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Speaker 1: Hey there, everybody. Welcome into the playoff edition of the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros NFL podcast. I'm your host Dan Harris. With me,

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Speaker 1: of course, is Matt Perrault. Find us on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris Ady and that sports talk Matt, Matt, are

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Speaker 1: you ready for the playoffs?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I am, and I'm really excited to get to

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Speaker 2: these games on Saturday Sunday because really it's a three

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Speaker 2: day run of football Saturday, Sunday Monday into the National

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Speaker 2: title game for college football. So this is really an

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Speaker 2: interesting week three, three and one to get into. It's

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Speaker 2: a great betting stretch. This is kind of the last

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Speaker 2: hurrah of the betting, real betting seriousness we can get into.

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Speaker 2: And then we get to the postseason a little bit

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Speaker 2: deeper and we start losing teams in the NFL, so

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Speaker 2: college basketball and college in the NBA not great for

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Speaker 2: me on the daily juice, Let's do football. I'm good.

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Speaker 1: I love it. I'm so excited. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be a fantastic weekend with six games. I'm in a

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Speaker 1: great mood today, Matt. Just going to put it out

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Speaker 1: there because my Mets made a huge trade for Francisco

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Speaker 1: Lindor and Carlos Carrasco and I'm working right now. If

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Speaker 1: you're on YouTube channel, YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.

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Speaker 1: I've got the wireless headphones working, Matt. I finally set

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Speaker 1: them up, so I feel like a brand new man.

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Speaker 1: So we are going to crush every single bet that

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Speaker 1: we got nowt here's the deal. You know, the DraftKings

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Speaker 1: competition as we've been doing all season long. Okay, and

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Speaker 1: that's over. As it was last week. We still made

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Speaker 1: our five picks last week, Matt. I don't know about you.

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Speaker 1: We'll go through those, by the way, because we did well, Matt.

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Speaker 1: We went four and one on our pits last week.

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Speaker 1: I don't think we need to come to a consensus.

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Speaker 1: I think we just go through the games, we break

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Speaker 1: them down, we give our sides, we talk about some

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Speaker 1: interesting stuff. I know you said we got some questions

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Speaker 1: that some people want answered this week on our discord

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Speaker 1: channel of course, so we can do that. But I

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Speaker 1: don't think we have to like talk. I mean we

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Speaker 1: can talk, we'll talk about him, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: we have to reach consensus and reach like the couple

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Speaker 1: of bets that want to do or do you think

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Speaker 1: we should do that.

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Speaker 2: I think we should have a couple of our favorite plays. Sure,

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Speaker 2: but I think what's the difference with this week. I

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Speaker 2: think we got to bring in totals too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I we'll talk about the totals in every game.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely, so I think we should talk about that more

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Speaker 2: to kind of you know, we normally just do the sides,

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Speaker 2: so now we're going to add a hole. So normally,

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Speaker 2: you know, we give out six, this would be six sides. Well,

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Speaker 2: now we got six totals stuck out as well. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think the favorite plays should be in there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll go game by game and sort of do it,

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Speaker 1: but it'll least I think in the end. You know,

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Speaker 1: sometimes Matt's on one side of the game, I'm on

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Speaker 1: another side of the game, and sometimes with your trick

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Speaker 1: consensus but we don't. But I've seen I've been following

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Speaker 1: you on Twitter this week, Matt, and I know you

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Speaker 1: like one team at the very least, which, well, we'll

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Speaker 1: have to talk about which I'm not sure I'm going

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Speaker 1: to back you on, but we'll get there. But very quickly,

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Speaker 1: let's recap last week, because we did make our five

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Speaker 1: picks and it went well. We were correct on these

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Speaker 1: Steelers getting nine from the Browns, the Packers laying five

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Speaker 1: and a half to the Bears, Washington laying one and

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Speaker 1: a half to the Eagles. That was you, by the way,

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Speaker 1: well done on that one. The Rams getting three from

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks, which we both really liked. The only one

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Speaker 1: we lost on was the Vikings laying six and a

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Speaker 1: half to the Lines. And again to me, I thought

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Speaker 1: Chase Daniel was going to start. I did not think

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Speaker 1: Stafford was going to be able to suit up for

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Speaker 1: that game, but kudos to that guy who's just as

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Speaker 1: tough as nails and guts it out. I did also

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Speaker 1: hit on the two team teaser that I bet and

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Speaker 1: announced while we were doing that podcast, which was teasing

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Speaker 1: the Steelers up from minus nine to minus fifteen and

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Speaker 1: teasing the Titans down from minus seven and a half

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Speaker 1: to minus one and a half. How is your week seventeen? Otherwise, Matt?

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Speaker 1: Other than the picks that we agreed on there.

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Speaker 2: I missed cashing in the Westgate reboot by half a point. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: so that's kind of happen. Went three and two in

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Speaker 2: the Westgate Titans killed us. I laid the seven and

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Speaker 2: a half with the Titans. Yeah, that killed us. They

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Speaker 2: had it the whole way. The Panthers were a bad

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Speaker 2: pick for us. They got destroyed by the Saints. I

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Speaker 2: thought they'd keep that game close, catching six points from

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Speaker 2: the Saints, but you know, three and two. What really

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Speaker 2: hurt us was that Satan's that's that Steelers Ravens game

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Speaker 2: that got postponed to Wednesday. We had it right. If

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Speaker 2: we got that right now, other people might have as well.

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Speaker 2: So it's kind of tough how it all kind of

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Speaker 2: works out with these contests. But to be a half

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Speaker 2: a point out of the money, that definitely stunk in

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Speaker 2: the West Gates. So and then we ended up with

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Speaker 2: a decent I think we went. We ended up going

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Speaker 2: three and two in the circa too, So it was

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Speaker 2: it was an okay week. It was. It was a

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Speaker 2: decent Daily Juice, went three and one in the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice on Sunday, and then we did really well in

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Speaker 2: the props. You you crushed the prop Betsy.

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Speaker 1: We could have we could have easily swept those by

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Speaker 1: the way, right.

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Speaker 2: I probably should have. Yeah, Mike Evans getting hurt early

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Speaker 2: definitely stung. You had six that went four and two.

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Speaker 2: I had a two of my own. Uh that that

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Speaker 2: the cash that they went two and oh and uh

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Speaker 2: the the John Walford at minus one oh five. Yes,

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Speaker 2: I bet my I bet two point two five units

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Speaker 2: on on these things. So I probably I look back

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Speaker 2: on it and like I knew that was gonna hit

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Speaker 2: and hit in the second drive of the whole game

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Speaker 2: that hit.

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Speaker 1: You were all over that one. By the way, I

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Speaker 1: assume if you listen this podcast, you probably listened to

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast was Jesus the podcast at Matt

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Speaker 1: hosts every single day. He'd done it from the hospital room.

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Speaker 1: He's done it on Christmas morning, He's done it on

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Speaker 1: New Year's Day, you know morning, you know into you know, uh,

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Speaker 1: the Year's eve. So it's a great podcast, the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: But one of things Matt does is he bets makes

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Speaker 1: several plays every single day, and one of the things

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Speaker 1: that I do is I record them because we want

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Speaker 1: to be transparent, of course, and we talk about you know,

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Speaker 1: Matt talks about units and everything like that. So recently

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Speaker 1: I totaled up how Matt did for all of his

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Speaker 1: bets by Sport through twenty twenty. And the good thing

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Speaker 1: is we're going to be posting an article about that shortly,

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Speaker 1: Matt really on Bettingpros dot com. Oh, so we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be yeah, we're going to be putting that whole spreadsheet up,

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Speaker 1: Matt on bettingpros dot com so that people who follow

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Speaker 1: you can look. So now you really want to you,

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Speaker 1: we're up in the game for you, my friend.

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Speaker 2: This is just non's.

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Speaker 1: People are just gonna be staring at your plays all

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Speaker 1: day long, right, so be careful with it, including it.

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Speaker 1: It's going to update in real time, by the way,

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Speaker 1: So this is whenever I update it, which is I

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Speaker 1: almost always listened to it first thing in the morning.

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Speaker 1: I like to be the one Matt has offered to

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Speaker 1: update it. I insist on doing it because I listened

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Speaker 1: to the juice anyway, so I like to be able

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Speaker 1: to do it. So, Matt, that's gonna be up. It's

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Speaker 1: probably within a couple days. So you can look for

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Speaker 1: that over at betting Pros dot com and follow all

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Speaker 1: of Matt's plays, and you know, he's been pretty successful

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Speaker 1: this year. So let's help you keep it up, Matt.

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Speaker 1: Now that you're gonna get the.

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Speaker 2: Well, the future wagers saved my tail. So that was

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Speaker 2: of the that was kind of the story of twenty twenty.

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Speaker 2: I ended up hitting fifty one fifty two percent is

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Speaker 2: what we went, which is a little bit less than

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Speaker 2: we want for the juice perspective. But we hit on

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Speaker 2: a bunch of futures six and one on the NFL

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Speaker 2: for futures two and zero in Major League Baseball. I

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Speaker 2: was up ten units in Baseball, So.

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Speaker 1: I got like, you got the World Series, right, I mean.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Tampa and and and the Dodgers, not exactly. I

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Speaker 2: didn't go out on a limb too much on the Dodgers,

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Speaker 2: but taking Tampa plus one thousand was was really nice.

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Speaker 2: So hitting those really helped a lot when it came

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Speaker 2: to making money. And so we ended up up over

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Speaker 2: eleven units for the year for the first seven months

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Speaker 2: of the juice. So not bad, very very good.

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Speaker 1: All right, So let's get into this weekend's games again.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to be looking at the consensus lines over

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Speaker 1: at betting prost. If you have other lines that you're

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Speaker 1: aware of that you're on in Vegas, might be different.

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Speaker 1: DraftKings is not always exactly identical to the consensus lines. Again,

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Speaker 1: that's where I can do it. So we'll talk through

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Speaker 1: all of that, and some of them have moved in

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Speaker 1: just this morning, the Bucks Washington game. That's been moving

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Speaker 1: all over the place as far as I can tell,

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Speaker 1: Like earlier today it was minus nine. Right now the

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Speaker 1: consensus line is minus eight. I don't even see a

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Speaker 1: minus nine out there.

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Speaker 2: Do you know why? You know?

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Speaker 1: Why are the Is there any news or it is

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Speaker 1: just that the sharps are hammering it bad?

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Speaker 2: Guys are coming in on my side bag. So the Westgate, sorry,

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Speaker 2: the South Point here in Vegas, they went to eight

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Speaker 2: and a half because the public kept on betting on Tampa,

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Speaker 2: and the second it went to nine, they got annihilated

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Speaker 2: huge amounts of money on Washington at plus nine. So

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Speaker 2: if you want to know where the number is in

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Speaker 2: terms of what's going to fire on the dog, nine's

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Speaker 2: the number where the dogs are firing, all right.

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Speaker 1: So we'll get into that one, but let's go in

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Speaker 1: the order that they're going to be played. The Colts

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Speaker 1: are visiting the Bills. The Bills are at minus six

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Speaker 1: and a half. The total is at fifty one on

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Speaker 1: the consensus line. There's a couple of fifty one and

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Speaker 1: a half's out there, but fifty one for the consensus line.

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Speaker 1: So Matt, breakdown how you feel about the game, and

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Speaker 1: then I'll talk to my side and then we'll see

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Speaker 1: if we're on the same side.

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Speaker 2: Okay, So the public is all over the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 2: It's it's the number one most bet game in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: number one most bet game in New Jersey. At bet MGM,

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Speaker 2: eighty five percent of the money is coming in at

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Speaker 2: FanDuel on the Buffalo Bills laying six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Actually, by the way, I want to make it clear,

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Speaker 1: since I checked before this podcast started, Matt, I've now

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Speaker 1: checked again and it's pretty even. But the consensus line

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Speaker 1: is actually down to minus six because bet MGM is

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Speaker 1: now minus six. FanDuel is minus six and a half,

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Speaker 1: DraftKings minus six and a half, but Fox bet is

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Speaker 1: minus six points Bet is minus six. So just so

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Speaker 1: you know, it might be minus six out there when

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Speaker 1: people are listening, But go ahead.

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Speaker 2: Take the points. Okay, this is going to be a

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Speaker 2: Buffalo Bill's victory, all right. But unless there is weather,

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Speaker 2: real weather to talk about, I think they in the game.

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Speaker 2: If there is, if wind shows up, if we're looking

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Speaker 2: at wind in cold and nastiness, I think the Colts

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Speaker 2: could win the game outright, But the Buffalo Bills I

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Speaker 2: think will win the game. They'll do enough. But I

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Speaker 2: think this is a high scoring affair. I like the

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Speaker 2: dog and I like the points, and I love the

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Speaker 2: same game teaser. How I'm playing that is I am

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Speaker 2: teasing the Colts up. I'm taking the total down or

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Speaker 2: the total down and going with the over. So my

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Speaker 2: play on that's gonna be Colts plus twelve twelve and

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Speaker 2: a half and then go with an over forty five.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So I like, do you like the over at

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Speaker 1: fifty one?

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Speaker 2: Ye?

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Speaker 1: Or do you think that? Okay? So do I. I think

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Speaker 1: that this is going to be a game with a

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Speaker 1: lot of scoring. I think the Bills defense is really

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Speaker 1: kind of come into their own over the second half

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Speaker 1: of the season. But still I feel like the Colts

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Speaker 1: are humming well enough. On offense, Philip Rivers is playing

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Speaker 1: pretty well despite the toe injury. They're obviously running the

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Speaker 1: ball extremely well with Jonathan Taylor, So I would lean

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Speaker 1: towards the over fifty one regardless. I do like the

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Speaker 1: teaser that you've made, but I actually i'll and I

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Speaker 1: don't want to give it away because I want it

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Speaker 1: when we get to that game. I'll tell you the

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Speaker 1: other leg of the teaser. But I am I do

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Speaker 1: have a two team teaser that I will recommend that

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Speaker 1: I've made. My guess is Matt will not like it.

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Speaker 1: But regardless, I have, actually I teased the Bills down

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Speaker 1: No One a half to a half, right.

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Speaker 2: I have it. I got twelve points to play with.

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Speaker 2: You could have which as you want. With Buffalo, I

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Speaker 2: think it's fine.

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Speaker 1: But to me, no, no, no, I don't think you'll

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Speaker 1: hate that one. I think you'll hate the other leg

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Speaker 1: the teaser is what I'm saying that one. I think

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Speaker 1: you're fine with it. Yes, because I am extremely confident

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Speaker 1: that the Bills are going to win this game, as

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Speaker 1: I think most people are. I'm actually surprised that you

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Speaker 1: came out and went there, Matt, given that your usual

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Speaker 1: hatred of the Bills, or you're fading of the Bills. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you Bill, Yeah that's true, that's fair. But you've said

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Speaker 1: they're going to win. That's that's oh.

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean because I think Philip Rivers is going

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Speaker 2: to throw a pick at the end to lose the game.

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Speaker 1: That's fine to me. I think that you know the Colts.

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Speaker 1: I've been kind of back and forth on the Colts

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Speaker 1: all year. I really like them. When the season started,

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Speaker 1: I was really really high on them. I thought they

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Speaker 1: were undervalued for a long time in the market. And

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Speaker 1: then Philip Rivers, he just looked so terrible to start

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Speaker 1: the season that I was like, he's cooked. And I

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Speaker 1: was a kind of a River's believer in the sense

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Speaker 1: that I thought last year you could blame on the

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Speaker 1: offensive line and that this wasn't a Peyton manning like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's all gone, and it's not. He's showed that he

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Speaker 1: still has at least a little juice left in the tank.

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Speaker 1: But you know, they had a really easy schedule down

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Speaker 1: the stretch here when they were playing well, and it's

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Speaker 1: not like they were destroying teams. Jonathan Taylor got going.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll try to run the ball in this game,

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Speaker 1: which is the only part of me that gets a

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Speaker 1: little worried about the over. I'd still lean over, but

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Speaker 1: I do think that the Colts formula and this one

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Speaker 1: probably is Oh goodness, Let's keep the ball out of

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen's hand, Let's try to control the clock as

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Speaker 1: much as we can. Let's keep going with what we

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Speaker 1: can do, and the Bills are a little vulnerable against

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Speaker 1: the run. With that said, I think, Matt, I kind

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Speaker 1: of have a feeling that the Bills are going to

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Speaker 1: destroy the Cults in this game, which is why I

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Speaker 1: would rather tease it down than tease it. I think

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Speaker 1: you're probably safe at twelve and a half, of course,

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Speaker 1: but I do have a feeling that the Bill, the

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Speaker 1: Bills are playing as well as any team in football

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Speaker 1: right now. I mean, they had to both incentive.

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Speaker 2: I know, but Dan, you're running with the public.

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Speaker 1: That's true. It's true. It's very true.

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Speaker 2: It's a public play, and I get it. I'm not

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Speaker 2: saying you're wrong on that. I just think when you

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Speaker 2: start looking at the liability, as I mentioned, eighty five

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Speaker 2: percent of the money coming in here on the Buffalo

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Speaker 2: Bills at six and a half at FanDuel, the most

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Speaker 2: popular side in New Jersey and in Nevada for bet

299
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Speaker 2: MGM are the Bills. I mean, this is just as

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Speaker 2: we get to the playoffs, you have to start to

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Speaker 2: smell a skunk here because they're upping the limits they're

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Speaker 2: going to allow you to go. I mean like places

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Speaker 2: a circle will allow you to go, like twenty five

304
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Speaker 2: thousand a side, you start seeing a lot more money

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Speaker 2: coming in. They're comfortable because they've got the algorithm, they've

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Speaker 2: got the data that tells them where they need to be.

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Speaker 2: And I look, you were high on the Colts for

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Speaker 2: a while, so I'm surprised you're saying the Colts get

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Speaker 2: blown out.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think here's here's what I think. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: think in watching this Bill's offense right now, I don't

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Speaker 1: know how you stop what they're doing with the way

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Speaker 1: that they are humming offensively, with how well you know

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Speaker 1: all year, Matt, Because we've talked a lot about the Bills,

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Speaker 1: right We talk about them, like, you know, in depth

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Speaker 1: every time because it's always Matt face the Bills. It's

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Speaker 1: the joke that we like to make. But Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: I was like, he's a Radick. He'll have his good days.

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Speaker 1: I haven't seen a bad game from Josh Allen in

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Speaker 1: a really long.

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Speaker 2: Since the Raider game. Yeah, it's been a while. I

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Speaker 2: mean it's been over a month. I mean he's been

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Speaker 2: on a run right.

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Speaker 1: Now, right And and you know, and Stefan Diggs is

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Speaker 1: playing as well as any wide receiver in the league

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Speaker 1: right now. And John Brown is back, which I think

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Speaker 1: also helps them. I just think offensively they're playing extraordinarily well. Defensively,

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Speaker 1: they've really tightened the screws. They were not a great

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Speaker 1: defensive team early on during the season. I think they

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Speaker 1: are well above average defensive team at this point in

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Speaker 1: the season. And so what I think is that the

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Speaker 1: Bills are going to have a lead here in this game.

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Speaker 1: They're going to jump out to a lead, and when

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Speaker 1: that happens, I do not trust Philip Rivers to be

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Speaker 1: able to lead the comeback. I think the way that

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Speaker 1: the Colts stay in this game is to be able to,

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Speaker 1: you know, ride Jonathan Taylor, as they basically have done

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Speaker 1: for the past several weeks. I just don't think they're

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Speaker 1: going to be able to do that because I think

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Speaker 1: that the Bills are going to be able to put

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Speaker 1: up points pretty much at will against a solid Colts defense.

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Speaker 1: I just think right now, the.

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Speaker 2: Bill defense, what's that will? What's that will?

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Speaker 1: You know what? All right? So what are they they're

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Speaker 1: favored by six?

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Speaker 2: What's your team total?

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Speaker 1: Then? All right, well I want to I'm trying to

348
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Speaker 1: figure out what Vegas hasn't met If they're favored by

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Speaker 1: six it's what twenty nine or six and a half

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Speaker 1: points with a total fifty one? Was that twenty nine,

351
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Speaker 1: twenty three, twenty eight and a half or something twenty

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Speaker 1: two and a half wherever it is that range right

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. I'm sorry. You know, I don't.

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Speaker 2: Off the top of my head. So let's say, so

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Speaker 2: you're saying thirty points for the Bills.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll give you that.

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Speaker 2: I can see thirty points of the Bills. The problem

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Speaker 2: is that Buffalo's defense is not that good.

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Speaker 1: It is good, though it wasn't.

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Speaker 2: That's not everyone says it is. It's not. It's okay

361
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Speaker 2: come postseason time against that offensive line, they couldn't stop

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Speaker 2: the run when it really mattered. In the end of

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Speaker 2: this year, they've been able to be to be the

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Speaker 2: beneficiary of having leads and having been able to throw

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Speaker 2: the ball at will and score fast on defenses that

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Speaker 2: haven't been that great. I know, everyone's everyone's in love. Look,

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Speaker 2: don't Week seventeen. Just because Buffalo destroyed Miami doesn't mean

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Speaker 2: they're going to destroy the Colts. Different circumstances.

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Speaker 1: It is, it is, but you know, Matt, the Colts

370
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Speaker 1: let the Jags hang around Man in Week seventy in

371
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Speaker 1: a game they had to win to get into the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Costanzo's out right. I think that's a huge loss to

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Speaker 1: their offensive line as it has been a shout and again,

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Speaker 1: you know, it's funny. I don't want to count this

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Speaker 1: too much. They're going to be home. They're gonna be

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Speaker 1: what sixty five hundred fans there those.

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Speaker 2: It'll be it'll be juiced. I mean that's I like

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Speaker 2: that for the Colts, To be honest with you, I

379
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Speaker 2: think I do. Yeah, I think I think it's better

380
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Speaker 2: to have an environment that feels like a playoff game

381
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Speaker 2: for teams like Philip, for guys like Philip Rivers and whatnot.

382
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Speaker 2: Because he's had such difficult times on the road. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I just I the Patriot game comes to mind really

384
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Speaker 2: quickly with how badly that that was what his last

385
00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,720
Speaker 2: run with the with with with with the Chargers, and

386
00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 2: the Patriots just destroyed them. I I just think this

387
00:16:29,520 --> 00:16:34,480
Speaker 2: Colts team has enough pieces to keep the game relatively close. Again,

388
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Speaker 2: I think the Bills win the game, and I think

389
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Speaker 2: being at home could help them in the fourth quarter,

390
00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:40,960
Speaker 2: down the stretch, last second drive, kicking a field goal,

391
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Speaker 2: and whatnot. But I just I see this as like

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Speaker 2: a thirty to twenty seven type of game and a

393
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Speaker 2: three point win for Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: I think it's fine. I don't think we're that far apart. Matt.

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Speaker 1: I like the Bill. The biggest point that you've made,

396
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Speaker 1: which is absolutely correct and makes me worried, is the

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Speaker 1: fact that it's such a public play and that they

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Speaker 1: know it and they don't care, right like that. That's

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Speaker 1: the thing you are all right got bring all the

400
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Speaker 1: money you want in keeping them on to seven.

401
00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:05,919
Speaker 2: Like with this money going in, you'd be like, why

402
00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:06,680
Speaker 2: aren't you at seven?

403
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Speaker 1: And it's at six in a lot of places.

404
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Speaker 2: It's right. I get it because respective money is coming

405
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Speaker 2: in on the Colts.

406
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Speaker 1: I understand. I really do. For me again, and whatever

407
00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:19,160
Speaker 1: the weather is, Matt, this is why. Remember that's why

408
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Speaker 1: the Bills drafted Josh Allen because he had that arm

409
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Speaker 1: that was going to be able to play in a

410
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,159
Speaker 1: place that was windy and cold. And he does. And

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Speaker 1: I get it. And how well coached they are by

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Speaker 1: the way. McDermott. And you know, remember what really always

413
00:17:33,359 --> 00:17:34,919
Speaker 1: has stuck out to me because you and I were

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Speaker 1: on the Steelers in that game, is how bad they

415
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Speaker 1: looked against a good Steelers defense in that first half,

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Speaker 1: and they came out in the second half and were

417
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Speaker 1: a completely different team. They're well coached, they make adjustments.

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Speaker 1: It's a good team. I just I it's a public play.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna come out and I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna they're gonna win handily here. So I would rather

421
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Speaker 1: tease this down because I'm so confident that they're going

422
00:17:56,520 --> 00:17:58,600
Speaker 1: to win the game the half than tease it up

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Speaker 1: to twelve and a half. But I think it's fine.

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Speaker 1: And again your same game teaser, I like that as well.

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00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:05,040
Speaker 1: I think teasing the total down if you can, and

426
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Speaker 1: then taking the over would be the right play because

427
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Speaker 1: I do think this is going over fifty one. I

428
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:10,880
Speaker 1: can't imagine I have a couple of plays here, Matt.

429
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Speaker 1: We'll talk about it, which I lean towards the under,

430
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Speaker 1: but I don't think I could ever actually play it,

431
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Speaker 1: because I think that playing an under right now just

432
00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 1: makes me sick. But all right, so that's the Bills cult.

433
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,280
Speaker 1: So I feel like we've got pretty much exactly you know,

434
00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,200
Speaker 1: where we're at. We're pretty much in line with that one.

435
00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:27,720
Speaker 1: Let's go the Rams Seahawks. This was the Seahawks laying

436
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,520
Speaker 1: three and a half. It's now the consensus line is three.

437
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,720
Speaker 1: There are three and a half's out there, but it's three.

438
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,440
Speaker 1: As of right now, the total is at forty two

439
00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,120
Speaker 1: and a half. Go ahead, Matt. What do you think

440
00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,760
Speaker 1: besides actually the consensus line is now forty two. There

441
00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,199
Speaker 1: are forty two and a half's out there, but the

442
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:44,439
Speaker 1: consensus forty two. Go ahead.

443
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 2: Besides the fact that that we'll get into the next game.

444
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:50,439
Speaker 2: In terms of like my my favorite crazy wild call

445
00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 2: for the week, John Wafford's going to beat the sale Seahawks.

446
00:18:55,640 --> 00:19:02,480
Speaker 2: John Wafford is a enigma, crazy wild. The Seahawks aren't

447
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,240
Speaker 2: gonna They don't know what's coming with this guy.

448
00:19:04,520 --> 00:19:06,040
Speaker 1: But I can I can I stop you for one

449
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 1: second because Goff apparently looked okay in practice and he's

450
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:09,880
Speaker 1: questionable for this game.

451
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 2: They're both gonna play, but I think you're gonna see

452
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:12,320
Speaker 2: Wofford play the majority.

453
00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:13,960
Speaker 1: So you think they're both playing in this one?

454
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:16,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I think they'll go into it and

455
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,280
Speaker 2: they I mean, you're paying Jared Goff a lot of money, Okay, Yeah,

456
00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,240
Speaker 2: but I think if Jared Goff looks at all shaky.

457
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 2: He's getting pulled, and I think he's gonna be shaky.

458
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 2: I I know that we I've seen injury experts talk

459
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:29,520
Speaker 2: about the thumb and saying that it's it's you know,

460
00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,800
Speaker 2: it's surgery. That's not that significant, and it's more about

461
00:19:31,840 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 2: the healing of the wound than it is the actual

462
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:39,600
Speaker 2: injury per se. But I think they get more. They

463
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: can do more with John Wofford. I think they will

464
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,159
Speaker 2: use Jared Goff. I think they may go with both quarterbacks.

465
00:19:45,160 --> 00:19:47,199
Speaker 2: But this to me comes to the defense in the

466
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: fact that Russell Wilson has been playing unlike what we

467
00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:53,480
Speaker 2: thought Russell Wilson was gonna be this year. We thought

468
00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:55,159
Speaker 2: he was gonna be the MVP candidate, and over the

469
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 2: last month it's basically you go get DK Metcalf and

470
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:01,359
Speaker 2: I think you put obviously Jalen Ray on him, and

471
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:04,200
Speaker 2: then you let Aaron Donald go to work and they

472
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 2: can stop the run. And if you stop Seattle running

473
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,960
Speaker 2: the football and you stop DK Metcalf, I know you

474
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 2: got Tyler Lockett, but he can't beat a team by himself.

475
00:20:11,960 --> 00:20:15,080
Speaker 2: That's pretty much garant known. I'm gonna take the three

476
00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 2: three and a half points with the Rams. But I

477
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:18,760
Speaker 2: think the Rams win this game outright.

478
00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:22,480
Speaker 1: I don't think it's crazy. I really don't. At three

479
00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,640
Speaker 1: and a half, I don't. This is not a game

480
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,439
Speaker 1: that I want to go near too much because it

481
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 1: strikes me as the value is on the Rams at

482
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,399
Speaker 1: three and a half in particular, I think the value

483
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 1: is certainly on the Rams. So that's out there. I

484
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:37,919
Speaker 1: would lean that way.

485
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 2: For a teas terrific game. By the way, teaser terrific.

486
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:41,920
Speaker 2: It's a teaserrific game.

487
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:43,399
Speaker 1: So what would you do with it? What would you?

488
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 1: Would you same game up?

489
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 2: No? Would? I would take my teaser on Saturday is

490
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 2: going to be I'm taking Washington, and I'm giving Washington

491
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:55,040
Speaker 2: for over fourteen and I'm gonna take the I'm gonna

492
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:56,560
Speaker 2: take the three and a half and go over and

493
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 2: go to nine three nine and a half here with

494
00:20:59,400 --> 00:20:59,960
Speaker 2: with the RAM.

495
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:03,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny because if I think you the way

496
00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:08,040
Speaker 1: you broke the game down is very almost exactly how

497
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 1: I feel about it. Exactly how I feel about it.

498
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:13,280
Speaker 1: They're really in a normal environment where I felt okay

499
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,040
Speaker 1: about betting the under. I lean the under on the

500
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:19,760
Speaker 1: forty two or the forty two because right so for me,

501
00:21:20,040 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 1: if I'm teasing part of this game, I might tease

502
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 1: that forty two or forty two and a half up

503
00:21:24,800 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 1: and take the other because I don't think there's any

504
00:21:26,560 --> 00:21:28,439
Speaker 1: way that these teams are gonna, you know, have big

505
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: get And you look at historically how the Seahawks like

506
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 1: to play, especially in the beginning of the playoffs. They

507
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,800
Speaker 1: are super conservative. They like to relax and kind of like,

508
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: you know, go back to running it. And I think

509
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 1: that that's what they're gonna and you're right, you stick

510
00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 1: you know, Ramsey on DK Metcalf. The Rams defense is

511
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 1: very very solid. But the Seahawks defense has played really

512
00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:52,639
Speaker 1: really well over the last several weeks, and I Walford

513
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 1: is somebody who adds this dimension that it'll be interesting

514
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,119
Speaker 1: to see how the Seahawks react with. But I do

515
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,160
Speaker 1: not see a lot of scoring here. I think it's

516
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 1: going to be a close game. It strikes me as

517
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: a field goal game one way or the other, which

518
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 1: is why if you can get three and a half

519
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 1: of the Rams, i'd lean that way. I still don't

520
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 1: love it, just because the Seahawks sometimes break what I

521
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 1: think should happen, like you know, because Russell Wilson if

522
00:22:14,720 --> 00:22:17,439
Speaker 1: he wanted to, I feel like they could put up

523
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: a ton of points. Maybe not in this game necessarily,

524
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 1: but generally speaking, I said, if you just said stop

525
00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,439
Speaker 1: the run, stop going back to the old thing, just

526
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 1: let Russ cook, you'd probably be in better shape. But

527
00:22:27,000 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 1: for this one, it's the third time these teams have

528
00:22:29,960 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 1: met this year, Like, it just does not strike me

529
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:33,879
Speaker 1: as something where there's going to be a lot of fireworks.

530
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: So I'm probably not making a play on this game.

531
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 1: At the current numbers, I'd probably lean towards the Rams

532
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,560
Speaker 1: at plus three and a half at three, I'm probably

533
00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 1: staying away the total. I lean under forty two and

534
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 1: a half, but I probably wouldn't play it, but I

535
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:50,439
Speaker 1: would make it part of a teaser and tease the

536
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 1: forty two and a half up to forty eight and

537
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,159
Speaker 1: a half and play the under. So you agree with that,

538
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 1: at least on the underplay.

539
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 2: Yes, I think this is the lowest scoring game.

540
00:22:58,359 --> 00:23:00,360
Speaker 1: Very good, All right, let's go on to all right,

541
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,240
Speaker 1: this is it, Matt, this is the one bucks at

542
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 1: the Washington football team. We're past Tom Brady's bedtime in

543
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,119
Speaker 1: this one. The consensus line right now, as we just

544
00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: talked about, has dropped to minus eight. I'm looking at

545
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,640
Speaker 1: the lines. There's minus eight and a half out there

546
00:23:14,680 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 1: at bet MGM, there's minus seven and a half out

547
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: there Fandle, and there's minus eight at Draftking. So it

548
00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 1: really is the consensus line of eight the total right now,

549
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:26,159
Speaker 1: and I'll double check it here because again these are

550
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,159
Speaker 1: moving as as numbers come in. It's dropped to forty

551
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 1: four and a half. It was forty five last time

552
00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 1: I checked. So the bucks minus eight and the total

553
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 1: at forty four and a half. Now we already know

554
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 1: where you're going, Matt. You want to tease this up

555
00:23:38,760 --> 00:23:40,080
Speaker 1: to fourteen? Is that right?

556
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,440
Speaker 2: Yeah? I really, I mean you're making me a little

557
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 2: concerned about the teaser line because I want fourteen. That's

558
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 2: really important. So I have a little bit of a

559
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:55,920
Speaker 2: concern there on the plus eight. So I need eight

560
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:57,960
Speaker 2: to get to fourteen, So seven and a half would

561
00:23:58,000 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 2: scare me.

562
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 1: Right, So that's it I'm looking at. That's at two

563
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,200
Speaker 1: places right now that we've got at FanDuel and at

564
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 1: Fox bet no oh, and at bet America. So other

565
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: than that, everything is at eight, and then there's one

566
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,199
Speaker 1: eight and a half left out there right now at

567
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 1: bet MGM. So right now it's at eight. Do you

568
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,199
Speaker 1: think it's gonna drop? I mean you mentioned the Batman.

569
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,119
Speaker 2: No, I think it's going on. I think the public's

570
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 2: gonna come in and hammer the Bucks before kickoff.

571
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 1: Okay, So I'm not.

572
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 2: That concerned about it. There's like a part of me

573
00:24:26,240 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 2: that like, if it doesn't come back, I'd be bummed.

574
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,679
Speaker 2: But I'm not that concerned because there's no way that

575
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 2: line would stay. The public is gonna bet the Bucks

576
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,439
Speaker 2: like crazy. Everyone's on the Bucks. I got buddies of

577
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 2: mine who are in Iowa or telling me fourteen points

578
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 2: or more, give me the Bucks. They're betting the alternative

579
00:24:39,800 --> 00:24:43,679
Speaker 2: spread saying Bucks are gonna kill Okay, and that's fine,

580
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,639
Speaker 2: and I get it. There are quarterback concerns, there are

581
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,199
Speaker 2: offensive concerns. There are you know, you're gonna need the

582
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:53,160
Speaker 2: Washington football team's defense to score or at least set

583
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 2: up a very short yardage situation for their offense. But

584
00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 2: I'm banking on that. I'm beking on and Chase Young.

585
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 2: I'm banking on this defensive front to get after Tom Brady.

586
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 2: He does not play well at night. He does not

587
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 2: play well against the NFC East. He does not play

588
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 2: well when it comes to teams that can make him uncomfortable.

589
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 2: And I know that the quote unquote knee is structurally

590
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 2: sound for Mike Evans, but come on now, he hyper

591
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,840
Speaker 2: extended that knee and couldn't put any real pressure on it.

592
00:25:23,920 --> 00:25:26,679
Speaker 2: So shoot the guy up and have him go play fine,

593
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:28,639
Speaker 2: But I don't think he'll be at one hundred percent.

594
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 2: He won't be the same Mike Evans that you would need.

595
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,440
Speaker 2: And frankly, the weather's not gonna be horrible, but it's

596
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 2: not going to be seventy five and Sonny, Okay, it's

597
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,080
Speaker 2: still DC in January, so it's still gonna be a

598
00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 2: little bit cold and not all that fun to go

599
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:43,800
Speaker 2: and run around out there. As long as mcclaurin plays

600
00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 2: at eighty percent and Logan Thomas can get open in

601
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:49,120
Speaker 2: the red zone, they're not gonna run the ball. It's

602
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 2: really hard to run the ball on that Bucks defense.

603
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 2: But I mean, you need Gibson just to keep them

604
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 2: honest and then don't turn the football over. I mean,

605
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,360
Speaker 2: for my play to be right, it's the under has

606
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,239
Speaker 2: got to come in. It's gotta be an underplay here

607
00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 2: in this game. But give me the eight points, eight

608
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 2: and a half points on Washington.

609
00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 1: Man, even the money the money line is dropping, Matt

610
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:08,119
Speaker 1: like it.

611
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: It was taking a plus three fifty, was.

612
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 1: It now it's plus three hundred?

613
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,119
Speaker 2: Oh man, So people, I don't like it. People are

614
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 2: starting to buy I don't like it.

615
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:20,160
Speaker 1: That's not fox bet has it as plus two eighty.

616
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:24,840
Speaker 2: Yu no, no public, no public dogs. I don't like that. No, no, no, no, no.

617
00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:26,760
Speaker 2: Stay away from that. That will make me feel like

618
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 2: the Bucks are more live. I people are gonna listen

619
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:30,440
Speaker 2: to me on this. I don't like that narrative.

620
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 1: That's like I do. I do have more of a

621
00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,320
Speaker 1: hedge bet. I will say on the plus three fifty

622
00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:40,040
Speaker 1: on on Washington, because there there certainly is a scenario

623
00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 1: where they managed to win this game. I don't like

624
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 1: the Bucks at minus eight. I'm not. I don't. I

625
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 1: don't want to.

626
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 2: You know, the last two times a team with the

627
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:52,160
Speaker 2: losing record went to the playoffs, right, you know what happened? Right, Wah?

628
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:53,480
Speaker 2: They won out right.

629
00:26:54,080 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 1: I'm trying to remember who it was.

630
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 2: Last two times teams are losing becers have gone to

631
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:01,200
Speaker 2: the playoffs, they have won. They won out right. Brady's

632
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,480
Speaker 2: won in three all time in the playoffs against teams

633
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 2: from the NFC East. Brady's record in primetime past eight

634
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:09,160
Speaker 2: o'clock has been brutal. Like you mentioned, past his bedtime.

635
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,520
Speaker 2: He goes to bed at eight thirty every night.

636
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:12,359
Speaker 1: I get it.

637
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 2: I think it's a significant thing. I mean, we all

638
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 2: know this. When you're in a routine and all of

639
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 2: a sudden you're out of your routine, sometimes you maybe

640
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 2: aren't that sharp. Bruce arians loves to throw those fly patterns.

641
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:24,679
Speaker 2: I get the secondary for Washington's not good. I was

642
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,360
Speaker 2: tucking someone from Pro Football Focus today that they say

643
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 2: the secondary is so easy for Brady to figure out

644
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 2: that that's gonna be a big issue because they'll be

645
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:34,400
Speaker 2: able to move the football as long as he gets

646
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 2: the ball out. That's the key. Can he get the

647
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,480
Speaker 2: ball out, You're gonna have to blitz him into holy

648
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:40,919
Speaker 2: heck to get him off his spot.

649
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:43,440
Speaker 1: And you know what the problem is is that unlike

650
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 1: the Pats who had this game plan, we were like,

651
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 1: all right, you want to blitz, great, I'll dump it

652
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: off to James White or whatever. Get out a very

653
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 1: quick You know, Brady would be able to get the

654
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 1: ball out in three seconds. That's just not what arians does,

655
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,359
Speaker 1: and it's not what he has ever decided that he

656
00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,359
Speaker 1: wants to do. We've all been screaming about it forever.

657
00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:02,399
Speaker 1: They take deep shot after deep shot after deep shot,

658
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:05,080
Speaker 1: he holds the ball. You're not gonna be able to

659
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:09,679
Speaker 1: do that against Washington. So I actually I don't like it. Minus.

660
00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:12,040
Speaker 1: I don't like it at eight at all. I don't.

661
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 1: I don't want any side of it because I do

662
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:17,120
Speaker 1: think that it's possible if the if the Bucks are able,

663
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 1: Let's say they put together a scoring drive in the

664
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,840
Speaker 1: first drive and it gets you know, they score touchdown

665
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,840
Speaker 1: and it's seven to nothing. I mean, I'm I'm fifty

666
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 1: percent of the way ready to call the game right there,

667
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: because I find it really difficult to see how Washington

668
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:32,000
Speaker 1: is going to be able to put up points. They

669
00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:36,199
Speaker 1: are abysmal, offensively abysmal, and it's not their fault. They

670
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:38,960
Speaker 1: don't have the fire power at this point. Alex Smith

671
00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 1: is a wonderful comeback story, but he's not able to

672
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,760
Speaker 1: really push assuming that he you know, I'm reading that

673
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: they're gonna split snaps with Heineke. I don't know, but

674
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: whatever it is, if they fall behind, I just don't

675
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,280
Speaker 1: see how they're on a very strong Bucks defense. That's

676
00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: the thing that you know, they're not going to be

677
00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 1: able to run. They're gonna know. Okay, we got to

678
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 1: take away Terry McLaurin and we got to make watch

679
00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: the dumb BoFs to JD. McKissick, and that's gonna be it.

680
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: So I think the Bucks win this game. Now here's

681
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,120
Speaker 1: the part of my teaser, Matt. The other part of

682
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 1: my teaser that I did with the uh with the

683
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 1: Bills down to a half, And this was early right,

684
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 1: this is before I dug into it, Matt. This is

685
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:17,840
Speaker 1: when I'm like, okay, this is the lines. I sort

686
00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: of went with what I like and what I played,

687
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 1: and I'm still fine with it. I'm still completely fine

688
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 1: with it because I do think and I'm pretty confident

689
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 1: that the Bucks are gonna win this game. It was

690
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: eight and a half when I bet it, and I

691
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 1: teased it down to two and a half.

692
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 2: So that's good. No, I think there were No.

693
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 1: You're not gonna You're not gonna kill me for it.

694
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 2: But I know I may put a teaser. I may

695
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,480
Speaker 2: follow on the side of that, I may have a teaser. Look,

696
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:43,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna get a little exotic this week because, as

697
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 2: I said, it's kind of like the last week, right,

698
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: it's our last week, So I'm gonna fire a bit

699
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 2: more than normal on this. Yeah, but I will kind

700
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 2: of hedge on my own self here. I'm gonna sprinkle

701
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 2: on the money line. I'm not going full unit on

702
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 2: the money line. I mean I'll have a little play

703
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 2: on it. Oh yeah, yeah, just a touch, just a touch,

704
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 2: not nothing serious. But what I will throw full units

705
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 2: on is if Okay, so I say I'm wrong about

706
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 2: this and Tampa's gonna blow them out, just tease Tampa

707
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 2: down and then and then on the other leg, just

708
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 2: find it another leg that I like. But the Bills,

709
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 2: I could easily see myself playing your teaser because I

710
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 2: think Buffalo wins. I love taking that number down. It's

711
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:21,480
Speaker 2: already crashing anyway, So get it down to a pick. Yeah,

712
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:22,960
Speaker 2: it would be great. I mean Bill is just on

713
00:30:23,000 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 2: a pick just to beat the Colts.

714
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: I think that is a point.

715
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 2: So it's it's it's win a game there. I like that.

716
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 2: And then you're gonna take the Bucks under a field goal? Yeah,

717
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,719
Speaker 2: and okay, sure, so you're gonna go ahead, and you know,

718
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 2: the money line on the other side protects you on

719
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 2: that teaser because it's plus three hundred plus three fifty. So,

720
00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 2: I mean a lot of times people think that gambling

721
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 2: is about predicting who wins, and that's not really what

722
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 2: we're doing. We're trying to lay out scenarios in which

723
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 2: we're gonna wind up making money. So I'm all about

724
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 2: if I'm betting one hundred dollars for a one unit

725
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 2: bet and I'm betting twenty five dollars on the money

726
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,479
Speaker 2: line at three to one, well you you basically are

727
00:31:01,520 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 2: gonna come out essentially a wash there or you hit

728
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 2: them both, right, I mean the potential there. So like

729
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 2: I always talk about, you know, money management and trying

730
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 2: to look at what is the most logical thing that's

731
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:16,760
Speaker 2: gonna happen and then betting it and moving the number

732
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 2: around to give yourself out in case you're dead wrong,

733
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 2: because we're often dead wrong on these games. So how

734
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:26,040
Speaker 2: do you protect yourself? And that teaser with teasing down?

735
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,240
Speaker 2: The only thing that blows it up if the Colts

736
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 2: win the game out right against against But then again,

737
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,000
Speaker 2: but if you take the Colts plus six though, right,

738
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:38,400
Speaker 2: if you take the Colts plus six, then you've got

739
00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:40,800
Speaker 2: that one you already in play, so you bet the

740
00:31:40,800 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: Colts won. You tease the Colts that the Bills down

741
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,760
Speaker 2: with with UH with Tampa, and then the money line

742
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 2: on Washington. You've got yourself covered basically, so you're almost

743
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 2: guaranteed to make money unless something really funky happens proceeds,

744
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:56,960
Speaker 2: like a fifty to nothing type of victory that you

745
00:31:57,000 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 2: never saw coming.

746
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: Right now, Yeah, no, it it's true. This is a

747
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: game though. It makes me feel I forget about the teaser.

748
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:07,120
Speaker 1: It makes me feel uncomfortable this game with Brady in

749
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,720
Speaker 1: this game. Probably maybe Mike Evans plays, but as you

750
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,120
Speaker 1: aptly pointed out, he's not one hundred percent, and Tonio

751
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,760
Speaker 1: Brown is playing extremely well at the moment for sure.

752
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's just something where it's really difficult for

753
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: me to see Washington putting up too many points, which

754
00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 1: is why I'm fine with the under at forty five,

755
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 1: and I'm fine with me and it's forty four and

756
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 1: a half. You know, I got it at forty five,

757
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 1: but I would You can also make that part of

758
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 1: your teaser to tease it up to fifty one and

759
00:32:32,240 --> 00:32:34,200
Speaker 1: take the under because I just don't see a ton

760
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 1: of points being scored in this game.

761
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, but again, I never do more than two leg teasers,

762
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 2: but I could. I could see myself doing a teaser

763
00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 2: involving two sides and two totals. Yeah, teasing the Bills

764
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 2: down and teasing the Washington game up, yep, and taking

765
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 2: the under in Washington, taking the over in Buffalo. Yeah,

766
00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 2: taking the six points and adding and then you're probably

767
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: gonna get really decent plus money. I mean, I hear

768
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:01,960
Speaker 2: in Vegas. I play my two leg teasers in the

769
00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 2: NFL at Moss one twenty five. But if I added

770
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 2: two more legs to that teaser, I'm probably getting close

771
00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 2: to plus one fifty or more on it. So you're

772
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 2: into a plus money situation if you go ahead and

773
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 2: do things like that.

774
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 1: So I love it.

775
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: Just an idea, Yeah, I like it.

776
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 1: All right. Let's get to ooh, the Ravens Sun going

777
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: to the Titans. Ravens are laying three and a half points,

778
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:27,000
Speaker 1: and the total is fifty four and a half.

779
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:28,160
Speaker 2: That fne's got to be three.

780
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:31,080
Speaker 1: You sure the consensus is three and a half and

781
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 1: that's where it's been forever. I mean, there are threes

782
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: out there. There are threes at FanDuel, there are threes

783
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: at Fox Bet, there are three at points Beture.

784
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 2: Half painted today when I was looking at it, because

785
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,920
Speaker 2: I like the Ravens minus three three and a half,

786
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 2: I don't like three.

787
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:49,840
Speaker 1: I like, yeah, so I you know, I said, we

788
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 1: did playoff predictions on the Fantasy Bros. Podcast for each round,

789
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 1: and I basically was like, my head says Ravens, but

790
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 1: my heart says Titans, Like I don't.

791
00:33:58,840 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 2: Like the sun.

792
00:34:00,440 --> 00:34:04,479
Speaker 1: No, Where's start due. It's the fact that you know,

793
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 1: I love the time, I personally like, I like the

794
00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,879
Speaker 1: I love Mike Rabel. I really do you? You were

795
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:13,479
Speaker 1: on the Titans like I think I've been.

796
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 2: The regular season. I was all about them, But now

797
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,040
Speaker 2: I'm done with them, my cash, I've done.

798
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 1: What I feel like is I've been rooting for the

799
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: Titans like the whole season because I was for you.

800
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:24,400
Speaker 1: I have like a very very lengthy, not a not

801
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:26,360
Speaker 1: a big taste, but a tiny sixty to one on

802
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,320
Speaker 1: them to win the Super Bowl, which I don't expect.

803
00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:31,800
Speaker 1: But regardless, I like the Titans. All right, Yeah, maybe

804
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 1: my second.

805
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:37,600
Speaker 2: Has historically bad, Yeah, historically bad down the stretch. Their

806
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 2: secondary can't stop a nosebleed. I they are in deep,

807
00:34:41,640 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 2: deep trouble if they get down in this game. Yeah,

808
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 2: if they if they get down in this game the

809
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 2: entire I was talking to a guy who works in

810
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 2: sports gamble who lives in Nashville, who covers the Titans

811
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 2: a lot, and he's like, look, He's like, I tell

812
00:34:54,560 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 2: you right now, if the Ravens go down and score

813
00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 2: on their first drive and at seven to nothing, go

814
00:34:58,719 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 2: immediately in live bet with whatever number you can get

815
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 2: for the Ravens because the Titans are done. It's just

816
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 2: that quick. The Titans can score, though they can't score,

817
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 2: but they can't stop anybody, so and they get all

818
00:35:09,160 --> 00:35:11,879
Speaker 2: out of whack when they're not playing with the lead.

819
00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 2: They don't know how because they panic because they want

820
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:17,400
Speaker 2: to run Henry as much as possible. And when they're down,

821
00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 2: they know they can't just bleed the clock and they're

822
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:21,960
Speaker 2: gonna run out because their defense can't stop anybody. And

823
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:24,240
Speaker 2: they know that's the last weeks Texans.

824
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:26,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I know. And you know we saw what

825
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:29,920
Speaker 1: happened against the Packers, which is a terrible game for them.

826
00:35:29,960 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 1: But I agree, I agree, I completely understand. But the

827
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 1: one thing that I think is like where their secondary

828
00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: is horrific. Okay, that's not quite as big a deal

829
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 1: in this game against the Ravens because it's not as

830
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: if they have their best receivers. Marquise Brown, who's, you know,

831
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 1: a fine receiver, but he's certainly got the drop seas

832
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 1: and he's not somebody who you really feel Mark Andrews

833
00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 1: is very good. But again, that's not really what we're

834
00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: talking about. And you know what's weird is that the

835
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,839
Speaker 1: Titans don't get pressure, but that almost benefits them this game. Sure,

836
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,839
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson isn't going to scramble and stuff like that,

837
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,759
Speaker 1: and they did this last year, and their defense was

838
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 1: better last year, of course, but still it just kind

839
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 1: of strikes me as they might have the formula. Now

840
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:13,960
Speaker 1: I know they you know, it was kind of fluky,

841
00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:16,640
Speaker 1: but they have won their last two meetings against them.

842
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:19,319
Speaker 1: It kind of just feels like they might have this

843
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 1: figured out. It's not. I don't I don't hate either side.

844
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 2: The last two times, the steff that I saw was

845
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 2: the last two times they have played they've turned the

846
00:36:25,680 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 2: ball over eight times in the in and around the

847
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,759
Speaker 2: red zone. But I look, you watch freaky right, But

848
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:35,960
Speaker 2: if you don't do that, it's a blowout. Yes, Like

849
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 2: if you don't turn the football over. The Ravens that

850
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 2: moved the ball at will on the Titans up and

851
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 2: down the field. They just turned the football over and

852
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 2: kill drives.

853
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 1: I get it, I get it. You're not wrong. But again,

854
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 1: that playoff game that you watched last time, Matt, you

855
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 1: know that's where they had all those turnovers. Did you

856
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,680
Speaker 1: really think that the Ravens should have won that game

857
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:53,839
Speaker 1: in the playoffs last year?

858
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 2: Well, look, turnovers are bad. Teams turned the football over.

859
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,239
Speaker 2: So no, yeah, I mean, I mean that's that's just

860
00:36:58,440 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 2: part of football. If you turn it over, you're going

861
00:36:59,960 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 2: to get beat. But I just think when you look

862
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:04,520
Speaker 2: at the way that the Ravens defense is playing, I

863
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:06,600
Speaker 2: think that's the difference in this football game. I think

864
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 2: the Ravens is good enough.

865
00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 1: I can't I can't really argue with anything. I I don't, like,

866
00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna be betting on this game either way,

867
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 1: Like I'm really not.

868
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,360
Speaker 2: That's probably want to be either. I mean, right, I thought.

869
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: All I want to watch and enjoy without having action

870
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:19,320
Speaker 1: on it.

871
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 2: I think I may bet the over, though at fifty

872
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,560
Speaker 2: four and a half, I think I'll have action on

873
00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 2: the over there.

874
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:26,919
Speaker 1: If there is a side on this that I want

875
00:37:26,960 --> 00:37:29,319
Speaker 1: to play, it is the over, even at fifty four

876
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 1: and a half, because I just think there are going

877
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,560
Speaker 1: to be so many points in this game. I just think,

878
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 1: which is.

879
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: So funny, right, because you have two running teams points points,

880
00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:38,399
Speaker 2: points because we were expecting huge plays, Derek Henry going

881
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 2: for sixty and Lamar answering right back for fifty. So

882
00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:44,279
Speaker 2: I think that that's the I don't have a great

883
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 2: read on who wins the game and what what the

884
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,160
Speaker 2: number will be, but I do think points because I

885
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 2: both I think both defenses are going to give up points.

886
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:52,480
Speaker 1: If I had to go on a side at plus

887
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 1: three and a half, I wouldn't mind the Titans. Otherwise

888
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:56,920
Speaker 1: I'm staying away from it. Otherwise I'm staying away from

889
00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,759
Speaker 1: it completely, and I'm probably not even just to have fun,

890
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 1: Like I'm not gonna bet the total at all, Like

891
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,360
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna stay away from and enjoy it. It

892
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:05,200
Speaker 1: is a game that I really don't feel like I

893
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:07,040
Speaker 1: have a good sense of how it's gonna be, because

894
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:10,839
Speaker 1: you're right, the Titans are playing not good football right now.

895
00:38:10,920 --> 00:38:14,319
Speaker 1: Right to have that game against the Texans where you

896
00:38:14,400 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 1: need to win to to have the division, you know

897
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:21,359
Speaker 1: that going in and you are a hair's breadth away

898
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 1: from losing that game. Like that's that.

899
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 2: I saw their soul leave their team when they when

900
00:38:26,560 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 2: they ran off the field at the end of the

901
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:31,200
Speaker 2: game against the Packers when they punted the football.

902
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:33,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember you said that they didn't need to.

903
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,799
Speaker 2: Punt the football. It was a fourth down play. They

904
00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 2: the Packers would have knelt down anyway, and they punted it,

905
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,360
Speaker 2: and I went, yep, they're done. In that moment, I

906
00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:45,160
Speaker 2: knew they were done.

907
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 1: You said it, I wrote, I was just like, ah, whatever,

908
00:38:48,400 --> 00:38:51,200
Speaker 1: Like they're just saving their their bullets, Like what's the difference.

909
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,919
Speaker 1: But I don't know either way. I think that here

910
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,200
Speaker 1: in this game that they've been here before, they they

911
00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 1: faced again. A big thing that I always say is

912
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,080
Speaker 1: one of the biggest things you can do against the

913
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 1: Patriots when they had Brady, even though it never worked,

914
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: and against the Ravens even last year, is to not

915
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 1: be afraid of them, is to not look at them

916
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 1: in awe and be like, how are we gonna beat

917
00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:11,879
Speaker 1: this team? Because I felt like every time a team

918
00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:14,200
Speaker 1: played the Patriots because they were the best coach team

919
00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,800
Speaker 1: and the best quarterback of all time, that they said,

920
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:18,879
Speaker 1: we can't beat these guys, or even if we look

921
00:39:18,960 --> 00:39:20,879
Speaker 1: like we're gonna win, we're gonna choke it away because

922
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:22,799
Speaker 1: they're the Patriots. Stuff like that. I think a lot

923
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 1: of teams are gonna do that right now if they're

924
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,160
Speaker 1: playing the Ravens because of how they've looked lately. I

925
00:39:27,160 --> 00:39:29,279
Speaker 1: think the Titans have the advantage of basically being like, no,

926
00:39:29,480 --> 00:39:31,759
Speaker 1: we've beatn you twice. Call it flukey, call it whatever

927
00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:34,319
Speaker 1: you want. We're comfortable and where we are now. That

928
00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,279
Speaker 1: doesn't make up for the complete lack of depth in

929
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:39,239
Speaker 1: their secondary. I agree with that, but I do kind

930
00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 1: of feel in the end that they're gonna find a

931
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 1: way to win this game. Again, not touching the side

932
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:44,520
Speaker 1: because I just don't like it, but I do lean

933
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:46,800
Speaker 1: that way. Let's go to the Bears visiting the Saints.

934
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,799
Speaker 1: Right now, the consensus line is the Saints minus ten

935
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:53,360
Speaker 1: and the over under is at forty seven. Any thoughts

936
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:54,120
Speaker 1: on this one?

937
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 2: Well, I was told today that I am on the

938
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:03,920
Speaker 2: public saw by liking the points, and I just think that.

939
00:40:03,960 --> 00:40:06,080
Speaker 1: Really that's the public side is the points.

940
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 2: I think so yeah, and I and people were saying

941
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,160
Speaker 2: at home, the Saints are gonna go and put him

942
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,840
Speaker 2: a big number. I the only thing I can do

943
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 2: in this game is tease it down. I can't touch.

944
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 2: I think the Bears plus ten is the side. But

945
00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:23,400
Speaker 2: I do think the Saints are going to win this game. Tribitsky,

946
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,319
Speaker 2: I've faded him like crazy, but Pro Football Focus has

947
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: given him the best quarterback grade over the last four games.

948
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:30,600
Speaker 2: I mean, it's like it's just.

949
00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 1: Prety schedule alone.

950
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 2: Man who who has been against correct? And this is

951
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 2: a playoff game. I you know, the only thing I

952
00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 2: know to do with this is to tease this down

953
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:42,279
Speaker 2: and to hope that we see the number come to

954
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,279
Speaker 2: nine and I can tease it to three and take

955
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 2: the Saints minus three and a teaser leg.

956
00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:49,920
Speaker 1: Yeah. This is unfortunately, I know it's Sunday because we're

957
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:51,680
Speaker 1: talking about Saturday. I'm like, oh, I can get in

958
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 1: on this. I like this part. I don't love this

959
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: game either. I really don't like I think that you

960
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,879
Speaker 1: know Trubisky that he's not gonna be able. He plays

961
00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 1: well against bad defenses, right, he does not play well

962
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,440
Speaker 1: against good defenses, and the Saints have a very very

963
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:08,400
Speaker 1: good defense. I'm going to assume with the problem. Another

964
00:41:08,440 --> 00:41:10,440
Speaker 1: problem with this is that we don't really know how

965
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:13,359
Speaker 1: healthy the Saints offense is. Because Michael Thomas is coming

966
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 1: back great, he was on IR He's coming back finally

967
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:17,720
Speaker 1: from the high ankle spring. But he came back before

968
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:21,360
Speaker 1: and he was not fully healthy. Is he fully healthy

969
00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,399
Speaker 1: now or is he just like it's the playoffs, I've

970
00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 1: been rested him coming back now. Alvin Kamara, he had COVID. Matt,

971
00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,839
Speaker 1: you are aware. We've talked about this. Sometimes you come

972
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,480
Speaker 1: back from COVID and it's like you're totally fine. There

973
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 1: is no really negative effect if you were asymptomatic and

974
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 1: you didn't have anything. But sometimes there's a pretty bad

975
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:40,560
Speaker 1: effect and it takes you a while to kind of recover.

976
00:41:40,880 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 1: Is he going to be at one hundred percent? With

977
00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,840
Speaker 1: those questions I play, I mean he's not clear to

978
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,600
Speaker 1: play yet. Well, he's not clear to play yet, that's true,

979
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,600
Speaker 1: But I think all everyone is expecting him to play.

980
00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 2: They're doing some weird computer program that's letting practice and

981
00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:56,680
Speaker 2: what do the weak because.

982
00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:58,799
Speaker 1: He can't he can't return to practice yet, because he's

983
00:41:58,800 --> 00:42:00,440
Speaker 1: got the ten days it's going to be if they

984
00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:02,920
Speaker 1: remember this game we're on Saturday, wouldn't be able to play.

985
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 1: So the fact that it's on Sunday is the only

986
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: chance he has to play. But I am assuming that

987
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:08,880
Speaker 1: he's going to be able to play. If not, you know,

988
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:12,680
Speaker 1: then the Bears plus ten becomes a lot more enticing,

989
00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:16,320
Speaker 1: right for sure. I don't expect this. I don't have

990
00:42:16,360 --> 00:42:18,399
Speaker 1: a u matt. In terms of the scoring. I don't

991
00:42:18,440 --> 00:42:19,960
Speaker 1: expect the Bears to be able to put up a

992
00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:23,000
Speaker 1: ton of points at all. And I think that, you know,

993
00:42:23,080 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 1: generally speaking, these are two teams that play pretty slow

994
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: at this point, like they're not their Their pace of

995
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 1: play is not huge. The Saints run the ball a ton,

996
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 1: so the clock is constantly moving. I don't hate the

997
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 1: under forty seven. I don't love it. It's not really

998
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:41,160
Speaker 1: enough for me to bet. If I were going to

999
00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:43,400
Speaker 1: do something with it and it were a part of

1000
00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,320
Speaker 1: a teaser, I would tease that part up to fifty

1001
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 1: three and take the under. But you do always have

1002
00:42:48,520 --> 00:42:51,120
Speaker 1: the potential even against the good defense like the Bears,

1003
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,320
Speaker 1: that the Saints are just going to go nuts offense.

1004
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:56,880
Speaker 2: That's especially my fear is the Saints haang forty yes.

1005
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: And that is one hundred percent on the table because

1006
00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 1: if is healthy, if Kamara is back and feels no

1007
00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 1: after effects, they're in the dome. So you feel like

1008
00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,959
Speaker 1: this is something where Breeze's arm strength is not really

1009
00:43:07,960 --> 00:43:09,840
Speaker 1: gonna matter. Taysom Hill is gonna come in there and

1010
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:12,520
Speaker 1: do some crazy stuff. So it is something where I

1011
00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:16,400
Speaker 1: get nervous. So yeah, I'm surprised that the public has

1012
00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,719
Speaker 1: taken the ten. I thought I figured the Saints would

1013
00:43:18,719 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 1: be kind of the public play here. But I don't

1014
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,200
Speaker 1: like it at ten. I don't really love it at

1015
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 1: forty seven. If I had to go one way, I

1016
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:28,719
Speaker 1: would take the under on forty seven. But yeah, that's

1017
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,320
Speaker 1: kind of where we are. Last game, Brown's at the Steelers.

1018
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 1: I'm surprised this has only moved as much as it

1019
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 1: has Matt, which is to the Steelers minus six. I

1020
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:39,759
Speaker 1: think it opened at four and a half, so I

1021
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 1: think now it's minus six. The total is forty seven

1022
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:44,919
Speaker 1: and a half. What do you think of this game?

1023
00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 2: You know what's interesting? The line opened at three, right,

1024
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:52,680
Speaker 2: you said.

1025
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:54,480
Speaker 1: Was it three? I saw it at four and a half.

1026
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:55,319
Speaker 1: It might have been at three.

1027
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,240
Speaker 2: It was three. I was three Steelers mynuch three okay?

1028
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,759
Speaker 2: And then it went to six, and then it went

1029
00:44:01,880 --> 00:44:03,120
Speaker 2: down to five and a half.

1030
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 1: Is it five and a half where you are?

1031
00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:06,560
Speaker 2: It's been five and a half all day in Vegas?

1032
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 2: Was it now?

1033
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 1: It's six for almost everywhere here?

1034
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:12,200
Speaker 2: It's five and a half in Vegas? And so I

1035
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,520
Speaker 2: started asking people, can you explain that to me? Please?

1036
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:20,440
Speaker 2: Because they haven't practiced. Their head coaches out, yeah, their

1037
00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:23,359
Speaker 2: play caller is out. Yeah, they're missing their starting left

1038
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:27,400
Speaker 2: guard and their quarterback has not thrown a pass to

1039
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 2: their wide receivers since Sunday.

1040
00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:31,600
Speaker 1: Do you have an answer for this?

1041
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:34,560
Speaker 2: No? I no one can. Nobody can figure this out,

1042
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,279
Speaker 2: Like why are the This is why I haven't bet

1043
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 2: this game because I am totally perplexed by this, because

1044
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,080
Speaker 2: how in the hell are people betting the Browns?

1045
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:44,600
Speaker 1: Like, I don't get it.

1046
00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,520
Speaker 2: Is it just because they it's hard to beat somebody

1047
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:48,640
Speaker 2: two weeks in a row and they saw everything Pittsburgh

1048
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 2: wanted to do, but the Stars weren't playing for Pittsburgh.

1049
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,279
Speaker 1: Do you know, I mean, is it do we know?

1050
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,279
Speaker 1: I mean, I know this is an oversimplification. Do we

1051
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,280
Speaker 1: know the type of money that's coming in on the Browns?

1052
00:44:58,280 --> 00:45:00,719
Speaker 2: Is public to move the number? No, I don't know

1053
00:45:00,760 --> 00:45:02,919
Speaker 2: what it is. I mean, I'm guessing it's respected money

1054
00:45:02,960 --> 00:45:05,280
Speaker 2: here on a Thursday for a Sunday. Yeah, I'm guessing

1055
00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:06,080
Speaker 2: it's not the public.

1056
00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:09,160
Speaker 1: I could see the in the playoffs. It could be

1057
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,799
Speaker 1: the public, I guess. And you could say, like, the

1058
00:45:11,840 --> 00:45:15,799
Speaker 1: Browns are like a great story in that right, it's

1059
00:45:15,800 --> 00:45:18,120
Speaker 1: the first time they made the playoffs in twenty years

1060
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:18,640
Speaker 1: or whatever.

1061
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:20,839
Speaker 2: And look maybe, I mean, the NFL network does those

1062
00:45:20,880 --> 00:45:23,520
Speaker 2: ridiculous predictions that never were correct to those projections that

1063
00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:26,319
Speaker 2: they do. But they projected twenty seven to twenty four, sorry,

1064
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:29,160
Speaker 2: twenty twenty three Steelers. So I don't know if that

1065
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 2: people in the people saw that on the NFL network

1066
00:45:31,480 --> 00:45:33,480
Speaker 2: and were like, Okay, I'm taking the Browns at plus

1067
00:45:33,520 --> 00:45:35,200
Speaker 2: six because they claimed that that's going to be you know,

1068
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,160
Speaker 2: that's their projection. I don't know if that's why, But

1069
00:45:38,440 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 2: I mean, I just think this is another story of

1070
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 2: the Browns, you know, Lucy pulling the football on them.

1071
00:45:44,560 --> 00:45:47,000
Speaker 2: In terms of just having way too many problems going

1072
00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 2: into their first playoff game in seventeen years.

1073
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:50,480
Speaker 1: I'm pounding the Steelers.

1074
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.

1075
00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 1: I'm pounding it and I get all that. And I've

1076
00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:57,879
Speaker 1: had concerns about why it's still only minus six. You're

1077
00:45:57,920 --> 00:45:59,719
Speaker 1: telling me again, I saw it at four and a half.

1078
00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: At times Stefanski was declared out. I may be wrong

1079
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,719
Speaker 1: on the timeline at this because you know, I look

1080
00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 1: at things and then you know, going back and forth.

1081
00:46:06,520 --> 00:46:08,319
Speaker 2: It opened up three in Vegas and then but Tony

1082
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:11,080
Speaker 2: was out and then Stefanski was out.

1083
00:46:11,040 --> 00:46:13,279
Speaker 1: And Buttonio is a huge loss, by the way, like

1084
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:15,600
Speaker 1: huge loss was.

1085
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 2: A gigantic loss. I mean people understanding how people loss

1086
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 2: that is.

1087
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,279
Speaker 1: That's the thing I don't think like people really think about.

1088
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:22,839
Speaker 1: And that's, by the way, something we didn't talk about

1089
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:24,880
Speaker 1: with the Rams is Whitworth is coming back right for

1090
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:27,400
Speaker 1: the Rams right this week and huge, huge, huge thing.

1091
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 1: We didn't even talk about that.

1092
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:30,480
Speaker 2: But yes, and Acres looked pretty good last week. Two.

1093
00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:33,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's actually also another thing which we didn't get

1094
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 1: to into that. I mean he didn't I wouldn't say

1095
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:37,319
Speaker 1: he looked. I think he you know, ran twenty one

1096
00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:39,520
Speaker 1: times for thirty four yards, but twenty one carries in

1097
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:42,680
Speaker 1: your first game back from the high ankle sprands.

1098
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 2: Like one of those were third down pickups though, But.

1099
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 1: I also it's encouraging to me if they're going to

1100
00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:51,080
Speaker 1: give him that workload and you're not going to say okay,

1101
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:53,400
Speaker 1: like you know, we don't really have concerns about this.

1102
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,520
Speaker 1: We have Malcolm Brown. We're not even letting him touch

1103
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:59,359
Speaker 1: the ball. Good. That's good and talented. So that does

1104
00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,439
Speaker 1: both those we didn't even touch in them Wayne favor

1105
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 1: of the Rams for me though, I does just the

1106
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 1: the bigger part than Beotonia is the fact that they

1107
00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 1: don't have a head coach who calls their plays. You

1108
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 1: can't compare it because they're two very different teams. But

1109
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:22,359
Speaker 1: we saw what the Lions look like in that game

1110
00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:24,520
Speaker 1: against the Bucks. They would have gotten blown out anyway,

1111
00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 1: I'm sure, but you got rid of the coaching staff

1112
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 1: and they look like they might have never been on

1113
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:30,799
Speaker 1: the field before. Now, the Lions aren't that far from

1114
00:47:30,840 --> 00:47:33,200
Speaker 1: it necessarily in a good day anyway, So I'm not

1115
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:34,640
Speaker 1: going to say that this is what the Browns are.

1116
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,600
Speaker 1: But yeah, and the Browns, by the way. They have

1117
00:47:36,719 --> 00:47:39,360
Speaker 1: not been playing well anyway. They barely beat the Mason

1118
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:41,279
Speaker 1: Rudolph Like, this is what we talked about when we

1119
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:43,359
Speaker 1: were talking about that game last week. And then you know,

1120
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,480
Speaker 1: Mason Rudolf doesn't kill a team, but he's not a

1121
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:50,759
Speaker 1: you know, he's a below average NFL quarterback. And they

1122
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:52,359
Speaker 1: they hung around that whole game.

1123
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,680
Speaker 2: You know, I'm with you, No, I think the I

1124
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:57,680
Speaker 2: think the Steelers are the side he's either Steelers are

1125
00:47:57,680 --> 00:47:58,319
Speaker 2: no play for me.

1126
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:00,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, and it's Steelers, like this is not one where

1127
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,280
Speaker 1: I'm like it's either this or this. It's Steelers, Like I'm.

1128
00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:05,680
Speaker 2: Totally I have no clue on the total for that.

1129
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,759
Speaker 2: Maybe there because I don't know what the Browns are

1130
00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:10,560
Speaker 2: going to score, and they could come out and who knows.

1131
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 2: I mean, they could run the ball. The Steelers without

1132
00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:15,200
Speaker 2: their linebackers who get lit up by Landry.

1133
00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:16,799
Speaker 1: You know though, man, they get pressure. The one thing

1134
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 1: that they do is they get pressure consistently. And you know,

1135
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 1: Baker is not good under pressure man like that, That's

1136
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:23,879
Speaker 1: just not what he does. And maybe they'll be able

1137
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:25,840
Speaker 1: to like last week where Chubb broke that you know,

1138
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:27,719
Speaker 1: almost fifty yard run and maybe they'll be able to

1139
00:48:27,719 --> 00:48:29,600
Speaker 1: do that. I just don't see it. I just don't

1140
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:31,920
Speaker 1: see it. And I think that the Steelers are going

1141
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:34,279
Speaker 1: to win and win big in this game. So I

1142
00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 1: have no problem taking the mind of six. I'm not hesitaning,

1143
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:38,840
Speaker 1: but the forty seven and a half, I'm not anywhere

1144
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:40,440
Speaker 1: close to it. I wouldn't know what to do with

1145
00:48:40,520 --> 00:48:42,719
Speaker 1: it at all because I have no feel for what

1146
00:48:42,800 --> 00:48:44,520
Speaker 1: this game is going to be from that side, all right,

1147
00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:46,239
Speaker 1: So I feel like there are some plays, So what

1148
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:47,760
Speaker 1: do you want? First of all, do you have questions

1149
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:49,160
Speaker 1: from discord? I mean, I don't know if we've.

1150
00:48:49,000 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 2: Got no I mean we've hit more hit on the

1151
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:53,000
Speaker 2: vast cord of them, like we we just looked about

1152
00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:54,719
Speaker 2: the COVID issues with the Browns. We hit on that.

1153
00:48:54,800 --> 00:48:57,920
Speaker 2: We teaser plays, but they want to know what our

1154
00:48:57,960 --> 00:48:59,080
Speaker 2: favorite plays are?

1155
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 1: So okay, all right, So you want to start with

1156
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:04,840
Speaker 1: what on on the regular line or are you just

1157
00:49:04,920 --> 00:49:06,440
Speaker 1: more teasing it or whatever you want to do?

1158
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:08,200
Speaker 2: Are straight bets?

1159
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:08,880
Speaker 1: Okay?

1160
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:10,880
Speaker 2: What are what our favorite plays for? Straight bets? What

1161
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:11,880
Speaker 2: are they? All? Right?

1162
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 1: Do we have to agree on them then? Because I

1163
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:14,320
Speaker 1: don't really.

1164
00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:16,440
Speaker 2: Know, No, it's your favorite in my favorite.

1165
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:21,840
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, so my favorite this weekend, I would say,

1166
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,480
Speaker 1: I guess I'll give how about I give one spread

1167
00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:25,640
Speaker 1: in one total? Is that right?

1168
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 2: Sure?

1169
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 1: Great? My favorite spread I'm gonna leave York. I feel

1170
00:49:31,160 --> 00:49:33,440
Speaker 1: like I know what yours is is going to be

1171
00:49:33,640 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 1: the Bills laying six and a half, because I really

1172
00:49:36,480 --> 00:49:39,280
Speaker 1: do think that the Bills are going to have a

1173
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:41,759
Speaker 1: monster game. If it's under a touchdown, that's my pick.

1174
00:49:41,800 --> 00:49:42,799
Speaker 1: How about you met against the.

1175
00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:44,439
Speaker 2: Spread Stellers miles five and a half?

1176
00:49:45,280 --> 00:49:46,920
Speaker 1: Really I thought you were gonna go with the Rams.

1177
00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 2: No, I think that. I mean it's three and a half.

1178
00:49:50,080 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 2: And it's always scary when you're betting against the team

1179
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 2: with a better quarterback. Yeah, I'm not going to stand

1180
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:57,240
Speaker 2: on a desk and pound and say that the Rams

1181
00:49:57,239 --> 00:49:59,880
Speaker 2: one hundred percent. They got two quarterbacks. Jared Goff's is

1182
00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:02,719
Speaker 2: youse and and look it's Russell Wilson. I mean, it's

1183
00:50:02,719 --> 00:50:05,239
Speaker 2: always very hard to say that. Yep, you know, John

1184
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:07,360
Speaker 2: Wafford is gonna beat Russell Wilson. So I do. I

1185
00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:09,319
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna bet it to happen. But it's not

1186
00:50:09,360 --> 00:50:11,520
Speaker 2: my favorite play. My favorite play is to go ahead

1187
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:13,640
Speaker 2: and expect the Steelers to annihilate the Browns.

1188
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 1: Do you care if it's six, by the way, because

1189
00:50:15,280 --> 00:50:17,520
Speaker 1: consensus at six? Does that matter to you? I know

1190
00:50:17,560 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 1: it's not going.

1191
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 2: I mean, I want to under seven. Get it under seven,

1192
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 2: and and I'm comfortable with with with laying Pittsburgh, you know,

1193
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:25,880
Speaker 2: going pretty.

1194
00:50:25,600 --> 00:50:29,440
Speaker 1: Heavy, all right? And how about your favorite total Bills

1195
00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:31,040
Speaker 1: over Bill's over?

1196
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,359
Speaker 2: Okay, so that in the second favorite would be the

1197
00:50:33,400 --> 00:50:35,799
Speaker 2: Titans over. But I'll take the fifty one over fifty

1198
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:36,399
Speaker 2: four and a half.

1199
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:41,080
Speaker 1: Okay, Bills, I'll give you that one Bill's over fifty one,

1200
00:50:41,120 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 1: and then we'll just come back next week. We'll see

1201
00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 1: what we did. Bills over fifty one. I am going

1202
00:50:45,480 --> 00:50:48,279
Speaker 1: to do the thing that you really don't want to

1203
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:50,319
Speaker 1: do right now in any NFL game, and that's go

1204
00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:52,680
Speaker 1: with an under. But I am going to take the.

1205
00:50:53,120 --> 00:50:55,920
Speaker 2: Your favorite, your favorite, boy, Okay.

1206
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:59,640
Speaker 1: You better believe it, the Bucks Washington football game under

1207
00:50:59,680 --> 00:51:03,719
Speaker 1: forty five. So that is my actual favorite game, that

1208
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:05,319
Speaker 1: of the over under. If I was going to bet

1209
00:51:05,320 --> 00:51:07,920
Speaker 1: a side, because again this is just one Matt, I

1210
00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:10,640
Speaker 1: don't know. You don't see Washington putting up a ton

1211
00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 1: of points, right, Like I can see it against this

1212
00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:15,479
Speaker 1: Bucks defense, and we talked about it. This is past

1213
00:51:15,520 --> 00:51:18,239
Speaker 1: Brady's bedtime. You're probably not gonna have Mike Evans. There's

1214
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:21,040
Speaker 1: gonna get a ton of pressure on him all day long.

1215
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 1: Washington's defense, by the way, has been one of the

1216
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 1: most underrated defenses all year long. They are legitimate. I

1217
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:29,000
Speaker 1: know you talked about you talked to you know whoever

1218
00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:30,759
Speaker 1: doesn't like their corners. I think their corners are good

1219
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,120
Speaker 1: enough to sort of hang with these guys. I think

1220
00:51:33,120 --> 00:51:34,880
Speaker 1: there's going to be very few points. It's going to

1221
00:51:34,920 --> 00:51:37,160
Speaker 1: make me nervous. I agree, betting me under and all

1222
00:51:37,280 --> 00:51:40,359
Speaker 1: is crazy, but I do like that under forty five,

1223
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:43,279
Speaker 1: so that'll be my pick. So my official plays for

1224
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 1: this one are the Bills laying six and a half

1225
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,520
Speaker 1: and the Bucks. Washington football team under forty five. And Matt,

1226
00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:50,400
Speaker 1: you were going with the Steelers laying five and a

1227
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:53,080
Speaker 1: half to the Browns and the Bills and the Colts

1228
00:51:53,160 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 1: over fifty one. Now I will say that what my

1229
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:57,160
Speaker 1: two team Teazers, and again you can have this now

1230
00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:00,520
Speaker 1: that I've already bet is, I'm teasing the Bills down

1231
00:52:00,960 --> 00:52:02,880
Speaker 1: to laying a half a point, or it could be

1232
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:05,040
Speaker 1: a pick if you get it at six somewhere because

1233
00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,600
Speaker 1: it's bouncing back and forth. And I have teased the

1234
00:52:07,640 --> 00:52:10,200
Speaker 1: bucks down from I had it at minus eight and

1235
00:52:10,239 --> 00:52:11,920
Speaker 1: a half and I tease them to minus two and

1236
00:52:11,960 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 1: a half, but right now to eight, so you can

1237
00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:15,520
Speaker 1: get that. I like it even better. But that's my

1238
00:52:15,680 --> 00:52:18,680
Speaker 1: official two team teaser play, even though again I'll probably

1239
00:52:18,760 --> 00:52:21,080
Speaker 1: making a few total now I'll tweet them out as well. Matt,

1240
00:52:21,080 --> 00:52:22,720
Speaker 1: do you want you want to wait for your official

1241
00:52:23,680 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 1: two team teaser play for the Juice? So you're gonna

1242
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:27,680
Speaker 1: be making multiple you want to make one here.

1243
00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be making multiple, but I got one on

1244
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:32,760
Speaker 2: Sunday one on Saturday. So I'll give you the Saturday

1245
00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:35,120
Speaker 2: one now, okay, and then we'll have the Sunday one

1246
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,080
Speaker 2: on the Daily Juice. And remember I have two live

1247
00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:40,960
Speaker 2: streams coming for our prop bets on Saturday and Sunday

1248
00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 2: at eleven Eastern for a half an hour. So we

1249
00:52:42,800 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 2: got prop bets coming at you guys for all three,

1250
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 2: all six of these games for three.

1251
00:52:46,080 --> 00:52:48,400
Speaker 1: And you talk about the games generally on that too, right,

1252
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: like any change?

1253
00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 2: Oh my god? Yes, yeah, yeah, we talk about everything.

1254
00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:53,760
Speaker 2: Go lines, We talk about movement and talking about money,

1255
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,880
Speaker 2: talk about injuries, COVID, We'll talk about everything. But my

1256
00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:58,799
Speaker 2: Saturday one is going to be I'm gonna follow your

1257
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,200
Speaker 2: bills teaser. I like that. I don't have six, though,

1258
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:03,200
Speaker 2: so I'm gonna go to bet EMGM and I'm gonna

1259
00:53:03,200 --> 00:53:05,600
Speaker 2: tease down to six, from six to six to a pick.

1260
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:07,919
Speaker 2: Bill's at a pick doesn't matter?

1261
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:09,960
Speaker 1: I'm sorry? Am I missing anything? Does it matter if

1262
00:53:09,960 --> 00:53:11,640
Speaker 1: it's six or six and a half when you tease

1263
00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 1: it down, there's no ties.

1264
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 2: No, it doesn't matter. I mean no, I guess it

1265
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:16,040
Speaker 2: doesn't matter.

1266
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 1: No, like, actually it doesn't matter, right like.

1267
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:19,839
Speaker 2: But it matters to me on the other lag because

1268
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:21,600
Speaker 2: the rams are plus three and a half, I bet mgm.

1269
00:53:21,960 --> 00:53:25,719
Speaker 1: That's fine, that's fine. So we'll go Bill's minus half

1270
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,160
Speaker 1: a point yet, Okay, so we stick together.

1271
00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:30,319
Speaker 2: Bill's half a point and I'm going rams plus nine

1272
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:30,800
Speaker 2: and a half.

1273
00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:32,960
Speaker 1: And is it in Vegas where you are, Matt? Is

1274
00:53:32,960 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 1: it plus three and a half right now?

1275
00:53:34,440 --> 00:53:37,160
Speaker 2: It is a bet mgm? Yes, okay, Draft Kings on

1276
00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,880
Speaker 2: the East Coast, it's bet is that betem gym is

1277
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:41,480
Speaker 2: at plus three and a half. I'll here in.

1278
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:43,239
Speaker 1: Vegas Draft Kings is also at three and a half

1279
00:53:43,320 --> 00:53:45,759
Speaker 1: right now, but FanDuel is at three, so it's it's

1280
00:53:45,800 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 1: a little you know, this is where that that half

1281
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:50,560
Speaker 1: a point is a big half a point in a game.

1282
00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 1: It's gonna be close for this one. So okay, that

1283
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:57,439
Speaker 1: is your official These are our official teaser plays and

1284
00:53:57,680 --> 00:53:59,680
Speaker 1: mine is also Saturday, So Matt, maybe what I'll do

1285
00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:01,799
Speaker 1: is I'll I'll think about it. Maybe I'll give it

1286
00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 1: out to you on the live stream for the Sunday

1287
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:05,319
Speaker 1: live stream for my official two team teaser. But mine

1288
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:07,799
Speaker 1: is the Bill's link half a point, teasing them down

1289
00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:09,760
Speaker 1: from six and a half, and the bucks I'm teasing

1290
00:54:09,800 --> 00:54:11,360
Speaker 1: down from I had a eight and a half, you

1291
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:13,280
Speaker 1: can get an eight down to two and a half.

1292
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 1: Matt is also teasing the Bills down to half a point,

1293
00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:18,160
Speaker 1: laying half point, and you're teasing the rams, which I

1294
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:20,759
Speaker 1: also like a lot, the rams up from getting three

1295
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:22,360
Speaker 1: and a half to getting nine and a half. I

1296
00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:25,440
Speaker 1: like that teaser a lot too, I do. And there

1297
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:28,360
Speaker 1: are total teasers that I feel pretty comfortable making in

1298
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:30,359
Speaker 1: this one as well, which we can talk about as well.

1299
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:33,640
Speaker 1: But okay, boy, this got me pumped. Matt, This got

1300
00:54:33,640 --> 00:54:37,200
Speaker 1: me pumped for a super wild card weekend. All right again?

1301
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:39,640
Speaker 1: Go on Saturday. What time are you are you doing

1302
00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:43,560
Speaker 1: at the usual eleven eleven am Eastern YouTube dot com

1303
00:54:43,600 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 1: slash betting Pro subscribe while you're there, like his live

1304
00:54:46,000 --> 00:54:48,239
Speaker 1: stream and all that good stuff. Now we'll be doing

1305
00:54:48,280 --> 00:54:50,879
Speaker 1: two half hour live streams instead of just an hour

1306
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:53,000
Speaker 1: long on Sunday. We're going to be back doing this

1307
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,120
Speaker 1: all the way through the playoffs. We're still planning out

1308
00:54:55,120 --> 00:54:56,520
Speaker 1: what we're going to be doing for the Super Bowl,

1309
00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:58,400
Speaker 1: something special. We'll get back to you on that, but

1310
00:54:58,440 --> 00:55:04,320
Speaker 1: in the meantime, enjoy a great weekend of playoff football

1311
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:12,480
Speaker 1: and we'll talk to you next week.