1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Well after the closing bell, Texas Instruments gave a bullish 2 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 1: forecast for the current quarter. Joining us to discuss this 3 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:12,479 Speaker 1: is Ian King, Bloomberg News US semiconductor reporter. Ian it 4 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: wasn't much not to like in the in the earnings 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: report they had, it was pretty solid against all expectations 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:22,240 Speaker 1: I think from many people. And then the forecast was good. 7 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,119 Speaker 1: But I'm sure you're looking more closely at this. What's 8 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: the real story? Yeah, I mean the real story is 9 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: do you remember three months ago they kind of brought 10 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: expectation expectations down pretty hard, and everybody was like, oh, 11 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: these guys are the sort of hobbinges of doom. And 12 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,840 Speaker 1: you know, typically semi conductors and particularly Broad Bay semi 13 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 1: conductor make us like Texan Instruments there among the first 14 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: to sort of point to a recession or a made 15 00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: to fall off in demand if it's coming. Um. You know, 16 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: fast forward three months and they said, basically, look what 17 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:55,360 Speaker 1: we said was true, which is this was more a 18 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: short term supply disruption because of China and COVID and 19 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: things are kind of okay apart from you know, personal electronics, 20 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: which pretty much everybody knows about because of the way 21 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: the economy is trending. Well, Ian does this bode well 22 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: then for the other big chip makers that report later 23 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: this week, Qualcom and Intel or different story. Well, I 24 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: mean it's a it's really a case of perspective. I mean, 25 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: you look at what the semi you know, the Philadelphia 26 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: Semi Tour Index has done this year. It's down. Chip 27 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: stocks have already been hammered, you know, investors are already 28 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 1: voted on this. So actually turns out that the innings 29 00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: on that, but that the sort of declines aren't as 30 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 1: precipitous as perhaps people had expected. So we've gone from 31 00:01:40,000 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: you know, high expectations to very very low expectations now 32 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: to kind of moderate expectations, which looks like these companies 33 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: are probably going to be I suppose it depends on 34 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: you know, the company and whether or not it's it's 35 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 1: really it's product is more in consumer electronics and smartphones, 36 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: which may dumble a bit. But if you like, for instance, 37 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: if you're producing like we saw an XP yesterday for 38 00:02:06,080 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: the auto market, that part's holding up pretty well. What 39 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 1: about some of the other high end areas that Texas 40 00:02:12,240 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: Instruments covers. Yeah, I mean they are also an auto story, 41 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: and their auto division was in the quarter that they reported. 42 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,519 Speaker 1: They also talked about industrial so chips that go into 43 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:28,119 Speaker 1: basically industrial equipment, into buildings, all of these kind of things. 44 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: And there's these trends that we told you about. The 45 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 1: trends of digitalization of everything are still in place. People 46 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 1: are still ordering and building that kind of equipment. So 47 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: you know that in general is it tends to be 48 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,800 Speaker 1: a good sign for the economy because of how broad 49 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 1: based they are. So you know, the takeaway was, well, 50 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:50,160 Speaker 1: if there is a recession coming, it's not happening this quarter. 51 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,639 Speaker 1: And you know, we interviewed their CFO and that's what 52 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,640 Speaker 1: he said. He said, I'm not ruling it out, but 53 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: you know, not in the here and now kind of thing. 54 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: And how much of this, Oh, go ahead, Bryan, I 55 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,240 Speaker 1: was gonna I was gonna say goodbye to Ian as 56 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: the time is ticking, Steve, but there is so much 57 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: to talk about. We hope to speak with Ian some 58 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 1: more on some of the other earnings. Um Ian King, 59 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:16,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News US Semiconductor Reporter