1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. Happy Monday here 2 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: on Straight Fire, October nineteen, and I yes, we're starting 3 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: for the first time on Straight Fire, first time since 4 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: the podcast started back in August. We're opening with baseball. 5 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: We will get to the NFL. It was a profitable weekend, 6 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: did pretty well in the contest, but could have done better. 7 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:35,320 Speaker 1: Quick look Ahead two week seven later in the podcast, 8 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: and two best bets for the Monday night football doubleheader. 9 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: But we gotta start with Major League Baseball because and 10 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: I tweeted this out Sunday night for the first time, 11 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 1: and I can't remember how long I was far more 12 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: enthralled by a baseball game than an NFL game. So 13 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 1: you had Sunday Night Football Rams Niners, and the Niners 14 00:00:56,320 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: jump out to the quick lead, I think it was 15 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: fourteen nothing, and you're like, oh, okay, we got a game. 16 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:04,399 Speaker 1: The Rams will come back, and that never materialized. And 17 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,400 Speaker 1: then you're switching over to baseball and the Braves jump 18 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: out quick over the Dodgers. Now, obviously I'm located in 19 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 1: l A, so I'm a little more invested in the series. 20 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: When we moved out here in UM we were very 21 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 1: fortunate to, you know, get some tickets to some Dodgers games. 22 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: Took the family, and you know, it just so happened 23 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:27,400 Speaker 1: that when they go to the World Series, we were 24 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,240 Speaker 1: able to get some tickets, so I went with my son. 25 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: Obviously was that Astro's World Series. Damnit those Astros and 26 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: those cheating Astros. So it was like a great experience, 27 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 1: and you know, we're kind of Dodger fans. I obviously 28 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: have more relationship with the Yankees, having been born in 29 00:01:43,160 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: New York and followed them passionately. But who doesn't love 30 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: the Dodgers. And you know, watching Game seven, it was like, gosh, 31 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: are they gonna come through? And I got all these 32 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 1: new friends in l A having moved out here and 33 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: there long time Dodgers fans are like, I've seen this 34 00:01:56,480 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: crap before. It's all overwhere in trouble and then slowly 35 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: start chipping away and brave storm back and then ultimately 36 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger with I don't know for my money, that 37 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,960 Speaker 1: was the signature home run of the postseason so far. 38 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: It's Game seven, it's to break a tie in the 39 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: later innings, and the way he hit it, and you listen, 40 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 1: if you grew up playing baseball. Um, you probably hit 41 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 1: a bunch of homers if you played in high school 42 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: or college. Also, home run baseball was the one sport 43 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: I did not really play growing up. By dabbled in 44 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: it early, it didn't really click. I was more of 45 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 1: a soccer, basketball guy, tennis, golf, And so I've never 46 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: hit a home run in an actual baseball game, like 47 00:02:41,040 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 1: in a real like literal league game or anything. And 48 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 1: to watch Bellinger just crush it and then kind of 49 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: dropped the bat and just walk like that struck just 50 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,080 Speaker 1: it was goose bump inducing for me at least. And 51 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: you know, Dodgers go on to beat um beat the 52 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 1: Braves in Game seven and that, boy, what a tough 53 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 1: run for Atlanta. Huh. All these guys on social media, 54 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: all you see are the memes that you know, the 55 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons blew a twenty three lead in the Super 56 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 1: Bowl if you watch college football Saturday night, Georgia up 57 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:21,799 Speaker 1: on Alabama seven. Who you guys remember that? And then 58 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Braves leading the Dodgers three one in the 59 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: series at a gag away three in a row. Incredible comeback, 60 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: and I just I don't know, I know, Rob G's 61 00:03:33,040 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 1: a big baseball guy. He's a long time Dodgers fan. Um, 62 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 1: the last World Series win for the Dodgers. You gotta 63 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 1: go all the way back to the Oakland A's. And 64 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: I still remember I was a young kid. I had 65 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: just lobbied my parents, um to have a television in 66 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: my bedroom. Yes, that was what it was like way back. 67 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: No cable, just the the usual networks. And um, I 68 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 1: remember he's hit. I think it was a Grand Slam. 69 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: Rob you can check me on this in a second. 70 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,080 Speaker 1: I think it was a Grand Slam by Conseco in 71 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: the first inning. And I was like, oh darn it, 72 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: because I was rooting for the Dodgers, and I fell asleep. 73 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: And then I wake up, you know, in the middle 74 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: of the night. And it wasn't like you could check 75 00:04:17,520 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: your phone. You couldn't just turn it on Sports Enter. 76 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: You have to wait for the morning. I wake up 77 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: in the middle of the night, turn off the TV, 78 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: wake up in the morning, and you know, see it 79 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:31,320 Speaker 1: that Kirk Gibson hits this iconic home run. And I 80 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: was like, I can't believe I missed that. One of 81 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: those funny youth moments where he couldn't really stay up 82 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 1: and you literally had to wait until the next morning. 83 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 1: I didn't I don't think we had. I don't know 84 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:43,359 Speaker 1: if ESPN and sports and I don't know if that 85 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 1: was a thing back then in But at any rate, 86 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 1: Dodgers won eight and they've watched the Lakers win a 87 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: lot out here in l A. We know the Clippers 88 00:04:51,800 --> 00:04:55,039 Speaker 1: haven't won anything. Come on, come on, um, and the 89 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,000 Speaker 1: Dodgers have been to the World Series a couple of 90 00:04:57,040 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: times and they have failed twenty seven team eighteen and 91 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:05,560 Speaker 1: they're going back in they will face the raise. Rob 92 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 1: g is a long time Dodgers fan. Any thoughts, feelings, 93 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 1: emotions you want to just spill out on the podcast. Well, 94 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: it is, you know, just another World Series appearance. Let's 95 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:17,599 Speaker 1: not get too excited. I mean, they've been here a 96 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: few times now recently, and each time they've choked. But 97 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:22,720 Speaker 1: this is huge for the city of Los Angeles. I mean, 98 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 1: I know the Lakers just want and I'm a die 99 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: hard Lakers fan. So that was exciting. But because I 100 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:31,479 Speaker 1: think everyone almost felt it coming that, it was an excitement, 101 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:33,599 Speaker 1: but it wasn't the same as what I think would 102 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: happen if the Dodgers are able to seal the deal 103 00:05:36,040 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: this time. I mean late last night when they won 104 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: Game seven, the fireworks around my house. We're just like 105 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: when the Lakers won the title two weeks ago or 106 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: a week ago, whatever it is. Now, I can only 107 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: imagine the war zone that is coming my way. If 108 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: they're able to win the World Series, this city may explode. 109 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: We may have thirty seven arrest in one night. It's 110 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 1: gonna be incredible. So the early early numbers, Rob g 111 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 1: say the Dodgers have a sixty nine percent chance to 112 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: win the World Series. Um and again, you know it's early. 113 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:12,799 Speaker 1: We don't. I don't. I don't know the status of Kershaw. 114 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 1: I don't know how he's doing. Um Any do you 115 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: have a vibe or feeling on Kershaw like this is 116 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 1: a guy who's had some postseason failures, Rob g, Um, 117 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: I would say the pressure is gonna be even more 118 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 1: amplified on him. And he's got he's you know, nursing 119 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,280 Speaker 1: an injury. Oh that might be an understatement to say 120 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:33,159 Speaker 1: if Dodger fans are worried about Clay and Kershaw. There 121 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: was a fun stat that I had last week. I 122 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 1: tried to dig it up for you while I'm talking, 123 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: But we all know that he struggles in the post 124 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 1: and that's not a secret. You know, he's Peyton Manning 125 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,840 Speaker 1: esque in that regard. But it's not just that he struggles, 126 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:48,480 Speaker 1: it's that his e r A is almost double what 127 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,800 Speaker 1: it is during the regular season in his career, and 128 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 1: even worse than that, it gets worse every single round 129 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 1: of the postseason. So if what we saw in the 130 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 1: NLCS as any indication, and I'm assuming right now, if 131 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:04,840 Speaker 1: I were to bet, I would bet that Kershaw goes 132 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: in game one. Yeah this, they're saying Kershaw go Game one, 133 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: and then almost betting on them being down one. Oh 134 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: right off the tipe, Oh jeez, come on, gets positive. 135 00:07:15,480 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 1: So I guess the back is not that much of 136 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: an issue. He's at some time off here. But I'm 137 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 1: seeing that Kershaw's lined up for Game one. That would 138 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: make Walker Bueller go in Game three, and then should 139 00:07:26,240 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 1: it go seven, Bueller would be the starter in seven. 140 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: At least that's very early indications things could change. Well, 141 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: I'm just we we better hope that the bats come 142 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: alive in game one. That's all I'm gonna say about that. 143 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: I mean, I would love to see him, you know, 144 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: exercises demon especially on a big stage like that. But um, 145 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 1: history says not. So you get your hopes up when 146 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,239 Speaker 1: Clay and Kershaw is on the mount in a big game. Yeah. 147 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: So world series coming everybody's way. But listen, baseball, this 148 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: is this is gonna be exciting. I think there's a 149 00:07:56,400 --> 00:08:00,200 Speaker 1: great world series obviously for Fox big Win getting the 150 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: Dodgers instead of the Braves obviously, and um yeah, so 151 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: fun night in baseball. Let's get to the NFL. Alright, 152 00:08:08,760 --> 00:08:11,680 Speaker 1: onto the NFL. Pretty great Sunday of action, folks. I 153 00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 1: gotta be honest, my house was a little wild on Sunday. 154 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: I was looking at a five and oh in the 155 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: circle one point four million dollar contest at about you know, 156 00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: the near end of the Witching hour. Um it was. 157 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 1: It was going swimming lee. I was so geeked. And 158 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 1: of course the Houston Texans on the verge of victory 159 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 1: fall apart at the end. Let the Titans force over time, 160 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: and of course Derrick Henry's course, because Derrick Henry is 161 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: an absolute animal and certainly an m v P, yes, 162 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: an m VP candidate. Derrick Henry the only non quarterback 163 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: in the m v P discussion through what six weeks 164 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: Derrick Henry was phenomenally is untackle herble, if that's a word. 165 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 1: So that costs me a win in the circle. And then, 166 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:02,559 Speaker 1: of course the Baltimore Ravens, oh, those wretched birds twenty 167 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 1: four to six, lead early fourth quarter and then complete 168 00:09:06,440 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: an utter collapse. Of course, they hold on to win, 169 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: but this is the third week in a wrong I'm 170 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: kind of done with the Ravens at this point. I mean, 171 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: they just they're not the covering machine they were last 172 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 1: year at any rate. It's beyond my bets. I want 173 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 1: to quickly gone through the games that went down on Sunday, 174 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: and I want to look ahead with a couple early 175 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: looks at Week seven. So first of all, let's start 176 00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 1: with the coolest stat that I've seen this season. Okay, 177 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:35,079 Speaker 1: every week so far of the NFL season has had 178 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 1: a team rally from down sixteen or more to come 179 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:44,079 Speaker 1: back and win. The Colts didn't just yesterday. In Week six, Um, 180 00:09:44,280 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 1: they were down to the Bengals. They just spotted Joe 181 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: Burrow three TVs and then came back. In one week five. 182 00:09:50,880 --> 00:09:54,320 Speaker 1: The Saints were down to Justin Herbert three, came back 183 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: in one week four, The Bucks were down to Yes 184 00:09:57,880 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: the Chargers again seven came back in one week three, 185 00:10:02,200 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 1: the Bears down to Mattie Ice came back in one 186 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,160 Speaker 1: week two. Who could forget the Cowboys come back down 187 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: twenty to nothing to the Falcons. They come back and win. 188 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 1: And then in week one the Washington Football Club, they said, 189 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: Carson Wentz will give you seventeen points and then we're 190 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,440 Speaker 1: gonna come back and beat you. Uh. It's a phenomenal stat. 191 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: I need to let that marinate a little more. I 192 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:29,599 Speaker 1: can't tell if it has to do with no crowds, 193 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: you know, it's like spread it out home versus away. Um, 194 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 1: it's just an interesting stat I mean basically, Yeah, there's 195 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: some teams here in this league. We see the Chargers 196 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:43,319 Speaker 1: blow two of them, the Falcons blow two of them. 197 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: Uh where maybe there's some in game betting opportunities. We'll 198 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: have to definitely look forward to that going forward. But 199 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: now quickly to recap some in Week six, I will 200 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: say this, I called that one called my shot. Here 201 00:10:55,040 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: the Bears winning outright in Carolina and they were coming 202 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 1: off their and from the jump they got all up 203 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 1: in Teddy Bridgewater's grill. It was awesome. They almost had 204 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 1: a safety on the second play of the game. Then 205 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 1: they pick off Teddy Bridgewater on the third play, tip 206 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: play and UM score touchdown and they were in control 207 00:11:12,679 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: the entire game. I mean, Folds didn't look great. He 208 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:18,880 Speaker 1: looked good and capable. UM, but it was pretty clear 209 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: that when Carolina faces an elite defense now against Tampa 210 00:11:22,800 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 1: Bay and Chicago, Teddy Bridgewater is gonna struggle. He was 211 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 1: under duress the entire time. Khalil Mack was living in 212 00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,839 Speaker 1: the backfield. Goodwin for the Bears. There are five and one, 213 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 1: and um, I think we need we need to start 214 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: being a little realistic about the Bears contending for that 215 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 1: divisional spot. I don't think they're a serious player in 216 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,599 Speaker 1: the playoffs, but if this defense continues to improve and 217 00:11:42,640 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 1: they can get you know, above average play out of Folds, 218 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:50,640 Speaker 1: why not, um, another team coming off a by Detroit 219 00:11:50,679 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 1: Lions look fresh. My guy Matt Stafford gets an easy 220 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 1: win in Jacksonville. Jacksonville's pretty bad and with and again 221 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 1: this is just a nugget for either fantasy ambling. When 222 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:04,839 Speaker 1: Josh Allen, the best defensive lineman edge rusher on the Jacks, 223 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 1: when he doesn't play, they can't do anything on the 224 00:12:07,720 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: defensive side. They had zero sacks of Stafford only hit 225 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 1: him four times, and I mean their defense is terrible. 226 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 1: Lions come off the by another thing off the by 227 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be looking at closely. Why is that well rest? 228 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: Remember there was no preseason. Teams were kind of rushed 229 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 1: out there and getting extra rest. I just wonder with 230 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:30,319 Speaker 1: this trunc catered off season, how much that matters. It 231 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 1: certainly mattered for the Bears, and um, well, they were 232 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:34,680 Speaker 1: coming up I'm sorry the Bears were coming off extra 233 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:37,839 Speaker 1: rest from Thursday night game. Lions were coming off straight up. By. 234 00:12:38,120 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: Look how they started the game touchdown, touchdown, missfield goal, 235 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: field goal, and then they're up seventeen three at the half. 236 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:49,320 Speaker 1: So good start pans out for the Lions. UM. I 237 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: didn't really watch the Washington New York Giants disaster. I mean, 238 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 1: what kind of garbage game was that? Holy cow? Um, 239 00:12:57,960 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: I don't really want I gotta be honest, I don't 240 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 1: want to talk about the Houston Texas blowing the cover. 241 00:13:02,000 --> 00:13:05,359 Speaker 1: It hurt my feelings badly, and um, it was disappointing. 242 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: Let's move on. I will say this a quick note 243 00:13:08,760 --> 00:13:12,199 Speaker 1: from that game that matters. Okay, Taylor Lawan, one of 244 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:14,480 Speaker 1: the best offensive linemen the Titans have. Their big left 245 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: tackle may have a torn a c L as I 246 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:21,560 Speaker 1: record this, that's the early word, and that would be huge. 247 00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:25,080 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, the Titans keep winning, but when we 248 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: get to next week, you'll know why I'm out on 249 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 1: the Titans. Tampa Bay with an impressive win over the Packers. Listen, 250 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: some people thought the Packers my guest last week, Tory 251 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: Gurley shout out to him. He was all in on 252 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 1: the Packers, and um, they got smoked. This was not closed. 253 00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 1: Packers led ted nothing. Aaron Rodgers does his little hips 254 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: thrusting celebration and they never scored again. Thirty eight straight 255 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 1: from Tampa. They had a pick six of Aaron Rodgers 256 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: and they picked him off again. Turnover regression is a thing, people. 257 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 1: The Packers had zero turnovers coming into the game, and 258 00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:02,320 Speaker 1: Rogers was picked off twice in the first half. An 259 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: injury you need to watch going forward. David back dr 260 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:08,720 Speaker 1: very good offensive lineman for the Packers. He left the 261 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 1: game hurt and we saw Rogers kind of crumbling there 262 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: in the pocket against a fierce Tampa Bay front front line. 263 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 1: Brady was not sacked and Rogers was sacked four times 264 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: and he was under darress. Just things to file away 265 00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: moving forward, because the Packers team is overrated and their 266 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: defense it looked all right, but this was a ground 267 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: game and they took advantage of the linebackers. Gronk most 268 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:37,960 Speaker 1: targeted player on the Bucks, yes, more than Evans. Mike 269 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: Evans had one catch. I think he was going up 270 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: against jayro Alexander some of the time. I didn't look closely. 271 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: I'll have to check that later, but pretty good defensive 272 00:14:46,800 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 1: effort from Alexander to to shut down Evans. But otherwise 273 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:55,240 Speaker 1: Green Bay looked like hot garbage. Um uh. You know 274 00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:58,200 Speaker 1: the Steelers Browns game. Steelers was a great victory. We 275 00:14:58,240 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: called that on the podcast. I hope you guys pro 276 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:04,160 Speaker 1: fitted handsomely. That was done early, and I mean, listen, 277 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:08,640 Speaker 1: we don't. It's funny. People are starting to, like friends, 278 00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: starting to text me like, holy cow, you're really diving 279 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 1: deep on this NFL stuff. And I mean, if you 280 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: listen to what we said last week about Steelers Browns, 281 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: like everything happened basically to the t um it was 282 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:25,240 Speaker 1: never close. I mean, the Browns had four point one 283 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: yards per play, one for twelve on third down. The 284 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 1: pocket collapse literally every single possession against Baker Mayfield. I 285 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 1: mean the Steelers dominated. Now, they also lost a tough injury. 286 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: The linebacker Bush, the really talented kid looks like a 287 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 1: torn a c l for him. I mean, he's a 288 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:45,400 Speaker 1: phenomenal sideline to sideline linebacker. Um, this is a guy 289 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 1: who can cover running backs out of the backfield. He 290 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: can mark the tight ends. That's not a good thing. Um. 291 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 1: They do have Tennessee this week. He's a tackling machine. 292 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: He would be perfect for Derrick Henry. We'll see how 293 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 1: they replace it. Quick note on the Browns, Yes, I 294 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 1: still think they're a playoff team. They have four victories, 295 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:04,360 Speaker 1: they have two losses. They lost to the Ravens thirty 296 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: eight six and they lost to the Steelers seven, So 297 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 1: you can see there's a significant gap between the Browns 298 00:16:10,440 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: and the Steelers. Quick note, though, don't sell the Browns. 299 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 1: We'll talk about their next opponent shortly. And I think 300 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:19,600 Speaker 1: you're gonna want to be betting on the Browns this 301 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:21,200 Speaker 1: week now that you're probably, like Jay said, I'm not 302 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 1: gonna hold my nose and do it. Yes, Yes, you are. 303 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:25,400 Speaker 1: I'm not talking about the New York Jets because I 304 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: think Adam Gays could be fired today and I don't 305 00:16:28,800 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: want to like waste all my spiel about it. But 306 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 1: they're the only winless team in the league. They apparently 307 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: have quit on Adam Gaye and Greg Williams and Trevor Lawrence. 308 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 1: They're the leaders. For Trevor Lawrence. That's the only thing 309 00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: to get excited about. You can tell the fire sale 310 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:53,040 Speaker 1: has begun because they just traded a nose tackle. Uh McClendon. 311 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 1: I believe he was shipped. I forget where he got sent, 312 00:16:57,480 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 1: but he got sent somewhere. Oh. I think it was Tampa. 313 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: Tampa um to replace Vita Vea. You know, you need 314 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:05,600 Speaker 1: defensive linement. Tampa's like a real contender, and the Jets 315 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 1: they sold them off for what six round pick or whatever. 316 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 1: Hey man, there's only like four or five players on 317 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: the Jets who are worth keeping and building around. That's 318 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: real talk. Obviously, one of them is not even playing 319 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: the linebacker. Uh. Their best player, Jamal Adams, they already 320 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 1: traded him. Uh. Avery Williamson is pretty good. I don't 321 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 1: know if they're going to pony up the money that 322 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: he's gonna want. I like Marcus May, obviously Beckton, and um, 323 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:31,280 Speaker 1: let's not talk about Sam Donald at this point. So 324 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 1: Week six almost in the books. Two games today, very 325 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: excited for the Monday night football doubleheader. Who doesn't love 326 00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:43,800 Speaker 1: afternoon football? Can't wait. I want to quickly look ahead, 327 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:47,239 Speaker 1: just file these away. I don't know if you If 328 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:50,720 Speaker 1: you think it's actionable, go for it. Um. A couple 329 00:17:50,720 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 1: of games I have already circled. I um, I'll probably 330 00:17:54,240 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: be betting them after I hear about these injuries here 331 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 1: on Monday morning. Number one, I will be looking definitely 332 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: at the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday night football. I know they 333 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:09,119 Speaker 1: have one win, and I know they are injured to 334 00:18:09,280 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 1: high hell, but they're playing a bad football team in 335 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 1: the New York Giants on Thursday. Okay, the Eagles are 336 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,239 Speaker 1: one four and one and their last two wins are 337 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:22,199 Speaker 1: two five and one Baltimore and five and oh Pittsburgh. Okay, 338 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: they lost to the Rams, who were four and two 339 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,400 Speaker 1: and a pretty good team, not a great team, and um, 340 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: the injuries caught up with them in the opener against Washington. 341 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 1: I cannot explain the Bengals when that was just oh, 342 00:18:31,280 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 1: my gosh, Carson went stinks, but the injuries. The big one, 343 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,680 Speaker 1: Miles Sanders, my gosh, he's on my fantasy team. The 344 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,160 Speaker 1: guy's a monster. I think he's had back to back 345 00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: games with over seventy yard explosive runs. Just phenomenal speed 346 00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 1: from that kid. It looked like an ankle, I think, 347 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,800 Speaker 1: and he did not return in the fourth quarter. I 348 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 1: think Lane Johnson's coming back. I think the Sean Jackson's playing. 349 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 1: I think all Shan Jeffrey's playing. Let's see about zach Ertz. 350 00:18:57,359 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: I do believe the Eagles win this handily. I'm seeing 351 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: a five and a half and a six. I think 352 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 1: the Eagles can cover that number. The New York Giants stink. 353 00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:08,439 Speaker 1: Thursday Night football. Next up, I will be looking at 354 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: the Browns against Cincinnati. If you remember they played in 355 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 1: Week two short week, Browns are favored by about six 356 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,200 Speaker 1: and didn't cover. They won by five, and now they're 357 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,280 Speaker 1: only favored by three and a half. Has that much 358 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:25,200 Speaker 1: changed to move it from six to three and a half? Um. 359 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: We saw the Bengals get out to a really nice, 360 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 1: impressive lead over the Colts and in the second half, 361 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 1: I think they had three points, and um, you know 362 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: they're gonna struggle to protect Borrow from Miles Garrett. I mean, 363 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 1: Miles Garrett is just beast in. If the lineman is back, 364 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:44,080 Speaker 1: uh for the Browns, if the two safeties are back, 365 00:19:44,359 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 1: I think this number will will tick up. I am 366 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 1: looking back the Browns next week for sure. Now listen 367 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:53,199 Speaker 1: the New York Jets again. A lot could happen this 368 00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: week with the Jets. The Buffalo Bills beat him in 369 00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: the opener by ten. It was a blood bath early. 370 00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:02,479 Speaker 1: I think it was twent nothing three something like that, 371 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,920 Speaker 1: and that you know the Bills let Donald get get 372 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,119 Speaker 1: a couple of points here at the end, and they 373 00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 1: only one by ten. Allen had a couple of bad 374 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:14,679 Speaker 1: turnovers as he has want to do, hopefully not today. Um. 375 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: The only reason I'm holding off on back in the 376 00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 1: Bills that minus ten and a half or minus eleven 377 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 1: is the trickle down. If Adam Gays is fired all 378 00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 1: of a sudden, is McKay Beckton healthy at left tackle? 379 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: Is Sam Donald healthy? Are we going to see the 380 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:30,399 Speaker 1: first action from the rookie Mims, who is explosive and 381 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:34,840 Speaker 1: could be an instant factor. I would stay off the 382 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 1: bills if that were the case, but we don't know. 383 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: A lot to play out and finally another game. I'm 384 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 1: telling you guys, folks right now, I'm all over this. 385 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:48,760 Speaker 1: I like the Steelers over Tennessee at two two and 386 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 1: a half. Three is pushing it on the road. Tennessee 387 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 1: has had about ten thousand fans in the in the 388 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: stadium uh Sunday, and the Bush injury is significant. But 389 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:03,160 Speaker 1: we've now seen ten See play Tuesday. We saw them 390 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:06,920 Speaker 1: play Sunday. The tailor the one injury that I mentioned earlier, 391 00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:11,199 Speaker 1: and and I cannot underestimate this enough. Pittsburgh is the 392 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 1: most physical team I've seen play in the NFL. And 393 00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 1: if they're able to dominate the line of scrimmage and 394 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: bottle up Henry, I think on the outside they should 395 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 1: be able to contend with Uh. The kid A J. Brown, 396 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,120 Speaker 1: who's very talented. The other injury to watch for Tennessee 397 00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 1: is their tight end John new Smith. He left the 398 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:31,640 Speaker 1: game hurt um and his replacements some kid I've never 399 00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 1: really heard of named Firkster had a monster performance. I mean, 400 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,000 Speaker 1: I don't know where the Titans find these guys. Got 401 00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,680 Speaker 1: to give a shout out to the Titans front office. 402 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 1: They're just picking guys up. Somebody named Anthony Firster eight 403 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,879 Speaker 1: catches a buck thirteen. Now I know Houston's linebacker stink. 404 00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: I mean the whole Houston defense stinks. Tennessee averaged averaged 405 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: eight point six yards per play. And that's not just 406 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 1: like for a half or for a couple of drives. 407 00:21:57,320 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 1: That's eleven drives for the Titans Monday. Eight point six 408 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:04,560 Speaker 1: yards per play, six d one yards of total offense. 409 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,360 Speaker 1: It is going to be a radical difference going from 410 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:10,440 Speaker 1: a bottom five defensive Houston to facing a top five 411 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: unit in the Pittsburgh Steeler. So I am looking definitely 412 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,240 Speaker 1: at the Steelers h as one of my favorite picks 413 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 1: early early in week seven. All right, let's get to 414 00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 1: the best bet for Monday night football. I'm doubling up 415 00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: the only thing better than sitting on your couch watching 416 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 1: the game. He is making money while you do it. 417 00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:39,320 Speaker 1: Here's your best bet. Alright, it's time for the best 418 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,000 Speaker 1: bet here on straight fire. Folks were lucky we got 419 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 1: a Monday night football double dip. Today. We've got the 420 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 1: Chiefs Bills at two pm Pacific on Fox, followed by 421 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: Cardinals Cowboys. You I mean, it doesn't get much better 422 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 1: than that on a Monday, you know, six extra hours 423 00:22:58,480 --> 00:23:03,440 Speaker 1: of football. Love it. Let's start with the weekend recap, 424 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:07,200 Speaker 1: so thirty one, nineteen and four. Heading into the weekend, 425 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 1: I got greedy. I went for four NFL games instead 426 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 1: of the usual three, and the Dolphins was an easy, 427 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 1: no sweat win over by pathetic New York Jets and 428 00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:22,640 Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers another easy, no sweat victory. I think 429 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 1: if you look back last week on maybe Monday or 430 00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:29,880 Speaker 1: Wednesday show, I identified the Dolphins and Steelers as two 431 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: games I love. They were slam dunks, very profitable. I 432 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 1: missed two others though. The Ravens game was a brutal 433 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,960 Speaker 1: with and I will you know, if this game were 434 00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:45,000 Speaker 1: played exactly the same next week, the same players out, 435 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,960 Speaker 1: same players in, I would take the Ravens again. Just 436 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: a reminder. The Ravens lead the Eagles twenty four to 437 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: six after three quarters. The game was totally in hand. 438 00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,919 Speaker 1: But what I miscalculated was we saw a little bit 439 00:23:57,960 --> 00:24:00,280 Speaker 1: of of it. The last two weeks. The ray Evens 440 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: in the second half have taken their foot off the gas. 441 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 1: There is less a sense of urgency they're not trying 442 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 1: to impress anybody. Um. They did it against the Bengals, 443 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: and they did it against Washington. They were able to 444 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,439 Speaker 1: cover both those games. They were not able to do 445 00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: that against Carson Wentz, who was like the terminator, essentially 446 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 1: refusing to die, refusing to go away. Lead the Eagles back. 447 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,239 Speaker 1: They came in the back door some questionable flags. I'm 448 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 1: not gonna get too worked up about it. The Ravens 449 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:31,919 Speaker 1: didn't cover the idiotic bet. You know was the Patriots 450 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,680 Speaker 1: favored by I think it was nine and a half 451 00:24:33,680 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: on the podcast Okay, on Saturday, there was a COVID 452 00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 1: scare for the Patriots and all of a sudden, three 453 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:43,160 Speaker 1: players are ruled out. Well, I already gave out Patriots 454 00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: as the best bet. It was an offensive lineman, it 455 00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,600 Speaker 1: was a running back and another guy. And we have 456 00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: seen COVID kind of wrecked lineups, but it's it's really 457 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,320 Speaker 1: unknown what it does. But and I'm talking from a 458 00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,639 Speaker 1: football sense on our team, like it didn't impact the 459 00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,919 Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. They went out there and we're fine against 460 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:05,720 Speaker 1: the Bills despite all the COVID up and down. It 461 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 1: impacted the Patriots significantly. It looked like Cam Newton had 462 00:25:10,119 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 1: not taken a snap in a month. And what I 463 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,600 Speaker 1: did not calculate correctly was not only had Cam had COVID, 464 00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:19,000 Speaker 1: but their facility had been shut down. They hadn't had 465 00:25:19,000 --> 00:25:21,239 Speaker 1: a lot of time to practice. And it's not like 466 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:25,479 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill and Tennessee who's been with the Titans. Okay, 467 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 1: Cam has only been with the Patriots a few months. 468 00:25:27,560 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 1: And you heard Bill Belichick afterwards saying, you know, we 469 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,000 Speaker 1: need we need to practice. We we gotta have time 470 00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 1: to practice football. Uh, And it looked it in in 471 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 1: the game. It was a total disappointment. We touched on 472 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 1: a little bit earlier, but it was a whiff. Nonetheless, 473 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:43,200 Speaker 1: So two and two, thirty three, twenty one and four 474 00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna pick two games tonight because I'm greedy. 475 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:50,639 Speaker 1: I'm a greedy s O B. And the theme is folks. 476 00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,679 Speaker 1: We talked about this with guests last week Thursday and Friday, 477 00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 1: And if you're missing out on the podcast, don't just 478 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 1: hit me up in the d M s or hit 479 00:25:58,240 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 1: me on Twitter, Hey, what's the pick today? I'm come on, 480 00:26:00,680 --> 00:26:05,639 Speaker 1: you gotta listen to the podcast. Last week's teams that 481 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: were awful performed well this week. In Week six, for instances, 482 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:14,360 Speaker 1: they were terrible against the Dolphins. Well, look how good 483 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,119 Speaker 1: they looked against the Rams, the Buccaneers. They did not 484 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 1: look very good and sharp on Thursday night football against 485 00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 1: the Bears. Look how they bounced back crushed the Packers 486 00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:26,960 Speaker 1: the Bills. That's the other one that I how do 487 00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,160 Speaker 1: you handle this one? Now they're going against the Chiefs, 488 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,159 Speaker 1: who also didn't win last week, So this is a 489 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 1: little risky play. You know, I would say a pizza 490 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:38,920 Speaker 1: money play if you will on the Bills getting five. 491 00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,920 Speaker 1: They're at home. I'm almost certain there'll be no fans 492 00:26:41,920 --> 00:26:44,640 Speaker 1: in the stadium, So just remove that. The Bills defense 493 00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:50,680 Speaker 1: is pretty bad, inefficiency against the run against the past. 494 00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,400 Speaker 1: The good news is two guys that missed the Tennessee game, 495 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 1: Tradavious White, who's like a top three cornerback in the league, 496 00:26:56,400 --> 00:27:00,560 Speaker 1: and Milano the linebacker. If you noticed, without Alano, he's 497 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 1: our best coverage linebacker. They were susceptible against the tight end. 498 00:27:04,040 --> 00:27:07,879 Speaker 1: It hurt them badly. Both those guys back against Travis 499 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 1: Kelsey and Tyreek Hill. Kind of a big deal. I'm 500 00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 1: taking the Bills getting five points. At home and the 501 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 1: other game you're supposed to. You're supposed to take the 502 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:21,440 Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys here because the line significantly swung too much 503 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 1: obviously over the Andy Dalton in for Dak Prescott, and 504 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,439 Speaker 1: you're supposed to take the Cowboys. Folks, I can't do it. 505 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,359 Speaker 1: I can't. I know you're supposed to. It's like in 506 00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:34,800 Speaker 1: blackjack when you get dealt a certain uh. You know, 507 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,680 Speaker 1: you're you've got the numbers facing up and you see 508 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:39,080 Speaker 1: what the dealer has and you're supposed to stay, and 509 00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 1: sometimes you just don't want to stay. Well, you don't 510 00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,200 Speaker 1: want to follow the rules all the time. I know it's, 511 00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:44,840 Speaker 1: you know, not the smart play long term, and this 512 00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,240 Speaker 1: probably isn't either, But I'm taking Arizona now. It's at 513 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 1: pick them. Arizona was favored earlier in the week. A 514 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 1: Tsunamia money came in on the Cowboys line comes back 515 00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: to pick. I get the better quarterback in Kyler Murray. Okay, 516 00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,040 Speaker 1: neither defense is good, but I think I get the 517 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 1: better coach in Cliff Sinsbury. And just a quick note 518 00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 1: on Kyler Murray. He's coming home to Texas. This is 519 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 1: a kid who won forty two straight games in high school. 520 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,640 Speaker 1: He is one of the best quarterbacks in the history 521 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,160 Speaker 1: of Texas high school football. He he knows the stadium well, 522 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 1: this is a big time player. The lights are bright. 523 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 1: I think Kyler Murray puts on a major show and 524 00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:22,159 Speaker 1: beats the Cowboys on the road. So I'm going with 525 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. Pick them and the Bills getting five 526 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,360 Speaker 1: as the best bets for Monday. We'll see you tomorrow.