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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perrault. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by Omas Steaks dot

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Speaker 2: com slash Juice. Go there, get a subscription when you

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Speaker 2: do so, free burgers for life, ten percent of your

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Speaker 2: first order, and always with that one hundred percent money

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Speaker 2: back guarantee at Omas Steaks dot com slash Juice.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so.

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Speaker 2: Deep breath, I mean the shed injury blew the night.

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Speaker 2: I liked Houston in the first half. I still think

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Speaker 2: they probably would have covered that too. In the first half.

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Speaker 2: They ended up being down by a point to Duke,

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Speaker 2: but Duke won. So it was a one and two

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Speaker 2: night last night. We get baseball right, both basketball bets wrong.

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Speaker 2: We're now only eighty four and eighty two, or just

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Speaker 2: a little bit over fifty percent for the season in

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Speaker 2: college basketball. Kind of a bummer. As we add in

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Speaker 2: the future, wagers not great. So I know you're probably

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Speaker 2: coming on here and going like, what are we doing?

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Speaker 2: Map all right, So, Duke one, I'm really surprised at

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Speaker 2: the opening number. It was seven, it's now five and

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Speaker 2: a half in coming down. Let's wait, all right, let's

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Speaker 2: wait and see what we get here from a moneyline perspective,

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Speaker 2: and we may need to bet it in game, all right.

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Speaker 2: So again, we have seven units to play with, okay,

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Speaker 2: So the marquette futures we're working off of, right, So

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Speaker 2: that's one unit that we lost. Now we have another

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Speaker 2: half unit, so we have one and a half units

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Speaker 2: that are in play here, okay, So if Duke wins,

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Speaker 2: we would lose one and a half units. The idea

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Speaker 2: is to win three or four units on this, Okay, Now,

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Speaker 2: can we do that? Yes, But it depends upon what

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Speaker 2: the number is going to be, right, So you know,

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Speaker 2: if we're playing off, let's just play with the total

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Speaker 2: of one hundred dollars because that's just the easiest number

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Speaker 2: to playoff.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not saying that we should betting, but playoff

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Speaker 1: of it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: So we have one hundred dollars to win. Seven hundred right,

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Speaker 2: two fifty five is not great from a money line perspective, okay.

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Speaker 2: In terms of what we have to win to get

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Speaker 2: to win three hundred dollars, it can get pretty expensive.

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Speaker 2: So This is sort of like where we're looking at

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Speaker 2: North Carolina. So like, in order to win two hundred,

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Speaker 2: it's five hundred dollars to win two hundred dollars basically

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Speaker 2: on this, So we'd have to lay seven hundred out

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Speaker 2: to win two seventy five or so, Okay, we don't

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Speaker 2: want to be laying out that type of dollars just

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Speaker 2: to come on back because the first wager, okay, we

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Speaker 2: would cut into it, right, So seven hundred dollars is

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Speaker 2: what we have to win if NC State wins, right,

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Speaker 2: So the Duke situation has to be played with a

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Speaker 2: little bit. The Duke bet very well might come in game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so on the Discord channel bettingpros dot com slash juice,

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Speaker 2: But let's see how much farther down the Duke number.

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Speaker 1: Winds up going and you might go, well, Matt want

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Speaker 1: just lay.

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Speaker 2: Five and a half with Duke. Well, what happens if

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Speaker 2: Duke wins by three? Okay, then we have lost both bets.

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Speaker 2: So that's gonna be interesting how we play off NC State.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna remember NC State just beat Duke in the

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Speaker 2: ACC tournament, so like they just played a couple of

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Speaker 2: weeks ago. In NC State won. So that's why the

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Speaker 2: number number being seven was really high. I've thought about

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Speaker 2: and I don't think I'm gonna do this, but like

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Speaker 2: I thought about teasing Perdue and Duke. They're both playing

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Speaker 2: at the same time, and I was like, well, what

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Speaker 2: if we do something like, I don't know, like a

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Speaker 2: five point teaser that would be one twenty eight and

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Speaker 2: you could tease Perdue. You'd cross zero with Perdue, but

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Speaker 2: it wouldn't really matter. You're trying to get money line

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Speaker 2: out of Purdue and plus one plus one and a

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Speaker 2: half and then Duke's down to half a point. Basically

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Speaker 2: Duke down to a money line. But what happens if

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Speaker 2: Tennessee beats Perdue? I mean, so, I don't know. I

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Speaker 2: gotta I gotta figure this out. I gotta think about it.

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Speaker 2: I don't exactly know yet what I want to do

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Speaker 2: and how I want to do it as of yet,

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Speaker 2: but that might be a way of doing it where

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Speaker 2: we can tease it and you know, if Duke wins

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Speaker 2: and Tennessee wins, yes, we lose that whatever hedge we

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Speaker 2: come up with, maybe at two unit hedge we come

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Speaker 2: up with on that, but it would keep the Tennessee

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Speaker 2: future alive, which you know, at fourteen to one, we're playing.

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Speaker 1: Off of that.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know yet, but most likely I'm just

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Speaker 2: gonna bet Purdue money line and then probably in game

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Speaker 2: Duke and NC State.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So the.

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Speaker 2: Beauty of having you know where we are with Duke

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Speaker 2: and Purdue is it. Obviously we've got produce sitting here

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Speaker 2: at only minus one fifty six, which makes it way

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Speaker 2: more easy to play off of just given where we

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Speaker 2: are here with the numbers. It's just it's way simpler

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Speaker 2: for us to come and bet money line on Purdue

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Speaker 2: because we have, you know, fourteen to one. If we

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Speaker 2: want to go ahead and lay four hundred dollars coming

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Speaker 2: back on this, it's you know, it's to win two

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Speaker 2: point five units, So we'd cut into our fourteen to one,

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Speaker 2: we'd cut into it. But I'm trying to not We're

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Speaker 2: down four units right now on the on the on

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Speaker 2: the wagers on the official futures. Okay, we're still alive.

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Speaker 2: We still have been playing it, but like this is

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Speaker 2: just kind of an exercise. A bunch you guys have

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Speaker 2: shown me some really cool tickets that you've done.

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Speaker 1: Some of you guys have Duke and NC State.

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Speaker 2: One guy has think is like NC State at fourteen

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Speaker 2: to one and Duke at nine to one to win

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Speaker 2: the South bracket.

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Speaker 1: So he can just kick his heals up and he's good.

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Speaker 1: He didn't do anything.

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Speaker 2: Watch the game. Doesn't matter who wins, He's coming out profitable.

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Speaker 2: That's great. I didn't do that. I probably should have

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Speaker 2: thought to have done that. That's a good play out

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Speaker 2: of him to take both. I just took NC State.

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Speaker 2: I didn't take both as a hedge off of the

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Speaker 2: future for Marquette. But Tennessee wins, they advance, so we

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Speaker 2: have that future available. NC State wins advances, so we've

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Speaker 2: got that future available. So again Saturday's podcast, Sunday's or

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Speaker 2: Sunday Sunday Mornings podcast Saturday night's taping Sunday Mornings podcast,

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Speaker 2: I will go all over everything we're going to do here,

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Speaker 2: for the, for the, for the In the meantime, right now,

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Speaker 2: we're not doing anything, Okay, Tennessee future, NC State future.

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Speaker 2: We're live in both games on Sunday, So what are

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Speaker 2: we doing today?

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Speaker 1: Nothing?

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Speaker 2: For Illinois Yukon, I have no idea. I lean towards

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Speaker 2: the over one fifty four and a half, but not

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Speaker 2: betting it. I lean towards Yukon laying eight and a

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Speaker 2: half FanDuel has it eight eight and a half. They

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Speaker 2: kill everybody. Why wouldn't they kill Illinois?

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I mean eight and a half points is a lot

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Speaker 2: of points, so I don't know what I'm doing with that.

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Speaker 2: I want to get a better number I'm gonna in

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Speaker 2: game Yukon. I want like five, Okay, I don't want

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Speaker 2: eight and a half. I want five. I think Yukon

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Speaker 2: wins the game, but eight and a half might be

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Speaker 2: too heavy, But I think yuonn does end up winning.

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Speaker 1: And getting to the final four.

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Speaker 2: It's why didn't bet the Illinois side like we did

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Speaker 2: with NC State, because I don't think Illinois can beat Yukon.

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Speaker 1: Terred Shannon's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Just don't think there's enough firepower there across the board

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Speaker 2: to handle what Yukon is going to throw at them.

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Speaker 2: And I think Yukon and Purdue are on a crash

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Speaker 2: course here for the National Championship. So I think we're

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Speaker 2: going to see one v one. Tennessee lost by four

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Speaker 2: in Maui right or in Hawaii against Perdue earlier this year,

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Speaker 2: so that game is a little scary. That's why the

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Speaker 2: numbers only three and a half. NC State numbers coming down.

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Speaker 2: It was seven, now it's five and a half. And

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Speaker 2: let's see how far down it will go from a book,

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Speaker 2: from a dog perspective. But I bet nothing on Illinois

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Speaker 2: and Yukon. What I am betting on is the under

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Speaker 2: one sixty four and a half for Clemson in Alabama.

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Speaker 2: This number is too high. I'm sorry. I know it's Alabama.

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Speaker 2: I know that game against against North Carolina went over

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Speaker 2: one seventy five. Against Grand Canyon went under by forty.

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Speaker 2: There was one seventy three under by forty. Every game

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Speaker 2: in tournament plays so far for Clemson has gone under.

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Speaker 2: Boston College, New Mexico, Baylor, Arizona all unders. I don't

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Speaker 2: believe that Brownell is going to go up tempo with Natoates.

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Speaker 2: I just don't see it. Clemson's gonna control tempo. I

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Speaker 2: think Clemson's gonna win the game.

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Speaker 1: I do. I lean to Clemson.

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Speaker 2: It's three people like Alabama, Okay, I just think it's

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Speaker 2: an undergame. Clemson's an under team. It's gonna be an undergame.

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Speaker 2: I think they're gonna slow tempo down dramatically. I don't

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Speaker 2: think we're gonna see some high flying, really aggressive game.

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Speaker 2: And I just personally think that Clemson's the better team

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Speaker 2: in crunch time. Their bigs are so good. I know

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Speaker 2: Alabama just beat North Carolina. I understand that, and people

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Speaker 2: are gonna go, oh, you beat Alabama.

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Speaker 1: You mean to.

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Speaker 2: Beat North Carolina. People want to bet Alabama.

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Speaker 1: I don't. I think people are still kind of sleeping

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Speaker 1: on Clemson.

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Speaker 2: Here. This is an eighty three, eighty one win for Alabama,

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Speaker 2: so it's a three point number, so you get a

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Speaker 2: little benefit there. It's one sixty four total at KEMPOM,

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Speaker 2: which doesn't give us a ton of issues. But Clemson

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Speaker 2: is two hundred and fifty seventh in pace, two hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty seventh. I think Alabama's going to speed them

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Speaker 2: up that much. They're ninth in tempo.

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Speaker 1: I give you that. I mean Bama wants to run.

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Speaker 2: I absolutely And the Carolina game barely went over, went

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Speaker 2: over by a point, but it was a huge number

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Speaker 2: of one seventy one five right, one seventy five went

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Speaker 2: over by one. Alabama's had one seventy five, one seventy

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Speaker 2: three and one seventy two. So far in the tournament,

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Speaker 2: two of the three games have gone over. One game

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Speaker 2: went dramatically way under, the seventy two to sixty one

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Speaker 2: win over Grand Canyon. But every game under by four,

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Speaker 2: under by ten, under by twenty, under by fifteen for

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Speaker 2: Clemson one fifty three, one forty six, one fifty three,

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Speaker 2: one forty six, and now we're at one sixty four

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Speaker 2: and a half. Okay, under Clemson Alabama for one point

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Speaker 2: one units. All right, Baseball told you in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: I don't really need to do too much of a

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Speaker 2: breakdown here. The Rockies are awful. We are going to

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Speaker 2: bet the Rockies. Fade the Rockies on the road. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna fade them consistently. They lost seven to three to

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Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks. This number is plus one oh two even money.

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Speaker 2: Basically everywhere Arizona Diamondbacks on the run line. Here's the thing,

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Speaker 2: Sunday baseball is wonky. Okay, it's wonky. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: wonky tomorrow. I don't want to bet baseball tomorrow. I

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Speaker 2: want to bet baseball today. Okay, I want to bet

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Speaker 2: baseball today. This is a night game in Arizona, Okay,

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Speaker 2: d Backs are two and zero on the run line

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Speaker 2: so far. Austin Golmber, left handed pitcher, is going for

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Speaker 2: the Colorado Rockies. He was nine to nine with a

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Speaker 2: five point five zero ERA law last year. This is

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Speaker 2: a guy who was somewhat of a reliever at times,

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Speaker 2: kind of a spot starter. Not someone that I would

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Speaker 2: really like going. Okay, look out for this guy came

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Speaker 2: out of the bullpen a little bit last year. But

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Speaker 2: I mean pitching on the road against Tampa Bay and

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Speaker 2: his starting I guess they sent him down. He only

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Speaker 2: pitched to the end of August and they sent him down.

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Speaker 2: He's a young kid. Oh he's thirty. No, he's a

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Speaker 2: young kid. He's thirty years old. He is not great

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Speaker 2: on the road. He gave up six runs. He lost

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Speaker 2: six to one of the Dodgers six to five at

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay last year. I just think if you take

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Speaker 2: a look at where this offense is right now in

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Speaker 2: the bullpen for the Rockies after yesterday and the day

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Speaker 2: before run line, I just think we come back again

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Speaker 2: here and bettt Sunday, we'll take a break on it.

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Speaker 2: Tommy Henry's going on the other side five and four.

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Speaker 2: The four point one five ERA. Last year, he was

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Speaker 2: pretty good, although he lost a ton of games late.

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Speaker 2: He lost his last four starts, but he was decent,

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Speaker 2: good enough for us. I think to go ahead and

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Speaker 2: back this kid and say, okay, the offense will score

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Speaker 2: enough runs. So far, so good for the Diamondbacks offense

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Speaker 2: scoring seven runs yesterday for them winning the game seven

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Speaker 2: to three, and then pounding the Rockies in the first

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Speaker 2: game sixteen to one. Run line Diamondbacks plus one oh

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Speaker 2: two for one point one units. I apologize if you're

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Speaker 2: hearing the dog bark. He wants to come in the room.

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Speaker 1: So sorry.

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Speaker 2: If you're driving and you're hearing a dog marking, that's

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Speaker 2: my one of my two dogs that won't stop barking.

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Speaker 2: Let's see if I can let him in and we'll

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Speaker 2: stop barking. Hold on, get in here, he'll stop barking.

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Speaker 2: Now they let him and let him in the room. Apologies.

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Speaker 2: So now we go to the third bet of the day,

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Speaker 2: and I'm gonna do a little two leg money line parlay. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I do not believe that the A's are gonna be

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Speaker 2: excited to play at home at all. A's on the

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Speaker 2: run line JP series is going okay, It concerns me

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Speaker 2: a little bit because JP Series is a decent pitcher.

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Speaker 2: BB is going for the Guardians. He was tremendous last year.

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Speaker 2: But the number is one forty eight on the money line,

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Speaker 2: and it's minus one thirty seven and take the A's

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Speaker 2: at plus one and a half runs, So I don't

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Speaker 2: really want to lay this here on the run line.

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Speaker 2: Concerns me a little bit, But I also don't want

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Speaker 2: to lay mice one forty mice won fifty juice here

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Speaker 2: on the Guardians, who are two and o on the

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Speaker 2: run line two and oh. Straight up there, there was

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Speaker 2: announced three thy five hundred fans in the game yesterday

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Speaker 2: on a Saturday. I don't think there's gonna be anybody there.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's gonna be absolutely empty in Oakland for

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Speaker 2: this game coming up here today. It's a one o'clock day.

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Speaker 2: Games start against the Guardians. We're gonna go money line

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Speaker 2: Guardians to improve to three and oh even with Jpcars pitching,

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Speaker 2: who arguably is the best pitcher for the A's just

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Speaker 2: money line Guardians, but we're gonna pair it up with

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Speaker 2: the Dodgers. Dodgers money line now, you could easily bet

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Speaker 2: the Dodgers. On the run line, it's minus two to

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Speaker 2: ten on the Dodgers. The one fear factor is Yamamoto

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Speaker 2: is pitching. Okay, didn't pitch well overseas when he was

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Speaker 2: in South Korea in his first debut, game was crazy

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Speaker 2: high scoring and he got tattooed. But this offense for

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Speaker 2: the Dodgers is ridiculous. Okay, They've just scored a ton

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Speaker 2: of runs. They lost fifteen to eleven that game. I remember,

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Speaker 2: it's only lost for the Dodgers in the year with

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Speaker 2: a fifteen to They scored those eleven runs in that

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Speaker 2: game and lost but seven to one.

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Speaker 1: Six'.

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Speaker 2: Three so, Far Mookie betts has hit three home runs

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Speaker 2: in two innings in two games so. Far Again, SATURDAY

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Speaker 2: i would lean towards The cardinals here On, sunday just

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Speaker 2: because it's hard to sweep a team and it's a

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Speaker 2: little bit wonky Just. Sunday baseball's, weird as we. Know

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Speaker 2: SO i want to jump in here with the money

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Speaker 2: line on The. Dodgers money line on The guardians to

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Speaker 2: plus one fifty parlay for one point one unit's little

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Speaker 2: two leg moneyline parlay for us here on A, saturday

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Speaker 2: because we don't bet baseball On. Sunday it's too, scary

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Speaker 2: and we'll be heavily invested obviously in the college basketball On,

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Speaker 2: Sunday so this is a good time to jump in

297
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Speaker 2: here with. That, Okay so two bets in, baseball one

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Speaker 2: bet in college.

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Speaker 1: Basketball.

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Speaker 2: AGAIN i will be on The discord channel betting pros

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Speaker 2: Dot com slash. Chat we will look to see when

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Speaker 2: and If i'm going to jump in here on on

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Speaker 2: The yukon game Against. Illinois i'll tell you IF i

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Speaker 2: find a number THAT i, LIKE i hope that we

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Speaker 2: find something in the four to five. Range, Personally i'm

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Speaker 2: not sure we'll be able, to but that's kind of the,

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Speaker 2: goal is to find it somewhere in that, range you,

308
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Speaker 2: know to jump in there with with. That So i'm

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Speaker 2: excited to see what's going to. Happen i'm excited to

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Speaker 2: see how we roll out here with that game With

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Speaker 2: illinois And. Yukon but for, today under one sixty four

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Speaker 2: and a Half bama And clemson run Line diamondbacks plus

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Speaker 2: one oh Two Dodgers guardians money line plus one fifty

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Speaker 2: parlay for one. Unit so we've got three point one

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Speaker 2: units going here today on A saturday Mis Matt parolt

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Speaker 2: to follow me across all socials At Sports Talk. Matt

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Speaker 2: Each sundy, morning The Elijuce PODCAST i was being brought

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Speaker 2: to you by almost tags dot com