01:57,320 --> 01:02:00,920
Speaker 2: with the new clock rules make it pretty difficult to

1283
01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:04,320
Speaker 2: cover these big numbers, which is why top five teams

1284
01:02:05,120 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 2: against the spread have struggled in the non conference this year.

1285
01:02:09,600 --> 01:02:13,480
Speaker 2: So let's start off with Vanderbilt, a team that's zero

1286
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 2: and seven against the spread plus thirty one and a

1287
01:02:15,800 --> 01:02:16,720
Speaker 2: half against Georgia.

1288
01:02:17,240 --> 01:02:17,479
Speaker 1: Yuck.

1289
01:02:17,880 --> 01:02:21,480
Speaker 2: Look, Vanderbilt is awful. They have an awful defense. The

1290
01:02:21,560 --> 01:02:25,040
Speaker 2: offense is pretty good. They've been unlucky with turnovers. Looks

1291
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:28,440
Speaker 2: like Ken Seals is going to get the start. But Dandy,

1292
01:02:28,480 --> 01:02:30,240
Speaker 2: Look they hadn't covered yet, but they've been close. Like

1293
01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:32,720
Speaker 2: they've had bad turnover luck. They've given up a couple

1294
01:02:32,720 --> 01:02:35,439
Speaker 2: of late scores. This is a team that can score

1295
01:02:35,440 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 2: a couple of touchdowns. Georgia is slow, methodical, and what

1296
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:43,400
Speaker 2: have we seen from Georgia all year? They don't care, right,

1297
01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:45,640
Speaker 2: They got up last week, They got up last week

1298
01:02:45,680 --> 01:02:47,520
Speaker 2: for Kentucky. Before that, they didn't cover. They didn't cover

1299
01:02:47,600 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 2: a game. So these are two teams that just were

1300
01:02:49,240 --> 01:02:52,840
Speaker 2: burning money. Why would Georgia show up here? Why would

1301
01:02:52,840 --> 01:02:55,960
Speaker 2: they not be complacent? Noon kick? There's probably like a

1302
01:02:56,040 --> 01:02:58,840
Speaker 2: thousand people that we all be Georgia fans in Nashville

1303
01:02:58,880 --> 01:03:01,760
Speaker 2: getst a horrendous Vandy team. By the way, last year

1304
01:03:01,840 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 2: this this price, Georgia was minus thirty seven at home

1305
01:03:05,080 --> 01:03:09,160
Speaker 2: against Fandy, historically dominant Georgia team. Now you can get

1306
01:03:09,240 --> 01:03:10,720
Speaker 2: thirty one and a half. This is the bottom of

1307
01:03:10,720 --> 01:03:14,000
Speaker 2: the market on bandy in my opinion. They have enough

1308
01:03:14,080 --> 01:03:17,120
Speaker 2: offense to score a couple of touchdowns and it wouldn't

1309
01:03:17,120 --> 01:03:19,600
Speaker 2: even shock me if they cover without scoring, this game

1310
01:03:19,720 --> 01:03:23,720
Speaker 2: ends like thirty to nothing. This line's too high. I'm

1311
01:03:23,800 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 2: just trusting that what I've seen all year, george is

1312
01:03:26,480 --> 01:03:29,120
Speaker 2: gonna go back to sleep. The next time they have

1313
01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:32,800
Speaker 2: to be woken up, we'll get their best effort. But

1314
01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 2: they showed up for the after they slept. Walk called out,

1315
01:03:36,480 --> 01:03:38,200
Speaker 2: how can you nod is at night against an undefeated

1316
01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:41,840
Speaker 2: Kentucky team between the hedges? So what I expect in

1317
01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:44,960
Speaker 2: this game? Look, Georgia would fifty five nothing, But what

1318
01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,000
Speaker 2: do I ac sect this game? Dandy's up seven to nothing,

1319
01:03:48,120 --> 01:03:49,760
Speaker 2: like with e and eight to go in the first quarter,

1320
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:50,880
Speaker 2: Agree or disagree.

1321
01:03:51,360 --> 01:03:55,320
Speaker 1: What really scares me is that last year's game, Georgia

1322
01:03:55,520 --> 01:03:58,400
Speaker 1: purposely was asleep and hibernating. It was twenty eight zero

1323
01:03:58,480 --> 01:04:01,160
Speaker 1: at halftime. They came out of the third quarter and

1324
01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:03,919
Speaker 1: they did everything that they could to just say we're

1325
01:04:03,960 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 1: done with this game. They only scored six points. Then

1326
01:04:06,360 --> 01:04:10,000
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt screwed themselves and helped Georgia score three touchdowns in

1327
01:04:10,040 --> 01:04:12,000
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, and Kirby Smart was not trying to

1328
01:04:12,440 --> 01:04:15,080
Speaker 1: drive it up. Fifty five zero was the final score.

1329
01:04:15,200 --> 01:04:18,160
Speaker 1: So I think the question becomes how much havoc allowed

1330
01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:19,600
Speaker 1: is there going to be How much will they hurt

1331
01:04:19,640 --> 01:04:23,520
Speaker 1: themselves here? This is not the same havoc minded defense

1332
01:04:23,600 --> 01:04:26,160
Speaker 1: that was around last year for Georgia. So I can

1333
01:04:26,240 --> 01:04:27,800
Speaker 1: back you in the fact that I think that this

1334
01:04:27,960 --> 01:04:30,120
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt team is not going to hurt themselves as bad

1335
01:04:30,560 --> 01:04:33,320
Speaker 1: aj Swan is out. I don't know how much. I

1336
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:35,120
Speaker 1: think it really comes down to how often are you

1337
01:04:35,120 --> 01:04:37,800
Speaker 1: going to spot Georgia field position in your own territory?

1338
01:04:39,480 --> 01:04:41,200
Speaker 1: The numbers too high, all right, I get it, the

1339
01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:43,800
Speaker 1: numbers too high. I'll give you that. I think I'm

1340
01:04:43,800 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 1: going to let you roll with this one. I got

1341
01:04:45,880 --> 01:04:47,439
Speaker 1: a couple on this I want to take. It won't

1342
01:04:47,440 --> 01:04:48,680
Speaker 1: be this one, all right.

1343
01:04:48,760 --> 01:04:52,640
Speaker 2: Let's move on. Let's fade another top five un defeated team.

1344
01:04:53,040 --> 01:04:57,320
Speaker 2: Let's go to Indiana plus thirty four at Michigan to

1345
01:04:57,440 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 2: plug your nose. It's stinks Michigan. Earlier this year they

1346
01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:05,560
Speaker 2: were favored by thirty six, thirty eight, and forty in

1347
01:05:05,600 --> 01:05:08,520
Speaker 2: the non con They never even scored that many points.

1348
01:05:08,560 --> 01:05:11,560
Speaker 2: They scored thirty, thirty five and thirty one. I get

1349
01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:14,800
Speaker 2: that they've scored forty and forty five the past two weeks.

1350
01:05:15,200 --> 01:05:18,760
Speaker 2: They were gifted points and a lot of those the

1351
01:05:18,880 --> 01:05:21,880
Speaker 2: new clock rules, the way that Michigan operates, they just

1352
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:26,760
Speaker 2: get so few possessions and Indiana, what is Indiana gonna do?

1353
01:05:27,160 --> 01:05:29,720
Speaker 2: They're gonna take away the exposive play and that's what

1354
01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:31,480
Speaker 2: the other got to Ohio State. They held Ohio State

1355
01:05:31,560 --> 01:05:34,880
Speaker 2: to what twenty three? They had Louisville to twenty one

1356
01:05:36,080 --> 01:05:39,520
Speaker 2: and in games that were just ugly grinders. All of

1357
01:05:39,600 --> 01:05:41,240
Speaker 2: this will take to cover this number. And by the way,

1358
01:05:41,280 --> 01:05:43,920
Speaker 2: Michigan could win thirty nothing like Indiana could not score

1359
01:05:44,120 --> 01:05:47,320
Speaker 2: and cover this game, just like Georgia Bandy. It'll just

1360
01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:50,000
Speaker 2: take like a Michigan pick a Michigan fumble in the

1361
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 2: red zone. That's it. And this is a decent spot

1362
01:05:53,600 --> 01:05:56,480
Speaker 2: for Indiana coming off. But bye, two weeks to prepare

1363
01:05:57,120 --> 01:06:00,640
Speaker 2: and you fired your offensive coordinator, Walt Bell stock Up.

1364
01:06:00,680 --> 01:06:03,760
Speaker 2: They can only get better. You're gonna have element of surprise.

1365
01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:06,120
Speaker 2: Your big play wide receiver, I think is going to

1366
01:06:06,160 --> 01:06:10,880
Speaker 2: come back this week. And you know you got Rod

1367
01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:13,240
Speaker 2: Carry's first game calling plays. Michigan doesn't really know what

1368
01:06:13,360 --> 01:06:16,240
Speaker 2: to expect. You also brought in justin Twente. I think

1369
01:06:16,240 --> 01:06:21,040
Speaker 2: it's a good offensive mine battle head coach. So I

1370
01:06:21,120 --> 01:06:23,880
Speaker 2: think I think Indiana can find a way to get

1371
01:06:23,920 --> 01:06:27,120
Speaker 2: to like seven to ten, and that's all this will

1372
01:06:27,160 --> 01:06:31,200
Speaker 2: take as long as they're not, you know, giving Michigan

1373
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 2: big you know, pick sixes and things of that nature

1374
01:06:35,240 --> 01:06:36,880
Speaker 2: for what it's worth. And this applies to a lot

1375
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:38,880
Speaker 2: of these bets, tiny stample size, but ranked favorites of

1376
01:06:38,960 --> 01:06:41,880
Speaker 2: thirty or more. This year. I think there were seventy

1377
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:44,760
Speaker 2: eight percent againt the spread last year six and thirteen

1378
01:06:44,800 --> 01:06:47,960
Speaker 2: against the spread against FBS opponents thirty one percent, And

1379
01:06:48,040 --> 01:06:50,600
Speaker 2: I think that speaks to the clock rules. So this

1380
01:06:50,720 --> 01:06:55,240
Speaker 2: number is too high for me. Indiana noon Michigan could

1381
01:06:55,240 --> 01:06:58,360
Speaker 2: come out a little sleepy here too. Give me the Hoosiers.

1382
01:06:58,560 --> 01:07:00,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the first half under, like the Michigan

1383
01:07:00,720 --> 01:07:03,320
Speaker 1: team total under. And one thing that is sticking out

1384
01:07:03,320 --> 01:07:05,919
Speaker 1: to me week after week after week is the fact

1385
01:07:05,920 --> 01:07:08,040
Speaker 1: that Michigan's strength the schedule is one hundred and eleventh

1386
01:07:08,080 --> 01:07:10,120
Speaker 1: and for some reason they cannot figure it out with

1387
01:07:10,240 --> 01:07:13,360
Speaker 1: explosive ball. They I mean, they are one hundred and

1388
01:07:13,400 --> 01:07:17,360
Speaker 1: second and standardowns explosives. They're sixtieth in passing down explosives,

1389
01:07:17,400 --> 01:07:19,400
Speaker 1: although they are not in passing downs very often. It

1390
01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:21,560
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Just go look at the overall EPA numbers

1391
01:07:21,560 --> 01:07:24,680
Speaker 1: one hundred and eighteenth, rush sixtieth in the past. You say, well,

1392
01:07:24,720 --> 01:07:26,160
Speaker 1: they haven't had to open it up yet. They haven't

1393
01:07:26,160 --> 01:07:28,439
Speaker 1: to do that to anybody. They're not proving it, they're

1394
01:07:28,480 --> 01:07:30,080
Speaker 1: not showing it. At least some of these teams that

1395
01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:32,800
Speaker 1: are playing their thirty point favorites, at least they're having

1396
01:07:32,880 --> 01:07:35,880
Speaker 1: explosive plays. Michigan is not so I like the under.

1397
01:07:36,240 --> 01:07:38,160
Speaker 1: I like the Michigan team total under. Hopefully you can

1398
01:07:38,160 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 1: get this Indiana cover.

1399
01:07:39,320 --> 01:07:42,840
Speaker 2: So let's fade a third top five undefeated team at noon.

1400
01:07:43,080 --> 01:07:45,000
Speaker 1: What are you doing here? I gotta hear what you're

1401
01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:46,680
Speaker 1: I saw this. What are you doing here?

1402
01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:49,840
Speaker 2: We're going Purdue against Ohio State.

1403
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,360
Speaker 1: Oh I thought you're doing new Matt. Sorry, go ahead, sorry.

1404
01:07:52,160 --> 01:07:54,160
Speaker 2: Oh that's coming us. That's a three thirty.

1405
01:07:54,480 --> 01:07:57,960
Speaker 1: Hey, ain't nobody trying to hear that bullshit?

1406
01:07:58,080 --> 01:08:00,320
Speaker 2: Purdue plus nineteen and a half five. Put this in

1407
01:08:00,360 --> 01:08:01,800
Speaker 2: the affex. I'm waiting just to see if it ticks

1408
01:08:01,880 --> 01:08:03,400
Speaker 2: up to twenty. It's kind of in a dead zone

1409
01:08:03,480 --> 01:08:05,240
Speaker 2: right now. I don't think it's gonna get there, but

1410
01:08:05,320 --> 01:08:08,160
Speaker 2: it's worth waiting. Purdue's offense is getting better. I think

1411
01:08:08,160 --> 01:08:10,560
Speaker 2: their defense is also improving. Like it's not a great defense.

1412
01:08:10,560 --> 01:08:12,400
Speaker 2: I'm a little worried about their slow footed secondary. But

1413
01:08:12,520 --> 01:08:14,720
Speaker 2: Ryan Walters I have a lot of respect for. And

1414
01:08:14,840 --> 01:08:17,559
Speaker 2: this is a sleepy spot for Ohio State. This has

1415
01:08:17,640 --> 01:08:20,599
Speaker 2: produced big the spoiler makers. This is their biggest game

1416
01:08:20,640 --> 01:08:24,240
Speaker 2: of the year at home. Ohio State just survived Maryland.

1417
01:08:24,560 --> 01:08:27,720
Speaker 2: They have Penn State coming up, so it could be

1418
01:08:27,760 --> 01:08:29,800
Speaker 2: flat here and I just don't think Ohio State is

1419
01:08:29,840 --> 01:08:33,000
Speaker 2: that great after a bye. They had ten points midway

1420
01:08:33,000 --> 01:08:35,760
Speaker 2: through the third quarter against Maryland at home, and ten

1421
01:08:35,840 --> 01:08:37,640
Speaker 2: of it it was a pick six. We're seven to

1422
01:08:37,760 --> 01:08:40,000
Speaker 2: ten points against notre Am. They should have scored ten

1423
01:08:40,040 --> 01:08:42,479
Speaker 2: points if they're able to drop a pick. This Purdue

1424
01:08:42,560 --> 01:08:45,639
Speaker 2: team is feisty enough with Hudson card and that offense,

1425
01:08:46,000 --> 01:08:49,439
Speaker 2: and he's gonna have time. Ohio State defense is improved,

1426
01:08:49,520 --> 01:08:52,360
Speaker 2: but he can find enough receivers here and Oh's he's

1427
01:08:52,360 --> 01:08:54,160
Speaker 2: getting no pressure and the fact that they couldn't get

1428
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:57,080
Speaker 2: any pressure gets voted in. McCord is just looks lost

1429
01:08:57,120 --> 01:08:59,000
Speaker 2: in the pocket. The offensive line is issues. They can't

1430
01:08:59,040 --> 01:09:02,879
Speaker 2: run the ball either. It's it's Ohio State team has issues.

1431
01:09:03,560 --> 01:09:05,679
Speaker 2: This number is too high. I just this number should

1432
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:07,320
Speaker 2: be like two touchdowns I.

1433
01:09:07,360 --> 01:09:09,439
Speaker 1: Make, I make a fifteen. I'm with you. The numbers

1434
01:09:09,439 --> 01:09:11,080
Speaker 1: going the other way, so I'm waiting. So this is

1435
01:09:11,160 --> 01:09:13,080
Speaker 1: one that I am hitting with you with on Purdue,

1436
01:09:13,360 --> 01:09:16,160
Speaker 1: and I will say this, Ohio State's going to drop one.

1437
01:09:16,360 --> 01:09:19,479
Speaker 1: Now do they drop one that they shouldn't drop? Are

1438
01:09:19,560 --> 01:09:22,280
Speaker 1: they dropping this one on the road against Purdue or

1439
01:09:22,320 --> 01:09:24,720
Speaker 1: are they gonna go play Penn State and Wisconsin over

1440
01:09:24,800 --> 01:09:27,280
Speaker 1: the following two weeks and then drop at Rutgers on

1441
01:09:27,360 --> 01:09:30,680
Speaker 1: November fourth. I don't know, but they're dropping one that

1442
01:09:30,800 --> 01:09:32,720
Speaker 1: they shouldn't drop, and it might be this one. I'm

1443
01:09:32,760 --> 01:09:34,479
Speaker 1: gonna be with you on this after it gets don

1444
01:09:34,560 --> 01:09:37,320
Speaker 1: steam and I'll probably take a twenty. I'd take a nineteen,

1445
01:09:38,120 --> 01:09:39,960
Speaker 1: and I don't see it in the analytics how Purdue

1446
01:09:40,040 --> 01:09:42,040
Speaker 1: is going to pull this off. But at the same time,

1447
01:09:42,120 --> 01:09:45,240
Speaker 1: Ohio State is a shell of who they used to be.

1448
01:09:45,880 --> 01:09:48,080
Speaker 1: And yes, spoiler makers all the way. This is usually

1449
01:09:48,160 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 1: the team. This is usually the helmet that drives it

1450
01:09:50,120 --> 01:09:52,160
Speaker 1: out of them. But you know what, Rutgers is playing

1451
01:09:52,200 --> 01:09:54,320
Speaker 1: some feisty ball too, But somebody's going to get to

1452
01:09:54,320 --> 01:09:54,800
Speaker 1: Ohio State.

1453
01:09:54,840 --> 01:09:57,760
Speaker 2: That shouldn't all right, let's fade a fourth top five

1454
01:09:57,840 --> 01:10:03,400
Speaker 2: team that's undefeated. Baby back to the minute men plus forty,

1455
01:10:03,840 --> 01:10:05,559
Speaker 2: this numbers come down. Since I bet it, I still

1456
01:10:05,640 --> 01:10:08,360
Speaker 2: like it. Here's another game where you MEAs could cover

1457
01:10:08,479 --> 01:10:11,000
Speaker 2: without scoring. But for what it's with, UMSS offense has

1458
01:10:11,040 --> 01:10:13,880
Speaker 2: been good. I like they're putting up five hundred yards

1459
01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:15,920
Speaker 2: every week. They also show up a couple more wins,

1460
01:10:15,960 --> 01:10:17,439
Speaker 2: and I think they'd get a little more respect in

1461
01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:19,160
Speaker 2: the market. They lost to EMU in the last minute

1462
01:10:19,160 --> 01:10:21,120
Speaker 2: touchdown the out game, then by like two hundred two

1463
01:10:21,160 --> 01:10:23,160
Speaker 2: hundred yards. They lost to overtime the New Mexico the outgame,

1464
01:10:23,160 --> 01:10:25,479
Speaker 2: then by like one hundred yards. So the offense now,

1465
01:10:25,680 --> 01:10:28,680
Speaker 2: and they've had quarterback injuries too, Kuma Chan's back. I

1466
01:10:28,760 --> 01:10:30,759
Speaker 2: think we'll do anything against this elite Penn State defense.

1467
01:10:30,800 --> 01:10:31,080
Speaker 1: I don't know.

1468
01:10:31,080 --> 01:10:33,680
Speaker 2: I think they can get a touchdown and that's all.

1469
01:10:33,840 --> 01:10:36,720
Speaker 2: I think it'll take. This Penn State offense. By the

1470
01:10:36,720 --> 01:10:39,519
Speaker 2: way they have Ohio State next. I know James Franklin

1471
01:10:39,520 --> 01:10:41,800
Speaker 2: will probably do a fake knee with the backup third

1472
01:10:41,880 --> 01:10:45,000
Speaker 2: string punter and throw out hail may double reverse hail

1473
01:10:45,040 --> 01:10:48,639
Speaker 2: Mary to cover at the end. But Penn State's offense

1474
01:10:48,840 --> 01:10:52,560
Speaker 2: is the most methodical, boring, and I think they're just

1475
01:10:52,600 --> 01:10:55,200
Speaker 2: not showing anything. Yep. And James Franklin's clip of being

1476
01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:57,840
Speaker 2: asked like, why aren't you throwing downfield was pretty funny

1477
01:10:57,920 --> 01:11:01,479
Speaker 2: his response. But they are so like they just march

1478
01:11:01,560 --> 01:11:04,120
Speaker 2: down the field. They don't make any mistakes. They take

1479
01:11:04,200 --> 01:11:07,120
Speaker 2: up so much time. So like with the new clock rules,

1480
01:11:08,880 --> 01:11:10,559
Speaker 2: such a good chance they win this game, like thirty

1481
01:11:10,640 --> 01:11:12,439
Speaker 2: five nothing, So this is just as too high for

1482
01:11:12,479 --> 01:11:14,160
Speaker 2: a team. There's no explosiveness right now. I don't know

1483
01:11:14,160 --> 01:11:18,000
Speaker 2: if that's by design or but they're like with the

1484
01:11:18,040 --> 01:11:20,400
Speaker 2: new clock rules. In this spot with Ohio State on deck,

1485
01:11:21,040 --> 01:11:23,439
Speaker 2: even James Franklin has to we're not showing anything. We

1486
01:11:23,439 --> 01:11:24,920
Speaker 2: got to worry about our health in the second half.

1487
01:11:25,400 --> 01:11:27,920
Speaker 2: This is this number is too high. It's U messs

1488
01:11:28,600 --> 01:11:28,920
Speaker 2: U mass.

1489
01:11:29,240 --> 01:11:30,519
Speaker 1: I don't want to throw a poo poo in your

1490
01:11:30,560 --> 01:11:33,160
Speaker 1: trash segment, but I mean, and I took under fifty

1491
01:11:33,200 --> 01:11:36,000
Speaker 1: eight on open. I'm happy with that. But this is

1492
01:11:36,080 --> 01:11:39,800
Speaker 1: the coach that knows the spread, that does what he

1493
01:11:39,880 --> 01:11:41,720
Speaker 1: has to do in the last series of the game

1494
01:11:41,800 --> 01:11:43,920
Speaker 1: to get a cover. Now, there's gonna be some heavy

1495
01:11:44,000 --> 01:11:46,160
Speaker 1: rain here, right, you're right, I mean this could be

1496
01:11:46,160 --> 01:11:48,200
Speaker 1: a scoreless game's gonna be thirty five zero. It could

1497
01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:50,599
Speaker 1: be forty to zero. That would still be a cover here.

1498
01:11:51,840 --> 01:11:54,000
Speaker 1: I'm not positive that YOUU Mass can get a score

1499
01:11:54,040 --> 01:11:56,120
Speaker 1: up on the board. I think the heavy weather really

1500
01:11:56,200 --> 01:11:59,280
Speaker 1: favors Penn State here, especially on the defensive side what

1501
01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:02,120
Speaker 1: they're able to do. But I think the better play

1502
01:12:02,400 --> 01:12:04,880
Speaker 1: is probably the under in this game. But I'm not sure.

1503
01:12:04,880 --> 01:12:07,240
Speaker 2: I don't mind. I don't mind the under for what

1504
01:12:07,320 --> 01:12:10,479
Speaker 2: it's worth. I have forty three, which is pretty big

1505
01:12:10,560 --> 01:12:11,760
Speaker 2: in this game. If you want to wait to see

1506
01:12:11,800 --> 01:12:14,400
Speaker 2: I him get a forty two, because like could be seven.

1507
01:12:14,600 --> 01:12:16,840
Speaker 2: You know, if you get six Penn State touchdown drives

1508
01:12:17,240 --> 01:12:19,960
Speaker 2: and ums doesn't score yea and forty two nothing.

1509
01:12:20,400 --> 01:12:23,200
Speaker 1: I have James Franklin PTSD. I mean, good luck to you.

1510
01:12:23,400 --> 01:12:26,439
Speaker 2: Here's the thing. If you could get forty three, see

1511
01:12:26,439 --> 01:12:28,240
Speaker 2: if you get a forty three, because if I have

1512
01:12:28,320 --> 01:12:31,479
Speaker 2: forty three, so if it closes a forty one, Franklin's

1513
01:12:31,520 --> 01:12:34,160
Speaker 2: just trying to cover that number. The close I think

1514
01:12:34,600 --> 01:12:35,679
Speaker 2: I don't know, all right.

1515
01:12:36,120 --> 01:12:39,360
Speaker 1: He's kicking a field goal with driving rain.

1516
01:12:40,640 --> 01:12:45,519
Speaker 2: Just to fit up forty nine to ten. All right,

1517
01:12:45,880 --> 01:12:48,880
Speaker 2: let's keep it going. I don't think it gets as ugly.

1518
01:12:49,320 --> 01:12:52,919
Speaker 1: I can't believe an I can't believe that you're gonna.

1519
01:12:52,720 --> 01:12:56,120
Speaker 2: Bet you masked Perdue. We're gonna be Biela, my baby.

1520
01:12:56,560 --> 01:12:58,639
Speaker 1: I can't buy guy Brett Bielima.

1521
01:12:58,880 --> 01:13:00,360
Speaker 2: It's time to buy. I don't.

1522
01:13:00,560 --> 01:13:01,679
Speaker 1: There's no reason to be nasty.

1523
01:13:01,880 --> 01:13:05,240
Speaker 2: I trash this team all year. Two touchdowns is too much,

1524
01:13:05,640 --> 01:13:09,080
Speaker 2: this line is too high. This is look. Illinois is

1525
01:13:09,160 --> 01:13:11,360
Speaker 2: running back injuries. But actually, like their young guys, they

1526
01:13:11,360 --> 01:13:14,160
Speaker 2: also should get their guards back this week. Bilot. When

1527
01:13:14,200 --> 01:13:15,720
Speaker 2: you want to bet them, you want to bet them

1528
01:13:15,760 --> 01:13:17,240
Speaker 2: as a big dog. With the way they want to play,

1529
01:13:17,240 --> 01:13:20,280
Speaker 2: they want to ugly up the game. And Maryland's historically

1530
01:13:20,280 --> 01:13:23,240
Speaker 2: struggled to the spot after playing you know, Ohio State

1531
01:13:23,280 --> 01:13:25,479
Speaker 2: and a pretty heartbreaking lost. They've been so inconsistent too,

1532
01:13:25,560 --> 01:13:28,519
Speaker 2: Like they've had these horrible halfs against teams. They're five

1533
01:13:28,680 --> 01:13:30,840
Speaker 2: thirteen and one against the spread after playing teams ranked

1534
01:13:30,880 --> 01:13:33,439
Speaker 2: inside the top ten over the past fifteen years, for

1535
01:13:33,520 --> 01:13:36,200
Speaker 2: what it's worth, but I project as closer to ten.

1536
01:13:36,800 --> 01:13:39,320
Speaker 2: I hate everything about this Illinois team. They're all and

1537
01:13:39,360 --> 01:13:40,799
Speaker 2: six against the spread. I think this is the bottom.

1538
01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:43,639
Speaker 2: I'm gonna buy it. You can run on Maryland. That's

1539
01:13:43,640 --> 01:13:47,240
Speaker 2: what Illinois wants to do. And Illinois been the unluckiest

1540
01:13:47,240 --> 01:13:49,360
Speaker 2: team in the country in terms of field position. I

1541
01:13:49,400 --> 01:13:51,719
Speaker 2: think they're you know, it's deflating some of its numbers

1542
01:13:51,760 --> 01:13:54,160
Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. So yeah, I think

1543
01:13:54,200 --> 01:13:58,880
Speaker 2: this is too high by low spot after Maryland lost

1544
01:13:58,920 --> 01:14:01,200
Speaker 2: that game. Stylistically, this is when you want to back Burt.

1545
01:14:01,720 --> 01:14:03,719
Speaker 2: Illinois also had an extra day of prep and rest.

1546
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:07,560
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, Brett Bielima my guy nine and

1547
01:14:07,640 --> 01:14:10,040
Speaker 2: two against the spread as an underdog of more than

1548
01:14:10,080 --> 01:14:12,599
Speaker 2: a field goal, covering by over ten points per game

1549
01:14:12,640 --> 01:14:16,760
Speaker 2: at Illinois six and oh on the road, Bert will

1550
01:14:16,840 --> 01:14:19,360
Speaker 2: ugly this up. Illinois will stay within two touchdowns get

1551
01:14:19,400 --> 01:14:20,240
Speaker 2: its first cover of the years.

1552
01:14:21,120 --> 01:14:24,400
Speaker 1: Illinois one hundred and thirteenth havoc allowed. They killed themselves

1553
01:14:24,439 --> 01:14:27,639
Speaker 1: all the time. Maryland somehow sixteenth and havoc allowed. Usually

1554
01:14:27,720 --> 01:14:30,519
Speaker 1: they do that. So I'm gonna stay off with you.

1555
01:14:30,800 --> 01:14:34,519
Speaker 1: I've got you, Burt all here now you're not no,

1556
01:14:34,680 --> 01:14:36,639
Speaker 1: I mean, come on, come on over to Saturday morning

1557
01:14:36,640 --> 01:14:38,080
Speaker 1: where you see what my record is on the show,

1558
01:14:38,080 --> 01:14:39,720
Speaker 1: and I think I've had Burt twice on there, like,

1559
01:14:39,800 --> 01:14:42,519
Speaker 1: I mean, it just is not time that well, I'm

1560
01:14:42,600 --> 01:14:42,960
Speaker 1: the Burt.

1561
01:14:43,640 --> 01:14:48,320
Speaker 2: I'm the Burt whisper. It's time, lastly, we're gonna get

1562
01:14:48,520 --> 01:14:50,000
Speaker 2: this might be the ugliest of them all and already

1563
01:14:50,040 --> 01:14:53,040
Speaker 2: have bandy Indiana, U mess Purdue in Illinois Pitt. We're

1564
01:14:53,080 --> 01:14:55,920
Speaker 2: gonna Pitt. It's time to buy Pitt. This is the

1565
01:14:55,960 --> 01:14:57,559
Speaker 2: spot of This is the spot of the weekend. It's

1566
01:14:57,600 --> 01:15:00,880
Speaker 2: growth off of bye taking them a Louisville team that

1567
01:15:01,080 --> 01:15:03,280
Speaker 2: just came off an emotional win against Notre Dame. So

1568
01:15:03,439 --> 01:15:06,360
Speaker 2: playing a bunch of close games for a while. For

1569
01:15:06,400 --> 01:15:09,519
Speaker 2: what it's worth, Louisville, I just what is their body

1570
01:15:09,560 --> 01:15:09,880
Speaker 2: of work?

1571
01:15:10,240 --> 01:15:10,280
Speaker 1: Like?

1572
01:15:10,360 --> 01:15:12,719
Speaker 2: You beat Notre Dame in the best spot of the season,

1573
01:15:13,439 --> 01:15:16,120
Speaker 2: an exhausted Notre Dame team that decided to shuffle in

1574
01:15:16,160 --> 01:15:17,920
Speaker 2: offensive lineman and out the whole game and turned it

1575
01:15:17,960 --> 01:15:20,320
Speaker 2: over five times. What does your other body work? You

1576
01:15:20,360 --> 01:15:23,160
Speaker 2: needed a goal line stand to beat Indiana. You beat

1577
01:15:23,360 --> 01:15:26,960
Speaker 2: NC State because Brendan Armstrong is now bench was throwing ducks.

1578
01:15:27,120 --> 01:15:28,800
Speaker 2: By the way, that Indiana team has since fire their

1579
01:15:28,840 --> 01:15:31,960
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator. I mean, like this team has not been

1580
01:15:32,000 --> 01:15:34,560
Speaker 2: in good You could have lost to Georgia Tech, a

1581
01:15:34,640 --> 01:15:36,840
Speaker 2: team that has since fired the defensive coordinator or demoted

1582
01:15:36,880 --> 01:15:39,439
Speaker 2: them like what their resume looks awful. This is a

1583
01:15:39,760 --> 01:15:42,400
Speaker 2: This is a team that is it's they're gonna get

1584
01:15:42,439 --> 01:15:45,439
Speaker 2: picked off soon. I know their schedules. Easy Pitt coming

1585
01:15:45,479 --> 01:15:47,360
Speaker 2: off by made a quarterback change, going with the Penn

1586
01:15:47,400 --> 01:15:49,880
Speaker 2: State transfer. Part of know what you're gonna get. But

1587
01:15:50,000 --> 01:15:52,479
Speaker 2: this is the time to bypit Nardozzia. This is a

1588
01:15:52,560 --> 01:15:55,040
Speaker 2: classic Nardozzi spot. They seem to get one of these

1589
01:15:55,160 --> 01:15:59,479
Speaker 2: a year against the ranked team and Nardusi's nine to

1590
01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:01,639
Speaker 2: two against spread with ten or more days between games,

1591
01:16:01,680 --> 01:16:04,240
Speaker 2: covering by over a touchdown per game. For what it's worth,

1592
01:16:04,720 --> 01:16:06,240
Speaker 2: it's time to buy a pit and fate Louisville.

1593
01:16:06,920 --> 01:16:08,719
Speaker 1: Yeah. I have a thirty five to one on Louisville

1594
01:16:08,720 --> 01:16:11,240
Speaker 1: have an undefeated season. I I totally expected to go

1595
01:16:11,360 --> 01:16:13,360
Speaker 1: down right here. I power rate this game in six

1596
01:16:13,439 --> 01:16:15,800
Speaker 1: and a half, so of course I think it's too high.

1597
01:16:15,880 --> 01:16:18,760
Speaker 1: I will join you on this one. We'll call it

1598
01:16:18,840 --> 01:16:21,240
Speaker 1: an emotional and a financial hedge on a ticket that

1599
01:16:21,280 --> 01:16:23,080
Speaker 1: I didn't think would last pass Notre Dame.

1600
01:16:23,280 --> 01:16:26,759
Speaker 2: All right there. You have the trash bandy Indiana, UMass, Purdue, Illinois,

1601
01:16:26,800 --> 01:16:30,160
Speaker 2: and Pitt. I will either look really smart or really stupid.

1602
01:16:30,520 --> 01:16:33,479
Speaker 2: But I'm used to that, so who cares? All right,

1603
01:16:33,760 --> 01:16:36,080
Speaker 2: But I hope they I hope hope five cash let's

1604
01:16:36,080 --> 01:16:37,920
Speaker 2: go five and one. But could go on in sex.

1605
01:16:37,960 --> 01:16:39,320
Speaker 2: If you're not ready for that and you don't want

1606
01:16:39,400 --> 01:16:41,360
Speaker 2: to lose all your money on bad teams, just don't follow.

1607
01:16:41,479 --> 01:16:43,559
Speaker 2: You can laugh at me if they lose. All right,

1608
01:16:44,080 --> 01:16:46,160
Speaker 2: before we get out of here. Oh wait, by the way,

1609
01:16:46,720 --> 01:16:49,040
Speaker 2: you're thirty second. You will have to be really avoiding

1610
01:16:49,120 --> 01:16:51,280
Speaker 2: this game. Didn't you put this is not on a

1611
01:16:51,360 --> 01:16:54,759
Speaker 2: list that of games you sent me? Alabama? Arkansas?

1612
01:16:55,160 --> 01:16:56,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, what are you hiding from?

1613
01:16:56,680 --> 01:16:57,720
Speaker 2: Thirty seconds go?

1614
01:16:58,200 --> 01:17:00,479
Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna go the over on this game. This

1615
01:17:00,680 --> 01:17:02,800
Speaker 1: is an Arkansas offense that is boom or bust. They

1616
01:17:02,920 --> 01:17:05,360
Speaker 1: either have a bunch of sacks with kJ starting off

1617
01:17:05,439 --> 01:17:07,120
Speaker 1: third and fifteen, third and twenty, and then they have

1618
01:17:07,240 --> 01:17:10,599
Speaker 1: its pass explosives. They can't keep kJ Jefferson clean. All

1619
01:17:10,680 --> 01:17:13,160
Speaker 1: that offensive line shuffling they did. They went back to

1620
01:17:13,280 --> 01:17:16,080
Speaker 1: it in the second half. It didn't work either. That's

1621
01:17:16,120 --> 01:17:17,960
Speaker 1: going to turn into some scores here, but it's also

1622
01:17:18,000 --> 01:17:20,559
Speaker 1: going to turn into excellent field position for Alabama. Who's

1623
01:17:20,560 --> 01:17:23,280
Speaker 1: going to get some cheap scores. But on the Alabama side,

1624
01:17:23,400 --> 01:17:26,519
Speaker 1: I cannot get over how great jay Then Milroe was

1625
01:17:26,640 --> 01:17:29,080
Speaker 1: throwing the ball three hundred and twenty three yards, throwing

1626
01:17:29,160 --> 01:17:32,160
Speaker 1: three tds against a pretty good Texas A and M defense.

1627
01:17:33,160 --> 01:17:35,519
Speaker 1: If you think that Texas A and M is incapable

1628
01:17:35,520 --> 01:17:37,320
Speaker 1: of keeping Jaylen Millroe in the pocket and lett him

1629
01:17:37,360 --> 01:17:39,559
Speaker 1: run around, what do you think Arkansas's offense is going

1630
01:17:39,640 --> 01:17:43,559
Speaker 1: to do with this heavy, aggressive, you know, forty percent

1631
01:17:43,720 --> 01:17:46,599
Speaker 1: blitz sending six seven guys. That is going to turn

1632
01:17:46,640 --> 01:17:48,840
Speaker 1: out to be a disaster. I know this number to

1633
01:17:48,880 --> 01:17:51,400
Speaker 1: keep shooting down. Haven't been able to figure out why.

1634
01:17:52,200 --> 01:17:54,120
Speaker 1: I mean, everybody's healthy, but I am going to take

1635
01:17:54,160 --> 01:17:56,200
Speaker 1: the over end this game. I would love a forty five,

1636
01:17:56,280 --> 01:17:57,600
Speaker 1: but we'll just keep sit there and watch it, and

1637
01:17:58,040 --> 01:17:59,320
Speaker 1: I'll be happy to go over forty six.

1638
01:17:59,200 --> 01:18:01,760
Speaker 2: And a half if that's what's there, Arkansas cover yes

1639
01:18:01,880 --> 01:18:02,000
Speaker 2: or no?

1640
01:18:02,600 --> 01:18:02,800
Speaker 1: Yes?

1641
01:18:03,200 --> 01:18:05,880
Speaker 2: Okay, we are you out of here. Let's go three

1642
01:18:05,920 --> 01:18:06,160
Speaker 2: and out.

1643
01:18:08,160 --> 01:18:10,240
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1644
01:18:10,960 --> 01:18:13,799
Speaker 2: All right, let's start first down. We got Friday night lights.

1645
01:18:13,960 --> 01:18:16,599
Speaker 1: Chair, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1646
01:18:17,439 --> 01:18:21,599
Speaker 2: Let's three games here. Two lane at Memphis Market disagrees

1647
01:18:21,600 --> 01:18:22,680
Speaker 2: with me, But I like Memphis here.

1648
01:18:23,840 --> 01:18:26,160
Speaker 1: What's his number doing? Why is this number moving so much?

1649
01:18:26,720 --> 01:18:28,160
Speaker 2: I don't know it was hurt.

1650
01:18:28,640 --> 01:18:31,360
Speaker 1: Pratt's not hurt. Hennigan's not hurt. I don't understand what

1651
01:18:31,479 --> 01:18:32,400
Speaker 1: this move was at all.

1652
01:18:32,960 --> 01:18:35,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's up to four and a half. I like

1653
01:18:35,160 --> 01:18:38,200
Speaker 2: anything if you'l goal or above. And I like the

1654
01:18:38,280 --> 01:18:40,120
Speaker 2: matchup for Memphis. You can throw in this two lane team.

1655
01:18:40,120 --> 01:18:43,080
Speaker 2: You can't run on them, but that Memphis really wants

1656
01:18:43,160 --> 01:18:45,800
Speaker 2: to just have Henniken move the ball down the field

1657
01:18:45,880 --> 01:18:48,599
Speaker 2: methodically through the air. Tu lane can't run the ball.

1658
01:18:49,000 --> 01:18:50,439
Speaker 2: It's just how you can attack this.

1659
01:18:50,560 --> 01:18:54,000
Speaker 1: Memphis dre terrible, are terrible in the red zone.

1660
01:18:54,360 --> 01:18:56,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, so, and the part of that is they're run,

1661
01:18:56,160 --> 01:18:58,400
Speaker 2: they're run issues. They don't have spears anymore. So I

1662
01:18:58,439 --> 01:19:00,479
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be closer to pick. I like Memphis

1663
01:19:00,840 --> 01:19:04,200
Speaker 2: Fresno State at Utah State backup quarterbacks going up against

1664
01:19:04,200 --> 01:19:07,760
Speaker 2: each other. Although Legas was the starter, now he's going

1665
01:19:07,800 --> 01:19:10,600
Speaker 2: to be starting again because Hildebrand is hurt. Looks like

1666
01:19:10,680 --> 01:19:13,320
Speaker 2: Mikey Keanes out for Fresno. That means Logan fight for

1667
01:19:13,400 --> 01:19:14,360
Speaker 2: his stinks will start.

1668
01:19:15,200 --> 01:19:17,639
Speaker 1: Shout out to Mike Ianello on the G five guys,

1669
01:19:18,320 --> 01:19:20,439
Speaker 1: I think i LL thinks he's a better quarter quarterback

1670
01:19:20,520 --> 01:19:23,960
Speaker 1: than Cooper Lagos. So yeah, we got some pretty I

1671
01:19:24,040 --> 01:19:25,040
Speaker 1: took the under in this game.

1672
01:19:25,560 --> 01:19:27,320
Speaker 2: I have no feel in that game. And then stan

1673
01:19:27,640 --> 01:19:29,840
Speaker 2: you agree on Memphis right, yeah?

1674
01:19:29,920 --> 01:19:30,880
Speaker 1: Absolutely one percent?

1675
01:19:31,600 --> 01:19:35,040
Speaker 2: And then Stanford of Colorado. I like Stanford. I think

1676
01:19:35,080 --> 01:19:38,360
Speaker 2: Ashton Daniel should be good to go. Is Colorado team again?

1677
01:19:38,520 --> 01:19:41,280
Speaker 2: All these games in a row now short week. Stanford

1678
01:19:41,320 --> 01:19:43,479
Speaker 2: off of a bye, with the brand new offense and

1679
01:19:43,560 --> 01:19:45,439
Speaker 2: a good staff, I think they'll figure some things out.

1680
01:19:46,040 --> 01:19:49,400
Speaker 2: And Colorado just profile is a horrible favor. Never take

1681
01:19:49,479 --> 01:19:52,080
Speaker 2: calaud as a favor. They know they can't run the

1682
01:19:52,120 --> 01:19:54,960
Speaker 2: ball and they play no defense. So like it could

1683
01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:57,839
Speaker 2: be up twenty and I wouldn't be that scared. Stanford

1684
01:19:57,880 --> 01:19:59,439
Speaker 2: Sanford's Socaca Yeah.

1685
01:19:59,360 --> 01:20:02,439
Speaker 1: Full right up. Over at Action Network, I said, tell everybody,

1686
01:20:02,520 --> 01:20:04,080
Speaker 1: let's bet on the under. I bet the under on

1687
01:20:04,200 --> 01:20:07,320
Speaker 1: fifty nine. I'd do it again. It's sixty. I'll let

1688
01:20:07,320 --> 01:20:08,680
Speaker 1: you guys go read it. But these teams are one

1689
01:20:08,760 --> 01:20:11,280
Speaker 1: hundred and fourteenth and one hundred and eighteenth and offensive

1690
01:20:11,400 --> 01:20:15,639
Speaker 1: momentum killer rate, which means how many tenurard penalties turnover sacks.

1691
01:20:16,280 --> 01:20:19,800
Speaker 1: These two offenses are terrible at it. Plus I love

1692
01:20:19,840 --> 01:20:22,280
Speaker 1: the Travis Hunters back. I think that helps Colorado defense.

1693
01:20:22,320 --> 01:20:23,320
Speaker 1: I like the under in this one.

1694
01:20:23,800 --> 01:20:26,639
Speaker 2: All right, moving on to second down. Our favorite overdog

1695
01:20:26,760 --> 01:20:27,639
Speaker 2: or favorite favorite.

1696
01:20:27,640 --> 01:20:29,200
Speaker 1: It's called the overdog parlay.

1697
01:20:29,520 --> 01:20:32,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go South Carolina at home against Florida, a

1698
01:20:32,080 --> 01:20:34,800
Speaker 2: team that can't win on the road. We've seen it

1699
01:20:34,960 --> 01:20:37,639
Speaker 2: over and over again. They even lost at Vandy last year.

1700
01:20:38,000 --> 01:20:40,040
Speaker 2: They lost at South Carolina two years ago. By I

1701
01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:43,240
Speaker 2: think thirty South Carolina is trying to avenge an embarrassing loss.

1702
01:20:43,240 --> 01:20:45,320
Speaker 2: They've talked about it for a while. They're coming off

1703
01:20:45,400 --> 01:20:47,000
Speaker 2: a bye. Here Shane Diemer, for what it's worth, three

1704
01:20:47,000 --> 01:20:49,920
Speaker 2: to zero against spread off of a bye. His teams

1705
01:20:49,920 --> 01:20:53,760
Speaker 2: have all one outright against SEC teams as underdogs. And look,

1706
01:20:53,920 --> 01:20:56,960
Speaker 2: I'm fading Graham marks in on the road at under

1707
01:20:57,000 --> 01:21:00,400
Speaker 2: a field goal. Happily did it with Kentuckyly do it

1708
01:21:00,439 --> 01:21:03,320
Speaker 2: again here with South Carolina. Should be a little bit healthier.

1709
01:21:03,320 --> 01:21:05,559
Speaker 2: They dealt with a lot of injuries young offensive line

1710
01:21:05,640 --> 01:21:06,920
Speaker 2: is needed time to jail, so I think the two

1711
01:21:06,960 --> 01:21:11,599
Speaker 2: weeks will do them some good. I like South Carolina.

1712
01:21:11,640 --> 01:21:15,320
Speaker 2: I'll take a better quarterback at home in a good

1713
01:21:15,360 --> 01:21:17,560
Speaker 2: spot against the Florida team that can't win on the

1714
01:21:17,600 --> 01:21:19,960
Speaker 2: roather talking about they're trying to do all things different Napiers,

1715
01:21:20,960 --> 01:21:22,360
Speaker 2: it's a mess. It be South Carolina.

1716
01:21:22,640 --> 01:21:25,000
Speaker 1: I'm going to go with Utah here. There is a

1717
01:21:25,400 --> 01:21:29,160
Speaker 1: very strong sense that Cam Rising might be back for

1718
01:21:29,280 --> 01:21:31,559
Speaker 1: this game. Of course, you will never get anything out

1719
01:21:31,600 --> 01:21:33,320
Speaker 1: of the Utah coaches, You'll never get anything out of

1720
01:21:33,400 --> 01:21:36,400
Speaker 1: Kyle Winningham. But the word on the street is that

1721
01:21:36,560 --> 01:21:38,320
Speaker 1: he is actually going to play in this game. That

1722
01:21:38,400 --> 01:21:41,200
Speaker 1: completely changes the dynamic of the Utah offense against a

1723
01:21:41,320 --> 01:21:44,880
Speaker 1: cold defense that is near dead last against the past.

1724
01:21:44,960 --> 01:21:47,280
Speaker 1: They don't create any havoc whatsoever, and they're one hundred

1725
01:21:47,280 --> 01:21:50,439
Speaker 1: and thirtieth in defensive finishing drives. Whether Cam Rising plays

1726
01:21:50,600 --> 01:21:54,880
Speaker 1: or not, anybody is scoring maximum points in scoring position

1727
01:21:55,400 --> 01:21:58,560
Speaker 1: against this cal defense and plus Utah defense one of

1728
01:21:58,600 --> 01:22:01,560
Speaker 1: the best in the nation from every single metric, and

1729
01:22:01,600 --> 01:22:03,479
Speaker 1: they should be able to contain anything that Col's got

1730
01:22:03,520 --> 01:22:06,599
Speaker 1: on the offensive side. So let's see if Cameraising plays.

1731
01:22:07,280 --> 01:22:09,920
Speaker 1: I project this fifteen with him playing, This is a

1732
01:22:09,960 --> 01:22:12,320
Speaker 1: ten and a half eleven right now. I suspect it

1733
01:22:12,400 --> 01:22:14,920
Speaker 1: takes no drop if he's not announced playing. So let's

1734
01:22:14,920 --> 01:22:15,479
Speaker 1: go ahead and take.

1735
01:22:15,400 --> 01:22:19,719
Speaker 2: You talk and one final test. Third down, our favorite

1736
01:22:20,000 --> 01:22:27,599
Speaker 2: money line underdogs turning good weekends into great weekends. It's

1737
01:22:27,720 --> 01:22:31,519
Speaker 2: time for the money line parlay. I'll kick things off,

1738
01:22:31,600 --> 01:22:35,240
Speaker 2: We'll go pit. It's classic nordoozy spot, great situational spot,

1739
01:22:35,600 --> 01:22:38,880
Speaker 2: new quarterback, which creates some variants here, which I like

1740
01:22:39,000 --> 01:22:42,080
Speaker 2: with a bigger money line underdog, a lot of uncertainty.

1741
01:22:42,200 --> 01:22:43,800
Speaker 2: What is the offense going to look like? It can

1742
01:22:43,880 --> 01:22:46,760
Speaker 2: only be better, But it's also just a great situational

1743
01:22:46,800 --> 01:22:50,960
Speaker 2: spot here against a fraudulent Louisville team that should have

1744
01:22:51,000 --> 01:22:52,920
Speaker 2: a couple of losses in its back pocket coming off

1745
01:22:53,000 --> 01:22:57,320
Speaker 2: a big game, huge win over Notre Dame. Meanwhile, Pitt

1746
01:22:57,439 --> 01:22:59,879
Speaker 2: coming off the buy, made some changes on the offense.

1747
01:23:00,560 --> 01:23:02,400
Speaker 2: I think the Panthers have a good shot of picking

1748
01:23:02,439 --> 01:23:05,280
Speaker 2: off Louisville here in a great situational spot. Where are

1749
01:23:05,320 --> 01:23:05,639
Speaker 2: you going?

1750
01:23:06,040 --> 01:23:07,960
Speaker 1: Yeah? I think UCLA can do the unthinkable and go

1751
01:23:08,000 --> 01:23:10,200
Speaker 1: in and beat Jonathan Smith and the Oregon State team.

1752
01:23:10,360 --> 01:23:13,559
Speaker 1: And this Ucla defense has been fantastic under Danton Lynn,

1753
01:23:14,320 --> 01:23:16,880
Speaker 1: the defensive coordinator they hired from the Ravens staff, sort

1754
01:23:16,880 --> 01:23:18,840
Speaker 1: of that model that Michigan has had the last couple

1755
01:23:18,880 --> 01:23:21,559
Speaker 1: of years. It has shown in the advanced numbers for UCLA,

1756
01:23:22,320 --> 01:23:24,479
Speaker 1: Tu Latu is one of the best defensive edges in

1757
01:23:24,520 --> 01:23:29,160
Speaker 1: the nation. Nearly thirty pressures already eighteen quarterback hurries. They

1758
01:23:29,240 --> 01:23:31,479
Speaker 1: are stout no matter what down and distance it is.

1759
01:23:31,800 --> 01:23:33,639
Speaker 1: And I know everyone wants to focus on the mistakes

1760
01:23:33,680 --> 01:23:36,040
Speaker 1: that Dante Moore has had. Yes, he is a freshman,

1761
01:23:36,840 --> 01:23:38,920
Speaker 1: but they have to give him maximum playing time because

1762
01:23:38,920 --> 01:23:40,439
Speaker 1: a rumor on the street is that he will leave

1763
01:23:40,479 --> 01:23:42,800
Speaker 1: and transfer somewhere else. But he's got it. In the

1764
01:23:42,840 --> 01:23:46,280
Speaker 1: advanced numbers fifteen big time throws a six turnover worthy plays.

1765
01:23:46,640 --> 01:23:50,000
Speaker 1: His struggles really come against cover three. Oregon State doesn't

1766
01:23:50,080 --> 01:23:53,840
Speaker 1: run cover three. They always run quarters. I expect Dante

1767
01:23:53,920 --> 01:23:55,560
Speaker 1: Moore to have one of his best games of the

1768
01:23:55,600 --> 01:23:58,960
Speaker 1: season in terms of going through the air. Plus opponents

1769
01:23:59,000 --> 01:24:01,880
Speaker 1: are creating explosive against on the ground against Oregon State

1770
01:24:01,920 --> 01:24:04,080
Speaker 1: at a huge rate. Beavers are outside the top one

1771
01:24:04,160 --> 01:24:07,160
Speaker 1: hundred and tackling their defensive rushing success rates outside the

1772
01:24:07,200 --> 01:24:09,840
Speaker 1: top one hundred. They allowed nineteen first downs a game.

1773
01:24:09,880 --> 01:24:13,280
Speaker 1: I think UCLA is methodical and explosive. They shut them

1774
01:24:13,320 --> 01:24:14,080
Speaker 1: down on defense.

1775
01:24:14,320 --> 01:24:17,360
Speaker 2: Give me the Bruins, all right, good stuff. There. By

1776
01:24:17,400 --> 01:24:20,120
Speaker 2: the way, do a couple of giveaways. Kirk Parr my

1777
01:24:20,200 --> 01:24:23,120
Speaker 2: favorite cultural podcast, leave a five star review. They really

1778
01:24:23,120 --> 01:24:26,439
Speaker 2: help us out. Say whatever you want eating this guy

1779
01:24:26,560 --> 01:24:28,599
Speaker 2: fish seven five or seven. The guys do their homework

1780
01:24:28,640 --> 01:24:29,920
Speaker 2: on the games, but when they give out picks, take

1781
01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:31,960
Speaker 2: the opposite. I mean, you're not going to find a podcast.

1782
01:24:31,960 --> 01:24:34,120
Speaker 2: I was giving out more winners over the past two

1783
01:24:34,160 --> 01:24:34,920
Speaker 2: seasons in this one.

1784
01:24:35,000 --> 01:24:37,240
Speaker 1: So, by the way, no one else is tracking either.

1785
01:24:37,280 --> 01:24:39,200
Speaker 1: No one else has a no one else has an

1786
01:24:39,240 --> 01:24:42,000
Speaker 1: app that makes it holds you. You know, I believe,

1787
01:24:42,000 --> 01:24:43,280
Speaker 1: I know there's no one else.

1788
01:24:43,160 --> 01:24:45,559
Speaker 2: Listens to voice speils getting yelled at for any losing pets.

1789
01:24:45,640 --> 01:24:47,840
Speaker 2: For sure, I will tell you that. But I the

1790
01:24:47,960 --> 01:24:51,400
Speaker 2: last two years I've hit about sixty three percent. You're

1791
01:24:51,400 --> 01:24:53,160
Speaker 2: saying that now, I've had some seasons where that would

1792
01:24:53,200 --> 01:24:54,080
Speaker 2: be a warrant to comment.

1793
01:24:54,280 --> 01:24:56,000
Speaker 1: Oh, by the way, we can't delete our plays in

1794
01:24:56,040 --> 01:24:58,160
Speaker 1: the app either. There are other tracking apps where they're

1795
01:24:58,280 --> 01:24:59,479
Speaker 1: experts delete their play.

1796
01:24:59,640 --> 01:25:00,240
Speaker 2: We can't that.

1797
01:25:00,680 --> 01:25:02,280
Speaker 1: I mean it's I mean what you see in there

1798
01:25:02,400 --> 01:25:02,840
Speaker 1: is legit.

1799
01:25:03,400 --> 01:25:05,040
Speaker 2: Frank Doll, Colin it stuck, You're great. Used to sit

1800
01:25:05,080 --> 01:25:06,880
Speaker 2: out Saturday because thought college football is too our to bet.

1801
01:25:06,960 --> 01:25:09,120
Speaker 2: Finding the show has opened up. My weekend also came

1802
01:25:09,200 --> 01:25:11,960
Speaker 2: up huge last year during bowl season. Can't count these

1803
01:25:12,000 --> 01:25:15,320
Speaker 2: guys enough, cannot wait, truly valuable starts. The general nation

1804
01:25:15,800 --> 01:25:18,840
Speaker 2: can't wait for both season always tends to be profitable

1805
01:25:19,680 --> 01:25:23,720
Speaker 2: for the podcast. Mhk Ron. Great analysis, really fun to

1806
01:25:23,760 --> 01:25:25,720
Speaker 2: listen to. Best part every Monday. They eat crap for

1807
01:25:25,760 --> 01:25:28,120
Speaker 2: every pick they get wrong. Thank you, m hk Ron.

1808
01:25:28,479 --> 01:25:29,880
Speaker 2: Anyone I'm listening to, just reach out to me or

1809
01:25:29,920 --> 01:25:32,160
Speaker 2: a producer Mat Mitchill. Get you some gear Boss three

1810
01:25:32,200 --> 01:25:33,479
Speaker 2: two eight seven. I love it. You guys are always

1811
01:25:33,479 --> 01:25:35,479
Speaker 2: spot on and it's a fun show. Marlow eight to

1812
01:25:35,479 --> 01:25:37,280
Speaker 2: two oh one. Listen to Wednesday's deep dive for the

1813
01:25:37,320 --> 01:25:40,040
Speaker 2: first time. Very good breakdown. Keep it up, guys, Thank you,

1814
01:25:40,200 --> 01:25:43,320
Speaker 2: reach out juice Er. I have learned more from Colin

1815
01:25:43,360 --> 01:25:44,760
Speaker 2: stucky In. There's six years of podcast and I have

1816
01:25:44,840 --> 01:25:47,599
Speaker 2: my entire scholastic career and that includes grad school. These

1817
01:25:47,640 --> 01:25:50,120
Speaker 2: guys have taught me so much they must listen. Love

1818
01:25:50,160 --> 01:25:52,759
Speaker 2: that really helps us out. Make sure you subscribe on Subscribe,

1819
01:25:52,760 --> 01:25:55,960
Speaker 2: subscribe to a friends, tell on enemy. Also, don't forget

1820
01:25:56,360 --> 01:25:59,200
Speaker 2: with hockey season starting. Check out line Change Action Networks

1821
01:25:59,240 --> 01:26:02,160
Speaker 2: Hockey Betting podcast for everything you need to bet the

1822
01:26:02,280 --> 01:26:04,960
Speaker 2: NHL season. Love the crew we have assembled for that,

1823
01:26:05,600 --> 01:26:08,599
Speaker 2: that'll do it for us. We will be back Saturday,

1824
01:26:08,680 --> 01:26:11,799
Speaker 2: ten thirty am Eastern Live for the week seven BBOC

1825
01:26:12,439 --> 01:26:15,080
Speaker 2: Live Show. We'll tweet out that link, it'll be on

1826
01:26:15,120 --> 01:26:17,599
Speaker 2: YouTube and in the app with myself, Colin and Brett McMurphy.

1827
01:26:17,760 --> 01:26:19,880
Speaker 2: We will then have the recap episode, which will be

1828
01:26:19,960 --> 01:26:22,960
Speaker 2: out by Monday morning. Make sure you leave voicemails yell

1829
01:26:23,000 --> 01:26:24,920
Speaker 2: at me for all the trash that gets annihilated nine

1830
01:26:24,920 --> 01:26:27,680
Speaker 2: to five nine bad beat. Yell whatever you want and

1831
01:26:28,000 --> 01:26:30,439
Speaker 2: we'll play those back. Then we'll be back next week

1832
01:26:30,479 --> 01:26:32,920
Speaker 2: week Gate A group of five guys. We're back. It's

1833
01:26:33,439 --> 01:26:36,920
Speaker 2: an exciting time of the year. I hope everyone is

1834
01:26:37,439 --> 01:26:40,519
Speaker 2: stay safe, enjoys the weekend and picks a lot of winners.

1835
01:26:40,880 --> 01:26:43,400
Speaker 2: But enjoy the weekend and we'll catch you all later years.

1836
01:26:43,760 --> 01:27:00,680
Speaker 1: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1837
01:27:01,120 --> 01:27:03,920
Speaker 3: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1838
01:27:04,240 --> 01:27:07,200
Speaker 3: Help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1839
01:27:07,240 --> 01:27:07,679
Speaker 3: Gambler