1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,160
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcas All.

2
00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:05,840
Speaker 2: Right, here we go.

3
00:00:11,400 --> 00:00:15,200
Speaker 3: Reading the corn ten seconds ormaining, so it just goes

4
00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:16,240
Speaker 3: throw up to the basket.

5
00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:20,000
Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's the crew for the wind God

6
00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:27,600
Speaker 1: a miracle. I's water hit that one from the parking

7
00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:31,880
Speaker 1: lot And welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast.

8
00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:34,519
Speaker 1: I am your fearless leader Today Matthew Cox joined by

9
00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:37,639
Speaker 1: the rest of the three men we'd crew, Kai McKeon

10
00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,840
Speaker 1: and Jim Root. Every Monday morning, we are dropping another

11
00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:45,879
Speaker 1: BBOC episode talking all things betting in the world of

12
00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:49,600
Speaker 1: collegiate basketball. Today's episode we're gonna discuss some key aims

13
00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,240
Speaker 1: of the week are typical six pack of sections, spots,

14
00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:57,400
Speaker 1: favorite favorites, live dogs, go dumpster diving in the trash.

15
00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,960
Speaker 1: But first let's get a lance at some of the

16
00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,680
Speaker 1: big games coming up this week on Monday and Tuesday. Again,

17
00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,200
Speaker 1: that's kind of our focus each week of you guys

18
00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,920
Speaker 1: first time joining Monday slates our hit or Miss Tuesday.

19
00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,040
Speaker 1: We usually get a pretty good, a hefty slab of

20
00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:15,200
Speaker 1: meat to chew on, but this week some good Monday

21
00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:20,240
Speaker 1: action actually, both in the Power Conference and mid major realm.

22
00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,960
Speaker 1: The people on Monday in the Power Conference, landscape is

23
00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:27,440
Speaker 1: Providence at Marquette, and then we got a lot on Tuesday.

24
00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:31,600
Speaker 1: But any take on the flatlining Golden Eagles, Jim, I

25
00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,959
Speaker 1: know you're up there deep in the bowels of Cheesehead Country.

26
00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,280
Speaker 1: I know that the pulse is probably starting to dissipate

27
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,320
Speaker 1: for the Eagles. Any taking this one, Kempon makes it

28
00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:45,520
Speaker 1: Marquette plus three at home against the Kimmy English Fighting Friars.

29
00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I am recording live from northern Wisconsin, so you're

30
00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,240
Speaker 2: getting heart takes here. I think both Providence fans and

31
00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,640
Speaker 2: Marquette fans are psyched that you're highlighting them as a

32
00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,200
Speaker 2: key game this week, because I think both of them

33
00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:01,840
Speaker 2: want to burn their programs down right now. Marquette in particular,

34
00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:04,400
Speaker 2: it was kind of an embarrassment this year. This is

35
00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,000
Speaker 2: a weird game. Providence has got the Jason Edwards thing

36
00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,880
Speaker 2: that's going on right now. He's announced as like dealing

37
00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:14,400
Speaker 2: with planter fieschitis, but we know that our pal Jordan

38
00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:17,480
Speaker 2: Majeski is whispering that maybe it's a little more to

39
00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:19,919
Speaker 2: do with clashing with the coach kind of thing.

40
00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:21,000
Speaker 3: I don't know.

41
00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:24,640
Speaker 2: Kai to me, this is a Providence at least has

42
00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,160
Speaker 2: some life. Like they're battling, they'd be Craton. They got

43
00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,600
Speaker 2: out ahead early. They fought Yukon really really well. I'm

44
00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,160
Speaker 2: not sure Marquette has much life in them. I'm not

45
00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,559
Speaker 2: going to back Providence as a road favorite in Milwaukee,

46
00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,240
Speaker 2: but you cannot force me to bet Marquette right now.

47
00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:44,280
Speaker 2: I think this team is like completely decrepit and dead.

48
00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,640
Speaker 3: Marquette is just awful, fellas. I am done with this team,

49
00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:50,600
Speaker 3: and I've said this actually throughout the year, but they

50
00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,120
Speaker 3: enticed me back against a Paul led to Paul by

51
00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,480
Speaker 3: eleven the first half, by eight and a half to Paul

52
00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:58,919
Speaker 3: sixteen zero run to start the second half. There's no guts, Matthew.

53
00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:03,359
Speaker 3: Marquette shot forty three, they won the turnover battle and

54
00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:05,239
Speaker 3: they got crushed in the boards. There's just no juice.

55
00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:08,280
Speaker 3: The juice has totally gone from this program. Providence, like

56
00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:11,520
Speaker 3: Jim mentioned, they showed life without without ad Jason Edwards.

57
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:16,040
Speaker 3: Their freshman Jones and Vacks are legit beat Creighton. I'd

58
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:18,120
Speaker 3: take anybody against the Eagles right now. I'm at four

59
00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:22,320
Speaker 3: and fourteen and one against the spread. Marquette is this season.

60
00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:25,480
Speaker 1: Hem Pom has it, like I said, plus three. What

61
00:03:25,919 --> 00:03:31,239
Speaker 1: I told you was pick in some cases trending toward

62
00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:32,519
Speaker 1: Marquette favored.

63
00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:34,880
Speaker 3: In this one that I think Marquette has taking money

64
00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,320
Speaker 3: in like majority of their games.

65
00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:41,680
Speaker 1: Mentioned this before they do. They they're under the hood.

66
00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:43,960
Speaker 1: Metrics are like not like in terms of their shot

67
00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,880
Speaker 1: volume stuff. They just are so bad at finishing and

68
00:03:46,920 --> 00:03:49,240
Speaker 1: they're so bad at I think, yeah, I don't have

69
00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,360
Speaker 1: hard finishers at the rim, so yeah, I lean Providence

70
00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:52,840
Speaker 1: pretty hard.

71
00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:53,720
Speaker 3: Matt I pick, I.

72
00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,160
Speaker 1: Would too, but no play for me. Let's go to Tuesday.

73
00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:59,760
Speaker 1: We got I would say, three big bops at the

74
00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,680
Speaker 1: top the slate and then there's a I think four

75
00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,720
Speaker 1: or five others. I was trying to use kem Pom's

76
00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:07,200
Speaker 1: thrill score of like seventy as a good cutoff, but

77
00:04:07,200 --> 00:04:08,880
Speaker 1: it drops off after kind of this top eight. But

78
00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:13,600
Speaker 1: the big three Vandy at Arkansas, Texas Tech at Baylor,

79
00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,480
Speaker 1: Georgia at your Missouri Tigers. Ken Pom has all three

80
00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:20,599
Speaker 1: of these around plus or minus one. So I would

81
00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,000
Speaker 1: be shocked to see some of these spread strip too

82
00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:24,599
Speaker 1: far away. So I think just fun to handicap with

83
00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:26,400
Speaker 1: like handicapping these games that are close. To pick them,

84
00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:29,920
Speaker 1: you tend to get a, in my opinion, a truer result. Kay.

85
00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,479
Speaker 1: Any of these three stick out to you action, and

86
00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,160
Speaker 1: the one I'm looking at is Arkansas at home kind

87
00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:38,120
Speaker 1: of fell on the I felt for the trap of

88
00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:41,160
Speaker 1: trusting Arkansas away from Fayetteville. They are a different team

89
00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:42,720
Speaker 1: at home. I will probably be back and then against

90
00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:43,800
Speaker 1: Vanderbilt here in this one.

91
00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,560
Speaker 3: It's an interesting game, both teams off loss. Fandy off

92
00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,240
Speaker 3: two straight losses. Arkansas hasn't lost the game all year

93
00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,720
Speaker 3: at home, which, to your point, tough place to play.

94
00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,359
Speaker 3: I'm very excited for this game to top ten offenses,

95
00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:57,480
Speaker 3: lots of scoring. I just don't think Arkansas has enough

96
00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:00,599
Speaker 3: size take advantage of Vanderbilt like Texas to like Florida

97
00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,640
Speaker 3: did so. I actually kind of lean the other way,

98
00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:06,760
Speaker 3: Vanderbilt getting back off the schneid and taking a win here.

99
00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,960
Speaker 3: Jella Jim speak on our Missouri Tigers, but that's an

100
00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,920
Speaker 3: impossible team to understand right now. They're hot and cold.

101
00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:15,839
Speaker 3: I think I think this is the game they typically win.

102
00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:17,839
Speaker 3: If I'm a MISSOI fan, and I know the history

103
00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:20,680
Speaker 3: and I and I am, and Georgia of course off

104
00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:24,160
Speaker 3: a big win certainly helps the spot there. Georgia uglier

105
00:05:24,200 --> 00:05:26,120
Speaker 3: team on the road. Jim for sure, up tempo game.

106
00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,960
Speaker 3: I'm just worried about Missouri turnovers and what actual team

107
00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:31,040
Speaker 3: are going to get out there. Hi am doing it.

108
00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:31,960
Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet our Tigers.

109
00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:35,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, okay, you brave man. I think the spot is great.

110
00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:37,280
Speaker 2: I think getting back home after the road loss, it's

111
00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,320
Speaker 2: a little like Capter. They lost to Ole Miss. They

112
00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:41,000
Speaker 2: came home and took care Auburn. I think they can

113
00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:44,359
Speaker 2: do the same thing against Georgia. They're a better defensive

114
00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,200
Speaker 2: rebounding team than Dennis Gates typically has. I'm not going

115
00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:50,080
Speaker 2: to call them good, but against surreal in the paint,

116
00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:51,440
Speaker 2: I think they can at least hold up a little

117
00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:54,320
Speaker 2: bit with Phillips, with Mitchell so Matt, I'm going to

118
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 2: lock in missoo up to minus one, and I'm gonna

119
00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,880
Speaker 2: about these other two games too. This is a rare

120
00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,960
Speaker 2: where I love the headliners on the slate, like I'm

121
00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:04,720
Speaker 2: going to bet all of them. I'm taking Texas Tech

122
00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:05,320
Speaker 2: at Baylor.

123
00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:05,719
Speaker 3: Yeah.

124
00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:10,120
Speaker 2: I think Bayla is like kind of panicking in a

125
00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,880
Speaker 2: little bit of deep end water right now and can't

126
00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:14,360
Speaker 2: really figure out what they're doing, Like Cameron Carr is

127
00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:15,920
Speaker 2: having a great season, going to be a first round

128
00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:18,240
Speaker 2: draft pick, and the team still is bad. The James

129
00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:21,000
Speaker 2: Nase thing hasn't helped them. Texas Tech is really good.

130
00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,640
Speaker 2: They took care of BYU over the weekend, which I

131
00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,000
Speaker 2: thought was really impressive for a shorthanded team. So I'm

132
00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:28,679
Speaker 2: a ride Texas Tech on the road. I'm not scared

133
00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:32,120
Speaker 2: of that Baylor home environment. It's a relatively new arena

134
00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,240
Speaker 2: like in the last three years, and it's not it's

135
00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,480
Speaker 2: not super imposing. Houston just demolished them there. And then

136
00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:40,200
Speaker 2: in the Vandy at Arkansas game, I feel like I

137
00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,560
Speaker 2: should back Vandy because the spot having lost two straight

138
00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:45,880
Speaker 2: games in the SEC, But Maddie, I like Arkansas at home.

139
00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,039
Speaker 2: I just think in front of but Walton, this team

140
00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:51,640
Speaker 2: has really showed up to see her some headlining performances

141
00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,240
Speaker 2: where it looks like maybe they're the best team in

142
00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,240
Speaker 2: the SEC. I don't think they are. I think that

143
00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,600
Speaker 2: is Florida, but Arkansas can play to that level. And

144
00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 2: I think we're seeing the cracks the lead a little

145
00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:04,599
Speaker 2: bit in the Vandy very well designed roster, but the

146
00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:08,240
Speaker 2: interior is still a little cushiony and Florida took advantage.

147
00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,040
Speaker 2: Texas took advantage. I think Arkansas can do that to

148
00:07:11,080 --> 00:07:12,480
Speaker 2: a team that we like to refer to as a

149
00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:15,160
Speaker 2: get off the bus team. I like Arkansas there, Matthew.

150
00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:16,440
Speaker 2: So I'm betting all three of these games.

151
00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, Arkansas. They mean they outremounted Georgia sixteen to nine.

152
00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:22,040
Speaker 1: I think they dominate the glass. The problems they turned

153
00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:25,240
Speaker 1: over fourteen times a cuff and Richmond were sloppy with it,

154
00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:27,040
Speaker 1: and that's where Vandy can make you pay. I think

155
00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,360
Speaker 1: at home that's where that flips though. So yeah, I

156
00:07:30,400 --> 00:07:32,440
Speaker 1: like Archay. It's the only bet for me any action

157
00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,880
Speaker 1: in the other big games. On Tuesday, we got Purdue.

158
00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:38,640
Speaker 1: You Purdue at UCLA going out west Man, Mick Cronin

159
00:07:38,720 --> 00:07:41,600
Speaker 1: not vibes meter is like a zero out of ten

160
00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:45,040
Speaker 1: as they head back west. Kind of a recurring theme

161
00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:49,560
Speaker 1: for these West Coast pick ten on acc teams headed

162
00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,400
Speaker 1: midwest and east and then going back after getting schlecked

163
00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:56,680
Speaker 1: NC State. Speaking of bad vibes, I don't know what

164
00:07:56,720 --> 00:07:58,120
Speaker 1: to say about well, I mean, well, wait, I'm sure

165
00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:01,240
Speaker 1: it's about I can't imagine how hard practice was yesterday

166
00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,760
Speaker 1: or I guess tomorrow. NC State at Clemson Kai. Clemson

167
00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:08,080
Speaker 1: has just been nails. SMU going to Wake Boopy Miller

168
00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:12,280
Speaker 1: against his former team, a little revenge angle there, Auburn

169
00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:14,559
Speaker 1: at Ole Miss to SEC teams I don't really trust

170
00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,680
Speaker 1: at all, and then Seaton Hall at Saint John's, which

171
00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:18,280
Speaker 1: I kind of think is a good live dog.

172
00:08:18,520 --> 00:08:18,720
Speaker 3: Can't.

173
00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:21,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna save that, but I have no bets in these.

174
00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:23,840
Speaker 1: I did give Wake a good hard look, though that

175
00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:24,600
Speaker 1: was my only tease.

176
00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, Lean Wake. I don't want to bet against the

177
00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,320
Speaker 3: Will Wade team coming off a loss, So even with

178
00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:33,959
Speaker 3: the Clemson environment, I'm thinking leaning towards NC State There

179
00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,320
Speaker 3: Texas Tech. Jim mentioned he's betting it. I am too.

180
00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,600
Speaker 3: I'm betting Texas attack at Baylor. I don't think anybody

181
00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,360
Speaker 3: stops j T topping your other game. Matts are nice.

182
00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:46,320
Speaker 3: I agree the Old Miss Auburn game is very tough

183
00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:48,040
Speaker 3: to figure out. I don't think Ole Miss is good,

184
00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,880
Speaker 3: and yet here they sit at what four or ex

185
00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:53,480
Speaker 3: sees me three and two in the SEC, and they're

186
00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:55,800
Speaker 3: somehow alive for the tournament with three straight wins. I

187
00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:58,560
Speaker 3: just don't really believe in this team, despite how good

188
00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,280
Speaker 3: of a coach Chris Beard is. I agree Satan Hall

189
00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,720
Speaker 3: though a little bit of a live dog cannon against

190
00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,520
Speaker 3: Saint John's. This is a good one that Saint John's

191
00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:06,600
Speaker 3: might have a letdown game.

192
00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:08,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, Matt, we'll get to live dogs and I'll let

193
00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,640
Speaker 2: you holds her seat in Hall for that. But if

194
00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,720
Speaker 2: that's it's nine at kempom, if that's close to double digits,

195
00:09:13,840 --> 00:09:16,600
Speaker 2: I want a Shaheen Holloway team getting double figures against

196
00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:18,160
Speaker 2: a team with no point guard, like they're going to

197
00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,760
Speaker 2: force a lot of turnovers against Saint John's offense. So

198
00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,040
Speaker 2: I like Seaton Hall there, Matt, I'm gonna do the

199
00:09:24,120 --> 00:09:27,080
Speaker 2: disgusting thing here and back n C State. I know

200
00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:29,280
Speaker 2: that's gross. I think our guys Stucky would be proud

201
00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:33,920
Speaker 2: of me for the terrible spot or the uh it

202
00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:36,480
Speaker 2: just feels like I'm in the trash compactor by taking

203
00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:38,160
Speaker 2: the team that just lost at home to Georgia Tech

204
00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:41,800
Speaker 2: against Clemson, who's been like legit really good, took care

205
00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:45,000
Speaker 2: of Miami at home over the weekend. But I think

206
00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:47,200
Speaker 2: NC State goes in there and gets a win. It's

207
00:09:47,280 --> 00:09:49,839
Speaker 2: it's gonna be this weird dichotomy of like, are they

208
00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,040
Speaker 2: good are they bad? What do I make of NC

209
00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,280
Speaker 2: State a team that loses at home to Georgia Tech

210
00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:55,880
Speaker 2: and then goes on the road to Clemson to wins.

211
00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:58,840
Speaker 2: I think NC State finds a good shooting performance on

212
00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,640
Speaker 2: the road at Clemson and wins there, And Matt, I

213
00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:05,360
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna take Wake. I've kind of enjoyed watching

214
00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:07,720
Speaker 2: the Demon Deacons this year. They've got a lot of skill.

215
00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,440
Speaker 2: They've spread the floor a little bit. SMU has that too.

216
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:13,120
Speaker 2: I just don't really trust SMU on the road. Their

217
00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,040
Speaker 2: guards are really good, but they're kind of leaky inside

218
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,959
Speaker 2: at times. Wake has played a lot of like stressful

219
00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,959
Speaker 2: close games in the ACC. I'll back them here. I

220
00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:23,439
Speaker 2: think they get to win against SMU. I'm staying far

221
00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,120
Speaker 2: away from pretty U Stela though far far away.

222
00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:27,040
Speaker 3: Yeah.

223
00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,520
Speaker 1: At the Clemson NC State game, despite losing a home

224
00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,760
Speaker 1: to Georgia Tech, NC State only four spots lower than Clemson.

225
00:10:33,880 --> 00:10:36,760
Speaker 1: Kempom has that spread at minus four. I bet Clemson's

226
00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:40,400
Speaker 1: probably closer to a five maybe a six point favorite.

227
00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,520
Speaker 1: But I do think Jim sending it about people still

228
00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:45,760
Speaker 1: respecting and liking NC State in the market probably maybe

229
00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,199
Speaker 1: keeps it around five points, which I don't know. I

230
00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:50,800
Speaker 1: think if you're avendenc State, I might just be more

231
00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:52,840
Speaker 1: inclined to go money line, but I have nothing there.

232
00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,880
Speaker 1: Let's go to mid major Action Monday, A ten, Big

233
00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:03,839
Speaker 1: Sky Ivy Colonial all Coastal, Coastal, thank you the artist

234
00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:07,040
Speaker 1: formally known as the Colonial bothers me still and a

235
00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,560
Speaker 1: lot of these games early, folks, So get up, get

236
00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:12,360
Speaker 1: after the cap early. Because college football national title game

237
00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:15,760
Speaker 1: has shifted the timing of these games, so it sounds weird.

238
00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:17,120
Speaker 1: Spots might gets some random.

239
00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:20,240
Speaker 2: It's also a holiday.

240
00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:23,640
Speaker 1: Shouts to Martin Luther King, but Jim obviously in this household,

241
00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:27,319
Speaker 1: it's the Hoosiers is the primary holiday of your recognition.

242
00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:33,160
Speaker 1: So the revolutionary rivalry shouts at George Mason against George Washington.

243
00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,199
Speaker 1: It's at George Mason, Kai Saint Joe's goes to VCU

244
00:11:36,880 --> 00:11:40,440
Speaker 1: gonna catching somewhere around two touchdowns, and then Big Skyle'll

245
00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,599
Speaker 1: gets you at the spots an interesting unique spot in

246
00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:46,320
Speaker 1: the schedule. Talk about it later, Ivy. There's some action.

247
00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:49,319
Speaker 1: If you guys looked at any of those or the Coastal,

248
00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:52,800
Speaker 1: I did not. I actually like I have a pretty

249
00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:54,719
Speaker 1: hard lean to Saint Joe's here in the A ten.

250
00:11:55,240 --> 00:11:57,480
Speaker 1: I think they're playing a lot better. Think Steve Donah,

251
00:11:57,480 --> 00:12:00,520
Speaker 1: who has sort of re grasped this roster after he

252
00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:02,679
Speaker 1: kind of took it over late from Billy Lang and

253
00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:05,640
Speaker 1: then they had to rejigger some of the rotations without

254
00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:09,000
Speaker 1: duo showings, which has frankly been probably a positive. They

255
00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,559
Speaker 1: are very athletic and they are very good defensively. I

256
00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:13,640
Speaker 1: think they actually match up well with VCU. I hate

257
00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:18,000
Speaker 1: fading anyone going into the Seagull Center, but this VCU

258
00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:21,800
Speaker 1: team has just been erratic and I think doesn't justify too.

259
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:23,440
Speaker 1: I think it'll be pretty close to twelve if I'm

260
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:25,400
Speaker 1: projecting where the market's going to fall in this one Kai.

261
00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:28,120
Speaker 1: But of these kind of mid majors I looked at,

262
00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,280
Speaker 1: I will only have one, and that'll be Saint Joe's

263
00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,559
Speaker 1: probably twelve or no lower than twelve.

264
00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,319
Speaker 3: Boy, Hey, good luck to you. You know that doesn't

265
00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:39,880
Speaker 3: sound fun to me, but you might be onto something.

266
00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:43,320
Speaker 3: The George Washington game. Hey, speaking of Colonials formerly known

267
00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:48,440
Speaker 3: as they intrigued me against Doors Mason, and actually really

268
00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:52,880
Speaker 3: I like the other side like Mason because gw so gutlass.

269
00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:54,720
Speaker 3: It's exactly what we thought this team was going to be.

270
00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,480
Speaker 3: Super talented, should be among the lead in the A ten,

271
00:12:57,559 --> 00:12:59,600
Speaker 3: and they just lose it at home to Davidson. It's

272
00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:02,280
Speaker 3: kind of like they're weird lost Skins Delaware earlier this season.

273
00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:05,560
Speaker 3: And George Mason is a polished team under Tony skin.

274
00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:09,439
Speaker 3: Castro has the advantage inside over Alan Schback, who's been

275
00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:13,160
Speaker 3: fantastic for George Mason. But their ability to get to

276
00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:14,959
Speaker 3: the line and kind of live there, I think is

277
00:13:14,960 --> 00:13:17,079
Speaker 3: a difference maker. And they don't make mistakes, they don't

278
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:19,800
Speaker 3: turn the ball over. So iileen George George Mason. Obviously,

279
00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,040
Speaker 3: Jim Noah travel for George Washington. These schools are like

280
00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:27,559
Speaker 3: right next to each other. I lean towards the Patriots

281
00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:28,199
Speaker 3: in this game.

282
00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sitting here with SLEW A ten futures that

283
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,360
Speaker 2: are very good right now, but I need George Mason

284
00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:37,120
Speaker 2: to lose at some point, so I'm hoping George Washington

285
00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,760
Speaker 2: can go in there and get the job done. That one.

286
00:13:39,800 --> 00:13:43,280
Speaker 2: I'm a little spooked by Matt You're taking Saint Joe's

287
00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:45,720
Speaker 2: at VCU. That's a I'm also tipping my cap to you.

288
00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:48,680
Speaker 2: I find you very brave for that. We'll get to

289
00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:50,680
Speaker 2: the big sky. Matt can I can I talk Tuesday

290
00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:52,439
Speaker 2: mac am I stepping too far out about.

291
00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:54,600
Speaker 1: Go for it, and I had one take on it.

292
00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:56,000
Speaker 1: Go go, go there, get there.

293
00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,560
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be the I'm gonna be the psychopath that

294
00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,600
Speaker 2: fades Miam of Ohio, a team that is sort of

295
00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:05,160
Speaker 2: kissed by God right now. They had two buzzer beaters

296
00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:07,760
Speaker 2: in a single game. They had a buzzer beater to

297
00:14:07,760 --> 00:14:09,840
Speaker 2: go to OT against Buffalo and a buzzer beater to

298
00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:14,320
Speaker 2: win the game in Ot. I just can't buy that

299
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:16,439
Speaker 2: they're this good. And on the road at Kent State

300
00:14:17,080 --> 00:14:18,800
Speaker 2: is the I think, the perfect spot to fade them.

301
00:14:18,960 --> 00:14:21,120
Speaker 2: It feels a little like catching a falling knife. As

302
00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:23,400
Speaker 2: our guy stuck, he likes to say, why am I

303
00:14:23,440 --> 00:14:25,520
Speaker 2: betting against my Ohio with as hot as they are,

304
00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:28,080
Speaker 2: With the way they're shooting the ball. The offense is

305
00:14:28,120 --> 00:14:31,400
Speaker 2: a freaking flamethrower right now. But I'm gonna do it.

306
00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:33,680
Speaker 2: I think Kent State with Gillespie and the paint, and

307
00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,040
Speaker 2: he probably puts up like twenty two and seventeen in

308
00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,440
Speaker 2: this game, and he's dominant around the rim and send

309
00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:42,880
Speaker 2: it off as a really really good coach. So I

310
00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,080
Speaker 2: will beat Kent State. Obviously, my Ohio emotional letdown very

311
00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,280
Speaker 2: much a possibility too. With that OT game over the

312
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:51,920
Speaker 2: weekend against Buffalo, I will leave ac in Buffalo alone Matthew,

313
00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,720
Speaker 2: but Kent State Golden flashes it's two at Ken Palm.

314
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,840
Speaker 2: I will probably just take hit money line wherever it is.

315
00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:01,480
Speaker 3: Ye if I can jump in there, Mount and the

316
00:15:01,560 --> 00:15:05,000
Speaker 3: Kent State I want to take them so badly. But

317
00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:07,440
Speaker 3: I made the mistake of watching Kin State against Toledo,

318
00:15:07,920 --> 00:15:11,560
Speaker 3: and Miami definitely had a final. It finally fell against

319
00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,960
Speaker 3: Buffalo against the spread, but there are seven and one

320
00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,080
Speaker 3: against the spread before that in the last eight games.

321
00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,280
Speaker 3: Can't should have cover against Toledo those punks. It's not

322
00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:22,680
Speaker 3: a disciplined team. Sem Medley is very talented, but so

323
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:25,760
Speaker 3: loose with the ball, almost casual when he brings it up.

324
00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:29,560
Speaker 3: Gilespie Rocks. I just trust Miami a lot more. They're

325
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,200
Speaker 3: They're not gonna get smoked on the glass. Gilespie has

326
00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:35,240
Speaker 3: an advantage over everybody, and they're much smarter team. They're

327
00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,800
Speaker 3: definitely gonna get can State and foul trouble because they

328
00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:41,440
Speaker 3: hack like crazy, those golden flashes, So I applaud him

329
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,680
Speaker 3: for his bravery. You know, this game goes towards Miami,

330
00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,360
Speaker 3: Ohio in the betting market, which we've kind of seen

331
00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:51,840
Speaker 3: every single week. Maybe I'm considering it, but I'm staying away.

332
00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:55,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, Wolfork is just a Monstra up front. He played

333
00:15:55,480 --> 00:15:59,280
Speaker 1: a season high against Buffalo. Obviously the time helps. Yeah, okay,

334
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,680
Speaker 1: only two foul. He's been awesome at staying enough foul trouble,

335
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:03,160
Speaker 1: Like the whistle will be huge because I they didn't

336
00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:04,960
Speaker 1: get him in foul trouble. Kent State, like, I think

337
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:08,440
Speaker 1: they can absolutely mash on the boards. Of note that

338
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,840
Speaker 1: Kent State lost three times last year to Miami, including

339
00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:16,280
Speaker 1: the conference tournament SEMIS, so a little quad triple revenge,

340
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:17,800
Speaker 1: I guess if you're into that sort of thing year

341
00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:19,960
Speaker 1: after some continuitium both. I mean, obviously Miami's at the

342
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:21,800
Speaker 1: whole the same team, but Kent's got.

343
00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:25,080
Speaker 2: Some key pieces. That is that revenge or bad matchup.

344
00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:25,920
Speaker 3: That's what you got to like more.

345
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:28,400
Speaker 2: If they can they just beat that team.

346
00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's I'm not going to fall for. I actually

347
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:34,720
Speaker 1: kind of lean harder toward Akron going to Buffalo. At

348
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,920
Speaker 1: the other part of that, the other team that was

349
00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,560
Speaker 1: on the losing end of that terrible uh the back

350
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:42,640
Speaker 1: to back buzzer beer thing, Akrons. I'm owing to backing

351
00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:45,200
Speaker 1: Akron this season. I feel like I've mushed this team

352
00:16:45,280 --> 00:16:47,480
Speaker 1: sort of Missoli. I'm owing to backing missou So I

353
00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,200
Speaker 1: maybe think I should just learn my lesson here. But

354
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,520
Speaker 1: I think Buffalo is good. But people are just realizing

355
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:55,600
Speaker 1: if you can can contain free Tag, you can kind

356
00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,000
Speaker 1: of shut their water off. And I think Akron's just

357
00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 1: so deep and so versatile. I think they go on

358
00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 1: the road and make a statement here. Not an official bet,

359
00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:05,840
Speaker 1: but that's just where my gut instinct leans there. Any

360
00:17:05,840 --> 00:17:08,280
Speaker 1: take on the other I would say Big Mac Battle

361
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,000
Speaker 1: of Tuesday, not.

362
00:17:10,040 --> 00:17:12,480
Speaker 3: Really Fried talk, Matthew Fried talk. It means Friday and

363
00:17:12,520 --> 00:17:13,640
Speaker 3: German just fright talk.

364
00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:14,680
Speaker 2: Okay, Yeah, there you go.

365
00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,399
Speaker 1: So Tuesday, Tuesday is not his day. Tuesday is not

366
00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:21,560
Speaker 1: his Dayesday.

367
00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:24,160
Speaker 2: The best player in the league them off the minam

368
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:27,080
Speaker 2: of Ohio O t Like, are they due for a lotdown?

369
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 2: They've lost three in a row in Mac. It's either

370
00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:33,480
Speaker 2: letdown or it's uh like this is your rallying performance.

371
00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,159
Speaker 2: We're back home after that road ot loss, we're gonna

372
00:17:36,320 --> 00:17:39,000
Speaker 2: draw a line to the sand against the co leader

373
00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,560
Speaker 2: or co best team in the in the conference. I

374
00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:43,200
Speaker 2: don't I don't have enough of a strong take there,

375
00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 2: So I wish you the best of luck if you

376
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:46,880
Speaker 2: do end up officially back again.

377
00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,879
Speaker 1: It just kind of stinks that Buffalo got really like

378
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 1: their schedule is so front loaded, Ohio, Kent State, Miami,

379
00:17:53,840 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 1: Akron Bank, Bank Bank Bank in a row, so tough.

380
00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:58,080
Speaker 1: I mean, we don't think you ever really thought this

381
00:17:58,119 --> 00:18:00,119
Speaker 1: was like a legit top four team, but that is

382
00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,280
Speaker 1: their chance to kind of show it, and they're they're

383
00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:05,679
Speaker 1: zero and three in their uh first three bites at

384
00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 1: the Apple all right, live Dogs of the Week, where

385
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:19,439
Speaker 1: I'll be honest, I did a little bit of a

386
00:18:19,720 --> 00:18:21,840
Speaker 1: some back testing, some analysis I was going to bring

387
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:25,360
Speaker 1: up in the spotlight section, but I'm worrying about the

388
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: viability of this section going forward. Uh. The money lines

389
00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:33,159
Speaker 1: for underdogs has has always been kind of skewed, uh

390
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:35,440
Speaker 1: toward the favorites, just because most books line it that

391
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,400
Speaker 1: way and most people tend to prefer betting underdogs as

392
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:40,800
Speaker 1: we all do. Still doesn't mean, you can find value,

393
00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 1: but this year, especially next the last three years, the

394
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:48,399
Speaker 1: the ROI curve is really starting to turn against us.

395
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,040
Speaker 1: So I just want to kind of preface that, like,

396
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 1: I've had really bad time this year a batting money,

397
00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:54,560
Speaker 1: betting money lines in general, other than like Week one,

398
00:18:55,359 --> 00:18:57,360
Speaker 1: and it's been a sort of continued trend and it's

399
00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:01,520
Speaker 1: uh a deeper dynamic I'm noticing. Kai So not to

400
00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:04,760
Speaker 1: go off on a kind of a soapbox of macro trends,

401
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:06,879
Speaker 1: but I did notice that I spent some time I

402
00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,320
Speaker 1: went into warrant listeners as I tread lightly into choosing

403
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:11,480
Speaker 1: life pups of the week.

404
00:19:11,920 --> 00:19:13,879
Speaker 3: Do you mean is it a pricing thing or is

405
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 3: it less upsets?

406
00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:16,040
Speaker 2: Is what you're saying.

407
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just I mean there are fewer upsets in

408
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 1: the you know, money line underdog range, and the pricing

409
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:27,240
Speaker 1: has always been they've always shaded the true outcomes toward favorites,

410
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:28,920
Speaker 1: so you've always been betting kind of at a sort

411
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:32,360
Speaker 1: of at a disadvantage. But just in general, I think

412
00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:34,560
Speaker 1: somebody else to do with the higher scoring uptick and

413
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:38,560
Speaker 1: scoring is better for favorites, So it's just fewer opportunities generally,

414
00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:40,680
Speaker 1: just all things considered, you would like lower scoring games

415
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,840
Speaker 1: as an underdog. Peer possessions allows you to kind of

416
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,400
Speaker 1: get into that variance part of the curve. So that's

417
00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 1: tail end of the curve. I should say all that

418
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:52,879
Speaker 1: nonsense aside, we all winners, baby, all right? Last well,

419
00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,960
Speaker 1: I guess last week we didn't with Jackson State j Buck.

420
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:59,159
Speaker 1: You've all got ruined and doublet against Tennessee, Texas A

421
00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:00,440
Speaker 1: and M though. I think that my just be a

422
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:04,919
Speaker 1: good auto underdog money line back and then maybe fade

423
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 1: as favorite on the invert. Just such a variant team.

424
00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 1: It's insane Monday. I had one. You guys maybe have

425
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 1: some other options. Columbia go into Yale. Yale's probably minus nine,

426
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,360
Speaker 1: so you get pretty good value if you like Columbia,

427
00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:20,960
Speaker 1: who is like the only other team in this league

428
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 1: that can probably stand up to Yale physically on the glass.

429
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:25,840
Speaker 1: Columbia's got a little bit of value because I got

430
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,680
Speaker 1: beat by bajillion by Harvard two games ago, dropped I

431
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:32,000
Speaker 1: don't know ten plus spots and Ken palm off a

432
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 1: couple of losses. I think I might dabble Columbia money line.

433
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:37,560
Speaker 1: Any interest in that or anything else on Monday standing

434
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:38,080
Speaker 1: out to you guys.

435
00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 3: I don't hate him, man, I love, obviously love Kevin

436
00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 3: hovedy their new coach from Florida. But I don't think

437
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 3: Yale's gonna lose another game in this conference. I think

438
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 3: the Princeton game pretty much well woke them up. You

439
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 3: saw that they've been beating Cornell by like thirty. I

440
00:20:55,400 --> 00:20:56,960
Speaker 3: don't think they're gonna lose another game in the IVY.

441
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,479
Speaker 3: So I'm passing politely on that one. Matthew. I am

442
00:20:59,480 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 3: intriguing bit by your seat in Hall take, which we

443
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:03,119
Speaker 3: discussed earlier.

444
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:05,199
Speaker 1: Of course, let's go to Tuesday. Yep, we get a

445
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,800
Speaker 1: few Tuesday Goky break it in. I'm true, I'm going Hall.

446
00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:09,840
Speaker 3: I think here well in Treebay Hall of Jim mentioned

447
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 3: you know the pressure, certainly the defense against Saint John's

448
00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,600
Speaker 3: ball handling is definitely a thing. And I'll add one

449
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:19,879
Speaker 3: more before Jim can speak here Colorado, I do like

450
00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 3: this one. My antennas are up. You wrote this down

451
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:25,000
Speaker 3: on the outline here. This is a classic Kansas letdown

452
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:28,120
Speaker 3: game after winning convincingly a couple of times. Now you're

453
00:21:28,119 --> 00:21:30,560
Speaker 3: going to altitude against Colorado, a tough place to play

454
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,000
Speaker 3: they nearly just be Texas Tech at home and then

455
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 3: no pushover this season, both from a talent perspective and

456
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 3: certainly a size perspective. So I like Colorado there. I

457
00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 3: will be taking them with the points and considering a

458
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:44,480
Speaker 3: little sprinkle myself. Kai.

459
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:47,480
Speaker 2: I think you're really onto something there with that one.

460
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 2: I think everybody is currently smooching Kansas's butts. They are,

461
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 2: and they're they're all about how good the Jayhawks look

462
00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,679
Speaker 2: right now. And Darren Peterson is scoring a point per

463
00:21:56,720 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: minute every time he's out there. He looks a little healthier.

464
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,480
Speaker 2: Kansas two incredible home performances, not to go to altitude.

465
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:05,119
Speaker 2: Remember last year if they went to altitude and they

466
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 2: lost by like a thousand points and had a team

467
00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 2: meeting and it was a whole mess of a thing

468
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:13,679
Speaker 2: last year. So I think you might have something there.

469
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 2: And I think it's linked to the Saint John's team too,

470
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 2: or like Saint John's is playing way better lately and

471
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,879
Speaker 2: they're starting to get a little bit of momentum in

472
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:23,919
Speaker 2: the media, and that's kind of what I want to

473
00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 2: step in and fade the team. So I think both

474
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: of those are really good looks Coybodies have the home advantage.

475
00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 2: Seton Hall I just met. I love that matchup for them,

476
00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:36,840
Speaker 2: like they just junk things up. They're so good defensively,

477
00:22:36,880 --> 00:22:39,200
Speaker 2: with the top two in the country in block grate

478
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,359
Speaker 2: and steal rate. I think they're going to make it really,

479
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 2: really hard on Saint John's. The score who. I like

480
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 2: that they're playing their best lineup now. Patino has switched

481
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 2: his starting lineup and they've been kind of rolling since

482
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 2: they made that move. They're awesome on the offensive glass,

483
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 2: but Seton Hall is going to make it really tough

484
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:55,399
Speaker 2: to score around the basket, and I think that's going

485
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,240
Speaker 2: to make things difficult on Saint John's. I'm going to

486
00:22:58,280 --> 00:23:02,399
Speaker 2: back Scene Hall on the spread. As you discussed Matthew,

487
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 2: live dogs are a little trickier. I like just taking

488
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,120
Speaker 2: the points rather than trying to fire. In money lines,

489
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 2: you're more Maddy money lines. I defer to you there.

490
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 2: The one I really like on the money line is

491
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 2: the NC State that I mentioned. I'm gonna I'm gonna

492
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 2: back then both spread in money line. I think they

493
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,600
Speaker 2: can win at Clemson. Yeah.

494
00:23:18,800 --> 00:23:21,040
Speaker 1: Actually, the one reason that I probably shouldn't like the

495
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 1: seedon Hall money line just if two teams that don't

496
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 1: shoot a lot of threes, I think you tend to

497
00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 1: prefer matchups where there's a lot of threes taken both ways.

498
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 1: So that's kind of working. Again, we're talking about the

499
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 1: margins of edge here, but still just a matchup profile.

500
00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 1: I don't love to go back to Jim's point, K,

501
00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 1: you lost at Utah and got blown out by BYU

502
00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 1: back to back game. They did actually win at Colorado

503
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:49,280
Speaker 1: the next week. So they did win at in Boulder

504
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: last season and then last year, I believe Colorado as

505
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 1: a home team, I was like, they're.

506
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 3: Worse the way what they just weren't that good last

507
00:23:58,800 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 3: year they.

508
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 1: Were good, right, so I don't want to use as competitors.

509
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 3: They did, they won. They won three Big Twelve games

510
00:24:03,119 --> 00:24:04,560
Speaker 3: though outright against.

511
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 1: Later in the years they started to look better and

512
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:10,199
Speaker 1: like that became kind of a feisty home dog spot.

513
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 3: You know.

514
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:12,480
Speaker 1: Again, we thought that would be a bigger deal with

515
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: teams for the first time making that trip in the

516
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:18,840
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. But uh, and in Minnesota at Ohio State,

517
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: that was the other one I looked at. It's like

518
00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 1: man Nico Medved special against a you know, a team

519
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 1: that we all don't really trust at Ohio State, who

520
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 1: just got a I would call fraudulent win over to UCLA,

521
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 1: So probably get good value with that one too. Favorite

522
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 1: favorites we move along. Last week we were I guess

523
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 1: one and three ball State was weirdly good against Akron

524
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,640
Speaker 1: Ball State has kind of been annoyingly feist. I guess

525
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: you're getting amazing value at this point because they're so bad.

526
00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 1: Loyola battled against George Mason Bradley ot against Evansville also lived.

527
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: But Nebraska's on stop, so we should just make this

528
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 1: the Nebraska Nebraska section. There was no good candidates on Monday,

529
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,919
Speaker 1: Uh Tuesday, I think too. I'm looking real hard at

530
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:05,879
Speaker 1: I got Iowa against Rutgers and Colorado State against air Force.

531
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 1: Iowa just I think they're kind of starting to maybe

532
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 1: figure it out, and they've just been awesome this year

533
00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 1: against teams that they're better than. Like I know, Rutgers

534
00:25:14,680 --> 00:25:17,240
Speaker 1: is not some of the non con mid majors they've played,

535
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 1: but they sort of are in the same talent crop

536
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,520
Speaker 1: and that could get ugly in a crock pot fashion.

537
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 1: And then air Force for those who didn't see Joe

538
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:31,159
Speaker 1: Scott their head coach suspended for I guess potential player abuse. Now,

539
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 1: I will say air Force.

540
00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 2: Did you know?

541
00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 1: They covered annoyingly by a half point against Nevada over

542
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: the weekend, But man, they just got no talent and

543
00:25:39,160 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: I think that could eventually just go really far south,

544
00:25:41,840 --> 00:25:46,400
Speaker 1: really quickly. Cairo State healthier, but their front line still

545
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,960
Speaker 1: is kind of a little bit brittle with Memba and Jorgensen. Kai,

546
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,040
Speaker 1: any thoughts on any favorite favorites those two or any

547
00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:52,440
Speaker 1: other ones?

548
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 2: You?

549
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, right on this schedule.

550
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 3: I'm in on the rams Colorado State Matt Yeah, and

551
00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,360
Speaker 3: Bimba has been back three games and Jorgensen came back

552
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:01,199
Speaker 3: last game off the bench, so I expect them to

553
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 3: get a little ramped up here. Yeah, air Force is horrible.

554
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 3: There's they're gonna get smoked. I think the worst offense

555
00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 3: and efense by far in this league on both ends

556
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 3: and conference play, but the worst rebounding team both ends,

557
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 3: worst ball handling team, worse free through stream team. I

558
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 3: think Coloro State has their way and they they're kind

559
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 3: of in need of a bounce back game right of

560
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,199
Speaker 3: like a get right, Okay, we're finally healthy. They've had

561
00:26:23,240 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 3: two tough road losses to Fresno and Boise. Now it's

562
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 3: time to come home and show they can really smoke

563
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 3: an inferior team, which I think they can.

564
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,159
Speaker 2: Yep, Kai, That's exactly what I was lining up with

565
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 2: Commado State. They two tough road losses. Now they're back

566
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 2: home against the worst team in the league that just

567
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,120
Speaker 2: suspended its coach, that has basically no talent. I am

568
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,240
Speaker 2: all on board Commado State up till like minus twenty

569
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:49,680
Speaker 2: or so, a similar spot matt for favorite favorites. So

570
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 2: I'm going to go to Warwi. Here is Iowa State.

571
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:54,960
Speaker 2: I've got a top five to ten team in the

572
00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:57,760
Speaker 2: country that just lost two straight road games. Look pretty

573
00:26:57,760 --> 00:27:00,080
Speaker 2: bad at Kansas and Sincy. Now to get you c

574
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 2: F at home, who was kind of a violatile team.

575
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 2: I think they battled well against Arizona, but not on

576
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 2: the road to Hilton Magic. I think Iowa State is

577
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 2: a pretty viable that it's thirteen at Ken Palm on Tuesday,

578
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 2: I'll take that up to fourteen. I just think that's

579
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:17,640
Speaker 2: such a home run spot for like, really good team

580
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:21,440
Speaker 2: off two road losses back home. Give me the Cyclones, Matthew.

581
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have that one too in my card, Jim,

582
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 1: try to look closer. Iowa States two losses, like you're

583
00:27:27,480 --> 00:27:29,639
Speaker 1: kind of worried, Like, Okay, it's a bounce back spot,

584
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: but was there something under the hood I missed with

585
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 1: Iowa State in those games? And I think the Kansas

586
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 1: game is like, no, that just I think you got

587
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 1: the that was the ultimate KU spot and a very clear,

588
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 1: clear fog Allen type effort. And then Cincinnati's just a

589
00:27:43,920 --> 00:27:45,919
Speaker 1: tough matchup, man, Like, that's a desperate team that's got

590
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 1: a little bit healthier. I'm not saying they're good, but

591
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 1: I can I found a way to forgive that one

592
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 1: as well. And I know you see it's been better

593
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 1: this year, but I think that's one where their guards

594
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:57,959
Speaker 1: just gon to be swallowed up by Iowa States pressure.

595
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:04,080
Speaker 1: I expect a alaunted Aimes crowd at Hilton Magic, So

596
00:28:04,840 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 1: I'm with you on that one. That's a that's a

597
00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 1: play for me. Let's move to the spots section. Last

598
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,560
Speaker 1: week we talked about trying to pick off Wisconsin after

599
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 1: their Michigan win, and then Wisconsin kind of a miracle

600
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 1: comeback at Minnesota and they come back home. Me actually

601
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 1: beat Rutgers to didn't cover against Rutgers, but I was

602
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:23,679
Speaker 1: constant quietly five and two in the Big Ten, four

603
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:27,120
Speaker 1: straight wins, so maybe I need to reassess my Wisconsent take.

604
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:31,280
Speaker 1: But I also talked about Oklahoma last week, but man,

605
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,439
Speaker 1: they just might stink open. Florida just totally ate them up.

606
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,320
Speaker 1: Also partly a Florida story and where they're kind of

607
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 1: trending right now, truly back to their elite status. But

608
00:28:40,720 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 1: as I kind of teased earlier at the first section,

609
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,600
Speaker 1: Big Sky has this unique spot that I used to

610
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 1: look at, but it kind of changed last year. So

611
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 1: the usually it's a Thursday Saturday League kai where you know,

612
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:55,240
Speaker 1: that's kind of the tray of the travel partners and

613
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 1: that's sort of how the road schedule shakes out. But

614
00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: once a year, I believe every team will do a

615
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: three game swink Thursday Saturday and then Monday. That is

616
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 1: the case again this year. This used to be a

617
00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:09,680
Speaker 1: pretty good edge, but last year they switched it up

618
00:29:09,720 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: where the team who plays three games actually gets to

619
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,880
Speaker 1: stay at home. So it used to be where the

620
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 1: team that made the three the three and five I

621
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 1: guess was also traveling, but then they sort of tipped

622
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: the edge back in Neutral. So there's only a three

623
00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: and three against this prebat last year. I think it

624
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: was like five to one two years before. But it's

625
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: worth noting Montana State at Northern Colorado, who is just

626
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 1: weirdly bad all of a sudden, and then Montana at

627
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 1: Northern Arizona, who is not very good as expected and

628
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,720
Speaker 1: also not healthy. I know you're pissed off at your

629
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 1: grizz for failing to get it done in the Brawl

630
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:49,560
Speaker 1: of the Wild. Do you think they bounced back at

631
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,120
Speaker 1: altitude there? And where is a flag staff?

632
00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,840
Speaker 3: Thank you flag staff? Yeah? I tend to lean their way,

633
00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 3: you know. In the month, I'm gonna go with the

634
00:29:56,640 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 3: other one real quick. Montana State and Northern Toldo have

635
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 3: played this year already, correct, which I like to look at.

636
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,960
Speaker 3: But Montana State dominated in game one they won by fourteen.

637
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 3: I think it comes down to shooting. In every single

638
00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 3: Bobcat game, they're the number one three point percent in

639
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 3: the Big Sky, but no one's hit any threes against

640
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 3: Northern Colorado. They're getting probably lucky on that end. Still

641
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 3: one in five. I can't believe they're one in five

642
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 3: in the Big Sky. They're a favorite and kimpom that

643
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 3: tells you how tight this league is. They just lost

644
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 3: a sax State. I kind of leaned them getting back here, Matt,

645
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 3: but I'm I'm a little bit hurt from the Montana loss. Jim,

646
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 3: do you have a grizz or a Bobcat opinion?

647
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 2: I really want him to back Northern Colorado. Kay, that

648
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:43,080
Speaker 2: was like, oh, one in five. I think this team

649
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 2: is competent. Montana State just won their rivalry game. But

650
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,800
Speaker 2: I think you kind of touched on the things that

651
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,400
Speaker 2: are keeping me off it. The first meeting with Montana State,

652
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 2: Montana State shot sixty six percent inside the arc and

653
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 2: Northern Colorado shot forty six like a very clear, sustainable

654
00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 2: inside the arc vantage. And then yeah, the three point

655
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 2: variants in regression that's probably coming to Northern Colorado's defense.

656
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 2: I can't quite get there. I think it's a really

657
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 2: good spot for them back home off to road losses.

658
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,720
Speaker 2: I feel like I'm a repeated just saying that over

659
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 2: and over here. It's a good spot for them, But

660
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 2: I think because of some of the underlying numbers, it's

661
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 2: not worth backing. Maddie. There are a couple spots on

662
00:31:21,080 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 2: Tuesday I'm interested in, But if you want to finish

663
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 2: up the big Sky discussion before I get there.

664
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:27,920
Speaker 1: Me, No, I don't because I have no action, So

665
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: just no use discussing. Jim can lead us with your spots.

666
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,680
Speaker 1: I think I only have one in terms of a spot.

667
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 1: We did talk about my Iowa State one, but yeah,

668
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: kick it off, Jim.

669
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's similar to Iowa State where you get

670
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,560
Speaker 2: good teams coming home after losses, where I think it's

671
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,440
Speaker 2: kind of the get right sort of situation. I think

672
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 2: that's a common theme in college sports. You get a

673
00:31:48,200 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 2: team back home after a tough road performance. Typically you

674
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 2: get into play well. First one is Utah State. They

675
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:58,440
Speaker 2: lost at Grand Canyon, really tough road environment there. I

676
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:00,520
Speaker 2: get UNLV at home. You know you and know he

677
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,320
Speaker 2: is talented, but they've had a lot of personnel issues.

678
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:06,760
Speaker 2: Lineups are all kind of over the place. Their performances

679
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 2: are all over the place, high variants, type of team.

680
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,600
Speaker 2: Uta State offense is lethal. So Kai, I think I'm

681
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 2: going to back the ag he's there. It's seventeen at

682
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 2: Ken Palm. I think you get kind of the vintage

683
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 2: Utah State performance. I said on our Saturday Best Bet

684
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 2: show that you tost State is way up there and

685
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 2: way down there. Excuse me, nationally in consistency, per has

686
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 2: the metrics, and they had kind of the dud performance

687
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 2: at Grand Canyon. I think you get like the fireworks

688
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 2: explosion here back at home against you on.

689
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 3: The great, great home court there the other one.

690
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 2: I'm not going to back officially, but I think Miami

691
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 2: Florida is in a pretty good spot. They just lost

692
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: to Clemson team that Miami has been really good atop

693
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 2: the ACC, been in the mix, just picked up their

694
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 2: first loss there at Clemson. Now they're back home Florida State,

695
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 2: who has no interior fortitude at all. Like they just

696
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 2: get mauled at the rim. They're eighteenth in the ACC

697
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,880
Speaker 2: in two point percentage of defense. Now you got Renaud

698
00:33:00,880 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 2: coming to town, you got day Shelton Henderson getting downhill

699
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 2: in transition. I'm tempted by Miami. It's just a little

700
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 2: too high for me, Kai, even though in a high

701
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:11,640
Speaker 2: total game. But I do think that's a good spot

702
00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:12,440
Speaker 2: for the Hurricanes.

703
00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:13,600
Speaker 3: I agree, Jim.

704
00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 1: I'm still burned. I feel burned by them after back

705
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: against Clemson, Kai, I will throw one more at you

706
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:25,600
Speaker 1: because Indiana playing Michigan. Michigan coming back from the West Coast,

707
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 1: tempted to back at you here. I don't really like

708
00:33:28,600 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 1: my Hoosiers. I'm tempted to probably won't. Dusty May is

709
00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:34,280
Speaker 1: going to go into Indiana, and I think he wants

710
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 1: to show those fans who love and adore him, and

711
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: I think, deep down wish that they hired him, that

712
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: he was the right choice after kind of a sluggish

713
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:46,640
Speaker 1: stretch here for the dominant Wolverines. But again coming back

714
00:33:46,680 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: from the West Coast this year, I think it's two

715
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:52,040
Speaker 1: and oh the Midwest teams coming back from the West

716
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 1: coast trip to play another Midwest team again two games.

717
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 1: But yeah, you could argue it's a good spot for

718
00:33:57,520 --> 00:34:00,600
Speaker 1: IU off just just playing the den his trip that

719
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:04,000
Speaker 1: is been mccallam Iowa game, But that was the only

720
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:05,600
Speaker 1: one I had let written down. What else, what's on

721
00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:06,040
Speaker 1: your list?

722
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:09,760
Speaker 3: Nothing else? Really? They Indiana has had no chance against Iowa.

723
00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 3: That kind of keeps me off of I know Michigan

724
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 3: hasn't covered in like five games. They're they're it's almost

725
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:18,319
Speaker 3: like they've trended. It's a parabola. They're back to where

726
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 3: they were, which is still very very good in the preseason.

727
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:24,080
Speaker 3: But no chance against Michigan State, no chance against Iowa

728
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 3: was Indiana. That Nebraska defeat appears to have broken them,

729
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,080
Speaker 3: at least temporarily. I'm not sure they're getting that back

730
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:32,680
Speaker 3: against Michigan now. You could actually make an argument that

731
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 3: it's like, Okay, Michigan might be way too inflated right

732
00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 3: now in markets and analytics because of their unreal stretch

733
00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 3: that clearly they don't have the same level. So a

734
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,319
Speaker 3: sixteen point favored against Indiana is on the border right now.

735
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:50,839
Speaker 3: But they're a tournament team caliber team right like, They're

736
00:34:50,880 --> 00:34:53,719
Speaker 3: not a Rutgers. Sixteen points is a ton for a

737
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,680
Speaker 3: conference game. That's that's I think the point for IU.

738
00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, here's where market perception matters here. Michigan winning so

739
00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: far through Big Ten plays seven games. Every teams played

740
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:06,359
Speaker 1: seven games basically the Big Ten, winning by an average

741
00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 1: of fifteen points a game. They are two and five

742
00:35:09,120 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 1: against the spread with a cover margin of minus five

743
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: points versus Nebraska winning by an average of fourteen points

744
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 1: a game and covering by like two touchdowns. So I

745
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:23,960
Speaker 1: mean market matters, Perception matters relative to the baseline you've

746
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: built in non con Yeah, Michigan's probably still on the

747
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 1: over valued side.

748
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 2: I want to bet you there. I'm really tented to.

749
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 2: I think Michigan is like not very good right now.

750
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:36,800
Speaker 2: I think Dusty May would say that to you. He

751
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:39,759
Speaker 2: would say, we're just not very good. Oregon didn't have

752
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 2: Biddle or Shelstad Sean, Michigan was losing at halftime, Like

753
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 2: this team isn't very good right now, Like they were

754
00:35:46,960 --> 00:35:49,399
Speaker 2: in the zone for a while, they looked really good.

755
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 2: They blew out everybody, and that they just lost that

756
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 2: mojo like sometimes kaya you know, we've been on basketball teams.

757
00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 2: Sometimes you're just in the zone as a team, you're connected,

758
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:03,400
Speaker 2: everything working, and Michigan's for whatever reason, falling out of that.

759
00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:07,000
Speaker 2: And Indiana's lost three games in a row. I just

760
00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,959
Speaker 2: think it's like a good by low and you're still

761
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,280
Speaker 2: somehow selling high on Michigan despite that they haven't played

762
00:36:13,360 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 2: very well recently. I think Indiana can hang despite being

763
00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:19,840
Speaker 2: a little soft inside, just because of the defensive structure

764
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 2: that Devrez has. They're not going to let Michigan like

765
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:24,240
Speaker 2: live at the rim. They're going to force some jumpers.

766
00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 2: I think sixteen maybe this gets bet down. I think

767
00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:31,280
Speaker 2: the market's kind of been mostly betting against Michigan except

768
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 2: the Oregon game, because Oregon they have any players left.

769
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 2: I think I use a pretty decent look there. I'm

770
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 2: not going to add it to the card because my

771
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:42,480
Speaker 2: card is getting overflowing right now. But Aileen, I you

772
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:43,640
Speaker 2: pretty hard there. Yeah.

773
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,399
Speaker 1: I mean my Michigan take is they're an elite team.

774
00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: They're not a historic team, and that's where they're being

775
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:50,880
Speaker 1: priced right now. And you can just the numbers kind

776
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 1: of back that up. Let's get to the trash and

777
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:56,120
Speaker 1: then we'll take a shower after we sign off.

778
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 2: Here.

779
00:36:57,600 --> 00:37:02,040
Speaker 3: What's that smell? It's what I mean, This trash, the

780
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 3: sweet sweet trash.

781
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:09,160
Speaker 1: The trash is a gold. I do want to highlight

782
00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,800
Speaker 1: in our spolight section a couple as inspired by the

783
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:16,759
Speaker 1: Michigan conversation, some surprising conference ats darlings and duds were,

784
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 1: like I said, about six seven, eight games in uh,

785
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,359
Speaker 1: probably some surprising names that might long Leach to shake Kai.

786
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 1: But you didn't think of long we stay as a

787
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: cover darling that they have been such I had, yeah him,

788
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 1: I've been on the wrong end there as well, but

789
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 1: quickly a trash trip. I actually wrote down two teams

790
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,440
Speaker 1: not in the swack. I'm just tired of bullying on

791
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,879
Speaker 1: the swack, and I'm pissed off that I endorsed Meiths

792
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,320
Speaker 1: to be Valley State and that didn't go well. Drexel

793
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,799
Speaker 1: at tousand two teams that don't like to play fast

794
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 1: and scoring as a chore. You guys have any take

795
00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:51,239
Speaker 1: in this game. I kind of like Drexel. I just

796
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,000
Speaker 1: wanted to bring it up because I do think Drexel

797
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 1: has been sneaky good lately. They're kind of always deceptively

798
00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:01,120
Speaker 1: solid under Spiker, and I know Towson has gotten off

799
00:38:01,160 --> 00:38:02,719
Speaker 1: the mat to some degree, but I still think they

800
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 1: had real offensive issues, and it's just a matchup. I

801
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 1: think Drexel, in which should be an ugly, ugly game,

802
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,479
Speaker 1: keeps it close. Kempom has it only five. I hope

803
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:14,640
Speaker 1: numbers actually like six or seven. I can back the Dragons.

804
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 3: This is gonna be sixty maybe less possessions. That's how

805
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,040
Speaker 3: it's been last few years. Last like six games it

806
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 3: was overtime, housing by a six three point game. Overtime.

807
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,040
Speaker 3: Last year was like a one point game in overtime.

808
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:28,759
Speaker 3: These teams always play each other close. Last year the

809
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,279
Speaker 3: second game was fifty four possessions. It's just going to

810
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 3: be a slog a perfect trash section section. So Matthew,

811
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:36,759
Speaker 3: I would agree. I lean towards a dog at that

812
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:39,799
Speaker 3: at that pace. And hey, Dragons three to oh, last

813
00:38:39,840 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 3: three games they've been they've been looking a lot better.

814
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:48,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, let's just do a little spotlight some ats, darlings

815
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 1: and duds as we'll call them. Top leaderboard, Kay, Clemson,

816
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,480
Speaker 1: what else? They're always good conference play teams like, they

817
00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:56,960
Speaker 1: travel well, they take care of their business. Here's the

818
00:38:57,000 --> 00:39:00,840
Speaker 1: team I love and haven't backed enough is Mercer the

819
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 1: fighting or six and oh against number Nebraska obviously has

820
00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 1: been amazing. How about to Paul six and one against

821
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 1: the spread? Shouts to Chris Holman buying rounds at the

822
00:39:10,960 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 1: local watering hole here in Lincoln Park, a man of

823
00:39:13,080 --> 00:39:17,120
Speaker 1: the people. Kay, your Jacks are eight and one. Nine

824
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 1: games in the South are South End just Ajax, thank you,

825
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:28,520
Speaker 1: very apt clarification. New Mexico six and one and then FAU,

826
00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 1: a team I like under John jacis the only one

827
00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:31,919
Speaker 1: I wanted to mention at five and one. A bunch

828
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:33,400
Speaker 1: of teams at four and one, a couple others at

829
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 1: five to one, but that's kind of the top of

830
00:39:35,160 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: the total pool, along with the aforementioned Long Beach State Niners.

831
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:41,880
Speaker 1: It's six and oh against the spread six and oh.

832
00:39:42,200 --> 00:39:45,440
Speaker 3: And one of those games was a last second cover

833
00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 3: against Bakersfield that I happened to be on and they

834
00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 3: just beat ce Sun Matt last game, which I know

835
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 3: we were both on. Yeah, those those teams you mentioned.

836
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:58,239
Speaker 3: Sometimes it's frustrating looking back at records for teams, you know,

837
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 3: six or seven games in the I was playing, You're like, wow,

838
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:02,879
Speaker 3: I really like that team. Preseason makes a lot of sense.

839
00:40:02,920 --> 00:40:04,359
Speaker 3: I should have been on the most of those games,

840
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:06,960
Speaker 3: and you realize you weren't. And that's that's what makes

841
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:09,040
Speaker 3: being a little bit tough, right are you? If you're

842
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:10,680
Speaker 3: high on a team, high on a good team, you

843
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 3: better be a lot higher in the market, and that's

844
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 3: tough to do. I do think Mercer might be the

845
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:16,759
Speaker 3: best team in the Soocon, though, I'm glad you highlighted them.

846
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a flat league, but I think that's got

847
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 1: some talent they do. On the other side of the ledger,

848
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:29,240
Speaker 1: some really bad teams against the spread. Cornell, UTSA, Memphis

849
00:40:29,360 --> 00:40:31,480
Speaker 1: are the only three teams without a win against the

850
00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:33,919
Speaker 1: number but they've only played four or five, three, four

851
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:38,200
Speaker 1: and five games respectively. Man Utsa is just downright awful.

852
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 1: I cannot believe how putrid it looks there. For Austin

853
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:46,439
Speaker 1: Claunch A couple of others here. Northwestern Pumpkin won six

854
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 1: against the spread, and then how about Youngstown. I like

855
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 1: Ethan Faulkner. I thought I liked the Gwinn's coming in,

856
00:40:52,280 --> 00:40:55,160
Speaker 1: but they're one and seven in Horizon play. And then

857
00:40:55,200 --> 00:40:58,719
Speaker 1: how about Sonny Wicks one and six in Mountain West play.

858
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,360
Speaker 1: They look good at times in non con but I

859
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: think they they just don't really match up well with

860
00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 1: the size and physicality of the of the mountains. That's

861
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:11,080
Speaker 1: my sort of explanation behind that. But a few others here,

862
00:41:11,719 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 1: let's see North Alabama's not been very good and surprising

863
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:17,959
Speaker 1: have you been back in them? I haven't really touched

864
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:18,840
Speaker 1: the lines I have.

865
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,480
Speaker 3: Sorry, sorry bring up I'm all topsy turvy on the

866
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:22,920
Speaker 3: sun this year? Uh?

867
00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 1: And then UMKC who is without a coach, so add

868
00:41:27,680 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 1: them to like the I don't think he's gone yet,

869
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:33,040
Speaker 1: or he is coaching to the end of the year,

870
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 1: but he will not be there the next year. That

871
00:41:34,440 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 1: feels like a lame duck. What is literally a sitting.

872
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 3: Lame duck situation?

873
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 2: Literally the duck yet, Yeah.

874
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 1: The waist of ducks. They lost the last eight minutes

875
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 1: last game by twenty five points. It was like you

876
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 1: went from to oh my god in a matter of seconds.

877
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:51,120
Speaker 1: So I think you'll see a lot of that trend

878
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:54,720
Speaker 1: down the stretch for that team. So final takes Fellows

879
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 1: before we signed off here.

880
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:58,000
Speaker 3: Jim, go ahead, if you can start us off with

881
00:41:58,080 --> 00:41:59,080
Speaker 3: the reminders of the best.

882
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 2: I want to Yeah, I wanted to mix a couple

883
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:07,440
Speaker 2: of thoughts on the conference ats. I've had some internet issues,

884
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:13,080
Speaker 2: so for our listeners, I apologize this is not perfect audio.

885
00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:18,719
Speaker 2: Saint Louis. They're just like smashing teams in the eight

886
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:21,799
Speaker 2: ten and I wish I was just riding them all

887
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 2: the way to the bank. The one I want to

888
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:25,680
Speaker 2: mention is Florida because I thought they were a little

889
00:42:25,719 --> 00:42:28,719
Speaker 2: undervalue coming into the SEC. They just got it done

890
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 2: at Vanderbilt. Now I think the spot this week is

891
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,359
Speaker 2: a little shaky for them because they got that win

892
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 2: at Vanderbilt. LSU. Who knows what's going to happen with

893
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 2: Dedan Thomas if he's going to play, but I wanted

894
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:40,680
Speaker 2: to highlight them because at Florida it was I thought,

895
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 2: a really good Bilo coming to the SEC, and that

896
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:45,439
Speaker 2: was one that I think people could probably keep backing

897
00:42:45,520 --> 00:42:47,480
Speaker 2: as they go because it's a sustainable style with the

898
00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:50,320
Speaker 2: rebounding they do on the flip side. I love that

899
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:54,800
Speaker 2: you mentioned Utsa, Matthew, because also over in conference plays Memphis,

900
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: and those two are playing as we are recording this

901
00:42:57,880 --> 00:43:01,400
Speaker 2: particular podcast, So for the listener right now, Memphis was

902
00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:03,440
Speaker 2: laying like twenty points to UTSA.

903
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:04,719
Speaker 3: Memphis is probably the.

904
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,560
Speaker 2: Worst big favorite in the entire country when Penny Hardaway's

905
00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,800
Speaker 2: in charge, and I still didn't have the balls to

906
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 2: back UTSA because that team is so horrendous right now.

907
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 2: I just cannot advise anything besides fade UTSA. The team

908
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 2: is like kind of quit, and I think Claunch is

909
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 2: maybe ready to be back on NATO's staff. So I

910
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,320
Speaker 2: would say avoid the road Runners all costs. To recap

911
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:30,359
Speaker 2: my picks, I will start that kid, and I'll pass

912
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 2: it to you. After the three headliners Arkansas, Texas, Tech,

913
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 2: Missouri all lines right around pick. I take them to

914
00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:38,920
Speaker 2: minus one on all of them. So I'm going to

915
00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:41,359
Speaker 2: back those three. NC State plus four and a little

916
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 2: bit of money line at Clemson. I think the wolf

917
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 2: Pack get off the mat after that disgusting home performance

918
00:43:46,200 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 2: against Georgia Tech. Seaton Hall plus eight or plus nine,

919
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:51,640
Speaker 2: I take it down to seven against Saint John's. I

920
00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:53,600
Speaker 2: feel like I've been kind of the Saint John's drum

921
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:56,160
Speaker 2: beater or one of them. Kay, I think you have two,

922
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:59,000
Speaker 2: but it's a good matchup for Hall. I think it's

923
00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:02,000
Speaker 2: a big number for I love Holloway as a dogs.

924
00:44:02,040 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 2: I'll take that. I'll take the gross Kent State plus

925
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 2: two against Mana of Ohio. I know that's nerve racking

926
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:11,000
Speaker 2: against the RedHawks the way they've been playing, but I

927
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:13,799
Speaker 2: think it's the perfect spot for them to mess up

928
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 2: and take a little bit of a step off the

929
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,560
Speaker 2: straight and narrow there. Colorado State minus twenty air Force

930
00:44:19,680 --> 00:44:22,560
Speaker 2: is a mess and Iowa State minus thirteen up to

931
00:44:22,680 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 2: fourteen or fifteen off of two road losses. Top ten

932
00:44:26,040 --> 00:44:29,680
Speaker 2: team back home against erratic UCF. I like the Cyclones,

933
00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:31,399
Speaker 2: so to u Kai, that's my batch.

934
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:34,600
Speaker 3: I love a Jim some overlaps Texas Tech. For me

935
00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 3: against Baylor, I'm taking George Mason in the Capitol rivalry

936
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 3: against George Washington. I'm taking Colorado Buffs hosting Kansas, picking

937
00:44:43,960 --> 00:44:46,399
Speaker 3: them off in a good spot. Seaton Hall as well.

938
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 3: Like Jim, I think that's too many points for a

939
00:44:49,080 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 3: team that gets down and dirty on the defensive end.

940
00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:56,680
Speaker 3: And Caloro State Matthew destroying a team with maybe the

941
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,759
Speaker 3: least amount of talent in all of high major basketball.

942
00:45:00,360 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 1: I wouldn't argue that I only have three. I'm gonna

943
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:05,040
Speaker 1: stay away from Seaton Hall. I just feel like it.

944
00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 1: Just the more I thought, which I like the Johnnies

945
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 1: too much, I'm not. I'm just not going to fade

946
00:45:09,760 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: it right now. They've just been kind of on a mission.

947
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:17,920
Speaker 1: I'm going to Arkansas as discussed Saint Joe's as discussed earlier,

948
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:19,840
Speaker 1: than Iowa State, I think is my favorite bet on

949
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:24,799
Speaker 1: the board. So that's all we have. Thank you again

950
00:45:24,960 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 1: for stopping Bible be back saying time next week on

951
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,759
Speaker 1: a BBOC Monday Tuesday Action brought to you by a

952
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 1: three round weave. Thank you again and good luck on

953
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:55,799
Speaker 1: your wagers. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

954
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:58,440
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

955
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:01,719
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

956
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:02,200
Speaker 1: gambler