WEBVTT - NFL Wild Card Best Bets (Ep. 72) 0:00:13.840 --> 0:00:17.520 Hey there, everybody. Welcome into the playoff edition of the 0:00:17.560 --> 0:00:20.360 Betting Pros NFL podcast. I'm your host Dan Harris. With me, 0:00:20.440 --> 0:00:22.480 of course, is Matt Perrault. Find us on Twitter at 0:00:22.560 --> 0:00:25.760 Dan Harris Ady and that sports talk Matt, Matt, are 0:00:25.800 --> 0:00:27.960 you ready for the playoffs? 0:00:28.080 --> 0:00:30.120 Yeah? I am, and I'm really excited to get to 0:00:30.160 --> 0:00:32.880 these games on Saturday Sunday because really it's a three 0:00:32.960 --> 0:00:35.920 day run of football Saturday, Sunday Monday into the National 0:00:35.920 --> 0:00:38.239 title game for college football. So this is really an 0:00:38.320 --> 0:00:41.040 interesting week three, three and one to get into. It's 0:00:41.040 --> 0:00:43.080 a great betting stretch. This is kind of the last 0:00:43.120 --> 0:00:47.280 hurrah of the betting, real betting seriousness we can get into. 0:00:47.320 --> 0:00:49.200 And then we get to the postseason a little bit 0:00:49.200 --> 0:00:51.360 deeper and we start losing teams in the NFL, so 0:00:52.479 --> 0:00:55.160 college basketball and college in the NBA not great for 0:00:55.240 --> 0:00:57.920 me on the daily juice, Let's do football. I'm good. 0:00:58.360 --> 0:01:00.600 I love it. I'm so excited. This is going to 0:01:00.680 --> 0:01:03.480 be a fantastic weekend with six games. I'm in a 0:01:03.520 --> 0:01:05.280 great mood today, Matt. Just going to put it out 0:01:05.280 --> 0:01:08.200 there because my Mets made a huge trade for Francisco 0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:10.800 Lindor and Carlos Carrasco and I'm working right now. If 0:01:10.800 --> 0:01:13.520 you're on YouTube channel, YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. 0:01:13.680 --> 0:01:16.200 I've got the wireless headphones working, Matt. I finally set 0:01:16.240 --> 0:01:17.920 them up, so I feel like a brand new man. 0:01:18.000 --> 0:01:20.440 So we are going to crush every single bet that 0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:22.720 we got nowt here's the deal. You know, the DraftKings 0:01:22.720 --> 0:01:25.240 competition as we've been doing all season long. Okay, and 0:01:25.280 --> 0:01:27.880 that's over. As it was last week. We still made 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:30.240 our five picks last week, Matt. I don't know about you. 0:01:30.280 --> 0:01:32.000 We'll go through those, by the way, because we did well, Matt. 0:01:32.040 --> 0:01:34.400 We went four and one on our pits last week. 0:01:35.040 --> 0:01:37.040 I don't think we need to come to a consensus. 0:01:37.080 --> 0:01:39.120 I think we just go through the games, we break 0:01:39.160 --> 0:01:41.760 them down, we give our sides, we talk about some 0:01:41.840 --> 0:01:44.280 interesting stuff. I know you said we got some questions 0:01:44.280 --> 0:01:47.200 that some people want answered this week on our discord 0:01:47.319 --> 0:01:49.200 channel of course, so we can do that. But I 0:01:49.240 --> 0:01:51.400 don't think we have to like talk. I mean we 0:01:51.440 --> 0:01:52.960 can talk, we'll talk about him, but I don't think 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:55.080 we have to reach consensus and reach like the couple 0:01:55.120 --> 0:01:56.240 of bets that want to do or do you think 0:01:56.240 --> 0:01:56.920 we should do that. 0:01:57.240 --> 0:01:59.880 I think we should have a couple of our favorite plays. Sure, 0:02:00.120 --> 0:02:01.800 but I think what's the difference with this week. I 0:02:01.800 --> 0:02:03.360 think we got to bring in totals too. 0:02:03.840 --> 0:02:06.760 Yeah, so I we'll talk about the totals in every game. 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:09.360 Absolutely, so I think we should talk about that more 0:02:09.480 --> 0:02:12.359 to kind of you know, we normally just do the sides, 0:02:12.480 --> 0:02:14.440 so now we're going to add a hole. So normally, 0:02:14.480 --> 0:02:16.920 you know, we give out six, this would be six sides. Well, 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:19.040 now we got six totals stuck out as well. So yeah, 0:02:19.120 --> 0:02:20.839 I think the favorite plays should be in there. 0:02:21.080 --> 0:02:23.200 Yeah, we'll go game by game and sort of do it, 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.160 but it'll least I think in the end. You know, 0:02:25.240 --> 0:02:27.240 sometimes Matt's on one side of the game, I'm on 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:28.919 another side of the game, and sometimes with your trick 0:02:28.919 --> 0:02:31.519 consensus but we don't. But I've seen I've been following 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:34.400 you on Twitter this week, Matt, and I know you 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:37.320 like one team at the very least, which, well, we'll 0:02:37.360 --> 0:02:38.720 have to talk about which I'm not sure I'm going 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:40.640 to back you on, but we'll get there. But very quickly, 0:02:40.680 --> 0:02:42.520 let's recap last week, because we did make our five 0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:44.680 picks and it went well. We were correct on these 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:47.840 Steelers getting nine from the Browns, the Packers laying five 0:02:47.880 --> 0:02:50.359 and a half to the Bears, Washington laying one and 0:02:50.400 --> 0:02:51.839 a half to the Eagles. That was you, by the way, 0:02:51.840 --> 0:02:53.680 well done on that one. The Rams getting three from 0:02:53.680 --> 0:02:55.840 the Seahawks, which we both really liked. The only one 0:02:55.880 --> 0:02:58.040 we lost on was the Vikings laying six and a 0:02:58.080 --> 0:03:01.160 half to the Lines. And again to me, I thought 0:03:01.320 --> 0:03:03.040 Chase Daniel was going to start. I did not think 0:03:03.080 --> 0:03:04.720 Stafford was going to be able to suit up for 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:06.760 that game, but kudos to that guy who's just as 0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:08.839 tough as nails and guts it out. I did also 0:03:08.919 --> 0:03:10.840 hit on the two team teaser that I bet and 0:03:10.919 --> 0:03:13.560 announced while we were doing that podcast, which was teasing 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.160 the Steelers up from minus nine to minus fifteen and 0:03:16.960 --> 0:03:20.160 teasing the Titans down from minus seven and a half 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:23.240 to minus one and a half. How is your week seventeen? Otherwise, Matt? 0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:25.040 Other than the picks that we agreed on there. 0:03:25.040 --> 0:03:28.800 I missed cashing in the Westgate reboot by half a point. Yeah, 0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:31.440 so that's kind of happen. Went three and two in 0:03:31.480 --> 0:03:34.639 the Westgate Titans killed us. I laid the seven and 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:37.440 a half with the Titans. Yeah, that killed us. They 0:03:37.520 --> 0:03:39.720 had it the whole way. The Panthers were a bad 0:03:39.760 --> 0:03:42.080 pick for us. They got destroyed by the Saints. I 0:03:42.080 --> 0:03:44.320 thought they'd keep that game close, catching six points from 0:03:44.360 --> 0:03:46.720 the Saints, but you know, three and two. What really 0:03:46.840 --> 0:03:49.760 hurt us was that Satan's that's that Steelers Ravens game 0:03:49.800 --> 0:03:52.560 that got postponed to Wednesday. We had it right. If 0:03:52.600 --> 0:03:55.080 we got that right now, other people might have as well. 0:03:55.160 --> 0:03:57.000 So it's kind of tough how it all kind of 0:03:57.000 --> 0:03:59.160 works out with these contests. But to be a half 0:03:59.160 --> 0:04:02.120 a point out of the money, that definitely stunk in 0:04:02.600 --> 0:04:04.720 the West Gates. So and then we ended up with 0:04:04.760 --> 0:04:06.680 a decent I think we went. We ended up going 0:04:06.720 --> 0:04:08.880 three and two in the circa too, So it was 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:10.640 it was an okay week. It was. It was a 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:12.760 decent Daily Juice, went three and one in the Daily 0:04:12.840 --> 0:04:15.120 Juice on Sunday, and then we did really well in 0:04:15.160 --> 0:04:17.920 the props. You you crushed the prop Betsy. 0:04:18.120 --> 0:04:20.400 We could have we could have easily swept those by 0:04:20.440 --> 0:04:21.080 the way, right. 0:04:20.960 --> 0:04:24.840 I probably should have. Yeah, Mike Evans getting hurt early 0:04:24.920 --> 0:04:27.800 definitely stung. You had six that went four and two. 0:04:27.920 --> 0:04:30.039 I had a two of my own. Uh that that 0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:32.600 the cash that they went two and oh and uh 0:04:33.080 --> 0:04:35.960 the the John Walford at minus one oh five. Yes, 0:04:36.600 --> 0:04:38.960 I bet my I bet two point two five units 0:04:39.080 --> 0:04:41.400 on on these things. So I probably I look back 0:04:41.440 --> 0:04:43.240 on it and like I knew that was gonna hit 0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:45.040 and hit in the second drive of the whole game 0:04:45.440 --> 0:04:45.840 that hit. 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:49.040 You were all over that one. By the way, I 0:04:49.080 --> 0:04:51.200 assume if you listen this podcast, you probably listened to 0:04:51.200 --> 0:04:53.400 the Daily Juice podcast was Jesus the podcast at Matt 0:04:53.440 --> 0:04:56.479 hosts every single day. He'd done it from the hospital room. 0:04:56.520 --> 0:04:58.599 He's done it on Christmas morning, He's done it on 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:02.560 New Year's Day, you know morning, you know into you know, uh, 0:05:03.120 --> 0:05:05.880 the Year's eve. So it's a great podcast, the Daily Juice. 0:05:05.920 --> 0:05:09.160 But one of things Matt does is he bets makes 0:05:09.279 --> 0:05:12.600 several plays every single day, and one of the things 0:05:12.600 --> 0:05:15.000 that I do is I record them because we want 0:05:15.000 --> 0:05:17.320 to be transparent, of course, and we talk about you know, 0:05:17.320 --> 0:05:20.400 Matt talks about units and everything like that. So recently 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:23.760 I totaled up how Matt did for all of his 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:27.240 bets by Sport through twenty twenty. And the good thing 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.240 is we're going to be posting an article about that shortly, 0:05:30.320 --> 0:05:33.080 Matt really on Bettingpros dot com. Oh, so we're gonna 0:05:33.080 --> 0:05:35.480 be yeah, we're going to be putting that whole spreadsheet up, 0:05:35.520 --> 0:05:38.560 Matt on bettingpros dot com so that people who follow 0:05:38.600 --> 0:05:41.120 you can look. So now you really want to you, 0:05:41.120 --> 0:05:42.640 we're up in the game for you, my friend. 0:05:42.720 --> 0:05:43.599 This is just non's. 0:05:43.760 --> 0:05:45.760 People are just gonna be staring at your plays all 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:48.520 day long, right, so be careful with it, including it. 0:05:48.640 --> 0:05:50.360 It's going to update in real time, by the way, 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:52.200 So this is whenever I update it, which is I 0:05:52.240 --> 0:05:54.120 almost always listened to it first thing in the morning. 0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:56.360 I like to be the one Matt has offered to 0:05:56.440 --> 0:05:58.680 update it. I insist on doing it because I listened 0:05:58.680 --> 0:06:00.440 to the juice anyway, so I like to be able 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:02.360 to do it. So, Matt, that's gonna be up. It's 0:06:02.400 --> 0:06:03.919 probably within a couple days. So you can look for 0:06:03.960 --> 0:06:06.159 that over at betting Pros dot com and follow all 0:06:06.200 --> 0:06:09.400 of Matt's plays, and you know, he's been pretty successful 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:10.839 this year. So let's help you keep it up, Matt. 0:06:10.880 --> 0:06:11.719 Now that you're gonna get the. 0:06:12.000 --> 0:06:14.719 Well, the future wagers saved my tail. So that was 0:06:14.880 --> 0:06:17.640 of the that was kind of the story of twenty twenty. 0:06:18.000 --> 0:06:21.000 I ended up hitting fifty one fifty two percent is 0:06:21.000 --> 0:06:22.720 what we went, which is a little bit less than 0:06:22.720 --> 0:06:25.680 we want for the juice perspective. But we hit on 0:06:25.279 --> 0:06:28.200 a bunch of futures six and one on the NFL 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:30.719 for futures two and zero in Major League Baseball. I 0:06:30.720 --> 0:06:32.880 was up ten units in Baseball, So. 0:06:33.120 --> 0:06:35.280 I got like, you got the World Series, right, I mean. 0:06:35.240 --> 0:06:38.080 Yeah, Tampa and and and the Dodgers, not exactly. I 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:39.719 didn't go out on a limb too much on the Dodgers, 0:06:39.720 --> 0:06:42.760 but taking Tampa plus one thousand was was really nice. 0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:46.159 So hitting those really helped a lot when it came 0:06:46.200 --> 0:06:49.320 to making money. And so we ended up up over 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:51.920 eleven units for the year for the first seven months 0:06:51.960 --> 0:06:54.320 of the juice. So not bad, very very good. 0:06:54.360 --> 0:06:56.880 All right, So let's get into this weekend's games again. 0:06:56.920 --> 0:06:59.160 I'm going to be looking at the consensus lines over 0:06:59.200 --> 0:07:01.520 at betting prost. If you have other lines that you're 0:07:01.520 --> 0:07:03.440 aware of that you're on in Vegas, might be different. 0:07:03.520 --> 0:07:07.200 DraftKings is not always exactly identical to the consensus lines. Again, 0:07:07.279 --> 0:07:08.640 that's where I can do it. So we'll talk through 0:07:08.640 --> 0:07:10.360 all of that, and some of them have moved in 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:14.360 just this morning, the Bucks Washington game. That's been moving 0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:16.240 all over the place as far as I can tell, 0:07:16.240 --> 0:07:18.160 Like earlier today it was minus nine. Right now the 0:07:18.160 --> 0:07:20.520 consensus line is minus eight. I don't even see a 0:07:20.560 --> 0:07:21.440 minus nine out there. 0:07:21.480 --> 0:07:23.800 Do you know why? You know? 0:07:23.880 --> 0:07:26.840 Why are the Is there any news or it is 0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:29.200 just that the sharps are hammering it bad? 0:07:29.280 --> 0:07:33.520 Guys are coming in on my side bag. So the Westgate, sorry, 0:07:34.160 --> 0:07:36.520 the South Point here in Vegas, they went to eight 0:07:36.560 --> 0:07:38.880 and a half because the public kept on betting on Tampa, 0:07:39.520 --> 0:07:43.240 and the second it went to nine, they got annihilated 0:07:44.240 --> 0:07:47.640 huge amounts of money on Washington at plus nine. So 0:07:47.640 --> 0:07:49.240 if you want to know where the number is in 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:52.000 terms of what's going to fire on the dog, nine's 0:07:52.040 --> 0:07:54.440 the number where the dogs are firing, all right. 0:07:54.520 --> 0:07:56.280 So we'll get into that one, but let's go in 0:07:56.280 --> 0:07:58.320 the order that they're going to be played. The Colts 0:07:58.320 --> 0:08:01.040 are visiting the Bills. The Bills are at minus six 0:08:01.080 --> 0:08:03.520 and a half. The total is at fifty one on 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:06.280 the consensus line. There's a couple of fifty one and 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:08.440 a half's out there, but fifty one for the consensus line. 0:08:08.480 --> 0:08:10.520 So Matt, breakdown how you feel about the game, and 0:08:10.520 --> 0:08:12.000 then I'll talk to my side and then we'll see 0:08:12.000 --> 0:08:13.320 if we're on the same side. 0:08:13.400 --> 0:08:16.520 Okay, So the public is all over the Buffalo Bills. 0:08:16.200 --> 0:08:18.480 It's it's the number one most bet game in Vegas, 0:08:18.520 --> 0:08:21.480 number one most bet game in New Jersey. At bet MGM, 0:08:21.840 --> 0:08:23.560 eighty five percent of the money is coming in at 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:26.960 FanDuel on the Buffalo Bills laying six and a half. 0:08:27.440 --> 0:08:29.320 Actually, by the way, I want to make it clear, 0:08:29.400 --> 0:08:33.120 since I checked before this podcast started, Matt, I've now 0:08:33.240 --> 0:08:36.160 checked again and it's pretty even. But the consensus line 0:08:36.200 --> 0:08:39.000 is actually down to minus six because bet MGM is 0:08:39.040 --> 0:08:41.439 now minus six. FanDuel is minus six and a half, 0:08:41.559 --> 0:08:44.000 DraftKings minus six and a half, but Fox bet is 0:08:44.040 --> 0:08:46.280 minus six points Bet is minus six. So just so 0:08:46.320 --> 0:08:48.520 you know, it might be minus six out there when 0:08:48.520 --> 0:08:50.080 people are listening, But go ahead. 0:08:50.160 --> 0:08:53.319 Take the points. Okay, this is going to be a 0:08:53.320 --> 0:08:57.400 Buffalo Bill's victory, all right. But unless there is weather, 0:08:58.120 --> 0:09:00.480 real weather to talk about, I think they in the game. 0:09:00.800 --> 0:09:04.160 If there is, if wind shows up, if we're looking 0:09:04.200 --> 0:09:07.040 at wind in cold and nastiness, I think the Colts 0:09:07.080 --> 0:09:09.559 could win the game outright, But the Buffalo Bills I 0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:12.520 think will win the game. They'll do enough. But I 0:09:12.559 --> 0:09:15.200 think this is a high scoring affair. I like the 0:09:15.320 --> 0:09:17.240 dog and I like the points, and I love the 0:09:17.320 --> 0:09:19.679 same game teaser. How I'm playing that is I am 0:09:19.720 --> 0:09:22.960 teasing the Colts up. I'm taking the total down or 0:09:23.000 --> 0:09:25.360 the total down and going with the over. So my 0:09:25.440 --> 0:09:27.599 play on that's gonna be Colts plus twelve twelve and 0:09:27.640 --> 0:09:29.800 a half and then go with an over forty five. 0:09:30.559 --> 0:09:33.280 Okay, So I like, do you like the over at 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:33.800 fifty one? 0:09:33.960 --> 0:09:34.040 Ye? 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:36.679 Or do you think that? Okay? So do I. I think 0:09:36.720 --> 0:09:38.560 that this is going to be a game with a 0:09:38.600 --> 0:09:40.720 lot of scoring. I think the Bills defense is really 0:09:40.800 --> 0:09:42.520 kind of come into their own over the second half 0:09:42.520 --> 0:09:45.360 of the season. But still I feel like the Colts 0:09:45.400 --> 0:09:48.680 are humming well enough. On offense, Philip Rivers is playing 0:09:48.840 --> 0:09:51.680 pretty well despite the toe injury. They're obviously running the 0:09:51.679 --> 0:09:55.600 ball extremely well with Jonathan Taylor, So I would lean 0:09:55.720 --> 0:09:59.320 towards the over fifty one regardless. I do like the 0:09:59.360 --> 0:10:04.280 teaser that you've made, but I actually i'll and I 0:10:04.320 --> 0:10:05.480 don't want to give it away because I want it 0:10:05.520 --> 0:10:06.800 when we get to that game. I'll tell you the 0:10:06.840 --> 0:10:09.160 other leg of the teaser. But I am I do 0:10:09.240 --> 0:10:10.839 have a two team teaser that I will recommend that 0:10:10.880 --> 0:10:12.600 I've made. My guess is Matt will not like it. 0:10:12.679 --> 0:10:15.960 But regardless, I have, actually I teased the Bills down 0:10:16.280 --> 0:10:18.480 No One a half to a half, right. 0:10:18.600 --> 0:10:20.720 I have it. I got twelve points to play with. 0:10:20.760 --> 0:10:22.559 You could have which as you want. With Buffalo, I 0:10:22.600 --> 0:10:23.319 think it's fine. 0:10:23.880 --> 0:10:25.800 But to me, no, no, no, I don't think you'll 0:10:25.840 --> 0:10:27.360 hate that one. I think you'll hate the other leg 0:10:27.600 --> 0:10:29.720 the teaser is what I'm saying that one. I think 0:10:29.760 --> 0:10:33.440 you're fine with it. Yes, because I am extremely confident 0:10:33.840 --> 0:10:35.400 that the Bills are going to win this game, as 0:10:35.440 --> 0:10:37.120 I think most people are. I'm actually surprised that you 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:39.520 came out and went there, Matt, given that your usual 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:43.040 hatred of the Bills, or you're fading of the Bills. Yeah, 0:10:43.080 --> 0:10:46.440 you Bill, Yeah that's true, that's fair. But you've said 0:10:46.480 --> 0:10:48.040 they're going to win. That's that's oh. 0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:50.520 Well, I mean because I think Philip Rivers is going 0:10:50.559 --> 0:10:52.120 to throw a pick at the end to lose the game. 0:10:52.720 --> 0:10:57.000 That's fine to me. I think that you know the Colts. 0:10:57.800 --> 0:10:59.920 I've been kind of back and forth on the Colts 0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:03.160 all year. I really like them. When the season started, 0:11:03.160 --> 0:11:05.640 I was really really high on them. I thought they 0:11:05.640 --> 0:11:07.440 were undervalued for a long time in the market. And 0:11:07.440 --> 0:11:10.880 then Philip Rivers, he just looked so terrible to start 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:12.640 the season that I was like, he's cooked. And I 0:11:12.679 --> 0:11:15.360 was a kind of a River's believer in the sense 0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:17.120 that I thought last year you could blame on the 0:11:17.160 --> 0:11:20.280 offensive line and that this wasn't a Peyton manning like, Okay, 0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:22.720 it's all gone, and it's not. He's showed that he 0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:25.200 still has at least a little juice left in the tank. 0:11:25.520 --> 0:11:28.400 But you know, they had a really easy schedule down 0:11:28.440 --> 0:11:30.160 the stretch here when they were playing well, and it's 0:11:30.160 --> 0:11:33.720 not like they were destroying teams. Jonathan Taylor got going. 0:11:33.800 --> 0:11:35.480 I think they'll try to run the ball in this game, 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.240 which is the only part of me that gets a 0:11:37.240 --> 0:11:39.520 little worried about the over. I'd still lean over, but 0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:41.520 I do think that the Colts formula and this one 0:11:41.640 --> 0:11:44.160 probably is Oh goodness, Let's keep the ball out of 0:11:44.200 --> 0:11:46.040 Josh Allen's hand, Let's try to control the clock as 0:11:46.120 --> 0:11:48.040 much as we can. Let's keep going with what we 0:11:48.080 --> 0:11:50.280 can do, and the Bills are a little vulnerable against 0:11:50.440 --> 0:11:54.640 the run. With that said, I think, Matt, I kind 0:11:54.679 --> 0:11:56.280 of have a feeling that the Bills are going to 0:11:56.360 --> 0:11:58.360 destroy the Cults in this game, which is why I 0:11:58.360 --> 0:12:00.920 would rather tease it down than tease it. I think 0:12:00.920 --> 0:12:02.920 you're probably safe at twelve and a half, of course, 0:12:03.200 --> 0:12:05.960 but I do have a feeling that the Bill, the 0:12:05.960 --> 0:12:08.680 Bills are playing as well as any team in football 0:12:08.760 --> 0:12:11.000 right now. I mean, they had to both incentive. 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:13.320 I know, but Dan, you're running with the public. 0:12:14.200 --> 0:12:15.880 That's true. It's true. It's very true. 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:18.720 It's a public play, and I get it. I'm not 0:12:18.760 --> 0:12:21.720 saying you're wrong on that. I just think when you 0:12:21.720 --> 0:12:24.360 start looking at the liability, as I mentioned, eighty five 0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:27.080 percent of the money coming in here on the Buffalo 0:12:27.080 --> 0:12:29.040 Bills at six and a half at FanDuel, the most 0:12:29.080 --> 0:12:32.520 popular side in New Jersey and in Nevada for bet 0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:35.560 MGM are the Bills. I mean, this is just as 0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.120 we get to the playoffs, you have to start to 0:12:38.120 --> 0:12:40.840 smell a skunk here because they're upping the limits they're 0:12:40.880 --> 0:12:43.000 going to allow you to go. I mean like places 0:12:43.000 --> 0:12:44.840 a circle will allow you to go, like twenty five 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:47.200 thousand a side, you start seeing a lot more money 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.840 coming in. They're comfortable because they've got the algorithm, they've 0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:52.520 got the data that tells them where they need to be. 0:12:53.240 --> 0:12:56.520 And I look, you were high on the Colts for 0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:59.400 a while, so I'm surprised you're saying the Colts get 0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:00.000 blown out. 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:02.520 Well, I think here's here's what I think. Okay, I 0:13:02.559 --> 0:13:05.679 think in watching this Bill's offense right now, I don't 0:13:05.720 --> 0:13:09.200 know how you stop what they're doing with the way 0:13:09.400 --> 0:13:13.000 that they are humming offensively, with how well you know 0:13:13.520 --> 0:13:15.920 all year, Matt, Because we've talked a lot about the Bills, 0:13:16.120 --> 0:13:18.480 right We talk about them, like, you know, in depth 0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:20.640 every time because it's always Matt face the Bills. It's 0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:23.920 the joke that we like to make. But Josh Allen, 0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:26.559 I was like, he's a Radick. He'll have his good days. 0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:29.640 I haven't seen a bad game from Josh Allen in 0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:30.520 a really long. 0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:35.800 Since the Raider game. Yeah, it's been a while. I 0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:38.280 mean it's been over a month. I mean he's been 0:13:38.320 --> 0:13:39.160 on a run right. 0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:42.440 Now, right And and you know, and Stefan Diggs is 0:13:42.520 --> 0:13:45.640 playing as well as any wide receiver in the league 0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.240 right now. And John Brown is back, which I think 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:53.920 also helps them. I just think offensively they're playing extraordinarily well. Defensively, 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:56.480 they've really tightened the screws. They were not a great 0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.320 defensive team early on during the season. I think they 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:03.200 are well above average defensive team at this point in 0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:05.000 the season. And so what I think is that the 0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:08.199 Bills are going to have a lead here in this game. 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:10.200 They're going to jump out to a lead, and when 0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:13.360 that happens, I do not trust Philip Rivers to be 0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:15.520 able to lead the comeback. I think the way that 0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:17.920 the Colts stay in this game is to be able to, 0:14:18.360 --> 0:14:21.440 you know, ride Jonathan Taylor, as they basically have done 0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:23.800 for the past several weeks. I just don't think they're 0:14:23.800 --> 0:14:25.040 going to be able to do that because I think 0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:26.800 that the Bills are going to be able to put 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:30.480 up points pretty much at will against a solid Colts defense. 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:31.600 I just think right now, the. 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.520 Bill defense, what's that will? What's that will? 0:14:35.560 --> 0:14:37.160 You know what? All right? So what are they they're 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:38.080 favored by six? 0:14:38.200 --> 0:14:39.720 What's your team total? 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:42.920 Then? All right, well I want to I'm trying to 0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:45.120 figure out what Vegas hasn't met If they're favored by 0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:48.680 six it's what twenty nine or six and a half 0:14:48.680 --> 0:14:51.320 points with a total fifty one? Was that twenty nine, 0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:53.680 twenty three, twenty eight and a half or something twenty 0:14:53.720 --> 0:14:55.480 two and a half wherever it is that range right 0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:57.640 somewhere in that range. I'm sorry. You know, I don't. 0:14:57.400 --> 0:15:00.360 Off the top of my head. So let's say, so 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:01.760 you're saying thirty points for the Bills. 0:15:02.000 --> 0:15:03.040 Yeah, I'll give you that. 0:15:03.120 --> 0:15:05.080 I can see thirty points of the Bills. The problem 0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:06.920 is that Buffalo's defense is not that good. 0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:08.840 It is good, though it wasn't. 0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:12.800 That's not everyone says it is. It's not. It's okay 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.920 come postseason time against that offensive line, they couldn't stop 0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:17.360 the run when it really mattered. In the end of 0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.080 this year, they've been able to be to be the 0:15:19.080 --> 0:15:21.920 beneficiary of having leads and having been able to throw 0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:24.720 the ball at will and score fast on defenses that 0:15:24.760 --> 0:15:28.400 haven't been that great. I know, everyone's everyone's in love. Look, 0:15:28.920 --> 0:15:33.240 don't Week seventeen. Just because Buffalo destroyed Miami doesn't mean 0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:36.960 they're going to destroy the Colts. Different circumstances. 0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:39.520 It is, it is, but you know, Matt, the Colts 0:15:39.960 --> 0:15:42.720 let the Jags hang around Man in Week seventy in 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:44.920 a game they had to win to get into the playoffs. 0:15:45.160 --> 0:15:47.720 Costanzo's out right. I think that's a huge loss to 0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:50.600 their offensive line as it has been a shout and again, 0:15:51.040 --> 0:15:53.680 you know, it's funny. I don't want to count this 0:15:53.760 --> 0:15:56.840 too much. They're going to be home. They're gonna be 0:15:57.000 --> 0:15:59.520 what sixty five hundred fans there those. 0:16:00.160 --> 0:16:02.360 It'll be it'll be juiced. I mean that's I like 0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:04.200 that for the Colts, To be honest with you, I 0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:08.640 think I do. Yeah, I think I think it's better 0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:10.960 to have an environment that feels like a playoff game 0:16:11.000 --> 0:16:13.640 for teams like Philip, for guys like Philip Rivers and whatnot. 0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.920 Because he's had such difficult times on the road. I mean, 0:16:16.960 --> 0:16:20.080 I just I the Patriot game comes to mind really 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:22.720 quickly with how badly that that was what his last 0:16:22.760 --> 0:16:25.720 run with the with with with with the Chargers, and 0:16:25.760 --> 0:16:29.480 the Patriots just destroyed them. I I just think this 0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:34.480 Colts team has enough pieces to keep the game relatively close. Again, 0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:36.640 I think the Bills win the game, and I think 0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:38.560 being at home could help them in the fourth quarter, 0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:40.960 down the stretch, last second drive, kicking a field goal, 0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:43.160 and whatnot. But I just I see this as like 0:16:43.200 --> 0:16:45.200 a thirty to twenty seven type of game and a 0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:46.480 three point win for Buffalo. 0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.600 I think it's fine. I don't think we're that far apart. Matt. 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:52.640 I like the Bill. The biggest point that you've made, 0:16:52.760 --> 0:16:55.840 which is absolutely correct and makes me worried, is the 0:16:55.880 --> 0:16:57.920 fact that it's such a public play and that they 0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:00.160 know it and they don't care, right like that. That's 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:01.760 the thing you are all right got bring all the 0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:03.960 money you want in keeping them on to seven. 0:17:04.160 --> 0:17:05.919 Like with this money going in, you'd be like, why 0:17:05.920 --> 0:17:06.680 aren't you at seven? 0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:08.760 And it's at six in a lot of places. 0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:11.800 It's right. I get it because respective money is coming 0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:12.920 in on the Colts. 0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:16.200 I understand. I really do. For me again, and whatever 0:17:16.240 --> 0:17:19.160 the weather is, Matt, this is why. Remember that's why 0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:22.280 the Bills drafted Josh Allen because he had that arm 0:17:22.560 --> 0:17:24.600 that was going to be able to play in a 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:27.159 place that was windy and cold. And he does. And 0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.400 I get it. And how well coached they are by 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.320 the way. McDermott. And you know, remember what really always 0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:34.919 has stuck out to me because you and I were 0:17:34.960 --> 0:17:37.400 on the Steelers in that game, is how bad they 0:17:37.440 --> 0:17:41.000 looked against a good Steelers defense in that first half, 0:17:41.320 --> 0:17:43.880 and they came out in the second half and were 0:17:43.880 --> 0:17:47.200 a completely different team. They're well coached, they make adjustments. 0:17:47.359 --> 0:17:50.080 It's a good team. I just I it's a public play. 0:17:50.160 --> 0:17:51.440 I think they're gonna come out and I think they're 0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:54.200 gonna they're gonna win handily here. So I would rather 0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:56.439 tease this down because I'm so confident that they're going 0:17:56.520 --> 0:17:58.600 to win the game the half than tease it up 0:17:58.640 --> 0:17:59.920 to twelve and a half. But I think it's fine. 0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:02.480 And again your same game teaser, I like that as well. 0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:05.040 I think teasing the total down if you can, and 0:18:05.040 --> 0:18:07.320 then taking the over would be the right play because 0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:09.040 I do think this is going over fifty one. I 0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:10.880 can't imagine I have a couple of plays here, Matt. 0:18:10.880 --> 0:18:13.000 We'll talk about it, which I lean towards the under, 0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:14.760 but I don't think I could ever actually play it, 0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.159 because I think that playing an under right now just 0:18:17.280 --> 0:18:19.800 makes me sick. But all right, so that's the Bills cult. 0:18:19.880 --> 0:18:22.280 So I feel like we've got pretty much exactly you know, 0:18:22.320 --> 0:18:24.200 where we're at. We're pretty much in line with that one. 0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:27.720 Let's go the Rams Seahawks. This was the Seahawks laying 0:18:27.800 --> 0:18:30.520 three and a half. It's now the consensus line is three. 0:18:30.560 --> 0:18:32.720 There are three and a half's out there, but it's three. 0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:35.440 As of right now, the total is at forty two 0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:37.120 and a half. Go ahead, Matt. What do you think 0:18:39.000 --> 0:18:41.760 besides actually the consensus line is now forty two. There 0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:43.199 are forty two and a half's out there, but the 0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:44.439 consensus forty two. Go ahead. 0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:47.200 Besides the fact that that we'll get into the next game. 0:18:47.240 --> 0:18:50.439 In terms of like my my favorite crazy wild call 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:54.240 for the week, John Wafford's going to beat the sale Seahawks. 0:18:55.640 --> 0:19:02.480 John Wafford is a enigma, crazy wild. The Seahawks aren't 0:19:02.480 --> 0:19:04.240 gonna They don't know what's coming with this guy. 0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:06.040 But I can I can I stop you for one 0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:08.960 second because Goff apparently looked okay in practice and he's 0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:09.880 questionable for this game. 0:19:09.920 --> 0:19:11.480 They're both gonna play, but I think you're gonna see 0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:12.320 Wofford play the majority. 0:19:12.480 --> 0:19:13.960 So you think they're both playing in this one? 0:19:14.040 --> 0:19:16.159 Yeah, I think I think they'll go into it and 0:19:16.200 --> 0:19:19.280 they I mean, you're paying Jared Goff a lot of money, Okay, Yeah, 0:19:19.320 --> 0:19:22.240 but I think if Jared Goff looks at all shaky. 0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:25.399 He's getting pulled, and I think he's gonna be shaky. 0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:27.760 I I know that we I've seen injury experts talk 0:19:27.760 --> 0:19:29.520 about the thumb and saying that it's it's you know, 0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:31.800 it's surgery. That's not that significant, and it's more about 0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:34.440 the healing of the wound than it is the actual 0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:39.600 injury per se. But I think they get more. They 0:19:39.600 --> 0:19:42.480 can do more with John Wofford. I think they will 0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:45.159 use Jared Goff. I think they may go with both quarterbacks. 0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:47.199 But this to me comes to the defense in the 0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:51.000 fact that Russell Wilson has been playing unlike what we 0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:53.480 thought Russell Wilson was gonna be this year. We thought 0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:55.159 he was gonna be the MVP candidate, and over the 0:19:55.240 --> 0:19:58.359 last month it's basically you go get DK Metcalf and 0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:01.359 I think you put obviously Jalen Ray on him, and 0:20:01.400 --> 0:20:04.200 then you let Aaron Donald go to work and they 0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:06.480 can stop the run. And if you stop Seattle running 0:20:06.480 --> 0:20:08.960 the football and you stop DK Metcalf, I know you 0:20:09.040 --> 0:20:11.920 got Tyler Lockett, but he can't beat a team by himself. 0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:15.080 That's pretty much garant known. I'm gonna take the three 0:20:15.240 --> 0:20:17.240 three and a half points with the Rams. But I 0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:18.760 think the Rams win this game outright. 0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.480 I don't think it's crazy. I really don't. At three 0:20:22.520 --> 0:20:24.640 and a half, I don't. This is not a game 0:20:24.800 --> 0:20:28.439 that I want to go near too much because it 0:20:28.480 --> 0:20:31.840 strikes me as the value is on the Rams at 0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:34.399 three and a half in particular, I think the value 0:20:34.440 --> 0:20:36.320 is certainly on the Rams. So that's out there. I 0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:37.919 would lean that way. 0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.600 For a teas terrific game. By the way, teaser terrific. 0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:41.920 It's a teaserrific game. 0:20:42.040 --> 0:20:43.399 So what would you do with it? What would you? 0:20:43.440 --> 0:20:44.960 Would you same game up? 0:20:45.160 --> 0:20:49.080 No? Would? I would take my teaser on Saturday is 0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:51.760 going to be I'm taking Washington, and I'm giving Washington 0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:55.040 for over fourteen and I'm gonna take the I'm gonna 0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:56.560 take the three and a half and go over and 0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.399 go to nine three nine and a half here with 0:20:59.400 --> 0:20:59.960 with the RAM. 0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:03.440 Yeah, it's funny because if I think you the way 0:21:03.480 --> 0:21:08.040 you broke the game down is very almost exactly how 0:21:08.040 --> 0:21:10.000 I feel about it. Exactly how I feel about it. 0:21:10.160 --> 0:21:13.280 They're really in a normal environment where I felt okay 0:21:13.280 --> 0:21:16.040 about betting the under. I lean the under on the 0:21:16.080 --> 0:21:19.760 forty two or the forty two because right so for me, 0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:22.280 if I'm teasing part of this game, I might tease 0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:24.400 that forty two or forty two and a half up 0:21:24.800 --> 0:21:26.560 and take the other because I don't think there's any 0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:28.439 way that these teams are gonna, you know, have big 0:21:28.480 --> 0:21:31.560 get And you look at historically how the Seahawks like 0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:33.720 to play, especially in the beginning of the playoffs. They 0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:36.800 are super conservative. They like to relax and kind of like, 0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:38.520 you know, go back to running it. And I think 0:21:38.560 --> 0:21:40.480 that that's what they're gonna and you're right, you stick 0:21:40.880 --> 0:21:44.520 you know, Ramsey on DK Metcalf. The Rams defense is 0:21:44.800 --> 0:21:48.280 very very solid. But the Seahawks defense has played really 0:21:48.320 --> 0:21:52.639 really well over the last several weeks, and I Walford 0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:56.200 is somebody who adds this dimension that it'll be interesting 0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:58.119 to see how the Seahawks react with. But I do 0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.160 not see a lot of scoring here. I think it's 0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:01.840 going to be a close game. It strikes me as 0:22:01.840 --> 0:22:04.040 a field goal game one way or the other, which 0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:05.920 is why if you can get three and a half 0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:07.840 of the Rams, i'd lean that way. I still don't 0:22:07.920 --> 0:22:11.760 love it, just because the Seahawks sometimes break what I 0:22:11.800 --> 0:22:14.680 think should happen, like you know, because Russell Wilson if 0:22:14.720 --> 0:22:17.439 he wanted to, I feel like they could put up 0:22:17.440 --> 0:22:20.040 a ton of points. Maybe not in this game necessarily, 0:22:20.080 --> 0:22:22.080 but generally speaking, I said, if you just said stop 0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:24.439 the run, stop going back to the old thing, just 0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:26.919 let Russ cook, you'd probably be in better shape. But 0:22:27.000 --> 0:22:29.879 for this one, it's the third time these teams have 0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:32.040 met this year, Like, it just does not strike me 0:22:32.080 --> 0:22:33.879 as something where there's going to be a lot of fireworks. 0:22:33.880 --> 0:22:37.359 So I'm probably not making a play on this game. 0:22:37.680 --> 0:22:40.399 At the current numbers, I'd probably lean towards the Rams 0:22:40.480 --> 0:22:43.560 at plus three and a half at three, I'm probably 0:22:43.600 --> 0:22:46.760 staying away the total. I lean under forty two and 0:22:46.800 --> 0:22:48.480 a half, but I probably wouldn't play it, but I 0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:50.439 would make it part of a teaser and tease the 0:22:50.440 --> 0:22:52.320 forty two and a half up to forty eight and 0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:54.159 a half and play the under. So you agree with that, 0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:56.120 at least on the underplay. 0:22:56.240 --> 0:22:57.880 Yes, I think this is the lowest scoring game. 0:22:58.359 --> 0:23:00.360 Very good, All right, let's go on to all right, 0:23:00.359 --> 0:23:03.240 this is it, Matt, this is the one bucks at 0:23:03.240 --> 0:23:06.639 the Washington football team. We're past Tom Brady's bedtime in 0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.119 this one. The consensus line right now, as we just 0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:12.040 talked about, has dropped to minus eight. I'm looking at 0:23:12.080 --> 0:23:14.640 the lines. There's minus eight and a half out there 0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:17.480 at bet MGM, there's minus seven and a half out 0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:21.240 there Fandle, and there's minus eight at Draftking. So it 0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.359 really is the consensus line of eight the total right now, 0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:26.159 and I'll double check it here because again these are 0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:29.159 moving as as numbers come in. It's dropped to forty 0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:31.400 four and a half. It was forty five last time 0:23:31.400 --> 0:23:34.320 I checked. So the bucks minus eight and the total 0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:36.159 at forty four and a half. Now we already know 0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:38.720 where you're going, Matt. You want to tease this up 0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:40.080 to fourteen? Is that right? 0:23:40.560 --> 0:23:43.440 Yeah? I really, I mean you're making me a little 0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:48.760 concerned about the teaser line because I want fourteen. That's 0:23:48.800 --> 0:23:52.000 really important. So I have a little bit of a 0:23:52.040 --> 0:23:55.920 concern there on the plus eight. So I need eight 0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:57.960 to get to fourteen, So seven and a half would 0:23:58.000 --> 0:23:58.560 scare me. 0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:01.280 Right, So that's it I'm looking at. That's at two 0:24:01.320 --> 0:24:04.200 places right now that we've got at FanDuel and at 0:24:04.320 --> 0:24:08.760 Fox bet no oh, and at bet America. So other 0:24:08.840 --> 0:24:11.240 than that, everything is at eight, and then there's one 0:24:11.359 --> 0:24:13.199 eight and a half left out there right now at 0:24:13.200 --> 0:24:15.359 bet MGM. So right now it's at eight. Do you 0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:18.199 think it's gonna drop? I mean you mentioned the Batman. 0:24:18.320 --> 0:24:20.119 No, I think it's going on. I think the public's 0:24:20.160 --> 0:24:22.280 gonna come in and hammer the Bucks before kickoff. 0:24:22.720 --> 0:24:24.040 Okay, So I'm not. 0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:26.200 That concerned about it. There's like a part of me 0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:28.040 that like, if it doesn't come back, I'd be bummed. 0:24:28.280 --> 0:24:30.679 But I'm not that concerned because there's no way that 0:24:30.760 --> 0:24:32.760 line would stay. The public is gonna bet the Bucks 0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:35.439 like crazy. Everyone's on the Bucks. I got buddies of 0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.800 mine who are in Iowa or telling me fourteen points 0:24:37.840 --> 0:24:39.800 or more, give me the Bucks. They're betting the alternative 0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:43.679 spread saying Bucks are gonna kill Okay, and that's fine, 0:24:43.880 --> 0:24:46.639 and I get it. There are quarterback concerns, there are 0:24:46.720 --> 0:24:50.199 offensive concerns. There are you know, you're gonna need the 0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:53.160 Washington football team's defense to score or at least set 0:24:53.200 --> 0:24:57.399 up a very short yardage situation for their offense. But 0:24:57.480 --> 0:25:01.160 I'm banking on that. I'm beking on and Chase Young. 0:25:01.359 --> 0:25:04.679 I'm banking on this defensive front to get after Tom Brady. 0:25:05.200 --> 0:25:07.480 He does not play well at night. He does not 0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:10.800 play well against the NFC East. He does not play 0:25:10.840 --> 0:25:13.800 well when it comes to teams that can make him uncomfortable. 0:25:13.800 --> 0:25:17.520 And I know that the quote unquote knee is structurally 0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:20.840 sound for Mike Evans, but come on now, he hyper 0:25:20.880 --> 0:25:23.840 extended that knee and couldn't put any real pressure on it. 0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:26.679 So shoot the guy up and have him go play fine, 0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:28.639 But I don't think he'll be at one hundred percent. 0:25:28.680 --> 0:25:30.680 He won't be the same Mike Evans that you would need. 0:25:31.280 --> 0:25:33.440 And frankly, the weather's not gonna be horrible, but it's 0:25:33.440 --> 0:25:35.960 not going to be seventy five and Sonny, Okay, it's 0:25:36.000 --> 0:25:38.080 still DC in January, so it's still gonna be a 0:25:38.119 --> 0:25:40.040 little bit cold and not all that fun to go 0:25:40.200 --> 0:25:43.800 and run around out there. As long as mcclaurin plays 0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.760 at eighty percent and Logan Thomas can get open in 0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:49.120 the red zone, they're not gonna run the ball. It's 0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:51.520 really hard to run the ball on that Bucks defense. 0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:53.800 But I mean, you need Gibson just to keep them 0:25:53.800 --> 0:25:57.240 honest and then don't turn the football over. I mean, 0:25:57.280 --> 0:25:59.360 for my play to be right, it's the under has 0:25:59.400 --> 0:26:01.239 got to come in. It's gotta be an underplay here 0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:03.280 in this game. But give me the eight points, eight 0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:04.919 and a half points on Washington. 0:26:05.200 --> 0:26:07.840 Man, even the money the money line is dropping, Matt 0:26:07.960 --> 0:26:08.119 like it. 0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.240 It was taking a plus three fifty, was. 0:26:10.200 --> 0:26:12.399 It now it's plus three hundred? 0:26:12.560 --> 0:26:15.119 Oh man, So people, I don't like it. People are 0:26:15.160 --> 0:26:16.520 starting to buy I don't like it. 0:26:16.680 --> 0:26:20.160 That's not fox bet has it as plus two eighty. 0:26:20.000 --> 0:26:24.840 Yu no, no public, no public dogs. I don't like that. No, no, no, no, no. 0:26:25.040 --> 0:26:26.760 Stay away from that. That will make me feel like 0:26:26.800 --> 0:26:28.840 the Bucks are more live. I people are gonna listen 0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:30.440 to me on this. I don't like that narrative. 0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:32.439 That's like I do. I do have more of a 0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:35.320 hedge bet. I will say on the plus three fifty 0:26:35.480 --> 0:26:40.040 on on Washington, because there there certainly is a scenario 0:26:40.600 --> 0:26:43.159 where they managed to win this game. I don't like 0:26:43.240 --> 0:26:46.560 the Bucks at minus eight. I'm not. I don't. I 0:26:46.560 --> 0:26:46.920 don't want to. 0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:48.560 You know, the last two times a team with the 0:26:48.560 --> 0:26:52.160 losing record went to the playoffs, right, you know what happened? Right, Wah? 0:26:52.640 --> 0:26:53.480 They won out right. 0:26:54.080 --> 0:26:55.399 I'm trying to remember who it was. 0:26:56.480 --> 0:26:58.520 Last two times teams are losing becers have gone to 0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:01.200 the playoffs, they have won. They won out right. Brady's 0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:03.480 won in three all time in the playoffs against teams 0:27:03.480 --> 0:27:06.600 from the NFC East. Brady's record in primetime past eight 0:27:06.600 --> 0:27:09.160 o'clock has been brutal. Like you mentioned, past his bedtime. 0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:11.520 He goes to bed at eight thirty every night. 0:27:11.840 --> 0:27:12.359 I get it. 0:27:12.560 --> 0:27:14.720 I think it's a significant thing. I mean, we all 0:27:14.760 --> 0:27:16.560 know this. When you're in a routine and all of 0:27:16.600 --> 0:27:18.880 a sudden you're out of your routine, sometimes you maybe 0:27:18.920 --> 0:27:22.240 aren't that sharp. Bruce arians loves to throw those fly patterns. 0:27:22.480 --> 0:27:24.679 I get the secondary for Washington's not good. I was 0:27:24.680 --> 0:27:27.360 tucking someone from Pro Football Focus today that they say 0:27:27.359 --> 0:27:30.000 the secondary is so easy for Brady to figure out 0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:32.359 that that's gonna be a big issue because they'll be 0:27:32.359 --> 0:27:34.400 able to move the football as long as he gets 0:27:34.440 --> 0:27:37.200 the ball out. That's the key. Can he get the 0:27:37.240 --> 0:27:39.480 ball out, You're gonna have to blitz him into holy 0:27:39.560 --> 0:27:40.919 heck to get him off his spot. 0:27:41.280 --> 0:27:43.440 And you know what the problem is is that unlike 0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:45.720 the Pats who had this game plan, we were like, 0:27:45.760 --> 0:27:48.000 all right, you want to blitz, great, I'll dump it 0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:50.240 off to James White or whatever. Get out a very 0:27:50.320 --> 0:27:52.000 quick You know, Brady would be able to get the 0:27:52.000 --> 0:27:55.160 ball out in three seconds. That's just not what arians does, 0:27:55.280 --> 0:27:57.359 and it's not what he has ever decided that he 0:27:57.400 --> 0:27:59.359 wants to do. We've all been screaming about it forever. 0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:02.399 They take deep shot after deep shot after deep shot, 0:28:02.640 --> 0:28:05.080 he holds the ball. You're not gonna be able to 0:28:05.080 --> 0:28:09.679 do that against Washington. So I actually I don't like it. Minus. 0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:12.040 I don't like it at eight at all. I don't. 0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:13.600 I don't want any side of it because I do 0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:17.120 think that it's possible if the if the Bucks are able, 0:28:17.200 --> 0:28:19.439 Let's say they put together a scoring drive in the 0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:21.840 first drive and it gets you know, they score touchdown 0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:24.840 and it's seven to nothing. I mean, I'm I'm fifty 0:28:24.840 --> 0:28:27.440 percent of the way ready to call the game right there, 0:28:27.480 --> 0:28:30.160 because I find it really difficult to see how Washington 0:28:30.240 --> 0:28:32.000 is going to be able to put up points. They 0:28:32.000 --> 0:28:36.199 are abysmal, offensively abysmal, and it's not their fault. They 0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:38.960 don't have the fire power at this point. Alex Smith 0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:42.120 is a wonderful comeback story, but he's not able to 0:28:42.160 --> 0:28:44.760 really push assuming that he you know, I'm reading that 0:28:44.800 --> 0:28:48.440 they're gonna split snaps with Heineke. I don't know, but 0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:51.720 whatever it is, if they fall behind, I just don't 0:28:51.760 --> 0:28:54.280 see how they're on a very strong Bucks defense. That's 0:28:54.280 --> 0:28:55.520 the thing that you know, they're not going to be 0:28:55.520 --> 0:28:57.560 able to run. They're gonna know. Okay, we got to 0:28:57.560 --> 0:28:59.640 take away Terry McLaurin and we got to make watch 0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:02.560 the dumb BoFs to JD. McKissick, and that's gonna be it. 0:29:02.640 --> 0:29:05.400 So I think the Bucks win this game. Now here's 0:29:05.440 --> 0:29:07.120 the part of my teaser, Matt. The other part of 0:29:07.120 --> 0:29:11.000 my teaser that I did with the uh with the 0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:13.600 Bills down to a half, And this was early right, 0:29:13.680 --> 0:29:15.680 this is before I dug into it, Matt. This is 0:29:15.680 --> 0:29:17.840 when I'm like, okay, this is the lines. I sort 0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:19.960 of went with what I like and what I played, 0:29:20.160 --> 0:29:22.440 and I'm still fine with it. I'm still completely fine 0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:24.640 with it because I do think and I'm pretty confident 0:29:24.720 --> 0:29:27.120 that the Bucks are gonna win this game. It was 0:29:27.160 --> 0:29:28.920 eight and a half when I bet it, and I 0:29:28.960 --> 0:29:30.160 teased it down to two and a half. 0:29:30.400 --> 0:29:32.920 So that's good. No, I think there were No. 0:29:33.000 --> 0:29:34.880 You're not gonna You're not gonna kill me for it. 0:29:34.920 --> 0:29:37.400 But I know I may put a teaser. I may 0:29:37.400 --> 0:29:40.480 follow on the side of that, I may have a teaser. Look, 0:29:40.560 --> 0:29:43.760 I'm gonna get a little exotic this week because, as 0:29:43.760 --> 0:29:45.960 I said, it's kind of like the last week, right, 0:29:46.160 --> 0:29:48.160 it's our last week, So I'm gonna fire a bit 0:29:48.200 --> 0:29:51.560 more than normal on this. Yeah, but I will kind 0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:53.880 of hedge on my own self here. I'm gonna sprinkle 0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:55.720 on the money line. I'm not going full unit on 0:29:55.760 --> 0:29:57.440 the money line. I mean I'll have a little play 0:29:57.480 --> 0:30:00.000 on it. Oh yeah, yeah, just a touch, just a touch, 0:30:00.200 --> 0:30:02.920 not nothing serious. But what I will throw full units 0:30:02.960 --> 0:30:05.240 on is if Okay, so I say I'm wrong about 0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:07.720 this and Tampa's gonna blow them out, just tease Tampa 0:30:07.840 --> 0:30:10.200 down and then and then on the other leg, just 0:30:10.240 --> 0:30:12.200 find it another leg that I like. But the Bills, 0:30:12.400 --> 0:30:15.920 I could easily see myself playing your teaser because I 0:30:15.920 --> 0:30:18.760 think Buffalo wins. I love taking that number down. It's 0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:21.480 already crashing anyway, So get it down to a pick. Yeah, 0:30:21.480 --> 0:30:22.960 it would be great. I mean Bill is just on 0:30:23.000 --> 0:30:24.120 a pick just to beat the Colts. 0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.080 I think that is a point. 0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:29.600 So it's it's it's win a game there. I like that. 0:30:29.840 --> 0:30:33.040 And then you're gonna take the Bucks under a field goal? Yeah, 0:30:33.120 --> 0:30:35.719 and okay, sure, so you're gonna go ahead, and you know, 0:30:35.800 --> 0:30:38.840 the money line on the other side protects you on 0:30:38.920 --> 0:30:42.320 that teaser because it's plus three hundred plus three fifty. So, 0:30:42.840 --> 0:30:45.200 I mean a lot of times people think that gambling 0:30:45.240 --> 0:30:48.000 is about predicting who wins, and that's not really what 0:30:48.040 --> 0:30:50.760 we're doing. We're trying to lay out scenarios in which 0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:54.320 we're gonna wind up making money. So I'm all about 0:30:54.640 --> 0:30:57.000 if I'm betting one hundred dollars for a one unit 0:30:57.040 --> 0:30:59.000 bet and I'm betting twenty five dollars on the money 0:30:59.000 --> 0:31:01.479 line at three to one, well you you basically are 0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:04.680 gonna come out essentially a wash there or you hit 0:31:04.720 --> 0:31:08.080 them both, right, I mean the potential there. So like 0:31:08.440 --> 0:31:11.880 I always talk about, you know, money management and trying 0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:14.280 to look at what is the most logical thing that's 0:31:14.320 --> 0:31:16.760 gonna happen and then betting it and moving the number 0:31:16.800 --> 0:31:20.160 around to give yourself out in case you're dead wrong, 0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:23.040 because we're often dead wrong on these games. So how 0:31:23.040 --> 0:31:26.040 do you protect yourself? And that teaser with teasing down? 0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:28.240 The only thing that blows it up if the Colts 0:31:28.240 --> 0:31:31.440 win the game out right against against But then again, 0:31:33.840 --> 0:31:36.000 but if you take the Colts plus six though, right, 0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:38.400 if you take the Colts plus six, then you've got 0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:40.800 that one you already in play, so you bet the 0:31:40.800 --> 0:31:43.880 Colts won. You tease the Colts that the Bills down 0:31:44.200 --> 0:31:47.760 with with UH with Tampa, and then the money line 0:31:47.840 --> 0:31:51.800 on Washington. You've got yourself covered basically, so you're almost 0:31:51.800 --> 0:31:55.360 guaranteed to make money unless something really funky happens proceeds, 0:31:55.360 --> 0:31:56.960 like a fifty to nothing type of victory that you 0:31:57.000 --> 0:31:58.000 never saw coming. 0:31:58.120 --> 0:32:01.040 Right now, Yeah, no, it it's true. This is a 0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:04.160 game though. It makes me feel I forget about the teaser. 0:32:04.200 --> 0:32:07.120 It makes me feel uncomfortable this game with Brady in 0:32:07.200 --> 0:32:09.720 this game. Probably maybe Mike Evans plays, but as you 0:32:09.920 --> 0:32:12.120 aptly pointed out, he's not one hundred percent, and Tonio 0:32:12.120 --> 0:32:14.760 Brown is playing extremely well at the moment for sure. 0:32:15.080 --> 0:32:18.320 But yeah, it's just something where it's really difficult for 0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:20.320 me to see Washington putting up too many points, which 0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:22.840 is why I'm fine with the under at forty five, 0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:24.680 and I'm fine with me and it's forty four and 0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:27.280 a half. You know, I got it at forty five, 0:32:27.560 --> 0:32:30.000 but I would You can also make that part of 0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:32.200 your teaser to tease it up to fifty one and 0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:34.200 take the under because I just don't see a ton 0:32:34.200 --> 0:32:35.320 of points being scored in this game. 0:32:35.400 --> 0:32:38.360 Yeah, but again, I never do more than two leg teasers, 0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:42.080 but I could. I could see myself doing a teaser 0:32:42.240 --> 0:32:46.680 involving two sides and two totals. Yeah, teasing the Bills 0:32:46.720 --> 0:32:50.600 down and teasing the Washington game up, yep, and taking 0:32:50.640 --> 0:32:53.520 the under in Washington, taking the over in Buffalo. Yeah, 0:32:53.520 --> 0:32:55.880 taking the six points and adding and then you're probably 0:32:55.960 --> 0:32:59.920 gonna get really decent plus money. I mean, I hear 0:33:00.040 --> 0:33:01.960 in Vegas. I play my two leg teasers in the 0:33:02.040 --> 0:33:04.400 NFL at Moss one twenty five. But if I added 0:33:04.400 --> 0:33:07.160 two more legs to that teaser, I'm probably getting close 0:33:07.200 --> 0:33:09.960 to plus one fifty or more on it. So you're 0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:12.160 into a plus money situation if you go ahead and 0:33:12.200 --> 0:33:12.920 do things like that. 0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:14.040 So I love it. 0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:15.920 Just an idea, Yeah, I like it. 0:33:15.960 --> 0:33:19.040 All right. Let's get to ooh, the Ravens Sun going 0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:23.560 to the Titans. Ravens are laying three and a half points, 0:33:24.240 --> 0:33:27.000 and the total is fifty four and a half. 0:33:27.040 --> 0:33:28.160 That fne's got to be three. 0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:31.080 You sure the consensus is three and a half and 0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:33.480 that's where it's been forever. I mean, there are threes 0:33:33.520 --> 0:33:36.080 out there. There are threes at FanDuel, there are threes 0:33:36.080 --> 0:33:40.360 at Fox Bet, there are three at points Beture. 0:33:40.000 --> 0:33:42.080 Half painted today when I was looking at it, because 0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:44.920 I like the Ravens minus three three and a half, 0:33:45.000 --> 0:33:45.800 I don't like three. 0:33:45.800 --> 0:33:49.840 I like, yeah, so I you know, I said, we 0:33:49.880 --> 0:33:52.880 did playoff predictions on the Fantasy Bros. Podcast for each round, 0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:56.120 and I basically was like, my head says Ravens, but 0:33:56.160 --> 0:33:58.880 my heart says Titans, Like I don't. 0:33:58.840 --> 0:33:59.600 Like the sun. 0:34:00.440 --> 0:34:04.479 No, Where's start due. It's the fact that you know, 0:34:04.720 --> 0:34:08.400 I love the time, I personally like, I like the 0:34:08.680 --> 0:34:11.879 I love Mike Rabel. I really do you? You were 0:34:11.880 --> 0:34:13.479 on the Titans like I think I've been. 0:34:13.360 --> 0:34:15.160 The regular season. I was all about them, But now 0:34:15.160 --> 0:34:17.040 I'm done with them, my cash, I've done. 0:34:17.440 --> 0:34:19.239 What I feel like is I've been rooting for the 0:34:19.280 --> 0:34:21.600 Titans like the whole season because I was for you. 0:34:21.880 --> 0:34:24.400 I have like a very very lengthy, not a not 0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:26.360 a big taste, but a tiny sixty to one on 0:34:26.400 --> 0:34:28.320 them to win the Super Bowl, which I don't expect. 0:34:28.520 --> 0:34:31.800 But regardless, I like the Titans. All right, Yeah, maybe 0:34:31.800 --> 0:34:32.680 my second. 0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:37.600 Has historically bad, Yeah, historically bad down the stretch. Their 0:34:37.680 --> 0:34:41.440 secondary can't stop a nosebleed. I they are in deep, 0:34:41.640 --> 0:34:44.960 deep trouble if they get down in this game. Yeah, 0:34:45.000 --> 0:34:46.920 if they if they get down in this game the 0:34:47.160 --> 0:34:49.400 entire I was talking to a guy who works in 0:34:49.440 --> 0:34:52.040 sports gamble who lives in Nashville, who covers the Titans 0:34:52.080 --> 0:34:54.560 a lot, and he's like, look, He's like, I tell 0:34:54.560 --> 0:34:56.600 you right now, if the Ravens go down and score 0:34:56.760 --> 0:34:58.640 on their first drive and at seven to nothing, go 0:34:58.719 --> 0:35:00.799 immediately in live bet with whatever number you can get 0:35:00.800 --> 0:35:03.200 for the Ravens because the Titans are done. It's just 0:35:03.480 --> 0:35:06.239 that quick. The Titans can score, though they can't score, 0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:09.120 but they can't stop anybody, so and they get all 0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:11.879 out of whack when they're not playing with the lead. 0:35:12.360 --> 0:35:14.600 They don't know how because they panic because they want 0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:17.400 to run Henry as much as possible. And when they're down, 0:35:17.719 --> 0:35:19.520 they know they can't just bleed the clock and they're 0:35:19.520 --> 0:35:21.960 gonna run out because their defense can't stop anybody. And 0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:24.240 they know that's the last weeks Texans. 0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:26.960 Yeah, no, I know. And you know we saw what 0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:29.920 happened against the Packers, which is a terrible game for them. 0:35:29.960 --> 0:35:33.080 But I agree, I agree, I completely understand. But the 0:35:33.160 --> 0:35:35.640 one thing that I think is like where their secondary 0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:41.000 is horrific. Okay, that's not quite as big a deal 0:35:41.160 --> 0:35:44.719 in this game against the Ravens because it's not as 0:35:44.760 --> 0:35:48.160 if they have their best receivers. Marquise Brown, who's, you know, 0:35:48.360 --> 0:35:51.279 a fine receiver, but he's certainly got the drop seas 0:35:51.320 --> 0:35:53.520 and he's not somebody who you really feel Mark Andrews 0:35:53.600 --> 0:35:55.080 is very good. But again, that's not really what we're 0:35:55.120 --> 0:35:57.200 talking about. And you know what's weird is that the 0:35:57.239 --> 0:36:00.839 Titans don't get pressure, but that almost benefits them this game. Sure, 0:36:00.920 --> 0:36:02.839 Lamar Jackson isn't going to scramble and stuff like that, 0:36:02.880 --> 0:36:05.759 and they did this last year, and their defense was 0:36:05.800 --> 0:36:08.440 better last year, of course, but still it just kind 0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:12.040 of strikes me as they might have the formula. Now 0:36:12.040 --> 0:36:13.960 I know they you know, it was kind of fluky, 0:36:14.000 --> 0:36:16.640 but they have won their last two meetings against them. 0:36:17.120 --> 0:36:19.319 It kind of just feels like they might have this 0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:21.799 figured out. It's not. I don't I don't hate either side. 0:36:21.880 --> 0:36:23.680 The last two times, the steff that I saw was 0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:25.680 the last two times they have played they've turned the 0:36:25.680 --> 0:36:28.840 ball over eight times in the in and around the 0:36:28.880 --> 0:36:32.759 red zone. But I look, you watch freaky right, But 0:36:32.800 --> 0:36:35.960 if you don't do that, it's a blowout. Yes, Like 0:36:35.960 --> 0:36:37.960 if you don't turn the football over. The Ravens that 0:36:38.040 --> 0:36:40.360 moved the ball at will on the Titans up and 0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:42.160 down the field. They just turned the football over and 0:36:42.239 --> 0:36:42.960 kill drives. 0:36:43.200 --> 0:36:46.200 I get it, I get it. You're not wrong. But again, 0:36:46.280 --> 0:36:48.160 that playoff game that you watched last time, Matt, you 0:36:48.200 --> 0:36:50.520 know that's where they had all those turnovers. Did you 0:36:50.600 --> 0:36:52.680 really think that the Ravens should have won that game 0:36:52.800 --> 0:36:53.839 in the playoffs last year? 0:36:53.920 --> 0:36:56.359 Well, look, turnovers are bad. Teams turned the football over. 0:36:56.400 --> 0:36:58.239 So no, yeah, I mean, I mean that's that's just 0:36:58.440 --> 0:36:59.880 part of football. If you turn it over, you're going 0:36:59.960 --> 0:37:02.480 to get beat. But I just think when you look 0:37:02.480 --> 0:37:04.520 at the way that the Ravens defense is playing, I 0:37:04.520 --> 0:37:06.600 think that's the difference in this football game. I think 0:37:06.600 --> 0:37:07.960 the Ravens is good enough. 0:37:08.120 --> 0:37:11.480 I can't I can't really argue with anything. I I don't, like, 0:37:11.680 --> 0:37:13.239 I'm not gonna be betting on this game either way, 0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:13.840 Like I'm really not. 0:37:14.000 --> 0:37:16.360 That's probably want to be either. I mean, right, I thought. 0:37:16.120 --> 0:37:19.040 All I want to watch and enjoy without having action 0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:19.320 on it. 0:37:19.320 --> 0:37:21.120 I think I may bet the over, though at fifty 0:37:21.120 --> 0:37:23.560 four and a half, I think I'll have action on 0:37:23.600 --> 0:37:24.680 the over there. 0:37:24.719 --> 0:37:26.919 If there is a side on this that I want 0:37:26.960 --> 0:37:29.319 to play, it is the over, even at fifty four 0:37:29.320 --> 0:37:30.520 and a half, because I just think there are going 0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:32.560 to be so many points in this game. I just think, 0:37:32.600 --> 0:37:32.960 which is. 0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:35.319 So funny, right, because you have two running teams points points, 0:37:35.320 --> 0:37:38.399 points because we were expecting huge plays, Derek Henry going 0:37:38.400 --> 0:37:40.960 for sixty and Lamar answering right back for fifty. So 0:37:41.360 --> 0:37:44.279 I think that that's the I don't have a great 0:37:44.320 --> 0:37:46.080 read on who wins the game and what what the 0:37:46.160 --> 0:37:48.160 number will be, but I do think points because I 0:37:48.160 --> 0:37:50.320 both I think both defenses are going to give up points. 0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:52.480 If I had to go on a side at plus 0:37:52.560 --> 0:37:55.000 three and a half, I wouldn't mind the Titans. Otherwise 0:37:55.000 --> 0:37:56.920 I'm staying away from it. Otherwise I'm staying away from 0:37:56.960 --> 0:37:59.759 it completely, and I'm probably not even just to have fun, 0:37:59.760 --> 0:38:01.400 Like I'm not gonna bet the total at all, Like 0:38:01.440 --> 0:38:03.360 I'm just gonna stay away from and enjoy it. It 0:38:03.440 --> 0:38:05.200 is a game that I really don't feel like I 0:38:05.239 --> 0:38:07.040 have a good sense of how it's gonna be, because 0:38:07.160 --> 0:38:10.839 you're right, the Titans are playing not good football right now. 0:38:10.920 --> 0:38:14.319 Right to have that game against the Texans where you 0:38:14.400 --> 0:38:17.799 need to win to to have the division, you know 0:38:17.920 --> 0:38:21.359 that going in and you are a hair's breadth away 0:38:21.360 --> 0:38:23.600 from losing that game. Like that's that. 0:38:23.719 --> 0:38:26.520 I saw their soul leave their team when they when 0:38:26.560 --> 0:38:28.520 they ran off the field at the end of the 0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:31.200 game against the Packers when they punted the football. 0:38:31.920 --> 0:38:33.719 Yeah, I remember you said that they didn't need to. 0:38:33.719 --> 0:38:36.799 Punt the football. It was a fourth down play. They 0:38:36.920 --> 0:38:40.520 the Packers would have knelt down anyway, and they punted it, 0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:44.360 and I went, yep, they're done. In that moment, I 0:38:44.400 --> 0:38:45.160 knew they were done. 0:38:46.120 --> 0:38:48.160 You said it, I wrote, I was just like, ah, whatever, 0:38:48.400 --> 0:38:51.200 Like they're just saving their their bullets, Like what's the difference. 0:38:51.239 --> 0:38:53.919 But I don't know either way. I think that here 0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:56.200 in this game that they've been here before, they they 0:38:56.320 --> 0:38:58.799 faced again. A big thing that I always say is 0:38:58.800 --> 0:39:01.080 one of the biggest things you can do against the 0:39:01.120 --> 0:39:03.600 Patriots when they had Brady, even though it never worked, 0:39:03.760 --> 0:39:06.160 and against the Ravens even last year, is to not 0:39:06.280 --> 0:39:08.759 be afraid of them, is to not look at them 0:39:08.800 --> 0:39:10.160 in awe and be like, how are we gonna beat 0:39:10.160 --> 0:39:11.879 this team? Because I felt like every time a team 0:39:11.920 --> 0:39:14.200 played the Patriots because they were the best coach team 0:39:14.440 --> 0:39:16.800 and the best quarterback of all time, that they said, 0:39:16.880 --> 0:39:18.879 we can't beat these guys, or even if we look 0:39:18.960 --> 0:39:20.879 like we're gonna win, we're gonna choke it away because 0:39:20.880 --> 0:39:22.799 they're the Patriots. Stuff like that. I think a lot 0:39:22.840 --> 0:39:24.520 of teams are gonna do that right now if they're 0:39:24.760 --> 0:39:27.160 playing the Ravens because of how they've looked lately. I 0:39:27.160 --> 0:39:29.279 think the Titans have the advantage of basically being like, no, 0:39:29.480 --> 0:39:31.759 we've beatn you twice. Call it flukey, call it whatever 0:39:31.760 --> 0:39:34.319 you want. We're comfortable and where we are now. That 0:39:34.320 --> 0:39:36.279 doesn't make up for the complete lack of depth in 0:39:36.320 --> 0:39:39.239 their secondary. I agree with that, but I do kind 0:39:39.239 --> 0:39:40.840 of feel in the end that they're gonna find a 0:39:40.840 --> 0:39:42.719 way to win this game. Again, not touching the side 0:39:42.719 --> 0:39:44.520 because I just don't like it, but I do lean 0:39:44.560 --> 0:39:46.800 that way. Let's go to the Bears visiting the Saints. 0:39:47.120 --> 0:39:49.799 Right now, the consensus line is the Saints minus ten 0:39:50.200 --> 0:39:53.360 and the over under is at forty seven. Any thoughts 0:39:53.400 --> 0:39:54.120 on this one? 0:39:55.680 --> 0:39:59.239 Well, I was told today that I am on the 0:39:59.280 --> 0:40:03.920 public saw by liking the points, and I just think that. 0:40:03.960 --> 0:40:06.080 Really that's the public side is the points. 0:40:06.200 --> 0:40:10.120 I think so yeah, and I and people were saying 0:40:10.200 --> 0:40:12.160 at home, the Saints are gonna go and put him 0:40:12.160 --> 0:40:14.840 a big number. I the only thing I can do 0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:17.160 in this game is tease it down. I can't touch. 0:40:17.600 --> 0:40:20.200 I think the Bears plus ten is the side. But 0:40:20.280 --> 0:40:23.400 I do think the Saints are going to win this game. Tribitsky, 0:40:23.560 --> 0:40:26.319 I've faded him like crazy, but Pro Football Focus has 0:40:26.360 --> 0:40:29.400 given him the best quarterback grade over the last four games. 0:40:29.440 --> 0:40:30.600 I mean, it's like it's just. 0:40:30.600 --> 0:40:31.879 Prety schedule alone. 0:40:31.600 --> 0:40:35.080 Man who who has been against correct? And this is 0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:38.920 a playoff game. I you know, the only thing I 0:40:38.960 --> 0:40:40.680 know to do with this is to tease this down 0:40:40.719 --> 0:40:42.279 and to hope that we see the number come to 0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:44.279 nine and I can tease it to three and take 0:40:44.320 --> 0:40:46.520 the Saints minus three and a teaser leg. 0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:49.920 Yeah. This is unfortunately, I know it's Sunday because we're 0:40:49.960 --> 0:40:51.680 talking about Saturday. I'm like, oh, I can get in 0:40:51.680 --> 0:40:53.719 on this. I like this part. I don't love this 0:40:53.800 --> 0:40:57.360 game either. I really don't like I think that you 0:40:57.400 --> 0:40:59.879 know Trubisky that he's not gonna be able. He plays 0:41:00.000 --> 0:41:02.400 well against bad defenses, right, he does not play well 0:41:02.440 --> 0:41:04.440 against good defenses, and the Saints have a very very 0:41:04.480 --> 0:41:08.400 good defense. I'm going to assume with the problem. Another 0:41:08.440 --> 0:41:10.440 problem with this is that we don't really know how 0:41:10.520 --> 0:41:13.359 healthy the Saints offense is. Because Michael Thomas is coming 0:41:13.400 --> 0:41:15.920 back great, he was on IR He's coming back finally 0:41:15.920 --> 0:41:17.720 from the high ankle spring. But he came back before 0:41:18.160 --> 0:41:21.360 and he was not fully healthy. Is he fully healthy 0:41:21.360 --> 0:41:23.399 now or is he just like it's the playoffs, I've 0:41:23.400 --> 0:41:27.200 been rested him coming back now. Alvin Kamara, he had COVID. Matt, 0:41:27.280 --> 0:41:29.839 you are aware. We've talked about this. Sometimes you come 0:41:29.880 --> 0:41:32.480 back from COVID and it's like you're totally fine. There 0:41:32.560 --> 0:41:35.719 is no really negative effect if you were asymptomatic and 0:41:35.760 --> 0:41:38.239 you didn't have anything. But sometimes there's a pretty bad 0:41:38.320 --> 0:41:40.560 effect and it takes you a while to kind of recover. 0:41:40.880 --> 0:41:42.520 Is he going to be at one hundred percent? With 0:41:42.640 --> 0:41:45.840 those questions I play, I mean he's not clear to 0:41:45.880 --> 0:41:48.600 play yet. Well, he's not clear to play yet, that's true, 0:41:48.600 --> 0:41:51.600 But I think all everyone is expecting him to play. 0:41:52.239 --> 0:41:55.520 They're doing some weird computer program that's letting practice and 0:41:55.560 --> 0:41:56.680 what do the weak because. 0:41:56.440 --> 0:41:58.799 He can't he can't return to practice yet, because he's 0:41:58.800 --> 0:42:00.440 got the ten days it's going to be if they 0:42:00.520 --> 0:42:02.920 remember this game we're on Saturday, wouldn't be able to play. 0:42:03.000 --> 0:42:04.600 So the fact that it's on Sunday is the only 0:42:04.680 --> 0:42:06.600 chance he has to play. But I am assuming that 0:42:06.640 --> 0:42:08.880 he's going to be able to play. If not, you know, 0:42:09.000 --> 0:42:12.680 then the Bears plus ten becomes a lot more enticing, 0:42:13.000 --> 0:42:16.320 right for sure. I don't expect this. I don't have 0:42:16.360 --> 0:42:18.399 a u matt. In terms of the scoring. I don't 0:42:18.440 --> 0:42:19.960 expect the Bears to be able to put up a 0:42:20.000 --> 0:42:23.000 ton of points at all. And I think that, you know, 0:42:23.080 --> 0:42:26.680 generally speaking, these are two teams that play pretty slow 0:42:26.920 --> 0:42:28.960 at this point, like they're not their Their pace of 0:42:29.000 --> 0:42:32.600 play is not huge. The Saints run the ball a ton, 0:42:32.719 --> 0:42:36.080 so the clock is constantly moving. I don't hate the 0:42:36.320 --> 0:42:39.120 under forty seven. I don't love it. It's not really 0:42:39.200 --> 0:42:41.160 enough for me to bet. If I were going to 0:42:41.200 --> 0:42:43.400 do something with it and it were a part of 0:42:43.440 --> 0:42:46.320 a teaser, I would tease that part up to fifty 0:42:46.360 --> 0:42:48.400 three and take the under. But you do always have 0:42:48.520 --> 0:42:51.120 the potential even against the good defense like the Bears, 0:42:51.320 --> 0:42:53.320 that the Saints are just going to go nuts offense. 0:42:53.360 --> 0:42:56.880 That's especially my fear is the Saints haang forty yes. 0:42:56.800 --> 0:42:59.440 And that is one hundred percent on the table because 0:42:59.680 --> 0:43:02.480 if is healthy, if Kamara is back and feels no 0:43:02.560 --> 0:43:05.520 after effects, they're in the dome. So you feel like 0:43:05.560 --> 0:43:07.959 this is something where Breeze's arm strength is not really 0:43:07.960 --> 0:43:09.840 gonna matter. Taysom Hill is gonna come in there and 0:43:09.880 --> 0:43:12.520 do some crazy stuff. So it is something where I 0:43:12.680 --> 0:43:16.400 get nervous. So yeah, I'm surprised that the public has 0:43:16.440 --> 0:43:18.719 taken the ten. I thought I figured the Saints would 0:43:18.719 --> 0:43:21.799 be kind of the public play here. But I don't 0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:24.200 like it at ten. I don't really love it at 0:43:24.200 --> 0:43:26.000 forty seven. If I had to go one way, I 0:43:26.000 --> 0:43:28.719 would take the under on forty seven. But yeah, that's 0:43:28.800 --> 0:43:31.320 kind of where we are. Last game, Brown's at the Steelers. 0:43:31.440 --> 0:43:35.120 I'm surprised this has only moved as much as it 0:43:35.160 --> 0:43:37.480 has Matt, which is to the Steelers minus six. I 0:43:37.480 --> 0:43:39.759 think it opened at four and a half, so I 0:43:39.800 --> 0:43:43.200 think now it's minus six. The total is forty seven 0:43:43.280 --> 0:43:44.919 and a half. What do you think of this game? 0:43:46.880 --> 0:43:52.000 You know what's interesting? The line opened at three, right, 0:43:52.040 --> 0:43:52.680 you said. 0:43:52.760 --> 0:43:54.480 Was it three? I saw it at four and a half. 0:43:54.520 --> 0:43:55.319 It might have been at three. 0:43:55.440 --> 0:43:58.240 It was three. I was three Steelers mynuch three okay? 0:43:58.400 --> 0:44:01.759 And then it went to six, and then it went 0:44:01.880 --> 0:44:03.120 down to five and a half. 0:44:03.560 --> 0:44:04.799 Is it five and a half where you are? 0:44:05.120 --> 0:44:06.560 It's been five and a half all day in Vegas? 0:44:06.680 --> 0:44:07.080 Was it now? 0:44:07.560 --> 0:44:09.239 It's six for almost everywhere here? 0:44:10.400 --> 0:44:12.200 It's five and a half in Vegas? And so I 0:44:12.360 --> 0:44:15.520 started asking people, can you explain that to me? Please? 0:44:15.560 --> 0:44:20.440 Because they haven't practiced. Their head coaches out, yeah, their 0:44:20.480 --> 0:44:23.359 play caller is out. Yeah, they're missing their starting left 0:44:23.360 --> 0:44:27.400 guard and their quarterback has not thrown a pass to 0:44:27.560 --> 0:44:29.560 their wide receivers since Sunday. 0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:31.600 Do you have an answer for this? 0:44:31.960 --> 0:44:34.560 No? I no one can. Nobody can figure this out, 0:44:34.600 --> 0:44:37.279 Like why are the This is why I haven't bet 0:44:37.320 --> 0:44:40.880 this game because I am totally perplexed by this, because 0:44:40.920 --> 0:44:43.080 how in the hell are people betting the Browns? 0:44:43.480 --> 0:44:44.600 Like, I don't get it. 0:44:44.640 --> 0:44:46.520 Is it just because they it's hard to beat somebody 0:44:46.560 --> 0:44:48.640 two weeks in a row and they saw everything Pittsburgh 0:44:48.680 --> 0:44:51.160 wanted to do, but the Stars weren't playing for Pittsburgh. 0:44:51.239 --> 0:44:53.279 Do you know, I mean, is it do we know? 0:44:54.000 --> 0:44:56.279 I mean, I know this is an oversimplification. Do we 0:44:56.320 --> 0:44:58.280 know the type of money that's coming in on the Browns? 0:44:58.280 --> 0:45:00.719 Is public to move the number? No, I don't know 0:45:00.760 --> 0:45:02.919 what it is. I mean, I'm guessing it's respected money 0:45:02.960 --> 0:45:05.280 here on a Thursday for a Sunday. Yeah, I'm guessing 0:45:05.320 --> 0:45:06.080 it's not the public. 0:45:06.400 --> 0:45:09.160 I could see the in the playoffs. It could be 0:45:09.400 --> 0:45:11.799 the public, I guess. And you could say, like, the 0:45:11.840 --> 0:45:15.799 Browns are like a great story in that right, it's 0:45:15.800 --> 0:45:18.120 the first time they made the playoffs in twenty years 0:45:18.239 --> 0:45:18.640 or whatever. 0:45:18.800 --> 0:45:20.839 And look maybe, I mean, the NFL network does those 0:45:20.880 --> 0:45:23.520 ridiculous predictions that never were correct to those projections that 0:45:23.560 --> 0:45:26.319 they do. But they projected twenty seven to twenty four, sorry, 0:45:26.320 --> 0:45:29.160 twenty twenty three Steelers. So I don't know if that 0:45:29.200 --> 0:45:31.440 people in the people saw that on the NFL network 0:45:31.480 --> 0:45:33.480 and were like, Okay, I'm taking the Browns at plus 0:45:33.520 --> 0:45:35.200 six because they claimed that that's going to be you know, 0:45:35.280 --> 0:45:38.160 that's their projection. I don't know if that's why, But 0:45:38.440 --> 0:45:41.080 I mean, I just think this is another story of 0:45:41.120 --> 0:45:44.120 the Browns, you know, Lucy pulling the football on them. 0:45:44.560 --> 0:45:47.000 In terms of just having way too many problems going 0:45:47.040 --> 0:45:49.040 into their first playoff game in seventeen years. 0:45:49.400 --> 0:45:50.480 I'm pounding the Steelers. 0:45:50.840 --> 0:45:51.360 Yeah, I'm with you. 0:45:51.920 --> 0:45:55.000 I'm pounding it and I get all that. And I've 0:45:55.120 --> 0:45:57.879 had concerns about why it's still only minus six. You're 0:45:57.920 --> 0:45:59.719 telling me again, I saw it at four and a half. 0:45:59.760 --> 0:46:02.600 At times Stefanski was declared out. I may be wrong 0:46:02.640 --> 0:46:04.719 on the timeline at this because you know, I look 0:46:04.719 --> 0:46:06.600 at things and then you know, going back and forth. 0:46:06.520 --> 0:46:08.319 It opened up three in Vegas and then but Tony 0:46:08.400 --> 0:46:11.080 was out and then Stefanski was out. 0:46:11.040 --> 0:46:13.279 And Buttonio is a huge loss, by the way, like 0:46:13.800 --> 0:46:15.600 huge loss was. 0:46:15.600 --> 0:46:18.200 A gigantic loss. I mean people understanding how people loss 0:46:18.200 --> 0:46:18.520 that is. 0:46:18.760 --> 0:46:21.279 That's the thing I don't think like people really think about. 0:46:21.360 --> 0:46:22.839 And that's, by the way, something we didn't talk about 0:46:22.840 --> 0:46:24.880 with the Rams is Whitworth is coming back right for 0:46:24.920 --> 0:46:27.400 the Rams right this week and huge, huge, huge thing. 0:46:27.440 --> 0:46:28.440 We didn't even talk about that. 0:46:28.440 --> 0:46:30.480 But yes, and Acres looked pretty good last week. Two. 0:46:30.680 --> 0:46:33.400 Yeah, that's actually also another thing which we didn't get 0:46:33.440 --> 0:46:35.440 to into that. I mean he didn't I wouldn't say 0:46:35.480 --> 0:46:37.319 he looked. I think he you know, ran twenty one 0:46:37.320 --> 0:46:39.520 times for thirty four yards, but twenty one carries in 0:46:39.560 --> 0:46:42.680 your first game back from the high ankle sprands. 0:46:42.440 --> 0:46:45.200 Like one of those were third down pickups though, But. 0:46:45.239 --> 0:46:48.440 I also it's encouraging to me if they're going to 0:46:48.520 --> 0:46:51.080 give him that workload and you're not going to say okay, 0:46:51.200 --> 0:46:53.400 like you know, we don't really have concerns about this. 0:46:53.560 --> 0:46:55.520 We have Malcolm Brown. We're not even letting him touch 0:46:55.560 --> 0:46:59.359 the ball. Good. That's good and talented. So that does 0:46:59.400 --> 0:47:01.439 both those we didn't even touch in them Wayne favor 0:47:01.480 --> 0:47:05.440 of the Rams for me though, I does just the 0:47:05.440 --> 0:47:09.480 the bigger part than Beotonia is the fact that they 0:47:09.640 --> 0:47:14.680 don't have a head coach who calls their plays. You 0:47:14.760 --> 0:47:18.600 can't compare it because they're two very different teams. But 0:47:18.960 --> 0:47:22.359 we saw what the Lions look like in that game 0:47:22.440 --> 0:47:24.520 against the Bucks. They would have gotten blown out anyway, 0:47:24.520 --> 0:47:26.800 I'm sure, but you got rid of the coaching staff 0:47:26.840 --> 0:47:28.560 and they look like they might have never been on 0:47:28.600 --> 0:47:30.799 the field before. Now, the Lions aren't that far from 0:47:30.840 --> 0:47:33.200 it necessarily in a good day anyway, So I'm not 0:47:33.200 --> 0:47:34.640 going to say that this is what the Browns are. 0:47:34.640 --> 0:47:36.600 But yeah, and the Browns, by the way. They have 0:47:36.719 --> 0:47:39.360 not been playing well anyway. They barely beat the Mason 0:47:39.440 --> 0:47:41.279 Rudolph Like, this is what we talked about when we 0:47:41.280 --> 0:47:43.359 were talking about that game last week. And then you know, 0:47:43.800 --> 0:47:46.480 Mason Rudolf doesn't kill a team, but he's not a 0:47:46.920 --> 0:47:50.759 you know, he's a below average NFL quarterback. And they 0:47:51.200 --> 0:47:52.359 they hung around that whole game. 0:47:52.840 --> 0:47:55.680 You know, I'm with you, No, I think the I 0:47:55.680 --> 0:47:57.680 think the Steelers are the side he's either Steelers are 0:47:57.680 --> 0:47:58.319 no play for me. 0:47:58.880 --> 0:48:00.920 Yeah, and it's Steelers, like this is not one where 0:48:00.920 --> 0:48:03.280 I'm like it's either this or this. It's Steelers, Like I'm. 0:48:03.360 --> 0:48:05.680 Totally I have no clue on the total for that. 0:48:05.800 --> 0:48:07.759 Maybe there because I don't know what the Browns are 0:48:07.760 --> 0:48:10.560 going to score, and they could come out and who knows. 0:48:10.600 --> 0:48:12.680 I mean, they could run the ball. The Steelers without 0:48:12.680 --> 0:48:15.200 their linebackers who get lit up by Landry. 0:48:14.840 --> 0:48:16.799 You know though, man, they get pressure. The one thing 0:48:16.840 --> 0:48:19.000 that they do is they get pressure consistently. And you know, 0:48:19.160 --> 0:48:21.680 Baker is not good under pressure man like that, That's 0:48:21.760 --> 0:48:23.879 just not what he does. And maybe they'll be able 0:48:23.920 --> 0:48:25.840 to like last week where Chubb broke that you know, 0:48:25.880 --> 0:48:27.719 almost fifty yard run and maybe they'll be able to 0:48:27.719 --> 0:48:29.600 do that. I just don't see it. I just don't 0:48:29.600 --> 0:48:31.920 see it. And I think that the Steelers are going 0:48:32.000 --> 0:48:34.279 to win and win big in this game. So I 0:48:34.360 --> 0:48:36.680 have no problem taking the mind of six. I'm not hesitaning, 0:48:36.760 --> 0:48:38.840 but the forty seven and a half, I'm not anywhere 0:48:38.840 --> 0:48:40.440 close to it. I wouldn't know what to do with 0:48:40.520 --> 0:48:42.719 it at all because I have no feel for what 0:48:42.800 --> 0:48:44.520 this game is going to be from that side, all right, 0:48:44.680 --> 0:48:46.239 So I feel like there are some plays, So what 0:48:46.280 --> 0:48:47.760 do you want? First of all, do you have questions 0:48:47.760 --> 0:48:49.160 from discord? I mean, I don't know if we've. 0:48:49.000 --> 0:48:50.680 Got no I mean we've hit more hit on the 0:48:50.719 --> 0:48:53.000 vast cord of them, like we we just looked about 0:48:53.040 --> 0:48:54.719 the COVID issues with the Browns. We hit on that. 0:48:54.800 --> 0:48:57.920 We teaser plays, but they want to know what our 0:48:57.960 --> 0:48:59.080 favorite plays are? 0:48:59.239 --> 0:49:02.560 So okay, all right, So you want to start with 0:49:02.600 --> 0:49:04.840 what on on the regular line or are you just 0:49:04.920 --> 0:49:06.440 more teasing it or whatever you want to do? 0:49:07.360 --> 0:49:08.200 Are straight bets? 0:49:08.560 --> 0:49:08.880 Okay? 0:49:09.000 --> 0:49:10.880 What are what our favorite plays for? Straight bets? What 0:49:10.920 --> 0:49:11.880 are they? All? Right? 0:49:11.920 --> 0:49:13.520 Do we have to agree on them then? Because I 0:49:13.560 --> 0:49:14.320 don't really. 0:49:14.120 --> 0:49:16.440 Know, No, it's your favorite in my favorite. 0:49:16.600 --> 0:49:21.840 Okay, all right, so my favorite this weekend, I would say, 0:49:22.280 --> 0:49:24.480 I guess I'll give how about I give one spread 0:49:24.480 --> 0:49:25.640 in one total? Is that right? 0:49:25.840 --> 0:49:26.080 Sure? 0:49:26.560 --> 0:49:31.120 Great? My favorite spread I'm gonna leave York. I feel 0:49:31.160 --> 0:49:33.440 like I know what yours is is going to be 0:49:33.640 --> 0:49:36.440 the Bills laying six and a half, because I really 0:49:36.480 --> 0:49:39.280 do think that the Bills are going to have a 0:49:39.320 --> 0:49:41.759 monster game. If it's under a touchdown, that's my pick. 0:49:41.800 --> 0:49:42.799 How about you met against the. 0:49:42.719 --> 0:49:44.439 Spread Stellers miles five and a half? 0:49:45.280 --> 0:49:46.920 Really I thought you were gonna go with the Rams. 0:49:47.200 --> 0:49:50.040 No, I think that. I mean it's three and a half. 0:49:50.080 --> 0:49:52.560 And it's always scary when you're betting against the team 0:49:52.560 --> 0:49:55.200 with a better quarterback. Yeah, I'm not going to stand 0:49:55.200 --> 0:49:57.240 on a desk and pound and say that the Rams 0:49:57.239 --> 0:49:59.880 one hundred percent. They got two quarterbacks. Jared Goff's is 0:50:00.120 --> 0:50:02.719 youse and and look it's Russell Wilson. I mean, it's 0:50:02.719 --> 0:50:05.239 always very hard to say that. Yep, you know, John 0:50:05.239 --> 0:50:07.360 Wafford is gonna beat Russell Wilson. So I do. I 0:50:07.360 --> 0:50:09.319 think I'm gonna bet it to happen. But it's not 0:50:09.360 --> 0:50:11.520 my favorite play. My favorite play is to go ahead 0:50:11.520 --> 0:50:13.640 and expect the Steelers to annihilate the Browns. 0:50:13.719 --> 0:50:15.239 Do you care if it's six, by the way, because 0:50:15.280 --> 0:50:17.520 consensus at six? Does that matter to you? I know 0:50:17.560 --> 0:50:18.560 it's not going. 0:50:18.719 --> 0:50:20.960 I mean, I want to under seven. Get it under seven, 0:50:21.040 --> 0:50:24.719 and and I'm comfortable with with with laying Pittsburgh, you know, 0:50:25.080 --> 0:50:25.880 going pretty. 0:50:25.600 --> 0:50:29.440 Heavy, all right? And how about your favorite total Bills 0:50:29.480 --> 0:50:31.040 over Bill's over? 0:50:31.120 --> 0:50:33.359 Okay, so that in the second favorite would be the 0:50:33.400 --> 0:50:35.799 Titans over. But I'll take the fifty one over fifty 0:50:35.840 --> 0:50:36.399 four and a half. 0:50:37.239 --> 0:50:41.080 Okay, Bills, I'll give you that one Bill's over fifty one, 0:50:41.120 --> 0:50:42.640 and then we'll just come back next week. We'll see 0:50:42.640 --> 0:50:45.440 what we did. Bills over fifty one. I am going 0:50:45.480 --> 0:50:48.279 to do the thing that you really don't want to 0:50:48.320 --> 0:50:50.319 do right now in any NFL game, and that's go 0:50:50.400 --> 0:50:52.680 with an under. But I am going to take the. 0:50:53.120 --> 0:50:55.920 Your favorite, your favorite, boy, Okay. 0:50:55.960 --> 0:50:59.640 You better believe it, the Bucks Washington football game under 0:50:59.680 --> 0:51:03.719 forty five. So that is my actual favorite game, that 0:51:03.800 --> 0:51:05.319 of the over under. If I was going to bet 0:51:05.320 --> 0:51:07.920 a side, because again this is just one Matt, I 0:51:07.960 --> 0:51:10.640 don't know. You don't see Washington putting up a ton 0:51:10.680 --> 0:51:13.080 of points, right, Like I can see it against this 0:51:13.200 --> 0:51:15.479 Bucks defense, and we talked about it. This is past 0:51:15.520 --> 0:51:18.239 Brady's bedtime. You're probably not gonna have Mike Evans. There's 0:51:18.280 --> 0:51:21.040 gonna get a ton of pressure on him all day long. 0:51:21.440 --> 0:51:23.719 Washington's defense, by the way, has been one of the 0:51:23.760 --> 0:51:27.239 most underrated defenses all year long. They are legitimate. I 0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:29.000 know you talked about you talked to you know whoever 0:51:29.000 --> 0:51:30.759 doesn't like their corners. I think their corners are good 0:51:30.840 --> 0:51:33.120 enough to sort of hang with these guys. I think 0:51:33.120 --> 0:51:34.880 there's going to be very few points. It's going to 0:51:34.920 --> 0:51:37.160 make me nervous. I agree, betting me under and all 0:51:37.280 --> 0:51:40.359 is crazy, but I do like that under forty five, 0:51:40.400 --> 0:51:43.279 so that'll be my pick. So my official plays for 0:51:43.360 --> 0:51:45.560 this one are the Bills laying six and a half 0:51:45.760 --> 0:51:48.520 and the Bucks. Washington football team under forty five. And Matt, 0:51:48.560 --> 0:51:50.400 you were going with the Steelers laying five and a 0:51:50.440 --> 0:51:53.080 half to the Browns and the Bills and the Colts 0:51:53.160 --> 0:51:55.000 over fifty one. Now I will say that what my 0:51:55.000 --> 0:51:57.160 two team Teazers, and again you can have this now 0:51:57.360 --> 0:52:00.520 that I've already bet is, I'm teasing the Bills down 0:52:00.960 --> 0:52:02.880 to laying a half a point, or it could be 0:52:02.920 --> 0:52:05.040 a pick if you get it at six somewhere because 0:52:05.040 --> 0:52:07.600 it's bouncing back and forth. And I have teased the 0:52:07.640 --> 0:52:10.200 bucks down from I had it at minus eight and 0:52:10.239 --> 0:52:11.920 a half and I tease them to minus two and 0:52:11.960 --> 0:52:13.600 a half, but right now to eight, so you can 0:52:13.640 --> 0:52:15.520 get that. I like it even better. But that's my 0:52:15.680 --> 0:52:18.680 official two team teaser play, even though again I'll probably 0:52:18.760 --> 0:52:21.080 making a few total now I'll tweet them out as well. Matt, 0:52:21.080 --> 0:52:22.720 do you want you want to wait for your official 0:52:23.680 --> 0:52:26.040 two team teaser play for the Juice? So you're gonna 0:52:26.000 --> 0:52:27.680 be making multiple you want to make one here. 0:52:27.719 --> 0:52:30.480 I'm gonna be making multiple, but I got one on 0:52:30.560 --> 0:52:32.760 Sunday one on Saturday. So I'll give you the Saturday 0:52:32.760 --> 0:52:35.120 one now, okay, and then we'll have the Sunday one 0:52:35.160 --> 0:52:38.080 on the Daily Juice. And remember I have two live 0:52:38.120 --> 0:52:40.960 streams coming for our prop bets on Saturday and Sunday 0:52:40.960 --> 0:52:42.719 at eleven Eastern for a half an hour. So we 0:52:42.800 --> 0:52:44.719 got prop bets coming at you guys for all three, 0:52:44.760 --> 0:52:46.080 all six of these games for three. 0:52:46.080 --> 0:52:48.400 And you talk about the games generally on that too, right, 0:52:48.520 --> 0:52:49.200 like any change? 0:52:49.200 --> 0:52:51.520 Oh my god? Yes, yeah, yeah, we talk about everything. 0:52:51.719 --> 0:52:53.760 Go lines, We talk about movement and talking about money, 0:52:53.880 --> 0:52:56.880 talk about injuries, COVID, We'll talk about everything. But my 0:52:56.960 --> 0:52:58.799 Saturday one is going to be I'm gonna follow your 0:52:58.800 --> 0:53:01.200 bills teaser. I like that. I don't have six, though, 0:53:01.520 --> 0:53:03.200 so I'm gonna go to bet EMGM and I'm gonna 0:53:03.200 --> 0:53:05.600 tease down to six, from six to six to a pick. 0:53:05.920 --> 0:53:07.919 Bill's at a pick doesn't matter? 0:53:08.080 --> 0:53:09.960 I'm sorry? Am I missing anything? Does it matter if 0:53:09.960 --> 0:53:11.640 it's six or six and a half when you tease 0:53:11.640 --> 0:53:13.000 it down, there's no ties. 0:53:13.640 --> 0:53:15.600 No, it doesn't matter. I mean no, I guess it 0:53:15.600 --> 0:53:16.040 doesn't matter. 0:53:16.560 --> 0:53:18.319 No, like, actually it doesn't matter, right like. 0:53:18.520 --> 0:53:19.839 But it matters to me on the other lag because 0:53:19.840 --> 0:53:21.600 the rams are plus three and a half, I bet mgm. 0:53:21.960 --> 0:53:25.719 That's fine, that's fine. So we'll go Bill's minus half 0:53:25.719 --> 0:53:28.160 a point yet, Okay, so we stick together. 0:53:28.000 --> 0:53:30.319 Bill's half a point and I'm going rams plus nine 0:53:30.320 --> 0:53:30.800 and a half. 0:53:31.120 --> 0:53:32.960 And is it in Vegas where you are, Matt? Is 0:53:32.960 --> 0:53:34.080 it plus three and a half right now? 0:53:34.440 --> 0:53:37.160 It is a bet mgm? Yes, okay, Draft Kings on 0:53:37.160 --> 0:53:39.880 the East Coast, it's bet is that betem gym is 0:53:39.880 --> 0:53:41.480 at plus three and a half. I'll here in. 0:53:41.520 --> 0:53:43.239 Vegas Draft Kings is also at three and a half 0:53:43.320 --> 0:53:45.759 right now, but FanDuel is at three, so it's it's 0:53:45.800 --> 0:53:48.000 a little you know, this is where that that half 0:53:48.000 --> 0:53:50.560 a point is a big half a point in a game. 0:53:50.680 --> 0:53:53.040 It's gonna be close for this one. So okay, that 0:53:53.160 --> 0:53:57.439 is your official These are our official teaser plays and 0:53:57.680 --> 0:53:59.680 mine is also Saturday, So Matt, maybe what I'll do 0:53:59.719 --> 0:54:01.799 is I'll I'll think about it. Maybe I'll give it 0:54:01.800 --> 0:54:03.120 out to you on the live stream for the Sunday 0:54:03.160 --> 0:54:05.319 live stream for my official two team teaser. But mine 0:54:05.320 --> 0:54:07.799 is the Bill's link half a point, teasing them down 0:54:07.800 --> 0:54:09.760 from six and a half, and the bucks I'm teasing 0:54:09.800 --> 0:54:11.360 down from I had a eight and a half, you 0:54:11.360 --> 0:54:13.280 can get an eight down to two and a half. 0:54:13.400 --> 0:54:15.960 Matt is also teasing the Bills down to half a point, 0:54:16.040 --> 0:54:18.160 laying half point, and you're teasing the rams, which I 0:54:18.160 --> 0:54:20.759 also like a lot, the rams up from getting three 0:54:20.800 --> 0:54:22.360 and a half to getting nine and a half. I 0:54:22.400 --> 0:54:25.440 like that teaser a lot too, I do. And there 0:54:25.480 --> 0:54:28.360 are total teasers that I feel pretty comfortable making in 0:54:28.400 --> 0:54:30.359 this one as well, which we can talk about as well. 0:54:30.400 --> 0:54:33.640 But okay, boy, this got me pumped. Matt, This got 0:54:33.640 --> 0:54:37.200 me pumped for a super wild card weekend. All right again? 0:54:37.480 --> 0:54:39.640 Go on Saturday. What time are you are you doing 0:54:39.680 --> 0:54:43.560 at the usual eleven eleven am Eastern YouTube dot com 0:54:43.600 --> 0:54:45.960 slash betting Pro subscribe while you're there, like his live 0:54:46.000 --> 0:54:48.239 stream and all that good stuff. Now we'll be doing 0:54:48.280 --> 0:54:50.879 two half hour live streams instead of just an hour 0:54:50.920 --> 0:54:53.000 long on Sunday. We're going to be back doing this 0:54:53.080 --> 0:54:55.120 all the way through the playoffs. We're still planning out 0:54:55.120 --> 0:54:56.520 what we're going to be doing for the Super Bowl, 0:54:56.680 --> 0:54:58.400 something special. We'll get back to you on that, but 0:54:58.440 --> 0:55:04.320 in the meantime, enjoy a great weekend of playoff football 0:55:04.360 --> 0:55:12.480 and we'll talk to you next week.