1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,240
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast Podall all right,

2
00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:07,080
Speaker 1: here we go.

3
00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,120
Speaker 2: Every Pitch is Your Pitch, The greatest show on Dirk.

4
00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:20,160
Speaker 1: O t Way, that God.

5
00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:23,119
Speaker 2: Show.

6
00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:31,320
Speaker 1: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

7
00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:36,440
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I'm your host,

8
00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,040
Speaker 1: Mike Calabaries, and today is an exciting day in the

9
00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,919
Speaker 1: BBOC universe. With march madness for Firmly in the rearview

10
00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:45,720
Speaker 1: Mirror and the transferred portal cooling off posts in both

11
00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:49,159
Speaker 1: in college basketball and in college football, we officially can

12
00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,760
Speaker 1: begin our weekly episodes covering college baseball. And I'm not

13
00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:54,800
Speaker 1: doing it on my own. We're bringing in the best

14
00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,720
Speaker 1: handicapper in college baseball. That's Colin Wilson. Colin, how you doing, brother?

15
00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,120
Speaker 3: I have never been more excited to be back on

16
00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,800
Speaker 3: doing this show because college baseball has been a serious

17
00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,200
Speaker 3: passion of mine well before I started handicapping sports. It

18
00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:12,320
Speaker 3: is regional based, it is the team that I graduated from.

19
00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,840
Speaker 3: It is a childhood thing, and it just so happens

20
00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:16,720
Speaker 3: that the team that I support happens to always be

21
00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,120
Speaker 3: top three in the world. This is a growing sport

22
00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:20,680
Speaker 3: that's been helped out by nil.

23
00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:21,920
Speaker 2: I know, we talk about.

24
00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:25,119
Speaker 3: College basketball, we talk about college football. Think about what's

25
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,319
Speaker 3: going on with Nico right now. It's kind of the

26
00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:31,559
Speaker 3: exact opposite in college baseball. Right in college baseball, we're

27
00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:34,400
Speaker 3: buying kids to not go to single A, double A,

28
00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,600
Speaker 3: and we are having them come to the universities, live

29
00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:41,240
Speaker 3: in a plush campus with plush facilities, pay them well,

30
00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:44,040
Speaker 3: and then they go into the MLB Draft. This sport

31
00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,440
Speaker 3: is growing, the talent is getting better, and we're probably

32
00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:50,560
Speaker 3: ten years away from this being just as important as

33
00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:51,680
Speaker 3: our other two big sports.

34
00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,120
Speaker 1: You mentioned it as a regional sport, and we talked

35
00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:56,919
Speaker 1: before we hopped on air. This reminds me kind of

36
00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,400
Speaker 1: of an inflection point that college football went through in

37
00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,200
Speaker 1: the late eighties in early nineties, right about the time

38
00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,200
Speaker 1: when College Game Day launched. It was a regional sport

39
00:02:05,240 --> 00:02:07,640
Speaker 1: that was playing little brother to the NFL on a

40
00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:10,079
Speaker 1: national stage. But if you went down south, people were

41
00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,760
Speaker 1: living and dying with college football in the seventies, eighties,

42
00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,120
Speaker 1: early nineties, that was absolutely something that they cared about

43
00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,239
Speaker 1: all year round. It was football season, spring football season,

44
00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:21,959
Speaker 1: talking about the coaching movements, talking about what it would

45
00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:24,240
Speaker 1: take to beat their rivals, and then you had an

46
00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,640
Speaker 1: opportunity every single year to bring a national event like

47
00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:30,200
Speaker 1: New Year's Day in college football, being able to showcase

48
00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,800
Speaker 1: the Rose Bowl, where even people who were casual fans

49
00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:34,720
Speaker 1: got to look in at the sport and say, this

50
00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,080
Speaker 1: is really cool. There's some mystique to this. I feel

51
00:02:37,120 --> 00:02:40,040
Speaker 1: like college baseball is similar in terms of getting casual

52
00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:42,960
Speaker 1: fans either to see the College World Series in Omaha

53
00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,359
Speaker 1: on television or to get them there in person. It's

54
00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 1: very easy to make them convert to understanding what makes

55
00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:52,000
Speaker 1: the sports so special? Do you agree with that comparison?

56
00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:54,600
Speaker 1: And in terms of betting on the sport, what makes

57
00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:57,720
Speaker 1: it so special compared to everything else you cover throughout

58
00:02:57,720 --> 00:02:58,399
Speaker 1: the calendar year.

59
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll start with the first one, drawing in the

60
00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,480
Speaker 3: average fan. All you have to do is go to

61
00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,680
Speaker 3: the top of my Twitter account. What I have penned

62
00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:08,680
Speaker 3: is just taking a live microphone out to the streets

63
00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,160
Speaker 3: of Omaha in between I was going to call it

64
00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,240
Speaker 3: TDA rror trade, but in between the stadium and in

65
00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,080
Speaker 3: between rocos where the jello shots are happening. You have

66
00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,960
Speaker 3: eight college fan bases that love football and basketball, and

67
00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:25,000
Speaker 3: they're just discovering the sport and they're wild about it.

68
00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:27,480
Speaker 3: People are now making trips to Omaha when it's not

69
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,720
Speaker 3: even their team. It has become such a special place

70
00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:33,600
Speaker 3: that we're going to try and treat like our Bowl games,

71
00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:36,119
Speaker 3: like our playoff games. And I think one of the things,

72
00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,600
Speaker 3: you know, talking about the quality of the sport going up,

73
00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,320
Speaker 3: you know, it's just that it's a huge party atmosphere.

74
00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,640
Speaker 3: It's kind of like the Sugar Bowl on steroids, and

75
00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:46,920
Speaker 3: it lasts for ten days, which is why Omaha is

76
00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:50,600
Speaker 3: so important. The format is very unique and sometimes it

77
00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,600
Speaker 3: confuses people and it's you know, it's really easy to

78
00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,000
Speaker 3: figure out it's regionals than super regional format. We will

79
00:03:57,000 --> 00:03:59,120
Speaker 3: be here to walk you through all of that. But

80
00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:04,360
Speaker 3: this is so unique because of it's not MLB from

81
00:04:04,400 --> 00:04:07,400
Speaker 3: a fielding percentage, I mean, double plays are not a

82
00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,120
Speaker 3: gimme at all. If you think umpires are bad in MLB,

83
00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:12,640
Speaker 3: come visit me down here in the NCAAA. I mean,

84
00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:15,120
Speaker 3: there are so many things that are loose compared to

85
00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,719
Speaker 3: the MLB product. It is not polished and it is

86
00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:19,159
Speaker 3: a blast to bet on.

87
00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting. I immediately get taken to that meme

88
00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:24,919
Speaker 1: from Oppenheimer where it's like, these two things are worse,

89
00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,120
Speaker 1: but they work. It's paradoxical somehow. The product in terms

90
00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,800
Speaker 1: of fielding, in terms of bullpen, you have games with

91
00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:33,880
Speaker 1: huge meltdowns. You have games where teams are scoring fifteen

92
00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,800
Speaker 1: and sixteen runs, and you would argue, oh, that seems

93
00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,440
Speaker 1: to be a watered down version of Major League Baseball.

94
00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:42,240
Speaker 1: It absolutely is more fun and certainly from a live

95
00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:45,839
Speaker 1: betting perspective, when you understand what some of these lineups

96
00:04:45,839 --> 00:04:48,120
Speaker 1: bring to the table, going down five and six runs,

97
00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,279
Speaker 1: those games aren't. Over all they're doing is opening up

98
00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:53,160
Speaker 1: an opportunity to hammer a live number and to triple

99
00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,080
Speaker 1: and quadruple your money in a single bet. You brought

100
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:58,560
Speaker 1: up the fact that there's a little bit of confusion

101
00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:00,839
Speaker 1: in terms of regional super Regional. Let me walk the

102
00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,839
Speaker 1: audience through what the comparison is to March Madness. So

103
00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,000
Speaker 1: just like March Maddness on the college hardwood, we have

104
00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:10,240
Speaker 1: Selection Sunday, which is coming on May twenty six this year,

105
00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:14,360
Speaker 1: the selection show for the twenty twenty five NCAA Baseball tournament.

106
00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:16,440
Speaker 1: That's when they set the entire stage and then we

107
00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:19,240
Speaker 1: go into regionals and Regionals essentially are the round of

108
00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,760
Speaker 1: sixty four, the round to thirty two. They're played between

109
00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,920
Speaker 1: May thirtieth and June and second. Then we get into

110
00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,039
Speaker 1: Super Regionals and just think of those as the Sweet sixteen,

111
00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,560
Speaker 1: June sixth, the June ninth. The teams that punch their

112
00:05:29,560 --> 00:05:32,240
Speaker 1: ticket there get to go to Omaha. That's the Elite eight,

113
00:05:32,360 --> 00:05:34,359
Speaker 1: the eight teams that make it in. They wouldle it

114
00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,799
Speaker 1: down to two and then they play a championship final

115
00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,839
Speaker 1: between June twenty first and June twenty third, if needed

116
00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:42,159
Speaker 1: to go to that third game. Anything I'm missing in

117
00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:44,920
Speaker 1: terms of table setting their column because.

118
00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,240
Speaker 3: I think you set it up perfectly. It feeds right

119
00:05:47,279 --> 00:05:50,640
Speaker 3: into what happens into Omaha. Because it can seem confusing,

120
00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,160
Speaker 3: but just remember eight teams go. They're broken up into

121
00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,000
Speaker 3: two different brackets by four. They play a regional format,

122
00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,360
Speaker 3: and then they play Super Regional format to crown the winner.

123
00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,919
Speaker 3: So the dates are I tell you what, Omaha is

124
00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,000
Speaker 3: a beautiful place, especially when you have three day rain

125
00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:07,640
Speaker 3: delays and you can just sit in Rockers all day

126
00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:09,880
Speaker 3: and have jellow shots and pizza. But I think that

127
00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:12,000
Speaker 3: lays it out pretty perfectly that if you love Regionals

128
00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:12,680
Speaker 3: and super Regionals.

129
00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:14,520
Speaker 2: It's the same thing that's happening at the Big Boy

130
00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:15,479
Speaker 2: up at Omaha.

131
00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:17,680
Speaker 1: All right, this is the fun part. Now we get

132
00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:19,880
Speaker 1: to get into a quick game of pepper. We're going

133
00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:22,400
Speaker 1: to talk high level about the sport, some of the

134
00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:24,479
Speaker 1: players that we should know, some of the teams, the

135
00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:27,240
Speaker 1: opportunity to grab some of these lucrative futures. And I

136
00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,440
Speaker 1: keep hammering this. I talk about it on Twitter, I

137
00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:31,279
Speaker 1: write up for Action Network in the New York Post,

138
00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,279
Speaker 1: trying to grab some of these future numbers on teams

139
00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,000
Speaker 1: that are between ten and twenty to one. Unlike college

140
00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,920
Speaker 1: basketball and college football in recent year years, there's been

141
00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:42,719
Speaker 1: a lot of very chalky champions. Not the case in

142
00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:45,720
Speaker 1: college baseball. You can grab a double digit champion, even

143
00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,240
Speaker 1: this late in the season. There's still time to build

144
00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,080
Speaker 1: that portfolio.

145
00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:50,320
Speaker 2: To that end.

146
00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:52,679
Speaker 1: Let's get into a tweet that I saw from Matt

147
00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:56,320
Speaker 1: Grisham from NCAA Insiders, one of the top minds in

148
00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:59,240
Speaker 1: terms of college baseball online. He threw this out there.

149
00:06:59,320 --> 00:07:02,360
Speaker 1: Over the past seven years, the eventual College World Series

150
00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,080
Speaker 1: champion has met the following criteria. They were top ten

151
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:07,880
Speaker 1: in the preseason, their road record was above five hundred,

152
00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,320
Speaker 1: they were top twenty in Team Sierra, their team WRC

153
00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,640
Speaker 1: plus was over one hundred and twenty five, and then

154
00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,240
Speaker 1: finally their strength of schedule was top twenty five. Only

155
00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:19,960
Speaker 1: one team currently meets all those criteria. Do you know

156
00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:20,680
Speaker 1: what that team is?

157
00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:25,880
Speaker 3: Well, knowing Matt and the fact that him and I live,

158
00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:29,560
Speaker 3: I think believe within ten miles of each other, I'm

159
00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,040
Speaker 3: going to go take a stab at the fact that

160
00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,840
Speaker 3: he's talking about the Arkansas Razorbacks, but I will guarantee

161
00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:35,520
Speaker 3: you it's an SEC team.

162
00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:35,880
Speaker 1: Ding Ding Ding.

163
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,400
Speaker 2: That is correct. Woo pick silly.

164
00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:40,600
Speaker 1: Talk to me about the Hogs before we jump in

165
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 1: to the rest of the national landscape in terms of

166
00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,320
Speaker 1: top teams that potentially could win in Omaha.

167
00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,640
Speaker 3: I think when you hear me and Stucky talk on

168
00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:52,560
Speaker 3: college football, you hear me be contrariant about the Arkansas Razorbacks.

169
00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:56,160
Speaker 3: You hear me poke holes. It's a completely different story

170
00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:58,840
Speaker 3: with this Razorback baseball team. There were holes in it

171
00:07:58,920 --> 00:08:01,920
Speaker 3: last year that I easily. There's no power, there's no

172
00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:03,720
Speaker 3: you know, there's no ability to get on base. We're

173
00:08:03,760 --> 00:08:05,800
Speaker 3: averaging six point eight runs per game. That's just not

174
00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,520
Speaker 3: going to get it done. Things have completely changed for

175
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,720
Speaker 3: the Arkansas Razorbacks. They have beefed up the sticks. They

176
00:08:11,720 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 3: are now top five and home runs per nine. The

177
00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:17,000
Speaker 3: pitching has always been quality. The pitching has been the

178
00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:19,720
Speaker 3: reason they always make it to Omaha or they're always

179
00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:22,040
Speaker 3: at least hosting a super regional. We're going to talk

180
00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,800
Speaker 3: about one of those pitchers coming up. But it seems

181
00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,800
Speaker 3: from a statistical point of view and everything you just

182
00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:31,280
Speaker 3: laid out, this is the team. They can get to

183
00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:36,000
Speaker 3: Omaha and be one strike away from winning the national

184
00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:38,920
Speaker 3: title game like they were in twenty eighteen before a

185
00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,000
Speaker 3: ball dropped and the triangle of fielders in Oregon State

186
00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:43,480
Speaker 3: took the national title.

187
00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:44,960
Speaker 2: This team is that good.

188
00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,560
Speaker 3: I think I screamed as much as I could on

189
00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,760
Speaker 3: Twitter the last month and a half that Arkansas at

190
00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:53,839
Speaker 3: nine to one and Tennessee being plus you know, four

191
00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:57,240
Speaker 3: to one plus four fifty. The gap is not that big,

192
00:08:57,960 --> 00:09:00,520
Speaker 3: and now in the odds market you've seen them closer.

193
00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,640
Speaker 3: Is there value on Arkansas right now? No, but there

194
00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,679
Speaker 3: are some big series coming up and we may get

195
00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:07,240
Speaker 3: better than five to one. And if you don't have

196
00:09:07,240 --> 00:09:10,080
Speaker 3: a razorc ticket in your back pocket, you best believe

197
00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:12,800
Speaker 3: they're hosting a super You best believe it's time for

198
00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:13,679
Speaker 3: them to go back to Omaha.

199
00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:17,120
Speaker 1: He talked about the defending National Champions of Tennessee Volunteers

200
00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:20,720
Speaker 1: plus four fifty out in the market. No value there

201
00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,160
Speaker 1: or is there different ways that you potentially play them

202
00:09:23,200 --> 00:09:25,000
Speaker 1: down the stretch. I also want to bring up the

203
00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:27,760
Speaker 1: fact that at this point in the season, some of

204
00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:30,640
Speaker 1: these series mean more to the teams trying to make

205
00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:33,640
Speaker 1: the tournament, trying to better position themselves where some of

206
00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:36,280
Speaker 1: the top dogs. I wouldn't say that they coast at

207
00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:38,160
Speaker 1: the end of the year before they get into the

208
00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:40,840
Speaker 1: you know their regional and super regional. But is that

209
00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,280
Speaker 1: something to consider when you're thinking, you know, betting on

210
00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:45,760
Speaker 1: a series by series and when to potentially grab a

211
00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:47,880
Speaker 1: team from a future's perspective.

212
00:09:47,760 --> 00:09:50,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, so everybody should know the futures market that I

213
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,760
Speaker 3: like to post and the ranking of the futures, the

214
00:09:54,040 --> 00:09:56,280
Speaker 3: little graphic I like to put out early in the week.

215
00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:57,920
Speaker 3: It's not so much that I think that these teams

216
00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,240
Speaker 3: are the best teams ranked one through ten. What I

217
00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:01,720
Speaker 3: think is the best number out there. If you're going

218
00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:03,520
Speaker 3: to shed, you're gonna pull that rubber van back and

219
00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,480
Speaker 3: you throw some money down. This is what I think

220
00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:07,800
Speaker 3: your best value is. And that's why you've seen Tennessee,

221
00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:10,200
Speaker 3: who in my opinion, has been number one almost the

222
00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:12,280
Speaker 3: entire season, but they're number four, number five in my

223
00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,440
Speaker 3: futures because there just really isn't a lot of value

224
00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:18,120
Speaker 3: and plus four fifty now saying that it's almost impossible

225
00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:20,599
Speaker 3: to not see this team hosting a super regional and

226
00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:22,640
Speaker 3: not seeing this team show up in Omaha with Tony

227
00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,640
Speaker 3: Botello and what he has on hand, especially his pitcher

228
00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:27,000
Speaker 3: that he has on Friday night that we're going to

229
00:10:27,040 --> 00:10:31,280
Speaker 3: talk about there, I have some pause, and the pause

230
00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,120
Speaker 3: is they lost the series of Texas A and M

231
00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,360
Speaker 3: a couple of weeks ago. Now, it was a double header,

232
00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:37,760
Speaker 3: it was a Saturday A and M was one and

233
00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:39,080
Speaker 3: nine coming into that series.

234
00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:40,079
Speaker 2: Lost the Friday night.

235
00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,320
Speaker 3: Then the sticks showed up, then the pitching showed up,

236
00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:46,480
Speaker 3: and they were able to beat Tennessee on their home territory.

237
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,480
Speaker 3: And when you win, it's just like college football this

238
00:10:48,480 --> 00:10:51,000
Speaker 3: past season. If you can win a night game on

239
00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:53,760
Speaker 3: the road, that is pretty important in the SEC. And

240
00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,080
Speaker 3: for Texas A and M to go in there and

241
00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:58,199
Speaker 3: win two of three and a double header on Saturday.

242
00:10:58,600 --> 00:11:01,160
Speaker 3: I have a pause now tennis. He has since followed up,

243
00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:02,560
Speaker 3: gone on the road and took two of three from

244
00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,400
Speaker 3: Old Miss. There's second the nation home runs per nine.

245
00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:07,800
Speaker 3: You're gonna hear me say that a lot this year

246
00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:11,680
Speaker 3: because this I've been focused on fip X, fip ERA

247
00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,439
Speaker 3: to do pitching stabs, and I've been focused on fielding percentage.

248
00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:15,240
Speaker 2: In the year's past.

249
00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,880
Speaker 3: There's no way you can't watch defending champ champion Tennessee

250
00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,720
Speaker 3: and Texas A and M and not think you have

251
00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:25,360
Speaker 3: to bomb. Jack Caglione hit I don't know twelve home

252
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,599
Speaker 3: runs in Omaha last year, and Florida almost made it

253
00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:29,440
Speaker 3: and they were sub five hundred most of the year.

254
00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:33,600
Speaker 3: Why bombs because they had a pitching staff full of freshmen.

255
00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:34,680
Speaker 2: Bombs.

256
00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:39,080
Speaker 3: Find your bombers now huge part Tennessee second home runs

257
00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:41,560
Speaker 3: per nine. They're a major player. At some point we

258
00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,360
Speaker 3: have to buy them. I'm not saying it's today, it's not,

259
00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:47,679
Speaker 3: but they end the season. It's funny that we kind

260
00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:50,360
Speaker 3: of rolled right into this. Arkansas and Tennessee play each

261
00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:54,040
Speaker 3: other in the final series of the season. Does Dave

262
00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,320
Speaker 3: Van Horn and Tony Vittello take that weekend off. Do

263
00:11:57,400 --> 00:11:59,960
Speaker 3: they let their Tuesday Wednesday guys pitch Friday Saturday sun

264
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,480
Speaker 3: Do they decide not to let their sticks hit or

265
00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:05,720
Speaker 3: are they going to cruise and Hoover and not put

266
00:12:05,720 --> 00:12:07,720
Speaker 3: an efforto that either because the Razorbacks have been well

267
00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,480
Speaker 3: known to not show up in Hoover. So do you

268
00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:12,920
Speaker 3: show your cards against Tony Bettelo? Does Tony Battello show

269
00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,280
Speaker 3: his What about the drama between these two? Tony Bettelo

270
00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:18,040
Speaker 3: used to be an assistant to Dave Van Horn. They

271
00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:19,679
Speaker 3: had a little scuff up on the field a couple

272
00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,720
Speaker 3: of years ago. Two of the most fascinating teams. I

273
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:24,719
Speaker 3: think it's a very small list of people that can win,

274
00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:27,640
Speaker 3: teams that can win the National Championship. These are two

275
00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:29,559
Speaker 3: of them, and they will play in the final series

276
00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:30,000
Speaker 3: of the year.

277
00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:34,040
Speaker 1: You mentioned a short grouping of teams that can win

278
00:12:34,240 --> 00:12:37,600
Speaker 1: the national Championship? Does that include the Diamond Dogs from Athens?

279
00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:40,560
Speaker 1: Because you can still grab the Bulldogs at eleven to one.

280
00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,040
Speaker 1: They are one of the best hitting teams from a

281
00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:46,640
Speaker 1: power perspective in all of baseball. They're a team that's

282
00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,920
Speaker 1: getting a little bit healthier in their staff, Colden Smith

283
00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:52,280
Speaker 1: coming back from injury and illness, do you think Georgia

284
00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,840
Speaker 1: has enough to be able to get over the top

285
00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,000
Speaker 1: and potentially make a run to Omaha and make some

286
00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:58,120
Speaker 1: noise there well.

287
00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,800
Speaker 3: To add to the Arkansas razorback stats we talked about before,

288
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:02,600
Speaker 3: who's the only team that's beat them in a series

289
00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:03,679
Speaker 3: this year, it'd be.

290
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:04,520
Speaker 2: The Georgia Bulldogs.

291
00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:08,839
Speaker 3: Now, granted, Georgia took two of three, and I think

292
00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:11,120
Speaker 3: both of their wins and Games two and three were.

293
00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:13,960
Speaker 2: By a single run, you know, the total.

294
00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:16,880
Speaker 3: You know, the series was completely head to head, and

295
00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:18,280
Speaker 3: if you want to give it home field advantage or

296
00:13:18,320 --> 00:13:21,160
Speaker 3: park factors or whatever, I would say Georgia and Arkansas

297
00:13:21,200 --> 00:13:24,000
Speaker 3: are extremely evenly matched. I think they would play ten times,

298
00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:27,119
Speaker 3: it'd be five to five. But Georgia is the epitome

299
00:13:27,600 --> 00:13:30,120
Speaker 3: the Webster's Dictionary of Homers per nine, they're number one

300
00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,880
Speaker 3: in the nation. So when you get a pitcher to

301
00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:35,319
Speaker 3: come in there and shut them down in Game one,

302
00:13:35,360 --> 00:13:38,800
Speaker 3: like we saw when Arkansas came on Friday, take notes

303
00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:41,280
Speaker 3: of that. That starting pitcher we're going to talk about

304
00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:43,000
Speaker 3: gave up one home run. You give up one home

305
00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,960
Speaker 3: run to that lineup that's pretty impressive. So Georgia is

306
00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:50,400
Speaker 3: absolutely a national title contender. Georgia proved it against Arkansas.

307
00:13:50,440 --> 00:13:53,439
Speaker 3: They will continue to prove it. And I think right

308
00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,600
Speaker 3: now it's kind of last call. I think Georgia was

309
00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:57,480
Speaker 3: one of the ones I hit pre season thirty forty

310
00:13:57,520 --> 00:13:59,280
Speaker 3: to one somewhere around there, and I said, this is

311
00:13:59,280 --> 00:14:02,120
Speaker 3: an absolutely insane, dumb number because of how hot they

312
00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:05,000
Speaker 3: were and how much they return and you know, Charlie

313
00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,320
Speaker 3: Connor not be in there. I mean they people thought

314
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:08,959
Speaker 3: that this is just not as good of a team hitting.

315
00:14:09,160 --> 00:14:11,640
Speaker 3: They are the best bomb team in the nation. I

316
00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:14,520
Speaker 3: think it's last call on Georgia. They are absolutely going

317
00:14:14,520 --> 00:14:16,960
Speaker 3: to host a regional. They're very much in the mix

318
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:18,880
Speaker 3: for a super regional host. And when you do those

319
00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,560
Speaker 3: things as an SEC team, you're pretty much going to Omaha.

320
00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:26,120
Speaker 3: So I think Georgia is a bye until eight to one,

321
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:28,280
Speaker 3: because then we're looking at eight teams that can win

322
00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,800
Speaker 3: the national title. So I like eleven to one to

323
00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 3: like ten to one, I'd stop at eight.

324
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:34,800
Speaker 1: All right, let's fight off the allegations that this is

325
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:39,000
Speaker 1: an SEC network podcast and let's grab any long shot

326
00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:41,160
Speaker 1: outside of the SEC who do.

327
00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:42,960
Speaker 2: You like, oh, we can't talk about Texas A and

328
00:14:43,040 --> 00:14:43,640
Speaker 2: M getting hot.

329
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,600
Speaker 3: I mean, before I hop onto the team that is

330
00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:50,240
Speaker 3: not at SEC, I will say Texas A and M

331
00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:52,320
Speaker 3: is playing Arkansas this weekend. It is a must watch,

332
00:14:52,920 --> 00:14:54,880
Speaker 3: right text A and M seems to be back on

333
00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:56,880
Speaker 3: track and they're pulling the Florida path from last year.

334
00:14:56,880 --> 00:14:58,440
Speaker 3: But I will jump into a team that is not

335
00:14:58,480 --> 00:15:01,560
Speaker 3: an SEC, and everybody might wonder, like, why do we

336
00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,640
Speaker 3: talk about the SEC? Go and poll who has won

337
00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:08,800
Speaker 3: these national titles? Who has populated these championship series? It's

338
00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,160
Speaker 3: so SEC dominated. But the one team that I think

339
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,480
Speaker 3: that is hot as definitely a very good chance to

340
00:15:15,520 --> 00:15:18,680
Speaker 3: host the regional and pop potentially because of an easier

341
00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:21,680
Speaker 3: path coming up a super regional host. That's Georgia Tech.

342
00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:23,680
Speaker 3: Twenty two to one right now is a number I

343
00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,960
Speaker 3: saw out there. I'm sure there's better but rolling in

344
00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,920
Speaker 3: the ACC. They did take a series loss against Clemson,

345
00:15:30,440 --> 00:15:33,040
Speaker 3: but they outscored the Tigers in that three game series

346
00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:36,000
Speaker 3: by thirteen runs. I think it's important to know that

347
00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:37,800
Speaker 3: this is not a home run hitting team. You hear

348
00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,760
Speaker 3: me preach that we have to look at bombers. This

349
00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:42,720
Speaker 3: is the number one team in the nation in doubles,

350
00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:45,400
Speaker 3: they are the second team in the nation in average

351
00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:49,360
Speaker 3: they're twenty fourth and homers per nine. That kind of offense.

352
00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,440
Speaker 3: We've talked about this before a couple of years ago

353
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:53,840
Speaker 3: with Oral Roberts. You get a team that goes in

354
00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:57,640
Speaker 3: there and slaps doubles with that spacious park up there,

355
00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,000
Speaker 3: what do we call it Chase field? We call it

356
00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,280
Speaker 3: Chase or we call it tdum Er trade. I don't

357
00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,440
Speaker 3: know what we're gonna call, but you know, you go

358
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,400
Speaker 3: up there with that spacious field and those spacious fences

359
00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:11,560
Speaker 3: and those dimensions. A Georgia Tech team that can slap

360
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,640
Speaker 3: balls off the wall is gonna cook. I like twenty

361
00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:18,600
Speaker 3: two to one. The schedule does not scare me whatsoever.

362
00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,400
Speaker 1: All right, Now, let's turn to a player by player basis.

363
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,160
Speaker 1: What's really fun. If you're listening in, you want to

364
00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:26,840
Speaker 1: get a future or two down just so you have

365
00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:28,880
Speaker 1: a horse in the race down the stretch. A lot

366
00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,280
Speaker 1: of that can come down to wanting to back a

367
00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:34,120
Speaker 1: transformational player, a generational talent on the bump or in

368
00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:37,640
Speaker 1: the batter's box. So who could this year produce in

369
00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:41,320
Speaker 1: terms of a pulse Skeins kind of starting ace or

370
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 1: a Jack Cagle own guy who could go for you know,

371
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,480
Speaker 1: two or three home runs in a meaningful game down

372
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:46,960
Speaker 1: the stretch.

373
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:47,680
Speaker 2: Yeah.

374
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,560
Speaker 3: So for those of you who have been, you know,

375
00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:51,760
Speaker 3: following some of the work I've done so far this season,

376
00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:54,840
Speaker 3: there are a couple pitchers you automatically bet if the

377
00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,000
Speaker 3: price is not where it should be. And what I

378
00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,800
Speaker 3: mean by that is Tennessee's Liam Doyle. Doyle on Friday nights,

379
00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:04,000
Speaker 3: highest strikeout per nine in the nation and an x

380
00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,640
Speaker 3: FIP of two seven four against any area of two

381
00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,159
Speaker 3: point four to seven, which means he hasn't been lucky.

382
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,359
Speaker 2: He's legit. This is the ace for the Bowls.

383
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,119
Speaker 3: I mean, highest strikeout raper nine in the nation is

384
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,160
Speaker 3: going to get it done, Liam Doyle. Often I will

385
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:22,240
Speaker 3: project him minus five hundred and minus nine hundred and

386
00:17:22,280 --> 00:17:24,600
Speaker 3: open night Friday night game, and some of these odds

387
00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,040
Speaker 3: come out minus three fifty on the Bowls. That's a

388
00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:29,719
Speaker 3: play immediately, a play on the run line, or if

389
00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 3: you just want to parlay that early before it really steams.

390
00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 3: Pay attention to the projections because some of these books

391
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,720
Speaker 3: get it way overreacted, and sometimes they get it way underreacted.

392
00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:41,760
Speaker 3: Liam Doyle is a play on every time it doesn't

393
00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:42,480
Speaker 3: meet the projection.

394
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:49,239
Speaker 1: Alkohoma sooners next in terms of their top pitcher and

395
00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,040
Speaker 1: just in terms of their staff in general. Do you

396
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,160
Speaker 1: think they have enough depth to be able to make

397
00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,399
Speaker 1: it a deep run in the super regionals and get

398
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:57,440
Speaker 1: to Omaha.

399
00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:59,359
Speaker 3: The depth is a good question because there's teams like

400
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:03,080
Speaker 3: Mississippi State and Oklahoma that have depth issues, but where

401
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 3: they're good, they're really good. And kays Some Witherspoon is

402
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:09,119
Speaker 3: their star. Fifty two innings, pitch, seventy four strikeouts, a

403
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,720
Speaker 3: whip of point eighty eight. What are we walking like

404
00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:13,800
Speaker 3: one guy every three weekends? What are we doing here?

405
00:18:14,680 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 2: Kay? And Oklahoma is Peski.

406
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:21,240
Speaker 3: This is a super regional Pesky team. And kays Some

407
00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:24,840
Speaker 3: Witherspoon and Malachi. I mean, this is a very good squad,

408
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:28,760
Speaker 3: but we are betting Kayson Witherspoon when the market does

409
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:30,840
Speaker 3: not match the projections that we have.

410
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,439
Speaker 2: So you know that is another one right there. That

411
00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:34,120
Speaker 2: strikeout rate.

412
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 3: You need strikeouts, you need short innings if you can't

413
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:40,199
Speaker 3: punch him out, and you let guys get on. In

414
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,959
Speaker 3: college baseball, you let a guy get on he's probably scoring.

415
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,320
Speaker 3: So you get punch outs from a guy like this,

416
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:46,480
Speaker 3: you're betting him.

417
00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:50,080
Speaker 1: Kayson Witherspoon, you mentioned you danced around his name a

418
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:53,640
Speaker 1: little bit. The South off for the Arkansas Razorbacks. Take

419
00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 1: us in to first the storyline of getting a transfer

420
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,960
Speaker 1: from ECU and what he is meant to this stat

421
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:02,480
Speaker 1: and kind of just repurposed everything because you start to

422
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,720
Speaker 1: shuffle around who's pitching on Friday, Saturday, Sundays, who's coming

423
00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 1: out of the bullpen? How much of an impact has

424
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 1: sach Root had on the program?

425
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:14,080
Speaker 3: You lose a generational south Paw like Hagen Smith to MLB.

426
00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:20,880
Speaker 3: Amazing to pull Southpaw Zach Root from East Carolina, which

427
00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:24,960
Speaker 3: is no slouch. Is a has been on the cusp

428
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 3: of a college world series. The entire programs live for

429
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:31,600
Speaker 3: like forty years. They're going to get there someday, to

430
00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:34,679
Speaker 3: get Zach Root to transfer and to fill the shoes

431
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:37,840
Speaker 3: of Hagen Smith. It really says something to what he's

432
00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,560
Speaker 3: done because he came in I think originally penciled in

433
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,560
Speaker 3: maybe the Sunday starter, maybe the Saturday starter. There was

434
00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:46,080
Speaker 3: an injury. He did not look good in the opening

435
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,720
Speaker 3: series in Arlington. Then he turned it on twelve point

436
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,600
Speaker 3: one k per nine. He led Arkansas to a thirteen

437
00:19:52,600 --> 00:19:54,640
Speaker 3: to three win at Georgia. I talked about how there

438
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:56,920
Speaker 3: was a pitcher that limited Georgia to just one home

439
00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,840
Speaker 3: run that was Zach Root for Arkansas get and that

440
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 3: he faced twenty five batters. I mean he saw the

441
00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 3: lineup a few times. And Bulldogs are the best offense

442
00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,200
Speaker 3: in the nation. We bet on Zach route when he's pitching,

443
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:13,879
Speaker 3: he's dealing from the left side. We probably need to

444
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,880
Speaker 3: at some point to talk about park factors. The Razorbacks

445
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 3: bomb Walker Stadium has generally always been point ninety four.

446
00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:22,880
Speaker 2: In park factors. Now what does that mean? One?

447
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 3: A number of one means you're not a bomber's place,

448
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 3: You're not Corus Field, right, and a number of point

449
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:35,160
Speaker 3: ninety four puts you more like, you know, the white word,

450
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 3: the White Sox play progressive Kmiski, whatever we want to

451
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 3: call it. It's not a bombers park. But this offense

452
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,440
Speaker 3: is kind of changing that. But Zacharut does pitch in

453
00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:46,919
Speaker 3: a very spacious outfield, which, because of the direction it

454
00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 3: is in Fayettville, does get a lot of win pushing in,

455
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 3: So look for unders and look for Zacharot when he's mispriced.

456
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 1: You mentioned the SEC, they've been so dominant. If you're

457
00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:00,639
Speaker 1: building a futures portfolio from scratch right now, you'd be

458
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 1: hard pressed to not have three or four of those

459
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 1: teams on your car, depending on the prices. You also

460
00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 1: mentioned Georgia Techa of the ACC. Clearly, this is a

461
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 1: regional sport. This is where the champions are, the contenders.

462
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:14,080
Speaker 1: Is there anybody out west, you know, let's look at

463
00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:17,160
Speaker 1: the Pacific time zone, the Mountain time zone, anybody out

464
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:18,600
Speaker 1: there worth a flyer on at this.

465
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:22,560
Speaker 3: Point, Yeah, UCLA has been out there that I've I've

466
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 3: already got a futures bet on. I think one hundred

467
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 3: to one was out there. I posted sixty to one

468
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 3: everyone for everyone out there, I think you know, Oregon

469
00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,680
Speaker 3: State is also the team and the big battle here

470
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 3: because this this generates talk into Oregon State, which is

471
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,199
Speaker 3: somebody on the West coast is going to host a

472
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 3: regional and somebody on the West coast is going to

473
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,000
Speaker 3: host a super and UCLA is in that running.

474
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:45,879
Speaker 2: But right now it's Oregon State. Now, if you're going

475
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 2: to get outside the SEC and the ACC, and I'm not.

476
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 3: Sure that's, you know, really usually a smart thing to do,

477
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: because you look at the six of the last seven

478
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 3: champions have been from the AC from the SEC. The

479
00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,359
Speaker 3: one team that wasn't was Oregon State, the only team

480
00:21:57,840 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 3: only once the two thousand and seven has there been

481
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 3: a College World Series Final that didn't involve an SEC team,

482
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 3: you know, And right now the SEC is loaded in

483
00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 3: remaining strength of schedule. Every team in the SEC is

484
00:22:09,040 --> 00:22:10,879
Speaker 3: top twenty two in the nation. That's how tough it

485
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:14,160
Speaker 3: is to play. Missippi State lands at fortieth. So if

486
00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 3: you want something within the SEC footprint, Missippi State does

487
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 3: have the easiest path, but out.

488
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:23,720
Speaker 2: West Oregon State. Right now they have.

489
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:28,439
Speaker 3: The seventy fifth easiest schedule remaining. Their RPI is eighth,

490
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:30,879
Speaker 3: and it's because of what they've done this year. They

491
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,400
Speaker 3: turned down a trip to the Mountain West. They said,

492
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:35,480
Speaker 3: we want to be independent, we want to pick our

493
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 3: own schedules, and we want to go play the toughest

494
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 3: teams on the West Coast. They've already done that. Right

495
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 3: now they are on the back end of that tough schedule.

496
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,120
Speaker 3: That's why their RPI is eighth. You may have seen

497
00:22:45,119 --> 00:22:47,760
Speaker 3: them lose a series or two. They have been playing

498
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 3: quality baseball. The Beavers absolutely are on the upswing because

499
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:53,400
Speaker 3: of the strength of schedule of remaining, which I said

500
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,919
Speaker 3: is seventy fifth. They are in line to be that

501
00:22:57,040 --> 00:23:00,880
Speaker 3: super regional host for the West Coast right behind them.

502
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 3: But I think if you don't have any Oregon State futures,

503
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,119
Speaker 3: it's time to get in on these guys. Seven straight

504
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 3: wins for I think. The other thing I want to

505
00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 3: say about Texas A and M was that they've had

506
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,879
Speaker 3: seven straight wins since the series victory at Tennessee. So

507
00:23:14,920 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 3: if there's two futures that I like inside the SEC,

508
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 3: it's Texas A and M plus two twenty five you

509
00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 3: make Omaha. Outside the SEC, I think you have to

510
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 3: have some money on Oregon State, and that's outside the SEC,

511
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 3: and outside the ACC, you're gonna want to get down

512
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 3: Oregon State.

513
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 1: Do you ever watch sports and find yourself wishing that

514
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 1: there was a way to get into the game. Well,

515
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 1: with Underdog, there's finally a way to make picks on

516
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,440
Speaker 1: sports without leaving the house. The game is in your

517
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:42,120
Speaker 1: hands to play. Choose whether a player will go higher

518
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 1: or lower on one of their stats like touchdowns, strikeouts,

519
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 1: points scored, and more. They've got all your favorite leagues,

520
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 1: teams and stats to choose from. You create entries with

521
00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: your baseball picks. You can mix and match across sports.

522
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 1: You can play with as little as one dollar, and

523
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,199
Speaker 1: if you get everything right, you can win up to

524
00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 1: one thousand times your money, so you can turn one

525
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,359
Speaker 1: into one thousand dollars just with your sports knowledge. I

526
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,639
Speaker 1: just played Underdog during the Masters and it gave me

527
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,800
Speaker 1: a rooting interest on Thursday and Friday when my pick

528
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,280
Speaker 1: to win was going down in flames. Thanks for nothing,

529
00:24:11,359 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: Russell Henley, But that's the beauty of Underdog. Give so

530
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,560
Speaker 1: many ways to stay in the action for as little

531
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:19,239
Speaker 1: as one dollar. Download the Underdog app and sign up

532
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 1: using the promo code BBOC to unlock a special offer

533
00:24:22,760 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 1: up to one thousand dollars in bonus cash when you

534
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 1: make your first deposit. Join in the fun when you

535
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,200
Speaker 1: sign up and use promo code BBOC. Claim your special

536
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 1: offer today and get up to one thousand dollars in

537
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:37,159
Speaker 1: bonus cash instantly upon your first deposit. Must be eighteen

538
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 1: plus nineteen plus in Alabama and Nebraska, nineteen plus in Colorado.

539
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:44,480
Speaker 1: For some games twenty one plus in Massachusetts and Arizona

540
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 1: and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates, term

541
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 1: supply concerned with your play, call one eight hundred Gambler,

542
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 1: or visit NCP Gambling dot Org. In Arizona call one

543
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,640
Speaker 1: eight hundred next step or Tech's next step to five, three, three,

544
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:00,919
Speaker 1: four to two in New York called the twenty four

545
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 1: to seven hopeline at one eight seven seven eight Hope

546
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: and why or text hope and why. All right, let's

547
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 1: wrap things up in terms of putting a bow on

548
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 1: these futures portfolios. You've talked about Texas A and m

549
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 1: coming on late. You've talked about Georgia Tech out of

550
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: the ACC and obviously kind of a three pack of

551
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:21,639
Speaker 1: teams at the top of the SEC. If you were

552
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,360
Speaker 1: to add let's say just two to the portfolio right now,

553
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 1: balancing price, balancing potential future schedule and playing the best

554
00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: baseball at the right time, who are you adding.

555
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:34,959
Speaker 3: Let's call it Georgia Tech mentioned them before. Remaining ACC

556
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 3: series at Miami shouldn't be an issue. Virginia quality team,

557
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:41,359
Speaker 3: but you get him at home, Louisville quality team. You

558
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 3: get him at home at Duke to finish the season.

559
00:25:44,359 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 3: Duke on the Road may be the only team in

560
00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 3: that list that can take the series from them. The

561
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 3: Jackets are set to host a regional. If they sweep

562
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 3: all of those, or if they win all of those

563
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:56,119
Speaker 3: series and they show out in the ACC, they're in

564
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,959
Speaker 3: a great chance to have a super regional seed. I

565
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,520
Speaker 3: like twenty two to one one. I'm sure there's better

566
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,679
Speaker 3: out there. Let's add the Jackets to it.

567
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 2: Now.

568
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 3: Remember, I think everybody needs to listen. Am I saying

569
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 3: that Georgia Tech can win the national title. I don't

570
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,720
Speaker 3: think anybody outside the SEC can win the national title.

571
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 3: But the reason you take twenty two to ones and

572
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 3: forty to ones and sixty to ones like UCLA is

573
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:18,479
Speaker 3: because there's going to come a point in the regionals

574
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 3: or the super regionals where you're going to be able

575
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:21,719
Speaker 3: to get on the other side and get that initial

576
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 3: deposit down back.

577
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 2: So this is more about numbers.

578
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,199
Speaker 3: We're not going to This is not a podcast it's

579
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 3: going to tell you go buy Arkansas five to one.

580
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:29,960
Speaker 3: You're just not going to be able to do anything

581
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 3: with that. This is a podcast is going to tell

582
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,320
Speaker 3: you Georgia Tech twenty two to one and get on

583
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 3: the other side of it.

584
00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:37,359
Speaker 1: A reminders who are audience. We're going to be here

585
00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 1: every week, usually in the midweek on Wednesday or Thursday,

586
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 1: looking ahead to the weekend schedule. We're gonna have series prices,

587
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:47,200
Speaker 1: at least projections from Colin get into how to play

588
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,880
Speaker 1: some of these opportunities on those Friday night games as

589
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 1: well as the series and like, like we've been saying

590
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,760
Speaker 1: here the entire episode, the Path to Omaha, how do

591
00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:56,880
Speaker 1: we go ahead and fill up our card with teams

592
00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,680
Speaker 1: that put us in the best possession position to kind

593
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 1: of racks some money in terms of hedge perspective, as

594
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:03,960
Speaker 1: well as trying to catch fire and get one of

595
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 1: those teams in the ten to fifteen to one range

596
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,120
Speaker 1: that potentially could take it all the way. One final

597
00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: question for you, Colum before we get out of here,

598
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 1: in terms of overall health. We see this in college

599
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,919
Speaker 1: basketball and college football. Teams have to be able to

600
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 1: balance it with both their depth and their pitching their lineup,

601
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,120
Speaker 1: and also there's opportunities to get someone back from an

602
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 1: injury and have it be a huge impact. I mentioned

603
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 1: Colton Smith at the top. George's overall ceiling. If he's

604
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,480
Speaker 1: not there to anchor that rotation, they're pretty much drawing dead.

605
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:32,639
Speaker 1: You know, they're gonna be able to score a lot

606
00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,160
Speaker 1: of runs, but they're going to lose some Beard League

607
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,880
Speaker 1: Softball games when it matters most. Are there any other

608
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 1: teams that you're seeing that potentially could get healthy at

609
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:39,720
Speaker 1: the right time.

610
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,359
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean even Arkansas is missing that. One of

611
00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:44,119
Speaker 3: their best starting pitchers in gage Woods is going to

612
00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 3: come backs. But we don't want to focus on something

613
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:47,879
Speaker 3: like that. I think Texas A and M is the

614
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 3: team that we need to look at.

615
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:50,480
Speaker 2: Jasonlaviette.

616
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 3: Laviolette is absolutely raking right now at a Jack Caglione level,

617
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:58,080
Speaker 3: which is saying something He showed that in Omaha last

618
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 3: year that he is just a big of a frame

619
00:28:00,119 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 3: and just as big of a hitter. But Texas A

620
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,160
Speaker 3: and M from a pitching staff per perspective, is getting

621
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 3: it straight. I'm watching Prager's x FIP. I'm watching Lambkin's

622
00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,640
Speaker 3: x FIP. It is coming down right now. It doesn't match.

623
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:14,440
Speaker 3: It says they've been a little lucky, but the x FIP.

624
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 2: Is coming down.

625
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 3: They are pitching better, they are healthier in the bullpen.

626
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 3: Their sticks are getting hotter and healthier. Texas A and

627
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,480
Speaker 3: M has the talent to win the national title. There's

628
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:25,919
Speaker 3: a lot of other variables. There's new coaching. How do

629
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 3: we handle the posts? There's a lot of other variables.

630
00:28:27,600 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 3: Where right now the team getting healthy that has value

631
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:31,919
Speaker 3: in the market, its text A and M.

632
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:33,240
Speaker 2: If you don't have it already.

633
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,719
Speaker 1: He'll do it for today's episode. Thanks again for joining us.

634
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 1: A special thanks to our co host Colin Wilson and

635
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 1: our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. I'm your host Mike Calbary's will

636
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,400
Speaker 1: return next week for more coverage of college baseball. Good

637
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 1: luck with all your bets, and we'll see you back

638
00:28:46,160 --> 00:29:01,240
Speaker 1: here next time at Big Bets on Campusiction Network reminds

639
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

640
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four

641
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred Gambler