1 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: Welcome in. Lake is Live. It is Thursday night, May sixth, 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: the Year of Our Lord, twenty twenty one jam packed 3 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 1: on Twitter. I called it the no Scrubs, No X 4 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: season edition because we don't even use the dirty word 5 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:24,479 Speaker 1: around here. We've got, by the way, speaking of Twitter, 6 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 1: before we even dive in, just a wicked debate raging 7 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: today one of those classical spring hypotheticals, Director Emeritis Colin, 8 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: I didn't pose this to you, so I'll do it now. 9 00:00:34,240 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: If you can take any movie character, any one movie character, 10 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: entire history of cinematic masterpieces left and right, and you 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: can make that movie character commissioner of college football, who 12 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: is it? Because for me, it is unmistakably Quint from 13 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 1: the movie Jaws. I'll take your comments off the air 14 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: surprise teams in twenty twenty one. I know there are 15 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:56,279 Speaker 1: the usual suspects out there. We got a lot more 16 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:57,880 Speaker 1: tonight to talk about on the show, though, so I'm 17 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 1: gonna highlight several. I think a couple are gonna to 18 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: be well off the radar. But boy, I went down 19 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 1: a rabbit hole last night. I was up at like 20 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 1: two o'clock in the morning reading and kind of deep diving, 21 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: let's say some specific team, So I'll discuss that tonight. 22 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: The transfer portal alrighty, now it's happening. That second wave 23 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: that we talked about coming, well it's here and now 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:21,199 Speaker 1: we're immersed in it, and now, like our society tends 25 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:22,720 Speaker 1: to do, it's time to fix it. Got to fix it, 26 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,559 Speaker 1: gotta fix it. Well, I've made my thoughts on that clear, 27 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: but we're gonna attack it from a different angle tonight. 28 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 1: How about the path from being a former two star 29 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,399 Speaker 1: to being a top one hundred draft pick or as 30 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: you may know them, millionaires. But Elliott put a real 31 00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: good piece out yesterday that I wanted to bookmark and 32 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:41,959 Speaker 1: I wanted to hit tonight because there's that whole star 33 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: rankings don't matter crowd, and we like to address them 34 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: every so often. And then there is the well, if 35 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: you're a two star, does that mean that all hope 36 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: is lost in your screwed crowd? No, that doesn't mean 37 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: that either. So there's a happy medium there and we're 38 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 1: gonna try and strike it. We're gonna try and find 39 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: it on the show tonight. Also, we got some more 40 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:01,240 Speaker 1: impact transfers to talk about, as the transfer Portal continues 41 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: to fill, and as the turnstile continues to turn inevitably, 42 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: we've got more impact transfers to talk about. Couple of 43 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: them high profile, couple of them that you may not 44 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: even know, have switched schools that are gonna be really, 45 00:02:13,200 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 1: really deciding factors, and some division raises this year, raises 46 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 1: and races this year. So thank you so much for 47 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 1: being tuned in like the video. If you haven't already 48 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: and you're watching live, let's get that thing up there. 49 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: Here's why I talk about fifty all the time. When 50 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: you get us to the fifty like mark, it helps 51 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: us get boosted in the old fashioned algorithm here on YouTube. 52 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: So it's free to do, doesn't cost a dime. Click 53 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: the little thumbs up video. Thank you so much for that. 54 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:39,799 Speaker 1: What you'll notice tonight on the program is we have 55 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 1: a precious lack of college football playoff expansion talk. They're 56 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: not sucking me in. We set our piece last week, 57 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,080 Speaker 1: and if need be, we will be drawn back in, 58 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:52,520 Speaker 1: but only when there is definitive announcements being made. And 59 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 1: I think maybe by June we'll start to hear something, 60 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:58,679 Speaker 1: just a little whisper in the industry. Maybe June is 61 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 1: the time where you'll hear something, not until then. So 62 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: I know everyone's putting out their hypothetical eight twelve, sixteen 63 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 1: thirty two. Why not just make it all one hundred 64 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: and thirty teen playoff proposals. We are hashtag four and 65 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: no more around here. But I know some of you 66 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 1: feel differently. Nevertheless, I'm not going to bother you with 67 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: it tonight because we have more important pressing issues to 68 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: talk about, and I wanted before I dive in tonight 69 00:03:20,400 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 1: to just get a little pitch the Late Kick Extra podcast. 70 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 1: We put it out Tuesday morning. Thursday morning. A lot 71 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: of you have been asking me about betting, how we 72 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 1: talk about betting on the show. We got the Rama 73 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: Noodle Express. Obviously that chugged its way to just over 74 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 1: sixty percent against the number last year. We didn't brag 75 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: about it. Well, yeah we did, and I'm doing it 76 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: right now. We were really good. We were really good 77 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:40,240 Speaker 1: on our betting picks last year. We have been for 78 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: a long time. But the way that we format it's 79 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: a little bit different. So I put some mainstream gambling 80 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: talk in the show in the fall. But I know 81 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: some of you don't bet, and I know some of 82 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 1: you will never will, but you're kind of interested from 83 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: maybe a strictly odds making angle or just knowing who's 84 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:57,400 Speaker 1: favored or if I were to tell you Alabama versus 85 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:00,040 Speaker 1: Clemson right now, who'd be favored by how much on 86 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: a neutral field? You like that kind of stuff. So 87 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: that's what we fill the show with. But today on 88 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 1: the Late Kick Extra podcast, I kind of started to 89 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:08,720 Speaker 1: tease and hint at how we're going to talk about it, 90 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 1: really deep dive style in the fault, because there will 91 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: be a time and a place to come to in 92 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: the fall where we go infinitely deeper in sports betting talk, 93 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: in college football betting talk than I ever did last year. 94 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 1: But the thing about it is it may not be 95 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 1: right here on Lake Kick Live, but it may absolutely 96 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 1: be here on the eye Josh. So when you hear me, 97 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,120 Speaker 1: keep telling you at lake Kick Josh over there on 98 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: Instagram for example, that account on Twitter, on that account, 99 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 1: you know both those platforms they have live capability too, 100 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,560 Speaker 1: And so without further ado, we're going to dive into 101 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 1: the show. I would just encourage you be following me 102 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: on those accounts at lake Kick Josh, let us dive 103 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: in tonight how about some surprise teams. Everyone wants to 104 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: be smart every day of the week, but especially around 105 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 1: the water cooler this time of year. You want to 106 00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,280 Speaker 1: be the guy that in April or May was telling 107 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 1: you that team was coming, so that when they have 108 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,839 Speaker 1: a in November, you can look back, cross your arms, 109 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: stood over in the corner and say, I told you so. 110 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,839 Speaker 1: For the most beautiful words when combined correctly in the 111 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: English language. So you pick yours, I'll pick mine. The 112 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: definition here is define the expectation level that the public has. 113 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: Who is going to overachieve relative to the college football 114 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: public's perception of what they'll be this year. I think 115 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: LSU very well could be one of those teams. Now, 116 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 1: you can choose either of these things and it would 117 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: have been bad. But imagine both of these things happening 118 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:30,000 Speaker 1: to you last year they had I don't know. I 119 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: was talking to Shaye Dixon a little while ago. I 120 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 1: was asking him what was that final number the number 121 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 1: of guys that were on the twenty nineteen team that 122 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:39,839 Speaker 1: weren't on the twenty twenty team, And it was like 123 00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: thirty five or forty or something like that. When you 124 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:46,120 Speaker 1: combined all the attrition and the draft departures. So yeah, 125 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: that's tough, and you got to deal with all the 126 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: typical potential complacency issues of coming off a national championship. 127 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 1: But then when you're trying to replace offensive coordinator and 128 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: the like, you understand what I mean when I say 129 00:05:57,480 --> 00:06:01,479 Speaker 1: replace offensive coordinator. I've the pandemic thrown in and you 130 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: don't get spring. And you're trying to break in a 131 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: new quarterback too, and you don't get spring. So having 132 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,040 Speaker 1: said all that, as I've told you many times, I'll 133 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:09,839 Speaker 1: probably say this a couple of times on the show tonight, 134 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 1: I believe COVID impacted everyone. I just think it disproportionately 135 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: impacted some programs. So LSU dealt with all that, plus 136 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,440 Speaker 1: the usual mess you deal with on steroids. As a 137 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: matter of fact, from coming off a national championship. Why 138 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: do I say all that. I'm not taking away twenty twenty. 139 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,160 Speaker 1: It was what it was. What I am saying about them, 140 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 1: just as much as I'll say about the next program 141 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about. I do not think twenty 142 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,719 Speaker 1: twenty is the case study. I don't think that's the 143 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,960 Speaker 1: data point that I want to go to as the 144 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: end all be all barometer of what to expect from 145 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: this program in the future. It is very hard. As 146 00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: I've told you before, it's really hard for me to 147 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 1: look at these quarterbacks they have at LSU. Maybe it's 148 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 1: Max Johnson, maybe it's Miles Brennan, But whichever one, whostever 149 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: it is, as I like to say, a quarterback, whichever 150 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 1: one gets that job. With the talent they're going to 151 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: have around them, I'm confident, beyond kishon Boute that they 152 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:03,279 Speaker 1: filled that wide receiver corps with proven commodities. On the field, 153 00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,440 Speaker 1: I'm very confident that well, let's be honest, there's nowhere 154 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: to go but up defensively with Dewante Jones coming in 155 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:11,280 Speaker 1: as the defensive coordinator, I'm confident that I'll get a 156 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: good enough product. And it is really hard. If you 157 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 1: got good quarterback play, and I think they will have 158 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: good enough quarterback play, and you got the kind of 159 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 1: raw talent they have overall ty roster, it's really hard 160 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 1: for me to see them just cruise into another five 161 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 1: hundred finish. Not impossible. Worst things have happened, but it's 162 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: hard for me to envision that. So give me LSU there. 163 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: How about Penn State, you know, my thoughts on Penn State, 164 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 1: or if you're new to the program, let me tell you. 165 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,679 Speaker 1: I think this program pound for pound was about as 166 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: disproportionately impacted by COVID as any program of the major 167 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: variety in America last year. I want you to get 168 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: in your mind what you think about Penn State right now. 169 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 1: That's my cord stuck behind me. Think about your perception 170 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: of Penn State football. So I'm gonna blow your mind 171 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: because mine was blown last night. I was watching a 172 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: replay of a game from twenty nineteen. Actually, I was 173 00:07:59,160 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: watching LSU out Alabama from twenty nineteen, and so they're 174 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: coming back from break on CBS, and there's Brad Nessler 175 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: and there's Gary Danielson and they're going over that day's action, 176 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: and they put up the college Football Playoff rankings, right 177 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 1: and they're showing you this game is LSU versus Alabama. 178 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 1: It's number two versus number three. Ohio State was number one. 179 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,440 Speaker 1: What would you do if I told you as late 180 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 1: as week twelve of the twenty nineteen season, the Penn 181 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 1: State and in Alliance were number four in the College 182 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 1: Football Playoff rankings. That feels like previous decade that feels 183 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,600 Speaker 1: like if you have a twelve year old son, he 184 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 1: wasn't even walking. The last time that Penn State was 185 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 1: ranked in the top five of the playoff it was 186 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 1: just two years ago. And so what I'm saying is 187 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 1: they fell off the cliff last year. We got to 188 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 1: ask ourselves, do we really just think they were that bad? 189 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 1: Do we really think that James Franklin and his coaching 190 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: staff they just forgot they just lost the magic sauce? 191 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: Do we believe all that? Or could it be more 192 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 1: likely that whatever twenty twenty brought with it, it just 193 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,679 Speaker 1: disproportionately impacted this team. I happened to buy into the 194 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: latter mentality. If you buy into the former, that's fine. 195 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: That's what they play the games for. New offense, by 196 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: the way, Mike Erisage is the new offensive coordinator here. 197 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,120 Speaker 1: There have been two names that I have just butchered 198 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: the entire spring, And it's not that I don't know them, 199 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: is that sometimes I get the wrong names in my head. 200 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 1: Mike Eusicch is a perfect example, because I have been 201 00:09:20,600 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 1: thoroughly convinced that the man's name is Tom Usig. I've 202 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 1: known him, I've covered him, I've been in the same 203 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: room with him, and yet it happens. The other one 204 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 1: new FSU fans know what I'm talking about, is Jordan 205 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: Travis down there at FSU. I've been calling him Travis Hunter, 206 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 1: who ironically enough is committed and enrolling at Florida State. 207 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:40,400 Speaker 1: And so those two names have really thrown me for 208 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,000 Speaker 1: a lib. They're not hard either. It's not like it's 209 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: Tongoailoa or Eweyangolola. But nevertheless, Mike Eurosage, yeah, my for sure, 210 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 1: new offense, same quarterback Sean Clifford there, and a transfer 211 00:09:52,960 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 1: out of Penn State that I'm going to talk about 212 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:56,439 Speaker 1: in just a second. I've got all the confidence in 213 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: the world they'll rebound this year. I'm not telling you 214 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: they're their neck and neck with Ohios down the stretch 215 00:10:00,720 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: for the Big Ten championship or anything like that. I'm 216 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 1: just telling you I don't think that there is an 217 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 1: ounce's worth of expectation amongst the college football public now 218 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: about Penn State this year. Granted, it's viewed as Ohio 219 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,120 Speaker 1: State's conference and everyone else as a distant second, third, fourth, 220 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: and that's fine. Maybe that's still the case, but I 221 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:19,840 Speaker 1: think this team will be a lot more quality this 222 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:22,480 Speaker 1: year than they were last year. Now, I want to 223 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: go somewhere that's really off the beaten path, because this 224 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 1: one was the one that I spent a whole lot 225 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:28,440 Speaker 1: of time on last night. I know some of you 226 00:10:28,480 --> 00:10:30,560 Speaker 1: in the Bluegrass State you think I focus on about 227 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,040 Speaker 1: four or five teams, Well, how about you being one 228 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 1: of them. Kentucky probably has the quietest tangible confidence of 229 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 1: any program in America right now. The Kentucky Wildcats could 230 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:45,959 Speaker 1: fundamentally change the SEC Eastern Division conversation in twenty twenty one. 231 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 1: Here's what you're used to, Georgia, Florida, and then dot 232 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 1: dot is Tennessee going to be back? We'll South Carolina 233 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:55,599 Speaker 1: get it figured out? Well, what if I told you 234 00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:59,079 Speaker 1: it's Kentucky that will insert their name squarely into that mix, 235 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: and maybe not just for the number three spot in 236 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: the SEC, maybe for as high as the number two 237 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,680 Speaker 1: spot in the SEC East. I'm looking at them, and 238 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 1: if I were to do the old put the paper 239 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: bag over the head so you can't tell it's Kentucky, 240 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 1: and we were to just look at the resume figuratively, 241 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: of course, if we were to just look at the resume, 242 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,840 Speaker 1: man they're doing really good things there. I don't know 243 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 1: how many people realize this. I wrote it down. I 244 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 1: mean there were only set Do you realize this? I 245 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:26,080 Speaker 1: want you to think about what I'm about say. I'm 246 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: gonna say it really slowly. There were only seven programs 247 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: in America this last NFL draft that sent more kids 248 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:38,040 Speaker 1: to the draft than Kentucky, not as a state, not collectively, 249 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 1: not WKU, Louisville, and Kentucky, the University of Kentucky. There 250 00:11:42,120 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: were only seven, the Alabamas and Ohio states, and Georgia's 251 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: the world. Only seven of them out there sent more 252 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 1: kids to the NFL via the draft this past cycle 253 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: than Kentucky. And yet still their roster is as loaded 254 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 1: as it's been. They're recruiting consistently, upticking. Mark Stoop's not 255 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:03,080 Speaker 1: Badville at all, talking very recently about how he's got 256 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: more energy and feels better about the statue of the 257 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:08,080 Speaker 1: program right now than he has at any point since 258 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 1: he's been there. And here's how you know he's not lying. 259 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,319 Speaker 1: He felt so confident and he felt the time was 260 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: right to change the offense. That's something you never say 261 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: about Mark Stoops. And I know, again a lot of 262 00:12:18,840 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 1: you probably aren't paying attention to what's going on in 263 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:24,160 Speaker 1: Kentucky right now. I'm just telling you beat the rush. 264 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: Liam Cohen is a name new offensive coordinator there that 265 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 1: you'll start to hear as like SEC media days approach. Okay, 266 00:12:31,679 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 1: Wandell Robinson's a name that some of you, if your hardcore, 267 00:12:34,160 --> 00:12:36,160 Speaker 1: you already know. But as you start to get closer 268 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:38,559 Speaker 1: to media days, you'll start hearing that Kentucky got a 269 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 1: big transfer or two because Will Levis, the quarterback transfer 270 00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 1: from Penn State, is also coming in and is going 271 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:47,959 Speaker 1: to figure very prominently in this quarterback rotation. Probably I 272 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 1: would even say the favorite to eventually win that starting job. 273 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 1: But it does not stop there. Even with all these 274 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 1: NFL draft departures, they got an All American tackle coming back, 275 00:12:57,640 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 1: they got their best running back coming back, they got 276 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: their top three pass catchers coming back, and adding Wandel 277 00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: Robinson to the mix, this is an actual, legitimate top 278 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: twenty five team. I believe that, and I also believe 279 00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:12,439 Speaker 1: they are going to have a lot to say about 280 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,360 Speaker 1: the pecking order in the SEC East this year. Now, 281 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: the more northern version of this is Wisconsin. Wisconsin again 282 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,439 Speaker 1: is just in the wrong conference because it's Ohio State, 283 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:25,960 Speaker 1: drowning out everyone else in the room. So you don't 284 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 1: hear a lot of noise about Wisconsin. But see, you 285 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: got a taste of it last year. They go into 286 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,880 Speaker 1: Week one and they smoked whoever it was. I think 287 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 1: they splattered Illinois all over the place. You got a 288 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 1: taste of it, and then it got taken from you. 289 00:13:38,080 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 1: You got to see Graham Mert shine for one game 290 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 1: and then it got taken from you. And what I 291 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 1: mean by taking is their season got derailed by COVID 292 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 1: and a lot of They had a wide receiver out 293 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 1: for concussion protocol. Most of the year, they had guys 294 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 1: off the roster calls they tested positive and you never 295 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 1: got to see the real Wisconsin. And so then you 296 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 1: fast forward a year, a lot of those names are back. 297 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 1: I feel really good that they are one of the 298 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: most underrated wide receiver rooms in America. Wisconsin's got Paul 299 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: Christ head coach there, taking over play calling duties. Calus. 300 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: What I think he's done is he's looked at what 301 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 1: he's got at quarterback, believes in Graham MERT's one of 302 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: the higher rated quarterbacks you'll have come through there. Loves 303 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 1: his receiver room and understands they got an opportunity to 304 00:14:17,800 --> 00:14:20,280 Speaker 1: do something good there this year and do it in 305 00:14:20,320 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 1: a surprising fashion. Because here's how the schedule shakes out. 306 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: They have some big games this year. They do every 307 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 1: year they play in the Big Ten. They play Penn State, 308 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,240 Speaker 1: they play Notre Dame, they play Michigan. I don't think 309 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 1: that surprises you, but it may surprise you if I 310 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 1: tell you those three teams are among the first four 311 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: they play. So I want you to think again about 312 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:43,600 Speaker 1: what I just said. If Wisconsin has quarterback figured out, 313 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 1: if their offense is in sync, if it does gel, 314 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 1: if it looks really for an extended period of time 315 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: like it did Week one last year, who are we 316 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: talking about them starting with Penn State installing a new 317 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 1: offense again, even though I believe in them, maybe shaky 318 00:14:57,640 --> 00:15:01,440 Speaker 1: early on. Then they play Notre Dame. Jack Cone, ironically, 319 00:15:02,120 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: former quarterback at Wisconsin, transferring down there. They're doing new 320 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 1: things offensively, Michigan. They're doing new things offensively, And so 321 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: could you catch a significant portion of the big boys 322 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: on your schedule off guard or maybe off balance a 323 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:18,520 Speaker 1: little bit early in the season, Because if you do 324 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, you've gotten past the meat 325 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 1: of your schedule and there you are a primetime contender 326 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:27,120 Speaker 1: for the playoff conversation and all that by mid season. 327 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: That'd be interesting, and I don't think a lot of 328 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:31,640 Speaker 1: people expect it. And last, but not least, how about Oregon. Now, 329 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 1: Oregon's already in the playoff conversation as much as you 330 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: can be in the Pac twelve right now. They haven't 331 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:39,520 Speaker 1: knocked the door down yet, at least lately. But what 332 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:42,720 Speaker 1: I'm talking specifically about with Oregon is not, oh, no 333 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: one will see him coming. Most people are going to 334 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: have Oregon around the top ten, I would imagine, but 335 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 1: I don't think that people are fully realizing how good 336 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 1: they're going to be at receiver this year. You see, 337 00:15:52,720 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 1: you've probably watched Oregon the first couple of years on 338 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 1: a Mario Christobaul and you've just assumed this team right here, 339 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 1: they're good overall, the collective product's good, they're recruiting good. 340 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 1: They play solid defense, or at least that's what I'm 341 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:07,800 Speaker 1: going to expect from them. But this is not a 342 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 1: team that's going to light up the scoreboard. Now, I'm 343 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: not telling you incrementally last year to this year, they're 344 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 1: gonna add thirty points per game to their total or 345 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: anything like that. I think you're going to be really 346 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: surprised at how loaded they are at receiver. And I 347 00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:22,200 Speaker 1: think people may be mildly to moderately surprised at the 348 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: quarterback play that you get because you have not really 349 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: heard the name Anthony Brown all that much, and that's 350 00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 1: the guy I believe will start for them. You may think, well, 351 00:16:29,160 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 1: if ty Thompson couldn't win that job, well, then what 352 00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:33,320 Speaker 1: does that mean. Well, I think it means you got 353 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: a pretty quality option up there in Anthony Brown that 354 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 1: you couldn't take the job from. And not only that, 355 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: this is not a guy that's going to have to 356 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: shoulder the load by himself. So I think Oregon could 357 00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: go Now, this is all could This is all hypothetical, 358 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,200 Speaker 1: so I could change every one of these. But what 359 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,480 Speaker 1: Oregon could do is they could go from being nice 360 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: PAC twelve story to one that you look out there 361 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: midway through the season and say, you know, have you 362 00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: watched Oregon They I'm looking out there and they yeah, 363 00:16:57,440 --> 00:16:59,200 Speaker 1: they're beating the teams they're supposed to beat. But they 364 00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 1: seem like they could actually beat some teams they're not 365 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,280 Speaker 1: supposed to be, you know, those more southern type or 366 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: big boy Midwestern type teams. I think they would hold 367 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,119 Speaker 1: their own against them too. I'd love to see Oregon 368 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 1: against Oklahoma. You know, now that I think about it, 369 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: They go to Ohio State in week two, so it 370 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:15,960 Speaker 1: won't take that long for us to realize how real 371 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:17,840 Speaker 1: a deal or not organ is. So those are some 372 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 1: surprise teams. BE very interested to get your feedback on that. 373 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:24,440 Speaker 1: I perused through the comments a lot, especially on videos 374 00:17:24,520 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 1: like that. Let's move on and talk about the old 375 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 1: transfer portal mess. How to Buddy from Round Rock, Texas 376 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,600 Speaker 1: today asking me about this boy they love us in 377 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: a round Rock. I've said it once, I've said it 378 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 1: a million times. So the transfer portal, it is indeed 379 00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:42,159 Speaker 1: a mess. I'm not going to push back on that. 380 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,399 Speaker 1: We told you that we expected a second wave of 381 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 1: transfers coming, it is now happening. I even think that 382 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,119 Speaker 1: in the future the majority of the transfers could end 383 00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:54,400 Speaker 1: up happening after spring, because that's really when you learned 384 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 1: where you stand on that year's version of your current team. 385 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 1: And so here we go. Now we're out of and 386 00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: we're going into the summer months. You cannot take two 387 00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:05,920 Speaker 1: hours break right now. I can't even take a two 388 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:07,719 Speaker 1: hour lunch because when we get back and we were 389 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 1: fresh twenty four to seven sports dot Com front page, 390 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,439 Speaker 1: five different guys have entered the transfer portal and it's 391 00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,120 Speaker 1: a crazy time right now. One of many reasons why 392 00:18:15,119 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: I tell you there is no oh season doesn't exist, 393 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:19,400 Speaker 1: especially this time of year. Well, what do you think 394 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 1: is going to happen after this all of a sudden, 395 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 1: What's going to happen after this is then you're going 396 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: to have a recruiting surge kind of already happening. I mean, 397 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:26,400 Speaker 1: we got camps. We got camps all over the place 398 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:28,879 Speaker 1: this weekend. We got camps going on in a time 399 00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: of year where you're not used to them happening. And 400 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,400 Speaker 1: that's partly because of the way the calendar structure now, 401 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 1: and it's also partly because COVID had kind of pushed 402 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,440 Speaker 1: everything to where when things finally open back up, you 403 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:44,440 Speaker 1: really got to make hay. But I want to reinerate 404 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,240 Speaker 1: two things before I dive into what I want to 405 00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:50,360 Speaker 1: talk about here, And that's my stance on this told 406 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 1: you what I feel about the transfer portal A. I 407 00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 1: think it's a misconception out there right now that a 408 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 1: majority of the risk is taken on by the program. 409 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 1: Everyone's worried about their team, and what if all these 410 00:19:01,119 --> 00:19:03,439 Speaker 1: guys transfer out and we can't replace them. And I 411 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,639 Speaker 1: understand in the immediacy, yes, that wouldn't be good if 412 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 1: Arkansas had fifteen kids walk out the door. And I'm 413 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: going to address that in a second, because it is 414 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 1: a problem, and it is actually the portion of this 415 00:19:13,040 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: whole deal that I think the NCAA may need to 416 00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:19,159 Speaker 1: take action on. But Arkansas is going to field a 417 00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 1: team this fall. You walk out the door having been 418 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:24,879 Speaker 1: a part of the University of Arkansas football team, and 419 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 1: you've been there two years, and let's say you got 420 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:29,480 Speaker 1: two years remaining, and you enter the transfer portal because 421 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,359 Speaker 1: you were running with the twos an outside linebacker at 422 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: Arkansas spring practice. You may get swallowed up by that portal. 423 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 1: You may land somewhere, or you may get swallowed up. 424 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 1: But I'm telling you, and more and more you're going 425 00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 1: to realize this, there's infinitely more risk taken on by 426 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:44,120 Speaker 1: the individual player entering the portal than there ever will 427 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:47,600 Speaker 1: be absorbed by the program from losing a player to 428 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: the portal. But that I've talked about already. The second 429 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: part of this is I do not believe that the 430 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: nc DOUBLEA needs to step in overall. I believe there's 431 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: one area the NCAA needs to address that's been very 432 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 1: short sighted so far in nature, and I'm gonna get 433 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:04,400 Speaker 1: to it. But a lot of your proposals right now 434 00:20:05,359 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 1: are basically this. There are a lot of kids in 435 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 1: the transfer a portal. They're idiots, they don't know what 436 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,040 Speaker 1: they're doing, or maybe they're not idiots, but they shouldn't 437 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,400 Speaker 1: just be able to walk out when the going gets tough. 438 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: And so I don't like this, and so they need 439 00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:18,760 Speaker 1: to put a stop to this. Well, number one, I 440 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 1: don't know how in the world you think that would work. 441 00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 1: But number two, even if there were just a magic 442 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 1: break glass here and press button in case of emergency 443 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:28,879 Speaker 1: scenario that they had, I don't think they should press it. 444 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:32,280 Speaker 1: That's that whole training wheel society that I'm not really 445 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,000 Speaker 1: a huge fan of, and it's on display right now. 446 00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 1: It's kind of like I used to tell you all 447 00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:40,400 Speaker 1: the time, watching the baby bird hatch and you constantly. 448 00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 1: You know, if you got the wrong person watching the 449 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 1: baby bird hatch, they feel that they need to reach 450 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:48,000 Speaker 1: in and peel the shell away. Baby birds have been 451 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:50,439 Speaker 1: coming out of eggs for long before you've been around, 452 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: and they've come out just fine, and if they didn't, 453 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 1: survival of the fittest. Nature can be cruel most of 454 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,879 Speaker 1: the time. Fortunately you don't have to observe it. But 455 00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,720 Speaker 1: it works. Leave it alone. It could be ugly, it 456 00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 1: could be really really nasty, but it ends up working out. 457 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:07,439 Speaker 1: And that bald eagle that you see when you go 458 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,480 Speaker 1: on your camping trip, at one point it was just 459 00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 1: a little bird trying to push us way out of 460 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: the egg. Now, how does that possibly apply to a 461 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 1: linebacker thinking about whether or whether or not he should 462 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,680 Speaker 1: leave New Mexico State. Well, here's what I mean. It's 463 00:21:19,720 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 1: going to be ugly. I'm not telling you it's not 464 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,960 Speaker 1: going to be. But what I am confident in them 465 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:27,240 Speaker 1: is that eventually this will correct itself if you'll just 466 00:21:27,400 --> 00:21:30,280 Speaker 1: keep your hands off of it. In the interim, again, 467 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 1: let me reiterate, it's going to be ugly. There is 468 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: a lot of pushback that I get when I suggest this. 469 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,919 Speaker 1: I've done a lot of radio hits on this, and 470 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 1: a lot of the pushback is, well, what about a 471 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,000 Speaker 1: guy's career. It could be ruined if he goes into 472 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 1: the portal and there's no where to land for him. 473 00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 1: And you're right, there are gonna be some careers that 474 00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 1: are ruined. There're gonna be some opportunities of a lifetime 475 00:21:49,960 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 1: that are flushed down the toilet cause guys make poor decisions. 476 00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 1: Then I get the pushback, what if the guy is 477 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 1: getting bad advice? It's gonna happen. It's happening right now, 478 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: by the dozens, by the hundreds. Guys are getting horrible 479 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 1: advice and they're listening to it from people who have 480 00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 1: never done anything worthwhile in their life. And because they haven't, 481 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 1: then they're trying to project their failure on you, and 482 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:10,960 Speaker 1: you're their ticket out. And so if you're not playing 483 00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:12,280 Speaker 1: right now, you need to be able to hear where 484 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,280 Speaker 1: you can't play. It's happening. It's going to happen. It's 485 00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:17,679 Speaker 1: going to be terrible. It is what it is. The 486 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 1: Third piece of feedback that I get and really pushback 487 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:23,720 Speaker 1: a lot of times, is what about high school players 488 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,720 Speaker 1: that are being passed over by schools that are looking 489 00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:29,440 Speaker 1: to fill their roster gaps via the transfer portal. It's 490 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,600 Speaker 1: a problem. I don't think it's going to be a 491 00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,800 Speaker 1: long term problem. That's happening right now and it's not 492 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 1: going to be as big a problem I think five 493 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:40,280 Speaker 1: years down the road because of number four, and that 494 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,679 Speaker 1: is college programs, in some cases, not just the player. 495 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 1: The program is about to learn the hard way how 496 00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 1: math works because a lot of them out there don't 497 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 1: seem to understand it at the moment. And maybe you 498 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:54,280 Speaker 1: don't understand it, but that's okay because you work nine 499 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,760 Speaker 1: to five as an accountant and you have a normal life. 500 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: You're not a head football coach. You're not in the 501 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:04,439 Speaker 1: exactutive department that's responsible for roster management for LSU or 502 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 1: for Oklahoma. Filling the blank. I'm not singling out those programs. 503 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:10,960 Speaker 1: I'm just mentioning the fact that there is something going 504 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,359 Speaker 1: on right now that you're about to see a tidal 505 00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:16,880 Speaker 1: wave of negative feedback from. Let me ask you, how 506 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:18,880 Speaker 1: do you think it works when you lose a guy. 507 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 1: Let's say let's say you're Tennessee and a guy walks 508 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:23,880 Speaker 1: out the door. Right now, Let's say you got seventy 509 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,960 Speaker 1: five kids on scholarship, and you're about to have a 510 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 1: class walk out the door. So, however many go to 511 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 1: the draft or graduate, all that's about to be accounted 512 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 1: for too. But let's say you got seventy five. That 513 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 1: means you're already ten below the threshold. Eighty five is 514 00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:38,679 Speaker 1: the max. So you got seventy five, you already got 515 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 1: a little bit of number situation on your hands. Let's say, 516 00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: even on top of all the kids you're going to 517 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: lose in any given year, let's say five of them 518 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 1: choose to transfer. In reality, the situation's worse at Tennessee. 519 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,200 Speaker 1: But let's say you have five of them that transfer out. 520 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 1: You just went from seventy five to seventy. Okay, Now 521 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 1: you may think to yourself, all right, well, let's just 522 00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,200 Speaker 1: go into the transfer portal ourselves, and then we'll pull 523 00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 1: five out of the transfer for a portal to fill 524 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 1: that spot. Then our next recruiting class of twenty five 525 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,600 Speaker 1: kids will come in and we'll be good. Right, it 526 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,760 Speaker 1: would be good if that were right, But that's not right, 527 00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:11,040 Speaker 1: because that's not the way the math works. You See, 528 00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,160 Speaker 1: here's the dirty secret that a lot of programs are 529 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,000 Speaker 1: starting to realize and starting to do the math on 530 00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 1: and go, WHOA, We're about to dig ourselves into a 531 00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 1: real deep poll. When those kids leave your program, you 532 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 1: don't get an extra scholarship in next year's recruiting class. 533 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,680 Speaker 1: So when Tennessee has five walk out the door, the 534 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:30,760 Speaker 1: number of kids you can take doesn't go from twenty 535 00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:33,480 Speaker 1: five to thirty. That'd be great. Then we wouldn't have 536 00:24:33,480 --> 00:24:35,679 Speaker 1: a numbers crunch on our hands. Now it stays at 537 00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 1: twenty five. Here's where it gets even more complex. When 538 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,479 Speaker 1: those five walk out the door, every transfer that you 539 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 1: take to fill those spots counts towards your twenty five 540 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,880 Speaker 1: cap for this year. You can only bring twenty five 541 00:24:47,880 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 1: of the men. So if I have five kids transfer 542 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: from Pete State and I bring five transfers in, that's wonderful. 543 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:58,000 Speaker 1: I can only take another twenty combine recruiting transfers. They 544 00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,880 Speaker 1: all count towards that same twenty five number. And quickly 545 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:05,159 Speaker 1: you see how that law of diminishing returns really starts 546 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 1: to ender the equation because you say, it doesn't matter 547 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,679 Speaker 1: if we have kids leave via the portal, We'll just 548 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: take them via the portal. That's great, they're gonna count. 549 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,679 Speaker 1: They're gonna count against that twenty five number. And so 550 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:18,080 Speaker 1: here's what's happening. What's happening is you've got the penny 551 00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:21,600 Speaker 1: wise pound foolish approach by some programs right now of 552 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,440 Speaker 1: putting basically the lawnmower over the weed. You got kids 553 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,440 Speaker 1: walking out via the portal. We'll take them via the portal. 554 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 1: But then they wonder, wait a second, where in the 555 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 1: world at all of our scholarships go, How come I'm 556 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 1: not being able to take a full class. You can't 557 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,480 Speaker 1: because you already took kids. And this is the huge 558 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,919 Speaker 1: loophole that I think maybe the NCAA needs to address. 559 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:42,560 Speaker 1: I was talking to someone in a very prominent athletic 560 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:44,879 Speaker 1: department about this the other day, and they were talking 561 00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 1: about the players being very foolish and not understanding right now, 562 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: when you go in the portal, let's say you got 563 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: two years left to play, what do you think a 564 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: college staff is going to do long term? Now, right 565 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,400 Speaker 1: in the immediacy, it's a problem, But long term, here's 566 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 1: what players are. Fine. If I go in the portal 567 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:04,280 Speaker 1: and let's say I'm a linebacker, I'm pretty good. I 568 00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,560 Speaker 1: just can't start where I was, But I'm pretty good. 569 00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,680 Speaker 1: I go on the transfer portal. I got two years 570 00:26:08,720 --> 00:26:10,560 Speaker 1: left to play, and I'm hoping that a program out 571 00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:12,719 Speaker 1: there will take me. Well, let's say that that staff 572 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: that's thinking about taking me has another high school prospect 573 00:26:15,640 --> 00:26:18,919 Speaker 1: that they roughly evaluates equal to me. Which one do 574 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:20,439 Speaker 1: you think they're taking? The one that can give them 575 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,119 Speaker 1: two years and count against their twenty five or the 576 00:26:23,160 --> 00:26:25,600 Speaker 1: one that could give them four years and count against 577 00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 1: their twenty five. That long term is what college staffs 578 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 1: are going to revert to because they don't want to 579 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:34,960 Speaker 1: dig themselves into the numbers peril that a lot of 580 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,800 Speaker 1: programs are right now. So here's what's gonna happen. They're 581 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,920 Speaker 1: gonna be even less and less opportunities for landing spots 582 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,720 Speaker 1: than there are now. There already aren't enough landing spots 583 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 1: for kids in the portal. There will be even less 584 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,960 Speaker 1: in the future because staffs will start to become wise 585 00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: to how math actually works. And so here's where I 586 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:56,399 Speaker 1: think it corrects itself. First off, that happens. Secondly, even 587 00:26:56,440 --> 00:26:57,959 Speaker 1: as it is now, a lot of kids are going 588 00:26:58,000 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 1: to crash and burn in the portal and never be 589 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 1: heard from again. But here's the critical third part. High 590 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,480 Speaker 1: school coaches, high school parents, and responsible college staffs. You 591 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,639 Speaker 1: have to make sure that high school kids are observing this. 592 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,720 Speaker 1: The only way it corrects itself is if they observe it. 593 00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:13,800 Speaker 1: One of my favorite Tracy Lawrence songs is lessons learned, 594 00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 1: and they sure run deep, they don't go away, and 595 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 1: they don't come cheap. That's the way it's got to 596 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:21,199 Speaker 1: work here. And if you will observe you don't have 597 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: to learn every lesson the hard way. You can let 598 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,359 Speaker 1: some kids before you learn it the hard way. And 599 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 1: then when you're sitting there and you're sitting up late 600 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,240 Speaker 1: at night staring at the ceiling and your dorm and 601 00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 1: practice has gone terrible and you're not where you want 602 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,200 Speaker 1: to be on the depth chart, it could be those 603 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,960 Speaker 1: lessons that other people learned that you observed that keep 604 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,040 Speaker 1: you on campus, and then you find out a year 605 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,120 Speaker 1: and a half later it's the best decision you ever made. 606 00:27:41,320 --> 00:27:44,159 Speaker 1: I'm not anti transfer, but please do it for the 607 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:47,040 Speaker 1: right reasons, and please have things thought through, and don't 608 00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:49,359 Speaker 1: let it be your Plan B. Transferring needs to be 609 00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 1: about Plan E or Plan F on the list, and 610 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:53,960 Speaker 1: there are other ways to go about it. That's what 611 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 1: I'm saying. So lessons are being learned from kids, and 612 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:02,200 Speaker 1: lessons are being learned from college staffs. The like how 613 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: do you make a million dollars if you're rated a 614 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,120 Speaker 1: two star player? Sounds like a sales pitch. It's not really, 615 00:28:07,160 --> 00:28:08,919 Speaker 1: because I'm not trying to sell anything tonight. I mean, 616 00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 1: I would like you to like the video, but that's 617 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 1: about it. So Bud Elliott put out a really interesting 618 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: article that he does yearly, but yesterday it kind of 619 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,840 Speaker 1: had a different flavor about it. It was how do 620 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,880 Speaker 1: you go from being a two star to a millionaire? Now? 621 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 1: The stars don't matter, crowd, they're still out there. And 622 00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: as I said on the Late Kick Extra podcast the 623 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 1: other day about something unrelated, it's stupid to say that 624 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:33,639 Speaker 1: star rankings don't matter. The industry in actuality has never 625 00:28:33,680 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 1: been more accurate than it is right now. That's not 626 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,240 Speaker 1: even an opinion. That's just fat. I'll back up. I'll 627 00:28:39,240 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 1: back it up with numbers in the second. It's not opinion, 628 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,320 Speaker 1: it's just fat. Now. As I said on the podcast, 629 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 1: smart people say stupid things all the time. Stupid people 630 00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: rarely say smart things. So there are some smart people 631 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 1: out there that are otherwise just ill informed, that will 632 00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,800 Speaker 1: walk up to you and say, star rankings don't matter, buddy. 633 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 1: It's a crapshoot out there. And you know how they know, 634 00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 1: because they've got the anecdotal example of Oh, let's say 635 00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 1: Peyton Turner who was a former two star and he 636 00:29:03,640 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: was drafted twenty eighth overall, first round. He went to 637 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 1: the Saints, so hey, his star rating didn't matter. Yeah, 638 00:29:08,640 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 1: that's right, okay for everyone, Peyton Turner. I got about 639 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:12,880 Speaker 1: four hundred and seventy five kids over here that would 640 00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 1: counter that, but by all means, you do you so. 641 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 1: One of the annual rights of passage one of my 642 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:22,480 Speaker 1: favorite traditions, unlike any other. It's like the Masters. Essentially 643 00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,840 Speaker 1: every year earls around. You get draft Day, and then 644 00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:27,960 Speaker 1: you get the first round that concludes, and then the 645 00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:31,440 Speaker 1: next morning, as the sun rises, you can set your 646 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 1: clock to it. Some fool out there is going to 647 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 1: make a very fancy looking graphic that they think says 648 00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,800 Speaker 1: one thing, but it really says another thing. And what 649 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,480 Speaker 1: it says, like this year, for example, was there were 650 00:29:44,840 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 1: X number of former five stars drafted, but there were 651 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: X number more former three stars drafted. And it sounds 652 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 1: good because here's the message you think you're selling at 653 00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,480 Speaker 1: three stars. Three Look, more three stars got drafted in 654 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,760 Speaker 1: the first round than five stars. What does that mean? Well, 655 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: there's what it probably means. In the twenty seventeen recruiting cycle, 656 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 1: let's just use that one. There were thirty three five 657 00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:09,239 Speaker 1: star kids, and in the twenty seventeen recruiting cycle there 658 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:12,959 Speaker 1: were oney eight hundred and fifty three star kids. So 659 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: what do we think is going to happen with those numbers? 660 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:18,640 Speaker 1: And now, when we actually look back, the graphic that 661 00:30:18,720 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: was making the rounds the other day said twenty former 662 00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:25,120 Speaker 1: five stars win in the draft, one hundred and twelve 663 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 1: former three stars win in the draft. And the evidence 664 00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 1: here is obviously more three stars than five stars. Star 665 00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: rankings don't matter. And then there's this ugly world called 666 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,520 Speaker 1: percentages that works its way into the equation or common sense. 667 00:30:37,560 --> 00:30:39,600 Speaker 1: You can pick anyone of them you want to. So 668 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 1: how about this little side note if you want to 669 00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: have some context provided, And this is like being in 670 00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 1: a cave and someone turns on the flashlight. Finally, twenty 671 00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:53,440 Speaker 1: three of thirty three five stars were drafted in that class. 672 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 1: Let's just take twenty seventeen twenty three. Out of the 673 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 1: thirty three they got drafted, thirteen of them win in 674 00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:00,760 Speaker 1: the first two rounds. Eight of them them win in 675 00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,200 Speaker 1: the first round. Here's how the math works out. If 676 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 1: you're a former four or five star rated player in 677 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:09,840 Speaker 1: the modern day, not nineteen ninety four, in the modern 678 00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 1: age of recruiting, if you are ranked a former four 679 00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 1: or five star recruit, you are about thirty times more 680 00:31:15,480 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: likely to be a first rounder than if you were 681 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 1: rated three star or less. That doesn't mean you ain't 682 00:31:20,480 --> 00:31:23,520 Speaker 1: got a shot. It just means people assigning these star 683 00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: rankings they actually know what they're talking about. I sit 684 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:29,280 Speaker 1: in on the call sometimes I listen to it. This 685 00:31:29,360 --> 00:31:31,320 Speaker 1: is not a crapshoot at all. There is no dark 686 00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: board involved. There are people on the road this weekend. 687 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: We got a whole army of folks. They're kind of 688 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: doing it unceremoniously. They're on the road every weekend. These 689 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 1: dudes are in camps across the country right now, putting 690 00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 1: eyeballs on kids you won't even know the name of 691 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,880 Speaker 1: until twenty twenty four or twenty twenty five. They're doing 692 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:49,959 Speaker 1: their due diligence. They know the families, they know the coaches, 693 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 1: they know the guidance counselors, and they know the kids themselves. 694 00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:54,720 Speaker 1: They get eyeballs on them, in some cases a dozen 695 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 1: times before the final star rating for their actual class 696 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 1: goes in. It's a sign. Now doesn't mean there aren't holes, 697 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 1: but really they're not holes anymore. They're these little tiny cracks. 698 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 1: So it's still possible. Okay. My message is not if 699 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,400 Speaker 1: you've got a three star rating, give up on life. 700 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:12,520 Speaker 1: Quite the opposite, I think. I don't know if this 701 00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 1: is a bad word to use. I don't know. Okay, 702 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: if it is, forgive me director Emeritis Colin, you can 703 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 1: be in charge. The entire process of looking at a 704 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,400 Speaker 1: three star player has been totally bastardized from what it 705 00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,240 Speaker 1: was supposed to be at the outset. Bad anyway, Okay, okay, 706 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 1: So the three star player is still, by the very definition, 707 00:32:31,440 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 1: supposed to be a guy who has NFL potential. Somehow, 708 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:36,600 Speaker 1: somewhere along the way it got turned into if you're 709 00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 1: a three star, and it's kind of bording on scrub territory. No, 710 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: it's not. That's not how twenty four to seven Sports 711 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:42,760 Speaker 1: looks at it at all. There are a lot of 712 00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,560 Speaker 1: really good three star players every single year. If you 713 00:32:45,600 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 1: weren't good, you wouldn't have three stars next to your name, 714 00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: is the whole point. But Bud Elliott goes a step further, 715 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: so he puts this piece out. It's still on twenty 716 00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:55,160 Speaker 1: four to seven sports dot Com, and he was examining 717 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 1: taking the players who were rated two stars or less 718 00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 1: and taking those who were rated two stars or less 719 00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:03,800 Speaker 1: that ended up getting drafted in the top one hundred 720 00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 1: picks of this last NFL draft, and asking how did 721 00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:08,880 Speaker 1: it happen? Because we do a lot of self assessment 722 00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,479 Speaker 1: around here after every NFL draft, and some of these 723 00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:14,239 Speaker 1: kids end up going very high in the draft that 724 00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: we had rated two stars or less, and you want 725 00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 1: to do quality control and find out what did we miss. 726 00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,360 Speaker 1: Where'd this kid come from? Did he live in the 727 00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 1: Arctic and transfer somewhere mid mid college? Well, what you 728 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,239 Speaker 1: find is there's some common themes. So I'm reading this 729 00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:31,200 Speaker 1: from Bud, and he's taken all the folks that were 730 00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,320 Speaker 1: rated two stars or less that end up going top 731 00:33:33,360 --> 00:33:35,920 Speaker 1: one hundred let's say in this last draft, and you 732 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 1: got about seven common themes, and chances are if a 733 00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:41,280 Speaker 1: kid was rated two stars or less and he's going 734 00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:44,720 Speaker 1: top one hundred, it was either because of academic issues 735 00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: in high school, which kind of pushes him off your radar. 736 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 1: Maybe football not being the primary sport that the kid 737 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,959 Speaker 1: played in high school. How about being from a foreign country, 738 00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 1: which is happening more and more now. Maybe you were 739 00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:00,200 Speaker 1: a full year younger than your peer group, you were 740 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 1: kind of playing up and therefore you were a little 741 00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,560 Speaker 1: bit off the radar. This is the most popular, the 742 00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:07,360 Speaker 1: huge growth spurt in college, which I always try and 743 00:34:07,360 --> 00:34:10,399 Speaker 1: hammer home, especially for linemen. You know, some kids tend 744 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 1: to not be fully physically developed by the time they're seventeen. 745 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,919 Speaker 1: I know that's a shot, but some kids are still 746 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,600 Speaker 1: physically developing when they're eighteen to nineteen years old. So 747 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 1: you could have that which you cannot possibly plan for. 748 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:23,840 Speaker 1: Or maybe a kid was injured in high school so 749 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,000 Speaker 1: you never got really good looks at him. Or how 750 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,759 Speaker 1: about he had multiple high school transfers. So this is 751 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,760 Speaker 1: not really excuse making. It's just if you are using 752 00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 1: this for future reference, this could be where the rubber 753 00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: meets the road. He could be in a tiny high 754 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:40,760 Speaker 1: school like. That kind of stuff still happens. So Bud 755 00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 1: compiles the list, and there were a few of them, 756 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 1: not many, but there were a few. This is fascinating 757 00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:48,279 Speaker 1: because sure enough you go to Peyton Turner, former two 758 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,800 Speaker 1: star kid, drafted first round. Peyton Turner played at Houston 759 00:34:51,840 --> 00:34:54,280 Speaker 1: defensive end and he goes to the New Orleans Saints 760 00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:56,719 Speaker 1: twenty eighth overall, first round of the draft. So then 761 00:34:56,760 --> 00:34:59,120 Speaker 1: you start diving in. Well, all right, Bud, what happened there? 762 00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:01,919 Speaker 1: Peyton Turner comes out of high school, he's six five, 763 00:35:02,040 --> 00:35:05,279 Speaker 1: two seventeen, he just got drafted. He was still sixty five, 764 00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:09,120 Speaker 1: he weighed two hundred and eighty nine pounds. What percentage 765 00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,520 Speaker 1: body size did Peyton Turner add when he was in college? 766 00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:14,400 Speaker 1: That stuff happens. How long ward are you going to 767 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:16,840 Speaker 1: project a guy adding what is that? It's like seventy 768 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,480 Speaker 1: pounds or something like that. Who projects that? You'd be 769 00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:21,279 Speaker 1: out of a job, As Bud pointed out, you'd be 770 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,400 Speaker 1: out of a job if you said, you know what, 771 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:27,720 Speaker 1: that kid's got seventy pound edition written all over his forehead, 772 00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 1: So let's just bump him up to a four star. 773 00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,560 Speaker 1: What about Richie Grant? Richie Grant from Central Florida, a 774 00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:36,280 Speaker 1: defensive back. He goes second round to the Falcons. Richie 775 00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:39,759 Speaker 1: Grant goes to the Falcons as a two hundred pound 776 00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,680 Speaker 1: defensive back. Richie Grant came out of high school as 777 00:35:42,719 --> 00:35:45,279 Speaker 1: a one hundred and sixty five pound wide receiver. So 778 00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,359 Speaker 1: not only do we have a thirty five pound weight gain, 779 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:51,640 Speaker 1: we have a position change in college. These are things. 780 00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 1: These are parameters that clearly you are not projecting when 781 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,560 Speaker 1: you're watching him in high school. Dylan rattit's from North 782 00:35:57,600 --> 00:36:00,000 Speaker 1: Dakota State. Really good one here too. He's an offensive lineman. 783 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:02,840 Speaker 1: He goes in the second round to the Tennessee Titans. 784 00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,480 Speaker 1: He's drafted as a three hundred and five pound offensive lineman. 785 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 1: Great good for Richie or Dylan Bather. He exit high 786 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:12,240 Speaker 1: school as a two hundred and sixty five pound defensive lineman, 787 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 1: again adding huge body size and position change. Also, no 788 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:20,480 Speaker 1: kid had been drafted from his high school. Or how 789 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,200 Speaker 1: about this, no kid had even gotten an FBS or 790 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 1: FCS offer from his high school in a decade. It 791 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,280 Speaker 1: was like a town of four thousand some odd people. 792 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:33,120 Speaker 1: So yeah, kind of got overlooked there. Whoopsies and lastly, 793 00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:36,480 Speaker 1: but not least, Brady Christensen, offensive lineman out at Brigham 794 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,480 Speaker 1: Young two hundred and forty five pounds in high school, 795 00:36:39,680 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 1: drafted three hundred and five pounds. He added twenty five 796 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,400 Speaker 1: percent of his total body in college. That's a quarter. 797 00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:48,319 Speaker 1: I had stats in Info, run the numbers. It turns 798 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:51,080 Speaker 1: out twenty five percent is right at a quarter of 799 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,560 Speaker 1: your body. Most of you would have to cut off 800 00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:55,560 Speaker 1: a leg and a half to equate for a quarter 801 00:36:55,560 --> 00:36:57,799 Speaker 1: of your body. And this kid just added that. I'm 802 00:36:57,840 --> 00:36:59,160 Speaker 1: not telling you he played with three and a half 803 00:36:59,239 --> 00:37:02,120 Speaker 1: legs at Brigham Young. Mind you, although they are incredible athletes, 804 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:05,160 Speaker 1: I'm telling you no one foresaw that. So this is 805 00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,160 Speaker 1: very interesting. I would encourage you because there are several 806 00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:09,200 Speaker 1: more examples. I just cherry picked four. There are several 807 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:13,840 Speaker 1: more examples of how you go from maybe being a 808 00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:16,479 Speaker 1: two star guy off the radar to boom right front 809 00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,319 Speaker 1: and center NFL Draft. All right, I want to wrap 810 00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,799 Speaker 1: it up with this. There are some key transfers, many 811 00:37:21,840 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 1: that we've already talked about, but there are some transfers 812 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:25,680 Speaker 1: that we have not talked a whole lot about on 813 00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,239 Speaker 1: the show. And when I'm circling these key transfers. I 814 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:29,840 Speaker 1: want to talk about guys who are maybe going to 815 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,160 Speaker 1: change division races. Here's where you can cut it in Colin. 816 00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:34,840 Speaker 1: How about some key transfers that are going to decide 817 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 1: division races potentially this year. Tyke Smith the first one 818 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 1: I want to touch on. He went from West Virginia 819 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 1: to Georgia, and I did not get to talk about 820 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:43,440 Speaker 1: this when a whole lot when it happened because we 821 00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:46,280 Speaker 1: had other news breaking that week. This is a huge 822 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 1: integral priest for Georgia's defense and he's going to play nickel. 823 00:37:50,280 --> 00:37:53,640 Speaker 1: So if you are maybe unfamiliar with the name Tyke Smith, 824 00:37:53,719 --> 00:37:56,839 Speaker 1: or you didn't watch much West Virginia football, then you're 825 00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:58,840 Speaker 1: probably I don't know ninety percent of the audience to 826 00:37:58,840 --> 00:38:01,360 Speaker 1: be honest with you, but you may be asking yourself, 827 00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:03,000 Speaker 1: what are you talking about. He's not even a true 828 00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:04,920 Speaker 1: number one corner. He's just a nickel. Why in the 829 00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:09,680 Speaker 1: world would a nickel potentially be a deciding factor in 830 00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:11,839 Speaker 1: a division race or a conference race. Well, i'll tell 831 00:38:11,840 --> 00:38:13,800 Speaker 1: you number one, because he's going to a really good team. 832 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,040 Speaker 1: Number two he's gonna be a plug and play type. 833 00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:19,279 Speaker 1: And number three if you listen to folks close to 834 00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: West Virginia or if you watched him last year, Neil 835 00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:24,880 Speaker 1: Brown had him do everything man, so he's very well prepared. 836 00:38:24,920 --> 00:38:27,080 Speaker 1: He was like the Swiss Army Knife in their secondary. 837 00:38:27,239 --> 00:38:30,399 Speaker 1: Very smart player, very instinctive, physically gifted. But here's why 838 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:32,359 Speaker 1: it's so big for Georgia. You don't have to guess 839 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:35,040 Speaker 1: what you're getting from and first off, secondly, Georgia is 840 00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:38,920 Speaker 1: ultra green. They are like Granny Smith, apple green, but 841 00:38:39,160 --> 00:38:42,000 Speaker 1: very talented in their secondary. So here's what they're gonna 842 00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:43,920 Speaker 1: have to do. They're gonna have to be worried about 843 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,800 Speaker 1: not only compounding a lot of those kids from the 844 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: neck up with how we want you to play corner 845 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:51,080 Speaker 1: at Georgia. You're gonna have to cross train some of 846 00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,640 Speaker 1: them at that nickel spot, and not that you don't 847 00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:55,480 Speaker 1: still cross train them, but you're not gonna have to 848 00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:57,600 Speaker 1: count on one of them to potentially start for you. 849 00:38:57,800 --> 00:39:00,319 Speaker 1: That would be more a product of injury at this point. Again, 850 00:39:00,320 --> 00:39:03,120 Speaker 1: if Tyke Smith stays healthy, it's a non factor. That's 851 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,319 Speaker 1: why it's huge. It's one of those tumblers that when 852 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,840 Speaker 1: it falls into place, hopefully everything else in your defensive 853 00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:09,840 Speaker 1: back room falls into place, and maybe you're not a 854 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:12,399 Speaker 1: finished product in week one, but maybe when you see 855 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:15,200 Speaker 1: Georgia maximize whatever it is they're going to be this year, 856 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 1: it's fifteen percent better, twenty percent better than what you 857 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,920 Speaker 1: thought it could be because that piece, ironically at Nickel 858 00:39:21,440 --> 00:39:23,680 Speaker 1: ended up panning out and everything else just kind of 859 00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 1: fell into place. Jamison Williams haven't been able to talk 860 00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:29,160 Speaker 1: about this one yet either. The wide receiver transferring from 861 00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:32,279 Speaker 1: Ohio State to Alabama. I asked a round with some 862 00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:35,839 Speaker 1: folks who are close to Alabama last night and they said, Yep, 863 00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:38,680 Speaker 1: the hype is real, and by hype I mean plug 864 00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,480 Speaker 1: and play. He's going to walk into Alabama and you know, 865 00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:44,600 Speaker 1: probably be penciled in to be a starter for them. 866 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,360 Speaker 1: I want to caution so I think a lot of 867 00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,680 Speaker 1: people have looked at this move and they said, well, 868 00:39:49,719 --> 00:39:52,120 Speaker 1: Alabama would not be bringing this kid in if they 869 00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:55,120 Speaker 1: weren't kind of scared of what they have or don't 870 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:57,080 Speaker 1: have it wide receiver right now. I don't think that's 871 00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,440 Speaker 1: the word to use at all. What I think they 872 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:02,040 Speaker 1: saw is a quality player out there and the opportunity 873 00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:03,760 Speaker 1: to get him. They recruited him out of high school, 874 00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:08,000 Speaker 1: so they want him. He's got speed, probably better speed 875 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,000 Speaker 1: than anybody they have in their stable right now. It's 876 00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:11,839 Speaker 1: going to be very, very good. So he's got that. 877 00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:14,680 Speaker 1: I'm not going to compare him to Waddle, but that factor, 878 00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:17,600 Speaker 1: that kind of speed, that kind of juice, he's got that. 879 00:40:17,880 --> 00:40:19,920 Speaker 1: Probably not the most physical guy in the world, but 880 00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 1: he's got the kind of speed element you want. But 881 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:25,080 Speaker 1: here's the other aspect. They have immense confidence in these 882 00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,440 Speaker 1: young receivers they have coming in. You saw Hall in 883 00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:30,080 Speaker 1: the spring game. You haven't even seen Christian Leary yet, 884 00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:32,480 Speaker 1: you haven't seen Jojo Early yet. They're all going to 885 00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:35,040 Speaker 1: be studs, but they're all very young. And so what 886 00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:37,480 Speaker 1: they're probably asking down there is Number one, why turn 887 00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:40,120 Speaker 1: it away if we can have it. Number Two, they're saying, 888 00:40:41,440 --> 00:40:42,600 Speaker 1: what if we're not where we want to be in 889 00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 1: a week one? What if as we rub our magic 890 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:48,200 Speaker 1: eight ball, it says receiver rooms not really going to 891 00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,800 Speaker 1: hit stride into week eight. Well, this helps that a 892 00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 1: whole lot. And so I really don't think it's a 893 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:54,880 Speaker 1: cause for concern at all. I think Alabama's gonna have 894 00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:56,839 Speaker 1: one of the better receiver rooms in the country this year. 895 00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:58,759 Speaker 1: It may be a I know this is going to 896 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:00,919 Speaker 1: shock you. It may be a step or two off 897 00:41:01,120 --> 00:41:03,719 Speaker 1: from having Jalen Waddle and Henry Ruggs and Jerry Judy 898 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,200 Speaker 1: and DeVante Smith. But I still think it's going to 899 00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,719 Speaker 1: be really good. Charlie Brewer is the name I talked 900 00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:11,440 Speaker 1: about briefly, but I wanted to revisit this because this 901 00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:14,319 Speaker 1: one's really underrated. This is a kid who went from 902 00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:18,080 Speaker 1: Baylor to Utah, and maybe he's off your radar too, 903 00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:19,640 Speaker 1: but this is going to have an impact on the 904 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 1: PAC twelve South. You mark my words, Charlie Brewer. I 905 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:24,920 Speaker 1: don't know if you realize this, you Baylor fans do. 906 00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:29,320 Speaker 1: He owns the all time completions and touchdowns record at Baylor. 907 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,120 Speaker 1: He started there since like twenty ten. It feels like 908 00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:34,839 Speaker 1: he's been there forever. I think he could literally, he's 909 00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:37,320 Speaker 1: probably close to being at that retirement age and collecting 910 00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:39,000 Speaker 1: a lot of benefits from the state of Texas, so 911 00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:41,560 Speaker 1: he's been there for a long time. But then last 912 00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,839 Speaker 1: year happens, and not only are they replacing an entire 913 00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:46,840 Speaker 1: coaching staff. Of course, you know you got the pandemic, 914 00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:48,800 Speaker 1: so you don't get a lot of spring or any spring, 915 00:41:48,960 --> 00:41:51,120 Speaker 1: and then the season was thrown for a loop because 916 00:41:51,160 --> 00:41:53,960 Speaker 1: they got gutted. Man. They had games thrown all over 917 00:41:54,000 --> 00:41:58,040 Speaker 1: the place, they had postponements. Baylor got hit hard and 918 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 1: it never clicked for him last year. So Charlie Brewer says, 919 00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,400 Speaker 1: I'm going to go to Utah. Kyle Whittingham's out there. 920 00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,319 Speaker 1: It's a proven system, it's a contending team, it is 921 00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,640 Speaker 1: a workable quarterback situation. They've got Cam Rising there, but 922 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:11,680 Speaker 1: I think Charlie Brewer probably walks in and is the 923 00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,080 Speaker 1: starting quarterback. Think he went like fifteen for fifteen in 924 00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:16,399 Speaker 1: the spring game. If there's one thing history has taught us, 925 00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:19,600 Speaker 1: it is to completely base your expectations off the spring game. 926 00:42:20,000 --> 00:42:23,800 Speaker 1: So Utah against the world, Utah by ninety. But in reality, 927 00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:27,680 Speaker 1: Charlie Brewer at Utah could very well be the lynchpin 928 00:42:27,760 --> 00:42:30,520 Speaker 1: and the deciding factor in the PAC twelve South race. 929 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,839 Speaker 1: This could actually be a guy that decides which team 930 00:42:33,920 --> 00:42:36,680 Speaker 1: shows up in that PAC twelve championship game. That's how pivotal, 931 00:42:36,719 --> 00:42:39,120 Speaker 1: that's how important a role I think he'll play at Utah. 932 00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 1: And finally, Ty Chandler, we've talked a lot about Eric 933 00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:49,400 Speaker 1: Gray transferring from Tennessee going to Oklahoma. Ty Chandler also transferring, 934 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,040 Speaker 1: but he's not going west. He's headed east, head east, 935 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:54,879 Speaker 1: young man, and he's going to North Carolina. I had 936 00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,360 Speaker 1: a good old fashioned, well placed source reach out the 937 00:42:57,440 --> 00:42:59,600 Speaker 1: other day and tell me out all these transfers that 938 00:42:59,640 --> 00:43:03,680 Speaker 1: have happened, and so ty Chandler to North Carolina may 939 00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:07,040 Speaker 1: be one of the most underrated perfect fits of any 940 00:43:07,120 --> 00:43:10,680 Speaker 1: kid that's moved anywhere this cycle. So far. Ty Chandler 941 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,919 Speaker 1: is looked at as a perfect puzzle piece for Phil 942 00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:17,840 Speaker 1: Longo's offense. Fits right in is the absolute mold for 943 00:43:17,880 --> 00:43:20,280 Speaker 1: what they want in a tailback there if you'll watch, 944 00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:23,279 Speaker 1: whether it be Clyde Edwards Laire in twenty nineteen or 945 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 1: Naja Harris in twenty twenty. Now these are stud running backs, obviously, 946 00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:28,759 Speaker 1: but I'm asking you think about the skill set. What 947 00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,040 Speaker 1: can they do? They can pick up tough yards between 948 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:32,959 Speaker 1: the tackles if you need them to, but they're also 949 00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:36,719 Speaker 1: excellent swing options in the receiving game. Out of the backfield. 950 00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:39,040 Speaker 1: You don't give up one to get the other. Ty 951 00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,279 Speaker 1: Chandler in the proper offense, and I would not ever 952 00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:44,319 Speaker 1: mistake what he was playing in at Tennessee. As the 953 00:43:44,320 --> 00:43:47,880 Speaker 1: proper offense, ty Chandler in the proper offense can be 954 00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:50,040 Speaker 1: not only a difference maker, but it can be one 955 00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:51,800 Speaker 1: of those guys that makes you turn on the TV 956 00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,840 Speaker 1: Saturday about week four and say, Wow, I didn't know 957 00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:57,479 Speaker 1: ty Chandler was that good. And whole North Carolina looks 958 00:43:57,480 --> 00:43:59,680 Speaker 1: like a real threat. Kind of go hand in hand there. 959 00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:05,000 Speaker 1: So Jamison Williams, Tyke Smith, Charlie Brewer, ty Chandler, don't 960 00:44:05,080 --> 00:44:07,759 Speaker 1: be caught off guard in week two asking where these 961 00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:10,200 Speaker 1: guys came from. Jesse's showing you a lot of the 962 00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:11,879 Speaker 1: names that we have an eye on here if you're 963 00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:14,319 Speaker 1: watching on YouTube, I mean Wandell Morris. We talked about 964 00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,640 Speaker 1: him earlier tonight. DeMarcus Bowman down at Florida. But there 965 00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:21,840 Speaker 1: are so many names. These aren't just these fringe number 966 00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,319 Speaker 1: eighty three, eighty four, and eighty five type guys on 967 00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:26,680 Speaker 1: your roster that are going somewhere else to ride a bench. 968 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:29,719 Speaker 1: Tyreek Stevenson could be a first round draft pick for 969 00:44:29,800 --> 00:44:31,640 Speaker 1: all we know from Miami. So there are a lot 970 00:44:31,680 --> 00:44:34,600 Speaker 1: of impact names and inevitably, and that's the fun of 971 00:44:34,640 --> 00:44:35,800 Speaker 1: this because we don't know where it's going to be. 972 00:44:36,120 --> 00:44:40,320 Speaker 1: But inevitably someone's division race, or maybe several someone's division 973 00:44:40,440 --> 00:44:43,880 Speaker 1: races are going to be decided by kids who were transfers. 974 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:45,719 Speaker 1: It's just the way college football is going to be. 975 00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 1: You don't have to like it. I'm not telling you 976 00:44:47,840 --> 00:44:49,880 Speaker 1: what your opinion should be on this. I'm just telling you, 977 00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:52,520 Speaker 1: if you want to, if it makes you sleep better 978 00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:55,280 Speaker 1: at night, just don't pay attention to the transfer portal 979 00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:56,920 Speaker 1: and just watch the teams for what they are in 980 00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:59,279 Speaker 1: the fall. Having said that, don't abandon the show. We 981 00:44:59,320 --> 00:45:01,239 Speaker 1: need you on the show. But if you just rather 982 00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,200 Speaker 1: ignore the transfer portal, that's fine. If you want to 983 00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:05,839 Speaker 1: hit mute, you can hit mute, but stay tuned into 984 00:45:05,840 --> 00:45:07,279 Speaker 1: the show. And thank you so much for doing that. 985 00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:11,320 Speaker 1: So again, I want to remind you follow me on Instagram. 986 00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:13,080 Speaker 1: Got a lot of fun things planned over there at 987 00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:15,680 Speaker 1: late Kickjosh. Anyone who wants to book a Zoom consultation. 988 00:45:16,040 --> 00:45:18,960 Speaker 1: Extremely proud, bordering on being able to announce some things 989 00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:20,880 Speaker 1: for some people that have already gone through that with 990 00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:23,560 Speaker 1: me and are ready to launch their own ventures or 991 00:45:23,600 --> 00:45:29,040 Speaker 1: be hired in some cases by reputable media organizations really 992 00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:30,880 Speaker 1: fun and proud to even be able to play a 993 00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:32,440 Speaker 1: small part in that. If you want to book one 994 00:45:32,480 --> 00:45:35,000 Speaker 1: of those at late Kickjosh or you can just email 995 00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:38,560 Speaker 1: me Josh pat seven zero six at gmail dot com. 996 00:45:38,680 --> 00:45:40,839 Speaker 1: Good solid forty five minutes tonight, so thank you so much. 997 00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,520 Speaker 1: We'll be back live Sunday night. Until then for Director 998 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,240 Speaker 1: Emeritus Colin Jesse, the entire crew in Connecticut. I'm Josh 999 00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:48,400 Speaker 1: Pate signing off. Have a great rest of your evening 1000 00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:49,360 Speaker 1: and God bless you.