1 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:20,079 Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. It is Championship Saturday, the Daily Juice Podcast. 2 00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me 3 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:27,000 Speaker 1: across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matton. Unfortunately, 4 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 1: our little mini heater came to an end last night, 5 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: a one and two night for us. We get too 6 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: Lane correct, UNLV wrong, the over did not come in 7 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: from North Texas and for Tulane clearly the quarterback news 8 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: for Boise was the difference in that football game. So 9 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 1: that's just one of those things where I really did 10 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 1: not think that Matt tum was going to play. I 11 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: was told he wasn't going to play, even though people 12 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 1: were saying he was going to. I was told that 13 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: his foot injury was going to keep him out. He played, 14 00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: He played really well, and so that's just one of 15 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: those things we just live and learn and move on. 16 00:01:02,720 --> 00:01:05,039 Speaker 1: It was a bad bet, my bad on that. So 17 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: one in two we're still up for the week. So 18 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 1: we're doing fine heading to Saturday and Sunday. Now I 19 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: am going to do a Discord channel chat. It's the 20 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: last one of twenty twenty five for the college football season. Okay, 21 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: I'll do one more if you guys want to chit 22 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: chat and hang out and talk, we can do that. 23 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 1: There are really four games to talk about. It's not 24 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 1: like there's a gigantic slate of games to get into. 25 00:01:31,440 --> 00:01:35,039 Speaker 1: I don't expect much line movement. There may be an 26 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: injury or two to talk about, but there's not really 27 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: a gigantic amount of information to go through. So we'll 28 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: go for like twenty minutes or so, and then once 29 00:01:45,680 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 1: we kind of get to the point where. 30 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 2: We're good, well, we're good. 31 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 1: I mean, we can talk UFC a bit. If you 32 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: guys want to get into some UFC conversations for what 33 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 1: will happen on Saturday night, we can do that. If 34 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: you want to spend some time talking about the NFL, 35 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: we can do that. 36 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 2: So, like it's just we're going to. 37 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: Start it at eight o'clock Pacific time, eleven am Eastern 38 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: and we'll go for I don't know, thirty forty minutes 39 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:10,799 Speaker 1: or so, and then we'll wrap it for the final 40 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:14,800 Speaker 1: time for twenty twenty five. The final Discord channel chat 41 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 1: happening at eight o'clock in the morning Pacific eleven am 42 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: Eastern time on the Betting pros Discord channel. To get there, 43 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 1: it's bettingpros dot Com slash chat to get in. 44 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 2: I look forward to seeing. 45 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 1: Each and every one of you guys coming up here 46 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: for our Discord channel chat later this morning at eight 47 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: o'clock Pacific am eleven am Eastern to go over Championship Saturday. Now, 48 00:02:39,600 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: before I give you the bets for today, a reminder 49 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,960 Speaker 1: about our friends at hard Rock Bet. 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I think BYU can keep 71 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,040 Speaker 1: it close against Texas Tech. I know they got blown 72 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:58,600 Speaker 1: out in the game in Lubbock, but I do think 73 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: they have a chance to keep the game really actively close. 74 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: BYU has to win to get into the college football playoffs. 75 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: I expect them to throw everything at Texas Tech, kitchen, 76 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: sink and whatnot. It doesn't matter if they lose. It 77 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: only matters if they win. I think Tech wins, but 78 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,720 Speaker 1: I don't think Tech covers. So we're going to take 79 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: the thirteen points with BYU. Now, do you have the 80 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:28,840 Speaker 1: Georgia to win the SEC ticket? It's plus three sixty. 81 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: I had to go and check it. It's one of 82 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: the few bets I wasn't really aware of the odds. 83 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 1: I thought it was three twenty five. It's actually three sixty. Okay, 84 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: we have a one unit play to win three point 85 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 1: six units. 86 00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 2: So this is what I do. 87 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: If you want to let it ride, by all means 88 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: let it ride, okay, But this is a money line 89 00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 1: bet that could win us three point six units on Georgia. 90 00:04:56,160 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 2: Now I hedge. You could hedge in game. 91 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:01,760 Speaker 1: You can wait for the game to kick off and 92 00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: you can watch the game and see how it plays out. 93 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 2: Before you do anything. Or you can go pre flop. 94 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: And because this podcast I don't do in game betting 95 00:05:10,839 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 1: for podcasts, this is a pre pre game pre flop podcast, 96 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 1: we hedge. So get the best odds on Alabama that 97 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 1: you can find. The best odds I could find were 98 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: or plus one ten. So what are we gonna do. 99 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:32,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna put down more than one unit. If Georgia wins, 100 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: it's three point six units we have to play with, okay, 101 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 1: So how much are we willing to give back in 102 00:05:39,160 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: order to guarantee ourselves profit in case Georgia loses Alabama's 103 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:47,800 Speaker 1: plus one ten. I'm gonna put one point five units 104 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: down on this, okay, So if Alabama wins, we're gonna 105 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,159 Speaker 1: wind up getting one point sixty five units back from 106 00:05:56,320 --> 00:06:01,680 Speaker 1: that bet. That is a bet that you can look 107 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 1: at to hedge and you can get involved. Remember, we're 108 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: going to give a unit back, okay, So we have 109 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: to go a little bit more just to make sure 110 00:06:10,680 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 1: we guarantee profit. Okay, We're not gonna if Bama wins, 111 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: will win point six five units, because we're gonna give 112 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: a unit back for the loss betting on Georgia. On 113 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:24,799 Speaker 1: the flip side, if Georgia wins, it's three point six units, 114 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: We're gonna give one point five units. 115 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:28,919 Speaker 2: Back on Alabama. 116 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: So that's gonna cut it down to basically two point 117 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 1: one units. Okay, So we want Georgia to win. If 118 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: Georgia wins, we win two point one units. If you 119 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: don't want to hedge and you just want to let 120 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: it ride, or you want to hedge in game, by 121 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:45,920 Speaker 1: all means do that. 122 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 2: Okay. 123 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: You don't have to follow what I am doing. I'm 124 00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 1: just I need to bet enough so we make money. 125 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: I just want to make a little bit for my time. 126 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: I don't want to lose money. 127 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:56,600 Speaker 2: I want to guarantee profit. 128 00:06:56,960 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna guarantee a win here by betting on 129 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 1: Alabama at plus one ten for one point five units, Okay, 130 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: and if that comes back we should be good, and 131 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: that's a you know, it's it's it's a one point 132 00:07:10,840 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: sixty five unit win for us. We're gonna give a 133 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: unit back on the other side cause the Georgia, So 134 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:16,080 Speaker 1: it's point sixty five units. 135 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:20,679 Speaker 2: And then if you go and have Georgia win, they're. 136 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 1: Gonna give one point five units back after the three 137 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: point six units, and it's gonna wind up being two 138 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: point one units that will win. So I'm I'm someone 139 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,080 Speaker 1: who likes to mitigate risk. I want to guarantee ourselves 140 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: profit on this game. I want to kick my heels 141 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: up and watch it. And if I know I've got 142 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: plus plus already on both sides in game, I can 143 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 1: play around. I can take different positions in game if 144 00:07:42,160 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: I want halftime, after the first quarter or whatever it 145 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 1: might be. So for Alabama Georgia in the SEC Championship game, 146 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:54,600 Speaker 1: this only applies if you have the Georgia bet from 147 00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: this summer. Okay, we bet at this summer. There are 148 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: some people that say hedge for gardeners and they're going 149 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: to let it ride for three point six units. And 150 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: I do not knock you for doing that. Okay, not 151 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: in the lease. You're a gambler. I'm a gambler, but 152 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: I like to mitigate risk. I like to try to 153 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: figure out to guarantee myself that if we win the 154 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: Virginia or if we win the BYU game and we 155 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:21,720 Speaker 1: win our other bet, which we'll get to in a second, 156 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 1: you win those bets having a really good day. Okay, 157 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: that's the goal. You want to leave it, let it 158 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 1: ride with Georgia, Go ahead, I'm pulling for Georgia. I 159 00:08:32,360 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 1: would love to see us win two units or two 160 00:08:34,040 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: plus units on this would be tremendous. I just want 161 00:08:36,960 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: to guarantee that we didn't just sit on that ticket 162 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 1: for nothing, that we can guarantee profit. So we're going 163 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 1: BYU plus thirteen Alabama money line at plus one ten 164 00:08:47,200 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 1: for the hedge at one point five units. Now, the 165 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:55,760 Speaker 1: other bet is Virginia against Duke in the ACC Championship. 166 00:08:56,240 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 2: Here is the thing. 167 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: If if Virginia loses to Duke, Duke is in Duke 168 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:12,679 Speaker 1: gets the automatic qualifier, it creates a massive problem because 169 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,839 Speaker 1: of the fact that the committee is going to have 170 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: to put Virginia into this bracket. How do they do that? 171 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 1: Sorry Duke into this bracket? How do they do that? 172 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: Twelve eleven. Where are they against Tulane? Where is Duke 173 00:09:29,559 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: in this? Because TWU lane is in? Is Duke the 174 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: twelve seed? 175 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,959 Speaker 2: In two lanes? The eleven seed? Is that how we're 176 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:37,319 Speaker 2: going to do it? Then? 177 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: What do you do if BYU beats Texas Tech? 178 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 2: BYU beats Texas. 179 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 1: Tech, Oh my gosh, now we're into and an Alabama 180 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 1: beats Georgia. Now we're into full fledged armageddon. Okay, it 181 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:54,199 Speaker 1: could be just crazy. It's simple and easy if Virginia wins, 182 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:58,679 Speaker 1: Virginia gets into the playoff, and it's simple and easy 183 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 1: for everybody there going to be the eleven seed. 184 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 2: Twulane is the twelve seed. 185 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go full tin hat conspiracy theory like 186 00:10:06,280 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: a lot of people have about this as to why 187 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: it's simpler and easier for the committee if Virginia wins, 188 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: So the UVA is gonna get every call in this game, 189 00:10:15,000 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 1: so Duke didn't get nothing, like, forget about it. The 190 00:10:17,120 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: ACC even they don't want Duke. Go, You've got Miami, 191 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: You've got Notre Dame. You got that fight that still 192 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: is going on as to who should be in and 193 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: who should be not. So I mean you add in 194 00:10:27,720 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: Virginia into the conversation and it gets all wonky. And look, 195 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 1: you want to blame somebody, Blame the ACC for their 196 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 1: tie breaking rules about why Miami is not playing in 197 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 1: this game. 198 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 2: But they're not playing in this game. Duke and Virginia 199 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 2: are so pro. 200 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,400 Speaker 1: Money has come in heavily on Virginia. I'm gonna trail 201 00:10:45,480 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 1: the pro money. I'm gonna trail what we have seen before. 202 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,040 Speaker 1: We watched it last night when Boise played against you 203 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 1: and LV. They won the first matchup big, they won 204 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: the second matchup big. 205 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 2: Same thing might be the case here. 206 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 1: Uva won the first matchup big against Duke, they very 207 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 1: well might win the second matchup big as well. Here 208 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: in the ACC Championship game, I'm gonna take it. I'm 209 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: gonna lay to three and a half points Virginia minus 210 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,400 Speaker 1: three and a half for one point one units. So 211 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 1: buyu plus thirteen MS one ten albuma money line for 212 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,720 Speaker 1: the hedge, and UVA minus three and a half in 213 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: the ACC Championship game at minus one ten. I will 214 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:26,959 Speaker 1: talk to you guys in the Discord channel chat at 215 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: eight am Pacific eleven am Eastern time for our final 216 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 1: college basketball college football rather discord channel chat happening this morning. 217 00:11:36,440 --> 00:11:38,160 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolz. You guys can follow me 218 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt every single 219 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: morning where ever you guys get your podcasts. 220 00:11:43,160 --> 00:12:04,599 Speaker 2: It is the Daily Juice.