WEBVTT - The State of the Cloud

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanavak. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. At the start of the year,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg reported on how the global cloud computing market is

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<v Speaker 1>expected to reach approximately when and a half trillion by

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<v Speaker 1>so growing at a compound annual growth rate of nearly

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<v Speaker 1>sixteen percent. This according to a study by grand View Research.

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<v Speaker 1>Really pleased to have with us this afternoon, Hillary Hunter,

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<v Speaker 1>Chief technology Officer at IBM Cloud. Hillary joins us via

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<v Speaker 1>zoom from New York City. This afternoon, Hillary, how are you.

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<v Speaker 1>I am great, Thanks for having me. Thanks so much

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<v Speaker 1>for joining us. Hey, before you get into the nitty

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<v Speaker 1>gritty of this report, that you guys did with Harris Poll,

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<v Speaker 1>which I think is really interesting. I want to get

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<v Speaker 1>an idea of the landscape right now because Caroline I

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<v Speaker 1>talk a lot about you know, cloud spending and tech spending,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering, is the volatility that companies are facing

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<v Speaker 1>higher input costs is that right now affecting their cloud spending. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I think it's driving a really important conversation

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<v Speaker 1>that relates to this pole we're going to talk about,

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<v Speaker 1>which is really looking for value stream generation out of

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<v Speaker 1>a cloud transformation. UM. Folks are looking because of the

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<v Speaker 1>factors you indicated to do something other than just stick

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<v Speaker 1>the website on a cloud or run the HR application

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<v Speaker 1>on the cloud. They're looking for where can cloud actually

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<v Speaker 1>help me address elasticity and grow my business faster and

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<v Speaker 1>save costs. And that has to do with moving more

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<v Speaker 1>substantive pieces of a business to the cloud. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting. I just want to kind of push a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit out on Hillary if I can um on

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<v Speaker 1>what tim ass because I think one of the things

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<v Speaker 1>we're trying to figure out where this economy, this global

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<v Speaker 1>economy goes next, is you know, technology spending so important

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<v Speaker 1>to companies because I have to, and also it's a

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<v Speaker 1>great way in terms of productivity gains. So are you

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<v Speaker 1>seeing though before we get a little bit deeper into

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<v Speaker 1>this report, are you guys seeing any slow down or

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<v Speaker 1>push back UM when it comes to companies and their

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<v Speaker 1>willingness to spend on anything and everything to do with

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<v Speaker 1>the cloud. Yeah. Actually, you know, we continue to see

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<v Speaker 1>strong glow growth and cloud consumption because it is that

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<v Speaker 1>part of transformation. It's a part of being able to

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<v Speaker 1>change a business reach more customers, and so actually, I

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<v Speaker 1>think in most cases it can actually be a solution

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<v Speaker 1>to those types of optimizations and cost savings that enterprises

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<v Speaker 1>are looking to find these days. So interesting, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>is it is it seen as like, is it seen

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<v Speaker 1>is essential rather than discretionary? Yeah? You know, you you

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<v Speaker 1>spend to keep the lights on, You spend to address,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, in a regulated industry what the regulators need

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<v Speaker 1>you to do, and you spend to continue to run

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<v Speaker 1>your business efficiently. UM find opportunities for automation and other

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<v Speaker 1>things like that, and so it really is critical to

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<v Speaker 1>continue to modernized it in order to be able to

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<v Speaker 1>address times like these. When it comes to security, though,

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<v Speaker 1>I think there is you know, as we've seen some

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<v Speaker 1>really massive security lapses UM globally over the last few years.

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<v Speaker 1>How much is being maybe pulled off the cloud and

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<v Speaker 1>rather keeping you know, being kept more close to home. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>what are you seeing between that mix of up in

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<v Speaker 1>the cloud versus you know, on home territory in your

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<v Speaker 1>own kind of hardware. Yeah, you know, it's it's such

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<v Speaker 1>an important question, and it's actually relates to this this

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<v Speaker 1>pool that we just put out this transformation in Ducks

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<v Speaker 1>because over of participants and respondents to this pool said

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<v Speaker 1>that hybrid cloud, which is actually a little bit different

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<v Speaker 1>than how you just maybe accidentally described cloud. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people think of cloud as this this place that

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<v Speaker 1>you have to move things to UM, and that can

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<v Speaker 1>sometimes be scary. We need to really seriously think about

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<v Speaker 1>the security, the compliance, the data privacy, data protection in

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<v Speaker 1>that place when you're moving things to a cloud. But

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<v Speaker 1>hybrid cloud technologies that we do now we we have

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<v Speaker 1>over four thousand customers with IDMS hybrid cloud approach. Hybrid

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<v Speaker 1>cloud enables you also to use the efficiency of cloud

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<v Speaker 1>and the deployment optimizations and even the operating model of

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<v Speaker 1>cloud on your own premises, so you don't have to

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<v Speaker 1>move the data in order to benefit from everything from

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<v Speaker 1>automation to AI technologies to the efficient development mechanisms that

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<v Speaker 1>cloud brings in place. And so hybrid cloud is now

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<v Speaker 1>increasingly being viewed as a solution to that that challenge

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<v Speaker 1>that you mentioned around data protection. So is it about

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<v Speaker 1>data protection or is more so than it is about

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<v Speaker 1>speed or latency? I mean, is it is it all

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<v Speaker 1>because of data protection? Yeah? You know, it's interesting. We

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<v Speaker 1>see also with public cloud UM that data protection is

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<v Speaker 1>an increasing topic. Even though you might say, oh, cloud

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<v Speaker 1>is about elasticity or optionality or global expansion. UM. The

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<v Speaker 1>data protection factor here is really important because every enterprise

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<v Speaker 1>has a responsibility to steward their data. You know, you

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<v Speaker 1>and I as as as consumer as UH as customers

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<v Speaker 1>of a bank or retail organization. We want our data protected.

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<v Speaker 1>And in many jurisdictions, UM organizations have an obligation legally

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<v Speaker 1>to protect their clients data, not just the reputation with

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<v Speaker 1>the clients, but also legal and from a regulatory perspective.

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<v Speaker 1>And when we look at this then in a cloud conversation,

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<v Speaker 1>it's important both to have hybrid cloud where you can

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<v Speaker 1>choose to continue to consume cloud technologies while the data

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<v Speaker 1>remains on premises as well as what we referred to

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<v Speaker 1>as industry clouds, where in the public cloud, like with

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<v Speaker 1>IBMS Cloud for financial services, you can have industry leading

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<v Speaker 1>data protection and data privacy policies even when deploying in

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<v Speaker 1>the public cloud. So then you really have optionality. You

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<v Speaker 1>can have cloud on premises or you can have it

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<v Speaker 1>safely in public cloud as well. Hey, you know, in

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<v Speaker 1>your role as chief Technology Officer at IBM, I do

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<v Speaker 1>under Hillary too. Though, Like kind of going back to

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<v Speaker 1>where we started a little bit of macro um what

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<v Speaker 1>kind of environment are you guys getting ready for them?

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<v Speaker 1>I know we talked a little bit about what you're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing from your customers, but it is kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>tricky time, uh. And you know, we see inflation continuing

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<v Speaker 1>to be persistent, Supply chains have gotten better, but we

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<v Speaker 1>still hear about component problems in various industries, worried about

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<v Speaker 1>a global economic slowdown. How would you best describe kind

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<v Speaker 1>of our environment? Yeah, you know, I think it's an

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<v Speaker 1>environment with a lot of opportunity. Like we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>at the beginning, UM cloud in technology, everything from you know,

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<v Speaker 1>AI technologies to business process automation to the elasticity of cloud.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, if you don't want to run a business anymore,

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<v Speaker 1>scale down on the consumption of the I t you

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<v Speaker 1>you didn't invest in it on your premises, you can

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<v Speaker 1>scale it down in the cloud. UM as well as

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<v Speaker 1>continuing also on premises to adopt, you know, faster, more

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<v Speaker 1>efficient technologies. All these things are key parts of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>addressing you know, where enterprises need to be thinking these days.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think we're just continuing to invest in those

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<v Speaker 1>those core technologies that are going to help folks UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, go through this this period that we have

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<v Speaker 1>coming up successfully. I'll also comment you mentioned supply chain UM.

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<v Speaker 1>The topic of risk in the supply chain also from

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<v Speaker 1>a cybersecurity perspective UM is one that definitely came up

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<v Speaker 1>in this this index that we just released UM, and

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's there's a lot of really important work

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<v Speaker 1>going on in that area as well. Hey, Hillary, before

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<v Speaker 1>we let you go, I mean, you know, we hear

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<v Speaker 1>from a lot of different companies about the cloud, about

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<v Speaker 1>the hybrid cloud. When a company is considering who to

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<v Speaker 1>go with, an IBM IS is one of those choices.

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<v Speaker 1>What are the competitive advantages that you offer, Like why

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<v Speaker 1>choose you rather than you know, another service provider. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you know this, This index that we just released of

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<v Speaker 1>over three thousand global leaders cited skills, cited security, and

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<v Speaker 1>cited compliance as three of the top areas for consideration.

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<v Speaker 1>And at IBM, that's really what we're trying to address.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a journey. It's a journey to get to the cloud.

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<v Speaker 1>Need to partner with someone who, like IBM Consulting, has

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<v Speaker 1>in house skills to both look at transformation, find those

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<v Speaker 1>high value applications and get you to the cloud. You

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<v Speaker 1>need to partner with someone who both in on premises UM,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, with with heritage environments as well as with

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<v Speaker 1>cloud environments, is focused on security and compliance and data protection.

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<v Speaker 1>And you need to partner with someone that knows your industry.

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<v Speaker 1>IBM has long been the I T provider to you know, banks,

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<v Speaker 1>insurance companies, Tauco's, you name it, healthcare, government UM and

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<v Speaker 1>so as we work at this next generation of I T,

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<v Speaker 1>we're also that partner. All right, good to check in

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<v Speaker 1>with you, and here about your report. We got around

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<v Speaker 1>Hillary Hunter, chief technology officer at IBM Cloud with us

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<v Speaker 1>via zoom from New York City. You're listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. So there's a story on the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Today about how climate change made Hurricane Ian's most

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<v Speaker 1>extreme rainfall about ten percent worse than would have been

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<v Speaker 1>without two centuries two centuries of greenhouse gas pollution. This

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<v Speaker 1>is according to a first take analysis of the storm

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<v Speaker 1>by two US climate researchers. Their rapid analysis, which they

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<v Speaker 1>shared on Twitter, looked only at rainfall and not other

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<v Speaker 1>critical climate metrics related to hurricanes, such as strength and toesifications,

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<v Speaker 1>sea level rise. But you know, we know that these

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<v Speaker 1>storms may be not more frequent, but their intensity has

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<v Speaker 1>definitely wrapped out because of climate change, and that's something

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<v Speaker 1>that we obviously need to think about. We've got somebody

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<v Speaker 1>with us who thinks about this stuff a lot, and

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Few is CEO of fuel Cell Energy. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>publicly traded company. Uh. He joins us this afternoon on

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<v Speaker 1>the phone from Danbury, Connecticut. Jason, how are you? I

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<v Speaker 1>am good, Thank you very much. How are you doing?

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<v Speaker 1>To him, We're doing pretty well. Um. Can you explain

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<v Speaker 1>how fuel cells work? Because I think a lot of people. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we understand batteries, we understand internal combustion, but

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<v Speaker 1>fuel cells it's something that I think is not necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>on all of our radar. It's certainly not on mine. Sure,

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<v Speaker 1>So I think if you think about it and its

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<v Speaker 1>most simple terms, and we just use batteries as an analogy, Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, batteries you put energy in and then you

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<v Speaker 1>drain it and then you need to recharge the battery.

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<v Speaker 1>The way you can think about a fuel cell is

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<v Speaker 1>that we use an input feedstock for the fuel cell,

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<v Speaker 1>and that allows the fuel cell to run and operate

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<v Speaker 1>on a continual basis, you know, seven days a week,

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<v Speaker 1>twenty four hours a day, without the need to recharge

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<v Speaker 1>the battery. And because it's a fuel cell, it actually

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<v Speaker 1>uses a chemical reaction to actually take a fuel and

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<v Speaker 1>air and effectively make hydrogen and then to use that

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<v Speaker 1>hydrogen to produce power. And so it works very different

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<v Speaker 1>than a traditional combustion engine that you know takes and

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<v Speaker 1>and basically combust the fuel. With a fuel cell, the

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<v Speaker 1>fuel is not combusted, so you don't produce things like

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<v Speaker 1>socks and knox and other particulars that play very heavily

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<v Speaker 1>on you know climate as well as air quality, what

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<v Speaker 1>are the byproducts that it does end up releasing that

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<v Speaker 1>it does produce, So it really depends on what is

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<v Speaker 1>the actual feedstock that you're using. So in a case

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<v Speaker 1>where you know, we're working to commercialize our solid oxide

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<v Speaker 1>fuel cell, and in that case, we could use hydrogen,

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<v Speaker 1>and that hydrogen could be made from all renewable energy sources.

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<v Speaker 1>So in that case, there are no byproducts that are

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<v Speaker 1>produced other than water, you know, from the hydrogen. The

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<v Speaker 1>second way we're if we're using a traditional fuel, let's

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<v Speaker 1>say a biofuel or renewable natural gas or even um

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<v Speaker 1>uh natural gas, then the byproduct is you do have

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<v Speaker 1>some carbon emissions. But if you're using biofuels are R

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<v Speaker 1>and G right, that's considered carbon neutral, and again there's

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<v Speaker 1>no combustion of the fuel uh. And then we also

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<v Speaker 1>have the ability to do things like carbon capture or

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<v Speaker 1>what we refer to as well as carbon separation to

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<v Speaker 1>significantly reduce or eliminate those carbon emissions. And when you

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<v Speaker 1>think about it in total, when you when you look

0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:54.200
<v Speaker 1>at fuel cells versus renewable energy sources, let's say like

0:11:54.240 --> 0:11:57.640
<v Speaker 1>wind and solar, because the fuel cells are more efficient

0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:01.240
<v Speaker 1>and they run twenty four by seven, and you think

0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:05.600
<v Speaker 1>about just overall avoided emissions because you know, you actually

0:12:05.720 --> 0:12:09.440
<v Speaker 1>end up with greater emission reductions with fuel cells in

0:12:09.480 --> 0:12:12.000
<v Speaker 1>most cases than you do when you're using renewable energy

0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.920
<v Speaker 1>because you may only be getting twenty to thirty percent

0:12:15.000 --> 0:12:18.040
<v Speaker 1>efficiency from those resources and then you need to get

0:12:18.080 --> 0:12:22.240
<v Speaker 1>power from somewhere else. So, you know, it's interesting we

0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:24.599
<v Speaker 1>all have a lot of conversations about what is ultimately

0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:28.559
<v Speaker 1>the solution um to climate change, and as we move

0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:33.079
<v Speaker 1>towards an alternative energy you know, uh, world if you will,

0:12:33.360 --> 0:12:36.520
<v Speaker 1>and hydrogen doesn't. It doesn't it feel like there's momentum

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 1>building um in general. But talk to us about some

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:41.960
<v Speaker 1>of the concerns when it comes to fuel cells, and

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 1>some of it is the cost, the durability, some of

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:48.760
<v Speaker 1>it is concerns about flammability. Feel so, what what is

0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:51.160
<v Speaker 1>it the thing, the nut that you feel like we

0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:56.079
<v Speaker 1>still have to crack before we get kind of mass adoption. Well,

0:12:56.120 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 1>that's a great question, and I feel cell Energy we

0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:03.160
<v Speaker 1>do two things as a company. We decarbonized power and

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.240
<v Speaker 1>we produce hydrogen. Those are the two things we do

0:13:06.760 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 1>with our platform technology. When you think about some of

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.640
<v Speaker 1>those concerns or areas that you raise. You know, we've

0:13:13.679 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 1>had commercial available products since two thousand and three, and

0:13:18.240 --> 0:13:21.000
<v Speaker 1>in fact, our first commercial fuel cell was sold actually

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 1>in Japan to the Cairn and Beer Company using biofuels,

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:29.160
<v Speaker 1>So you know, it just shows the fuel flexibility of

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.480
<v Speaker 1>the platform when it comes to hydrogen and some of

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.640
<v Speaker 1>the concerns that you know get raised around hydrogen. You know,

0:13:35.720 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 1>hydrogen is used widely, you know, around the world. You know,

0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:42.880
<v Speaker 1>ninety minute metric tons of year of hydrogen are used.

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:47.800
<v Speaker 1>There's some forecast that suggests that you know, of the

0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.520
<v Speaker 1>world's energy will ultimately come from hydrogen, if not greater

0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:54.600
<v Speaker 1>than that. We tend to think that hydrogen is going

0:13:54.600 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 1>to be an important part of the solution, the same

0:13:56.960 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 1>way we think carbon capture will be an important part

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.280
<v Speaker 1>of the solution to achieving the one and a half

0:14:02.360 --> 0:14:06.720
<v Speaker 1>degree scenario in terms of climate change itself. And and

0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.640
<v Speaker 1>from a safety standpoint, like I said, you know, hydrogen

0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:13.920
<v Speaker 1>widely used today, it's very safe and unlike a battery,

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>which contains everything that you need inside the battery to

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:21.280
<v Speaker 1>actually start a fire, that's not the case with hydrogen.

0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:25.520
<v Speaker 1>So it's actually quite today. So why isn't adopted more widespread?

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:29.960
<v Speaker 1>Why will it maybe only of energy um production in

0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 1>the years to come, Why not more Well, I think

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:36.520
<v Speaker 1>part of it is, UH, there's a cost question right

0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 1>in terms of this this desire to have green hydrogen.

0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:43.120
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that I'm really excited about is

0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.760
<v Speaker 1>the move not only in the United States, but I'm

0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm seeing in countries around the world and the conversations

0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:52.320
<v Speaker 1>we're having and in the conversation I actually just got

0:14:52.360 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 1>to participate in UH in Pittsburgh with Secretary Grant Home

0:14:57.720 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 1>and energy ministers from around the world at a CEO

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Hydrogen roundtable. The conversation is shifted from using colors to

0:15:06.240 --> 0:15:09.680
<v Speaker 1>really talk about carbon intensity, and I think that's one

0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:13.880
<v Speaker 1>big change that's going to help drive accelerated adoption. Another

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:17.160
<v Speaker 1>change or thing that's happening that's going to help drive

0:15:17.240 --> 0:15:20.080
<v Speaker 1>adoption is the work that you're seeing that's going to

0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 1>get done as a result of the i ra A

0:15:21.960 --> 0:15:25.080
<v Speaker 1>in the United States. You have similar legislation in markets

0:15:25.120 --> 0:15:28.840
<v Speaker 1>like Korea and Japan and across the EU. And we've

0:15:28.880 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>seen this movie play out before. We saw how incentives,

0:15:33.520 --> 0:15:37.400
<v Speaker 1>whether it's I T C production, tax credits, those kind

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 1>of things really help drive the cost curve down. We're

0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 1>gonna see that same thing happen with fuel cells and

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 1>with hydrogen as an effective way to get us to

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:52.080
<v Speaker 1>the cost that everyone's targeting, you know, which is you know,

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 1>as low as a dollar a telegram for hydrogen, and

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.240
<v Speaker 1>that's going to make it highly competitive. And I think

0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 1>as you look around the world to day and you're

0:16:01.080 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>seeing increased energy prices, those sparks spreads are narrowing. Uh

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 1>and and so I think you're going to see adoption

0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:11.800
<v Speaker 1>start to accelerate with hydrogen as one of the answers

0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 1>to solving this climate crisis we have today. From an

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 1>infrastructure perspective, when it comes to generating power, explained to

0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.480
<v Speaker 1>us how you take a facility and allow it to

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:27.200
<v Speaker 1>create power using hydrogen using fuel cells versus using fossil fuels. Yeah,

0:16:27.280 --> 0:16:31.960
<v Speaker 1>So when you think about um an input fuel, and

0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 1>you think about hydrogen, hydrogen just becomes the input fuel

0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 1>that we would be using with our solid oxide platform

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:43.280
<v Speaker 1>for instance, in which we would take that hydrogen and

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 1>we use that hydrogen as the feedstock to create electricity.

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>That hydrogen interacts with the fuel cell right, and and

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:55.640
<v Speaker 1>the chemistry that we use in this case of solid

0:16:55.680 --> 0:16:59.880
<v Speaker 1>oxide technology to produce that power. And if that hyd

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 1>ygen was produced by you know, a zero carbon source

0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:08.680
<v Speaker 1>of electricity. Let's say you're using electrolysis, so you're taking

0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:12.320
<v Speaker 1>electricity and water and you're converting at the hydrogen, then

0:17:12.359 --> 0:17:16.480
<v Speaker 1>you're using that hydrogen to produce power. That hydrogen has

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.680
<v Speaker 1>zero carbon intensity, then the power being produced from our

0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 1>platform is zero carbon. But we also have the ability

0:17:24.560 --> 0:17:28.240
<v Speaker 1>to use blended hydrogen and natural gas for example, which

0:17:28.280 --> 0:17:31.439
<v Speaker 1>even lowers you know, the carbon intensity of the fuel

0:17:31.600 --> 0:17:37.240
<v Speaker 1>in that case. But in all cases, whether it's hydrogen, renewval,

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>natural gas, or bio fuels, that serves as the input

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.720
<v Speaker 1>fuel that the fuel cell needs to then convert that

0:17:44.080 --> 0:17:47.679
<v Speaker 1>to power, whether it's for the grid or for a

0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 1>commercial industrial customer. Uh and delivering that power as a

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:57.720
<v Speaker 1>as a product. Hey, I'm curious, Jason um about the

0:17:57.720 --> 0:17:59.879
<v Speaker 1>business and the business outlook and the growth. And I

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:03.399
<v Speaker 1>know earlier this month you came out with your latest

0:18:03.440 --> 0:18:05.600
<v Speaker 1>update quarterly update. I think there was a wider than

0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>expected loss for the quarter, strongest quarterly revenue in five years. Um,

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>and you guys talked about an increase in marketing and

0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:16.320
<v Speaker 1>consulting costs because you had raised headcount for rebranding, accelerated

0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:20.199
<v Speaker 1>and accelerating your sales and commercialization efforts. Give us some

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 1>more color, if you will, in terms of the business

0:18:22.880 --> 0:18:27.480
<v Speaker 1>who's buying um You guys have you know customers, certainly

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:29.880
<v Speaker 1>in the energy space and the corporate space, But give

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:31.920
<v Speaker 1>us an idea of where the growth is coming from

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:36.280
<v Speaker 1>from your business. Sure, so are the customers that we

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 1>target largely cut across the utility sector where we're providing

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.960
<v Speaker 1>grid based power, and we might be providing that power

0:18:45.080 --> 0:18:49.159
<v Speaker 1>purely is just a power resource on the grid, or

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:52.600
<v Speaker 1>we might be providing that power and using the thermal

0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:55.160
<v Speaker 1>energy where we might be connected to a district heating

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:57.879
<v Speaker 1>system and we're providing that thermal energy in addition to

0:18:57.960 --> 0:19:01.360
<v Speaker 1>the power. Or we might be an in a microgrid

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:05.000
<v Speaker 1>configuration where we're providing power to the grid and in

0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the power outage, we go into what we refer to

0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:10.920
<v Speaker 1>as island mode and we provide power to a dedicate

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:15.720
<v Speaker 1>a set of resources, keeping those critical resources powered while

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:20.960
<v Speaker 1>the grid is down. We also serve commercial and industrial customers,

0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>and in many of those cases we're providing power to

0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:27.359
<v Speaker 1>those customers, and again we might be providing the thermal

0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>energy such that they're using steam from our platform in

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 1>their manufacturing process. Uh. And we also have the ability

0:19:36.520 --> 0:19:39.639
<v Speaker 1>to do things like provide carbon to those customers. So

0:19:39.640 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 1>when you think about carbonated beverage companies, are you think

0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:47.119
<v Speaker 1>about food processing where carbon is really important to not

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 1>only processing proteins, but then extending shelf life by keeping

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:56.520
<v Speaker 1>those proteins chilled. Uh. Those are always in which we

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:59.959
<v Speaker 1>leverage our platforms to deliver value to our customers. In addition,

0:20:00.080 --> 0:20:03.880
<v Speaker 1>the hydrogen and we're going to projects for Toyota today

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 1>we will deliver hydrogen to Toyota Power and water all

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:09.880
<v Speaker 1>from the same platform at the Port of Long Beach

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:13.879
<v Speaker 1>in California. Go go ahead. A very quick question. I

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:15.879
<v Speaker 1>just want to know about price increases, Jason. When it

0:20:15.920 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 1>comes to the commodities that you actually use, are you

0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:21.639
<v Speaker 1>seeing the prices come down at all? We were seeing

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:26.560
<v Speaker 1>different reactions to different commodities. So for example, if you

0:20:26.640 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 1>take nickel as a commodity, we've seen price decreases there.

0:20:30.480 --> 0:20:34.800
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing obviously price increases for natural gas. So as

0:20:34.840 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 1>we look across our supply chain. We've had a very

0:20:37.920 --> 0:20:42.639
<v Speaker 1>focused approach on managing those price increases to minimize the

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:45.600
<v Speaker 1>impacts for us in terms of pricing to our customers.

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:49.640
<v Speaker 1>But we are seeing some price improvements across the supply chain. Well.

0:20:49.800 --> 0:20:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Really great to check in with you and really appreciate

0:20:51.840 --> 0:20:54.760
<v Speaker 1>your time. Jason, take care of Jason fu chief executive

0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 1>officer at fuel Cell Energy. They are a one point

0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:00.639
<v Speaker 1>for a billion dollar market cap company and great to

0:21:00.640 --> 0:21:03.200
<v Speaker 1>have him join us from I believe their corporate offices

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:06.840
<v Speaker 1>in Connecticut. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol

0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:11.359
<v Speaker 1>Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio.

0:21:11.480 --> 0:21:13.359
<v Speaker 1>We talked about earlier how we buried the lead at

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:15.840
<v Speaker 1>the top of the show because Kim Kardashian it is

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 1>among the most red storaking news. We talked about with

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.920
<v Speaker 1>our TV colleagues recently about her one point three million

0:21:21.920 --> 0:21:25.520
<v Speaker 1>dollar SEC fine. Uh. We also know the chairman of

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:27.440
<v Speaker 1>the SEC weighed in on it earlier, but we'll get

0:21:27.440 --> 0:21:28.920
<v Speaker 1>to that in just a moment. The medtime, we want

0:21:28.920 --> 0:21:30.679
<v Speaker 1>to talk to our own Scarlet Food. She is a

0:21:30.680 --> 0:21:33.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business of Sports host. You also know her as

0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:35.840
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Quick Take correspondent. She's with us right now

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:40.720
<v Speaker 1>in the Bloomberg Interactive a broker's studio. Scar Uh, what

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 1>do we need to know about this fine? Because you know,

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 1>I hear one point three million dollars in the context

0:21:44.880 --> 0:21:47.639
<v Speaker 1>of any Kardashian and I think to myself, that's like

0:21:47.680 --> 0:21:51.160
<v Speaker 1>the change, That's like the change they find in the couch. Well, yes,

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:53.400
<v Speaker 1>and she also did not admit or deny any wrong,

0:21:53.440 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 1>but she paid, she did pay up, and she's cooperating

0:21:56.040 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 1>with the sec. What's significant here is that she got

0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:01.960
<v Speaker 1>paid two hundred fifth eight thousand dollars by theorym of

0:22:02.040 --> 0:22:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Max to tout emacs tokens, and so this fine is

0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 1>five times what she got paid. So it's significant in

0:22:08.640 --> 0:22:10.480
<v Speaker 1>that regard. We have a question for all of you,

0:22:10.720 --> 0:22:12.679
<v Speaker 1>both of your have you heard have you heard of

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:15.520
<v Speaker 1>this spoken before? Carol? You know I had neither. So

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:17.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking to myself, this was not money well spent

0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:21.240
<v Speaker 1>because we didn't even hear about this. That's a good point,

0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>and she posted this on Instagram to her many millions

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:27.600
<v Speaker 1>of followers. But what's interesting here is that's a big spack.

0:22:27.720 --> 0:22:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Go back to that you said she was paid two

0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:32.800
<v Speaker 1>dollars and she's now paying a fine at one point

0:22:32.840 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 1>there one point to six millions, so five times the

0:22:35.520 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>amount she got paid. But what's interesting when I talked

0:22:37.880 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 1>to Bloomberg Intelligence's senior policy analyst Nathan Dean about this

0:22:42.600 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 1>is the way that the SEC made this announcement, because

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:50.560
<v Speaker 1>they often will penalize someone or um accused someone of

0:22:50.840 --> 0:22:55.040
<v Speaker 1>touting something like a cryptocurrency and announces enforcement actions on

0:22:55.080 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 1>their Twitter feed. But they did this with a lot

0:22:57.720 --> 0:22:59.640
<v Speaker 1>of splash. They did it on a Monday morning before

0:22:59.640 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 1>the market opened. They had like a splash here than

0:23:02.200 --> 0:23:05.040
<v Speaker 1>usual Twitter post with a video on YouTube that went

0:23:05.080 --> 0:23:08.400
<v Speaker 1>along with it, explaining why investors need to be protected.

0:23:08.480 --> 0:23:11.440
<v Speaker 1>So they kind of went out of their way. Interesting, okay,

0:23:11.440 --> 0:23:14.240
<v Speaker 1>but there's a distinction here. I think that's important. This

0:23:14.440 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 1>was UM she was pushing a security or what. I

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:22.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know. I mean, it wasn't a lipliner or something exactly.

0:23:22.000 --> 0:23:23.679
<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, Caroline made that point on on

0:23:23.840 --> 0:23:26.200
<v Speaker 1>our simulcast earlier, and I think it's an important distinction,

0:23:26.280 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 1>right because she's not you know, we see, we see

0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:30.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. Depending on who you guys follow on Instagram.

0:23:30.920 --> 0:23:33.320
<v Speaker 1>But it's like anyone who has a following of like

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>twenty or thirty thousand or more can participate in these

0:23:36.359 --> 0:23:40.639
<v Speaker 1>programs where you know they're essentially being paid to post

0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.560
<v Speaker 1>something and at the end they say hashtag AD. Well

0:23:43.640 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 1>she did do hashtag AD, I believe, but she needed

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>to say that she was being paid for this promotion

0:23:48.640 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 1>and that's what was missing here. Gary Ganser is all

0:23:50.960 --> 0:23:54.400
<v Speaker 1>about transparency and disclosure, especially when it comes to crypto assets.

0:23:54.680 --> 0:23:57.400
<v Speaker 1>And you mentioned a good thing an important point which

0:23:57.440 --> 0:24:00.000
<v Speaker 1>is is it a security? Is it a not a security?

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:04.159
<v Speaker 1>Because bitcoin and ethereum ether sorry, are not securities. There

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:08.600
<v Speaker 1>are commodities, but these other digital assets, the SEC argues

0:24:08.720 --> 0:24:11.439
<v Speaker 1>our securities, which means it falls under the SEC's purview.

0:24:12.480 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>I know we're getting really technical, rain hurt, No, but

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:18.480
<v Speaker 1>it's interesting, especially when you start to get into you know,

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:22.920
<v Speaker 1>people will follow, you know, celebrities who are tatting certain

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.960
<v Speaker 1>financial investments, and you want to make sure the disclosures

0:24:26.000 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>are very, very and that's what Gary Gunstler is saying.

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:32.280
<v Speaker 1>They're doing by making sure that celebrity pitchmen and pitch

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:37.880
<v Speaker 1>women know that they are influencing Uh, investors, ordinary investors

0:24:37.880 --> 0:24:40.120
<v Speaker 1>who may not have all the information that others do.

0:24:40.160 --> 0:24:42.560
<v Speaker 1>The sophisticated investors, they need to make really clear. Hey,

0:24:42.560 --> 0:24:44.959
<v Speaker 1>by the way, I'm getting paid for this, so you know,

0:24:45.080 --> 0:24:48.040
<v Speaker 1>you move forward, be careful, and you know, move forward

0:24:48.040 --> 0:24:51.480
<v Speaker 1>with caution. Okay, another important distinction here. We're not talking

0:24:51.520 --> 0:24:53.800
<v Speaker 1>to Matt Damon. What was did he do? Crypto dot Com?

0:24:53.840 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 1>I don't remember which, Yeah, for an exchange Larry David

0:24:57.160 --> 0:24:59.560
<v Speaker 1>during the Super Bowl, you know, all these celebrities. That

0:24:59.640 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 1>wasn clearly different than then what the SEC alleges that

0:25:03.920 --> 0:25:07.240
<v Speaker 1>Kim Kardashian did. Yes, that was different because I mean,

0:25:07.320 --> 0:25:09.760
<v Speaker 1>I think we get really technical here, and I wouldn't

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 1>be surprised if lawsuits start popping up with all of this,

0:25:12.200 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>because we've already seen lawsuits with the SEC versus Ripple.

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 1>But what the SEC is alleging here is that all

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:20.320
<v Speaker 1>she needed to do was say that she was paid

0:25:20.560 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 1>to promote this, And I think if you look at

0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:24.679
<v Speaker 1>an ad with Matt Damon, it'll be clear that he

0:25:24.760 --> 0:25:28.679
<v Speaker 1>was paid to to promote something. So she, when she

0:25:28.720 --> 0:25:30.840
<v Speaker 1>posts on Instagram maybe made it look like, Hey, a

0:25:30.920 --> 0:25:32.919
<v Speaker 1>friend told me about this. I just want you to

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:36.600
<v Speaker 1>know right right, I feel like socialists a weird space.

0:25:36.760 --> 0:25:39.400
<v Speaker 1>It's very the lines are blurred, yes, and people play

0:25:39.480 --> 0:25:42.600
<v Speaker 1>on that exactly. And I am curious about the momentum

0:25:42.840 --> 0:25:45.560
<v Speaker 1>that this token god as a result, like we I

0:25:45.560 --> 0:25:47.159
<v Speaker 1>don't know if we know that or you know, yeah. No,

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:49.159
<v Speaker 1>it did get a bit of a pop after she

0:25:49.560 --> 0:25:52.240
<v Speaker 1>published her post, and then it continued to fall, So

0:25:52.440 --> 0:25:55.160
<v Speaker 1>it's it's not as if this was a sound investment,

0:25:55.200 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 1>if people were investing in it. So the big question

0:25:57.320 --> 0:25:59.240
<v Speaker 1>is what what does this mean moving forward for the

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:04.679
<v Speaker 1>SEC and for celebrities endorsing things right now? This was

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:08.199
<v Speaker 1>definitely a shot across about from the SEC from Gary Gunsler.

0:26:08.440 --> 0:26:11.600
<v Speaker 1>It was a sign that the SEC intends to crackdown

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>on crypto. And what Nathan Dean of b I told

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:17.040
<v Speaker 1>me is that, um, what Gary ginst are saying to

0:26:17.080 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 1>the crypto world is you need to come in and register.

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 1>You need to register as an exchange or a broker,

0:26:21.280 --> 0:26:23.480
<v Speaker 1>and then we can move forward. But the crypto world

0:26:23.520 --> 0:26:27.240
<v Speaker 1>is very resistant to doing that. They feel that today's

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:30.400
<v Speaker 1>regulations do not work for the crypto, which is decentralized

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin and ether commodities. That's a done deal. You know,

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 1>we're not securities either, so we shouldn't have to play

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:39.760
<v Speaker 1>by these rules. Um and in fact, we should be

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:43.520
<v Speaker 1>treated as commodities where enforcement is a different beast completely.

0:26:43.600 --> 0:26:46.400
<v Speaker 1>It's the wild, wild West, and we see regulators continue

0:26:46.400 --> 0:26:48.119
<v Speaker 1>to try and figure this out, right, and you just

0:26:48.160 --> 0:26:49.879
<v Speaker 1>want to make and it's a it's a mess because

0:26:49.920 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 1>you look all over the world and it's just as

0:26:51.840 --> 0:26:55.000
<v Speaker 1>patchworky as it is here. Kim Kay, I think she

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:57.120
<v Speaker 1>had a bad day because of this. No, I don't

0:26:57.200 --> 0:27:00.400
<v Speaker 1>think one point three million dollars matters at all. I mean,

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.080
<v Speaker 1>she her lawyer said that she's cooperating and they're doing

0:27:03.119 --> 0:27:07.280
<v Speaker 1>everything they can to move forward. Yeah. I'm not a lawyer, Yeah,

0:27:07.720 --> 0:27:09.919
<v Speaker 1>but I feel like we need to be when we

0:27:09.960 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 1>talk about this. No, I need to disclaim it that

0:27:12.080 --> 0:27:14.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a lawyer, and there's a responsibility to people,

0:27:14.800 --> 0:27:16.919
<v Speaker 1>especially when you talk about any kind of investment, right

0:27:17.000 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>or investment. I mean again, Matt Damon clear that he

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:22.600
<v Speaker 1>got paid right, Yeah, yeah, yeah, all right. I can't

0:27:22.600 --> 0:27:25.200
<v Speaker 1>talk enough about kim Ka scarlet food. Thank you so much,

0:27:25.200 --> 0:27:28.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business of Sports host on Blomberg Radio, Bloomberg Quick

0:27:28.080 --> 0:27:36.200
<v Speaker 1>Take correspondent and anchor here in our studio room a journal. Yeah,

0:27:36.280 --> 0:27:41.200
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive? No, no, no no, honey, please,

0:27:41.320 --> 0:27:47.800
<v Speaker 1>I'll do I want to drive. It's a good question.

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:56.800
<v Speaker 1>D This is the Drive to the Globe up on

0:27:57.040 --> 0:27:59.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. All right, we are counting down at the

0:27:59.680 --> 0:28:02.159
<v Speaker 1>clothes was on this Monday, the first trading day of

0:28:02.240 --> 0:28:06.440
<v Speaker 1>the fourth quarter, October two, and we've just got about

0:28:06.440 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>ten minutes left to today's trading session. So let's talk

0:28:09.040 --> 0:28:11.560
<v Speaker 1>about the markets. Let's get to our drive to the closed. Guest,

0:28:11.640 --> 0:28:13.920
<v Speaker 1>we've got Abbe Deshpondi with us, the founder and a

0:28:14.000 --> 0:28:17.239
<v Speaker 1>chief investment officer at center Stone Investors. Abbe joins us

0:28:17.240 --> 0:28:19.399
<v Speaker 1>once again on the phone from New York City. Abbey,

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:20.640
<v Speaker 1>it's been a while. It's good to have you back

0:28:20.640 --> 0:28:23.159
<v Speaker 1>with us. How are you. I'm doing great, Thanks for

0:28:23.200 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 1>having me good? Is um? Are we out of the woods?

0:28:25.960 --> 0:28:29.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, today's trade certainly seems to think that. Uh yeah,

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.760
<v Speaker 1>investors are pretty happy today. Yeah, we're picking above the

0:28:32.800 --> 0:28:34.719
<v Speaker 1>trees today. Um. But if you know, if we kind

0:28:34.720 --> 0:28:39.239
<v Speaker 1>of look back at the starting conditions for two, you had, um,

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:44.240
<v Speaker 1>the was you know, more overvalued versus its intrinsic value.

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:47.800
<v Speaker 1>Since before the global financial crisis, you had fundamentals kind

0:28:47.840 --> 0:28:51.120
<v Speaker 1>of weakening, and you had the catalyst, which you know,

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:53.120
<v Speaker 1>for many years now it has just been monetary policy

0:28:53.320 --> 0:28:55.880
<v Speaker 1>working against the market and continuing to do so. Right now,

0:28:56.640 --> 0:29:00.480
<v Speaker 1>with a decline that we've had, valuations obviously that it

0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 1>looks better, but the fundamentals are still deteriorating, and despite

0:29:04.720 --> 0:29:10.200
<v Speaker 1>the um optimism from today's economic reports, the monetary policy

0:29:10.280 --> 0:29:14.840
<v Speaker 1>is likely not to change anytime soon. So I don't know,

0:29:14.920 --> 0:29:19.560
<v Speaker 1>I'd say we're still in the woods. Well, especially if

0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 1>you listen to and believe kind of the consensus that

0:29:22.240 --> 0:29:26.440
<v Speaker 1>we are hearing, you know, from FED policymakers, despite maybe

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:30.800
<v Speaker 1>similarly signs of something like your vice chairman, little Brian Brainard,

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:33.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, watching kind of some of the broader impacts

0:29:33.840 --> 0:29:36.840
<v Speaker 1>maybe of the tightening that we're getting here in the

0:29:36.920 --> 0:29:42.160
<v Speaker 1>United States, but in general, everybody is saying, right that, okay,

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna get high rates, We're gonna get igh rates.

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:47.040
<v Speaker 1>It's all we're hearing. And at that point that's really

0:29:47.200 --> 0:29:52.480
<v Speaker 1>truly what the market has to be understanding, Yeah, higher rates,

0:29:52.520 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 1>and of course you know, no one really knows. I

0:29:54.800 --> 0:29:57.120
<v Speaker 1>mean a little over a year ago that we thought

0:29:57.200 --> 0:29:59.000
<v Speaker 1>that interest rates going to stay We're gonna stay low

0:29:59.080 --> 0:30:03.160
<v Speaker 1>for you know, an extended period of time. Um. And

0:30:03.440 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 1>so the next big question mark is one, does inflation

0:30:06.040 --> 0:30:07.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, get to a point where the Fed can

0:30:07.800 --> 0:30:10.640
<v Speaker 1>stop raising rates or even reverse And that's you know,

0:30:10.840 --> 0:30:13.240
<v Speaker 1>just doesn't look like that happen anytime. I mean, inflation

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.560
<v Speaker 1>did peak according to the PC number that the Fed

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 1>looks like inflation peaked in February and the core rate.

0:30:21.440 --> 0:30:24.400
<v Speaker 1>So I mean, one could argue that you know you're

0:30:24.680 --> 0:30:28.080
<v Speaker 1>you're having that disinflation. Um. The big question mark is, well,

0:30:28.160 --> 0:30:31.520
<v Speaker 1>words it go. And so the stickiness of rents and

0:30:31.640 --> 0:30:36.200
<v Speaker 1>some of these underlying kind of you know, uh inflation

0:30:36.280 --> 0:30:39.960
<v Speaker 1>factors that don't really move that much, UM, suggests that

0:30:40.120 --> 0:30:42.360
<v Speaker 1>you know you're going to have a pretty you know,

0:30:42.400 --> 0:30:45.280
<v Speaker 1>an interest rate policy. It's gonna be fairly restrictive for

0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:48.360
<v Speaker 1>for you know, at least another six months. But that's

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.479
<v Speaker 1>just my guess. No one, like I said, no one

0:30:50.560 --> 0:30:54.600
<v Speaker 1>really knows. Hey, Listen, we've often talked small cap space

0:30:54.920 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 1>with you. UM. I was looking at the Russell two

0:30:57.440 --> 0:31:01.560
<v Speaker 1>thousand and it is down about from that high back

0:31:01.600 --> 0:31:05.680
<v Speaker 1>in November eight or Gina Martin Adams talking a little

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 1>bit about UM maybe some more downside, I believe she said,

0:31:08.840 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>for that space in particular, how do you see the

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 1>small caps which are so closely, of course tied the

0:31:14.000 --> 0:31:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Russell two thousand, tied to the US domestic economy. Yeah,

0:31:17.480 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 1>it's tied to domestic economy. It tends to be a

0:31:19.200 --> 0:31:21.040
<v Speaker 1>little bit more cyclical. There's more banks. There's a lot

0:31:21.040 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>of banks in there, UM and financials. So really I

0:31:24.960 --> 0:31:29.479
<v Speaker 1>think that um it will continue to you know, soften.

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:32.360
<v Speaker 1>I guess the indexes. I don't expect any a huge

0:31:32.480 --> 0:31:35.560
<v Speaker 1>run up until the US market kind of you know,

0:31:35.640 --> 0:31:39.440
<v Speaker 1>show some signs of stabilization or contradicts the worst case

0:31:39.480 --> 0:31:42.680
<v Speaker 1>scenarios that people are trying to or seeming to factor

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:45.600
<v Speaker 1>in now. And that's that's the good news, which is

0:31:45.680 --> 0:31:49.760
<v Speaker 1>that as you know, recessions their markets, it's it's just

0:31:49.840 --> 0:31:53.640
<v Speaker 1>part of the landscape. They happen frequently, and you know,

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:56.920
<v Speaker 1>we survived and we get through it. The big um,

0:31:57.520 --> 0:31:59.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, the big event that we don't want to

0:31:59.720 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>see is a financial crisis. UM. And right now the

0:32:02.680 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 1>banking system is in very good shape in the United States. UM.

0:32:06.960 --> 0:32:11.280
<v Speaker 1>You have loan loss provisions are an excessive loan losses

0:32:11.360 --> 0:32:14.160
<v Speaker 1>and people and here and you in your end in Europe,

0:32:15.040 --> 0:32:19.400
<v Speaker 1>the banking you know, I guess executives are taking some

0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:22.400
<v Speaker 1>precautions now so that there's not such volatility in their

0:32:23.360 --> 0:32:28.920
<v Speaker 1>and their earnings UM and their capital positions. So the fundamentals,

0:32:28.960 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 1>as far as um, the groundwork for a new bull

0:32:32.640 --> 0:32:35.040
<v Speaker 1>market are there, you just don't have I don't think

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:36.960
<v Speaker 1>the valuations are quite there yet. And he's certainly don't

0:32:36.960 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 1>know the catalyst yet. But I don't see. I don't

0:32:39.800 --> 0:32:42.160
<v Speaker 1>see you know, a huge collapse or a calamity or

0:32:42.160 --> 0:32:44.240
<v Speaker 1>anything like that. Like I said, this to me, just

0:32:44.320 --> 0:32:48.000
<v Speaker 1>looks well, partly it's just a um, you know, we're

0:32:48.040 --> 0:32:51.400
<v Speaker 1>still in the after shocks of the COVID responses, and

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:55.120
<v Speaker 1>beyond that it looks sort of running the mill to me. Interesting.

0:32:55.240 --> 0:32:57.000
<v Speaker 1>So so the people who say this time is different,

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:01.719
<v Speaker 1>you say it's not. Well, it's always different that I mean,

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:04.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, this time is very different because we have

0:33:04.960 --> 0:33:08.080
<v Speaker 1>so many of these external factors that are not related

0:33:08.120 --> 0:33:10.760
<v Speaker 1>to you know, just a normal economic cycle, right, I mean,

0:33:11.000 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 1>the feder Reserve at this point, they're just they're correcting

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:17.360
<v Speaker 1>for the previous corrections, you know, pilot induced oscillation, and

0:33:17.440 --> 0:33:22.240
<v Speaker 1>that that can create its own unintended consequences, like it

0:33:22.360 --> 0:33:26.240
<v Speaker 1>has inflation, for instance. But um, you know, the economy,

0:33:26.360 --> 0:33:30.080
<v Speaker 1>it's a dynamic organism and it's adaptable and it will

0:33:30.320 --> 0:33:33.440
<v Speaker 1>adapt to whatever the conditions are and it'll it'll go

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:37.920
<v Speaker 1>beyond that, but it takes time. But you said, fundamentals

0:33:37.960 --> 0:33:39.640
<v Speaker 1>are there for a new bowl market, we just don't

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 1>have the catalyst. And what else, don't we have evaluation?

0:33:43.240 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 1>You know? No, In other words, you don't have the

0:33:45.480 --> 0:33:49.200
<v Speaker 1>situation where like financial crisis, where you have massive amounts

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:52.680
<v Speaker 1>of you know, leverage, you don't have. Corporations aren't massively leverage.

0:33:52.720 --> 0:33:54.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there are leverage, of course from all the

0:33:54.400 --> 0:33:56.840
<v Speaker 1>buy backs, but not to not to a point where

0:33:56.880 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 1>they're at major risk. They've distributed their maturities across times,

0:34:01.720 --> 0:34:04.320
<v Speaker 1>so there's not a you know, it's even though interest

0:34:04.400 --> 0:34:05.960
<v Speaker 1>rates are up right now, it's not going to kill

0:34:06.560 --> 0:34:09.520
<v Speaker 1>us corporations. And there's certainly going to be some you know,

0:34:09.600 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 1>some roadkill, but um, not the entire economy. So the

0:34:14.719 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, the basics are there, and of course you

0:34:16.680 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 1>still have fairly strong um if you look at the

0:34:19.480 --> 0:34:22.560
<v Speaker 1>industrial sector pretty I mean pretty record, pretty close to

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:25.880
<v Speaker 1>record backlogs and orders. But even if there is a

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:30.640
<v Speaker 1>reduction in economic growth, there's there's a year at least

0:34:30.719 --> 0:34:32.400
<v Speaker 1>of orders that they have to work through just to

0:34:32.440 --> 0:34:35.960
<v Speaker 1>get back to UM like a normal supply demand. You

0:34:36.120 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 1>look at cars with at airplanes and the boats, like

0:34:38.000 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 1>the high ticket items. Um, you know, So that that's

0:34:41.160 --> 0:34:42.719
<v Speaker 1>what I mean by the fund amount was like, I

0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:46.840
<v Speaker 1>don't see over supply of something. I don't you know,

0:34:47.600 --> 0:34:50.320
<v Speaker 1>if anything, you just saw too much demand too quickly,

0:34:50.960 --> 0:34:53.040
<v Speaker 1>and that's what needs to get UM pulled back a

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:54.800
<v Speaker 1>little bit. And that's what's happening. So that to me

0:34:54.920 --> 0:34:57.160
<v Speaker 1>just looks like an EBB and flow. Um. You know. Granted,

0:34:57.320 --> 0:34:59.000
<v Speaker 1>the pod reserve can all the screw things up they

0:34:59.360 --> 0:35:02.600
<v Speaker 1>have in the past, right, but yeah, um, but I

0:35:02.680 --> 0:35:04.560
<v Speaker 1>think there's a way to go for that still. Just

0:35:04.560 --> 0:35:06.000
<v Speaker 1>in the last twenty seconds that we have with you,

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:07.960
<v Speaker 1>can you give us a pick a place where you

0:35:08.080 --> 0:35:11.719
<v Speaker 1>have invested during this tumultuous time. You know, um, we

0:35:11.800 --> 0:35:13.719
<v Speaker 1>continue to move off shore as much as the US,

0:35:13.840 --> 0:35:17.560
<v Speaker 1>the fun evaluations aren't there. The non US markets, Europe,

0:35:17.680 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, Asia, the valuations they are approaching another decliner,

0:35:22.719 --> 0:35:25.800
<v Speaker 1>so which is you know, it wouldn't be totally surprising

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:29.480
<v Speaker 1>would put those markets that close to nineteen seventies valuations.

0:35:29.760 --> 0:35:31.399
<v Speaker 1>You know you're getting through, if you can look through

0:35:31.520 --> 0:35:34.000
<v Speaker 1>the next six months and the kind of volatility, you're

0:35:34.000 --> 0:35:35.600
<v Speaker 1>getting to a point where you're able to price in

0:35:36.120 --> 0:35:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and capture long term double digit returns between the stock

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:44.640
<v Speaker 1>prices and currency. All Right, we've got to run forgive us, um,

0:35:44.760 --> 0:35:46.880
<v Speaker 1>but good to check in with you as Bonde, founder

0:35:46.920 --> 0:35:49.600
<v Speaker 1>and chief investment officer of Centerstone Investors joining us on

0:35:49.680 --> 0:35:52.719
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City. Thanks for listening to

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:56.320
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or

0:35:56.400 --> 0:35:58.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, and you can also listen to our

0:35:58.640 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>radio show at two pm East in on Bloomberg Radio,

0:36:01.160 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 1>or watch us on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. H